Development and validation of a prediction model for unsuccessful treatment outcomes in patients with multi-drug resistance tuberculosis

BACKGROUND

The World Health Organization has reported that the treatment success rate of multi-drug resistance tuberculosis is approximately 57% globally. Although new drugs such as bedaquiline and linezolid is likely improve the treatment outcome, there are other factors associated with unsuccessful treatment outcome. The factors associated with unsuccessful treatment outcomes have been widely examined, but only a few studies have developed prediction models. We aimed to develop and validate a simple clinical prediction model for unsuccessful treatment outcomes in patients with multi-drug resistance pulmonary tuberculosis (MDR-PTB).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was performed between January 2017 and December 2019 at a special hospital in Xi'an, China. A total of 446 patients with MDR-PTB were included. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multivariate logistic regression were used to select prognostic factors for unsuccessful treatment outcomes. A nomogram was built based on four prognostic factors. Internal validation and leave-one-out cross-validation was used to assess the model.

RESULTS

Of the 446 patients with MDR-PTB, 32.9% (147/446) cases had unsuccessful treatment outcomes, and 67.1% had successful outcomes. After LASSO regression and multivariate logistic analyses, no health education, advanced age, being male, and larger extent lung involvement were identified as prognostic factors. These four prognostic factors were used to build the prediction nomograms. The area under the curve of the model was 0.757 (95%CI 0.711 to 0.804), and the concordance index (C-index) was 0.75. For the bootstrap sampling validation, the corrected C-index was 0.747. In the leave-one-out cross-validation, the C-index was 0.765. The slope of the calibration curve was 0.968, which was approximately 1.0. This indicated that the model was accurate in predicting unsuccessful treatment outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

We built a predictive model and established a nomogram for unsuccessful treatment outcomes of multi-drug resistance pulmonary tuberculosis based on baseline characteristics. This predictive model showed good performance and could be used as a tool by clinicians to predict who among their patients will have an unsuccessful treatment outcome.

Diabetes, Edentulism, and Cognitive Decline: A 12-Year Prospective Analysis

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a recognized risk factor for dementia, and increasing evidence shows that tooth loss is associated with cognitive impairment and dementia. However, the effect of the co-occurrence of DM and edentulism on cognitive decline is understudied. This 12-y cohort study aimed to assess the effect of the co-occurrence of DM and edentulism on cognitive decline and examine whether the effect differs by age group. Data were drawn from the 2006 to 2018 Health and Retirement Study. The study sample included 5,440 older adults aged 65 to 74 y, 3,300 aged 75 to 84 y, and 1,208 aged 85 y or older. Linear mixed-effect regression was employed to model the rates of cognitive decline stratified by age cohorts. Compared with their counterparts with neither DM nor edentulism at baseline, older adults aged 65 to 74 y (β = -1.12; 95% confidence interval [CI], -1.56 to -0.65; P < 0.001) and those aged 75 to 84 y with both conditions (β = -1.35; 95% CI, -2.09 to -0.61; P < 0.001) had a worse cognitive function. For the rate of cognitive decline, compared to those with neither condition from the same age cohort, older adults aged 65 to 74 y with both conditions declined at a higher rate (β = -0.15; 95% CI, -0.20 to -0.10; P < 0.001). Having DM alone led to an accelerated cognitive decline in older adults aged 65 to 74 y (β = -0.09; 95% CI, -0.13 to -0.05; P < 0.001); having edentulism alone led to an accelerated decline in older adults aged 65 to 74 y (β = -0.13; 95% CI, -0.17 to -0.08; P < 0.001) and older adults aged 75 to 84 (β = -0.10; 95% CI, -0.17 to -0.03; P < 0.01). Our study finds the co-occurrence of DM and edentulism led to a worse cognitive function and a faster cognitive decline in older adults aged 65 to 74 y.

Dexmedetomidine for adult cardiac surgery: a systematic review, meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis

The effects of dexmedetomidine in adults undergoing cardiac surgery are inconsistent. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to analyse the effects of peri-operative dexmedetomidine in adults undergoing cardiac surgery. We searched MEDLINE via Pubmed, EMBASE, Scopus and Cochrane for relevant randomised controlled trials between 1 January 1990 and 1 March 2022. We used the Joanna Briggs Institute methodology checklist to assess study quality and the GRADE approach to certainty of evidence. We assessed the sensitivity of results to false data. We used random-effects meta-analyses to analyse the primary outcomes: durations of intensive care and tracheal intubation. We included 48 trials of 6273 participants. Dexmedetomidine reduced the mean (95%CI) duration of intensive care by 5.0 (2.2-7.7) h, p = 0.001, and tracheal intubation by 1.6 (0.6-2.7) h, p = 0.003. The relative risk (95%CI) for postoperative delirium was 0.58 (0.43-0.78), p = 0.001; 0.76 (0.61-0.95) for atrial fibrillation, p = 0.015; and 0.49 (0.25-0.97) for short-term mortality, p = 0.041. Bradycardia and hypotension were not significantly affected. Trial sequential analysis was consistent with the primary meta-analysis. Adjustments for possible false data reduced the mean (95%CI) reduction in duration of intensive care and tracheal intubation by dexmedetomidine to 3.6 (1.8-5.4) h and 0.8 (0.2-1.4) h, respectively. Binary adjustment for methodological quality at a Joanna Briggs Institute score threshold of 10 did not alter the results significantly. In summary, peri-operative dexmedetomidine reduced the durations of intensive care and tracheal intubation and the incidence of short-term mortality after adult cardiac surgery. The reductions in intensive care stay and tracheal intubation may or may not be considered clinically useful, particularly after adjustment for possible false data.

Association between Elevated Magnesium Intake and Reduced Risk of Recurrent Falls and Frailty in Osteoarthritis: Data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this 8-year follow-up study was to investigate the relationship between magnesium intake and frailty, as well as recurrent falls, in individuals diagnosed with Osteoarthritis (OA) or those at a heightened risk for developing the condition.

METHODS

This study utilized data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) database and conducted a prospective cohort study with a 8-year follow-up period. Total magnesium intake from both food sources and supplements was assessed using a food frequency questionnaire (FFQ), while frailty and recurrent falls were evaluated through established criteria and self-report, respectively. To account for potential confounding factors, various covariates were considered, and statistical analyses, including generalized additive mixed models (GAMMs), were employed to examine the associations.

RESULTS

Among the 4,667 participants with OA, those with lower total magnesium intake were characterized by younger age, a higher proportion of African American individuals, higher body mass index (BMI), and lower dietary fiber intake (P<0.001). Notably, this group exhibited higher odds of experiencing recurrent falls and frailty (P = 0.034 and 0.006, respectively). Controlling for various factors, the GAMMs consistently revealed negative correlations between magnesium intake and the likelihood of frailty and recurrent falls, with each 1 mg/1000 kcal increase in magnesium intake associated with a 0.5% reduced frailty risk (p < 0.001) and a 0.2% decreased risk of recurrent falls (p = 0.001). Subgroup analyses suggested that increased total magnesium intake from both food sources and supplements may exert a more pronounced preventive effect on recurrent falls and frailty in men, older adults, individuals with normal BMI, and those with higher dietary fiber intake.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated total magnesium intake from both food sources and supplements was found to be associated with a decreased risk of recurrent falls and frailty in individuals diagnosed with OA or those at risk of developing the condition. These findings imply that increased total magnesium intake might be beneficial in managing the risk of these outcomes, particularly within specific subgroups, including men, older adults, those with a normal BMI, and those with higher dietary fiber intake.

[Comparison of the effects of self-made three-dimensional printed assistant tableware and traditional universal cuff assistant tableware in patients with upper limb dysfunction after burn injury]

Objective: To compare the effects of self-made three-dimensional (3D) printed assistant tableware (hereinafter referred to as 3D assistive device) and traditional universal cuff assistant tableware (hereinafter referred to as universal cuff) on the voluntary eating function of patients with upper limb dysfunction after burns. Methods: The prospective self-control study was conducted. From March 2020 to June 2021, 18 patients with upper limb dysfunction after moderate to severe burns who met the inclusion criteria were admitted to Tongren Hospital of Wuhan University & Wuhan Third Hospital, including 15 males and 3 females, aged 21-58 (42±11) years. After using the 3D software and 3D printer to customize 3D assistive devices for patients, the patients were instructed to eat with the 3D assistive devices and the universal cuff on alternate days for 14 consecutive days, each for 7 days. During this time, the patients could also be fed by someone else without using the assistive device. The number of times the patients ate regular meals with each assistive device and the proportion of them to the total number of regular meals ate during the 7 days to which they belonged were counted. After the total use of two assistive devices for 14 days (hereinafter referred to as after use of 14 days), the amount and time of transferring liquid using the two assistive devices of patients were measured; the patients' feeding items in the modified Barthel index (MBI) were scored respectively when eating without the assistive device, with the 3D assistive device, or with the universal cuff; the satisfaction degree of feeding when eating without the assistive device, with the 3D assistive device, or with the universal cuff was evaluated using the 5-grade Likert scale. Data were statistically analyzed with paired sample t test, Wilcoxon signed rank sum test, and chi-square test. Results: The number of the patients ate regular meals with the 3D assistive device during the 7 days was (18.1±2.0) times, which was significantly more than (4.0±2.0) times with the universal cuff (t=53.72, P<0.01). The proportion of the number of the patients ate regular meals with the 3D assistive device to the total number of regular meals ate during the 7 days to which it belonged was 72.4% (325/449), which was significantly higher than 16.7% (72/431) with the universal cuff (χ2=257.36, P<0.01). After use of 14 days, the patients' time and amount of transferring liquid using the 3D assistive device were respectively significantly shorter and more than using the universal cuff (with t values of 2.49 and 7.52, respectively, P<0.05 or P<0.01). The patients' MBI feeding scores when eating with the 3D assistive device and with the universal cuff were close (P>0.05), which were both significantly higher than the score when eating without the assistive device (with Z values of 3.90 and 3.86, respectively, P<0.01).The patients' satisfaction scores of feeding when eating with the 3D assistive device and with the universal cuff were close (P>0.05), which were both significantly higher than the score when eating without the assistive device (with Z values of 3.61 and 3.00, respectively, P<0.01). Conclusions: Both the 3D assistive device and the universal cuff can compensate the limb function of patients with upper limb dysfunction after burns and improve their self-feeding ability, but the 3D assistive device has more advantages in improving patients' willingness to eat and the efficiency of food transfer.

Experimental evaluation and structure-activity relationship analysis of bridged-ring terpenoid derivatives as novel Blattella germanica repellent

Cockroaches are urban pests that are very difficult to control. Using repellents is a green, safe and effective strategy for their control. In order to find novel cockroach repellents, the repellent activity of 45 bridged-ring terpenoid derivatives synthesized from β-pinene against Blattella germanica was tested. The relationship between the molecular structure of these bridged-ring terpenoid derivatives and their repellent activity against Blattella germanica was also analysed. The results show that some of the bridged-ring terpenoid derivatives exhibit good repellent activity against Blattella germanica, and six compounds (RR = 60.44-87.32%) show higher repellent activity against Blattella germanica than DEET (RR = 54.77%), making them promising for development as new cockroach repellents. Quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) analysis revealed that the HOMO-1 energy, Kier and Hall index (order 2), Balaban index, and relative positive charged surface area of bridged-ring terpenoid derivatives have effects on repellent activity against Blattella germanica. The present study may provide a theoretical basis for the high-value use of β-pinene and can be helpful to the development of novel repellents against Blattella germanica.

[Effects of p16/pRb and JNK signaling pathways in hydroquinone-induced malignant transformation of TK6 cells]

Objective: To investigate the cell cycle and apoptosis in hydroquinone (HQ) -induced malignant transformation of TK6 cells and its related regulatory mechanisms. Methods: TK6 cells were exposed to 20 μmol/L HQ, 24 h/time, once a week, for 19 weeks as experimental group and TK6 cells treated with phosphate buffer (PBS) for 19 weeks was used as control group from March 2014. In regulatory mechanism research, the cells were divided into four groups: control group, experimental group, control inhibitor group and experimental inhibitor group (inhibitor groups were added 10 μmol/L P600125) . Cell cycle and apoptosis were detected by flow cytometry. The protein expression of cell cycle-related proteins and JNK signaling pathway proteins were detected by Western blot. Results: Flow cytometry showed that compared with control group, the ratio of cells in the G0/G1 phase of the experimental group was significantly decreased (P=0.001) , and the ratio of cells in the S phase was significantly increased (P=0.002) . Western blotting demonstrated that the protein expressions of p-Rb (Ser780) , E2F1, Cyclin D1, p-p16 (Ser152) , JNK1, p-JNK1 (Thr183/Tyr185) , c-jun, p-c-jun (Ser63) (P=0.015, 0.021, 0.001, 0.001, 0.005, 0.001, 0.039, 0.003) were up-regulated, while the protein expressions of Rb (P=0.048) and p16 (P=0.002) were significantly down-regulated. After exposed to SP600125, compared with experimental group, there were no significant changes in cell cycle distribution (P=0.946) and apoptosis rate (P=0.923) in experimental inhibitor group. The expression of c-jun (P=0.040) protein was down-regulated, while the expression of Rb (P=0.027) protein was up-regulated in experimental inhibitor group. Conclusion: In HQ-induced TK6 cells malignant transformation, the cell cycle is arrested in the S phase, and the p16/pRb signaling pathway is inhibited, while the JNK signaling pathway is activated. However, the activated JNK signaling pathway may not be involved in the regulation of cell cycle.

Disseminated Cryptococcal Infection of the Lumbar Spine in an Immunocompetent Man

Cryptococcus (C) neoformans infection mainly occurs in immunocompromised hosts, especially those with AIDS, and skeletal infection is a rare presentation of cryptococcosis. We report a rare case of disseminated cryptococcal infection of the lumbar spine in an immunocompetent man caused by Cryptococcus neoformans var. grubii. The lesion position first appeared on upper right lung and then spread to the fourth lumbar vertebra. The result of periodic acid–Schiff (PAS) and Gomori’s methenamine silver (GMS) staining of the tissue sample matched cryptococcal infection, but multiple culture was negative. Eventually, C. neoformans var. grubii was confirmed using next-generation sequencing (NGS). Current follow-up of 12 months indicated a stable condition after antifungal therapy (fluconazole 400 mg/day) combined with surgery. Our case reminds that physicians must consider the possibility of skeletal cryptococcosis in patients with bone lesions, and NGS might be an excellent option to obtain the most accurate diagnosis in clinical practice.

[Comparison of the anesthetic effects of mivacurium and cisatracurium besylate in laser laryngeal microsurgery]

Objective: To compare the anesthetic effects of mivacurium and cisatracurium besylate in laser laryngeal microsurgery, and to provide clinical evidence and reference for further optimization of muscle relaxation application. Methods: From October 2021 to January 2022, fifty-six patients of Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, scheduled for laser laryngeal microsurgery with general anesthesia, were enrolled. These patients, aged 18-65 years old, 25 males and 31 females, were divided into two groups (n=28) by random number table method. Cisatracurium besylate group (group C): cisatracurium besylate was injected at 0.1 mg/kg. Normal saline was continuously infused during operation. Mivacurium group (group M):Mivacurium was injected at 0.25 mg/kg and continuously infused at 0.3 mg·kg^-1·h^-1 during operation.The intubation time, the extubation time, recovery index, Cooper's score, Cormack-Lehane grade, surgical condition grade, postoperative residual neuromuscular block and allergic related adverse events were compared between the two groups. Results: The intubation time and the extubation time of group M were (3.7±1.1) and (16.2±5.0) min, which were statistically significant shorter than those of group C (4.9±0.7) and (26.4±8.6) min (all P<0.05). The recovery indexes of the patients in group M and group C were (4.5±3.4) and (6.2±5.0) min. The Cooper's scores of the two groups were both 9(9, 9). The Cormack-Lehane grades of the two groups were all grade Ⅰ. The number of cases with good/excellent surgical condition grades in group M and group C were 5/23 and 0/28. There were no significant differences in recovery index, Cooper's score, Cormack-Lehane grades and surgical condition grades between the two groups (all P>0.05). The TOF ratio of group M in the post anesthesia care unit (PACU) was (95.7±2.6) %, which was significantly higher than (92.9±3.9) % of group C(P=0.015). There were no significant differences in MAP and HR between the two groups at different time points (all P>0.05). The incidence of skin flushing in group M and group C was 10.7% (3/28) and 0, and the difference was not statistically significant (P=0.074). There were no cases of severe hypotension, significantly elevated airway pressure or airway spasm in both groups. Conclusion: In laser laryngeal microsurgery, compared with cisatracurium besylate, mivacurium has shorter intubation time and extubation time, stable hemodynamics, no significant increase in allergic related adverse events. mivacurium is safe and effective.

[A prospective randomized controlled study on the effects of bicycle ergometer rehabilitation training on quadriceps and walking ability of patients with lower limb dysfunction caused by extensive burns]

Objective: To explore the effects of bicycle ergometer rehabilitation training on quadriceps and walking ability of patients with lower limb dysfunction caused by extensive burns. Methods: A prospective randomized controlled study was conducted. A total of 40 patients with extensive burns who met the inclusion criteria and were admitted to Tongren Hospital of Wuhan University＆Wuhan Third Hospital from December 2017 to December 2020 were selected. According to the random number table, the patients were divided into conventional training group (16 males, 4 females, aged (45±10) years) and combined training group (13 males, 7 females, aged (39±8) years). Patients in conventional training group were given conventional rehabilitation therapy such as joint loosening, lower limb strength training, walking training, and pressure therapy, while patients in combined training group were given additional bicycle ergometer rehabilitation training on the basis of conventional rehabilitation. For patients in the 2 groups before and after a 2-month's treatment, the thickness of quadriceps was measured by ultrasonic diagnostic instrument, the muscle strength of quadriceps was measured by portable muscle strength tester, the walking ability was tested with a 6-min and a 10-meter walk tests, and the patients' satisfaction for treatment effects was assessed using the modified Likert scale. Data were statistically analyzed with independent or paired sample t test, Mann-Whitney U test, Wilcoxon signed rank test, or chi-square test. Results: After 2-month's treatment, the quadriceps thickness of patients in combined training group was (3.76±0.39) cm, which was significantly thicker than (3.45±0.35) cm in conventional training group (t=2.67, P<0.05); quadriceps thickness of patients in conventional training group and combined training group after 2-month's treatment was significantly thicker than that before treatment (with t values of 5.99 and 8.62, respectively, P<0.01). After 2-month's treatment, the quadriceps muscle strength of patients in combined training group was significantly greater than that in conventional training group (Z=2.69, P<0.01); quadriceps muscle strength of patients in conventional training group and combined training group after 2-month's treatment was significantly greater than that before treatment (with Z values of 3.92 and 3.92, respectively, P<0.01). After 2-month's treatment, the 6-min walking distance of patients in combined training group was (488±39) m, which was significantly longer than (429±25) m in conventional training group (t=5.66, P<0.01); the 6-min walking distance of patients after 2-month's treatment in conventional training group and combined training group was significantly longer than that before treatment (with t values of 13.16 and 17.92, respectively, P<0.01). After 2-month's treatment, the 10-meter walking time of patients in combined training group was significantly shorter than that in conventional training group (t=3.20, P<0.01); and the 10-meter walking time in conventional training group and combined training group was significantly shorter than that before treatment (with t values of 7.21 and 13.13, respectively, P<0.01). The patients' satisfaction score for treatment effects in combined training group was significantly higher than that in conventional training group (Z=3.14, P<0.01), and the patients' satisfaction scores for treatment effects in conventional training group and combined training group after 2-month's treatment were significantly greater than those before treatment (with Z values of 3.98 and 4.04, respectively, P<0.01). Conclusions: Bicycle ergometer rehabilitation training can be used to improve quadriceps thickness, muscle strength, and walking ability of patients with lower limb dysfunction caused by extensive burns. It can also improve the satisfaction of patients with the treatment outcome, and therefore is worthy of promotion.