Predictors of exacerbation risk and response to budesonide in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a post-hoc analysis of three randomised trials

A Prediction Scoring Model for the Effect of Withdrawal or Addition of Inhaled Corticosteroids in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Purpose

The aims of this study were to develop a scoring model that predicts the effects of withdrawing inhaled corticosteroids (ICSs) from triple therapy and to examine its adaptability when applied to assess the effect of adding ICSs to dual bronchodilators patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

Patients and Methods

A scoring model was developed using the IMPACT study dataset, consisting of 2389 COPD patients treated with triple therapy before enrollment (ICS withdrawal dataset). The developed model consisted of COPD duration, Acute exacerbation history, Sex, Pulmonary function tests, blood Eosinophil count, and Race (CASPER) and was used to predict composite events of moderate-to-severe exacerbation, all-cause mortality, and pneumonia. Treatment heterogeneity was assessed using Cox interaction analyses. The CASPER model was applied to 540 COPD patients treated with dual bronchodilator before enrollment (ICS addition dataset). Validity was assessed using Harrell's C-index, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves, and calibration plots.

Results

The cumulative incidence of the composite event was 60.1% over 12 months in the ICS withdrawal dataset. Cox interaction analyses revealed that ICS was different according to race and blood eosinophil counts. The hazard ratios (HRs) for dual bronchodilator compared with triple therapy were 1.318 (95% confidence interval (CI)=1.170-1.485; P-value <0.001) in whites and 0.922 (95% CI = 0.712-1.195; P-value=0.541) in other races. The treatment effect was different in the eosinophil count ≥0.3 group (HR = 1.586; 95% CI = 1.274-1.975) and in the eosinophil count = 0.1-0.3 group (HR = 1.211; 95% CI = 1.041-1.408), but it was same in the eosinophil count <0.1 (HR = 1.009; P-value=0.940). The CASPER model performed well with good discrimination and calibration, which were superior to the prediction based on exacerbation history and blood eosinophil count.

Conclusion

The presented CASPER model might be able to predict and compare the risk of composite events when dual bronchodilator or triple therapy is administered to COPD patients.

Practical Recommendations for a Selection of Inhaled Corticosteroids in COPD: A Composite ICO Chart

The use of inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) for the maintenance of bronchodilator treatment in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is controversial. While some patients achieve clinical benefits, such as fewer exacerbations and improved symptoms, others do not, and some experience undesired side effects, such as pneumonia. Thus, we reviewed the evidence related to predictors of ICS therapy treatment response in patients with COPD. The first priority clinical markers when considering the efficacy of ICS are type 2 inflammatory biomarkers, followed by a history of suspected asthma and recurrent exacerbations. It is also necessary to consider any potential infection risk associated with ICS, and several risk factors for pneumonia when using ICS have been clarified in recent years. In this article, based on the evidence supporting the selection of ICS for COPD, we propose an ICS composite that can be added to the COPD (ICO) chart for use in clinical practice. The chart divided the type 2 biomarkers into three ranges and provided recommendations (recommend, consider, and against) by combining the history of suspected asthma, history of exacerbations, and risk of infection.

In 'real world' patients with COPD, exacerbation history, and not blood eosinophils, is the most reliable predictor of future exacerbations

INTRODUCTION

There is an interest in the role of blood eosinophils for predicting inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) response in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Most data are from interventional clinical studies; data from unselected real-world populations may help better inform treatment decisions. DACCORD is a non-interventional real-world study. Cohort 3 recruited patients with COPD who had received triple therapy for ≥ 6 months; prior to entry patients either continued triple therapy, or switched to a long-acting muscarinic antagonist/long-acting beta₂-agonist (LABA/LAMA), and were followed for 12 months.

METHODS

For these post-hoc analyses, patients were divided into four groups based on exacerbation history and baseline blood eosinophil count (< 100 vs. > 300 cells/µL). Exacerbation rates were calculated overall and for the two treatments.

RESULTS

Among the 430 patients in the current analyses, the largest groups had low exacerbation history with high (44.2%) or low eosinophils (36.7%). Most patients did not exacerbate during follow-up (68.8% overall; 83.2% and 63.7% with LABA/LAMA and triple therapy). The highest exacerbation rates were in groups with high exacerbation history, differing significantly in the overall analyses from those with low exacerbation history (matched by eosinophil count); rates did not differ when grouped by eosinophil count (matched by exacerbation history).

CONCLUSIONS

Although most patients in these analyses did not exacerbate during follow-up, whereas exacerbation history is a predictor of future exacerbations, blood eosinophil count is not. This suggests that although eosinophil count may help to guide ICS initiation, this is less of a consideration when 'stepping-down' from triple therapy to a LABA/LAMA.

Measurement of Blood Eosinophils in Asthma and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Eosinophils are important effector cells in airway inflammation, as pleiotropy and heterogeneity can be linked to various pathophysiologies in asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Sputum eosinophils can reflect the heterogeneity of airway inflammation, and owing to their traits, blood eosinophils can be a surrogate and potential biomarker for managing both conditions. Blood eosinophils are activated via the stimulation of type 2 cytokines, such as interleukin (IL)-5, IL-4/13, granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor, IL-33, and thymic stromal lymphopoietin. There is sufficient evidence to support the relationship between the blood eosinophil count and clinical outcomes, including pulmonary function decline, exacerbations, all-cause mortality, and treatment response to inhaled corticosteroids and biologics. Thus, there is growing interest in the use of blood eosinophils for the management of these diseases. Compiling recent evidence, we herein review the significance of measuring blood eosinophils in asthma and COPD.

Blood eosinophil count variability in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and severe asthma

BACKGROUND

Blood eosinophils are essential biomarkers that vary substantially over time in patients with COPD and asthma. However, no study has identified the changes and effects in the changes of the blood eosinophil counts over time in both diseases. This study aimed to demonstrate blood eosinophil variability in patients with COPD and severe asthma based on these backgrounds.

METHODS

A total of 172 patients with COPD from the Hokkaido COPD cohort study and 96 patients with severe asthma from the Hokkaido Severe Asthma Cohort Study, whose blood eosinophil counts were measured annually over a 3-year period, were analyzed. The factors contributing to consistently high or low blood eosinophil counts were examined in each cohort. The stability of the eosinophil classification (<150, 150-299, ≥300 cells/μL) was compared based on the number of asthma-like features in patients with COPD and the smoking status in patients with severe asthma.

RESULTS

Among all the patients, the most stable range of baseline blood eosinophil counts differed between the two diseases, with <150 cells/μL in COPD and ≥300 cells/μL in severe asthma. In COPD, the number of asthma-like features (bronchodilator reversibility, blood eosinophilia, and atopy) affects the blood eosinophil count variation patterns. In severe asthma, smoking status did not affect the blood eosinophil count variation patterns.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified variations in the blood eosinophil counts and their contributing factors in patients with COPD and severe asthma.

Circulating eosinophil levels and lung function decline in stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a retrospective longitudinal study

OBJECTIVE

Whether blood eosinophils (bEOS) in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are associated with disease progression is a topic of debate. We aimed to evaluate whether the differential white blood cell (WBC) count, symptoms and treatment may predict lung function decline and exacerbations in COPD patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively examined stable COPD patients with a minimum follow-up of 3 years at our outpatients' clinic. We collected information about lung volumes (FEV1, FVC), the total and differential WBC count, acute exacerbations of COPD (number in the 12 months before the beginning of the study=AE-COPD-B, and during the follow-up=AE-COPD-F), smoking status and treatment. FEV1 decline and AE-COPD-F were described by using a generalized linear model and a 2-level random intercept negative binomial regression, respectively. The models included eosinophil and neutrophil counts as potential predictors and were adjusted by sex, age, smoking status, AE-COPD-B, treatment with bronchodilators and inhaled corticosteroids (ICS).

RESULTS

Sixty-eight patients were considered, 36 bEOS- (<170 cells/μL, the median value) and 32 bEOS+ (≥170 cells/μL). ∆FEV1 was higher in bEOS+ than bEOS- (34.86 mL/yr vs 4.49 mL/yr, p=0.029). After adjusting for potential confounders, the eosinophil count was positively (β=19.4; CI 95% 2.8, 36.1; p=0.022) and ICS negatively (β=-57.7; CI 95% -91.5,-23.9; p=0.001) associated with lung function decline. bEOS were not found to be associated with the number of AE-COPD-F.

CONCLUSION

In stable COPD patients, a higher level of blood eosinophils (albeit in the normal range) predicts a greater FEV1 decline, while ICS are associated with a slower progression of airflow obstruction.

Benefits of Budesonide/Glycopyrronium/Formoterol Fumarate Dihydrate on COPD Exacerbations, Lung Function, Symptoms, and Quality of Life Across Blood Eosinophil Ranges: A Post-Hoc Analysis of Data from ETHOS

Purpose

Blood eosinophil (EOS) count can guide treatment decisions for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). In the 52-week ETHOS study (NCT02465567), budesonide/glycopyrronium/formoterol fumarate dihydrate (BGF) triple therapy at two inhaled corticosteroid doses reduced moderate/severe exacerbation rates and improved lung function, symptoms, and disease-related quality of life (QoL) versus dual therapy with glycopyrronium/formoterol fumarate dihydrate (GFF) or budesonide/formoterol fumarate dihydrate (BFF) in patients with moderate-to-very severe COPD. This subgroup analysis evaluated treatment benefits in ETHOS by baseline EOS count.

Methods

Patients (40-80 years) with a COPD history were randomly assigned 1:1:1:1 to receive BGF 320/14.4/10 µg, BGF 160/14.4/10 µg, GFF 14.4/10 µg, or BFF 320/10 µg via a metered-dose inhaler. This post-hoc analysis assessed endpoints by baseline EOS count using Global Initiative for Obstructive Lung Disease thresholds (<100, ≥100, ≥100-<300, ≥300 cells/mm³), and investigated continuous relationships between treatment effects and EOS count on exacerbations, symptoms, disease-related QoL, lung function, and safety.

Results

In the modified intention-to-treat population (n=8509), 82.6% had EOS counts ≥100 cells/mm³. BGF 320 reduced moderate/severe exacerbation rates versus GFF in the ≥100, ≥100-<300, and ≥300 subgroups; treatment differences increased with EOS count. BGF 320 improved rescue medication use and lung-function outcomes across all subgroups, and St George's Respiratory Questionnaire total score, Transition Dyspnea Index focal score, and Exacerbations of Chronic Pulmonary Disease Tool total score in all except the <100 subgroup versus GFF. Benefits of BGF 320 versus BFF were generally consistent across subgroups. Safety data were comparable across subgroups.

Conclusion

Benefits of BGF versus GFF were observed across EOS counts, particularly at ≥100 cells/mm³; versus BFF, benefits were largely independent of EOS. These findings confirm that benefits of ICS-containing triple therapy are not restricted to EOS counts ≥300 cells/mm³, supporting recommendations to consider triple therapy in patients with an exacerbation history and EOS counts ≥100 cells/mm³.

Blood and sputum eosinophilia in COPD exacerbation

Background

Exacerbations in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are major contributors to worsening lung function, impaired quality of life, emergency healthcare use, and COPD-related mortality. COPD exacerbations are heterogeneous in terms of airway inflammation and etiology.

Objectives

To assess the relation between blood and sputum eosinophils and COPD exacerbation.

Subjects and methods

Prospective cohort study, conducted on 100 COPD patients presented in outpatient clinic. All patients were subjected to medical history including: occupational history, smoking history, comorbidity, number of exacerbations in last year and their degree, history of admission in the last year and treatment taken for COPD. Modified Medical Research Council scale of dyspnea, peak expiratory flow rate, oxygen saturation using pulse oximetry. Complete blood count with differential eosinophilic count. Sputum sample differential cell count was done.

Results

The eosinophil level in blood before and after treatment showed a significant positive correlation with the number of hospital admission in the last year (r = 0.29; P = 0.003 and r = 0.3; P = 0.002, respectively). Regarding the eosinophil level either in blood or in sputum, it showed significant statistical elevation in patients not using steroid treatment in comparison to patients who used systemic or inhaled steroid treatments (P < 0.001 and 0.004, respectively).

Conclusion

Blood eosinophil count can be used as a severity marker of COPD exacerbations. The eosinophil levels, either in blood or sputum, were significantly correlated with the degree of exacerbation. Sputum eosinophilia can also predict the risk of hospitalization. In addition, blood eosinophil count can direct the use of oral corticosteroids in exacerbation.

Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) recommendations: strengths and concerns for future needs

Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is already the third leading cause of death worldwide and simultaneously a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Global initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (also known as GOLD) committee, has been created in 1997 to increase the awareness regarding the burden of COPD. GOLD recommendations have been contributing to diagnosis, management and therapy of COPD since 2001. Through these years, by reviewing published articles, GOLD aimed to provide state-of-the-art information not only for pulmonologists, but also for non-respiratory physicians, and to encourage research on COPD. From 2011, GOLD annual reports have changed the way of COPD evaluation from based entirely on spirometric parameters to more clinical indices, such as the assessment of symptoms and dyspnea alongside with exacerbations. Moreover, according to recent developments in pathophysiology of COPD, there is a trend in identifying new pre-clinical stages, contributing to prevention and early COPD treatment. In the field of therapeutic algorithms, changes turn to a more personalized approach. However, it is not clear in what extent this personalized disease management would be feasible and the real challenge for current recommendations is to include more patient characteristics such as co-morbidities and multidimensional scores in disease evaluation.

Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease and Evidence of Eosinophilic Inflammation Experience Exacerbations Despite Receiving Maximal Inhaled Maintenance Therapy

Background

Some patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) experience frequent exacerbations despite maximal inhaled therapy (“triple therapy”), possibly leading to high health care resource utilization (HCRU).

Aim

Describe characteristics, future HCRU, and mortality of patients with COPD who experience frequent exacerbations despite triple therapy; characterize individuals who may be candidates for biologic therapies.

Methods

This descriptive observational study used primary care data of patients aged ≥40 years in the United Kingdom receiving maintenance therapy for COPD who had ≥1 year of data prior to index date and ≥1 year of follow-up data. We described these patients’ clinical and demographic characteristics, including blood eosinophil counts (BEC), pattern of exacerbations, hospitalizations, and corticosteroid exposure, as well as future exacerbations, hospitalizations, and death.

Results

Of 43,753 patients with maintenance-treated COPD, 6480 experienced exacerbations despite ≥3 months of triple therapy. Of these, 5669 had available BEC: 1287 (22.7%) had BEC ≥250 cells/µL and ≥3 exacerbations in the year prior to the index date; 471 (36.6%) received ≥4 acute courses of oral corticosteroids. Patients with a pattern of high disease burden continued to have high disease burden: 51.1% experienced ≥3 exacerbations and 2.6% experienced ≥3 hospitalizations. Patients who experienced exacerbations despite triple therapy had a significantly higher risk of COPD-related death than other maintenance-treated patients (5.8% vs 2.1%).

Conclusion

Nearly one-quarter of patients receiving triple therapy for COPD who experienced frequent exacerbations had elevated BEC and ≥3 exacerbations, suggesting a potential mechanism of persistent eosinophilic inflammation that could be a target for eosinophil-depleting biologic therapy.

New Perspectives on Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide; many recent advances have been made in many aspects of the disease. The aim of this article is to illustrate and discuss some of these advances in the management of different types of patients. Large-scale trials have confirmed that long-acting bronchodilator therapy, particularly using the combination of LABA/LAMA, remains the mainstay of COPD treatment, with special attention being paid to careful selection of inhaler devices. The initial choice of pharmacological therapy is based on the GOLD ABCD grouping of patients. It is very important to stress that there is a need to implement a management cycle because COPD is a chronic disease with varying clinical course and a high number of potential comorbidities that may affect morbidity and mortality. Therefore, regular reevaluation of the patient is mandatory. This allows identification of characteristics aimed at maximizing the benefits for a specific patient or a subset of patients. Within this context, the role of the blood eosinophil count as a marker of inhaled corticosteroids response to prevent future exacerbations in patients who, despite appropriate bronchodilator therapy, still suffer from them has been proven to be a useful simple biomarker in medication selection. These advances support the concept of precision medicine, with the goal that patients get the right medicine at the right time for the right reason. Finally, recent studies have shown that early life events may be of critical relevance for the development of COPD. With this as a background, concepts to identify individuals at risk and early identification of cases have become an important objective of current research with the hope of maximizing the effects of therapy and the possibility of impacting disease progression.

ACCEPT 2·0: Recalibrating and externally validating the Acute COPD exacerbation prediction tool (ACCEPT)

BACKGROUND

The Acute Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Exacerbation Prediction Tool (ACCEPT) was developed for individualised prediction of COPD exacerbations. ACCEPT was well calibrated overall and had a high discriminatory power, but overestimated risk among individuals without recent exacerbations. The objectives of this study were to 1) fine-tune ACCEPT to make better predictions for individuals with a negative exacerbation history, 2) develop more parsimonious models, and 3) externally validate the models in a new dataset.

METHODS

We recalibrated ACCEPT using data from the Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate End-points (ECLIPSE, a three-year observational study, 1,803 patients, 2,117 exacerbations) study by applying non-parametric regression splines to the predicted rates. We developed three reduced versions of ACCEPT by removing symptom score and/or baseline medications as predictors. We examined the discrimination, calibration, and net benefit of ACCEPT 2·0 in the placebo arm of the Towards a Revolution in COPD Health (TORCH, a three-year randomised clinical trial of inhaled therapies in COPD, 1,091 patients, 1,064 exacerbations) study. The primary outcome for prediction was the occurrence of ≥2 moderate or ≥1 severe exacerbation in the next 12 months; the secondary outcomes were prediction of the occurrence of any moderate/severe exacerbation or any severe exacerbation.

FINDINGS

ACCEPT 2·0 had an area-under-the-curve (AUC) of 0·76 for predicting the primary outcome. Exacerbation history alone (current standard of care) had an AUC of 0·68. The model was well calibrated in patients with positive or negative exacerbation histories. Changes in AUC in reduced versions were minimal for the primary outcome as well as for predicting the occurrence of any moderate/severe exacerbations (ΔAUC<0·011), but more substantial for predicting the occurrence of any severe exacerbations (ΔAUC<0·020). All versions of ACCEPT 2·0 provided positive net benefit over the use of exacerbation history alone for some range of thresholds.

INTERPRETATION

ACCEPT 2·0 showed good calibration regardless of exacerbation history, and predicts exacerbation risk better than current standard of care for a range of thresholds. Future studies need to investigate the utility of exacerbation prediction in various subgroups of patients.

FUNDING

This study was funded by a team grant from the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (PHT 178432).

The Effect of Maintenance Treatment with Erdosteine on Exacerbation Treatment and Health Status in Patients with COPD: A Post-Hoc Analysis of the RESTORE Dataset

Purpose

To explore the effect of erdosteine on COPD exacerbations, health-related quality of life (HRQoL), and subjectively assessed COPD severity.

Patients and methods

This post-hoc analysis of the RESTORE study included participants with COPD and spirometrically moderate (GOLD 2; post-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 second [FEV₁] 50‒79% predicted; n = 254), or severe airflow limitation (GOLD 3; post-bronchodilator FEV₁ 30‒49% predicted; n = 191) who received erdosteine 300 mg twice daily or placebo added to usual maintenance therapy for 12 months. Antibiotic and oral corticosteroid use was determined together with patient-reported HRQoL (St George’s Respiratory Questionnaire, SGRQ). Patient and physician subjective COPD severity scores (scale 0‒4) were rated at baseline, 6 and 12 months. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics for exacerbation severity, COPD severity, and treatment group. Comparisons between treatment groups used Student’s t-tests or ANCOVA as appropriate.

Results

Among GOLD 2 patients, 43 of 126 erdosteine-treated patients exacerbated (7 moderate-to-severe exacerbations), compared to 62 of 128 placebo-treated patients (14 moderate-to-severe exacerbations). Among those with moderate-to-severe exacerbations, erdosteine-treated patients had a shorter mean duration of corticosteroid treatment (11.4 days vs 13.3 days for placebo, P = 0.043), and fewer patients required antibiotic treatment with/without oral corticosteroids (71.4% vs 85.8% for placebo, P < 0.001). Erdosteine-treated GOLD 2 patients who exacerbated showed significant improvements from baseline in SGRQ total scores and subjective disease severity scores (patient- and physician-rated), compared with placebo-treated patients regardless of exacerbation severity. Among GOLD 3 patients, there were no significant differences between treatment groups on any of these measures.

Conclusion

Adding erdosteine to the usual maintenance therapy of COPD patients with moderate airflow limitation reduced the number of exacerbations, the duration of treatment with corticosteroids and the episodes requiring treatment with antibiotics. Additionally, treatment with erdosteine improved HRQoL and patient-reported disease severity.

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The contribution of the gut-liver axis to the immune signaling pathway of NAFLD

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the liver manifestation of metabolic syndrome and is the most common chronic liver disease in the world. The pathogenesis of NAFLD has not been fully clarified; it involves metabolic disturbances, inflammation, oxidative stress, and various forms of cell death. The “intestinal-liver axis” theory, developed in recent years, holds that there is a certain relationship between liver disease and the intestinal tract, and changes in intestinal flora are closely involved in the development of NAFLD. Many studies have found that the intestinal flora regulates the pathogenesis of NAFLD by affecting energy metabolism, inducing endotoxemia, producing endogenous ethanol, and regulating bile acid and choline metabolism. In this review, we highlighted the updated discoveries in intestinal flora dysregulation and their link to the pathogenesis mechanism of NAFLD and summarized potential treatments of NAFLD related to the gut microbiome.

[COPD and eosinophils]

COPD is a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. As research progresses, new patient phenotypes are being defined, providing hope for more personalized management of the disease. A significant proportion of patients present with an increased level of blood eosinophils, which may reflect bronchial eosinophilic inflammation. The aims of this article are to characterize the role of eosinophils in COPD in terms of pathophysiology, associated respiratory symptoms, impact on treatment and, finally, to consider different future treatment options.

Blood Eosinophils and Exhaled Nitric Oxide: Surrogate Biomarkers of Airway Eosinophilia in Stable COPD and Exacerbation

In recent years, tremendous efforts have been devoted to characterizing the inflammatory processes in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in order to provide more personalized treatment for COPD patients. While it has proved difficult to identify COPD-specific inflammatory pathways, the distinction between eosinophilic and non-eosinophilic airway inflammation has gained clinical relevance. Evidence has shown that sputum eosinophil counts are increased in a subset of COPD patients and that these patients are more responsive to oral or inhaled corticosteroid therapy. Due to feasibility issues associated with sputum cell profiling in daily clinical practice, peripheral blood eosinophil counts and fractional exhaled nitric oxide levels have been evaluated as surrogate biomarkers for assessing the extent of airway eosinophilia in COPD patients, both in stable disease and acute exacerbations. The diagnostic value of these markers is not equivalent and depends heavily on the patient’s condition at the time of sample collection. Additionally, the sensitivity and specificity of these tests may be influenced by the patient’s maintenance treatment. Overall, eosinophilic COPD may represent a distinct disease phenotype that needs to be further investigated in terms of prognosis and treatment outcomes.

Prognostic risk factors for moderate-to-severe exacerbations in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a systematic literature review

Background

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. COPD exacerbations are associated with a worsening of lung function, increased disease burden, and mortality, and, therefore, preventing their occurrence is an important goal of COPD management. This review was conducted to identify the evidence base regarding risk factors and predictors of moderate-to-severe exacerbations in patients with COPD.

Methods

A literature review was performed in Embase, MEDLINE, MEDLINE In-Process, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL). Searches were conducted from January 2015 to July 2019. Eligible publications were peer-reviewed journal articles, published in English, that reported risk factors or predictors for the occurrence of moderate-to-severe exacerbations in adults age ≥ 40 years with a diagnosis of COPD.

Results

The literature review identified 5112 references, of which 113 publications (reporting results for 76 studies) met the eligibility criteria and were included in the review. Among the 76 studies included, 61 were observational and 15 were randomized controlled clinical trials. Exacerbation history was the strongest predictor of future exacerbations, with 34 studies reporting a significant association between history of exacerbations and risk of future moderate or severe exacerbations. Other significant risk factors identified in multiple studies included disease severity or bronchodilator reversibility (39 studies), comorbidities (34 studies), higher symptom burden (17 studies), and higher blood eosinophil count (16 studies).

Conclusions

This systematic literature review identified several demographic and clinical characteristics that predict the future risk of COPD exacerbations. Prior exacerbation history was confirmed as the most important predictor of future exacerbations. These prognostic factors may help clinicians identify patients at high risk of exacerbations, which are a major driver of the global burden of COPD, including morbidity and mortality.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12931-022-02123-5.

Pharmacologic Management Strategies of Asthma-Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Overlap

The best therapeutic approach to patients with asthma-chronic obstructive pulmonary disease overlap (ACO) is unknown. Current treatment recommendations rely on expert opinions, roundtable discussions, and strategy documents, because patients with ACO have been excluded from most clinical studies in asthma and COPD. Because of the underlying asthma initial therapy, early use of inhaled corticosteroids along with a long-acting bronchodilator is recommended. If maintenance inhaler therapy is not effective, advanced therapies based on phenotyping and identification of treatable traits may be considered.

Prognosis of Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Not Eligible for Major Clinical Trials

Rationale: Randomized controlled trials only include a subset of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) fulfilling strict inclusion criteria. Thus, most patients with COPD in a real-world setting do not have the necessary evidence to support treatment effectiveness. Objectives: To test the hypotheses that most individuals with COPD in the general population are not represented in major clinical trials despite clinically significant disease with exacerbations and early death. Methods: In 105,630 adults from a Danish contemporary population-based cohort, we defined COPD as age 40 or more years, chronic respiratory symptoms, history of smoking exposure, and airflow limitation with FEV₁/FVC < 0.70. Outcomes included acute exacerbations and all-cause mortality. Symptomatic smokers without COPD were used as a reference group. Measurements and Main Results: Of all, 7,516 (7%) and 16,079 (15%) were symptomatic smokers with and without COPD. Only 44% of those with COPD were eligible for major clinical trials when applying FEV₁ < 80% predicted, smoking history of 10 or more pack-years, and no comorbid asthma as common inclusion criteria. During the median 8.9 years of follow-up, we observed 2,130 acute exacerbations and 3,973 deaths in symptomatic smokers. Compared with symptomatic smokers without COPD, multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for exacerbations were 7.45 (95% confidence interval, 5.41-10.3) and 29.0 (21.1-39.8) in those with COPD, respectively, excluded and eligible for clinical trials. Corresponding hazard ratios for all-cause mortality were 1.21 (1.11-1.31) and 1.67 (1.54-1.81), respectively. Conclusions: More than half of individuals with COPD in the general population are excluded from major clinical trials; however, these individuals have a clinically significant disease with exacerbations and early death compared with symptomatic smokers without COPD.

Plasma immunoglobulin E and risk of exacerbation and mortality in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A contemporary population-based cohort

BACKGROUND

Novel biomarkers and targeted treatments are needed for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

OBJECTIVE

To test the hypothesis that high plasma immunoglobulin (Ig)E concentrations associate with increased risk of exacerbation and mortality in individuals with COPD in the general population.

METHODS

Among 46,598 adults in the Copenhagen General Population Study, we included 1559 with COPD, defined as forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity < 0.70 and forced expiratory volume in 1 second < 80% predicted in individuals aged ≥ 40 years with chronic respiratory symptoms and smoking exposure ≥ 10 pack-years, and without asthma. We assessed risk of future severe exacerbation and all-cause mortality according to baseline plasma IgE ≥ 76 IU/mL, a clinical cutoff for omalizumab treatment in severe asthma.

RESULTS

During 14 years of follow-up (median, 6.9; interquartile range, 3.4), we recorded 224 severe exacerbations and 434 deaths in 1559 individuals with COPD. Individuals with COPD with IgE ≥ 76 IU/mL vs those with < 76 IU/mL had a multivariable adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.43 (95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.89) for severe exacerbation and 1.30 (1.05-1.62) for all-cause mortality. Compared with individuals with IgE < 76 IU/mL and blood eosinophils < 300 cells/µL, the multivariable adjusted HR for severe exacerbation was 1.12 (0.76-1.67) for those with IgE < 76 IU/mL and blood eosinophils ≥ 300 cells/µL, 1.62 (1.17-2.24) for IgE ≥ 76 IU/mL and blood eosinophils < 300 cells/µL, and 1.06 (0.63-1.77) for those with IgE ≥ 76 IU/mL and blood eosinophils ≥ 300 cells/µL. Corresponding HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.27 (0.99-1.63), 1.47 (1.14-1.88), and 1.17 (0.83-1.64), respectively.

CONCLUSION

High plasma IgE was associated with an increased risk of severe exacerbation and all-cause mortality in individuals with COPD in the general population, independent of blood eosinophils.

Glucocorticoid therapy in respiratory illness: bench to bedside

Each year, hundreds of millions of individuals are affected by respiratory disease leading to approximately 4 million deaths. Most respiratory pathologies involve substantially dysregulated immune processes that either fail to resolve the underlying process or actively exacerbate the disease. Therefore, clinicians have long considered immune-modulating corticosteroids (CSs), particularly glucocorticoids (GCs), as a critical tool for management of a wide spectrum of respiratory conditions. However, the complex interplay between effectiveness, risks and side effects can lead to different results, depending on the disease in consideration. In this comprehensive review, we present a summary of the bench and the bedside evidence regarding GC treatment in a spectrum of respiratory illnesses. We first describe here the experimental evidence of GC effects in the distal airways and/or parenchyma, both in vitro and in disease-specific animal studies, then we evaluate the recent clinical evidence regarding GC treatment in over 20 respiratory pathologies. Overall, CS remain a critical tool in the management of respiratory illness, but their benefits are dependent on the underlying pathology and should be weighed against patient-specific risks.

Blood Eosinophils and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A GOLD Science Committee 2022 Review

COPD is a heterogeneous condition. Some patients benefit from treatment with inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) but this requires a precision medicine approach, based on clinical characteristics (phenotyping) and biological information (endotyping) in order to select patients most likely to benefit. The GOLD 2019 report recommended using exacerbation history combined with blood eosinophil counts (BEC) to identify such patients. Importantly, the relationship between BEC and ICS effects is continuous; no / small effects are observed at lower BEC, with increasing effects at higher BEC. The GOLD 2022 report has added additional evidence and recommendations concerning the use of BEC in COPD in clinical practice. Notably, associations have been demonstrated in COPD patients between higher BEC and increased levels of type-2 inflammation in the lungs. These differences in type-2 inflammation can explain the differential ICS response according to BEC. Additionally, lower BEC are associated with greater presence of proteobacteria, notably haemophilus, and increased bacterial infections and pneumonia risk. These observations support management strategies that use BEC to help identify subgroups with increased ICS response (higher BEC) or increased risk of bacterial infection (lower BEC). Recent studies in younger individuals without COPD have also shown that higher BEC are associated with increased risk of FEV1 decline and the development of COPD. Here we discuss and summarise the GOLD 2022 recommendations concerning the use of BEC as a biomarker that can facilitate a personalised management approach in COPD.

Use of inhaled corticosteroids and risk of acquiring Pseudomonas aeruginosa in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

BACKGROUND

Inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) are commonly used to treat COPD and are associated with increased risk of pneumonia. The aim of this study was to assess if accumulated use of ICS is associated with a dose-dependent risk of a positive airway culture with Pseudomonas aeruginosa in patients with COPD.

METHODS

We conducted a multiregional epidemiological cohort study including Danish COPD patients followed in outpatient clinics during 2010-2017. ICS use was categorised based on accumulated prescriptions redeemed 365 days prior to cohort entry. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to estimate the risk of acquiring P. aeruginosa. Propensity score matched models were used as sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 21 408 patients were included in the study, of which 763 (3.6%) acquired P. aeruginosa during follow-up. ICS use was associated with a dose-dependent risk of P. aeruginosa (low ICS dose: HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.84, p=0.03; moderate ICS dose: HR 2.16, 95% CI 1.63 to 2.85, p<0.0001; high ICS dose: HR 3.58, 95% CI 2.75 to 4.65, p<0.0001; reference: no ICS use). A propensity matched model confirmed the results (high ICS dose compared with no/low/moderate ICS dose: HR 2.05, 95% CI 1.76 to 2.39, p p<0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Use of ICS in patients with COPD followed in Danish outpatient clinics was associated with a substantially increased and dose-dependent risk of acquiring P. aeruginosa. Caution should be taken when administering high doses of ICS in severely ill patients with COPD. These results should be confirmed in comparable cohorts and other settings.

Advances in inhaled corticosteroids for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: what is their value today?

INTRODUCTION

As of today, there is still a need to determine which COPD patients may benefit from ICS therapy, whether ICSs are useful in COPD patients without chronic bronchitis, and whether long-acting bronchodilators can reduce the risk of exacerbations in frequent exacerbators even if ICSs are not used, and whether combination therapy including ICSs is helpful in infrequent exacerbators to optimise the use of ICSs in COPD. Nevertheless, in recent years, a fair amount of evidence has been produced that, at least in part, can help define the role of ICSs in COPD better.

AREAS COVERED

Herein, the authors provide an overview of current use of ICS in COPD and discuss their value to the current treatment armamentarium. The article includes discussion of which patients will benefit best from the use of ICSs, their potential uses and adverse effects.

EXPERT OPINION

There is growing agreement on why, in whom, and when ICS therapy can be used in COPD, although the consensus is still lacking because of the heterogeneity of COPD. The use of blood eosinophil counts (BECs) is only helpful in T2 inflammation, while there is a lack of biomarkers indicating the presence of T1 and T17 immunity, which is poorly responsive to ICS. Identifying ICS-sensitive endotypes using specific biomarkers that have yet to be identified and validated is likely to demonstrate that ICSs can influence the natural course of COPD in at least a subset of patients.

[Take-home messages from the COPD 2021 biennial of the French Society of Respiratory Diseases. Understanding to so as to better innovate]

INTRODUCTION

The first COPD biennial organized by the French Society of Respiratory Diseases (SPLF) took place on 17 December 2021.

STATE OF THE ART

The objective of the biennial was to discuss current knowledge regarding COPD pathophysiology, current treatments, research development, and future therapeutic approaches.

PERSPECTIVES

The different lecturers laid emphasis on the complexity of pathophysiologic mechanisms including bronchial, bronchiolar and parenchymal alterations, and also dwelt on the role of microbiota composition in COPD pathenogenesis. They pointed out that addition to inhaled treatments, ventilatory support and endoscopic approaches have been increasingly optimized. The development of new therapeutic pathways such as biotherapy and cell therapy (stem cells…) call for further exploration.

CONCLUSIONS

The dynamism of COPD research was repeatedly underlined, and needs to be further reinforced, the objective being to "understand so as to better innovate" so as to develop effective new strategies for treatment and management of COPD.

Cigarette Smoking and Asthma

Globally, around half the adult asthma population are current or former cigarette smokers. Cigarette smoking and asthma interact to induce an "asthma-smoking phenotype(s)," which has important implications for diagnosis, pathogenic mechanisms, and management. The lack of progress in understanding the effects of smoking on adults with asthma is due in part to their exclusion from most investigative studies and large clinical trials. In this review, we summarize the adverse clinical outcomes associated with cigarette smoking in asthma, highlight challenges in diagnosing asthma among cigarette smokers with chronic respiratory symptoms, particularly in older individuals with a long-standing smoking history, and review pathogenic mechanisms involving smoking- and asthma-related airway inflammation, tissue remodeling, corticosteroid insensitivity, and low-grade systemic inflammation. We discuss the key components of management including the importance of smoking cessation strategies, evidence for the effectiveness of the Global Initiative for Asthma recommendations on treatment in cigarette smokers, and the role of treatable traits such as type 2 eosinophilic airway inflammation. Lastly, we provide an algorithm to aid clinicians to manage current and former smokers with asthma. In the future, controlled and pragmatic trials in real-world populations should include cigarette smokers with asthma to provide an evidence base for treatment recommendations.

Characterization of Eosinophilic Bronchiectasis: A European Multicohort Study

Rationale: Bronchiectasis is classically considered a neutrophilic disorder, but eosinophilic subtypes have recently been described. Objectives: To use multiple datasets available through the European Multicentre Bronchiectasis Audit and Research Collaboration to characterize eosinophilic bronchiectasis as a clinical entity focusing on the impact of eosinophils on bronchiectasis exacerbations. Methods: Patients were included from five countries to examine the relationships between blood eosinophil counts and clinical phenotypes after excluding coexisting asthma. 16S rRNA sequencing was used to examine relationships between eosinophil counts and the sputum microbiome. A post hoc analysis of the PROMIS (Inhaled Promixin in the Treatment of Non-Cystic Fibrosis Bronchiectasis) phase 2 trial was used to examine the impact of blood eosinophil counts on exacerbations in patients with Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection. Measurements and Main Results: A relationship between sputum and blood eosinophil counts was demonstrated in two cohorts. In analysis of 1,007 patients from five countries, 22.6% of patients had blood eosinophil counts of ⩾300 cells/μl. Counts of <100 cells/μl were associated with higher bronchiectasis severity and increased mortality. There was no clear relationship with exacerbations. Blood eosinophil counts of ⩾300 cells/μl were associated with both Streptococcus- and Pseudomonas-dominated microbiome profiles. To investigate the relationship of eosinophil counts with exacerbations after controlling for the confounding effects of infection, 144 patients were studied in a clinical trial after treatment with antipseudomonal antibiotics. Compared with patients with blood eosinophil counts of <100 cells/μl (reference), elevated eosinophil counts of 100-299 cells/μl (hazard ratio, 2.38; 95% confidence interval, 1.33-4.25; P = 0.003) and ⩾300 cells/μl (hazard ratio, 3.99; 95% confidence interval, 2.20-7.85; P < 0.0001) were associated with shorter time to exacerbation. Conclusions: Eosinophilic bronchiectasis affects approximately 20% of patients. After accounting for infection status, raised blood eosinophil counts are associated with shortened time to exacerbation.

Eosinophils and eosinophilic immune dysfunction in health and disease

The functions ascribed to eosinophils have classically been limited to host defence against certain parasitic infections and potentially deleterious effects in the setting of specific diseases that are associated with elevated eosinophil counts in blood and/or tissue. The ability to induce eosinophil depletion either experimentally in animal models or through targeted therapies in humans has extended our understanding of the roles played by eosinophils in health and homeostasis as well as in disease pathogenesis. When associated with human disease aetiology, the eosinophil takes on a pathogenic rather than a protective role. This maladaptive response, called "eosinophilic immune dysfunction" herein, appears central to exacerbation pathogenesis and disease control in severe asthma and may be involved in the aetiology of other eosinophil-related conditions ranging from organ-system-limited diseases such as phenotypic subsets of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyposis to more broadly systemic diseases such as eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangiitis and hypereosinophilic syndrome. In this review, we describe the evidence supporting eosinophilic functions related to health and homeostasis and explore the contribution of eosinophilic immune dysfunction to human disease.

Longitudinal changes in forced expiratory volume in 1 s in patients with eosinophilic chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

BACKGROUND

Data on changes in lung function in eosinophilic chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are limited. We investigated the longitudinal changes in forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV₁) and effects of inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) in Korean COPD patients.

METHODS

Stable COPD patients in the Korean COPD subgroup study (KOCOSS) cohort, aged 40 years or older, were included and classified as eosinophilic and non-eosinophilic COPD based on blood counts of eosinophils (greater or lesser than 300 cells/μL). FEV₁ changes were analyzed over a 3-year follow-up period.

RESULTS

Of 627 patients who underwent spirometry at least twice during the follow up, 150 and 477 patients were classified as eosinophilic and non-eosinophilic, respectively. ICS-containing inhalers were prescribed to 40% of the patients in each group. Exacerbations were more frequent in the eosinophilic group (adjusted odds ratio: 1.49; 95% confidence interval: 1.10-2.03). An accelerated FEV₁ decline was observed in the non-eosinophilic group (adjusted annual rate of FEV₁ change: - 12.2 mL/y and - 19.4 mL/y for eosinophilic and non-eosinophilic groups, respectively). In eosinophilic COPD, the adjusted rate of annual FEV₁ decline was not significant regardless of ICS therapy, but the decline rate was greater in ICS users (- 19.2 mL/y and - 4.5 mL/y, with and without ICS therapy, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The annual rate of decline in FEV₁ was favorable in eosinophilic COPD compared to non-eosinophilic COPD, and ICS therapy had no beneficial effects on changes in FEV₁.

Blood Eosinophils in Chinese COPD Participants and Response to Treatment with Combination Low-Dose Theophylline and Prednisone: A Post-Hoc Analysis of the TASCS Trial

Background and Objectives

The burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) disproportionately affects patients in low to middle-income countries. Although the Theophylline and Steroids in COPD Study (TASCS) showed no clinical benefit from administering low-dose theophylline and prednisone in COPD patients compared to placebo, it was hypothesized that those with elevated blood eosinophil counts would receive clinical benefit from the intervention.

Methods

This was a post-hoc analysis of the TASCS dataset – a double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial conducted in patients with moderate–severe COPD in China. Participants were allocated 1:1:1 to low-dose oral theophylline (100mg bd) and prednisone (5mg qd; PrT), theophylline (100mg bd) and prednisone-matched placebo (TP), or double-matched placebo (DP) groups and followed-up for 48 weeks. A baseline count of ≥300 eosinophils/µL blood was categorized as elevated/eosinophilic, and the primary outcome was the annualized moderate-severe exacerbation rate.

Results

Of 1487 participants eligible for analysis, 325 (22%) were eosinophilic. These participants were predominantly male (82%), had a mean (SD) age of 64 (±8) years and a predicted forced expiratory volume in 1s (FEV₁) of 43% (±16). The annualized moderate–severe exacerbation rate was significantly higher in the PrT group compared to the pooled results of the TP and DP groups (incidence rate ratio = 1.6; ([95% CI 1.06–1.76]) p = 0.016). Changes in spirometry values and reported disease impact scores (St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire and COPD Assessment Test) at week 48 were not significantly different between groups.

Conclusion

Combination low-dose theophylline and prednisone was associated with a significant increase in the annual moderate-severe exacerbation rate in participants with a blood eosinophil count ≥300 cells/µL compared to placebo.

Methylxanthine Treatment in Patients Hospitalized for Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in China: A Real-World Study Using Propensity Score Matching Analysis

Background: Although medical guidelines discourage the use of methylxanthines in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD), they are still widely used in clinical practice. This study investigated the real-world use of methylxanthines in the management of AECOPD.

Methods: Patient data from the Acute exacerbation of Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease Using REgistry data (ACURE, NCT02657525) study database were screened. Enrolled patients were divided into treatment and control groups. Propensity score (PS) matching and Cox regression analyses were used to minimize confounding factors and determine the association between methylxanthine treatment and the length of stay (LOS).

Results: Among the 2088 eligible patients, 1,563 (74.9%) were in the methylxanthine treatment group. Patients treated with methylxanthines had more severe respiratory symptoms and worse lung function than those in the control group. Doxophylline was the most commonly used methylxanthine in both secondary and tertiary hospitals. After PS matching, 966 patients were equally divided into two groups. The LOS of patients in the two groups was similar [median: 8 days, interquartile range (IQR): 7–11 days, p = 0.730]. Patients in the treatment group (median: 8, IQR: 4–12) had a more significant decrease in the COPD Assessment Test score from admission to discharge than those in the control group (median: 6, IQR: 2–10, p &lt; 0.001). Among all matched patients, the LOS was not significantly associated with methylxanthine treatment [adjusted hazard ratio (HR): 1.02, 95% confidence intervals (CIs): 0.89–1.16]. However, in the subgroup analysis, methylxanthines were significantly associated with a short LOS in patients with blood eosinophil count &gt;4% (adjusted HR: 1.56, 95% CIs: 1.12–2.17).

Conclusion: This study revealed that methylxanthines, especially doxophylline, are widely used in China. Methylxanthines were effective in improving symptoms in AECOPD patients. Higher blood eosinophil count may be associated with a better efficacy of methylxanthine treatment.

Precision medicine in bronchiectasis

Bronchiectasis, due to its highly heterogenous nature, requires an individualised approach to therapy. Patients experience symptoms and exacerbations driven by a combination of impaired mucociliary clearance, airway inflammation and airway infection. Treatment of bronchiectasis aims to enhance airway clearance and to address the underlying causes of inflammation and infection susceptibility. Bronchiectasis has multiple causes and so the pathophysiology leading to individual symptoms and exacerbations are different between individuals. Standardised investigations are recommended by international guidelines to identify the underlying causes of bronchiectasis. The process of identifying the underlying biology within an individual is called “endotyping” and is an emerging concept across chronic diseases. Endotypes that have a specific treatment are referred to as “treatable traits” and a treatable traits approach to managing patients with bronchiectasis in a holistic and evidence-based manner is the key to improved outcomes. Bronchiectasis is an area of intense research. Endotyping allows identification of subsets of patients to allow medicines to be tested differently in the future where trials, rather than trying to achieve a “one size fits all” solution, can test efficacy in subsets of patients where the treatment is most likely to be efficacious.

Bronchiectasis, due to its highly heterogenous nature, requires an individualised approach to therapy. Treatment targets symptoms and exacerbations by aiming to improve mucociliary clearance and to reduce airway inflammation and airway infection.https://bit.ly/3ite4B2

Predictors of Influenza PCR Positivity in Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Purpose

Influenza infection is an important cause of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). Clinical features predicting influenza PCR positivity are unknown. We aim to identify predictors of influenza PCR positivity in AECOPD.

Patients and Methods

A retrospective study of AECOPD cases admitted between 1st January 2016 to 30 June 2017 with combined nasal/throat swabs sent for influenza PCR (Xpert Xpress Flu/RSV) within 24 hours of admission was performed. Clinical parameters and investigations within 24 hours of admission were retrieved from electronic medical records.

Results

Influenza PCR were sent for 925 AECOPD cases (mean age 75 years, 87.9% male). There were 90 PCR positive cases (68 Influenza A, 22 Influenza B). Influenza PCR positive cases had higher temperatures, higher heart rates, lower white cell and lower eosinophil counts. Age, gender, COPD severity, comorbidities and smoking status were similar in both groups. There were no differences in blood pressure, oxygen status, neutrophil or lymphocyte counts, C reactive protein, procalcitonin or chest X-ray consolidation between groups. Higher temperature, higher heart rate, white cell count in the lowest quartile (Q1 < 8.1 x10⁹/L) and non-eosinophilic exacerbations predicted influenza PCR positivity on univariate logistic regression and these factors remained significant after multivariate adjustment (temperature adjusted odds ratio [adj OR] 1.324 [1.009–1.737], p = 0.043; heart rate adj OR 1.017 [1.004–1.030], p = 0.011; white cell count Q1 adj OR 3.330 [1.690–6.562], p = 0.001; eosinophilic exacerbations adj OR 0.390 [0.202–0.756], p = 0.005).

Conclusion

Higher temperature, higher heart rate, low white cell count (especially when < 8.1 x10⁹/L) and non-eosinophilic exacerbations are independent predictors of influenza PCR positivity in AECOPD cases.

Predictive modeling of COPD exacerbation rates using baseline risk factors

Background:

Demographic and disease characteristics have been associated with the risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations. Using previously collected multinational clinical trial data, we developed models that use baseline risk factors to predict an individual’s rate of moderate/severe exacerbations in the next year on various pharmacological treatments for COPD.

Methods:

Exacerbation data from 20,054 patients in the ETHOS, KRONOS, TELOS, SOPHOS, and PINNACLE-1, PINNACLE-2, and PINNACLE-4 studies were pooled. Machine learning was used to identify predictors of moderate/severe exacerbation rates. Important factors were selected for generalized linear modeling, further informed by backward variable selection. An independent test set was held back for validation.

Results:

Prior exacerbations, eosinophil count, forced expiratory volume in 1 s percent predicted, prior maintenance treatments, reliever medication use, sex, COPD Assessment Test score, smoking status, and region were significant predictors of exacerbation risk, with response to inhaled corticosteroids (ICSs) increasing with higher eosinophil counts, more prior exacerbations, or additional prior treatments. Model fit was similar in the training and test set. Prediction metrics were ~10% better in the full model than in a simplified model based only on eosinophil count, prior exacerbations, and ICS use.

Conclusion:

These models predicting rates of moderate/severe exacerbations can be applied to a broad range of patients with COPD in terms of airway obstruction, eosinophil counts, exacerbation history, symptoms, and treatment history. Understanding the relative and absolute risks related to these factors may be useful for clinicians in evaluating the benefit: risk ratio of various treatment decisions for individual patients.

Clinical trials registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02465567, NCT02497001, NCT02766608, NCT02727660, NCT01854645, NCT01854658, NCT02343458, NCT03262012, NCT02536508, and NCT01970878)

Blood eosinophil counts in the general population and airways disease: a comprehensive review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The clinical context for using blood eosinophil (EOS) counts as treatment-response biomarkers in asthma and COPD requires better understanding of EOS distributions and ranges. We describe EOS distributions and ranges published in asthma, COPD, control (non-asthma/COPD) and general populations.

METHODS

We conducted a comprehensive literature review and meta-analysis of observational studies (January 2008 to November 2018) that included EOS counts in asthma, severe asthma, COPD, control and general populations. Excluded studies had total sample sizes <200, EOS as inclusion criterion, hospitalised population only and exclusively paediatric participants.

RESULTS

Overall, 91 eligible studies were identified, most had total-population-level data available: asthma (39 studies), severe asthma (12 studies), COPD (23 studies), control (seven studies) and general populations (14 studies); some articles reported data for multiple populations. Reported EOS distributions were right-skewed (seven studies). Reported median EOS counts ranged from 157-280 cells·µL-1 (asthma, 22 studies); 200-400 cells·µL-1 (severe asthma, eight studies); 150-183 cells·µL-1 (COPD, six studies); and 100-160 cells·µL-1 (controls, three studies); and 100-200 cells·µL-1 (general populations, six studies). The meta-analysis showed that observed variability was mostly between studies rather than within studies. Factors reportedly associated with higher blood EOS counts included current smoking, positive skin-prick test, elevated total IgE, comorbid allergic rhinitis, age ≤18 years, male sex, spirometric asthma/COPD diagnosis, metabolic syndrome and adiposity.

CONCLUSION

EOS distribution and range varied by study population, and were affected by clinical factors including age, smoking history and comorbidities, which, regardless of severity, should be considered during treatment decision-making.

COPD - do the right thing

A gap exists between guidelines and real-world clinical practice for the management and treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Although this has narrowed in the last decade, there is room for improvement in detection rates, treatment choices and disease monitoring. In practical terms, primary care practitioners need to become aware of the huge impact of COPD on patients, have non-judgemental views of smoking and of COPD as a chronic disease, use a holistic consultation approach and actively motivate patients to adhere to treatment.This article is based on discussions at a virtual meeting of leading Nordic experts in COPD (the authors) who were developing an educational programme for COPD primary care in the Nordic region. The article aims to describe the diagnosis and lifelong management cycle of COPD, with a strong focus on providing a hands-on, practical approach for medical professionals to optimise patient outcomes in COPD primary care.

Blood eosinophils to guide inhaled maintenance therapy in a primary care COPD population

Blood eosinophils are a potentially useful biomarker for guiding inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) treatment decisions in COPD. We investigated whether existing blood eosinophil counts predict benefit from initiation of ICS compared to bronchodilator therapy.

We used routinely collected data from UK primary care in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Participants were aged ≥40 years with COPD, were ICS-naïve and starting a new inhaled maintenance medication (intervention group: ICS; comparator group: long-acting bronchodilator, non-ICS). Primary outcome was time to first exacerbation, compared between ICS and non-ICS groups, stratified by blood eosinophils (“high” ≥150 cells·µL−1 and “low” <150 cells·µL−1).

Out of 9475 eligible patients, 53.9% initiated ICS and 46.1% non-ICS treatment with no difference in eosinophils between treatment groups (p=0.71). Exacerbation risk was higher in patients prescribed ICS than those prescribed non-ICS treatment, but with a lower risk in those with high eosinophils (hazard ratio (HR) 1.04, 95% CI 0.98–1.10) than low eosinophils (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.09–1.31) (p-value for interaction 0.01). Risk of pneumonia hospitalisation with ICS was greatest in those with low eosinophils (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.05–1.50; p-value for interaction 0.04). Results were similar whether the most recent blood eosinophil count or the mean of blood eosinophil counts was used.

In a primary care population, the most recent blood eosinophil count could be used to guide initiation of ICS in COPD patients. We suggest that ICS should be considered in those with higher eosinophils and avoided in those with lower eosinophils (<150 cells·µL−1).

T2 Biomarkers as Predictors of Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

INTRODUCTION

Type 2 (T2) biomarkers such as blood eosinophil count (BEC) and FeNO have been related to a higher risk of exacerbations in COPD. It is unknown whether combining these biomarkers could be useful in forecasting COPD exacerbations.

METHODS

COPD patients were enrolled in this prospective, multicenter, observational study and followed up for 1 year, during which BEC were analysed at baseline (V0) while FeNO analyses were performed at baseline (V0), 6 months (V1) and 12 months (V2). The risk of moderate or severe exacerbation during follow up was assessed by Cox regression analysis, and the predictive capacity of both measurements was assessed by ROC curves and the DeLong test. Statistical significance was assumed at P<.05.

RESULTS

Of the 322 COPD patients initially recruited, 287 were followed up. At baseline, 28.0% were active smokers, and experienced moderate airflow limitation (mean FEV₁ 56.4%±17.0% predicted). Patients with at least one elevated T2 biomarker (n=125, 42.5%) were at increased risk of COPD exacerbation (HR 1.75, 95% CI 1.25-2.45, P=.001) and of shorter time to first COPD exacerbation. There was no difference between BEC and FeNO regarding the predictive capacity for moderate to severe exacerbation (AUC 0.584 vs 0.576, P=.183) but FeNO predicted severe episodes more accurately than BEC (AUC 0.607 vs 0.539, P<.05). Combining the two biomarkers enhanced the detection of moderate and severe COPD exacerbations.

CONCLUSIONS

Both eosinophil count and FeNO have limited utility for predicting COPD exacerbations. Combining these T2 biomarkers could enhance the detection of future COPD exacerbations.

Treatable Traits in COPD - A Proposed Approach

The well-recognized individual heterogeneity within COPD patients has led to a growing interest in greater personalization in the approach of these patients. Thus, the treatable traits strategy has been proposed as a further step towards precision medicine in the management of chronic airway disease, both in stable phase and acute exacerbations. The aim of this paper is to perform a critical review on the treatable traits strategy and propose a guide to approach COPD patients in the light of this new concept. An innovative stepwise approach is proposed - a multidisciplinary model based on two distinct phases, with the potential to be implemented in both primary care and hospital settings. The first phase is the initial and focused assessment of a selected subset of treatable traits, which should be addressed in all COPD patients in both settings (primary care and hospital). As some patients may present with advanced disease at diagnosis or may progress despite this initial treatment requiring a more specialized assessment, they should progress to a second phase, in which a broader approach is recommended. Beyond stable COPD, we explore how the treatable traits strategy may be applied to reduce the risk of future exacerbations and improve the management of COPD exacerbations. Since many treatable traits have already been related to exacerbation risk, the strategy proposed here represents an opportunity to be proactive. Although it still lacks prospective validation, we believe this is the way forward for the future of the COPD approach.

Overcoming Therapeutic Inertia to Reduce the Risk of COPD Exacerbations: Four Action Points for Healthcare Professionals

Background

Therapeutic inertia, defined as failure to escalate or initiate adequate therapy when treatment goals are not met, contributes to poor management of COPD exacerbations.

Methods

A multidisciplinary panel of five expert clinicians actively managing COPD and representative of UK practice developed action points to reduce exacerbation risk, based on evidence, clinical expertise, and experience. The action points are applicable despite changing circumstances (eg, virtual clinics). The panel agreed areas where further evidence is needed.

Results

The four action points were (1) an experienced HCP, such as a GP or member of the multi-professional COPD team should review patients within one month of every exacerbation that requires oral steroids, antibiotics, or hospitalization to address modifiable risk factors, optimize non-pharmacological measures, and evaluate pharmacological therapy. (2) Presenting to hospital with an exacerbation defines an important window of opportunity to reduce the risk of further exacerbations. Follow-up by a GP, or member of the multi-professional specialist COPD team within one month of discharge with a full management review and appropriate escalation of pharmacological treatment is essential. (3) Healthcare professionals (HCPs) in all healthcare settings should be able to recognize COPD exacerbations, refer as appropriate and document the episode accurately in medical records across service boundaries. HCPs should support patients to recognize and report exacerbations. (4) HCPs should intervene proactively based on risk assessments, disease activity and any treatable traits at or as soon as possible after diagnosis and annually thereafter. Delivering these action points needs coordinated action with policymakers, funders, and service providers.

Conclusion

These action points should be a fundamental part of clinical practice to determine if a change in management is necessary to reduce the risk of exacerbations. Policymakers should use these action points to develop systems and initiatives that reduce the risk of further exacerbations.