Thirty-Month Complete Response as a Surrogate End Point in First-Line Follicular Lymphoma Therapy: An Individual Patient-Level Analysis of Multiple Randomized Trials

Effectiveness of R-CHOP versus R-CHOEP for treatment of young patients with high-risk diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: A Danish observational population-based study

PURPOSE

Etoposide to standard R-CHOP is used for high-risk diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) in some countries. Due to the lack of randomized trials, a real-world data study using matching methods was used to test the potential effectiveness of R-CHOEP over R-CHOP.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This study included patients from the Danish Lymphoma Register diagnosed between 2006 and 2020 at the age of 18-60 years with de novo DLBCL and age-adjusted IPI ≥2. R-CHOEP treated patients were matched 1:1 without replacement to R-CHOP treated patients using a hybrid exact and genetic matching technique. Primary endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

In total, 396 patients were included; 213 received R-CHOEP and 183 received R-CHOP. Unadjusted 5-year PFS and OS for R-CHOEP were 69% (95% Confidence intervals [CI]; 63%-76%) and 79% (CI;73%-85%) versus 62% (CI;55%-70%) and 76% (CI;69%-82%) for R-CHOP (log-rank test, PFS p = .25 and OS p = .31). A total of 127 patients treated with R-CHOEP were matched to 127 patients treated with R-CHOP. Matching-adjusted 5-year PFS and OS were 65% (CI; 57%-74%) and 79% (CI; 72%-84%) for R-CHOEP versus 63% (CI; 55%-73%) and 79% (CI;72%-87%) for R-CHOP (log-rank test, PFS p = .90 and OS p = .63).

CONCLUSION

The present study did not confirm superiority of R-CHOEP over R-CHOP for young patients with high-risk DLBCL.

Personalised therapy in follicular lymphoma - is the dial turning?

Follicular lymphoma is the most common indolent lymphoma accounting for approximately 20%-25% of all new non-Hodgkin lymphoma diagnoses in western countries. Whilst outcomes are mostly favorable, the spectrum of clinical phenotypes includes high-risk groups with significantly inferior outcomes. This review discusses recent updates in risk stratification and treatment approaches from upfront treatment for limited and advanced stage follicular lymphoma to the growing options for relapsed, refractory disease with perspectives on how to approach this from a personalized lens. Notable gaps remain on how one can precisely and prospectively select optimal treatment for patients based on varying risks, with an anticipation that an increased understanding of the biology of these different phenotypes and increasing refinement of imaging- and biomarker-based tools will, in time, allow these gaps to be closed.

End Point Surrogacy in First-Line Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia

PURPOSE

Surrogate end points are commonly used to estimate treatment efficacy in clinical studies of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). This patient- and trial-level analysis describes the correlation between progression-free survival (PFS) and minimal residual disease (MRD) with overall survival (OS) in first-line trials for CLL.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

First, patient-level correlation was confirmed using source data from 12 frontline German CLL Study Group (GCLLSG)-trials. Additionally, a joint-frailty copula model was fitted to validate correlation in the setting of targeted therapies (TT). Second, a meta-analysis of first-line phase III trials in CLL from 2008 to 2024 was performed. Treatment effect correlation was quantified from seven GCLLSG and nine published trials, using hazard ratios (HRs) for time-to-event and odds ratios for binary end points.

RESULTS

The GCLLSG analysis set comprised 4,237 patients. Patient-level correlation for PFS/OS was strong with Spearman Rho >0.9. The joint-frailty copula indicated a weak correlation for chemotherapy/chemoimmunotherapy (C/CIT) with a tau of 0.52 (95% CI, 0.49 to 0.55) while the correlation was strong for TT (tau, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.89 to 0.93). The meta-analysis set contained a total of 8,065 patients including 5,198 (64%) patients treated with C/CIT and 2,867 (36%) treated with TT. Treatment-effect correlation of the HRs for PFS and OS was R = 0.75 (95% CI, 0.74 to 0.76, R2 = 0.56) while correlation of end-of-treatment MRD with PFS and OS was R = 0.88 (95% CI, -0.87 to 0.89; R2 = 0.78) and 0.71 (95% CI, 0.69 to 0.73; R2 = 0.5), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Patient-level correlation was confirmed in the setting of TTs while treatment-effect correlation between PFS and OS remains uncertain. MRD response status showed a high treatment-effect correlation with PFS but not OS, with the caveat of a limited number of randomized trials with available MRD data.

What clinicians should know about surrogate end points in hematologic malignancies

ABSTRACT

Use of surrogates as primary end points is commonplace in hematology/oncology clinical trials. As opposed to prognostic markers, surrogates are end points that can be measured early and yet can still capture the full effect of treatment, because it would be captured by the true outcome (eg, overall survival). We discuss the level of evidence of the most commonly used end points in hematology and share recommendations on how to apply and evaluate surrogate end points in research and clinical practice. Based on the statistical literature, this clinician-friendly review intends to build a bridge between clinicians and surrogacy specialists.

Translational insights into the genetics and immunobiology of relapsed/refractory follicular lymphoma

Although follicular lymphoma (FL) is traditionally classified as an indolent subtype of B cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma, clinical trajectories are often diverse based on unique disease biology, and many patients will eventually experience relapse of their disease. Furthermore, progression of disease within 24 months is associated with increased mortality rates for FL. In the last five years, we have witnessed an upsurge in the commercial availability of targeted therapies for relapsed/refractory (R/R) FL, including chimeric antigen receptor-T (CAR-T) products, bispecific T cell engagers (BiTEs), epigenetic modifier therapies, and next-generation Bruton tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitors. Furthermore, clinical trial options have increased tremendously and now include combinatorial strategies that exert synergy against malignant germinal center B cells. Here, we provide a 2024 update of novel therapeutic agents whose development has been informed by recent advances in the genetics and immunobiology of R/R FL. Specifically, we emphasize high-value targeted therapeutics, including anti-CD3 x anti-CD20 BiTEs and adoptive T cell therapies. We discuss prospects on selection and sequencing of BiTEs and CAR-T therapies for patients with R/R FL. We underscore the principles of FL pathobiology that are paving way for future drug discovery and shed insight into therapeutic targeting within nodal basins based on our increasing understanding of the FL microenvironment. Finally, we summarize how a greater knowledge of FL immunobiology can inform risk stratification and therapy selection on a personalized basis for R/R FL in 2025.

Progression-free survival is a weakly predictive surrogate end-point for overall survival in follicular lymphoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Although progression-free survival (PFS) is a commonly used surrogate end-point for clinical trials of follicular lymphoma (FL), no analyses have evaluated the strength of surrogacy for PFS with overall survival (OS). A systematic review was performed and 20 studies (total participants, 10 724) met final inclusion criteria. PFS was weakly associated with OS (correlation coefficient; 0.383, p < 0.001). The coefficient of determination was 0.15 (95% CI: 0.002-0.35) suggesting 15% of OS variance could be explained by changes in PFS. This challenges the role for PFS as a surrogate end-point for clinical trials and drug approvals.

Early complete response as a validated surrogate marker in extranodal marginal zone lymphoma systemic therapy

ABSTRACT

Extranodal marginal zone lymphoma (EMZL) has a very indolent course, and the validation of surrogate markers could accelerate novel therapies. Although prognostic markers do exist, no surrogate markers have been validated in EMZL. We hypothesized that time to complete response within 24 months (TTCR24) and complete response (CR) at 24 months (CR24) could be valid surrogate markers of progression-free survival (PFS). The International Extranodal Lymphoma Study Group 19 phase 3 trial showed the advantage of double therapy (rituximab + chlorambucil) over single therapy (rituximab or chlorambucil) on PFS. We used 2 recently published single-trial approaches to assess whether TTCR24 and CR24 were good surrogate markers of 8-year PFS (8y-PFS). Among the 401 patients, 264 (66%) reached a CR in the first 24 months, of which 222 (84%) remained in CR at month 24. The cumulative incidence of CR over time was significantly higher in patients under double therapy (hazard ratio, 1.75; P < .001). The double therapy arm was associated with a higher CR24 rate, a shorter TTCR24, and a longer 8y-PFS. The estimated proportion of treatment effect on 8y-PFS explained by TTCR24 was 95% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.27-1.87). CR24 was also a strong surrogate marker because it mediated 90% (95% CI, 0.51-2.22) of the treatment effect on PFS and its natural indirect effect was significant throughout the follow-up. We found that TTCR24 predicted 95% and that CR24 mediated 90% of the treatment effect on long-term PFS. Therefore, TTCR24 and CR24 could be used in clinical trials as informative and valid early indicators of treatment effect on PFS. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT00210353.

Survival and modelled cancer antigen-125 ELIMination rate constant K score in ovarian cancer patients in first-line before poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitor era: A Gynaecologic Cancer Intergroup meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

In patients with advanced ovarian cancer, the modelled CA-125 ELIMination rate constant K (KELIM) is an early indicator of the tumour intrinsic chemosensitivity. We assessed the prognostic and surrogate values of KELIM with respect to those of surgery outcome (based on post-operative residual lesions) in the Gynaecologic Cancer Intergroup (GCIG) individual patient data meta-analysis MAOV (Meta-Analysis in OVarian cancer) built before the emergence of poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase (PARP) inhibitors.

METHODS

The dataset was split into learning and validation cohorts (ratio 1:2). The individual modelled KELIM values were estimated, standardised by the median value, then scored as unfavourable (<1.0) or favourable (≥1.0). Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) analyses were performed with a two-step meta-analytic approach and surrogacy through a two-level meta-analytic model.

RESULTS

KELIM was assessed in 5884 patients from eight first-line trials (learning, 1962; validation, 3922). A favourable KELIM score was significantly associated with longer OS (validation set, median, 78.8 versus 28.4 months, hazard-ratios [HR] 0.46, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.41-0.50, C-index 0.68), and longer PFS (validation set, median 30.5 versus 9.8 months, HR 0.49, 95% CI, 0.45-0.54, C-index 0.68), as were International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage and debulking surgery outcome. Three prognostic groups were identified based on the surgery outcome and KELIM score, with large differences in OS (105.1, ∼45.0, and 22.1 months) and PFS (58.1, ∼15.0, and 8.0 months). Surrogacy for OS and for PFS was not established.

CONCLUSION

KELIM is an independent prognostic biomarker for survival, complementary to surgery outcome, representing a new determinant of first-line treatment success.

Novel targeted drugs for follicular and marginal zone lymphoma: a comprehensive review

Although mostly incurable, indolent non-Hodgkin lymphomas (iNHL) are chronic diseases with a median overall survival approaching 20 years. In recent years, important advances in the knowledge of the biology of these lymphomas have led to the development of new drugs, mostly chemotherapy-free, with promising outcomes. With a median age of around 70 years at diagnosis, many patients with iNHL suffer from comorbid conditions that may limit treatment options. Therefore, nowadays, in the transition towards personalized medicine, several challenges lie ahead, such as identifying predictive markers for the selection of treatment, the adequate sequencing of available therapies, and the management of new and accumulated toxicities. In this review, we include a perspective on recent therapeutic advances in follicular and marginal zone lymphoma. We describe emerging data on approved and emerging novel therapies, such as targeted therapies (PI3K inhibitors, BTK inhibitors, EZH2 inhibitors), monoclonal antibodies and antibody-drug conjugates. Finally, we describe immune-directed approaches such as combinations with lenalidomide or the even more innovative bispecific T-cell engagers and chimeric antigen receptor T-cell therapy, which can achieve a high rate of durable responses with manageable toxicities, further obviating the need for chemotherapy.

PET/CT in Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma: An Update

Non-Hodgkin lymphomas represents a heterogeneous group of lymphoproliferative disorders characterized by different clinical courses, varying from indolent to highly aggressive. ¹⁸F-FDG-PET/CT is the current state-of-the-art diagnostic imaging, for the staging, restaging and evaluation of response to treatment in lymphomas with avidity for ¹⁸F-FDG, despite it is not routinely recommended for surveillance. PET-based response criteria (using five-point Deauville Score) are nowadays uniformly applied in FDG-avid lymphomas. In this review, a comprehensive overview of the role of ¹⁸F-FDG-PET in Non-Hodgkin lymphomas is provided, at each relevant point of patient management, particularly focusing on recent advances on diffuse large B-cell lymphoma and follicular lymphoma, with brief updates also on other histotypes (such as marginal zone, mantle cell, primary mediastinal- B cell lymphoma and T cell lymphoma). PET-derived semiquantitative factors useful for patient stratification and prognostication and emerging radiomics research are also presented.

A model to predict the prognosis of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma based on ultrasound images

The purpose of this paper was to assess the value of ultrasonography in the prognosis of diffuse large b-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) by developing a new prognostic model. One hundred and eleven DLBCL patients with complete clinical information and ultrasound findings were enrolled in our study. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted and the corresponding area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to assess the accuracy of the international prognostic index (IPI) and new model in DLBCL risk stratification. The results suggested that hilum loss and ineffective treatment were independent risk variables for both PFS and OS in DLBCL patients. Additionally, the new model that added hilum loss and ineffective treatment to IPI had a better AUC for PFS and OS than IPI alone (AUC: 0.90, 0.88, and 0.82 vs. 0.71, 0.74, and 0.68 for 1-, 3-, and 5-year PFS, respectively; AUC: 0.92, 0.85 and 0.86 vs. 0.71, 0.75 and 0.76, for 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS, respectively). The model based on ultrasound images could better suggest PFS and OS of DLBCL, allowing for better risk stratification.

Accuracy and prognostic impact of FDG PET / CT and biopsy in bone marrow assessment of follicular lymphoma at diagnosis: A Nation‐Wide cohort study

BACKGOUND

In the workup of follicular lymphoma (FL), bone marrow biopsy (BMB) assessment is a key component of FLIPI and FLIPI2, the most widely used outcome scores. During the previous decade, several studies explored the role of FDG-PET/CT for detecting nodal and extranodal disease, with only one large study comparing both techniques.

METHODS

The aim of our study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy and the prognostic impact of both procedures in a retrospective cohort of 299 FL patients with both tests performed at diagnosis. In order to avoid a collinearity bias, FLIPI2 was deconstructed in its founding parameters, and the bone marrow involvement (BMI) parameter separately included as: a positive BMB, a positive PET/CT, the combined "PET/CT and BMB positive" or "PET/CT or BMB positive". These variables were also confronted independently with the POD24 in 233 patients treated with intensive regimens.

RESULTS

In the total cohort, bone marrow was involved in 124 and 60 patients by BMB and PET/CT, respectively. In terms of overall survival, age > 60 y.o. and the combined "PET/CT or BMB positive" achieved statistical independence as a prognostic factor. In patients treated with an intensive regimen, only the combined "PET/CT or BMB positive" added prognostic value for a shorter overall survival, when confronted with the POD24.

CONCLUSION

Our results show that in FL both BMB and PET/CT should be considered at diagnosis, as their combined assessment provides independent prognostic value in the context of the most widely use clinical scores.

Factors Affecting the Clinical Course of Follicular Lymphoma: A Multistate Survival Analysis Using Individual Patient Data from Eight Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trials

INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND

Leveraging the Follicular Lymphoma Analysis of Surrogacy Hypothesis database of individual patient data from first-line clinical trials, we studied the clinical course of follicular lymphoma (FL) and investigated clinical factors associated with FL outcomes.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We examined 2428 patients from 8 randomized trials using multistate survival models with 4 states: induction treatment, progression, death from FL, and death from other causes. We utilized Aalen-Johansen estimator and Cox models to assess the likelihood of FL outcomes and quantify predictors' effects.

RESULTS

Two-year progression, FL-related death, and death from other causes estimates were 26.5%, 3.4% and 1.4%, respectively. FL-associated deaths were the primary cause of mortality within 10 years of follow-up. Male sex (hazard ratio: 1.25; 95% confidence interval: 1.05-1.47), > 4 involved nodal areas (1.51; 1.23-1.86), elevated LDH (1.20; 1.01-1.43), low hemoglobin (1.44; 1.15-1.81), and elevated β-2 levels (1.23; 1.02-1.47) increased risk of progression. CD20-targeting agents reduced risks for progression (0.29; 0.22-0.39), death from FL (0.05; 0.01-0.20), and death from other causes without progression (0.13; 0.05-0.33) and following progression (0.52; 0.30-0.92). Estimated 2-year progression rates were 22.3% and 43.5% with or without CD20-targeting agents, respectively. Two-year FL-associated mortality rate was 8.3% among patients without CD20-targeting agents, 5.4% with B-symptoms, 4.9% with elevated LDH, and 9.1% with low hemoglobin.

CONCLUSION

This study identified independent contributions of baseline clinical factors to distinct outcomes for patients with FL following first-line therapy on a clinical trial. Similar analytical approaches are needed to increase understanding of factors that influence FL outcomes in other settings.

The Impact of Sequence of Therapy for Older Patients With Follicular Lymphoma: SEER-Medicare Analysis

BACKGROUND

One key clinical challenge remains in how to sequence treatments in follicular lymphoma (FL). The chemoimmunotherapy rituximab cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine (Oncovin), and prednisone (R-CHOP) has been a standard treatment option for two decades. However, there are limited data to suggest in which line R-CHOP should be used for older patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We leveraged population-based surveillance, epidemiology, and end results-medicare data and identified 675 patients aged ≥65 years newly diagnosed with FL from 2000 to 2009 who received R-CHOP in either the first or second line. We estimated restricted mean survival time using Kaplan-Meier curves, propensity scores (PS), and regression models comparing patients who received R-CHOP as a first versus second line.

RESULTS

We found that patients who received R-CHOP as first line had significantly longer 9-year RMST than those who received R-CHOP in the second line using Kaplan-Meier curves (P = .01), PS stratification (P = .002), PS matching (P = .005), and the inverse of PS as the treatment weight (P < .0001). The subgroup analyses using linear regression models showed that the 9-year restricted mean survival time of patients who received R-CHOP as the first line was longer in patients aged ≥80 years (P = .002) and with histological grade 1 or 2 (P = .02), compared to those who received R-CHOP as second line.

CONCLUSION

R-CHOP given in the first line was associated with longer overall survival compared to R-CHOP given as second line for older patients with FL.

Clinical and biological prognostic factors in follicular lymphoma patients

Introduction

Follicular lymphoma (FL) is an indolent, yet heterogeneous, B-cell lymphoproliferative disorder. Although most FL patients respond well to treatment, few with specific traits have a poor prognosis; the latter are difficult to define.

Patients and methods

We retrospectively analyzed data from 143 FL patients treated at the University of Debrecen since 2009 and investigated prognostic factors that may influence the survival of FL patients.

Results

A maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) cut-off of 9.85 at the staging positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) (p = 0.0001, hazard ratio [HR]: 0.2535, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.1118–0.4878) and a lymphocyte/monocyte (Ly/Mo) ratio of 3.41 (p = 0.0027, HR: 2.997, 95% CI: 1.463–6.142), drawn at diagnosis, significantly predicted FL patients’ progression-free survival (PFS). A staging SUVmax >9.85 with Ly/Mo <3.41 could delineate a high-risk group of FL patients (p<0.0001, HR: 0.0957, 95% CI: 0.03416–0.2685). Similarly, a significant difference was shown with an SUVmax cut-off of 3.15 at the interim PET/CT (p<0.0001, HR: 0.1614, 95% CI: 0.06684–0.3897). A staging SUVmax >9.85 in conjunction with interim SUVmax >3.15 predicted poor prognosis (p<0.0001, HR: 0.1037, 95% CI: 0.03811–0.2824). The PFS difference was translated into overall survival (OS) advantage (p = 0.0506, HR: 0.1187, 95% CI: 0.01401–1.005).

Conclusion

Biological prognostic factors, such as the Ly/Mo ratio, may improve the prognostic assessment of staging PET/CT. The survival advantage observed in PFS is translated into OS when determined using a combination of staging and interim SUVmax. We recommend investigating additional biological prognostic factors while highlighting the role of PET/CT in FL.

The role of surveillance computed tomography in patients with follicular lymphoma

Introduction

Surveillance computed tomography (CT) is performed during the follow-up of patients with lymphoma who have completed initial therapy. However, studies on the clinical benefit of surveillance CT for patients with incurable subtypes, such as follicular lymphoma (FL), are limited. This study aimed to evaluate the value of surveillance CT for patients with FL after achieving the first complete response (CR) or CR unconfirmed in the rituximab era.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of patients with FL who achieved CR with first-line treatment between 2000 and 2016 at our institution. In patients who experienced first relapse, we examined the patient's clinical characteristics at the time of relapse, subsequent therapies, and post-relapse survival, based on the method of relapse detection.

Results

Of the 248 patients who achieved CR after initial therapy, 109 had a relapse, with a median follow-up of 11 years; 100 were enrolled into this study. Relapse was detected by surveillance CT in 61 patients (surveillance CT group) and by means other than surveillance CT, such as the presence of patient-reported symptoms, physical findings, and blood work-up abnormalities (non-surveillance CT group), in 39 patients. There was no significant difference in the patients' characteristics at the time of relapse between the two groups, except for a higher incidence of extranodal involvement in the non-surveillance CT group. The method of relapse detection did not affect therapeutic selection after relapse and post-relapse survival. In this study, 86.8% of the 38 patients who relapsed with only deep lesions, such as mesenteric or retroperitoneal lymph nodes, had surveillance CT-detected relapse.

Conclusion

Surveillance CT did not show any clinical benefit for patients with FL in CR; however, it might lead to early detection of relapse in cases of deep lesions that cannot be identified without imaging.

End of induction positron emission tomography complete response (PET-CR) as a surrogate for progression-free survival in previously untreated follicular lymphoma

Progression-free survival (PFS) has been the regulatory primary end-point for recent phase III trials in first-line follicular lymphoma (FL), but requires prolonged follow-up. Complete response (CR) at 30 months after initiation of induction treatment was validated as surrogate end-point for PFS. Our objective was to further evaluate surrogacy of CR measured by [¹⁸ F] fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) imaging at the end of induction (EoI). Individual patient data were analysed from 1505 patients from five randomized trials. Trial-level surrogacy examining the association between treatment effects on EoI-PET-CR and PFS was evaluated using linear regression ( R WLS 2 $$ {R}_{\mathrm{WLS}}^2 $$ ) and bivariate Copula ( R Copula 2 $$ {R}_{\mathrm{Copula}}^2 $$ ) models. Although EoI-PET-CR strongly predicted PFS at a prognostic level, the trial-level assessment did not show strong correlation ( R WLS 2 = 0.56 $$ {R}_{\mathrm{WLS}}^2=0.56 $$ , confidence interval [CI]: 0.20-0.88; R Copula 2 = 0.35 $$ {R}_{\mathrm{Copula}}^2=0.35 $$ , CI: 0.0-0.82). The high uncertainty in estimation was possibly due to the small number of trials and the population of patients with available PET data. Maintenance therapy affecting PFS beyond induction treatment, but not EoI-PET-CR end-point, may have distorted the association between treatment effects. However, there will probably be a number of additional trials approaching completion with available PET response data. Refined evaluation of PET-CR based surrogate end-points is still warranted.

Modelling approaches for histology-independent cancer drugs to inform NICE appraisals: a systematic review and decision-framework

BACKGROUND

The first histology-independent marketing authorisation in Europe was granted in 2019. This was the first time that a cancer treatment was approved based on a common biomarker rather than the location in the body at which the tumour originated. This research aims to explore the implications for National Institute for Health and Care Excellence appraisals.

METHODS

Targeted reviews were undertaken to determine the type of evidence that is likely to be available at the point of marketing authorisation and the analyses required to support National Institute for Health and Care Excellence appraisals. Several challenges were identified concerning the design and conduct of trials for histology-independent products, the greater levels of heterogeneity within the licensed population and the use of surrogate end points. We identified approaches to address these challenges by reviewing key statistical literature that focuses on the design and analysis of histology-independent trials and by undertaking a systematic review to evaluate the use of response end points as surrogate outcomes for survival end points. We developed a decision framework to help to inform approval and research policies for histology-independent products. The framework explored the uncertainties and risks associated with different approval policies, including the role of further data collection, pricing schemes and stratified decision-making.

RESULTS

We found that the potential for heterogeneity in treatment effects, across tumour types or other characteristics, is likely to be a central issue for National Institute for Health and Care Excellence appraisals. Bayesian hierarchical methods may serve as a useful vehicle to assess the level of heterogeneity across tumours and to estimate the pooled treatment effects for each tumour, which can inform whether or not the assumption of homogeneity is reasonable. Our review suggests that response end points may not be reliable surrogates for survival end points. However, a surrogate-based modelling approach, which captures all relevant uncertainty, may be preferable to the use of immature survival data. Several additional sources of heterogeneity were identified as presenting potential challenges to National Institute for Health and Care Excellence appraisal, including the cost of testing, baseline risk, quality of life and routine management costs. We concluded that a range of alternative approaches will be required to address different sources of heterogeneity to support National Institute for Health and Care Excellence appraisals. An exemplar case study was developed to illustrate the nature of the assessments that may be required.

CONCLUSIONS

Adequately designed and analysed basket studies that assess the homogeneity of outcomes and allow borrowing of information across baskets, where appropriate, are recommended. Where there is evidence of heterogeneity in treatment effects and estimates of cost-effectiveness, consideration should be given to optimised recommendations. Routine presentation of the scale of the consequences of heterogeneity and decision uncertainty may provide an important additional approach to the assessments specified in the current National Institute for Health and Care Excellence methods guide.

FURTHER RESEARCH

Further exploration of Bayesian hierarchical methods could help to inform decision-makers on whether or not there is sufficient evidence of homogeneity to support pooled analyses. Further research is also required to determine the appropriate basis for apportioning genomic testing costs where there are multiple targets and to address the challenges of uncontrolled Phase II studies, including the role and use of surrogate end points.

FUNDING

This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Evidence Synthesis programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 25, No. 76. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

Axicabtagene ciloleucel in relapsed or refractory indolent non-Hodgkin lymphoma (ZUMA-5): a single-arm, multicentre, phase 2 trial

BACKGROUND

Most patients with advanced-stage indolent non-Hodgkin lymphoma have multiple relapses. We assessed axicabtagene ciloleucel autologous anti-CD19 chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapy in relapsed or refractory indolent non-Hodgkin lymphoma.

METHODS

ZUMA-5 is a single-arm, multicentre, phase 2 trial being conducted at 15 medical cancer centres in the USA and two medical cancer centres in France. Patients were eligible if they were aged 18 years or older, with histologically confirmed indolent non-Hodgkin lymphoma (follicular lymphoma or marginal zone lymphoma), had relapsed or refractory disease, previously had two or more lines of therapy (including an anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody with an alkylating agent), and an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance score of 0 or 1. Patients underwent leukapheresis and received conditioning chemotherapy (cyclophosphamide at 500 mg/m² per day and fludarabine at 30 mg/m² per day on days -5, -4, and -3) followed by a single infusion of axicabtagene ciloleucel (2 × 10⁶ CAR T cells per kg) on day 0. The primary endpoint was overall response rate (complete response and partial response) assessed by an independent review committee per Lugano classification. The primary activity analysis was done after at least 80 treated patients with follicular lymphoma had been followed up for at least 12 months after the first response assessment at week 4 after infusion. The primary analyses were done in the per-protocol population (ie, eligible patients with follicular lymphoma who had 12 months of follow-up after the first response assessment and eligible patients with marginal zone lymphoma who had at least 4 weeks of follow-up after infusion of axicabtagene ciloleucel). Safety analyses were done in patients who received an infusion of axicabtagene ciloleucel. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03105336, and is closed to accrual.

FINDINGS

Between June 20, 2017, and July 16, 2020, 153 patients were enrolled and underwent leukapheresis, and axicabtagene ciloleucel was successfully manufactured for all enrolled patients. As of data cutoff (Sept 14, 2020), 148 patients had received an infusion of axicabtagene ciloleucel (124 [84%] who had follicular lymphoma and 24 [16%] who had marginal zone lymphoma). The median follow-up for the primary analysis was 17·5 months (IQR 14·1-22·6). Among patients who were eligible for the primary analysis (n=104, of whom 84 had follicular lymphoma and 20 had marginal zone lymphoma), 96 (92%; 95% CI 85-97) had an overall response and 77 (74%) had a complete response. The most common grade 3 or worse adverse events were cytopenias (104 [70%] of 148 patients) and infections (26 [18%]). Grade 3 or worse cytokine release syndrome occurred in ten (7%) patients and grade 3 or 4 neurological events occurred in 28 (19%) patients. Serious adverse events (any grade) occurred in 74 (50%) patients. Deaths due to adverse events occurred in four (3%) patients, one of which was deemed to be treatment-related (multisystem organ failure).

INTERPRETATION

Axicabtagene ciloleucel showed high rates of durable responses and had a manageable safety profile in patients with relapsed or refractory indolent non-Hodgkin lymphoma.

FUNDING

Kite, a Gilead Company.

Phase III Clinical Trials in First-Line Follicular Lymphoma: A Review of Their Design and Interpretation

Follicular lymphoma (FL) is one of the most common subtypes of non-Hodgkin lymphoma worldwide. Improved survival outcomes with rituximab-based therapy in clinical trials led to the establishment of rituximab-based immunochemotherapy as standard of care for first-line (1L) treatment of FL. In the GALLIUM trial, obinutuzumab-based immunochemotherapy demonstrated improved progression-free survival (PFS), prolonged time-to-next antilymphoma treatment (TTNT) and comparable overall survival (OS) compared with rituximab-based immunochemotherapy as 1L treatment for FL. Using GALLIUM as an example, this article aims to explain how improved outcomes in 1L treatment of FL have changed the landscape for the design and interpretation of future trials. As approved therapies for 1L FL already achieve good responses, it is becoming more difficult to design trials that demonstrate further treatment benefits with the currently accepted primary endpoints. New endpoints are needed to reflect the long remission times, low relapse rates, and impact of subsequent therapies in FL. PFS is used as a primary efficacy endpoint in registrational clinical trials for indolent malignancies like FL, where improvement in OS is not always observed due to the large number of patients and long study duration required to demonstrate a clear survival benefit. However, there are limitations to using PFS as the primary endpoint. Other potential endpoints, including TTNT, progression of disease within 2 years, response rate, and minimal residual disease status are explored.

Phase III Clinical Trials in First-Line Follicular Lymphoma: A Review of Their Design and Interpretation

Follicular lymphoma (FL) is one of the most common subtypes of non-Hodgkin lymphoma worldwide. Improved survival outcomes with rituximab-based therapy in clinical trials led to the establishment of rituximab-based immunochemotherapy as standard of care for first-line (1L) treatment of FL. In the GALLIUM trial, obinutuzumab-based immunochemotherapy demonstrated improved progression-free survival (PFS), prolonged time-to-next antilymphoma treatment (TTNT) and comparable overall survival (OS) compared with rituximab-based immunochemotherapy as 1L treatment for FL. Using GALLIUM as an example, this article aims to explain how improved outcomes in 1L treatment of FL have changed the landscape for the design and interpretation of future trials. As approved therapies for 1L FL already achieve good responses, it is becoming more difficult to design trials that demonstrate further treatment benefits with the currently accepted primary endpoints. New endpoints are needed to reflect the long remission times, low relapse rates, and impact of subsequent therapies in FL. PFS is used as a primary efficacy endpoint in registrational clinical trials for indolent malignancies like FL, where improvement in OS is not always observed due to the large number of patients and long study duration required to demonstrate a clear survival benefit. However, there are limitations to using PFS as the primary endpoint. Other potential endpoints, including TTNT, progression of disease within 2 years, response rate, and minimal residual disease status are explored.

When to Use Targeted Therapy for the Treatment of Follicular Lymphoma

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Follicular lymphoma is a common indolent non-Hodgkin lymphoma with survival improving in the modern era. Despite favorable responses and improving remission duration, FL remains largely incurable with patterns of relapsing and remitting disease with many patients requiring multiple lines of therapy. As our understanding of the malignant B-cell biology evolves, more targeted therapies have emerged for the treatment of follicular lymphoma.

RECENT FINDINGS

Targeted therapies entering the treatment landscape of follicular lymphoma include lenalidomide in combination with rituximab based on the randomized AUGMENT. Tazemetostat, an EZH2 inhibitor, joins the list of targeted therapies approved based on single-arm phase 2 studies in the relapsed setting. There are three PI3K inhibitors currently approved and more under development. Herein, I will review the available evidence that supports the use of targeted therapy across the disease course of follicular lymphoma.

New regimens and directions in the management of newly diagnosed multiple myeloma

The introduction of novel agents over the last decade has rapidly expanded the therapeutic landscape of multiple myeloma (MM) for both transplant-eligible and transplant-ineligible patients. The assessment of minimal residual disease (MRD) by next-generation flow cytometry or next-generation sequencing is established as a powerful predictor of long-term outcomes. The use of MRD in response-adapted clinical trials may provide opportunities to identify candidates for treatment escalation and de-escalation. Agents with proven activity in the relapsed and refractory setting are being studied in the management of high-risk newly diagnosed MM (NDMM). Here, we summarize the most recent clinical trials that have led to the current paradigms in the management of NDMM. We also discuss how novel agents could be incorporated in the newly diagnosed setting and potential clinical trial designs that could leverage MRD information with the goal of treatment optimization.

Lenalidomide in follicular lymphoma

Lenalidomide is an immunomodulatory drug approved in the United States for use with rituximab in patients with relapsed/refractory follicular lymphoma. We reviewed data from trials addressing the safety and efficacy of lenalidomide alone and in combination with rituximab as a first-line therapy and as a treatment of patients with relapsed/refractory follicular lymphoma. Lenalidomide-rituximab has been demonstrated to be an effective chemotherapy-free therapy that improves upon single-agent rituximab and may become an alternative to chemoimmunotherapy.

Durable benefit of rituximab maintenance post-autograft in patients with relapsed follicular lymphoma: 12-year follow-up of the EBMT lymphoma working party Lym1 trial

We report the 12-year follow-up of the prospective randomized EBMT LYM1 trial to determine whether the benefit of brief duration rituximab maintenance (RM) on progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with relapsed follicular lymphoma (FL) receiving an autologous stem cell transplant (ASCT) is sustained. One hundred and thirty-eight patients received RM with or without purging. The median follow-up after random assignment is 12 years (range 10-13) for the whole series. The 10-year PFS after ASCT is 47% (95% CI 40-54) with only 4 patients relapsing after 7.5 years. RM continues to significantly improve 10-year PFS after ASCT in comparison with NM [P = 0.002; HR 0.548 (95% CI 0.38-0.80)]. Ten-year non-relapse mortality (NRM) was not significantly different between treatment groups (7% overall). 10-year overall survival (OS) after ASCT was 75% (69-81) for the whole series, with no significant differences according to treatment sub-groups. 10-year OS for patients who progressed within 24 months (POD24T) was 60%, in comparison with 85% for patients without progression. Thus the benefit of rituximab maintenance after ASCT on relapse prevention is sustained at 12 years, suggesting that RM adds to ASCT-mediated disease eradication and may enhance the curative potential of ASCT.

Comparison of prognostic scores in transplant-ineligible patients with peripheral T-cell lymphoma not otherwise specified and angioimmunoblastic T-cell lymphoma: a retrospective study from the national hospital organization in Japan

We retrospectively analyzed the risk factors for outcomes among patients with peripheral T-cell lymphoma not otherwise specified (PTCL-NOS, n = 100) and angioimmunoblastic T-cell lymphoma (AITL, n = 128) who did not receive hematopoietic stem cell transplantation between 2008 and 2018. We designed a comparison of prognostic scores specifically for PTCL-NOS and AITL. The international prognostic index (IPI) was useful for investigating the risk factors associated with outcomes among transplant-ineligible patients with PTCL-NOS (Harrell's c-statistic 0.715) and AITL (c-statistic 0.615). The prognostic index for T-cell lymphoma (PIT), modified PIT, and the International Peripheral T Cell Lymphoma Project for overall survival (OS) seemed to identify separate prognostic groups, based on visual assessment of Kaplan-Meier curves. However, better c-statistics (>0.7) were only found for the IPI score for OS in PTCL-NOS. Strategies that carefully select PTCL patients with higher IPI scores may help to identify individuals suitable for novel therapies.

Assessment of the information theory approach to evaluating time-to-event surrogate and true endpoints in a meta-analytic setting

In many disease areas, commonly used long-term clinical endpoints are becoming increasingly difficult to implement due to long follow-up times and/or increased costs. Shorter-term surrogate endpoints are urgently needed to expedite drug development, the evaluation of which requires robust and reliable statistical methodology to drive meaningful clinical conclusions about the strength of relationship with the true long-term endpoint. This paper uses a simulation study to explore one such previously proposed method, based on information theory, for evaluation of time to event surrogate and long-term endpoints, including the first examination within a meta-analytic setting of multiple clinical trials with such endpoints. The performance of the information theory method is examined for various scenarios including different dependence structures, surrogate endpoints, censoring mechanisms, treatment effects, trial and sample sizes, and for surrogate and true endpoints with a natural time-ordering. Results allow us to conclude that, contrary to some findings in the literature, the approach provides estimates of surrogacy that may be substantially lower than the true relationship between surrogate and true endpoints, and rarely reach a level that would enable confidence in the strength of a given surrogate endpoint. As a result, care is needed in the assessment of time to event surrogate and true endpoints based only on this methodology.

Initial report of a phase II study with R-FND followed by ibritumomab tiuxetan radioimmunotherapy and rituximab maintenance in patients with untreated high-risk follicular lymphoma

R-FND (rituximab, fludarabine, mitoxantrone, and dexamethasone) can induce molecular remissions in indolent lymphoma. The addition of ⁹⁰yttrium ibritumomab tiuxetan (⁹⁰YIT) radioimmunotherapy following first-line induction treatment in patients with advanced follicular lymphoma (FL) may improve remission rates. We now report 10-year follow-up results from our sequential treatment approach with an abbreviated regimen of R-FND followed by ⁹⁰YIT consolidation and rituximab maintenance. Forty-nine patients were enrolled; 47 received treatment. Patients had high-risk (FLIPI score ≥3) FL of grade 1-3A and stage III/IV with adequate hematologic function. Following R-FND, the complete and partial response rates were 91% and 8.5%, respectively. After ⁹⁰YIT consolidation, the CR rate increased to 97%. The 10-year PFS rate was 49%. The most common non-hematologic, grade 3 or 4 adverse events were fatigue, dyspnea, and myalgia. Five developed myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). This treatment approach is most appropriate in FLIPI-based high-risk patients whose outlook with standard therapy is inadequate.

A systematic review of meta-analyses assessing the validity of tumour response endpoints as surrogates for progression-free or overall survival in cancer

BACKGROUND

Tumour response endpoints, such as overall response rate (ORR) and complete response (CR), are increasingly used in cancer trials. However, the validity of response-based surrogates is unclear. This systematic review summarises meta-analyses assessing the association between response-based outcomes and overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) or time-to-progression (TTP).

METHODS

Five databases were searched to March 2019. Meta-analyses reporting correlation or regression between response-based outcomes and OS, PFS or TTP were summarised.

RESULTS

The systematic review included 63 studies across 20 cancer types, most commonly non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), colorectal cancer (CRC) and breast cancer. The strength of association between ORR or CR and either PFS or OS varied widely between and within studies, with no clear pattern by cancer type. The association between ORR and OS appeared weaker and more variable than that between ORR and PFS, both for associations between absolute endpoints and associations between treatment effects.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review suggests that response-based endpoints, such as ORR and CR, may not be reliable surrogates for PFS or OS. Where it is necessary to use tumour response to predict treatment effects on survival outcomes, it is important to fully reflect all statistical uncertainty in the surrogate relationship.

Clinical and Biological Prognostic Factors in Follicular Lymphoma

Follicular lymphoma comprises approximately 20-30% of all cases of B-cell lymphomas. Median survival has improved significantly in the modern era. Prognostic factors include histologic grade, cytogenetics, molecular mutations, the tumor microenvironment, and tumor burden. Clinical prognostic indices are available and increasingly incorporate genetic information. Prognostic factors also arise during the course of treatment. Early progression within 24 months of initial chemoimmunotherapy is an adverse prognostic marker of inferior survival. Other high-risk populations include those with double refractory disease or those with high risk of transformation to diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.

A Three-Arm Randomized Phase II Study of Bendamustine/Rituximab with Bortezomib Induction or Lenalidomide Continuation in Untreated Follicular Lymphoma: ECOG-ACRIN E2408

PURPOSE

We sought to improve upon frontline bendamustine/rituximab (BR) induction therapy followed by rituximab maintenance in untreated high-risk follicular lymphoma (FL).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients were randomized to BR induction followed by 2-year rituximab maintenance (BR-R), BR with bortezomib and rituximab maintenance (BVR-R), or BR followed by lenalidomide (1 year) with rituximab maintenance (BR-LR). Dual primary objectives were complete remission (CR) rate and 1-year disease-free survival (DFS); 289 patients enrolled (NCT01216683).

RESULTS

For induction, 92%, 87%, and 86% of patients randomized to BR-R, BVR-R, or BR-LR received six cycles, respectively. CR rate with BR versus BVR induction was 62% versus 75%, respectively (P = 0.04). One-year DFS rates with BR-R versus BR-LR were 85% versus 67%, respectively (P = 0.0009). This was due to an imbalance in CR rates post-BR induction and discontinuation due to adverse events (AEs). The most common grade 3-4 AEs for BVR versus BR were neutropenia and sensory neuropathy (12% vs <1%); 83% of the latter occurred with intravenous bortezomib. The most common grade 3-4 AEs related to LR versus rituximab maintenance were neutropenia 66% versus 21%, respectively (P < 0.0001), and febrile neutropenia 10% versus 2%, respectively (P = 0.05). The overall treatment-related mortality was 1.4%. With 5-year median follow-up, 3-year PFS rates for BR-R, BVR-R, and BR-LR were 77%, 82%, and 76%, respectively (P = 0.36) with OS rates of 87%, 90%, and 84%, respectively (P = 0.79). For prognostication, CR rate and POD-24 were associated with survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Altogether, neither bortezomib added to BR induction nor lenalidomide added to rituximab maintenance immediately post-BR induction is recommended in untreated FL.

Rituximab biosimilars for lymphoma in Europe

Introduction: The approval of rituximab, a monoclonal antibody targeting CD20, revolutionized the treatment of B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphomas and became an undisputed standard of care. However, as with all biologic medicines, the complex development and manufacturing process for rituximab have meant that the medicine attracts high treatment costs. Approved rituximab biosimilars have been comprehensively demonstrated to match the reference medicine. With the potential to increase access to biologic therapy, they have a key role in helping to improve patient outcomes in lymphoma care. Areas covered: In this review, we discuss the role of rituximab in the treatment of lymphoma. We explore development and regulatory requirements for biosimilar development and the potential impact of these medicines on access and sustainability. Focusing on biosimilars of rituximab, we examine in detail the evidence for biosimilarity for the two rituximab biosimilars that are approved in Europe and provide an overview of rituximab biosimilars currently in development. Expert opinion: We foresee a wider uptake of biosimilar medicines for lymphoma treatment over the next 5 years. The associated cost savings should be invested in broadening patient access to biological therapies, enabling wider use of more expensive treatment strategies and driving innovation in cancer care.

On estimating the time to statistical cure

BACKGROUND

The mortality risk among cancer patients measured from the time of diagnosis is often elevated in comparison to the general population. However, for some cancer types, the patient mortality risk will over time reach the same level as the general population mortality risk. The time point at which the mortality risk reaches the same level as the general population is called the cure point and is of great interest to patients, clinicians, and health care planners. In previous studies, estimation of the cure point has been handled in an ad hoc fashion, often without considerations about margins of clinical relevance.

METHODS

We review existing methods for estimating the cure point and discuss new clinically relevant measures for quantifying the mortality difference between cancer patients and the general population, which can be used for cure point estimation. The performance of the methods is assessed in a simulation study and the methods are illustrated on survival data from Danish colon cancer patients.

RESULTS

The simulations revealed that the bias of the estimated cure point depends on the measure chosen for quantifying the excess mortality, the chosen margin of clinical relevance, and the applied estimation procedure. These choices are interdependent as the choice of mortality measure depends both on the ability to define a margin of clinical relevance and the ability to accurately compute the mortality measure. The analysis of cancer survival data demonstrates the importance of considering the confidence interval of the estimated cure point, as these may be wide in some scenarios limiting the applicability of the estimated cure point.

CONCLUSIONS

Although cure points are appealing in a clinical context and has widespread applicability, estimation remains a difficult task. The estimation relies on a number of choices, each associated with pitfalls that the practitioner should be aware of.

Patterns of change in treatment, response, and outcome in patients with follicular lymphoma over the last four decades: a single-center experience

Although the introduction of immunotherapy has improved outcomes for follicular lymphoma (FL) patients, histological transformation (HT) and early relapse still confer a poor prognosis. We sought to describe the patterns of change in treatment, response, and outcome of FL patients at our institution over the last four decades. Seven hundred and twenty-seven patients (389 F/338 M; median age, 57 years) consecutively diagnosed with grade 1-3a FL between 1980 and 2017, categorized into four decades according to the time of diagnosis, constituted the study population. Clinical characteristics, treatment, response, absolute and relative survival, HT, second malignancies (SM), and causes of death were assessed. Median OS for the entire cohort was 17.6 years. From decade 1 to 4, there was an increase in the complete response rate (48 to 70%), progression-free survival (40 to 56% at 5 years), OS (77 to 86% at 5 years), and relative survival ratio (0.83 to 0.94 at 5 years), with no significant differences in the risk of HT or SM. Lymphoma remained the most common cause of death in all four decades. These findings illustrate the overall improvement in outcome for FL patients, but support the need for further research into risk stratification and management.

Follicular lymphoma: Update on management and emerging therapies at the dawn of the new decade

Follicular lymphoma is the most common indolent non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Survival has improved over the last several decades, mainly because of the incorporation of the anti-CD20 antibody rituximab into preexisting or rediscovered agents. The disease has a relapsing and remitting pattern, coupled with a risk of transformation into an aggressive lymphoma, and considered incurable for most patients. Next-generation sequencing technologies have increased our understanding of the biology and genetic landscape of the disease, identifying potential druggable targets for treatment. Current prognostic models cannot accurately identify patients at risk of early progression and despite the availability of treatment options for relapsed/refractory disease, rational treatment selection balancing disease control, efficacy with toxicity, and quality of life remain unmet needs. This review provides an overview of biology, prognostication, treatment options, and emerging therapies that provide valid grounds for optimism.

Assessment of Progression-Free Survival as a Surrogate End Point of Overall Survival in First-Line Treatment of Ovarian Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Importance

The Gynecologic Cancer InterGroup (GCIG) recommended that progression-free survival (PFS) can serve as a primary end point instead of overall survival (OS) in advanced ovarian cancer. Evidence is lacking for the validity of PFS as a surrogate marker of OS in the modern era of different treatment types.

Objective

To evaluate whether PFS is a surrogate end point for OS in patients with advanced ovarian cancer.

Data Sources

In September 2016, a comprehensive search of publications in MEDLINE was conducted for randomized clinical trials of systematic treatment in patients with newly diagnosed ovarian, fallopian tube, or primary peritoneal cancer. The GCIG groups were also queried for potentially completed but unpublished trials.

Study Selection

Studies with a minimum sample size of 60 patients published since 2001 with PFS and OS rates available were eligible. Investigational treatments considered included initial, maintenance, and intensification therapy consisting of agents delivered at a higher dose and/or frequency compared with that in the control arm.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

Using the meta-analytic approach on randomized clinical trials published from January 1, 2001, through September 25, 2016, correlations between PFS and OS at the individual level were estimated using the Kendall τ model; between-treatment effects on PFS and OS at the trial level were estimated using the Plackett copula bivariate (R2) model. Criteria for PFS surrogacy required R2 ≥ 0.80 at the trial level. Analysis was performed from January 7 through March 20, 2019.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Overall survival and PFS based on measurement of cancer antigen 125 levels confirmed by radiological examination results or by combined GCIG criteria.

Results

In this meta-analysis of 17 unique randomized trials of standard (n = 7), intensification (n = 5), and maintenance (n = 5) chemotherapies or targeted treatments with data from 11 029 unique patients (median age, 58 years [range, 18-88 years]), a high correlation was found between PFS and OS at the individual level (τ = 0.724; 95% CI, 0.717-0.732), but a low correlation was found at the trial level (R2 = 0.24; 95% CI, 0-0.59). Subgroup analyses led to similar results. In the external validation, 14 of the 16 hazard ratios for OS in the published reports fell within the 95% prediction interval from PFS.

Conclusions and Relevance

This large meta-analysis of individual patient data did not establish PFS as a surrogate end point for OS in first-line treatment of advanced ovarian cancer, but the analysis was limited by the narrow range of treatment effects observed or by poststudy treatment. These results suggest that if PFS is chosen as a primary end point, OS must be measured as a secondary end point.

Summary of the Third Annual Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network Myeloma Intergroup Workshop on Minimal Residual Disease and Immune Profiling

The third annual Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network (BMT CTN) Myeloma Intergroup Workshop on Minimal Residual Disease and Immune Profiling was held on November 29, 2018, at the American Society of Hematology (ASH) annual meeting. This workshop featured the latest research focused on minimal residual disease (MRD) assessment and immune profiling (IP) in myeloma as well as discussion of the statistical and regulatory issues intrinsic to the development of MRD as a surrogate endpoint. In this report, we provide a summary of the workshop and focus on the integration of MRD and IP assessment into trial design and clinical practice.

Follicular lymphoma

Follicular lymphoma (FL) is a systemic neoplasm of the lymphoid tissue displaying germinal centre (GC) B cell differentiation. FL represents ~5% of all haematological neoplasms and ~20-25% of all new non-Hodgkin lymphoma diagnoses in western countries. Tumorigenesis starts in precursor B cells and becomes full-blown tumour when the cells reach the GC maturation step. FL is preceded by an asymptomatic preclinical phase in which premalignant B cells carrying a t(14;18) chromosomal translocation accumulate additional genetic alterations, although not all of these cells progress to the tumour phase. FL is an indolent lymphoma with largely favourable outcomes, although a fraction of patients is at risk of disease progression and adverse outcomes. Outcomes for FL in the rituximab era are encouraging, with ~80% of patients having an overall survival of >10 years. Patients with relapsed FL have a wide range of treatment options, including several chemoimmunotherapy regimens, phosphoinositide 3-kinase inhibitors, and lenalidomide plus rituximab. Promising new treatment approaches include epigenetic therapeutics and immune approaches such as chimeric antigen receptor T cell therapy. The identification of patients at high risk who require alternative therapies to the current standard of care is a growing need that will help direct clinical trial research. This Primer discusses the epidemiology of FL, its molecular and cellular pathogenesis and its diagnosis, classification and treatment.

Event free survival at 24 months is a strong surrogate prognostic endpoint of peripheral T cell lymphoma

Event free survival at 24 months (EFS24) has been described as a powerful predictor for outcome in several subtypes of B cell lymphoma. However, it was limitedly described in T cell lymphoma. We explored the implication of EFS24 as a predictor marker for peripheral T cell lymphoma (PTCL). We reviewed 293 systemic PTCL patients at 13 nationwide major university hospitals in Thailand from 2007 to 2014. The median event free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) of PTCL patients in our cohort was 16.3 and 27.7 months with corresponding 2-year EFS and 2-year OS of 45.8% and 51.9%, respectively. A total of 118 patients achieved EFS24 (no events during the first 24 mo). Patients who achieved EFS24 had better OS than patients who did not (2-y OS 92% vs 18.8%; HR, 0.1; P < .001). The standardized mortality ratio of patients achieving EFS24 was 18.7 (95% CI, 14.6-22.8). Multivariable analysis demonstrated performance status, histologic subtype, remission status, and EFS24 achievement as independent predictors for OS. Our study affirmed the value of EFS24 as a powerful prognostic factor for PTCL. Further validation in prospective study setting is warranted.

Minimal Residual Disease Status as a Surrogate Endpoint for Progression-free Survival in Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma Studies: A Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Therapeutic advances have greatly extended survival times in patients with multiple myeloma, necessitating increasingly lengthy trials when using survival outcomes as primary endpoints. A surrogate endpoint that can more rapidly predict survival could accelerate drug development. We conducted a meta-analysis to evaluate minimal residual disease (MRD) status as a valid progression-free survival (PFS) surrogate in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We searched abstracts in PubMed, The American Society of Hematology, and the European Hematology Association for "myeloma," "minimal residual disease," and "clinical trial." Because of the need to evaluate the treatment effect on MRD response, only randomized studies for subjects with NDMM were included. Details on the MRD-tested populations were required. The meta-analysis was performed by principles outlined at the 2013 United States Food and Drug Administration workshop on MRD in acute myeloid leukemia.⁴² For samples that were not measured for MRD and within the subset specified for MRD assessment, their MRD status was imputed from the samples that had known MRD status. Patients that were excluded from planned MRD assessment were considered MRD-positive.

RESULTS

Six randomized studies, representing 3283 patients and 2208 MRD samples, met analysis inclusion criteria. MRD negativity rates ranged from 0.06 to 0.70. The treatment effect on the odds ratio for MRD-negative response strongly correlated with the hazard ratio for PFS with a coefficient of determination for the weighted regression line of 0.97. Our meta-analysis suggested that MRD status met both the Prentice criteria for PFS surrogacy.

CONCLUSIONS

These results support the claim that MRD status can be used as a surrogate for PFS in NDMM.

Variability of Biologics and its Impact on Biosimilar Development

This symposium took place during the International Conference on Malignant Lymphoma (ICML) in Lugano, Switzerland, June 2019, and focussed on scientific aspects associated with development and approval of rituximab biosimilars in lymphoma. The symposium began with an overview presented by Dr Cornes detailing the urgent economic need for biosimilars to improve access to these biologic treatments in oncology and other therapy areas. Prof Schellekens, author of the first paper on biosimilars in 2002, discussed how regulatory strategies for biosimilars were shaped, and how these have evolved in the intervening years. Today, the emphasis of biosimilar development is placed on extensive analytical testing to demonstrate a match with the reference medicine at a fundamental level. Clinical testing plays a confirmatory role, removing any residual uncertainty regarding potential clinical differences between biosimilar and reference medicine. Dr Schiestl presented further detail on analytical perspectives on biosimilars. Development of biosimilars is complicated by the inherent variability of biological synthesis techniques employed in the manufacture of biologics. This variability is further increased by ongoing changes to manufacturing processes, which can result in changes in biological activity. Consistent quality is therefore a cornerstone of biosimilar development. Prof Jurczak provided a comprehensive overview of the factors that must be considered during clinical development of a biosimilar. Clinical trials for biosimilars have a confirmatory role in the development process, rather than the pivotal role played by clinical trials for reference medicines. Therefore, these trials have markedly different objectives compared with reference clinical trials, resulting in differences in the chosen endpoints. In biosimilar trials, response endpoints, which provide rapid and sensitive assessments of equivalence, are preferred to survival endpoints, which require large and lengthy trials for adequate evaluation. Prof Jurczak illustrated this using data from the Phase III clinical trials of the Sandoz rituximab biosimilar. In this trial, Sandoz rituximab demonstrated an equivalent response rate to reference rituximab. Increasing economic pressure on healthcare systems means that biosimilars are likely to play an increasing role in the treatment of cancer in coming years, requiring clinicians to increase their familiarity with these important medicines.