Validation of international consensus guidelines for the resection of branch duct-type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

Importance of main pancreatic duct dilatation in IPMN undergoing surveillance

BACKGROUND

The association between risk of pancreatic cancer and a dilated main pancreatic duct (MPD) in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is debated. The aim of this study was to assess the role of MPD size in predicting pancreatic cancer in resected IPMNs and those kept under surveillance.

METHODS

All patients with IPMN referred to the Pancreas Institute, University of Verona Hospital Trust, from 2006 to 2016 were included. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of malignancy detected at surgery or during follow-up.

RESULTS

The final cohort consisted of 1688 patients with a median follow-up of 60 months. Main pancreatic duct dilatation was associated with other features of malignancy in both the resected and surveillance groups. In patients who underwent resection, only a MPD of at least 10 mm was an independent predictor of malignancy. In patients kept under surveillance, MPD dilatation was not associated with malignancy. Fifteen of 71 patients (21 per cent) with malignancy in the resection cohort had a dilated MPD alone, whereas only one of 30 (3 per cent) under surveillance with MPD dilatation alone developed malignancy. Patients with a dilated MPD and other worrisome features had an increased 5-year cumulative incidence of malignancy compared with those with a non-dilated duct (11 versus 1·2 per cent; P < 0·001); however, the risk of malignancy was not significantly increased in patients with a dilated MPD alone (4 versus 1·2 per cent; P = 0·448).

CONCLUSION

In patients under surveillance, a dilated MPD alone was not associated with an increased incidence of malignancy in IPMN.

Long-term follow-up of low-risk branch-duct IPMNs of the pancreas: is main pancreatic duct dilatation the most worrisome feature?

OBJECTIVES

The management of branch-duct IPMN remains controversial due to the relatively low rate of malignant degeneration and the uncertain predictive role of high-risk stigmata (HRS) and worrisome features (WFs) identified by the 2012 International Consensus Guidelines. Our aim was to evaluate the evolution of originally low-risk (Fukuoka-negative) BD-IPMNs during a long follow-up period in order to determine whether the appearance of any clinical or morphological variables may be independently associated with the development of malignancy over time.

METHODS

A prospectively collected database of all patients with BD-IPMN referring to our Institute between 2002 and 2016 was retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analysis of association between changes during follow-up, including appearance of HRS/WFs, and development of malignancy (high-grade dysplasia/invasive carcinoma) was performed.

RESULTS

A total of 167 patients were selected for analysis, and seven developed malignant disease (4.2%). During a median follow-up time of 55 months, HRS appeared in only three cases but predicted malignancy with 100% specificity. Worrisome features, on the other hand, appeared in 44 patients (26.3%). Appearance of mural nodules and MPD dilatation >5 mm showed a significant association with malignancy in multivariate analysis (p = 0.004 and p = 0.001, respectively). MPD dilatation in particular proved to be the strongest independent risk factor for development of malignancy (OR = 24.5).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of pancreatic malignancy in this population is low but definite. The presence of major WFs, and especially MPD dilatation, should prompt a tighter follow-up with EUS and a valid cytological analysis whenever feasible.

Clinicopathological and prognostic significance of MUC13 and AGR2 expression in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas

BACKGROUND

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas is a primary pancreatic ductal epithelial neoplasm with the potential to develop into an invasive adenocarcinoma. This study aimed to investigate the clinicopathologic and prognostic significance of four potential biomarkers for the preoperative evaluation of patients with IPMN.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Clinicopathologic materials from 104 patients with IPMN who underwent surgical resection at Jichi Medical University Hospital were analyzed. IPMNs (110 lesions in total) were histologically classified into low-grade IPMN (Group 1; n = 68), high-grade IPMN (Group 2; n = 16), or IPMN with an associated invasive carcinoma (Group 3; n = 26). We evaluated the immunohistochemical expression of MUC13, AGR2, FUT8, and FXYD3, which were previously reported to be overexpressed in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

RESULTS

The expression of MUC13 was more common in Group 3 compared with groups 1 and 2 (p < 0.001) and was associated with poor prognosis (p = 0.004). The expression of MUC13 was not associated with age, sex, tumor location, histological subtype, lymphatic or vascular invasion, or neural invasion. In most cases of IPMN, the loss of expression of AGR2 appeared to show an association with tumor recurrence and poorly differentiated histology of invasive carcinoma; however, this association was not statistically significant. The expressions of FUT8 and FXYD3were not associated with the clinicopathological features of IPMNs.

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest that MUC13 overexpression and loss of expression of AGR2 may predict the progression of IPMN and an unfavorable prognosis in patients with IPMN.

Systematic review of the clinical utility and validity of the Sendai and Fukuoka Consensus Guidelines for the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas

BACKGROUND

This systematic review was performed to assess the clinical utility of the Sendai Consensus Guidelines (SCG) and Fukuoka Consensus Guidelines (FCG) for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN).

METHODS

A computerized search of PubMed was performed to identify all the studies which evaluated the SCG and FCG in surgically resected, histologically confirmed IPMNs.

RESULTS

Ten studies evaluating the FCG, 8 evaluating the SCG and 4 evaluating both guidelines were included. In 14 studies evaluating the FCG, out of a total of 2498 neoplasms, 849 were malignant and 1649 were benign neoplasms. Pooled analysis showed that 751 of 1801 (42%) FCG+ve neoplasms were malignant and 599 neoplasms of 697 (86%) FCG-ve neoplasms were benign. PPV of the high risk and worrisome risk groups were 465/986 (47%) and 239/520 (46%) respectively. In 12 studies evaluating the SCG, 1234 neoplasms were analyzed of which 388 (31%) were malignant and 846 (69%) were benign. Pooled analysis demonstrated that 265 of 802 (33%) SCG+ve neoplasms were malignant and 238 of 266 SCG-ve (90%) neoplasms were benign.

CONCLUSION

The FCG had a higher positive predictive value (PPV) compared to the SCG. However, the negative predictive value (NPV) of the FCG was slightly lower than that of the SCG. Malignant and even invasive IPMN may be missed according to both guidelines.

The European Study Group on Cystic Tumours of the Pancreas. European evidence-based guidelines on pancreatic cystic neoplasms

Evidence-based guidelines on the management of pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCN) are lacking. This guideline is a joint initiative of the European Study Group on Cystic Tumours of the Pancreas, United European Gastroenterology, European Pancreatic Club, European-African Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Association, European Digestive Surgery, and the European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy. It replaces the 2013 European consensus statement guidelines on PCN. European and non-European experts performed systematic reviews and used GRADE methodology to answer relevant clinical questions on nine topics (biomarkers, radiology, endoscopy, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN), mucinous cystic neoplasm (MCN), serous cystic neoplasm, rare cysts, (neo)adjuvant treatment, and pathology). Recommendations include conservative management, relative and absolute indications for surgery. A conservative approach is recommended for asymptomatic MCN and IPMN measuring <40 mm without an enhancing nodule. Relative indications for surgery in IPMN include a main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter between 5 and 9.9 mm or a cyst diameter ≥40 mm. Absolute indications for surgery in IPMN, due to the high-risk of malignant transformation, include jaundice, an enhancing mural nodule >5 mm, and MPD diameter >10 mm. Lifelong follow-up of IPMN is recommended in patients who are fit for surgery. The European evidence-based guidelines on PCN aim to improve the diagnosis and management of PCN.

Exact association test for small size sequencing data

Background

Recent statistical methods for next generation sequencing (NGS) data have been successfully applied to identifying rare genetic variants associated with certain diseases. However, most commonly used methods (e.g., burden tests and variance-component tests) rely on large sample sizes. Notwithstanding, due to its-still high cost, NGS data is generally restricted to small sample sizes, that cannot be analyzed by most existing methods.

Methods

In this work, we propose a new exact association test for sequencing data that does not require a large sample approximation, which is applicable to both common and rare variants. Our method, based on the Generalized Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel (GCMH) statistic, was applied to NGS datasets from intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) patients. IPMN is a unique pancreatic cancer subtype that can turn into an invasive and hard-to-treat metastatic disease.

Results

Application of our method to IPMN data successfully identified susceptible genes associated with progression of IPMN to pancreatic cancer.

Conclusions

Our method is expected to identify disease-associated genetic variants more successfully, and corresponding signal pathways, improving our understanding of specific disease’s etiology and prognosis.

Evaluation of the International Consensus Guidelines for the Surgical Resection of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms

BACKGROUND

International consensus guidelines for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) were revised in 2012.

AIMS

We aimed to evaluate the clinical utility of each predictor in the 2006 and 2012 guidelines and validate the diagnostic value and surgical indications.

METHODS

Forty-two patients with surgically resected IPMNs were included. Each predictor was applied to evaluate its diagnostic value.

RESULTS

The 2012 guidelines had greater accuracy for invasive carcinoma than the 2006 guidelines (64.3 vs. 31.0%). Moreover, the accuracy for high-grade dysplasia was also increased (48.6 vs. 77.1%). When the main pancreatic duct (MPD) size ≥8 mm was substituted for MPD size ≥10 mm in the 2012 guidelines, the accuracy for high-grade dysplasia was 80.0%.

CONCLUSIONS

The 2012 guidelines exhibited increased diagnostic accuracy for invasive IPMN. It is important to consider surgical resection prior to invasive carcinoma, and high-risk stigmata might be a useful diagnostic criterion. Furthermore, MPD size ≥8 mm may be predictive of high-grade dysplasia.

The 2012 International Consensus Guidelines of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas (Fukuoka Criteria) Predict the Malignant Potential, Even in Actual Clinical Situations

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the present study was to validate the use of the 2012 International Consensus Guidelines for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) (Fukuoka criteria) in patients without findings of obstructive jaundice and/or an enhanced solid component.

METHODS

This retrospective study included patients who underwent pancreatectomy for IPMN between October 2002 and September 2016. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values for malignancy were calculated for each feature of high-risk stigmata.

RESULTS

Of the 135 patients who underwent surgery for IPMN, 50 (37.0%) had low/intermediate-grade dysplasia, 25 (18.5%) had high-grade dysplasia, and the remaining 60 (44.5%) had invasive carcinoma. A malignant potential was, thus, present in 63% of all resected cases. Considering an actual clinical situation, the predictors for malignant potential were assessed in 62 patients without findings of obstructive jaundice and/or an enhanced solid component. A multivariate analysis revealed that the Fukuoka criteria were the only independent factor for predicting the malignant potential (odds ratio, 5.69; P = 0.036).

CONCLUSIONS

The present study suggested that malignant potential can be accurately detected by faithfully keeping to the Fukuoka criteria. Using these criteria enables us to identify patients with malignant potential, even in the actual clinical situations.

Systematic review, meta-analysis, and a high-volume center experience supporting the new role of mural nodules proposed by the updated 2017 international guidelines on IPMN of the pancreas

BACKGROUND

Mural nodules (MNs) have a predominant role in the 2016 revision of the international guidelines on intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) of the pancreas. The aim of this study was to evaluate MNs as predictors of invasive cancer (iCa) or high-grade dysplasia (HGD) in IPMNs and to investigate the role of MN size in risk prediction.

METHODS

A PRISMA-compliant systematic review of the literature and meta-analysis on selected studies were conducted. The random effect model was adopted, and the pooled SMD (standardized mean difference) obtained. The surgical series of IPMNs at a single high-volume institution was reviewed.

RESULTS

This review included 70 studies and 2297 resected IPMNs. MNs have a positive predictive value for malignancy of 62.2%. The meta-analysis suggested that MN size has a considerable effect on predicting IPMNs with both iCa or HGD with a mean SMD of 0.79. All studies included in the meta-analysis used contrast-enhanced endosonography (CE-EUS) to assess MNs. Due to the heterogeneity of the proposed thresholds, no reliable MN size cut-off was identified. Of 317 IPMNs resected at our institution, 102 (32.1%) had a preoperative diagnosis of MN. Multivariate analysis showed that MN is the only independent predictor of iCa and HGD for all types of IPMNs.

CONCLUSION

MNs are reliable predictors of iCa and HGD in IPMNs as proposed by the 2016 IAP guidelines. CE-EUS seems to be the best tool for characterizing size and has the best accuracy for predicting malignancy. Further studies should determine potential MN dimensional cut-offs.

Predictive performance of factors associated with malignancy in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia of the pancreas

Background

Estimation of the risk of malignancy in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia (IPMN) of the pancreas is a clinical challenge. Several routinely used clinical factors form the basis of the current consensus guidelines. This study aimed to determine the predictive values of the most commonly assessed risk factors.

Methods

A meta-analysis of individual risk factors of malignancy in IPMN was performed. Contingency tables were derived from these data, and sensitivity, specificity, negative and positive predictive values, and diagnostic odds ratios (DOR) were determined. Hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) curves for each factor were calculated and the respective area under the curve (AUC) was assessed.

Results

A total of 3443 studies were screened initially. Analysis of recent literature revealed 60 studies with 13 relevant risk factors including clinical, serological and radiological parameters. The largest area under the HSROC curve was found for weight loss (0·84) and jaundice/raised bilirubin level (0·80), followed by increased carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) (0·79) or carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 (0·78) levels. The most sensitive factors were patient age (71 per cent) and mural nodules (65 per cent), and jaundice/raised bilirubin level (97 per cent) and increased CEA level (95 per cent) were most specific. None of the analysed factors reached a positive or negative level of prediction beyond 90 per cent.

Conclusion

None of the established criteria safely distinguishes malignant from non-malignant lesions.

Proposed Nomogram Predicting the Individual Risk of Malignancy in the Patients With Branch Duct Type Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas

OBJECTIVES

This study evaluated individual risks of malignancy and proposed a nomogram for predicting malignancy of branch duct type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) using the large database for IPMN.

BACKGROUND

Although consensus guidelines list several malignancy predicting factors in patients with BD-IPMN, those variables have different predictability and individual quantitative prediction of malignancy risk is limited.

METHODS

Clinicopathological factors predictive of malignancy were retrospectively analyzed in 2525 patients with biopsy proven BD-IPMN at 22 tertiary hospitals in Korea and Japan. The patients with main duct dilatation >10 mm and inaccurate information were excluded.

RESULTS

The study cohort consisted of 2258 patients. Malignant IPMNs were defined as those with high grade dysplasia and associated invasive carcinoma. Of 2258 patients, 986 (43.7%) had low, 443 (19.6%) had intermediate, 398 (17.6%) had high grade dysplasia, and 431 (19.1%) had invasive carcinoma. To construct and validate the nomogram, patients were randomly allocated into training and validation sets, with fixed ratios of benign and malignant lesions. Multiple logistic regression analysis resulted in five variables (cyst size, duct dilatation, mural nodule, serum CA19-9, and CEA) being selected to construct the nomogram. In the validation set, this nomogram showed excellent discrimination power through a 1000 times bootstrapped calibration test.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram predicting malignancy in patients with BD-IPMN was constructed using a logistic regression model. This nomogram may be useful in identifying patients at risk of malignancy and for selecting optimal treatment methods. The nomogram is freely available at http://statgen.snu.ac.kr/software/nomogramIPMN.

Comparison of the diagnostic accuracy of three current guidelines for the evaluation of asymptomatic pancreatic cystic neoplasms

Asymptomatic pancreatic cysts are a common clinical problem but only a minority of these cases progress to cancer. Our aim was to compare the accuracy to detect malignancy of the 2015 American Gastroenterological Association (AGA), the 2012 International Consensus/Fukuoka (Fukuoka guidelines [FG]), and the 2010 American College of Radiology (ACR) guidelines.We conducted a retrospective study at 3 referral centers for all patients who underwent resection for an asymptomatic pancreatic cyst between January 2008 and December 2013. We compared the accuracy of 3 guidelines in predicting high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or cancer in resected cysts. We performed logistic regression analyses to examine the association between cyst features and risk of HGD or cancer.A total of 269 patients met inclusion criteria. A total of 228 (84.8%) had a benign diagnosis or low-grade dysplasia on surgical pathology, and 41 patients (15.2%) had either HGD (n = 14) or invasive cancer (n = 27). Of the 41 patients with HGD or cancer on resection, only 3 patients would have met the AGA guideline's indications for resection based on the preoperative cyst characteristics, whereas 30/41 patients would have met the FG criteria for resection and 22/41 patients met the ACR criteria. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value of HGD, and/or cancer of the AGA guidelines were 7.3%, 88.2%, 10%, and 84.1%, compared to 73.2%, 45.6%, 19.5%, and 90.4% for the FG and 53.7%, 61%, 19.8%, and 88% for the ACR guidelines. In multivariable analysis, cyst size >3 cm, compared to ≤3 cm, (odds ratio [OR] = 2.08, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.11, 4.2) and each year increase in age (OR = 1.07, 95% CI = 1.03, 1.11) were positively associated with risk of HGD or cancer on resection.In patients with asymptomatic branch duct-intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms or mucinous cystic neoplasms who underwent resection, the prevalence rate of HGD or cancer was 15.2%. Using the 2015 AGA criteria for resection would have missed 92.6% of patients with HGD or cancer. The more "inclusive" FG and ACR had a higher sensitivity for HGD or cancer but lower specificity. Given the current deficiencies of these guidelines, it will be important to determine the acceptable rate of false-positives in order to prevent a single true-positive.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte Ratio is a Predictive Marker for Invasive Malignancy in Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the correlation between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) values, and the presence of invasive carcinoma in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN).

BACKGROUND

NLR and (PLR) are inflammatory markers that have been associated with overall survival in patients with invasive malignancies, including pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 272 patients who underwent surgical resection for histologically confirmed IPMN from January 1997 to July 2015. NLR and PLR were calculated and coevaluated with additional demographic, clinical, and imaging data for possible correlation with IPMN-associated carcinoma in the form of a predictive nomogram.

RESULTS

NLR and PLR were significantly elevated in patients with IPMN-associated invasive carcinoma (P < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, NLR value higher than 4 (P < 0.001), IPMN cyst of size more than 3 cm (P < 0.001), presence of enhanced solid component (P = 0.014), main pancreatic duct dilatation of more than 5 mm (P < 0.001), and jaundice (P < 0.001) were statistically significant variables. The developed statistical model has a c-index of 0.895. Implementation of the statistically significant variables in a predictive nomogram provided a reliable point system for estimating the presence of IPMN-associated invasive carcinoma.

CONCLUSIONS

NLR is an independent predictive marker for the presence of IPMN-associated invasive carcinoma. Further prospective studies are needed to assess the predictive ability of NLR and how it can be applied in the clinical setting.

[Branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm - surgical approach]

Due to increasing precision of modern imaging modalities, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) of the pancreas are found with increasing prevalence. Despite their malignant potential IPMN are often kept under surveillance and are not immediately resected. The 2012 International Consensus Guidelines of Fukuoka have been widely accepted for the management of IPMN. They recommend surgical resection for branch duct IPMN with "high risk stigmata", while branch duct IPMN with "worrisome features" should undergo observation without immediate resection. Consequently, patients with asymptomatic branch duct IPMN and a presumed low malignant potential mostly undergo primary surveillance to avoid surgery-related morbidity and mortality following pancreatic resection; however, with respect to the cumulative risk of malignant transformation over time, surgical resection might also be indicated for patients with branch duct IPMN with "worrisome features". This article discusses the indications for surgery and different options of resection of branch duct IPMN.

Comparison between MRI with MR cholangiopancreatography and endoscopic ultrasonography for differentiating malignant from benign mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas

OBJECTIVE

To compare diagnostic performance of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) for differentiating malignant from benign intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) and mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCN) of the pancreas.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 55 patients with 47 surgically confirmed IPMNs (12 malignant, 35 benign) and eight MCNs (two malignant, six benign) who underwent contrast-enhanced pancreas MRI and EUS. Contrast enhancement was not routinely used at EUS examination. Two observers independently evaluated the MRIs, and another reviewed EUS images. They recorded their confidence for malignancy with each imaging modality. We calculated diagnostic performance using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (A _z ), and to determine the accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and positive (PPV) and negative predictive (NPV) values.

RESULTS

The A _z values of MRI were higher than those of EUS (0.712 and 0.688 for MRI vs. 0.543 for EUS; p = 0.007). The diagnostic accuracies (74.5%), specificity (78.0% and 80.5%) and PPV (50.0%) of MRI in two observers were higher than those (56.4%, 58.5% and 29.2%, respectively) of EUS (p = 0.013-0.049).

CONCLUSION

MRI showed better diagnostic performance than EUS for differentiating malignant from benign pancreatic IPMN and MCN.

KEY POINTS

• The A _z values of MRI were higher than those of EUS. • The diagnostic accuracies of MRI were higher than those of EUS. • The specificities of MRI were higher than those of EUS.

Validation of the American Gastroenterological Association guidelines on management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: more than 5 years of follow-up

OBJECTIVES

Recent guidelines suggest that imaging surveillance be conducted for 5 years for patients with at most one high-risk feature. If there were no significant changes, surveillance is stopped. We sought to validate this follow-up strategy.

METHODS

In study 1, data were analysed for 392 patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) and at most one high-risk feature who were periodically followed up for more than 1 year with imaging tests. In study 2, data were analysed for 159 IPMN patients without worsening high-risk features after 5 years (stop surveillance group).

RESULTS

In study 1, pancreatic cancer (PC) was identified in 12 patients (27.3%) in the endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) indication group and none in the non-EUS-FNA indication group (P < 0.01). In the EUS-FNA indication group, 11 patients (25%) died, whereas 29 (8.3%) died in the non EUS-FNA indication group (P < 0.01). In study 2 (stop surveillance group), PC was identified in three patients (1.9%) at 84, 103 and 145 months.

CONCLUSIONS

PC risk and mortality for IPMNs not showing significant change for 5 years is likely to be low, and the non-EUS-FNA indication can provide reasonable decisions. However, three patients without worsening high-risk features for 5 years developed PC. The stop surveillance strategy should be reconsidered.

KEY POINTS

• The AGA guidelines provide reasonable clinical decisions for the EUS-FNA indication. • In stop surveillance group, PC was identified in 3 patients (1.9%). • In stop surveillance group, 2 of 3 PC patients died from PC. • Risk of pancreatic cancer in "stop surveillance" group is not negligible.

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas - epidemiology, risk factors, diagnosis, and management

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is one of the most common cystic neoplasms of the pancreas. It is a heterogeneous disease and can be divided into ductal types and morphological subtypes. The incidence of IPMN is increasing, likely due to the widespread use of cross-sectional imaging and a growing elderly population. IPMN poses an increasing demand on the health care system. Current guidelines provide indications for surgery and recommendations for surveillance, but management of IPMN is still challenging in routine clinical practice. In this article, we review current knowledge about IPMN and provide future directions for improving diagnosis and management.

Validation of the 2012 Fukuoka Consensus Guideline for Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas From a Single Institution Experience

OBJECTIVES

The 2012 Fukuoka consensus guideline has stratified the risks of malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas into "high-risk stigmata" (HRS) and "worrisome feature" (WF). This study aimed to evaluate its clinical validity based on a single institution experience.

METHODS

Eighty-nine patients who underwent surgical resection with pathological diagnosis of IPMN were retrospectively studied.

RESULTS

High-risk stigmata was significantly correlated with the prevalence of malignant IPMN as compared with WF. The positive predictive values of HRS and WF were 66.7% and 35.7% for branch duct IPMN and 80% and 38.1% for main duct IPMN, respectively. Univariate analysis indicated that all the factors in HRS and WF had statistical significance. Whereas multivariate analysis revealed only enhanced solid component (odds ratio [OR], 50.01; P = 0.008), presence of mural nodule (OR, 73.83; P < 0.001) and lymphadenopathy (OR, 20.85; P = 0.03) were independent predictors. Scoring HRS and WF by different numbers of positive factors resulted in improved predictive value. The area under the curve of HRS score was significantly lower than that of WF or HRS + WF score (0.680 vs 0.900 or 0.902, respectively; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

As supplementary to the 2012 Fukuoka guideline, we suggest that calculating scores of WF and HRS may have superior diagnostic accuracy in predicting malignant IPMN.

Revisions of international consensus Fukuoka guidelines for the management of IPMN of the pancreas

The management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) continues to evolve. In particular, the indications for resection of branch duct IPMN have changed from early resection to more deliberate observation as proposed by the international consensus guidelines of 2006 and 2012. Another guideline proposed by the American Gastroenterological Association in 2015 restricted indications for surgery more stringently and recommended physicians to stop surveillance if no significant change had occurred in a pancreatic cyst after five years of surveillance, or if a patient underwent resection and a non-malignant IPMN was found. Whether or not it is safe to do so, as well as the method and interval of surveillance, has generated substantial debate. Based on a consensus symposium held during the meeting of the International Association of Pancreatology in Sendai, Japan, in 2016, the working group has revised the guidelines regarding prediction of invasive carcinoma and high-grade dysplasia, surveillance, and postoperative follow-up of IPMN. As the working group did not recognize the need for major revisions of the guidelines, we made only minor revisions and added most recent articles where appropriate. The present guidelines include updated information and recommendations based on our current understanding, and highlight issues that remain controversial or where further research is required.

Patterns of recurrence and long-term outcomes in patients who underwent pancreatectomy for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms with high grade dysplasia: implications for surveillance and future management guidelines

BACKGROUND

While intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) with high-grade dysplasia (HGD) are thought to represent non-invasive, high-risk lesions, its natural history following resection is unknown.

METHODS

A retrospective review of HGD-IPMN patients (1999-2015) was performed. Recurrence patterns and clinical outcomes following pancreatectomy were analyzed and the indications for surgery were explored based on current guidelines.

RESULTS

HGD was diagnosed in 100 of 314 patients (32%) following pancreatectomy for IPMN. IPMNs were classified as main duct, branch duct, or mixed in 15, 58 and 27 patients, respectively. Following resection, 25 patients had low-risk residual disease in the remnant pancreas. With a median follow-up of 35 months (range 1-129), 9 patients developed progressive or recurrent disease, 4 of whom underwent additional pancreatectomy. Three patients developed invasive adenocarcinoma. Median time to recurrence was 15 months (range 7-72). Based on the management algorithm from the international consensus guidelines, resection was indicated in 76 patients (76%). Other indications for surgery included mixed-duct IPMN(13), increased cyst size(7) and other(4).

CONCLUSION

The prognosis of HGD-IPMN following resection is good; however, HGD may be a marker for developing IPMN recurrence or adenocarcinoma. Current guidelines regarding surgical indications for IPMN can miss a significant number of patients with HGD.

Pancreatic Cysts and Guidelines

Pancreatic cysts, especially incidental asymptomatic ones seen on noninvasive imaging such as CT or MR imaging, remain a clinical challenge. The etiology of such cysts may range from benign cysts without any malignant potential such as pancreatic pseudocysts and serous cystadenomas to premalignant or frankly malignant cysts such as mucinous cystic neoplasms, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms, cystic degeneration associated with solid tumors such as pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma or pancreatic endocrine neoplasms, and solid pseudopapillary neoplasms. The clinical challenge in 2017 is to accurately preoperatively diagnose them and their malignant potential before deciding about surgery, surveillance or doing nothing. This review will focus on the currently available clinical guidelines for doing so.

Diagnostic performance and imaging features for predicting the malignant potential of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas: a comparison of EUS, contrast-enhanced CT and MRI

PURPOSE

To compare diagnostic performance for prediction of malignant potential in IPMNs between EUS, contrast-enhanced CT and MRI.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

76 patients with IPMN (benign = 37, malignant = 39) underwent EUS, contrast-enhanced CT, and MRI. EUS was analyzed based on formal reports and contrast-enhanced CT and MRI were retrospectively analyzed by two radiologists according to the consensus guidelines 2012. Diagnostic performance and imaging features of malignant IPMNs were analyzed using ROC analysis and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Diagnostic performance of contrast-enhanced CT (AUC = 0.792 in R1, 0.830 in R2), MRI (AUC = 0.742 in R1, 0.776 in R2), and EUS (AUC = 0.733) for predicting malignant IPMNs were comparable without significant difference (p > 0.05). In multivariable analysis, enhancing solid component in contrast-enhanced CT and MRI and mural nodule in EUS (OR 1.8 in CT, 1.36 in MRI, 1.47 in EUS), MPD diameter ≥ 10 mm (OR 1.3 in CT, 1.4 in MRI, 1.66 in EUS), MPD diameter of 5-9 mm (OR 1.23 in CT, 1.31 in MRI), and thickened septa or wall (OR 1.3 in CT and MRI) were significant variables (p < 0.05). Interobserver agreement of thickened cyst septa or wall (k = 0.579-0.617) and abrupt caliber change of MPD (k = 0.689-0.788) was lower than other variables (k > 0.80).

CONCLUSION

Diagnostic performance of contrast-enhanced CT, MRI, and EUS for predicting malignant IPMNs was comparable with each modalities without significant difference.

Natural courses of branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm

PURPOSE

The study was done to elucidate the clinico-radiologic predictive factors for cancerous change detected by disease progression (PD) mainly defined by interval increase in cyst size and change of cyst morphology, for branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (BD-IPMN) patients with relatively long-term follow-up.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of medical records and imaging findings were performed on 107 patients with BD-IPMN enrolled from July 2005 to May 2013, in whom the communication between the cystic lesion and pancreatic duct was confirmed by either endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS), magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP), or endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP).

RESULTS

During the mean ± SD follow-up period of 51.5 ± 24.5 months, PD was noticed in 43 (40.2%) of 107 BD-IPMN patients. Among these 107 patients, 21 (19.6%) displayed cancerous change. By univariate analyses, septated/multilocular cyst morphology, cyst size larger than 30 mm, cyst wall thickening, mural nodules, and the presence of symptoms were significant predictive factors for cancerous changes in BD-IPMN patients. A Cox forward stepwise linear regression model revealed that cyst wall thickening (OR 9.187, 95% CI 1.883~44.820, P < 0.01) and mural nodules (OR 6.224, 95% CI 1.311~29.549, P = 0.021) were significant and independent predictive factors for cancerous change in BD-IPMN patients.

CONCLUSIONS

A significant proportion of patients with BD-IPMN showed PD and cancerous change during the long-term follow-up. Cyst wall thickening and mural nodules were significant and independent predictive factors of cancerous change in patients with BD-IPMN.

Dynamics of Fukuoka Criteria and Patient Management in Pancreatic Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms (IPMNs) During Follow-Up

BACKGROUND Pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) present a clinical challenge. Evidence-based guidelines are lacking. The so-called "Fukuoka criteria" were developed to assess the risk of malignancy in IPMNs upon imaging. However, little is known about their diagnostic value and the natural course of IPMNs. Thus, the aim of this study was the assessment of Fukuoka criteria and patient management in pancreatic IPMNs -during follow-up. MATERIAL AND METHODS IPMNs were identified via retrospective survey of endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) examinations. Fukuoka criteria were assessed on EUS findings and additional imaging (CT, MRI, ultrasound). Patients' symptoms and comorbidities were recorded. Dynamics of Fukuoka criteria and patient management were compared at first presentation and during follow-up. RESULTS We screened 1324 EUS examinations. Sixty-five patients (male/female, 14/37; mean age, 68.8 years; range, 48-85 years) with IPMNs were identified (57 branch duct (BD-)IPMNs, 3 main duct (MD-) IPMNs, 5 mixed-type (MT)-IPMNs). Seven patients received surgical resection (4 BD-IPMNs, 2 MD-IPMNs, 1 MT-IPMN). Nine BD-IPMNs had neither surgery nor follow-up. Fifty-one patients (44 BD-IPMNs, 2 MD-IPMNs, 5 MT-IPMNs) underwent follow-up (mean duration, 18.7 months; range, 3-139 months). There were 15/51 patients who were initially Fukuoka-positive. One MD-IPMN, 4/5 MT-IPMNs, and 13/44 BD-IPMNs showed progressive changes but were not resected due to patients' refusal or comorbidities. Four BD-IPMNs converted to Fukuoka-positive. CONCLUSIONS Evidence-based guidelines for non-invasive dignity assessment of IPMNs are lacking. In our study, MD-IPMNs displayed greater dynamics than BD-IPMNs and MT-IPMNs concerning Fukuoka criteria. Prospective long-term studies are needed to clarify prognostic significance of the single Fukuoka criteria and sensible duration of follow-up.

Evaluation of AGA and Fukuoka Guidelines for EUS and surgical resection of incidental pancreatic cysts

Objectives Management of asymptomatic pancreatic cysts is challenging. Guidelines by the American Gastroenterological Association (AGA) and International Association of Pancreatology (Fukuoka) seek to identify high-risk patients. We assessed performance of these guidelines in selecting patients for endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and/or surgery. Methods PART I - We retrospectively studied 143 asymptomatic cysts with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) followed by EUS. Appropriate selection for EUS was defined as: malignant cytology or surgical pathology, or development of concerning features on MRI as defined by the guidelines. PART II - We retrospectively studied 152 resected cysts to assess the performance of guidelines in selecting cysts for surgery using malignant histology as the outcome. Results PART I - Of 143 EUS, 43 (30.1 %) were male with median age 65.0 years (interquartile range [IQR] 58.0 - 73.0). AGA guideline demonstrated lower sensitivity (17.6 % versus 35.3 %, P = 0.03), higher specificity (94.5 % versus 66.1 %, p < 0.001), and higher accuracy (76.2 % versus 58.7 %, P = 0.002) than Fukuoka. There was no difference in positive predictive value (50.0 % versus 24.5 %, P = 0.15) and negative predictive value (78.6 % versus 76.6 %, p=0.75). PART II - Of 152 resected cysts, 45 (29.8 %) were male with median age 59.0 years (IQR 47.3 - 66.7). There was no difference in performance characteristics of the guidelines in selecting cysts for surgery. AGA and Fukuoka guidelines missed 25.0 % and 18.8 % of malignant cysts, respectively (P = 1.00). Conclusions For referral to EUS, the AGA guideline was highly specific compared to Fukuoka; both suffered from poor sensitivity, although the Fukuoka guideline was relatively more sensitive than AGA. For referral to surgery, both guidelines have modest sensitivity and specificity and miss a similar percentage of malignant lesions.

The Sendai and Fukuoka consensus criteria for the management of branch duct IPMN - A meta-analysis on their accuracy

INTRODUCTION

The risk of malignancy in branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia of the pancreas (BD-IPMN) is controversially debated. An increasing number of studies report on outcomes using the Sendai or Fukuoka consensus criteria for treatment decision-making. The objective of this work was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the Sendai and Fukuoka criteria.

METHODS

We systematically reviewed studies on Sendai or Fukuoka criteria-guided management of BD-IPMN. Pooled sensitivity, specificity and diagnostic odds ratios as compound measures of diagnostic accuracy were calculated from studies matching the inclusion criteria. The meta-analysis was performed using a random effects model.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies with a total of 2710 patients were included. Twelve of these used the Sendai criteria. In these studies, 23% of Sendai-negative patients had a high grade dysplastic lesion or an invasive carcinoma in final histology. Pooled sensitivity was 56%, specificity was 74% and the diagnostic odds ratio for malignancy in Sendai-positive lesions was 7.45. When the results of follow-up examinations were included, diagnostic accuracy improved significantly (14.66, p < 0.001). Three studies were identified that used the Fukuoka criteria for decision making. Of 200 patients with Fukuoka-negative lesions who underwent surgery, 22 had a malignant lesion in final histology (11%). Pooled sensitivity was 83%, specificity was 53% and the diagnostic odds ratio was 8.76.

CONCLUSION

The Fukuoka criteria have considerably improved sensitivity but still lack adequate specificity. For further reduction of a potential surgical overtreatment of BD-IPMN, the development of criteria with an increased specificity is required.

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms and mucinous cystadenomas: current status and recommendations

The real prevalence of pancreatic cystic lesions remains unknown. The malignant potential of some of these lesions remains a cause for significant concern. Thus, it is mandatory to develop a strategy to clearly discriminate those cysts with a potential for malignant transformation from those that do not carry any significant risk. Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms and mucinous cystadenomas are mucinous cystic neoplasms with a known malignant potential that have gained greater recognition in recent years. However, despite the numerous studies that have been carried out, their differential diagnosis among other cysts subtypes and their therapeutic approach continue to be a challenge for clinicians. This review contains a critical approach of the current recommendations and management strategies regarding intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms and mucinous cystadenomas, as well as highlighting the limitations exposed in current guidelines.

Enucleation: A treatment alternative for branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

BACKGROUND

Small, asymptomatic, branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas are often kept under surveillance despite their malignant potential. The management of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm is controversial with regard to indications and extent of any operative intervention. The present study aimed to evaluate enucleation as an alternative operative approach for branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms to exclude and prevent malignancy.

METHODS

For branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of <30 mm in diameter and an acceptable distance from the main pancreatic duct, enucleation was considered as the operative approach of choice. All patients scheduled for enucleation of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm on the basis of these features between January 2004 and September 2014 were analyzed. Among these, patients with successful enucleation were compared with those who were scheduled for enucleation but converted intraoperatively to pancreatic resection (intention-to-treat analysis). End points were hospital morbidity and mortality as well as histopathology and functional outcome at a mean follow-up of 32 months.

RESULTS

In the study, 115 patients with presumed branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm and the intention to perform pancreatic enucleation were included; 87 enucleations were performed in 74 patients. In 41 patients, enucleation was converted to a pancreatic resection (procedure-specific success rate 64%); indications for conversion included location or size (46%), presence of multicystic lesions (39%), or involvement of the main pancreatic duct (15%). Of the 74 patients with enucleation, 64 branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms revealed low- (85%), 11% moderate dysplasia-, and 4% high-grade dysplasia on histology. Among converted resections, 6 intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms revealed high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma (15%). Intention-to-treat analysis with patients converted to pancreatic resection showed that enucleations resulted in less blood loss (100 vs 400 mL) and a shorter operation time (146 vs 255 minutes; P < .001 each). Postoperative morbidity including postoperative pancreatic fistula was similar in both groups. No mortality occurred after enucleation; after formal resection, 1 patient died due to multiorgan failure. Both hospital stay (10 vs 14 days) and rates of postoperative endocrine and exocrine dysfunction rates were less after enucleation (P < .02 each). Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm-specific recurrence rates (3% vs 6%) were similar in both groups.

CONCLUSION

Enucleation is a safe procedure that can be performed successfully in a high proportion of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms and should be considered instead of standard resections as an important function-preserving alternative. Limitations may occur due to malignancy, size, localization, multilocularity, or main-duct involvement requiring conversion to a formal, anatomic resection. Beside the advantages in the short-term course, functional outcome seems to be superior after enucleation, and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm-specific recurrence rates are not increased compared with standard resections, at least at a mean follow-up of 32 months.

Development and Potential Utility of a New Scoring Formula for Prediction of Malignant Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas

OBJECTIVE

A simple system is needed to determine whether surgery is indicated in cases of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN).

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study to identify factors predictive of malignant IPMN and thus simplify the treatment decision-making process. Ninety-six consecutive patients treated surgically for IPMN at Kyorin University Hospital (Tokyo, Japan) between 1994 and 2014 were included. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify preoperative factors predictive of malignancy. A simple scoring formula was derived from the regression equation.

RESULTS

Twenty-two (23%) of the IPMNs were malignant, and 74 (77%) were benign. Pancreatic head tumor, cyst diameter of 47 mm or greater, and mural nodule diameter of 9 mm or greater were identified as significant predictors of malignant IPMN. The following scoring formula was developed: 4 × tumor location (pancreatic head, 1; pancreatic body or tail, 0) + 3 × cyst diameter (≥47 mm, 1; <47 mm, 0) + 6 × mural nodule diameter (≥9 mm, 1; <9 mm, 0); the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.970. At a cutoff of 8 points, the diagnostic accuracy was excellent (sensitivity, 90.9%; specificity, 95.9%; accuracy, 94.8%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our scoring system has potential as a simple screening tool for the identification of malignant IPMN.

Risk Factors for Malignancy of Branch-Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms: A Critical Evaluation of the Fukuoka Guidelines With a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of the risk factors proposed by Fukuoka guidelines in detecting malignancy of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms.

METHOD

Diagnostic meta-analysis of cohort studies. A systematic literature search was conducted using MEDLINE, the Cochrane Library, Scopus, and the ISI-Web of Science databases to identify all studies published up to 2014.

RESULTS

Twenty-five studies (2025 patients) were suitable for the meta-analysis. The "high risk stigmata" showed the highest pooled diagnostic odds ratio (jaundice, 6.3; positive citology, 5.5; mural nodules, 4.8) together with 2 "worrisome features" (thickened/enhancing walls, 4.2; duct dilatation, 4.0) and 1 "other parameters" (carbohydrate antigen 19-9 serum levels, 4.6).

CONCLUSIONS

An "ideal risk factor" capable of recognizing all malignant branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms was not identified and some "dismal areas" remain. However, "high risk stigmata" were strongly related to malignancy, mainly enhancing mural nodules. Among the "worrisome features," duct dilatation and thickened/enhancing walls were underestimated, and their diagnostic performance was similar to those of "high risk stigmata." The carbohydrate antigen 19-9 serum level should be added to the Fukuoka algorithm because this value could help in carrying out correct management.

Management of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: a large single-center study to assess predictors of malignancy and long-term outcomes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Management of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) remains challenging. We determined factors associated with malignancy in BD-IPMNs and long-term outcomes.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included all patients with established BD-IPMNs by the International Consensus Guidelines (ICG) 2012 and/or pathologically confirmed BD-IPMNs in a tertiary care referral center between 2001 and 2013. Main outcome measures were the association between high-risk stigmata (HRS)/worrisome features (WFs) of the ICG 2012 and malignant BD-IPMNs, performance characteristics of EUS-FNA for the diagnosis of malignant BD-IPMNs, and recurrence and long-term outcomes of BD-IPMN patients undergoing surgery or imaging surveillance.

RESULTS

Of 364 BD-IPMN patients, 229 underwent imaging surveillance and 135 underwent surgery. Among the 135 resected BD-IPMNs, HRS/WFs on CT/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) were similar between the benign and malignant groups, but main pancreatic duct (MPD) dilation (5-9 mm) was more frequently identified in malignant lesions. On EUS-FNA, mural nodules, MPD features suspicious for involvement, and suspicious/positive malignant cytology were more frequently detected in the malignant group with a sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of 33%, 94%, and 86%; 42%, 91%, and 83%; and 33% 91%, and 82%, respectively. Mural nodules identified by EUS were missed by CT/MRI in 28% in the malignant group. Patients with malignant lesions had a higher risk of any IPMN recurrence during a mean follow-up period of 131 months (P = .01).

CONCLUSIONS

Among HRS and WFs of the ICG 2012, an MPD size of 5 to 9 mm on CT/MRI was associated with malignant BD-IPMNs. EUS features including mural nodules, MPD features suspicious for involvement, and suspicious/malignant cytology were accurate and highly specific for malignant BD-IPMNs. Our study highlights the incremental value of EUS-FNA over imaging in identifying malignant BD-IPMNs, particularly in patients without WFs and those with smaller cysts. Benign IPMN recurrence was observed in some patients up to 8 years after resection.

Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas: Current State of the Art and Ongoing Controversies

With the widespread use and advances in radiographic imaging, Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms (IPMNs) of the pancreas are identified with increasing frequency. Although many studies have addressed its biology and treatment, true understanding of its natural history continues to elude us. Its malignant potential places careproviders in a clinical dilemma of balancing the morbidity of pancreatectomy against the risk of malignant transformation while under continuous surveillance. Recently, there have been conflicting data published in the literature, generating more uncertainty in the field. In this article, we critically analyze the contrasting consensus guidelines from the International Association of Pancreatology and the American Gastroenterology Association, and address lingering questions and controversies. We also synthesize newly published data in the context of current standard of care, and provide a comprehensive review and recommendations for the clinical diagnosis, treatment, and follow-up strategy in the management of patients with Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms.

Pancreatic juice cytology as sensitive test for detecting pancreatic malignancy in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas without mural nodule

OBJECTIVE

Recent studies reported that mural nodule (MN) was the most associated with malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). However, IPMNs without MN cannot be diagnosed as malignant if only MN is determined to be indicator of malignancy. This study aimed to investigate role of pancreatic juice cytology for IPMNs without MN.

METHODS

Medical records of 50 patients with histologically proven malignant IPMNs were reviewed. Exclusively for non-invasive cancer, extent of high-grade dysplasia along the main pancreatic duct (MPD) was determined microscopically.

RESULTS

Thirty-six percent IPMNs had no MN. Cyst and main MPD diameter were significantly smaller in IPMN without MN compared to those in IPMN with MN (23 ± 14.1 vs 35 ± 13.2 mm, p = 0.010; 6.6 ± 4.3 vs 10.9 ± 6.1 mm, p = 0.006). Sensitivity of pancreatic juice cytology was higher in IPMN without MN compared to that in IPMN with MN (94% vs 53%, p = 0.004) although it could be affected by selection bias of study patients. Absence of MN was determined to be an independent factor associated with true positive cytology (OR = 24.3, p = 0.005). Extent of high-grade dysplasia was significantly longer in IPMN with true positive cytology compared to that in IPMN with false negative cytology (46.8 ± 20.5 vs 26.4 ± 11.0 mm, p = 0.005), and tended to be longer in IPMN without MN compared to that in IPMN with MN (47.0 ± 19.0 vs 36.0 ± 20.1 mm, p = 0.16).

CONCLUSIONS

Sensitivity of pancreatic juice cytology was excellent in IPMN without MN. Pancreatic juice cytology may be a sensitive test for detection of pancreatic malignancy in IPMN without MN compared to high-risk imaging features.

Validation of the 2012 International Consensus Guidelines Using Computed Tomography and Magnetic Resonance Imaging: Branch Duct and Main Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas

OBJECTIVE

To validate the 2012 guidelines for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas and to compare diagnostic performances of computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for differentiating malignant from benign IPMN.

BACKGROUND

As IPMN has variable risks of malignancy and management of this entity is closely related to its malignant potential, it is important to predict risks of IPMN malignancy.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 158 patients with surgically confirmed IPMN of the pancreas who underwent both preoperative CT and MRI. Two radiologists evaluated the "high-risk stigmata" and "worrisome features" of the 2012 guidelines for branch duct (BD)-IPMN and main duct (MD)-IPMN. Univariate and multivariable analyses were used to identify significant predictors of malignancy in IPMN. The diagnostic performance was compared between CT and MRI.

RESULTS

Malignant IPMN was seen in 8 of 60 patients (13.3%) with BD-IPMN and 44 of 98 patients (44.9%) with MD-IPMN. Presence of mural nodule was the most important predictor in BD-IPMN and MD-IPMN (odds ratios, 9.2 and 7.6, respectively, P = 0.01 on CT; and odds ratios, 5.7 and 13.3, respectively, P ≤ 0.04 on MRI), whereas mural nodule size and lymphadenopathy were significant only in MD-IPMN (P < 0.05). The diagnostic performance of CT and MRI for significant findings was not statistically different in both types of IPMN (P > 0.34).

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of mural nodule was the most important predictor of malignancy in both types of IPMN. Mural nodule size and lymphadenopathy were also significant predictors in MD-IPMN. Computed tomography and MRI showed similar diagnostic performances for differentiating malignant from benign IPMN.

Validation of international consensus guideline 2012 for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of pancreas

Purpose

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) has variable malignant potential ranging from premalignant intraductal lesions to malignant neoplasms with invasive carcinoma. To help physicians managing patients with IPMN, International consensus guidelines was made in 2006 and revised in 2012. This study was designed to evaluate the clinical usefulness of guidelines and to validate.

Methods

From October 1996 to December 2011, we retrospectively reviewed the data of 230 patients who underwent pancreatic resection for IPMN. Univariate and multivariable analyses were used to identify significant predictors of malignancy in IPMN.

Results

Of the 230 patients, 62 patients (27%) were diagnosed with invasive carcinoma. Jaundice (P < 0.001; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.086–40.010) main pancreatic duct diameter equal to or greater than 10 mm (P < 0.001; 95% CI, 1.723–6.673) and also abdominal pain (P < 0.001; 95% CI, 4.363–22.600) show statistical significance in univariate and multivariate analysis. "High-risk stigmata" was statistical powerful predictors of malignancy than "worrisome features". International consensus guidelines 2012 had improvement on specificity but deterioration of sensitivity.

Conclusion

Revised guidelines seemed to bring about an improvement of weak side of Sendai criteria. Abdominal pain, jaundice, main pancreas duct greater than 10 mm can be clinical variables to predict malignancy.

Main-duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm: High Cancer Risk in Duct Diameter of 5 to 9 mm

OBJECTIVE

The 2012 international consensus guidelines for the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) recommend surgical treatment in main-duct IPMN patients with a main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter of ≥10 mm. Aim of the present study was to analyze cancer risk in patients with an MPD diameter of less than 10 mm.

METHODS

All consecutive patients (prospective data protocol) with histological proof of IPMN who underwent surgery between January 2004 and December 2013 were included in the study. Clinical characteristics, particularly preoperative imaging with regard to morphology of the MPD, were correlated with final histopathology.

RESULTS

Among a total of 605 patients who underwent surgery for IPMN, there were 320 patients with MPD involvement, 238 patients with mixed-type IPMN, and 82 patients with main-duct IPMN alone. The total malignancy rate including high-grade dysplasia and invasive carcinoma in IPMNs with MPD involvement was 68%. When the MPD diameter was 5 to 9 mm, malignancy rate was 59%, whereas in MPD diameter more than 10 mm, it was 73%. No statistical correlations were observed between MPD diameter and clinical and/or IPMN features such as age, cyst location, mural nodules, serum tumor markers, or bilirubin.

CONCLUSIONS

Main-duct IPMNs with a MPD between 5 and 9 mm already bear a significant risk of malignancy. Therefore, surgical treatment is clearly indicated in patients with a MPD diameter of ≥5 mm and the 2012 guidelines should be discussed and adapted with regard to this topic.

Patterns of Recurrence After Resection of IPMN: Who, When, and How?

OBJECTIVE

To describe the patterns of recurrence after resection of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) of the pancreas.

BACKGROUND

IPMNs represent an increasing indication for pancreatic resection, but little is known about the actual incidence and the patterns of recurrence after surgical excision.

METHODS

Retrospective review of 412 resected IPMNs from 1990 to 2013 who have had near-complete follow-up.

RESULTS

Median age of the cohort was 68 years, 56% had branch duct (BD)-IPMN and 21% had invasive cancers. Nineteen patients (5%) had distinct pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and were excluded from the recurrence analysis. After a median of 58 months, 65 of 381 patients (17%) experienced recurrence of the IPMN, and 5- and 10-year disease-free survival (DFS) was 82% and 78%, respectively. Only 2 patients (0.5%) developed metachronous PDAC. In 33 patients (9%), a residual BD-IPMN was left in the pancreatic remnant, but none of these significantly grew or required reoperation. Invasive component and resection margin positive for IPMN were predictors of recurrence (P < 0.05). Invasive IPMN recurred in 45% of cases, whereas noninvasive in only 9% and later (P < 0.001), but patterns depended on IPMN subtypes. Only 9 patients required reoperation for recurrence, with good long-term outcome particularly for oncocytic IPMNs.

CONCLUSIONS

Recurrence of noninvasive BD-IPMN is infrequent and surveillance may be avoided in selected cases. In invasive IPMN recurrence depends on N status, pancreatic margin, and invasive type.

Accuracy of 2012 International Consensus Guidelines for the prediction of malignancy of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas

OBJECTIVE

To determine accuracy of 2012 International Consensus Guidelines (ICG) predicting malignancy in a surgical cohort of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN).

METHODS

This study included all consecutive patients with final pathological diagnosis of pure BD-IPMN resected between 2006 and 2014 at Beaujon Hospital. Neoplasms were classified as malignant in presence of high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or invasive carcinoma. Medical, pathological, and radiological data were retrospectively recorded.

RESULTS

One hundred and twenty patients (65 males, mean age: 57.9 ± 10.8 years) were included. Malignant BD-IPMN accounted for 30% (HGD: 18%, invasive: 12%). Thickened cyst walls (odds ratio (OR): 3.058, 95% confidence interval (CI 95%): 1.102-8.484, p = 0.032), main duct diameter 5-9 mm (OR: 3.395, CI 95%: 1.349-8.543, p = 0.007), and mural nodule (OR: 3.802, CI 95%: 1.156-12.511, p = 0.028) were independently associated with malignancy in multivariate analysis. Among the 89 patients (74%) who underwent surgical resection with ICG criteria, the malignancy rate was 38%, compared with 6% in the 31 ICG-negative group. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy for malignancy of having at least one ICG criteria were 94%, 34%, 38%, 94%, and 53%, respectively. Patients with malignant tumors had more ICG criteria than those with benign lesions (2.06 ± 0.98 vs. 0.99 ± 0.95, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

2012 ICG criteria are useful to manage BD-IPMN permitting not to miss a malignant form (NPV of 94%), but frequently point out unnecessary surgery (PPV of 38%). Malignancy rate increases with the number of ICG criteria. In patients with only one criterion, additional criteria would be necessary.

Pathologic Evaluation and Reporting of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas and Other Tumoral Intraepithelial Neoplasms of Pancreatobiliary Tract: Recommendations of Verona Consensus Meeting

BACKGROUND

There are no established guidelines for pathologic diagnosis/reporting of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs).

DESIGN

An international multidisciplinary group, brought together by the Verona Pancreas Group in Italy-2013, was tasked to devise recommendations.

RESULTS

(1) Crucial to rule out invasive carcinoma with extensive (if not complete) sampling. (2) Invasive component is to be documented in a full synoptic report including its size, type, grade, and stage. (3) The term "minimally invasive" should be avoided; instead, invasion size with stage and substaging of T1 (1a, b, c; ≤ 0.5, > 0.5-≤ 1, > 1 cm) is to be documented. (4) Largest diameter of the invasion, not the distance from the nearest duct, is to be used. (5) A category of "indeterminate/(suspicious) for invasion" is acceptable for rare cases. (6) The term "malignant" IPMN should be avoided. (7) The highest grade of dysplasia in the non-invasive component is to be documented separately. (8) Lesion size is to be correlated with imaging findings in cysts with rupture. (9) The main duct diameter and, if possible, its involvement are to be documented; however, it is not required to provide main versus branch duct classification in the resected tumor. (10) Subtyping as gastric/intestinal/pancreatobiliary/oncocytic/mixed is of value. (11) Frozen section is to be performed highly selectively, with appreciation of its shortcomings. (12) These principles also apply to other similar tumoral intraepithelial neoplasms (mucinous cystic neoplasms, intra-ampullary, and intra-biliary/cholecystic).

CONCLUSIONS

These recommendations will ensure proper communication of salient tumor characteristics to the management teams, accurate comparison of data between analyses, and development of more effective management algorithms.

Mural nodule of 10 mm or larger as predictor of malignancy for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas: Pathological and radiological evaluations

BACKGROUND

We had previously reported that mural nodule (MN) ≥10 mm was optimal predictor of malignancy for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). However, little is known about its microscopic findings and imaging detectability.

METHODS

Medical records and resected specimens of consecutive patients with IPMNs harboring MN ≥ 10 mm were reviewed. Imaging detectability was determined on reports basis. Malignant IPMNs (noninvasive + invasive carcinomas) were microscopically classified according to localization of high-grade dysplasia (HGD) within MN.

RESULTS

Thirty-six patients were included. Imaging detectability of MN ≥ 10 mm in CT, MRI, US and EUS were 64%, 68%, 89%, and 97%, respectively. Thirty-three (92%) IPMNs were histologically diagnosed as malignant. Thirty percent of malignant IPMNs were classified into "diffuse HGD within MN", 40% into "focal HGD within MN", and 30% into "HGD outside MN", in which HGD was not located within MN but in low papillary epithelia around MN. Overall sensitivity of pancreatic juice cytology was calculated as 58%, and for "diffuse HGD within MN", "focal HGD within MN", and "HGD outside MN" as 80%, 62%, and 30%, respectively (p = 0.0237). Univariate-analysis showed localization of HGD within MN was associated with true positive cytology (OR = 5.33, p = 0.043).

CONCLUSIONS

Detectability of MN ≥ 10 mm is excellent in US and EUS. Although HGD is observed within MN in 70% of malignant IPMNs, HGD is located only in low papillary epithelia around MN in the remaining 30%, in which sensitivity of pancreatic juice cytology is shown to be inadequate.

Biomarker Development for Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms Using Multiple Reaction Monitoring Mass Spectrometry

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is a common precursor of pancreatic cancer (PC). Much clinical attention has been directed toward IPMNs due to the increase in the prevalence of PC. The diagnosis of IPMN depends primarily on a radiological examination, but the diagnostic accuracy of this tool is not satisfactory, necessitating the development of accurate diagnostic biomarkers for IPMN to prevent PC. Recently, high-throughput targeted proteomic quantification methods have accelerated the discovery of biomarkers, rendering them powerful platforms for the evolution of IPMN diagnostic biomarkers. In this study, a robust multiple reaction monitoring (MRM) pipeline was applied to discovery and verify IPMN biomarker candidates in a large cohort of plasma samples. Through highly reproducible MRM assays and a stringent statistical analysis, 11 proteins were selected as IPMN marker candidates with high confidence in 184 plasma samples, comprising a training (n = 84) and test set (n = 100). To improve the discriminatory power, we constructed a six-protein panel by combining marker candidates. The multimarker panel had high discriminatory power in distinguishing between IPMN and controls, including other benign diseases. Consequently, the diagnostic accuracy of IPMN can be improved dramatically with this novel plasma-based panel in combination with a radiological examination.

Evaluation of the Fukuoka Consensus Guidelines for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas: Results from a systematic review of 1,382 surgically resected patients

BACKGROUND

International consensus guidelines to guide management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) were revised in Fukuoka and published in 2012. However, despite widespread acceptance of the Fukuoka Consensus Guidelines (FCG), the utility of these guidelines have not been well-validated. This systematic review was performed to evaluate the clinical utility of the FCG.

DESIGN

A computerized search of the PubMed and Scopus databases was performed to identify all studies evaluating the utility of the FCG in surgically resected IPMN. IPMN were stratified according to the FCG as high risk (HR), worrisome risk (WR), and low risk (LR). HR and WR IPMN were termed FCG+ve and LR IPMN were termed FCG-ve.

RESULTS

Seven studies analyzing 1,382 patients were included. There were 402 malignant neoplasms (29%), including 242 invasive IPMNs. There were 1,000 IPMN classified as FCG+ve. The FCG+ve group had a positive predictive value (PPV) ranging from 27 to 62% and the FCG-ve group had negative predictive value ranging from 82 to 100%. Pooled analysis demonstrated that there was 362 of 1,000 (36%) malignant FCG+ve IPMN and 342 of 382 (90%) benign FCG-ve IPMN. PPV of the HR group and the WR groups alone were 104 of 158 (66%) and 75 of 261 (29%), respectively. Forty of 382 (11%), including 22 (6%) invasive FCG-ve IPMN, were malignant. Twenty-six malignant including 18 invasive FCG-ve IPMN were reported from a single study. When the results from this study were excluded, there were only 14 of 241 malignant neoplasms (6%), including 4 of 241 (2%) invasive FCG-ve IPMN in the remaining 6 studies.

CONCLUSION

The FCG+ve criteria had a similarly low PPV compared with the 2006 consensus criteria. Stratification of IPMN into HR and WR groups resulted in a higher PPV in the HR group. Some malignant and even invasive IPMN may be missed by the FCG criteria.

Assessment of Malignant Potential in Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas: Comparison between Multidetector CT and MR Imaging with MR Cholangiopancreatography

PURPOSE

To compare the diagnostic performance of multidetector computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance (MR) imaging with MR cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) in identifying the malignant potential of pancreatic intraductal papillary neoplasms (IPMNs) and evaluate their intermodality agreement.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Institutional review board approval was obtained, and the requirement for informed consent was waived for this retrospective study. In 129 patients with pathologically proved pancreatic IPMNs, three reviewers independently evaluated their preoperative CT and MR imaging with MRCP findings. Intermodality agreement between multidetector CT and MR imaging with MRCP, as well as interobserver agreement of each imaging modality, for depicting high-risk stigmata and worrisome features were assessed. Diagnostic values of other signs of overt malignancy, including the presence of a parenchymal mass and local-regional extension, were analyzed. Diagnostic performance and intermodality agreement were assessed by using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis and weighted κ statistics.

RESULTS

Overall, multidetector CT and MR imaging with MRCP were similar in their ability to depict signs suspicious or indicative of malignancy in patients with IPMN (area under the ROC curve [AUC] = 0.82 for both), with good intermodality agreement (κ = 0.75) and moderate interobserver agreement (κ = 0.47-0.59) when high-grade dysplasia was used as the cutoff for malignancy. When parenchymal masses and local-regional extensions were also considered as overt signs of malignancy, the ability to identify invasive IPMNs significantly increased (AUC = 0.87 for CT and AUC = 0.88 for MR imaging), with high sensitivity (94.3%), while maintaining specificity (69.1%).

CONCLUSION

The diagnostic performance of multidetector CT and MR imaging with MRCP for identifying the malignant potential of pancreatic IPMNs was similar and showed good intermodality agreement, suggesting that follow-up with either modality may be used.

Comparison of the international consensus guidelines for predicting malignancy in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

BACKGROUND

This study sought to evaluate the predictors of malignancy in the 2012 international consensus guidelines for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) and validate their diagnostic value relative to the 2006 guidelines.

METHODS

Between 2002 and 2014, 177 consecutive patients who underwent curative resection of IPMN were reviewed. Based on the 2012 guidelines, high-risk stigmata (mural nodule with enhancement, main pancreatic duct [MPD] ≥ 10 mm, and obstructive jaundice) and worrisome features (cyst size ≥ 30 mm, thickened cyst wall, mural nodule without enhancement, MPD 5-9 mm, an abrupt change in MPD diameter, and lymphadenopathy) were assessed, and predictive and diagnostic values were analyzed statistically.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis identified obstructive jaundice (odds ratio [OR], 23.9; P < .0001), abrupt change in MPD diameter (OR, 3.01; P = .017) and lymphadenopathy (OR, 5.84; P = .027) as independent predictive factors, with an accuracy of 69.8, 67.4, and 66.3%, respectively. Operative intervention was indicated in 156 patients (94.0%) using the 2006 guidelines, and in 130 (78.3%) using the 2012 guidelines. The accuracy of the 2006 guidelines was 35.5% compared with 44.8% for the 2012 guidelines. The area under the curve (AUC) for the 2006 and 2012 guidelines was 0.65 and 0.67, respectively; ΔAUC was 0.02, which was not statistically significant. When the worrisome features were combined with high-risk stigmata, the AUC increased to 0.79.

CONCLUSION

Obstructive jaundice, abrupt change in MPD diameter, and lymphadenopathy were independent predictive factors in the 2012 guidelines with high accuracy. Using the new guidelines, the number of patients with IPMN managed with observation and the predictive accuracy increased.

International guidelines for the management of pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

The management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) is presently evolving as a result of the improved understanding of the natural history and biological behavior of the different pancreatic cystic neoplasms; and better preoperative diagnosis of these neoplasms due to advancement in preoperative diagnostic tools. International consensus guidelines for the management of IPMN were first formulated in 2006 and subsequently revised in 2012. Both these guidelines were constructed based on expert opinion and not on robust clinical data. The main limitation of the original Sendai guidelines was that it had a low positive predictive value resulting in many benign neoplasms being resected. Hence, these guidelines were revised in 2012. However, although the updated guidelines resulted in an improvement in the positive predictive value over the Sendai Guidelines, the results of several studies validating these guidelines demonstrated that its positive predictive value remained low. Furthermore, although both guidelines were associated with high negative predictive values, several investigators have demonstrated that some malignant IPMNs may be missed. Finally, it is imperative to emphasize that major considerations when managing a patient with IPMN including the patient's surgical risk, life-expectancy and even cost of investigations are not taken into account in current guidelines. The management of a patient with IPMN should be individualized and tailored according to a patient's risk benefit profile for resection vs surveillance.

Rapid Growth Rates of Suspected Pancreatic Cyst Branch Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms Predict Malignancy

BACKGROUND

The majority of branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) are recommended for surveillance imaging based on consensus guidelines. However, growth rates that should prompt concern for malignant transformation of BD-IPMN are unknown.

AIMS

To determine whether BD-IPMN growth can predict an increased risk of malignancy and define growth rates concerning for malignant BD-IPMN.

METHODS

The study is a retrospective, multicenter study of suspected BD-IPMN patients undergoing imaging surveillance. All patients underwent EUS evaluation followed by surveillance imaging.

RESULTS

Two hundred and eighty-four patients with suspected BD-IPMN without worrisome features or high-risk stigmata were followed for a median 56 months and underwent a median of four imaging studies. Nine patients (3.2 %) developed malignant BD-IPMN. Malignant BD-IPMN grew at a faster rate (18.6 vs. 0.8 mm/year; P = 0.05) compared to benign BD-IPMN. BD-IPMN growth rate between 2 and 5 mm/year was associated with an increased risk of malignancy with hazard ratio (HR) of 11.4 (95 % CI 2.2-58.6) when compared to subjects with BD-IPMN growth rate <2 mm/year (P = 0.004). BD-IPMN growth rate ≥5 mm/year had a hazard ratio of 19.5 (95 % CI 2.4-157.8) (P = 0.005). BD-IPMN growth rate of 2 mm/year had a sensitivity of 78 %, specificity of 90 %, and accuracy of 88 % to identify malignancy. Total BD-IPMN growth was also associated with increased risk of malignancy (P = 0.003) with all malignant IPMNs growing at least 10 mm prior to cancer diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

BD-IPMN growth rates ≥2 mm/year and total growth of ≥10 mm should be considered worrisome features for BD-IPMN at increased risk of malignancy.