Risk of coronary artery disease in adults with congenital heart disease: A comparison with the general population

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery disease (CAD) will increasingly determine outcome in the aging adult congenital heart disease (CHD) population. We aimed to determine sex-specific incidence of CAD in adult CHD patients throughout adulthood, compared to the general population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We followed 11,723 adult CHD patients (median age 33 years; 49% male; 57% mild, 34% moderate, 9% severe CHD) from the Dutch CONCOR registry, and two age-sex-matched persons per patient from the general population for first CAD event in national registers (period 2002-2012). Incidence rates were estimated using smoothed hazard functions. CAD risk during follow-up, stratified by CHD severity, was compared using proportional subdistribution hazards regression. In ACHD patients, 103 CAD events (43 women) occurred over 60,456 person-years. Rates per 1000person-years increased from 0.3(95% confidence interval: 0.1-0.6) at age 20 to 5.8(3.7-8.9) at 70 years in female, and from 0.5(0.3-1.0) to 7.8(5.1-11.8) in male patients. Compared to the general population, relative risk was 12.0(2.5-56.3) in women and 4.6(1.7-12.1) in men aged 20 years. Relative risk declined with age, remaining significant up to age ~65 years in women and ~50 years in men. In patients with mild, moderate and severe CHD, CAD risk was 1.3(0.9-1.9), 1.6(1.0-2.5) and 2.9(1.3-6.9) times increased compared to the general population, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

We found increased CAD risk in adult CHD patients, with greater relative risk at younger age, in women and those with more severe CHD. These results underline the importance of screening for and treatment of CAD risk factors in these patients.

Exome-chip association analysis of intracranial aneurysms

OBJECTIVE

To investigate to what extent low-frequency genetic variants (with minor allele frequencies <5%) affect the risk of intracranial aneurysms (IAs).

METHODS

One thousand fifty-six patients with IA and 2,097 population-based controls from the Netherlands were genotyped with the Illumina HumanExome BeadChip. After quality control (QC) of samples and single nucleotide variants (SNVs), we conducted a single variant analysis using the Fisher exact test. We also performed the variable threshold (VT) test and the sequence kernel association test (SKAT) at different minor allele count (MAC) thresholds of >5 and >0 to test the hypothesis that multiple variants within the same gene are associated with IA risk. Significant results were tested in a replication cohort of 425 patients with IA and 311 controls, and results of the 2 cohorts were combined in a meta-analysis.

RESULTS

After QC, 995 patients with IA and 2,080 controls remained for further analysis. The single variant analysis comprising 46,534 SNVs did not identify significant loci at the genome-wide level. The gene-based tests showed a statistically significant association for fibulin 2 (FBLN2) (best p = 1 × 10^-6 for the VT test, MAC >5). Associations were not statistically significant in the independent but smaller replication cohort (p > 0.57) but became slightly stronger in a meta-analysis of the 2 cohorts (best p = 4.8 × 10^-7 for the SKAT, MAC ≥1).

CONCLUSION

Gene-based tests indicated an association for FBLN2, a gene encoding an extracellular matrix protein implicated in vascular wall remodeling, but independent validation in larger cohorts is warranted. We did not identify any significant associations for single low-frequency genetic variants.

P1819Screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm in patients with cardiovascular disease: yield of screening and AAA related-mortality during follow-up

Background

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a serious and life-threatening disease. Several countries introduced population-based screening programs targeting males ≥65 years old in an attempt to reduce AAA-related deaths. However, declining incidence rates of AAA and doubt about cost-effectiveness of population-based screening raises the question whether targeted screening in patients with already clinical manifest cardiovascular diseases could increase the yield of screening.

Purpose

The aim of this study was to assess prevalence of AAA in patients with clinical manifest cardiovascular disease and to evaluate AAA related mortality rates.

Methods

Data were obtained from 7446 patients (64361 patient-years of follow-up, median follow-up 8.3 years, interquartile ranges 4.6–12.3) with manifest atherosclerotic disease (62% coronary artery disease, 32% cerebrovascular disease, 18% peripheral artery disease) but without a history of AAA enrolled in the UCC-SMART study, an ongoing single-center, prospective cohort study. All patients underwent baseline examination including ultrasonography and presence of AAA was defined as local dilatation of the aorta with an anteroposterior diameter of 3 cm or larger on ultrasonography. Prevalence of AAA and number needed to screen to detect one aortic aneurysm were calculated stratified for sex and age. Finally, AAA related mortality rates were calculated for both the screen positive and negative group stratified for sex.

Results

Prevalence of newly detected AAA was 2.5% in male and 0.6% in female patients with manifest atherosclerotic disease translating to a number needed to screen of respectively 40 and 154 to detect one aortic aneurysm. In men the number needed to screen to detect one aneurysm decreases with age (134 in men between 50–54 years old; 36 in men between 60–64 years old; 22 in men between 70–75 years old), while in women this was less pronounced (124 in women between 50–54 years old; 81 in women between 60–64 years old; 83 in women between 70–75 years old). 80% of newly detected aneurysms in men was of the smallest diameter (3.0–3.9 cm), while 5% was of a diameter ≥5.5cm. All AAA related deaths (n=7) occurred in men. The incidence rate of AAA related mortality was 2.80 per 1000 patient-years in men with AAA after initial screening and 0.09 per 1000 patient-years without AAA after initial screening.

Conclusion

The yield of screening for AAA in male patients with manifest atherosclerotic disease is appreciable and number needed to screen to detect one aneurysm increases with age. If screening for AAA is considered, it should be performed in specific subgroups of older men with cardiovascular disease to improve yield of screening, taken into account other benefits and harms of AAA screening. Our findings, combined with a formal estimation of life years gained and disability adjusted life years gained attributed to screening and subsequent treatment is mandatory before taking definite steps.

Acknowledgement/Funding

University Medical Center Utrecht

Mortality After First Hospital Admission for Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Nationwide Registry Linkage Study

BACKGROUND

The goal of this study was to determine long-term mortality and causes of death in patients after hospitalization for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD).

METHODS

A cohort of patients admitted to the hospital because of IBD for the first time between 1998 and 2010 was identified by linkage of nationwide Dutch registries. Mortality risks and causes of death in Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) patients were compared with a large random sample of individuals from the general population. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

In total, 23,003 patients (56.1% women; mean age, 44.8 years) were hospitalized for IBD. Patients admitted for IBD had a higher risk of death than those from the general population. Adjusted HRs for 5-year all-cause mortality were 2.42 (95% CI, 1.15-5.12) and 1.45 (95% CI, 1.26-1.66) in men and women hospitalized for CD, respectively. Corresponding HRs for UC were 1.59 (95% CI, 1.39-1.83) and 1.13 (95% CI, 0.98-1.31). Mortality among patients after hospitalization for IBD decreased between 1998-2004 and 2005-2010. Patients admitted for UC had a higher risk of all-cause mortality than those admitted for CD. Inflammatory bowel disease patients died more often from (colorectal) cancer and gastrointestinal disease and less often from cardiovascular disease relative to the general population.

CONCLUSIONS

Mortality of patients after hospitalization for IBD has decreased over time. Causes of death in CD and UC patients differ from those in the general population.

Risk for Heart Failure: The Opportunity for Prevention With the American Heart Association's Life's Simple 7

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study is to determine whether combinations of specific Life's Simple 7 (LS7) components are associated with reduced risk for heart failure (HF).

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association recommends the concept of LS7: healthy behaviors that have been shown to reduce cardiovascular disease.

METHODS

A total of 37,803 participants from the EPIC-NL (European Prospective Investigation Into Cancer and Nutrition-Netherlands) cohort were included (mean age: 49.4 ± 11.9 years, 74.7% women). The LS7 score ranged from 0 to 14 and was calculated by assigning 0, 1, or 2 points for smoking, physical activity, body mass index, diet, blood pressure, total cholesterol, and blood glucose. An overall ideal score (11 to 14 points) was present in 23.2% of participants, an intermediate score (9 or 10 points) in 35.3%, and an inadequate score (0 to 8 points) in 41.5%.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up period of 15.2 years (interquartile range: 14.1 to 16.5 years), 690 participants (1.8%) developed HF. In Cox proportional hazards models, ideal and intermediate LS7 scores were associated with reduced risk for HF compared with the inadequate category (hazard ratio: 0.45 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.34 to 0.60] and hazard ratio: 0.53 [95% CI: 0.44 to 0.64], respectively). Our analyses show that combinations with specific LS7 components, notably glucose, body mass index, smoking, and blood pressure, are associated with a lower incidence of HF.

CONCLUSIONS

A healthy lifestyle, as reflected in an ideal LS7 score, was associated with a 55% lower risk for HF compared with an inadequate LS7 score. Preventive strategies that target combinations of specific LS7 components could have a significant impact on decreasing incident HF in the population at large.

Association of Stroke Among Adults Aged 18 to 49 Years With Long-term Mortality

IMPORTANCE

Stroke remains the second leading cause of death worldwide. Approximately 10% to 15% of all strokes occur in young adults. Information on prognosis and mortality specifically in young adults is limited.

OBJECTIVE

To determine short- and long-term mortality risk after stroke in young adults, according to age, sex, and stroke subtype; time trends in mortality; and causes of death.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Registry- and population-based study in the Netherlands of 15 527 patients aged 18 to 49 years with first stroke between 1998 and 2010, and follow-up until January 1, 2017. Patients and outcomes were identified through linkage of the national Hospital Discharge Registry, national Cause of Death Registry, and the Dutch Population Register.

EXPOSURES

First stroke occurring at age 18 to 49 years, documented using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, and International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision, codes for ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, and stroke not otherwise specified.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Primary outcome was all-cause cumulative mortality in 30-day survivors at end of follow-up, stratified by age, sex, and stroke subtype, and compared with all-cause cumulative mortality in the general population.

RESULTS

The study population included 15 527 patients with stroke (median age, 44 years [interquartile range, 38-47 years]; 53.3% women). At end of follow-up, a total of 3540 cumulative deaths had occurred, including 1776 deaths within 30 days after stroke and 1764 deaths (23.2%) during a median duration of follow-up of 9.3 years (interquartile range, 5.9-13.1 years). The 15-year mortality in 30-day survivors was 17.0% (95% CI, 16.2%-17.9%). The standardized mortality rate compared with the general population was 5.1 (95% CI, 4.7-5.4) for ischemic stroke (observed mortality rate 12.0/1000 person-years [95% CI, 11.2-12.9/1000 person-years]; expected rate, 2.4/1000 person-years; excess rate, 9.6/1000 person-years) and the standardized mortality rate for intracerebral hemorrhage was 8.4 (95% CI, 7.4-9.3; observed rate, 18.7/1000 person-years [95% CI, 16.7-21.0/1000 person-years]; expected rate, 2.2/1000 person-years; excess rate, 16.4/1000 person-years).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among young adults aged 18 to 49 years in the Netherlands who were 30-day survivors of first stroke, mortality risk compared with the general population remained elevated up to 15 years later.

Trends in the risk of cardiovascular disease in women with breast cancer in a Dutch nationwide cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate trends in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk following breast cancer using national registry data.

METHODS

A nationwide cohort study was conducted, comprising 163 881 women with in situ (7.6%) or invasive (92.4%) breast cancer and women of the general population, ranging from 3 661 141 in 1996 to 4 566 573 in 2010. CVD mortality rate in women with and without breast cancer and hospitalisation rate after breast cancer were calculated for the years 1996-2010. Age-adjusted CVD and breast cancer mortality within 5 years after breast cancer admission (1997-2010) were compared with 1996 calculated with a Cox proportional hazard analysis.

RESULTS

The absolute 10-year CVD mortality risk following breast cancer decreased from 56 per 1000 women in 1996 to 41 in 2005 (relative reduction=27.8%). In the general population, this decreased from 73 per 1000 women in 1996 to 55 in 2005 (-23.9%). The absolute risk of CVD hospitalisation within 1 year following breast cancer increased from 54 per 1000 women in 1996 to 67 in 2009 (+23.6%), which was largely explained by an increase in hospitalisation for hypertension, pulmonary embolism, rheumatoid heart/valve disease and heart failure. The 5-year CVD mortality risk was 42% lower (HR 0.58, 95% CI=0.48 to 0.70) for women admitted for breast cancer in 2010 compared with 1996.

CONCLUSIONS

CVD mortality risk decreased in women with breast cancer and in women of the general population, with women with breast cancer having a lower risk of CVD mortality. By contrast, there was an increase in hospitalisation for CVD in women with breast cancer.

Relations between air pollution and vascular development in 5-year old children: a cross-sectional study in the Netherlands

BACKGROUND

Air pollution has been shown to promote cardiovascular disease in adults. Possible mechanisms include air pollution induced changes in arterial wall function and structure. Atherosclerotic vascular disease is a lifelong process and childhood exposure may play a critical role. We investigated whether air pollution is related to arterial wall changes in 5-year old children. To this aim, we developed an air pollution exposure methodology including time-weighted activity patterns improving upon epidemiological studies which assess exposure only at residential addresses.

METHODS

The study is part of an existing cohort study in which measurements of carotid artery intima-media thickness, carotid artery distensibility, elastic modulus, diastolic and systolic blood pressure have been obtained. Air pollution assessments were based on annual average concentration maps of Particulate Matter and Nitrogen Oxides at 5 m resolution derived from the European Study of Cohorts for Air Pollution Effects. We defined children's likely primary activities and for each activity we calculated the mean air pollution exposure within the assumed area visited by the child. The exposure was then weighted by the time spent performing each activity to retrieve personal air pollution exposure for each child. Time spent in these activities was based upon a Dutch mobility survey. To assess the relation between the vascular status and air pollution exposure we applied linear regressions in order to adjust for potential confounders.

RESULTS

Carotid artery distensibility was consistently associated with the exposures among the 733 5-years olds. Regression analysis showed that for air pollution exposures carotid artery distensibility decreased per standard deviation. Specifically, for NO2, carotid artery distensibility decreased by - 1.53 mPa- 1 (95% CI: -2.84, - 0.21), for NOx by - 1.35 mPa- 1 (95% CI: -2.67, - 0.04), for PM2.5 by - 1.38 mPa- 1 (95% CI: -2.73, - 0.02), for PM10 by - 1.56 mPa- 1 (95% CI: -2.73, - 0.39), and for PM2.5absorbance by - 1.63 (95% CI: -2.30, - 0.18). No associations were observed for the rest outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study support the view that air pollution exposure may reduce arterial distensibility starting in young children. If the reduced distensibility persists, this may have clinical relevance later in life. The results of this study further stress the importance of reducing environmental pollutant exposures.

Stroke incidence in young adults according to age, subtype, sex, and time trends

OBJECTIVE

To investigate incidence of stroke and its subtypes in young adults, according to sex and age, and to study trends over time.

METHODS

We established a nationwide cohort through linkage of national registries (hospital discharge, cause of death, and population register) with patients aged 18-50 years and those ≥50 years with first-ever ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, or unspecified stroke, using ICD-9/ICD-10 codes between 1998 and 2010 in the Netherlands. Outcomes were yearly incidence of stroke stratified by age, sex, and stroke subtype, its changes over time, and comparison of incidence in patients 18-50 years to patients ≥50 years.

RESULTS

We identified 15,257 patients (53% women; mean age 41.8 years). Incidence increased exponentially with age (R ² = 0.99) and was higher for women than men, most prominently in the youngest patients (18-44 years). The relative proportion of ischemic stroke increased with age (18-24 years: 38.3%; 44-49 years: 56.5%), whereas the relative proportion of intracerebral hemorrhage decreased (18-24 years: 34.0%; 44-49 years: 18.3%). Incidence of any stroke in young adults increased (1998: 14.0/100,000 person-years: 2010: 17.2; +23%; p < 0.001), driven by an increase in those aged over 35 years and ischemic stroke incidence (46%), whereas incidence decreased in those ≥50 years (329.1%-292.2%; -11%; p = 0.009).

CONCLUSIONS

Incidence of any stroke in the young increases with age in patients over 35, is higher in women than men aged 18-44 years, and has increased by 23% in one decade, through an increase in ischemic stroke. Incidence of intracerebral hemorrhage is comparable for women and men and remained stable over time.

High resolution annual average air pollution concentration maps for the Netherlands

Long-term exposure to air pollution is considered a major public health concern and has been related to overall mortality and various diseases such as respiratory and cardiovascular disease. Due to the spatial variability of air pollution concentrations, assessment of individual exposure to air pollution requires spatial datasets at high resolution. Combining detailed air pollution maps with personal mobility and activity patterns allows for an improved exposure assessment. We present high-resolution datasets for the Netherlands providing average ambient air pollution concentration values for the year 2009 for NO₂, NO_x, PM_2.5, PM_{2.5absorbance} and PM_10. The raster datasets on 5×5 m grid cover the entire Netherlands and were calculated using the land use regression models originating from the European Study of Cohorts for Air Pollution Effects (ESCAPE) project. Additional datasets with nationwide and regional measurements were used to evaluate the generated concentration maps. The presented datasets allow for spatial aggregations on different scales, nationwide individual exposure assessment, and the integration of activity patterns in the exposure estimation of individuals.

Determinants of coronary artery disease risk factor management across three world regions

Background

The SUrvey of Risk Factors (SURF) indicated poor control of risk factors in subjects with established coronary heart disease (CHD). The present study aimed to investigate determinants of risk factor management in patients with CHD.

Methods and results

SURF recruited 9987 consecutive patients with CHD from Europe, Asia and the Middle East between 2012 and 2013. Risk factor management was summarised as a Cardiovascular Health Index Score (CHIS) based on six risk factor targets (non-smoker/ex-smoker, body mass index <30, adequate exercise, controlled blood pressure, controlled low-density lipoprotein and controlled glucose). Logistic regression models assessed the associations between determinants (age, sex, family history, cardiac rehabilitation, previous hospital admission and diabetes) and achievement of moderate CHIS (≥3 risk factors controlled). The results are presented as OR with corresponding 95% CI. A moderate CHIS was less likely to be reached by women (OR 0.90, 95% CI 0.69 to 1.00), those aged <55 years old (OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.76) and those with diabetes (OR 0.41, 95% CI 0.37 to 0.46). Attendance in cardiac rehabilitation was associated with better CHIS achievements (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.42 to 1.87). Younger Asian and European patients had poorer risk factor management, whereas for patients from the Middle East age was not significantly associated with risk factor management. The availability and applicability of cardiac rehabilitation varied by region.

Conclusions

Overall, risk factor management was poorer in women, those younger than 55 years old, those with diabetes and those who did not participate in a cardiac rehabilitation. Determinants of cardiovascular risk factor management differed by region.

Sex differences in stroke metrics among Southeast Asian countries: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

BACKGROUND

Sex differences in cardiovascular diseases generally disadvantage women, particularly within developing regions.

AIMS

This study aims to examine sex-related differences in stroke metrics across Southeast Asia in 2015. Furthermore, relative changes between sexes are compared from 1990 to 2015.

METHODS

Data were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study. Incidence and mortality from ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes were explored with the following statistics derived: (1) women-to-men incidence/mortality ratio and (2) relative percentage change in rate.

RESULTS

Women had lower incidence and mortality from stroke compared to men. Notable findings include higher ischemic stroke incidence for women at 30-34 years in high-income countries (women-to-men ratio: 1.3, 95% CI: 0.1, 16.2 in Brunei and 1.3, 95% CI: 0.5, 3.2 in Singapore) and the largest difference between sexes for ischemic stroke mortality in Vietnam and Myanmar across most ages. Within the last 25 years, greater reductions for ischemic stroke metrics were observed among women compared to men. Nevertheless, women below 40 years in some countries showed an increase in ischemic stroke incidence between 0.5% and 11.4%, whereas in men, a decline from -4.2% to -44.2%. Indonesia reported the largest difference between sexes for ischemic stroke mortality; a reduction for women whereas an increase in men. For hemorrhagic stroke, findings were similar: higher incidence among young women in high-income countries and greater reductions for stroke metrics in women than men over the last 25 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Distinct sex-specific differences observed across Southeast Asia should be accounted in future stroke preventive guidelines.

Increased mortality and hospital readmission risk in patients with dementia and a history of cardiovascular disease: Results from a nationwide registry linkage study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the impact of cardiovascular disease (CVD) on mortality and readmission risk in patients with dementia.

METHODS

Prospective hospital-based cohort of 59 194 patients with dementia admitted to hospital or visiting a day-clinic between 2000 and 2010. Patients were divided in those with and without a history of CVD (ie, previous admission for CVD; coronary heart disease, heart failure, stroke, atrial fibrillation, or other CVD). Absolute mortality risks (ARs), median survival times, and hazard ratios (adjusted for age, sex, and comorbidity) were calculated.

RESULTS

Three-year ARs and HRs were higher, and survival times were shorter among patients visiting a day-clinic with a history of CVD than in those without. The differences were less pronounced for inpatients. Readmission risk was further increased in the presence of CVD in both day clinic and inpatients.

CONCLUSION

Clinicians need to be more aware of worse prognosis of the population with CVD and dementia.

Decline in mortality in patients with dementia: Results from a nationwide cohort of 44 258 patients in the Netherlands during 2000 to 2008

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether mortality and readmission risk have changed over the last decade.

METHODS

Prospective hospital-based cohort of 44 258 patients with dementia admitted to hospital or visiting a day clinic between 2000 and 2008. Absolute risks (ARs) of 1- and 3-year mortality and 1-year hospital readmission were quantified and stratified by type of care (day clinic or inpatient care). Cox models were used to compare hazard ratios (HRs), adjusted for age, sex, comorbidity, of death, and readmission across the years using 2000 as the reference group.

RESULTS

One-year mortality declined among men visiting a day clinic (AR in 2008 versus 2000: 13.0%, 29.9%; HR 0.41, 95% CI, 0.30-0.55). Among inpatients, these ARs were 48.7%, 53.0% (HR 0.85, 95% CI, 0.77-0.94). Three-year mortality also declined (AR for men visiting a day clinic: 37.5%, 58.4%, HR 0.53, 95% CI, 0.43-0.64; for inpatients: 74.4%, 78.9%, HR 0.80, 95% CI, 0.73-0.88). Whereas 1-year readmission risk decreased among men visiting a day clinic (AR 44.1%, 65.9%, HR 0.52, 95% CI, 0.43-0.63), the risk increased among inpatients (AR 36.9%, 27.6%, HR 1.48, 95% CI, 1.28-1.72).

CONCLUSION

One- and 3-year mortality remarkably declined. One-year hospital readmission risk increased among inpatients and decreased among patients visiting a day clinic. The results should raise awareness for the increased survival with dementia, as this has direct consequences for patients and (in)formal caregivers, and probably also for health care costs.

Ethnic differences in cardiovascular morbidity and mortality among patients with breast cancer in the Netherlands: a register-based cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is of increasing concern among breast cancer survivors. However, evidence on ethnic differences in CVD among women with breast cancer is sparse. We assessed ethnic differences in cardiovascular morbidity and mortality among patients with breast cancer in the Netherlands.

METHODS

A nationwide register-based cohort study comprising all women with a first admission for breast cancer (n=127 714) between 1996 and 2010 in the Netherlands was conducted. Differences in CVD admission, CVD mortality and overall CVD event, which comprised a CVD admission and/or CVD mortality, between the largest ethnic minority groups (Surinamese, Moroccan, Turkish, Antillean and Indonesian) and the Dutch general population (henceforth, Dutch) were investigated using Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

The incidence of cardiovascular outcomes varied by the ethnic group. The incidence of an overall cardiovascular event was significantly higher for women with breast cancer from Suriname (HR 1.46; 95% CI 1.29 to 1.64) and Turkey (HR 1.25; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.51), compared with Dutch women with breast cancer. In contrast, Indonesian women with breast cancer had a significantly lower risk (HR 0.88; 95% CI 0.81 to 0.96) of a cardiovascular event compared with Dutch women with breast cancer. The risk of a cardiovascular event did not differ between Moroccan and Dutch women with breast cancer, whereas for Antillean women the risk was not significantly higher.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that Surinamese and Turkish women with breast cancer are disadvantaged in terms of cardiovascular outcomes compared with Dutch women with breast cancer. More work is needed to unravel the potential factors contributing to these differences.

Exome-chip meta-analysis identifies novel loci associated with cardiac conduction, including ADAMTS6

BACKGROUND

Genome-wide association studies conducted on QRS duration, an electrocardiographic measurement associated with heart failure and sudden cardiac death, have led to novel biological insights into cardiac function. However, the variants identified fall predominantly in non-coding regions and their underlying mechanisms remain unclear.

RESULTS

Here, we identify putative functional coding variation associated with changes in the QRS interval duration by combining Illumina HumanExome BeadChip genotype data from 77,898 participants of European ancestry and 7695 of African descent in our discovery cohort, followed by replication in 111,874 individuals of European ancestry from the UK Biobank and deCODE cohorts. We identify ten novel loci, seven within coding regions, including ADAMTS6, significantly associated with QRS duration in gene-based analyses. ADAMTS6 encodes a secreted metalloprotease of currently unknown function. In vitro validation analysis shows that the QRS-associated variants lead to impaired ADAMTS6 secretion and loss-of function analysis in mice demonstrates a previously unappreciated role for ADAMTS6 in connexin 43 gap junction expression, which is essential for myocardial conduction.

CONCLUSIONS

Our approach identifies novel coding and non-coding variants underlying ventricular depolarization and provides a possible mechanism for the ADAMTS6-associated conduction changes.

Exploring the role of low-frequency and rare exonic variants in alcohol and tobacco use

BACKGROUND

Alcohol and tobacco use are heritable phenotypes. However, only a small number of common genetic variants have been identified, and common variants account for a modest proportion of the heritability. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the role of low-frequency and rare variants in alcohol and tobacco use.

METHODS

We meta-analyzed ExomeChip association results from eight discovery cohorts and included 12,466 subjects and 7432 smokers in the analysis of alcohol consumption and tobacco use, respectively. The ExomeChip interrogates low-frequency and rare exonic variants, and in addition a small pool of common variants. We investigated top variants in an independent sample in which ICD-9 diagnoses of "alcoholism" (N = 25,508) and "tobacco use disorder" (N = 27,068) had been assessed. In addition to the single variant analysis, we performed gene-based, polygenic risk score (PRS), and pathway analyses.

RESULTS

The meta-analysis did not yield exome-wide significant results. When we jointly analyzed our top results with the independent sample, no low-frequency or rare variants reached significance for alcohol consumption or tobacco use. However, two common variants that were present on the ExomeChip, rs16969968 (p = 2.39 × 10^-7) and rs8034191 (p = 6.31 × 10^-7) located in CHRNA5 and AGPHD1 at 15q25.1, showed evidence for association with tobacco use.

DISCUSSION

Low-frequency and rare exonic variants with large effects do not play a major role in alcohol and tobacco use, nor does the aggregate effect of ExomeChip variants. However, our results confirmed the role of the CHRNA5-CHRNA3-CHRNB4 cluster of nicotinic acetylcholine receptor subunit genes in tobacco use.

Relations between the residential fast-food environment and the individual risk of cardiovascular diseases in The Netherlands: A nationwide follow-up study

Background

The food environment has been hypothesized to influence cardiovascular diseases such as hypertension and coronary heart disease. This study determines the relation between fast-food outlet density (FFD) and the individual risk for cardiovascular disease, among a nationwide Dutch sample.

Methods

After linkage of three national registers, a cohort of 2,472,004 adults (≥35 years), free from cardiovascular disease at January 1st 2009 and living at the same address for ≥15 years was constructed. Participants were followed for one year to determine incidence of cardiovascular disease, including coronary heart disease, stroke and heart failure. Street network-based buffers of 500 m, 1000 m and 3000 m around residential addresses were calculated, while FFD was determined using a retail outlet database. Logistic regression analyses were conducted. Models were stratified by degree of urbanization and adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, marital status, comorbidity, neighbourhood-level income and population density.

Results

In urban areas, fully adjusted models indicated that the incidence of cardiovascular disease and coronary heart disease was significantly higher within 500 m buffers with one or more fast-food outlets as compared with areas with no fast-food outlets. An elevated FFD within 1000 m was associated with an significantly increased incidence of cardiovascular disease and coronary heart disease. Evidence was less pronounced for 3000 m buffers, or for stroke and heart-failure incidence.

Conclusions

Elevated FFD in the urban residential environment (≤1000 m) was related to an increased incidence of cardiovascular heart disease and coronary heart disease. To better understand how FFD is associated with cardiovascular disease, future studies should account for a wider range of lifestyle and environmental confounders than was achieved in this study.

Quality assurance and the need to evaluate interventions and audit programme outcomes

Evidence-based clinical guidelines provide standards for the provision of healthcare. However, these guidelines have been poorly implemented in daily practice. Clinical audit is a quality improvement tool to promote quality of care in daily practice and to improve outcomes through the systematic review of care delivery and implementation of changes. A major priority in the management of subjects with cardiovascular disease (CVD) management is secondary prevention by controlling cardiovascular risk factors and providing appropriate medical treatment. Clinical audits can be applied to monitor modifiable risk factors and evaluate quality improvements of CVD management in daily practice. Existing clinical audits have provided an overview of the burden of risk factors in subjects with CVD and reflect real-world risk factor recording and management. However, consistent and representative data from clinic audits are still insufficient to fully monitor quality improvement of CVD management. Data are lacking in particular from low- and middle-income countries, limiting the evaluation of CVD management quality by clinical audit projects in many settings. To support the development of clinical standards, monitor daily practice performance, and improve quality of care in CVD management at national and international levels, more widespread clinical audits are warranted.

Clustering of risk factors and the risk of incident cardiovascular disease in Asian and Caucasian populations: results from the Asia Pacific Cohort Studies Collaboration

OBJECTIVE

To assess the relationship between risk factor clusters and cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence in Asian and Caucasian populations and to estimate the burden of CVD attributable to each cluster.

SETTING

Asia Pacific Cohort Studies Collaboration.

PARTICIPANTS

Individual participant data from 34 population-based cohorts, involving 314 024 participants without a history of CVD at baseline.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Clusters were 11 possible combinations of four individual risk factors (current smoking, overweight, blood pressure (BP) and total cholesterol). Cox regression models were used to obtain adjusted HRs and 95% CIs for CVD associated with individual risk factors and risk factor clusters. Population-attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 7 years, 6203 CVD events were recorded. The ranking of HRs and PAFs was similar for Australia and New Zealand (ANZ) and Asia; clusters including BP consistently showed the highest HRs and PAFs. The BP-smoking cluster had the highest HR for people with two risk factors: 4.13 (3.56 to 4.80) for Asia and 3.07 (2.23 to 4.23) for ANZ. Corresponding PAFs were 24% and 11%, respectively. For individuals with three risk factors, the BP-smoking-cholesterol cluster had the highest HR (4.67 (3.92 to 5.57) for Asia and 3.49 (2.69 to 4.53) for ANZ). Corresponding PAFs were 13% and 10%.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk factor clusters act similarly on CVD risk in Asian and Caucasian populations. Clusters including elevated BP were associated with the highest excess risk of CVD.

Ethnic Variations in Prognosis of Patients with Dementia: A Prospective Nationwide Registry Linkage Study in The Netherlands

BACKGROUND

Data on dementia prognosis among ethnic minority groups are limited in Europe.

OBJECTIVE

We assessed differences in short-term (1-year) and long-term (3-year) mortality and readmission risk after a first hospitalization or first ever referral to a day clinic for dementia between ethnic minority groups and the ethnic Dutch population in the NetherlandsMethods: Nationwide prospective cohorts of first hospitalized dementia patients (N = 55,827) from January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2010 were constructed. Differences in short-term and long-term mortality and readmission risk following hospitalization or referral to the day clinic between ethnic minority groups (Surinamese, Turkish, Antilleans, Indonesians) and the ethnic Dutch population were investigated using Cox proportional hazard regression models with adjustment for age, sex, and comorbidities.

RESULTS

Age-sex-adjusted short-term and long-term risks of death following a first hospitalization with dementia were comparable between the ethnic minority groups and the ethnic Dutch. Age- and sex-adjusted risk of admission was higher only in Turkish compared with ethnic Dutch (HR 1.57, 95% CI,1.08-2.29). The difference between Turkish and the Dutch attenuated and was no longer statistically significant after further adjustment for comorbidities. There were no ethnic differences in short-term and long-term risk of death, and risk of readmission among day clinic patients.

CONCLUSION

Compared with Dutch patients with a comparable comorbidity rate, ethnic minority patients with dementia did not have a worse prognosis. Given the poor prognosis of dementia, timely and targeted advance care planning is essential, particularly in ethnic minority groups who are mired by cultural barriers and where uptake of advance care planning is known to be low.

Cardiovascular Disease Prevention Policy in Human Immunodeficiency Virus: Recommendations From a Modeling Study

Background

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is expected to contribute a large noncommunicable disease burden among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected people. We quantify the impact of prevention interventions on annual CVD burden and costs among HIV-infected people in the Netherlands.

Methods

We constructed an individual-based model of CVD in HIV-infected people using national ATHENA (AIDS Therapy Evaluation in The Netherlands) cohort data on 8791 patients on combination antiretroviral therapy (cART). The model follows patients as they age, develop CVD (by incorporating a CVD risk equation), and start cardiovascular medication. Four prevention interventions were evaluated: (1) increasing the rate of earlier HIV diagnosis and treatment; (2) avoiding use of cART with increased CVD risk; (3) smoking cessation; and (4) intensified monitoring and drug treatment of hypertension and dyslipidemia, quantifying annual number of averted CVDs and costs.

Results

The model predicts that annual CVD incidence and costs will increase by 55% and 36% between 2015 and 2030. Traditional prevention interventions (ie, smoking cessation and intensified monitoring and treatment of hypertension and dyslipidemia) will avert the largest number of annual CVD cases (13.1% and 20.0%) compared with HIV-related interventions-that is, earlier HIV diagnosis and treatment and avoiding cART with increased CVD risk (0.8% and 3.7%, respectively)-as well as reduce cumulative CVD-related costs. Targeting high-risk patients could avert the majority of events and costs.

Conclusions

Traditional CVD prevention interventions can maximize cardiovascular health and defray future costs, particularly if targeting high-risk patients. Quantifying additional public health benefits, beyond CVD, is likely to provide further evidence for policy development.

Prescription of secondary preventive drugs after ischemic stroke: results from the Malaysian National Stroke Registry

BACKGROUND

Evaluation of secondary stroke prevention in low and middle-income countries remains limited. This study assessed the prescription of secondary preventive drugs among ischemic stroke patients upon hospital discharge in Malaysia and identified factors related to the prescribing decisions.

METHODS

From Malaysian National Stroke Registry, we included patients with non-fatal ischemic stroke. Prescriptions of antiplatelet, anticoagulants, antihypertensive drugs and lipid-lowering drugs were assessed. Multi-level logistic regressions were performed to determine the relation between potential factors and drug prescriptions.

RESULTS

Of 5292 patients, 48% received antihypertensive drugs, 88.9% antiplatelet and 88.7% lipid-lowering drugs upon discharge. Thirty-three percent of patients with an indication for anticoagulants (n = 391) received it. Compared to patients <=50 years, patients above 70 years were less likely to receive antiplatelet (OR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.50-1.03), lipid-lowering drugs (OR: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.45-0.95) and anticoagulants (OR: 0.27, 95% CI: 0.09-0.83). Patients with moderate to severe disability upon discharge had less odds of receiving secondary preventive drugs; an odds ratio of 0.57 (95% CI: 0.45-0.71) for antiplatelet, 0.86 (95% CI: 0.75-0.98) for antihypertensive drugs and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.63-0.97) for lipid-lowering drugs in comparison to those with minor disability. Having prior specific comorbidities and drug prescriptions significantly increased the odds of receiving these drugs. No differences were found between sexes and ethnicities.

CONCLUSIONS

Prescription of antihypertensive drugs and anticoagulants among ischemic stroke patients in Malaysia were suboptimal. Efforts to initiate regular clinical audits to evaluate the uptake and effectiveness of secondary preventive strategies are timely in low and middle-income settings.

Cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in patients with intermittent claudication and critical limb ischaemia

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to evaluate absolute mortality risks and to determine whether changes in mortality risk occurred in patients with intermittent claudication (IC) or critical limb ischaemia (CLI) in the Netherlands between 1998 and 2010.

METHODS

Data for patients treated between 1998 and 2010 were obtained from Dutch nationwide registers: the Hospital Discharge Register, Population Register and Cause of Death Register. The registers were used to obtain information regarding IC and CLI hospitalizations, co-morbidities, demographic factors, and date and cause of death. The cohort was split into two time intervals for comparison: 1998-2004 (period 1) and 2005-2010 (period 2). Thirty-day mortality was excluded to eliminate per-admission complications. One- and 5-year cardiovascular and all-cause mortality rates were compared with those of a representative sample of the general Dutch population (28 494 persons) by Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Some 47 548 patients were included, 34 078 with IC and 13 470 with CLI. In patients with IC, the age-adjusted 5-year mortality risk for cardiovascular disease decreased significantly in period 2 (14·1 per cent) compared with that in period 1 (16·1 per cent) in men only (5-year adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0·76, 95 per cent c.i. 0·69 to 0·83; P < 0·001). In patients with CLI, the cardiovascular mortality risk decreased significantly only in women, with the 5-year risk reducing from 31·2 per cent in period 1 to 29·2 per cent in period 2 (adjusted HR 0·84, 0·74 to 0·94; P = 0·004). Compared with the general population, the mortality risk in patients with IC was increased between 1·70 (1·58 to 1·83) and 3·20 (2·69 to 3·81) times, and in those with CLI the risk was increased between 2·24 (2·09 to 2·40) and 5·19 (4·30 to 6·26) times.

CONCLUSION

The risk of premature death in patients with IC and CLI declined significantly in the Netherlands, in a sex-specific manner, over the period from 1998 to 2010. The absolute risk of cardiovascular mortality remains high in these patients.