Defining secondary progressive multiple sclerosis

Effect of Previous Disease-Modifying Therapy on Treatment Effectiveness for Patients Treated With Ocrelizumab

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

B cell-depleting antibodies were proven as effective strategy for the treatment of relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS). The monoclonal antibody ocrelizumab was approved in 2017 in the United States and in 2018 in the European Union, but despite proven efficacy in randomized, controlled clinical trials, its effectiveness in the real-world setting remains to be fully elucidated. In particular, most study patients were treatment naive or switched from injectable therapies, whereas oral substances or monoclonal antibodies made up >1% of previous treatments.

METHODS

We evaluated ocrelizumab-treated patients with RMS enrolled in the prospective cohorts at the University Hospitals Duesseldorf and Essen, Germany. Epidemiologic data at baseline were compared, and Cox proportional hazard models were applied to evaluate outcomes.

RESULTS

Two hundred eighty patients were included (median age: 37 years, 35% male patients). Compared with using ocrelizumab as a first-line treatment, its use as a third-line therapy increased hazard ratios (HRs) for relapse and disability progression, whereas differences between first- vs second-line and second- vs third-line remained smaller. We stratified patients according to their last previous disease-modifying treatment and here identified fingolimod (FTY) (45 patients, median age 40 years, 33% male patients) as a relevant risk factor for ongoing relapse activity despite 2nd-line (HR: 3.417 [1.007-11.600]) or 3rd-line (HR: 5.903 [2.489-13.999]) ocrelizumab treatment, disability worsening (2nd line: HR: 3.571 [1.013-12.589]; 3rd line: HR: 4.502 [1.728-11.729]), and occurrence of new/enlarging MRI lesions (2nd line: HR: 1.939 [0.604-6.228]; 3rd line: HR: 4.627 [1.982-10.802]). Effects were persistent throughout the whole follow-up. Neither peripheral B-cell repopulation nor immunoglobulin G levels were associated with rekindling disease activity.

DISCUSSION

Our prospectively collected observational data suggest suboptimal effectiveness of ocrelizumab in patients switching from FTY compared with those switching from other substances or having been treatment naive. These findings support previous studies indicating abated effectiveness of immune cell-depleting therapies following FTY treatment in patients with RMS.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class IV evidence that for patients with RMS, previous treatment with FTY compared with previous treatment with other immunomodulating therapies decreases the effectiveness of ocrelizumab.

Real-world use of natalizumab in Austria: data from the Austrian Multiple Sclerosis Treatment Registry (AMSTR)

INTRODUCTION

With the approval of natalizumab in Europe in 2006, the Austrian Multiple Sclerosis Therapy Registry (AMSTR) was established. Here, we present data from this registry about effectiveness and safety of natalizumab in patients treated up to 14 years.

PATIENTS/METHODS

Data retrieved from the AMSTR contained baseline characteristics and biannual documentation of annualised relapse rate (ARR) and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score as well as adverse events and reasons for discontinuation on follow-up visits.

RESULTS

A total of 1596 natalizumab patients (71% women, n = 1133) were included in the analysis and the observed treatment duration ranged from 0 to 164 months (13.6 years). The mean ARR was 2.0 (SD = 1.13) at baseline, decreasing to 0.16 after 1 year and 0.01 after 10 years. A total of 325 patients (21.6%) converted to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) during the observational period. Of 1502 patients, 1297 (86.4%) reported no adverse events (AE) during follow-up visits. The most common reported AEs were infections and infusion-related reactions. John Cunningham virus (JCV) seropositivity was the most common specified reason for treatment discontinuation (53.7%, n = 607). There were five confirmed cases of Progressive Multifocal Leukoencephalopathy (PML) with 1 death.

CONCLUSION

The effectiveness of natalizumab in patients with active relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) could be confirmed in our real-world cohort even after follow-up of up to 14 years, though after year 10, there were less than 100 remaining patients. A low number of AE were reported in this nationwide registry study, establishing Natalizumab's favourable safety profile during long-term use.

Early neurofilament light and glial fibrillary acidic protein levels improve predictive models of multiple sclerosis outcomes

BACKGROUND

Early risk-stratification in multiple sclerosis (MS) may impact treatment decisions. Current predictive models have identified that clinical and imaging characteristics of aggressive disease are associated with worse long-term outcomes. Serum biomarkers, neurofilament (sNfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (sGFAP), reflect subclinical disease activity through separate pathological processes and may contribute to predictive models of clinical and MRI outcomes.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of the Comprehensive Longitudinal Investigation of Multiple Sclerosis at the Brigham and Women's Hospital (CLIMB study), where patients with multiple sclerosis are seen every 6 months and undergo Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) assessment, have annual brain MRI scans where volumetric analysis is conducted to calculate T2-lesion volume (T2LV) and brain parenchymal fraction (BPF), and donate a yearly blood sample for subsequent analysis. We included patients with newly diagnosed relapsing-remitting MS and serum samples obtained at baseline visit and 1-year follow-up (both within 3 years of onset), and were assessed at 10-year follow-up. We measured sNfL and sGFAP by single molecule array at baseline visit and at 1-year follow-up. A predictive clinical model was developed using age, sex, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), pyramidal signs, relapse rate, and spinal cord lesions at first visit. The main outcome was odds of developing of secondary progressive (SP)MS at year 10. Secondary outcomes included 10-year EDSS, brain T2LV and BPF. We compared the goodness-of-fit of the predictive clinical model with and without sNfL and sGFAP at baseline and 1-year follow-up, for each outcome by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) or R-squared.

RESULTS

A total 144 patients with median MS onset at age 37.4 years (interquartile range: 29.4-45.4), 64% female, were included. SPMS developed in 25 (17.4%) patients. The AUC for the predictive clinical model without biomarker data was 0.73, which improved to 0.77 when both sNfL and sGFAP were included in the model (P = 0.021). In this model, higher baseline sGFAP associated with developing SPMS (OR=3.3 [95%CI:1.1,10.6], P = 0.04). Adding 1-year follow-up biomarker levels further improved the model fit (AUC = 0.79) but this change was not statistically significant (P = 0.15). Adding baseline biomarker data also improved the R-squared of clinical models for 10-year EDSS from 0.24 to 0.28 (P = 0.032), while additional 1-year follow-up levels did not. Baseline sGFAP was associated with 10-year EDSS (ß=0.58 [95%CI:0.00,1.16], P = 0.05). For MRI outcomes, baseline biomarker levels improved R-squared for T2LV from 0.12 to 0.27 (P<0.001), and BPF from 0.15 to 0.20 (P = 0.042). Adding 1-year follow-up biomarker data further improved T2LV to 0.33 (P = 0.0065) and BPF to 0.23 (P = 0.048). Baseline sNfL was associated with T2LV (ß=0.34 [95%CI:0.21,0.48], P<0.001) and 1-year follow-up sNfL with BPF (ß=-2.53% [95%CI:-4.18,-0.89], P = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Early biomarker levels modestly improve predictive models containing clinical and MRI variables. Worse clinical outcomes, SPMS and EDSS, are associated with higher sGFAP levels and worse MRI outcomes, T2LV and BPF, are associated with higher sNfL levels. Prospective study implementing these predictive models into clinical practice are needed to determine if early biomarker levels meaningfully impact clinical practice.

The prevalence and incidence of multiple sclerosis over the past 20 years in northern Japan

OBJECTIVES

The prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in East Asia is thought to be lower than in Western countries. Globally, there is a trend of increasing MS prevalence. We investigated the changes in the prevalence and clinical phenotype of MS in the Tokachi province of Hokkaido in northern Japan, from 2001 to 2021.

METHODS

Data processing sheets were sent to all related institutions inside and outside the Tokachi area of Hokkaido island in Japan and were collected from April to May 2021. The prevalence according to the Poser's diagnostic criteria for MS was determined on March 31, 2021.

RESULTS

In 2021, the crude MS prevalence in northern Japan was 22.4/100,000 (95% confidence interval, 17.6-28.0). The prevalences of MS standardized by the Japanese national population in 2001, 2006, 2011, 2016, and 2021 were 6.9, 11.5, 15.3, 18.5, and 23.3, respectively. The female/male ratio was 4.0 in 2021, increased from 2.6 in 2001. We checked the prevalence using the 2017 revised McDonald criteria, and found only additional male patient who had not fulfilled Poser's criteria. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence of MS per 100,000 individuals increased from 0.09 in 1980-1984 to 0.99 in 2005-2009; since then, it has remained stable. The proportions of primary-progressive, relapsing-remitting, and secondary-progressive MS types in 2021 were 3%, 82%, and 15%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our results demonstrated a consistent increase in the prevalence of MS among the northern Japanese over 20 years, particularly in females, and consistently lower rates of progressive MS in northern Japan than elsewhere in the world.

Contemporary study of multiple sclerosis disability in South East Wales

BACKGROUND

A contemporary understanding of disability evolution in multiple sclerosis (MS) is an essential tool for individual disease management and planning of interventional studies. We have used prospectively collected longitudinal data to analyse disability progression and variation in a British MS cohort.

METHODS

Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard of Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 4.0 and 6.0. A continuous Markov model was used to estimate transitional probabilities for individual EDSS scores. Models were adjusted for age at MS onset, sex and disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) exposure.

RESULTS

2135 patients were included (1487 (70%) female, 1922 (89%) relapsing onset). 865 (41%) had used DMTs. Median time to EDSS 4.0 and 6.0 was 18.2 years (95% CI 16.3 to 20.2) and 22.1 years (95% CI 20.5 to 24.5). In the Markov model, the median time spent at EDSS scores of <6 (0.40-0.98 year) was shorter than the time spent at EDSS scores of ≥6 (0.87-4.11 year). Hazard of change in EDSS was greatest at EDSS scores <6 (HR for increasing EDSS: 1.02-1.33; decreasing EDSS: 0.34-1.27) compared with EDSS scores ≥6 (HR for increasing EDSS: 0.08-0.61; decreasing EDSS: 0.18-0.54).

CONCLUSIONS

These data provide a detailed contemporary model of disability outcomes in a representative population-based MS cohort. They support a trend of increasing time to disability milestones compared with historical reference populations, and document disability variation with the use of transitional matrices. In addition, they provide essential information for patient counselling, clinical trial design, service planning and offer a comparative baseline for assessment of therapeutic interventions.

Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation in People With Active Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Uncontrolled evidence suggests that autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) can be effective in people with active secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS). In this study, we compared the effect of AHSCT with that of other anti-inflammatory disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) on long-term disability worsening in active SPMS.

METHODS

We collected data from the Italian Bone Marrow Transplantation Study Group and the Italian Multiple Sclerosis Register. Patients were considered eligible if treatment had been started after the diagnosis of SPMS. Disability worsening was assessed by the cumulative proportion of patients with a 6-month confirmed disability progression (CDP) according to the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score. Key secondary endpoints were the EDSS time trend after treatment start and the prevalence of disability improvement over time. Time to first CDP was assessed by means of proportional hazard Cox regression models. A linear mixed model with a time × treatment group interaction was used to assess the longitudinal EDSS time trends. Prevalence of improvement was estimated using a modified Kaplan-Meier estimator and compared between groups by bootstrapping the area under the curve.

RESULTS

Seventy-nine AHSCT-treated patients and 1975 patients treated with other DMTs (beta interferons, azathioprine, glatiramer-acetate, mitoxantrone, fingolimod, natalizumab, methotrexate, teriflunomide, cyclophosphamide, dimethyl fumarate, and alemtuzumab) were matched to reduce treatment selection bias using propensity score and overlap weighting approaches. Time to first CDP was significantly longer in transplanted patients (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.50; 95% CI = 0.31-0.81; p = 0.005), with 61.7% of transplanted patients free from CPD at 5 years. Accordingly, EDSS time trend over 10 years was higher in patients treated with other DMTs than in AHSCT-treated patients (+0.157 EDSS points per year compared with -0.013 EDSS points per year; interaction p < 0.001). Patients who underwent AHSCT were more likely to experience a sustained disability improvement: 34.7% of patients maintained an improvement (a lower EDSS than baseline) 3 years after transplant vs 4.6% of patients treated by other DMTs (p < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

The use of AHSCT in people with active SPMS is associated with a slowing of disability progression and a higher likelihood of disability improvement compared with standard immunotherapy.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class III evidence that autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplants prolonged the time to CDP compared with other DMTs.

Frailty and relapse activity in multiple sclerosis: A longitudinal observation

Recent cross-sectional investigations suggest a relationship between frailty, as measured by Frailty Index (FI), and multiple sclerosis (MS). However, if and how frailty is associated with relapse activity in MS is still unknown. To explore this issue, a one-year follow-up study involving 471 patients was conducted. A univariate regression model showed an inverse association between baseline FI score and the presence of relapse, which was also confirmed in the multivariate model. These results suggest that frailty may reflect pathophysiological mechanisms involved in MS disease activity and that the FI may be used as an enrichment criterion in clinical trials.

An open-source tool for longitudinal whole-brain and white matter lesion segmentation

In this paper we describe and validate a longitudinal method for whole-brain segmentation of longitudinal MRI scans. It builds upon an existing whole-brain segmentation method that can handle multi-contrast data and robustly analyze images with white matter lesions. This method is here extended with subject-specific latent variables that encourage temporal consistency between its segmentation results, enabling it to better track subtle morphological changes in dozens of neuroanatomical structures and white matter lesions. We validate the proposed method on multiple datasets of control subjects and patients suffering from Alzheimer's disease and multiple sclerosis, and compare its results against those obtained with its original cross-sectional formulation and two benchmark longitudinal methods. The results indicate that the method attains a higher test-retest reliability, while being more sensitive to longitudinal disease effect differences between patient groups. An implementation is publicly available as part of the open-source neuroimaging package FreeSurfer.

Consensus for the Early Identification of Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis in Portugal: a Delphi Panel

INTRODUCTION

Multiple sclerosis is a disease with a heterogeneous evolution. The early identification of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis is a clinical challenge, which would benefit from the definition of biomarkers and diagnostic tools applicable in the transition phase from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. We aimed to reach a Portuguese national consensus on the monitoring of patients with multiple sclerosis and on the more relevant clinical variables for the early identification of its progression.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A Delphi panel which included eleven Portuguese Neurologists participated in two rounds of questions between July and August of 2021. In the first round, 39 questions which belonged to the functional, cognitive, imaging, biomarkers and additional evaluations were included. Questions for which no consensus was obtained in the first round (less than 80% of agreement), were appraised by the panel during the second round.

RESULTS

The response rate was 100% in both rounds and consensus was reached for a total of 33 questions (84.6%). Consensus was reached for monitoring time, evaluation scales and clinical variables such as the degree of brain atrophy and mobility reduction, changes suggestive of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Additionally, digital devices were considered tools with potential to identify disease progression. Most questions for which no consensus was obtained referred to the cognitive assessment and the remaining referred to both functional and imaging domains.

CONCLUSION

Consensus was obtained for the determination of the monitorization interval and for most of the clinical variables. Most questions that did not reach consensus were related with the confirmation of progression taking into account only one test/domain, reinforcing the multifactorial nature of multiple sclerosis.

Recent Progress in the Identification of Early Transition Biomarkers from Relapsing-Remitting to Progressive Multiple Sclerosis

Despite extensive research into the pathophysiology of multiple sclerosis (MS) and recent developments in potent disease-modifying therapies (DMTs), two-thirds of relapsing-remitting MS patients transition to progressive MS (PMS). The main pathogenic mechanism in PMS is represented not by inflammation but by neurodegeneration, which leads to irreversible neurological disability. For this reason, this transition represents a critical factor for the long-term prognosis. Currently, the diagnosis of PMS can only be established retrospectively based on the progressive worsening of the disability over a period of at least 6 months. In some cases, the diagnosis of PMS is delayed for up to 3 years. With the approval of highly effective DMTs, some with proven effects on neurodegeneration, there is an urgent need for reliable biomarkers to identify this transition phase early and to select patients at a high risk of conversion to PMS. The purpose of this review is to discuss the progress made in the last decade in an attempt to find such a biomarker in the molecular field (serum and cerebrospinal fluid) between the magnetic resonance imaging parameters and optical coherence tomography measures.

Proportion and characteristics of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in five European registries using objective classifiers

Background

To assign a course of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) (SPMS) may be difficult and the proportion of persons with SPMS varies between reports. An objective method for disease course classification may give a better estimation of the relative proportions of relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and SPMS and may identify situations where SPMS is under reported.

Materials and methods

Data were obtained for 61,900 MS patients from MS registries in the Czech Republic, Denmark, Germany, Sweden, and the United Kingdom (UK), including date of birth, sex, SP conversion year, visits with an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score, MS onset and diagnosis date, relapses, and disease-modifying treatment (DMT) use. We included RRMS or SPMS patients with at least one visit between January 2017 and December 2019 if ≥ 18 years of age. We applied three objective methods: A set of SPMS clinical trial inclusion criteria ("EXPAND criteria") modified for a real-world evidence setting, a modified version of the MSBase algorithm, and a decision tree-based algorithm recently published.

Results

The clinically assigned proportion of SPMS varied from 8.7% (Czechia) to 34.3% (UK). Objective classifiers estimated the proportion of SPMS from 15.1% (Germany by the EXPAND criteria) to 58.0% (UK by the decision tree method). Due to different requirements of number of EDSS scores, classifiers varied in the proportion they were able to classify; from 18% (UK by the MSBase algorithm) to 100% (the decision tree algorithm for all registries). Objectively classified SPMS patients were older, converted to SPMS later, had higher EDSS at index date and higher EDSS at conversion. More objectively classified SPMS were on DMTs compared to the clinically assigned.

Conclusion

SPMS appears to be systematically underdiagnosed in MS registries. Reclassified patients were more commonly on DMTs.

The uncertainty period preceding the clinical defined SPMS diagnosis and the applicability of objective classifiers - A Danish single center study

BACKGROUND

The clinical transition from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) to secondary progressive MS (SPMS) is often related to a period of diagnostic uncertainty delaying diagnosis. With emerging treatment options for SPMS how to identify RRMS patients at risk of SPMS and when to assign a SPMS diagnosis has become a matter of growing clinical concern. This study aimed to determine the period of diagnostic uncertainty among Danish MS patients. Secondly, this study examined the performance of two objective classifiers in a longitudinal setting regarding their ability to shorten the period of diagnostic uncertainty.

METHODS

By using the Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry, we identified all patients linked to Rigshospitalet with clinically assigned SPMS from 2010 to 2021. We reviewed all patient records and identified the first mentioned sign of progression (FMP). The time between the dates of FMP and clinically assigned SPMS was defined as the period of diagnostic uncertainty. Secondly, we applied two objective classifiers (the Karolinska Decision tree and the MSBase criteria) to generate suggested transition dates and compared them to the ones obtain from the patient records. Detailed descriptions of the population were made at all mentioned timepoints.

RESULTS

In total 138 patients were included. We found a median period of diagnostic uncertainty of 2.12 years. The objective classifiers generated a median suggested transition date 3.44 and 4.48 years earlier than the date of clinically assigned SPMS, but they only provided an earlier SPMS transition date in 50.72% and 55.80% of cases.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings emphasize the uncertainty related to the transition from RRMS to SPMS illustrating the need of an improved diagnostic approach. Objective classifiers might have the potential to help reduce the period of diagnostic uncertainty in the future, but in their current form they do not perform satisfactorily enough to solve all difficulties related to detecting SPMS-transition.

Serum NfL but not GFAP predicts cognitive decline in active progressive multiple sclerosis patients

BACKGROUND

Cognitive decline is inadequately captured by the standard neurological examination. Serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (sGFAP) are biomarkers of neuronal damage and astrocytic reactivity that may offer an accessible measure of the multiple sclerosis (MS) pathology linked to cognitive decline.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association of sNfL and sGFAP with cognitive decline in MS patients at high risk for progressive pathology.

METHODS

We included 94 MS patients with sustained Expanded Disability Status Score (EDSS) ⩾ 3, available serum samples and cognitive assessment performed by symbol digit modalities test (SDMT) over a median of 3.1 years. The visit for sGFAP/sNfL quantification was at confirmed EDSS ⩾ 3. Linear regression analysis on log-transformed sGFAP/sNfL assessed the association with current and future SDMT. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, EDSS, treatment group, and recent relapse.

RESULTS

sNfL was significantly associated with concurrent SDMT (adjusted change in mean SDMT = -4.5; 95% confidence interval (CI): -8.7, -0.2; p = 0.039) and predicted decline in SDMT (adjusted change in slope: -1.14; 95% CI: -1.83, -0.44; p = 0.001), particularly in active patients. sGFAP was not associated with concurrent or future SDMT.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher levels of sNfL were associated with cognitive impairment and predicted cognitive decline in MS patients at high risk for having an underlying progressive pathology.

Association of Early Progression Independent of Relapse Activity With Long-term Disability After a First Demyelinating Event in Multiple Sclerosis

Importance

Progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) is the main event responsible for irreversible disability accumulation in relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS).

Objective

To investigate clinical and neuroimaging predictors of PIRA at the time of the first demyelinating attack and factors associated with long-term clinical outcomes of people who present with PIRA.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study, conducted from January 1, 1994, to July 31, 2021, included patients with a first demyelinating attack from multiple sclerosis; patients were recruited from 1 study center in Spain. Patients were excluded if they refused to participate, had alternative diagnoses, did not meet protocol requirements, had inconsistent demographic information, or had less than 3 clinical assessments.

Exposures

Exposures included (1) clinical and neuroimaging features at the first demyelinating attack and (2) presenting PIRA, ie, confirmed disability accumulation (CDA) in a free-relapse period at any time after symptom onset, within (vs after) the first 5 years of the disease (ie, early/late PIRA), and in the presence (vs absence) of new T2 lesions in the previous 2 years (ie, active/nonactive PIRA).

Main Outcomes and Measures

Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) yearly increase rates since the first attack and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for predictors of time to PIRA and time to EDSS 6.0.

Results

Of the 1128 patients (mean [SD] age, 32.1 [8.3] years; 781 female individuals [69.2%]) included in the study, 277 (25%) developed 1 or more PIRA events at a median (IQR) follow-up time of 7.2 (4.6-12.4) years (for first PIRA). Of all patients with PIRA, 86 of 277 (31%) developed early PIRA, and 73 of 144 (51%) developed active PIRA. Patients with PIRA were slightly older, had more brain lesions, and were more likely to have oligoclonal bands than those without PIRA. Older age at the first attack was the only predictor of PIRA (HR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.23-1.65; P < .001 for each older decade). Patients with PIRA had steeper EDSS yearly increase rates (0.18; 95% CI, 0.16-0.20 vs 0.04; 95% CI, 0.02-0.05; P < .001) and an 8-fold greater risk of reaching EDSS 6.0 (HR, 7.93; 95% CI, 2.25-27.96; P = .001) than those without PIRA. Early PIRA had steeper EDSS yearly increase rates than late PIRA (0.31; 95% CI, 0.26-0.35 vs 0.13; 95% CI, 0.10-0.16; P < .001) and a 26-fold greater risk of reaching EDSS 6.0 from the first attack (HR, 26.21; 95% CI, 2.26-303.95; P = .009).

Conclusions and Relevance

Results of this cohort study suggest that for patients with multiple sclerosis, presenting with PIRA after a first demyelinating event was not uncommon and suggests an unfavorable long-term prognosis, especially if it occurs early in the disease course.

Disease-modifying therapies for relapsing/active secondary progressive multiple sclerosis - a review of population-specific evidence from randomized clinical trials

Although the understanding of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) is evolving, early detection of relapse-independent progression remains difficult. This is further complicated by superimposed relapses and compensatory mechanisms that allow for silent progression. The term relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) subsumes relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) and SPMS with relapses. The latter is termed 'active' SPMS, for which disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) approved for either RMS or active SPMS can be used. However, the level of evidence supporting efficacy and safety in SPMS differs between drugs approved for RMS and SPMS. Our review aims to identify current evidence from published clinical trials and European public assessment reports from the marketing authorization procedure on the efficacy, especially on progression, of DMTs approved for RMS and SPMS. To identify relevant evidence, a literature search has been conducted and European public assessment reports of DMTs approved for RMS have been screened for unpublished data specific to SPMS. Only two clinical trials demonstrated a significant reduction in disability progression in SPMS study populations: the EXPAND study for siponimod, which included a typical SPMS population, and the European study for interferon (IFN)-beta 1b s.c., which included patients with very early and active SPMS. Both DMTs also achieved significant reductions in relapse rates. Ocrelizumab, cladribine, ofatumumab, and ponesimod are all approved for RMS - ocrelizumab, ofatumumab, and ponesimod based on an RMS study, cladribine based on an RRMS study. Data on efficacy in SPMS are only available from post hoc analyses of very small subgroups, representing only up to 15% of the total study population. For these DMTs, approval for RMS, including active SPMS, was mainly based on the assumption that the reduction in relapse rate observed in patients with RRMS can also be applied to SPMS. Based on that, the potential of these drugs to reduce relapse-independent progression remains unclear.

Heterogeneity on long-term disability trajectories in patients with secondary progressive MS: a latent class analysis from Big MS Data network

BACKGROUND

Over the decades, several natural history studies on patients with primary (PPMS) or secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) were reported from international registries. In PPMS, a consistent heterogeneity on long-term disability trajectories was demonstrated. The aim of this study was to identify subgroups of patients with SPMS with similar longitudinal trajectories of disability over time.

METHODS

All patients with MS collected within Big MS registries who received an SPMS diagnosis from physicians (cohort 1) or satisfied the Lorscheider criteria (cohort 2) were considered. Longitudinal Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores were modelled by a latent class growth analysis (LCGA), using a non-linear function of time from the first EDSS visit in the range 3-4.

RESULTS

A total of 3613 patients with SPMS were included in the cohort 1. LCGA detected three different subgroups of patients with a mild (n=1297; 35.9%), a moderate (n=1936; 53.6%) and a severe (n=380; 10.5%) disability trajectory. Median time to EDSS 6 was 12.1, 5.0 and 1.7 years, for the three groups, respectively; the probability to reach EDSS 6 at 8 years was 14.4%, 78.4% and 98.3%, respectively. Similar results were found among 7613 patients satisfying the Lorscheider criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

Contrary to previous interpretations, patients with SPMS progress at greatly different rates. Our identification of distinct trajectories can guide better patient selection in future phase 3 SPMS clinical trials. Additionally, distinct trajectories could reflect heterogeneous pathological mechanisms of progression.

Serum GFAP and NfL Levels Differentiate Subsequent Progression and Disease Activity in Patients With Progressive Multiple Sclerosis

Background and Objectives

Neurodegeneration and astrocytic activation are pathologic hallmarks of progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) and can be quantified by serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (sGFAP). We investigated sNfL and sGFAP as tools for stratifying patients with progressive MS based on progression and disease activity status.

Methods

We leveraged our Comprehensive Longitudinal Investigation of MS at the Brigham and Women's Hospital (CLIMB) natural history study, which includes clinical, MRI data and serum samples collected over more than 20 years. We included patients with MS with a confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score ≥3 that corresponds with our classifier for patients at high risk of underlying progressive pathology. We analyzed sNfL and sGFAP within 6 months from the confirmed EDSS score ≥3 corresponding with our baseline visit. Patients who further developed 6-month confirmed disability progression (6mCDP) were classified as progressors. We further stratified our patients into active/nonactive based on new brain/spinal cord lesions or relapses in the 2 years before baseline or during follow-up. Statistical analysis on log-transformed sGFAP/sNfL assessed the baseline association with demographic, clinical, and MRI features and associations with future disability.

Results

We included 257 patients with MS who had an average EDSS score of 4.0 and a median follow-up after baseline of 7.6 years. sNfL was higher in patients with disease activity in the 2 years before baseline (adjusted β = 1.21; 95% CI 1.04–1.42;p= 0.016), during the first 2 years of follow-up (adjusted β = 1.17; 95% CI = 1.01–1.36;p= 0.042). sGFAP was not increased in the presence of disease activity. Higher sGFAP levels, but not sNfL levels, were associated with higher risk of 6mCDP (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 1.71; 95% CI = 1.19–2.45;p= 0.004). The association was stronger in patients with low sNfL (adjusted HR = 2.44; 95% CI 1.32–4.52;p= 0.005) and patients who were nonactive in the 2 years prior or after the sample.

Discussion

Higher levels of sGFAP correlated with subsequent progression, particularly in nonactive patients, whereas sNfL reflected acute disease activity in patients with MS at high risk of underlying progressive pathology. Thus, sGFAP and sNfL levels may be used to stratify patients with progressive MS for clinical research studies and clinical trials and may inform clinical care.

Diagnosis and treatment of progressive multiple sclerosis: A position paper

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an unpredictable disease characterised by a highly variable disease onset and clinical course. Three main clinical phenotypes have been described. However, distinguishing between the two progressive forms of MS can be challenging for clinicians. This article examines how the diagnostic definitions of progressive MS impact clinical research, the design of clinical trials and, ultimately, treatment decisions.

METHODS

We carried out an extensive review of the literature highlighting differences in the definition of progressive forms of MS, and the importance of assessing the extent of the ongoing inflammatory component in MS when making treatment decisions.

RESULTS

Inconsistent results in phase III clinical studies of treatments for progressive MS, may be attributable to differences in patient characteristics (e.g., age, clinical and radiological activity at baseline) and endpoint definitions. In both primary and secondary progressive MS, patients who are younger and have more active disease will derive the greatest benefit from the available treatments.

CONCLUSIONS

We recommend making treatment decisions based on the individual patient's pattern of disease progression, as well as functional, clinical and imaging parameters, rather than on their clinical phenotype. Because the definition of progressive MS differs across clinical studies, careful selection of eligibility criteria and study endpoints is needed for future studies in patients with progressive MS.

Topological reorganization of brain network might contribute to the resilience of cognitive functioning in mildly disabled relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an inflammatory and demyelinating disease which leads to impairment in several functional systems including cognition. Alteration of brain networks is linked to disability and its progression. However, results are mostly cross-sectional and yet contradictory as putative adaptive and maladaptive mechanisms were found. Here, we aimed to explore longitudinal reorganization of brain networks over 2-years by combining diffusion tensor imaging (DTI), resting-state functional MRI (fMRI), magnetoencephalography (MEG), and a comprehensive neuropsychological-battery. In 37 relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and 39 healthy-controls, cognition remained stable over-time. We reconstructed network models based on the three modalities and analyzed connectivity in relation to the hierarchical topology and functional subnetworks. Network models were compared across modalities and in their association with cognition using linear-mixed-effect-regression models. Loss of hub connectivity and global reduction was observed on a structural level over-years (p < .010), which was similar for functional MEG-networks but not for fMRI-networks. Structural hub connectivity increased in controls (p = .044), suggesting a physiological mechanism of healthy aging. Despite a general loss in structural connectivity in RRMS, hub connectivity was preserved (p = .002) over-time in default-mode-network (DMN). MEG-networks were similar to DTI and weakly correlated with fMRI in MS (p < .050). Lower structural (β between .23-.33) and both lower (β between .40-.59) and higher functional connectivity (β = -.54) in DMN was associated with poorer performance in attention and memory in RRMS (p < .001). MEG-networks involved no association with cognition. Here, cognitive stability despite ongoing neurodegeneration might indicate a resilience mechanism of DMN hubs mimicking a physiological reorganization observed in healthy aging.

Treatment of Patients with Multiple Sclerosis Transitioning Between Relapsing and Progressive Disease

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic autoimmune demyelinating and neurodegenerative disease of the central nervous system with a wide variety of clinical phenotypes. In spite of the phenotypic classification of MS patients, current data provide evidence that diffuse neuroinflammation and neurodegeneration coexist in all MS forms, the latter gaining increasing clinical relevance in progressive phases. Given that the transition phase of relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) to secondary progressive MS (SPMS) is not well defined, and widely accepted criteria for SPMS are lacking, randomised controlled trials (RCTs) specifically designed for the transition phase have not been conducted. This review summarizes primary and secondary analyses and reports derived from phase III prospective clinical RCTs listed in PubMed of compounds authorised through the European Medicines Agency (EMA) and the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for the treatment of MS. The best data are available for interferon beta-1a (IFNb-1a) subcutaneous (s.c.), IFNb-1b s.c., mitoxantrone and siponimod, the latter being the most modern compound with likely the best risk-to-effect ratio. Moreover, there is a labels discrepancy for many disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) between the FDA and EMA, which have to be taken into consideration when opting for a specific DMT.

Specific Aspects of Immunotherapy for Multiple Sclerosis in Switzerland—A Structured Commentary, Update 2022

Multiple sclerosis (MS), particularly relapsing MS (RMS), has become a treatable disease in recent decades, and immunotherapies are now able to influence long-term disease course. A wide range of disease-modifying drugs are available, which makes the choice of therapy in individual cases considerably more complex. Due to specific regulatory aspects (partly diverging approvals by Swissmedic compared to the European Medicines Agency (EMA), and an independent evaluation process for the Federal Office of Public Health (FOPH) specialities list (SL)), we issued a consensus recommendation regarding specific aspects of immunotherapy for MS in Switzerland in 2019. Here, we present revised recommendations with an update on newly approved drugs and new safety aspects, also in reference to the risk of COVID-19 infection and vaccination.

Self-assessment of people with relapsing-remitting and progressive multiple sclerosis towards burden of disease, progression, and treatment utilization-Results of a large-scale cross-sectional online survey (MS Perspectives)

BACKGROUND

Assessment of the disease course by people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) themselves is important for a better understanding of the complex disease, patient counseling and treatment decisions. This may also facilitate identifying the often-unnoticed transition from relapsing-remitting (RRMS) to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS).

OBJECTIVE

MS Perspectives was designed to collect data on patients' self-assessment of multiple sclerosis (MS) symptoms, relapse-independent progression, and impact on everyday life.

METHODS

MS Perspectives is a cross-sectional online survey conducted among adult pwMS in Germany. The questionnaire included 36 items on sociodemographic and clinical characteristics as well as pharmacological and non-pharmacological treatment.

RESULTS

In total, 4555 pwMS completed the survey between December 2021 and February 2022, 69.2% had RRMS, 15.1% had SPMS. Relapse-independent worsening of symptoms was reported by 88.9% of RRMS patients with marked to severe and by 61.8% with no or mild to moderate disability. Problems with walking were most frequently (32.1%) mentioned as most bothersome by RRMS patients with marked to severe disability, fatigue, and cognitive impairment by RRMS patients with no or mild to moderate disability.

CONCLUSION

MS Perspectives gives an important insight in the self-assessed disease course and impact on daily life in a large-scale cohort of pwMS.

Different doses of Rituximab for the therapy of Neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Neuromyelitis optica spectrum disease(NMOSD) is an autoimmune neurological disease that primarily affects the spinal cord, optic nerve, and periventricular organs. Rituximab plays an important role in the prevention of relapse in NMOSD. In this study, we evaluated the efficacy and safety of different doses of the anti-monoclonal antibody rituximab in NMOSD.

OBJECTS

Our study aimed to implement a meta-analysis to systematically assess the efficacy and safety of different doses of rituximab in the treatment of NMOSD.

METHODS

We searched Pubmed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and Clinicaltrials.gov for relevant studies evaluating rituximab for NMOSD up to March 2022. Data were assessed using Review Manager 5.3 and Stata 14 softwares. Means and standard deviations(SD) were analyzed using random effects models with continuous outcomes. Risk radio was analyzed using random effects models with dichotomous outcomes.

RESULTS

We collected 576 patients from 17 studies. The endpoint of efficacy was the change in annual recurrence rate(ARR), expanded disability status scale (EDSS), and the number of patients free of relapse between pre-treatment and post-treatment of rituximab. We found that rituximab reduced ARR and EDSS, with a significant reduction in ARR(MD= -1.79, 95% CI: -3.18 ∼ -0.39, P= 0.01) and EDSS(MD= -1.35, 95% CI: -1.5 ∼ -1.19, P < 0.00001) at 100 mg intravenous infusion per week for 3 consecutive weeks, meanwhile making the number of patients free of relapse increased (RR= 24.61 [5.11, 118.55], P<0.0001) and being relatively safe and without serious adverse events(SAEs). In terms of safety, we compared and summarised the adverse events(AEs) and SAEs from 17 studies.

CONCLUSION

In this study, we found rituximab to be relatively safe and efficacious in the treatment of NMOSD, particularly at a dose of 100mg intravenous infusion per week for 3 consecutive weeks.

Efficacy, safety and patient reported outcomes in patients with active relapsing multiple sclerosis treated with ocrelizumab: Final results from the PRO-MSACTIVE study

BACKGROUND

Ocrelizumab, a humanized anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody, has been approved in Europe for the treatment of adult patients with active relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) and primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS), on the basis of previous phase III studies. However, limited data were available on ocrelizumab efficacy in RMS according to the Lublin definition of activity (clinical and/or imaging features) used in the current drug label. The PRO-MSACTIVE study was thus designed to provide additional data on ocrelizumab efficacy according to this definition, and also on safety and patient reported outcomes (PROs).

METHODS

PRO-MSACTIVE is a national, multicenter, open-label, single-arm phase IV French study, conducted in patients with active RMS (relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis, RRMS, or secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, SPMS). The primary endpoint, which was assessed at week (W) 48, was defined as the proportion of patients free of disease activity (defined by no relapses and no T1 gadolinium-enhancing nor new and/or enlarging T2 lesions using brain MRI). Disease activity, disability and PROs using 6 questionnaires for disease severity, quality of life, impact on work productivity, and treatment satisfaction were described at W24 and W48. Adverse events were described until W72.

RESULTS

Among the 422 analyzed patients (RRMS: 376, SPMS: 46), 63.3% (95% CI [58.5%; 67.9%]) were free of disease activity at W48 (RRMS: 62.2% [57.1%; 67.2%], SPMS: 71.7% [56.5%; 84.0%]). A total of 358 patients (84.8%; RRMS: 84.6%, SPMS: 87.0%) were relapse-free up to W48, and the overall adjusted annualized relapse rate was 0.14 (RRMS: 0.15, SPMS: 0.09). Overall, 67.8% of patients (RRMS: 66.8%, SPMS: 76.1%) had no evidence of MRI activity (no T1 gadolinium-enhancing lesions [83.4%] and no new/enlarging T2 lesions [75.1%]); 58.5% of patients (RRMS: 57.7%, SPMS: 65.2%) achieved No Evidence of Disease Activity (NEDA: no relapses, no confirmed disability progression, and no MRI activity) at W48. All PRO scores were stable between the first dose of ocrelizumab and W48 and better outcomes were seen for patients having an EDSS score ≥4. Overall, 89.3% of patients reported adverse events, 62.3% adverse events assessed as related to ocrelizumab, and 8.5% serious adverse events. No serious infusion-related reactions, opportunistic infections, progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy, nor deaths were reported. No new safety signal was identified.

CONCLUSION

These data confirm the efficacy of ocrelizumab in a pragmatic setting and its favorable benefit-risk profile in patients with RMS. (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03589105; EudraCT identifier: 2018-000780-91).

Secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: A national consensus paper on diagnostic criteria

BACKGROUND

In clinical practice, the diagnosis of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) is often delayed, retrospective and non-reproducible, as there are no consensus criteria that define the advent of SPMS. Early identification of SPMS is essential to improve patient care.

METHODS

Eight regional board meetings in France involving 56 multiple sclerosis (MS) experts (neurologists) were convened to discuss diagnostic criteria for SPMS. Subsequently, a national board meeting of 13 neurologists (with an expert representing each geographical region) was held to review points of convergence or divergence between regions and to develop a national consensus document.

RESULTS

Based on the discussions from the regional boards, the MS experts at the national board retained the worsening of the EDSS score, with compatible clinical features, as the only consensus criterion for the diagnosis of SPMS in clinical practice. The patient should have experienced during at least the previous 6 months and in the absence of any relapse, a worsening in the EDSS score of +1.0 point (if the previous EDSS was≤5.0) or of +0.5 point (if the previous EDSS was≥5.5), with a pyramidal or cerebellar functional system score≥2 and without setting a minimum EDSS score; or, in case of a stable EDSS score≥4.0, a worsening of a functional score. This worsening should be confirmed within 3 to 6 months. According to the MS experts, the patient's age, duration of illness and a minimal threshold EDSS score are only risk factors for transition to SPMS. Patient reports during consultation and cognitive impairment are important warning signs, which should trigger an objective assessment with specific tests or closer monitoring. Clinical relapse and/or MRI activities are non-discriminatory for making the diagnosis of SPMS.

CONCLUSIONS

The experts defined precise diagnostic criteria adapted to clinical practice for earlier identification of SPMS, paving the way for better management of this stage of the disease.

Serum Neurofilament Identifies Patients With Multiple Sclerosis With Severe Focal Axonal Damage in a 6-Year Longitudinal Cohort

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Immunomodulatory therapies reduce the relapse rate but only marginally control disability progression in patients with MS. Although serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) levels correlate best with acute signs of inflammation (e.g., relapses and gadolinium-enhancing [Gd+] lesions), their role in predicting progressive biology and irreversible axonal damage is less clear. We aimed to determine the ability of sNfL to dissect distinct measures of disease severity and predict future (no) evidence of disease activity (EDA/no evidence of disease activity [NEDA]).

METHODS

One hundred fifty-three of 221 patients with relapsing-remitting MS initially enrolled in the Neurofilament and longterm outcome in MS cohort at the MS outpatient clinic of the University Medical Center Mainz (Germany) met the inclusion criteria for this prospective observational cohort study with a median follow-up of 6 years (interquartile range 4-7 years). Progressive disease forms were excluded. Inclusion criteria consisted of Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) assessment within 3 months and MRI within 12 months around blood sampling at baseline (y0) and follow-up (y6). EDSS progression at y6 had to be confirmed 12 weeks later. sNfL was measured by single-molecule array, and the following additional variables were recorded: therapy, medical history, and detailed MRI parameters (T2 hyperintense lesions, Gd+ lesions, and new persistent T1 hypointense lesions).

RESULTS

Patients experiencing EDSS progression or new persistent T1 lesions at y6 showed increased sNfL levels at y0 compared with stable patients or patients with inflammatory activity only. As a potential readily accessible marker of neurodegeneration, we incorporated the absence of persistent T1 lesions to the NEDA-3 concept (NEDA-3^T1: n = 54, 35.3%; EDA^T1: n = 99, 64.7%) and then evaluated a risk score with factors that distinguish patients with and without NEDA-3^T1 status. Adding sNfL to this risk score significantly improved NEDA-3^T1 prediction (0.697 95% CI 0.616-0.770 vs 0.819 95% CI 0.747-0.878, p < 0.001). Patients with sNfL values ≤8.6 pg/mL showed a 76% risk reduction for EDA^T1 at y6 (hazard ratio 0.244, 95% CI 0.142-0.419, p < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

sNfL levels associate with severe focal axonal damage as reflected by development of persistent T1 lesions. Baseline sNfL values predicted NEDA-3^T1 status at 6-year follow-up.

Real-world evidence on siponimod treatment in patients with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis

Background

Therapeutic options targeting inflammation in multiple sclerosis (MS) have evolved rapidly for relapsing–remitting MS, whereas few therapies are available for progressive forms of MS, in particular secondary progressive MS (SPMS). The approval of siponimod for SPMS has allowed for optimism in the otherwise discouraging therapeutic landscape.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective, multicenter, non-interventional study analyzing the efficacy and safety of siponimod under real-world conditions in 227 SPMS patients. According to the retrospective study framework, data was acquired at prespecified time points. Clinical readouts were assessed every three months. Disease progression was determined as increase in expanded disability status scale (EDSS), radiological progression, or the occurrence of new relapses under treatment. For safety analyses, adverse events (AE) and reasons for discontinuation were documented. The collected data points were analyzed at baseline and after 6, 12 and 18 months. However, data were predominately collected at the 6- and 12-month time points as many patients were lost to follow-up. In a group consisting of 41 patients, a more detailed investigation regarding disease progression was conducted, including data from measurement of cognitive and motoric functions.

Results

Under siponimod therapy, 64.8% of patients experienced sustained clinical disease stability at 12 months. Out of the stable patients 21.4% of patients improved. Of the remaining patients, 31.5% experienced EDSS progression, 3.7% worsened without meeting the threshold for progression. Relapses occurred in 7.4%. Radiological disease activity was detected in 24.1% of patients after six months of treatment and in 29.6% of patients at 12 months follow-up. The in-depth cohort consisting of 41 patients demonstrated no substantial changes in cognitive abilities measured by Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test and Symbol Digit Modalities Test or motoric functions measured with Timed 25-Foot Walk, 100-m timed test, and 9-Hole Peg Test throughout the 12-month study period. Radiological assessment showed a stable volume of white and grey matter, as well as a stable lesion count at 12 months follow-up. AE were observed in nearly half of the included patients, with lymphopenia being the most common. Due to disease progression or AE, 31.2% of patients discontinued therapy.

Conclusion

Treatment with siponimod had an overall stabilizing effect regarding clinical and radiological outcome measures. However, there is a need for more intensive treatment management and monitoring to identify disease progression and AE.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s42466-022-00219-3.

N-Acetyl Cysteine as a Neuroprotective Agent in Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (NACPMS) trial: Study protocol for a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled add-on phase 2 trial

INTRODUCTION

Patients with progressive multiple sclerosis (PMS) experience relentless disability worsening. Current approved therapies have very modest effects on disability progression and purely focus on immunomodulation. While some inflammatory processes exist in non-active PMS, other biological processes such as neuronal injury from oxidative stress are likely more critical. N-acetyl cysteine (NAC) directly scavenges free radicals and restores neuronal glutathione, a major endogenous antioxidant. Our group has recently evaluated the safety of high dose NAC in a pilot trial in PMS with no tolerability concerns. We aim now to assess the safety, tolerability, and effect of NAC on progression of several MRI, clinical and biological markers in PMS patients.

METHODS

The NACPMS trial is a multi-site, randomized, double-blind, parallel-group, placebo-controlled add-on phase 2 trial. Ninety-eight PMS patients with EDSS 3.0-7.0 and aged 40-70 years will be randomized to NAC 1200 mg TID or matching placebo (1:1) as an add-on to the standard of care stratified by site and disease type during a 15-month intervention period. It is hypothesized that a reduction in oxidative stress injury will lessen brain atrophy estimated by MRI. The primary outcome analysis will compare the percent change over 12 months (Month 15 vs Month 3) between treatment and control arms using multivariable linear regression adjusted by age, sex, and disease duration.

ETHICS

This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board at the University of California, San Francisco (IRB21-34143), and an Investigational New Drug approval was obtained from the FDA (IND127184).

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT05122559.

Oligoclonal M bands and cervical spinal cord lesions predict early secondary progressive multiple sclerosis

Objective

To determine baseline cerebrospinal fluid and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) variables at the onset of a clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) suggestive of multiple sclerosis (MS) that predict evolution to secondary progressive MS (SPMS).

Methods

276 CIS patients with a minimum follow-up of 10 years were studied. Baseline presence of oligoclonal IgG and IgM bands (OCGB and OCMB respectively); number of brain T2 lesions (B-T2L), brain gadolinium enhancement lesions (brain-GEL), cervical spinal cord T2 lesions (cSC-T2L); and fulfillment of 2017 McDonald criteria among other variables were collected.

Results

14 patients ended up with a non-MS condition. 138/276 CIS patients fulfilled 2017 McDonald criteria. Mean age was 32.4 years, 185 female. 227 received treatment, 95 as CIS. After a mean follow-up of 12 years, 36 patients developed SPMS. Conversion to SPMS was associated with OCGB (p = 0.02), OCMB (p = 0.0001); ≥ 9 B-T2L (p = 0.03), brain-GEL (p = 0.03), and cSC-T2L (p = 0.03). However, after adjusting for sex, age, BT2L, brain-GEL, SC-T2, and OCMB status, only OCMB (HR 4.4, 1.9–10.6) and cSC-T2L (HR 2.2, 1.0–6.2) suggested an independent association with risk of conversion to SPMS. Patients with both risk factors had a HR of 6.12 (2.8–12.9).

Discussion

OCMB and SC-T2 lesions are potential independent predictors of conversion to SPMS.

Rate of Retinal Layer Thinning as a Biomarker for Conversion to Progressive Disease in Multiple Sclerosis

Background and Objectives

The diagnosis of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) is often delayed because of the lack of objective clinical tools, which increases the diagnostic uncertainty and hampers the therapeutic development in progressive multiple sclerosis (MS). Optical coherence tomography (OCT) has been proposed as a promising biomarker of progressive neurodegeneration. To explore longitudinal changes in the thicknesses of retinal layers on OCT in individuals with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) who converted to SPMS vs matched patients with RRMS who did not convert to SPMS. Our hypothesis is that the 2 cohorts exhibit different rates of retinal thinning.

Methods

From our prospective observational cohort of patients with MS at the American University of Beirut, we selected patients with RRMS who converted to SPMS during the observation period and patients with RRMS, matched by age, disease duration, and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) at the first visit. Baseline retinal measurements were obtained using spectral domain OCT, and all patients underwent clinical and OCT evaluation every 6–12 months on average throughout the study period (mean = 4 years). Mixed-effect regression models were used to assess the annualized rates of retinal changes and the differences between the 2 groups and between converters to SPMS before and after their conversion.

Results

A total of 61 participants were selected (21 SPMS and 40 RRMS). There were no differences in baseline characteristics and retinal measurements between the 2 groups. The annualized rates of thinning of all retinal layers, except for macular volume, were greater in converters before conversion compared with nonconverters by 112% for peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer (p = 0.008), 344% for tRNFL (p < 0.0001), and 82% for cell-inner plexiform layer (GCIPL) (p = 0.002). When comparing the annualized rate of thinning for the same patients with SPMS before and after conversion, no significant differences were found except for tRNFL and GCIPL with slower thinning rates postconversion (46% and 68%, respectively).

Discussion

Patients who converted to SPMS exhibited faster retinal thinning as reflected on OCT. Longitudinal assessment of retinal thinning could confirm the transition to SPMS and help with the therapeutic decision making for patients with MS with clinical suspicion of disease progression.

Soluble Vascular Cell Adhesion Molecule-1 (sVCAM-1) and Natalizumab Serum Concentration as Potential Biomarkers for Pharmacodynamics and Treatment Response of Patients with Multiple Sclerosis Receiving Natalizumab

BACKGROUND

Natalizumab (NTZ) is an established treatment for highly active, relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. In the context of rare progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy and extended interval dosing as a treatment option, biomarkers for treatment monitoring are required. Natalizumab serum concentration (NTZ SC) and soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule 1 (sVCAM-1) concentration were shown to change on treatment with NTZ. We aimed to investigate whether NTZ SC and sVCAM-1 could be suitable pharmacodynamic markers and whether they could predict disease activity on NTZ, improving the concept of personalized multiple sclerosis treatment.

METHODS

In a retrospective study at the Medical University of Innsbruck, Austria, we identified patients treated with NTZ and chose samples longitudinally collected during routine follow-ups for the measurement of NTZ SC and sVCAM-1 by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. We correlated these with clinical and demographic variables and clinical outcomes. Furthermore, we analyzed the stability of NTZ SC and sVCAM-1 during treatment.

RESULTS

One hundred and thirty-seven patients were included. We found a strong negative correlation between NTZ SC and sVCAM-1. Both showed significant associations with body mass index, infusion interval, sample age, and anti-drug-antibodies. Natalizumab serum concentration was reduced in extended interval dosing, but not sVCAM-1. Only sVCAM-1 showed a weak association with relapses during treatment, while there was no association with disease progression. Both NTZ SC and sVCAM-1 showed a wide inter-individual distribution while levels in single patients were stable on treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule 1 is a suitable pharmacodynamic marker during treatment with NTZ, which is significantly reduced already after the first dose, remains stable in individual patients even on extended interval dosing, and strongly correlates with NTZ SC. Because of the high inter-individual range, absolute levels of sVCAM-1 and NTZ SC are difficult to introduce as treatment monitoring biomarkers in order to predict disease activity in single patients.

Early use of high-efficacy disease‑modifying therapies makes the difference in people with multiple sclerosis: an expert opinion

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic and progressive neurological disease that is characterized by neuroinflammation, demyelination and neurodegeneration occurring from the earliest phases of the disease and that may be underestimated. MS patients accumulate disability through relapse-associated worsening or progression independent of relapse activity. Early intervention with high-efficacy disease-modifying therapies (HE-DMTs) may represent the best window of opportunity to delay irreversible central nervous system damage and MS-related disability progression by hindering underlying heterogeneous pathophysiological processes contributing to disability progression. In line with this, growing evidence suggests that early use of HE-DMTs is associated with a significant greater reduction not only of inflammatory activity (clinical relapses and new lesion formation at magnetic resonance imaging) but also of disease progression, in terms of accumulation of irreversible clinical disability and neurodegeneration compared to delayed HE-DMT use or escalation strategy. These beneficial effects seem to be associated with acceptable long-term safety risks, thus configuring this treatment approach as that with the most positive benefit/risk profile. Accordingly, it should be mandatory to treat people with MS early with HE-DMTs in case of prognostic factors suggestive of aggressive disease, and it may be advisable to offer an HE-DMT to MS patients early after diagnosis, taking into account drug safety profile, disease severity, clinical and/or radiological activity, and patient-related factors, including possible comorbidities, family planning, and patients' preference in agreement with the EAN/ECTRIMS and AAN guidelines. Barriers for an early use of HE-DMTs include concerns for long-term safety, challenges in the management of treatment initiation and monitoring, negative MS patients' preferences, restricted access to HE-DMTs according to guidelines and regulatory rules, and sustainability. However, these barriers do not apply to each HE-DMT and none of these appear insuperable.

Trajectory Curves for Purposes of Benchmarking and Predicting Clinical Outcomes: A Scoping Review

Trajectory curves are valuable tools to benchmark patient health status and predict future outcomes. A longitudinal study is underway to examine social participation after burn injury using the Life Impact Burn Recovery Evaluation (LIBRE) Profile with the goal of developing trajectory curves for specific domains that focus on social reintegration. We conducted a scoping review to inform and understand trajectory curves applied in clinical settings to compare outcomes for an individual to a matched cohort of comparable patients or predicted expected outcomes over time. This scoping review utilized a PubMed search from January 2014 to August 2019 for the following terms: "trajectory curves" or "trajectory models" and "clinic" or "clinical." Only articles that specifically referenced longitudinal and clinical research designs were included in the scoping review. Articles were assessed using standard scoping review methods and categorized based on clinical application of trajectory curves for either benchmarking or prediction. The initial literature review identified 141 manuscripts and 34 met initial inclusion criteria. The reviewed articles support the clinical use of trajectory curves. Findings provide insight into several key determinants involved with the successful development and implementation of trajectory curves in clinical settings. These findings will inform efforts to use the LIBRE Profile to model social participation recovery and assist in developing effective strategies using trajectory curves to promote social reintegration after burn injury.

Towards a validated definition of the clinical transition to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: A study from the Italian MS Register

BACKGROUND

Definitions for reliable identification of transition from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (MS) to secondary progressive (SP)MS in clinical cohorts are not available.

OBJECTIVES

To compare diagnostic performances of two different data-driven SPMS definitions.

METHODS

Data-driven SPMS definitions based on a version of Lorscheider's algorithm (DDA) and on the EXPAND trial inclusion criteria were compared, using the neurologist's definition (ND) as gold standard, in terms of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), Akaike information criterion (AIC) and area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

A cohort of 10,240 MS patients with ⩾5 years of follow-up was extracted from the Italian MS Registry; 880 (8.5%) patients were classified as SPMS according to the neurologist definition, 1806 (17.6%) applying the DDA and 1134 (11.0%) with the EXPAND definition. The DDA showed greater discrimination power (AUC: 0.8 vs 0.6) and a higher sensitivity (77.1% vs 38.0%) than the EXPAND definition, with similar specificity (88.0% vs 91.5%). PPV and NPV were higher using the DDA than considering EXPAND definition (37.5% vs 29.5%; 97.6% vs 94.0%).

CONCLUSION

Data-driven definitions demonstrated greater ability to capture SP transition than neurologist's definition and the global accuracy of DDA seems to be higher than the EXPAND definition.

How do patients with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis enrolled in the EXPAND randomized controlled trial compare with those seen in German clinical practice in the NeuroTransData multiple sclerosis registry?

Background

In EXPAND (NCT01665144), a phase 3 randomized clinical trial, siponimod reduced disability progression versus placebo in patients with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS).

Aim

To understand how a real-world population with SPMS relates to that in EXPAND, we conducted a retrospective, observational cohort study using the German NeuroTransData (NTD) multiple sclerosis (MS) registry.

Methods

The NTD MS registry is run by a Germany-wide network of physicians. Two cross-sectional analyses were performed using the NTD MS registry. The first included patients with SPMS, as recorded in the registry, and compared their characteristics between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2018 with patients in EXPAND. The second described the characteristics of patients in the registry at the time of diagnosis of SPMS between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2018.

Results

The first analysis included 773 patients: patients were older in the NTD MS registry than in EXPAND (mean age, 57.9 vs 48.0 years) and had a longer duration of SPMS (mean, 6.2 vs 3.8 years). In the NTD MS registry, median Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores were comparable to EXPAND (6.0 versus 6.0), although fewer patients had relapses in the previous 24 months (16% vs 36% [siponimod] and 37% [placebo]). Data on gadolinium-enhancing lesions were only available for 5.8% of patients in the NTD MS registry. The second analysis included 916 patients: at the time of SPMS diagnosis, the mean age was 53.2 years and the median EDSS score was 5.0.

Conclusion

The population in the NTD MS registry was older to that in EXPAND, but were similar in terms of disability. Differences likely reflect the inclusion criteria of EXPAND but also highlight that real-world populations encompass a wider range of patient characteristics.

Younger age at multiple sclerosis onset is associated with worse outcomes at age 50

OBJECTIVE

Older age at multiple sclerosis (MS) onset has been associated with worse 10-year outcomes. However, disease duration often exceeds 10 years and age-related comorbidities may also contribute to disability. We investigated patients with>10 years disease duration to determine how age at MS onset is associated with clinical, MRI and occupational outcomes at age 50.

METHODS

We included patients enrolled in the Comprehensive Longitudinal Investigation of Multiple Sclerosis at the Brigham and Women's Hospital with disease duration>10 years. Outcomes at age 50 included the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), development of secondary-progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS), brain T2-lesion volume (T2LV) and brain parenchymal fraction (BPF), and occupational status. We assessed how onset age was independently associated with each outcome when adjusting for the date of visit closest to age 50, sex, time to first treatment, number of treatments by age 50 and exposure to high-efficacy treatments by age 50.

RESULTS

We included 661 patients with median onset at 31.4 years. The outcomes at age 50 were worse the younger first symptoms developed: for every 5 years earlier, the EDSS was 0.22 points worse (95% CI: 0.04 to 0.40; p=0.015), odds of SPMS 1.33 times higher (95% CI: 1.08 to 1.64; p=0.008), T2LV 1.86 mL higher (95% CI: 1.02 to 2.70; p<0.001), BPF 0.97% worse (95% CI: 0.52 to 1.42; p<0.001) and odds of unemployment from MS 1.24 times higher (95% CI: 1.01 to 1.53; p=0.037).

CONCLUSIONS

All outcomes at age 50 were worse in patients with younger age at onset. Decisions to provide high-efficacy treatments should consider younger age at onset, equating to a longer expected disease duration, as a poor prognostic factor.

Consensus on early detection of disease progression in patients with multiple sclerosis

Background

Early identification of the transition from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) to secondary progressive MS (SPMS) can be challenging for clinicians, as diagnostic criteria for SPMS are primarily based on physical disability and a holistic interpretation.

Objective

To establish a consensus on patient monitoring to identify promptly disease progression and the most useful clinical and paraclinical variables for early identification of disease progression in MS.

Methods

A RAND/UCLA Appropriateness Method was used to establish the level of agreement among a panel of 15 medical experts in MS. Eighty-three items were circulated to the experts for confidential rating of the grade of agreement and recommendation. Consensus was defined when ≥66% agreement or disagreement was achieved.

Results

Consensus was reached in 72 out of 83 items (86.7%). The items addressed frequency of follow-up visits, definition of progression, identification of clinical, cognitive, and radiological assessments as variables of suspected or confirmed SPMS diagnosis, the need for more accurate assessment tools, and the use of promising molecular and imaging biomarkers to predict disease progression and/or diagnose SPMS.

Conclusion

Consensus achieved on these topics could guide neurologists to identify earlier disease progression and to plan targeted clinical and therapeutic interventions during the earliest stages of SPMS.

Does Ocrelizumab Limit Multiple Sclerosis Progression? Current Evidence from Clinical, MRI, and Fluid Biomarkers

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic inflammatory, demyelinating, and neurodegenerative disease affecting the central nervous system, often characterized by the accumulation of irreversible clinical disability over time. In recent years, there has been a dramatic evolution in several key concepts of MS treatment. The demonstration of the effects of ocrelizumab, a selective monoclonal antibody against CD20+ B cells, has significantly modified our knowledge of the immune-pathophysiology of MS and has provided a new therapeutic target for relapsing and progressive MS patients. Emerging findings suggest that, besides its strong anti-inflammatory activity, ocrelizumab may limit disability progression and may exert beneficial effects on cognitive function, fatigue, and quality of life of MS patients. The significant reductions of the rate of global and regional brain atrophy and of serum neurofilament light chain levels, which were found to be partially independent of overt inflammatory activity, suggest that this treatment may also limit neuro-axonal damage. By discussing the most recent evidence regarding the effects of ocrelizumab on clinical measures as well as on magnetic resonance imaging and fluid biomarkers, this review summarizes current knowledge on the possible mechanisms underlying the effects of ocrelizumab in limiting MS progression and neurodegeneration.

Early versus delayed treatment with glatiramer acetate: Analysis of up to 27 years of continuous follow-up in a US open-label extension study

Background:

Glatiramer acetate (GA) is US-approved for relapsing multiple sclerosis.

Objectives:

To describe GA long-term clinical profile. To compare effectiveness of early start (ES) versus delayed start (DS; up to 3 years) with GA.

Methods:

Phase 3 trial participants entered a randomized placebo-controlled period then an open-label extension (OLE) with GA.

Results:

Overall, 208 out of 251 (82.9%) randomized participants entered the OLE; 24 out of 101 (23.8%, ES) and 28 out of 107 (26.2%, DS) participants completed the OLE. Median GA treatment was 9.8 (0.1–26.3) years. Annualized change in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score was lower with ES versus DS (p = 0.0858: full study; p = 0.002; Year 5). Participants with improved/stable EDSS was consistently higher with ES versus DS: 40.3% versus 31.6% (p = 0.1590; full study); 70.8% versus 55.6% (p = 0.015; Year 5). ES prolonged time-to-6-month confirmed disease worsening (CDW) versus DS (9.8 vs 6.7 years), time-to-12-month CDW (18.9 vs 11.6 years), and significantly reduced time-to-second-6-month CDW (p = 0.0441). No new safety concerns arose.

Conclusion:

GA long-term treatment maintained clinical benefit with a similar safety profile to phase 3 results; a key limitation was that only 25% of participants completed the OLE. Early initiation of GA had sustained benefits versus delayed treatment.

Interrogating large multiple sclerosis registries and databases: what information can be gained?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Although substantial progress has been made in understanding the natural history of multiple sclerosis (MS) and the development of new therapies, many questions concerning disease behavior and therapeutics remain to be answered. Data generated from real-world observational studies, based on large MS registries and databases and analyzed with advanced statistical methods, are offering the scientific community answers to some of these questions that are otherwise difficult or impossible to address. This review focuses on observational studies published in the last 2 years designed to compare the effectiveness of escalation vs. induction treatment strategies, to assess the effectiveness of treatment in pediatric-onset and late-onset MS, and to identify the clinical phenotype of secondary progressive (SP)MS.

RECENT FINDINGS

The main findings originating from real-world studies suggest that MS patients who will qualify for high-efficacy disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) should be offered these as early as possible to prevent irreversible accumulation of neurological disability. Especially pediatric patients derive substantial benefits from early treatment. In patients with late-onset MS, sustained exposure to DMTs may result in more favorable outcomes. Data-driven definitions are more accurate in defining transition to SPMS than diagnosis based solely on neurologists' judgment.

SUMMARY

Patients, physicians, industry, and policy-makers have all benefited from real-world evidence based on registry data, in answering questions of diagnostics, choice of treatment, and timing of treatment decisions.

Stopping Interferon Beta 1b Does Not Influence the Risk of Disability Accrual in Non-Active SPMS: Results from an Italian Real-World Study

Background: No consensus exists on the possibility to stop disease modifying therapies (DMTs) in Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (SPMS). Methods: The primary outcome was the time to reach 24-weeks confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 7.0. We enrolled all patients with a confirmed diagnosis of non-active SPMS (here, absence of clinical or radiological activity for at least 24 months before the conversion) between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2015, at MS centers of Catania and Foggia, Italy. Patients were divided into two groups, according to the shared decision to stop DMTs (group A) or to maintain/switch to licensed interferon beta 1b for SPMS (group B). A Cox model adjusted with an inverse probability weighted propensity score (IPTW-PS) was employed. Results: A cohort of 311 patients was enrolled, 165 were in group A and 146 were in group B. Patients in the two groups were similar for baseline characteristics. The IPTW-PS adjusted Cox model for the event time to 24-weeks confirmed EDSS 7.0 did not show differences between the two groups (ExpB 0.96, CI 0.739–1.271, p = 0.819). Conclusions: In a real-world setting, in patients with non-active SPMS, the maintaining or switching to the licensed interferon beta 1b did not reduce the risk of reaching confirmed EDSS 7.0.

Do Hungarian multiple sclerosis care units fulfil international criteria?

A patients

Because of the past 3 decades’ extensive research, several disease modifying therapies became available, thus a paradigm change is multiple sclerosis care was necessary. In 2018 a therapeutic guideline was created recommending that treatment of persons with multiple sclerosis should take place in specified care units where the entire spectrum of disease modifying therapies is available, patient monitoring is ensured, and therapy side effects are detected and treated promptly. In 2019 multiple sclerosis care unit criteria were developed, emphasizing personnel and instrumental requirements to provide most professional care. However, no survey was conducted assessing the real-world adaptation of these criteria.

Objective

To assess whether Hungarian care units fulfil international criteria.

Methods

A self-report questionnaire was assembled based on international guidelines and sent to Hungarian care units focusing on 3 main aspects: personnel and instrumental background, disease-modifying therapy use, number of people living with multiple sclerosis receiving care in care units. Data on number of persons with multiple sclerosis were compared to Hungarian prevalence estimates. Descriptive statistics were used to analyse data.

Results

Out of 27 respondent care units, 3 fulfilled minimum requirements and 7 fulfilled minimum and recommended requirements. The least prevalent neighbouring specialties were spasticity and pain specialist, and neuro-ophthalmologist and oto-neurologist. Only 15 centres used all available disease modifying therapies. A total number of 7213 people with multiple sclerosis received care in 27 respondent centres. Compared to prevalence estimates, 2500 persons with multiple sclerosis did not receive multiple sclerosis specific care in Hungary.

Conclusion

Less than half of Hungarian care units provided sufficient care for people living with multiple sclerosis. Care units employing fewer neighbouring specialties, might have difficulties diagnosing and providing appropriate care for persons with multiple sclerosis, especially for people with progressive disease course, contributing to the reported low number of persons living with multiple sclerosis.

The safety and efficacy of fingolimod: Real-world data from a long-term, non-interventional study on the treatment of RRMS patients spanning up to 5 years from Hungary

BACKGROUND

Fingolimod was approved and reimbursed by the healthcare provider in Hungary for the treatment of highly active relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) in 2012. The present study aimed to assess the effectiveness, safety profile, and persistence to fingolimod in a real-life setting in Hungary in RRMS patients who were either therapy naïve before enrollment or have changed to fingolimod from another disease-modifying therapy (DMT) for any reason.

METHODS

This cross-sectional, observational study with prospective data collection was performed nationwide at 21 sites across Hungary. To avoid selection bias, sites were asked to document eligible patients in consecutive chronological order. Demographic, clinical, safety and efficacy data were analysed for up to 5 years from 570 consenting adult patients with RRMS who had received treatment with fingolimod for at least one year.

RESULTS

69.6% of patients remained free from relapses for the whole study duration; in the first year, 85.1% of patients did not experience a relapse, which rose to 94.6% seen in the 5th year. Compared to baseline at study end, 28.2% had higher, and 9.1% had lower, meanwhile, 62.7% of the patients had stable EDSS scores. Overall, the annualized relapse rate decreased from 0.804 observed at baseline to 0.185, 0.149, 0.122, 0.091, and 0.097 (77.0%, 82.1%, 85.2%, 89.7%, and 89.0% relative reduction, respectively) after 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years of treatment. The greatest reduction rate was seen in the group of therapy naïve patients. Treatment persistence on fingolimod after 60 months was 73.4%.

CONCLUSION

In this nationwide Hungarian cohort, most patients under fingolimod treatment were free from relapses and disability progression. In addition, fingolimod has proven to be a well-tolerated DMT that has sustained its manageable safety profile, high efficacy, and positive benefit/risk ratio for up to 5 years in a real-life setting.

Astrocytes and Inflammatory T Helper Cells: A Dangerous Liaison in Multiple Sclerosis

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is a neurodegenerative autoimmune disorder of the central nervous system (CNS) characterized by the recruitment of self-reactive T lymphocytes, mainly inflammatory T helper (Th) cell subsets. Once recruited within the CNS, inflammatory Th cells produce several inflammatory cytokines and chemokines that activate resident glial cells, thus contributing to the breakdown of blood-brain barrier (BBB), demyelination and axonal loss. Astrocytes are recognized as key players of MS immunopathology, which respond to Th cell-defining cytokines by acquiring a reactive phenotype that amplify neuroinflammation into the CNS and contribute to MS progression. In this review, we summarize current knowledge of the astrocytic changes and behaviour in both MS and experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE), and the contribution of pathogenic Th1, Th17 and Th1-like Th17 cell subsets, and CD8⁺ T cells to the morphological and functional modifications occurring in astrocytes and their pathological outcomes.

Progression is independent of relapse activity in early multiple sclerosis: a real-life cohort study

Disability accrual in multiple sclerosis may occur as relapse-associated worsening or progression independent of relapse activity. The role of progression independent of relapse activity in early MS is yet to be established. The objective of this multicentre, observational, retrospective cohort study was to investigate the contribution of relapse-associated worsening and progression independent of relapse activity to confirmed disability accumulation in patients with clinically isolated syndrome and early relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis, assessed within one year from onset and with follow-up >/= 5 years (n = 5169). Data were extracted from the Italian Multiple Sclerosis Register. Confirmed disability accumulation was defined by an increase in Expanded Disability Status Scale score confirmed at 6 months, and classified per temporal association with relapses. Factors associated with progression independent of relapse activity and relapse-associated worsening were assessed using multivariable Cox regression models. Over a follow-up period of 11.5 ± 5.5 years, progression independent of relapse activity occurred in 1427 (27.6%) and relapse-associated worsening in 922 (17.8%) patients. Progression independent of relapse activity was associated with older age at baseline (HR = 1.19; 95CI 1.13-1.25, p < 0.001), having a relapsing-remitting course at baseline (HR = 1.44; 95CI 1.28-1.61, p < 0.001), longer disease duration at baseline (HR = 1.56; 95%CI 1.28-1.90, p < 0.001), lower Expanded Disability Status Scale at baseline (HR = 0.92; 95CI 0.88-0.96, p < 0.001), lower number of relapses before the event (HR = 0.76; 95CI 0.73-0.80, p < 0.001). Relapse-associated worsening was associated with younger age at baseline (HR = 0.87; 95CI 0.81-0.93, p < 0.001), having a relapsing-remitting course at baseline (HR = 1.55; 95CI 1.35-1.79, p < 0.001), lower Expanded Disability Status Scale at baseline (HR = 0.94; 95CI 0.89-0.99, p = 0.017), higher number of relapses before the event (HR = 1.04; 95CI 1.01-1.07, p < 0.001). Longer exposure to disease modifying drugs was associated with a lower risk of both progression independent of relapse activity and relapse-associated worsening (p < 0.001). This study provides evidence that in early relapsing-onset multiple sclerosis cohort, progression independent of relapse activity was an important contributor to confirmed disability accumulation. Our findings indicate that insidious progression appears even in the earliest phases of the disease, suggesting that inflammation and neurodegeneration can represent a single disease continuum, in which age is one of the main determinants of disease phenomenology.

Multiple sclerosis impairment scale and brain MRI in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

To examine the Multiple Sclerosis Impairment Scale (MSIS) in secondary progressive MS (SPMS) in relation to the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) outcomes, and mobility.

METHODS

In this observational single-center study, 68 secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) patients were examined by MSIS, EDSS, functional mobility tests of upper/lower extremities, and multimodal MRI. Participants had EDSS ≥3.5, a decline in daily activities over the last year unrelated to relapses, and/or 6-month confirmed disability progression.

RESULTS

Mean disease duration was 23.1 ± 8.3 years and mean age 54.4 ± 8.1 years. MSIS, EDSS, and their corresponding motor, cerebellar, and sensory subscores correlated (p < .0001). Motor subscores of MSIS correlated stronger with Timed-25-Foot-Walk (T25FW) than pyramidal functional system score (FSS) (p = .03), but EDSS had a stronger correlation to T25FW than the total MSIS score (p = .01). MSIS cerebellar subscore correlated stronger with 9-Hole Peg Test (9-HPT) than cerebellar FSS (p = .04). The sensory MSIS subscore also showed correlation with 9-HPT in contrast to sensory FSS (p = .006). MSIS subscores had stronger correlations with MRI volumetry measures than FSS scores (lesion volume and putamen, thalamus, corpus callosum volumetry, p = .0001-0.0017).

CONCLUSION

In patients with SPMS, MSIS correlated with functional motor tests. MSIS showed stronger correlations with atrophy of central nervous system areas, and may be more sensitive to scale cerebellar and sensory function than EDSS.

Slowly Expanding Lesions Predict 9-Year Multiple Sclerosis Disease Progression

Background and Objectives

Chronic active lesions contribute to multiple sclerosis (MS) severity, but their association with long-term disease progression has not been evaluated yet. White matter (WM) lesions showing linear expansion over time on serial T₁- and T₂-weighted scans (i.e., slowly expanding lesions [SELs]) have been proposed as a marker of chronic inflammation. In this study, we assessed whether SEL burden and microstructural abnormalities were associated with Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score worsening and secondary progressive (SP) conversion at 9.1-year follow-up in patients with relapsing-remitting (RR) MS.

Methods

In 52 patients with RRMS, SELs were identified among WM lesions by linearly fitting the Jacobian of the nonlinear deformation field between time points obtained combining 3T brain T₁- and T₂-weighted scans acquired at baseline and months 6, 12, and 24. Logistic regression analysis was applied to investigate the associations of SEL number, volume, magnetization transfer ratio (MTR), and T₁-weighted signal intensity with disability worsening (i.e., EDSS score increase) and SP conversion after a median follow-up of 9.1 years.

Results

At follow-up, 20/52 (38%) patients with MS showed EDSS score worsening; 13/52 (25%) showed SP conversion. A higher baseline EDSS score (for each point higher: OR = 3.15 [95% CI = 1.61; 8.38], p = 0.003), a higher proportion of SELs among baseline lesions (for each % increase: OR = 1.22 [1.04; 1.58], p = 0.04), and lower baseline MTR values of SELs (for each % higher: OR = 0.66 [0.41; 0.92], p = 0.033) were significant independent predictors of EDSS score worsening at follow-up (C-index = 0.892). A higher baseline EDSS score (for each point higher: OR = 6.37 [1.98; 20.53], p = 0.002) and lower baseline MTR values of SELs (for each % higher: OR = 0.48 [0.25; 0.89], p = 0.02) independently predicted SPMS conversion (C-index = 0.947).

Discussion

The proportion of SELs is associated with MS progression after 9 years. More severe SEL microstructural abnormalities independently predict EDSS score worsening and SPMS conversion. The quantification of SEL burden and damage using T₁-, T₂-weighted, and MTR sequences may identify patients with RRMS at a higher risk of long-term disability progression and SPMS conversion.

Classification of Evidence

This study provides Class III evidence that in patients with RRMS starting treatment with natalizumab or fingolimod, the proportion of SELs on brain MRI was associated with EDSS score worsening and SPMS conversion at 9-year follow-up.