The ABC pathway: an integrated approach to improve AF management

Real-world evidence of early rhythm control in patients with atrial fibrillation: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The favorable benefits of early rhythm control (ERC) therapy in newly diagnosed patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have been demonstrated in the EAST-AFNET 4 trial. However, the generalizability and applicability of ERC in real-world clinical settings remain inconclusive.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search of the PubMed and Embase databases to identify observational studies published between January 2020 and February 2024 that focused on real-world evidence pertaining to ERC. The effectiveness and safety outcomes in our study were analogous to those evaluated in the EAST-AFNET 4 trial.

RESULTS

A total of 4 observational studies that fulfilled the inclusion criteria of EAST-AFNET 4 were included, involving 130,970 patients with AF, 30.7% of whom received ERC therapy. In our pooled analysis using the fixed-effects model, compared with rate control, ERC significantly decreased the occurrence risk of the primary composite outcome (hazard ratio [HR] 0.86, 95% confidence interval[CI] 0.82-0.91), cardiovascular death (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.78-0.98), stroke (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.73-0.87), and hospitalization with worsening heart failure (HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.84-0.99) or acute coronary syndrome (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.59-0.87). In terms of safety outcomes, there were no differences in the composite safety outcome (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.95-1.05) and all-cause death (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.82-1.06) between the two studied groups.

CONCLUSIONS

ERC therapy showed favorable effectiveness outcomes compared with rate control, whereas the safety outcomes between the two therapeutic strategies did not differ significantly, supporting the benefits of ERC therapy over rate control in selected real-world patients with AF.

REGISTRATION

The study protocol was registered to PROSPERO (CRD42023443569).

Patients with atrial fibrillation and common exclusion criteria from clinical trials are at high risk of clinical events: the Murcia AF Project II (MAFP-II) cohort study

BACKGROUND

Some clinical characteristics and comorbidities in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients are exclusion criteria in randomized clinical trials (RCTs) investigating oral anticoagulants (OAC). However, these conditions are present also in everyday clinical practice patients. We compared the risk of adverse clinical outcomes between patients with and without RCT exclusion criteria.

METHODS

The Murcia AF Project II was an observational cohort study including AF outpatients starting vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) from July 2016 to June 2018. For the selection of the exclusion criteria, the four pivotal RCTs of direct-acting OAC (DOACs) were used as reference. During 2 years, all ischemic strokes/transient ischemic attacks, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), major bleeds, and all-cause deaths were recorded.

RESULTS

1050 patients (51.5% female, median age 77 years) were included, of whom 368 (35%) met at least one exclusion criterion for RCTs. During follow-up, the incidence rate ratios for major bleeding, MACE and all-cause mortality were higher among patients with exclusion criteria (all p < 0.001). Patients fulfilling at least one exclusion criterion had increased risks of major bleeding (aHR 1.48; 95% CI 1.22-1.81; p < 0.001), MACE (aHR 1.51, 95% CI 1.10-2.09, p = 0.012), and mortality (aHR 3.22, 95% CI 2.32-4.48, p < 0.001), as well as a lower event-free survival (all log-rank p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In this AF cohort taking VKAs, more than one-third had at least one RCT exclusion criteria, which translates into higher risk of major bleeding, MACE, and death. These observations should be considered when translating RCTs results to AF patients for a proper and a more patient-centered management.

Prediction of new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with non-small cell lung cancer treated with curative-intent conventional radiotherapy

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an important side effect of thoracic Radiotherapy (RT), which may impair quality of life and survival. This study aimed to develop a prediction model for new-onset AF in patients with Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) receiving RT alone or as a part of their multi-modal treatment.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with stage I-IV NSCLC treated with curative-intent conventional photon RT were included. The baseline electrocardiogram (ECG) was compared with follow-up ECGs to identify the occurrence of new-onset AF. A wide range of potential clinical predictors and dose-volume measures on the whole heart and six automatically contoured cardiac substructures, including chambers and conduction nodes, were considered for statistical modeling. Internal validation with optimism-correction was performed. A nomogram was made.

RESULTS

374 patients (mean age 69 ± 10 years, 57 % male) were included. At baseline, 9.1 % of patients had AF, and 42 (11.2 %) patients developed new-onset AF. The following parameters were predictive: older age (OR=1.04, 95 % CI: 1.013-1.068), being overweight or obese (OR=1.791, 95 % CI: 1.139-2.816), alcohol use (OR=4.052, 95 % CI: 2.445-6.715), history of cardiac procedures (OR=2.329, 95 % CI: 1.287-4.215), tumor located in the upper lobe (OR=2.571, 95 % CI: 1.518-4.355), higher forced expiratory volume in 1 s (OR=0.989, 95 % CI: 0.979-0.999), higher creatinine (OR=1.008, 95 % CI: 1.002-1.014), concurrent chemotherapy (OR=3.266, 95 % CI: 1.757 to 6.07) and left atrium Dmax (OR=1.022, 95 % CI: 1.012-1.032). The model showed good discrimination (area under the curve = 0.80, 95 % CI: 0.76-0.84), calibration and positive net benefits.

CONCLUSION

This prediction model employs readily available predictors to identify patients at high risk of new-onset AF who could potentially benefit from active screening and timely management of post-RT AF.

Exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation for adults with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most prevalent cardiac arrhythmia, disrupts the heart's rhythm through numerous small re-entry circuits in the atrial tissue, leading to irregular atrial contractions. The condition poses significant health risks, including increased stroke risk, heart failure, and reduced quality of life. Given the complexity of AF and its growing incidence globally, exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation (ExCR) may provide additional benefits for people with AF or those undergoing routine treatment for the condition.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the benefits and harms of ExCR compared with non-exercise controls for people who currently have AF or who have been treated for AF.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the following electronic databases: CENTRAL in the Cochrane Library, MEDLINE Ovid, Embase Ovid, PsycINFO Ovid, Web of Science Core Collection Thomson Reuters, CINAHL EBSCO, LILACS BIREME, and two clinical trial registers on 24 March 2024. We imposed no language restrictions.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included randomised clinical trials (RCTs) that investigated ExCR interventions compared with any type of non-exercise control. We included adults 18 years of age or older with any subtype of AF or those who had received treatment for AF.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Five review authors independently screened and extracted data in duplicate. We assessed risk of bias using Cochrane's RoB 1 tool as outlined in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions. We assessed clinical and statistical heterogeneity by visual inspection of the forest plots and by using standard Chi² and I² statistics. We performed meta-analyses using random-effects models for continuous and dichotomised outcomes. We calculated standardised mean differences where different scales were used for the same outcome. We used the GRADE approach to assess the certainty of the evidence.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 20 RCTs involving a total of 2039 participants with AF. All trials were conducted between 2006 and 2024, with a follow-up period ranging from eight weeks to five years. We assessed the certainty of evidence as moderate to very low. Five trials assessed comprehensive ExCR programmes, which included educational or psychological interventions, or both; the remaining 15 trials compared exercise-only cardiac rehabilitation with controls. The overall risk of bias in the included studies was mixed. Details on random sequence generation, allocation concealment, and use of intention-to-treat analysis were typically poorly reported. Evidence from nine trials (n = 1173) suggested little to no difference in mortality between ExCR and non-exercise controls (risk ratio (RR) 1.06, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76 to 1.49; I² = 0%; 101 deaths; low-certainty evidence). Based on evidence from 10 trials (n = 825), ExCR may have little to no effect on SAEs (RR 1.30, 95% CI 0.63 to 2.67; I² = 0%; 28 events; low-certainty evidence). Evidence from four trials (n = 378) showed that ExCR likely reduced AF recurrence (measured via Holter monitoring) compared to controls (RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.88; I² = 2%; moderate-certainty evidence). ExCR may reduce AF symptom severity (mean difference (MD) -1.59, 95% CI -2.98 to -0.20; I² = 61%; n = 600; low-certainty evidence); likely reduces AF symptom burden (MD -1.61, 95% CI -2.76 to -0.45; I² = 0%; n = 317; moderate-certainty evidence); may reduce AF episode frequency (MD -1.29, 95% CI -2.50 to -0.07; I² = 75%; n = 368; low-certainty evidence); and likely reduces AF episode duration (MD -0.58, 95% CI -1.14 to -0.03; I² = 0%; n = 317; moderate-certainty evidence), measured via the AF Severity Scale (AFSS) questionnaire. Moderate-certainty evidence from six trials (n = 504) showed that ExCR likely improved the mental component summary measure in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of the 36-item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36) (MD 2.66, 95% CI 1.22 to 4.11; I² = 2%), but the effect of ExCR on the physical component summary measure was very uncertain (MD 1.75, 95% CI -0.31 to 3.81; I² = 52%; very low-certainty evidence). ExCR also may improve individual components of HRQoL (general health, vitality, emotional role functioning, and mental health) and exercise capacity (peak oxygen uptake (VO2peak) and 6-minute walk test) following ExCR. The effects of ExCR on serious adverse events and exercise capacity were consistent across different models of ExCR delivery: centre compared to home-based, exercise dose, exercise only compared to comprehensive programmes, and aerobic training alone compared to aerobic plus resistance programmes. Using univariate meta-regression, there was evidence of significant association between location of trial and length of longest follow-up on exercise capacity.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Due to few randomised participants and typically short-term follow-up, the impact of ExCR on all-cause mortality or serious adverse events for people with AF is uncertain. ExCR likely improves AF-specific measures including reduced AF recurrence, symptom burden, and episode duration, as well as the mental components of HRQoL. ExCR may improve AF symptom severity, episode frequency, and VO2peak. Future high-quality RCTs are needed to assess the benefits of ExCR for people with AF on patient-relevant outcomes including AF symptom severity and burden, AF recurrence, AF-specific quality of life, and clinical events such as mortality, readmissions, and serious adverse events. High-quality trials are needed to investigate how AF subtype and clinical setting (i.e. primary and secondary care) may influence ExCR effectiveness.

Key needs, quality performance indicators and outcomes for patients with atrial fibrillation and multimorbidity: The AFFIRMO study

BACKGROUND

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) often have concomitant long-term conditions that negatively impact their quality of life and the clinical management they receive. The AFFIRMO study aimed to identify the needs, quality performance indicators (QPIs), and outcomes relevant to patients, caregivers and healthcare professionals (HCPs) to improve the care of patients with AF.

METHODS

An on-line survey to collect the key needs, QPIs, and outcomes relevant to patients with AF, their caregivers and HCPs, was distributed between May 2022 and January 2023 in five countries (UK, Italy, Denmark, Romania and Spain). Results from the on-line survey were discussed in a three-round Delphi process with international representatives of patients with AF, caregivers, and HCPs to determine the key needs, QPIs and outcomes for the management of patients with AF and multimorbidity.

RESULTS

659 patients (47.2% males, mean (SD) age 70.9 (10.2) years), 201 caregivers (26.9% males, mean (SD) age: 58.3 (SD 15.2) years), and 445 HCPs (57.8% males, mean (SD) age 47.4 (10.6) years) participated in the survey. An initial list of 27 needs, 9 QPIs, and 17 outcomes were identified. Eight patients, two caregivers, and 11 HCPs participated in the Delphi process. Nineteen (70%) needs, 8 (89%) QPIs, and 13 (76%) outcomes reached "consensus in", and were included in the final list.

CONCLUSIONS

The final key needs, QPIs and outcomes obtained from the Delphi process will inform the AFFIRMO clinical trial, which aims to test the iABC app which incorporates an empowerment toolbox for patients and their caregivers, providing information to improve patient engagement and empowerment to help improve the clinical and self-management of patients with AF in the context of multimorbidity.

Potentially inappropriate prescribing in polymedicated older adults with atrial fibrillation and multimorbidity: a Swedish national register-based cohort study

Introduction

Current research on potentially inappropriate prescribing (PIP) in polymedicated older adults with atrial fibrillation (AF) and multimorbidity is predominantly focused on PIP of oral anticoagulants (OAC). Our study aimed to assess (i) the overall prevalence of PIP in older multimorbid adults with AF, (ii) potential associated factors of PIP, and (iii) the association of PIP with adverse health outcomes in a nationwide sample of Swedish older adults.

Methods

Swedish national registries were linked to establish a cohort with a 2-year follow-up of older adults (≥65y) who, on 1 January 2017, had a diagnosis of AF and had at least one comorbidity (n = 203,042). PIP was assessed using the reduced STOPP/START version 2 screening tool. The STOPP criteria identify potentially inappropriate prescribed medications (PIM), while the START criteria identify potential prescribing omissions (PPO). PIP is identified as having at least one PIM and/or PPO. Cox regression analyses were conducted to examine the association between PIP and adverse health outcomes: mortality, hospitalisation, stroke, bleeding, and falls.

Results

PIP was highly prevalent in older adults with AF, with both polypharmacy (69.6%) and excessive polypharmacy (85.9%). In the study population, benzodiazepines (22.9%), hypnotic Z-medications (17.8%) and analgesics (8.7%) were the most frequent PIM. Anticoagulants (34.3%), statins (11.1%), vitamin D and calcium (13.4%) were the most frequent PPO. Demographic factors and polypharmacy were associated with different PIM and PPO categories, with the nature of these associations differing based on the specific type of PIM and PPO. The co-occurrence of PIM and PPO, compared to appropriate prescribing, was associated with an increased risk of adverse health outcomes compared to all appropriately prescribed medications: cardiovascular (CV) (Hazard ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval] = 1.97 [1.88-2.07]) and overall mortality (HR = 2.09 [2.03-2.16]), CV (HR = 1.34 [1.30-1.37]) and overall hospitalisation (HR = 1.48 [1.46-1.51]), stroke (HR = 1.93 [1.78-2.10]), bleeding (HR = 1.10 [1.01-1.21]), and falls (HR = 1.63 [1.56-1.71]).

Conclusion

The present study reports a high prevalence of PIP in multimorbid polymedicated older adults with AF. Additionally, a nuanced relationship between prescribing patterns, patient characteristics, and adverse health outcomes was observed. These findings emphasise the importance of implementing tailored interventions to optimise medication management in this patient population.

Impact of Adverse Health Conditions on Clinical Outcomes of Older People with Atrial Fibrillation: Insights from a Prospective Cohort Study

Objective

To evaluate the impact of adverse health conditions, including multimorbidity, frailty, malnutrition, cognitive impairment, and polypharmacy, on clinical outcomes in older people with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Patients and Methods

This prospective cohort study focused on patients aged 65 years and older with AF. They were admitted to the hospital between September 2018 and April 2019 and followed up for 1 year. We evaluated these participants for adverse health conditions including multimorbidity, frailty, malnutrition, cognitive impairment, and polypharmacy. The primary clinical outcome measured was a combination of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization.

Results

197 older patients (≥65 years) with AF (mean age, 77.5±7.1 years; 57.4% men) were enrolled. During 1-year follow-up, Primary endpoint events (all-cause mortality or rehospitalization) occurred in 82 patients (41.6%). Compared with the non-event group, the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) was higher (2.5±1.9 vs 1.7±1.3, p=0.004), more heart failure (32.9% vs 17.4%, p=0.01) and chronic kidney disease (17.1% vs 7.0%, p=0.03), with lower systolic blood pressure (125.3±18.3 mmHg vs 132±17.9 mmHg, p=0.005) in the event group. On multivariate Cox regression showed that the CCI was associated with a higher odds ratio of the composite outcome of all-cause mortality and rehospitalization (HR: 1.26; 95% CI: 1.02-1.56, p=0.03). Other adverse health conditions showed no significant association with the composite outcome of all-cause mortality and rehospitalization.

Conclusion

Among adverse health conditions in older people with AF, multimorbidity appears to be a significant determinant of adverse clinical outcomes.

Clinical Trial Registration

ChiCTR1800017204; date of registration: 07/18/2018.

Low-dose azithromycin prophylaxis in patients with atrial fibrillation and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Low-dose azithromycin prophylaxis is associated with improved outcomes in people suffering frequent exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), but the use of macrolides in patients with cardiovascular disease has been debated. To investigate the risk of adverse events after COPD exacerbations in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) treated with azithromycin prophylaxis. Retrospective cohort study within the TriNetX Platform, including AF patients with COPD exacerbations. Risks of primary and secondary outcomes were recorded up to 30 days post-COPD exacerbations and compared between azithromycin users and azithromycin non-users. The primary outcomes were the risks for a composite of (1) cardiovascular (all-cause death, heart failure, ventricular arrhythmias, ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, and cardiac arrest), and (2) hemorrhagic events (intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), and gastro-intestinal bleeding). Cox-regression analyses compared outcomes between groups after propensity score matching (PSM). After PSM, azithromycin users (n = 2434, 71 ± 10 years, 49% females) were associated with a lower 30-day risk of post-exacerbation cardiovascular (HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.61-0.73) and hemorrhagic composite outcome (HR 0.45, 95% CI 0.32-0.64) compared to azithromycin non-users (n = 2434, 72 ± 11 years, 51% females). The beneficial effect was consistent for each secondary outcomes, except ICH. On sensitivity analyses, the reduced risk of adverse events in azithromycin users was irrespective of smoking status, exacerbation severity, and type of oral anticoagulation. Azithromycin prophylaxis is associated with a lower risk of all-cause death, thrombotic and hemorrhagic events in AF patients with COPD. The possible role of azithromycin prophylaxis as part of the integrated care management of AF patients with COPD needs further study.

Components of the Atrial fibrillation Better Care pathway for holistic care of patients with atrial fibrillation: a win ratio analysis from the COOL-AF registry

AIMS

Compliance with integrated care based on the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway has been associated with improved clinical outcomes. The primary objective of this study was to compare clinical outcomes of AF patients according to the compliant status of each component of the ABC pathway in a hierarchical win ratio approach.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We studied AF patients in the COOL-AF registry. Each patient was followed every 6 months until 3 years. A win ratio analysis was performed, as not all clinical outcomes are equivalent. The hierarchical outcomes were (1) all-cause death, (2) intracranial haemorrhage (ICH), (3) ischaemic stroke/systemic embolism, (4) non-ICH major bleedings, and (5) acute myocardial infarction or heart failure. We also assessed win ratio and win proportion variance over the follow-up time, and the variations over time. A total of 3405 patients (mean age 67.8 ± 11.3; 41.8% female) were studied. Win ratio of ABC-compliant (all three components) vs. ABC-not-compliant was 1.57 (1.35-1.83), P < 0.001. When adding time in therapeutic range (TTR) data for compliant criteria for those who were on warfarin, the win ratio increased to 2.28 (1.89-2.75), P < 0.001. The A-compliant group (plus TTR data), B-compliant, and C-compliant had the win ratio of 1.81 (1.51-2.12), 1.82 (1.53-2.16), and 1.39 (1.18-1.62), all P < 0.001, compared to not compliant group.

CONCLUSION

Management of AF patients according to each component of the ABC pathway is associated with better clinical outcomes compared to those non-compliant to ABC pathway. This finding underscores the importance of a holistic management approach strategy for AF patients.

The effect of antiarrhythmic medications on the risk of cardiovascular outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation and coronary artery disease

BACKGROUND

While current guidelines recommend amiodarone and dronedarone for rhythm control in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and coronary artery disease (CAD), there was no comparative study of antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs) on the cardiovascular outcomes in general practice.

METHODS

This study included patients with AF and CAD who received their first prescription of amiodarone, class Ic AADs (flecainide, propafenone), dronedarone or sotalol between January 2016 and December 2020. The primary outcome was a composite of hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), stroke, acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and cardiovascular death. We used Cox proportional regression models, including with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), to estimate the relationship between AADs and cardiovascular outcomes.

RESULTS

Among the AF cohort consisting of 8752 patients, 1996 individuals had CAD, including 477 who took dronedarone and 1519 who took other AADs. After a median follow-up of 38 months, 46.3% of patients who took dronedarone and 54.4% of patients who took other AADs experienced cardiovascular events. Compared to dronedarone, the use of other AADs was associated with increased cardiovascular events after adjusting for covariates (hazard ratio [HR] 1.531, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.112-2.141, p = 0.023) and IPTW (HR 1.491, 95% CI 1.174-1.992, p = 0.012). The secondary analysis showed that amiodarone and class Ic drugs were associated with an increased risk of HHF. The low number of subjects in the sotalol group limits data interpretation.

CONCLUSION

For patients with AF and CAD, dronedarone was associated with better cardiovascular outcomes than other AADs. Amiodarone and class Ic AADs were associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular events, particularly HHF.

Atrial Fibrillation Prevalence Rates and Its Association with Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Factors: SIMETAP-AF Study

Background and Objectives: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most frequent arrhythmia and the main cause of hospital admissions for cardioembolic stroke. The SIMETAP research project aims to update the prevalence rates of cardiovascular, renal, or metabolic factors and to evaluate their respective associations with factors that could be related. The present study aims to assess the AF prevalence rates in an adult population and its association with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) factors. Materials and Methods: This cross-sectional observational study was conducted in a primary care setting, with a population-based random sample of 6588 people aged 18.0-102.8 years. Crude and adjusted prevalence rates of AF were calculated. The associations of CKM factors with AF were assessed using bivariate and multivariate analysis. Results: The age- and sex-adjusted prevalence rates of AF were 2.9% in the overall adult population, 6.1% in the population aged ≥50 years, and 12.9% in the population aged ≥70 years, with no significant differences by sex. AF prevalence in the population under 50 years of age barely reached 1‰. Heart failure (HF), hypertension, chronic kidney disease (CKD), stroke, low HDL-cholesterol, and prediabetes were independent CKM factors associated with AF in the overall population, as were the same factors, except prediabetes, in the population ≥50 years old (p < 0.001). High or very high vascular risk was present in 92.4% [95% CI: 89.1-95.7]) of the population with AF. Conclusions: The adjusted prevalence rate of AF in the population aged 50 years or older was 6.1%, twice that of the overall adult population and half that of the population aged 70 years or older. The main independent CKM factors associated with AF were HF, stroke, CKD, hypertension, and low HDL-cholesterol.

Risk of stroke in male and female patients with atrial fibrillation in a nationwide cohort

Female sex has been suggested as a risk modifier for stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) with comorbid prevalent stroke risk factors. Management has evolved over time towards a holistic approach that may have diminished any sex difference in AF-related stroke. In a nationwide cohort of AF patients free from oral anticoagulant treatment, we examine the time trends in stroke risk overall and in relation to risk differences between male and female patients. Here we show that among 158,982 patients with AF (median age 78 years (IQR: 71 to 85); 52% female) the 1-year thromboembolic risk was highest between 1997-2000 with a risk of 5.6% and lowest between 2013-2016 with a risk of 3.8%, declining over the last two decades. The excess stroke risk for female vs male patients has also been declining, with risk-score adjusted relative risk estimates suggesting limited sex-difference in recent years.

Accumulated β-catenin is associated with human atrial fibrosis and atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risk of stroke and mortality. It has been reported that the process of atrial fibrosis was regulated by β-catenin in rats with AF. However, pathophysiological mechanisms of this process in human with AF remain unclear. This study aims to investigate the possible mechanisms of β-catenin in participating in the atrial fibrosis using human right atrial appendage (hRAA) tissues .

METHODS

We compared the difference of β-catenin expression in hRAA tissues between the patients with AF and sinus rhythm (SR). The possible function of β-catenin in the development of AF was also explored in mice and primary cells.

RESULTS

Firstly, the space between the membrane of the gap junctions of cardiomyocytes was wider in the AF group. Secondly, the expression of the gap junction function related proteins, Connexin40 and Connexin43, was decreased, while the expression of β-catenin and its binding partner E-cadherin was increased in hRAA and cardiomyocytes of the AF group. Thirdly, β-catenin colocalized with E-cadherin on the plasma membrane of cardiomyocytes in the SR group, while they were dissociated and accumulated intracellularly in the AF group. Furthermore, the expression of glycogen synthase kinase 3β (GSK-3β) and Adenomatous Polyposis Coli (APC), which participated in the degradation of β-catenin, was decreased in hRAA tissues and cardiomyocytes of the AF group. Finally, the development of atrial fibrosis and AF were proved to be prevented after inhibiting β-catenin expression in the AF model mice.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on human atrial pathological and molecular analyses, our findings provided evidence that β-catenin was associated with atrial fibrosis and AF progression.

Implementation of an atrial fibrillation better care (ABC) pathway management strategy: Findings from the Iranian registry of atrial fibrillation

Introduction

The Atrial Fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway is such an integrated care approach, recommended in guidelines. The aim of this service evaluation study was to evaluate the impact of implementing the ABC pathway in Iranian population.

Methods

In this prospective longitudinal cohort study, consecutive patients with a diagnosis of AF were initially evaluated. Patients at baseline were evaluated in hence of adherence to ABC pathway strategy. After study enrolment, first and second follow-up service evaluations were conducted at 6 and 12 months, respectively.

Results

The use of vitamin K antagonists (VKA) decreased from 25.1 % at enrolment to 13.8 % at follow-up; instead, non-VKA oral anticoagulants (NOAC) utilization increased from 40.0 % to 86.1 %, while antiplatelet treatment decreased from 34.9 % to 0 %. Use of antihypertensive drugs, ARBs, diuretics, and statins increased after implementation of the ABC pathway. Implementation of the ABC pathway approach led to a decrease in the occurrence of stroke/TIA (from 6.3 % to 2.2 %, p = 0.002), systemic thromboembolism (from 1.4 % to 0.0 %, p = 0.04), nose bleeds (from 0.8 % to 0.6 %, p = 0.04), skin bruising (from 1.2 % to 0.0 %, p = 0.002), and heart failure (from 7.7 % to 4.7 %, p = 0.04). The proportion of patients in EHRA Class I-II increased from 93.3 % at enrolment to 98.1 % at follow-up.

Conclusion

In this first study from a Middle East population, compliance with ABC pathway strategy in the management of AF was associated with optimization of management and general improvements in patient outcomes during follow-up.

One-year outcomes of rate versus rhythm control of atrial fibrillation in the Kerala-AF Registry

Background

There is ongoing debate around rate versus rhythm control strategies for managing atrial fibrillation (AF), however, much of the data comes from Western cohorts. Kerala-AF represents the largest prospective AF cohort study from the Indian subcontinent.

Objectives

To compare 12-month outcomes between rate and rhythm control strategies.

Methods

Patients aged ≥18 years with non-transient AF were recruited from 53 hospitals across Kerala. Patients were stratified by rate or rhythm control. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause mortality, arterial thromboembolism, acute coronary syndrome or hospitalization due to heart failure or arrhythmia at 12 months. Secondary outcomes included bleeding events and individual components of the primary. Predictors of the composite outcome were analysed by logistic regression.

Results

A total of 2901 patients (mean age 64.6 years, 51% female) were included (2464 rate control, 437 rhythm control). Rates of the primary composite outcome did not differ between groups (29.7% vs 30.0%; p = .955), nor did any component of the primary. Bleeding outcomes were also similar (1.6% vs 1.9%; p = .848). Independent predictors of the primary composite outcome were older age (aOR 1.01; p = .013), BMI <18 (aOR 1.51; p = .025), permanent AF (aOR 0.78; p = .010), HFpEF (aOR 1.40; p = .023), HFrEF (aOR 1.39; p = .004), chronic kidney disease (aOR 1.36; p < .001), and prior thromboembolism (aOR 1.31; p = .014).

Conclusion

In the Kerala-AF registry, 12-month outcomes did not differ between rate and rhythm control cohorts.

Incidence of All-Cause, Cardiovascular, and Atrial Fibrillation-Related Hospitalizations: Focus on Antiarrhythmic Drugs

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of hospital admission, but few data on reasons for hospitalization and on the role of anti-arrhythmic drugs are available.

Objectives

The purpose of this study was to investigate the incidence rate and factors associated with all-cause, cardiovascular, and AF-related hospitalizations.

Methods

Prospective ongoing ATHERO-AF (Atherosclerosis in Atrial Fibrillation) cohort study enrolling AF patients on oral anticoagulants. Primary end points were all-cause, cardiovascular, and AF-related hospitalization, the latter defined as AF recurrences for paroxysmal AF and high-rate symptomatic AF episodes for persistent/permanent AF patients.

Results

2,782 patients were included (43.5% female; mean age was 74.6 ± 9.1 years). During a mean follow-up of 31 ± 26.8 months, 1,205 (12.1%/year) all-cause, 533 cardiac (5.7%/year), and 180 (2.0%/year) AF-related hospitalizations occurred. Predictors of AF-related hospitalizations were the use of flecainide/propafenone in both paroxysmal and persistent/permanent AF patients (HR: 1.861; 95% CI: 1.116 to 3.101 and 1.947; 95% CI: 1.069 to 3.548, respectively). Amiodarone (HR: 3.012; 95% CI: 1.835-4.943), verapamil/diltiazem (HR: 2.067; 95% CI: 1.117-3.825), and cancer (HR: 1.802; 95% CI: 1.057-3.070) but not beta-blockers and digoxin were associated with an increased risk of AF-related hospitalizations in persistent/permanent AF patients.

Conclusions

Elderly AF patients frequently undergo hospitalizations for both cardiovascular and noncardiovascular causes. The use of anti-arrhythmic drugs was associated with an increased risk of AF-related hospitalization suggesting a scarce effect of these drugs in preventing AF episodes. Therefore, their use should be carefully considered and reserved for symptomatic patients with frequent AF recurrences.

Novel stroke prevention strategies following catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation

Stroke prevention following successful catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation remains a controversial topic. Oral anticoagulation is associated with a significant reduction in stroke risk in the general atrial fibrillation population but may be associated with an increased risk of major bleeding, and the benefit: risk ratio must be considered. Improvement in successful catheter ablation and widespread use of cardiac monitoring devices may allow for novel anticoagulation strategies in a subset of patients with atrial fibrillation, which may optimize stroke prevention while minimizing bleeding risk. In this review, we discuss stroke risk in atrial fibrillation and the effects of successful catheter ablation on thromboembolic risk. We also explore novel strategies for stroke prevention following successful catheter ablation.

Association between antithrombotic drug regimen changes and clinical outcomes after stroke in atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The impact of post-stroke antithrombotic regimen in atrial fibrillation is uncertain.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to describe antithrombotic therapy prescribing patterns after ischemic stroke and the impact on outcomes.

METHODS

A total of 23,165 patients with atrial fibrillation experiencing ischemic stroke were identified. Subsequent post-stroke events included recurrent ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, major bleeding, mortality, and composite outcomes.

RESULTS

Of those who were nonanticoagulated before a stroke, 33.5% remained nonanticoagulated and 39.2% were prescribed only antiplatelet agents (APs) after a stroke. Compared with non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) after stroke, there was a significant increase in ischemic stroke and mortality in nonanticoagulated patients (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.09 and 3.92) and AP users (aHR, 1.32 and 1.28). Post-stroke warfarin was associated with a significantly increased risk of major bleeding compared with NOACs (aHR, 1.23). Of 769 patients receiving NOACs before stroke and continuing NOACs after stroke, those switching to a different NOAC were associated with significantly higher risk of ischemic stroke (aHR, 2.07) and composite outcomes (aHR, 1.36-1.85) with no difference in intracranial hemorrhage, major bleeding, or mortality compared with those receiving the same NOAC after stroke. Of patients receiving NOACs before stroke, the risks of clinical events were similar between patients taking NOACs alone and those taking NOAC plus AP after stroke.

CONCLUSION

NOAC alone after stroke was associated with a better clinical outcome compared with nonanticoagulation, AP, or warfarin. Of patients already taking NOACs before stroke, the addition of AP did not confer additional benefits compared with NOACs alone. A change of NOAC types after stroke was associated with a 2-fold higher risk of ischemic stroke and composite outcomes.

Clinical service organisation for adults with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an increasingly prevalent heart rhythm condition in adults. It is considered a common cardiovascular condition with complex clinical management. The increasing prevalence and complexity in management underpin the need to adapt and innovate in the delivery of care for people living with AF. There is a need to systematically examine the optimal way in which clinical services are organised to deliver evidence-based care for people with AF. Recommended approaches include collaborative, organised multidisciplinary, and virtual (or eHealth/mHealth) models of care.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effects of clinical service organisation for AF versus usual care for people with all types of AF.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE, Embase, and CINAHL to October 2022. We also searched ClinicalTrials.gov and the WHO ICTRP to April 2023. We applied no restrictions on date, publication status, or language.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs), published as full texts and as abstract only, involving adults (≥ 18 years) with a diagnosis of any type of AF. We included RCTs comparing organised clinical service, disease-specific management interventions (including e-health models of care) for people with AF that were multicomponent and multidisciplinary in nature to usual care.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Three review authors independently selected studies, assessed risk of bias, and extracted data from the included studies. We calculated risk ratio (RR) for dichotomous data and mean difference (MD) or standardised mean difference (SMD) for continuous data with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using random-effects analyses. We then calculated the number needed to treat for an additional beneficial outcome (NNTB) using the RR. We performed sensitivity analyses by only including studies with a low risk of selection and attrition bias. We assessed heterogeneity using the I² statistic and the certainty of the evidence according to GRADE. The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and all-cause hospitalisation. The secondary outcomes were cardiovascular mortality, cardiovascular hospitalisation, AF-related emergency department visits, thromboembolic complications, minor cerebrovascular bleeding events, major cerebrovascular bleeding events, all bleeding events, AF-related quality of life, AF symptom burden, cost of intervention, and length of hospital stay.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 8 studies (8205 participants) of collaborative, multidisciplinary care, or virtual care for people with AF. The average age of participants ranged from 60 to 73 years. The studies were conducted in China, the Netherlands, and Australia. The included studies involved either a nurse-led multidisciplinary approach (n = 4) or management using mHealth (n = 2) compared to usual care. Only six out of the eight included studies could be included in the meta-analysis (for all-cause mortality and all-cause hospitalisation, cardiovascular mortality, cardiovascular hospitalisation, thromboembolic complications, and major bleeding), as quality of life was not assessed using a validated outcome measure specific for AF. We assessed the overall risk of bias as high, as all studies had at least one domain at unclear or high risk of bias rating for performance bias (blinding) in particular. Organised AF clinical services probably result in a large reduction in all-cause mortality (RR 0.64, 95% CI 0.46 to 0.89; 5 studies, 4664 participants; moderate certainty evidence; 6-year NNTB 37) compared to usual care. However, organised AF clinical services probably make little to no difference to all-cause hospitalisation (RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.02; 2 studies, 1340 participants; moderate certainty evidence; 2-year NNTB 101) and may not reduce cardiovascular mortality (RR 0.64, 95% CI 0.35 to 1.19; 5 studies, 4564 participants; low certainty evidence; 6-year NNTB 86) compared to usual care. Organised AF clinical services reduce cardiovascular hospitalisation (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.96; 3 studies, 3641 participants; high certainty evidence; 6-year NNTB 28) compared to usual care. Organised AF clinical services may have little to no effect on thromboembolic complications such as stroke (RR 1.14, 95% CI 0.74 to 1.77; 5 studies, 4653 participants; low certainty evidence; 6-year NNTB 588) and major cerebrovascular bleeding events (RR 1.25, 95% CI 0.79 to 1.97; 3 studies, 2964 participants; low certainty evidence; 6-year NNTB 556). None of the studies reported minor cerebrovascular events.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Moderate certainty evidence shows that organisation of clinical services for AF likely results in a large reduction in all-cause mortality, but probably makes little to no difference to all-cause hospitalisation compared to usual care. Organised AF clinical services may not reduce cardiovascular mortality, but do reduce cardiovascular hospitalisation compared to usual care. However, organised AF clinical services may make little to no difference to thromboembolic complications and major cerebrovascular events. None of the studies reported minor cerebrovascular events. Due to the limited number of studies, more research is required to compare different models of care organisation, including utilisation of mHealth. Appropriately powered trials are needed to confirm these findings and robustly examine the effect on inconclusive outcomes. The findings of this review underscore the importance of the co-ordination of care underpinned by collaborative multidisciplinary approaches and augmented by virtual care.

The one-year incidence of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation in Jordan and its associated factors

Background

An elevated risk of stroke is linked to atrial fibrillation (AF). Effective care and prevention measures for individuals with AF require an understanding of the factors impacting the incidence of stroke in this population. Evidence regarding the incidence of stroke among patients with AF is insufficient in Jordan. This study aimed to determine the incidence of stroke and its associated factors among patients with AF in Jordan.

Methods

The Jordan Atrial Fibrillation Registry JoFib was used to identify a total of 2020 AF patients meeting the study inclusion and exclusion criteria. Demographics, clinical characteristics, and the CHA2DS2-VASc score-based evaluation of stroke risk were extracted from the registry.

Results

This study encompassed 2020 participants diagnosed with AF, with 925 (45.8%) being men and 1,095 (54.2%) women. The one-year stroke incidence among the 2020 AF patients was 3.4%. Notably, stroke incidence significantly increased with age (p = 0.04) and was associated with the history of stroke (7.4% vs. 2.7%), hypertension (3.9% vs. 1.9%), and diabetes (5.1% vs. 2.1%). In the multivariate analysis, diabetes (OR = 2.6, 95% CI: 1.5-4.4, p = 0.001) and history of stroke (OR = 2.6, 95% CI: 1.5-4.6, p = 0.001) were significantly associated with stroke incidence.

Conclusion

This study emphasizes Jordan's high stroke rate among AF patients. Diabetes and prior stroke history are associated with increased odds of stroke, like all stroke patients. These results highlight the necessity for specialized management strategies among AF patients and highlight the significance of thorough risk assessment and focused interventions to reduce stroke risk in AF patients.

Pharmacy-Led Management of Atrial Fibrillation: Improving Treatment Adherence and Patient Outcomes

The world's population is ageing, with the number of those over 60 years expected to represent a fifth of the total population by 2050. Increases in chronic long-term health conditions (LTCs) associated with ageing, and requiring regular but often avoidable medical intervention, are pressurising already overloaded, health and social care systems. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an LTC, which is most frequently diagnosed in the elderly. An often, asymptomatic condition, AF is associated with a 3- to 5-fold increased risk of severe ischemic stroke. Stroke prevention, with risk-stratified oral anticoagulants (OACs) is the standard recommended care for patients with AF. Stroke avoidance is, however, dependent on persistent adherence to OAC medication, with an adherence rate of >80% considered necessary to achieve optimal health outcomes. Suboptimal adherence to OACs is common, with a third of all AF patients not taking their medication as prescribed. This combined with the short half-life of OACs can result in poor clinical outcomes for patients. Policy makers now consider improving adherence to prescribed medicines for LTCs, a public health priority, to ensure better health outcomes for patients, whilst minimising unnecessary health system costs. Prescribing medicines to treat LTCs, such as AF, is not enough, particularly when the patient may not experience any measurable benefit to the treatment and may instead, experience medication-associated adverse events, including a risk of bleeding. Pharmacists who are experts in medicines management are ideally placed to support medication adherence, to educate, and to improve health outcomes for patients with AF. In this review, I will consider the evidence for poor medication adherence in LTCs and in particular adherence to OACs in patients with AF and highlight the role that pharmacists can play in ensuring optimal adherence and showcase pharmacist-led interventions that effectively address this problem.

Usefulness of the C2HEST score to predict new onset atrial fibrillation. A systematic review and meta-analysis on >11 million subjects

BACKGROUND

The incidence of new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is increasing in the last decades. NOAF is associated with worse long-term prognosis. The C2HEST score has been recently proposed to stratify the risk of NOAF. Pooled data on the performance of the C2HEST score are lacking.

METHODS

Systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies reporting data on NOAF according to the C2HEST score. We searched PubMed, Web of Science and Google scholar databases without time restrictions until June 2023 according to PRISMA guidelines. Meta-analysis of the area under the curve (AUC) with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) and a sensitivity analysis according to setting of care and countries were performed.

RESULTS

Of 360 studies, 17 were included in the analysis accounting for 11,067,496 subjects/patients with 307,869 NOAF cases. Mean age ranged from 41.3 to 71.2 years. The prevalence of women ranged from 10.6 to 54.75%. The pooled analysis gave an AUC of .70 (95% CI .66-.74). A subgroup analysis on studies from general population/primary care yielded an AUC of 0.69 (95% CI 0.64-0.75). In the subgroup of patients with cardiovascular disease, the AUC was .71 (.69-.79). The C2HEST score performed similarly in Asian (AUC .72, 95% CI .68-.77), and in Western patients (AUC .68, 95% CI .62-.75). The best performance was observed in studies with a mean age <50 years (n = 3,144,704 with 25,538 NOAF, AUC .78, 95% CI .76-.79).

CONCLUSION

The C2HEST score may be used to predict NOAF in primary and secondary prevention patients, and in patients across different countries. Early detection of NOAF may aid prompt initiation of management and follow-up, potentially leading to a reduction of AF-related complications.

Clinical outcomes of patients with atrial fibrillation in relation to multimorbidity status changes over time and the impact of ABC pathway compliance: a nationwide cohort study

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly have associated comorbidities. The primary aim was to determine the effect of increasing numbers of comorbidity on clinical outcomes. The secondary aims were (1) the association of comorbidities with oral anticoagulants (OAC) discontinuation, and quality control, (2) the impact of holistic care based on the ABC pathway on clinical outcomes. The primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death, ischemic stroke/systemic embolism, major bleeding, and heart failure. A total of 3405 patients were enrolled; mean age 67.8 ± 11.3 years, 41.8% female. Compared to low comorbidity group [n = 897 (26.3%)], hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the composite outcome in the high [n = 929 (27.3%)] and moderate comorbidity [n = 1579 (46.4%)] groups were 5.40 (4.20-6.94) and 2.54 (1.97-3.27), respectively. ABC pathway adherence was associated with reduction of the composite outcome overall (HR 0.63; 0.54-0.74). High comorbidity adversely impacted on OAC use, OAC discontinuation, and quality of warfarin control. If quality of anticoagulation control was included as part of the ABC pathway adherence, the reduction in composite outcome risk was greater (HR 0.46; 0.36-0.58). During 3-year follow-up, 33.9% changed from low- to the moderate-high comorbidity groups and 22.3% changed from moderate- to the high comorbidity group. In conclusion, comorbidity burden in AF patients is an important determinant of clinical outcomes, and changed over time. OAC use, OAC discontinuation, and quality of OAC control were impacted by comorbidity burden. ABC pathway adherence was associated with a reduced risk of adverse clinical outcomes.

Comparing the outcomes of rheumatic heart disease in pregnancy complicated with and without atrial fibrillation: A propensity score matched analysis

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) may increase the risk of adverse maternal and fetal outcomes among pregnant with rheumatic valvular lesions (RHD). We aimed to assess the rate of occurrence of AF in pregnant with RHD and its impact on cardiac and maternal-fetal outcomes compared to those without it.

METHODS

The study group consisted of pregnant women with RHD and AF (cases) and a matched comparison group of pregnant women with RHD but without AF (controls) was derived from the database of pregnant women with RHD receiving care at our center between 2011 and 2021. Incidence of composite adverse outcomes(maternal death, heart failure, or thrombo-embolic events) and pregnancy outcomes were compared between them.

RESULTS

Seventy-one (5.1%; 95%CI 4.1%-6.4%) pregnant women with RHD had AF during pregnancy and childbirth, most occurring in the late second or early third trimester. New-onset AF was diagnosed in 34 (47.9%) of them. After matching, the incidence of composite outcome was higher in women with AF (77.5% (95%CI 66.3%-85.7%) compared to women without AF (17.3%(95%CI 13.3%-22.1%), P < .001), with seven (9.9%) maternal deaths among cases and two (0.7%) in controls. Heart failure was the most common adverse cardiac event (26.7% vs. 4.2%, P < .001, cases vs controls). Those with AF had higher odds (adjusted OR 56.6 (14.1-226.8)) of adverse cardiac outcomes after adjusting for other risk factors. The frequency of most non-cardiac pregnancy complications was similar in both groups. However, there was a trend towards a higher rate of miscarriage (16.9% vs. 9.9%), small-for-gestational-age babies(16.3 vs. 9.0%), and cesarean rates(31.9% vs. 18.3%) women with AF compared to those who did not experience AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Atrial fibrillation in pregnancy among women with RHD was associated with an increased risk of maternal morbidity and mortality, with a trend towards an increase in some non-cardiac pregnancy complications compared to those pregnant women without AF. Our study results provide background data for developing and implementing a pregnancy-specific management strategy tailored to middle-income settings.

Screening and detection of atrial fibrillation in primary care: current practice and future perspectives

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia associated with an increased risk of stroke, which can be effectively reduced by prophylaxis initiation and integrated care to reduce cardiovascular risk and AF-related complications. Screening for AF has the potential to improve long-term clinical outcomes through timely AF detection in asymptomatic patients. With the central role of primary care in most European healthcare systems in terms of disease detection, treatment, as well as record keeping, primary care is ideally situated as a setting for AF screening efforts. In this review, we provide an overview of evidence relating to AF screening in primary care. We discuss current practices of AF detection and screening, evidence from AF screening trials conducted in primary care settings, stakeholder views on barriers and facilitators for AF screening in primary care, and important aspects that will likely shape routine primary care AF detection as well as AF screening efforts. Finally, we present a potential outline for a primary care-centred AF screening trial coupled to integrated AF care that could further improve the benefit of AF screening.

Novel Anticoagulants for Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation: A Comprehensive Review

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a prevalent cardiac arrhythmia associated with an increased risk of stroke due to disrupted heart function and potential clot formation. This review examines current management strategies for stroke prevention in AF, focusing on the efficacy, safety, and long-term outcomes of anticoagulation therapies. Anticoagulants, including novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) and vitamin K antagonists, play a crucial role in reducing stroke risk by preventing clot formation in the heart. Recent studies highlight NOACs as superior alternatives to traditional therapies, offering improved safety profiles and enhanced patient adherence. Despite the risk of bleeding complications, judicious use of anticoagulants significantly improves clinical outcomes in AF patients. The review synthesizes evidence from clinical trials and meta-analyses to underscore the pivotal role of NOACs in transforming stroke prevention strategies in AF. Moreover, it discusses emerging interventions such as left atrial appendage occlusion and emphasizes the importance of personalized, patient-centered care in optimizing treatment decisions for AF patients at risk of stroke.

Use of digital patient decision-support tools for atrial fibrillation treatments: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effects of digital patient decision-support tools for atrial fibrillation (AF) treatment decisions in adults with AF.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Eligible randomised controlled trials (RCTs) evaluated digital patient decision-support tools for AF treatment decisions in adults with AF.

INFORMATION SOURCES

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE and Scopus from 2005 to 2023.Risk-of-bias (RoB) assessment: We assessed RoB using the Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool 2 for RCTs and cluster RCT and the ROBINS-I tool for quasi-experimental studies.

SYNTHESIS OF RESULTS

We used random effects meta-analysis to synthesise decisional conflict and patient knowledge outcomes reported in RCTs. We performed narrative synthesis for all outcomes. The main outcomes of interest were decisional conflict and patient knowledge.

RESULTS

13 articles, reporting on 11 studies (4 RCTs, 1 cluster RCT and 6 quasi-experimental) met the inclusion criteria. There were 2714 participants across all studies (2372 in RCTs), of which 26% were women and the mean age was 71 years. Socioeconomically disadvantaged groups were poorly represented in the included studies. Seven studies (n=2508) focused on non-valvular AF and the mean CHAD2DS2-VASc across studies was 3.2 and for HAS-BLED 1.9. All tools focused on decisions regarding thromboembolic stroke prevention and most enabled calculation of individualised stroke risk. Tools were heterogeneous in features and functions; four tools were patient decision aids. The readability of content was reported in one study. Meta-analyses showed a reduction in decisional conflict (4 RCTs (n=2167); standardised mean difference -0.19; 95% CI -0.30 to -0.08; p=0.001; I2=26.5%; moderate certainty evidence) corresponding to a decrease in 12.4 units on a scale of 0 to 100 (95% CI -19.5 to -5.2) and improvement in patient knowledge (2 RCTs (n=1057); risk difference 0.72, 95% CI 0.68, 0.76, p<0.001; I2=0%; low certainty evidence) favouring digital patient decision-support tools compared with usual care. Four of the 11 tools were publicly available and 3 had been implemented in healthcare delivery.

CONCLUSIONS

In the context of stroke prevention in AF, digital patient decision-support tools likely reduce decisional conflict and may result in little to no change in patient knowledge, compared with usual care. Future studies should leverage digital capabilities for increased personalisation and interactivity of the tools, with better consideration of health literacy and equity aspects. Additional robust trials and implementation studies are warranted.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42020218025.

Estimating the impact of implementing an integrated care management approach with Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway for patients with atrial fibrillation in England from 2020 to 2040

BACKGROUND

Stroke prevention is central to the management of atrial fibrillation (AF), but there remains a residual risk of adverse outcomes in anticoagulated AF patients. Hence, current guidelines have proposed a more holistic or integrated approach to AF management, based on the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway, as follows: (A) avoid stroke with anticoagulation; (B) better symptom control with patient-centred symptom directed decisions on rate or rhythm control; and (C) cardiovascular and comorbidity management, including lifestyle factors. There has been no formal healthcare cost analysis from the UK National Health Service (NHS) perspective of ABC pathway implementation to optimize the management of AF. Our aim was to estimate the number of patients with AF in the UK each year up to 2040, their morbidity and mortality, and the associated healthcare costs, and secondly, to estimate improvements in morbidity and mortality of implementing an ABC pathway, and the impact on costs.

RESULTS

In 2020, there were an estimated 1 463 538 AF patients, resulting in £286 million of stroke care and £191 million of care related to bleeds annually. By 2030, it is expected that there will be 2 115 332 AF patients, resulting in £666 million of stroke healthcare and £444 million of healthcare related to bleeds. By 2040, this is expected to rise to 2 856 489 AF patients, with £1096 million of stroke healthcare and £731 million of healthcare related to bleeds for that year. If in 2040 patients are managed on an ABC pathway, this could prevent between 3724 and 18 622 strokes and between 5378 and 26 890 bleeds, and save between 16 131 and 80 653 lives depending on the proportion of patients managed on the pathway. This would equate to cost reductions of between £143.9 million and £719.6 million for the year.

CONCLUSION

We estimate that there will be a substantial healthcare burden in the UK NHS associated with AF, from strokes, bleeds, and mortality over the next decades. If patients are managed with a holistic or integrated care approach based on the ABC pathway, this could prevent strokes and bleeds that equate to substantial NHS healthcare cost reductions, and save lives.

Association between changes in renal function and clinical outcomes in anticoagulated atrial fibrillation patients with marginal renal function. A nationwide observational cohort study

Background

Renal function is one of the crucial components for determining the dose and type of oral anticoagulants in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients, and is also closely associated with the risks of stroke and bleeding. This study aimed to assess renal function changes and their impact on clinical outcomes in anticoagulated AF patients with marginal renal function.

Methods

From a Korean claims database, patients with AF on anticoagulants and a baseline eGFR of 45 to <60 ml/min/1.73 m2 were studied. Patients were grouped by changes in renal function over two years-maintained, improved (eGFR >60 ml/min/1.73 m2), or worsened (eGFR <45 ml/min/1.73 m2)-the study analyzed outcomes including ischemic stroke, major bleeding, end-stage renal disease (ESRD), all-cause death, and a composite of clinical outcomes.

Results

A total of 5,126 patients were included in the study: 2,170 (42.3%) in the maintained group, 2,276 (44.4%) in the improved group, and 680 (13.1%) in the group with worsened renal function. The worsened group was older and had more prevalent comorbidities than other groups. After multivariable adjustment, the worsened group was associated with significantly higher risks of major bleeding (adjusted hazard ratio, 95% confidence interval; 1.46, 1.03-2.07, p = 0.035), ESRD (1.49, 1.24-1.80, p < 0.001), all-cause death (9.29, 4.92-17.6, p < 0.001), and the composite outcome (1.57, 1.36-1.83, p < 0.001).

Conclusions

In anticoagulated AF patients with marginal renal function, a substantial proportion of patients experienced renal function decline below eGFR 45 ml/min/1.73 m2 within 2 years. Renal function decline was associated with higher risks of major bleeding, ESRD, all-cause death, and the composite outcome compared to those who maintained their baseline renal function.

Social determinants of health and clinical outcomes among patients with atrial fibrillation: evidence from a global federated health research network

BACKGROUND

Few studies have investigated the role of social determinants of health (SDoH) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

AIM

To investigate the relationship between SDoH and adverse events in a large multinational AF cohort.

DESIGN

Retrospective study utilizing a global federated health research network (TriNetX).

METHODS

Patients with AF were categorized as socially deprived defined according to ICD codes based on three SDoHs: (i) extreme poverty; (ii) unemployment; and/or (iii) problems related with living alone. The outcomes were the 5-year risk of a composite outcomes of all-cause death, hospitalization, ischemic heart disease (IHD), stroke, heart failure (HF) or severe ventricular arrhythmias. Cox regression was used to compute hazard rate ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) following 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM).

RESULTS

The study included 24 631 socially deprived (68.8 ± 16.0 years; females 51.8%) and 2 462 092 non-deprived AF patients (75.5 ± 13.1 years; females 43.8%). Before PSM, socially deprived patients had a higher risk of the composite outcome (HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.87-1.93), all-cause death (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.28-1.39), hospitalization (HR 2.01, 95% CI 1.98-2.04), IHD (HR 1.67, 95% CI 1.64-1.70), stroke (HR 2.60, 95% CI 2.51-2.64), HF (HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.86-1.96) and severe ventricular arrhythmias (HR 1.83, 95% CI 1.76-1.90) compared to non-deprived AF patients. The PSM-based hazard ratios for the primary composite outcome were 1.54 (95% CI 1.49-1.60) for the unemployed AF patients; 1.39 (95% CI 1.31-1.47) for patients with extreme poverty or with low income; and 1.42 (95% CI 1.37-1.47) for those with problems related with living alone.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with AF, social deprivation is associated with an increased risk of death and adverse cardiac events. The presence of possible unmeasured bias associated with the retrospective design requires confirmation in future prospective studies.

The pathway to diagnosis and follow-up care for atrial fibrillation in Sri Lanka: a descriptive longitudinal study

Background

Early diagnosis and continuity of care is vital for atrial fibrillation (AF), to reduce stroke ; There is a lack of understanding of when and how AF is being diagnosed and managed the care pathway) in in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). We aimed to identify the AF care pathway in Northern Province, Sri Lanka and determine how the COVID-19 pandemic impacted the care pathway.

Methods

This descriptive longitudinal study utilised two quantitative questionnaires to evaluate the AF pathway: The first questionnaire (baseline) was used to identify where AF was being diagnosed and the second questionnaire (3 months following baseline) was used to identify where and how often AF follow-up care was being received. How the COVID-19 pandemic impacted the care pathway was asked in the second questionnaire. We aimed to recruit 236 adults (≥18 years) with AF from Jaffna Teaching Hospital. Data were collected between October 2020 and June 2021 and analysed using descriptive statistics.

Results

151 participants were recruited (median age 57 years; 70% female). Most participants were diagnosed in the accident & emergency (38%) or inpatient department (26%), followed by an outpatient department (19%) or private facility (16%). Nearly all (97%) participants received follow-up care during the study period, with an average of 1.3 AF-related healthcare visits per person for a month; most visited an outpatient department (88%). The COVID-19 pandemic negatively impacted 39% of participants' care: healthcare visits were reduced or, delayed or medications were unattainable, and longer intervals between blood tests were experienced; however, 24% of participants were able to receive their medication by ambulance, public health staff or post during lockdowns.

Conclusions

Primary care was not involved in the diagnosis of AF, indicating that most diagnoses occurr after a medical emergency. The frequency of blood tests was lower than the guideline recommendations of one per month which could in-part be due to the adverse impacts of the pandemic. Strengthening primary and community-based care may enable early diagnosis and improve continuity of care during and beyond future healthcare crises.

Clinical Impact of Early Rhythm Control and Healthy Lifestyles in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

There are limited data regarding the combined effect of early rhythm control (ERC) and healthy lifestyle (HLS) behaviors on the risk of ischemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to evaluate how the combination of ERC and HLS behaviors affects the risk of ischemic stroke in patients with AF.

METHODS

Using the Korean National Health Insurance database, we included patients with new-onset AF between 2009 and 2016 (n = 208,662). Patients who received rhythm control therapy within 2 years after AF diagnosis were defined as the ERC group. Patients with ≥2 HLS behaviors were defined as the HLS group. Patients were categorized into 4 groups: group 1, without ERC and without HLS (n = 46,972); group 2, with HLS alone (n = 110,479); group 3, with ERC alone (n = 15,133); and group 4, with both ERC and HLS (n = 36,078). The primary outcome was ischemic stroke.

RESULTS

Compared to group 1, group 2 and group 3 were associated with a lower risk of stroke (HR: 0.769 [95% CI: 0.728-0.881] and HR: 0.774 [95% CI: 0.703-0.852], respectively). Group 4 showed the lowest risk of stroke (HR: 0.575; 95% CI: 0.536-0.617). After propensity score weighting, the incorporation of additional ERC alongside HLS was associated with a relative risk reduction of 22% for stroke, and additional HLS alongside ERC were associated with a relative risk reduction of 27% for stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Each of ERC and HLS might reduce the risk of ischemic stroke in patients with new-onset AF. The presence of both ERC and HLS is associated with an enhanced benefit for stroke prevention in this population.

Adherence to the atrial fibrillation better care pathway and its associated factors among rural patients with atrial fibrillation in China: A cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

The atrial fibrillation better care (ABC) pathway is an effective strategy for the integrated management of atrial fibrillation (AF). Current data on adherence to the ABC pathway among rural patients with AF in China are limited.

OBJECTIVES

To investigated adherence to the ABC pathway and its associated factors among rural patients with AF in China.

METHODS

In the cross-sectional study, we recruited 870 rural patients with AF from July 2022 to July 2023 in China. AF-related sociodemographic and clinical data was collected.

RESULTS

Among the 870 rural patients with AF, 437 (50.23 %) were male, 714 (82.07 %) were ≥65 years old. The level of adherence to ABC pathway was extremely low (5.75 %), and its associated factors included patients ≥75 years (compared with those <65 years, OR=0.165, 95 %CI: 0.065-0.417, P < 0.001), junior middle school and senior middle school education or above (compared with primary school education or below, OR=3.441, 95 %CI: 1.144-10.351, P = 0.028; OR=11.438, 95 %CI: 3.758-34.814, P < 0.001), average monthly household income per capita 1000-3000 RMB and >3000 RMB (compared with <1000 RMB, OR=3.993, 95 %CI: 1.343-11.877, P = 0.013; OR=4.474, 95 %CI: 1.478-13.541, P = 0.008), persistent AF (compared with paroxysmal AF, OR=0.062, 95 %CI: 0.008-0.466, P = 0.007) and multimorbidity (OR=0.356, 95 %CI: 0.163-0.781, P = 0.010).

CONCLUSIONS

There is an urgent need to develop targeted interventions and national policies to improve the adherence to the ABC pathway of rural AF patients in China.

Clinical Outcomes in Metabolically Healthy and Unhealthy Obese and Overweight Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: Findings From the GLORIA-AF Registry

OBJECTIVE

To explore the association between metabolic status, body mass index (BMI), and natural history of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

The global, prospective GLORIA-AF Registry Phase II and III included patients with recent diagnosis of AF between November 2011 and December 2014 for Phase II and between January 2014 and December 2016 for Phase III. With this analysis, we categorized patients with AF according to BMI (normal weight [18.5 to 24.9 kg/m2], overweight [25.0 to 29.9 kg/m2], obese [30.0 to 60.0 kg/m2]) and metabolic status (presence of hypertension, diabetes, and hyperlipidemia). We analyzed risk of major outcomes using multivariable Cox regression analyses; the primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events.

RESULTS

There were 24,828 (mean age, 70.1±10.3 years; 44.6% female) patients with AF included. Higher BMI was associated with metabolically unhealthy status and higher odds of receiving oral anticoagulants and other treatments. Normal-weight unhealthy patients showed a higher risk of the primary composite outcome (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.20; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.42) and thromboembolism, whereas a lower risk of cardiovascular death (aHR, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.14 to 0.88) and major adverse cardiovascular events (aHR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.33 to 0.93) was observed in metabolically healthy obese individuals. Unhealthy metabolic groups were also associated with increased risk of major bleeding (aHR, 1.51 [95% CI, 1.04 to 2.20] and aHR, 1.96 [95% CI, 1.34 to 2.85] in overweight and obese groups, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Increasing BMI was associated with poor metabolic status and with more intensive treatment. Prognosis was heterogeneous between BMI groups, with metabolically unhealthy patients showing higher risk of adverse events.

Oral anticoagulants and cognitive impairment in patients with atrial fibrillation: A systematic review with meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis

BACKGROUND

This systematic review assesses the likelihood of developing dementia and cognitive impairment in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) receiving non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) as opposed to vitamin K antagonists (VKAs).

METHODS

We performed a systematic review with meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis (TSA), which encompassed both randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies. The objective was to assess the impact of NOACs and VKAs on the incidence of dementia in individuals diagnosed with AF.

RESULTS

Out of 1914 studies that were screened, 31 studies were included in the final analysis, which consisted of nine RCTs or their subsequent post-hoc analyses, in addition to 22 observational studies. The meta-analysis shows that NOACs were associated with a decreased probability of developing dementia of any cause [Rate Ratio (RR): 0.88; 95 % confidence interval (95 % CI): 0.82-0.94], especially in patients below the age of 75 (RR: 0.78; 95 % CI: 0.73-0.84). Consistent patterns were observed across all forms of dementia and cognitive function decline. The overall evidence indicates notable variability in the outcome with a moderate-to-low degree of certainty. The TSA suggests that the total sample size of the included trials (155,647 patients) was significantly smaller than the required information size of 784,692 patients to discern the true effect of NOAC versus VKA in terms of reducing dementia risk.

CONCLUSION

NOACs may reduce the likelihood of developing dementia in patients with AF, particularly in those under the age of 75. This review highlights the urgent necessity for thorough research to determine the efficacy of NOACs in safeguarding cognitive health.

Educational status and the risk of adverse outcomes in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation: a report from the prospective APHRS-AF Registry

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of educational status (ES) on the clinical course of Asian patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

We used data from the prospective APHRS-AF Registry. ES was classified as follows: low (primary school), medium (secondary), and high (University). The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death, thromboembolic events, acute coronary syndrome, and heart failure. Secondary outcomes were each component of the primary outcome, cardiovascular death, and major bleeding. The one-year risk of primary and secondary outcomes was assessed through Cox-regressions. Adherence to the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway was assessed.

RESULTS

Among 2697 AF patients (69±12 years, 34.8% females), 34.6% had low ES; 37.3% had medium ES; and 28.1% had high ES. Compared to patients with medium-high ES, patients with low ES were older, more often females, with a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors, and a lower ABC pathway adherence (30.4% vs. 40.2%, P<0.001). On multivariable analysis, low ES was associated with a higher risk for the primary outcome (HR 1.52,95%CI 1.11-2.06) and all-cause death (HR 1.76,95%CI 1.10-2.83) than medium-high ES. A significant interaction was found for the risk of composite outcome among the different age strata, with the higher risk in the elderly (P for int=0.008), whereas the beneficial effect of the ABC pathway was irrespective of ES (P for int=0.691).

CONCLUSIONS

In Asian AF patients, low ES is associated with high mortality. Efforts to improve education and include ES evaluation in the integrated care approach for AF are necessary to reduce the cardiovascular burden in these patients.

Systolic blood pressure visit-to-visit variability and outcomes in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation

We aimed to assess the association between SBP-VVV and outcomes in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). AF patients in the COOL-AF registry with SBP measured at baseline, and at least two other visits were studied. We defined SBP-VVV using the standard deviation (SD) of average SBP. Patients were categorized according to the quartiles of SBP SD. The associations between SBP-VVV and outcomes were assessed in the adjusted Cox model. We studied 3172 patients (mean age 67.7 years; 41.8% female), with the prevalence of hypertension being 69%. Warfarin was used in 69% of patients, whereas 7% received non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants. The minimum and maximum SD of average SBP in the study population was 0.58 and 56.38 mmHg respectively. The cutoff of SD of average SBP for each quartile in our study were 9.09, 12.15, and 16.21 mmHg. The rates of all-cause mortality, ischemic stroke or systemic embolization (SSE), major bleeding, and intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) were 3.10, 1.42, 2.09, and 0.64 per 100 person-years, respectively. Compared with the first quartile, patients in the fourth quartile had a significantly higher risk of mortality (adjusted HR 1.60, 95%CI 1.13-2.25), bleeding (aHR 1.92, 95%CI 1.25-2.96) and ICH (aHR 3.51, 95%CI 1.40-8.76). The risk of SSE was not significantly different among the quartiles. SBP-VVV had a significant impact on the long-term outcomes of Asian patients with AF, particularly mortality and bleeding. Adequate SBP control and maintaining SBP stability over time may improve outcomes for AF patients.

Clinical decision support systems to optimize adherence to anticoagulant guidelines in patients with atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

Clinical decision support systems (CDSS) have been utilized as a low-cost intervention to improve healthcare process measures. Thus, we aim to estimate CDSS efficacy to optimize adherence to oral anticoagulant guidelines in eligible patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) retrieved from PubMed, WOS, SCOPUS, EMBASE, and CENTRAL through August 2023. We used RevMan V. 5.4 to pool dichotomous data using risk ratio (RR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI).

PROSPERO ID

CRD42023471806.

RESULTS

We included nine RCTs with a total of 25,573 patients. There was no significant difference, with the use of CDSS compared to routine care, in the number of patients prescribed anticoagulants (RR: 1.06, 95% CI [0.98, 1.14], P = 0.16), the number of patients prescribed antiplatelets (RR: 1.01 with 95% CI [0.97, 1.06], P = 0.59), all-cause mortality (RR: 1.19, 95% CI [0.31, 4.50], P = 0.80), major bleeding (RR: 0.84, 95% CI [0.21, 3.45], P = 0.81), and clinically relevant non-major bleeding (RR: 1.05, 95% CI [0.52, 2.16], P = 0.88). However, CDSS was significantly associated with reduced incidence of myocardial infarction (RR: 0.18, 95% CI [0.06, 0.54], P = 0.002) and cerebral or systemic embolic event (RR: 0.11, 95% CI [0.01, 0.83], P = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

We report no significant difference with the use of CDSS compared to routine care in anticoagulant or antiplatelet prescription in eligible patients with AF. CDSS was associated with a reduced incidence of myocardial infarction and cerebral or systemic embolic events.

Understanding for whom, under what conditions, and how an integrated approach to atrial fibrillation service delivery works: a realist review

AIMS

To understand for whom, under what conditions, and how an integrated approach to atrial fibrillation (AF) service delivery works (or does not work).

METHODS AND RESULTS

A realist review of integrated approaches to AF service delivery for adult populations aged ≥18 years. An expert panel developed an initial programme theory, searched and screened literature from four databases until October 2022, extracted and synthesized data using realist techniques to create context-mechanism-outcome configurations for integrated approaches to AF service, and developed an integrated approach refined programme theory. A total of 5433 documents were screened and 39 included. The refined programme theory included five context-mechanism-outcome configurations for how clinical and system-wide outcomes are affected by the way integrated approaches to AF service delivery are designed and delivered. This review identifies core mechanisms underpinning the already known fundamental components of integrated care. This includes having a central coordinator responsible for service organization to provide continuity of care across primary and secondary care ensuring services are patient centred. Additionally, a fifth pillar, lifestyle and risk factor reduction, should be recognized within an AF care pathway.

CONCLUSION

It is evident from our provisional theory that numerous factors need to interlink and interact over time to generate a successfully integrated model of care in AF. Stakeholders should embrace this complexity and acknowledge that the learnings from this review are integral to shaping future service delivery in the face of an aging population and increased prevalence of AF.

Management of cerebral amyloid angiopathy and atrial fibrillation: We are still far from precision medicine

The use of anticoagulation therapy could prove to be controversial when trying to balance ischemic stroke and intracranial bleeding risks in patients with concurrent cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA) and atrial fibrillation (AF). In fact, CAA is an age-related cerebral vasculopathy that predisposes patients to intracerebral hemorrhage. Nevertheless, many AF patients require oral systemic dose-adjusted warfarin, direct oral anticoagulants (such as factor Xa inhibitors) or direct thrombin inhibitors to control often associated with cardioembolic stroke risk. The prevalence of both CAA and AF is expected to rise, due to the aging of the population. This clinical dilemma is becoming increasingly common. In patients with coexisting AF and CAA, the risks/benefits profile of anticoagulant therapy must be assessed for each patient individually due to the lack of a clear-cut consensus with regard to its risks in scientific literature. This review aims to provide an overview of the management of patients with concomitant AF and CAA and proposes the implementation of a risk-based decision-making algorithm.

Predicting multifaceted risks using machine learning in atrial fibrillation: insights from GLORIA-AF study

Aims

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have a higher risk of ischaemic stroke and death. While anticoagulants are effective at reducing these risks, they increase the risk of bleeding. Current clinical risk scores only perform modestly in predicting adverse outcomes, especially for the outcome of death. We aimed to test the multi-label gradient boosting decision tree (ML-GBDT) model in predicting risks for adverse outcomes in a prospective global AF registry.

Methods and results

We studied patients from phase II/III of the Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Anti-Thrombotic Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation registry between 2011 and 2020. The outcomes were all-cause death, ischaemic stroke, and major bleeding within 1 year following the AF. We trained the ML-GBDT model and compared its discrimination with the clinical scores in predicting patient outcomes. A total of 25 656 patients were included [mean age 70.3 years (SD 10.3); 44.8% female]. Within 1 year after AF, ischaemic stroke occurred in 215 (0.8%), major bleeding in 405 (1.6%), and death in 897 (3.5%) patients. Our model achieved an optimized area under the curve in predicting death (0.785, 95% CI: 0.757-0.813) compared with the Charlson Comorbidity Index (0.747, P = 0.007), ischaemic stroke (0.691, 0.626-0.756) compared with CHA2DS2-VASc (0.613, P = 0.028), and major bleeding (0.698, 0.651-0.745) as opposed to HAS-BLED (0.607, P = 0.002), with improvement in net reclassification index (10.0, 12.5, and 23.6%, respectively).

Conclusion

The ML-GBDT model outperformed clinical risk scores in predicting the risks in patients with AF. This approach could be used as a single multifaceted holistic tool to optimize patient risk assessment and mitigate adverse outcomes when managing AF.

Assessment and Management of Atrial Fibrillation in Older Adults with Frailty

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major driver of morbidity and mortality among older adults with frailty. Moreover, frailty is highly prevalent in older adults with AF. Understanding and addressing the needs of frail older adults with AF is imperative to guide clinicians caring for older adults. In this review, we summarize current evidence to support the assessment and management of older adults with AF and frailty, incorporating numerous recent landmark trials and studies in the context of the 2023 US AF guideline.

Implementation of patient education for patients with atrial fibrillation: nationwide cross-sectional survey and one-year follow-up

AIMS

Clinical practice guidelines recommend patient education for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) as a part of holistic care, however, clinical guidelines lack detailed specification on the content, structure, and delivery of AF education programmes. To examine the implementation of education for patients with AF in Denmark in relation to coverage, organization, and content.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A cross-sectional survey was conducted from February to May 2021. The survey contained questions on the organization, delivery, and content of education for patients with AF from all 29 AF outpatient hospital sites in Denmark. The survey was conducted by email and telephone. One-year follow-up was done in May 2022 by email. Patient education was provided by healthcare professionals in 16 (55%) hospitals. Nurse workforce issues, management, non-prioritization, and lack of guidance for implementation were reasons for the absence of patient education in 13 (45%) hospitals. The structure of patient education differed in relation to group or individual teaching methods and six different education models were used. Content of the AF disease education was generally similar. At 1-year follow-up, another four hospitals reported offering patient education (69% in total).

CONCLUSION

Initially, almost half of the hospitals did not provide patient education, but at 1-year follow-up, 69% of hospitals delivered patient education. Patient education was heterogeneous in relation to delivery, frequency, and duration. Future research should address individualized patient education that may demonstrate superiority in relation to quality of life, less hospital admissions, and increased longevity.

Patterns of comorbidities in patients with atrial fibrillation and impact on management and long-term prognosis: an analysis from the Prospective Global GLORIA-AF Registry

BACKGROUND

Clinical complexity, as the interaction between ageing, frailty, multimorbidity and polypharmacy, is an increasing concern in patients with AF. There remains uncertainty regarding how combinations of comorbidities influence management and prognosis of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to identify phenotypes of AF patients according to comorbidities and to assess associations between comorbidity patterns, drug use and risk of major outcomes.

METHODS

From the prospective GLORIA-AF Registry, we performed a latent class analysis based on 18 diseases, encompassing cardiovascular, metabolic, respiratory and other conditions; we then analysed the association between phenotypes of patients and (i) treatments received and (ii) the risk of major outcomes. Primary outcome was the composite of all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Secondary exploratory outcomes were also analysed.

RESULTS

32,560 AF patients (mean age 70.0 ± 10.5 years, 45.4% females) were included. We identified 6 phenotypes: (i) low complexity (39.2% of patients); (ii) cardiovascular (CV) risk factors (28.2%); (iii) atherosclerotic (10.2%); (iv) thromboembolic (8.1%); (v) cardiometabolic (7.6%) and (vi) high complexity (6.6%). Higher use of oral anticoagulants was found in more complex groups, with highest magnitude observed for the cardiometabolic and high complexity phenotypes (odds ratio and 95% confidence interval CI): 1.76 [1.49-2.09] and 1.57 [1.35-1.81], respectively); similar results were observed for beta-blockers and verapamil or diltiazem. We found higher risk of the primary outcome in all phenotypes, except the CV risk factor one, with highest risk observed for the cardiometabolic and high complexity groups (hazard ratio and 95%CI: 1.37 [1.13-1.67] and 1.47 [1.24-1.75], respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Comorbidities influence management and long-term prognosis of patients with AF. Patients with complex phenotypes may require comprehensive and holistic approaches to improve their prognosis.

Accelerometer-derived physical activity and the risk of death, heart failure, and stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation: a prospective study from UK Biobank

OBJECTIVE

Data on cardiovascular outcomes according to objectively measured physical activity (PA) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are scarce. This study explored the associations between PA derived from wrist-worn accelerometers and the risk of death, incident heart failure (HF), and incident stroke in patients with AF.

METHODS

From 37 990 patients with AF in UK Biobank, 2324 patients with accelerometer data were included. Weekly moderate-to-vigorous PA (MVPA) duration was computed from accelerometer data. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were cardiovascular mortality, incident HF, and incident stroke. Restricted cubic splines estimated the dose-response associations between MVPA duration and the outcomes. The adjusted HRs (aHRs) of the outcomes according to adherence to PA standard guidelines (performing MVPA≥150 min/week) were also evaluated.

RESULTS

The mean age was 66.9±6.2 years and 64.9% were male. During a median follow-up of 6.7 years, there were 181 all-cause deaths, 62 cardiovascular deaths, 225 cases of incident HF, and 91 cases of incident stroke; the overall incidence rate per 1000 patient-years was 11.76, 4.03, 15.16 and 5.99, respectively. There was a linear inverse dose-response relationship between MVPA (≥108 min/week) and all-cause mortality. Performing MVPA for 105-590 min/week was associated with a lower risk of HF than those with no measurable MVPA. The risk of stroke and cardiovascular mortality was not associated with MVPA. Performing guideline-adherent MVPA was related to a 30% lower risk of all-cause mortality (aHR: 0.70 (0.50-0.98), p=0.04) and 33% lower risk of HF (aHR 0.67 (0.49-0.93), p=0.02).

CONCLUSION

In patients with AF, accelerometer-derived PA data supports lower risks of all-cause mortality and HF according to a greater level of MVPA and adherence to PA guidelines. Regular MVPA should be encouraged in patients with AF as a part of integrated management.

[Current situation of direct oral anticoagulants in primary care in Spain: Positioning of SEMERGEN in 2023]

Oral anticoagulation is the key to reduce the risk of stroke in atrial fibrillation. Although vitaminK antagonists (VKA) have classically been used for this purpose, they have been largely overcome by direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC), as demonstrated by evidence from clinical trials, real-life and population studies. In fact, all clinical practice guidelines recommend their use preferentially over VKA. However, in Spain the prescription of DOAC is subordinated to an inspection visa that includes the clinical conditions defined in the Therapeutic Positioning Report of the Spanish Medicines Agency, and that still imposes important restrictions on their use, limiting the benefits of using DOACs in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), and also generating inequalities between the different autonomous communities. In fact, the use of DOAC in Spain is much lower than that observed in neighboring countries. This has made that while in other countries the incidence of ischemic stroke has decreased at the population level, along with a reduction in the cost per patient with AF, in Spain this decrease has been modest. For all these reasons, and for assuring the sustainability of the health care system, we ask for the elimination of the visa so that DOAC can be prescribed according to the recommendations made by the guidelines. In addition, we are also committed to reinforce medical education and decisions made by consensus with the patient, with the primary care physician acquiring a key role in the protection of the patient with AF.

A call for action to include psychosocial management into holistic, integrated care for patients with atrial fibrillation

Contemporary management of atrial fibrillation (AF) has become increasingly complex. Therefore, strong efforts have been made during the past decade to develop models for structured, integrated care for patients with AF. These have also been incorporated in international guidelines for the management of patients with AF. However, implementation of integrated care approaches in daily clinical practice is scarce and far from optimal, and it may require a re-thinking of the structure of the healthcare system. The reasons for the poor implementation are many, from limited time and economic resources to deficits in postgraduate education of healthcare professionals, lack of involvement of patients in how integrated care should be designed, and fragmentation of the healthcare system. Moreover, patients' psychological challenges, which not only impact patients' adherence to treatment but, if untreated, increase their risk of morbidity, mortality, and poor quality of life, are not given sufficient attention. It is time to start a necessary discussion of what integrated care should be, what it should contain, and what is necessary to implement it in daily clinical practice.

Atrial Fibrillation Burden: Impact on Stroke Risk and Beyond

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an important independent risk factor for stroke. Current guidelines handle AF as a binary entity with risk driven by the presence of clinical risk factors, which guides the decision to treat with an oral anticoagulant. Recent studies in the literature suggest a dose-response relationship between AF burden and stroke risk, in both clinical AF and subclinical atrial fibrillation (SCAF), which differs from current guidance to disregard burden and utilize clinical risk scores alone. Within clinical classification and at the same risk levels in various scores, the risk of stroke increases with AF burden. This opens the possibility of incorporating burden into risk profiles, which has already shown promise. Long-term rhythm monitoring is needed to elucidate SCAF in patients with stroke. Recent data from randomized trials are controversial regarding whether there is an independent risk from AF episodes with a duration of less than 24 h, including the duration of SCAF greater than six minutes but less than 24 h.