Hepatocellular carcinoma in Italian patients with cirrhosis

Factors associated with the progression of hepatic fibrosis in end-stage kidney disease patients with hepatitis C virus infection

BACKGROUND

Few studies have evaluated the histological aspects of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in hemodialysis patients and the factors related to the progression of hepatic fibrosis in this population have not been defined.

AIM

To evaluate the influence of host-related factors on the fibrosis progression in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients with HCV infection.

METHODS

HCV-infected ESRD patients who submitted to liver biopsy were included. The fibrosis stages were classified according to METAVIR scoring system. For the identification of factors associated with more advanced liver fibrosis, the patients were classified into two groups: group 1, absence of septal fibrosis (F0-1) and group 2, presence of septal fibrosis (F2-4). Groups 1 and 2 were compared regarding demographic, epidemiological, and laboratory variables and logistic regression analysis was used to identify the variables that were independently associated with the presence of septal fibrosis.

RESULTS

A total of 216 ESRD patients (63% men, 44+/-11 years) were included. In the histological analysis, the fibrosis stages were as follows: F0=36%, F1=41%, F2=12%, F3=7, and 4% had cirrhosis (F4). In the logistic regression model, the variables that were independently associated with the presence of septal fibrosis were duration of infection, estimated age at infection, coinfection with HBV and aspartate aminotransferase levels.

CONCLUSION

These findings support the importance of obtaining an adequate immune response to HBV vaccination and careful monitoring of liver disease in patients who become infected at an advanced age and/or those presenting elevated aspartate aminotransferase levels, as these are the main factors associated with the presence of septal fibrosis in ESRD patients.

Increased rate of death related to presence of viremia among hepatitis C virus antibody-positive subjects in a community-based cohort study

The overall mortality of patients infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) has not been fully elucidated. This study analyzed mortality in subjects positive for antibody to HCV (anti-HCV) in a community-based, prospective cohort study conducted in an HCV hyperendemic area of Japan. During a 10-year period beginning in 1995, 1125 anti-HCV-seropositive residents of Town C were enrolled into the study and were followed for mortality through 2005. Cause of death was assessed by death certificates. Subjects with detectable HCV core antigen (HCVcAg) or HCV RNA were considered as having hepatitis C viremia and were classified as HCV carriers; subjects who were negative for both HCVcAg and HCV RNA (i.e., viremia-negative) were considered as having had a prior HCV infection and were classified as HCV noncarriers. Among the anti-HCV-positive subjects included in the analysis, 758 (67.4%) were HCV carriers, and 367 were noncarriers. A total of 231 deaths occurred in these subjects over a mean follow-up of 8.2 years: 176 deaths in the HCV carrier group and 55 in the noncarrier group. The overall mortality rate was higher in HCV carriers than in noncarriers, adjusted for age and sex (hazard ratio, 1.53; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-2.07). Although liver-related deaths occurred more frequently among the HCV carriers (hazard ratio, 5.94; 95% confidence interval, 2.58-13.7), the rates of other causes of death did not differ between HCV carriers and noncarriers. Among HCV carriers, a higher level of HCVcAg (>or=100 pg/mL) and persistently elevated alanine aminotransferase levels were important predictors of liver-related mortality.

CONCLUSION

The presence of viremia increases the rate of mortality, primarily due to liver-related death, among anti-HCV-seropositive persons in Japan.

Hepatocellular carcinoma: current trends in worldwide epidemiology, risk factors, diagnosis and therapeutics

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third most common cause of cancer-related death worldwide and, owing to changes in the prevalence of the two major risk factors, hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus, its overall incidence remains alarmingly high in the developing world and is steadily rising across most of the developed world. Early diagnosis remains the key to effective treatment and there have been recent advances in both the diagnosis and therapy of HCC, which have made important impacts on the disease. This review outlines the epidemiological trends, risk factors, diagnostic developments and novel therapeutics for HCC, both in the developing and developed world.

Current management of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), one of the most common cancers worldwide, continues to increase in incidence in several regions around the world and is associated with poor overall survival. Patients with cirrhosis are at the highest risk and are candidates for surveillance. Wide implementation of surveillance programs and improvement in noninvasive radiologic techniques has led to tumor diagnosis at earlier stages. Surgical options that include resection and liver transplantation offer the best chance of successful outcomes. Locoregional therapies, such as radiofrequency ablation and chemoembolization, provide effective local control in those with acceptable hepatic function. A multikinase inhibitor, sorafenib, is the first molecular targeted oral therapy that has recently been shown to provide a survival benefit in HCC in select patients.

Hepatic resection versus radiofrequency ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhotic individuals not candidates for liver transplantation: a Markov model decision analysis

BACKGROUND

Several observational studies have suggested that radiofrequency ablation (RFA) may have survival benefits similar to hepatic resection (HR) in cirrhotic patients affected by hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are not candidates for liver transplantation. A small randomized controlled trial confirmed these findings, although underpowered to detect a significant difference at 5-year interval.

METHODS

A Markov model was created to simulate a randomized trial comparing the quality of life-adjusted survival for individuals undergoing HR versus RFA for HCCs less than 5 cm in diameter.

RESULTS

HR was the best therapeutic option with 5.33 (standard deviation +/-.42) versus 3.91 (standard deviation +/-.38) quality-adjusted life years except for in individuals older than 75 years of age (P = .02, log rank test). One-way sensitivity analysis showed that RFA was the preferred strategy if the perioperative mortality of HR was more than 30%, if the percentage of patients with negative margins was less than 60%, and if RFA could be performed at least 60% of the time for recurrent disease after a previous ablation. The quality of life associated with both procedures did not influence the results of this model.

CONCLUSIONS

HR provided better quality of life-adjusted survival as ablation therapy was associated with increased risk of local recurrent disease requiring multiple sessions. For older individuals, RFA appears to be the best therapeutic option. If the probability of ablation for recurrent disease is equal in the 2 arms, survival benefits of RFA is similar to HR.

Sonazoid-enhanced sonography for guiding radiofrequency ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma: better tumor visualization by Kupffer-phase imaging and vascular-phase imaging after reinjection

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to assess the usefulness of contrast harmonic sonography with a newly developed sonographic contrast agent as a means of guidance for percutaneous radiofrequency (RF) ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 52 consecutive HCC lesions in 42 patients with HCC who underwent percutaneous RF ablation were included in this study. Altogether, 40 lesions in 35 patients were untreated HCC, and 12 lesions in 7 patients were local tumor progression of an HCC that had already been treated by other methods. We investigated tumors by Kupffer-phase imaging and vascular-phase imaging after reinjection. We performed RF ablation guided by Sonazoid-enhanced sonography using Kupffer-phase imaging and vascular-phase imaging after reinjection.

RESULTS

Conventional sonography identified 30 (57%) of 52 HCCs, whereas Sonazoid-enhanced sonography detected 50 (96%) of 52 HCCs (P < 0.01, McNemar's chi2 test). Complete ablation was achieved at a single session in 48 of 50 tumors.

CONCLUSION

Sonazoid-enhanced sonography is a useful technique for guiding RF ablation of HCCs, even when treating local progression of a previously treated HCC.

Application of surveillance programs for hepatocellular carcinoma in the Asia-Pacific Region

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a potential target for cancer surveillance (or screening) as it occurs in well-defined, at-risk populations and curative therapy is possible only for small tumors. Surveillance has been recommended by regional liver societies and is practiced widely, but its benefits are not clearly established. Hepatic ultrasonography with or without alpha fetoprotein (AFP) performed every 6 months is the preferred program. Surveillance of HCC has been well shown to detect small tumors for curative treatment, which may be translated to improved patient survival. However, most studies are limited by lead-time bias, length bias for early diagnosis of small HCC, different tumor growth rates and poor compliance with surveillance. Cost-effectiveness of surveillance programs depends on the rate of small HCC detected 'accidentally' (routine imaging) in a comparator group, annual incidence of HCC with various etiologies, patient age and the availability of liver transplantation. The incremental cost-effectiveness for 6-monthly AFP and ultrasound has been estimated from approximately $US 26,000-74,000/quality adjusted life years (QALY). All cirrhotic patients are therefore recommended for HCC surveillance unless the disease is too advanced for any curative treatment. As chronic hepatitis B can develop into HCC without going through liver cirrhosis, high-risk non-cirrhotic chronic hepatitis B patients are also recommended for HCC surveillance. In conclusion, HCC surveillance could be effective at reducing disease-specific mortality with acceptable cost-effectiveness among selected patient groups, provided it is a well-organized program.

Prospective risk assessment for hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with chronic hepatitis C by transient elastography

Liver stiffness, noninvasively measured by transient elastography, correlates well with liver fibrosis stage. The aim of this prospective study was to evaluate the liver stiffness measurement (LSM) as a predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development among patients with chronic hepatitis C. Between December 2004 and June 2005, a total of 984 HCV-RNA positive patients, without HCC or a past history of it, visited the University of Tokyo Hospital. LSM was performed successfully in 866 patients, who gave informed consent. During the follow-up period (mean, 3.0 years), HCC developed in 77 patients (2.9% per 1 person-year). The cumulative incidence rates of HCC at 1, 2, and 3 years were 2.4%, 6.0%, and 8.9%, respectively. Adjusting for other significant factors for HCC development, patients with higher LSM were revealed to be at a significantly higher risk, with a hazard ratio, as compared to LSM < or =10 kPa, of 16.7 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.71-75.2; P < 0.001) when LSM 10.1-15 kPa, 20.9 (95% CI, 4.43-98.8; P < 0.001) when LSM 15.1-20 kPa, 25.6 (95%CI, 5.21-126.1; P < 0.001) when LSM 20.1-25 kPa, and 45.5 (95% CI, 9.75-212.3; P < 0.001) when LSM >25 kPa.

CONCLUSIONS

This prospective study has shown the association between LSM and the risk of HCC development in patients with hepatitis C. The utility of LSM is not limited to a surrogate for liver biopsy but can be applied as an indicator of the wide range of the risk of HCC development.

A 28-year study of the course of hepatitis Delta infection: a risk factor for cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Chronic infection with hepatitis Delta virus (HDV) is a risk factor for cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); predictors of disease outcome are, however, poorly defined. We tracked the course of HDV infection in 299 patients over a mean period of 233 months.

METHODS

We analyzed data from patients who had been HDV positive for at least 6 months (230 males; mean age, 30 years) admitted from 1978 to 2006 to Maggiore Hospital, Milan. HDV infection was defined by the presence of HDV antigen in liver tissue or serum HDV RNA in anti-HDV/hepatitis B surface antigen seropositive patients. At enrollment, 7 patients had acute hepatitis, 101 had mild-moderate chronic hepatitis, 76 had severe chronic hepatitis, and 104 had histologic or clinical cirrhosis. Ninety patients were treated with interferon, 62 with corticosteroids, and 12 with nucleoside analogues; 135 received no therapy.

RESULTS

Over a mean period of 233 months, 82 patients developed cirrhosis. Among the 186 total patients with cirrhosis, 46 developed HCC, 43 ascites, 44 jaundice, and 1 encephalopathy. Female sex, alcohol abuse, and HDV replication were associated with liver decompensation; HBV replication and interferon were associated with HCC development. By the end of the study, 186 patients were still alive, 63 had died, and 29 had received liver transplants. The main cause of death was liver failure (n = 37, 59%); HDV replication was the only independent predictor of mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Persistent HDV replication leads to cirrhosis and HCC at annual rates of 4% and 2.8%, respectively, and is the only predictor of liver-related mortality.

Cyclooxygenase-2 expression in chronic liver diseases and hepatocellular carcinoma: an immunohistochemical study

Hepatocarcinogenesis is a multistep process characterized by hepatocyte inflammation, regeneration, and proliferation. These changes are believed to depend on the aberrant expression of various tumor suppressor genes, oncogenes and growth factors. Several studies have shown the involvement of cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2), the inducible isoform of the enzymes that catalyze prostaglandin synthesis in various aspects of carcinogenesis. COX-2 has been described as being overexpressed in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. Using immunohistochemistry, we studied COX-2 expression in different chronic liver diseases (CLD) including nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), chronic hepatitis (CH), liver cirrhosis (LC), and HCC in a population referred to a tertiary center in western Sicily, an area moderately endemic for CLD. Sixteen NASH, 35 CH, 15 LC, and 21 HCC samples were analyzed. Positive signs of COX-2 were observed in the cytoplasm of hepatocytes and median values were 6 (3-9) for NASH, 7 (3-9) for CH, 6 (4-9) for LC, and 4 (0-7) for HCC. COX-2 expression was significantly lower in HCC than in NASH (P < 0.001), CH (P < 0.0001), and LC (P < 0.0001). In HCC we found a wide range of COX-2 expression: from no expression in poorly differentiated areas to a high expression in well-differentiated ones, with an inverse correlation between COX-2 and tumor grading, according to Edmonson (rho=-0.67, P < 0.0001).

IN CONCLUSION

(a) COX-2 expression was significantly lower in HCC than in the other CLD; (b) COX-2 expression inversely correlated with tumor differentiation status. These results suggest that COX-2 expression could be related to the inflammatory phenomena present in the early phases of CLD and eventually to the induction of hepatocarcinogenesis.

Imaging of liver cancer

Improvements in imaging technology allow exploitation of the dual blood supply of the liver to aid in the identification and characterisation of both malignant and benign liver lesions. Imaging techniques available include contrast enhanced ultrasound, computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging. This review discusses the application of several imaging techniques in the diagnosis and staging of both hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma and outlines certain characteristics of benign liver lesions. The advantages of each imaging technique are highlighted, while underscoring the potential pitfalls and limitations of each imaging modality.

[Prophylaxis and treatment of chronic viral hepatitis as the prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma]

As hepatitis B and C virus (HBV, HCV) play a pivotal role in the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the prophylaxis and treatment of these infections may mean also the prevention of HCC. The primary prevention of HCC is vaccination against HBV as well as the screening of blood donors for HBV and HCV markers. The means of secondary HCC prevention are as follows: antiviral therapy of HBV and HCV-related hepatitis and cirrhosis, screening ("surveillance") of cirrhotic patients for HCC using alpha-fetoprotein and ultrasound, and adjuvant antiviral treatment of HCC patients following curative tumor resection/ablation. It may be anticipated that the world-wide spread of HBV vaccination, the more effective individual treatment and novel antivirals will lead to the decrease of HCC incidence in the not so distant future.

Hepatocellular carcinoma in viral hepatitis: improving standard therapy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common malignancy worldwide, and its incidence is increasing in the United States and elsewhere. The prognosis of HCC patients depends not only on tumour stage but also on the background liver function reservoir. Current options for the treatment of HCC are surgical resection, liver transplantation, transcatheter arterial embolization, chemotherapy, and percutaneous ablation therapy. The choice of optimal treatment for individual patients, especially those at an earlier cancer stage, is sometimes controversial. Short-term prognosis of HCC patients has been much improved recently due to advances in early diagnosis and treatment, although long-term prognosis is as yet far from satisfactory as indicated by the overall survival at 10 years after apparently curative treatment of only 22-35%. Prevention of HCC recurrence, or tertiary prevention, is one of the most challenging tasks in current hepatology.

Undiagnosed cirrhosis occurs frequently in the elderly and requires periodic follow ups and medical treatments

BACKGROUND

Autopsy examinations frequently reveal undiagnosed cirrhosis, but its characteristics have rarely been addressed in the elderly.

METHODS

From 1597 consecutive autopsies, those of patients with liver cirrhosis were selected and their clinicopathological findings were examined.

RESULTS

Seventy-six patients had liver cirrhosis; 18 of these patients (23.7%) were classified as an "undiagnosed" group and in that they had not been diagnosed as having cirrhosis before death. The remaining 58 patients were classified as a "clinical" group. Compared to the clinical group, the undiagnosed group demonstrated a significantly lower Child-Pugh score (7.1 +/- 1.9 vs 8.6 +/- 2.1; P < 0.01) and infrequent hepatocellular carcinoma (72.4% vs 5.6%; P < 0.0001). The undiagnosed group also demonstrated significantly lower complication rates of hepatic encephalopathy and esophageal varix, and a volume of ascites. The patients in the undiagnosed group were significantly older (79.9 +/- 8.1 vs 74.2 +/- 8.5 years; P < 0.01), and fewer patients died of liver-related causes (17% vs 67.2%; P < 0.0001). The etiology of cirrhosis was unknown in five patients in the undiagnosed group, and seven patients did not show any suggestive symptoms or imaging signs.

CONCLUSION

Liver cirrhosis is often undiagnosed (23.7%) in the elderly. In the undiagnosed group, liver function was preserved and serious complications were infrequent. Because the diagnosis of cirrhosis leads to early identification of hepatocellular carcinoma and good prognosis, detailed examination and periodic follow ups should be performed when liver dysfunction is indicated, even in the elderly.

Des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin, alpha-fetoprotein and AFP-L3 in patients with chronic hepatitis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common complication in patients with chronic viral hepatitis. Detection of HCC at an early stage is critical for a favorable clinical outcome. The study aim was to: (i) compare the levels of des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin (DCP), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and AFP-L3 in HCC patients and in chronic viral hepatitis patients without HCC; (ii) define the level of each tumor marker with the best sensitivity and specificity for HCC diagnosis; and (iii) to correlate the levels of these markers with respect to size and tumor burden.

METHODS

Two hundred and forty patients with either hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection were studied. These included 144 with HCC, 47 with chronic hepatitis (fibrosis stage I-III on liver biopsy) and 49 with cirrhosis.

RESULTS

Levels of DCP, AFP and AFP L-3 were significantly higher in patients with HCC than in those without HCC (P < or = 0.0001). Receiver-operating curves (ROC) indicated that the cut-off value with the best sensitivity and specificity for each test was > or =84 mAU/mL for DCP, > or =25 ng/mL for AFP and > or =10% for AFP-L3. The sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) for DCP was 87%, 85% and 86.8%, for AFP 69%, 87% and 69.8%, and for AFP-L3 56%, 90% and 56.1%, respectively. DCP levels were below the ROC cut-off in all patients without HCC. In patients with single lesions, there was a direct correlation of DCP to tumor size. High levels of AFP correlated with diffuse type of HCC. All three markers were significantly elevated in the presence of metastatic HCC. No advantage was observed by combining two or three markers for HCC diagnosis.

CONCLUSION

DCP had the highest sensitivity and PPV for HCC diagnosis, had a direct correlation with tumor size, and was not elevated in any patients without HCC. DCP should be used as the main serum test for HCC detection.

Laparoscopic radiofrequency ablation of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: long-term follow-up

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has seen a dramatic rise in the USA over the last 30 years. Unresectable disease is present in 80-90% of patients, for which radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is an option. The aim of this study is to report the long-term survival after laparoscopic RFA.

METHODS

This is a prospective analysis of 104 patients who underwent 122 ablations for unresectable HCC from April 1997 to December 2006 at a tertiary care center. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were calculated using Kaplan-Meier curves, excluding 11 patients who subsequently underwent liver transplantation. Patients were analyzed using Child-Pugh classification, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging and various clinical parameters.

RESULTS

Median (range) data: age 63 years (41-81), lesion size 3.5 cm (1-10), number of lesions 1 (1-5), AFP 26.5 ng/ml (3.7-43588.5) and time from diagnosis to RFA 2 months (mos) (1-42). The median Kaplan-Meier survival for all patients was 26 mos (OS) while DFS was 14 mos. Univariate analysis demonstrated improved OS for the absence vs. presence of ascites (31 vs. 15 mos, p=0.003), Bilirubin <2 mg/dl vs. > or = 2 mg/dl (27 vs. 19 mos, p=0.01), AFP <400 vs. > or = 400 (29 vs. 13 mos, p<0.0001) and Child-Pugh Grade (A = 28, B = 15, C = 5 mos, p=0.01). Significant factors for improved DFS: absence vs. presence of ascites (16 vs. 5 mos, p=0.02), Bilirubin <2 vs. > or = 2 (14 vs. 5 mos, p=0.0278), AFP <400 vs. > or = 400 (15 vs. 4 mos, p=0.0025), Child-Pugh Grade (A = 16, B = 10, C = 3 mos, p=0.03). Patient age, largest tumor size, number of lesions, INR and albumin did not reach clinical significance. Three and five-year actual survival rates are 21% and 8.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that RFA may have a positive impact on survival for unresectable HCC. It also determines which patients fare best after RFA, by determining predictive factors that improve their survival.

Liver insulin-like growth factor 2 methylation in hepatitis C virus cirrhosis and further occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM: To assess the predictive value of the insulin-like growth factor 2 (Igf2) methylation profile for the occurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) in hepatitis C (HCV) cirrhosis.

METHODS: Patients with: (1) biopsy-proven compensated HCV cirrhosis; (2) available baseline frozen liver sample; (3) absence of detectable HCC; (4) regular screening for HCC; (5) informed consent for genetic analysis were studied. After DNA extraction from liver samples and bisulfite treatment, unbiased PCR and DHPLC analysis were performed for methylation analysis at the Igf2 locus. The predictive value of the Igf2 methylation profile for HCC was assessed by Kaplan-Meier and Cox methods.

RESULTS: Among 94 included patients, 20 developed an HCC during follow-up (6.9 ± 3.2 years). The methylation profile was hypomethylated, intermediate and hypermethylated in 13, 64 and 17 cases, respectively. In univariate analysis, two baseline parameters were associated with the occurrence of HCC: age (P = 0.01) and prothrombin (P = 0.04). The test of linear tendency between the three ordered levels of Igf2 methylation and probability of HCC occurrence was significant (Log Rank, P = 0.043; Breslow, P = 0.037; Tarone-Ware, P = 0.039).

CONCLUSION: These results suggest that hypome-thylation at the Igf2 locus in the liver could be predictive for HCC occurrence in HCV cirrhosis.

A record-linkage study of the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in persons with hepatitis C infection in Scotland

We investigated trends in first-time hospital admissions and deaths attributable to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in a large population-based cohort of 22 073 individuals diagnosed with hepatitis C viral (HCV) infection through laboratory testing in Scotland in 1991-2006. We identified new cases of HCC through record-linkage to the national inpatient hospital discharge database and deaths registry. A total of 172 persons diagnosed with HCV were admitted to hospital or died with first-time mention of HCC. Hepatocellular carcinoma incidence increased between 1996 and 2006 (average annual change of 6.1, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.9-11.6%, P=0.021). The adjusted relative risk of HCC was greater for males (hazard ratio=2.7, 95% CI: 1.7-4.2), for those aged 60 years or older (hazard ratio=2.7, 95% CI: 1.9-4.1) compared with 50-59 years, and for those with a previous alcohol-related hospital admission (hazard ratio=2.5, 95% CI: 1.7-3.7). The risk of individuals diagnosed with HCV developing HCC was greatly increased compared with the general Scottish population (standardised incidence ratio=127, 95% CI: 102-156). Owing to the advancing age of the Scottish HCV-diagnosed population, the annual number of HCC cases is projected to increase, with a consequent increasing burden on the public healthcare system.

Surgical resection versus radiofrequency ablation in the treatment of small unifocal hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has a high worldwide prevalence and mortality. While surgical resection and transplantation offers curative potential, donor availability and patient liver status and comorbidities may disallow either. Interventional radiological techniques such as radiofrequency ablation (RFA) may offer acceptable overall and disease-free survival rates.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Sixty-eight cirrhotic patients matched for age, sex, tumor size, and Child-Pugh grade with small (1-5 cm) unifocal HCC were studied retrospectively to find determinants of overall and disease-free survival in those treated with surgical resection and RFA between 1991 and 2003.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis using Cox proportional regression modeling showed that overall survival was related to tumor recurrence (p = 0.010), tumor diameter (p = 0.002), and treatment modality (p = 0.014); overall p = 0.008. Recurrence was independently related to the use of RFA over surgery (p = 0.023) on multivariate analysis; overall p = 0.034.

CONCLUSION

Surgical resection offers longer disease-free survival and potentially longer overall survival than RFA in patients with small unifocal HCC.

Risk assessment of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis C patients by transient elastography

OBJECTIVE

The degree of liver fibrosis is the strongest indicator of risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. Recently developed transient elastography (Fibroscan, Echosens, France) noninvasively measures liver stiffness, and the correlation between the stiffness and liver fibrosis stage has been validated. In this cross-sectional study, we investigated the relationship between liver stiffness and HCC presence.

METHODS

Liver stiffness was measured in chronic hepatitis C patients (85 with HCC and 180 without) by transient elastography. Multivariate logistic regression was applied to assess the association with HCC presence. We computed the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves concerning the prediction of HCC presence and compared the areas under ROC curve (AUROC). We also calculated stratum-specific likelihood ratios (SSLR).

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis showed that HCC presence was significantly associated with liver stiffness (P<0.0001) along with age, male, and alpha-fetoprotein concentration. AUROC was 0.805, 0.741, 0.714, 0.673, 0.670, and 0.654 for liver stiffness, alpha-fetoprotein, albumin, prothrombin activity, AST-platelet ratio index, and platelet count, respectively. Other parameters showed smaller AUROC. SSLR for HCC presence by liver stiffness was 0.22 (95% confidence interval: 0.11-0.42) in <10 kPa, 0.73 (0.39 to 1.39) in 10.1 to 15 kPa, 1.30 (0.80 to 2.12) in 15.1 to 25 kPa, and 5.0 (2.96 to 8.47) in >25 kPa.

CONCLUSIONS

Liver stiffness measured by transient elastography is useful in demarcating chronic hepatitis C patients at a high risk for HCC, who require frequent check-up by imaging examinations.

Economic evaluation of delivering hepatitis B vaccine to injection drug users

BACKGROUND

Injection drug users (IDUs) are at high risk of hepatitis B (HBV) infection, and hepatitis B vaccination coverage in IDUs is low. Recent studies demonstrate that syringe exchange programs are effective venues to reach and immunize IDUs. The purpose of this paper was to determine if targeting IDUs for HBV vaccination through syringe exchange programs is economically desirable for the healthcare system and to assess the relative effectiveness of several different vaccination strategies.

METHODS

Active IDUs in Chicago IL and Hartford and Bridgeport CT (N=1964) were recruited and screened through local syringe exchange programs, randomized to a standard (0, 1, 6 months) or accelerated (0, 1, 2 months) vaccination schedule, and followed from May 2003 to March 2006. Analyses were conducted in 2007. The vaccination program's costs were balanced against future HBV-associated medical costs. Benefits in terms of prevented acute HBV infections and quality-adjusted life years were estimated based on a Markov model.

RESULTS

HBV vaccination campaigns targeting IDUs through syringe exchange programs are cost-saving. The most cost-saving strategies include giving the first dose to everyone at screening, administering the vaccination under the accelerated schedule (0, 1, 2 months), and obtaining highly discounted vaccine from local health departments.

CONCLUSIONS

It is economically inappropriate to offer HBV screening in the absence of vaccination. Existing syringe exchange programs in the U.S. should include HBV vaccination.

Trends in mortality from hepatocellular carcinoma in Europe, 1980-2004

Upward trends in mortality from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were recently reported in the United States and Japan. Comprehensive analyses of most recent data for European countries are not available. Age-standardized (world standard) HCC rates per 100,000 (at all ages, at age 20-44, and age 45-59 years) were computed for 23 European countries over the period 1980-2004 using data from the World Health Organization. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to identify significant changes in trends, and annual percent change were computed. Male overall mortality from HCC increased in Austria, Germany, Switzerland, and other western countries, while it significantly decreased over recent years in countries such as France and Italy, which had large upward trends until the mid-1990s. In the early 2000s, among countries allowing distinction between HCC and other liver cancers, the highest HCC rates in men were in France (6.8/100,000), Italy (6.7), and Switzerland (5.9), whereas the lowest ones were in Norway (1.0), Ireland (0.8), and Sweden (0.7). In women, a slight increase in overall HCC mortality was observed in Spain and Switzerland, while mortality decreased in several other European countries, particularly since the mid-1990s. In the early 2000s, female HCC mortality rates were highest in Italy (1.9/100,000), Switzerland (1.8), and Spain (1.5) and lowest in Greece, Ireland, and Sweden (0.3). In most countries, trends at age 45-59 years were consistent with overall ones, whereas they were more favorable at age 20-44 years in both sexes.

CONCLUSION

HCC mortality remains largely variable across Europe. Favorable trends were observed in several European countries mainly over the last decade, particularly in women and in young adults.

Clinical Pattern of Cirrhotic Ascities in the State of Qatar

Ascites is a common important feature of chronic liver disease and to determine the extent, causes, clinical presentation and nature of cirrhotic ascites in Qatar a descriptive, prospective study was made of 48 males and 14 females with cirrhotic ascites and a mean age of 562 “12.6 years admitted to the Medical Department, Hamad General Hospital between January 2004 and January 2005. Twenty six were Qatari, the remainder being of various nationalities. The most common cause of cirrhotic ascites was chronic alcoholism, found in 29 (46.8%) patients. Uncomplicated liver cirrhosis was found in 40 (64.5%) patients, complicated liver cirrhosis in 22 (35.5%) patients. At admission, encephalopathy, GI bleeding, and fever were found to be significantly associated with complicated cirrhotic ascites. Results of the study suggest that cirrhotic ascites is common in the State of Qatar with the most common causes being chronic alcoholism followed by chronic viral hepatitis C and B. It is suggested that efforts are needed to prevent and treat these two conditions.

Diagnosing and monitoring hepatocellular carcinoma with alpha-fetoprotein: new aspects and applications

Hepatocellular carcinoma is the 5th most common cancer in the world. Prognosis for this disease is poor since hepatocellular carcinoma is mostly diagnosed at an advanced stage. Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is one of the most common diagnostic markers for hepatocellular carcinoma. However, its diagnostic value is more and more questioned. Therefore, research has focussed on AFP related parameters (AFP mRNA and AFP glycoforms). The aim of this paper is to review the present knowledge on AFP and its related parameters in diagnosing and monitoring HCC. AFP related parameters can be arranged in two types: AFP mRNA and AFP glycoforms. AFP mRNA is a potentially prognostic marker and AFP mRNA assays are based on PCR techniques. The AFP glycoforms have diagnostic potential and assays are based on isoelectric focussing and lectin affinity electrophoretic methods. Up to now the diagnostic use of the AFP related parameters is limited. Although some of them are recommended as a complementary test, they cannot (yet) replace serum AFP as the golden standard of diagnostic markers for hepatocellular carcinoma.

Hepatitis C virus infection in the elderly: epidemiology, natural history and management

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection frequently occurs in elderly individuals, with a prevalence in individuals aged >60 years of up to approximately 40%. Although progression to cirrhosis is accelerated and occurs more frequently in patients who acquire the infection in old age, this outcome is often not seen because most elderly infected patients acquired HCV when they were young. Data on progression of HCV infection to cirrhosis and eventually to hepatocellular carcinoma are often derived from studies of HCV-infected individuals who present or are referred to hospitals, and which are therefore likely to overestimate the seriousness of the disease; indeed, population-based studies indicate that in many elderly individuals the disease is asymptomatic and runs a fairly benign course. Treatment is based on use of pegylated interferon-alpha and ribavirin, and is overall less effective and more toxic in the elderly. Therefore, treatment should be carefully considered on an individual basis and proposed only in patients up to the age of 75 years with a significant risk of progression of liver disease, no serious co-morbidities and good life expectancy. All treated patients should be followed long term in order to assess the influence of therapy on the evolution of liver disease (decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma) and survival. It is hoped that liver biopsy, which is still required in order to assess prognosis appropriately, will be replaced in the future by less invasive methods based on combinations of biochemical markers of fibrosis and/or transient elastography, and that newer and less toxic orally administered drugs for HCV infection will become available.

Contrast-enhanced ultrasound in the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma

Surveillance of patients at risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is based on ultrasound (US) examinations performed at either 6 or 12 month intervals. Early detection of HCC in patients with cirrhosis is a challenging issue, since the different entities that are involved in the multi-step process of hepatocarcinogenesis--such as low-grade and high-grade dysplastic nodule--share common US features. Contrast-enhanced US allows reliable detection of arterial neoangiogenesis associated with a malignant transformation. Several reports have shown that the ability of contrast-enhanced US to diagnose HCC currently approaches that of optimized multidetector computed tomography (CT) or dynamic magnetic resonance (MR) imaging protocols. The use of contrast-enhanced US to characterize nodular lesions in cirrhosis has been recently recommended by the clinical practice guidelines issued by the European Federation of Societies for Ultrasound in Medicine and Biology and the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases. However, contrast-enhanced US has not resulted in any significant improvement in the ability of US to detect small tumor foci, since a comprehensive assessment of the whole liver parenchyma cannot be accomplished during the short duration of the arterial phase. Hence, CT or MR imaging are still mandatory for proper intrahepatic staging of the disease.

Cost-effectiveness of the surveillance program of hepatocellular carcinoma depends on the medical circumstances

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The clinical features of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the medical environment are diverse in different geographic areas. The aim of this study is to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the surveillance of HCC in different medical circumstances.

METHODS

The Markov model focused on variables that differ from country to country and may change in the future, especially in regards to the proportion of small HCC detected incidentally. The target population was 45-year-old patients with Child-Pugh class A cirrhosis, and the intervention was surveillance with ultrasonography every 6 months.

RESULTS

The additional cost of the surveillance was $US15 100, the gain in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) was 0.50 years, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was $US29 900/QALY in a base-case analysis (annual incidence of HCC = 4%). If 40% of small HCC were detected incidentally without surveillance, the gain in QALY decreased to 0.15 and the ICER increased to $US47 900/QALY. The increase in the annual incidence of HCC to 8% resulted in the increase of QALYs to 0.81, and the decrease of the ICER to $US25 400/QALY. The adoption of liver transplantation increased the gain in QALYs and the ICER to 0.84 and $US59 900/QALY, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The gain in QALYs and the ICER due to the surveillance of HCC varies between different patient subgroups and it critically depends on the rate of small HCC detected incidentally without surveillance, as well as the annual incidence of HCC and the adoption of liver transplantation.

Viral hepatocarcinogenesis: from infection to cancer

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a worldwide health issue that has started receiving attention but is still poorly understood. However, the hepatitis B virus (HBV) and the hepatitis C virus (HCV) are known to be two major causative agents of HCC. They differ in their modes of infection, their treatment options, their genomes and their carcinogenic abilities. However, both share a link with HCC through alterations of the host genome. In order to continue in our search for the mechanisms behind viral hepatocarcinogenesis, the individual entities (HBV, HCV, HCC and host), their natural history, treatment options and genomic properties must be further understood. Additionally, an understanding of the genomics, the link between the entities, is crucial for the success of the ongoing search for therapeutic options for HCC. Similar to most types of cancer, hepatocarcinogenesis is a multistep process involving different genetic alterations that ultimately lead to malignant transformation of the hepatocyte. As technology advances and research continues, the genetic changes and influences among these entities will prove essential to improved diagnostic and therapeutic options. It remains a challenge to provide a clear picture of the connection between virus and cancer. We review (i) the epidemiological link between HBV/HCV infection to HCC; (ii) prevention and control of chronic hepatitis B or C in reducing HCC risk; and (iii) genetic characters of viruses and hosts and the mechanisms associated with HCC susceptibilities, with the intention of providing a direction for future research and treatment.

Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis improves outcome

OBJECTIVE

Liver transplantation has become an effective treatment for cirrhotic patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma. We hypothesized that the quality of surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma influences prognosis by affecting access to liver transplantation.

METHODS

A total of 269 patients with cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma were retrospectively categorized into 3 groups according to quality of surveillance: standard-of-care (n=172) (group 1); substandard surveillance (n=48) (group 2); and absence of surveillance in patients not recognized to be cirrhotic (n=59) (group 3).

RESULTS

Three-year survival in the 60 patients who underwent liver transplantation was 81% versus 12% for patients who did not undergo transplantation (P<.001). The percentages of patients who underwent transplantation according to tumor stage at diagnosis (T1, T2, T3, and T4) were 58%, 35%, 10%, and 1%, respectively. Hepatocellular carcinoma was diagnosed at stages 1 and 2 in 70% of patients in group 1, 37% of patients in group 2, and only 18% of patients in group 3 (P <.001). Liver transplantation was performed in 32% of patients in group 1, 13% of patients in group 2, and 7% of patients in group 3 (P<.001). Three-year survival from cancer diagnosis in patients in group 3 (12%) was significantly worse than in patients in group 1 (39%) or group 2 (27%) (each P<.05). Eighty percent of patients in group 3 had subtle abnormalities of cirrhosis on routine laboratory tests.

CONCLUSION

The quality of surveillance has a direct impact on hepatocellular carcinoma stage at diagnosis, access to liver transplantation, and survival.

Percutaneous cryoablation of small hepatocellular carcinoma with US guidance and CT monitoring: initial experience

The purpose of this study was to retrospectively determine the safety and effectiveness of percutaneous cryoablation, monitored with computed tomography (CT) and ultrasonographic (US) guidance, for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Four patients with small HCCs underwent one percutaneous cryoablation treatment session monitored with CT and US guidance. All patients underwent pretreatment blood chemistry testing and imaging evaluation. We treated lesions with simultaneous insertion of multiple 17-G cryoprobes (two or three) and defined technical success when the extension of a visible iceball was beyond 5 mm from the tumor margin. Intralesional enhancement or tumoral size increase was defined as local progression compared with that on images obtained immediately after ablation. We evaluated complications and follow-up (at 1, 3, and 6 months). All patients survived without short- or long-term complications. Cryoablation was technically successful in all patients at the end of the procedure. During follow-up two patients developed disease recurrence. One patient developed local tumor progression on the margin of the lesion; the other, a new HCC. In the case of local tumor progression a new elevation of alpha-fetoprotein (alphaFP) levels occurred at first follow-up control. In the other case levels of alphaFP remained stable during the first 3 months after the procedure, then demonstrated a progressive increase in alphaFP levels beginning at the fourth month, without tumor evidence during CT control at 3 months. We conclude that percutaneous cryotherapy with US guidance and CT monitoring is a feasible, safe, and effective for treatment of HCC. If local ablative procedures of hepatic lesions are to be performed, percutaneous cryoablation, not laparotomic, should be discussed as an alternative therapeutic measure. Longer follow-up should provide proof of the effectiveness of this technique.

Apoptosis-inducing antitumor efficacy of hexokinase II inhibitor in hepatocellular carcinoma

Hypoxia stimulates hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cell growth via hexokinase (HK) II induction, and alternatively, HK II inhibition induces apoptosis by activating mitochondrial signaling. This study was to investigate whether the induction of HK II by hypoxia is associated with enhanced mitochondrial stability and to confirm the apoptosis-inducing efficacy of HK II inhibitor in an in vivo model of HCC. Mitochondrial stability was examined by treating isolated mitochondria with deoxycholate, a permeability-enhancing agent. Alteration of permeability transition pore complex composition was analyzed by immunoprecipitation and immunoblotting. An in vivo model of HCC was established in C3H mice i.d. implanted with MH134 cells. The antitumor efficacy of i.p. given 3-bromopyruvate (3-BrPA), a HK II inhibitor, was evaluated by measuring tumor volumes and quantifying apoptosis using terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase-mediated dUTP nick end labeling staining and (99m)Tc-hydrazinonicotinamide-Annexin V scans. Hypoxia enhanced mitochondrial stability, and this was inhibited by 3-BrPA treatment. In particular, HK II levels in permeability transition pore complex immunoprecipitates were reduced after 3-BrPA treatment. In mice treated with 3-BrPA, mean tumor volumes and tumor volume growth were found to be significantly reduced. Moreover, percentages of terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase-mediated dUTP nick end labeling-positive cells were significantly increased in 3-BrPA-treated mice, and this apoptosis-inducing efficacy was reflected in vivo by (99m)Tc-hydrazinonicotinamide-Annexin V imaging. Our results show that hypoxia enhances mitochondrial stability via HK II induction and that HK II inhibitor treatment exhibits an in vivo antitumor effect by inducing apoptosis. Therefore, HK II inhibitors may be therapeutically useful for the treatment of advanced infiltrative hypovascular HCCs, which are growing in a hypoxic environment.

Management of solitary 1 cm to 2 cm liver nodules in patients with compensated cirrhosis: a decision analysis

OBJECTIVES

Current guidelines, based on expert opinion, recommend that suspected 1 cm to 2 cm hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) detected on screening be biopsied and, if positive, treated (eg, resection or transplantation). Alternative strategies are immediate treatment or observation until disease progression occurs.

METHODS

A Markov decision model was developed that compared three management strategies - immediate resection, biopsy and resection if positive, and ultrasound surveillance every three months until disease progression - for a single 1 cm to 2 cm liver nodule suspicious for HCC following ultrasound screening and computed tomography confirmation. The cohort included 55-year-old patients with compensated cirrhosis and no significant comorbidities. The model used in the present study incorporated the probabilities of false-positive and false-negative results, needle-track seeding, HCC recurrence, cirrhosis progression and death. The quality-adjusted life expectancy (LE) and the unadjusted LE were evaluated and the model's strength was assessed with sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

In the base case analysis, biopsy, resection and surveillance yielded an unadjusted LE of 60.5, 59.7 and 56.6 months, respectively, and a quality-adjusted LE of 46.6, 45.6 and 43.8 months, respectively. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, biopsy was the preferred strategy 69.5% of the time, resection 30.5% of the time and surveillance never. Resection was the optimal decision if the sensitivity of biopsy was very low (less than 0.45) or if the accuracy of the imaging tests resulted in a high percentage of HCC-positive patients (greater than 76%) in the screened cohort, as with expert interpretation of triphasic computed tomography.

CONCLUSIONS

The present model suggests that biopsy is the preferred management strategy for these patients. When postimaging probability of HCC is high or pathology expertise is lacking, resection is the best alternative. Surveillance is never the optimal strategy.

Screening

Screening is the only practical approach for improving the management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, as early detection increases the application of curative treatments. A conference of experts from Japan, USA, and Europe (Barcelona 2005) advised surveillance every six months for patients with chronic liver disease at increased risk of HCC with abdominal US. Whether this approach benefits HCC patients in terms of survival is still uncertain, since available data are retrospective and biased by lead-time factors in the calculation of patient survival. Only one randomized controlled study in China showed the benefit of surveillance for HCC; however, in a population-based setting. Today, clinic-based, randomized studies are unfeasible for ethical reasons. In a cohort of 447 Italian patients with compensated cirrhosis, we compared the survival of HCC patients identified along three consecutive quinquennia of surveillance. HCC developed in 112 patients (3.4% per year) and was the prime cause of death. Forty-six patients (41%) had a single tumor with mean sizes of 3.7, 3.0, and 2.2 cm in the three quinquennia (first vs third, P = 0.0147; second vs third, P = 0.02) and 38(44%) underwent radical therapies. Mortality rates in HCC patients fell from 45% in the first quinquennium to 10% in the third (P = 0.0009), in parallel with a reduction in mortality of treated patients (34, 28, and 5%) (first vs third, P = 0.0024). Cirrhotic patients developing HCC during the last five years of surveillance survived longer than previously, as a consequence of improved management of the tumor and complications of cirrhosis. It remains controversial whether HCC screening is cost-effective, i.e. whether the cost of detection, confirmatory studies, and treatment are outbalanced by the number of life-years gained. In a retrospective study of Italian patients with cirrhosis, there was an incremental cost-efficacy ratio of surveillance vs no surveillance to be $USD 112 993 per liver-year saved. The cost of surveillance was increased by surgery applied to 15 patients with HCC detected during surveillance.

Recent advances in the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma

In the last decade, new imaging techniques have become available, offering the possibility of investigating contrast perfusion of liver nodules in cirrhosis. It is now accepted that a non-invasive diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can be established based on the vascular pattern, obtained with pure blood pool contrast agents. The diagnostic pattern includes: hypervascularity in the arterial phase (15-35 s after contrast injection), consisting in a contrast signal in the nodule greater than in the surrounding parenchyma, followed by contrast wash out, which leads the nodule to show the same, or, more specifically, a lower contrast signal, than the surrounding parenchyma in the portal and late phases (>40 s after injection). Such a pattern can be obtained not only by computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging, but also by contrast-enhanced ultrasonography, most simply with real-time low mechanical index harmonic imaging ultrasound equipment with second-generation ultrasound contrast agents. The risk of false-positive diagnosis of malignancy isnearly abolished when the functional vascular pattern is not the only feature, but is superimposed on a nodule visible also without contrast. One single contrast imaging technique may suffice to make a diagnosis of HCC if the nodule is >1 cm in diameter and has developed during a surveillance program. Other types of contrast agents, such as those taken up by the reticular-endothelial system cells, may offer additional diagnostic clues, but definitive evidence of their efficacy is still to be produced. In conclusion, contrast-enhanced imaging techniques now offer the possibility of a non-invasive diagnosis of HCC in a large number of cases, reducing the need of invasive investigations, such as ultrasound-guided biopsy or angiography.

Screening for hepatocellular carcinoma

This article reviews methodological issues around screening for hepatocellular carcinoma, and discusses selection of the at-risk group, which screening test to use, and how frequently it should be applied. Screening of patients at risk for hepatocellular carcinoma should be undertaken using ultrasonography applied at six-month intervals. Patients at risk include all those with cirrhosis, and certain non-cirrhotic patients withchronic hepatitis B. In this population, screening has been shown to reduce disease-specific mortality. Although data do not exist for other populations, screening is nonetheless advised because small cancers can be cured with appreciable frequency.

Radiofrequency ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma: long-term outcome and prognostic factors

PURPOSE

To investigate the efficacy of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and the prognostic factors for post-RFA survival rate.

METHODS

From 1999 to 2006, 266 patients with 392 HCCs underwent ultrasound guided RFA treatment. They were 216 males and 50 females, average age 59.4+/-15.4 years (24-87 years). The HCC were 1.2-6.7 cm in diameters (average 3.9+1.3 cm). There were 158 patients with single tumor, and the rest had multiple (2-5) tumors. Univariate and multivariate analysis with 19 potential variables were examined to identify prognostic factors for post-RFA survival rate.

RESULTS

The overall post-RFA survival rates at 1st, 3rd, and 5th year were 82.9%, 57.9% and 42.9%, respectively. In the 60 patients with stage I HCC (AJCC staging), the 1-, 3-, 5-year survival rate were 94.8%, 76.4% and 71.6%, significantly higher than the 148 patients with stage II-IV tumors (81.8%, 57.6% and 41.2%, P=0.006). For the 58 patients with post-surgery recurrent HCC, the survival rates were 73.2%, 41.9% and 38.2% at the 1st, 3rd, and 5th year, which were significantly lower than those of stage I HCC (P=0.005). Nine potential factors were found with significant effects on survival rate, and they were number of tumors, location of tumors, pre-RFA liver function enzymes, Child-Pugh classification, AJCC staging, primary or recurrent HCC, tumor pathological grading, using mathematical protocol in RFA procedure and tumor necrosis 1 month after RFA. After multivariate analysis, three factors were identified as independent prognostic factors for survival rate, and they were Child-Pugh classification, AJCC staging and using mathematical protocol.

CONCLUSION

Identifying prognostic factors provides important information for HCC patient management before, during and after RFA. This long-term follow-up study on a large group of HCC patients confirmed that RFA could not only achieve favorable outcome on stage I HCC, but also be an effective therapy for stage II-IV or recurrent HCC.

Incidence and predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Independent predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis are not well established.

METHODS

We created a cohort of 2126 patients (41% with hepatitis C virus [HCV] infection) who sought care from all Veterans Affairs health care centers in the northwest United States from 1994 to 2005 and who had a diagnosis of cirrhosis recorded in inpatient or outpatient medical records.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up period of 3.6 years, 100 patients were diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma (incidence, 1.3 per 100 patient-years). Important predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma in multivariate models included HCV infection (adjusted hazard ratio [ahr], 3.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.7-5.3); hepatitis B virus (HBV) surface antigen (ahr, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.4-7.7); HBV core antibody (ahr, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.1-2.8); obesity (ahr, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.3-4.9), and overweight (ahr, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.5-5.4) relative to patients with a body mass index of < 25 kg/m2, diabetes (ahr, 1.5; 95% CI, 0.9-2.5), and low platelet count (relative to patients with a platelet count of > 266 thousands/microL, the ahr was 2.1 [95% CI, 0.8-5.6] in patients with a platelet count of 180-266 thousands/microL, 3.3 [95% CI, 1.3-8.0] in patients with a platelet count of 111-179 thousands/microL, and the ahr was 4.7 [95% CI, 2.0-11.4] in patients with a platelet count of < or = 110 thousands/microL).

CONCLUSIONS

We identified 6 important predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma in multivariate models (including relatively novel predictors such as increased body mass index, HBV core antibody, and low platelet count), which suggest a means of predicting the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis and optimizing surveillance strategies.

Epidemiology of hepatocellular carcinoma in Finistère. Prospective study from June 2002 to May 2003

OBJECTIVES

The aims of this prospective study were to evaluate the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Finistère, an administrative district of western France, and to highlight epidemiological characteristics.

METHODS

From June 1st 2002 to May 31st 2003, all cases of HCC in Finistère were registered prospectively. Standardized incidence rates were calculated.

RESULTS

One hundred and six cases of HCC were registered. Standardized incidence rates were 13.8/100000 among men and 0.8/100000 among women. Among the incident cases of HCC, 52% were discovered in patients consulting for symptoms, and 28% in patients undergoing screening. The new non-invasive diagnostic criteria of HCC were used in 60% of cases. HCC was associated with cirrhosis in 89 patients (84%). Excessive alcohol intake was the main cause of cirrhosis. In all, 27 patients (25.5%) received potentially curative treatment.

CONCLUSION

Incidence of HCC is high in Finistère. The proportion of patients given potentially curative treatment is still low, illustrating how difficult screening can be when alcoholic cirrhosis predominates in the target population.

Preoperative Chemoembolization in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Liver Transplantation: Influence of Emergent Versus Elective Procedures on Patient Survival and Tumor Recurrence Rate

Our purpose was to compare the recurrence rate and survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who had elective transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), immediate preoperative TACE, or no treatment prior to orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). A total of 132 patients with HCC had TACE prior to OLT. Eighteen patients had no TACE before OLT and functioned as a control group. The urgent group included 35 patients embolized less than 24 h before OLT and the elective group included 97 patients embolized greater than 1 day before transplantation. These groups were compared with regard to tumor staging, hepatic synthetic function, and post-TACE tumor necrosis and survival and recurrence rates. Patients were followed for a mean of 780 days post OLT (1-2912 days). The tumor staging was similar between groups but the Childs-Pugh score in the urgent and untreated group was significantly higher than that of the other groups. The degree of necrosis at explant was also significantly different between the two treated groups, with an average 35% necrosis in the patients embolized less than 24 h before OLT vs 77% in the elective group (p < 0.002). Recurrence rate in the urgent group was 8 of 35 (23%) in a median of 580 days, 20 of 97 (21%) in a median of 539 days in the elective group, and 2 of 18 (11%) in a median of 331 days in the no-TACE group. Survival at 1, 3, and 5 years was 91%, 80%, and 72% in the elective group, 79%, 58%, and 39% in the urgent group, and 69%, 61%, and 41% in the no-TACE group, respectively. The urgent and no-TACE groups had significantly worse survival compared with the other groups; however, the tumor recurrence rates were statistically the same among all three groups. TACE within 24 h of OLT causes an average of 35% necrosis and elective TACE increases necrosis further to 77%. Despite this difference, the tumor recurrence rate in the three groups is equivalent and no different from that in the group that received no treatment before OLT. The decreased survival in the immediate and no-TACE groups was due to non-cancer-related deaths.

Productivity improvements in hepatitis C treatment: impact on efficacy, cost, cost-effectiveness and quality of life

OBJECTIVE

The treatment of chronic hepatitis C has advanced considerably during the past 15 years. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of different key developments from a health-economic perspective.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Costs and health-related quality-of-life data from a follow-up of Swedish patients treated for hepatitis C in clinical practice were used together with clinical trial data and natural history data in order to create a mathematical model that could be used to evaluate the advancement in hepatitis C therapy. The efficacy of treatment, costs and cost-effectiveness were evaluated for both current as well as proposed treatment strategies. A sensitivity analysis was used to assess how results were affected when key variables changed.

RESULTS

Current genotype-guided pegylated interferon and ribavirin is a cost-effective treatment strategy. A proposed treatment strategy involving a reduction in the length of treatment for certain patient subgroups with genotypes 1, 2 and 3, as well as an increase in the length of treatment for patients with genotype 1 and slow virological response was estimated to be a cost-effective future treatment alternative. These results were insensitive to changes in costs and risks associated with chronic hepatitis.

CONCLUSION

Although the costs for treatment of hepatitis C have increased significantly over the past decade, the improvements have provided the health-care system with cost-effective options in the treatment of patients with chronic hepatitis C.

The best candidates for transarterial chemotherapy in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma awaiting liver transplantation: a cohort-based characterization of dropout times

BACKGROUND

Although transarterial chemotherapy is used to retard tumour progression for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients awaiting orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT), information regarding the acceptable waiting time and appropriate patient selection for the therapy is lacking.

AIM

To examine dropout times and determine the best candidates for pre-transplant transarterial therapy in a cohort study.

METHODS

In total, 180 consecutive HCC candidates receiving pre-transplant chemo-lipiodolization were included in the study.

RESULTS

Overall, 70 (38.9%) patients dropped off the waiting list during the median follow-up of 19 months. According to the Child-Pugh (C-P) classification, the estimated dropout rates at 1 and 2 years were 17.2% and 44.8% for the C-P A group and 33.4% and 81.3% for the C-P B/C group, respectively. C-P B/C patients experienced more frequent dropouts than C-P A patients (P < 0.001). Risk factor analysis identified C-P classification to be the strongest predictor of dropout (P < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) >100 ng/mL, tumour size >3 cm and multiple nodules remained independently predictive of dropout for C-P A group (all P < 0.05). Candidates with none of these factors were found to be at the lowest risk of dropout, with only a 22.5% dropout rate up to 41 months.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that Child-Pugh A patients with one nodule <3 cm and AFP < 100 ng/mL may be the best candidates for pre-transplant chemo-lipiodolization, with the lowest dropout rate. However, comparative studies with other therapeutic options are needed to assess the definitive role of transarterial therapy in this setting.

Clinical evaluation of lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive alpha-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin in histologically proven hepatocellular carcinoma in the United States

There is no established clinical role for the lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP-L3%) and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) in the management of the U.S. hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patient population. In order to clarify the clinical usefulness and characteristics of AFP-L3% and DCP, a prospective study was performed on United States patients having histologically proven hepatocellular carcinoma. Ninety-nine histologically proven HCC patients, who were diagnosed with unresectable cancer between July 1999 and March 2001 at the Liver Cancer Center of the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, were included for analysis. The sensitivity of AFP-L3%, DCP, and AFP was 61.6%, 72.7%, and 67.7%, respectively. The highest sensitivity, 85.9%, was obtained in the combination of three markers. Statistically significant differences were observed for portal vein invasion in AFP-L3% and AFP levels (P = 0.0059 and P = 0.0360, respectively). DCP was significantly associated with metastasis (P = 0.0368). There were significant associations between AFP-L3% and AFP results and patient survival (P = 0.0150 and P = 0.0020, respectively). AFP-L3%, platelet count,and albumin showed a significant difference with respect to outcomes on Cox's proportional hazard model (P = 0.0059, P = 0.0073, and P = 0.0265, respectively). The combination of AFP-L3%, DCP, and AFP was determined to be superior for detection of HCC compared with each marker alone or to other combinations. AFP-L3% was significantly related to portal vein invasion and patient outcomes and appears to be a useful prognostic marker for HCC.