Definition and Prognostic Value of Ph-like and IKZF1plus Status in Children With Down Syndrome and B-cell Precursor Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia

Children with Down syndrome have an augmented risk for B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (DS-ALL), which is associated with lower survival than in non-DS-ALL. It is known that cytogenetic abnormalities common in childhood ALL are less frequent in DS-ALL, while other genetic aberrancies (ie, CRLF2 overexpression and IKZF1 deletions) are increased. A possible cause for the lower survival of DS-ALL that we herewith evaluated for the first time was the incidence and prognostic value of the Philadelphia-like (Ph-like) profile and the IKZF1plus pattern. These features have been associated with poor outcome in non-DS ALL and therefore introduced in current therapeutic protocols. Forty-six out of 70 DS-ALL patients treated in Italy from 2000 to 2014 displayed Ph-like signature, mostly characterized by CRLF2 (n = 33) and IKZF1 (n = 16) alterations; only 2 cases were positive for ABL-class or PAX5-fusion genes. Moreover, in an Italian and German joint cohort of 134 DS-ALL patients, we observed 18% patients positive for IKZF1plus feature. Ph-like signature and IKZF1 deletion were associated with poor outcome (cumulative incidence of relapse: 27.7 ± 6.8% versus 13 ± 7%; P = 0.04 and 35.2 ± 8.6% versus 17 ± 3.9%; P = 0.007, respectively), which further worsens when IKZF1 deletion was co-occurring with P2RY8::CRLF2, qualifying for the IKZF1plus definition (13/15 patients had an event of relapse or treatment-related death). Notably, ex vivo drug screening revealed sensitivity of IKZF1plus blasts for drugs active against Ph-like ALL such as Birinapant and histone deacetylase inhibitors. We provided data in a large setting of a rare condition (DS-ALL) supporting that these patients, not associated with other high-risk features, need tailored therapeutic strategies.

Elevated Serum Urea-to-Creatinine Ratio and In-Hospital Death in Patients with Hyponatremia Hospitalized for COVID-19

Hyponatremia is associated with adverse outcomes in hospitalized patients. An elevated value of the serum urea-to-creatinine ratio (UCR) has been proposed as a proxy of hypovolemia. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between the UCR and in-hospital death in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 and hyponatremia. We studied 258 patients admitted for COVID-19 between January 2020 and May 2021 with serum sodium at < 135 mmol/L. The primary end-point was all-cause mortality. A 5-unit increase in the serum UCR during hospital stays was associated with an 8% increase in the hazard of all-cause death (HR = 1.08, 95% CI: 1.03-1.14, p = 0.001) after adjusting for potential confounders. In patients with a UCR > 40 at baseline, a > 10 mmol/L increase in serum sodium values within the first week of hospitalization was associated with higher odds of in-hospital death (OR = 2.93, 95% CI: 1.03-8.36, p = 0.044) compared to patients who experienced a < 10 mmol/L change. This was not observed in patients with a UCR < 40. Hypovolemia developing during hospital stays in COVID-19 patients with hyponatremia detected at hospital admission bears an adverse prognostic impact. Moreover, in hypovolemic patients, a > 10 mmol/L increase in serum sodium within the first week of hospital stays may further worsen the in-hospital prognosis.

Development and validation of an electronic database-based frailty index to predict mortality and hospitalization in a population-based study of adults with SARS-CoV-2

Background

Electronic health databases are used to identify people at risk of poor outcomes. Using electronic regional health databases (e-RHD), we aimed to develop and validate a frailty index (FI), compare it with a clinically based FI, and assess its association with health outcomes in community-dwellers with SARS-CoV-2.

Methods

Data retrieved from the Lombardy e-RHD were used to develop a 40-item FI (e-RHD-FI) in adults (i.e., aged ≥18 years) with a positive nasopharyngeal swab polymerase chain reaction test for SARS-CoV-2 by May 20, 2021. The considered deficits referred to the health status before SARS-CoV-2. The e-RHD-FI was validated against a clinically based FI (c-FI) obtained from a cohort of people hospitalized with COVID-19 and in-hospital mortality was evaluated. e-RHD-FI performance was evaluated to predict 30-day mortality, hospitalization, and 60-day COVID-19 WHO clinical progression scale, in Regional Health System beneficiaries with SARS-CoV-2.

Results

We calculated the e-RHD-FI in 689,197 adults (51.9% females, median age 52 years). On the clinical cohort, e-RHD-FI correlated with c-FI and was significantly associated with in-hospital mortality. In a multivariable Cox model, adjusted for confounders, each 0.1-point increment of e-RHD-FI was associated with increased 30-day mortality (Hazard Ratio, HR 1.45, 99% Confidence Intervals, CI: 1.42-1.47), 30-day hospitalization (HR per 0.1-point increment = 1.47, 99%CI: 1.46-1.49), and WHO clinical progression scale (Odds Ratio = 1.84 of deteriorating by one category, 99%CI 1.80-1.87).

Conclusion

The e-RHD-FI can predict 30-day mortality, 30-day hospitalization, and WHO clinical progression scale in a large population of community-dwellers with SARS-CoV-2 test positivity. Our findings support the need to assess frailty with e-RHD.

The EGR3 regulome of infant KMT2A-r acute lymphoblastic leukemia identifies differential expression of B-lineage genes predictive for outcome

KMT2A-rearranged acute lymphoblastic infant leukemia (KMT2A-r iALL) is associated with outsize risk of relapse and relapse mortality. We previously reported strong upregulation of the immediate early gene EGR3 in KMT2A::AFF1 iALL at relapse; now we provide analyses of the EGR3 regulome, which we assessed through binding and expression target analysis of an EGR3-overexpressing t(4;11) cell culture model. Our data identify EGR3 as a regulator of early B-lineage commitment. Principal component analysis of 50 KMT2A-r iALL patients at diagnosis and 18 at relapse provided strictly dichotomous separation of patients based on the expression of four B-lineage genes. Absence of B-lineage gene expression translates to more than two-fold poorer long-term event-free survival. In conclusion, our study presents four B-lineage genes with prognostic significance, suitable for gene expression-based risk stratification of KMT2A-r iALL patients.

Negative prognostic impact of electrolyte disorders in patients hospitalized for Covid-19 in a large multicenter study

BACKGROUND

The prognostic impact of electrolyte disorders in hospitalized COVID-19 patients is unclear.

METHODS

The study included all adult patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in four hospitals in Northern Italy between January 2020 and May 2021 with at least one serum potassium and sodium measurement performed within 3 days since admission. Primary outcome was in-hospital death; secondary outcome was Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission. A cause-specific Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used for investigating the association between potassium and sodium (as either categorical or continuous variables) and mortality or admission to ICU.

RESULTS

Analyses included 3,418 adult hospitalized COVID-19 patients. At multivariable analysis, both hyperkalemia (Hazard Ratio, [HR] 1.833, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.371-2.450) and sK above the median (K 5.1 vs 4.1 mmol/L: HR 1.523, 95% CI 1.295-1.798), and hypernatremia (HR 2.313, 95%CI 1.772-3.018) and sNa above the median (Na 149 vs 139 mmol/L: HR 1.442, 95% CI 1.234-1.686), were associated with in-hospital death, whereas hypokalemia and hyponatremia were not. Hyponatremia was associated with increased hazard of ICU admission (HR 1.884, 95%CI 1.389-2.556).

CONCLUSIONS

Electrolyte disorders detected at hospital admission may allow early identification of COVID-19 patients at increased risk of adverse outcomes.

Efficacy, pharmacokinetics, and safety in the mouse and primate retina of dual AAV vectors for Usher syndrome type 1B

Gene therapy of Usher syndrome type 1B (USH1B) due to mutations in the large Myosin VIIA (MYO7A) gene is limited by the packaging capacity of adeno-associated viral (AAV) vectors. To overcome this, we have previously developed dual AAV8 vectors which encode human MYO7A (dual AAV8.MYO7A). Here we show that subretinal administration of 1.37E+9 to 1.37E+10 genome copies of a good-manufacturing-practice-like lot of dual AAV8.MYO7A improves the retinal defects of a mouse model of USH1B. The same lot was used in non-human primates at doses 1.6× and 4.3× the highest dose proposed for the clinical trial which was based on mouse efficacy data. Long-lasting alterations in retinal function and morphology were observed following subretinal administration of dual AAV8.MYO7A at the high dose. These findings were modest and improved over time in the low-dose group, as also observed in other studies involving the use of AAV8 in non-human primates and humans. Biodistribution and shedding studies confirmed the presence of vector DNA mainly in the visual pathway. Accordingly, we detected human MYO7A mRNA expression predominantly in the retina. Overall, these studies pave the way for the clinical translation of subretinal administration of dual AAV vectors in USH1B subjects.

The chemerin/CMKLR1 axis regulates intestinal graft-versus-host disease

Gastrointestinal graft-versus-host disease (GvHD) is a major cause of mortality and morbidity following allogeneic bone marrow transplantation (allo-BMT). Chemerin is a chemotactic protein that recruits leukocytes to inflamed tissues by interacting with ChemR23/CMKLR1, a chemotactic receptor expressed by leukocytes, including macrophages. During acute GvHD, chemerin plasma levels were strongly increased in allo-BM-transplanted mice. The role of the chemerin/CMKLR1 axis in GvHD was investigated using Cmklr1-KO mice. WT mice transplanted with an allogeneic graft from Cmklr1-KO donors (t-KO) had worse survival and more severe GvHD. Histological analysis demonstrated that the gastrointestinal tract was the organ mostly affected by GvHD in t-KO mice. The severe colitis of t-KO mice was characterized by massive neutrophil infiltration and tissue damage associated with bacterial translocation and exacerbated inflammation. Similarly, Cmklr1-KO recipient mice showed increased intestinal pathology in both allogeneic transplant and dextran sulfate sodium-induced colitis. Notably, the adoptive transfer of WT monocytes into t-KO mice mitigated GvHD manifestations by decreasing gut inflammation and T cell activation. In patients, higher chemerin serum levels were predictive of GvHD development. Overall, these results suggest that CMKLR1/chemerin may be a protective pathway for the control of intestinal inflammation and tissue damage in GvHD.

A quantitative MRCP-derived score for medium-term outcome prediction in primary sclerosing cholangitis

BACKGROUND

Magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) is the gold standard for diagnosis of patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). The semi-quantitative MRCP-derived Anali scores proposed for risk stratification, have poor-to-moderate inter-reader agreement.

AIMS

To evaluate the prognostic performance of quantitative MRCP metrics in PSC.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study of PSC patients undergoing MRCP. Images were processed using MRCP+ software (Perspectum Ltd, Oxford) that provides quantitative biliary features, semi-automatically extracted by artificial intelligence-driven analysis of MRCP-3D images. The prognostic value of biliary features has been assessed for all hepato-biliary complications.

RESULTS

87 PSC patients have been included in the analysis. Median follow-up from MRCP to event/censoring of 30.9 months (Q1-Q3=13.6-46.6). An adverse outcome occurred in 27 (31.0%) patients. The number of biliary strictures (HR=1.05 per unit, 95%CI 1.02-1.08, p < 0.0001), spleen length (HR=1.16 per cm, 95%CI 1.01-1.34, p = 0.039), adjusted for height, age at MRCP, and time from diagnosis to MRCP predicted higher risk of hepatobiliary complications. These were incorporated into a the quantitative MRCP-derived PSC (qMRCP-PSC) score (C-statistic=0.80). After 3-fold cross-validation, qMRCP-PSC outperformed the Anali score in our cohort (C-statistic of 0.78 vs 0.64) and enabled the discrimination of survival of PSC patients (log-rank p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The qMRCP-PSC score identified patients at higher risk of hepatobiliary complications and outperformed the available radiological scores. It represents a novel quantitative biomarker for disease monitoring and a potential surrogate endpoint for clinical trials.

How should childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia relapses in low-income and middle-income countries be managed: The AHOPCA-ALL study group experience

BACKGROUND

Children with relapsed acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) in low-income and middle-income countries rarely survive. The Pediatric Hematology-Oncology Association of Central America (AHOPCA) developed the AHOPCA-ALL REC 2014 protocol to improve outcomes in resource-constrained settings without access to stem cell transplantation.

METHODS

The AHOPCA-ALL REC 2014 protocol was based on a modified frontline induction phase 1A, a consolidation therapy with six modified R-blocks derived from the ALL-Berlin-Frankfurt-Munster REZ 2002 protocol and intermittent maintenance therapy. Children with B-lineage ALL were eligible after a late medullary relapse, an early or late combined relapse, or any extramedullary relapses. Those with T-lineage ALL were eligible after early and late extramedullary relapses, as were those with both B-lineage and T-lineage relapses occurring at least 3 months after therapy abandonment.

RESULTS

The study population included 190 patients with T-lineage (n = 3) and B-lineage (n = 187) ALL. Of those with B-lineage ALL, 25 patients had a very early extramedullary relapse, 40 had an early relapse (32 extramedullary and 8 combined), and 125 had a late relapse (34 extramedullary, 19 combined, and 72 medullary). The main cause of treatment failure was second relapse (52.1%). The 3-year event-free survival rate (± standard error) was 25.9% ± 3.5%, and the 3-year overall survival rate was 36.7% ± 3.8%. The 3-year event-free survival rate was 47.2% ± 4.7% for late relapses. The most frequently reported toxicity was grade 3 or 4 infection. Mortality during treatment occurred in 17 patients (8.9%), in most cases because of infectious complications.

CONCLUSIONS

Selected children with relapsed ALL in Central America can be cured with second-line regimens even without access to consolidation with stem cell transplantation. Children in low-income and middle-income countries who have lower risk relapses of ALL should be treated with curative intent.

Machine Learning Predictive Model to Guide Treatment Allocation for Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Surgery

Importance

Clear indications on how to select retreatments for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are still lacking.

Objective

To create a machine learning predictive model of survival after HCC recurrence to allocate patients to their best potential treatment.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Real-life data were obtained from an Italian registry of hepatocellular carcinoma between January 2008 and December 2019 after a median (IQR) follow-up of 27 (12-51) months. External validation was made on data derived by another Italian cohort and a Japanese cohort. Patients who experienced a recurrent HCC after a first surgical approach were included. Patients were profiled, and factors predicting survival after recurrence under different treatments that acted also as treatment effect modifiers were assessed. The model was then fitted individually to identify the best potential treatment. Analysis took place between January and April 2021.

Exposures

Patients were enrolled if treated by reoperative hepatectomy or thermoablation, chemoembolization, or sorafenib.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Survival after recurrence was the end point.

Results

A total of 701 patients with recurrent HCC were enrolled (mean [SD] age, 71 [9] years; 151 [21.5%] female). Of those, 293 patients (41.8%) received reoperative hepatectomy or thermoablation, 188 (26.8%) received sorafenib, and 220 (31.4%) received chemoembolization. Treatment, age, cirrhosis, number, size, and lobar localization of the recurrent nodules, extrahepatic spread, and time to recurrence were all treatment effect modifiers and survival after recurrence predictors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the predictive model was 78.5% (95% CI, 71.7%-85.3%) at 5 years after recurrence. According to the model, 611 patients (87.2%) would have benefited from reoperative hepatectomy or thermoablation, 37 (5.2%) from sorafenib, and 53 (7.6%) from chemoembolization in terms of potential survival after recurrence. Compared with patients for which the best potential treatment was reoperative hepatectomy or thermoablation, sorafenib and chemoembolization would be the best potential treatment for older patients (median [IQR] age, 78.5 [75.2-83.4] years, 77.02 [73.89-80.46] years, and 71.59 [64.76-76.06] years for sorafenib, chemoembolization, and reoperative hepatectomy or thermoablation, respectively), with a lower median (IQR) number of multiple recurrent nodules (1.00 [1.00-2.00] for sorafenib, 1.00 [1.00-2.00] for chemoembolization, and 2.00 [1.00-3.00] for reoperative hepatectomy or thermoablation). Extrahepatic recurrence was observed in 43.2% (n = 16) for sorafenib as the best potential treatment vs 14.6% (n = 89) for reoperative hepatectomy or thermoablation as the best potential treatment and 0% for chemoembolization as the best potential treatment. Those profiles were used to constitute a patient-tailored algorithm for the best potential treatment allocation.

Conclusions and Relevance

The herein presented algorithm should help in allocating patients with recurrent HCC to the best potential treatment according to their specific characteristics in a treatment hierarchy fashion.

85 ATRIAL FIBRILLATION INCIDENCE IN SARS-COV-2 INFECTED PATIENTS: PREDICTORS AND RELATIONSHIP WITH IN-HOSPITAL MORTALITY

Background

Among the different CardioVascular (CV) manifestation of the COronaVIrus-related Disease (COVID) particular attention has been paid to arrhythmia and particularly to Atrial fibrillation (AF). The aim of our study was to assess the incidence of AF episodes in patients hospitalized for COVID and to evaluate its predictors and its relationship with in-hospital all-cause mortality.

Methods

We enrolled 3435 cases of SARS-CoV2 infection admitted in four hospitals in Northern Italy. We collected data on clinical history, vital signs, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission, laboratory tests and pharmacological treatment. AF incident and all-cause in-hospital mortality were considered as outcomes.

Results

145 (4.2%) patients develop AF during hospitalization, with a median time of 3 days (IQR: 0, 11.5) from admission. Incident AF patients were older and had lower eGFR, lower platelet and lymphocytes count and higher C-Reactive Protein (CRP), were admitted more frequently to ICU and more frequently died compared to subjects that didn't present AF. At the Cox regression model significant determinants of incident AF were older age (HR 1.070; 95% CI: 1.048, 1.092), history of AF (HR 2.800; 95% CI: 1.465, 5.351), ischemic heart disease (HR 0.324; 95% CI: 0.130, 0.811) and ICU admission (HR 8.030; 95% CI: 4.511, 14.292). Incident AF was a predictor of all-cause mortality (HR 1.679; 95% CI: 1.170, 2.410), together with age (HR 1.053; 95% CI: 1.042, 1.065), dementia (HR 1.553; 95% CI 1.151, 2.095), platelet count (HR 0.997; 95% CI: 0.996, 0.999) higher CRP (HR 1.004; 95% CI: 1.003, 1.005) and eGFR (HR: 0.991; 95% CI: 0.986, 0.996)

Conclusion

AF present as the main arrhythmia in COVID-19 patients and its development during the hospitalization strongly relates with in-hospital mortality.

1070 PROGNOSTIC PERFORMANCE OF CARDIAC MAGNETIC RESONANCE IMAGING MARKERS VERSUS COMPLICATED CLINICAL PRESENTATION AFTER AN ACUTE MYOCARDITIS

Background

Identifying markers associated with adverse events after acute myocarditis (AM) is clinically relevant to plan follow-up. We aimed to compare the prognostic performance of previously described cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMRI) markers: septal late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) localization and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)&lt;50% on baseline CMRI, versus complicated clinical presentation (CCP) of AM (defined as the presence of sustained ventricular arrhythmias or LVEF &lt;50% on the first echocardiogram or fulminant presentation).

Methods

We retrospectively assessed 248 AM patients from 6 hospitals with onset of cardiac symptoms &lt;30 days, increased troponin, and CMRI consistent with myocarditis.

Results

Patients had a median age of 34 years (male prevalence of 87.1%) and a median LVEF of 61% on baseline CMRI. Thirteen patients (5.2%) experienced at least one major cardiac event after a median follow-up of 1708 days. Among these 13 patients, 10 (76.9%) had septal LGE, 8 (61.5%) had LVEF&lt;50%, and 12 (92.3%) had a CCP. The best performance was observed for CCP in terms of sensitivity (0.99), and for LVEF&lt;50% in terms of specificity (0.90). The negative predictive value was at least 0.98 for all markers.

Conclusions

Major cardiac events after an AM are relatively low, and septal LGE, LVEF&lt;50% on CMRI, and CCP are significantly associated with events. The most relevant finding is the high NPV of these markers to identify patients without events after an AM. This observation can help clinicians to monitor the patients after an AM, in fact, patients without these markers had an uneventful follow-up.

Figure

A] Acute Myocarditis with complicated clinical presentation (CCP AM) vs non-complicated clinical presentation (NO CCP AM);

B] FE &gt; 50% vs FE &lt; 50% at basal cardiac MRI;

C] Presence of septal late gadolinium enhancemnet (LGE) vs no septal LGE on basal cardiac MRI.

Minimal residual disease in BCR::ABL1-positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia: different significance in typical ALL and in CML-like disease

Recently, we defined "CML-like" subtype of BCR::ABL1-positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), resembling lymphoid blast crisis of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). Here we retrospectively analyzed prognostic relevance of minimal residual disease (MRD) and other features in 147 children with BCR::ABL1-positive ALL (diagnosed I/2000-IV/2021, treated according to EsPhALL (n = 133) or other (n = 14) protocols), using DNA-based monitoring of BCR::ABL1 genomic breakpoint and clonal immunoglobulin/T-cell receptor gene rearrangements. Although overall prognosis of CML-like (n = 48) and typical ALL (n = 99) was similar (5-year-EFS 60% and 49%, respectively; 5-year-OS 75% and 73%, respectively), typical ALL presented more relapses while CML-like patients more often died in the first remission. Prognostic role of MRD was significant in the typical ALL (p = 0.0005 in multivariate analysis for EFS). In contrast, in CML-like patients MRD was not significant (p values > 0.2) and inapplicable for therapy adjustment. Moreover, in the typical ALL, risk-prediction could be further improved by considering initial hyperleukocytosis. Early distinguishing typical BCR::ABL1-positive ALL and CML-like patients is essential to enable optimal treatment approach in upcoming protocols. For the typical ALL, tyrosine-kinase inhibitors and concurrent chemotherapy with risk-directed intensity should be recommended; in the CML-like disease, no relevant prognostic feature applicable for therapy tailoring was found so far.

Long pentraxin 3 (PTX3) levels predict death, intubation and thrombotic events among hospitalized patients with COVID-19

BACKGROUND

PTX3 is an important mediator of inflammation and innate immunity. We aimed at assessing its prognostic value in a large cohort of patients hospitalized with COVID-19.

METHODS

Levels of PTX3 were measured in 152 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 at San Gerardo Hospital (Monza, Italy) since March 2020. Cox regression was used to identify predictors of time from admission to in-hospital death or mechanical ventilation. Crude incidences of death were compared between patients with PTX3 levels higher or lower than the best cut-off estimated with the Maximally Selected Rank Statistics Method.

RESULTS

Upon admission, 22% of the patients required no oxygen, 46% low-flow oxygen, 30% high-flow nasal cannula or CPAP-helmet and 3% MV. Median level of PTX3 was 21.7 (IQR: 13.5-58.23) ng/ml. In-hospital mortality was 25% (38 deaths); 13 patients (8.6%) underwent MV. PTX3 was associated with risk of death (per 10 ng/ml, HR 1.08; 95%CI 1.04-1.11; P<0.001) and death/MV (HR 1.04; 95%CI 1.01-1.07; P=0.011), independently of other predictors of in-hospital mortality, including age, Charlson Comorbidity Index, D-dimer and C-reactive protein (CRP). Patients with PTX3 levels above the optimal cut-off of 39.32 ng/ml had significantly higher mortality than the others (55% vs 8%, P<0.001). Higher PTX3 plasma levels were found in 14 patients with subsequent thrombotic complications (median [IQR]: 51.4 [24.6-94.4] versus 21 [13.4-55.2]; P=0.049).

CONCLUSIONS

High PTX3 levels in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 are associated with a worse outcome. The evaluation of this marker could be useful in prognostic stratification and identification of patients who could benefit from immunomodulant therapy.

Atrial fibrillation incidence in SARS-CoV-2 infected patients: predictors and relationship with in-hospital mortality

Background

Among the different CardioVascular (CV) manifestation of the COronaVIrus-related Disease (COVID) particular attention has been paid to arrhythmia and particularly to Atrial fibrillation (AF). The aim of our study was to assess the incidence of AF episodes in patients hospitalized for COVID and to evaluate its predictors and its relationship with in-hospital all-cause mortality.

Methods

We enrolled 3435 cases of SARS-CoV2 infection admitted in four hospitals in Northern Italy. We collected data on clinical history, vital signs, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission, laboratory tests and pharmacological treatment. AF incident and all-cause in-hospital mortality were considered as outcomes.

Results

145 (4.2%) patients develop AF during hospitalization, with a median time of 3 days (IQR: 0, 11.5) from admission. Incident AF patients were older and had lower eGFR, lower platelet and lymphocytes count and higher C-Reactive Protein (CRP), were admitted more frequently to ICU and more frequently died compared to subjects that didn't present AF. At the Cox regression model significant determinants of incident AF were older age (HR 1.070; 95% CI: 1.048, 1.092), history of AF (HR 2.800; 95% CI: 1.465, 5.351), ischemic heart disease (HR 0.324; 95% CI: 0.130, 0.811) and ICU admission (HR 8.030; 95% CI: 4.511, 14.292). Incident AF was a predictor of all-cause mortality (HR 1.679; 95% CI: 1.170, 2.410), together with age (HR 1.053; 95% CI: 1.042, 1.065), dementia (HR 1.553; 95% CI 1.151, 2.095), platelet count (HR 0.997; 95% CI: 0.996, 0.999) higher CRP (HR 1.004; 95% CI: 1.003, 1.005) and eGFR (HR: 0.991; 95% CI: 0.986, 0.996)

Conclusion

AF present as the main arrhythmia in COVID-19 patients and its development during the hospitalization strongly relates with in-hospital mortality.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): ASST GOM Niguarda Ca' Granda, Milan, Italy

Acute Myocarditis Associated With Desmosomal Gene Variants

BACKGROUND

The risk of adverse cardiovascular events in patients with acute myocarditis (AM) and desmosomal gene variants (DGV) remains unknown.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to ascertain the risk of death, ventricular arrhythmias, recurrent myocarditis, and heart failure (main endpoint) in patients with AM and pathogenic or likely pathogenetic DGV.

METHODS

In a retrospective international study from 23 hospitals, 97 patients were included: 36 with AM and DGV (DGV[+]), 25 with AM and negative gene testing (DGV[-]), and 36 with AM without genetics testing. All patients had troponin elevation plus findings consistent with AM on histology or at cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR). In 86 patients, CMR changes in function and structure were re-assessed at follow-up.

RESULTS

In the DGV(+) AM group (88.9% DSP variants), median age was 24 years, 91.7% presented with chest pain, and median left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 56% on CMR (P = NS vs the other 2 groups). Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated a higher risk of the main endpoint in DGV(+) AM compared with DGV(-) and without genetics testing patients (62.3% vs 17.5% vs 5.3% at 5 years, respectively; P &lt; 0.0001), driven by myocarditis recurrence and ventricular arrhythmias. At follow-up CMR, a higher number of late gadolinium enhanced segments was found in DGV(+) AM.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with AM and evidence of DGV have a higher incidence of adverse cardiovascular events compared with patients with AM without DGV. Further prospective studies are needed to ascertain if genetic testing might improve risk stratification of patients with AM who are considered at low risk.

Patterns of recurrences in sinonasal cancers undergoing an endoscopic surgery-based treatment: Results of the MUSES* on 940 patients: *MUlti-institutional collaborative Study on Endoscopically treated Sinonasal cancers

OBJECTIVES

The improvements in survival with expansion of the survivors' population, along with evolution of endoscopically-based treatment modalities, have contributed to emphasize the clinical relevance of recurrences in sinonasal cancers. However, at present, literature is scant regarding the pattern of recurrences and the therapeutic strategies available to manage long survivors who experienced single or multiple failures. The aim of the present study was to analyze sinonasal cancers recurrences to provide data regarding rates and patterns of relapse, predictors of failure and prognostic impact of the recurrence.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All patients receiving multimodal treatments including endoscopic surgery between 1995 and 2021 in three European referral centers were included. Statistical analysis of survival was performed through univariable, multivariable and unidirectional multistate models. Survival after recurrence analysis was implemented for patients experiencing at least one recurrence.

RESULTS

The 5- and 10-year recurrence free survival rates were 34.1% and 38.4% for the whole population. With a mean follow-up time of 60 months, a global recurrence rate of 32.9% was observed. The 5- and 10-year survival after recurrence rates were 27.2% and 21.7%, respectively. Incidence and rates of recurrences were significantly associated with histology subtypes.

CONCLUSION

This study provides valuable oncologic outcomes regarding a large homogenous cohort of patients affected by sinonasal malignances treated within a multimodal framework, emphasizing the strong correlation of histologic type with prognosis, as well as with pattern of recurrences.

PAX5 fusion genes are frequent in poor risk childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia and can be targeted with BIBF1120

Background

Methods

Findings

Interpretation

Funding

Development and validation of a predictive model to identify the active phase of labor

Background

The diagnosis of the active phase of labor is a crucial clinical decision, thus requiring an accurate assessment. This study aimed to build and to validate a predictive model, based on maternal signs and symptoms to identify a cervical dilatation ≥4 cm.

Methods

A prospective study was conducted from May to September 2018 in a II Level Maternity Unit (development data), and from May to September 2019 in a I Level Maternity Unit (validation data). Women with singleton, term pregnancy, cephalic presentation and presence of contractions were consecutively enrolled during the initial assessment to diagnose the stage of labor. Women < 18 years old, with language barrier or induction of labor were excluded. A nomogram for the calculation of the predictions of cervical dilatation ≥4 cm on the ground of 11 maternal signs and symptoms was obtained from a multivariate logistic model. The predictive performance of the model was investigated by internal and external validation.

Results

A total of 288 assessments were analyzed. All maternal signs and symptoms showed a significant impact on increasing the probability of cervical dilatation ≥4 cm. In the final logistic model, “Rhythm” (OR 6.26), “Duration” (OR 8.15) of contractions and “Show” (OR 4.29) confirmed their significance while, unexpectedly, “Frequency” of contractions had no impact. The area under the ROC curve in the model of the uterine activity was 0.865 (development data) and 0.927 (validation data), with an increment to 0.905 and 0.956, respectively, when adding maternal signs.

The Brier Score error in the model of the uterine activity was 0.140 (development data) and 0.097 (validation data), with a decrement to 0.121 and 0.092, respectively, when adding maternal signs.

Conclusion

Our predictive model showed a good performance. The introduction of a non-invasive tool might assist midwives in the decision-making process, avoiding interventions and thus offering an evidenced-base care.

Peri-intubation Cardiovascular Collapse in Patients Who Are Critically Ill: Insights from the INTUBE Study

Rationale: Cardiovascular instability/collapse is a common peri-intubation event in patients who are critically ill. Objectives: To identify potentially modifiable variables associated with peri-intubation cardiovascular instability/collapse (i.e., systolic arterial pressure <65 mm Hg [once] or <90 mm Hg for >30 minutes; new/increased vasopressor requirement; fluid bolus >15 ml/kg, or cardiac arrest). Methods: INTUBE (International Observational Study to Understand the Impact and Best Practices of Airway Management In Critically Ill Patients) was a multicenter prospective cohort study of patients who were critically ill and undergoing tracheal intubation in a convenience sample of 197 sites from 29 countries across five continents from October 1, 2018, to July 31, 2019. Measurements and Main Results: A total of 2,760 patients were included in this analysis. Peri-intubation cardiovascular instability/collapse occurred in 1,199 out of 2,760 patients (43.4%). Variables associated with this event were older age (odds ratio [OR], 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.03), higher heart rate (OR, 1.008; 95% CI, 1.004-1.012), lower systolic blood pressure (OR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.98-0.99), lower oxygen saturation as measured by pulse oximetry/Fi_O2 before induction (OR, 0.998; 95% CI, 0.997-0.999), and the use of propofol as an induction agent (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.05-1.57). Patients with peri-intubation cardiovascular instability/collapse were at a higher risk of ICU mortality with an adjusted OR of 2.47 (95% CI, 1.72-3.55), P < 0.001. The inverse probability of treatment weighting method identified the use of propofol as the only factor independently associated with cardiovascular instability/collapse (OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.02-1.49). When administered before induction, vasopressors (OR, 1.33; 95% CI, 0.84-2.11) or fluid boluses (OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.96-1.44) did not reduce the incidence of cardiovascular instability/collapse. Conclusions: Peri-intubation cardiovascular instability/collapse was associated with an increased risk of both ICU and 28-day mortality. The use of propofol for induction was identified as a modifiable intervention significantly associated with cardiovascular instability/collapse.Clinical trial registered with clinicaltrials.gov (NCT03616054).

Detailed stratified GWAS analysis for severe COVID-19 in four European populations

Given the highly variable clinical phenotype of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), a deeper analysis of the host genetic contribution to severe COVID-19 is important to improve our understanding of underlying disease mechanisms. Here, we describe an extended genome-wide association meta-analysis of a well-characterized cohort of 3255 COVID-19 patients with respiratory failure and 12 488 population controls from Italy, Spain, Norway and Germany/Austria, including stratified analyses based on age, sex and disease severity, as well as targeted analyses of chromosome Y haplotypes, the human leukocyte antigen region and the SARS-CoV-2 peptidome. By inversion imputation, we traced a reported association at 17q21.31 to a ~0.9-Mb inversion polymorphism that creates two highly differentiated haplotypes and characterized the potential effects of the inversion in detail. Our data, together with the 5th release of summary statistics from the COVID-19 Host Genetics Initiative including non-Caucasian individuals, also identified a new locus at 19q13.33, including NAPSA, a gene which is expressed primarily in alveolar cells responsible for gas exchange in the lung.

The immune checkpoint ICOSLG is a relapse-predicting biomarker and therapeutic target in infant t(4;11) acute lymphoblastic leukemia

The most frequent genetic aberration leading to infant ALL (iALL) is the chromosomal translocation t(4;11), generating the fusion oncogenes KMT2A:AFF1 and AFF1:KMT2A, respectively. KMT2A-r iALL displays a dismal prognosis through high relapse rates and relapse-associated mortality. Relapse occurs frequently despite ongoing chemotherapy and without the accumulation of secondary mutations. A rational explanation for the observed chemo-resistance and satisfactory treatment options remain to be elucidated. We found that elevated ICOSLG expression level at diagnosis was associated with inferior event free survival (EFS) in a cohort of 43 patients with t(4;-11) iALL and that a cohort of 18 patients with iALL at relapse displayed strongly increased ICOSLG expression. Furthermore, co-culturing t(4;11) ALL cells (ICOSLG^hi) with primary T-cells resulted in the development of T_regs. This was impaired through treatment with a neutralizing ICOSLG antibody. These findings imply ICOSLG (1) as a relapse-predicting biomarker, and (2) as a therapeutic target involved in a potential immune evasion relapse-mechanism of infant t(4;11) ALL.

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Early growth response 3 (EGR3) is a direct transactivator of the immune checkpoint gene ICOSLG

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high ICOSLG expression at diagnosis is predictive for ALL relapse

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EGR3 and ICOSLG expressions are relapse-associated

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expression of ICOSLG on t(4;11) ALL cells leads to the rapid expansion of Tregs

Liver-Directed Adeno-Associated Virus-Mediated Gene Therapy for Mucopolysaccharidosis Type VI

Gene Therapy for Mucopolysaccharidosis Type VIIn this open-label gene therapy study, infusions for MPS type VI occurred without severe adverse events. In the high-dose cohort, serum active arylsulfatase B reached 30% to 100% of normal. A modest urinary GAG increase did not require reintroduction of enzyme replacement therapy. Clinical deterioration was not noted for up to 2 years after therapy.