Clinical Trajectory and Predictors of Intensive Care Unit Mortality Among Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Patients: A Retrospective Case-Control Study

Background

Despite being the most common liver disease worldwide, the clinical trajectory and inpatient crude mortality rate of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) have not been thoroughly studied.

Methods

We conducted a single-center retrospective case-control study of patients admitted to a general ICU setting between the years 2015 and 2020. Medical records from patients who met the diagnostic criteria for NAFLD, as well as age- and gender-matched control group, were reviewed. The primary endpoint was crude ICU mortality, defined as death within 30 days of ICU admission. The secondary outcomes included presentation with septic shock and severe sepsis, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores, vasopressor requirements, mechanical ventilation need, and admission-to-ICU transfer time.

Results

Two hundred fifty subjects were enrolled and were equally divided into the NAFLD and control groups. NAFLD group subjects had higher overall 30-day ICU mortality (63.9% vs 36.1%, P < 0.05), more frequent presentation with septic shock and severe sepsis (55.2% vs 33.6%, P < 0.05), higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores at presentation (21.3 ± 12.5 vs 16.6 ± 10.5 and 11.36 ± 5.2 vs 8.3 ± 6.2, P < 0.05), higher need for mechanical ventilation (18.4 vs 7.2%, P = 0.05), and vasopressor (15.2% vs 7.2%, P = 0.05) dependency on admission with a shorter admission-to-ICU transfer mean interval (3 vs 6 days, P < 0.05). There were no differences in the need for blood transfusions, steroids, or dialysis between the two groups. Higher fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and NAFLD fibrosis scores were found to be associated with mortality in ICU-admitted NAFLD patients.

Conclusion

NAFLD patients are more likely than non-NAFLD admitted ICU patients to present with severe sepsis and septic shock, have a shorter admission-to-ICU transfer time, and have a higher crude ICU mortality rate.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Management of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is crucial for type 2 diabetes (T2D) remission because they are linked through the common pathophysiology of insulin resistance and lipotoxicity. One in three patients with T2D has nonalcoholic steatohepatitis leading to fibrosis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma. Noninvasive testing with imaging and/or serum biomarkers can assess the risk for advanced liver disease. A liver biopsy is only necessary in select patients where there is diagnostic doubt. Treatments for NAFLD parallel T2D remission strategies focusing on weight loss and managing comorbid conditions through lifestyle modification, antiobesity medications, and/or bariatric surgery, and T2D medications with proven efficacy.

A practical use of noninvasive tests in clinical practice to identify high-risk patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis

BACKGROUND

Patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with type 2 diabetes (T2D) or other components of metabolic syndrome are at high risk for disease progression. We proposed an algorithm to identify high-risk NAFLD patients in clinical practice using noninvasive tests (NITs).

METHODS

Evidence about risk stratification of NAFLD using validated NITs was reviewed by a panel of NASH Experts. Using the most recent evidence regarding the performance of NITs and their application in clinical practice were used to develop an easy-to-use algorithm for risk stratification of NAFLD patients seen in primary care, endocrinology and gastroenterology practices.

RESULTS

The proposed algorithm uses a three-step process to identify NAFLD patients who are potentially at high risk for adverse outcomes. The first step is to use clinical data to identify most patients who are at risk for having potentially progressive NAFLD (e.g. having T2D or multiple components of metabolic syndrome). The second step is to calculate the FIB-4 score as a NIT that can further risk stratifying individuals who are at low risk for progressive liver disease and can be managed by their primary healthcare providers to manage their cardiometabolic comorbidities. The third step is to use second-line NITs (transient elastography or enhanced liver fibrosis tests) to identify those who at high risk for progressive liver disease and should be considered for specially care by providers with NASH expertise.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of this simple clinical algorithm can identify and assist in managing patients with NAFLD at high risk for adverse outcomes.

Two-Step Strategy, FIB-4 Followed by Magnetic Resonance Elastography, for Detecting Advanced Fibrosis in NAFLD

BACKGROUND & AIMS

A two-step strategy combining a serum marker and magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) for detecting advanced fibrosis (stage 3-4) among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has been proposed, but its diagnostic accuracy has not been evaluated. In this multicenter study, we aimed to investigate the diagnostic accuracy of a two-step strategy including Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) followed by MRE.

METHODS

In this multicenter study, 806 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD who underwent contemporaneous MRE were enrolled and randomly assigned to training and validation cohorts. As a first step, patients with FIB-4 <1.3 were defined as test negative regardless of MRE. As a second step, among patients with FIB-4 ≥1.3, MRE <3.6 and ≥3.6 kPa were defined as test negative and positive. The primary outcome was the diagnostic accuracy for advanced fibrosis comparing MRE alone versus the two-step strategy.

RESULTS

Area under the receiver characteristic curves of MRE alone and the two-step strategy were 0.840 and 0.853 in the training cohort (P = .4) and 0.867 and 0.834 in the validation cohort (P = .2), respectively, and the diagnostic accuracy was comparable between the 2 methods. In the entire cohort, negative predictive value (NPV) and positive predictive value (PPV) of MRE for advanced fibrosis were 92.2% and 73.7%, respectively, whereas NPV at the first and second step and PPV at the second step were 90.9%, 84.4%, and 77.0%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The diagnostic accuracy of the two-step strategy was comparable to MRE and could reduce cost by reducing excessive MRE. Therefore, the two-step strategy could be used as a screening method in a large population.

Cross-Sectional and Longitudinal Performance of Non-Invasive Tests of Liver Fibrosis in Patients with Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Background and aims: Non-invasive tests (NITs) are needed in clinical practice to replace histology for the identification of liver fibrosis and prognostication in Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD). Novel collagen-derived fibrogenesis markers including N-terminal type III collagen pro-peptide (PRO-C3) are among the most promising tools in this field. The aim of this study was to assess the diagnostic accuracy of PRO-C3, the derivative ADAPT score, and other NITs for the identification of advanced fibrosis (stages 3-4) and changes over 12 months of follow-up. Methods: In this longitudinal study, 96 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were evaluated at baseline, of which 50 underwent a follow-up visit after 12 months. Clinical-biochemical parameters, liver stiffness (LS) by transient elastography, PRO-C3, and other NITs (ADAPT, FIB-4, NFS, APRI) were collected at baseline and follow-up. Results: LS showed the best accuracy for the identification of advanced fibrosis, with Area under the Receiving Operator Curve (AUROC) 0.82 (0.73-0.89) for a cut-off value of 9.4 kPa. Among the other NITs, the ADAPT score showed the best accuracy, with AUROC 0.80 (0.71-0.88) for a cut-off of 5.02 (Se 62%, Sp 89%, PPV 74%, NPV 83%). The comparison between the AUROC of LS with that of ADAPT was not statistically different (DeLong test p value 0.348). At follow-up, LS was slightly reduced, whilst PRO-C3 displayed a significant increase from baseline median 11.2 ng/mL to 13.9 ng/mL at follow-up (p = 0.017). Accordingly, ADAPT score increased from median 5.3 to 6.1 (p = 0.019). The other NITs did not significantly change over 12 months. Conclusions: The ADAPT score shows the best performance among non-invasive scores for the identification of advanced fibrosis, not different from LS. Collagen-derived biomarker PRO-C3 and the derivative score ADAPT display significant changes over time, and may be useful tools for monitoring the progression of liver disease or assessing responses to treatments.

Low-Cost Predictors for Liver Function and Clinical Outcomes after Sustained Virological Response in Patients with HCV-Related Cirrhosis and Thrombocytopenia

Background and Objectives: To find low-cost markers that can identify the hepatitis C virus cirrhotic patients that are at risk for long-term severe adverse liver effects (ascites, ascites or upper gastrointestinal bleeding, hepatocellular carcinoma), after treatment. There is established evidence for the benefits of treating hepatitis C virus cirrhotic patients, but there is still some need for clarification concerning the real impact on the long-term evolution after achieving sustained virological response; there is no general consensus in the literature about identifying the patients that do not improve post-treatment. Materials and Methods: Our retrospective analysis investigated the long-term (2 years) evolution of 46 patients with cirrhosis with thrombocytopenia, previously infected with VHC, treated and who obtained an SVR after DAA treatment. Results: Despite the overall improvement, 8.7% patients developed hepatocellular carcinoma and 6.5% patients ascites/upper GI bleeding. We found that FIB-4, MELD and AFP changes at 1 year were the most significant predictors for these outcomes. Additionally, a drop in leukocyte count after 1 year seemed to indicate a risk for hepatocellular carcinoma, but this was not consistent. Conclusions: It might be beneficial to intensify the surveillance for post-treatment adverse liver effects for the patients with these marker changes at 1 year.

Who Should Not Be Surveilled for HCC Development after Successful Therapy with DAAS in Advanced Chronic Hepatitis C? Results of a Long-Term Prospective Study

Background and aims: The identification of patients with Hepatitis C Virus (HCV)-positive advanced chronic liver disease (aCLD) successfully treated by Direct Acting Antiviral Agents (DAAs) who really benefit from Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) surveillance programs is still a matter of debate. We performed a long-term prospective cohort study on F3-F4 HCV-positive patients achieving Sustained Virologic Response (SVR) after DAAs treatment in order to identify patients who can safely suspend surveillance. Methods: 1000 patients with HCV-positive aCLD obtaining SVR by DAAs from January 2015 to December 2017 were divided into four groups according to baseline elastographic, ultrasonographic, clinical and biochemical features: (1) Group 1: 324 patients with Liver Stiffness Measurement (LSM) ≥ 9.5 ≤ 14.5 kPa, FIB-4 < 3.25 and APRI < 1.5 (2) Group 2: 133 patients with LSM ≥ 9.5 ≤ 14.5 kPa, FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 and/or APRI ≥ 1.5 (3) Group 3: 158 patients with LSM > 14.5 kPa, FIB-4 < 3.25 and APRI < 1.5 (4) Group 4: 385 patients with LSM > 14.5 kPa, FIB-4 ≥ 3.25 and/or APRI ≥ 1.5. FIB-4 and APRI scores were calculated at baseline and at SVR achievement. Each patient was surveiled twice-yearly by ultrasound for a median follow-up of 48 months. Results: among Group 1 patients, 1/324 (0.3%) developed HCC (0.09/100 patients/year [PY]), compared to 6/133 (4.5%) Group 2 patients (1.22/100 PY, p = 0.0009), 10/158 (6.3%) Group 3 patients (1.68/100 PY, p = 0.0001), 54/385 (14.0%) Group 4 patients (4.01/100 PY, p < 0.0001). HCC incidence was significantly lower in Group 2 compared to Group 3 (p = 0.004) and in Group 3 compared to Group 4 (p = 0.009). HCC risk fell in patients showing a decrease of FIB-4/APRI scores. Conclusions: the risk of HCC occurrence is negligible in about 90% of HCV-positive patients with baseline LSM ≥ 9.5 ≤ 14.5 kPa plus FIB-4 < 3.25 and APRI < 1.5 achieving SVR. Among this particular subset of patients, FIB-4/APRI scores may represent an accurate and inexpensive tool to distinguish patients not needing long-term HCC surveillance.

Risk of Liver Fibrosis Is Associated with More Severe Strokes, Increased Complications with Thrombolysis, and Mortality

The Fibrosis (FIB)-4 index is an established non-invasive test to detect liver fibrosis. Liver fibrosis is postulated to be one of the predictors of the risk of symptomatic Intracranial Haemorrhage (SICH) after intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (IV tPA) therapy, the mainstay of treatment following acute ischemic stroke (AIS). However, SICH is a feared complication of thrombolytic therapy. We aimed to evaluate the association of FIB-4 with outcomes of AIS after IV tPA. Consecutive AIS patients receiving IV tPA from 2006 to 2018 at a single stroke centre were studied in a retrospective cohort study. Multivariable adjusted logistic regression was performed to assess associations of FIB-4 with outcomes. The primary outcome was SICH, and secondary outcomes included functional independence (mRS of 0−2) and mortality measured at 90 days. Among 887 patients (median age: 67 (IQR: 57−77)), 342 had FIB-4 < 1.3 and 161 had FIB-4 > 2.67. A greater proportion of moderate to severe strokes (NIHSS ≥10) occurred in the FIB-4 > 2.67 group (n = 142, 88.8%) compared to the FIB-4 < 1.3 group (n = 208, 61.2%). Amongst the different stroke subtypes, median FIB-4 was highest in cardioembolic stroke (CES) compared to the 3 other non-CES stroke subtypes (1.90 (IQR: 1.41−2.69)). Following IV tPA, having FIB-4 > 2.67 was associated with an increased rate of SICH (adjusted OR: 4.09, 95% CI: 1.04−16.16, p = 0.045) and increased mortality (adjusted OR 3.05, 95% CI: 1.28−7.26, p = 0.012). Advanced liver fibrosis was associated with an increased rate of SICH and increased 90-day mortality after IV tPA. The FIB-4 score may be useful for prognostication after IV tPA.

Comparing Predictability of Non-invasive Tools for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Treated Chronic Hepatitis C Patients

BACKGROUND

Non-invasive tools including liver stiffness measurement (LSM) or FIB-4, assessed before or after direct acting antivirals (DAA), have been suggested to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

AIMS

This study aims to compare predictability of HCC by these methods at different time points, to validate the HCC surveillance suggestion by guidelines, and to propose personalized strategy.

METHODS

Chronic hepatitis C whose LSM and FIB-4 were available at pretherapy and after sustained virological response (SVR) were enrolled. Advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) was defined as pretherapy LSM ≥ 10 kPa or FIB-4 index ≥ 3.25 or ultrasound signs of cirrhosis plus platelet count < 150,000/μL. The predictabilities were compared by area under ROC. The cumulative HCC incidences were calculated by Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

Among 466 ACLD patients, 40 patients developed HCC during a follow-up duration of 26.8 months. Comparable predictive performances for HCC between LSM and FIB-4 at pretherapy and SVR were noted. By guidelines suggestion using pretherapy LSM = 10 kPa (advanced fibrosis) and 13 kPa (cirrhosis) for risk stratification, the annual HCC incidences of those with LSM of < 10, 10-12.9 and ≥ 13 kPa were 1.1, 3.6, and 5.0%, respectively. Combination of baseline LSM < 12 kPa and SVR FIB-4 < 3.7 could further stratify relatively low risk of HCC in ACLD patients of annal incidence of 1.2%.

CONCLUSIONS

ACLD patients who met advanced fibrosis but not cirrhosis by guidelines' cut-offs still posed high risk of HCC. Baseline LSM with SVR FIB-4 can be applied to stratify low, intermediate, and high risk of HCC for personalizing surveillance strategies after SVR.

Prediction model of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis B virus-related compensated cirrhosis receiving antiviral therapy

The feasibility and performance of predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using a combined albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4)-based model remain unclear in patients with compensated cirrhosis and chronic hepatitis B (CHB) receiving long-term nucleos(t)ide analog (NA) therapy. We enrolled 1158 NA-naïve patients with compensated cirrhosis and CHB treated with entecavir or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate. The patients' baseline characteristics, hepatic reserve, and fibrosis indices were analyzed. The combination of ALBI and FIB-4 was used to develop a prediction model of HCC. In this cohort, the cumulative incidence rates of HCC at 3, 5, and 10 years were 8.1%, 13.2%, and 24.1%, respectively. The combination of ALBI and FIB-4, Diabetes mellitus, and Alpha-fetoprotein (AFDA) were independent risk factors for HCC. The combined ALBI and FIB-4-based prediction model (i.e., AFDA) stratified the cumulative risk of HCC into three groups (with risk scores of 0, 1-3, 4-6) among all patients (P < 0.001). AFDA exhibited the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic (0.6812) for predicting HCC, which was higher than those of aMAP (0.6591), mPAGE-B (0.6465), CAMD (0.6379), and THRI (0.6356) and significantly higher than those of PAGE-B (0.6246), AASL-HCC (0.6242), and HCC-RESCUE (0.6242). Patients with a total score of 0 (n = 187, 16.1% of total patients) had the lowest cumulative HCC incidence of 3.4% at 5 years. The combined ALBI and FIB-4-based prediction model can stratify the risk of HCC in patients with compensated cirrhosis and CHB receiving NA therapy.

Screening for Liver Fibrosis in the General Population: Where Do We Stand in 2022?

Approximately 30% of the worldwide population has at least one risk factor for liver disease. Identifying advanced liver disease before the occurrence of complications remains a difficult challenge in clinical practice, where diagnosis comes too late for many patients, at the time of liver decompensation or palliative hepatocellular carcinoma, with poor short-term prognosis. Noninvasive, blood- or elastography-based tests of liver fibrosis (NITs) have been developed for the early diagnosis of advanced liver fibrosis. Recent population-based studies evaluating the screening of liver fibrosis with these NITs have provided important information on at-risk groups that should be targeted. New measures based on the sequential use of NITs help to better organize the referral of at-risk patients to the liver specialist. However, energizing these measures will require increased awareness of both chronic liver diseases and the use of NITs among non-specialists.

FIB-4 Index and Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte-Ratio as Death Predictor in Coronary Artery Disease Patients

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-associated liver fibrosis is likely related to coronary artery disease (CAD) by the mediation of systemic inflammation. This study aimed at evaluating the predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio (NLR) and fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), indices of inflammation and fibrosis, respectively, on CAD mortality. Data from 1460 CAD patients (1151 males, age: 68 ± 10 years, mean ± SD) were retrospectively analyzed. Over a median follow-up of 26 months (interquartile range (IQR) 12−45), 94 deaths were recorded. Kaplan−Meier survival analysis revealed worse outcomes in patients with elevation of one or both biomarkers (FIB-4 > 3.25 or/and NLR > 2.04, log-rank p-value < 0.001). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, the elevation of one biomarker (NLR or FIB-4) still confers a significant independent risk for mortality (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.7, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.1−2.7, p = 0.023), whereas an increase in both biomarkers confers a risk corresponding to HR = 3.5 (95% CI: 1.6−7.8, p = 0.002). Categorization of patients with elevated FIB-4/NLR could provide valuable information for risk stratification and reduction of residual risk in CAD patients.

Diagnostic accuracy of enhanced liver fibrosis test for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis-related fibrosis: Multicenter study

AIM

The enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test is a noninvasive method for diagnosing hepatic fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This multicenter cohort study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of the ELF test and compare it with other noninvasive tests in Japan.

METHODS

We analyzed 371 Japanese patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD. We constructed area under the receiver operator characteristic curves (AUROC) to determine the diagnostic accuracies of the ELF test, the Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi), the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, and combinations of these indices.

RESULTS

In patients with F0/F1/F2/F3/F4 fibrosis, the median values of the ELF test were 8.98/9.56/10.39/10.92/11.41, respectively. The AUROCs of the ELF test for patients with F0 versus F1-4, F0-1 versus F2-4, F0-2 versus F3-4, and F0-3 versus F4 fibrosis were 0.825/0.817/0.802/0.812, respectively. The AUROCs of the ELF test were greater than those of the FIB-4 index and M2BPGi at each fibrosis stage. Respective low and high cut-off values yielded sensitivities and specificities for predicting advanced fibrosis (≥F3) of 91.1% and 50.8%, and 38.5% and 92.8%, respectively. For F3 or F4 fibrosis, the combined values from the ELF test and FIB-4 index showed a sensitivity of 98.5%, and the combined values from the ELF test and M2BPGi assay showed a specificity of 97.5%.

CONCLUSIONS

In Japan, the ELF test predicts NAFLD-related fibrosis from its early stages. The diagnostic ability of the ELF test was not inferior to that of other indices, and the combined values of ELF plus other indices were more accurate.

Association between metabolically healthy obesity and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

The risks of NAFLD and NAFLD with fibrosis progression among metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) individuals are largely unexplored. This cohort study investigated the association between MHO as well as other metabolic syndrome-obesity combined phenotypes and NAFLD and its fibrosis progression.

METHODS

Participants included 31,010 adults from a health check-up cohort free from NAFLD and intermediate or high probability of advanced fibrosis at baseline. Metabolically healthy was defined as not having any component of metabolic syndrome. Obesity was identified by body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC). Participants were cross-classified by metabolic health and obesity at baseline. The outcomes were NAFLD, and NAFLD with fibrosis progression, as assessed by abdominal B-type ultrasound and noninvasive fibrosis score.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 2.2 (interquartile range, 1.2-4.9) years, 7,393 participants developed NAFLD. MHO individuals (HR 5.51, 95% CI 4.98, 6.09 for BMI criteria; HR 6.76, 95% CI 6.04, 7.57 for WC criteria) had a significantly higher risk of NAFLD than those with metabolically healthy normal weight or low WC. The corresponding HRs (95% CIs) for metabolically healthy overweight (defined by BMI) and medium WC were 2.74 (2.49-3.02) and 2.93 (2.65-3.24), respectively. Furthermore, 557 participants developed NAFLD with fibrosis progression. The association between different obesity phenotypes and NAFLD with fibrosis progression also showed a similar pattern.

CONCLUSION

MHO was associated with significantly higher risks of NAFLD and its fibrosis progression, suggesting that regarding NAFLD prevention, MHO individuals might still benefit from lifestyle interventions aimed at body weight and WC maintenance.

Accuracy of FIB-4 to Detect Elevated Liver Stiffness Measurements in Patients with Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Cross-Sectional Study in Referral Centers

The identification of advanced fibrosis by applying noninvasive tests is still a key component of the diagnostic algorithm of NAFLD. The aim of this study is to assess the concordance between the FIB-4 and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) in patients referred to two liver centers for the ultrasound-based diagnosis of NAFLD. Fibrosis 4 Index for Liver Fibrosis (FIB-4) and LSM were assessed in 1338 patients. A total of 428 (32%) had an LSM ≥ 8 kPa, whereas 699 (52%) and 113 (9%) patients had an FIB-4 < 1.3 and >3.25, respectively. Among 699 patients with an FIB-4 < 1.3, 118 (17%) had an LSM ≥ 8 kPa (false-negative FIB-4). This proportion was higher in patients ≥60 years, with diabetes mellitus (DM), arterial hypertension or a body mass index (BMI) ≥ 27 kg/m2. In multiple adjusted models, age ≥ 60 years (odds ratio (OR) = 1.96, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.19−3.23)), DM (OR = 2.59, 95% CI 1.63−4.13), body mass index (BMI) ≥ 27 kg/m2 (OR = 2.17, 95% CI 1.33−3.56) and gamma-glutamyltransferase ≥ 25 UI/L (OR = 2.68, 95% CI 1.49−4.84) were associated with false-negative FIB-4. The proportion of false-negative FIB-4 was 6% in patients with none or one of these risk factors and increased to 16, 31 and 46% among those with two, three and four concomitant risk factors, respectively. FIB-4 is suboptimal to identify patients to refer to liver centers, because about one-fifth may be false negative at FIB-4, having instead an LSM ≥ 8 KPa.

The Association of Fibrosis-4 Index Scores with Severe Liver Outcomes in Primary Care

BACKGROUND

The Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4)non-invasively assesses fibrosis risk in chronic liver disease (CLD), but underdiagnosis limits FIB-4's application in primary care.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association of FIB-4 risk with hazard of severe liver outcomes in primary care patients with and without diagnosed CLD.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study of primary care data from 2007 to 2018.

PARTICIPANTS

Adult patients with qualifying aminotransferase and platelet count results were included and a single FIB-4 score was calculated for each patient using the first of these values. Patients with a CLD diagnosis or outcome prior to their FIB-4 score were excluded.

MEASURES

FIB-4 advanced fibrosis risk categorization (low, indeterminate, and high) was the primary predictor variable. Patients were followed from FIB-4 score to a severe liver outcome, a composite of cirrhosis, liver transplantation, and hepatocellular carcinoma. We analyzed the association of FIB-4 risk categories with hazard risk of a severe liver outcome using stratified Cox regression models, stratifying patients by known CLD.

KEY RESULTS

A total of 20,556 patients were followed for a mean 2,978 days (SD 1,201 days), and 4% of patients experienced a severe liver outcome. Of patients with low-, indeterminate-, and high-risk FIB-4 scores, 2%, 4%, and 20% suffered a severe liver outcome, respectively. In the overall adjusted model, high-risk FIB-4 scores were associated with hazard of severe liver disease (HR 6.64; 95% CI 5.58-7.90). High-risk FIB-4 scores were associated with severe liver outcomes for patients with known NAFLD (HR 7.32; 95% CI 3.44-15.58), other liver disease (HR 11.39; 95% CI 8.53-15.20), and no known CLD (HR 4.05; 95% CI 3.10-5.28).

CONCLUSIONS

High-risk FIB-4 scores were strongly associated with risk of severe liver outcomes in patients with and without known CLD. Comprehensive FIB-4 application in primary care may signal silently advancing liver fibrosis.

Real-world evidence on non-invasive tests and associated cut-offs used to assess fibrosis in routine clinical practice

Background & Aims

Non-invasive tests (NITs) offer a practical solution for advanced fibrosis identification in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Despite increasing implementation, their use is not standardised, which can lead to inconsistent interpretation and risk stratification. We aimed to assess the types of NITs and the corresponding cut-offs used in a range of healthcare settings.

Methods

A survey was distributed to a convenience sample of liver health experts who participated in a global NAFLD consensus statement. Respondents provided information on the NITs used in their clinic with the corresponding cut-offs and those used in established care pathways in their areas.

Results

There were 35 respondents from 24 countries, 89% of whom practised in tertiary level settings. A total of 14 different NITs were used, and each respondent reported using at least one (median = 3). Of the respondents, 80% reported using FIB-4 and liver stiffness by vibration-controlled transient elastography (Fibroscan®), followed by the NAFLD fibrosis score (49%). For FIB-4, 71% of respondents used a low cut-off of <1.3 (range <1.0 to <1.45) and 21% reported using age-specific cut-offs. For Fibroscan®, 21% of respondents used a single liver stiffness cut-off: 8 kPa in 50%, while the rest used 7.2 kPa, 7.8 kPa and 8.7 kPa. Among the 63% of respondents who used lower and upper liver stiffness cut-offs, there were variations in both values (<5 to <10 kPa and >7.5 to >20 kPa, respectively).

Conclusions

The cut-offs used for the same NITs for NAFLD risk stratification vary between clinicians. As cut-offs impact test performance, these findings underscore the heterogeneity in risk-assessment and support the importance of establishing consistent guidelines on the standardised use of NITs in NAFLD management.

Lay summary

Owing to the high prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in the general population it is important to identify those who have more advanced stages of liver fibrosis, so that they can be properly treated. Non-invasive tests (NITs) provide a practical way to assess fibrosis risk in patients. However, we found that the cut-offs used for the same NITs vary between clinicians. As cut-offs impact test performance, these findings highlight the importance of establishing consistent guidelines on the standardised use of NITs to optimise clinical management of NAFLD.

Simple noninvasive tests for liver fibrosis diagnosis in sub-Saharan African adults with chronic viral hepatitis B or C: A cross sectional study in Cameroon

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

This study aimed at measure the correlation between simple less expensive and noninvasive tests for liver fibrosis and Fibrotest among patients with chronic hepatitis B (HBV) or C (HCV) in resource-limited settings.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study conducted at the Centre Pasteur of Cameroon among adults with chronic HBV or HCV infection. The correlation between aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index(APRI), the gamma-glutamyl transferase to platelet ratio (GPR), and Fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4); and Fibrotest was assessed using the Spearman rank test providing the rho (ρ) coefficient of correlation.

RESULTS

Of the 52 patients (mean age: 49 years, males: 51.9%) included, 52% were infected with HBV (n = 27). The APRI, GPR, FIB-4, and Fibrotest median scores (25th-75th percentiles) were: 0.37 (0.25-0.64), 0.34 (0.20-1.45), 1.49 (0.88-3.12), and 0.43 (0.21-0.80), respectively. The correlation with Fibrotest were: APRI (ρ = 0.678, p value < 0.0001), GPR (ρ = 0.621, p value < 0.0001) and FIB-4 (ρ = 0.772, p value < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study found a significant correlation between APRI, GPR and FIB-4; and Fibrotest among patients with chronic HBV or HCV infection in Cameroon. FIB-4 appeared as the diagnosis method with the strongest correlation with Fibrotest.

Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) Index and mortality in COVID-19 patients admitted to the emergency department

Liver damage worsens the prognosis of coronavirus 19 disease (COVID-19). However, the best strategy to stratify mortality risk according to liver damage has not been established. The aim of this study is to test the predictive value of the validated Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) Index and compared it to liver transaminases and to the AST-to-Platelet ratio index (APRI). Multicenter cohort study including 992 consecutive COVID-19 patients admitted to the Emergency Department. FIB-4 > 3.25 and APRI > 0.7 were used to define liver damage. Multivariable Cox regression and ROC curve analysis for mortality were performed. Secondary endpoints were (1) need for high-flow oxygen and (2) mechanical ventilation. 240 (24.2%) patients had a FIB-4 > 3.25. FIB-4 > 3.25 associated with an increased mortality (n = 119, log-rank test p < 0.001 and adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.72 (95% confidence interval [95%CI] 1.14-2.59, p = 0.010). ROC analysis for mortality showed that FIB-4 (AUC 0.734, 95% CI 0.705-0.761) had a higher predictive value than AST (p = 0.0018) and ALT (p < 0.0001). FIB-4 > 3.25 was also superior to APRI > 0.7 (AUC 0.58, 95% CI 0.553-0.615, p = 0.0008). Using an optimized cut-off > 2.76 (AUC 0.689, 95% CI 0.659-0.718, p < 0.0001), FIB-4 was superior to FIB-4 > 3.25 (p = 0.0302), APRI > 0.7 (p < 0.0001), AST > 51 (p = 0.0119) and ALT > 42 (p < 0.0001). FIB-4 was also associated with high-flow oxygen use (n = 255, HR 1.69, 95% CI 1.25-2.28, p = 0.001) and mechanical ventilation (n = 39, HR 2.07, 95% CI 1.03-4.19, p = 0.043). FIB-4 score predicts mortality better than liver transaminases and APRI score. FIB-4 score may be an easy tool to identify COVID-19 patients at worse prognosis in the emergency department.

Serum Fibrosis Tests Guide Prognosis in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease Patients Referred From Primary Care

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is managed predominately in primary care, however, there is uncertainty regarding how to best identify patients for specialist referral. We examined the accuracy of noninvasive tests as screening tools for the prediction of outcomes in MAFLD patients referred from primary care.

METHODS

Patients with MAFLD referred by primary care for specialist review to Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital (cohort 1, n = 626) or tertiary centers within Western Australia (cohort 2, n = 246) were examined. Hepascore, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio, Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score performed at baseline were examined for their accuracy in predicting liver-related death (LRD), decompensation, and hepatocellular carcinoma. Outcomes were collected from hospital records and data linkage.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 5.0 years (range, 0.1-13.0 y) and 3.8 years (range, 0.1-10.0 y) in cohorts 1 and 2, respectively. In both cohorts, Hepascore and FIB-4 had the highest area under the curve for the prediction of LRD (0.90-0.95 and 0.83-0.94, respectively), decompensation (0.86-0.91 and 0.86-0.87, respectively), and hepatocellular carcinoma (0.75-0.90 and 0.67-0.85, respectively). The sensitivity and negative predictive values were high (>90%) for Hepascore (cut-off value, 0.60), FIB-4 (cut-off value, 1.30), and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (cut-off value, -1.455) for all outcomes in cohort 1, and for predicting LRD in cohort 2. Hepascore had the highest specificity, classified the greatest proportion of patients as low risk, and was favored by decision curve analysis as providing the greatest net benefit.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum noninvasive tests accurately stratify risk of liver-related outcomes in MAFLD patients and can be used as a screening tool for patients referred for specialist review by primary care.

Usefulness of fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score and metabolic alterations in the prediction of SARS-CoV-2 severity

Despite vaccination programs, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection remains a public health problem. Identifying key prognostic determinants of severity of the disease may help better focus health resources. The negative prognostic role for metabolic and hepatic alterations is established; however, the interplay among different metabolic comorbidities and their interconnections with the liver have never been explored.The objective of this study is to evaluate the impact of liver alterations in addition to metabolic comorbidities as a predictor of SARS-CoV-2 severity. 382 SARS-CoV-2 patients were enrolled. Severe SARS-CoV-2 was diagnosed according to international consensus. Transaminases > 2 times the upper limit of normality (2ULN), hepatic steatosis (by ultrasound and/or computed tomography in 133 patients), and FIB-4 defined liver alterations. All data were collected on admission. The results are severe SARS-CoV-2 infection in 156 (41%) patients (mean age 65 ± 17; 60%males). Prevalence of obesity was 25%; diabetes, 17%; hypertension, 44%; dyslipidaemia, 29%; with 13% of the cohort with ≥ 3 metabolic alterations. Seventy patients (18%) had transaminases > 2ULN, 82 (62%) steatosis; 199 (54%) had FIB-4 < 1.45 and 45 (12%) > 3.25. At multivariable analysis, ≥ 3 metabolic comorbidities (OR 4.1, CI 95% 1.8-9.1) and transaminases > 2ULN (OR 2.6, CI 95% 1.3-6.7) were independently associated with severe SARS-CoV-2. FIB-4 < 1.45 was a protective factor (OR 0.42, CI 95% 0.23-0.76). Hepatic steatosis had no impact on disease course. The presence of metabolic alterations is associated with severe SARS-CoV-2 infection, and the higher the number of coexisting comorbidities, the higher the risk of severe disease. Normal FIB-4 values are inversely associated with advanced SARS-CoV-2 regardless of metabolic comorbidities, speculating on use of these values to stratify the risk of severe infection.

Evaluation of FIB-4, NFS, APRI and Liver Function Tests as Predictors for SARS-CoV-2 Infection in the Elderly Population: A Matched Case-Control Analysis

Several investigations have revealed that COVID-19 causes a significant death rate due to acute respiratory distress syndrome, alterations in the quantity of ACE2 receptor expression, or the intensity of cytokine storm. Similarly, patients with hepatic impairment that are co-infected with SARS-CoV-2 are more likely to display upregulations of ACE2 receptors and cytokine storm overload, which exacerbates hepatic impairment, potentially increasing the death rate. Moreover, it is expected that the aging population develops a higher degree of hepatic fibrosis in association with other comorbid conditions that are likely to influence the course of COVID-19. Therefore, this research was developed to describe the differences in liver test parameters in elderly individuals with COVID-19 in relation to other inflammatory markers and outcomes. This current observational single-center research followed a case-control design of elderly patients hospitalized for SARS-CoV-2 infection. The research was conducted at a tertiary emergency hospital in western Romania during a two-year period. There were 632 patients included in the analysis that were split into two equal groups matched 1:1 based on gender and body mass index. Three hundred sixteen patients made the group of cases with COVID-19 patients older than 65 years, while the other half were the 316 patient controls with COVID-19 that were younger than 65 years old. Disease outcomes showed a higher prevalence of ICU admissions (22.8% vs. 12.7%, p-value < 0.001) and in-hospital mortality (17.1% vs. 8.9%, p-value = 0.002) in the group of cases. Specific and non-specific liver biomarkers were identified as risk factors for mortality in the elderly, such as ALP (OR = 1.26), LDH (OR = 1.68), AST (OR = 1.98), and ALT (OR = 2.34). Similarly, patients with APRI and NFS scores higher than 1.5 were, respectively, 2.69 times and, 3.05 times more likely to die from COVID-19, and patients with FIB-4 scores higher than 3.25 were 3.13 times more likely to die during hospitalization for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Our research indicates that abnormally increased liver biomarkers and high liver fibrosis scores are related to a worse prognosis in SARS-CoV-2 infected individuals.

Validation of Non-invasive Fibrosis Scores for Predicting Advanced Fibrosis in Metabolic-associated Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a newly proposed terminology from 2020; yet, the applicability of conventional noninvasive fibrosis models is still unknown for it. We aimed to evaluate the performance of conventional noninvasive fibrosis scores in MAFLD.

METHODS

The NHANES 2017-2018 datasets were used to compare the performances of different noninvasive fibrosis scores in MAFLD, including the aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI), body mass index (BMI)-AST/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio and diabetes score (BARD), fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS). Moreover, Asian patients with biopsy-proven MAFLD were enrolled to further validate the findings.

RESULTS

A total of 2,622 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) cohort and 293 patients with MAFLD in the Asian cohort were included. Patients in the Asian cohort had a lower BMI and higher liver enzymes (p<0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of NFS was the largest in the NHANES cohort and Asian cohorts (0.679 and 0.699, respectively). The AUROC of NFS was followed by APRI, FIB-4, and BARD in the NHANES cohort (0.616, 0.601, and 0.589, respectively). In the Asian cohort, the AUROC of APRI, FIB-4, and BARD for predicting advanced fibrosis were 0.625, 0.683, and 0.615, respectively. The performance of FIB-4 was better in the Asian cohort than that in the NHANES cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

NFS is better for predicting advanced fibrosis in MAFLD. FIB-4 can be an alternative choice for MAFLD with high liver enzymes when NFS is unavailable. Novel efficient noninvasive fibrosis scoring systems are highly required for patients with MAFLD.

Liver fibrosis scores and atrial fibrillation incidence in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

AIM

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related advanced liver fibrosis (Stage 3 or 4) was reported to be linked to worse prognosis in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). This study aims to assess the relationship between liver fibrosis scores and new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) incidence in patients with HFpEF in the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) trial.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Baseline liver fibrosis levels, assessed by NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) or Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), with AF incidence were expressed as hazard ratios (HRs) using the Cox proportional hazard model. The risk for advanced fibrosis was estimated to be 21.5% (447/2072) as assessed by FIB-4 (>3.25) and 4.2% (88/2072) as assessed by NFS (>0.676) in HFpEF patients without baseline AF. After a median follow-up of 3.11 years, 106 new-onset AF cases occurred. In multivariate analysis, elevated NFS [NFS = -1.455-0.676: HR 2.44, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.27-4.68; NFS > 0.676: HR 3.36, 95% CI 1.27-6.80; per 1 unit increase: HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.01-1.32], not FIB-4 (FIB-4 = 1.45-3.25: HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.67-1.55; FIB-4 > 3.25: HR 1.69, 95% CI 0.76-3.79; per 1 unit increase: HR 1.13, 95% CI 0.93-1.37), was associated with increased AF incidence. The NFS (C-index 0.662), not FIB-4 (C-index 0.531), had a moderate predictive ability in predicting incident AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with HFpEF, the risk of advanced liver fibrosis is associated with an increased incidence of new-onset AF and may be a novel predictor for new-onset AF. Additional studies are needed to confirm our results.

The Effect of Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass on Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Fibrosis Assessed by FIB-4 and NFS Scores-An 11.6-Year Follow-Up Study

Severe obesity is a strong risk factor for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) surgery effectively induces weight loss, but few studies have described the long-term effects of RYGB on NAFLD-related fibrosis. Data from 220 patients with severe obesity operated by RYGB in Central Norway were analysed. Variables incorporated in NAFLD Fibrosis Score (NFS), Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and anthropometric data were collected before surgery and a mean of 11.6 years postoperatively. FIB-4 > 1.3 or NFS > 0.675 were used as cut-off values for advanced fibrosis. Proportions with advanced fibrosis decreased from 24% to 14% assessed by FIB-4 and from 8.6% to 2.3% using NFS, with resolution rates of advanced fibrosis of 42% and 73%, respectively. The shift towards lower fibrosis categories was significant (NFS p < 0.0001; FIB-4 p = 0.002). NFS decreased from −1.32 (IQR −2.33−−0.39) to −1.71 (IQR −2.49−−0.95, p < 0.001) 11.6 years after surgery, whereas FIB-4 did not change: 0.81 (IQR 0.59−1.25) to 0.89 (IQR 0.69−1.16, p = 0.556). There were weak correlations between change in fibrosis scores and weight loss. In conclusion, the majority of patients with advanced fibrosis at baseline had improvement after 11.6 years. Factors associated with reduction in fibrosis were not identified.