Differences in mortality between elderly and younger adult trauma patients: geriatric status increases risk of delayed death

Injury Characteristics and Outcomes in Elderly Trauma Patients in Sub-Saharan Africa

BACKGROUND

Traumatic injury in the elderly is an emerging global problem with an associated increase in morbidity and mortality. This study sought to describe the epidemiology of elderly injury and outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of adult patients (≥ 18 years) with traumatic injuries presenting to the Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH) in Lilongwe, Malawi, over 5 years (2009-2013). Elderly patients were defined as adults aged ≥65 years and compared to adults aged 18-44 and 45-64 years. We used propensity score matching and logistic regression to compare the odds of mortality between age groups using the youngest age group as the reference.

RESULTS

42,816 Adult patients with traumatic injuries presented to KCH during the study period. 1253 patients (2.9 %) were aged ≥65 years with a male preponderance (77.4 %). Injuries occurred more often at home as age increased (25.3, 29.5, 41.1 %, p < 0.001) and falls were more common (14.1, 23.8, 36.3 %, p < 0.001) for elderly patients. Elderly age was associated with a higher proportion of hospital admissions (10.6, 21.3, 35.2 %, p < 0.001). Upon propensity score matching and logistic regression analysis, the odds ratio of mortality for patients aged ≥65 was 3.15 (95 % CI 1.45, 6.82, p = 0.0037) compared to the youngest age group (18-44 years).

CONCLUSIONS

Elderly trauma in a resource-poor area in sub-Saharan Africa is associated with a significant increase in hospital admissions and mortality. Significant improvements in trauma systems, pre-hospital care, and hospital capacity for older, critically ill patients are imperative.

Demographic and regional characteristics of road traffic injury deaths in Jiangsu Province, China

Background

The study investigates the magnitude and distribution of fatal road traffic injuries (RTIs) in the Chinese province of Jiangsu by road user.

Method

The 13 694 RTI deaths and years of potential life lost (YPLL) that occurred in 2012 were analysed; vulnerable and non-vulnerable road users were considered separately. Age-adjusted mortality and YPLL were compiled and the association between demographic characteristics and RTI mortality rate was analysed using negative binomial regression.

Results

The age-adjusted RTI mortality and YPLL in Jiangsu in 2012 were 18.14 (95% CI: 17.84-18.45) and 494.3 (95% CI: 492.7-496.0) per 100 000 population. Half of the deaths were among pedestrians and for vulnerable road users as a whole, male fatalities were over three times that of female (adjusted incidence rate ratio = 3.26, 95% CI: 1.89-3.77). Fatalities in the oldest age group (80+ years) were over 14 times that of the youngest one (0-9 years) (adjusted incidence rate ratio = 14.13, 95% CI: 9.49-21.01). Fatality rates in the central and northern regions surpassed that of the south.

Conclusion

As in the rest of the country, RTIs are a considerable public health problem in Jiangsu where fatality and YPLL rates fall heavily on pedestrians, men, and older persons and are more pronounced in the less developed regions.

Predicting outcomes in traumatic out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: the relevance of Utstein factors

BACKGROUND

Given low survival rates in cases of traumatic out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), there is a need to identify factors associated with outcomes. We aimed to investigate Utstein factors associated with achieving return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) and survival to hospital in traumatic OHCA.

METHODS

The Victorian Ambulance Cardiac Arrest Registry (VACAR) was used to identify cases of traumatic OHCA that received attempted resuscitation and occurred between July 2008 and June 2014. We excluded cases aged <16 years or with a mechanism of hanging or drowning.

RESULTS

Of the 660 traumatic OHCA patients who received attempted resuscitation, ROSC was achieved in 159 patients (24%) and 95 patients (14%) survived to hospital (ROSC on hospital handover). Factors that were positively associated with achieving ROSC in multivariable logistic regression models were age ≥65 years (adjusted OR (AOR)=1.56, 95% CI: 1.01 to 2.43) and arresting rhythm (shockable (AOR=3.65, 95% CI: 1.64 to 8.11) and pulseless electrical activity (AOR=2.15, 95% CI: 1.36 to 3.39) relative to asystole). Similarly, factors positively associated with survival to hospital were arresting rhythm (shockable (AOR=3.92, 95% CI: 1.64 to 9.41) relative to asystole), and the mechanism of injury (falls (AOR=2.16, 95% CI: 1.03 to 4.54) relative to motor vehicle collisions), while trauma type (penetrating (AOR=0.27, 95% CI: 0.08 to 0.91) relative to blunt trauma) and event region (rural (AOR=0.39, 95% CI: 0.19 to 0.80) relative to urban) were negatively associated with survival to hospital.

CONCLUSIONS

Few patient and arrest characteristics were associated with outcomes in traumatic OHCA. These findings suggest there is a need to incorporate additional information into cardiac arrest registries to assist prognostication and the development of novel interventions in these trauma patients.

Survivorship After High-Energy Geriatric Trauma

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate in-hospital, 1-year, and 5-year survivorship of geriatric patients after high-energy trauma, to compare survivorship of geriatric patients who sustained high-energy trauma with that of those who sustained low-energy trauma, and to identify predictors for mortality.

DESIGN

Retrospective.

SETTING

Urban Level I trauma center.

PATIENTS

Study group of 1849 patients with high-energy trauma and comparison group of 761 patients with low-energy trauma.

INTERVENTION

Each patient was observed from the time of index admission through the end of the study period or until death or readmission.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENT

Long-term survivorship based on the Social Security Death Index.

RESULTS

Survivorship between patients with high-energy and low-energy injuries was statistically significant. Among patients who sustained high-energy injuries, in-hospital mortality was 8%, 1-year mortality was 15%, and 5-year mortality was 25%. Among patients who sustained low-energy injuries, in-hospital mortality was 3%, 1-year mortality was 23%, and 5-year mortality was 40%. Low-energy mechanism of injury was an independent predictor for 1-year and 5-year mortality, even when controlling for Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), Injury Severity Score (ISS), age, sex, body mass index (BMI), and admission Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score.

CONCLUSIONS

Geriatric patients with high-energy injuries and those with low-energy injuries seem to represent different patient populations, and low-energy mechanism seems to be a marker for frailty. High-energy mechanism was associated with lower long-term mortality rates, even when controlling for CCI, ISS, age, sex, BMI and admission GCS score.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Higher mortality risk among injured individuals in a population-based matched cohort study

BACKGROUND

Improved understanding of long-term mortality attributable to injury is needed to accurately inform injury burden studies. This study aims to quantify and describe mortality attributable to injury 12 months after an injury-related hospitalisation in Australia.

METHOD

A population-based matched cohort study using linked hospital and mortality data from three Australian states during 2008-2010 was conducted. The injured cohort included individuals ≥18 years who had an injury-related hospital admission in 2009. A comparison cohort of non-injured people was obtain by randomly selecting from the electoral roll. This comparison group was matched 1:1 on age, gender and postcode of residence. Pre-index injury health service use and 12-month mortality were examined. Adjusted mortality rate ratios (MRR) and attributable risk were calculated. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to examine the effect of risk factors on survival.

RESULTS

Injured individuals were almost 3 times more likely to die within 12 months following an injury (MRR 2.90; 95% CI: 2.76-3.04). Individuals with a traumatic brain injury (MRR 7.58; 95% CI: 5.92-9.70) or injury to internal organs (MRR 7.38; 95% CI: 5.90-9.22) were 7 times more likely to die than the non-injured group. Injury was likely to be a contributory factor in 92% of mortality within 30 days and 66% of mortality at 12 months following the index injury hospital admission. Adjusted mortality rate ratios varied by type of cause-specific death, with MRR highest for injury-related deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

There are likely chronic consequences of sustaining a traumatic injury. Longer follow-up post-discharge is needed to consider deaths likely to be attributable to the injury. Better enumeration of long-term injury-related mortality will have the potential to improve estimates of injury burden.

Functioning and health-related quality of life following injury in older people: a systematic review

AIM AND BACKGROUND

There is growing evidence around the impact of injury and recovery trajectories but little focuses on older people, despite rising burden. The aim of this review was to describe the evidence for postinjury functioning and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in older people.

METHOD

A systematic search of three databases and an extensive search of the grey literature was carried out on prospective injury outcome studies in older people (age ≥65 years) that used a generic health status outcome measure. The search results were reported using PRISMA reporting guidelines, and risk of bias was assessed using a modification of the Quality in Prognosis Studies tool.

RESULTS

There was limited evidence on functioning and HRQoL postinjury in older people. There were 367 studies identified, with 13 eligible for inclusion. Most focused on hip fracture or traumatic brain injury. Older people appeared to have poorer postinjury functioning and HRQoL compared with younger adults or preinjury levels. Poor preinjury function, pre-existing conditions and increasing age were associated with poorer outcomes, whereas preinjury-independent living was associated with better outcomes.

DISCUSSION

The studies were heterogeneous, limiting synthesis. There was a lack of evidence around the impact of injury on older people in terms of paid work and unpaid work. It was unclear if existing injury outcome guidelines are appropriate for older people.

CONCLUSIONS

Further research is required on older people's postinjury course, outcomes and determinants. This will require standardised methodologies and qualitative studies. The findings will inform clinical care, policy development, health and compensation systems.

Older Age, Comorbid Illnesses, and Injury Severity Affect Immediate Outcome in Elderly Trauma Patients

Introduction:

Trauma in elderly population is frequent and is associated with significant mortality, not only due to age but also due to complicated factors such as the severity of injury, preexisting comorbidity, and incomplete general assessment. Our primary aim was to determine whether age, Injury Severity Score (ISS), and preexisting comorbidities had an adverse effect on the outcome in patients aged 65 years and above following blunt trauma.

Methods:

We included 1027 patients aged ≥65 years who were admitted to our Level I Trauma Center following blunt trauma. Patients’ charts were reviewed for demographics, ISS, mechanism of injury, preexisting comorbidities, Intensive Care Unit and hospital length of stay, complications, and in-hospital mortality.

Results:

The mean age of injured patients was 78.8 ± 8.3 years (range 65–109). The majority of patients had mild injury severity (ISS 9–14, 66.8%). Multiple comorbidities (≥3) were found in 233 patients (22.7%). Mortality during the hospitalization stay (n = 35, 3.4%) was associated with coronary artery disease, renal failure, dementia, and warfarin use (P < 0.05). Chronic anticoagulation treatment was recorded in 13% of patients. The addition of a single comorbidity increased the odds of wound infection to 1.29 and sepsis to 1.25. Both age and ISS increased the odds of death as −1.08 and −2.47, respectively.

Conclusions:

Our analysis shows that age alone in elderly trauma population is not a robust measure of outcome, and more valuable predictors such as injury severity, preexisting comorbidities, and medications are accounted for adverse outcome. Trauma care in this population with special considerations should be tailored to meet their specific needs.

Validation of the Shock Index, Modified Shock Index, and Age Shock Index for Predicting Mortality of Geriatric Trauma Patients in Emergency Departments

The shock index (SI), modified shock index (MSI), and age multiplied by SI (Age SI) are used to assess the severity and predict the mortality of trauma patients, but their validity for geriatric patients is controversial. The purpose of this investigation was to assess predictive value of the SI, MSI, and Age SI for geriatric trauma patients. We used the Emergency Department-based Injury In-depth Surveillance (EDIIS), which has data from 20 EDs across Korea. Patients older than 65 years who had traumatic injuries from January 2008 to December 2013 were enrolled. We compared in-hospital and ED mortality of groups categorized as stable and unstable according to indexes. We also assessed their predictive power of each index by calculating the area under the each receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. A total of 45,880 cases were included. The percentage of cases classified as unstable was greater among non-survivors than survivors for the SI (36.6% vs. 1.8%, P < 0.001), the MSI (38.6% vs. 2.2%, P < 0.001), and the Age SI (69.4% vs. 21.3%, P < 0.001). Non-survivors had higher median values than survivors on the SI (0.84 vs. 0.57, P < 0.001), MSI (0.79 vs. 1.14, P < 0.001), and Age SI (64.0 vs. 41.5, P < 0.001). The predictive power of the Age SI for in-hospital mortality was higher than SI (AUROC: 0.740 vs. 0.674, P < 0.001) or MSI (0.682, P < 0.001) in geriatric trauma patients.

Geriatric assault victims treated at U.S. trauma centers: Five-year analysis of the national trauma data bank

INTRODUCTION

While geriatric trauma patients have begun to receive increased attention, little research has investigated assault-related injuries among older adults. Our goal was to describe characteristics, treatment, and outcomes of geriatric assault victims and compare them both to geriatric victims of accidental injury and younger assault victims.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of the 2008-2012 National Trauma Data Bank. We identified cases of assault-related injury admitted to trauma centers in patients aged ≥60 using the variable "intent of injury."

RESULTS

3564 victims of assault-related injury in patients aged ≥60 were identified and compared to 200,194 geriatric accident victims and 94,511 assault victims aged 18-59. Geriatric assault victims were more likely than geriatric accidental injury victims to be male (81% vs. 47%) and were younger than accidental injury victims (67±7 vs. 74±9 years). More geriatric assault victims tested positive for alcohol or drugs than geriatric accident victims (30% vs. 9%). Injuries for geriatric assault victims were more commonly on the face (30%) and head (27%) than for either comparison group. Traumatic brain injury (34%) and penetrating injury (32%) occurred commonly. The median injury severity score (ISS) for geriatric assault victims was 9, with 34% having severe trauma (ISS≥16). Median length of stay was 3 days, 39% required ICU care, and in-hospital mortality was 8%. Injury severity was greater in geriatric than younger adult assault victims, and, even when controlling for injury severity, in-hospital mortality, length of hospitalization, and need for ICU-level care were significantly higher in older adults.

CONCLUSIONS

Geriatric assault victims have characteristics and injury patterns that differ significantly from geriatric accidental injury victims. These victims also have more severe injuries, higher mortality, and poorer outcomes than younger victims. Additional research is necessary to improve identification of these victims and inform treatment strategies for this unique population.

Evaluation of major trauma in elderly patients - a single trauma center analysis

BACKGROUND

The objective of the study was to gather information about elderly major trauma patients admitted to one particular Slovenian trauma centre in Celje and examine this group of polytrauma patients, specifically with respect to mechanisms of injury, injury severity and distribution of injuries. Further on, to identify morbidity and mortality rates and compare these to the younger population and, finally, to determine the factors that have the most impact on treatment results.

METHODS

The study gathered and evaluated data of 532 patients included in the Trauma Register DGU® of the German Trauma Society (TR-DGU) during a 10-year period and two distinct groups of patients were established, separated on account of age as older or younger than 65 years. The differences between these two groups were analyzed with respect to demographics, comorbidities, preclinical management, injury patterns, relevant clinical and laboratory findings. Furthermore, differences between deceased and surviving elderly patients were also analyzed.

RESULTS

The majority of elderly patients suffered from a blunt mechanism of trauma (96.6%) and of these simple falls represented 47.9% within this injury mechanism. There were two body regions, which were most frequently represented, namely head and thorax injuries, accounting for 54.7% each. Complications were more frequent among the elderly, with sepsis being present in 29.9% and multiple organ failure (MOF) in 19.7% of cases. Cardiovascular failure was also high in both the elderly and young, accounting for 45.3% of the elderly and 31.3% of the younger population. The in-hospital mortality rate for the elderly group was 25.6% and was significantly higher compared to the younger counterparts (14.7%). Low fall mechanism of injury, coma and the new injury severity score (NISS) were statistically important factors for the mortality of seriously injured elderly patients during the acute phase of treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite advances in care, morbidity and mortality in elderly patients after major trauma remains considerably higher than in younger populations with head injuries accounting for the majority of fatalities. The elderly patient population in this study mostly suffered from blunt mechanisms of injury, with simple falls representing a high proportion of injury mechanisms. Generally, the injury severity scale (ISS) in the elderly is not statistically higher than with the younger population. Likewise, the distribution of injuries according to body regions is also similar; however, the elderly are more prone to complications (e. g. sepsis and MOF), which is likely due to a lower physiological reserves.

Effect of Geriatric-Specific Trauma Triage Criteria on Outcomes in Injured Older Adults: A Statewide Retrospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the effect on outcomes of the Ohio Department of Public Safety statewide geriatric triage criteria, established in 2009 for emergency medical services (EMS) to use for injured individuals aged 70 and older.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study of the Ohio Trauma Registry.

SETTING

All hospitals in Ohio.

PARTICIPANTS

Individuals aged 70 and older in the Ohio Trauma Registry from January 2006 through December 2011, 3 years before and 3 years after criteria adoption (N = 34,499).

MEASUREMENTS

Primary outcomes were in-hospital mortality and discharge to home. Criteria effects were assessed using chi-square tests, multivariable logistic regression, interrupted time series plots, and multivariable segmented regression models.

RESULTS

After geriatric criteria were adopted, the proportion of older adults qualifying for trauma center transport increased from 44% to 58%, but EMS transport rates did not change (44% vs 45%). There was no difference in unadjusted mortality (7.1% vs 6.6%) (P = .10). In adjusted analyses, subjects with an injury severity score (ISS) less than 10 had lower mortality after adoption (3.0% vs 2.5%) (odds ratio (OR) = 0.81, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.70-0.95, P = .01). Discharge to home increased after adoption in the adjusted analysis (OR = 1.06, 95% CI = 1.01-1.11, P = .02). There were no time-dependent changes for either outcome.

CONCLUSION

Although the proportion of older adults meeting criteria for trauma center transport substantially increased with geriatric triage criteria, there were no increases in trauma center transports. Adoption of statewide geriatric triage guidelines did not decrease mortality in more severely injured older adults but was associated with slightly lower mortality in individuals with mild injuries (ISS <10) and with more individuals discharged to home. Improving outcomes in injured older adults will require further attention to implementation and use of geriatric-specific criteria.

Is Early Appropriate Care of axial and femoral fractures appropriate in multiply-injured elderly trauma patients?

BACKGROUND

Previous work established resuscitation parameters that minimize complications with early fracture management. This Early Appropriate Care (EAC) protocol was applied to patients with advanced age to determine if they require unique parameters to mitigate complications.

METHODS

Between October 2010 and March 2013, 376 consecutive skeletally mature patients with unstable fractures of the pelvis, acetabulum, thoracolumbar spine, and/or proximal or diaphyseal femur fractures were treated at a level I trauma center and were prospectively studied. Patients aged ≤30 years (n = 114), 30 to 60 years (n = 184), and ≥60 years (n = 37) with Injury Severity Scores (ISS) ≥16 and unstable fractures of the pelvis, acetabulum, spine, and/or diaphyseal femur were treated within 36 h, provided they showed evidence of adequate resuscitation. ISS, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification were determined. Lactate, pH, and base excess (BE) were measured at 8-h intervals. Complications included pneumonia, pulmonary embolism (PE), acute renal failure, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), multiple organ failure (MOF), deep vein thrombosis, infection, sepsis, and death.

RESULTS

Patients ≤30 years old (y/o) were more likely to sustain gunshot wounds (p = 0.039), while those ≥60 y/o were more likely to fall from a height (p = 0.002). Complications occurred at similar rates for patients ≤30 y/o, 30 to 60 y/o, and ≥60 y/o. There were no differences in lactate, pH, or BE at the time of surgery. For patients ≤30 y/o, there were increased overall complications if pH was <7.30 (p = 0.042) or BE <-6.0 (p = 0.049); patients ≥60 y/o demonstrated more sepsis if BE was <-6.0 (p = 0.046).

CONCLUSIONS

EAC aims to definitively manage axial and femoral shaft fractures once patients have been adequately resuscitated to minimize complications. EAC is associated with comparable complication rates in young and elderly patients. Further study is warranted with a larger sample to further validate EAC in elderly patients.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

level II prospective, comparative study.

Isolated prehospital hypotension correlates with injury severity and outcomes in patients with trauma

Objective

Patients normotensive in the trauma bay despite documented prehospital hypotension may not be recognized as significantly injured. The purpose of this study was to determine whether isolated prehospital hypotension portends poor outcomes and correlates with injury severity.

Methods

Prospective cohort study conducted at a level 1 university trauma center. The lowest recorded prehospital systolic blood pressure (SBP) and the first recorded SBP on hospital arrival were used to divide patients into either the normotensive (NP) or hypotensive (HP) group. Patients who failed to achieve normotension on hospital arrival were excluded. Hypotension was defined as SBP≤110 mmHg.

Results

Compared to NP (n=206), HP (n=81) had lower Glasgow Coma Scores both prehospital (12.81±0.44 vs 14.38±0.13) and at hospital admission (12.78±0.47 vs 14.37±0.14). Injury Severity Score positively correlated with prehospital hypotension (HP 12.27±1.12 vs NP 9.22±0.49). Prehospital hypotension positively correlated with intensive care unit (ICU) admission (HP 56.79% vs NP 22.82%), ICU length of stay (LOS) (HP 3.23±0.71 vs NP 0.71±0.17), hospital LOS (HP 8.58±1.39 vs NP 4.86±0.33), ventilator days (HP 3.38±1.20 vs NP 0.27±0.08 days), and repeat hypotensive episodes during their hospital stay (HP 81.71% vs NP 38.16%). HP also required more packed red blood cells in the first 24 hours after admission (22% vs 6%). Significance was set at p<0.05.

Conclusions

Isolated prehospital hypotension in patients in the trauma and emergency department correlates with increased injury severity and portends worse outcomes despite a normal blood pressure reading at admission. Prehospital hypotension must be given heavy consideration in triage, as these patients may be transiently hypotensive and appear less critical than their true status.

Level of Evidence

Level II, Prognostic study.

Predictors of Outcome in Traumatic Brain Injury: New Insight Using Receiver Operating Curve Indices and Bayesian Network Analysis

Background

Traumatic brain injury remains a global health problem. Understanding the relative importance of outcome predictors helps optimize our treatment strategies by informing assessment protocols, clinical decisions and trial designs. In this study we establish importance ranking for outcome predictors based on receiver operating indices to identify key predictors of outcome and create simple predictive models. We then explore the associations between key outcome predictors using Bayesian networks to gain further insight into predictor importance.

Methods

We analyzed the corticosteroid randomization after significant head injury (CRASH) trial database of 10008 patients and included patients for whom demographics, injury characteristics, computer tomography (CT) findings and Glasgow Outcome Scale (GCS) were recorded (total of 13 predictors, which would be available to clinicians within a few hours following the injury in 6945 patients). Predictions of clinical outcome (death or severe disability at 6 months) were performed using logistic regression models with 5-fold cross validation. Predictive performance was measured using standardized partial area (pAUC) under the receiver operating curve (ROC) and we used Delong test for comparisons. Variable importance ranking was based on pAUC targeted at specificity (pAUC_SP) and sensitivity (pAUC_SE) intervals of 90–100%. Probabilistic associations were depicted using Bayesian networks.

Results

Complete AUC analysis showed very good predictive power (AUC = 0.8237, 95% CI: 0.8138–0.8336) for the complete model. Specificity focused importance ranking highlighted age, pupillary, motor responses, obliteration of basal cisterns/3rd ventricle and midline shift. Interestingly when targeting model sensitivity, the highest-ranking variables were age, severe extracranial injury, verbal response, hematoma on CT and motor response. Simplified models, which included only these key predictors, had similar performance (pAUC_SP = 0.6523, 95% CI: 0.6402–0.6641 and pAUC_SE = 0.6332, 95% CI: 0.62–0.6477) compared to the complete models (pAUC_SP = 0.6664, 95% CI: 0.6543–0.679, pAUC_SE = 0.6436, 95% CI: 0.6289–0.6585, de Long p value 0.1165 and 0.3448 respectively). Bayesian networks showed the predictors that did not feature in the simplified models were associated with those that did.

Conclusion

We demonstrate that importance based variable selection allows simplified predictive models to be created while maintaining prediction accuracy. Variable selection targeting specificity confirmed key components of clinical assessment in TBI whereas sensitivity based ranking suggested extracranial injury as one of the important predictors. These results help refine our approach to head injury assessment, decision-making and outcome prediction targeted at model sensitivity and specificity. Bayesian networks proved to be a comprehensive tool for depicting probabilistic associations for key predictors giving insight into why the simplified model has maintained accuracy.

Age and preexisting conditions as risk factors for severe adverse events and failure to rescue after injury

BACKGROUND

Failure to rescue (FTR: the conditional probability of death after complication) has been studied in trauma cohorts, but the impact of age and preexisting conditions (PECs) on risk of FTR is not well known. We assessed the relationship between age and PECs on the risk of experiencing serious adverse events (SAEs) subsequent FTR in trauma patients with the hypothesis that increased comorbidity burden and age would be associated with increased FTR.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort analysis at an urban level 1 trauma center in Pennsylvania. All patients aged ≥16 y with minimum Abbreviated Injury Scale score ≥2 from 2009 to 2013 were included. Univariate logistic regression models for SAE and FTR were developed using age, PECs, demographics, and injury physiology. Variables found to be associated with the end point of interest (P ≤ 0.2) in univariate analysis were included in separate multivariable logistic regression models for each outcome.

RESULTS

SAE occurred in 1136 of 7533 (15.1 %) patients meeting inclusion criteria (median age 42 [interquartile range 26-59], 53% African-American, 72% male, 79% blunt, median ISS 10 [interquartile range 5-17]). Of those who experienced an SAE, 129 of 1136 patients subsequently died (FTR = 11.4%). Development of SAE and FTR was associated with age ≥ 70 y (odds ratio 1.58-1.78, 95% confidence interval 1.13-2.82). Renal disease was the only preexisting condition associated with both SAE and FTR.

CONCLUSIONS

Trauma patients with renal disease are mostly at increased risk for both SAE and FTR, but other PECs associated with SAE are not necessarily those associated with FTR. Future interventions designed to reduce FTR events should target this high-risk cohort.

Traumatic injury in the United States: In-patient epidemiology 2000-2011

BACKGROUND

Trauma is a leading cause of death and disability in the United States (US). This analysis describes trends and annual changes in in-hospital trauma morbidity and mortality; evaluates changes in age and gender specific outcomes, diagnoses, causes of injury, injury severity and surgical procedures performed; and examines the role of teaching hospitals and Level 1 trauma centres in the care of severely injured patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective descriptive and analytic epidemiologic study of an inpatient database representing 20,659,684 traumatic injury discharges from US hospitals between 2000 and 2011. The main outcomes and measures were survey-adjusted counts, proportions, means, standard errors, and 95% confidence intervals. We plotted time series of yearly data with overlying loess smoothing, created tables of proportions of common injuries and surgical procedures, and conducted survey-adjusted logistic regression analysis for the effect of year on the odds of in-hospital death with control variables for age, gender, weekday vs. weekend admission, trauma-centre status, teaching-hospital status, injury severity and Charlson index score.

RESULTS

The mean age of a person discharged from a US hospital with a trauma diagnosis increased from 54.08 (s.e.=0.71) in 2000 to 59.58 (s.e.=0.79) in 2011. Persons age 45-64 were the only age group to experience increasing rates of hospital discharges for trauma. The proportion of trauma discharges with a Charlson Comorbidity Index score greater than or equal to 3 nearly tripled from 0.048 (s.e.=0.0015) of all traumatic injury discharges in 2000 to 0.139 (s.e.=0.005) in 2011. The proportion of patients with traumatic injury classified as severe increased from 22% of all trauma discharges in 2000 (95% CI 21, 24) to 28% in 2011 (95% CI 26, 30). Level 1 trauma centres accounted for approximately 3.3% of hospitals. The proportion of severely injured trauma discharges from Level 1 trauma centres was 39.4% (95% CI 36.8, 42.1). Falls, followed by motor-vehicle crashes, were the most common causes of all injuries. The total cost of trauma-related inpatient care between 2001 and 2011 in the US was $240.7 billion (95% CI 231.0, 250.5). Annual total US inpatient trauma-related hospital costs increased each year between 2001 and 2011, more than doubling from $12.0 billion (95% CI 10.5, 13.4) in 2001 to 29.1 billion (95% CI 25.2, 32.9) in 2011.

CONCLUSIONS

Trauma, which has traditionally been viewed as a predicament of the young, is increasingly a disease of the old. The strain of managing the progressively complex and costly care associated with this shift rests with a small number of trauma centres. Optimal care of injured patients requires a reappraisal of the resources required to effectively provide it given a mounting burden.

A new kid on the block: Outcomes with Kcentra 1 year after approval

BACKGROUND

As the population ages, more trauma patients are admitted with coagulopathy. Fresh frozen plasma is effective in reversing coagulopathy caused by warfarin; however, it is not appropriate for all patients. Prothrombin complex concentrates (PCCs) are an alternative for patients who require emergent reversal, minimal-volume administration and who have a supratherapeutic international normalized ratio (INR). A four-factor PCC initially approved in Europe is now available in the United States. We sought to review our experience with Kcentra (4F-PCC) in the first year following Food and Drug Administration approval.

METHODS

All trauma patients admitted to an academic Level 1 trauma center between July 15, 2013, and July 15, 2014, who received 4F-PCC for reversal of warfarin-induced coagulopathy were reviewed. 4F-PCC was given as per protocol. Univariate analysis was performed to examine patient demographics, injury characteristics, coagulation studies, 4F-PCC dose, vitamin K use, transfusions, response to reversal, duration of reversal, complications, and mortality.

RESULTS

Twenty-six patients met study criteria. Of these patients, 34.6% were reversed because of intracranial hemorrhage. The mean INR decreased from 5.7 ± 6.1 (range, 1.6-30) to 1.5 ± 0.4 (range, 1.2-2.6) after 4F-PCC administration. One patient (3.8%) received concurrent fresh frozen plasma. For patients with an initial INR greater than 5.0, the mean INR decreased from 12.0 ± 8.2 to 1.6 ± 0.5. Forty-eight hours following 4F-PCC administration, mean INR for all patients remained 1.4 ± 0.4 (range, 1.0-2.6). Of the patients, 80.8% received vitamin K over this period. Fourteen patients had a pre-4F-PCC thromboelastogram; four were hypocoagulable. Two patients had repeat thromboelastograms after 4F-PCC was given, which demonstrated normal coagulation. Of the patients with intracranial hemorrhage, 66.7% showed radiographic progression of the initial insult on post-4F-PCC head computed tomography, while only 11.1% progressed clinically. In-hospital mortality was 0%. There were no thromboembolic complications.

CONCLUSION

4F-PCC effectively reverses elevated INRs in trauma patients with warfarin-induced coagulopathy, with results lasting more than 48 hours after administration.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Therapeutic study, level V.

Morbidity or mortality? Variations in trauma centres in the rescue of older injured patients

INTRODUCTION

Prior analysis demonstrates improved survival for older trauma patients (age>64years) treated at trauma centres that manage a higher proportion of geriatric patients. We hypothesised that 'failure to rescue' (death after a complication during an in-hospital stay) may be responsible for part of this variation. The objective of the study was to determine if trauma centre failure to rescue rates are associated with the proportion of older trauma seen.

METHODS

We analysed data from high volume level 1 and 2 trauma centres participating in the National Trauma Data Bank, years 2007-2011. Centres were categorised by the proportion of older trauma patients seen. Logistic regression analyses were used to provide risk-adjusted rates for major complications (MC) and, separately, for mortality following a MC. Models were adjusted for patient demographics, comorbid conditions, mechanism and type of injury, presenting vital signs, injury severity, and multiple facility-level covariates. Risk-adjusted rates were plotted against the proportion of older trauma seen and trends determined.

RESULTS

Of the 396,449 older patients at 293 trauma centres that met inclusion criteria, 30,761 (8%) suffered a MC. No difference was found in the risk-adjusted incidence of MC by proportion of older trauma seen. A MC was associated with 34% of all deaths. Of those that suffered a MC, 7413 (24%) died and 76% were successfully rescued. Centres treating higher proportions of older trauma were more successful at rescuing patients after a MC occurred. Patients seen at centres that treat >50% older trauma were 33% (OR=0.67, 95% CI 0.47-0.96) less likely to die following a MC than in centres treating a low proportion (10%) of older trauma.

CONCLUSIONS

Centres more experienced at managing geriatric trauma are more successful at rescuing older patients with serious complications. Processes of care at these centres need to be further examined and used to inform appropriate interventions.

Integrating Geriatric Consults into Routine Care of Older Trauma Patients: One-Year Experience of a Level I Trauma Center

BACKGROUND

Although involvement of geriatricians in the care of older trauma patients is associated with changes in processes of care and improved outcomes, few geriatrician consultations were ordered on our service.

STUDY DESIGN

Mandatory geriatric consults were initiated in September 2013 for all trauma patients 70 years and older admitted to our hospital. We prospectively collected data on patients admitted from October 2013 through September 2014 (postintervention) and compared their data with those of patients admitted from June 2011 through June 2012 (preintervention). We collected data on processes of care (DNR and do not intubate status, delirium, and referral for cognitive evaluation) and patient outcomes (mortality, readmission, and length of stay). Descriptive statistics and post-hoc power analyses were performed.

RESULTS

There were 215 and 191 patients included in the preintervention and postintervention cohorts, respectively. After the intervention, geriatric consults increased from 3.26% to 100%. Patients with DNR and do not intubate status increased from 10.23% to 38.22% (p < 0.01). Referral for formal cognitive evaluation increased from 2.33% to 14.21% (p < 0.01) and delirium documentation increased from 31.16% to 38.22% (p = 0.14). In-hospital mortality and 30-day mortality in the pre- and postintervention periods were 9.30% vs 5.24% (p = 0.12) and 11.63% vs 6.81% (p = 0.10), respectively. Intensive care unit readmission rate was 8.26% preintervention and 1.96% postintervention (p = 0.06). There were no changes in 30-day hospital readmission and length of stay. Power analyses showed more patients were needed to show statistically significant outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

The initiation of mandatory geriatric consults on our trauma service was associated with improved advance care planning and increased multidisciplinary care. Ensuring involvement of geriatricians can aid in reducing adverse outcomes among geriatric trauma patients.

Comorbidity-Polypharmacy Score as Predictor of Outcomes in Older Trauma Patients: A Retrospective Validation Study

INTRODUCTION

Traditional injury severity assessment is insufficient in estimating the morbidity and mortality risk for older (≥45 years) trauma patients. Commonly used tools involve complex calculations or tables, do not consider all comorbidities, and often rely on data that are not available early in the trauma patient's hospitalization. The comorbidity-polypharmacy score (CPS), a sum of all pre-injury medications and comorbidities, was found in previous studies to independently predict morbidity and mortality in this older patient population. However, these studies are limited by relatively small sample sizes. Consequently, we sought to validate previous research findings in a large, administrative dataset.

METHODS

A retrospective study of patients ages≥45 years was performed using an administrative trauma database from St. Luke's University Hospital's Level I Trauma Center. The study period was from 1 January 2008 to 31 December 2013. Abstracted data included patient demographics, injury mechanism and severity [injury characteristics and severity score (ISS)], Glasgow coma scale (GCS), hospital and intensive care unit lengths of stay (HLOS and ILOS, respectively), morbidity, post-discharge destination, and in-hospital mortality. Univariate analyses were conducted with mortality, all-cause morbidity, and discharge destination as primary end-points. Variables reaching statistical significance (p≤0.20) were included in a multivariate logistic regression model. Data are presented as adjusted odds ratios (AORs), with p<0.05 denoting statistical significance.

RESULTS

A total of 5863 patient records were analyzed. Average patient age was 68.5±15.3 years (52% male, 89% blunt mechanism, mean GCS 14.3). Mean HLOS and ILOS increased significantly with increasing CPS (p<0.01). Independent predictors of mortality included age (AOR 1.05, p<0.01), CPS (per-unit AOR 1.08, p<0.02), GCS (AOR 1.43 per-unit decrease, p<0.01), and ISS (per-unit 1.08, p<0.01). Independent predictors of all-cause morbidity included age (AOR 1.02, p<0.01), GCS (AOR per-unit decrease 1.08, p<0.01), ISS (per-unit AOR 1.09, p<0.01), and CPS (per-unit AOR 1.04, p<0.01). CPS did not independently predict need for discharge to a facility.

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirms that CPS is an independent predictor of all-cause morbidity and mortality in older trauma patients. However, CPS was not independently associated with need for discharge to a facility. Prospective multicenter studies are needed to evaluate the use of CPS as a predictive and interventional tool, with special focus on correlations between specific pre-existing conditions, pharmacologic interactions, and morbidity/mortality patterns.

Trauma transfers to a rural level 1 center: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The regionalization of trauma care, the Emergency Medical Treatment and Active Labor Act of 1986, the advent of Accountable Care Organizations and bundled payments have brought Level 1 trauma centers (TC) to a new crossroads. By protocol, injured patients are preferentially transferred to designated TCs when a higher level of care is indicated. Trauma transfers frequently come during off hours and may not always appear to be related to injury severity. Based on this observation, we hypothesized patients transferred from regional hospitals to Level 1 TCs would have lower injury severity scores (ISS) and unfavorable payor status.

METHODS

We queried our TC registry to identify trauma transfers (TTP) and primary trauma patients (PTP) treated at our level 1 TC between 2004 and 2012. Demographics, payor status, length of stay (LOS), injury severity score (ISS), and discharging service were compared.

RESULTS

5699 TTP and 11147 PTP were identified. Uninsured patients comprised 11 % (n = 602) of TTP compared with 15 % (n = 1,721) of PTP (P < 0.0001). Surprisingly 52 % of TTP were Medicare or HMO (n = 3008) beneficiaries, versus 42 % of PTP being Medicare or HMO (n = 4614) recipients (P < 0.0001). Patients were discharged predominantly by neurosurgery and orthopedic surgery (i.e.: General Adult and General Pediatric comprised <50 % of discharges) for all trauma admissions. Adult and Pediatric Trauma services accounted for 29 % (n = 1674) of TTP versus 45 % of PTP (n = 5045) discharges (P < 0.0001). Mean Injury Severity Score of TTP was found to be 11.5 ± 0.11, in comparison to 11.6 ± 0.11 in PTP (P = 0.42), while mean LOS was 5.6 ± 0.1 days for TTP and 5.9 ± 0.1 days for PTP (P = 0.06).

CONCLUSIONS

These data suggest designated trauma centers should continue to encourage and accept appropriate transfer of trauma patients for surgical subspecialty care. The perception trauma transfers increase institutional fiscal burden is unsubstantiated.

Occupant and Crash Characteristics of Elderly Subjects With Thoracic and Lumbar Spine Injuries After Motor Vehicle Collisions

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective study of a prospectively gathered database.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the incidence and pattern of thoracic and lumbar (T and L) spine injuries among elderly subjects involved in motor vehicle collision (MVC).

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Adults age 65 and older currently constitute more than 16% of all licensed drivers. Despite driving less than the young, older drivers are involved in a higher proportion of crashes. Notwithstanding the safety features in modern vehicles, 15.8% to 51% of all T and L spine injuries result from MVCs.

METHODS

Crash Injury Research and Engineering Network database is a prospectively maintained, multicentered database that enrolls MVC occupants with moderate-to-severe injuries. It was queried for T and L spine injuries in subjects 65 and older. 142 Crash Injury Research and Engineering Network files for all elderly individuals were reviewed for demographic, injury, and crash data. Each occupant's T and L injury was categorized using a modified Denis classification.

RESULTS

Of 661 elderly subjects, 142 (21.48%) sustained T and L spine injuries. Of the 102 major injuries, there were 63 compression, 20 burst and 12 extension fractures. Seatbelt use predisposed elderly subjects to compression and burst fractures, whereas seatbelt and airbag use predisposed to burst fractures. Deployment of airbags without seatbelt use appeared to predispose elderly subjects to neurological injury, higher Injury Severity Score, and higher mortality. Occupants using 3-point belts who had airbags deployed during the collision had the lowest rates of fatality and neurological injury.

CONCLUSION

T and L spine injuries in the elderly are not uncommon despite restraint use. Whereas seatbelts used alone and in conjunction with airbag deployment reduced fatalities and neurological injuries in the elderly, deployment of airbags in occupants without seatbelts predisposed to more severe injury.

Pedestrian injury risk and the effect of age

Older adults and pedestrians both represent especially vulnerable groups in traffic. In the literature, hazards are usually described by the corresponding injury risks of a collision. This paper investigates the MAIS3+F risk (the risk of sustaining at least one injury of AIS 3 severity or higher, or fatal injury) for pedestrians in full-frontal pedestrian-to-passenger car collisions. Using some assumptions, a model-based approach to injury risk, allowing for the specification of individual injury risk parameters for individuals, is presented. To balance model accuracy and sample size, the GIDAS (German In-depth Accident Study) data set is divided into three age groups; children (0-14); adults (15-60); and older adults (older than 60). For each group, individual risk curves are computed. Afterwards, the curves are re-aggregated to the overall risk function. The derived model addresses the influence of age on the outcome of pedestrian-to-car accidents. The results show that older people compared with younger people have a higher MAIS3+F injury risk at all collision speeds. The injury risk for children behaves surprisingly. Compared to other age groups, their MAIS3+F injury risk is lower at lower collision speeds, but substantially higher once a threshold has been exceeded. The resulting injury risk curve obtained by re-aggregation looks surprisingly similar to the frequently used logistic regression function computed for the overall injury risk. However, for homogenous subgroups - such as the three age groups - logistic regression describes the typical risk behavior less accurately than the introduced model-based approach. Since the effect of demographic change on traffic safety is greater nowadays, there is a need to incorporate age into established models. Thus far, this is one of the first studies incorporating traffic participant age to an explicit risk function. The presented approach can be especially useful for the modeling and prediction of risks, and for the evaluation of advanced driver assistance systems.

Causes of death differ between elderly and adult falls

BACKGROUND

As the population ages, mortality from falls will soon exceed that from all other forms of injury. Tremendous resources are focused on this problem, but how these patients die is unclear. To fill this gap, we tested the hypothesis that falls among the elderly are related to patient, rather than to injury factors when compared with falls among younger adults.

METHODS

From January 2002 to December 2012, 7,293 fall admissions were reviewed. Data are reported as mean ± SD if normally distributed or median (interquartile range) if not.

RESULTS

In 2002 to 2007, 25% of all falls were in elderly patients (≥65 years), but in 2008 to 2012, this proportion increased to 30% (p < 0.001). When comparing adult (n = 5,216) with elderly (n = 2,077) admissions, characteristics were as follow: Injury Severity Score (ISS) of 8 (4-13) versus 9 (5-17), length of stay (in days) of 3 (1-7) versus 6 (2-11), and mortality of 3.8% versus 13.7% (all p < 0.001). After controlling for variables associated with mortality using multiple logistic regression, elderly age was the strongest independent predictor of mortality (odds ratio, 8.18; confidence interval, 4.88-13.71). When comparing adult (n = 198) with elderly (n = 285) fatalities, ground-level falls occurred in 31% versus 91%, ISS was 27 (25-41) versus 25 (16-36), and length of stay (in days) was 2 (0-6) versus 4 (1-11) (all p < 0.001). Death occurred directly from fall in 82% versus 63%, from complications in 10% versus 20%, and from a fatal event preceding the fall in 8% vs. 17% (all p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The proportion of fall admissions in the elderly is growing in this trauma system. Elderly age is the strongest independent predictor of mortality following a fall. In those who die, death is less likely a direct effect of the fall.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Epidemiologic study, level III.

Image segmentation and registration algorithm to collect thoracic skeleton semilandmarks for characterization of age and sex-based thoracic morphology variation

Thoracic anthropometry variations with age and sex have been reported and likely relate to thoracic injury risk and outcome. The objective of this study was to collect a large volume of homologous semilandmark data from the thoracic skeleton for the purpose of quantifying thoracic morphology variations for males and females of ages 0-100 years. A semi-automated image segmentation and registration algorithm was applied to collect homologous thoracic skeleton semilandmarks from 343 normal computed tomography (CT) scans. Rigid, affine, and symmetric diffeomorphic transformations were used to register semilandmarks from an atlas to homologous locations in the subject-specific coordinate system. Homologous semilandmarks were successfully collected from 92% (7077) of the ribs and 100% (187) of the sternums included in the study. Between 2700 and 11,000 semilandmarks were collected from each rib and sternum and over 55 million total semilandmarks were collected from all subjects. The extensive landmark data collected more fully characterizes thoracic skeleton morphology across ages and sexes. Characterization of thoracic morphology with age and sex may help explain variations in thoracic injury risk and has important implications for vulnerable populations such as pediatrics and the elderly.

Comorbidity polypharmacy score and its clinical utility: A pragmatic practitioner's perspective

Modern medical management of comorbid conditions has resulted in escalating use of multiple medications and the emergence of the twin phenomena of multimorbidity and polypharmacy. Current understanding of how the polypharmacy in conjunction with multimorbidity influences trauma outcomes is limited, although it is known that trauma patients are at increased risk for medication-related adverse events. The comorbidity-polypharmacy score (CPS) is a simple clinical tool that quantifies the overall severity of comorbidities using the polypharmacy as a surrogate for the "intensity" of treatment necessary to adequately control chronic medical conditions. Easy to calculate, CPS is derived by counting all known pre-injury comorbid conditions and medications. CPS has been independently associated with mortality, increased risk for complications, lower functional outcomes, readmissions, and longer hospital stays. In addition, CPS may help identify older trauma patients at risk of post-emergency department undertriage. The goal of this article was to review and refine the rationale for CPS and to provide an evidence-based outline of its potential clinical applications.

Impact of age on the clinical outcomes of major trauma

PURPOSE

In view of demographic changes over the past few decades, the average age of trauma patients is progressively increasing. We therefore aimed to summarize the specific characteristics of geriatric trauma and to identify potential fields for further research to improve the care of elderly trauma patients.

METHODS

Review of the literature.

RESULTS

Due to the diverse risk factors (e.g., pre-existing conditions, limited physiological reserve), geriatric patients are prone to developing severe complications, even after less severe trauma. Yet, age is not considered as the only predictor of worse outcomes, and it should not be considered the only criterion for limiting care in those patients. It is crucial that age-specific treatment guidelines are developed to optimize the outcomes for senior trauma patients. Based on the current literature, these guidelines should emphasize the importance of field triage directly to a trauma center, along with the activation of the trauma team. Furthermore, early intensive monitoring, aggressive resuscitation, and time of surgical intervention are of upmost importance to reduce mortality.

CONCLUSION

The impact of several factors [age, premedical conditions (PMC), decreased physiological reserves, and impaired immune function] on the post-traumatic course of elderly trauma patients needs to be clarified in future experimental and clinical studies for the early identification of geriatric high-risk patients and for the development of age-adapted therapeutic strategies.

Orthopedic Trauma and Aging: It Isn't Just About Mortality

The elderly (age 70+) patient with orthopedic trauma is a rapidly growing subset of patients in the United States. Due to increased medical comorbidities and decreased physiological reserve, morbidity and mortality after trauma may significantly differ from those patients younger than 70 years old. A retrospective review was performed to investigate the effect of age on orthopedic trauma. A total of 870 records of patients with orthopedic trauma from 2006 to 2009 at our Level One trauma center were reviewed. A database was created to include demographics, type and number of comorbid conditions at presentation, injuries, intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital length of stay, and description of the fracture. Patients aged 70 years and older had an increased number of comorbidities per person (3.3214-P < .0001). Length of stay in patients aged 70 years and older was not significantly greater than that of the younger patients. They spent an average of 14.76 days in the hospital compared to 13.42 days for the combined younger patients (P = .45), but they spent significantly (P < .0001) more of their stay in the ICU (52.74% vs 34.9% for the younger cohorts). The number of fractures per patient was lower (1.66) in the 70 and older age-group when compared to younger populations (P < .0001). The 70 and older group was more likely to have their injury due to a fall and less likely to have solid organ injuries. As the number of elderly patients increase, continued research in the management of elderly patients with trauma can lead to protocols and practice guidelines to improve outcomes.

Outcomes of trauma care at centers treating a higher proportion of older patients: the case for geriatric trauma centers

BACKGROUND

The burden of injury among older patients continues to grow and accounts for a disproportionate number of trauma deaths. We wished to determine if older trauma patients have better outcomes at centers that manage a higher proportion of older trauma patients.

METHODS

The National Trauma Data Bank years 2007 to 2011 was used. All high-volume Level 1 and Level 2 trauma centers were included. Trauma centers were categorized by the proportion of older patients seen. Adult trauma patients were categorized as older (≥65 years) and younger adults (16-64 years). Coarsened exact matching was used to determine differences in mortality and length of stay between older and younger adults. Risk-adjusted mortality ratios by proportion of older trauma patients seen were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression models and observed-expected ratios.

RESULTS

A total of 1.9 million patients from 295 centers were included. Older patients accounted for one fourth of trauma visits. Matched analysis revealed that older trauma patients were 4.2 times (95% confidence interval, 3.99-4.50) more likely to die than younger patients. Older patients were 34% less likely to die if they presented at centers treating a high versus low proportion of older trauma (odds ratio, 0.66; 95% confidence interval, 0.54-0.81). These differences were independent of trauma center performance.

CONCLUSION

Geriatric trauma patients treated at centers that manage a higher proportion of older patients have improved outcomes. This evidence supports the potential advantage of treating older trauma patients at centers specializing in geriatric trauma.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic and epidemiologic study, level III.

Undertriage of older trauma patients: is this a national phenomenon?

BACKGROUND

Older age is associated with high rates of morbidity and mortality after injury. Statewide studies suggest significantly injured patients aged ≥55 y are commonly undertriaged to lower level trauma centers (TCs) or nontrauma centers (NTCs). This study determines whether undertriage is a national phenomenon.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using the 2011 Nationwide Emergency Department Sample, significantly injured patients aged ≥55 y were identified by diagnosis and new injury severity score (NISS) ≥9. Undertriage was defined as definitive care anywhere other than level I or II TCs. Weighted descriptive analysis compared characteristics of patients by triage status. Multivariable logistic regression determined predictors of undertriage, controlling for hospital characteristics, injury severity, and comorbidities.

RESULTS

Of 4,152,541 emergency department (ED) visits meeting inclusion criteria, 74.0% were treated at lower level TCs or NTCs. Patients at level I and II TCs more commonly had NISS ≥9 (22.2% versus 12.3%, P < 0.001), but among all patients with NISS ≥9, 61.3% were undertriaged to a lower level TC or a NTC. On multivariable logistic regression, factors independently associated with higher odds of being undertriaged were increasing age, female gender, and fall-related injuries. A subgroup analysis examined urban and suburban areas only where access to a TC is more likely and found that 55.8% of patients' age were undertriaged.

CONCLUSIONS

There is substantial undertriage of patients aged ≥55 y nationwide. Over half of significantly injured older patients are not treated at level I or II TCs. The impact of undertriage should be determined to ensure older patients receive trauma care at the optimal site.

The severity of disparity: increasing injury intensity accentuates disparate outcomes following trauma

OBJECTIVE

Studies have shown disparities in mortality among racial groups and among those with differing insurance coverage. Our goal was to determine if injury severity affects these disparities.

METHODS

We classified patients from the 2003-2008 National Trauma Data Banks suffering moderate to severe injuries into six groups based on race/ethnicity and insurance, stratifying by injury severity. Logistic regression compared odds of death between races-ethnicities/insurance groups within these strata. We adjusted for age, gender, Injury Severity Score, Glasgow Coma Scale motor component, hypotension, and mechanism of injury.

RESULTS

Patients meeting inclusion criteria numbered 760,598. Disparities between races-ethnicities/insurance groups increased as injury severity worsened. Odds of death for uninsured Black patients compared with insured Whites increased from 1.82 among moderately injured patients to 3.14 among severely injured, hypotensive patients. A similar pattern was seen among uninsured Hispanic patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Disparities in trauma mortality suffered by minority and uninsured patients, when compared with non-minority and insured patients, worsen with increasing injury.

Risk factors for ground-level falls differ by sex

BACKGROUND

The populations of many developed countries have been aging in recent years, resulting in increasing numbers of elderly-related injuries. Conventionally regarded as minor, injuries from ground-level falls are now associated with a higher risk of death for elderly people.

METHODS

The subjects of this study were 15662 adult patients with injuries from ground-level falls who were registered in the Japan Trauma Data Bank between 2007 and 2013. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the effects of age, sex, Injury Severity Score, and Revised Trauma Score (RTS) on inhospital mortality. Patients aged 60 years or older were further categorized into 4 subgroups by age and sex, and the effect of the presence of injuries of Abbreviated Injury Scale greater than or equal to 3 in each region on inhospital mortality was analyzed.

RESULTS

Logistic regression analysis for inhospital mortality showed significant interactions between sex and age and between sex and RTS, and subgroup analysis by sex was, therefore, performed. The odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for inhospital mortality compared with patients older than 60 years was 2.75 (1.90-3.96) for men aged 60 to 79 years and 5.44 (3.77-7.85) for men 80 years or older and 1.46 (0.83-2.58) for women aged 60 to 79 years and 2.32 (1.35-4.01) for women 80 years or older. The odds ratios (95% confidence interval) for RTS less than 7.840 was 6.89 (5.56-8.55) for men and 9.97 (7.59-13.10) for women.

CONCLUSIONS

The effects of age and RTS on inhospital mortality of patients after ground-level falls differed by sex.

Sarcopenia and frailty in elderly trauma patients

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia describes a loss of muscle mass and resultant decrease in strength, mobility, and function that can be quantified by CT. We hypothesized that sarcopenia and related frailty characteristics are related to discharge disposition after blunt traumatic injury in the elderly.

METHODS

We reviewed charts of 252 elderly blunt trauma patients who underwent abdominal CT prior to hospital admission. Data for thirteen frailty characteristics were abstracted. Sarcopenia was measured by obtaining skeletal muscle cross-sectional area (CSA) from each patient's psoas major muscle using Slice-O-Matic(®) software. Dispositions were grouped as dependent and independent based on discharge location. χ (2), Fisher's exact, and logistic regression were used to determine factors associated with discharge dependence.

RESULTS

Mean age 76 years, 49 % male, median ISS 9.0 (IQR = 8.0-17.0). Discharge destination was independent in 61.5 %, dependent in 29 %, and 9.5 % of patients died. Each 1 cm(2) increase in psoas muscle CSA was associated with a 20 % decrease in dependent living (p < 0.0001). Gender, weakness, hospital complication, and cognitive impairment were also associated with disposition; ISS was not (p = 0.4754).

CONCLUSIONS

Lower psoas major muscle CSA is related to discharge destination in elderly trauma patients and can be obtained from the admission CT. Lower psoas muscle CSA is related to loss of independence upon discharge in the elderly. The early availability of this variable during the hospitalization of elderly trauma patients may aid in discharge planning and the transition to dependent living.

Penetrating torso injuries in older adults: increased mortality likely due to "failure to rescue"

PURPOSE

Approximately 8 % of injuries in the elderly are from penetrating mechanisms. The natural history of potentially survivable penetrating torso wounds in the elderly is not well studied. Older adults with penetrating injuries to the torso may have worse outcomes than matched, younger patients due to a failure to rescue after complications.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review of all patients ≥55 (older) with a penetrating injury (GSW or SW) to the torso over 20 years was performed. All patients with a maximum AIS chest or abdomen >1 and <6 were included. A matched cohort (mechanism, AIS chest and abdomen, ISS and sex) of patients between the ages of 20-40 years (young) was created (3 young, 1 older). Differences in hemodynamics, complications, length of stay and mortality were analyzed.

RESULTS

105 older met inclusion criteria were compared to 315 young patients. Hemodynamic status was similar between the groups. Older patients required ICU care more often than younger patients, p < 0.05. Older patients required longer ICU stays, p < 0.001 and longer hospitalizations, p = 0.0012. More older patients (41.0 %) suffered post-injury complications compared to the young (26.4 %), p = 0.005. Older patients who suffered a complication had a higher mortality (30.2 %) than the young after a complication (10.8 %), p = 0.007.

CONCLUSIONS

While uncommon, penetrating injuries to older adults are associated with higher rates of post-injury complications and increased mortality. This may represent a "failure to rescue" and represent an opportunity for improved post-injury care in older adults who suffer potentially survivable penetrating torso injuries.

Accelerated death rate in population-based cohort of persons with traumatic brain injury

OBJECTIVES

To determine the influence of preexisting heart, liver, kidney, cancer, stroke, and mental health problems and examine the influence of low socioeconomic status on mortality after discharge from acute care facilities for individuals with traumatic brain injury.

PARTICIPANTS

Population-based retrospective cohort study of 33695 persons discharged from acute care hospital with traumatic brain injury in South Carolina, 1999-2010.

MAIN MEASURES

Days elapsing from the dates of injury to death established the survival time (T). Data were censored at the 145th month. Multivariable Cox regression was used to examine the independent effect of the variables on death. Age-adjusted cumulative probability of death for each chronic disease of interest was plotted.

RESULTS

By the 70th month of follow-up, rate of death was accelerated from 10-fold for heart diseases to 2.5-fold for mental health problems. Adjusted hazard ratios for diseases of the heart (2.13), liver-renal (3.25), cancer (2.64), neurological diseases and stroke (2.07), diabetes (1.89), hypertension (1.43), and mental health problems (1.59) were highly significant (each with P < .001). Compared with persons with private insurance, the hazard ratio was significantly elevated with Medicaid (1.67), Medicare (1.54), and uninsured (1.27) (each with P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Specific chronic diseases strongly influenced postdischarge mortality after traumatic brain injury. Low socioeconomic status as measured by the type of insurance elevated the risk of death.

Lumbar Bone Mineral Density Phantomless Computed Tomography Measurements and Correlation with Age and Fracture Incidence

OBJECTIVE

Low bone quality is a contributing factor to motor vehicle crash (MVC) injury. Quantification of occupant bone mineral density (BMD) is important from an injury causation standpoint. The first aim of this study was to validate a technique for measuring lumbar volumetric BMD (vBMD) from phantomless computed tomography (CT) scans. The second aim was to apply the validated phantomless technique to quantify lumbar vBMD in Crash Injury Research and Engineering Network (CIREN) occupants for correlation with age, fracture incidence, and osteopenia/osteoporosis diagnoses.

METHODS

Quantitative CT (qCT) and dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) were collected prospectively for 50 subjects and used to validate a technique to measure vBMD from 281 phantomless CT scans of CIREN occupants. Hounsfield unit (HU) measurements were collected from the L1-L5 vertebrae, right psoas major muscle, and anterior subcutaneous fat for all subjects and from 3 phantom ports with known mg/cc calcium hydroxyapatite values for the validation group. qCT calibration was accomplished using regressions between the phantom HU and mg/cc values to convert L1-L5 HU values to mg/cc. A phantomless calibration technique was developed where the fat and muscle HU values were linearly regressed against fat (-69 mg/cc) and muscle (77 mg/cc) to establish a conversion for L1-L5 HU measurements to mg/cc. vBMD calculated from qCT versus the phantomless method was compared for the 50 subjects to assess agreement and a mg/cc osteopenia threshold was established using DXA T-scores. CIREN HU measurements were converted to mg/cc using the phantomless technique and the mg/cc osteopenia threshold was used to compare vBMD to age, fracture incidence, and osteopenia comorbidity classifications in CIREN.

RESULTS

Linear regression of lumbar vBMD derived from the qCT versus phantomless calibrations showed excellent agreement (R(2) = 0.87, P <.0001). A 145 mg/cc threshold for osteopenia was established (sensitivity = 1, specificity = 0.57) and 44 CIREN occupants had vBMD below this threshold. Of these 44 occupants, 64% were not classified as osteopenic in CIREN, but vBMD suggested undiagnosed osteopenia. Age was negatively correlated with vBMD in both sexes (P <.0001) and CIREN occupants with less than 145 mg/cc vBMD sustained an average 1.7 additional rib/sternum fractures (P =.036).

CONCLUSIONS

Because lumbar vBMD was estimated from phantomless CT scans with accuracy similar to qCT, the phantomless technique can be broadly applied to both prospectively and retrospectively assess patient bone quality for research and clinical studies related to MVCs, falls, and aging.

Age- and sex-specific thorax finite element model development and simulation

OBJECTIVE

The shape, size, bone density, and cortical thickness of the thoracic skeleton vary significantly with age and sex, which can affect the injury tolerance, especially in at-risk populations such as the elderly. Computational modeling has emerged as a powerful and versatile tool to assess injury risk. However, current computational models only represent certain ages and sexes in the population. The purpose of this study was to morph an existing finite element (FE) model of the thorax to depict thorax morphology for males and females of ages 30 and 70 years old (YO) and to investigate the effect on injury risk.

METHODS

Age- and sex-specific FE models were developed using thin-plate spline interpolation. In order to execute the thin-plate spline interpolation, homologous landmarks on the reference, target, and FE model are required. An image segmentation and registration algorithm was used to collect homologous rib and sternum landmark data from males and females aged 0-100 years. The Generalized Procrustes Analysis was applied to the homologous landmark data to quantify age- and sex-specific isolated shape changes in the thorax. The Global Human Body Models Consortium (GHBMC) 50th percentile male occupant model was morphed to create age- and sex-specific thoracic shape change models (scaled to a 50th percentile male size). To evaluate the thoracic response, 2 loading cases (frontal hub impact and lateral impact) were simulated to assess the importance of geometric and material property changes with age and sex.

RESULTS

Due to the geometric and material property changes with age and sex, there were observed differences in the response of the thorax in both the frontal and lateral impacts. Material property changes alone had little to no effect on the maximum thoracic force or the maximum percent compression. With age, the thorax becomes stiffer due to superior rotation of the ribs, which can result in increased bone strain that can increase the risk of fracture. For the 70-YO models, the simulations predicted a higher number of rib fractures in comparison to the 30-YO models. The male models experienced more superior rotation of the ribs in comparison to the female models, which resulted in a higher number of rib fractures for the males.

CONCLUSION

In this study, age- and sex-specific thoracic models were developed and the biomechanical response was studied using frontal and lateral impact simulations. The development of these age- and sex-specific FE models of the thorax will lead to an improved understanding of the complex relationship between thoracic geometry, age, sex, and injury risk.

Minor injuries in older adults have different characteristics, injury patterns, and outcomes when compared with younger adults: an emergency department correlation study

AIM

To examine the injury patterns, characteristics, and outcomes of older adults presenting with minor injuries compared with younger adults.

BACKGROUND

Sustaining a minor injury is one of the most common reasons people present to an Emergency Department. Many presentations involve older Australians and greater than 50% of older adults are discharged from the Emergency Department. However, little is known about the characteristics, injury patterns, and outcomes of minor injuries in older adults compared to younger adults.

METHODS

A 12-month exploratory correlational study was conducted using Emergency Department electronic medical record data from a single metropolitan hospital located in Sydney, Australia. Older adults were defined as ≥65 years with younger adults defined as 18-64 years. Minor injuries were classified by diagnoses as fractures/dislocations, sprains/strains, wounds/burns/infections, minor head injuries, eye/ear/nose/oral injuries. Exclusion criteria included: triage category 1 or 2, major trauma, critical care admission, or injuries and fractures to the hip or neck of femur.

RESULTS

There were 36,671 Emergency Department presentations of which 7582 (21%) were for older adults and 19,234 (52%) were younger adults (aged 18-64). Injuries represented 21% (n = 7754) of all Emergency Department presentations with 1294 (17%) occurring in those aged 65 years and older and 3937 (20%) in younger adults. Of the minor injuries (n = 3594; 10%), the most common presentation in younger adults was sprains/strains (n = 1045; 36%) but in older adults it was fractures (n = 229; 32%). There was a statistical (Pearson's χ(2) test 63.4, df = 4, P < 0.001) difference with injury pattern when comparing age groups. Older adults were allocated proportionately higher triage categories when compared with younger adults (Pearson's χ(2) test 26.3, df = 2, P < 0.001). Older adults with minor injuries had a longer mean stay (315 min; SD 238.9 min; younger adults 198 min, SD 132.3 min) and this difference was statistically (P ≤ 0.001) and clinically significant. Fewer older adults were discharged home (n = 531, 73%; n = 2648, 92%; P < 0.001) and more were admitted for minor injuries (n = 179, 25%; n = 156, 5%; P < 0.001) when compared with younger adults.

CONCLUSION

Older adults with minor injuries have different injury patterns, higher acuity, longer length of stay, and lower discharge rates compared with younger adults. Clinicians may need to modify their approach and differential diagnoses when treating older adults with minor injuries. Further research is needed to explore the reasons for these differences and whether older adults have different service needs compared with younger adults with minor injuries.

Effect of preinjury warfarin use on outcomes after head trauma in Medicare beneficiaries

BACKGROUND

Elderly Americans are at increased risk of head trauma, particularly fall related. The effect of warfarin on head trauma outcomes remains controversial.

METHODS

Medicare beneficiaries with head injuries from 2009 to 2011 were identified by International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9 code. Preinjury warfarin use was determined using Part D claims. Multiple logistic regression models determined the association of preinjury warfarin on need for hospitalization, intensive care unit care, and occurrence of intracranial hemorrhage. Association between warfarin and in-hospital mortality was assessed using a Cox proportional hazard model.

RESULTS

Of 11,078 head injured patients, 5.2% were injured while on warfarin. Preinjury warfarin increased the odds of intracranial hemorrhage by 40% and doubled the risk of 30-day in-hospital mortality after adjusting for demographic and clinical factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Warfarin at the time of head injury increases the risk of adverse outcomes in Medicare beneficiaries with head injuries. Caution should be used when initiating anticoagulation in elderly Americans at risk for trauma.

Does regional variation impact decision-making in the management and palliation of pancreatic head adenocarcinoma? Results from an international survey

BACKGROUND

Management and palliation of pancreatic head adenocarcinoma is challenging. End-of-life decision-making is a variable process involving multiple factors.

METHODS

We conducted a qualitative, physician-based, 40-question international survey characterizing the impact of medical, religious, social, training and system factors on care.

RESULTS

A total of 258 international clinicians completed the survey. Respondents were typically fellowship-trained (78%), with a mean of 16 years' experience in a university-affiliated (93%) hepato-pancreato-biliary group (96%) practice. Most (91%) believed resection is potentially curative. Most patients were discussed preoperatively by multidisciplinary teams (94%) and medical assessment clinics (68%), but rarely critical care (21%). Intraoperative surgical palliation included double bypass or no intervention for locally advanced nonresectable tumours (41% and 49% v. 14% and 85%, respectively, for patients with hepatic metastases). Postoperative admission to the intensive care unit was frequent (58%). Severe postoperative complications were often treated with aggressive cardiopulmonary resuscitation, intubation and critical care (96%), with no defined time points for futility (74%). Admitting surgeons guided most end-of-life decisions (97%). Formal medical futility laws were rarely available (26%). Insurance status did not alter treatment (97%) or palliation (95%) in non-universal care regions. Clinician experience, regional culture and training background impacted treatment (all p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Despite remarkable overall agreement, geographic and training differences are evident in the treatment and palliation of pancreatic head adenocarcinoma.

Morphometric analysis of variation in the ribs with age and sex

Rib cage morphology changes with age and sex are expected to affect thoracic injury mechanisms and tolerance, particularly for vulnerable populations such as pediatrics and the elderly. The size and shape variation of the external geometry of the ribs was characterized for males and females aged 0-100 years. Computed tomography (CT) scans from 339 subjects were analyzed to collect between 2700 and 10 400 homologous landmarks from each rib. Rib landmarks were analyzed using the geometric morphometric technique known as Procrustes superimposition. Age- and sex-specific functions of 3D rib morphology were produced representing the combined size and shape variation and the isolated shape variation. Statistically significant changes in the size and shape variation (P < 0.0001) and shape variation (P < 0.0053) of all 24 ribs were found to occur with age in males and females. Rib geometry, location, and orientation varied according to the rib level. From birth through adolescence, the rib cage experienced an increase in size, a decrease in thoracic kyphosis, and inferior rotation of the ribs relative to the spine within the sagittal plane. From young adulthood into elderly age, the rib cage experienced increased thoracic kyphosis and superior rotation of the ribs relative to the spine within the sagittal plane. The increased roundedness of the rib cage and horizontal angling of the ribs relative to the spine with age influences the biomechanical response of the thorax. With the plane of the rib oriented more horizontally, loading applied in the anterior-posterior direction will result in increased deformation within the plane of the rib and an increased risk for rib fractures. Thus, morphological changes may be a contributing factor to the increased incidence of rib fractures in the elderly. The morphological functions derived in this study capture substantially more information on thoracic skeleton morphology variation with age and sex than is currently available in the literature. The developed models of rib cage anatomy can be used to study age and sex variations in thoracic injury patterns due to motor vehicle crashes or falls, and clinically relevant changes due to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or other diseases evidenced by structural and anatomic changes to the chest.

Predictors of mortality in geriatric trauma patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The rate of mortality and factors predicting worst outcomes in the geriatric population presenting with trauma are not well established. This study aimed to examine mortality rates in severe and extremely severe injured individuals 65 years or older and to identify the predictors of mortality based on available evidence in the literature.

METHODS

We performed a systematic literature search on studies reporting mortality and severity of injury in geriatric trauma patients using MEDLINE, PubMed, and Web of Science.

RESULTS

An overall mortality rate of 14.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 9.8-21.7%) in geriatric trauma patients was observed. Increasing age and severity of injury were found to be associated with higher mortality rates in this patient population. Combined odds of dying in those older than 74 years was 1.67 (95% CI, 1.34-2.08) compared with the elderly population aged 65 years to 74 years. However, the odds of dying in patients 85 years and older compared with those of 75 years to 84 years was not different (odds ratio, 1.23; 95% CI, 0.99-1.52). A pooled mortality rate of 26.5% (95% CI, 23.4-29.8%) was observed in the severely injured (Injury Severity Score [ISS] ≥ 16) geriatric trauma patients. Compared with those with mild or moderate injury, the odds of mortality in severe and extremely severe injuries were 9.5 (95% CI, 6.3-14.5) and 52.3 (95% CI, 32.0-85.5; p ≤ 0.0001), respectively. Low systolic blood pressure had a pooled odds of 2.16 (95% CI, 1.59-2.94) for mortality.

CONCLUSION

Overall mortality rate among the geriatric population presenting with trauma is higher than among the adult trauma population. Patients older than 74 years experiencing traumatic injuries are at a higher risk for mortality than the younger geriatric group. However, the trauma-related mortality sustains the same rate after the age of 74 years without any further increase. Moreover, severe and extremely severe injuries and low systolic blood pressure at the presentation among geriatric trauma patients are significant risk factors for mortality.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Systematic review and meta-analysis, level IV.

Long-term postinjury functional recovery: outcomes of geriatric consultation

IMPORTANCE

Functional recovery is an important outcome following injury. Functional impairment is persistent in the year following injury for older trauma patients.

OBJECTIVE

To measure the impact of routine geriatric consultation on functional outcomes in older trauma patients.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In this pretest-posttest study, the pretest control group (n = 37) was retrospectively identified (December 2006-November 2007). The posttest geriatric consultation (GC) group (n = 85) was prospectively enrolled (December 2007-June 2010). We then followed up both groups for 1 year after enrollment. This study was conducted at an academic level 1 trauma center with adults 65 years of age and older admitted as an activated code trauma.

INTERVENTION

Routine GC.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The Short Functional Status survey of 5 activities of daily living (ADLs) at hospital admission and 3, 6, and 12 months postinjury.

RESULTS

The unadjusted Short Functional Status score (GC group only) declined from 4.6 preinjury to 3.7 at 12 months postinjury, a decline of nearly 1 full ADL (P < .05). The ability to shop for personal items was the specific ADL more commonly retained by the GC group compared with the control group. The GC group had a better recovery of function in the year following injury than the GC group, controlling for age, sex, race/ethnicity, length of stay, comorbidity, injury severity, postdischarge rehabilitation, complication, and whether surgery was performed (P < .01), a difference of 0.67 ADL abilities retained by the GC group compared with the control group (95% CI, 0.06-1.4).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Functional recovery for older adults following injury may be improved by GC. Early introduction of multidisciplinary care in geriatric trauma patients warrants further investigation.