Validation and refinement of scores to predict very early stroke risk after transient ischaemic attack

Incidence and Predictors of Acute Ischemic Lesions on Brain Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Patients With a Clinical Diagnosis of Transient Ischemic Attack in China

Background: The associations between the clinical characteristics and diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) positivity in patients with a clinical diagnosis of transient ischemic attack (TIA) are still poorly understood. The purpose of our study was to determine the incidence of TIA related acute infarction by DWI, and to determine the underlying predictors of DWI positivity in TIA patients.

Methods: Between Jan 2017 and Dec 2018, we retrospectively enrolled 430 patients with a clinical diagnosis of TIA who underwent DWI. Patients were divided into those with acute ischemic lesions (DWI positive group) and those without (DWI negative group). The clinical characteristics, laboratory data, and imaging parameters were compared between the two groups.

Results: A total of 430 time-based TIA patients (mean age, 61.4 ± 13.0) were enrolled in this study. About 126 (29.3%) of TIA patients had a DWI positive lesion in our series. Comparing TIA patients with positive DWI to those with negative DWI, acute lesions were more likely to be more male, have higher hyperlipidemia and a smoking history, more speech abnormalities and increased motor weakness; and higher systolic and diastolic blood pressure, homocysteine, fasting blood glucose, and the scores of ABCD2, ABCD3, ABCD3-I, and Dawson. Several independent predictors of DWI positivity were identified with logistic regression analysis: motor weakness (odds ratio 4.861, P = 0.021), speech abnormalities (odds ratio 4.029, P = 0.024), and ABCD3-I (odds ratio 13.141, P = 0.001). ABCD3-I showed the greatest area under the ROC curve, with a sensitivity of 85.7% and specificity of 72.4%.

Conclusion: In patients with a clinical diagnosis of TIA, 29.3% demonstrated acute DWI lesions on brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). They were associated with motor weakness, speech abnormalities and higher ABCD3-I score at admission.

Autonomic Parameter and Stress Profile Predict Secondary Ischemic Events After Transient Ischemic Attack or Minor Stroke

Background and Purpose- Traditional risk factors for ischemic stroke are body stressors that are related to autonomic autonomic system (ANS) dysfunction. The value of ABCD2 score (age, blood pressure, clinical features, duration of symptoms, diabetes) to predict ischemic stroke after transient ischemic attack is compromised by the inclusion of a limited number of stressors. We aimed to assess whether markers of ANS function and stress could predict the occurrence of secondary ischemic events after transient ischemic attack or minor stroke. Methods- This is a prospective cohort study in which 201 patients were recruited within 48 hours after initial transient ischemic attack or minor stroke and followed for 90 days to assess the development of secondary ischemic events. ABCD2 score, heart rate variability (HRV) parameters as markers of ANS function, and psychological stress were assessed. Logistic regression and area under the curve (AUC) were used to assess the models' predictive ability. Results- Morning high frequency (HF) HRV power and changes in HF HRV from morning to afternoon (daytime HF changes) were the most useful HRV predictors for both ischemic events (AUC=0.61 and 0.70) and ischemic stroke (AUC=0.62 and 0.72). Compared with ABCD2 score, 2 HRV-based stress models showed higher predictive ability for ischemic events (AUC=0.82 versus 0.63, 0.76 versus 0.63; P<0.05) and ischemic stroke (AUC=0.87 versus 0.64, 0.82 versus 0.64; P<0.05). Conclusions- Assessing the effects of stress on the ANS may be an innovative way to stratify the risk of ischemic events after transient ischemic attack or minor stroke. New risk stratification by assessing the dynamic features of ANS dysfunction and stress may help identify high-risk sub-populations that may benefit from added management.

Risk of stroke after emergency department visits for neurologic complaints

Objective

To assess the risk of subsequent stroke among older patients discharged from an emergency department (ED) without a diagnosis of TIA or stroke.

Methods

Using electronic health record data from a large urban, university hospital and a community-based hospital, we analyzed patients aged 60-89 years discharged to home from the ED without an International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 9th or 10th Revision diagnosis of TIA or stroke. Based on the presence/absence of a head CT and the presence/absence of a chief complaint suggestive of TIA or stroke ("symptoms") during the index ED visit, we created 4 mutually exclusive groups (group 1, reference: head CT no, symptoms no; group 2: head CT no, symptoms yes; group 3: head CT yes, symptoms no; and group 4: head CT yes, symptoms yes). We calculated rates of stroke in the 30, 90, and 365 days after the index visit and used multivariable logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs) for subsequent stroke.

Results

Among 35,622 patients (mean age 70 years, 59% women, and 16% African American), unadjusted rates of stroke in 365 days were as follows: group 4: 2.5%; group 3: 1.1%; group 2: 0.69%; and group 1: 0.54%. The adjusted OR for stroke was 3.30 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.61-6.76) in group 4, 1.56 (95% CI, 1.16-2.09) in group 3, and 0.61 (95% CI, 0.22-1.67) in group 2.

Conclusions

Among patients discharged from the ED without a diagnosis of TIA or stroke, the occurrence of a head CT and/or specific neurologic symptoms established a clinically meaningful risk gradient for subsequent stroke.

The Association of Serum Testosterone Levels With Recurrence and Mortality After Acute Ischemic Stroke in Males

The current study aimed to investigate whether low testosterone predicted the recurrence and clinical outcomes after acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in males. From June 2015 through August 2017, the study prospectively enrolled 110 male AIS patients. All received detailed evaluations at admission and were followed for at least 1 year. The cumulative incidence, overall survival, length of hospital stay, and the percentage of previous stroke were compared between subjects with testosterone <440 ng/dl and >440 ng/dl. The median age was 62 years (range, 35–93 years). The median serum testosterone at admission was 438 [203] ng/dl (range, 44–816 ng/dl); 55 patients (50%) had testosterone <440 ng/dl and were considered as low testosterone. The median follow-up was 23 months. During the period, 12 recurrences and 10 deaths occurred. The 1-year and 3-year cumulative recurrence rate were 8.3% and 11.9%, respectively; the 1-year and 3-year overall survival were 96.3% and 84.6%, respectively. The cumulative recurrence rates were similar between the two testosterone groups (log-rank test, p = .88). Low testosterone was associated with poor survival with marginal significance (log-rank test, p = .079). Men with low testosterone had a higher percentage of previous stroke (29.1% versus 12.7%, p = .035). The mean lengths of hospital stay were similar between the two testosterone groups (16.6 ± 15.8 days versus 14.0 ± 10.6, p = .31). Total testosterone at admission fails to predict stroke recurrence. However, men with low testosterone at admission are more likely to have previous stroke and may have a higher all-cause mortality rate after AIS.

Rate and associated factors of transient ischemic attack misdiagnosis

Background and purpose

The goal of this study was to investigate the rate and associated factors of Transient Ischemic Attack (TIA) misdiagnosis.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed consecutive patients with an initial diagnosis of TIA in the emergency department (ED) in a 9-month period. All hospitalized TIA patients were evaluated by a neurologist within 24 h and had at least one hospital discharge follow-up visit within three months. Patients' clinical data and neuroimaging were reviewed. The final diagnosis was independently verified by two stroke neurologists.

Results

Out of 276 patients with the initial diagnosis of TIA, 254 patients (mean age 68.7 ± 15.4 years, 40.9% male, 25.2% final diagnosis of TIA) were included in the analysis. Twenty-four patients (9.4%) were referred to our rapid-access TIA clinic. The rate of TIA misdiagnosis among TIA clinic referred patients was 45.8%. Among the 230 patients in inpatient setting, the rate of TIA misdiagnosis was 60.0%. A hospital discharge diagnosis of TIA was observed in 54.3% of hospitalized patients; however, only 24.8% had the final diagnosis of TIA. Among hospitalized patients, the univariate analysis suggests a significant difference (P < .05) between the two groups (correctly versus misdiagnosed patients) in terms of hospital discharge diagnosis, final diagnosis, history of diabetes mellitus, and coronary artery disease. In regression model hospital discharge diagnosis (P < .001), final diagnosis (P < .001), and diabetes mellitus (P = .018) retained independent association with TIA misdiagnosis.

Conclusion

Our study indicates a high rate of TIA misdiagnosis in the emergency department, hospital, and outpatient clinics.

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We observed a high rate of TIA misdiagnosis in the ED, hospital, and outpatient clinics.

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We did not observe any differences between correctly diagnosed and misdiagnosed TIAs in terms of ED presenting symptoms.

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Small number of hospitalized TIA patients required an intervention or had a diagnosis that could justify hospitalization.

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A rapid-access TIA clinic can relocate the care for low/medium-risk TIA patients from inpatient to outpatient setting.

Identifying factors associated with sedentary time after stroke. Secondary analysis of pooled data from nine primary studies

Background: High levels of sedentary time increases the risk of cardiovascular disease, including recurrent stroke. Objective: This study aimed to identify factors associated with high sedentary time in community-dwelling people with stroke. Methods: For this data pooling study, authors of published and ongoing trials that collected sedentary time data, using the activPAL monitor, in community-dwelling people with stroke were invited to contribute their raw data. The data was reprocessed, algorithms were created to identify sleep-wake time and determine the percentage of waking hours spent sedentary. We explored demographic and stroke-related factors associated with total sedentary time and time in uninterrupted sedentary bouts using unique, both univariable and multivariable, regression analyses. Results: The 274 included participants were from Australia, Canada, and the United Kingdom, and spent, on average, 69% (SD 12.4) of their waking hours sedentary. Of the demographic and stroke-related factors, slower walking speeds were significantly and independently associated with a higher percentage of waking hours spent sedentary (p = 0.001) and uninterrupted sedentary bouts of >30 and >60 min (p = 0.001 and p = 0.004, respectively). Regression models explained 11-19% of the variance in total sedentary time and time in prolonged sedentary bouts. Conclusion: We found that variability in sedentary time of people with stroke was largely unaccounted for by demographic and stroke-related variables. Behavioral and environmental factors are likely to play an important role in sedentary behavior after stroke. Further work is required to develop and test effective interventions to address sedentary behavior after stroke.

Toward neuroimaging-based network biomarkers for transient ischemic attack

Stroke is associated with topological disruptions of large-scale functional brain networks. However, whether these disruptions occur in transient ischemic attack (TIA), an important risk factor for stroke, remains largely unknown. Combining multimodal MRI techniques, we systematically examined TIA-related topological alterations of functional brain networks, and tested their reproducibility, structural, and metabolic substrates, associations with clinical risk factors and abilities as diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers. We found that functional networks in patients with TIA exhibited decreased whole-brain network efficiency, reduced nodal centralities in the bilateral insula and basal ganglia, and impaired connectivity of inter-hemispheric communication. These alterations remained largely unchanged when using different brain parcellation schemes or correcting for micro head motion or for regional gray matter volume, cerebral blood flow or hemodynamic lag of BOLD signals in the patients. Moreover, some alterations correlated with the levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (an index related to ischemic attacks via modulation of atherosclerosis) in the patients, distinguished the patients from healthy individuals, and predicted future ischemic attacks in the patients. Collectively, these findings highlight the emergence of characteristic network dysfunctions in TIA, which may aid in elucidating pathological mechanisms and establishing diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers for the disease.

Long-Term Stroke Recurrence after Transient Ischemic Attack: Implications of Etiology

Background and Purpose

To analyze long-term stroke recurrence (SR) characteristics after transient ischemic attack (TIA) according to initial etiological classification.

Methods

A prospective cohort of 706 TIA patients was followed up in a single tertiary stroke center. Endpoint was SR. Etiologic subgroup was determined according to the evidence-based causative classification system. Location of TIA and SR was recorded as right, left, or posterior territory. Disability stroke recurrence (DSR) was defined as modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score >1 or a onepoint increase in those with previous mRS >1 at 3-month follow-up.

Results

During a follow-up of 3,493 patient-years (mean follow-up of 58.9±35.9 months), total SR was 125 (17.7%), corresponding to 3.6 recurrences per 100 patient-years. The etiology subgroups with a higher risk of SR were the unclassified (more than one cause) and large-artery atherosclerosis (LAA) categories. Of the SR cases, 88 (70.4%) had the same etiology as the index TIA; again, LAA etiology was the most frequent (83.9%). Notably, cardioaortic embolism was the most frequent cause (62.5%) of SR in the subgroup of 24 patients with undetermined TIA. Overall, SR occurred in the same territory in 74 of 125 patients (59.2%), with significant differences between etiological TIA subgroups (P=0.015). Eighty-two of 125 (65.6%) with SR had DSR, without differences between etiologies (P=0.453).

Conclusions

SR occurred mainly with the same etiology and location as initial TIA, although undetermined TIA was associated with a high proportion of cardioaortic embolism SR. More than half of the recurrences caused some disability, regardless of etiology.

Triple versus guideline antiplatelet therapy to prevent recurrence after acute ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack: the TARDIS RCT

BACKGROUND

Two antiplatelet agents are better than one for preventing recurrent stroke after acute ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack (TIA). Therefore, intensive treatment with three agents might be better still, providing it does not cause undue bleeding.

OBJECTIVE

To compare the safety and efficacy of intensive therapy with guideline antiplatelet therapy for acute ischaemic stroke and TIA.

DESIGN

International prospective randomised open-label blinded end-point parallel-group superiority clinical trial.

SETTING

Acute hospitals at 106 sites in four countries.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients > 50 years of age with acute non-cardioembolic ischaemic stroke or TIA within 48 hours of ictus (stroke).

INTERVENTIONS

Participants were allocated at random by computer to 1 month of intensive (combined aspirin, clopidogrel and dipyridamole) or guideline (combined aspirin and dipyridamole, or clopidogrel alone) antiplatelet agents, and followed for 90 days.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was the incidence and severity of any recurrent stroke (ischaemic, haemorrhagic; assessed using the modified Rankin Scale) or TIA within 90 days by blinded telephone follow-up. Analysis using ordinal logistic regression was by intention to treat. Other outcomes included bleeding and its severity, death, myocardial infarction (MI), disability, mood, cognition and quality of life.

RESULTS

The trial was stopped early on the recommendation of the Data Monitoring Committee after recruitment of 3096 participants (intensive, n = 1556; guideline, n = 1540) from 106 hospitals in four countries between April 2009 and March 2016. The incidence and severity of recurrent stroke or TIA did not differ between intensive and guideline therapy in 3070 (99.2%) participants with data [93 vs. 105 stroke/TIA events; adjusted common odds ratio 0.90, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.67 to 1.20; p = 0.47]. Major (encompassing fatal) bleeding was increased with intensive as compared with guideline therapy [39 vs. 17 participants; adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 2.23, 95% CI 1.25 to 3.96; p = 0.006]. There were no differences between the treatment groups in all-cause mortality, or the composite of death, stroke, MI and major bleeding (aHR 1.02, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.35; p = 0.88).

LIMITATIONS

Patients and investigators were not blinded to treatment. The comparator group comprised two guideline strategies because of changes in national guidelines during the trial. The trial was stopped early, thereby reducing its statistical power.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of three antiplatelet agents is associated with increased bleeding without any significant reduction in recurrence of stroke or TIA.

FUTURE WORK

The safety and efficacy of dual antiplatelet therapy (combined aspirin and clopidogrel) versus aspirin remains to be defined. Further research is required on identifying individual patient response to antiplatelets, and the relationship between response and the subsequent risks of vascular recurrent events and bleeding complications.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN47823388.

FUNDING

This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 22, No. 48. See the NIHR Journal Library website for further project information. The Triple Antiplatelets for Reducing Dependency after Ischaemic Stroke (TARDIS) vanguard phase was funded by the British Heart Foundation (grant PG/08/083/25779, from 1 April 2009 to 30 September 2012) and indirect funding was provided by the Stroke Association through its funding of the Stroke Trials Unit, Division of Clinical Neuroscience, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK. There was no commercial support for the trial and antiplatelet drugs were sourced locally at each site. The trial was sponsored by the University of Nottingham.

Assessment of cerebral infarction after transient cerebral ischemic attack by ABCD2 score combined with the position of intracranial vascular stenosis

This study aims to investigate the value of the ABCD score combined with the position of the offending vessel stenosis in predicting the risk of transient ischemic attack (TIA) to develop into cerebral infarction.The ABCD score and head magnetic resonance imaging + magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) results of 192 patients with TIA were retrospectively analyzed. With the 7th day as the endpoint time, these patients were divided into 3 groups, according to ABCD scores: low-risk group (n = 105), moderate-risk group (n = 60), and high-risk group (n = 27). Blood vessels were screened using head MRA results, and patients were accordingly divided into 2 groups: proximal vascular stenosis group (n = 71) and nonproximal vascular stenosis group (n = 171). Then, the association of the position of the intracranial vascular stenosis and ABCD score with short-term prognosis was analyzed.Based on the ABCD score, the incidence of cerebral infarction after 1 week was significantly higher in the high-risk group (85.7%) than in the moderate-risk group (16.7%) and low-risk group (1.9%), and the differences were statistically significant (P < .05). When the ABCD score was ≥4 points, the incidence of cerebral infarction after 1 week was significantly higher in the proximal vascular stenosis group (59.1%) than in the nonproximal vascular stenosis group (30.8%), and the difference was statistically significant (P < .05). When the ABCD score was <4 points, the incidence of cerebral infarction after 1 week in the proximal stenosis group (2%) was not significantly different from that in the nonproximal stenosis group (1.9%, P > .05).The ABCD score combined with proximal offending vessel stenosis can improve the short-term prediction of cerebral infarction in patients with TIA.

Six-Month Outcome of Transient Ischemic Attack and Its Mimics

Background and Objective: Although the risk of recurrent cerebral ischemia is higher after a transient ischemic attack (TIA), there is limited data on the outcome of TIA mimics. The goal of this study is to compare the 6-month outcome of patients with negative and positive diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) TIAs (DWI-neg TIA vs. DWI-pos TIA) and also TIA mimics. Methods: We prospectively studied consecutive patients with an initial diagnosis of TIA in our tertiary stroke centers in a 2-year period. Every included patient had an initial magnetic resonance (MR) with DWI and one-, three-, and six-month follow-up visits. The primary outcome was defined as the composition of intracerebral hemorrhage, ischemic stroke, TIA, coronary artery disease, and death. Results: Out of 269 patients with the initial diagnosis of TIA, 259 patients (mean age 70.5 ± 15.0 [30-100] years old, 56.8% men) were included in the final analysis. Twenty-one (8.1%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.1-12.1%) patients had a composite outcome event within the six-month follow-up. Five (23.8%) and 13 (61.9%) composite outcome events occurred in the first 30 and 90 days, respectively. Among patients with DWI-neg TIA, the one- and six-month ischemic stroke rate was 1.5 and 4.6%, respectively. The incidence proportion of composite outcome event was significantly higher among patients who had the diagnosis of DWI-neg TIA compared with those who had the diagnosis of TIA mimics (12.2 vs. 2.1%-relative risk 5.9; 95% CI, 1.4-25.2). In our univariable analysis among patients with DWI-neg TIA and DWI-pos TIA, age (P = 0.017) was the only factor that was significantly associated with the occurrence of the composite outcome. Conclusion: Our study indicated that the overall six-month rate of the composite outcome among patients DWI-neg TIA, DWI-pos TIA, and TIA mimics were 12.2, 9.7, and 2.1%, respectively. Age was the only factor that was significantly associated with the occurrence of the composite outcome.

Small vessel occlusion is a high-risk etiology for early recurrent stroke after transient ischemic attack

Background

Recent prospective registration studies of transient ischemic attack in Western countries demonstrated that large artery atherosclerosis is the highest risk etiology for early stroke recurrence under urgent evaluation and treatment. On the other hand, some limited transient ischemic attack studies from East Asian countries showed transient ischemic attack patients due to small vessel occlusion were at a higher early stroke risk.

Aims

We aimed to assess the risk for early stroke in small vessel occlusion-transient ischemic attack patients in a Japanese large transient ischemic attack registry.

Methods

We analyzed the data of a prospective Japanese transient ischemic attack registry including 1320 transient ischemic attack patients within seven days after onset. Small vessel occlusion-transient ischemic attack was defined as the presence of lacunar transient ischemic attack syndrome, without other etiologies. The outcome measure was recurrent stroke within 30 days after transient ischemic attack. The predictors of 30-day recurrent stroke were estimated using the Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

The study population had a mean age of 69 ± 12 years and 470 were women. Recurrent stroke was observed in 61 patients (4.6%), and the highest rate was observed with small vessel occlusion-transient ischemic attack (7.8%), followed by large artery atherosclerosis (5.4%). In multivariate analysis, recurrent stroke was independently associated with small vessel occlusion-transient ischemic attack (hazard ratio (HR): 2.01, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19–3.35), higher systolic blood pressure (HR: 1.18, 95% CI: 1.08–1.28), and presentation within 3 h after onset (HR: 2.21, 95% CI: 1.27–4.04). Furthermore, small vessel occlusion-transient ischemic attack with acute small deep infarct on diffusion-weighted imaging was a stronger predictor of recurrent stroke (HR: 4.87, 95% CI: 2.09–10.0).

Conclusion

Small vessel occlusion-transient ischemic attack, especially with acute small deep infarct, had a higher early stroke risk compared with other etiologies in Japanese transient ischemic attack patients who received early management.

The views of public and clinician stakeholders on risk assessment tools for post-stroke dementia: a qualitative study

OBJECTIVE

Stroke-survivors are at increased risk of future dementia. Assessment to identify those at high risk of developing a disease using predictive scores has been utilised in different areas of medicine. A number of risk assessment scores for dementia have been developed but none has been recommended for use clinically. The aim of this qualitative study was to assess the acceptability and feasibility of using a risk assessment tool to predict post-stroke dementia.

DESIGN

Qualitative semi-structured interviews were conducted and analysed thematically. The patients and carers were offered interviews at around 6 (baseline) and 12 (follow-up) months post-stroke; clinicians were interviewed once.

SETTING

The study was conducted in the North-East of England with stroke patients, family carers and healthcare professionals in primary and secondary care.

PARTICIPANTS

Thirty-nine interviews were conducted (17 clinicians and 15 stroke patients and their carers at baseline. Twelve stroke patients and their carers were interviewed at follow-up, some interviews were conducted in pairs).

RESULTS

Barriers and facilitators to risk assessment were discussed. For the patients and carers the focus for facilitators were based on the outcomes of risk assessment for example assistance with preparation, diagnosis and for reassurance. For clinicians, facilitators were focused on the process that is, familiarity in primary care, resource availability in secondary care and collaborative care. For barriers, both groups focused on the outcome including for example, the anxiety generated from a potential diagnosis of dementia. For the patients/carers a further barrier included concerns about how it may affect their recovery. For clinicians there were concerns about limited interventions and how it would be different from standard care.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk assessment for dementia post-stroke presents challenges given the ramifications of a potential diagnosis of dementia. Attention needs to be given to how information is communicated and strategies developed to support the patients and carers if risk assessment is used.

Early Identification of High-Risk TIA or Minor Stroke Using Artificial Neural Network

Background and Purpose: The risk of recurrent stroke following a transient ischemic attack (TIA) or minor stroke is high, despite of a significant reduction in the past decade. In this study, we investigated the feasibility of using artificial neural network (ANN) for risk stratification of TIA or minor stroke patients.

Methods: Consecutive patients with acute TIA or minor ischemic stroke presenting at a tertiary hospital during a 2-year period were recruited. We collected demographics, clinical and imaging data at baseline. The primary outcome was recurrent ischemic stroke within 1 year. We developed ANN models to predict the primary outcome. We randomly down-sampled patients without a primary outcome to 1:1 match with those with a primary outcome to mitigate data imbalance. We used a 5-fold cross-validation approach to train and test the ANN models to avoid overfitting. We employed 19 independent variables at baseline as the input neurons in the ANN models, using a learning algorithm based on backpropagation to minimize the loss function. We obtained the sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and the c statistic of each ANN model from the 5 rounds of cross-validation and compared that of support vector machine (SVM) and Naïve Bayes classifier in risk stratification of the patients.

Results: A total of 451 acute TIA or minor stroke patients were enrolled. Forty (8.9%) patients had a recurrent ischemic stroke within 1 year. Another 40 patients were randomly selected from those with no recurrent stroke, so that data from 80 patients in total were used for 5 rounds of training and testing of ANN models. The median sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and c statistic of the ANN models to predict recurrent stroke at 1 year was 75%, 75%, 75%, and 0.77, respectively. ANN model outperformed SVM and Naïve Bayes classifier in our dataset for predicting relapse after TIA or minor stroke.

Conclusion: This pilot study indicated that ANN may yield a novel and effective method in risk stratification of TIA and minor stroke. Further studies are warranted for verification and improvement of the current ANN model.

Early risk assessment of circulating endothelial progenitor cells and plasma stromal cell-derived factor-1 for nondisabling ischemic cerebrovascular events

Background

Endothelial progenitor cells (EPCs) play an important role in ischemic stroke. However, there are few studies on the relationship between EPC and nondisabling ischemic cerebrovascular events. Our aim was to investigate the association of EPCs and SDF-1 (serum stromal cell-derived factor-1) with NICE (nondisabling ischemic cerebrovascular events).

Methods

TIA (transient ischemic attack) and minor stroke patients (153 in total) who had an onset of symptoms within 1 day were consecutively collected. 83 of the patients were categorized into the HR-NICE (high-risk nondisabling ischemic cerebrovascular event) group, and 70 of the patients were in the NHR-NICE (non-high-risk nondisabling ischemic cerebrovascular events) group. Adopted FCM (flow cytometry) was used to measure EPCs, taking double-positive CD34/KDR as EPCs. ELISA was used to measure the concentrations of serum SDF-1 and VEGF (vascular endothelial growth factor). By the sequence of admission time, 15 patients were selected separately from the HR-NICE group and NHR-NICE group, and another 15 healthy volunteers were chosen as the NC (Normal Control) group. The MTT method was used to measure the proliferation of EPCs of peripheral blood in all groups, and the Boyden chamber was used to measure the migration of EPCs.

Results

Compared with the NHR-NICE group, the HR-NICE group was older and contained more patients with hypertension and diabetes. Triglyceride, total cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein in the HR-NICE group were also higher. For factors such as smoking, BMI (body mass index), and HCY (homocysteine), there were no significant differences (P > 0.05). Circulating EPCs, SDF-1, and VEGF in the NHR-NICE group were all higher. According to the multifactor regression analysis, age, hypertension, diabetes, total cholesterol, EPCs, and SDF-1 are independent risk factors for HR-NICE. For EPCs of 48-h isolated cultures, proliferation and migration were observed to be weakened compared with those of the NC group (P < 0.05). EPCs in HR-NICE group had lower proliferation and migration than those in NHR-NICE group (P < 0.01).

Conclusions

For TIA and minor stroke patients, circulating EPCs and serum SDF-1 concentrations can be used to prognose HR-NICE. Factors that lead to high-risk NICE might be relevant to the decrease in proliferation and migration of circulating EPCs.

The Local Brain Abnormalities in Patients With Transient Ischemic Attack: A Resting-State fMRI Study

Background: Transient ischemic attack (TIA) is an important risk factor for stroke. Despite the transient episodes of clinical symptoms, brain alterations are still observed in patients with TIA. However, the functional mechanism of transient ischemia is still unclear. Here, we employed resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rs-fMRI) to explore the functional abnormalities in patients with TIA.

Methods: 48 TIA patients and 41 age- and sex-matched healthy controls (HCs) were enrolled in the study. For each participant, we collected rs-fMRI data and clinical/physiological/biochemical data. Amplitude of low frequency fluctuation (ALFF), regional homogeneity (ReHo), and degree centrality (DC) were then calculated. Two sample t-tests were performed to compare the ALFF, ReHo, and DC maps between the two groups. Furthermore, a correlation analysis was performed to explore the relationship between local brain abnormalities and clinical/physiological/biochemical characteristics tests in TIA patients.

Results: Compared with the HCs, the TIA patients exhibited decreased ALFF in the left middle temporal gyrus, decreased DC in the triangular part of right inferior frontal gyrus, and no significant statistical difference in ReHo. No correlation was found between local abnormalities and clinical/physiological/biochemical scores in the patients with TIA.

Conclusion: Collectively, we found decreased ALFF and DC in patients with TIA which provide evidence for local brain dysfunctions and may help to understand the pathological mechanism for the disease.

The International comparison of Systems of care and patient outcomes In minor Stroke and Tia (InSIST) study: A community-based cohort study

RATIONALE

Rapid response by health-care systems for transient ischemic attack and minor stroke (TIA/mS) is recommended to maximize the impact of secondary prevention strategies. The applicability of this evidence to Australian non-hospital-based TIA/mS management is uncertain.

AIMS

Within an Australian community setting we seek to document processes of care, establish determinants of access to care, establish attack rates and determinants of recurrent vascular events and other clinical outcomes, establish the performance of ABC2-risk stratification, and compare the processes of care and outcomes to those in the UK and New Zealand for TIA/mS.

SAMPLE SIZE ESTIMATES

Recruiting practices containing approximately 51 full-time-equivalent general practitioners to recruit 100 TIA/mS per year over a four-year study period will provide sufficient power for each of our outcomes.

METHODS AND DESIGN

An inception cohort study of patients with possible TIA/mS recruited from 16 general practices in the Newcastle-Hunter Valley-Manning Valley region of Australia. Potential TIA/mS will be ascertained by multiple overlapping methods at general practices, after-hours collaborative, and hospital in-patient and outpatient services. Participants' index and subsequent clinical events will be adjudicated as TIA/mS or mimics by an expert panel.

STUDY OUTCOMES

Process outcomes-whether the patient was referred for secondary care; time from event to first patient presentation to a health professional; time from event to specialist acute-access clinic appointment; time from event to brain and vascular imaging and relevant prescriptions. Clinical outcomes-recurrent stroke and major vascular events; and health-related quality of life.

DISCUSSION

Community management of TIA/mS will be informed by this study.

Stroke risk after transient ischemic attack in a Norwegian prospective cohort

BACKGROUND

Transient ischemic attack (TIA) is a risk factor of stroke. Modern treatment regimens and changing risk factors in the population justify new estimates of stroke risk after TIA, and evaluation of the recommended ABCD² stroke risk score.

METHODS

From October, 2012, to July, 2014, we performed a prospective, multicenter study in Central Norway, enrolling patients with a TIA within the previous 2 weeks. Our aim was to assess stroke risk at 1 week, 3 months and 1 year after TIA, and to determine the predictive value of the dichotomized ABCD² score (0-3 vs 4-7) at each time point. We used data obtained by telephone follow-up and registry data from the Norwegian Stroke Register.

RESULTS

Five hundred and seventy-seven patients with TIA were enrolled of which 85% were examined by a stroke specialist within 24 h after symptom onset. The cumulative incidence of stroke within 1 week, 3 months and 1 year of TIA was 0.9% (95% CI, 0.37-2.0), 3.3% (95% CI, 2.1-5.1) and 5.4% (95% CI, 3.9-7.6), respectively. The accuracy of the ABCD² score provided by c-statistics at 7 days, 3 months and 1 year was 0.62 (95% CI, 0.39-0.85), 0.62 (95% CI, 0.51-0.74) and 0.64 (95% CI, 0.54-0.75), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a lower stroke risk after TIA than reported in earlier studies. The ABCD² score did not reliably discriminate between low and high risk patients, suggesting that it may be less useful in populations with a low risk of stroke after TIA.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Unique identifier: NCT02038725 (retrospectively registered, January 16, 2014).

Predictive Value of A2HD Scoring for Transient Symptoms Associated with Infarction

Background

Effective early management of cerebral infarction patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA) is undermined by an inability to predict who is at highest risk of stroke.

Material/Methods

A total of 577 TIA patients with symptoms lasting no more than 1 hour were prospectively investigated and divided into a TIA group and a transient symptoms associated with infarction (TSI) group based on diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging findings after hospital admission. The baseline characteristics, symptoms of TIA, features of disease onset, and findings from clinical examinations were compared between the 2 groups. Factors related to TSI were further analyzed.

Results

Of 577 TIA patients, 127 patients were in the TSI group and 450 were in the TIA group. Anterior circulation events, hemiplegia, aphasia, multiple seizures, maximal duration, atrial fibrillation, and hypointense plaques were included as risk factors for stroke in a model of multivariate analysis, and results showed that hemiplegia, aphasia, multiple seizures, and atrial fibrillation were independent risk factors for TSI. In the final mode, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.766 (95% confidence interval: 0.729–0.800). According to the A2HD score and odds ratio, hemiplegia (score 2), aphasia (score 2), multiple seizures (score 2), and atrial fibrillation (score 1) were scored, and any increment in the score increased the risk for cerebral infarction by 1.893-fold (95% confidence interval: 1.643–2.181).

Conclusions

Risk of TSI seems to be highly predictable. The A2HD score can be used in clinical practice to identify high-risk cerebral infarction patients with TIA who need emergency diagnosis and treatment.

PCSK9 inhibitors: Add-on therapy to reduce stroke risk

PCSK9 inhibitors.

Dual antiplatelet therapy with aspirin and clopidogrel for acute high risk transient ischaemic attack and minor ischaemic stroke: a clinical practice guideline

WHAT IS THE ROLE OF DUAL ANTIPLATELET THERAPY AFTER HIGH RISK TRANSIENT ISCHAEMIC ATTACK OR MINOR STROKE? SPECIFICALLY, DOES DUAL ANTIPLATELET THERAPY WITH A COMBINATION OF ASPIRIN AND CLOPIDOGREL LEAD TO A GREATER REDUCTION IN RECURRENT STROKE AND DEATH OVER THE USE OF ASPIRIN ALONE WHEN GIVEN IN THE FIRST 24 HOURS AFTER A HIGH RISK TRANSIENT ISCHAEMIC ATTACK OR MINOR ISCHAEMIC STROKE? AN EXPERT PANEL PRODUCED A STRONG RECOMMENDATION FOR INITIATING DUAL ANTIPLATELET THERAPY WITHIN 24 HOURS OF THE ONSET OF SYMPTOMS, AND FOR CONTINUING IT FOR 10-21 DAYS CURRENT PRACTICE IS TYPICALLY TO USE A SINGLE DRUG.

Dual antiplatelet therapy reduced stroke risk in high-risk patients with transient ischaemic attack assessed by ABCD3-I score

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Several clinical trials have demonstrated that dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) benefited patients with transient ischaemic attack (TIA) with an ABCD2 score ≥4. The present study aimed to investigate whether the ABCD3-I score could be a more appropriate tool for selection of patients with TIA to receive DAPT in real-world settings.

METHODS

We derived data from the TIA database of The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University. The predictive outcome was ischaemic stroke at 90 days. The additive interaction effect was presented by the attributable proportion due to interaction. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted to present cumulative stroke rates in different risk categories with monotherapy and DAPT. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to determine risk factors associated with stroke.

RESULTS

Among 785 patients, the mean (SD) age was 56.95 (12.73) years and 77 patients (9.8%) had an ischaemic stroke at 90 days. A total of 55.8% of patients (attributable proportion due to interaction; 95% confidence interval, 20.8%-90.9%) were attributed to additive interaction of ABCD3-I score and antiplatelet therapy. Kaplan-Meier curves showed a significant difference between patients receiving monotherapy and DAPT in high-risk patients with TIA (P = 0.021). DAPT reduced 90-day stroke risk in high-risk patients with TIA as assessed independently by ABCD3-I score (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.43; 95% confidence interval, 0.20-0.92, P = 0.031). The benefit did not exist in low- and medium-risk patients by ABCD3-I score (patients with ABCD2 score ≥ 4 or <4).

CONCLUSIONS

High-risk patients with TIA assessed by ABCD3-I score received the most pronounced clinical benefit from early use of DAPT in real-world clinical experience.

Predictive Value of Head-Neck CTA Combined with ABCD2 Scale Score for Patients with Cerebral Infarction of Vertebrobasilar Transient Ischemic Attack (TIA)

Background

The present study was designed to evaluate the predictive value of head-neck computed tomography angiography (CTA) combined with ABCD2 score scale for patients with cerebral infarction of vertebrobasilar transient ischemic attack (TIA).

Material/Methods

A total of 92 patients with TIA who were admitted to our hospital from January 2014 to June 2015 were enrolled in this study. ABCD2 score and CTA combined with ABCD2 score were assessed.

Results

The incidence of cerebral infarction was highest in the high-risk group, followed by the middle-risk group and low-risk group. The incidence of cerebral infarction was related to the degree of stenosis in head-neck CTA, which was highest in the severe stenosis group, followed by the moderate stenosis group and mild stenosis/normal group, with significant differences. The incidence of cerebral infarction in patients with cerebral artery stenosis was correlated with the incidence of cerebral infarction in the head and neck CTA, which was severe > medium > normal/low (P<0.05).

Conclusions

The ABCD2 score can accurately predict the early development from TIA to cerebral infarction. If it is used in combination with head-neck CTA; CTA combined ABCD2 score can further improve the accuracy of prediction, which makes it feasible for use in prediction of the development of vertebrobasilar TIA to cerebral infarction.

How do neurologists diagnose transient ischemic attack: A systematic review

Background

Identifying and treating patients with transient ischemic attack is an effective means of preventing stroke. However, making this diagnosis can be challenging, and over a third of patients referred to stroke prevention clinic are ultimately found to have alternate diagnoses.

Aims

We performed a systematic review to determine how neurologists diagnose transient ischemic attack.

Summary of review

A systematic literature search was performed according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines using MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Library databases. Publications eligible for inclusion were those that included information on the demographic or clinical features neurologists use to diagnose transient ischemic attacks or transient ischemic attack–mimics. Of 1666 citations, 210 abstracts were selected for full-text screening and 80 publications were ultimately deemed eligible for inclusion. Neurologists were more likely to diagnose transient ischemic attack based on clinical features including negative symptoms or speech deficits. Patients with positive symptoms, altered level of consciousness, or the presence of nonfocal symptoms such as confusion or amnesia were more likely to be diagnosed with transient ischemic attack–mimic. Neurologists commonly include mode of onset (i.e. sudden versus gradual), recurrence of attacks, and localizability of symptoms to a distinct vascular territory in the diagnostic decision-making process. Transient ischemic attack diagnosis was more commonly associated with advanced age, preexisting hypertension, atrial fibrillation, and other vascular risk factors.

Conclusions

Neurologists rely on certain clinical and demographic features to distinguish transient ischemic attacks from mimics, which are not currently reflected in widely used risk scores. Clarifying how neurologists diagnose transient ischemic attack may help frontline clinicians to better select patients for referral to stroke prevention clinics.

Stroke Risk and Risk Factors in Patients With Central Retinal Artery Occlusion

PURPOSE

Central retinal artery occlusion (CRAO) is mechanistically similar to a stroke. Current guidelines recommend a standardized and systematic evaluation of risk factors for patients who have had a stroke. This study evaluates the yield of this evaluation in patients with CRAO and frequency of stroke in this population.

DESIGN

Cohort study.

METHODS

We evaluated the diagnostic yield of an expedited inpatient evaluation of cerebrovascular risk factors in a cohort of patients presenting with an acute CRAO within the period from 2009 to 2017 at an academic hospital. Vital signs and laboratory parameters, including low-density lipoprotein level, hemoglobin A1c fraction, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, C-reactive protein level, platelet count, and troponin level, were collected. Echocardiography, cardiac telemetry, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and cerebrovascular imaging were obtained to screen for strokes and vascular risk factors. All new diagnoses and clinical treatments stemming from the inpatient evaluation were documented. Outcomes included the frequency of stroke on MRI, hypertensive emergency, critical carotid disease, or critical cardiac disease, including high-grade valvular lesions, new myocardial infarction, or arrhythmias. We documented the frequency of a change in medication, acute surgical intervention, or new diagnosis of systemic disease as a result of the inpatient evaluation. Finally, we evaluated the rate of symptomatic stroke, myocardial infarct, and death risk in the 24 months after CRAO.

RESULTS

In this cohort of 103 patients with CRAO and systematic risk factor screening, 36.7% of patients had critical carotid disease, 37.3% had coincident acute stroke, 33.0% presented with hypertensive emergency, 20.0% had a myocardial infarction or critical structural cardiac disease, 25% underwent an urgent surgical intervention, and 93% had a change in medication as a result of the inpatient evaluation. Patients with CRAO had similar risk of subsequent stroke, myocardial infarction, and death as patients with high-risk transient ischemic attack.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with CRAO are at significant risk of future cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events and often have undiagnosed risk factors that may be modifiable.

Non-invasive evaluation of cerebral perfusion in patients with transient ischemic attack: an fMRI study

Detection of hypoperfused tissue due to the ischemia is considered to be important in understanding the cerebral perfusion status and may be helpful in guiding therapeutic decisions for patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA). We hypothesized that the combination of two non-invasive fMRI techniques: resting-state BOLD-fMRI time-shift analysis (TSA) approach and 3D ASL, could detect the cerebral hemodynamic status in TIA patients noninvasively. From April 2015 to June 2016, 51 TIA patients were recruited in this study. We calculated the time delay between the resting-state BOLD signal at each voxel and the whole-brain signal using TSA approach and compared the results to CBF map derived from ASL. Out of the 51 patients, 24 patients with normal arrival time and CBF were in Stage 0; 14 patients who showed delayed arrival time and normal CBF which indicated elevated CBV were in Stage I; the other 13 patients who had both delayed arrival time and decreased CBF were in Stage II, the group average spatial overlap, i.e., Dice coefficient, of the two measurements was 0.55. Four patients in Stage 0 (17.4%), three patients in Stage I (23.1%) and five patients in Stage II (45.5%) suffered ischemic stroke or TIA symptoms in 1 year after MRI scan. The patients in Stage II was at highest risk of subsequent events when compared to other two stages. The combination of resting-state BOLD-fMRI and ASL hold the potential to noninvasively identify the hemodynamic status in TIA patients and help predict the risk of subsequent events.

Predicting Long-Term Cardiovascular Events after Transient Ischemic Attacks: Carotid Artery Intima-Media Thickness or ABCD2 Score or Both?

Background

Patients who experienced transient ischemic attack (TIA) are at high-risk for cardiovascular events. This study aims to evaluate diagnostic value of carotid artery intima-media thickness (CIMT) and ABCD2 score for predicting cardiovascular events in long-term follow-up after TIA. We prospectively included sixty patients with TIA who admitted to hospital from March 2016 to August 2016.

Methods

Duplex ultrasonography of internal carotid arteries was performed. ABCD2 scores were evaluated for each patient. At a median follow-up of 20 months, patients were asked about new cardiovascular events. We used IBM SPSS software version 22.0 with Chi-squared, t-test, ANOVA, receiver operating characteristic, and area under the curve (AUC) analysis for our work.

Results

Sensitivity and negative predictive value of the combined score (ABCD2+CIMT) was the highest (96.3% and 90.9%, respectively), and the specificity and positive predictive value of the CIMT were the highest (57.5% and 63.1%, respectively) to predict cardiovascular events in long-term.

Conclusion

Compared to ABCD2 score, CIMT proved to be more accurate to predict cardiovascular events in long-term follow-ups (AUC = 0.736 vs. AUC = 0.640). However, adding CIMT value to ABCD2 score was even better (AUC = 0.750). Therefore, CIMT measurement in the ABCD2 score after TIA enables prediction of long-term cardiovascular events.

ED Referral Dramatically Reduces Delays of Initial Evaluation in a French TIA Clinic

Background: The risk of recurrent brain infarction (BI) is high within the first hours after a transient ischemic attack (TIA). Emergent, specialized, and tailored patient management in a TIA program reduces the risk of recurrent BI after TIA by 80%. New antithrombotic strategies have been successfully tested within 12 h after TIA onset. We aim to investigate the factors associated with a delay of more than 12 h from TIA onset to evaluation in our TIA clinic.

Methods: In consecutive patients evaluated in our TIA clinic from 01/2012 to 11/2013, we prospectively collected delays from onset to arrival, baseline characteristics, discharge diagnosis and recurrent BI at 1 week. Referring pathways were dichotomized between office-based physicians (OBP) and emergency departments (ED). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were performed.

Results: 354 patients were evaluated. Mean (+/– SD) age was 61 years (+/−18). Median (IQR) ABCD2 score was 3 (2–4). Median (IQR) delay from onset to evaluation was 8 h (4–48). Overall, 185 (52%) were referred by OBP vs. 169 (48%) by ED. Evaluation was initiated within 12 h among 201 (57%) patients. After logistic regression, OBP referral was by comparison with ED the only independent factor associated with an evaluation delay >12 h (OR 5.7, 95% CI: 3.5–9.3, p < 0.0001).

Conclusion: Our results suggest that preliminary assessment by OBP may increase the delay to initiate the emergent evaluation of TIA patients. Promoting direct admission to TIA clinics through ED may be an efficient alternative for high risk TIAs.

Pragmatic trial of multifaceted intervention (STROKE-CARD care) to reduce cardiovascular risk and improve quality-of-life after ischaemic stroke and transient ischaemic attack -study protocol

BACKGROUND

Patients with ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack (TIA) are at high risk of future cardiovascular events. Despite compelling evidence about the efficacy of secondary prevention, a substantial gap exists between risk factor management in real life and that recommended by international guidelines. Moreover, stroke is a leading cause of disability and morbidity which partly emerges from post-stroke complications.

METHODS/DESIGN

We designed a block-randomised (2:1 ratio) open pragmatic trial [NCT02156778] with blinded outcome assessment comparing STROKE-CARD to usual post-stroke-patient care. STROKE-CARD is a multifaceted post-stroke disease management program with the objective of reducing recurrent cardiovascular events and improving quality of life in ischaemic stroke and TIA-patients. It combines intensified multi-domain secondary prevention, systematic detection and treatment of post-stroke complications, and patient self-empowerment. Enrolment of 2160 patients with acute ischaemic stroke or TIA (ABCD2-Score ≥ 3) is planned at two study centres in Austria. The co-primary efficacy endpoints are (i) the composite of major recurrent cardiovascular events (nonfatal stroke, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and vascular death) occurring within 12 months after the index event and (ii) one-year health-related quality-of-life measured with the European Quality of Life-5 Dimensions (EQ-5D-3 L) questionaire. Secondary endpoints include all-cause mortality, functional outcome, and target-level achievement in risk factor management.

DISCUSSION

This trial will provide evidence on whether the pragmatic post-stroke intervention program STROKE-CARD can help prevent cardiovascular events and improve quality-of-life within the setting of a high-quality acute stroke care system. In case of success, STROKE-CARD may be implemented in daily clinical routine and serve as a model for other disease management initiatives.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02156778 . (June 5, 2014, retrospectively registered).

Retrospective evaluation of a clinical decision support tool for effective computed tomography angiography utilization in urgent brain imaging of suspected TIA/minor stroke in the emergency department

OBJECTIVES

The Canadian Stroke Best Practice Recommendations suggests that patients suspected of transient ischemic attack (TIA)/minor stroke receive urgent brain imaging, preferably computed tomography angiography (CTA). Yet, high requisition rates for non-cerebrovascular patients overburden limited radiological resources, putting patients at risk. We hypothesize that our clinical decision support tool (CDST) developed for risk stratification of TIA in the emergency department (ED), and which incorporates Canadian guidelines, could improve CTA utilization.

METHODS

Retrospective study design with clinical information gathered from ED patient referrals to an outpatient TIA unit in Victoria, BC, from 2015-2016. Actual CTA orders by ED and TIA unit staff were compared to hypothetical CTA ordering if our CDST had been used in the ED upon patient arrival.

RESULTS

For 1,679 referrals, clinicians ordered 954 CTAs. Our CDST would have ordered a total of 977 CTAs for these patients. Overall, this would have increased the number of imaged-TIA patients by 89 (10.1%) while imaging 98 (16.1%) fewer non-cerebrovascular patients over the 2-year period. Our CDST would have ordered CTA for 18 (78.3%) of the recurrent stroke patients in the sample.

CONCLUSIONS

Our CDST could enhance CTA utilization in the ED for suspected TIA patients, and facilitate guideline-based stroke care. Use of our CDST would increase the number of TIA patients receiving CTA before ED discharge (rather than later at TIA units) and reduce the burden of imaging stroke mimics in radiological departments.

When are the cardiovascular and stroke risks too high? Pharmacotherapy for stroke prophylaxis

INTRODUCTION

Stroke is a significant source of morbidity and mortality in developed countries. Cardioembolic strokes represent approximately 15-30% of all ischemic strokes. They are frequently related to atrial fibrillation (AF) and have a worse prognosis and high recurrence rates when compared to other causes (e.g. atherosclerosis).

AREAS COVERED

This review includes a summary of general and specific scores to assess cardiovascular and stroke risks, with a focus on specific scores available in AF. Recommendations for antithrombotic therapy are also reviewed.

EXPERT OPINION

Several scores are available for the evaluation of stroke risk. They are useful to identify the risk factors that trigger the need for medical interventions. Integrated risk scores with visual interfaces showing the risk of events, with and without the proposed interventions, can aid decision-making. The risk of stroke can definitely be considered too high in those patients with a history of stroke/transient ischemic attack, who need antiplatelet therapy (after a non-cardioembolic stroke) or anticoagulant therapy (after a cardioembolic stroke). For primary prevention of stroke, antiplatelet therapy is not usually recommended, while anticoagulation should be considered if the patient has concomitant AF and at least one additional risk factor unrelated to sex.

Ischemic Stroke Predictors in Patients Presenting with Dizziness, Imbalance, and Vertigo

OBJECTS

To identify predictors of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) among patients presenting to the Emergency Department (ED) with dizziness, imbalance, or vertigo (DIV) based on demographic and clinical characteristics.

METHODS

We identified patients admitted to the hospital after presenting to the ED with DIV from the Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System database of New York from 2010 to 2014. Demographic and clinical characteristics were systematically collected. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine predictors of a discharge diagnosis of AIS.

RESULTS

Among 77,993 patients with DIV, 3857 (4.9%) had a discharge diagnosis of AIS. Admission presentation of imbalance, African-American race, history of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hypercholesterolemia, tobacco use, atrial fibrillation, and prior AIS due to extracranial artery atherosclerosis were each positively associated with an AIS diagnosis independently. Factors negatively associated with an AIS discharge diagnosis included: admission presentation of vertigo, female sex, age > 81, history of anemia, coronary artery disease, asthma, depressive disorders, and anxiety disorders.

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple potential positive and negative predictive AIS risk factors were identified. Combining with currently available centrally-caused dizziness prediction tools, these newly identified factors could provide more accurate AIS risk stratifying method for DIV patients.

Evaluation of a CTA-Triage Based Transient Ischemic Attack Service: A Retrospective Single Center Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

We designed a computed tomography angiography (CTA)-based algorithm for patients presenting to hospital with a transient ischemic attack (TIA) which identified high-risk patients, as well as inpatient versus semiurgent outpatient management following MRI, and we hypothesised that this would be effective.

METHODS

Patients seen in the ED at the Royal Adelaide Hospital from March 3, 2012 to November 30, 2016 with TIA-like symptoms were assessed for a cardioembolic source (clinical assessment, electrocardiogram) and underwent intra and extracranial CTA. Patients with a referable >50% stenosis were admitted and given dual antiplatelets. Most high-risk cardiac source patients were also admitted and anticoagulated. Other patients were loaded with aspirin, or changed to clopidogrel if on aspirin, and reviewed as outpatients following semiurgent MRI (3-4 days). We assessed the 90-day recurrent stroke risk in this cohort as a whole, and in those with a final cerebrovascular diagnosis.

RESULTS

1167 patients were diagnosed in Emergency as TIA and referred via our algorithm. A total of 150 were admitted, 78 had "high-risk" features. A total of 1017 patients were reviewed in the TIA clinic. The average age of the total cohort was 65.8 years old. Final diagnosis was TIA/minor stroke in 69% admitted patients and 30% clinic patients (P value < .0001). The 90-day recurrent stroke risk in these patients was 2.0% (5.8% admitted vs .7% clinic patients, P value < .0001). In those with noncerebrovascular diagnoses, there were no recurrent strokes within 90 days.

CONCLUSIONS

Stroke risk is very low using CTA guided semiurgent clinic review algorithm.

Morphology and histology of silent and symptom-causing atherosclerotic carotid plaques - Rationale and design of the Helsinki Carotid Endarterectomy Study 2 (the HeCES2)

INTRODUCTION

Every fifth ischemic stroke is caused by thromboembolism originating from an atherosclerotic carotid artery plaque. While prevention is the most cost-effective stroke therapy, antiplatelet and cholesterol-lowering drugs have a ceiling effect in their efficacy. Therefore, discovery of novel pathophysiologic targets are needed to improve the primary and secondary prevention of stroke. This article provides a detailed study design and protocol of HeCES2, an observational prospective cohort study with the objective to investigate the pathophysiology of carotid atherosclerosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Recruitment and carotid endarterectomies of the study patients with carotid atherosclerosis were performed from October 2012 to September 2015. After brain and carotid artery imaging, endarterectomised carotid plaques (CPs) and blood samples were collected from 500 patients for detailed biochemical and molecular analyses. Findings to date: We developed a morphological grading for macroscopic characteristics within CPs. The dominant macroscopic CP characteristics were: smoothness 62%, ulceration 61%, intraplaque hemorrhage 60%, atheromatous gruel 59%, luminal coral-type calcification 34%, abundant (44%) and moderate (39%) intramural calcification, and symptom-causing "hot spot" area 53%. Future plans: By combining clinically oriented and basic biomedical research, this large-scale study attempts to untangle the pathophysiological perplexities of human carotid atherosclerosis. Key Messages This article is a rationale and design of the HeCES2 study that is an observational prospective cohort study with the objective to investigate the pathophysiology of carotid atherosclerosis. The HeCES2 study strives to develop diagnostic algorithms including radiologic imaging to identify carotid atherosclerosis patients who warrant surgical treatment. In addition, the study aims at finding out new tools for clinical risk stratification as well as novel molecular targets for drug development.

[Semantics, epidemiology and semiology of stroke]

Stroke is a cerebrovascular disorder characterised by the sudden onset of symptoms and clinical signs. Each year, an estimated 140,000 people in France are hospitalised for stroke. Ischemic stroke is the most common kind of stroke, accounting for 80% of all cases. Haemorrhagic stroke accounts for about 20% of all strokes.

Validation of a proteomic biomarker panel to diagnose minor-stroke and transient ischaemic attack: phase 2 of SpecTRA, a large scale translational study

OBJECTIVE

To validate our previously developed 16 plasma-protein biomarker panel to differentiate between transient ischaemic attack (TIA) and non-cerebrovascular emergency department (ED) patients.

METHOD

Two consecutive cohorts of ED patients prospectively enrolled at two urban medical centers into the second phase of SpecTRA study (training, cohort 2A, n = 575; test, cohort 2B, n = 528). Plasma samples were analyzed using liquid chromatography/multiple reaction monitoring-mass spectrometry. Logistic regression models which fit cohort 2A were validated on cohort 2B.

RESULTS

Three of the panel proteins failed quality control and were removed from the panel. During validation, panel models did not outperform a simple motor/speech (M/S) deficit variable. Post-hoc analyses suggested the measured behaviour of L-selectin and coagulation factor V contributed to poor model performance. Removal of these proteins increased the external performance of a model containing the panel and the M/S variable.

CONCLUSIONS

Univariate analyses suggest insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 3 and serum paraoxonase/lactonase 3 are reliable and reproducible biomarkers for TIA status. Logistic regression models indicated L-selectin, apolipoprotein B-100, coagulation factor IX, and thrombospondin-1 to be significant multivariate predictors of TIA. We discuss multivariate feature subset analyses as an exploratory technique to better understand a panel's full predictive potential.

Clopidogrel and Aspirin in Acute Ischemic Stroke and High-Risk TIA

BACKGROUND

Combination antiplatelet therapy with clopidogrel and aspirin may reduce the rate of recurrent stroke during the first 3 months after a minor ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). A trial of combination antiplatelet therapy in a Chinese population has shown a reduction in the risk of recurrent stroke. We tested this combination in an international population.

METHODS

In a randomized trial, we assigned patients with minor ischemic stroke or high-risk TIA to receive either clopidogrel at a loading dose of 600 mg on day 1, followed by 75 mg per day, plus aspirin (at a dose of 50 to 325 mg per day) or the same range of doses of aspirin alone. The dose of aspirin in each group was selected by the site investigator. The primary efficacy outcome in a time-to-event analysis was the risk of a composite of major ischemic events, which was defined as ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, or death from an ischemic vascular event, at 90 days.

RESULTS

A total of 4881 patients were enrolled at 269 international sites. The trial was halted after 84% of the anticipated number of patients had been enrolled because the data and safety monitoring board had determined that the combination of clopidogrel and aspirin was associated with both a lower risk of major ischemic events and a higher risk of major hemorrhage than aspirin alone at 90 days. Major ischemic events occurred in 121 of 2432 patients (5.0%) receiving clopidogrel plus aspirin and in 160 of 2449 patients (6.5%) receiving aspirin plus placebo (hazard ratio, 0.75; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59 to 0.95; P=0.02), with most events occurring during the first week after the initial event. Major hemorrhage occurred in 23 patients (0.9%) receiving clopidogrel plus aspirin and in 10 patients (0.4%) receiving aspirin plus placebo (hazard ratio, 2.32; 95% CI, 1.10 to 4.87; P=0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with minor ischemic stroke or high-risk TIA, those who received a combination of clopidogrel and aspirin had a lower risk of major ischemic events but a higher risk of major hemorrhage at 90 days than those who received aspirin alone. (Funded by the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke; POINT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00991029 .).

Significance of Nonfocal Symptoms in Patients With Transient Ischemic Attack

Background and Purpose- Patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA) occasionally show nonfocal symptoms, such as unconsciousness, amnesia, and unsteadiness. The purpose of this study was to clarify the characteristics and prognosis of patients with TIA with nonfocal symptoms, using data from the PROMISE-TIA (Prospective Multicenter Registry to Identify Subsequent Cardiovascular Events After Transient Ischemic Attack). Methods- Patients with TIA within 7 days of onset were consecutively enrolled in the Japanese nationwide registry. Factors associated with nonfocal symptoms and 1-year risks of ischemic stroke and coronary artery diseases were assessed in multivariate-adjusted models. Results- We studied 1362 patients with TIA (879 men; mean age, 69±12 years), including 219 (16%) with nonfocal symptoms. Patients with TIA with nonfocal symptoms were more likely to show acute ischemic lesions in the posterior circulation on diffusion-weighted imaging (multivariate-adjusted odds ratio, 3.07; 95% confidence interval, 1.57-5.82) and arterial stenosis or occlusion in the posterior circulation on vascular examination (odds ratio, 1.94; 95% confidence interval, 1.19-3.09) than those without nonfocal symptoms. Although 1-year risk of ischemic stroke did not differ significantly between groups (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.79; 95% confidence interval, 0.42-1.37), risk of coronary artery disease was higher in patients with TIA with nonfocal symptoms (hazard ratio, 3.37; 95% confidence interval, 1.14-9.03). Conclusions- Both acute ischemic lesions and arterial stenosis and occlusion in the posterior circulation were more frequently observed in patients with TIA with nonfocal symptoms.

Lipoprotein lipase gene polymorphisms as risk factors for stroke: a computational and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

Stroke is the most common neurological disorder and genetic susceptibility has an important role in its etiology. Polymorphism in several genes such as lipoprotein lipase (LPL) is propounded as a risk for stroke. This meta-analysis investigated the association of rs285 and rs320 LPL polymorphism with stroke risk.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We searched PubMed, Clarivate Analytics Web of Science, Google Scholar, and Science Direct databases for appropriate studies. The odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated to estimate the strength of this association. Also, the effects of four common polymorphisms (rs268, rs285, rs320, and rs328) on the molecular aspects of LPL were evaluated by in silico tools. Five studies were included in meta-analysis after screening.

RESULTS

Our data indicated that rs320 significantly decreased the risk of stroke (G vs. T: OR= 0.64, 95%CI=0.54-0.76; GG vs. TT: OR=0.47, 95%CI=0.29-0.75; TG vs. TT: OR=0.65, 95%CI=0.53-0.80; TG+GG vs. TT: OR=0.62, 95%CI=0.51-0.75; GG vs. TT+TG: OR=0.51, 95%CI=0.32-0.82). Moreover, a significant association between rs285 and diminution of stroke risk was seen (P- vs. P+: OR=0.72, 95%CI=0.58-0.91; P-P- vs. P+P+: OR=0.50, 95%CI=0.31-0.82; P+P-+P-P- vs. P+P+: OR=0.72, 95%CI=0.53-0.96; P-P- vs. P+P++P+P-: OR=0.581, 95%CI=0.369-0.916). Also, the same results were observed after stratifying, without any publication bias (PEgger>0.05). Furthermore, computational analysis revealed that rs268 and rs328 may affect the protein structure (prediction: non-neutral; score=19; expected accuracy=59%) while rs320 could affect the RNA structure (distance=0.2264, P-value=0.0534; P<0.2 is significant).

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis indicated that risk of stroke was decreased in rs320 and rs285 polymorphisms in the LPL gene.

Prevalence of Abnormal Glucose Regulation according to Different Diagnostic Criteria in Ischaemic Stroke without a History of Diabetes

We aimed to investigate the prevalence and distribution of abnormal glucose regulation, including prediabetes and newly diagnosed diabetes, according to different criteria in ischaemic stroke patients without a history of diabetes. Data were derived from a representative cohort across China. Prediabetes was defined as fasting plasma glucose (FPG) 5.6–6.9 mmol/L or 2-hour oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) 7.8–11.0 mmol/L or haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) 5.7–6.4%. Newly diagnosed diabetes was defined as FPG ≥ 7.0 mmol/L, 2 h OGTT ≥ 11.1 mmol/L or HbA1c ≥ 6.5%. Among 1251 ischaemic stroke patients, 471 (37.5%) were detected as prediabetes and 539 (43.1%) were detected as newly diagnosed diabetes. Prediabetes was present in 118 (9.4%), 290 (23.2%) and 314 (25.1%) stroke patients, and newly diagnosed diabetes was present in 138 (11.0%), 370 (29.6%), and 365 (29.2%) stroke patients, based on FPG, 2 h OGTT, and HbA1c criteria, respectively. Dependency on FPG alone would have missed 74.9% of patients in the prediabetes range and 74.4% of patients in the diabetes range. Our study demonstrated a high prevalence of prediabetes and diabetes in ischaemic stroke patients without a history of diabetes. OGTT and HbA1c helped detect the majority of prediabetes and newly diagnosed diabetes in ischaemic stroke patients.

Five-Year Risk of Stroke after TIA or Minor Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND

After a transient ischemic attack (TIA) or minor stroke, the long-term risk of stroke and other vascular events is not well known. In this follow-up to a report on 1-year outcomes from a registry of TIA clinics in 21 countries that enrolled 4789 patients with a TIA or minor ischemic stroke from 2009 through 2011, we examined the 5-year risk of stroke and vascular events.

METHODS

We evaluated patients who had had a TIA or minor stroke within 7 days before enrollment in the registry. Among 61 sites that participated in the 1-year outcome study, we selected 42 sites that had follow-up data on more than 50% of their enrolled patients at 5 years. The primary outcome was a composite of stroke, acute coronary syndrome, or death from cardiovascular causes (whichever occurred first), with an emphasis on events that occurred in the second through fifth years. In calculating the cumulative incidence of the primary outcome and secondary outcomes (except death from any cause), we treated death as a competing risk.

RESULTS

A total of 3847 patients were included in the 5-year follow-up study; the median percentage of patients with 5-year follow-up data per center was 92.3% (interquartile range, 83.4 to 97.8). The composite primary outcome occurred in 469 patients (estimated cumulative rate, 12.9%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 11.8 to 14.1), with 235 events (50.1%) occurring in the second through fifth years. At 5 years, strokes had occurred in 345 patients (estimated cumulative rate, 9.5%; 95% CI, 8.5 to 10.5), with 149 of these patients (43.2%) having had a stroke during the second through fifth years. Rates of death from any cause, death from cardiovascular causes, intracranial hemorrhage, and major bleeding were 10.6%, 2.7%, 1.1%, and 1.5%, respectively, at 5 years. In multivariable analyses, ipsilateral large-artery atherosclerosis, cardioembolism, and a baseline ABCD² score for the risk of stroke (range, 0 to 7, with higher scores indicating greater risk) of 4 or more were each associated with an increased risk of subsequent stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

In a follow-up to a 1-year study involving patients who had a TIA or minor stroke, the rate of cardiovascular events including stroke in a selected cohort was 6.4% in the first year and 6.4% in the second through fifth years. (Funded by AstraZeneca and others.).

Prospective Determination of Aspirin Sensitivity in Patients Resistant to Low Dose Aspirin: A Proof of Concept Study

This study tested the capability of an assay to predict aspirin response and reduce ischemic events, and healthcare costs, and delays to optimal treatment. Patients who needed aspirin in the course of normal medical care were included. Patients were excluded if they had disorders affecting platelet function, alcohol use within 24 hours of a test, or NSAID use. Dose escalation of chewable aspirin from 81 mg, to 162 mg, to 325 mg daily occurred based on the results of whole blood impedance aggregation testing to the agonists, collagen (1ug/mL, 5 ug/mL) and arachidonate (0.5 mM) after 10-14 days of treatment. The experimental in vitro test was conducted in triplicate by performing aggregometry on samples spiked to a concentration of 10 uM of aspirin in 0.05% dimethyl sulfoxide. Of the 36 patients who were compliant 16 were found to be resistant to the antiplatelet effects of 81 mg daily aspirin. Nine of these patients were predicted to stay resistant despite dose increase. Once tested at higher doses, ten remained resistant. Seven of the 16 patients were predicted to become sensitive to a higher dose while six actually did. Predicted response to increased doses of aspirin was in good agreement with actual response. Sensitivity of the assay was 83% and specificity was 80%. Results are promising and indicate that it is possible to predict, with reasonable accuracy, if a patient will have an adequate platelet response to aspirin or if the patient will never respond to aspirin necessitating an alternative antiplatelet regimen. Larger, multisite studies are inevitably needed.