Predictors of overall survival among Black South African men treated with androgen-deprivation therapy for metastatic prostate cancer

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Background: Men in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are disproportionately affected by prostate cancer (PCa), and many have metastatic disease (mPCA) at presentation. In SSA, androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) is the first-line treatment for mPCa, and often the only available therapy. Treatment failure and death is common. We identified predictors of overall survival (OS) in Black South African (SA) men with mPCa on ADT. Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of prospectively gathered data from men diagnosed with mPCA (3/22/2016 - 10/30/2020) at Chris Hani Baragwanath Hospital in Johannesburg, which was also a study site for the concurrent Men of African Descent and Carcinoma of the Prostate study. We included men with mPCA treated with ADT (received at least 1 dose of luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone agonist and/or had surgical castration), who had ≥1 PSA level drawn ≥12 weeks after ADT start. OS was defined from ADT start to death. PSA progression (PSA-P) definition was adapted from PCWG 3. Cox regression models were used to identify predictors of OS. PSA-P was treated as a time-dependent covariate. Results: Of 200 men with mPCa, we excluded 6 who did not receive ADT and 41 without sufficient data for PSA-P analysis. Of 153 men, 26.8% were <65 years old and 12% had a family history of PCa. Median PSA at diagnosis was 71.5 ng/mL (interquartile range (IQR) 20.7-432.6), median alkaline phosphatase level (ALP) 108 IU/L (79-224) and median hemoglobin (Hb) 13 g/dL (IQR 10-15). Median PSA nadir was 2.8 ng/mL (IQR 0.55-17.93). The rate of PSA-P at 1- and 2-years was 12.1% [95%CI 5.9-17.8] and 37.5% [95%CI 26.1-47.2]. The median follow-up was 2.75 years, and the 3-year OS was 61.9% [95%CI 52.7-72.6]. Cox proportional hazard ratio (HR) models of risk factors for OS are shown in Table 1. PSA-P was a strong predictor of OS. Men with PSA nadir >4ng/mL after ADT start had a HR for death of 3.77 [1.86-7.62]. Men with ALP >150 IU/L and those with Hb <13.5g/dL at diagnosis were also at higher risk for death (HR 3.09 [1.64-5.83] and HR 2.00 [1.28-6.56] respectively). Conclusions: Among Black men in SA treated with ADT for mPCA, PSA-P strongly predicts OS. In this cohort, high ALP and anemia at diagnosis, and PSA nadir >4ng/mL after ADT start are associated with higher risk for death. These factors can be used identify high risk men with mPCA, for whom early treatment escalation to chemotherapy should be considered. [Table: see text]

Cost-effectiveness of adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with high-risk stage II and stage III colon cancer in South Africa

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Background: Colon cancer (CC) incidence is rising globally, and case fatality rates are greatest in low-income settings, such as South Africa (SA). Adjuvant chemotherapy is standard of care for high-risk stage II and stage III CC in the US. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of adjuvant chemotherapy for CC in SA public hospitals. Methods: We developed a decision-analytic Markov model comparing lifetime costs and outcomes for 60-year-old high-risk stage II and stage III CC patients treated in a SA public hospital with no adjuvant chemotherapy, versus: capecitabine and oxaliplatin (CAPOX) for 3 or 6 months or capecitabine for 6 months. High-risk stage II was defined as ≥1 of: T4 disease; poorly differentiated tumor; lymphovascular/perineural invasion; <12 lymph nodes dissected, bowel obstruction/perforation. Transition probabilities were derived from clinical trials estimating toxicity, disease recurrence, and survival. Costs from a SA societal perspective and utility estimates were obtained from literature and local expert opinion. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) in international dollars (I$) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted, with a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold equal to 2021 GDP/capita of SA (I$13,764). Results: CAPOX for 3 months was the cost-effective strategy for stage III CC at a lifetime cost of I$5,284 and 5.55 DALYs averted, compared to no adjuvant treatment. All other strategies were absolutely dominated. For high-risk stage II CC, CAPOX for 3 months was the cost-effective strategy (ICER = I$711/DALY averted). No adjuvant chemotherapy was on the efficiency frontier, with a lower lifetime cost, but no DALYs averted. The results of one-way deterministic sensitivity analyses showed that the model is most sensitive to CC recurrence rate. In a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, CAPOX for 3 months was optimal in 88% of iterations for high-risk stage II CC and 79% of iterations for stage III CC. Conclusions: CAPOX for 3 months is the cost-effective adjuvant treatment for high-risk stage II and stage III CC in SA public hospitals. This strategy offers the highest quality of life benefit for the lowest cost and is well within the WTP threshold for SA. The optimal strategy in other settings will vary according to local WTP thresholds. Base case estimates of cost-effectiveness, in order of cost. [Table: see text]

Prevalence of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance in black South African men

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Background: Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) is the precursor to multiple myeloma (MM). MM disproportionately affects black individuals, but the cumulative risk of progression from MGUS to malignancy does not differ by race. Hence, the racial disparities in MM incidence appear to arise from differences in the occurrence of MGUS. Nonetheless, MGUS has been studied mainly in white populations; the study that first described the natural history of MGUS was conducted by Kyle, et al. (2006) in 97.3% white Olmsted County, Minnesota. Methods: We determined the prevalence of MGUS among black South African men >30 years of age at the Chris Hani Baragwanath Academic Hospital in Johannesburg. We conducted serum protein electrophoresis (SPEP) and free light chain (FLC) quantification and used the same criteria for MGUS as the Olmsted County studies: a monoclonal protein on SPEP or an abnormal FLC-ratio plus elevation in the appropriate FLC. We also investigated the association between MGUS and various clinical and behavioral factors. Results: The prevalence of MGUS in our cohort (n=386) was 8.03% (95%CI 5.32-10.74), nearly 1.6-fold higher than in Olmsted County males. In a univariable logistic regression model, MGUS was associated with HIV status (odds ratio (OR) 2.39, 95%CI 0.95-5.51), but in the adjusted model that also included body mass index (BMI) and cigarette use, the magnitude of the association decreased to an OR of 2.17 and was not statistically significant. MGUS was associated with current (vs. never) cigarette smoking in both univariable (OR 5.2, 95%CI 1.53-24.0) and multivariable (OR 4.11, 95%CI 1.08-20.4) models. Conclusions: Not only did we find the prevalence of MGUS in black South African men to be substantially higher than in white populations, but we also report that MGUS cases are associated with potentially modifiable risk factors. Building on this pilot study, a larger study is currently underway powered to confirm the relationship between MGUS and HIV, as well as between MGUS and cigarette smoking, in a black African population inclusive of both genders. Future studies designed to evaluate genetic and matched-environmental contributions may elucidate racial disparities and facilitate the development of strategies to prevent plasma cell malignancies.[Table: see text]

Pathologic characteristics, patterns of care, and outcomes of Asian-Americans and Pacific islanders with uterine cancer

OBJECTIVES

To compare the patterns of care and outcomes of Asian-Americans/Pacific Islanders (AAPI) to non-Hispanic White (NHW) women with uterine cancer, and examine differences across Asian country of origin.

METHODS

National Cancer Database was used to identify AAPI and NHW women with uterine cancer diagnosed from 2004 to 2017. Marginal multivariable log-linear regression models and Cox proportional-hazards models were developed to estimate differences in quality-of-care and all-cause mortality between AAPI and NHW women and across AAPI ethnic groups.

RESULTS

We identified 13,454 AAPI and 354,693 NHW women. Compared to NHW women, AAPI patients were younger at diagnosis (median age 57 vs. 62 years), had fewer comorbidities, more often had serous or sarcoma histologic subtypes and stage III/IV cancer. AAPI women had a slightly higher rate of receiving pelvic lymphadenectomy for deeply invasive or high-grade tumors (77.6% vs. 74.3%), and a lower rate of undergoing minimally invasive surgery (70.4% vs. 74.8%) for stage I-IIIC tumors. Among patients undergoing hysterectomy, AAPI women had a lower mortality compared with NHW women for cancer stage I/II/III, and a 28% reduction for type I (grade 1 or 2 endometrioid cancers) disease (aHR = 0.72; 95% CI, 0.64-0.81). Among AAPI subgroups, Pacific Islanders had the worst survival across different cancer stage and disease type.

CONCLUSION

AAPI women are diagnosed with uterine cancer at a younger age and have more aggressive histologic subtypes and advanced stage than their White counterparts. They have a similar level of quality-of-care as NHW women, and an improved survival for early stage and type I disease.

The Impact of Breast Cancer Treatment Delays on Survival Among South African Women

BACKGROUND

In high-income settings, delays from breast cancer (BC) diagnosis to initial treatment worsen overall survival (OS). We examined how time to BC treatment initiation (TTI) impacts OS in South Africa (SA).

METHODS

We evaluated women enrolled in the South African BC and HIV Outcomes study between July 1, 2015 and June 30, 2019, selecting women with stages I-III BC who received surgery and chemotherapy. We constructed a linear regression model estimating the impact of sociodemographic and clinical factors on TTI and separate multivariable Cox proportional hazard models by first treatment (surgery and neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC)) assessing the effect of TTI (in 30-day increments) on OS.

RESULTS

Of 1260 women, 45.6% had upfront surgery, 54.4% had NAC, and 19.5% initiated treatment >90 days after BC diagnosis. Compared to the surgery group, more women in the NAC group had stage III BC (34.8% vs 81.5%). Living further away from a hospital and having hormone receptor positive (vs negative) BC was associated with longer TTI (8 additional days per 100 km, P = .003 and 8 additional days, P = .01, respectively), while Ki67 proliferation index >20 and upfront surgery (vs NAC) was associated with shorter TTI (12 and 9 days earlier; P = .0001 and.007, respectively). Treatment initiation also differed among treating hospitals (P < .0001). Additional 30-day treatment delays were associated with worse survival in the surgery group (HR 1.11 [95%CI 1.003-1.22]), but not in the NAC group.

CONCLUSIONS

Delays in BC treatment initiation are common in SA public hospitals and are associated with worse survival among women treated with upfront surgery.

Overall and central obesity and prostate cancer risk in African men

PURPOSE

African men are disproportionately affected by prostate cancer (PCa). Given the increasing prevalence of obesity in Africa, and its association with aggressive PCa in other populations, we examined the relationship of overall and central obesity with risks of total and aggressive PCa among African men.

METHODS

Between 2016 and 2020, we recruited 2,200 PCa cases and 1,985 age-matched controls into a multi-center, hospital-based case-control study in Senegal, Ghana, Nigeria, and South Africa. Participants completed an epidemiologic questionnaire, and anthropometric factors were measured at clinic visit. Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine associations of overall and central obesity with PCa risk, measured by body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), respectively.

RESULTS

Among controls 16.4% were obese (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2), 26% and 90% had WC > 97 cm and WHR > 0.9, respectively. Cases with aggressive PCa had lower BMI/obesity in comparison to both controls and cases with less aggressive PCa, suggesting weight loss related to cancer. Overall obesity (odds ratio: OR = 1.38, 95% CI 0.99-1.93), and central obesity (WC > 97 cm: OR = 1.60, 95% CI 1.10-2.33; and WHtR > 0.59: OR = 1.68, 95% CI 1.24-2.29) were positively associated with D'Amico intermediate-risk PCa, but not with risks of total or high-risk PCa. Associations were more pronounced in West versus South Africa, but these differences were not statistically significant.

DISCUSSION

The high prevalence of overall and central obesity in African men and their association with intermediate-risk PCa represent an emerging public health concern in Africa. Large cohort studies are needed to better clarify the role of obesity and PCa in various African populations.

Dietary Acid Load, Serum Polychlorinated Biphenyl Levels, and Mortality Following Breast Cancer in the Long Island Breast Cancer Study Project

Dietary acid load (DAL) may be associated with all-cause mortality (ACM) and breast cancer-specific mortality (BCM), and these associations may be modified by serum polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) levels. Participants included 519 women diagnosed with first primary in situ or invasive breast cancer in 1996/1997 with available lipid-corrected PCB data. After a median of 17 years, there were 217 deaths (73 BCM). Potential renal acid load (PRAL) and net endogenous acid production (NEAP) scores calculated from a baseline food frequency questionnaire estimated DAL. Cox regression estimated covariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between PRAL and NEAP with mortality. We evaluated effect measure modification by total serum PCB levels (>median vs. ≤median). PRAL quartile 4 versus quartile 1 was associated with an ACM HR of 1.31 (95%CI = 0.90-1.92). In the upper median of PCBs, ACM HRs were 1.43 (95%CI = 0.96-2.11) and 1.40 (95%CI = 0.94-2.07) for PRAL and NEAP upper medians, respectively. In the lower median of PCBs, the upper median of NEAP was inversely associated with BCM (HR = 0.40, 95%CI = 0.19-0.85). DAL may be associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality following breast cancer among women with high total serum PCB levels, but inversely associated with breast cancer mortality among women with low PCB levels.

Modeling the Cost-Effectiveness of Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Stage III Colon Cancer in South African Public Hospitals

PURPOSE

Cancer incidence is rising in low- and middle-income countries, where resource constraints often complicate therapeutic decisions. Here, we perform a cost-effectiveness analysis to identify the optimal adjuvant chemotherapy strategy for patients with stage III colon cancer treated in South African (ZA) public hospitals.

METHODS

A decision-analytic Markov model was developed to compare lifetime costs and outcomes for patients with stage III colon cancer treated with six adjuvant chemotherapy regimens in ZA public hospitals: fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin for 3 and 6 months; capecitabine and oxaliplatin (CAPOX) for 3 and 6 months; capecitabine for 6 months; and fluorouracil/leucovorin for 6 months. Transition probabilities were derived from clinical trials to estimate risks of toxicity, disease recurrence, and survival. Societal costs and utilities were obtained from literature. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio in international dollars (I$) per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) averted, compared with no therapy, at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of I$13,006.56.

RESULTS

CAPOX for 3 months was cost-effective (I$5,381.17 and 5.74 DALYs averted) compared with no adjuvant chemotherapy. Fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin for 6 months was on the efficiency frontier with 5.91 DALYs averted but, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of I$99,021.36/DALY averted, exceeded the WTP threshold.

CONCLUSION

In ZA public hospitals, CAPOX for 3 months is the cost-effective adjuvant treatment for stage III colon cancer. The optimal strategy in other settings may change according to local WTP thresholds. Decision analytic tools can play a vital role in selecting cost-effective cancer therapeutics in resource-constrained settings.

Phthalates and Phenols, Leukocyte Telomere Length, and Breast Cancer Risk and Mortality in the Long Island Breast Cancer Study Project

BACKGROUND

Phthalates and phenols from the environment have been inconsistently associated with breast cancer risk or mortality. Studies on the potential modifying role of leukocyte telomere length (LTL), a biomarker of biological aging, on these associations are lacking.

METHODS

We included 1,268 women from the Long Island Breast Cancer Study Project with available data on phthalate and phenol analytes and LTL measurements. Twenty-two phthalate and phenol analytes were measured in spot urines and LTL was measured in blood. The modifying effect of LTL on the associations of individual analyte with breast cancer risk as well as mortalities was estimated using interaction terms between LTL and urinary concentrations of analyte in logistic regression and Cox regression models, respectively. ORs, HRs, and corresponding 95% confidence intervals for a one-unit (ln μg/g creatinine) increase of urinary phthalate/phenol level were estimated at 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles of LTL.

RESULTS

LTL significantly (P < 0.05) modified associations between 11 of 22 of urinary phthalate/phenols analytes and breast cancer risk. An inverse association between phthalate/phenols analytes and breast cancer risk at shorter LTL and a positive association at longer LTL was generally suggested. No modifying effect was found for LTL on the association between these phthalate/phenols analytes and breast cancer mortalities.

CONCLUSIONS

LTL may modify the associations between phthalate and phenol exposures and breast cancer risk.

IMPACT

This study is the first study that determined the modifying effect of biological aging in the association between environmental chemical exposure and breast cancer risk.

Patient perspectives on treatment decision-making under clinical uncertainty: chemotherapy treatment decisions among stage II colon cancer patients

The decision to use adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) after surgical resection for stage II colon cancer remains an area of clinical uncertainty. Many patients diagnosed with stage II colon cancer receive ACT, despite inconclusive evidence of long-term clinical benefit. This study investigates patient experiences and perceptions of treatment decision-making and shared decision making (SDM) for ACT among patients diagnosed with stage II colon cancer. Stage II colon cancer patients engaged in treatment or follow-up care aged >18 years were recruited from two large NYC health systems. Patients participated in 30-60-min semi-structured interviews. All interviews were transcribed, translated, coded, and analyzed using a thematic analysis approach. We interviewed 31 patients, of which 42% received ACT. Overall, patient perspectives indicate provider inconsistency in communicating ACT harms, benefits, and uncertainties, and poor elicitation of patient preferences and values. Patients reported varying perceptions and understanding of personal risk and clinical benefits of ACT. For many patients, receiving a clear treatment recommendation from the provider limited their participation in the decision-making process, whether it aligned with their decisional support preferences or not. Findings advance understanding of perceived roles and preferences of patients in SDM processes for cancer treatment under heightened clinical uncertainty, and indicate a notable gap in understanding for decisions made using SDM models in the context of clinical uncertainty. Educational and communication strategies and training are needed to support providers in communicating uncertainty, risk, treatment options, and implementing clinical guidelines to support patient awareness and informed decisions.

Racial Disparities in Children, Adolescents, and Young Adults with Hodgkin Lymphoma Enrolled in the New York State Medicaid Program

Background: We examined the impact of race/ethnicity and age on survival in a publicly insured cohort of children and adolescent/young adults (AYA; 15-39 years) with Hodgkin lymphoma, adjusting for chemotherapy using linked Medicaid claims. Materials and Methods: We identified 1231 Medicaid-insured patients <1-39 years diagnosed with classical Hodgkin lymphoma between 2005 and 2015, in the New York State Cancer Registry. Chemotherapy regimens were based on contemporary therapeutic regimens. Cox proportional hazards regression models quantified associations of patient, disease, and treatment variables with overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS), and are presented as hazard ratios (HR) with confidence intervals (95% CIs). Results: At median follow-up of 6.6 years, N = 1108 (90%) patients were alive; 5-year OS was 92% in children <15 years. In multivariable models, Black (vs. White) patients had 1.6-fold increased risk of death (HR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.02-2.46; p = 0.042). Stage III/IV (vs. I/II) was associated with 1.9-fold increased risk of death (HR: 1.86, 95% CI: 1.25-2.78; p = 0.002) and treatment at a non-National Cancer Institute (NCI) affiliate was associated with worse DSS (HR: 2.71, 95% CI: 1.47-4.98; p = 0.001). Conclusions: In this Medicaid-insured cohort of children and AYAs with Hodgkin lymphoma, Black race/ethnicity remained associated with inferior OS in multivariable models adjusted for disease, demographic, and treatment data. Further work is needed to identify dimensions of health care access not mediated by insurance, as findings suggest additional factors are contributing to observed cancer disparities in vulnerable pediatric and AYA populations.

The Impact of HIV on Non-AIDS defining gastrointestinal malignancies: A review

BACKGROUND

Cancer is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality among people living with HIV (PLWH). Although gastrointestinal (GI) cancers are not associated with HIV, their incidence is rising among PLWH, and yet little is known about how HIV affects their presentation, treatment and outcomes.

METHODS

We searched PubMed using "HIV" and "cancer", "esophageal cancer", "gastric cancer", "stomach cancer", "gastroesophageal cancer", "colorectal cancer", "colon cancer", or "rectal cancer". We included studies comparing an HIV-positive group (n ≥ 4) to an HIV-negative group, with respect to clinical presentation, treatment, or mortality of GI cancers.

RESULTS

Of 18 articles that met inclusion criteria, 17 were retrospective, and 13 described patients in the United States. At diagnosis with colorectal, but not pancreatic, gastric, or esophageal cancer, PLWH were younger than patients who were HIV-negative. PLWH did not present with more advanced stage GI cancers than patients who were HIV-negative. Compared to HIV-negative controls, PLWH with colorectal cancer had a higher proportion of right-sided versus left-sided colon cancers and a higher proportion of rectal versus colon cancers. Among patients diagnosed with colorectal or pancreatic cancer, PLWH were less likely to receive cancer treatment than other patients; no studies examined the association of HIV status with treatment for esophageal or gastric cancer. PLWH with GI malignancies had higher all-cause mortality compared to patients who were HIV-negative, but evidence for cancer-specific mortality was limited and mixed.

CONCLUSION

PLWH with GI malignancies were less likely to receive cancer treatment and had higher all-cause mortality than patients who were HIV-negative. Most of the studies focused on colorectal cancer; more studies are needed in pancreatic, gastric and esophageal cancer. Future studies should investigate the effects of HIV on cancer-specific mortality, especially among patients in low- and middle-income countries, including those with high HIV prevalence.

Survival of south african women with breast cancer receiving anti-retroviral therapy for HIV

PURPOSE

Breast cancer outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa is reported to be poor, with an estimated five-year survival of 50% when compared to almost 90% in high-income countries. Although several studies have looked at the effect of HIV in breast cancer survival, the effect of ARTs has not been well elucidated.

METHODS

All females newly diagnosed with invasive breast cancer from May 2015-September 2017 at Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic and Chris Hani Baragwanath Academic Hospital were enrolled. We analysed overall survival and disease-free survival, comparing HIV positive and negative patients. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were generated with p-values calculated using a log-rank test of equality while hazard ratios and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox regression models.

RESULTS

Of 1019 patients enrolled, 22% were HIV positive. The overall survival (95% CI) was 53.5% (50.1-56.7%) with a disease-free survival of 55.8% (52.1-59.3) after 4 years of follow up. HIV infection was associated with worse overall survival (HR (95% CI): 1.50 (1.22-1.85), p < 0.001) and disease-free survival (OR (95% CI):2.63 (1.71-4.03), p < 0.001), especially among those not on ART at the time of breast cancer diagnosis. Advanced stage of the disease and hormone-receptor negative breast cancer subtypes were also associated with poor survival.

CONCLUSION

HIV infection was associated with worse overall and disease-free survival. HIV patients on ARTs had favourable overall and disease-free survival and with ARTs now being made accessible to all the outcome of women with HIV and breast cancer is expected to improve.

The Looming Threat: Cancer in Sub-Saharan Africa

Recent trends in cancer epidemiology in low‐ and middle‐income countries show the need for urgent action. This article focuses on sub‐Saharan Africa, where populations are showing an increased risk for diseases associated with the Western lifestyle, including cancer.

Patient-Reported Outcomes and Long-Term Nonadherence to Aromatase Inhibitors

BACKGROUND

Nonadherence to aromatase inhibitors (AIs) is common and increases risk of breast cancer (BC) recurrence. We analyzed factors associated with nonadherence among patients enrolled in S1105, a randomized trial of text messaging.

METHODS

At enrollment, patients were required to have been on an adjuvant AI for at least 30 days and were asked about financial, medication, and demographic factors. They completed patient-reported outcomes (PROs) representing pain (Brief Pain Inventory), endocrine symptoms (Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Endocrine Symptoms), and beliefs about medications (Treatment Satisfaction Questionnaire for Medicine; Brief Medication Questionnaire). Our primary endpoint was AI nonadherence at 36 months, defined as urine AI metabolite assay of less than 10 ng/mL or no submitted specimen. We evaluated the association between individual baseline characteristics and nonadherence with logistic regression. A composite risk score reflecting the number of statistically significant baseline characteristics was examined.

RESULTS

We analyzed data from 702 patients; median age was 60.9 years. Overall, 35.9% patients were nonadherent at 36 months. Younger patients (younger than age 65 years) were more nonadherent (38.8% vs 28.6%, odds ratio [OR] = 1.51, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.05 to 2.16; P = .02). Fourteen baseline PRO scales were each statistically significantly associated with nonadherence. In a composite risk model categorized into quartile levels, each increase in risk level was associated with a 46.5% increase in the odds of nonadherence (OR = 1.47, 95% CI =1.26 to 1.70; P < .001). The highest-risk patients were more than 3 times more likely to be nonadherent than the lowest-risk patients (OR = 3.14, 95% CI = 1.97 to 5.02; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of multiple baseline PRO-specified risk factors was statistically significantly associated with AI nonadherence. The use of these assessments can help identify patients for targeted interventions to improve adherence.

Breast Cancer Early Detection in Eswatini: Evaluation of a Training Curriculum and Patient Receipt of Recommended Follow-Up Care

[Figure: see text].

Efficacy and cost of high-frequency IGRT in elderly stage III non-small-cell lung cancer patients

Background

High-frequency image-guided radiotherapy (hfIGRT) is ubiquitous but its benefits are unproven. We examined the cost effectiveness of hfIGRT in stage III non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

Methods

We selected stage III NSCLC patients ≥66 years old who received definitive radiation therapy from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End-Results-Medicare database. Patients were stratified by use of hfIGRT using Medicare claims. Predictors for hfIGRT were calculated using a logistic model. The impact of hfIGRT on lung toxicity free survival (LTFS), esophageal toxicity free survival (ETFS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), overall survival (OS), and cost of treatment was calculated using Cox regressions, propensity score matching, and bootstrap methods.

Results

Of the 4,430 patients in our cohort, 963 (22%) received hfIGRT and 3,468 (78%) did not. By 2011, 49% of patients were receiving hfIGRT. Predictors of hfIGRT use included treatment with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) (OR = 7.5, p < 0.01), recent diagnosis (OR = 51 in 2011 versus 2006, p < 0.01), and residence in regions where the Medicare intermediary allowed IMRT (OR = 1.50, p < 0.01). hfIGRT had no impact on LTFS (HR 0.97; 95% CI 0.86–1.09), ETFS (HR 1.05; 95% CI 0.93–1.18), CSS (HR 0.94; 95% CI 0.84–1.04), or OS (HR 0.95; 95% CI 0.87–1.04). Mean radiotherapy and total medical costs six months after diagnosis were $17,330 versus $15,024 (p < 0.01) and $71,569 versus $69,693 (p = 0.49), respectively.

Conclusion

hfIGRT did not affect clinical outcomes in elderly patients with stage III NSCLC but did increase radiation cost. hfIGRT deserves further scrutiny through a randomized controlled trial.

One-stop-shop for cancer screening: A model for the future

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Background: Cancer is the second leading cause of death globally. Early detection will often greatly reduce mortality for many cancers, increase treatment effectiveness, and improve the quality of life for cancer patients, and, by implementing evidence-based prevention strategies, 30–50% of cancers can be prevented. Screening for different cancer types separately is inefficient. A solution is the Integrated Cancer Prevention Center (ICPC), a program with specialists in each discipline who test for multiple cancers during one visit. Methods: This is a prospective cohort study of 17,104 self-referred, asymptomatic patients who visited the Integrative Cancer Prevention Center (ICPC) between January 1, 2006, and December 31, 2019. Clinical, laboratory, and epidemiological data were recorded by multiple specialists. Patients were given follow-up recommendations and diagnoses when appropriate. The primary measure was the detection and staging of new malignant lesions. Secondary measures included cost-benefit and mortality benefit. Results: We screened 8618 men and 8486 women with an average age of 47.11 ± 11.71 years. Of 259 cancers detected through the ICPC, 49 (18.9%) were stage 0, 115 (44.4%) were stage I, 31 (12%) were stage II, 25 (9.7%) were stage III, and 32 (12.4%) were stage IV. Seventeen cancers were missed, only six of which were within the scope of the ICPC, and 189 cancers developed > one year after the last visit to the ICPC. Compared to the stage of detection for cancers in the US, all cancers except for colon were detected at an earlier stage at the ICPC. Lung was the most significant with 86.7% of cancers detected at stage 0, I, or II at the ICPC compared to only 49.3% caught at those stages in the US. Conclusions: This is a proof of concept for a one-stop-shop approach to asymptomatic cancer screening in a multidisciplinary outpatient clinic. It offers evidence that this screening framework can and should be replicated in other healthcare settings and on a national policy level as it saves lives and money. The encouraging results presented here should further the conversation about the utility of screening and add momentum to the movement for increased screening.[Table: see text]

Inequity in location and quality of death of advanced cancer patients by immigrant status

12036

Background: Most cancer patients prefer to die at home, a location associated with better quality of death (QoD) and caregiver outcomes. A number of studies demonstrate disparities in end-of-life (EoL) care among immigrant vs non-immigrant populations in the U.S. This study aims to evaluate how immigrant status affects location and QoD among patients with advanced cancer in the U.S. Methods: Data were derived from Coping with Cancer, a federally funded multi-site prospective study of advanced cancer patients and caregivers. The analytic sample of patients who died during the study observation period was weighted (Nw=308) to reduce statistically significant sociodemographic differences between immigrant (Nw=49) and non-immigrant (Nw=259) groups. Immigrant status was determined by patient self-report. Primary outcomes were location of death (intensive care unit, hospital, nursing home, inpatient hospice, home), death at preferred location (yes/no, as per caregiver report in post-mortem interview), and poor QoD (composite score of post-mortem caregiver ratings for patient psychological distress, physical distress, and quality of life in the last week of life). Results: As compared to non-immigrants, immigrants were more likely to die in a hospital as opposed to home [AOR 3.33; 95% CI (1.65-6.71); p=0.001] and less likely to die where they preferred [AOR 0.42, 95% CI (0.20-0.90); p=0.026]. As shown in Table, values-inconsistent aggressive EoL care mediated the effect of immigrant status on death at the patient s preferred location. Further, immigrants were more likely to have poor QoD [AOR 5.47; 95% CI (2.70-11.08); p<0.001]. In particular, among patients who preferred symptom-directed, comfort EoL care, immigrants as opposed to non-immigrants were more likely to have poor QoD [AOR 9.53, 95%CI (4.05-22.40); p<0.001]. Conclusions: Immigrants, as compared to non-immigrants, are more likely to die in hospital settings, less likely to die at their preferred location, and more likely to have poor QoD. These findings are consistent with previously described inequities in EoL care of immigrants and highlight the importance of determining the potential causes and solutions to ensure immigrants receive values-congruent care.[Table: see text]

Cost-effectiveness of adjuvant chemotherapy for stage III colon cancer in the South African public healthcare setting

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Background: Colon cancer incidence and mortality rates are increasing in low- and middle-income countries, such as South Africa (SA). Adjuvant chemotherapy after curative resection for stage III colon cancer prolongs overall survival, but it is unclear which regimen is most cost-effective in resource-constrained settings, such as the SA public healthcare system. Methods: A decision-analytic Markov model was developed to compare lifetime costs and health outcomes for 60-year-old stage III colon cancer patients treated with six adjuvant chemotherapy regimens in a public hospital in SA: fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) for 3 and 6 months, capecitabine and oxaliplatin (CAPOX) for 3 and 6 months, capecitabine for 6 months, and fluorouracil/leucovorin (5-FU/LV; Mayo regimen) for 6 months. Transition probabilities were derived from clinical trials to estimate risks of toxicity, disease recurrence, and survival. Costs from a SA societal perspective and utility estimates were obtained from literature and local expert opinion. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) in international dollars (I$) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted, with a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of one times the 2020 GDP per capita of SA (I$13,006.57; ZAR89,225). Results: Our model found CAPOX for 3 months to be the most cost-effective strategy, at a lifetime cost below the local WTP threshold (I$5,380.82; ZAR36,912.44) and 5.74 DALYs averted, compared to no chemotherapy. FOLFOX for 6 months was also on the efficiency frontier, with a higher total cost (I$22,747.47; ZAR156,047.64) and 0.18 additional DALYs averted (ICER = I$99,021.35/DALY averted). All other strategies were absolutely dominated. One-way sensitivity analyses found that FOLFOX for 6 months is optimal when the administration cost (i.e.: port and pump) falls to 20% of the base case price. Conclusions: In the SA public healthcare system, CAPOX for 3 months is the most cost-effective adjuvant treatment for stage III colon cancer. FOLFOX for 6 months, with a greater effectiveness, may be cost-effective if the administration cost decreases significantly. The optimal strategy in other settings may vary according to the local WTP threshold.[Table: see text]

The impact of HIV infection on overall survival among women with stage IV breast cancer in South Africa

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Background: Advanced stage at breast cancer (BC) diagnosis is common in sub-Saharan Africa. In public hospitals across South Africa (SA), 10-15% of women present with metastatic BC, compared to <5% in the U.S., and 20% of new BCs are diagnosed in women living with HIV (WLWH). We evaluated the impact of HIV on overall survival (OS) among women with stage IV BC, which is associated with a poor prognosis in SA. Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study of women diagnosed with stage IV BC between February 2, 2015 and September 18, 2019 at six public hospitals in SA. Baseline characteristics were compared by HIV status and multivariate Cox regression models were used to estimate the effect of HIV on OS. Results: Among 550 eligible women, 147 (26.7%) were WLWH. Compared to HIV-negative BC patients, WLWH were younger (median age 45 vs. 60 years, p<0.001), predominantly black (95.9% vs. 77.9%, p<0.001), and more likely to have hormone receptor-negative BC (32.7% vs. 22.6%, p=0.016). HER2 tumor status did not differ by HIV status (25.3% HER2 positive overall), and Ki67 index was not increased among WLWH (57.1% Ki67 > 20 overall). Receipt of systemic anti-cancer therapy did not differ by HIV status (80.9% treated overall) and most women were treated with anthracycline (55.5%). HIV status was not associated with OS (Hazard Ratio (HR)=1.13, 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.89-1.44) (Table). In an exploratory subgroup analysis, WLWH and hormone receptor-negative BC had shorter OS compared to HIV-negative women (1-year OS: 27.1% vs. 48.8%, p=0.003; HR=1.94, 95% CI=1.27-2.94), which was not observed for hormone receptor-positive BC. Results were unchanged when analysis was restricted to black women only. Conclusions: HIV status was not associated with worse OS in women with stage IV BC in SA and cannot account for the poor survival in our cohort. Subgroup analysis revealed that WLWH with hormone receptor-negative BC had worse OS; this differential effect of HIV on BC survival by hormone receptor status is a novel finding that warrants further investigation.[Table: see text]

PAM50- and immunohistochemistry-based subtypes of breast cancer and their relationship with breast cancer mortality in a population-based study

PURPOSE

We evaluated the prognostic ability of immunohistochemistry (IHC)-based vs. PAM50-based subtypes for breast cancer mortality in a population-based study of breast cancer.

METHODS

We included a total of 463 breast cancer cases from the population-based Long Island Breast Cancer Study Project (LIBCSP). IHC-based markers were abstracted from the medical records, while the PAM50-based intrinsic subtypes were assessed from tumor tissues using NanoString nCounter^® Analysis System. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazards ratios (HRs) for breast cancer-specific mortality associated with subtypes.

RESULTS

For IHC-based hormone receptor-positive (HR+) tumors (n = 361), 68.7% were classified as luminal subtypes by PAM50; for HR- tumors (n = 102), 95.1% were classified as non-luminal subtypes. Compared to HR+/HER2- subtype, HR- patients had significantly higher breast cancer mortality (HR-/HER2+: HR = 2.84, 95% CI = 1.58-5.11; triple-negative breast cancer: HR = 2.42, 95% CI = 1.44-4.06). Compared to luminal A, a higher mortality rate was observed for all other PAM50-based subtypes: luminal B (HR = 4.03, 95% CI = 1.97-8.22), HER2-enriched (HR = 6.82, 95% CI = 3.29-14.14) and basal-like (HR = 4.71, 95% CI = 2.24-9.93). Additional subtyping of HR+ patients by PAM50 provided future risk stratification where luminal B patients in this group had significant higher mortality than luminal A patients (HR = 3.93, 95% CI = 1.92-8.03). Similar results were also observed among 291 HR+/HER2- patients, but not among the HR- patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that for HR+ patients, especially HR+/HER2- patients, additional PAM50-based subtyping would provide better prognostic stratification and improve disease management.

Patient Experience of Interpersonal Processes of Care and Subsequent Utilization of Hormone Therapy for Non-Metastatic Breast Cancer

Purpose: We examined the association between patient experience of care and utilization of hormone therapy (HT) in the treatment of non-metastatic hormone-receptor positive (HR+) breast cancer. Methods: Patients newly diagnosed with non-metastatic breast cancer were recruited from 2006 to 2010 for a longitudinal multisite cohort study in New York, NY, Detroit, MI, and Northern California. Of 1,145 patients surveyed, 797 had HR+ tumors eligible for HT and all necessary data. We assessed patient experience 4 to 8 weeks after recruitment using 6 subscales of the Interpersonal Processes of Care (IPC) survey: compassion, discrimination, and hurriedness in communication, as well as concern elicitation, result explanation, and patient-centered decision-making. Subscales ranged from 1 to 5 where higher values indicated better experiences. HT for 5 years is standard care for HR+ breast cancer so utilization was defined as time from diagnosis to HT initiation and time from HT initiation to early discontinuation before 5 years as calculated from follow-up survey responses. We evaluated the relationship between patient experience and utilization using Cox proportional hazard models, controlling for education, income, insurance, marital status, social support, site of care, age at diagnosis, stage, grade, tumor size, Charlson comorbidity index, and chemotherapy. Results: Median age at diagnosis was 59 years (interquartile range 51–66) with the majority diagnosed at clinical stage 1 (54%) and with low or moderate grade disease (78%). Less hurried communication was associated with increased probability of HT initiation (Hazards Ratio (HR) 1.15; 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.03, 1.30; p = 0.018). Conversely, more patient-centered decision-making was associated with increased probability of early discontinuation (HR 1.29; CI, 1.03, 1.63; p = 0.028). All other associations were null. Conclusion: While unhurried communication was associated with initiation of hormone therapy, patient-centered decision-making was associated with early discontinuation. Different aspects of patient experience may have vastly different relationships with patient utilization of health services. Actionable assessments of patient experience may require measurement along multiple dimensions.

Clair CM, Ananth CV, Neugut AI, Hershman DL, Wright JD. Cost of care for the initial management of cervical cancer in women with commercial insurance

BACKGROUND

Women with newly diagnosed cervical cancer are often treated with extensive, multimodal therapies that may include a combination of surgery, radiation, and chemotherapy. Little is known about the cost of treatment or how these costs are passed on to the patients.

OBJECTIVE

The objectives of this study were to examine the cost of care during the first year after a diagnosis of cervical cancer, to estimate the sources of the costs, and to explore the out-of-pocket costs.

STUDY DESIGN

We performed a study of women with commercial insurance who received a new diagnosis of cervical cancer, and whose cases were recorded in the MarketScan database from 2008 to 2016. Patients were categorized based on the primary treatment received being either surgery (hysterectomy with or without adjuvant radiation or chemotherapy) or radiation. The inflation-adjusted medical expenditures for a 12-month period beginning on the date of the first treatment were estimated. The payments were divided into the expenditures of inpatient care, outpatient care (including chemotherapy), and outpatient pharmacy costs. The out-of-pocket costs incurred by the patients in the form of copayments, coinsurance, and deductibles were estimated.

RESULTS

A total of 4495 patients, including 3014 (67%) who underwent surgery and 1481 (33%) who primarily underwent radiotherapy, were identified. The median total expenditure per patient during the first year after the diagnosis was $56,250 (interquartile range, $25,767-$107,532). The median total expenditure for patients with surgery as the primary treatment was $37,222 (interquartile range, $20,957-$75,555). The median total expenditure for patients treated primarily with radiotherapy was $101,266 (interquartile range, $63,155-$160,760). For patients treated primarily with surgery, inpatient services accounted for $15,145 (interquartile range, $0-$26,898), outpatient services accounted for $18,430 (interquartile range, $5354-$48,047), and outpatient pharmacy costs accounted for $628 (interquartile range, $141-$1847). The median cost for those women who did not require adjuvant therapy was $26,164 compared with $89,760 for women treated with adjuvant radiation. The median out-of-pocket costs for the cohort was $2253 (interquartile range, $1137-$3990) or 3.9% of the total costs.

CONCLUSION

The cost of care for women with newly diagnosed cervical cancer is substantial. Overall, patients are responsible for approximately 3.9% of the costs in the form of out-of-pocket expenditures.