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Shanbehzadeh M, Kazemi-Arpanahi H, Orooji A, Mobarak S, Jelvay S. Performance evaluation of selected machine learning algorithms for COVID-19 prediction using routine clinical data: With versus Without CT scan features. JOURNAL OF EDUCATION AND HEALTH PROMOTION 2021; 10:285. [PMID: 34667785 PMCID: PMC8459865 DOI: 10.4103/jehp.jehp_1424_20] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2020] [Accepted: 11/19/2020] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Given coronavirus disease (COVID-19's) unknown nature, diagnosis, and treatment is very complex up to the present time. Thus, it is essential to have a framework for an early prediction of the disease. In this regard, machines learning (ML) could be crucial to extract concealed patterns from mining of huge raw datasets then it establishes high-quality predictive models. At this juncture, we aimed to apply different ML techniques to develop clinical predictive models and select the best performance of them. MATERIALS AND METHODS The dataset of Ayatollah Talleghani hospital, COVID-19 focal center affiliated to Abadan University of Medical Sciences have been taken into consideration. The dataset used in this study consists of 501 case records with two classes (COVID-19 and non COVID-19) and 32 columns for the diagnostic features. ML algorithms such as Naïve Bayesian, Bayesian Net, random forest (RF), multilayer perceptron, K-star, C4.5, and support vector machine were developed. Then, the recital of selected ML models was assessed by the comparison of some performance indices such as accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, F-score, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC). RESULTS The experimental results indicate that RF algorithm with the accuracy of 92.42%, specificity of 75.70%, precision of 92.30%, sensitivity of 92.40%, F-measure of 92.00%, and ROC of 97.15% has the best capability for COVID-19 diagnosis and screening. CONCLUSION The empirical results reveal that RF model yielded higher performance as compared to other six classification models. It is promising to the implementation of RF model in the health-care settings to increase the accuracy and speed of disease diagnosis for primary prevention, screening, surveillance, and early treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mostafa Shanbehzadeh
- Assistant Professor of Health Information Management, Department of Health Information Technology, School of Paramedical, Ilam University of Medical Sciences, Ilam, Iran
| | - Hadi Kazemi-Arpanahi
- Assistant Professor of Health Information Management, Department of Health Information Technology, Abadan University of Medical Sciences, Abadan, Iran
- Assistant Professor of Health Information Management, Student Research Committee, Abadan University of Medical Sciences, Abadan, Iran
| | - Azam Orooji
- Assistant Professor of Medical Informatics, School of Medicine, North Khorasan University of Medical Science, North Khorasan, Iran
| | - Sara Mobarak
- Assistant Professor of Infectious Diseases, School of Medicine, Abadan University of Medical Sciences, Abadan, Iran
| | - Saeed Jelvay
- MSc of Health Information Technology, Department of Student Research Committee, Abadan University of Medical Sciences, Abadan, Iran
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UĞUREL OM, ATA O, TURGUT-BALIK D. Genomic chronicle of SARS-CoV-2: a mutational analysis with over 1 million genome sequences. Turk J Biol 2021; 45:425-435. [PMID: 34803444 PMCID: PMC8573839 DOI: 10.3906/biy-2106-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2021] [Accepted: 07/30/2021] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Use of information technologies to analyse big data on SARS-CoV-2 genome provides an insight for tracking variations and examining the evolution of the virus. Nevertheless, storing, processing, alignment and analyses of these numerous genomes are still a challenge. In this study, over 1 million SARS-CoV-2 genomes have been analysed to show distribution and relationship of variations that could enlighten development and evolution of the virus. In all genomes analysed in this study, a total of over 215M SNVs have been detected and average number of SNV per isolate was found to be 21.83. Single nucleotide variant (SNV) average is observed to reach 31.25 just in March 2021. The average variation number of isolates is increasing and compromising with total case numbers around the world. Remarkably, cytosine deamination, which is one of the most important biochemical processes in the evolutionary development of coronaviruses, accounts for 46% of all SNVs seen in SARS-CoV-2 genomes within 16 months. This study is one of the most comprehensive SARS-CoV-2 genomic analysis study in terms of number of genomes analysed in an academic publication so far, and reported results could be useful in monitoring the development of SARS-CoV-2.
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Affiliation(s)
- Osman Mutluhan UĞUREL
- Department of Bioengineering, Faculty of Chemical and Metallurgical Engineering, Yıldız Technical University, İstanbulTurkey
- Department of Basic Sciences, School of Engineering and Natural Sciences, Altınbaş University, İstanbulTurkey
| | - Oğuz ATA
- Department of Software Engineering, School of Engineering and Natural Sciences, Altınbaş University, İstanbulTurkey
| | - Dilek TURGUT-BALIK
- Department of Bioengineering, Faculty of Chemical and Metallurgical Engineering, Yıldız Technical University, İstanbulTurkey
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Rodríguez-Rodríguez I, Rodríguez JV, Shirvanizadeh N, Ortiz A, Pardo-Quiles DJ. Applications of Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Big Data and the Internet of Things to the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Scientometric Review Using Text Mining. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:8578. [PMID: 34444327 PMCID: PMC8393243 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18168578] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2021] [Revised: 08/02/2021] [Accepted: 08/11/2021] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has wreaked havoc in every country in the world, with serious health-related, economic, and social consequences. Since its outbreak in March 2020, many researchers from different fields have joined forces to provide a wide range of solutions, and the support for this work from artificial intelligence (AI) and other emerging concepts linked to intelligent data analysis has been decisive. The enormous amount of research and the high number of publications during this period makes it difficult to obtain an overall view of the different applications of AI to the management of COVID-19 and an understanding of how research in this field has been evolving. Therefore, in this paper, we carry out a scientometric analysis of this area supported by text mining, including a review of 18,955 publications related to AI and COVID-19 from the Scopus database from March 2020 to June 2021 inclusive. For this purpose, we used VOSviewer software, which was developed by researchers at Leiden University in the Netherlands. This allowed us to examine the exponential growth in research on this issue and its distribution by country, and to highlight the clear hegemony of the United States (USA) and China in this respect. We used an automatic process to extract topics of research interest and observed that the most important current lines of research focused on patient-based solutions. We also identified the most relevant journals in terms of the COVID-19 pandemic, demonstrated the growing value of open-access publication, and highlighted the most influential authors by means of an analysis of citations and co-citations. This study provides an overview of the current status of research on the application of AI to the pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ignacio Rodríguez-Rodríguez
- Protein Structure and Bioinformatics Resech Group, Department of Experimental Medical Science, Lund University, SE-221 84 Lund, Sweden;
| | - José-Víctor Rodríguez
- Departamento de Tecnologías de la Información y las Comunicaciones, School of Telecommunications Engineering, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, 30202 Cartagena, Spain;
| | - Niloofar Shirvanizadeh
- Protein Structure and Bioinformatics Resech Group, Department of Experimental Medical Science, Lund University, SE-221 84 Lund, Sweden;
| | - Andrés Ortiz
- Departamento de Ingeniería de Comunicaciones, School of Telecommunications Engineering, Universidad de Málaga, 29071 Málaga, Spain;
| | - Domingo-Javier Pardo-Quiles
- Departamento de Tecnologías de la Información y las Comunicaciones, School of Telecommunications Engineering, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, 30202 Cartagena, Spain;
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Kolozsvári LR, Bérczes T, Hajdu A, Gesztelyi R, Tiba A, Varga I, Al-Tammemi AB, Szőllősi GJ, Harsányi S, Garbóczy S, Zsuga J. Predicting the epidemic curve of the coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) disease (COVID-19) using artificial intelligence: An application on the first and second waves. INFORMATICS IN MEDICINE UNLOCKED 2021; 25:100691. [PMID: 34395821 PMCID: PMC8349399 DOI: 10.1016/j.imu.2021.100691] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/05/2021] [Revised: 07/21/2021] [Accepted: 08/01/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives The COVID-19 pandemic is considered a major threat to global public health. The aim of our study was to use the official epidemiological data to forecast the epidemic curves (daily new cases) of the COVID-19 using Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), then to compare and validate the predicted models with the observed data. Methods We used publicly available datasets from the World Health Organization and Johns Hopkins University to create a training dataset, then we employed RNNs with gated recurring units (Long Short-Term Memory - LSTM units) to create two prediction models. Our proposed approach considers an ensemble-based system, which is realized by interconnecting several neural networks. To achieve the appropriate diversity, we froze some network layers that control the way how the model parameters are updated. In addition, we could provide country-specific predictions by transfer learning, and with extra feature injections from governmental constraints, better predictions in the longer term are achieved. We have calculated the Root Mean Squared Logarithmic Error (RMSLE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) to thoroughly compare our model predictions with the observed data. Results We reported the predicted curves for France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States of America. The result of our study underscores that the COVID-19 pandemic is a propagated source epidemic, therefore repeated peaks on the epidemic curve are to be anticipated. Besides, the errors between the predicted and validated data and trends seem to be low. Conclusion Our proposed model has shown satisfactory accuracy in predicting the new cases of COVID-19 in certain contexts. The influence of this pandemic is significant worldwide and has already impacted most life domains. Decision-makers must be aware, that even if strict public health measures are executed and sustained, future peaks of infections are possible. The AI-based models are useful tools for forecasting epidemics as these models can be recalculated according to the newly observed data to get a more precise forecasting.
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Affiliation(s)
- László Róbert Kolozsvári
- Department of Family and Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary.,Doctoral School of Health Sciences, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Tamás Bérczes
- Faculty of Informatics, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - András Hajdu
- Faculty of Informatics, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Rudolf Gesztelyi
- Department of Pharmacology and Pharmacotherapy, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Attila Tiba
- Faculty of Informatics, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Imre Varga
- Faculty of Informatics, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Ala'a B Al-Tammemi
- Department of Family and Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary.,Doctoral School of Health Sciences, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Gergő József Szőllősi
- Department of Family and Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Szilvia Harsányi
- Doctoral School of Health Sciences, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary.,Department of Health Systems Management and Quality Management in Health Care, Faculty of Public Health, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Szabolcs Garbóczy
- Doctoral School of Health Sciences, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary.,Department of Psychiatry, Kenézy Hospital, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Judit Zsuga
- Department of Health Systems Management and Quality Management in Health Care, Faculty of Public Health, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
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55
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Kolozsvári LR, Bérczes T, Hajdu A, Gesztelyi R, Tiba A, Varga I, Al-Tammemi AB, Szőllősi GJ, Harsányi S, Garbóczy S, Zsuga J. Predicting the epidemic curve of the coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) disease (COVID-19) using artificial intelligence: An application on the first and second waves. INFORMATICS IN MEDICINE UNLOCKED 2021; 25:100691. [PMID: 34395821 DOI: 10.1101/2020.04.17.20069666] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/05/2021] [Revised: 07/21/2021] [Accepted: 08/01/2021] [Indexed: 05/27/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The COVID-19 pandemic is considered a major threat to global public health. The aim of our study was to use the official epidemiological data to forecast the epidemic curves (daily new cases) of the COVID-19 using Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), then to compare and validate the predicted models with the observed data. METHODS We used publicly available datasets from the World Health Organization and Johns Hopkins University to create a training dataset, then we employed RNNs with gated recurring units (Long Short-Term Memory - LSTM units) to create two prediction models. Our proposed approach considers an ensemble-based system, which is realized by interconnecting several neural networks. To achieve the appropriate diversity, we froze some network layers that control the way how the model parameters are updated. In addition, we could provide country-specific predictions by transfer learning, and with extra feature injections from governmental constraints, better predictions in the longer term are achieved. We have calculated the Root Mean Squared Logarithmic Error (RMSLE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) to thoroughly compare our model predictions with the observed data. RESULTS We reported the predicted curves for France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States of America. The result of our study underscores that the COVID-19 pandemic is a propagated source epidemic, therefore repeated peaks on the epidemic curve are to be anticipated. Besides, the errors between the predicted and validated data and trends seem to be low. CONCLUSION Our proposed model has shown satisfactory accuracy in predicting the new cases of COVID-19 in certain contexts. The influence of this pandemic is significant worldwide and has already impacted most life domains. Decision-makers must be aware, that even if strict public health measures are executed and sustained, future peaks of infections are possible. The AI-based models are useful tools for forecasting epidemics as these models can be recalculated according to the newly observed data to get a more precise forecasting.
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Affiliation(s)
- László Róbert Kolozsvári
- Department of Family and Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
- Doctoral School of Health Sciences, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Tamás Bérczes
- Faculty of Informatics, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - András Hajdu
- Faculty of Informatics, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Rudolf Gesztelyi
- Department of Pharmacology and Pharmacotherapy, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Attila Tiba
- Faculty of Informatics, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Imre Varga
- Faculty of Informatics, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Ala'a B Al-Tammemi
- Department of Family and Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
- Doctoral School of Health Sciences, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Gergő József Szőllősi
- Department of Family and Occupational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Szilvia Harsányi
- Doctoral School of Health Sciences, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
- Department of Health Systems Management and Quality Management in Health Care, Faculty of Public Health, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Szabolcs Garbóczy
- Doctoral School of Health Sciences, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
- Department of Psychiatry, Kenézy Hospital, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
| | - Judit Zsuga
- Department of Health Systems Management and Quality Management in Health Care, Faculty of Public Health, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary
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56
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Dong J, Wu H, Zhou D, Li K, Zhang Y, Ji H, Tong Z, Lou S, Liu Z. Application of Big Data and Artificial Intelligence in COVID-19 Prevention, Diagnosis, Treatment and Management Decisions in China. J Med Syst 2021; 45:84. [PMID: 34302549 PMCID: PMC8308073 DOI: 10.1007/s10916-021-01757-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/25/2021] [Accepted: 07/12/2021] [Indexed: 01/08/2023]
Abstract
COVID-19, caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), spread rapidly and affected most of the world since its outbreak in Wuhan, China, which presents a major challenge to the emergency response mechanism for sudden public health events and epidemic prevention and control in all countries. In the face of the severe situation of epidemic prevention and control and the arduous task of social management, the tremendous power of science and technology in prevention and control has emerged. The new generation of information technology, represented by big data and artificial intelligence (AI) technology, has been widely used in the prevention, diagnosis, treatment and management of COVID-19 as an important basic support. Although the technology has developed, there are still challenges with respect to epidemic surveillance, accurate prevention and control, effective diagnosis and treatment, and timely judgement. The prevention and control of sudden infectious diseases usually depend on the control of infection sources, interruption of transmission channels and vaccine development. Big data and AI are effective technologies to identify the source of infection and have an irreplaceable role in distinguishing close contacts and suspicious populations. Advanced computational analysis is beneficial to accelerate the speed of vaccine research and development and to improve the quality of vaccines. AI provides support in automatically processing relevant data from medical images and clinical features, tests and examination findings; predicting disease progression and prognosis; and even recommending treatment plans and strategies. This paper reviews the application of big data and AI in the COVID-19 prevention, diagnosis, treatment and management decisions in China to explain how to apply big data and AI technology to address the common problems in the COVID-19 pandemic. Although the findings regarding the application of big data and AI technologies in sudden public health events lack validation of repeatability and universality, current studies in China have shown that the application of big data and AI is feasible in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. These studies concluded that the application of big data and AI technology can contribute to prevention, diagnosis, treatment and management decision making regarding sudden public health events in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jiancheng Dong
- Medical Big Data Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.
- Department of Medical Informatics, Medical School of Nantong University, Nantong, China.
| | - Huiqun Wu
- Department of Medical Informatics, Medical School of Nantong University, Nantong, China
| | - Dong Zhou
- Department of Medical Informatics, Medical School of Nantong University, Nantong, China
| | - Kaixiang Li
- Medical Big Data Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Yuanpeng Zhang
- Department of Medical Informatics, Medical School of Nantong University, Nantong, China
- Department of Health Technology and Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnical University, Hong Kong, China
| | - Hanzhen Ji
- The Third Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University, Nantong, China
| | - Zhuang Tong
- Medical Big Data Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Shuai Lou
- Jiangsu Zhongkang Software Co, Ltd, Nantong, China
| | - Zhangsuo Liu
- Medical Big Data Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.
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57
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Javaid M, Haleem A, Pratap Singh R, Suman R. Pedagogy and innovative care tenets in COVID-19 pandemic: An enhancive way through Dentistry 4.0. SENSORS INTERNATIONAL 2021; 2:100118. [PMID: 34766061 PMCID: PMC8302480 DOI: 10.1016/j.sintl.2021.100118] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2021] [Revised: 07/13/2021] [Accepted: 07/14/2021] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
The global oral healthcare sector has now woken to implement Dentistry 4.0. The implementation of this revolution is feasible with extensive digital and advanced technologies applications and the adoption of new sets of processes in dentistry & its support areas. COVID-19 has bought new challenges to dental professionals and patients towards their customised requirements, regular dental health checkups, fast-paced and safe procedures. People are not visiting the dentist even for mild cases as they fear COVID-19 infection. We see that this set of technologies will help improve health education and treatment process and materials and minimise the infection. During the COVID-19 pandemic, there is a need to understand the possible impact of Dentistry 4.0 for education and innovative care. This paper discusses the significant benefits of Dentistry 4.0 technologies for the smart education platform and dentistry treatment. Finally, this article identifies twenty significant enhancements in dental education and effective care platforms during the COVID-19 pandemic by employing Dentistry 4.0 technologies. Thus, proper implementation of these technologies will improve the process efficiency in healthcare during the COVID-19 pandemic. Dentistry 4.0 technologies drive innovations to improve the quality of internet-connected healthcare devices. It creates automation and exchanges data to make a smart health care system. Therefore, helps better healthcare services, planning, monitoring, teaching, learning, treatment, and innovation capability. These technologies moved to smart transportation systems in the hospital during the COVID-19 Pandemic. Modern manufacturing technologies create digital transformation in manufacturing, optimises the operational processes and enhances productivity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohd Javaid
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, India
| | - Abid Haleem
- Department of Mechanical Engineering, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, India
| | - Ravi Pratap Singh
- Department of Industrial and Production Engineering, Dr B R Ambedkar National Institute of Technology, Jalandhar, Punjab, India
| | - Rajiv Suman
- Department of Industrial & Production Engineering, G.B. Pant University of Agriculture & Technology, Pantnagar, Uttarakhand, India
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Sharma SK, Ahmed SS. IoT-based analysis for controlling & spreading prediction of COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia. Soft comput 2021; 25:12551-12563. [PMID: 34305445 PMCID: PMC8287555 DOI: 10.1007/s00500-021-06024-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/01/2021] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
Presently, novel coronavirus outbreak 2019 (COVID-19) is a major threat to public health. Mathematical epidemic models can be utilized to forecast the course of an epidemic and cultivate approaches for controlling it. This paper utilizes the real data of spreading COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia for mathematical modeling and complex analyses. This paper introduces the Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, Recovered, Undetectable, and Deceased (SEIRUD) and Machine learning algorithm to predict and control COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia.This COVID-19 has initiated many methods, such as cloud computing, edge-computing, IoT, artificial intelligence. The use of sensor devices has increased enormously. Similarly, several developments in solving the COVID-19 crisis have been used by IoT applications. The new technology relies on IoT variables and the roles of symptoms using wearable sensors to forecast cases of COVID-19. The working model involves wearable devices, occupational therapy, condition control, testing of cases, suspicious and IoT elements. Mathematical modeling is useful for understanding the fundamental principle of the transmission of COVID-19 and providing guidance for possible predictions. The method suggested predicts whether COVID-19 would expand or die in the long term in the population. The mathematical study results and related simulation are described here as a way of forecasting the progress and the possible end of the epidemic with three forms of scenarios: 'No Action,' 'Lockdowns and New Medicine.' The lock case slows it down the peak by minimizing infection and impacts area equality of the infected deformation. This study familiarizes the ideal protocol, which can support the Saudi population to breakdown spreading COVID-19 in an accurate and timely way. The simulation findings have been executed, and the suggested model enhances the accuracy ratio of 89.3%, prediction ratio of 88.7%, the precision ratio of 87.7%, recall ratio of 86.4%, and F1 score of 90.9% compared to other existing methods.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sunil Kumar Sharma
- Department of Information System, Majmaah University, Al Majma'ah, 11952 Saudi Arabia
| | - Sameh S Ahmed
- Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, College of Engineering, Majmaah University, Majmaah, 11952 Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.,Mining and Metallurgical Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Assiut University, Assiut, 71516 Egypt
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59
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Jafarinejad F, Rahimi M, Mashayekhi H. Tracking and analysis of discourse dynamics and polarity during the early Corona pandemic in Iran. J Biomed Inform 2021; 121:103862. [PMID: 34229062 PMCID: PMC9044732 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbi.2021.103862] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2020] [Revised: 05/24/2021] [Accepted: 06/30/2021] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
It has not been long since a new disease called COVID-19 has hit the international community. Unknown nature of the virus, evidence of its adaptability and survival in new conditions, its widespread prevalence and also lengthy recovery period, along with daily notifications of new infection and fatality statistics, have created a wave of fear and anxiety among the public community and authorities. These factors have led to extreme changes in the social discourse in a rather short period of time. The analysis of this discourse is important to reconcile the society and restore ordinary conditions of mental peace and health. Although much research has been done on the disease since its international pandemic, the sociological analysis of the recent public phenomenon, especially in developing countries, still needs attention. We propose a framework for analyzing social media data and news stories oriented around COVID-19 disease. Our research is based on an extensive Persian data set gathered from different social media networks and news agencies in the period of January 21-April 29, 2020. We use the Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) model and dynamic topic modeling to understand and capture the change of discourse in terms of temporal subjects. We scrutinize the reasons of subject alternations by exploring the related events and adopted practices and policies. The social discourse can highly affect the community morale and polarization. Therefore, we further analyze the polarization in online social media posts, and detect points of concept drift in the stream. Based on the analyzed content, effective guidelines are extracted to shift polarization towards positive. The results show that the proposed framework is able to provide an effective practical approach for cause and effect analysis of the social discourse.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fateme Jafarinejad
- Faculty of Computer Engineering, Shahrood University of Technology, Shahrood 3619995161, Iran.
| | - Marziea Rahimi
- Faculty of Computer Engineering, Shahrood University of Technology, Shahrood 3619995161, Iran.
| | - Hoda Mashayekhi
- Faculty of Computer Engineering, Shahrood University of Technology, Shahrood 3619995161, Iran.
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60
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Anomaly Detection in COVID-19 Time-Series Data. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2021; 2:279. [PMID: 34027432 PMCID: PMC8132285 DOI: 10.1007/s42979-021-00658-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2021] [Accepted: 04/26/2021] [Indexed: 10/31/2022]
Abstract
Anomaly detection and explanation in big volumes of real-world medical data, such as those pertaining to COVID-19, pose some challenges. First, we are dealing with time-series data. Typical time-series data describe behavior of a single object over time. In medical data, we are dealing with time-series data belonging to multiple entities. Thus, there may be multiple subsets of records such that records in each subset, which belong to a single entity are temporally dependent, but the records in different subsets are unrelated. Moreover, the records in a subset contain different types of attributes, some of which must be grouped in a particular manner to make the analysis meaningful. Anomaly detection techniques need to be customized for time-series data belonging to multiple entities. Second, anomaly detection techniques fail to explain the cause of outliers to the experts. This is critical for new diseases and pandemics where current knowledge is insufficient. We propose to address these issues by extending our existing work called IDEAL, which is an LSTM-autoencoder based approach for data quality testing of sequential records, and provides explanations of constraint violations in a manner that is understandable to end-users. The extension (1) uses a novel two-level reshaping technique that splits COVID-19 data sets into multiple temporally-dependent subsequences and (2) adds a data visualization plot to further explain the anomalies and evaluate the level of abnormality of subsequences detected by IDEAL. We performed two systematic evaluation studies for our anomalous subsequence detection. One study uses aggregate data, including the number of cases, deaths, recovered, and percentage of hospitalization rate, collected from a COVID tracking project, New York Times, and Johns Hopkins for the same time period. The other study uses COVID-19 patient medical records obtained from Anschutz Medical Center health data warehouse. The results are promising and indicate that our techniques can be used to detect anomalies in large volumes of real-world unlabeled data whose accuracy or validity is unknown.
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Trust, but Verify: Informed Consent, AI Technologies, and Public Health Emergencies. FUTURE INTERNET 2021. [DOI: 10.3390/fi13050132] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
To use technology or engage with research or medical treatment typically requires user consent: agreeing to terms of use with technology or services, or providing informed consent for research participation, for clinical trials and medical intervention, or as one legal basis for processing personal data. Introducing AI technologies, where explainability and trustworthiness are focus items for both government guidelines and responsible technologists, imposes additional challenges. Understanding enough of the technology to be able to make an informed decision, or consent, is essential but involves an acceptance of uncertain outcomes. Further, the contribution of AI-enabled technologies not least during the COVID-19 pandemic raises ethical concerns about the governance associated with their development and deployment. Using three typical scenarios—contact tracing, big data analytics and research during public emergencies—this paper explores a trust-based alternative to consent. Unlike existing consent-based mechanisms, this approach sees consent as a typical behavioural response to perceived contextual characteristics. Decisions to engage derive from the assumption that all relevant stakeholders including research participants will negotiate on an ongoing basis. Accepting dynamic negotiation between the main stakeholders as proposed here introduces a specifically socio–psychological perspective into the debate about human responses to artificial intelligence. This trust-based consent process leads to a set of recommendations for the ethical use of advanced technologies as well as for the ethical review of applied research projects.
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Alhasan M, Hasaneen M. Digital imaging, technologies and artificial intelligence applications during COVID-19 pandemic. Comput Med Imaging Graph 2021; 91:101933. [PMID: 34082281 PMCID: PMC8123377 DOI: 10.1016/j.compmedimag.2021.101933] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2020] [Revised: 02/15/2021] [Accepted: 04/27/2021] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
The advancement of technology remained an immersive interest for humankind throughout the past decades. Tech enterprises offered a stream of innovation to address the universal healthcare concerns. The novel coronavirus holds a substantial foothold of planet earth which is combatted by digital interventions across afflicted geographical boundaries and territories. This study aims to explore the trends of modern healthcare technologies and Artificial Intelligence (AI) during COVID-19 crisis, define the concepts and clinical role of AI in the mitigation of COVID-19, investigate and correlate the efficacy of AI-enabled technology in medical imaging during COVID-19 and determine advantages, drawbacks, and challenges of artificial intelligence during COVID-19 pandemic. The paper applied systematic review approach using a deliberated research protocol and Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) flow chart. Digital technologies can coordinate COVID-19 responses in a cascade fashion that extends from the clinical care facility to the exterior of the pending viral epicenter. With cases of healthcare robotics, aerial drones, and the internet of things as evidentiary examples. PCR tests and medical imaging are the frontier diagnostics of COVID-19. Computed tomography helped to correct the accuracy variation of PCR tests at a clinical sensitivity of 98 %. Artificial intelligence can enable autonomous COVID-19 responses using techniques like machine learning. Technology could be an endless system of innovation and opportunities when sourced effectively. Scientists can utilize technology to resolve global concerns challenging the history of tangible possibility. Digital interventions have enhanced the responses to COVID-19, magnified the role of medical imaging amid the COVID-19 crisis and have exposed healthcare professionals to the opportunity of contactless care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mustafa Alhasan
- Radiography and Medical Imaging Department, Fatima College of Health Sciences, United Arab Emirates; Radiologic Technology Program, Applied Medical Sciences College, Jordan University of Science and Technology, Jordan.
| | - Mohamed Hasaneen
- Radiography and Medical Imaging Department, Fatima College of Health Sciences, United Arab Emirates.
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Cortés U, Cortés A, Garcia-Gasulla D, Pérez-Arnal R, Álvarez-Napagao S, Àlvarez E. The ethical use of high-performance computing and artificial intelligence: fighting COVID-19 at Barcelona Supercomputing Center. AI AND ETHICS 2021; 2:325-340. [PMID: 34790948 PMCID: PMC8101339 DOI: 10.1007/s43681-021-00056-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2021] [Accepted: 04/15/2021] [Indexed: 10/24/2022]
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has created an extraordinary medical, economic and humanitarian emergency. Artificial intelligence, in combination with other digital technologies, is being used as a tool to support the fight against the viral pandemic that has affected the entire world since the beginning of 2020. Barcelona Supercomputing Center collaborates in the battle against the coronavirus in different areas: the application of bioinformatics for the research on the virus and its possible treatments, the use of artificial intelligence, natural language processing and big data techniques to analyse the spread and impact of the pandemic, and the use of the MareNostrum 4 supercomputer to enable massive analysis on COVID-19 data. Many of these activities have included the use of personal and sensitive data of citizens, which, even during a pandemic, should be treated and handled with care. In this work we discuss our approach based on an ethical, transparent and fair use of this information, an approach aligned with the guidelines proposed by the European Union.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ulises Cortés
- Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Edifici Omega 205, Jordi Girona 29, 08034 Barcelona, Spain
- Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Edifici Omega 201, Jordi Girona 1 and 3, 08034 Barcelona, Spain
| | - Atia Cortés
- Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Edifici Omega 201, Jordi Girona 1 and 3, 08034 Barcelona, Spain
| | - Dario Garcia-Gasulla
- Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Edifici Omega 201, Jordi Girona 1 and 3, 08034 Barcelona, Spain
| | - Raquel Pérez-Arnal
- Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Edifici Omega 201, Jordi Girona 1 and 3, 08034 Barcelona, Spain
| | - Sergio Álvarez-Napagao
- Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Edifici Omega 201, Jordi Girona 1 and 3, 08034 Barcelona, Spain
| | - Enric Àlvarez
- Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Edifici Omega 205, Jordi Girona 29, 08034 Barcelona, Spain
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Musulin J, Baressi Šegota S, Štifanić D, Lorencin I, Anđelić N, Šušteršič T, Blagojević A, Filipović N, Ćabov T, Markova-Car E. Application of Artificial Intelligence-Based Regression Methods in the Problem of COVID-19 Spread Prediction: A Systematic Review. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:4287. [PMID: 33919496 PMCID: PMC8073788 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18084287] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2021] [Revised: 04/14/2021] [Accepted: 04/16/2021] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
COVID-19 is one of the greatest challenges humanity has faced recently, forcing a change in the daily lives of billions of people worldwide. Therefore, many efforts have been made by researchers across the globe in the attempt of determining the models of COVID-19 spread. The objectives of this review are to analyze some of the open-access datasets mostly used in research in the field of COVID-19 regression modeling as well as present current literature based on Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods for regression tasks, like disease spread. Moreover, we discuss the applicability of Machine Learning (ML) and Evolutionary Computing (EC) methods that have focused on regressing epidemiology curves of COVID-19, and provide an overview of the usefulness of existing models in specific areas. An electronic literature search of the various databases was conducted to develop a comprehensive review of the latest AI-based approaches for modeling the spread of COVID-19. Finally, a conclusion is drawn from the observation of reviewed papers that AI-based algorithms have a clear application in COVID-19 epidemiological spread modeling and may be a crucial tool in the combat against coming pandemics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jelena Musulin
- Faculty of Engineering, University of Rijeka, Vukovarska 58, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia; (J.M.); (D.Š.); (I.L.); (N.A.)
| | - Sandi Baressi Šegota
- Faculty of Engineering, University of Rijeka, Vukovarska 58, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia; (J.M.); (D.Š.); (I.L.); (N.A.)
| | - Daniel Štifanić
- Faculty of Engineering, University of Rijeka, Vukovarska 58, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia; (J.M.); (D.Š.); (I.L.); (N.A.)
| | - Ivan Lorencin
- Faculty of Engineering, University of Rijeka, Vukovarska 58, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia; (J.M.); (D.Š.); (I.L.); (N.A.)
| | - Nikola Anđelić
- Faculty of Engineering, University of Rijeka, Vukovarska 58, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia; (J.M.); (D.Š.); (I.L.); (N.A.)
| | - Tijana Šušteršič
- Faculty of Engineering, University of Kragujevac, Sestre Janjić, 34000 Kragujevac, Serbia; (T.Š.); (A.B.); (N.F.)
- Bioengineering Research and Development Centre (BioIRC), Prvoslava Stojanovića 6, 34000 Kragujevac, Serbia
| | - Anđela Blagojević
- Faculty of Engineering, University of Kragujevac, Sestre Janjić, 34000 Kragujevac, Serbia; (T.Š.); (A.B.); (N.F.)
- Bioengineering Research and Development Centre (BioIRC), Prvoslava Stojanovića 6, 34000 Kragujevac, Serbia
| | - Nenad Filipović
- Faculty of Engineering, University of Kragujevac, Sestre Janjić, 34000 Kragujevac, Serbia; (T.Š.); (A.B.); (N.F.)
- Bioengineering Research and Development Centre (BioIRC), Prvoslava Stojanovića 6, 34000 Kragujevac, Serbia
| | - Tomislav Ćabov
- Faculty of Dental Medicine, University of Rijeka, Krešimirova ul. 40, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia;
| | - Elitza Markova-Car
- Department of Biotechnology, University of Rijeka, Radmile Matejčić 2, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia;
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Alballa N, Al-Turaiki I. Machine learning approaches in COVID-19 diagnosis, mortality, and severity risk prediction: A review. INFORMATICS IN MEDICINE UNLOCKED 2021; 24:100564. [PMID: 33842685 PMCID: PMC8018906 DOI: 10.1016/j.imu.2021.100564] [Citation(s) in RCA: 80] [Impact Index Per Article: 26.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/24/2021] [Revised: 03/26/2021] [Accepted: 03/27/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
The existence of widespread COVID-19 infections has prompted worldwide efforts to control and manage the virus, and hopefully curb it completely. One important line of research is the use of machine learning (ML) to understand and fight COVID-19. This is currently an active research field. Although there are already many surveys in the literature, there is a need to keep up with the rapidly growing number of publications on COVID-19-related applications of ML. This paper presents a review of recent reports on ML algorithms used in relation to COVID-19. We focus on the potential of ML for two main applications: diagnosis of COVID-19 and prediction of mortality risk and severity, using readily available clinical and laboratory data. Aspects related to algorithm types, training data sets, and feature selection are discussed. As we cover work published between January 2020 and January 2021, a few key points have come to light. The bulk of the machine learning algorithms used in these two applications are supervised learning algorithms. The established models are yet to be used in real-world implementations, and much of the associated research is experimental. The diagnostic and prognostic features discovered by ML models are consistent with results presented in the medical literature. A limitation of the existing applications is the use of imbalanced data sets that are prone to selection bias.
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Affiliation(s)
- Norah Alballa
- Computer Science Department, College of Computer and Information Sciences, King Saud University, Saudi Arabia
| | - Isra Al-Turaiki
- Information Technology Department, College of Computer and Information Sciences, King Saud University, Saudi Arabia
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Abstract
With the advent of the pandemic (e.g., novel corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19)), a tremendous amount of data about individuals are collected by the health authorities on daily basis for curbing the disease’s spread. The individuals’ data collection/processing at a massive scale for community well-being with the help of digital solutions (e.g., mobile apps for mobility and proximity analysis, contact tracing through credit card usage history, facial recognition through cameras, and crowd analysis using cellular networks data etc.) raise several privacy concerns. Furthermore, the privacy concerns that are arising mainly due to the fine-grained data collection has hindered the response to tackle this pandemic in many countries. Hence, acquiring/handling individuals data with privacy protection has become a vibrant area of research in these pandemic times. This paper explains the shift in privacy paradigm due to the pandemic (e.g., COVID-19) which involves more and detailed data collection about individuals including locations and demographics. We explain technical factors due to which the people’s privacy is at higher risk in the COVID-19 time. In addition, we discuss privacy concerns in different epidemic control measures (ECMs) (e.g., contact tracing, quarantine monitoring, and symptoms reporting etc.) employed by the health authorities to tackle this disease. Further, we provide an insight on the data management in the ECMs with privacy protection. Finally, the future prospects of the research in this area tacking into account the emerging technologies are discussed. Through this brief article, we aim to provide insights about the vulnerability to user’s privacy in pandemic times, likely privacy issues in different ECMs adopted by most countries around the world, how to preserve user’s privacy effectively in all phases of the ECMs considering relevant data in loop, and conceptual foundations of ECMs to fight with future pandemics in a privacy preserving manner.
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Alsunaidi SJ, Almuhaideb AM, Ibrahim NM, Shaikh FS, Alqudaihi KS, Alhaidari FA, Khan IU, Aslam N, Alshahrani MS. Applications of Big Data Analytics to Control COVID-19 Pandemic. SENSORS (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2021; 21:2282. [PMID: 33805218 PMCID: PMC8037067 DOI: 10.3390/s21072282] [Citation(s) in RCA: 38] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/07/2021] [Revised: 03/20/2021] [Accepted: 03/22/2021] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
The COVID-19 epidemic has caused a large number of human losses and havoc in the economic, social, societal, and health systems around the world. Controlling such epidemic requires understanding its characteristics and behavior, which can be identified by collecting and analyzing the related big data. Big data analytics tools play a vital role in building knowledge required in making decisions and precautionary measures. However, due to the vast amount of data available on COVID-19 from various sources, there is a need to review the roles of big data analysis in controlling the spread of COVID-19, presenting the main challenges and directions of COVID-19 data analysis, as well as providing a framework on the related existing applications and studies to facilitate future research on COVID-19 analysis. Therefore, in this paper, we conduct a literature review to highlight the contributions of several studies in the domain of COVID-19-based big data analysis. The study presents as a taxonomy several applications used to manage and control the pandemic. Moreover, this study discusses several challenges encountered when analyzing COVID-19 data. The findings of this paper suggest valuable future directions to be considered for further research and applications.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shikah J. Alsunaidi
- Department of Computer Science, College of Computer Science and Information Technology, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, P.O. Box 1982, Dammam 31441, Saudi Arabia; (S.J.A.); (N.M.I.); (K.S.A.); (I.U.K.); (N.A.)
| | - Abdullah M. Almuhaideb
- Department of Networks and Communications, College of Computer Science and Information Technology, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, P.O. Box 1982, Dammam 31441, Saudi Arabia;
| | - Nehad M. Ibrahim
- Department of Computer Science, College of Computer Science and Information Technology, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, P.O. Box 1982, Dammam 31441, Saudi Arabia; (S.J.A.); (N.M.I.); (K.S.A.); (I.U.K.); (N.A.)
| | - Fatema S. Shaikh
- Department of Computer Information Systems, College of Computer Science and Information Technology, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, P.O. Box 1982, Dammam 31441, Saudi Arabia;
| | - Kawther S. Alqudaihi
- Department of Computer Science, College of Computer Science and Information Technology, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, P.O. Box 1982, Dammam 31441, Saudi Arabia; (S.J.A.); (N.M.I.); (K.S.A.); (I.U.K.); (N.A.)
| | - Fahd A. Alhaidari
- Department of Networks and Communications, College of Computer Science and Information Technology, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, P.O. Box 1982, Dammam 31441, Saudi Arabia;
| | - Irfan Ullah Khan
- Department of Computer Science, College of Computer Science and Information Technology, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, P.O. Box 1982, Dammam 31441, Saudi Arabia; (S.J.A.); (N.M.I.); (K.S.A.); (I.U.K.); (N.A.)
| | - Nida Aslam
- Department of Computer Science, College of Computer Science and Information Technology, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, P.O. Box 1982, Dammam 31441, Saudi Arabia; (S.J.A.); (N.M.I.); (K.S.A.); (I.U.K.); (N.A.)
| | - Mohammed S. Alshahrani
- Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Imam Abdulrahman Bin Faisal University, P.O. Box 1982, Dammam 31441, Saudi Arabia;
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Shanbehzadeh M, Kazemi-Arpanahi H, Nopour R. Performance evaluation of selected decision tree algorithms for COVID-19 diagnosis using routine clinical data. Med J Islam Repub Iran 2021; 35:29. [PMID: 34169041 PMCID: PMC8214035 DOI: 10.47176/mjiri.35.29] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2020] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: The novel 2019 Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) poses a great threat to global public health and the economy. The earlier detection of COVID-19 is the key to its treatment and mitigating the transmission of the virus. Given that Machine Learning (ML) could be potentially useful in COVID-19 identification, we compared 7 decision tree (DT) algorithms to select the best clinical diagnostic model. Methods: A hospital-based retrospective dataset was used to train the selected DT algorithms. The performance of DT models was measured using performance criteria, such as accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, receiver operating characteristic (ROC), and precision-recall curves (PRC). Finally, the best decision model was obtained based on comparing the mentioned performance criteria. Results: Based on the Gini Index (GI) scoring model, 13 diagnostic criteria, including the lung lesion existence (GI= 0217), fever (GI= 0.205), history of contact with suspected people (GI= 0.188), O2 saturation rate in the blood (GI= 0.181), rhinorrhea (GI= 0.177), dyspnea (GI = 0.177), cough (GI = 0.159), history of taking the immunosuppressive drug (GI= 0.145), history of respiratory failure (ARDS) (GI= 0.141), lung lesion situation (GI= 0.133) and appearance (GI= 0.126), diarrhea (GI= 0.112), and nausea and vomiting (GI = 0.092) have been obtained as the most important criteria in diagnosing COVID-19. The results indicated that the J-48, with the accuracy= 0.85, F-Score= 0.85, ROC= 0.926, and PRC= 0.93, had the best performance for diagnosing COVID-19. Conclusion: According to the empirical results, it is promising to implement J-48 in health care settings to increase the accuracy and speed of COVID-19 diagnosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mostafa Shanbehzadeh
- Department of Health Information Technology, School of Paramedical, Ilam University of Medical Sciences, Ilam, Iran
| | - Hadi Kazemi-Arpanahi
- Department of Health Information Technology, Abadan Faculty of Medical Sciences, Abadan, Iran
- Student Research Committee, Abadan Faculty of Medical Sciences, Abadan, Iran
| | - Raoof Nopour
- Department of Health Information Technology and Management, School of Paramedical, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
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Yi K, Rong Y, Wang C, Huang L, Wang F. COVID-19: advance in laboratory diagnostic strategy and technology. Mol Cell Biochem 2021; 476:1421-1438. [PMID: 33389499 PMCID: PMC7778859 DOI: 10.1007/s11010-020-04004-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2020] [Accepted: 11/24/2020] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
SARS-CoV-2 is one of the beta-coronaviruses with the spike protein. It invades host cells by binding to angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2). This newly discovered virus can result in excessive inflammation and immune pathological damage, as shown by a decreased number of peripheral lymphocytes, increased levels of cytokines, and damages of lung, heart, liver, kidney, and other organs. Effective therapeutic modalities such as new antiviral drugs and vaccines against this emerging virus need to be thoroughly studied and developed. However, so far the only recognized but mild progress in this area is the screening of old drugs for new uses. Therefore, rapid and accurate laboratory SARS-CoV-2 testing approaches are the important basis of identification and blockage of COVID-19 transmission. For COVID-19 patients with different clinical classifications (mild, common, severe, and critically severe), dynamic monitoring of functional indicators of susceptible and vital organs is an important strategy for evaluating therapeutic efficacy and prognosis. In this review, we summarized SARS-CoV-2 laboratory diagnostic schemes, pathophysiological indices of tissues and organs of COVID-19 patients, and laboratory diagnostic strategies for distinct disease stages. Further, we discussed the importance of hierarchical management and dynamic observation in SARS-CoV-2 laboratory diagnostics. We then summed up the advance in SARS-CoV-2 testing technology and described the prospect of intelligent medicine in the prevention of infectious disease outbreaks.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kezhen Yi
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, No.169 Donghu Road, Wuchang District, Wuhan, 430071, People's Republic of China
| | - Yuan Rong
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, No.169 Donghu Road, Wuchang District, Wuhan, 430071, People's Republic of China
| | - Cheng Wang
- Department of Hand Surgery, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430022, China
| | - Lanxiang Huang
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, No.169 Donghu Road, Wuchang District, Wuhan, 430071, People's Republic of China
| | - Fubing Wang
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, No.169 Donghu Road, Wuchang District, Wuhan, 430071, People's Republic of China.
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Al-Humairi SNS, Kamal AAA. Design a smart infrastructure monitoring system: a response in the age of COVID-19 pandemic. INNOVATIVE INFRASTRUCTURE SOLUTIONS 2021; 6:144. [PMCID: PMC8052533 DOI: 10.1007/s41062-021-00515-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/09/2023]
Abstract
Since the end of 2019, COVID-19 has been a challenge for the world, and it is expected that the world must take precautionary steps to tackle the virus spreading prior produces an efficient vaccine. Currently, most government efforts seek to avoid disseminating the coronavirus and forecast probable hot areas. The most susceptible to coronaviral infection are the healthcare staff due to their daily contact with potential patients. This article proposes a COVID-19 real-time system for tracking and identifying the suspected cases using an Internet of Things platform for capturing user symptoms and notify the authority. The proposed framework addressed four main components: (1) real-time symptom data collection via thermal scanning algorithm, (2) facial recognition algorithm, (3) a data analysis that uses artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm, and (4) a cloud infrastructure. A monitoring experiment was conducted to test three different ages, kid, middle, and older, considering the scanning distance influence compared with contact wearable sensors. The results show that 99.9% accuracy was achieved within a (500 ± 5) cm distance, and this accuracy tends to decrease as the distance the camera scanning and objects increased. The results also revealed that the scanning system's accuracy had been slightly changed as the environmental temperature dropped lower than 27 °C. Based on the high-temperature presence's simulated environment, the system demonstrated an effective and instant response via sending email and MQTT message to the person in charge of providing accurate identification of potential cases of COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Safaa N. Saud Al-Humairi
- Faculty of Information Sciences and Engineering, Management and Science University, 40100 Shah Alam, Selangor Malaysia
| | - Ahmad Aiman A. Kamal
- Faculty of Information Sciences and Engineering, Management and Science University, 40100 Shah Alam, Selangor Malaysia
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Corsi A, de Souza FF, Pagani RN, Kovaleski JL. Big data analytics as a tool for fighting pandemics: a systematic review of literature. JOURNAL OF AMBIENT INTELLIGENCE AND HUMANIZED COMPUTING 2021; 12:9163-9180. [PMID: 33144892 PMCID: PMC7595572 DOI: 10.1007/s12652-020-02617-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2020] [Accepted: 10/10/2020] [Indexed: 05/09/2023]
Abstract
Infectious and contagious diseases represent a major challenge for health systems worldwide, either in private or public sectors. More recently, with the increase in cases related to these problems, combined with the recent global pandemic of COVID-19, the need to study strategies to treat these health disturbs is even more latent. Big Data, as well as Big Data Analytics techniques, have been addressed in this context with the possibility of predicting, mapping, tracking, monitoring, and raising awareness about these epidemics and pandemics. Thus, the purpose of this study is to identify how BDA can help in cases of pandemics and epidemics. To achieve this purpose, a systematic review of literature was carried out using the methodology Methodi Ordinatio. The rigorous search resulted in a portfolio of 45 articles, retrived from scientific databases. For the collection and analysis of data, the softwares NVivo 12 and VOSviewer were used. The content analysis sought to identify how Big Data and Big Data Analytics can help fighting epidemics and pandemics. The types and sources of data used in cases of previous epidemics and pandemics were identified, as well as techniques for treating these data. The results showed that the main sources of data come from social media and Internet search engines. The most common techniques for analyzing these data involve the use of statistics, such as correlation and regression, combined with other techniques. Results shows that there is a fruitiful field of study to be explored by both areas, Big Data and Health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alana Corsi
- Federal University of Technology-Paraná (UTFPR) Câmpus Ponta Grossa, Av. Monteiro Lobato, s/n-Km 04, Ponta Grossa, PR 84016-210 Brazil
| | - Fabiane Florencio de Souza
- Federal University of Technology-Paraná (UTFPR) Câmpus Ponta Grossa, Av. Monteiro Lobato, s/n-Km 04, Ponta Grossa, PR 84016-210 Brazil
| | - Regina Negri Pagani
- Federal University of Technology-Paraná (UTFPR) Câmpus Ponta Grossa, Av. Monteiro Lobato, s/n-Km 04, Ponta Grossa, PR 84016-210 Brazil
| | - João Luiz Kovaleski
- Federal University of Technology-Paraná (UTFPR) Câmpus Ponta Grossa, Av. Monteiro Lobato, s/n-Km 04, Ponta Grossa, PR 84016-210 Brazil
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Mbunge E, Akinnuwesi B, Fashoto SG, Metfula AS, Mashwama P. A critical review of emerging technologies for tackling COVID-19 pandemic. HUMAN BEHAVIOR AND EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES 2021; 3:25-39. [PMID: 33363278 PMCID: PMC7753602 DOI: 10.1002/hbe2.237] [Citation(s) in RCA: 70] [Impact Index Per Article: 23.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/23/2020] [Revised: 11/10/2020] [Accepted: 11/14/2020] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
COVID-19 pandemic affects people in various ways and continues to spread globally. Researches are ongoing to develop vaccines and traditional methods of Medicine and Biology have been applied in diagnosis and treatment. Though there are success stories of recovered cases as of November 10, 2020, there are no approved treatments and vaccines for COVID-19. As the pandemic continues to spread, current measures rely on prevention, surveillance, and containment. In light of this, emerging technologies for tackling COVID-19 become inevitable. Emerging technologies including geospatial technology, artificial intelligence (AI), big data, telemedicine, blockchain, 5G technology, smart applications, Internet of Medical Things (IoMT), robotics, and additive manufacturing are substantially important for COVID-19 detecting, monitoring, diagnosing, screening, surveillance, mapping, tracking, and creating awareness. Therefore, this study aimed at providing a comprehensive review of these technologies for tackling COVID-19 with emphasis on the features, challenges, and country of domiciliation. Our results show that performance of the emerging technologies is not yet stable due to nonavailability of enough COVID-19 dataset, inconsistency in some of the dataset available, nonaggregation of the dataset due to contrasting data format, missing data, and noise. Moreover, the security and privacy of people's health information is not totally guaranteed. Thus, further research is required to strengthen the current technologies and there is a strong need for the emergence of a robust computationally intelligent model for early differential diagnosis of COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elliot Mbunge
- Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Science and EngineeringUniversity of EswatiniManziniSwaziland
| | - Boluwaji Akinnuwesi
- Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Science and EngineeringUniversity of EswatiniManziniSwaziland
| | - Stephen G. Fashoto
- Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Science and EngineeringUniversity of EswatiniManziniSwaziland
| | - Andile S. Metfula
- Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Science and EngineeringUniversity of EswatiniManziniSwaziland
| | - Petros Mashwama
- Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Science and EngineeringUniversity of EswatiniManziniSwaziland
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Application of deep learning and machine learning models to detect COVID-19 face masks - A review. SUSTAINABLE OPERATIONS AND COMPUTERS 2021; 2. [PMCID: PMC8400461 DOI: 10.1016/j.susoc.2021.08.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/07/2023]
Abstract
The continuous COVID-19 upsurge and emerging variants present unprecedented challenges in many health systems. Many regulatory authorities have instituted the mandatory use of face masks especially in public places where massive contact of people is frequent and inevitable, particularly inside public transport facilities, sports arenas, shopping malls and workplaces. However, compliance and adherence to proper wearing of face masks have been difficult due to various reasons including diversified mask types, different degrees of obstructions, various variations, balancing various model detection accuracy or errors and deployment requirements, angle of view, deployment of detection model on computers with limited processing power, low-resolution images, facial expression, and lack of real-world dataset. Therefore, this study aimed at providing a comprehensive review of artificial intelligence models that have been used to detect face masks. The study revealed that deep learning models such as the Inceptionv3 convolutional neural network achieved 99.9% accuracy in detecting COVID-19 face masks. We deducted that most of the datasets used to detect face masks are created artificially, do not represent the real-world environments which ultimately affect the precision accuracy of the model when deployed in the real world. Hence there is a need for sharing real-world COVID-19 face mask images for modelling deep learning techniques. The study also revealed that deeper and wider deep learning architectures with increased training parameters, such as inception-v4, Mask R-CNN, Faster R-CNN, YOLOv3, Xception, and DenseNet are not yet implemented to detect face masks.
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74
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What Can COVID-19 Teach Us about Using AI in Pandemics? Healthcare (Basel) 2020; 8:healthcare8040527. [PMID: 33271960 PMCID: PMC7711608 DOI: 10.3390/healthcare8040527] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2020] [Revised: 11/23/2020] [Accepted: 11/24/2020] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic put significant strain on societies and their resources, with the healthcare system and workers being particularly affected. Artificial Intelligence (AI) offers the unique possibility of improving the response to a pandemic as it emerges and evolves. Here, we utilize the WHO framework of a pandemic evolution to analyze the various AI applications. Specifically, we analyzed AI from the perspective of all five domains of the WHO pandemic response. To effectively review the current scattered literature, we organized a sample of relevant literature from various professional and popular resources. The article concludes with a consideration of AI’s weaknesses as key factors affecting AI in future pandemic preparedness and response.
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Cos OD, Castillo V, Cantarero D. Facing a Second Wave from a Regional View: Spatial Patterns of COVID-19 as a Key Determinant for Public Health and Geoprevention Plans. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2020; 17:E8468. [PMID: 33207598 PMCID: PMC7697593 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph17228468] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2020] [Revised: 11/12/2020] [Accepted: 11/13/2020] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
Several studies on spatial patterns of COVID-19 show huge differences depending on the country or region under study, although there is some agreement that socioeconomic factors affect these phenomena. The aim of this paper is to increase the knowledge of the socio-spatial behavior of coronavirus and implementing a geospatial methodology and digital system called SITAR (Fast Action Territorial Information System, by its Spanish acronym). We analyze as a study case a region of Spain called Cantabria, geocoding a daily series of microdata coronavirus records provided by the health authorities (Government of Cantabria-Spain) with the permission of Medicines Ethics Committee from Cantabria (CEIm, June 2020). Geocoding allows us to provide a new point layer based on the microdata table that includes cases with a positive result in a COVID-19 test. Regarding general methodology, our research is based on Geographical Information Technologies using Environmental Systems Research Institute (ESRI) Technologies. This tool is a global reference for spatial COVID-19 research, probably due to the world-renowned COVID-19 dashboard implemented by the Johns Hopkins University team. In our analysis, we found that the spatial distribution of COVID-19 in urban locations presents a not random distribution with clustered patterns and density matters in the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. As a result, large metropolitan areas or districts with a higher number of persons tightly linked together through economic, social, and commuting relationships are the most vulnerable to pandemic outbreaks, particularly in our case study. Furthermore, public health and geoprevention plans should avoid the idea of economic or territorial stigmatizations. We hold the idea that SITAR in particular and Geographic Information Technologies in general contribute to strategic spatial information and relevant results with a necessary multi-scalar perspective to control the pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Olga De Cos
- Department of Geography, Urbanism and Land Planning, University of Cantabria, 39005 Santander, Spain;
- Research Group of Health Economics and Health Services Management–Research Institute Marqués de Valdecilla (IDIVAL), 39011 Santander, Spain;
| | - Valentín Castillo
- Department of Geography, Urbanism and Land Planning, University of Cantabria, 39005 Santander, Spain;
- Research Group of Health Economics and Health Services Management–Research Institute Marqués de Valdecilla (IDIVAL), 39011 Santander, Spain;
| | - David Cantarero
- Research Group of Health Economics and Health Services Management–Research Institute Marqués de Valdecilla (IDIVAL), 39011 Santander, Spain;
- Department of Economics, University of Cantabria, 39005 Santander, Spain
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76
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Bhaskar S, Bradley S, Sakhamuri S, Moguilner S, Chattu VK, Pandya S, Schroeder S, Ray D, Banach M. Designing Futuristic Telemedicine Using Artificial Intelligence and Robotics in the COVID-19 Era. Front Public Health 2020; 8:556789. [PMID: 33224912 PMCID: PMC7667043 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2020.556789] [Citation(s) in RCA: 43] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2020] [Accepted: 10/07/2020] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Technological innovations such as artificial intelligence and robotics may be of potential use in telemedicine and in building capacity to respond to future pandemics beyond the current COVID-19 era. Our international consortium of interdisciplinary experts in clinical medicine, health policy, and telemedicine have identified gaps in uptake and implementation of telemedicine or telehealth across geographics and medical specialties. This paper discusses various artificial intelligence and robotics-assisted telemedicine or telehealth applications during COVID-19 and presents an alternative artificial intelligence assisted telemedicine framework to accelerate the rapid deployment of telemedicine and improve access to quality and cost-effective healthcare. We postulate that the artificial intelligence assisted telemedicine framework would be indispensable in creating futuristic and resilient health systems that can support communities amidst pandemics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sonu Bhaskar
- Pandemic Health System REsilience PROGRAM (REPROGRAM) Consortium, REPROGRAM Telemedicine Study Group, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- Neurovascular Imaging Laboratory & NSW Brain Clot Bank, Department of Neurology, Liverpool Hospital and South Western Sydney Local Health District, Ingham Institute for Applied Medical Research, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Sian Bradley
- Pandemic Health System REsilience PROGRAM (REPROGRAM) Consortium, REPROGRAM Telemedicine Study Group, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- The University of New South Wales (UNSW) Medicine Sydney, South West Sydney Clinical School, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Sateesh Sakhamuri
- Pandemic Health System REsilience PROGRAM (REPROGRAM) Consortium, REPROGRAM Telemedicine Study Group, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- The University of the West Indies, St. Augustine, Trinidad and Tobago
| | - Sebastian Moguilner
- Pandemic Health System REsilience PROGRAM (REPROGRAM) Consortium, REPROGRAM Telemedicine Study Group, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- Global Brain Health Institute, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
| | - Vijay Kumar Chattu
- Pandemic Health System REsilience PROGRAM (REPROGRAM) Consortium, REPROGRAM Telemedicine Study Group, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- Department of Medicine, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Shawna Pandya
- Pandemic Health System REsilience PROGRAM (REPROGRAM) Consortium, REPROGRAM Telemedicine Study Group, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- Alberta Health Services and Project PoSSUM, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada
| | - Starr Schroeder
- Pandemic Health System REsilience PROGRAM (REPROGRAM) Consortium, REPROGRAM Telemedicine Study Group, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- Penn Medicine Lancaster General Hospital and Project PoSSUM, Lancaster, PA, United States
| | - Daniel Ray
- Pandemic Health System REsilience PROGRAM (REPROGRAM) Consortium, REPROGRAM Telemedicine Study Group, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- Farr Institute of Health Informatics, University College London (UCL) & NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, United Kingdom
| | - Maciej Banach
- Pandemic Health System REsilience PROGRAM (REPROGRAM) Consortium, REPROGRAM Telemedicine Study Group, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- Polish Mother's Memorial Hospital Research Institute (PMMHRI) in Lodz, Cardiovascular Research Centre, University of Zielona Gora, Zielona Gora, Poland
- Department of Hypertension, Medical University of Lodz, Łódź, Poland
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Santana HS, de Souza MRP, Lopes MGM, Souza J, Silva RRO, Palma MSA, Nakano WLV, Lima GAS, Munhoz G, Noriler D, Taranto OP, Silva JL. How chemical engineers can contribute to fight the COVID-19. J Taiwan Inst Chem Eng 2020; 116:67-80. [PMID: 33282011 PMCID: PMC7698668 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtice.2020.11.024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/13/2020] [Revised: 11/22/2020] [Accepted: 11/23/2020] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
Abstract
The SARS-CoV-2 virus, promoter of COVID-19, already infected millions of people around the world, resulting in thousands of fatal victims. Facing this unprecedented crisis in human history, several research groups, industrial companies and governments have been spending efforts to develop vaccines and medications. People from distinct knowledge fields are doing their part in order to overcome this crisis. Chemical Engineers are also contributing in the development of actions to control the SARS-CoV-2 virus. However, many chemical engineers still do not know how to use the knowledge acquired from Chemical Engineering school to collaborate in the fight against the COVID-19. In this context, the present paper aims to discuss several knowledge fields within the Chemical Engineering and correlated areas successfully applied to create innovative and effective solutions in the fight against the COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Harrson S Santana
- University of Campinas, School of Chemical Engineering, Albert Einstein Av. 500, 13083-852 Campinas, SP, Brazil
| | - Marcos R P de Souza
- Universidade Federal do Amazonas, Faculdade de Ciências Agrárias, Departamento de Engenharia Agrícola e dos Solos, Av. General Rodrigo Otávio, 1200, 69067-005, Manaus, AM, Brazil
| | - Mariana G M Lopes
- University of Campinas, School of Chemical Engineering, Albert Einstein Av. 500, 13083-852 Campinas, SP, Brazil
| | - Johmar Souza
- University of Campinas, School of Chemical Engineering, Albert Einstein Av. 500, 13083-852 Campinas, SP, Brazil
| | - Renan R O Silva
- Department of Biochemical and Pharmaceutical Technology, Sao Paulo University, 05508-000 São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Mauri S A Palma
- Department of Biochemical and Pharmaceutical Technology, Sao Paulo University, 05508-000 São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Wilson L V Nakano
- University of Campinas, School of Chemical Engineering, Albert Einstein Av. 500, 13083-852 Campinas, SP, Brazil
| | | | | | - Dirceu Noriler
- University of Campinas, School of Chemical Engineering, Albert Einstein Av. 500, 13083-852 Campinas, SP, Brazil
| | - Osvaldir P Taranto
- University of Campinas, School of Chemical Engineering, Albert Einstein Av. 500, 13083-852 Campinas, SP, Brazil
| | - João L Silva
- Federal University of ABC, CECS - Center for Engineering, Modeling and Applied Social Sciences, Alameda da Universidade, s/n., 09606-045 São Bernardo do Campo, SP, Brazil
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Abstract
Aim This systematic review sought to assess and scrutinise the validity and practicality of published and preprint reports of prediction models for the diagnosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in patients with suspected infection, for prognosis of patients with COVID-19, and for identifying individuals in the general population at increased risk of infection with COVID-19 or being hospitalised with the illness.Data sources A systematic, online search was conducted in PubMed and Embase. In order to do so, the authors used Ovid as the host platform for these two databases and also investigated bioRxiv, medRxiv and arXiv as repositories for the preprints of studies. A public living systematic review list of COVID-19-related studies was used as the baseline searching platform (Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine's repository for living evidence on COVID-19).Study selection Studies which developed or validated a multivariable prediction model related to COVID-19 patients' data (individual level data) were included. The authors did not put any restrictions on the models included in their study regarding the model setting, prediction horizon or outcomes.Data extraction and synthesis Checklists of critical appraisal and data extraction for systematic reviews of prediction modelling studies (CHARMS) and prediction model risk of bias assessment tool (PROBAST) were used to guide developing of a standardised data extraction form. Each model's predictive performance was extracted by using any summaries of discrimination and calibration. All these steps were done according to the aspects of the transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD) and preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA).Results One hundred and forty-five prediction models (107 studies) were selected for data extraction and critical appraisal. The most common predictors of diagnosis and prognosis of COVID-19 were age, body temperature, lymphocyte count and lung imaging characteristics. Influenza-like symptoms and neutrophil count were regularly predictive in diagnostic models, while comorbidities, sex, C-reactive protein and creatinine were common prognostic items. C-indices (a measure of discrimination for models) ranged from 0.73 to 0.81 in prediction models for the general population, from 0.65 to more than 0.99 in diagnostic models, and from 0.68 to 0.99 in the prognostic models. All the included studies were reported to have high risks of bias.Conclusions Overall, this study did not recommend applying any of the predictive models in clinical practice yet. High risk of bias, reporting problems and (probably) optimistic reported performances are all among the reasons for the previous conclusion. Prompt actions regarding accurate data sharing and international collaborations are required to achieve more rigorous prediction models for COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Erfan Shamsoddin
- National Institute for Medical Research Development, Tehran, Iran
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79
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Setbacks to IoT Implementation in the Function of FMCG Supply Chain Sustainability during COVID-19 Pandemic. SUSTAINABILITY 2020. [DOI: 10.3390/su12187391] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
One of the basic measures of the World Health Organization (WHO) in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic is a lockdown policy with reduced contacts and physical distance. This presents a challenge, especially for fast-moving-consumer-goods (FMCG) supply chains, which are characterized by a large number of physical contacts between employees in production, physical distribution, wholesale, and retail. One of the ways to comply with the prescribed measures with the smooth functioning of the supply chain is the complete digitalization and automation of all business activities and operations based on the application of the Internet of Things (IoT). In this regard, this paper aims to analyze the setbacks to the digitalization of business processes and the sustainability of the FMCG supply chain based on the implementation of IoT. The research has been conducted among the participants in the standardization chain in the sectors of production, physical distribution, wholesale, and retail of FMCG in the Western Balkans region during the COVID-19 pandemic. The results showed significant differences between business sectors in terms of the intensity of setbacks to successful IoT implementation. Based on the obtained results, a set of measures and incentives was proposed that the competent institutions and the management of the FMCG supply chain should apply to encourage the digitalization process. Suggestions for future research are given in the paper.
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