Long-Term Exposures to Air Pollution and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation in the Women's Health Initiative Cohort

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Short-term exposures to air pollution have been associated with AF triggering; less is known regarding associations between long-term air pollution exposures and AF incidence.

OBJECTIVES

Our objective was to assess the association between long-term exposures to air pollution and distance to road on incidence of AF in a cohort of U.S. women.

METHODS

We assessed the association of high resolution spatiotemporal model predictions of long-term exposures to particulate matter (PM 10 and PM 2.5 ), sulfur dioxide (SO 2 ), nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ), and distance to major roads with incidence of AF diagnosis, identified through Medicare linkage, among 83,117 women in the prospective Women's Health Initiative cohort, followed from enrollment in Medicare through December 2012, incidence of AF, or death. Using time-varying Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, race/ethnicity, study component, body mass index, physical activity, menopausal hormone therapy, smoking, diet quality, alcohol consumption, educational attainment, and neighborhood socioeconomic status, we estimated the relative risk of incident AF in association with each pollutant.

RESULTS

A total of 16,348 incident AF cases were observed over 660,236 person-years of follow-up. Most exposure-response associations were nonlinear. NO 2 was associated with risk of AF in multivariable adjusted models [Hazard Ratio  ( HR ) = 1.18 ; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.13, 1.24, comparing the top to bottom quartile, p -for-trend = < 0.0001 ]. Women living closer to roadways were at higher risk of AF (e.g., HR = 1.07 ; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.13 for living within 50 m of A3 roads, compared with ≥ 1,000  m , p -for-trend = 0.02 ), but we did not observe adverse associations with exposures to PM 10 , PM 2.5 , or SO 2 . There were adverse associations with PM 10 (top quartile HR = 1.10 ; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.16, p -for-trend = < 0.0001 ) and PM 2.5 (top quartile HR = 1.09 ; 95% CI: 1.03, 1.14, p -for-trend = 0.002 ) in sensitivity models adjusting for census region.

DISCUSSION

In this study of postmenopausal women, NO 2 and distance to road were consistently associated with higher risk of AF. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP7683.

Association of Epigenetic Age Acceleration with Incident Mild Cognitive Impairment and Dementia Among Older Women

BACKGROUND

Epigenetic age acceleration (AgeAccel), which indicates faster biological aging relative to chronological age, has been associated with lower cognitive function. However, the association of AgeAccel with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or dementia is not well-understood. We examined associations of four AgeAccel measures with incident MCI and dementia.

METHODS

This prospective analysis included 578 older women from the Women's Health Initiative Memory Study selected for a case-cohort study of coronary heart disease (CHD). Women were free of CHD and cognitive impairment at baseline. Associations of AgeAccel measures (intrinsic AgeAccel [IEAA], extrinsic AgeAccel [EEAA], AgeAccelPheno, and AgeAccelGrim) with risks for incident adjudicated diagnoses of MCI and dementia overall and stratified by incident CHD status were evaluated.

RESULTS

IEAA was not significantly associated with MCI (HR 1.23; 95% CI 0.99-1.53), dementia (HR 1.10; 95% CI 0.88-1.38), or cognitive impairment (HR 1.18; 95% CI 0.99-1.40). In stratified analysis by incident CHD status, there was a 39% (HR 1.39; 95% CI 1.07-1.81) significantly higher risk of MCI for every 5-year increase in IEAA among women who developed CHD during follow-up. Other AgeAccel measures were not significantly associated with MCI or dementia.

CONCLUSION

IEAA was not significantly associated with cognitive impairment overall but was associated with impairment among women who developed CHD. Larger studies designed to examine associations of AgeAccel with cognitive impairment are needed, including exploration of whether associations are stronger in the setting of underlying vascular pathologies.

Rare Coding Variants Associated With Electrocardiographic Intervals Identify Monogenic Arrhythmia Susceptibility Genes: A Multi-Ancestry Analysis

BACKGROUND

Alterations in electrocardiographic (ECG) intervals are well-known markers for arrhythmia and sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk. While the genetics of arrhythmia syndromes have been studied, relations between electrocardiographic intervals and rare genetic variation at a population level are poorly understood.

METHODS

Using a discovery sample of 29 000 individuals with whole-genome sequencing from Trans-Omics in Precision Medicine and replication in nearly 100 000 with whole-exome sequencing from the UK Biobank and MyCode, we examined associations between low-frequency and rare coding variants with 5 routinely measured electrocardiographic traits (RR, P-wave, PR, and QRS intervals and corrected QT interval).

RESULTS

We found that rare variants associated with population-based electrocardiographic intervals identify established monogenic SCD genes (KCNQ1, KCNH2, and SCN5A), a controversial monogenic SCD gene (KCNE1), and novel genes (PAM and MFGE8) involved in cardiac conduction. Loss-of-function and pathogenic SCN5A variants, carried by 0.1% of individuals, were associated with a nearly 6-fold increased odds of the first-degree atrioventricular block (P=8.4×10^-5). Similar variants in KCNQ1 and KCNH2 (0.2% of individuals) were associated with a 23-fold increased odds of marked corrected QT interval prolongation (P=4×10^-25), a marker of SCD risk. Incomplete penetrance of such deleterious variation was common as over 70% of carriers had normal electrocardiographic intervals.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that large-scale high-depth sequence data and electrocardiographic analysis identifies monogenic arrhythmia susceptibility genes and rare variants with large effects. Known pathogenic variation in conventional arrhythmia and SCD genes exhibited incomplete penetrance and accounted for only a small fraction of marked electrocardiographic interval prolongation.

Epigenome-wide association study of diet quality in the Women's Health Initiative and TwinsUK cohort

BACKGROUND

Diet quality is a risk factor for chronic disease and mortality. Differential DNA methylation across the epigenome has been associated with chronic disease risk. Whether diet quality is associated with differential methylation is unknown. This study assessed whether diet quality was associated with differential DNA methylation measured across 445 548 loci in the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) and the TwinsUK cohort.

DESIGN

The discovery cohort consisted of 4355 women from the WHI. The replication cohort consisted of 571 mono- and dizygotic twins from the TwinsUK cohort. DNA methylation was measured in whole blood using the Illumina Infinium HumanMethylation450 Beadchip. Diet quality was assessed using the Alternative Healthy Eating Index 2010 (AHEI-2010). A meta-analysis, stratified by study cohort, was performed using generalized linear models that regressed methylation on AHEI-2010, adjusting for cell composition, chip number and location, study characteristics, principal components of genetic relatedness, age, smoking status, race/ethnicity and body mass index (BMI). Statistical significance was defined as a false discovery rate < 0.05. Significant sites were tested for replication in the TwinsUK cohort, with significant replication defined by P < 0.05 and a consistent direction.

RESULTS

Diet quality was significantly associated with differential DNA methylation at 428 cytosine-phosphate-guanine (CpG) sites in the discovery cohort. A total of 24 CpG sites were consistent with replication in the TwinsUK cohort, more than would be expected by chance (P = 2.7x10-4), with one site replicated in both the blood and adipose tissue (cg16379999 located in the body of SEL1L).

CONCLUSIONS

Diet quality was associated with methylation at 24 CpG sites, several of which have been associated with adiposity, inflammation and dysglycaemia. These findings may provide insight into pathways through which diet influences chronic disease.

Supplemental Association of Clonal Hematopoiesis With Incident Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Age-related clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP), defined as clonally expanded leukemogenic sequence variations (particularly in DNMT3A, TET2, ASXL1, and JAK2) in asymptomatic individuals, is associated with cardiovascular events, including recurrent heart failure (HF).

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to evaluate whether CHIP is associated with incident HF.

METHODS

CHIP status was obtained from whole exome or genome sequencing of blood DNA in participants without prevalent HF or hematological malignancy from 5 cohorts. Cox proportional hazards models were performed within each cohort, adjusting for demographic and clinical risk factors, followed by fixed-effect meta-analyses. Large CHIP clones (defined as variant allele frequency >10%), HF with or without baseline coronary heart disease, and left ventricular ejection fraction were evaluated in secondary analyses.

RESULTS

Of 56,597 individuals (59% women, mean age 58 years at baseline), 3,406 (6%) had CHIP, and 4,694 developed HF (8.3%) over up to 20 years of follow-up. CHIP was prospectively associated with a 25% increased risk of HF in meta-analysis (hazard ratio: 1.25; 95% confidence interval: 1.13-1.38) with consistent associations across cohorts. ASXL1, TET2, and JAK2 sequence variations were each associated with an increased risk of HF, whereas DNMT3A sequence variations were not associated with HF. Secondary analyses suggested large CHIP was associated with a greater risk of HF (hazard ratio: 1.29; 95% confidence interval: 1.15-1.44), and the associations for CHIP on HF with and without prior coronary heart disease were homogenous. ASXL1 sequence variations were associated with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction.

CONCLUSIONS

CHIP, particularly sequence variations in ASXL1, TET2, and JAK2, represents a new risk factor for HF.

Epigenetically mediated electrocardiographic manifestations of sub-chronic exposures to ambient particulate matter air pollution in the Women's Health Initiative and Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND

Short-duration exposure to ambient particulate matter (PM) air pollution is associated with cardiac autonomic dysfunction and prolonged ventricular repolarization. However, associations with sub-chronic exposures to coarser particulates are relatively poorly characterized as are molecular mechanisms underlying their potential relationships with cardiovascular disease.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We estimated associations between monthly mean concentrations of PM < 10 μm and 2.5-10 μm in diameter (PM10; PM2.5-10) with time-domain measures of heart rate variability (HRV) and QT interval duration (QT) among U.S. women and men in the Women's Health Initiative and Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (nHRV = 82,107; nQT = 76,711). Then we examined mediation of the PM-HRV and PM-QT associations by DNA methylation (DNAm) at three Cytosine-phosphate-Guanine (CpG) sites (cg19004594, cg24102420, cg12124767) with known sensitivity to monthly mean PM concentrations in a subset of the participants (nHRV = 7,169; nQT = 6,895). After multiply imputing missing PM, electrocardiographic and covariable data, we estimated associations using attrition-weighted, linear, mixed, longitudinal models adjusting for sociodemographic, behavioral, meteorological, and clinical characteristics. We assessed mediation by estimating the proportions of PM-HRV and PM-QT associations mediated by DNAm.

RESULTS

We found little evidence of PM-HRV association, PM-QT association, or mediation by DNAm.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings suggest that among racially/ethnically and environmentally diverse U.S. populations, sub-chronic exposures to coarser particulates may not exert appreciable, epigenetically mediated effects on cardiac autonomic function or ventricular repolarization. Further investigation in better-powered studies is warranted, with additional focus on shorter duration exposures to finer particulates and non-electrocardiographic outcomes among relatively susceptible populations.

A multi-ethnic epigenome-wide association study of leukocyte DNA methylation and blood lipids

Here we examine the association between DNA methylation in circulating leukocytes and blood lipids in a multi-ethnic sample of 16,265 subjects. We identify 148, 35, and 4 novel associations among Europeans, African Americans, and Hispanics, respectively, and an additional 186 novel associations through a trans-ethnic meta-analysis. We observe a high concordance in the direction of effects across racial/ethnic groups, a high correlation of effect sizes between high-density lipoprotein and triglycerides, a modest overlap of associations with epigenome-wide association studies of other cardio-metabolic traits, and a largely non-overlap with lipid loci identified to date through genome-wide association studies. Thirty CpGs reached significance in at least 2 racial/ethnic groups including 7 that showed association with the expression of an annotated gene. CpGs annotated to CPT1A showed evidence of being influenced by triglycerides levels. DNA methylation levels of circulating leukocytes show robust and consistent association with blood lipid levels across multiple racial/ethnic groups.

DNAm-based signatures of accelerated aging and mortality in blood are associated with low renal function

BACKGROUND

The difference between an individual's chronological and DNA methylation predicted age (DNAmAge), termed DNAmAge acceleration (DNAmAA), can capture life-long environmental exposures and age-related physiological changes reflected in methylation status. Several studies have linked DNAmAA to morbidity and mortality, yet its relationship with kidney function has not been assessed. We evaluated the associations between seven DNAm aging and lifespan predictors (as well as GrimAge components) and five kidney traits (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR], urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio [uACR], serum urate, microalbuminuria and chronic kidney disease [CKD]) in up to 9688 European, African American and Hispanic/Latino individuals from seven population-based studies.

RESULTS

We identified 23 significant associations in our large trans-ethnic meta-analysis (p < 1.43E-03 and consistent direction of effect across studies). Age acceleration measured by the Extrinsic and PhenoAge estimators, as well as Zhang's 10-CpG epigenetic mortality risk score (MRS), were associated with all parameters of poor kidney health (lower eGFR, prevalent CKD, higher uACR, microalbuminuria and higher serum urate). Six of these associations were independently observed in European and African American populations. MRS in particular was consistently associated with eGFR (β =  - 0.12, 95% CI = [- 0.16, - 0.08] change in log-transformed eGFR per unit increase in MRS, p = 4.39E-08), prevalent CKD (odds ratio (OR) = 1.78 [1.47, 2.16], p = 2.71E-09) and higher serum urate levels (β = 0.12 [0.07, 0.16], p = 2.08E-06). The "first-generation" clocks (Hannum, Horvath) and GrimAge showed different patterns of association with the kidney traits. Three of the DNAm-estimated components of GrimAge, namely adrenomedullin, plasminogen-activation inhibition 1 and pack years, were positively associated with higher uACR, serum urate and microalbuminuria.

CONCLUSION

DNAmAge acceleration and DNAm mortality predictors estimated in whole blood were associated with multiple kidney traits, including eGFR and CKD, in this multi-ethnic study. Epigenetic biomarkers which reflect the systemic effects of age-related mechanisms such as immunosenescence, inflammaging and oxidative stress may have important mechanistic or prognostic roles in kidney disease. Our study highlights new findings linking kidney disease to biological aging, and opportunities warranting future investigation into DNA methylation biomarkers for prognostic or risk stratification in kidney disease.

Clonal hematopoiesis associated with epigenetic aging and clinical outcomes

Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) is a common precursor state for blood cancers that most frequently occurs due to mutations in the DNA-methylation modifying enzymes DNMT3A or TET2. We used DNA-methylation array and whole-genome sequencing data from four cohorts together comprising 5522 persons to study the association between CHIP, epigenetic clocks, and health outcomes. CHIP was strongly associated with epigenetic age acceleration, defined as the residual after regressing epigenetic clock age on chronological age, in several clocks, ranging from 1.31 years (GrimAge, p < 8.6 × 10-7 ) to 3.08 years (EEAA, p < 3.7 × 10-18 ). Mutations in most CHIP genes except DNA-damage response genes were associated with increases in several measures of age acceleration. CHIP carriers with mutations in multiple genes had the largest increases in age acceleration and decrease in estimated telomere length. Finally, we found that ~40% of CHIP carriers had acceleration >0 in both Hannum and GrimAge (referred to as AgeAccelHG+). This group was at high risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 2.90, p < 4.1 × 10-8 ) and coronary heart disease (CHD) (hazard ratio 3.24, p < 9.3 × 10-6 ) compared to those who were CHIP-/AgeAccelHG-. In contrast, the other ~60% of CHIP carriers who were AgeAccelHG- were not at increased risk of these outcomes. In summary, CHIP is strongly linked to age acceleration in multiple clocks, and the combination of CHIP and epigenetic aging may be used to identify a population at high risk for adverse outcomes and who may be a target for clinical interventions.

Abstract MP69: A Proteomic Approach For Investigating The Pleiotropic Effects Of Statins In The Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) Study

Background: Statins are prescribed to reduce LDL-cholesterol (LDL-c) and the risk of cardiovascular disease. Statins may influence other outcomes such as dementia through pleiotropic effects unrelated to lipid metabolism. We compared the proteome of statin users and nonusers. We hypothesized that statin use would be associated with proteins in biological pathways unrelated to lipid metabolism.

Methods: Among 11,471 participants enrolled in the ARIC study at visit 3 (1993-95), plasma concentrations of 4,638 proteins were determined using the SOMAlogic DNA aptamer-based capture array. We identified 402 participants who initiated statin use within the 2 years prior. Propensity scores (PS) were calculated based on visit 2 (1990-92) LDL-c levels and visit 3 demographic characteristics, CVD risk factors and medications, kidney function, and prevalent CVD. Statin users were matched to nonusers (controls) based on PS similarity, yielding 382 matched pairs. Log2-transformed and standardized protein levels were compared between statin users and controls using t-tests. The false discovery rate (FDR) adjusted for multiple comparisons. Ingenuity Pathway Analysis (IPA) was used to identify potentially altered biological pathways.

Results: After PS matching, LDL-c levels at visit 3 were lower in statin users vs controls (125.4 vs 147.1 mg/dL; p <.0001), but all other covariates were balanced. We identified 344 enriched and 298 depleted proteins in statin users (p <.05). After FDR adjustment, 12 proteins were enriched and 17 were depleted. Proteins involved in lipid metabolism were altered in statin users, including proteins in the mevalonate pathway. Proteins unrelated to lipid metabolism also differed between groups (Figure). IPA analysis suggested 20 pathways were altered among statin users.

Conclusion: Several proteins unrelated to lipid metabolism differed by statin use. Pending external validation, exploring the biological functions of these proteins could elucidate pleiotropic effects of statins.

Abstract 031: Age-related Homeostatic Dysregulation In Midlife And Physical Function In Late Life: The Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (aric) Study

Introduction: Age-related homeostatic dysregulation (Dm), characterized by multi-biomarker composite measures, has shown promise as a rate-of-aging metric. We tested the association of midlife Dm and its change over ~20 years of follow-up with later life physical function.

Methods: We studied 4617 ARIC cohort participants (mean age 54.8 years, 58% female, 20% Black) who completed in-person examinations from 1990-92 (baseline) through 2011-13. Dm quantifies the multivariate statistical deviation of 15 physiology-motivated biomarkers from the distribution in a healthy sample at baseline. Midlife Dm was grouped by quartiles (higher quartiles indicating greater homeostatic dysregulation) and temporal change in Dm was quantified continuously. Physical function was assessed in 2011-13 and included measures from the Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) including repeated chair stands, balance, 4-meter walk and grip strength. Associations were quantified using linear regression and ordinal logistic regression as applicable, adjusting for age, sex, race, and education.

Results: A graded association was observed between midlife Dm and physical functional performance in late life (Table). Compared to the 1 st quartile of midlife Dm, the odds ratio of a lower SPPB score in late life was 1.19 (95%CI 1.04, 1.35) for the 2 nd quartile, 1.63 (1.41, 1.90) for the 3 rd quartile, and 3.14 (2.60, 3.79) for the 4 th quartile. Similar associations were observed for each of SPPB components and grip strength, either modeled ordinally or continuously. Each standard deviation increase in 10-year Dm change was associated with ~2-3 times the odds of having a poorer physical functional performance.

Conclusions: Greater homeostatic dysregulation at midlife and increases in dysregulation during follow-up were associated with poorer physical function in late life. Insights into the factors that lead to progression of multisystem deterioration during midlife may highlight opportunities to preserve functional abilities in late life.

Epigenome-wide association study of kidney function identifies trans-ethnic and ethnic-specific loci

BACKGROUND

DNA methylation (DNAm) is associated with gene regulation and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), a measure of kidney function. Decreased eGFR is more common among US Hispanics and African Americans. The causes for this are poorly understood. We aimed to identify trans-ethnic and ethnic-specific differentially methylated positions (DMPs) associated with eGFR using an agnostic, genome-wide approach.

METHODS

The study included up to 5428 participants from multi-ethnic studies for discovery and 8109 participants for replication. We tested the associations between whole blood DNAm and eGFR using beta values from Illumina 450K or EPIC arrays. Ethnicity-stratified analyses were performed using linear mixed models adjusting for age, sex, smoking, and study-specific and technical variables. Summary results were meta-analyzed within and across ethnicities. Findings were assessed using integrative epigenomics methods and pathway analyses.

RESULTS

We identified 93 DMPs associated with eGFR at an FDR of 0.05 and replicated 13 and 1 DMPs across independent samples in trans-ethnic and African American meta-analyses, respectively. The study also validated 6 previously published DMPs. Identified DMPs showed significant overlap enrichment with DNase I hypersensitive sites in kidney tissue, sites associated with the expression of proximal genes, and transcription factor motifs and pathways associated with kidney tissue and kidney development.

CONCLUSIONS

We uncovered trans-ethnic and ethnic-specific DMPs associated with eGFR, including DMPs enriched in regulatory elements in kidney tissue and pathways related to kidney development. These findings shed light on epigenetic mechanisms associated with kidney function, bridging the gap between population-specific eGFR-associated DNAm and tissue-specific regulatory context.

Association of cardiovascular health and epigenetic age acceleration

Background

Cardiovascular health (CVH) has been defined by the American Heart Association (AHA) as the presence of the “Life’s Simple 7” ideal lifestyle and clinical factors. CVH is known to predict longevity and freedom from cardiovascular disease, the leading cause of death for women in the United States. DNA methylation markers of aging have been aggregated into a composite epigenetic age score, which is associated with cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. However, it is unknown whether poor CVH is associated with acceleration of aging as measured by DNA methylation markers in epigenetic age.

Methods and results

We performed a cross-sectional analysis of racially/ethnically diverse post-menopausal women enrolled in the Women’s Health Initiative cohort recruited between 1993 and 1998. Epigenetic age acceleration (EAA) was calculated using DNA methylation data on a subset of participants and the published Horvath and Hannum methods for intrinsic and extrinsic EAA. CVH was calculated using the AHA measures of CVH contributing to a 7-point score. We examined the association between CVH score and EAA using linear regression modeling adjusting for self-reported race/ethnicity and education. Among the 2,170 participants analyzed, 50% were white and mean age was 64 (7 SD) years. Higher or more favorable CVH scores were associated with lower extrinsic EAA (~ 6 months younger age per 1 point higher CVH score, p < 0.0001), and lower intrinsic EAA (3 months younger age per 1 point higher CVH score, p < 0.028).

Conclusions

These cross-sectional observations suggest a possible mechanism by which ideal CVH is associated with greater longevity.

Short-term repeatability of the peguero-lo presti electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy criteria

Background

Electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy (ECG‐LVH) represents preclinical cardiovascular disease and predicts cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality. While the newly developed Peguero‐Lo Presti ECG‐LVH criteria have greater sensitivity for LVH than the Cornell voltage and Sokolow–Lyon criteria, its short‐term repeatability is unknown. Therefore, we characterized the short‐term repeatability of Peguero‐Lo Presti ECG‐LVH criteria and evaluate its agreement with Cornell voltage and Sokolow–Lyon ECG‐LVH criteria.

Methods

Participants underwent two resting, standard, 12‐lead ECGs at each of two visits one week apart (n = 63). We defined a Peguero‐Lo Presti index as a sum of the deepest S wave amplitude in any single lead and lead V₄ (i.e., S_D + SV₄) and defined Peguero‐Lo Presti LVH index as ≥ 2,300 µV among women and ≥ 2,800 µV among men. We estimated repeatability as an intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), agreement as a prevalence‐adjusted bias‐adjusted kappa coefficient (κ), and precision using 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results

The Peguero‐Lo Presti index was repeatable: ICC (95% CI) = 0.94 (0.91–0.97). Within‐visit agreement of Peguero‐Lo Presti LVH was high at the first and second visits: κ (95% CI) = 0.97 (0.91–1.00) and 1.00 (1.00–1.00). Between‐visit agreement of the first and second measurements at each visit was comparable: κ (95% CI) = 0.90 (0.80–1.00) and 0.93 (0.85–1.00). Agreement of Peguero‐Lo Presti and Cornell or Sokolow–Lyon LVH on any one of the four ECGs was slightly lower: κ (95% CI) = 0.71 (0.54–0.89).

Conclusion

The Peguero‐Lo Presti index and LVH have excellent repeatability and agreement, which support their use in clinical and epidemiological studies.

Outdoor air pollution exposure and inter-relation of global cognitive performance and emotional distress in older women

The interrelationships among long-term ambient air pollution exposure, emotional distress and cognitive decline in older adulthood remain unclear. Long-term exposure may impact cognitive performance and subsequently impact emotional health. Conversely, exposure may initially be associated with emotional distress followed by declines in cognitive performance. Here we tested the inter-relationship between global cognitive ability, emotional distress, and exposure to PM2.5 (particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter <2.5 μm) and NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) in 6118 older women (aged 70.6 ± 3.8 years) from the Women's Health Initiative Memory Study. Annual exposure to PM2.5 (interquartile range [IQR] = 3.37 μg/m3) and NO2 (IQR = 9.00 ppb) was estimated at the participant's residence using regionalized national universal kriging models and averaged over the 3-year period before the baseline assessment. Using structural equation mediation models, a latent factor capturing emotional distress was constructed using item-level data from the 6-item Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale and the Short Form Health Survey Emotional Well-Being scale at baseline and one-year follow-up. Trajectories of global cognitive performance, assessed by the Modified-Mini Mental State Examination (3MS) annually up to 12 years, were estimated. All effects reported were adjusted for important confounders. Increases in PM2.5 (β = -0.144 per IQR; 95% CI = -0.261; -0.028) and NO2 (β = -0.157 per IQR; 95% CI = -0.291; -0.022) were associated with lower initial 3MS performance. Lower 3MS performance was associated with increased emotional distress (β = -0.008; 95% CI = -0.015; -0.002) over the subsequent year. Significant indirect effect of both exposures on increases in emotional distress mediated by exposure effects on worse global cognitive performance were present. No statistically significant indirect associations were found between exposures and 3MS trajectories putatively mediated by baseline emotional distress. Our study findings support cognitive aging processes as a mediator of the association between PM2.5 and NO2 exposure and emotional distress in later-life.

Abstract PS7-28: Association between epigenetic age acceleration and postmenopausal breast cancer risk in the Women’s Health Initiative

Earlier age of menopause and bilateral oophorectomy are associated with accelerated biologic aging based on epigenetic clocks. While these relationships suggest women with greater epigenetic age acceleration (AgeAccel) might be at a reduced risk of postmenopausal breast cancer, prior studies conflict with this theory. We hypothesized this paradox may be attributable to an interaction between epigenetic and reproductive aging on cancer risk. We evaluated this premise among 5,044 postmenopausal women in the Women’s Health Initiative (WHI) Observational Study and Clinical Trial with AgeAccel estimated in whole blood. Among a subset of 1,135 of these women, estradiol (E2) and sex hormone-binding globulin were assayed in baseline serum samples. For WHI participants with DNA methylation assays, we modeled the log odds of incident postmenopausal breast cancer during follow-up as a function of AgeAccel, adjusting for age at menopause, race/ethnicity, age at WHI screening, bilateral oophorectomy, nulliparity, alcohol consumption, smoking, body mass index, duration of postmenopausal hormone therapy use, exercise, clinical trial arm, and hysterectomy status at baseline. We repeated this analysis among the subset of participants with DNA methylation and E2 assays, and appraised the degree to which bioavailable E2 levels contributed to the observed association between AgeAccel and incident postmenopausal breast cancer. Finally, we evaluated whether bioavailable E2 levels modified the relationship between AgeAccel and cancer risk. Generalized estimating equations were used to model associations with AgeAccel, integrating repeated measures among a subset of participants and using inverse probability weights to account for sample selection probabilities. Based on our fully adjusted models, increased extrinsic AgeAccel was associated with decreased odds of incident postmenopausal invasive breast cancer during follow-up. This association was consistent among the subset of participants with E2 assays, and robust to adjustment for bioavailable E2 concentration. We found the inverse relationship between extrinsic AgeAccel and incident breast cancer was strongest among white non-Hispanic women with low levels of bioavailable E2. This study represents the largest investigation of the association between AgeAccel and postmenopausal breast cancer risk, and the first evaluation of how bioavailable E2 levels may influence this relationship. Our analyses inform our understanding of the relationship between the epigenetic and reproductive aging process, and the potential implications for postmenopausal breast cancer risk.

Citation Format: Alexandra M. Binder, Lesley Tinker, Robert Wallace, JoAnn E. Manson, Lihong Qi, Parveen Bhatti, Eric A. Whitsel, Andrea Z. LaCroix, Steve Horvath. Association between epigenetic age acceleration and postmenopausal breast cancer risk in the Women’s Health Initiative [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2020 San Antonio Breast Cancer Virtual Symposium; 2020 Dec 8-11; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PS7-28.

Association of Psychosocial Factors With Short-Term Resting Heart Rate Variability: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Background Psychosocial factors predict heart disease risk, but our understanding of underlying mechanisms is limited. We sought to evaluate the physiologic correlates of psychosocial factors by measuring their relationships with heart rate variability (HRV), a measure of autonomic health, in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study. We hypothesize that increased psychosocial stress associates with lower HRV. Methods and Results We studied 9331 participants in ARIC with short-term HRV data at visits 2 and 4. The mean (SD) age was 54.4 (5.7) years, 55% were women, and 25% were Black. Psychosocial factors included: (1) vital exhaustion (VE), (2) anger proneness, a personality trait, and (3) perceived social support. Linear models adjusted for sociodemographic and cardiovascular risk factors. Low frequency HRV (ln ms2) was significantly lower in the highest versus lowest quartiles of VE (B=-0.14, 95% CI, -0.24 to -0.05). When comparing this effect to age (B=-0.04, 95% CI, -0.05 to -0.04), the difference was equivalent to 3.8 years of accelerated aging. Perceived social support associated with lower time-domain HRV. High VE (versus low VE) also associated with greater decreases in low frequency over time, and both anger and VE associated with greater increases in resting heart rate over time. Survival analyses were performed with Cox models, and no evidence was found that HRV explains the excess risk found with high VE and low perceived social support. Conclusions Vital exhaustion, and to a lesser extent anger and social support, were associated with worse autonomic function and greater adverse changes over time.

Investigating Predictors of Preserved Cognitive Function in Older Women Using Machine Learning: Women's Health Initiative Memory Study

BACKGROUND

Identification of factors that may help to preserve cognitive function in late life could elucidate mechanisms and facilitate interventions to improve the lives of millions of people. However, the large number of potential factors associated with cognitive function poses an analytical challenge.

OBJECTIVE

We used data from the longitudinal Women's Health Initiative Memory Study (WHIMS) and machine learning to investigate 50 demographic, biomedical, behavioral, social, and psychological predictors of preserved cognitive function in later life.

METHODS

Participants in WHIMS and two consecutive follow up studies who were at least 80 years old and had at least one cognitive assessment following their 80th birthday were classified as cognitively preserved. Preserved cognitive function was defined as having a score ≥39 on the most recent administration of the modified Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status (TICSm) and a mean score across all assessments ≥39. Cognitively impaired participants were those adjudicated by experts to have probable dementia or at least two adjudications of mild cognitive impairment within the 14 years of follow-up and a last TICSm score < 31. Random Forests was used to rank the predictors of preserved cognitive function.

RESULTS

Discrimination between groups based on area under the curve was 0.80 (95%-CI-0.76-0.85). Women with preserved cognitive function were younger, better educated, and less forgetful, less depressed, and more optimistic at study enrollment. They also reported better physical function and less sleep disturbance, and had lower systolic blood pressure, hemoglobin, and blood glucose levels.

CONCLUSION

The predictors of preserved cognitive function include demographic, psychological, physical, metabolic, and vascular factors suggesting a complex mix of potential contributors.

Associations Between Air Pollution Exposure and Empirically Derived Profiles of Cognitive Performance in Older Women

BACKGROUND

Elucidating associations between exposures to ambient air pollutants and profiles of cognitive performance may provide insight into neurotoxic effects on the aging brain.

OBJECTIVE

We examined associations between empirically derived profiles of cognitive performance and residential concentrations of particulate matter of aerodynamic diameter < 2.5 (PM2.5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) in older women.

METHOD

Women (N = 2,142) from the Women's Health Initiative Study of Cognitive Aging completed a neuropsychological assessment measuring attention, visuospatial, language, and episodic memory abilities. Average yearly concentrations of PM2.5 and NO2 were estimated at the participant's addresses for the 3 years prior to the assessment. Latent profile structural equation models identified subgroups of women exhibiting similar profiles across tests. Multinomial regressions examined associations between exposures and latent profile classification, controlling for covariates.

RESULT

Five latent profiles were identified: low performance across multiple domains (poor multi-domain; n = 282;13%), relatively poor verbal episodic memory (poor memory; n = 216; 10%), average performance across all domains (average multi-domain; n = 974; 45%), superior memory (n = 381; 18%), and superior attention (n = 332; 15%). Using women with average cognitive ability as the referent, higher PM2.5 (per interquartile range [IQR] = 3.64μg/m3) was associated with greater odds of being classified in the poor memory (OR = 1.29; 95% Confidence Interval [CI] = 1.10-1.52) or superior attention (OR = 1.30; 95% CI = 1.10-1.53) profiles. NO2 (per IQR = 9.86 ppb) was associated with higher odds of being classified in the poor memory (OR = 1.38; 95% CI = 1.17-1.63) and lower odds of being classified with superior memory (OR = 0.81; 95% CI = 0.67-0.97).

CONCLUSION

Exposure to PM2.5 and NO2 are associated with patterns of cognitive performance characterized by worse verbal episodic memory relative to performance in other domains.

Air Pollution and the Dynamic Association Between Depressive Symptoms and Memory in Oldest-Old Women

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Exposure to air pollution may contribute to both increasing depressive symptoms and decreasing episodic memory in older adulthood, but few studies have examined this hypothesis in a longitudinal context. Accordingly, we examined the association between air pollution and changes in depressive symptoms (DS) and episodic memory (EM) and their interrelationship in oldest-old (aged 80 and older) women.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort data from the Women's Health Initiative Memory Study-Epidemiology of Cognitive Health Outcomes.

SETTING

Geographically diverse community-dwelling population.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 1,583 dementia-free women aged 80 and older.

MEASUREMENTS

Women completed up to six annual memory assessments (latent composite of East Boston Memory Test and Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status) and the 15-item Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS-15). We estimated 3-year average exposures to regional particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter below 2.5 μm (PM_2.5 ) (interquartile range [IQR] = 3.35 μg/m³ ) and gaseous nitrogen dioxide (NO₂ ) (IQR = 9.55 ppb) at baseline and during a remote period 10 years earlier, using regionalized national universal kriging.

RESULTS

Latent change structural equation models examined whether residing in areas with higher pollutant levels was associated with annual changes in standardized EM and DS while adjusting for potential confounders. Remote NO₂ (β = .287 per IQR; P = .002) and PM_2.5 (β = .170 per IQR; P = .019) exposure was significantly associated with larger increases in standardized DS, although the magnitude of the difference, less than 1 point on the GDS-15, is of questionable clinical significance. Higher DS were associated with accelerated EM declines (β = -.372; P = .001), with a significant indirect effect of remote NO₂ and PM_2.5 exposure on EM declines mediated by DS. There were no other significant indirect exposure effects.

CONCLUSION

These findings in oldest-old women point to potential adverse effects of late-life exposure to air pollution on subsequent interplay between DS and EM, highlighting air pollution as an environmental health risk factor for older women.