Expanded European AIDS case definition

Pattern of cancer risk in persons with AIDS in Italy in the HAART era

A record-linkage study was carried out between the Italian AIDS Registry and 24 Italian cancer registries to compare cancer excess among persons with HIV/AIDS (PWHA) before and after the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in 1996. Standardised incidence ratios (SIR) were computed in 21951 AIDS cases aged 16–69 years reported between 1986 and 2005. Of 101 669 person-years available, 45 026 were after 1996. SIR for Kaposi sarcoma (KS) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma greatly decreased in 1997–2004 compared with 1986–1996, but high SIRs for KS persisted in the increasingly large fraction of PWHA who had an interval of <1 year between first HIV-positive test and AIDS diagnosis. A significant excess of liver cancer (SIR=6.4) emerged in 1997–2004, whereas the SIRs for cancer of the cervix (41.5), anus (44.0), lung (4.1), brain (3.2), skin (non-melanoma, 1.8), Hodgkin lymphoma (20.7), myeloma (3.9), and non-AIDS-defining cancers (2.2) were similarly elevated in the two periods. The excess of some potentially preventable cancers in PWHA suggests that HAART use must be accompanied by cancer-prevention strategies, notably antismoking and cervical cancer screening programmes. Improvements in the timely identification of HIV-positive individuals are also a priority in Italy to avoid the adverse consequences of delayed HAART use.

Hospitalization for pneumonia among individuals with and without HIV infection, 1995-2007: a Danish population-based, nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected individuals with high CD4(+) cell counts may have increased susceptibility to other infections. We compared incidence rates of pneumonia among individuals with and without HIV infection and explored risk factors for pneumonia in the HIV-infected population.

METHODS

This was an observational cohort study conducted during 1995-2007. Each member of a Danish population-based nationwide cohort of HIV-infected individuals was matched with up to 99 control individuals from the general population. Data on age, mortality, emigration, and hospital discharge diagnoses from 1977 onward were obtained from nationwide administrative databases. Individuals without previous hospitalization for pneumonia were observed from the date of HIV diagnosis until the first hospitalization to treat pneumonia (excluding pneumonia attributable to Pneumocystis jiroveci). Risk factors were assessed by Poisson regression.

RESULTS

The study included 3516 persons with HIV infection and 328,738 persons without HIV infection, which provided 23,677 person-years and 2,944,760 person-years of observation, respectively. Incidence rates of pneumonia in HIV-infected individuals decreased from 50.6 hospitalizations per 1000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI], 42.9-59.7 hospitalizations per 1000 person-years) during 1995-1996 to 19.7 hospitalizations per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 16.2-23.8 hospitalizations per 1000 person-years) during 2005-2007. Compared with control individuals, incidence rate ratios were 34.6 (95% CI, 28.4-41.8) during 1995-1996; 6.3 (95% CI, 5.1-7.7) during 2005-2007; and 5.9 (95% CI, 4.2-7.6) during 2005-2007 for the subgroup with a CD4(+) cell count >500 cells/microL. Injection drug use, low current CD4(+) cell count, nadir CD4(+) cell count, increasing age, and no current receipt of highly active antiretroviral therapy increased the risk of pneumonia.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of pneumonia in persons with HIV infection has decreased substantially since the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy, but HIV infection remains a strong risk factor for the need for hospitalization to treat pneumonia, even in persons with high CD4(+) cell counts.

Gender differences in HIV progression to AIDS and death in industrialized countries: slower disease progression following HIV seroconversion in women

To evaluate sex differences in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) disease progression before (pre-1997) and after (1997-2006) introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy, the authors used data from a collaboration of 23 HIV seroconverter cohort studies from Europe, Australia, and Canada restricted to the 6,923 seroconverters infected through injecting drug use and sex between men and women. Within a competing risk framework, they used Cox proportional hazards models allowing for late entry to evaluate sex differences in time from HIV seroconversion to death, to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), and to each first AIDS-defining disease and death without AIDS. While no significant sex differences were found before 1997, from 1997 onward, women had a lower risk of AIDS (adjusted cumulative relative risk (aCRR) = 0.76, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.63, 0.90) and death (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.68, 95% CI: 0.56, 0.82) than men did. Compared with men, women also had lower risks of AIDS dementia complex (aCRR = 0.23, 95% CI: 0.07, 0.74), tuberculosis (aCRR = 0.60, 95% CI: 0.39, 0.92), Kaposi's sarcoma (aCRR = 0.27, 95% CI: 0.07, 0.99), lymphomas (aCRR = 0.47, 95% CI: 0.23, 0.96), and death without AIDS (aCRR = 0.74, 95% CI: 0.56, 0.98). Sex differences in HIV disease progression have become larger and statistically significant in the era of highly active antiretroviral therapy, supporting a stronger impact of health interventions among women.

Late presentation to care for HIV infection in Croatia and the effect of interventions during the Croatian Global Fund Project

There are limited data on how HIV prevention interventions affect individuals presenting to care in settings with a low-level HIV epidemic. We examined whether interventions undertaken during the Croatian Global Fund Project in 2004-2006 had an influence on patients entering care. The number of men who have sex with men (MSM) presenting in 2004-2006 (n = 86) was 59% higher than in 2001-2003 (n = 54); in heterosexual patients the increase was 14% (n = 51 in 2001-2003; n = 58 in 2004-2006). MSM presented at a younger age (median 32 years) in 2004-2006 than in 2001-2003 (median 36 years). Late presentation to care was found in 28% of MSM and in 59% of heterosexual patients in 2004-2006. MSM were less frequently late presenters in 2004-2006 compared with 2001-2003 (odds ratio, 0.48; 95% confidence interval, 0.24 to 0.99; P = 0.046). Additional strategies for earlier initiation of care must be developed for MSM and particularly for heterosexual patients.

AIDS-related malignancies: state of the art and therapeutic challenges

Despite the impact of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) on HIV-related mortality, malignancy remains an important cause of death in the current era. Although the advent of cART has resulted in reductions in the incidence of Kaposi's sarcoma and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, non-AIDS-defining malignancies present an increased risk for HIV-infected patients, characterized by some common clinical features, generally with a more aggressive behavior and a more advanced disease at diagnosis, which is responsible for poorer patient outcomes. Specific therapeutic recommendations are lacking for these new nonopportunistic malignancies, such as Hodgkin's lymphoma, anal cancer, lung cancer, hepatocarcinoma, and many others. Antiretroviral agents have a propensity for causing drug interactions as a result of their ability to either inhibit or induce the cytochrome P450 (CYP) enzyme system. Because many antineoplastic drugs are also metabolized by the CYP system, coadministration with cART could result in either drug accumulation with increased toxicity, or decreased efficacy of one or both classes of drugs. Further research delineating the combined safety and pharmacokinetics of antiretrovirals and antineoplastic therapy is necessary. Special considerations of these AIDS-related and non-AIDS-related malignancies and their clinical and therapeutic aspects constitute the subject of this review.

Incidence rate and risk factors for loss to follow-up in HIV-infected patients from five French clinical centres in Northern France – January 1997 to December 2006

Background

Our goal was to determine the incidence rate and risk factors for loss to follow-up (LTFU) of HIV-infected patients in Northern France.

Methods

We estimated the incidence rate of LTFU in 1,007 HIV-infected patients under care from January 1997 to December 2006. We then investigated potential risk factors for LTFU at inclusion and during follow-up.

Results

The incidence of LTFU was estimated to be 3.5 per 100 person-years. Risk factors for LTFU at enrolment in a multivariate Cox model were age <30 years (hazard ratio [HR] 1.66 versus >40 years, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04–2.64), transmission by injection drug use (HR 5.26 versus men who have sex with men, 95% CI 2.90– 9.52), no phone number provided (HR 5.4, 95% CI 3.6–8.2), no primary care physician (HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.25–3.52) and sub-Saharan African origin (HR 2.09, 95% CI 1.36–3.22). Patients with CD4+ T-cell counts <200 cells/mm3 (HR 0.49 versus ≥350 cells/mm3, 95% CI 0.32– 0.76) and 200– 349 cells/mm3 at baseline (HR 0.63 versus ≥350 cells/mm3, 95% CI 0.41–0.98) had a decreased risk of LTFU. During follow-up, the risk of LTFU increased when the most recent CD4+ T-cell count was <200 cells/ mm3 (HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.16–3.66), the patient was not on highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART; HR 4.20, 95% CI 2.66–6.61) and the patient was on HAART but had a detectable viral load (HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.19–3.01).

Conclusions

Our findings will help clinicians recognize patients who require additional support for retention in care, including younger patients, injection drug users, people of sub-Saharan African origin, patients who are healthier at enrolment and patients who do not adhere to HAART during follow-up.

Increasing proportion of AIDS diagnoses among older adults in Italy

We evaluated the impact of AIDS among older persons in Italy and compared these cases with cases among younger persons. The data source was Italy's National AIDS Registry. We considered adults diagnosed with AIDS between 1982 and 2005. Older adults were defined as those aged 50 years or older at diagnosis. Of the total adult cases, 8.8% were among older adults. This proportion increased over time, from 4.9% in 1982-1990 to 15.9% in 2000-2005. Among older adults, the most represented exposure category (80.8%) was sexual intercourse (heterosexual and homosexual). At AIDS diagnosis, older adults, compared to younger adults, had a higher risk of developing AIDS dementia complex or wasting syndrome, and of presenting multiple AIDS-defining illnesses. A significantly lower proportion of older adults were undergoing antiretroviral therapy, compared to younger adults. Among older adults, 67.2% were late testers, compared to 32.8% of younger adults. Most of the older adults acquired the infection through sexual contact; approximately two thirds of them were diagnosed late (i.e., first HIV-positive test 6 months or less before AIDS diagnosis); and only one fourth were undergoing antiretroviral therapy at diagnosis. These observations stress the need to more seriously consider the possibility of HIV infection among older individuals and to collect more detailed information on their sexual behavior.

Frequency, determinants and consequences of delayed access to care for HIV infection in France

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

We analysed the frequency and predictors of delayed access to care (DAC) for HIV infection, and its influence on survival.

METHODS

We studied predictors of DAC among 18,721 patients enrolled between 1997 and 2002 in the French Hospital Database on HIV (FHDH), DAC being defined by a CD4* T-cell count below 200 copies/mm3 and/or AIDS at FHDH enrollment. The association of DAC with the initiation of combined antiretroviral therapy (cART) and of DAC with survival were analysed with Cox multivariable models.

RESULTS

The overall prevalence of DAC was 35.7%. Compared with patients under 30 years of age, patients over 60 were 3.5 times more likely to have DAC (P < 10(-4)). Compared with non-migrant women, odds ratios (OR) of DAC were higher among migrant women (1.5), non-migrant men (1.6) and migrant men (1.9; all P < 10(-4)). Compared with men who have sex with men, other transmission groups had an estimated OR for DAC of 1.6 (P < 10(-4)). DAC was more frequent among patients with a recent diagnosis of HIV infection [OR = 1.3, 95% confidence intervals (CI) = (1.2;1.4)]. Patients with DAC received cART earlier than other patients [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.2, 95% CI = (2.1;2.3)]. The DAC/mortality HR was 13.9 in the first 6 months after enrollment in the FHDH, and remained significantly higher than 1 during the subsequent 4 years.

CONCLUSION

DAC is common in France and was associated with a higher mortality, despite early initiation of cART. Earlier access to care and specific clinical management of patients with DAC should be considered.

Differential improvement in survival among patients with AIDS after the introduction of HAART

We explored changes in the survival of patients with AIDS (PWA) according to the availability of antiretroviral drugs (1994-2002). We tested whether changes in the hazard ratio of progression to death (HR) have been homogeneous among various groups of PWA. We included 4158 PWA diagnosed in Paris, notified to the French National Surveillance Institute by 2002. Four calendar periods were defined: monotherapy (1994-95), bitherapy-HAART transition (1996), early HAART (1997-99), late HAART (2000-October 2002). HR were calculated with Cox models, including the calendar period, modelled as a time dependent covariate. Models were stratified by age, transmission category, CD4 cell count, and AIDS-defining illnesses (ADI) group. Cumulative survival at 60 months increased from 44.0% (before July 1996) to 75.6% (after July 1996) and median survival increased from 31.9 months to >76 months. Adjusted HR reached a minimum in the late HAART period (HR 0.22, 95% CI: 0.19-0.26). No difference in the decrease of the HR has been found by age. HR decreased and was marked during the late HAART period across all HIV transmission categories, including intravenous drug use. HR decreased significantly for all ADIs groups, including tumours. Among PWA diagnosed with tuberculosis, the HR decreased significantly only in the late HAART period. HR decrease was stronger for PWA with a CD4 cell count < or =200/mm(3). Substantial improvements in survival after the introduction of HAART were found for all PWA but varied by specific ADIs and the degree of immunosuppression.

Increasing proportion of late testers among AIDS cases in Italy, 1996–2002

In recent years, the proportion of individuals who are unaware of being infected with HIV when diagnosed with AIDS (defined as 'late testers') has dramatically increased in several European countries, including Italy. We evaluated the extent and determinants of late testing and its impact in terms of AIDS-defining illnesses among AIDS cases reported to the Italian National AIDS Registry since 1996. Late testers were defined as those persons whose first positive HIV test result was within six months of the AIDS diagnosis. Late testers were more likely to be heterosexual contacts or MSWM, as opposed to IDUs. They were also more likely to come from low prevalence areas of Italy or from foreign countries. At AIDS diagnosis, late testers were less likely to be undergoing HAART or prophylaxis against PCP/toxoplasmosis, compared to non-late testers. The mean CD4 cell count at AIDS diagnosis was significantly lower among late testers. PCP, toxoplasmosis and Kaposi's sarcoma were more frequently diagnosed as an AIDS-defining illness in late testers, who also had a significantly higher risk of presenting with multiple concomitant AIDS-defining illnesses. In conclusion, late testing results in missed opportunities for preventing and treating HIV infection, leading to an increased risk of developing preventable opportunistic infections and death.

The late diagnosis and consequent short-term mortality of HIV-infected heterosexuals (England and Wales, 2000-2004)

OBJECTIVES

To describe the proportion of HIV-infected heterosexual individuals diagnosed late and estimate how much mortality could have been prevented by earlier diagnosis.

DESIGN

A population-based study using surveillance reports from England and Wales.

METHODS

Calculation of proportions diagnosed late (CD4 cell count < 200 cells/mul) and short-term mortality (death within a year of diagnosis).

RESULTS

A total of 16 375 heterosexual individuals were diagnosed with HIV (2000-2004): 10 503 with CD4 cell counts available at that time; 42% (4425) were diagnosed late. Late diagnosis increased with age (P < 0.01). One fifth of women diagnosed antenatally were diagnosed late compared with 42% of other women and 49% of men; 70% of all heterosexuals diagnosed were black Africans, born and infected in Africa. Of those, at least 40% were recent arrivals to the UK, and twice as many were diagnosed late as black-African heterosexuals infected in the UK. Short-term mortality was 3.2% (491/15 523); 6.1% among those diagnosed late and 0.7% among others (P < 0.01). Short-term mortality was lower among black-African compared with white heterosexuals (3.1 versus 4.5%; P < 0.01) because of diagnosis at a younger age. Earlier diagnosis would have reduced short-term mortality by 56% (249 fewer deaths) and all mortality by 32% between 2000 and 2004.

CONCLUSION

Groups at high risk of late diagnosis should be targeted for health promotion activities, opportunistic screening, and removal of any barriers to testing. HIV testing in a variety of settings would reduce missed diagnoses and costs. New patient checks in primary care may provide the earliest opportunity to diagnose HIV infection among recent arrivals to the UK.

Risk factors for osteonecrosis in HIV-infected patients: impact of treatment with combination antiretroviral therapy

BACKGROUND

Osteonecrosis was increasingly associated with HIV infection in the 1990s. It is unclear whether its risk increases with the duration of HIV infection, the duration of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) or both.

OBJECTIVE

To analyse factors associated with the rate of symptomatic osteonecrosis, particularly the relative impacts of the duration of HIV infection and the duration of cART, using the French Hospital Database on HIV, which comprises a large number of subjects with substantial follow-up.

METHODS

Poisson regression model was used to identify factors associated with the rate of osteonecrosis among patients enrolled in 1996-2002.

RESULTS

The study involved 56,393 subjects with a total follow-up of 229,031 person-years. Symptomatic osteonecrosis was diagnosed in 104 subjects with an incidence rate of 4.5/10,000 person-years. Multivariate analysis identified three factors associated with the rate of osteonecrosis: prior AIDS-defining illnesses [adjusted relative rate (RR), 3.1; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.0-4.9], the CD4 cell nadir [RR, 1.6 (95% CI, 0.9-2.9) for CD4 cell count 50-199 cells/microl; RR, 1.8 (95% CI, 1.0-3.3) for CD4 cell count < 50 cells/microl; both relative to CD4 cell count > or = 200 cells/microl] and exposure to cART. Compared with unexposed patients, the RR of osteonecrosis ranged from 2.6 (95% CI, 1.2-5.9) in patients treated with cART for < 12 months to 5.1 (95% CI, 2.1-12.6) in patients treated for > or = 60 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Osteonecrosis appears to be a complication of both HIV infection and cART.

Impacto de los factores demográficos y psicosociales en la no adherencia a los fármacos antirretrovirales

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Antiretroviral efficacy is closely related to the degree of adherence. The aim of this study is to assess the association between psychosocial and demographic variables and adherence to antiretroviral treatment.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A cross-sectional survey of 320 patients under antiretroviral treatment was conducted in four Andalusian hospitals, using a semi-structured questionnaire given by health care professionals.

RESULTS

Median age was 39.7 years. Nearly 12% of the sample was considered non-compliant to antiretroviral treatment. An interaction was observed between psychological morbidity and mental health quality of life scores. Among patients who presented psychological morbidity, a higher mental quality of life score was associated with a lower risk of non-compliance (P = 0.04). This association was not found among patients without psychological morbidity. Older age, homosexual or bisexual status and the use of injecting drugs for a shorter period of time was associated with non-compliance.

CONCLUSIONS

Demographic and psychological factors have an influence on adherence to antiretroviral treatment.

Trends in AIDS and Mortality in HIV-Infected Subjects With Hemophilia From 1985 to 2003

OBJECTIVE

To study trends in progression to AIDS, all-cause mortality, and cause-specific mortality (AIDS-related, liver disease, and hemorrhagic complications) over calendar periods with different exposure to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in a cohort of hemophiliacs in Spain, taking into account the competing risks of the causes of death.

METHODS

Multicenter cohort of HIV-infected hemophiliacs. HIV seroconversion was estimated using mathematic techniques for interval-censored data from 1979 through 1985. Rates of AIDS and cause-specific death were calculated by Poisson regression, allowing for late entry, for the periods 1985 through 1992, 1993 through 1996, 1997 through 2000 (early HAART), and 2001 through 2003 (late HAART), also allowing for competing risks.

RESULTS

Of 585 subjects, 44% were younger than 15 years of age, 82% had severe hemophilia, 86% had type A hemophilia, and the median seroconversion date was October 1982. Calendar period and age at HIV seroconversion strongly influenced AIDS and death rates. Compared with 1993 through 1996, decreases of 75% (relative risk [RR] = 0.25, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.14 to 0.43) and 72% (RR = 0.28, 95% CI: 0.12 to 0.63) in the RR of AIDS were observed in early and late HAART. For all-cause mortality, 72% (RR = 0.28, 95% CI: 0.18 to 0.42) and 83% (RR = 0.17, 95% CI: 0.09 to 0.33) decreases were observed by 1997 through 2000 and 2001 through 2003. For liver-related deaths, increases were observed in the late-HAART period (RR = 2.80, 95% CI: 0.94 to 8.36) compared with 1993 through 1996, but using competing risks, this RR was substantially reduced (RR = 1.70, 95% CI: 0.57 to 5.04).

DISCUSSION

Major reductions in AIDS and death rates were observed from 1997 to 2003 in hemophiliacs. These survival improvements are largely attributable to decreases in AIDS-related deaths and have been accompanied by increases in liver disease death rates, which are overestimated if competing risks are not taken into account.

Long-term adherence to first-line highly active antiretroviral therapy in a hospital-based cohort: predictors and impact on virologic response and relapse

A high level of adherence to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) is essential to minimize the risk of treatment failure and HIV disease progression. This cohort study evaluated the prevalence and predictors of long-term adherence with first-line HAART in a hospital-based unselected sample of HIV patients from central Italy, and examined the association between adherence and virological response or relapse. Between July 1996 and June 2004, 171 patients (67.3% males; mean age, 41.2 years) were followed for at least 24 weeks and up to 8 years. Adherence was measured by patient self-reports and confirmed using pharmacy records. The prevalence of high-level adherence (>or=90%) at 6 months was 88.3%; slightly less than 80% at 12 months. The incidence of adherence failure in the sample remained fairly stable until 24 months of follow-up, then it declined about 5% every 6 months. Cox analysis showed that compared to single/separated patients, homeless and married persons were, respectively, 1.95 times more likely and two times less likely to experience adherence failure (p < 0.05). The adjusted risk of adherence failure among patients who did not suffer drug-related toxicity was 0.57 (p < 0.05). Medication adherence was significantly associated with shorter time to virological response and longer time to relapse. Adherents were 1.69 times more likely to achieve viral suppression and nine times less likely to experience relapse than nonadherents (p < 0.01). Efforts at improving adherence should be prolonged for at least 24 months. A protective role of marriage for adherence failure is promising but requires confirmation in further research, that should also clarify the exact mechanisms determining the association.

Incidence of Tuberculosis among HIV-infected patients receiving highly active antiretroviral therapy in Europe and North America

BACKGROUND

We obtained estimates of the incidence of tuberculosis (TB) among patients receiving HAART and identified determinants of the incidence.

METHODS

We analyzed the incidence of TB during the first 3 years after initiation of HAART among 17,142 treatment-naive, AIDS-free persons starting HAART who were enrolled in 12 cohorts from Europe and North America. We used univariable and multivariable Poisson regression models to identify factors associated with the incidence.

RESULTS

During the first 3 years (36,906 person-years), 173 patients developed TB (incidence, 4.69 cases per 1000 person-years). In multivariable analysis, the incidence rate was lower for men who have sex with men, compared with injection drug users (relative rate, 2.46; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.51-4.01), heterosexuals (relative rate, 2.42; 95% CI, 1.64-3.59), those with other suspected modes of transmission (relative rate, 1.66; 95% CI, 0.91-3.06), and those with a higher CD4+ count at the time of HAART initiation (relative rate per log2 cells/microL, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.84-0.91). During 28,846 person-years of follow-up after the first 6 months of HAART, 88 patients developed TB (incidence, 3.1 cases per 1000 person-years of follow-up). In multivariable analyses, a low baseline CD4+ count (relative rate per log2 cells/microL, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.83-0.96), 6-month CD4+ count (relative rate per log2 cells/microL, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.81-0.99), and a 6-month HIV RNA level >400 copies/mL (relative rate, 2.21; 95% CI, 1.33-3.67) were significantly associated with the risk of acquiring TB after 6 months of HAART.

CONCLUSION

The level of immunodeficiency at which HAART is initiated and the response to HAART are important determinants of the risk of TB. However, this risk remains appreciable even among those with a good response to HAART, suggesting that other interventions may be needed to control the TB epidemic in the HIV-infected population.

Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpesvirus/human herpesvirus type 8-positive solid lymphomas: a tissue-based variant of primary effusion lymphoma

Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpesvirus (KSHV), also termed human herpesvirus type 8, is consistently identified in Kaposi's sarcoma, primary effusion lymphoma (PEL), and multicentric Castleman's disease. Here we report four cases of KSHV-bearing solid lymphomas that occurred in AIDS patients (cases 1 to 3) and in a human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-seronegative person (case 4). The patients presented extranodal masses in the abdomen (cases 1, 3, and 4) or skin (case 2), and nodal involvement, together with Kaposi's sarcoma (case 3). The gastrointestinal tract was involved in two patients (cases 1 and 3). The patients did not develop a lymphomatous effusion. KSHV was detected in the tumor cells of all cases by immunohistochemistry and by polymerase chain reaction. Epstein-Barr virus was detected in two of the HIV-related cases. All KSHV-positive solid lymphomas exhibited PEL-like cell morphology. To investigate the relationship of these disorders to PEL and to other AIDS-associated diffuse large cell lymphomas, KSHV-positive solid lymphomas were tested for the expression of a set of genes that were previously shown by gene profiling analysis to define PEL tumor cells. The results showed that expression of this set of genes in KSHV-positive lymphomas is similar to that of PEL but distinct from KSHV-negative AIDS-associated diffuse large cell lymphomas. Because pathobiological features of KSHV-positive solid lymphomas closely mimic those of PEL, our results suggest that KSHV-positive solid lymphomas should be considered as a tissue-based variant of classical PEL, irrespective of HIV status.

Declining risk of triple-class antiretroviral drug failure in Danish HIV-infected individuals

OBJECTIVES

To analyse the incidence, prevalence, and predictors for development of triple-class antiretroviral drug failure (TCF) in individuals infected with HIV.

DESIGN

Population-based observational cohort study from 1 January 1995 to 31 December 2003, focusing on all 2722 recipients of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in Denmark.

METHODS

We used person-years analysis, Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression analysis. TCF was defined as a minimum of 120 days with viral load > 1000 copies/ml on treatment with each of the three major drug classes.

RESULTS

We observed 177 TCFs, yielding a crude incidence rate (IR) of 1.8 per 100 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.6-2.1]. Seven years after initiation of HAART, 17.2% (95% CI, 14.5-20.5) of antiretroviral (ART)-experienced patients, but only 7.0% (95% CI, 4.3-11.2) of ART-naive patients were estimated to have failed. After an initial rise, the IR from the third to the sixth year of HAART declined significantly for ART-experienced patients [incidence rate ratio (IRR), 0.80 per year (95% CI, 0.66-0.97); P = 0.022], and non-significantly for ART-naive patients [IRR, 0.79 per year (95% CI, 0.53-1.18); P = 0.255]. The IR for all patients being followed each year declined from 1997 to 2003 [IRR, 0.88 (95% CI, 0.81-0.96); P = 0.002]. The prevalence of TCF remained stable at less than 7% after 2000. Predictors of TCF at commencement of HAART were a CD4 cell count below 200, a previous AIDS-defining event, previous antiretroviral exposure, earlier year of HAART initiation, and young age.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of TCF is declining in Denmark and the prevalence remains stable.

Declining AIDS mortality in Amsterdam: contributions of declining HIV incidence and effective therapy

INTRODUCTION

We aimed to evaluate the impact of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) on AIDS mortality, taking into account earlier HIV incidence patterns.

METHODS

Using AIDS Surveillance data (1982-2000), we calculated the observed course of the AIDS epidemic among homosexual men in Amsterdam, The Netherlands. We used the HIV incidence patterns (1980-2000) among homosexual men participating in the hepatitis B vaccine trial and the Amsterdam Cohort Study and those attending the Amsterdam sexual transmitted infections clinic, together with the time from seroconversion to AIDS and death in the pre-HAART era, to estimate the natural course of the AIDS epidemic if HAART had not been introduced.

RESULTS

The estimated course of the AIDS epidemic without the benefits of HAART showed a decline in AIDS mortality, but this estimated decline was not as strong as the observed decline. Taking into account the HIV incidence over calendar time, we estimated that 331 deaths among homosexual men were prevented by HAART between 1996 and 2000 in Amsterdam.

CONCLUSION

The decline in AIDS mortality was the result of both HAART and a decline in the HIV incidence in the early 1980s. When evaluating the effect of HAART on mortality, changes in HIV incidence must also be considered.

Epidemiology of adult and adolescent HIV infection in Israel: a country of immigration

In Israel, the caseload and main modes of transmission have changed dramatically since 1991 after mass immigration from countries with generalized HIV epidemics. The previous annual average (of 60 new cases) has almost quadrupled, and 68% are among heterosexuals (compared with 11.6% before). We verified all HIV/AIDS cases ever documented, redefined (according to UNAIDS/WHO definitions) and analysed those aged 13+. Between 1980-2000, HIV and AIDS were diagnosed, respectively, in 2204 and 682 adults and adolescents (cumulative HIV infection rate = 61/100 000). Of these, 65.2% are male (mean age 35.0 years old; SD = 11.0), 31.5% female (mean age 31.4 years old; SD = 10.5) (and 3.3%, sex unknown). The main modes of HIV transmission were heterosexual (45%), MSM (16.9%) and IDUs (11.5%). Prevention measures must be strengthened, if the currently low-level of HIV epidemic among the Israeli general population is to be sustained.

The effect of hepatitis C on progression to AIDS before and after highly active antiretroviral therapy

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effect of infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) on the progression of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) disease, before and after the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART).

METHODS

We used data from a multi-centre prospective study of HIV seroconverters. Survival analyses were performed to compare the progression to AIDS by HCV serostatus in the period before HAART (i.e. June 1991-May 1996) and in the HAART era (i.e. June 1996-June 2001), controlling for duration of HIV infection.

RESULTS

Among the 1052 persons enrolled, 595 (56.6%) were co-infected; the median follow-up time was 9.7 years. Adjusting for demographic variables (age at HIV seroconversion and gender), HCV infection had no effect on the progression to AIDS in the pre-HAART era [relative hazard (RH) = 0.84; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.63-1.11], whereas it increased the risk in the HAART era (RH = 1.77; 95% CI, 1.15-2.73). In the HAART era, the proportion of person-time spent on HAART out of the total time at risk was significantly lower among co-infected persons (30 versus 40% for non-co-infected persons; P-value = 0.001); no significant difference was found for dual-therapy (29 versus 25%, respectively; P-value = 0.205); a significant difference was found for mono-therapy (15 versus 8%, respectively; P-value < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

HCV infection was not a determinant of HIV disease progression in the pre-HAART era, whereas since the introduction of HAART, co-infected individuals seem to have had a faster disease progression. This may in part be explained by differences in person-time spent on different antiretroviral regimens.

The AIDS epidemic in Lyon: patient characteristics and defining illnesses between 1985 and 2000

OBJECTIVES

To define the characteristics of 1899 patients diagnosed with AIDS at Lyon University Hospitals (LUH) across four time periods corresponding to different antiretroviral eras, and to analyse the evolution of specific AIDS-defining illnesses (ADIs) with time.

METHODS

All AIDS patients at LUH between 1 January 1985 and 31 December 2000 were included in the study. The data were compared using the chi(2) test and one-way analysis of variance.

RESULTS

The absolute number of new AIDS cases increased by 30.3% between 1985 and 1995 but decreased by 26.5% between 1996 and 2000. The proportion of women with AIDS increased significantly (P<0.001) and mean age at diagnosis also increased significantly over time (P<0.001). The proportion of infection through heterosexual contact increased dramatically, while that through homo/bisexual intercourse or injection drug use (IDU) decreased significantly (P<0.001). The absolute number of ADIs declined with the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapies (HAART) (P<10(-6)). Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia remained the leading ADI in 1996-2000 (23.3%). A significant increase in the proportion of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) was observed over time (P<10(-5)) but the number of new NHL cases decreased during HIV infection after 1996.

CONCLUSIONS

The decline in the incidence of AIDS with the advent of HAART was confirmed in our hospital cohort. The gradual increase in the proportion of NHL among ADIs underscores the long latency period between infection with HIV and the achievement of an effect of HAART on HIV-associated lymphomagenesis.

Epidemiology of HIV-associated cryptococcosis in France (1985-2001): comparison of the pre- and post-HAART eras

OBJECTIVE

To analyse the epidemiological evolution of cryptococcosis in France after the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART).

DESIGN

Retrospective study of cryptococcosis cases recorded at the National Reference Center for Mycoses in France since 1985.

METHODS

Using the national surveillance data, we reviewed 1644 cases of HIV-associated cryptococcosis diagnosed in France (population, 59 million) between 1985 and 2001 and compared them to 335 cases recorded in HIV-negative patients.

RESULTS

The total number of cryptococcosis cases evolved in parallel to that recorded for HIV-infected patients. Changes occurring after HAART introduction were analysed. A negative binomial regression model established a 46% decrease of the incidence of cryptococcosis during the post-HAART era (1997-2001, n = 292) compared to the pre-HAART era (1985-1996, n = 1352). According to multivariate analysis, African origin, older age, heterosexual HIV contamination, no previous AIDS-defining illness, and no previous HIV infection diagnosis were variables independently associated with an increased risk of cryptococcosis during the post-HAART era. During the same period, the characteristics of the HIV-negative population did not change.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis of the national surveillance identified demographic factors associated with an increased risk of cryptococcosis in the post-HAART era suggesting that failure to consult and considering oneself not at risk were determinant in the current epidemiology of HIV-related cryptococcosis in France.

Stable partnership and progression to AIDS or death in HIV infected patients receiving highly active antiretroviral therapy: Swiss HIV cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To explore the association between a stable partnership and clinical outcome in HIV infected patients receiving highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART).

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study of adults with HIV (Swiss HIV cohort study).

SETTING

Seven outpatient clinics throughout Switzerland.

PARTICIPANTS

The 3736 patients in the cohort who started HAART before 2002 (median age 36 years, 29% female, median follow up 3.6 years).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Time to AIDS or death (primary endpoint), death alone, increases in CD4 cell count of at least 50 and 100 above baseline, optimal viral suppression (a viral load below 400 copies/ml), and viral rebound.

RESULTS

During follow up 2985 (80%) participants reported a stable partnership on at least one occasion. When starting HAART, 52% (545/1042) of participants reported a stable partnership; after five years of follow up 46% (190/412) of participants reported a stable partnership. In an analysis stratified by previous antiretroviral therapy and clinical stage when starting HAART (US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention group A, B, or C), the adjusted hazard ratio for progression to AIDS or death was 0.79 (95% confidence interval 0.63 to 0.98) for participants with a stable partnership compared with those without. Adjusted hazards ratios for other endpoints were 0.59 (0.44 to 0.79) for progression to death, 1.15 (1.06 to 1.24) for an increase in CD4 cells of 100 counts/microl or more, and 1.06 (0.98 to 1.14) for optimal viral suppression.

CONCLUSIONS

A stable partnership is associated with a slower rate of progression to AIDS or death in HIV infected patients receiving HAART.

Improvement of Systemic Human Immunodeficiency Virus--Related Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma Outcome in the Era of Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy

To assess the impact of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) on the outcome of systemic human immunodeficiency virus-related non-Hodgkin lymphoma (HIV-NHL), we retrospectively analyzed 235 patients in whom HIV-NHL was diagnosed from April 1988 through December 1999. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate prognostic factors for overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and disease-free survival (DFS). Complete remission occurred in 49% of patients, and the 3-year rates of OS, PFS, and DFS were 19%, 49%, and 73%, respectively. The greatest risk for shortened OS, PFS, and DFS was associated with no HAART use (compared with long-term HAART use); hazard ratios were 17.42 (95% confidence interval [CI], 17.42-40.25), 9.11 (95% CI, 3.71-22.32), and 8.54 (95% CI, 1.19-61.11), respectively. Our study suggests that the long-term use of HAART may favorably change the outcome for patients with systemic HIV-NHL.

Increased risk of myocardial infarction with duration of protease inhibitor therapy in HIV-infected men

BACKGROUND

In the current context of dyslipidaema, hyperglycaema and lipodystrophia observed among HIV-seropositive subjects, it is important to study the risk of myocardial infarction (MI) in this population. The French Hospital Database on HIV, which includes a large number of seropositive subjects followed for substantial periods, offers the opportunity to analyse the impact of protease inhibitors (PI) on the risk of MI among men.

METHODS

Cox model was used to study the risk factors of MI occurrence. Standardized morbidity ratios (SMR) in men exposed to PI were calculated with data from the French general male population (FGMP) of the same age as reference.

RESULTS

Between 1996 and 1999, MI was diagnosed in 60 men among 88 029 person-years (PY), including 49 cases among men exposed to PI. In the Cox model, exposure to PI was associated with a higher risk of MI [relative hazard (RH), 2.56; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03-6.34]. The expected incidence in the FGMP was 10.8/10,000 PY. The SMR relative to the FGMP was 0.8 (95% CI, 0.5-1.3) for men exposed to PI for < 18 months (G1), 1.5 (95% CI, 0.8-2.5) for men exposed for 18-29 months (G2) and 2.9 (95% CI, 1.5-5.0) for men exposed for >or= 30 months (G3). With G1 as reference, the SMR was 1.9 (95% CI, 1.0-3.1) for G2 and 3.6 (95% CI, 1.8-6.2) for G3.

CONCLUSION

Our results point to a duration-related effect relationship between PI and MI, with a higher MI incidence rate among men exposed to PI for 18 months or more.

Clinical Features and Outcome of Primary Effusion Lymphoma in HIV-Infected Patients: A Single-Institution Study

Purpose: To describe the clinical features and outcome of HIV-associated primary effusion lymphoma (PEL) and to compare them with those of the other HIV-associated non-Hodgkin’s lymphomas (NHLs).

Patients and Methods: From April 1987 to June 2002, 277 patients with HIV infection and systemic NHL were diagnosed and treated in our institution. Clinical features and outcome of PEL patients were compared with the features and outcomes of 162 patients belonging to the following histologic subtypes: plasmoblastic lymphoma of oral cavity (PBLOC, n = 11), immunoblastic lymphoma (IBL, n = 76), and centroblastic B-cell lymphoma (CBCL, n = 75).

Results: Among the 277 NHL patients, PEL was diagnosed in 11 patients (4%). Eight of 11 patients were treated with a cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (CHOP)–like regimen. Complete remission was reached in 42% of patients, with a median survival time of 6 months. When the clinical features and outcome of 11 PEL patients were compared with the other three groups of patients affected by NHL, at the onset of the disease, no statistically significant differences were observed in demographic data, CD4 absolute number, HIV viremia plasma levels, and clinical characteristics. When we compared the outcome of PEL patients with the CBCL group, a statistically significant worse outcome was observed; however, the clinical outcome of PEL patients was not significantly different from the outcome observed in the other two groups (PBLOC and IBL groups).

Conclusion: PEL is a rare HIV-associated NHL type occurring as a late manifestation of HIV infection with a poor clinical outcome and a shorter overall survival compared with CBCL patients.

Epidemiological aspects of major opportunistic infections of the respiratory tract in persons with AIDS: Europe, 1993-2000

OBJECTIVE(S)

To describe the epidemiology of Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP), pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) and recurrent bacterial pneumonia (RBP) as AIDS-defining illnesses (ADI) in Europe.

DESIGN

Analysis of AIDS surveillance data collected in the World Health Organization European region by EuroHIV, Saint Maurice, France.

METHODS

Adult AIDS cases notified between 1993 and 2000 were studied. Since AIDS diagnosis may be constituted by up to four concurrent illnesses, polytomous logistic regression odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were computed. Time trends and correlates of PCP, PTB or RBP were assessed.

RESULTS

There were 181 296 ADI among the 142 447 AIDS cases included in this study. PCP was the commonest ADI in western Europe (17.8%) and PTB (20.4%) was the commonest ADI in eastern Europe. Within western Europe, PTB was more common in the south than in the north (OR, 1.5) and increased steadily over time. RBP increased until 1998 (from 1.9% to 3.7%) and thereafter declined. Young age was associated with an excess risk for PTB and, in comparison with heterosexuals, homosexual men were at higher risk for PCP (OR, 1.3). Injecting drug users (IDU) (OR, 2.8; 95% CI, 2.6-3.1) and recipients of blood (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.4-2.2) were at increased risk for RBP.

CONCLUSIONS

This analysis highlighted the continuing importance of PCP and the increasing importance of PTB as an ADI in western Europe, and it emphasized the need to investigate more thoroughly the vast epidemic of AIDS-associated PTB in eastern Europe. IDU and recipients of blood should be considered as target groups for vaccination against RBP.

Incidence of non-AIDS-defining cancers before and during the highly active antiretroviral therapy era in a cohort of human immunodeficiency virus-infected patients

PURPOSE

To determine incidence of non-AIDS-defining cancers (NADC) in HIV-infected patients before (P1) and during (P2) the use of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) relative to that observed in the French general population (FGP) of the same age and sex.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Sex- and age-adjusted NADC standardized incidence ratios (SIR), with FGP as reference, were estimated in 1992 to 1995 (P1) and in 1996 to 1999 (P2) in a French Hospital Database on HIV prospective hospital cohort study.

RESULTS

NADCs were diagnosed in 260 patients during P1 and 391 patients during P2 among the 77,025 patients included in the database between January 1, 1992, and December 31, 1999. Estimated incidence of all cancers was higher in HIV-infected men than in FGP during both periods (P1 SIR = 2.36 and P2 SIR = 1.91). No excess of cancers was observed among HIV-infected women in either period. Incidence of all cancers did not change from P1 to P2 in either sex (SIR = 0.96 for men and 1.00 for women). In contrast, incidence of Hodgkin's disease (HD) was higher than in FGP in both sexes and both periods and increased in P2 as compared with P1; incidence of lung cancer was higher in both sexes during P2.

CONCLUSION

Relative to FGP, the overall incidence of NADCs was increased in HIV-infected men but not in women and did not differ between P1 and P2. Only HD was much more common in HIV infection, and the potential role of HAART on HD cannot be excluded.

Epidemiological, clinical, and prognostic differences between the diseases caused by Mycobacterium kansasii and Mycobacterium tuberculosis in patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus: a multicenter study

A multicenter, comparative study was performed to determine the epidemiological, clinical, and prognostic differences between the diseases caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis and Mycobacterium kansasii in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients. From 1 January 1995 through 31 December 1999, 25 HIV-infected patients received diagnoses of M. kansasii infection, and another 75 were selected as control subjects from among patients who had M. tuberculosis infection. Variables associated with M. tuberculosis disease in the multivariate analysis were previous intravenous drug use (odds ratio [OR], 8; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.5-41.4) and interstitial radiologic pattern (OR, 12.7; 95% CI, 1.7-94.3). Variables associated with M. kansasii were previous diagnosis of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (OR, 15.8; 95% CI, 4.2-59.6) and concomitant opportunistic infections (OR, 14.2; 95% CI, 2-105.7). Clinical and radiologic features were similar for both groups, but epidemiological characteristics and prognosis were different. M. kansasii disease was associated more closely with level of immunosuppression and progression of HIV infection than was disease caused by M. tuberculosis.

Risk of cancer in persons with AIDS in Italy, 1985-1998

A record linkage was carried out between the Italian Registry of AIDS and 19 Cancer Registries (CRs), which covered 23% of the Italian population, to estimate the overall cancer burden among persons with HIV or AIDS (PWHA) in Italy, according to various characteristics. Observed and expected numbers of cancer and standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) were assessed until 1998 in 12 104 PWHA aged 15-69 years, for a total of 60 421 person-years. Significantly increased SIRs were observed for Kaposi's sarcoma (KS, 1749-fold higher than the general population), non-Hodgkin's lymphomas (NHL, 352), and invasive cervical cancer (22). SIR was significantly elevated also for cancer of the anus (34), lung cancer (2.4), brain tumours (4.4), Hodgkin's disease (16), and leukaemias (5.3). The majority of lung and brain cancers were not histologically confirmed, and the possibility of misclassification with KS or NHL cannot be ruled out. The SIR for all non-AIDS-defining cancers was 2.2 in men and 2.5 in women. Intravenous drug users showed significantly more elevated SIRs for lung cancer (9.4), and brain tumours (6.7) than other transmission categories (SIR=1.4 and 2.3, respectively). This study confirmed increased SIRs for haemolymphopoietic neoplasms other than NHL in PWHA, although many-fold smaller than for NHL. An association with human papillomavirus-related cancers was also confirmed.

Prognosis and clinical evaluation of infection caused by Rhodococcus equi in HIV-infected patients: a multicenter study of 67 cases

OBJECTIVE

To assess the clinical characteristics and the factors that influenced the prognosis of patients with HIV and infection caused by Rhodococcus equi.

DESIGN

Observational, multicenter study in 29 Spanish general hospitals.

SETTING

These hospitals comprised a total of 20,250 beds for acute patients and served a population of 9,716,880 inhabitants.

PATIENTS

All patients with HIV and diagnosed R equi infection until September 1998.

RESULTS

During the study period, 19,374 cases of AIDS were diagnosed. Sixty-seven patients were included (55 male patients; mean +/- SD age, 31.7 +/- 5.8 years). At the time of diagnosis of R equi infection, the mean CD4+ lymphocyte count was 35/ micro L (range, 1 to 183/ micro L) and the stage of HIV infection was A3 in 10.4% of patients, B3 in 31.3%, C3 in 56.7%, and unknown in 1.5%. R equi was most commonly isolated in sputum (52.2%), blood cultures (50.7%), and samples from bronchoscopy (31.3%). Chest radiographic findings were abnormal in 65 patients (97%). Infiltrates were observed in all of them, with cavitations in 45 patients. The most active antibiotics against the strains isolated were vancomycin, amikacin, rifampicin, imipenem, ciprofloxacin, and erythromycin. After a mean follow-up of 10.7 +/- 12.8 months, 23 patients (34.3%) died due to causes related to R equi infection and 6 other patients showed evidence of progression of the infection. The absence of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) was independently associated with mortality related to R equi infection (relative risk, 53.4; 95% confidence interval, 1.7 to 1,699). Survival of patients treated with HAART was much higher than that of patients who did not receive this therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Infection by R equi is an infrequent, opportunistic complication of HIV infection and occurs during advanced stages of immunodepression. In these patients, it leads to a severe illness that usually causes a bacteremic, cavitary pneumonia, although HAART can improve the prognosis.

Current situation and regional perspective on HIV/AIDS surveillance in europe

AIDS reporting has been the principal means of monitoring the HIV/AIDS situation in Europe since 1984 [corrected]. HIV reporting was set up at the European level in 1999, although it has existed in most European countries since the 1980s. Anonymous individual data on AIDS and, if available, new HIV diagnoses, and data on HIV prevalence in various populations are reported from the 51 countries of the WHO European Region to EuroHIV, and aggregate data on HIV prevalence in various populations [corrected]. Data are presented after grouping the 51 countries into three geographic areas: the West, Center, and East. At end of 2000, in the West, AIDS incidence continued to decline except among those infected heterosexually; numbers of newly diagnosed HIV infections are relatively stable, but rising among heterosexually infected persons, many of whom originate from countries with generalized HIV epidemics. In the East, numbers of newly diagnosed HIV cases (mostly injection drug users) continue to rise steeply, particularly in the Russian Federation, Latvia, and Estonia. In the Center, levels of HIV and AIDS remain low. HIV reporting is becoming a central element of HIV/AIDS surveillance in Europe. Heterogeneity between countries in health care systems, HIV testing patterns and surveillance systems remain challenging for data standardization at the European level. Efforts should be made to use surveillance data for evaluating the effectiveness of HIV/AIDS prevention interventions.

Epidemiology of non-Hodgkin lymphomas and other haemolymphopoietic neoplasms in people with AIDS

HIV-infected individuals have a high risk of developing non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). In Europe, the prevalence of AIDS with a concurrent NHL diagnosis increased from 3.6% to 5.4% between 1994 and 2000. In population-based record linkages between cancer registries and AIDS registries in the USA, Italy, and Australia, the relative risks of NHL in people with AIDS ranged between 15 for low-grade and T-cell NHL and 400 for high-grade NHL. The corresponding relative risk of Hodgkin's disease was about 10, whereas the risks for multiple myeloma and leukaemias were in the range 2 to 5. Since the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy in the more developed countries (1996), most studies have suggested a decline in the incidence of some types of NHL, most notably the primary brain form. In studies from Africa, the risk of HIV-associated NHL is about ten times less than that in the more developed countries, but underascertainment and earlier death from other AIDS-related illnesses may explain the relative lack of HIV-associated lymphomas.

Changes over calendar time in the risk of specific first AIDS-defining events following HIV seroconversion, adjusting for competing risks

BACKGROUND

Although studies have reported large reductions in the risks of AIDS and death since the introduction of potent anti-retroviral therapies, few have evaluated whether this has been similar for all AIDS-defining diseases. We wished to evaluate changes over time in the risk of specific AIDS-defining diseases, as first events, using data from individuals with known dates of HIV seroconversion.

METHODS

Using a competing risks proportional hazards model on pooled data from 20 cohorts (CASCADE), we evaluated time from HIV seroconversion to each first AIDS-defining disease (16 groups) and to death without AIDS for four calendar periods, adjusting for exposure category, age, sex, acute infection, and stratifying by cohort. We compared results to those obtained from a cause-specific hazards model.

RESULTS

Of 6,941, 2,021 (29%) developed AIDS and 437 (6%) died without AIDS. The risk of AIDS or death remained constant to 1996 then reduced; relative hazard = 0.89 (95% CI: 0.77-1.03); 0.90 (95% CI: 0.81-1.01); and 0.32 (95% CI: 0.28-0.37) for 1979-1990, 1991-1993, and 1997-2001, respectively, compared to 1994-1996. Significant risk reductions in 1997-2001 were observed in all but two AIDS-defining groups and death without AIDS in a competing risks model (with similar results from a cause-specific model). There was significant heterogeneity in the risk reduction across events; from 96% for cryptosporidiosis, to 17% for death without AIDS (P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that studies reporting a stable trend for particular AIDS diseases over the period 1979-2001 may not have accounted for the competing risks among other events or lack the power to detect smaller trends.

Ritonavir plus saquinavir versus single protease inhibitor therapy in protease inhibitor-naive HIV-infected patients: the Swiss HIV Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

To compare the response to ritonavir (RTV) plus saquinavir (SQV) with single protease inhibitor (PI) therapies among PI-naive HIV-1 infected individuals.

METHODS

Response to treatment was analysed according to the intent-to-treat principle in a prospective observational cohort study of 177 patients who between May 1995 and March 2000 started a double PI therapy with RTV and SQV (nonboosting dosages) plus at least one nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI) and 2,214 patients with a single PI therapy plus two NRTIs. We used survival analysis and Cox's proportional hazard regression methods. The primary endpoint was the time to a plasma viral load of < 400 copies/mL. Secondary endpoints were taken as a gain in the CD4 count of >100 cells/microL, and change of initial PI for any reason.

RESULTS

Baseline characteristics in both treatment groups were balanced. Median follow-up in both groups was 10.4 months. Time to an HIV-1 viral load of < 400 copies/mL and an increase in the CD4 count of >100 x 10(6) cells/L was shorter for RTV plus SQV compared with single PI regimens (log rank test for each endpoint P < 0.05). The adjusted hazard ratios of RTV plus SQV compared with single PI regimens were 1.21 (95% confidence interval 0.99-1.47) for achieving an HIV-1 viral load of < 400 copies/mL, 1.12 (0.88-1.42) for an increase in the CD4 count of > 100 cells/microL, and 0.90 (0.73-1.11) for change of first PI regimen.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment with RTV plus SQV compared with single PI regimens appeared to give similar results for virological or immunological response.

Late diagnosis of HIV infection in the era of highly active antiretroviral therapy: consequences for AIDS incidence

OBJECTIVE

To assess the repercussion of late diagnosis of HIV infection on AIDS incidence in the era of highly active antiretroviral therapy.

DESIGN

Analysis of AIDS surveillance data.

SETTING

Spain.

PATIENTS

AIDS cases reported from 1994 though 2000.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Late testers were defined as persons who had a first positive HIV test in the month of or immediately preceding AIDS diagnosis. Their incidence trend was compared against that for the remaining cases, and the influence of demographic factors evaluated.

RESULTS

Of 30 778 AIDS cases, 8499 (28%) were late testers, and of these, 1061 (12%) died within 3 months of diagnosis of HIV infection. From 1995 to 2000, AIDS diagnoses declined by 36% among late testers versus 67% for the remainder (P < 0.001). The percentage of late testers increased from 24% in 1994-1996 to 35% in 1998-2000 (P < 0.001). Among the 7825 AIDS cases diagnosed in 1998-2000, late testing was independently associated (P < 0.01) with male sex, age over 44 years, residence in provinces with a lower AIDS incidence, foreign origin, and no record of injecting drug use or prison stay.

CONCLUSIONS

A growing proportion of AIDS cases involves late diagnosis of HIV infection. Persons who are unaware of their HIV infection cannot benefit from antiretroviral therapy and, hence, early diagnosis would strengthen the impact of such therapy and so reduce AIDS incidence.

Anonymous reporting of HIV infection: an evaluation of the HIV/AIDS surveillance system in Norway 1983-2000

Several European countries are considering implementing surveillance systems for HIV infection, but questions remain regarding patient confidentiality. The population-based HIV/AIDS surveillance system in Norway integrates anonymous HIV case reports from laboratories and clinicians and named AIDS case reports. This evaluation includes a description of the system, evidence of system attributes, estimation of resources for system operations, and documentation of the system's usefulness. HIV case reports provide a far better picture of the epidemic than AIDS reports. The median delay between positive HIV test and reporting was 30 days (interquartile range 18-49 days). Completeness of demographic and epidemiologic information in the surveillance database ranges from 60 to 100%. Information on pre-AIDS mortality and emigration is incomplete. The system cost euro 25,200 in 1999. Results are published every week and used for planning of health care and prevention. We conclude that the Norwegian surveillance system with anonymous reporting of HIV cases is simple, inexpensive and flexible, and capable of providing a representative and timely overview that guides prevention. The system fulfils its objectives while respecting confidentiality and adhering to ethical principles. A similar system may be considered in other countries.

Long-term follow-up: no effect of therapeutic vaccination with HIV-1 p17/p24:Ty virus-like particles on HIV-1 disease progression

Long-term effects of therapeutic vaccination of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-1-infected subjects with HIV-1 p17/p24:Ty virus-like particles (p24-VLP) on progression to AIDS, death, a CD4 cell count <or=200 cells/mm(3) and CD4 cell count decline were studied in a multicenter cohort study of 56 individuals who participated in a phase II double-blind placebo-controlled trial with p24-VLP in 1993. Using Cox proportional hazard analysis, no difference between vaccine and placebo groups was found in progression to death (adjusted hazard rate (HR): 0.68 (95% CI: 0.05-7.83), AIDS (adjusted HR: 1.07 (95% CI: 0.21-5.36)) and a CD4 cell count <or=200 cells/mm(3) (adjusted HR: 1.00 (95% CI: 0.35-2.87)). Using linear regression with correction for multiple visits within one person, no effect of vaccination on CD4 cell count decline, adjusted for antiretroviral therapy (ART) use, was found (P=0.98). In conclusion, therapeutic vaccination with p24-VLP is not related to slower HIV-1 disease progression.

Impact of adherence and highly active antiretroviral therapy on survival in HIV-infected patients

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effect of antiretroviral therapy (ART) adherence on survival in HIV-infected patients.

DESIGN

Cohort study at a single hospital in Barcelona, Spain.

METHODS

Data on HIV-infected patients older than 18 years of age who began ART during the period 1990 to 1999 were analyzed. Patients were considered nonadherent if the total dose of antiretroviral drug was less than 90% of that prescribed. Adherence was assessed through self-report and hospital pharmacy appointments. Cox regression with time-dependent variables was used.

RESULTS

A total of 1219 patients were included. The first ART was with monotherapy in 23.7% of cases, with two drugs in 30.5%, and with triple therapy in 45.8%. In multivariate analysis, the variables that presented significant differences with respect to mortality were clinical stage at the beginning of treatment (AIDS: relative hazard (RH) = 2.97; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.14-4.13), CD4 cell count (<200 cells/microL: RH = 5.89; CI: 3.44-10.10), type of treatment (monotherapy: RH = 9.76; CI: 4.56-20.90; bi-therapy: RH = 9.12; CI: 4.23-19.64), and adherence (nonadherence: RH = 3.87; CI: 1.77-8.46).

CONCLUSIONS

The modifiable factors most strongly associated with survival were type of treatment and adherence. It would be desirable to accompany therapy with intervention strategies intended to improve adherence.

Invasive cervical cancer as an AIDS-defining illness in Europe

OBJECTIVE(S)

To evaluate the frequency and correlates of invasive cervical cancer (ICC) as an AIDS-defining illness (ADI) in Europe.

DESIGN

Statistical analysis of data from: national AIDS surveillance systems of 15 European countries with >or= 50 female AIDS cases; and from population-based cancer registries of the same nations.

METHODS

AIDS cases notified between 1993 (when ICC was included among ADI) and 1999 in women aged 20-49 years were taken into consideration. The association between the presence of ICC as an ADI and potential determinants was assessed by calculation of odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Country-specific incidence rates of ICC in women aged 20-49 years were correlated with selected AIDS-associated variables by means of the Pearson correlation coefficient (r).

RESULTS

The OR of having ICC as an ADI increased with age and was significantly elevated in southern (3.1) and central (2.5) compared with northern Europe. It was also increased among injecting drug users (IDU; 1.5). The proportion of ICC as ADI was inversely correlated with incidence rates of ICC in the general female population, but directly correlated with the proportion of IDU among female AIDS cases.

CONCLUSIONS

The frequency of ICC as an ADI in Europe was independent from the background risk of ICC in the general population. It was higher where IDU predominated among female AIDS cases and where population-based ICC screening programs were less effective.

[Are we diagnosing people infected with HIV in time?]

OBJECTIVE

To describe the number of AIDS cases who did not know of their HIV infection until they developed AIDS, and the factors relating to this situation.

DESIGN

Descriptive study of data of the National AIDS Register.Setting. Spain.Patients. Cases of AIDS in the over-14s diagnosed between 1997 and 1999.

RESULTS

Of the 6910 cases of AIDS studied, 35% (n = 2421) knew that they were HIV-positive at the same time as they were diagnosed with AIDS (in the same month or the previous one). The multi-variate analysis showed that this situation occurred less commonly in women (OR = 0.61; 95% CI, 0.53-0.71), in cases diagnosed in prison (OR = 0.19; 95% CI, 0.13-0.27), in cases diagnosed early (OR = 0.49; 95% CI, 0.41-0.60) and among residents in provinces with AIDS rates higher than the Spanish average (OR = 0.88; 95% CI, 0.78-0.99). Ignorance of HIV infection until the AIDS diagnosis was associated to ages of under 25 and over 34, homo/bisexual transmission (OR = 3.20; 95% CI, 2.69-3.80) and heterosexual transmission (OR = 4.88; 95% CI, 4.21-5.65) compared with intravenous drug users, and to the person coming from countries other than Spain, both developed (OR = 2.78; 95% CI, 1.89-4.08) and under-developed (OR = 1.85; 95% CI, 1.26-2.72) countries.

CONCLUSIONS

A considerable number of people diagnosed with AIDS were unaware of their HIV infection, especially among people who had never injected drugs. HIV needs to be diagnosed earlier so as to improve prevention and treatments.

Methodology used for "software for automated linkage in Italy" (SALI)

Linkage of epidemiological registries can provide cost-effective information on the associations between different diseases or exposures in the population under study and on completeness of surveillance system databases. We describe the program SALI (software for automated linkage in Italy) aimed at matching individual records from medium-sized registries (in the order of 100,000 records), where the desired outcome is to miss as few links as possible and, because of low link-likelihood (< 1%), a manual revision of matched pairs is feasible. SALI, developed in CA-Clipper language, uses registry files in dBase format. It requires only name, surname, and date of birth as key fields, and it allows for spelling errors in Italian or other Latin languages through a specific algorithm. Furthermore, a double-blind procedure ensures data confidentiality. The main linkage procedure is based on four stages, two automatic ones, and two where the operator can decide through specific windows whether to accept stage-selected matches. SALI takes into account possible errors in key fields thus reducing false negatives. It was used to solve the problem of linkage between AIDS and cancer registries in Italy. It can be used with every IBM-compatible computer system, assuring uniquely high portability.