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Kirino S, Tamaki N, Kurosaki M, Kaneko S, Inada K, Tanaka Y, Ishido S, Yamashita K, Nobusawa T, Matsumoto H, Hayakawa Y, Kakegawa T, Higuchi M, Takaura K, Tanaka S, Maeyashiki C, Yasui Y, Takahashi Y, Tsuchiya K, Nakanishi H, Okamoto R, Izumi N. Alanine aminotransferase levels as therapeutic targets after nucleotide/nucleoside analog therapy in patient with chronic hepatitis B. Hepatol Res 2023; 53:35-42. [PMID: 36117296 DOI: 10.1111/hepr.13839] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/17/2022] [Revised: 09/08/2022] [Accepted: 09/08/2022] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
Abstract
AIM Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) is a criterion for the introduction of nucleotide/nucleoside analog (NA), and ALT levels are decreased by NA treatment. However, the association between post-treatment ALT levels and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk remains unclear. To fill this gap, we aimed to establish a target value of ALT level during NA treatment. METHODS In total, 413 patients with chronic hepatitis B who received entecavir, tenofovir alafenamide, or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate were enrolled. The subsequent development of HCC was examined and a target value of ALT level during NA treatment as a risk marker for HCC was evaluated. RESULTS The median follow-up duration was 5.1 years, during which time 27 patients (8.6%) developed HCC. ALT level at the start of treatment was not associated with HCC development (p = 0.08). When stratified by ALT at 1 year after NA initiation, the cumulative 3- and 5-year rates of HCC for patients with ALT ≥21 IU/L were 11.5% and 18.1%, and those with ALT <21 IU/L was 2.3% and 6.5%, respectively. Patients with ALT <21 IU/L had a significantly lower risk of HCC development compared with patients with ALT ≥21 IU/L (p = 0.002). In multivariable analysis adjusting age, sex, and platelet counts, ALT ≥21 IU/L was an independent risk factor of HCC development with hazard ratio of 4.5 (95% confidence interval: 1.01-20.4). CONCLUSIONS ALT <21 IU/L at 1 year after NA initiation has a lower risk of HCC and could be used as a target value for NA treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sakura Kirino
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.,Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Nobuharu Tamaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Masayuki Kurosaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Shun Kaneko
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.,Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kento Inada
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.,Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yuki Tanaka
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Shun Ishido
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.,Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Koji Yamashita
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Tsubasa Nobusawa
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.,Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hiroaki Matsumoto
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.,Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yuka Hayakawa
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.,Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Tatsuya Kakegawa
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Mayu Higuchi
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kenta Takaura
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Shohei Tanaka
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.,Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Chiaki Maeyashiki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.,Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yutaka Yasui
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yuka Takahashi
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kaoru Tsuchiya
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hiroyuki Nakanishi
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Ryuichi Okamoto
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Namiki Izumi
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
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52
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Shi K, Li P, Zhang Q, Zhang Y, Bi Y, Zeng X, Wang X. Development of a nomogram to predict the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis B-related cirrhosis on antivirals. Front Oncol 2023; 13:1128062. [PMID: 36874109 PMCID: PMC9978349 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2023.1128062] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2022] [Accepted: 02/06/2023] [Indexed: 02/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective Patients with compensated hepatitis B-related cirrhosis receiving antivirals are at the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting the incidence of HCC in patients with hepatitis-B related cirrhosis. Design A total of 632 patients with compensated hepatitis-B related cirrhosis treated with entecavir or tenofovir between August 2010 and July 2018 were enrolled. Cox regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors for HCC and a nomogram was developed using these factors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analyses were used to evaluate the nomogram performance. The results were validated in an external cohort (n = 324). Results In the multivariate analysis, age per 10 years, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio > 1.6, and platelet count < 86×109/L were independent predictors of HCC occurrence. A nomogram was developed to predict HCC risk using these three factors (ranging from 0 to 20). The nomogram showed better performance (AUC: 0.83) than that of the established models (all P < 0.05). The 3-year cumulative HCC incidences in the low- (scores < 4), medium- (4-10), and high-risk (> 10) subgroups were 0.7%, 4.3%, and 17.7%, respectively, in the derivation cohort, and 1.2%, 3.9%, and 17.8%, respectively, in the validation cohort. Conclusion The nomogram showed good discrimination and calibration in estimating HCC risk in patients with hepatitis-B related cirrhosis on antivirals. High-risk patients with a score > 10 points require close surveillance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ke Shi
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Ping Li
- Department of Hepatology, Tianjin Second People's Hospital, Tianjin, China
| | - Qun Zhang
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Yi Zhang
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Yufei Bi
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Xuanwei Zeng
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Xianbo Wang
- Center of Integrative Medicine, Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
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53
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Kaneko S, Kurosaki M, Mashiba T, Marusawa H, Kondo M, Kojima Y, Uchida Y, Fujii H, Akahane T, Yagisawa H, Kusakabe A, Kobashi H, Abe T, Yoshida H, Ogawa C, Furuta K, Tamaki N, Tsuji K, Matsushita T, Izumi N. Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma at baseline and 1 year after initiation of nucleos(t)ide analog therapy for chronic hepatitis B. J Med Virol 2023; 95:e28210. [PMID: 36222204 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.28210] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/22/2022] [Revised: 10/01/2022] [Accepted: 10/07/2022] [Indexed: 01/11/2023]
Abstract
Nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) cannot completely suppress the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This study aimed to identify the risk factors for HCC development in naïve CHB patients treated with current NA. Patients receiving NA (n = 905) were recruited retrospectively from the 17 hospitals of the Japanese Red Cross Liver Study Group. All treatment-naïve patients had been receiving current NA continuously for more than 1 year until the end of the follow-up. We analyzed the accuracy of predictive risk score using the area under receiver operating characteristic curve. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score was significantly improved by NA therapy (-0.171 ± 0.396; p < 0.001 at Week 48). A total of 72 (8.0%) patients developed HCC over a median follow-up of 6.2 (1.03-15.7) years. An independent predictive factor of HCC development was older age, cirrhosis, lower platelet counts at baseline and ALBI score, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) at 1 year after NA therapy according to multivariate analysis. The accuracy was assessed using the PAGE-B, mPAGE-B, aMAP, APA-B, and REAL-B scores that included these factors. Discrimination was generally acceptable for these models. aMAP and REAL-B demonstrated high discrimination with 0.866/0.862 and 0.833/0.859 for 3- and 5-year prediction from the status of 1 year after NA therapy, respectively. Baseline age and platelet count, as well as ALBI and AFP one year after NA, were useful for stratifying carcinogenesis risk. The aMAP and REAL-B scores were validated with high accuracy in Japanese CHB patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shun Kaneko
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.,Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Tokyo Medical and Dental University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Masayuki Kurosaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Toshie Mashiba
- Center for Liver-Biliary-Pancreatic Diseases, Matsuyama Red Cross Hospital, Matsuyama, Ehime, Japan
| | - Hiroyuki Marusawa
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Osaka Hospital, Osaka, Japan
| | - Masahiko Kondo
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Otsu Hospital, Shiga, Japan
| | - Yuji Kojima
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Ise Hospital, Ise, Mie, Japan
| | - Yasushi Uchida
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Matsue Hospital, Matsue, Shimane, Japan
| | - Hideki Fujii
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Kyoto Daiichi Hospital, Kyoto, Japan
| | - Takehiro Akahane
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Ishinomaki Hospital, Ishinomaki, Miyagi, Japan
| | - Hitoshi Yagisawa
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Akita Hospital, Akita, Japan
| | - Atsunori Kusakabe
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Nagoya Daini Hospital, Nagoya, Japan
| | - Haruhiko Kobashi
- Department of Hepatology, Japanese Red Cross Okayama Hospital, Okayama, Japan
| | - Takehiko Abe
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Maebashi Hospital, Maebashi, Gunma, Japan
| | - Hideo Yoshida
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Chikara Ogawa
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Takamatsu Hospital, Takamatsu, Kagawa, Japan
| | - Koichiro Furuta
- Department of Gastroenterology, Japanese Red Cross Masuda Hospital, Masuda, Shimane, Japan
| | - Nobuharu Tamaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Keiji Tsuji
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hiroshima Red Cross Hospital & Atomic-Bomb Survivors Hospital, Hiroshima, Japan
| | | | - Namiki Izumi
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
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Suboptimal Performance of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Prediction Models in Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-Related Cirrhosis. Diagnostics (Basel) 2022; 13:diagnostics13010003. [PMID: 36611295 PMCID: PMC9818663 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics13010003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2022] [Revised: 12/14/2022] [Accepted: 12/14/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
This study aimed to evaluate the predictive performance of pre-existing well-validated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction models, established in patients with HBV-related cirrhosis who started potent antiviral therapy (AVT). We retrospectively reviewed the cases of 1339 treatment-naïve patients with HBV-related cirrhosis who started AVT (median period, 56.8 months). The scores of the pre-existing HCC risk prediction models were calculated at the time of AVT initiation. HCC developed in 211 patients (15.1%), and the cumulative probability of HCC development at 5 years was 14.6%. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that older age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.023), lower platelet count (aHR, 0.997), lower serum albumin level (aHR, 0.578), and greater LS value (aHR, 1.012) were associated with HCC development. Harrell’s c-indices of the PAGE-B, modified PAGE-B, modified REACH-B, CAMD, aMAP, HCC-RESCUE, AASL-HCC, Toronto HCC Risk Index, PLAN-B, APA-B, CAGE-B, and SAGE-B models were suboptimal in patients with HBV-related cirrhosis, ranging from 0.565 to 0.667. Nevertheless, almost all patients were well stratified into low-, intermediate-, or high-risk groups according to each model (all log-rank p < 0.05), except for HCC-RESCUE (p = 0.080). Since all low-risk patients had cirrhosis at baseline, they had unneglectable cumulative incidence of HCC development (5-year incidence, 4.9−7.5%). Pre-existing risk prediction models for patients with chronic hepatitis B showed suboptimal predictive performances for the assessment of HCC development in patients with HBV-related cirrhosis.
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55
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Entecavir plus Biejia-Ruangan compound reduces the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in Chinese patients with chronic hepatitis B. J Hepatol 2022; 77:1515-1524. [PMID: 35985545 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2022.07.018] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2022] [Revised: 07/11/2022] [Accepted: 07/19/2022] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and liver fibrosis are associated with a high risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. We assessed whether entecavir (ETV) plus Biejia-Ruangan compound (BRC), an anti-fibrotic traditional Chinese medicine, can further reduce the risk of HCC in treatment-naïve Chinese patients with CHB and an Ishak fibrosis score of ≥3 points derived from our parent double-blind randomized placebo-controlled trial. METHODS After a 72-week comparison between ETV+BRC and ETV+placebo treatment, participants were eligible to enter an open-label treatment phase and were followed up every 6 months. The primary [secondary] endpoints were the incidence of HCC [liver-related deaths, non-HCC events, and non-liver-related deaths]. Modified intention-to-treat (mITT), intention-to-treat (ITT), and per-protocol (PP) populations were defined for the time-to-event analysis. RESULTS A total of 1,000 patients were recruited; the median age was 42.0 years; 69.9% were male and 58.3% were HBeAg positive. In the mITT population, the 7-year cumulative incidence of HCC [liver-related deaths] was 4.7% [0.2%] for ETV+BRC, which was significantly lower than 9.3% [2.2%] for ETV monotherapy (p = 0.008 [p = 0.030]). Notably, ETV+BRC treatment yielded a lower incidence of HCC in those who did not achieve regression of fibrosis at week 72 than ETV monotherapy (p = 0.018). There were no differences in the other 2 secondary endpoints or safety profiles between the groups. Multivariable Cox proportional regression analysis, including the treatment allocation as a parameter, also demonstrated that ETV+BRC treatment was associated with a reduced incidence of HCC. The ITT and PP analyses showed consistent results. CONCLUSIONS ETV plus BRC combination treatment could further reduce the risk of HCC and liver-related deaths in patients with CHB and advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis, which may have important clinical implications for HCC prevention. LAY SUMMARY Patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection are at an increased risk of developing liver cancer (specifically hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC]). While there are effective antiviral treatments that can suppress the virus in chronically infected patients, the risk of HCC remains. Herein, we show that adding a traditional Chinese medicine called Biejia-Ruangan compound to an antiviral reduced the risk of HCC in patients with chronic hepatitis B.
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56
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Lee JH, Shin SK, Kang SH, Kim TH, Yim HJ, Yim SY, Lee YS, Jung YK, Kim JH, Seo YS, Yeon JE, Kwon OS, Um SH, Byun KS. Long-Term Prediction Model for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Receiving Antiviral Therapy: Based on Data from Korean Patients. J Clin Med 2022; 11:jcm11226613. [PMID: 36431090 PMCID: PMC9697157 DOI: 10.3390/jcm11226613] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2022] [Revised: 10/31/2022] [Accepted: 11/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Predicting the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a key clinical issue in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). The aim of this study was to develop a precise and simple HCC risk score for up to 10 years. A total of 1895 CHB patients treated with entecavir or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate were retrospectively recruited and randomized into derivation (n = 1239) and validation cohorts (n = 656). Variables proven to be independent risk factors for HCC in the derivation cohort were used to develop the prediction model. The ACCESS-HCC model included five variables (age, cirrhosis, consumption of ethanol, liver stiffness, and serum alanine aminotransferase). Areas under curves were 0.798, 0.762, and 0.883 for HCC risk at 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively, which were higher than those of other prediction models. The scores were categorized according to significantly different HCC incidences: 0-4, low; 5-8, intermediate; and 9-14, high-risk. The annual incidence rates were 0.5%, 3.2%, and 11.3%, respectively. The performance of this model was validated in an independent cohort. The ACCESS-HCC model shows improved long-term prediction and provides three distinct risk categories for HCC in CHB patients receiving antiviral therapy. Further research is needed for external validation using larger cohorts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ji Hun Lee
- Department of Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
| | - Seung Kak Shin
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gachon University Gil Medical Center, Gachon University College of Medicine, Incheon 21565, Korea
| | - Seong Hee Kang
- Department of Internal Medicine, Inje University College of Medicine, Seoul 01757, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University Wonju College of Medicine, Wonju 26426, Korea
| | - Tae Hyung Kim
- Department of Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
- Correspondence: (H.J.Y.); (T.H.K.)
| | - Hyung Joon Yim
- Department of Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
- Correspondence: (H.J.Y.); (T.H.K.)
| | - Sun Young Yim
- Department of Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
| | - Young-Sun Lee
- Department of Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
| | - Young Kul Jung
- Department of Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
| | - Ji Hoon Kim
- Department of Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
| | - Yeon Seok Seo
- Department of Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
| | - Jong Eun Yeon
- Department of Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
| | - Oh Sang Kwon
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gachon University Gil Medical Center, Gachon University College of Medicine, Incheon 21565, Korea
| | - Soon Ho Um
- Department of Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
| | - Kwan Soo Byun
- Department of Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
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57
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Spearman CW, Dusheiko G, Jonas E, Abdo A, Afihene M, Cunha L, Desalegn H, Kassianides C, Katsidzira L, Kramvis A, Lam P, Lesi OA, Micah EA, Musabeyezu E, Ndow G, Nnabuchi CV, Ocama P, Okeke E, Rwegasha J, Shewaye AB, Some FF, Tzeuton C, Sonderup MW. Hepatocellular carcinoma: measures to improve the outlook in sub-Saharan Africa. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2022; 7:1036-1048. [PMID: 35810766 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-1253(22)00041-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2021] [Revised: 01/26/2022] [Accepted: 02/02/2022] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
Hepatocellular carcinoma is a leading public health concern in sub-Saharan Africa, and it is most prevalent in young adults (median 45 years [IQR 35-57]). Overall, outcomes are poor, with a median survival of 2·5 months after presentation. Major risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma are hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus, aflatoxin B1 exposure, and alcohol consumption, with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease slowly emerging as a risk factor over the past few years. Crucially, these risk factors are preventable and manageable with effective implementation of the HBV birth-dose vaccination, treatment of chronic viral hepatitis, provision of harm reduction services, and by decreasing aflatoxin B1 exposure and harmful alcohol consumption. Primary prevention is central to the management of hepatocellular carcinoma, especially in poorly resourced environments. Effective screening and surveillance programmes with recall policies need to be implemented, because detection and curative management of hepatocellular carcinoma is possible if it is detected at an early stage, even in countries with minimal resources, with appropriate upskilling of medical personnel. The establishment of centres of excellence with advanced diagnostic and therapeutic capabilities within countries should improve hepatocellular carcinoma outcomes and assist in driving the implementation of much needed systematic data systems focused on hepatocellular carcinoma to establish the accurate burden in sub-Saharan Africa. Such data would support the public health importance of hepatocellular carcinoma and provide a strong basis for advocacy, programme development, resource allocation, and monitoring of progress in reducing mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- C Wendy Spearman
- Division of Hepatology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; Department of Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
| | - Geoffrey Dusheiko
- University College London Medical School, London, UK; Kings College Hospital, London, UK
| | - Eduard Jonas
- Surgical Gastroenterology Unit, Division of General Surgery, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Abdelmounem Abdo
- National Centre for Gastrointestinal and Liver Disease, Ibn Sina Hospital, Alamarat, Khartoum, Sudan
| | - Mary Afihene
- Department of Medicine, College of Health Sciences, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana
| | - Lina Cunha
- Gastroenterology Unit, Maputo Private Hospital, Maputo, Mozambique
| | - Hailemichael Desalegn
- Department of Internal Medicine, St Paul's Hospital Millennium Medical College, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Chris Kassianides
- Department of Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Leolin Katsidzira
- Internal Medicine Unit, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
| | - Anna Kramvis
- Hepatitis Virus Diversity Research Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | | | - Olufunmilayo A Lesi
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, College of Medicine, University of Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria
| | - Eileen A Micah
- Department of Medicine, Komfo Anokye Teaching Hospital, Kumasi, Ghana
| | | | - Gibril Ndow
- Disease Control and Elimination Theme, MRC Unit The Gambia at the London School of Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Department of Metabolism, Digestion and Reproduction, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Chidi V Nnabuchi
- Asokoro District Hospital, Nile University Teaching Hospital, Abuja, Nigeria
| | - Ponsiano Ocama
- School of Medicine, Makerere University College of Health Sciences, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Edith Okeke
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, College of Health Sciences, University of Jos, Jos University Teaching Hospital, Jos, Nigeria
| | - John Rwegasha
- Gastroenterology Training Centre, Department of Internal Medicine, Muhimbili National Hospital, Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania
| | - Abate B Shewaye
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Fatuma F Some
- Department of Medicine, School of Medicine, College of Health Sciences, Moi University, Eldoret, Kenya
| | - Christian Tzeuton
- Faculty of Medicine and Pharmaceutical Sciences of Douala, University of Douala, Douala, Cameroon
| | - Mark W Sonderup
- Division of Hepatology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; Department of Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
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A Mac-2 Binding Protein Glycosylation Isomer-Based Risk Model Predicts Hepatocellular Carcinoma in HBV-Related Cirrhotic Patients on Antiviral Therapy. Cancers (Basel) 2022; 14:cancers14205063. [PMID: 36291847 PMCID: PMC9599873 DOI: 10.3390/cancers14205063] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2022] [Revised: 10/13/2022] [Accepted: 10/14/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) has not been used in a risk score to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We enrolled 1003 patients with chronic hepatitis B and cirrhosis receiving entecavir or tenofovir therapy for more than12 months to construct an HCC risk score. In the development cohort, Cox regression analysis identified male gender, age, platelet count, AFP and M2BPGi levels at 12 months of treatment as independent risk factors of HCC. We developed the HCC risk prediction model, the ASPAM-B score, based on age, sex, platelet count, AFP and M2BPGi levels at 12 months of treatment, with the total scores ranging from 0 to 11.5. This risk model accurately classified patients into low (0−3.5), medium (4−7), and high (>7) risk in the development and validation groups (p < 0.001). The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 3-, 5- and 9-year risks of HCC were 0.742, 0.728 and 0.719, respectively, in the development cohort. All AUROC between the ASPAM-B and APA-B, PAGE-B, RWS-HCC and THRI scores at 3−9 years were significantly different. The M2BPGi-based risk model exhibited good discriminant function in predicting HCC in cirrhotic patients who received long-term antiviral treatment.
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Cheng R, Xu X. Validation of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk Prediction Models in Patients with Hepatitis B-Related Cirrhosis. J Hepatocell Carcinoma 2022; 9:987-997. [PMID: 36117526 PMCID: PMC9480598 DOI: 10.2147/jhc.s377435] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/09/2022] [Accepted: 09/06/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Purpose Several risk models have been developed to predict the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB); however, it remains unclear whether these models are useful for risk assessment in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhosis undergoing antiviral therapy. Patients and Methods A total of 252 treatment-naive cirrhosis patients with no history of HCC who underwent treatment with nucleos(t)ide analogues between January 2010 and July 2014 were enrolled. Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the risk factors for HCC. "TimeROC" and "survival ROC" package, written for R, were used to compare the time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves for the predictability of the HCC risk scores. Results During the mean follow-up period of 56.96 months, 48 (19.0%) patients developed HCC. Cox multivariate stepwise regression analysis revealed that international normalized ratio (hazard ratio [HR] 2.771, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.462-5.254; P=0.002), alpha-fetoprotein (HR 1.001, 95% CI 1.000-1.003; P=0.035), diabetes mellitus (HR 3.061, 95% CI 1.542-6.077; P=0.001), and alcohol intake (HR 2.250, 95% CI 1.042-4.856; P=0.039) were independent indicators of the HCC risk. AUROC at 3 (0.739) and 5 years (0.695) for the REAL-B score were consistently higher than those of the other risk models except RWS-HCC. The time-dependent AUROC value at 1 year for the REAL-B score was similar to those of the other risk models. According to REAL-B score stratification (0-3, low; 4-7, moderate; and 8-13, high), the HCC risk rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 2.4%, 5.6%, and 9.0% in the intermediate-risk group, and 7.2%, 21.1%, and 26.3% in the high-risk group, respectively (all P<0.001 between each pair). Conclusion REAL-B score showed a persistently high prognostic capability in predicting the HCC risk in HBV-related cirrhosis patients undergoing antiviral therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ran Cheng
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, People's Republic of China
| | - Xiaoyuan Xu
- Department of Gastroenterology, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, People's Republic of China
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Yip TCF, Lai JCT, Liang LY, Hui VWK, Wong VWS, Wong GLH. Risk of HCC in Patients with HBV, Role of Antiviral Treatment. CURRENT HEPATOLOGY REPORTS 2022; 21:76-86. [DOI: 10.1007/s11901-022-00588-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 08/19/2022] [Indexed: 08/08/2023]
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Ferreira da Silva AC, Cunha-Silva M, Sevá-Pereira T, Mazo DF. Evaluation of the Hepatocellular Carcinoma Predictive Scores PAGE-B and mPAGE-B among Brazilian Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection. Viruses 2022; 14:v14091968. [PMID: 36146774 PMCID: PMC9503912 DOI: 10.3390/v14091968] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2022] [Revised: 08/28/2022] [Accepted: 09/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is intrinsically oncogenic and related to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Predictive scores of HCC have been developed but have been poorly studied in admixed populations. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the performance of PAGE-B and mPAGE-B scores for HCC prediction in HBV Brazilian patients and factors related to HCC occurrence. This is a retrospective study that evaluated patients followed at a tertiary university center. A total of 224 patients were included, with a median follow-up period of 9 years. The mean age at HBV diagnosis was 38.71 ± 14.19 years, predominantly males (66.1%). The cumulative incidence of HCC at 3, 5, and 7 years was 0.993%, 2.70%, and 5.25%, respectively, being related in the univariate logistic regression analysis to male sex (p = 0.0461), older age (p = 0.0001), cirrhosis at HBV diagnosis (p < 0.0001), and higher values of PAGE-B and mPAGE-B scores (p = 0.0002 and p < 0.0001, respectively). Older age, male sex, and cirrhosis at HBV diagnosis were independently associated with HCC occurrence. The AUROCs of PAGE-B and mPAGE-B were 0.7906 and 0.7904, respectively, with no differences between them (p = 0.9767). In conclusion, both PAGE-B and mPAGE-B showed a correct prediction of HCC above 70% in this cohort.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ana Caroline Ferreira da Silva
- Division of Gastroenterology (Gastrocentro), Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medical Sciences of University of Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas 13083-878, SP, Brazil
| | - Marlone Cunha-Silva
- Division of Gastroenterology (Gastrocentro), Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medical Sciences of University of Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas 13083-878, SP, Brazil
| | - Tiago Sevá-Pereira
- Division of Gastroenterology (Gastrocentro), Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medical Sciences of University of Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas 13083-878, SP, Brazil
| | - Daniel F. Mazo
- Division of Gastroenterology (Gastrocentro), Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medical Sciences of University of Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas 13083-878, SP, Brazil
- Division of Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Gastroenterology, University of São Paulo School of Medicine (FMUSP), Sao Paulo 05403-900, SP, Brazil
- Correspondence:
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Yang H, Bae SH, Nam H, Lee HL, Lee SW, Yoo SH, Song MJ, Kwon JH, Nam SW, Choi JY, Yoon SK, Jang JW. A risk prediction model for hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatitis B surface antigen seroclearance. J Hepatol 2022; 77:632-641. [PMID: 35398462 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2022.03.032] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/30/2021] [Revised: 03/13/2022] [Accepted: 03/18/2022] [Indexed: 01/27/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS After hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance, the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains, and the optimal surveillance strategy has yet to be determined. Herein, we aimed to evaluate incidence and risk factors for HCC and establish a novel prediction model for HCC development after HBsAg seroclearance. METHODS A total of 1,443 patients with chronic hepatitis B who achieved HBsAg seroclearance between 1991 and 2020 were retrospectively screened for study eligibility. The data from 831 of these patients were included in the final analysis. A prediction model was developed based on multivariable Cox models. Harrell's C-index and a time-dependent AUROC were used for discrimination. Bootstrap analysis was performed for internal validation. RESULTS Overall, 40 patients (4.8%) developed HCC after HBsAg seroclearance during a follow-up of 4,644 person-years (0.86%/year). Age at HBsAg seroclearance, presence of cirrhosis, family history of HCC, and more-than-moderate alcohol consumption were independently predictive of HCC, and these 4 independent variables were used to develop the prediction model. The C-index of the model was 0.804. The time-dependent AUROCs of the score for HCC prediction at 5, 10, and 15 years were 0.799, 0.835, and 0.817, respectively. The score also showed good discrimination in the internal validation and sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSIONS The novel prediction model based on age, cirrhosis, family history of HCC, and alcohol consumption enables reliable risk estimation of HCC after HBsAg seroclearance and may serve as a useful reference for decision-making in HCC surveillance for HBsAg-cleared patients. LAY SUMMARY After spontaneous hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance, the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains. Age at HBsAg seroclearance, presence of cirrhosis, family history of HCC, and more-than-moderate alcohol consumption were independently associated with HCC development after HBsAg seroclearance. The novel prediction model using these 4 variables enables reliable risk estimation of HCC and serves as a useful reference for decision-making in HCC surveillance and management for HBsAg-cleared patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hyun Yang
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea; The Catholic University Liver Research Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Si Hyun Bae
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea; The Catholic University Liver Research Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Heechul Nam
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea; The Catholic University Liver Research Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Hae Lim Lee
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea; The Catholic University Liver Research Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Sung Won Lee
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea; The Catholic University Liver Research Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Sun Hong Yoo
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea; The Catholic University Liver Research Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Myeong Jun Song
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea; The Catholic University Liver Research Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jung Hyun Kwon
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea; The Catholic University Liver Research Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Soon Woo Nam
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea; The Catholic University Liver Research Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jong Young Choi
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea; The Catholic University Liver Research Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Seung Kew Yoon
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea; The Catholic University Liver Research Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jeong Won Jang
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea; The Catholic University Liver Research Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
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Moving Away From a One-Size-Fits-All Approach to Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance. Am J Gastroenterol 2022; 117:1409-1411. [PMID: 35973179 DOI: 10.14309/ajg.0000000000001897] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2022] [Accepted: 06/20/2022] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
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Comparative Performance of 14 HCC Prediction Models in CHB: A Dynamic Validation at Serial On-Treatment Timepoints. Am J Gastroenterol 2022; 117:1444-1453. [PMID: 35973147 DOI: 10.14309/ajg.0000000000001865] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/17/2021] [Accepted: 05/27/2022] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION To assess comparative performance of 14 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction models in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients using on-treatment values at different timepoints. METHODS Based on a nationwide prospective cohort of 986 treatment-naive CHB patients undergoing entecavir therapy with every 26-week follow-up, 14 HCC risk scores were calculated using on-treatment values at week 26, 52, 78, and 104, respectively. Model performance predicting 3-year HCC was assessed using time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration index. Model cutoffs were validated through common diagnostic accuracy measures. RESULTS During median 4.7-year follow-up, 56 (7.5%) developed HCC. Discrimination using on-treatment values within first 2 years was generally acceptable for most models (AUCs ranging from 0.68 to 0.81), except for REACH-B, NGM-HCC, and PAGE-B, although AUCs slightly decreased from week 26 to 104. Of these, REAL-B, CAMD, GAG-HCC, AASL-HCC, LSM-HCC, mPAGE-B, and mREACH-BII showed highest discrimination with AUCs ranging from 0.76 to 0.81, 0.72 to 0.76, 0.70 to 0.76, and 0.71 to 0.74 when reassessment at week 26, 52, 78, and 104, respectively. With reassessment within first 2 years, both REAL-B and CAMD calibrated well (Brier score ranging from 0.037 to 0.052). Of 9 models reporting cutoffs, REAL-B, AASL-HCC, and mPAGE-B using on-treatment values could identify 30%-40% of patients as low risk with minimal HCC incidence in the low-risk group (0.40% [REAL-B]-1.56% [mPAGE-B]). DISCUSSION In this undergoing antiviral treatment CHB cohort, most HCC prediction models performed well even using on-treatment values during first 2 years, particularly REAL-B, AASL-HCC, CAMD, and mPAGE-B model.
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Risk prediction models for hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients on antiviral therapy: A meta-analysis. Clin Res Hepatol Gastroenterol 2022; 46:101930. [PMID: 35460902 DOI: 10.1016/j.clinre.2022.101930] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2022] [Accepted: 04/11/2022] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS The risk prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is a challenge especially in the era of antiviral therapy. The aim of this meta-analysis was to comprehensively evaluate the performance of existing HCC prediction scores in HCC prediction on antivirals. METHODS We searched PubMed, Web of Science and Cochrane Library for relevant prospective studies from the inception to August 24, 2021. The areas under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROCs) and their relevant 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the risk prediction models were calculated. RESULTS Nine eligible articles with 21561 patients (HCC developed in 947patients, 4.39%; mean follow-up duration: 5 years) and 14 predictive risk scores were included. The pooled AUROC of all included scores for 3-year and 5-year prediction of HCC was 0.72 (95%CI 0.68-0.76) and 0.80 (95%CI 0.76-0.83), with the corresponding sensitivity of 0.84 (95% CI 0.71-0.92) and 0.91(95% CI 0.86-0.95) and specificity of 0.46 (95% CI 0.30-0.63) and 0.48 (95% CI 0.37-0.59), respectively. All the 14 prediction models, as a whole, performed well in different populations, whether they include factor cirrhotic status or not; while those integrated viral load were less accurate (sensitivity 0.78, specificity of 0.57). CONCLUSIONS In patients with CHB on antivirals, the scores included in our meta-analysis have been proven to be useful for mid-long term HCC prediction. Viral load seems not useful, whereas cirrhosis and its objective surrogates remain the predominant components. These models are expected to translate clinical benefits if used in complementarity with regular HCC surveillance.
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66
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Yoon EL, Jun DW. Precision medicine in the era of potent antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis B. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2022; 37:1191-1196. [PMID: 35430754 DOI: 10.1111/jgh.15856] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2022] [Accepted: 04/04/2022] [Indexed: 12/09/2022]
Abstract
With the wide use of potent and safe nucloes(t-)ide analogues (NAs) treatment, patient-centered care is getting important. Intensive care for comorbidity has gain utmost importance in care of aging chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with life-long antiviral treatment. Linkage to care of patients with CHB is essential for the goal of hepatitis B virus (HBV) eradication. As long-term suppression of HBV DNA replication does not prevent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), prevention of HCC is another challenge for NAs treatment. There is a possibility of hepatocarcinogenesis in the immune-tolerant phase and risk of loss of patients during active monitoring seeking the time point for antiviral treatment initiation. Initiation of NAs treatment from the immune-tolerant phase would improve the linkage to care. However, universal recommendation is premature and evidence for cost-effectiveness needs to be accumulated. Early initiation of NAs in the evidence of significant disease progression, either HBV associated or comorbidity associated, would be a better strategy to reduce the risk of HCC in patients located in the gray zone.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eileen L Yoon
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Dae Won Jun
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
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Fang ZE, Guo Y, Wang Z, He T, Wang J, Bai Z, Xiao X. Asari Radix et Rhizoma consumption lacks relevance for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients: A retrospective cohort study. CHINESE HERBAL MEDICINES 2022; 14:470-475. [PMID: 36117998 PMCID: PMC9476760 DOI: 10.1016/j.chmed.2022.01.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2021] [Revised: 01/17/2022] [Accepted: 01/25/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective Although some studies have linked Asari Radix et Rhizoma (Asari Radix) administration to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), few studies have examined the association between the development of HCC and use of Asari Radix among patients in mainland China. This study aimed to evaluate the real-world association between Asari Radix and HCC in patients to strengthen the understanding of Asari Radix safety. Methods A retrospective cohort study among hepatitis B virus (HBV)-monoinfected patients and non-HBV-monoinfected patients were performed. Patients over 18 years of age were eligible for inclusion. Prescription records of inpatients and outpatients were inquired to distinguish Asari Radix users and nonusers. The risk of developing HCC among Asari Radix users and nonusers in the HBV cohort and the non-HBV cohort was analyzed. Results There were 49 500 HBV and 133 148 non-HBV patients involved in the two cohorts. Among HBV patients (2 901 users; 46 599 nonusers), the prevalence of HCC in Asari Radix users was lower than that in nonusers (145.70 vs. 265.43 per 105). Among non-HBV patients (5 042 users; 128 106 nonusers), the prevalence of HCC in Asari Radix users was lower than that in nonusers (81.62 vs. 134.11 per 105). None of the hazard ratios (HRs) of Asari Radix exposure ranging from 1 g to 200 g in the two cohorts showed correlation between Asari Radix exposure and hepatocarcinogenesis. Conclusion An obvious irrelevancy was found between the consumption of Asari Radix and HCC development both in patients with and in those without HBV infection. Use of Asari Radix under 200 g appears safe in terms of HCC risk in the Chinese population; further prospective studies are needed to confirm our results.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhi-e Fang
- Department of Hepatology, Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
- China Military Institute of Chinese Materia, Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
| | - Yuming Guo
- Department of Hepatology, Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
- China Military Institute of Chinese Materia, Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
| | - Zhilei Wang
- Department of Hepatology, Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
- China Military Institute of Chinese Materia, Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
| | - Tingting He
- Department of Hepatology, Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
- China Military Institute of Chinese Materia, Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
| | - Jiabo Wang
- Department of Hepatology, Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
- China Military Institute of Chinese Materia, Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
| | - Zhaofang Bai
- Department of Hepatology, Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
- China Military Institute of Chinese Materia, Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
| | - Xiaohe Xiao
- Department of Hepatology, Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
- China Military Institute of Chinese Materia, Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
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Huang Y, Chen L, Huang R, Zhu C, Shang J, Qian Y, Lian J, Liu L, Jiang J, Liu C, Gui H, Xie Q. Tenofovir is superior to entecavir in reducing HCC for patients with HBV-related compensated cirrhosis at high HCC risk scores. Ther Adv Chronic Dis 2022; 13:20406223221102791. [PMID: 35757781 PMCID: PMC9218453 DOI: 10.1177/20406223221102791] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/26/2022] [Accepted: 04/28/2022] [Indexed: 12/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Both tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) and entecavir (ETV) are known to reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This study aimed to compare the difference in HCC risk reduction between TDF and ETV in treatment-naïve patients with CHB-related compensated cirrhosis. Methods: Patients with compensated cirrhosis initially treated with TDF or ETV at nine Chinese hospitals between June 2014 and March 2021 were enrolled in this retrospective study. The cumulative HCC incidence rates for the two drugs were compared for the entire cohort, and a subgroup analysis was performed according to the HCC risk scores. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to control confounding biases. Results: The analysis included 1453 patients (TDF group, n = 188; ETV group, n = 1265). Ninety-five patients developed HCC, with a median follow-up period of 26.1 months. The 3-year HCC incidence was 2.0% in the TDF group and 7.5% in the ETV group (log-rank p = 0.005). TDF treatment was associated with a lower risk of HCC than ETV treatment [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.222, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.070–0.702, p = 0.010] but was similar after PSM (HR = 0.483, 95% CI, 0.144–1.626, p = 0.240; log-rank p = 0.230). However, subgroup analysis showed that the cumulative HCC incidence was lower in the TDF group than in the ETV group among patients with a modified PAGE-B score (mPAGE-B) ⩾9, either before or after PSM (log-rank p = 0.048 and p = 0.023, respectively). Conclusion: Among patients with an mPAGE-B score ⩾9, TDF is associated with a lower HCC incidence than ETV in patients with CHB-related compensated cirrhosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yan Huang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Lichang Chen
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Rui Huang
- Department of Infectious Disease, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Chuanwu Zhu
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The Affiliated Infectious Diseases Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China
| | - Jia Shang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Yunsong Qian
- Department of Hepatology, HwaMei Hospital, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Ningbo, China
| | - Jianqi Lian
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Tangdu Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xian, China
| | - Longgen Liu
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The Third People's Hospital of Changzhou, Changzhou, China
| | - Jianning Jiang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China
| | - Chenghai Liu
- Institute of Liver Diseases, Shuguang Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai 201203, China
| | - Honglian Gui
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China
| | - Qing Xie
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China
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Stella L, Santopaolo F, Gasbarrini A, Pompili M, Ponziani FR. Viral hepatitis and hepatocellular carcinoma: From molecular pathways to the role of clinical surveillance and antiviral treatment. World J Gastroenterol 2022; 28:2251-2281. [PMID: 35800182 PMCID: PMC9185215 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v28.i21.2251] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2021] [Revised: 12/08/2021] [Accepted: 04/26/2022] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a global health challenge. Due to the high prevalence in low-income countries, hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus infections remain the main risk factors for HCC occurrence, despite the increasing frequencies of non-viral etiologies. In addition, hepatitis D virus coinfection increases the oncogenic risk in patients with HBV infection. The molecular processes underlying HCC development are complex and various, either independent from liver disease etiology or etiology-related. The reciprocal interlinkage among non-viral and viral risk factors, the damaged cellular microenvironment, the dysregulation of the immune system and the alteration of gut-liver-axis are known to participate in liver cancer induction and progression. Oncogenic mechanisms and pathways change throughout the natural history of viral hepatitis with the worsening of liver fibrosis. The high risk of cancer incidence in chronic viral hepatitis infected patients compared to other liver disease etiologies makes it necessary to implement a proper surveillance, both through clinical-biochemical scores and periodic ultrasound assessment. This review aims to outline viral and microenvironmental factors contributing to HCC occurrence in patients with chronic viral hepatitis and to point out the importance of surveillance programs recommended by international guidelines to promote early diagnosis of HCC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Leonardo Stella
- Internal Medicine and Gastroenterology, Hepatology Unit, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome 00168, Italy
| | - Francesco Santopaolo
- Internal Medicine and Gastroenterology, Hepatology Unit, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome 00168, Italy
| | - Antonio Gasbarrini
- Internal Medicine and Gastroenterology, Hepatology Unit, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome 00168, Italy
| | - Maurizio Pompili
- Internal Medicine and Gastroenterology, Hepatology Unit, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome 00168, Italy
| | - Francesca Romana Ponziani
- Internal Medicine and Gastroenterology, Hepatology Unit, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome 00168, Italy
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Jang H, Yoon JS, Park SY, Lee HA, Jang MJ, Kim SU, Sinn DH, Seo YS, Kim HY, Kim SE, Jun DW, Yoon EL, Sohn JH, Ahn SB, Shim JJ, Jeong SW, Cho YK, Kim HS, Nam JY, Lee YB, Kim YJ, Yoon JH, Zoulim F, Lampertico P, Dalekos GN, Idilman R, Sypsa V, Berg T, Buti M, Calleja JL, Goulis J, Manolakopoulos S, Janssen HLA, Papatheodoridis GV, Lee JH. Impact of HBeAg on Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk During Oral Antiviral Treatment in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2022; 20:1343-1353.e16. [PMID: 34500103 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2021.09.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/07/2021] [Revised: 08/30/2021] [Accepted: 09/01/2021] [Indexed: 01/25/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Antiviral treatment from hepatitis B envelope antigen (HBeAg)-positive status may attenuate the integration of hepatitis B virus DNA into the host genome causing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We investigated the impact of HBeAg status at the onset of antiviral treatment on the risk of HCC. METHODS The incidence of HCC was evaluated in Korean patients with chronic hepatitis B who started entecavir or tenofovir in either HBeAg-positive or HBeAg-negative phase. The results in the Korean cohort were validated in a Caucasian PAGE-B cohort. RESULTS A total of 9143 Korean patients (mean age, 49.2 years) were included: 49.1% were HBeAg-positive and 49.2% had cirrhosis. During follow-up (median, 5.1 years), 916 patients (10.0%) developed HCC. Baseline HBeAg positivity was not associated with the risk of HCC in the entire cohort or cirrhotic subcohort. However, in the non-cirrhotic subcohort, HBeAg positivity was independently associated with a lower risk of HCC in multivariable (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.41; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.26-0.66), propensity score-matching (aHR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.28-0.76), and inverse probability weighting analyses (aHR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.28-0.70). In the Caucasian cohort (n = 719; mean age, 51.8 years; HBeAg-positive, 20.3%; cirrhosis, 34.8%), HBeAg-positivity was not associated with the risk of HCC either in the entire cohort or cirrhotic subcohort. In the non-cirrhotic subcohort, none of the HBeAg-positive group developed HCC, although the difference failed to reach statistical significance (aHR, 0.21; 95% CI, 0.00-1.67). CONCLUSIONS This multinational cohort study implies that HBeAg positivity at the onset of antiviral treatment seems to be an independent factor associated with a lower risk of HCC in patients with chronic hepatitis B without cirrhosis, but not in those with cirrhosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Heejoon Jang
- Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul Metropolitan Government Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jun Sik Yoon
- Department of Internal Medicine, Busan Paik Hospital, Inje University College of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
| | - Soo Young Park
- Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Kyungpook National University, Kyungpook National University Hospital, Daegu, Republic of Korea
| | - Han Ah Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University Anam Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Internal Medicine, Sanggye Paik Hospital, Inje University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Myoung-Jin Jang
- Medical Research Collaboration Center, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Seung Up Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine and Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Dong Hyun Sinn
- Department of Internal Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Yeon Seok Seo
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University Anam Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Hwi Young Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Sung Eun Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hallym University Sacred Heart Hospital, Hallym University College of Medicine, Anyang-si, Republic of Korea
| | - Dae Won Jun
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hanyang University Hospital, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Eileen L Yoon
- Department of Internal Medicine, Sanggye Paik Hospital, Inje University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Internal Medicine, Hanyang University Hospital, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Joo Hyun Sohn
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hanyang University Guri Hospital, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Guri-si, Republic of Korea
| | - Sang Bong Ahn
- Department of Internal Medicine, Nowon Eulji Medical Center, Eulji University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jae-Jun Shim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Kyung Hee University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Soung Won Jeong
- Department of Internal Medicine, Soonchunhyang University College of Medicine, Soonchunhyang University Seoul Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Yong Kyun Cho
- Department of Internal Medicine, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Hyoung Su Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Kangdong Sacred Heart Hospital, Hallym University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Joon Yeul Nam
- Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Yun Bin Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Yoon Jun Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jung-Hwan Yoon
- Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Fabien Zoulim
- Cancer Research Centre of Lyon, INSERM U, Lyon University, Hospices Civils de Lyon, Lyon, France
| | - Pietro Lampertico
- Foundation IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Milan, Italy; CRC "A. M. and A. Migliavacca" Center for Liver Disease, Department of Pathophysiology and Transplantation, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
| | - George N Dalekos
- Department of Medicine and Research Laboratory of Internal Medicine, National Expertise Center of Greece in Autoimmune Liver Diseases, General University Hospital of Larissa, Larissa, Greece
| | - Ramazan Idilman
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ankara University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Vana Sypsa
- Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School of National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
| | - Thomas Berg
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Medicine II, Leipzig University Medical Center, Leipzig, Germany
| | - Maria Buti
- Hospital General Universitario Vall Hebron and Ciberehd, Barcelona, Spain
| | | | - John Goulis
- The Department of Internal Medicine, Αristotle University of Thessaloniki Medical School, General Hospital of Thessaloniki "Hippokratio", Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Spilios Manolakopoulos
- Second Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School of National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, General Hospital of Athens "Hippokratio", Athens, Greece
| | - Harry LA Janssen
- Liver Clinic, Toronto Western and General Hospital, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - George V Papatheodoridis
- Department of Gastroenterology, Medical School of National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, General Hospital of Athens "Laiko", Athens, Greece.
| | - Jeong-Hoon Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
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Poynard T, Lacombe JM, Deckmyn O, Peta V, Akhavan S, Zoulim F, de Ledinghen V, Samuel D, Mathurin P, Ratziu V, Thabut D, Housset C, Fontaine H, Pol S, Carrat F. External Validation of LCR1-LCR2, a Multivariable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk Calculator, in a Multiethnic Cohort of Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B. GASTRO HEP ADVANCES 2022; 1:604-617. [PMID: 39132068 PMCID: PMC11308549 DOI: 10.1016/j.gastha.2022.02.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2022] [Accepted: 02/09/2022] [Indexed: 08/13/2024]
Abstract
Background and Aims The liver cancer risk test (LCR1-LCR2) is a multianalyte blood test combining proteins involved in liver cell repair (apolipoprotein A1, haptoglobin), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk factors (gender, age, gamma glutamyl transpeptidase), a marker of fibrosis (alpha2-macroglobulin), and alpha-fetoprotein, a specific marker of HCC. The aim was to externally validate LCR1-LCR2 in hepatitis B. Methods Preincluded patients were from the Hepather cohort, a multicenter, multiethnic prospective study in 6071 patients. The coprimary study outcome was the negative predictive value of LCR1-LCR2 at 5 years for the occurrence of HCC and survival without HCC according to the predetermined LCR1-LCR2 cutoffs, adjusted for risk covariables and for chronic hepatitis B treatment and quantified using time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models. A post hoc analysis compared the number of patients needed to screen one cancer by LCR1-LCR2 and PAGE-B. Results A total of 3520 patients, 191 (5.4%) with cirrhosis, with at least 1 year of follow-up were included. A total of 76 HCCs occurred over a median (interquartile range) of 6.0 years (4.8-7.3) of follow-up. Among the 3367 patients with low-risk LCR1-LCR2, the 5-year negative predictive value was 99.3% (95% confidence interval = 99.0-99.6), with a significant Cox hazard ratio (6.4, 3.1-13.0; P < .001) obtained after adjustment for exposure to antivirals, age, gender, geographical origin, HBe-Ag status, alcohol consumption, and type-2 diabetes. LCR1-LCR2 outperformed PAGE-B for number of patients needed to screen mean (95% CI), 8.5 (3.2-8.1) vs 26.3 (17.5-38.5; P < .0001), respectively. Conclusion The performance of LCR1-LCR2 to identify patients with chronic hepatitis B at very low risk of HCC at 5 years was externally validated. ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01953458.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thierry Poynard
- Department of Hepato-Gastroenterology, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP), Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital, Paris, France
- INSERM, Centre de Recherche Saint-Antoine (CRSA), Institute of Cardiometabolism and Nutrition (ICAN), Sorbonne Université, Paris, France
| | - Jean Marc Lacombe
- INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'Épidémiologie et de Santé Publique, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France
| | | | - Valentina Peta
- INSERM, Centre de Recherche Saint-Antoine (CRSA), Institute of Cardiometabolism and Nutrition (ICAN), Sorbonne Université, Paris, France
- Research Unit, BioPredictive, Paris, France
| | - Sepideh Akhavan
- Department of Hepato-Gastroenterology, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP), Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital, Paris, France
| | - Fabien Zoulim
- Hepatology Unit Hôpital Haut-Lévêque, Pessac, and INSERM U1053, Université Bordeaux Segalen, Bordeaux, France
| | - Victor de Ledinghen
- Department of Hepatology, Hospices civils de Lyon, Hôpital Croix Rousse, INSERM U1052, Université de Lyon, Lyon, France
| | - Didier Samuel
- Hepatology Department, AP-HP, Hospital Paul Brousse, UMR-S1193, Villejuif, Université Paris-Saclay, and Hepatinov, Villejuif, France
| | | | - Vlad Ratziu
- Department of Hepato-Gastroenterology, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP), Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital, Paris, France
- INSERM, Centre de Recherche Saint-Antoine (CRSA), Institute of Cardiometabolism and Nutrition (ICAN), Sorbonne Université, Paris, France
| | - Dominique Thabut
- Department of Hepato-Gastroenterology, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP), Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital, Paris, France
- INSERM, Centre de Recherche Saint-Antoine (CRSA), Institute of Cardiometabolism and Nutrition (ICAN), Sorbonne Université, Paris, France
| | - Chantal Housset
- INSERM, Centre de Recherche Saint-Antoine (CRSA), Institute of Cardiometabolism and Nutrition (ICAN), Sorbonne Université, Paris, France
| | - Hélène Fontaine
- Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP), Department of Hepato-Gastroenterology, AP-HP, Hôpital Cochin, Hepatology Department, Paris, France
| | - Stanislas Pol
- Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP), Department of Hepato-Gastroenterology, AP-HP, Hôpital Cochin, Hepatology Department, Paris, France
| | - Fabrice Carrat
- INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'Épidémiologie et de Santé Publique, Sorbonne Université, Paris, France
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Rattananukrom C, Kitiyakara T. Comparison between using hepatocellular carcinoma (
HCC
) risk scores and the
HCC
national guideline to identify high‐risk chronic hepatitis B patients for
HCC
surveillance in Thailand. JGH Open 2022; 6:408-420. [PMID: 35774347 PMCID: PMC9218522 DOI: 10.1002/jgh3.12753] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2022] [Revised: 04/20/2022] [Accepted: 04/25/2022] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Chitchai Rattananukrom
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Srinagarind Hospital Khon Kaen University Khon Kaen Thailand
| | - Taya Kitiyakara
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Ramathibodi Hospital Mahidol University Bangkok Thailand
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73
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Hepatitis B Virus-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma. Viruses 2022; 14:v14050986. [PMID: 35632728 PMCID: PMC9146458 DOI: 10.3390/v14050986] [Citation(s) in RCA: 50] [Impact Index Per Article: 25.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/04/2022] [Revised: 05/02/2022] [Accepted: 05/03/2022] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is DNA-based virus, member of the Hepadnaviridae family, which can cause liver disease and increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in infected individuals, replicating within the hepatocytes and interacting with several cellular proteins. Chronic hepatitis B can progressively lead to liver cirrhosis, which is an independent risk factor for HCC. Complications as liver decompensation or HCC impact the survival of HBV patients and concurrent HDV infection worsens the disease. The available data provide evidence that HBV infection is associated with the risk of developing HCC with or without an underlying liver cirrhosis, due to various direct and indirect mechanisms promoting hepatocarcinogenesis. The molecular profile of HBV-HCC is extensively and continuously under study, and it is the result of altered molecular pathways, which modify the microenvironment and lead to DNA damage. HBV produces the protein HBx, which has a central role in the oncogenetic process. Furthermore, the molecular profile of HBV-HCC was recently discerned from that of HDV-HCC, despite the obligatory dependence of HDV on HBV. Proper management of the underlying HBV-related liver disease is fundamental, including HCC surveillance, viral suppression, and application of adequate predictive models. When HBV-HCC occurs, liver function and HCC characteristics guide the physician among treatment strategies but always considering the viral etiology in the treatment choice.
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74
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Non-Achievement of Alanine Aminotransferase Normalization Associated with the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma during Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapies: A Multicenter Retrospective Study. J Clin Med 2022; 11:jcm11092354. [PMID: 35566481 PMCID: PMC9101732 DOI: 10.3390/jcm11092354] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/12/2022] [Revised: 04/19/2022] [Accepted: 04/20/2022] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Patients with a chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection who are treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) are still at risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and it has been clinically questioned whether patients with a high risk of HCC can be identified efficiently. We aimed to clarify the risk factors associated with the development of HCC during NA therapies. A total of 611 chronically HBV-infected patients without a history of HCC, who were treated with NAs for more than 6 months (median 72 months), from 2000 to 2021, were included from 16 hospitals in the Tohoku district in Japan. Incidences of HCC occurrence were analyzed with clinical factors, including on-treatment responses. Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) normalization, based on the criteria of three guidelines, was analyzed with other parameters, including the age−male−ALBI−platelets (aMAP) risk score. During the observation period, 48 patients developed HCC, and the cumulative HCC incidence was 10.6% at 10 years. Non-achievement of ALT normalization at 1 year of therapy was mostly associated with HCC development when ALT ≤ 30 U/L was used as the cut-off (cumulative incidence, 19.9% vs. 5.3% at 10 years, p < 0.001). The effectiveness of the aMAP risk score at the start of treatment was validated in this cohort. A combination of an aMAP risk score ≥ 50 and non-achievement of ALT normalization could stratify the risk of HCC significantly, and notably, there was no HCC development in 103 patients without these 2 factors. In conclusion, non-achievement of ALT normalization (≤30 U/L) at 1 year might be useful in predicting HCC during NA therapies and, in combination with the aMAP risk score, could stratify the risk more precisely.
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75
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KASL clinical practice guidelines for management of chronic hepatitis B. Clin Mol Hepatol 2022; 28:276-331. [PMID: 35430783 PMCID: PMC9013624 DOI: 10.3350/cmh.2022.0084] [Citation(s) in RCA: 40] [Impact Index Per Article: 20.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2022] [Accepted: 04/01/2022] [Indexed: 01/10/2023] Open
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Predictive Performance of CAGE-B and SAGE-B Models in Asian Treatment-Naive Patients Who Started Entecavir for Chronic Hepatitis B. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2022; 20:e794-e807. [PMID: 34091048 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2021.06.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2020] [Revised: 05/31/2021] [Accepted: 06/01/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Cirrhosis and age (CAGE-B) and stiffness and age (SAGE-B) models assess the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in white patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) undergoing sustained antiviral therapy (AVT). Herein, we checked the predictive performance of these models in Asian patients with CHB. METHODS We reviewed 734 treatment-naive patients with CHB who started entecavir between 2006 and 2011 and were followed up for more than 5 years without HCC development during AVT. The predictive performance of CAGE-B and SAGE-B models was calculated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs). RESULTS Median liver stiffness assessed using transient elastography after 5 years of AVT was 6.8 kPa. Median CAGE-B and SAGE-B models after 5 years of AVT were 7.0 and 6.0, respectively. More than 5 years after AVT initiation, 66 patients (9.0%) developed HCC. The AUROCs of the CAGE-B and SAGE-B models were 0.764 and 0.785 after 7 years and 0.799 and 0.802 after 10 years of AVT, respectively. The cumulative incidence of HCC was significantly higher in the high-risk groups according to CAGE-B and SAGE-B risk stratification than in the medium- and low-risk groups (P < .05 in all cases). The SAGE-B model showed a higher likelihood ratio (χ2) (76.2 vs 71.4) and linear trend (χ2) (74.1 vs 58.6) than the CAGE-B model, whereas the CAGE-B model showed higher Akaike information criteria (64.3 vs 50.3). CONCLUSIONS Both SAGE-B and CAGE-B showed acceptable performance in predicting HCC after 5 years of AVT in Asian patients with CHB.
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Choi WM, Kim GA, Choi J, Han S, Lim YS. Increasing on-treatment hepatocellular carcinoma risk with decreasing baseline viral load in HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B. J Clin Invest 2022; 132:154833. [PMID: 35358094 PMCID: PMC9106348 DOI: 10.1172/jci154833] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/07/2021] [Accepted: 03/28/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND It is unclear whether the level of serum hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA at baseline affects the on-treatment risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in hepatitis B e antigen–positive (HBeAg-positive), noncirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). METHODS We conducted a multicenter cohort study including 2073 entecavir- or tenofovir-treated, HBeAg-positive, noncirrhotic adult CHB patients with baseline HBV DNA levels of 5.00 log10 IU/mL or higher at 3 centers in South Korea between January 2007 and December 2016. We evaluated the on-treatment incidence rate of HCC according to baseline HBV DNA levels. RESULTS During a median 5.7 years of continuous antiviral treatment, 47 patients developed HCC (0.39 per 100 person-years). By Kaplan-Meier analysis, the risk of HCC was lowest in patients with baseline HBV DNA levels of 8.00 log10 IU/mL or higher, increased incrementally with decreasing viral load, and was highest in those with HBV DNA levels of 5.00–5.99 log10 IU/mL (P < 0.001). By multivariable analysis, the baseline HBV DNA level was an independent factor that was inversely associated with HCC risk. Compared with HBV DNA levels of 8.00 log10 IU/mL or higher, the adjusted HRs for HCC risk with HBV DNA levels of 7.00–7.99 log10 IU/mL, 6.00–6.99 log10 IU/mL, or 5.00–5.99 log10 IU/mL were 2.48 (P = 0.03), 3.69 (P = 0.002), and 6.10 (P < 0.001), respectively. CONCLUSION On-treatment HCC risk increased incrementally with decreasing baseline HBV DNA levels in the range of 5.00 log10 IU/mL or higher in HBeAg-positive, noncirrhotic adult patients with CHB. Early initiation of antiviral treatment when the viral load is high (≥8.00 log10 IU/mL) may maintain the lowest risk of HCC for those patients. FUNDING Patient-Centered Clinical Research Coordinating Center (PACEN) (grant no. HC20C0062) of the National Evidence-based Healthcare Collaborating Agency; National R&D Program for Cancer Control through the National Cancer Center (grant no. HA21C0110), Ministry of Health and Welfare, South Korea.
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Affiliation(s)
- Won-Mook Choi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea, Republic of
| | - Gi-Ae Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Kyung Hee University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea, Republic of
| | - Jonggi Choi
- Department of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea, Republic of
| | - Seungbong Han
- Department of Biostatistics, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea, Republic of
| | - Young-Suk Lim
- Department of Gastroenterology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea, Republic of
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Costa APDM, da Silva MACN, Castro RS, Sampaio ALDO, Alencar Júnior AM, da Silva MC, Ferreira ADSP. PAGE-B and REACH-B Predicts the Risk of Developing Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients from Northeast, Brazil. Viruses 2022; 14:v14040732. [PMID: 35458462 PMCID: PMC9033073 DOI: 10.3390/v14040732] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2022] [Revised: 03/25/2022] [Accepted: 03/29/2022] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
This study aims to evaluate the accuracy of the PAGE-B and REACH-B scores in predicting the risk of developing HCC in patients with chronic hepatitis B regularly followed up at a reference service in the State of Maranhão. A historical, longitudinal, retrospective cohort study, carried out from the review of medical records of patients with chronic Hepatitis B. PAGE-B and REACH-B scores were calculated and the accuracy of the scores in predicting the risk of HCC in the studied population was evaluated. A total of 978 patients were included, with a median age of around 47 years, most of them female and not cirrhotic. HCC was identified in 34 patients. Thrombocytopenia, high viral load, male gender and age were associated with the occurrence of HCC. The ROC curve for the PAGE-B score showed a value of 0.78 and for the REACH-B score of 0.79. The cutoff point for PAGE-B was 11 points for greater sensitivity and for REACH-B 7.5 points considering greater sensitivity and 9.5 points considering greater specificity. PAGE-B and REACH-B scores were able to predict the risk of developing HCC in the studied population. The use of risk stratification scores is useful to reduce costs associated with HCC screening.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alessandra Porto de Macedo Costa
- Center for Liver Studies, University Hospital of the Federal University of Maranhão, Saint Louis CEP 65020-070, MA, Brazil; (A.P.d.M.C.); (R.S.C.); (A.L.d.O.S.); (A.M.A.J.)
| | | | - Rogério Soares Castro
- Center for Liver Studies, University Hospital of the Federal University of Maranhão, Saint Louis CEP 65020-070, MA, Brazil; (A.P.d.M.C.); (R.S.C.); (A.L.d.O.S.); (A.M.A.J.)
| | - Ana Leatrice de Oliveira Sampaio
- Center for Liver Studies, University Hospital of the Federal University of Maranhão, Saint Louis CEP 65020-070, MA, Brazil; (A.P.d.M.C.); (R.S.C.); (A.L.d.O.S.); (A.M.A.J.)
| | - Antônio Machado Alencar Júnior
- Center for Liver Studies, University Hospital of the Federal University of Maranhão, Saint Louis CEP 65020-070, MA, Brazil; (A.P.d.M.C.); (R.S.C.); (A.L.d.O.S.); (A.M.A.J.)
| | - Márcia Costa da Silva
- Epidemiological Surveillance Service, State Health Department, Saint Louis CEP 65076-820, MA, Brazil;
| | - Adalgisa de Souza Paiva Ferreira
- Center for Liver Studies, University Hospital of the Federal University of Maranhão, Saint Louis CEP 65020-070, MA, Brazil; (A.P.d.M.C.); (R.S.C.); (A.L.d.O.S.); (A.M.A.J.)
- Correspondence: (M.A.C.N.d.S.); (A.d.S.P.F.)
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Kubota N, Fujiwara N, Hoshida Y. Liver cancer risk-predictive molecular biomarkers specific to clinico-epidemiological contexts. Adv Cancer Res 2022; 156:1-37. [PMID: 35961696 PMCID: PMC7616039 DOI: 10.1016/bs.acr.2022.01.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk prediction is increasingly important because of the low annual HCC incidence in patients with the rapidly emerging non-alcoholic fatty liver disease or cured HCV infection. To date, numerous clinical HCC risk biomarkers and scores have been reported in literature. However, heterogeneity in clinico-epidemiological context, e.g., liver disease etiology, patient race/ethnicity, regional environmental exposure, and lifestyle-related factors, obscure their real clinical utility and applicability. Proper characterization of these factors will help refine HCC risk prediction according to certain clinical context/scenarios and contribute to improved early HCC detection. Molecular factors underlying the clinical heterogeneity encompass various features in host genetics, hepatic and systemic molecular dysregulations, and cross-organ interactions, which may serve as clinical-context-specific biomarkers and/or therapeutic targets. Toward the goal to enable individual-risk-based HCC screening by incorporating the HCC risk biomarkers/scores, their assessment in patient with well-defined clinical context/scenario is critical to gauge their real value and to maximize benefit of the tailored patient management for substantial improvement of the poor HCC prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Naoto Kubota
- Liver Tumor Translational Research Program, Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center, Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, United States
| | - Naoto Fujiwara
- Liver Tumor Translational Research Program, Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center, Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, United States; Department of Gastroenterology, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yujin Hoshida
- Liver Tumor Translational Research Program, Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center, Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, United States.
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Yilma M, Saxena V, Mehta N. Models to Predict Development or Recurence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) in Patients with Advanced Hepatic Fibrosis. Curr Gastroenterol Rep 2022; 24:1-9. [PMID: 35142988 PMCID: PMC8891098 DOI: 10.1007/s11894-022-00835-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
Purpose of Review Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third leading cause of cancer-related death in the United States (U.S.).1 The purpose of this review is to highlight published models that predict development of HCC and estimate risk of HCC recurrence after treatments. Recent Findings There have been several models created for both de novo HCC and HCC recurrence, with the more recent models using a combination of age, sex, decompensation, and laboratory values (platelet count, albumin, bilirubin), and liver disease etiology to predict both 5 and 10-year HCC incidence. For chronic hepatitis C, sustained virologic response has been a useful component of understanding HCC risk reduction. BMI and diabetes have been utilized in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) models to predict HCC risk. For HCC recurrence after treatment (for both surgical resection and liver transplant), tumor size and number, vascular invasion, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) are all components of HCC recurrence risk models. Summary Although numerous HCC risk prediction models have been established over the last several years, challenges remain including how to best incorporate these models into clinical practice, improve surveillance for NAFLD-HCC development, and determine timing and duration of post-resection recurrence surveillance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mignote Yilma
- Department of Surgery, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Varun Saxena
- Department of Gastroenterology and Transplant Hepatology, Kaiser Permanente South San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Neil Mehta
- Division of Gastroenterology, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
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Kim HY, Lampertico P, Nam JY, Lee HC, Kim SU, Sinn DH, Seo YS, Lee HA, Park SY, Lim YS, Jang ES, Yoon EL, Kim HS, Kim SE, Ahn SB, Shim JJ, Jeong SW, Jung YJ, Sohn JH, Cho YK, Jun DW, Dalekos GN, Idilman R, Sypsa V, Berg T, Buti M, Calleja JL, Goulis J, Manolakopoulos S, Janssen HLA, Jang MJ, Lee YB, Kim YJ, Yoon JH, Papatheodoridis GV, Lee JH. An artificial intelligence model to predict hepatocellular carcinoma risk in Korean and Caucasian patients with chronic hepatitis B. J Hepatol 2022; 76:311-318. [PMID: 34606915 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2021.09.025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 47] [Impact Index Per Article: 23.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/27/2021] [Revised: 09/13/2021] [Accepted: 09/15/2021] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Several models have recently been developed to predict risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Our aims were to develop and validate an artificial intelligence-assisted prediction model of HCC risk. METHODS Using a gradient-boosting machine (GBM) algorithm, a model was developed using 6,051 patients with CHB who received entecavir or tenofovir therapy from 4 hospitals in Korea. Two external validation cohorts were independently established: Korean (5,817 patients from 14 Korean centers) and Caucasian (1,640 from 11 Western centers) PAGE-B cohorts. The primary outcome was HCC development. RESULTS In the derivation cohort and the 2 validation cohorts, cirrhosis was present in 26.9%-50.2% of patients at baseline. A model using 10 parameters at baseline was derived and showed good predictive performance (c-index 0.79). This model showed significantly better discrimination than previous models (PAGE-B, modified PAGE-B, REACH-B, and CU-HCC) in both the Korean (c-index 0.79 vs. 0.64-0.74; all p <0.001) and Caucasian validation cohorts (c-index 0.81 vs. 0.57-0.79; all p <0.05 except modified PAGE-B, p = 0.42). A calibration plot showed a satisfactory calibration function. When the patients were grouped into 4 risk groups, the minimal-risk group (11.2% of the Korean cohort and 8.8% of the Caucasian cohort) had a less than 0.5% risk of HCC during 8 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS This GBM-based model provides the best predictive power for HCC risk in Korean and Caucasian patients with CHB treated with entecavir or tenofovir. LAY SUMMARY Risk scores have been developed to predict the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B. We developed and validated a new risk prediction model using machine learning algorithms in 13,508 antiviral-treated patients with chronic hepatitis B. Our new model, based on 10 common baseline characteristics, demonstrated superior performance in risk stratification compared with previous risk scores. This model also identified a group of patients at minimal risk of developing HCC, who could be indicated for less intensive HCC surveillance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hwi Young Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Pietro Lampertico
- Foundation IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Milan, Italy; CRC "A. M. and A. Migliavacca" Center for Liver Disease, Department of Pathophysiology and Transplantation, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
| | - Joon Yeul Nam
- Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Hyung-Chul Lee
- Department of Anesthesiology, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Seung Up Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine and Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Dong Hyun Sinn
- Department of Internal Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Yeon Seok Seo
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University Anam Hospital, Korea University College, Republic of Korea
| | - Han Ah Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University Anam Hospital, Korea University College, Republic of Korea; Department of Internal Medicine, Sanggye Paik Hospital, Inje University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Soo Young Park
- Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Kyungpook National University, Kyungpook National University Hospital, Daegu, Republic of Korea
| | - Young-Suk Lim
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Asan Medical Centre, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Eun Sun Jang
- Departments of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Republic of Korea
| | - Eileen L Yoon
- Department of Internal Medicine, Sanggye Paik Hospital, Inje University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Internal Medicine, Hanyang University Hospital, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Hyoung Su Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Kangdong Sacred Heart Hospital, Hallym University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Sung Eun Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hallym University Sacred Heart Hospital, Hallym University College of Medicine, Anyang-si, Republic of Korea
| | - Sang Bong Ahn
- Department of Internal Medicine, Nowon Eulji Medical Center, Eulji University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jae-Jun Shim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Kyung Hee University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Soung Won Jeong
- Department of Internal Medicine, Soonchunhyang University College of Medicine, Soonchunhyang University Seoul Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Yong Jin Jung
- Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul Metropolitan Government Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Republic of Korea
| | - Joo Hyun Sohn
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hanyang University Guri Hospital, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Guri-si, Republic of Korea
| | - Yong Kyun Cho
- Department of Internal Medicine, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Dae Won Jun
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hanyang University Hospital, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - George N Dalekos
- Department of Medicine and Research Laboratory of Internal Medicine, National Expertise Center of Greece in Autoimmune Liver Diseases, General University Hospital of Larissa, Larissa, Greece
| | - Ramazan Idilman
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ankara University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Vana Sypsa
- Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology & Medical Statistics, Medical School of National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
| | - Thomas Berg
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Medicine II, Leipzig University Medical Center, Leipzig, Germany
| | - Maria Buti
- Hospital General Universitario Vall Hebron and Ciberehd, Barcelona, Spain
| | | | - John Goulis
- 4th Department of Internal Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki Medical School, General Hospital of Thessaloniki "Hippokratio", Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Spilios Manolakopoulos
- 2nd Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School of National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, General Hospital of Athens "Hippokratio", Athens, Greece
| | - Harry L A Janssen
- Liver Clinic, Toronto Western & General Hospital, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Myoung-Jin Jang
- Medical Research Collaboration Center, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Yun Bin Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Yoon Jun Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Jung-Hwan Yoon
- Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - George V Papatheodoridis
- Department of Gastroenterology, Medical School of National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, General Hospital of Athens "Laiko", Athens, Greece.
| | - Jeong-Hoon Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine and Liver Research Institute, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
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Comparative performance of risk prediction models for hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma in the United States. J Hepatol 2022; 76:294-301. [PMID: 34563579 PMCID: PMC8786210 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2021.09.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2021] [Revised: 08/24/2021] [Accepted: 09/03/2021] [Indexed: 01/29/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Guidelines recommend hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance in patients with chronic HBV infection. Several HCC risk prediction models are available to guide surveillance decisions, but their comparative performance remains unclear. METHODS Using a retrospective cohort of patients with HBV treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues at 130 Veterans Administration facilities between 9/1/2008 and 12/31/2018, we calculated risk scores from 10 HCC risk prediction models (REACH-B, PAGE-B, m-PAGE-B, CU-HCC, HCC-RESCUE, CAMD, APA-B, REAL-B, AASL-HCC, RWS-HCC). We estimated the models' discrimination and calibration. We calculated HCC incidence in risk categories defined by the reported cut-offs for all models. RESULTS Of 3,101 patients with HBV (32.2% with cirrhosis), 47.0% were treated with entecavir, 40.6% tenofovir, and 12.4% received both. During a median follow-up of 4.5 years, 113 patients developed HCC at an incidence of 0.75/100 person-years. AUC values for 3-year HCC risk were the highest for RWS-HCC, APA-B, REAL-B, and AASL-HCC (all >0.80). Of these, 3 (APA-B, RWS-HCC, REAL-B) incorporated alpha-fetoprotein. AUC values for the other models ranged from 0.73 for PAGE-B to 0.79 for CAMD and HCC-RESCUE. Of the 7 models with AUC >0.75, only APA-B was poorly calibrated. In total, 10-20% of the cohort was deemed low-risk based on the published cut-offs. None of the patients in the low-risk groups defined by PAGE-B, m-PAGE-B, AASL-HCC, and REAL-B developed HCC during the study timeframe. CONCLUSION In this national cohort of US-based patients with HBV on antiviral treatment, most models performed well in predicting HCC risk. A low-risk group, in which no cases of HCC occurred within a 3-year timeframe, was identified by several models (PAGE-B, m-PAGE-B, CAMD, AASL-HCC, REAL-B). Further studies are warranted to examine whether these patients could be excluded from HCC surveillance. LAY SUMMARY Risk prediction models for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients infected with hepatitis B virus (HBV) could guide HCC surveillance decisions. In this large cohort of US-based patients receiving treatment for HBV, most published models discriminated between those who did or did not develop HCC, although the RWS-HCC, REAL-B, and AASL-HCC performed the best. If confirmed in future studies, these models could help identify a low-risk subset of patients on antiviral treatment who could be excluded from HCC surveillance.
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Lee JS, Lee HW, Lim TS, Min IK, Lee HW, Kim SU, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Kim BK. External Validation of the FSAC Model Using On-Therapy Changes in Noninvasive Fibrosis Markers in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B: A Multicenter Study. Cancers (Basel) 2022; 14:cancers14030711. [PMID: 35158982 PMCID: PMC8833581 DOI: 10.3390/cancers14030711] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2021] [Revised: 01/20/2022] [Accepted: 01/26/2022] [Indexed: 12/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Simple Summary We externally validated the recently suggested FSAC prediction model for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in treatment-naïve Asian chronic hepatitis B patients starting potent antiviral therapy (AVT). The model reflects age, sex, presence of cirrhosis, and on-therapy changes in non-invasive fibrosis markers (NFMs) after 12 months of antiviral therapy, such as APRI and FIB-4. Our results highlighted better predictive performance for the FSAC model for HCC (Harrell’s c-index: 0.770) than the PAGE-B, modified PAGE-B, modified REACH-B, LSM-HCC, and CAMD models, which only use baseline parameters. A simplified version of FSAC score (i.e., FSAC (2)), including only NFMs at 12 months, also showed a high c-index value (0.763). Our retrospective study suggests that the accurate measurement of intra-hepatic fibrotic burden during adequate AVT is necessary for predicting HCC development. Abstract Antiviral therapy (AVT) induces the regression of non-invasive fibrosis markers (NFMs) and reduces hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk among chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. We externally validated the predictive performance of the FSAC prediction model for HCC using on-therapy NFM responses. Our multicenter study consecutively recruited treatment-naïve CHB patients (n = 3026; median age, 50.0 years; male predominant (61.3%); cirrhosis in 1391 (46.0%) patients) receiving potent AVTs for >18 months between 2007 and 2018. During follow-up (median 64.0 months), HCC developed in 303 (10.0%) patients. Patients with low FIB-4 or APRI levels at 12 months showed significantly lower HCC risk than those with high NFM levels at 12 months (all p < 0.05). Cumulative 3-, 5-, and 8-year HCC probabilities were 0.0%, 0.3% and 1.2% in the low-risk group (FSAC ≤ 2); 2.1%, 5.2%, and 11.1% in the intermediate-risk group (FSAC 3−8); and 5.2%, 15.5%, and 29.8% in the high-risk group (FSAC ≥ 9) (both p < 0.001 between each adjacent pair). Harrell’s c-index value for FSAC score (0.770) was higher than those for PAGE-B (0.725), modified PAGE-B (0.738), modified REACH-B (0.737), LSM-HCC (0.734), and CAMD (0.742). Our study showed that the FSAC model, which incorporates on-therapy changes in NFMs, had better predictive performance than other models using only baseline parameters.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jae Seung Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul 03722, Korea
| | - Hyun Woong Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gangnam Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 06273, Korea
| | - Tae Seop Lim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yongin Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Yongin-si 16995, Korea
| | - In Kyung Min
- Biostatistics Collaboration Unit, Department of Biomedical Systems Informatics, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea;
| | - Hye Won Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul 03722, Korea
| | - Seung Up Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul 03722, Korea
| | - Jun Yong Park
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul 03722, Korea
| | - Do Young Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul 03722, Korea
| | - Sang Hoon Ahn
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul 03722, Korea
| | - Beom Kyung Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Correspondence: ; Tel.: +82-2-2228-1932; Fax: +82-2-393-6884
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Wang S, Liu B, Fan X, Gao Y, Hong M, Xu Y. Predicting the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients receiving antiviral therapy: Validating the CAMD and AASL scores in China. Saudi J Gastroenterol 2022; 28:362-368. [PMID: 35170433 PMCID: PMC9752533 DOI: 10.4103/sjg.sjg_527_21] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND We aimed to validate the predictive value of the cirrhosis, age, male sex, and diabetes (CAMD) score and age, albumin, sex, and liver cirrhosis (AASL) score for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients, treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NUCs) in Northeast China. METHODS From January 2009 to June 2020, 945 patients diagnosed with CHB who received NUC therapy at China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University were included. Comprehensive medical records were retrospectively analyzed, and the predictive values of the CAMD score and AASL score for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were evaluated. RESULTS A total of 58 patients (5.94%) were diagnosed with HCC. Multivariate analysis revealed that age [odds ratio (OR) = 1.041, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.009-1.073, P < 0.011] and cirrhosis (OR = 3.297, 95% CI 1.383-7.861, P < 0.007) were independent predictors of HCC. Either the CAMD or AASL score was significantly higher in the HCC group compared to the non-HCC group. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of CAMD and AASL was 0.721 (95% CI 0.663-0.780) and 0.718 (95% CI 0.662-0.774), respectively. Risk stratification using either CAMD or AASL revealed significant differences in the one-, three-, and five-year cumulative incidence rates of HCC between the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups (all P < 0.001, log-rank test). CONCLUSIONS Both CAMD and AASL scores have predictive value for HCC risk of CHB patients in Northeast China. In future, the optimal monitoring frequency and methods should be personalized.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shuai Wang
- Department of Gastroenterology, China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China
| | - Bingwei Liu
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Affiliated Hangzhou First People's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Xuemei Fan
- Department of Gastroenterology, China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China
| | - Yang Gao
- Department of Gastroenterology, China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China
| | - Mingqi Hong
- Department of Gastroenterology, China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China
| | - Yan Xu
- Department of Gastroenterology, China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, China,Address for correspondence: Dr. Yan Xu, Department of Gastroenterology, China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, Jilin - 130 033, China. E-mail:
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Liu S, Deng R, Zhou B, Liang X, Liu Z, Peng J, Chen J, Zhou Y, Guo Y, Chen Y, Li W, Shen S, Lu X, Zhao S, Liao X, Liang H, Lan Y, Hou J, Fan R, Sun J. Association of serum hepatitis B virus RNA with hepatocellular carcinoma risk in chronic hepatitis B patients under nucleos(t)ide analogues therapy. J Infect Dis 2021; 226:881-890. [PMID: 34931674 DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiab597] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2021] [Accepted: 12/20/2021] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Whether serum hepatitis B virus (HBV) RNA associates with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients has not been fully elucidated. METHODS We enrolled 2974 patients receiving nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) from a prospective, observational CHB cohort to investigate the effect of serum HBV RNA, measured at study entry (baseline), on HCC development, using Cox regression analyses. RESULTS During median follow-up of 4.4 years, 90 patients developed HCC. Patients with detectable baseline HBV RNA (n=2072) exhibited significantly higher HCC risk than those with undetectable level (5-year HCC incidence estimated by Kaplan-Meier method: 4.1% versus 1.8%, P=0.007; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]=2.21, P=0.005). HBV RNA levels of 609-99,999 and ≥100,000 copies/ml were associated with incrementally increasing HCC risk (aHR=2.15 and 3.05, respectively; P for trend=0.003), compared to undetectable level (<609 copies/ml). Moreover, patients with single-detectable either HBV DNA or RNA and double-detectable DNA and RNA had 1.57- and 4.02-fold higher HCC risk respectively, than those with double undetectable DNA and RNA (P for trend=0.001). CONCLUSION High-level HBV RNA is associated with increased HCC risk in NAs-treated patients. Achieving undetectable HBV RNA may contribute to better clinical outcomes, indicating it could be a valuable endpoint of anti-HBV treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shi Liu
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Rui Deng
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Bin Zhou
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Xieer Liang
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Zhihong Liu
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Jie Peng
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Jinjun Chen
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Yuanping Zhou
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Yabing Guo
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Yongpeng Chen
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Wanying Li
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Sheng Shen
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Xingyu Lu
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Siru Zhao
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Xingmei Liao
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Hongyan Liang
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Yu Lan
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Jinlin Hou
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Rong Fan
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
| | - Jian Sun
- State Key Laboratory of Organ Failure Research, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Viral Hepatitis Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, China
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Wu S, Zeng N, Sun F, Zhou J, Wu X, Sun Y, Wang B, Zhan S, Kong Y, Jia J, You H, Yang HI. Hepatocellular Carcinoma Prediction Models in Chronic Hepatitis B: A Systematic Review of 14 Models and External Validation. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2021; 19:2499-2513. [PMID: 33667678 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2021.02.040] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/29/2020] [Revised: 02/25/2021] [Accepted: 02/26/2021] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS The aim of our study was to characterize the performance of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction models in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients through meta-analysis followed by external validation. METHODS We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of current literature, followed by external validation in independent multi-center cohort with 986 patients with CHB undergoing entecavir treatment (median follow-up: 4.7 years). Model performance to predict HCC within 3, 5, 7, and 10 years was assessed using area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and calibration index. Subgroup analysis were conducted by treatment status, cirrhotic, race and baseline alanine aminotransferase. RESULTS We identified 14 models with 123,885 patients (5,452 HCC cases), with REACH-B, CU-HCC, GAG-HCC, PAGE-B and mPAGE-B models being broadly externally validated. Discrimination was generally acceptable for all models, with pooled AUC ranging from 0.70 (95% CI, 0.63-0.76 for REACH-B) to 0.83 (95% CI, 0.78-0.87 for REAL-B) for 3-year, 0.68 (95% CI, 0.64-0.73 for REACH-B) to 0.81 (95% CI, 0.77-0.85 for REAL-B) for 5-year and 0.70 (95% CI, 0.58-0.80 for PAGE-B) to 0.81 (95% CI, 0.78-0.84 for REAL-B and 0.77-0.86 for AASL-HCC) for 10-year prediction. However, calibration performance was poorly reported in most studies. In external validation cohort, REAL-B showed highest discrimination with 0.76 (95% CI, 0.69-0.83) and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.70-0.81) for 3 and 5-year prediction. The REAL-B model was also well calibrated in the external validation cohort (3-year Brier score 0.066). Results were consistent in subgroup analyses. CONCLUSIONS In a systematic review of available HCC models, the REAL-B model exhibited best discrimination and calibration.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shanshan Wu
- National Clinical Research Center of Digestive Diseases, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, Mainland China
| | - Na Zeng
- National Clinical Research Center of Digestive Diseases, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, Mainland China
| | - Feng Sun
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, Beijing, Mainland China
| | - Jialing Zhou
- Liver Research Center, Beijing Key Laboratory of Translational Medicine in Liver Cirrhosis, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, Mainland China
| | - Xiaoning Wu
- Liver Research Center, Beijing Key Laboratory of Translational Medicine in Liver Cirrhosis, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, Mainland China
| | - Yameng Sun
- Liver Research Center, Beijing Key Laboratory of Translational Medicine in Liver Cirrhosis, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, Mainland China
| | - Bingqiong Wang
- Liver Research Center, Beijing Key Laboratory of Translational Medicine in Liver Cirrhosis, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, Mainland China
| | - Siyan Zhan
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Centre, Beijing, Mainland China
| | - Yuanyuan Kong
- National Clinical Research Center of Digestive Diseases, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, Mainland China
| | - Jidong Jia
- National Clinical Research Center of Digestive Diseases, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, Mainland China; Liver Research Center, Beijing Key Laboratory of Translational Medicine in Liver Cirrhosis, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, Mainland China
| | - Hong You
- National Clinical Research Center of Digestive Diseases, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, Mainland China; Liver Research Center, Beijing Key Laboratory of Translational Medicine in Liver Cirrhosis, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, Mainland China.
| | - Hwai-I Yang
- Genomics Research Center, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan; Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan; Graduate Institute of Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
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87
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Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis B-caused cirrhosis. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2021; 33:e686-e692. [PMID: 34074986 DOI: 10.1097/meg.0000000000002217] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/16/2023]
Abstract
AIM The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been reported as a prognostic marker of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, the relationship between NLR and risk of HCC occurrence has yet to be systematically elucidated. We aimed to investigate the association between NLR and HCC risk in patients with hepatitis B-caused cirrhosis (HBC) undergoing antiviral therapy. METHODS A total of 1599 patients with HBC receiving entecavir or tenofovir at three tertiary hospitals between June 2014 and November 2017 were included. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify the association between NLR and risk of HCC occurrence by adjusting for potential risk factors. The cumulative incidence of HCC was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS At study enrollment, the median NLR was 2.0 (interquartile range, 1.4-3.0). The 3-year cumulative probabilities of HCC were 4.8, 8.4, 13.2, and 18.0% across the NLR quartiles, respectively (P < 0.001). Compared with the lowest quartile, higher NLR correlated with an increased HCC occurrence [NLR 1.4-2.0: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 1.18 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.11-1.25); NLR 2.0-3.0: aHR, 2.09 (95% CI, 1.19-3.66); NLR > 3.0: aHR, 2.80 (95% CI, 1.59-4.95); P for trend = 0.001] in the fully adjusted models. In the subgroup analysis, elevated NLR was associated with increased HCC risk, regardless of stratification criteria. CONCLUSION Elevated NLR is an independent risk factor for HCC occurrence in patients with HBC undergoing antiviral therapy.
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Teng W, Chang TT, Yang HI, Peng CY, Su CW, Su TH, Hu TH, Yu ML, Yang HC, Wu JC. Risk scores to predict HCC and the benefits of antiviral therapy for CHB patients in gray zone of treatment guidelines. Hepatol Int 2021; 15:1421-1430. [PMID: 34741723 DOI: 10.1007/s12072-021-10263-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2021] [Accepted: 10/18/2021] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUNDS ALT ≥ 80 U/L and HBV DNA ≥ 2000 IU/ml are treatment criteria of APASL guidelines for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. The need of antiviral therapy for patients in gray zone (ALT < 80 U/L or HBV DNA < 2000 IU/ml) is controversial. This study aimed to develop a scoring system to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and evaluate the benefit of antiviral therapy in these patients. METHODS Seven hundred and forty-nine patients were analyzed. Significant variables were weighted to develop a scoring system for HCC prediction. The area under receiver operating curves (AUROC) were estimated and validated by REVEAL-HBV cohort (n = 3527). RESULTS Older age (p < 0.001), male sex (p = 0.036), family history of HCC (p = 0.002) and HBV DNA ≥ 2000 IU/ml (p = 0.045) were independently associated with HCC. A 14-point risk score system predicts 3 and 5-years HCC risk to be 0.866 and 0.868 of AUROC, respectively in the derivation cohort; 0.821 and 0.820, in the REVEAL-HBV cohort. The cumulative HCC incidence was higher in the high risk (score ≥ 8) group both in derivation and validation cohorts (p < 0.001). Patients with antiviral therapy had lower HCC incidence compared to those without (p = 0.016). Of note, antiviral therapy significantly decreased HCC in the high risk group (p = 0.005), but not in the low risk group (p = 0.705). CONCLUSIONS A risk scoring system is established and validated. Of CHB patients in gray zone of APASL guidelines, those with risk scores ≥ 8 had higher risk of HCC, but the risk could be significantly reduced by antiviral therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei Teng
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou Medical Center, Taoyuan, Taiwan, Republic of China
| | - Ting-Tsung Chang
- Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, Tainan, Taiwan, Republic of China
| | - Hwai-I Yang
- Genomics Research Center, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China
| | - Cheng-Yuan Peng
- Center for Digestive Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, China Medical University Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan, Republic of China
| | - Chien-Wei Su
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China
| | - Tung-Hung Su
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China
| | - Tsung-Hui Hu
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan, Republic of China
| | - Ming-Lung Yu
- Hepatobiliary Division, Department of Internal Medicine and Hepatitis Center, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan, Republic of China
| | - Hung-Chih Yang
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China
| | - Jaw-Ching Wu
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
- Translational Research Division, Medical Research Department, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
- Cancer Progression Research Center, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan, Republic of China.
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Yu JH, Cho SG, Jin YJ, Lee JW. The best predictive model for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis B infection. Clin Mol Hepatol 2021; 28:351-361. [PMID: 34823308 PMCID: PMC9293610 DOI: 10.3350/cmh.2021.0281] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/30/2021] [Accepted: 11/25/2021] [Indexed: 11/06/2022] Open
Abstract
Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) seriously threatens human health. About 820,000 deaths annually are due to related complications such as hepatitis B and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Recently, the use of oral antiviral agents has significantly improved the prognosis of patients with CHB infection and reduced the risk of HCC. However, hepatitis B virus still remains a major factor in the development of HCC, raising many concerns. Therefore, numerous studies have been conducted to assess the risk of HCC in patients with CHB infection and many models have been proposed to predict the risk of developing HCC. However, as each study has different models for predicting HCC development that can be applied depending on the use of antiviral agents or the type of antiviral agents, it is necessary to properly understand characteristics of each model when using it for the evaluation of HCC in patients with CHB infection. In addition, because different variables such as host factor, viral activity, and cirrhosis are used to evaluate the risk of HCC development, it is necessary to assess the risk by carefully verifying which variables are used. Recently, studies have also evaluated the risk of HCC using risk prediction models through transient elastography and artificial intelligence (AI) system. These HCC risk predication models are also noteworthy. In this review, we aimed to compare HCC risk prediction models in patients with CHB infection reported to date to confirm variables used and specificity between each model to determine an appropriate HCC risk prediction method.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jung Hwan Yu
- Department of Internal Medicine, Inha University Hospital and School of Medicine, Incheon, South Korea
| | - Soon Gu Cho
- Department of Radiology, Inha University Hospital and School of Medicine, Incheon, South Korea
| | - Young-Joo Jin
- Department of Internal Medicine, Inha University Hospital and School of Medicine, Incheon, South Korea
| | - Jin-Woo Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Inha University Hospital and School of Medicine, Incheon, South Korea
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Tong L, Yan C, Wang M, Yang J, Wang H, Wang Y. Prognostic Value of Serum Exosomal AHCY Expression in Hepatitis B-Induced Liver Cirrhosis. Front Med (Lausanne) 2021; 8:777452. [PMID: 34820406 PMCID: PMC8606640 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2021.777452] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/15/2021] [Accepted: 10/11/2021] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective: We aimed to investigate serum exosomal adenosylhomocysteinase (AHCY) expression in hepatitis B-induced liver cirrhosis (HBV-LC) patients and to determine the prognostic value of serum exosomal AHCY. Methods: We collected serum samples from 100 patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and from 114 HBV-LC patients to test serum exosomal AHCY expression using ELISA. Results: Compared with the CHB and Grade A and B HBV-LC groups, the level of exosomal AHCY expression was significantly higher in the HBV-LC group [376.62 (291.50-448.02) vs. 248.12 (189.28-324.63), P > 0.001] and the Grade C HBV-LC group [408.70 (365.63-465.76) vs. 279.76 (215.16-336.07), P > 0.001], respectively. Serum exosomal AHCY expression and MELD score had a significant positive correlation (r = 0.844, P < 0.001). Survival curve analysis showed that patients with low exosomal AHCY expression had significantly longer survival than patients with high exosomal AHCY expression (P = 0.0038). The receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve showed that the area under the curve (AUC) value for the mortality prediction ability of serum exosomal AHCY in HBV-LC patients was 0.921, which was higher than the values for the MELD score (AUC 0.815) and Child-Pugh classification (AUC 0.832), with a sensitivity and specificity of 93.41 and 76.00%, respectively. Conclusions: The serum exosomal AHCY level is a novel potential prognostic biomarker in HBV-LC patients, which may be great significance for the prognosis of HBV-LC patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ling Tong
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Cuilin Yan
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Minjie Wang
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Jiajia Yang
- Department of Infection Management, The Affiliated Suzhou Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Suzhou Municipal Hospital, Gusu School, Nanjing Medical University, Suzhou, China
| | - Hongmei Wang
- Department of Infection Management, The Affiliated Suzhou Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Suzhou Municipal Hospital, Gusu School, Nanjing Medical University, Suzhou, China
| | - Ying Wang
- Department of Infection Management, The Affiliated Suzhou Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Suzhou Municipal Hospital, Gusu School, Nanjing Medical University, Suzhou, China
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Lee JS, Lee HW, Lim TS, Shin HJ, Lee HW, Kim SU, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Kim BK. Novel Liver Stiffness-Based Nomogram for Predicting Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection Initiating Antiviral Therapy. Cancers (Basel) 2021; 13:cancers13235892. [PMID: 34885000 PMCID: PMC8656676 DOI: 10.3390/cancers13235892] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2021] [Revised: 11/02/2021] [Accepted: 11/19/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Simple Summary We developed a novel risk-scoring model for hepatocellular carcinoma development in treatment-naïve patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection who are starting antiviral therapy with entecavir or tenofovir. The model reflects age, platelet count, hepatitis B e antigen positivity, serum albumin and total bilirubin levels, cirrhosis development, and liver stiffness values measured by transient elastography. Our new model showed better performance for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma development (Harrell’s c-index: 0.799) than the PAGE-B, modified PAGE-B, and modified REACH-B models in Asian patients with chronic hepatitis B receiving potent antiviral therapy. Abstract Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk prediction is important to developing individualized surveillance approaches. We designed a novel HCC prediction model using liver stiffness on transient elastography for patients receiving antiviral therapy against hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. We recruited 2037 patients receiving entecavir or tenofovir as first-line antivirals and used the Cox regression analysis to determine key variables for model construction. Within 58.1 months (median), HCC developed in 182 (8.9%) patients. Patients with HCC showed a higher prevalence of cirrhosis (90.7% vs. 45.9%) and higher liver stiffness values (median 13.9 vs. 7.2 kPa) than those without. A novel nomogram (score 0–304) was established using age, platelet count, cirrhosis development, and liver stiffness values, which were independently associated with increased HCC risk, along with hepatitis B e antigen positivity and serum albumin and total bilirubin levels. Cumulative HCC probabilities were 0.7%, 5.0%, and 22.7% in the low- (score ≤87), intermediate- (88–222), and high-risk (≥223) groups, respectively. The c-index value was 0.799 (internal validity: 0.805), higher than that of the PAGE-B (0.726), modified PAGE-B (0.756), and modified REACH-B (0.761) models (all p < 0.05). Our nomogram showed acceptable performance in predicting HCC in Asian HBV-infected patients receiving potent antiviral therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jae Seung Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul 03722, Korea
| | - Hyun Woong Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gangnam Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 06273, Korea
| | - Tae Seop Lim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yongin Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Yongin-si 16995, Gyeonggi-do, Korea
| | - Hye Jung Shin
- Biostatistics Collaboration Unit, Department of Biomedical Systems Informatics, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea;
| | - Hye Won Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul 03722, Korea
| | - Seung Up Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul 03722, Korea
| | - Jun Yong Park
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul 03722, Korea
| | - Do Young Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul 03722, Korea
| | - Sang Hoon Ahn
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul 03722, Korea
| | - Beom Kyung Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea; (J.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (T.S.L.); (H.W.L.); (S.U.K.); (J.Y.P.); (D.Y.K.); (S.H.A.)
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul 03722, Korea
- Correspondence: ; Tel.: +82-2-2228-1932; Fax: +82-2-393-6884
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Kawanaka M, Nishino K, Kawamoto H, Haruma K. Hepatitis B: Who should be treated?-managing patients with chronic hepatitis B during the immune-tolerant and immunoactive phases. World J Gastroenterol 2021; 27:7497-7508. [PMID: 34887645 PMCID: PMC8613739 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v27.i43.7497] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/23/2021] [Revised: 07/31/2021] [Accepted: 10/31/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
New hepatitis B virus (HBV) infections are decreasing owing to improved antiviral therapy and increased HBV vaccination worldwide; however, the number of HBV infections remains a major cause of liver carcinogenesis. HBV triggers cytotoxic immunity to eliminate HBV-infected cells. Therefore, the HBV pathophysiology changes in persistently infected individuals depending on host immune responses and HBV DNA proliferation state. To prevent liver cirrhosis and carcinogenesis caused by HBV, it is important to treat HBV infection at an early stage. Active treatment is recommended for the immunoactive hepatitis B surface-antigen-positive and -negative phase, but not during the immune-inactive phase or immune-tolerant phase; instead, follow-up is recommended. However, these patients should be monitored through regular blood tests to accurately diagnose the immune-inactive or -tolerant phases. The treatment regimen should be determined based on the age, sex, family history of liver cancer, and liver fibrosis status of patients. Early treatment is often recommended due to various problems during the immune-tolerant phase. This review compares the four major international practice guidelines, including those from the Japanese Society of Hepatology, and discusses strategies for chronic hepatitis B treatment during the immune-tolerant, immune-inactive, and resolved phases. Finally, recommended hepatitis B antiviral therapy and follow-up protocols are discussed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Miwa Kawanaka
- Department of General Internal Medicine 2, General Medical Center, Kawasaki Medical School, Okayama 700-8505, Japan
| | - Ken Nishino
- Department of General Internal Medicine 2, General Medical Center, Kawasaki Medical School, Okayama 700-8505, Japan
| | - Hirofumi Kawamoto
- Department of General Internal Medicine 2, General Medical Center, Kawasaki Medical School, Okayama 700-8505, Japan
| | - Ken Haruma
- Department of General Internal Medicine 2, General Medical Center, Kawasaki Medical School, Okayama 700-8505, Japan
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Cirrhosis, Age, and Liver Stiffness-Based Models Predict Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Asian Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B. Cancers (Basel) 2021; 13:cancers13225609. [PMID: 34830764 PMCID: PMC8615754 DOI: 10.3390/cancers13225609] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2021] [Revised: 11/01/2021] [Accepted: 11/05/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B who received long-term therapy with potent nucleos(t)ide analogs is of utmost importance to refine the strategy for HCC surveillance. METHODS We conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study to validate the CAGE-B and SAGE-B scores, HCC prediction models developed for Caucasian patients receiving entecavir (ETV) or tenofovir (TFV) for >5 years. Consecutive patients who started ETV or TFV at two hospitals in Korea from January 2009 to December 2015 were identified. The prediction scores were calculated, and model performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves. RESULTS Among 1557 patients included, 57 (3.7%) patients had HCC during a median follow-up of 93 (95% confidence interval, 73-119) months. In the entire cohort, CAGE-B predicted HCC with an area under the ROC curve of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.72-0.84). Models that have "liver cirrhosis" in the calculation, such as AASL (0.79 (0.72-0.85)), CU-HCC (0.77 (0.72-0.82)), and GAG-HCC (0.79 (0.74-0.85)), showed accuracy similar to that of CAGE-B (p > 0.05); however, models without "liver cirrhosis", including SAGE-B (0.71 (0.65-0.78)), showed a lower predictive ability than CAGE-B. CAGE-B performed well in subgroups of patients treated without treatment modification (0.81 (0.73-0.88)) and of male sex (0.79 (0.71-0.86)). CONCLUSIONS This study validated the clinical usefulness of the CAGE-B score in a large number of Asian patients treated with long-term ETV or TFV. The results could provide the basis for the reappraisal of HCC surveillance strategies and encourage future prospective validation studies with liver stiffness measurements.
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Hwang SH, Hong SB, Han K, Seo N, Choi JY, Lee JH, Park S, Lim YS, Kim DY, Kim SY, Park MS. A New Reporting System for Diagnosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chronic Hepatitis B With Clinical and Gadoxetic Acid-Enhanced MRI Features. J Magn Reson Imaging 2021; 55:1877-1886. [PMID: 34668595 DOI: 10.1002/jmri.27962] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/23/2021] [Revised: 10/04/2021] [Accepted: 10/08/2021] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Current major guidelines for diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on imaging findings are different from each other and do not include clinical risk factors as a diagnostic criteria. PURPOSE To developed and validated a new diagnostic score system using MRI and clinical features as applied in chronic hepatitis B patients. STUDY TYPE Retrospective observational study. SUBJECT A total of 418 treatment-naïve patients (out of 902 patients) with chronic hepatitis B having 556 lesions suspected for HCC which were eligible for curative treatment. FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE T1W GRE in- and opposed-phase, T2W FSE, DWI, and T1W 3D-GRE dynamic contrast-enhanced sequences at 1.5 T and 3 T. ASSESSMENT Six radiologists with 7-22 years of experience independently evaluated MR images based on Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) version 2018. STATISTICAL TESTS Based on logistic regression analysis of MRI features and clinical factors, a risk score system was devised in derivation cohorts (268 patients, 352 lesions) and externally validated (150 patients, 204 lesions). The performance of the new score system was assessed by Harell's c-index. Using cutoff value of 12, maintaining positive predictive value ≥95%, the diagnostic performances of the score system were compared with those of LR-5. RESULTS The 15-point diagnostic scoring system used MRI features (lesion size, nonrim arterial phase hyperenhancement, portal venous phase hypointensity, hepatobiliary phase hypointensity, and diffusion restriction) and clinical factors (alpha-fetoprotein and platelet). It showed good discrimination in the derivation (c-index, 0.946) and validation cohorts (c-index, 0.907). Using a risk score of 12 as a cut-off, this system yielded higher sensitivity than LR-5 (derivation cohort, 76.8% vs. 52.1%; validation cohort, 73.4% vs. 49.5%) without significant decrease in specificity (derivation cohort, 93.1% vs. 97.2%, P = 0.074; validation cohort, 91.7% vs. 96.1%, P = 0.299). DATA CONCLUSION A new score system showed improved sensitivity in chronic hepatitis B patients compared to LI-RADS without significant compromise in specificity. EVIDENCE LEVEL: 3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shin Hye Hwang
- Department of Radiology, Yongin Severance Hospital, Yongin, Gyeonggi-do, South Korea
| | - Seung Baek Hong
- Department of Radiology, Biomedical Research Institute, Pusan National University Hospital, and Pusan National University School of Medicine, Pusan, South Korea.,Department of Radiology, Asan Medical Center, Ulsan University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Kyunghwa Han
- Department of Radiology and Research Institute of Radiological Science, Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Nieun Seo
- Department of Radiology, Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Jin-Young Choi
- Department of Radiology, Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Jei Hee Lee
- Department of Radiology, Ajou University Hospital, Suwon, South Korea
| | - Sumi Park
- Department of Radiology, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang, South Korea
| | - Young-Suk Lim
- Department of Gastroenterology, Liver Center, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Do Young Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Severance Hospital, Seoul, South Korea
| | - So Yeon Kim
- Department of Radiology, Asan Medical Center, Ulsan University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Mi-Suk Park
- Department of Radiology, Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
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95
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Lou T, Li B, Xiong P, Jin C, Chen Y. External validation of hepatocellular carcinoma risk scores in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection in China. J Viral Hepat 2021; 28:1373-1380. [PMID: 34218498 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.13569] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/10/2021] [Revised: 04/18/2021] [Accepted: 06/19/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
Several scores have been proposed in untreated or treated patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) to predict risks of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence. However, it is still unclear which score suits all chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV)-infected patients well, regardless of whether they are chronic carriers or CHB patients. In this study, we validated and compared the predictability of CU-HCC, REACH-B, PAGE-B and mPAGE-B in patients with chronic HBV infection in China. 1,786 patients with no history of HCC were recruited, with 978 carriers and 808 CHB patients on antiviral therapy. Patients were classified into low- and high-risk groups according to the predefined cut-off values of 5, 8, 10 and 9 for CU-HCC, REACH-B, PAGE-B and mPAGE-B. The median follow-up period was 43.7months, during which 18 (1.0%) patients developed HCC. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) of CU-HCC, REACH-B, PAGE-B and mPAGE-B scores to predict HCC risk at 36 months were 0.815, 0.703, 0.794 and 0.825, respectively (all p < 0.05). No significant difference among AUROCs of these scores was observed except those of mPAGE-B and REACH-B at 36 months. The cumulative incidence of HCC in low- and high- risk groups based on CU-HCC, REACH-B, PAGE-B and mPAGE-B were 0.4% vs. 3.2%, 0.7% vs. 1.5%, 0.2% vs. 1.3%, and 0.2% vs. 1.7% at 36 months, respectively (all p < 0.05, except PAGE-B, log-rant test). Both CU-HCC and mPAGE-B scores accurately predict HCC risk in Chinese chronic HBV-infected patients. Patients with CU-HCC <5 or mPAGE-B <9 could be exempt from HCC surveillance within 36 months.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tao Lou
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Yiwu, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Bin Li
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Yiwu, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Pian Xiong
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Yiwu, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Caiting Jin
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Yiwu, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Yagang Chen
- Department of Infectious Diseases, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Yiwu, Zhejiang Province, China
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96
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Demirtas CO, Brunetto MR. Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic viral hepatitis: Is it time to personalize it? World J Gastroenterol 2021; 27:5536-5554. [PMID: 34588750 PMCID: PMC8433616 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v27.i33.5536] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/11/2021] [Revised: 04/28/2021] [Accepted: 08/02/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Surveillance with abdominal ultrasound with or without alpha-fetoprotein is recommended by clinical practice guidelines for patients who are considered to be at risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), including those with cirrhosis, advanced fibrosis and special subgroups of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Application of the standard surveillance strategy to all patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) with or without cirrhosis imposes major sustainability and economic burdens on healthcare systems. Thus, a number of HCC risk scores were constructed, mainly from Asian cohorts, to stratify the HCC prediction in patients with CHB. Similarly, even if less than for CHB, a few scoring systems were developed for chronic hepatitis C patients or cirrhotic patients with CLD of different etiologies. Recently, a few newsworthy HCC-risk algorithms were developed for patients with cirrhosis using the combination of serologic HCC markers and clinical parameters. Overall, the HCC risk stratification appears at hand by several validated multiple score systems, but their optimal performance is obtained only in populations who show highly homogenous clinic-pathologic, epidemiologic, etiologic and therapeutic characteristics and this limitation poses a major drawback to their sustainable use in clinical practice. A better understanding of the dynamic process driving the progression from CLD to HCC derived from studies based on molecular approaches and genetics, epigenetics and liquid biopsy will enable the identification of new biomarkers to define the individual risk of HCC in the near future, with the possibility to achieve a real and cost/effective personalization of surveillance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Coskun Ozer Demirtas
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Marmara University, School of Medicine, Istanbul 34854, Turkey
| | - Maurizia Rossana Brunetto
- Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University Hospital of Pisa, Pisa 56125, Italy
- Hepatology Unit, University Hospital of Pisa, Pisa 56125, Italy
- Biostructure and Bio-imaging Institute, National Research Council of Italy, Naples 56125, Italy
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97
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Kirino S, Tamaki N, Kurosaki M, Izumi N. Reply to Wang et al. J Viral Hepat 2021; 28:1335-1336. [PMID: 34056812 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.13556] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2021] [Accepted: 05/10/2021] [Indexed: 12/09/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Sakura Kirino
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Nobuharu Tamaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Masayuki Kurosaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Namiki Izumi
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
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98
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Wang S, Fang S, Liu Y. The 5-year cumulative incidence of HCC development and treatment regimen in patients with chronic hepatitis B receiving nucleotide/nucleoside analogue treatment. J Viral Hepat 2021; 28:1333-1334. [PMID: 34051028 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.13553] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2021] [Accepted: 05/10/2021] [Indexed: 12/09/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Shanshan Wang
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, Ningbo First Hospital, Ningbo, China
| | - Shuyu Fang
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, Ningbo First Hospital, Ningbo, China
| | - Yanqing Liu
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, Ningbo First Hospital, Ningbo, China
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99
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Gui H, Huang Y, Zhao G, Chen L, Cai W, Wang H, Guo Q, Xie Q. External Validation of aMAP Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk Score in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B-Related Cirrhosis Receiving ETV or TDF Therapy. Front Med (Lausanne) 2021; 8:677920. [PMID: 34422855 PMCID: PMC8371628 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2021.677920] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/15/2021] [Accepted: 07/12/2021] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background and Aim: A prediction model of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in patients with chronic liver diseases, based on age, male sex, albumin-bilirubin, and platelets (aMAP), has been previously reported. We validated the aMAP score and compared its performance to those of other risk scores in an independent at-risk cohort. Methods: Treatment-naïve patients with chronic hepatitis B-related compensated cirrhosis who received entecavir or tenofovir monotherapy for at least 12 months were enrolled in this study. The performances of the aMAP and other HCC risk scores were assessed using Harrell's c-index, and predefined cut-off values were evaluated using survival analysis. Results: Of the 1,042 patients, 131 (12.6%) developed HCC during a median follow-up of 41 months. The aMAP score provided the highest Harrell's c-index (0.724), followed by CAMD (0.719), mPAGE-B (0.719), and PAGE-B (0.695). The 5-year cumulative HCC probabilities were 2.9% for patients with a low aMAP score (<50), 11.2% for patients with an intermediate aMAP score (50–60), and 27.9% for patients with a high aMAP score (>60). Using both aMAP and mPAGE-B, 11.6% of patients were identified as low risk with a negative predictive value of 98.2% for not developing HCC within 5 years. Patients with aMAP >60 and diabetes exhibited an extremely high risk of HCC, with a cumulative incidence of 49.3% at 5 years. The predictive performance of aMAP with a reassessment at 1 year after the initiation of antiviral therapy outperformed the predictive performance of aMAP at enrollment. Conclusions: The aMAP score accurately predicted the risk of HCC in at-risk patients with compensated cirrhosis undergoing antiviral therapy. A combination of the aMAP score and diabetes status could further stratify the risk of HCC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Honglian Gui
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Yan Huang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Gangde Zhao
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Lichang Chen
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Wei Cai
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Hui Wang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Qing Guo
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Qing Xie
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
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100
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Sprinzl MF, Feist C, Koch S, Kremer WM, Lackner KJ, Weinmann A, Galle PR. Cost evaluation of PAGE-B risk score guided HCC surveillance in patients with treated chronic hepatitis B. BMC Health Serv Res 2021; 21:846. [PMID: 34419018 PMCID: PMC8379870 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-021-06794-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2020] [Accepted: 07/15/2021] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The PAGE-B score (Platelet Age GEnder–HBV) selects chronic hepatitis B (cHB) patients showing no relevant 5-year risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We, therefore, explored potential cost reduction following the introduction of a PAGE-B tailored ultrasound screening in a single center cohort of cHB patients receiving stable antiviral therapy. Methods cHB patients attending throughout the year 2018 were documented. Patients eligible for PAGE-B score were classified into high (≥18 points), intermediate (10–17 points) and low (≤9 points) HCC risk groups. Patients of the low HCC risk group could postpone HCC screening to reduce HCC screening expenses. Full costs for hepatic ultrasound were assessed. Results Throughout the year cHB patients (n = 607) attended our clinic, which included PAGE-B eligible patients (n = 227, 37.4%) of whom n = 94 (15.8%) were allocated to the low HCC risk group. Sonographic HCC screening during a median exam time of 12.4 min (IQR 9.2–17.2) resulted in total costs of 22.82 Euro/exam. Additional opportunistic expenses caused by patient’s lost earnings or productivity were 15.6–17.5 €/exam and 26.7 €/exam, respectively. Following a PAGE-B tailored HCC screening at our institution annual full costs for cHB patients could be reduced by 15.51%, which equals a cost reduction by 1.91% for our total sonography unit. In comparison, 1.35% up to 7.65% of HBV-infected patients of Caucasian descent could postpone HCC screening according to population-based estimates from Germany. Conclusions PAGE-B risk score adapted screening for HCC is an efficient and cost neutral tool to reduce costs for sonography in Caucasian patients with chronic hepatitis B receiving antiviral treatment. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12913-021-06794-6.
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Affiliation(s)
- Martin F Sprinzl
- Medical Department I, University Medical Center of the Johanne Gutenberg University Mainz, Langenbeckstrasse 1, 55131, Mainz, Germany. .,Institute for Laboratory Medicine and Clinical Chemistry, University Medical Center of the Johanne Gutenberg University Mainz, Langenbeckstrasse 1, 55131, Mainz, Germany.
| | - Christina Feist
- Medical Department I, University Medical Center of the Johanne Gutenberg University Mainz, Langenbeckstrasse 1, 55131, Mainz, Germany
| | - Sandra Koch
- Medical Department I, University Medical Center of the Johanne Gutenberg University Mainz, Langenbeckstrasse 1, 55131, Mainz, Germany
| | - Wolfgang M Kremer
- Medical Department I, University Medical Center of the Johanne Gutenberg University Mainz, Langenbeckstrasse 1, 55131, Mainz, Germany
| | - Karl J Lackner
- Institute for Laboratory Medicine and Clinical Chemistry, University Medical Center of the Johanne Gutenberg University Mainz, Langenbeckstrasse 1, 55131, Mainz, Germany
| | - Arndt Weinmann
- Medical Department I, University Medical Center of the Johanne Gutenberg University Mainz, Langenbeckstrasse 1, 55131, Mainz, Germany
| | - Peter R Galle
- Medical Department I, University Medical Center of the Johanne Gutenberg University Mainz, Langenbeckstrasse 1, 55131, Mainz, Germany
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