Coronary artery calcium evaluation by electron beam computed tomography and its relation to new cardiovascular events

Quantification of coronary artery calcium with multi-detector row CT: assessing interscan variability with different tube currents pilot study

PURPOSE

To assess the interscan variability of coronary artery calcium as measured with different tube currents and quantification methods in prospective electrocardiography (ECG)-gated multi-detector row CT.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Thirty-three subjects who were asymptomatic for coronary heart disease underwent prospective ECG-gated, subsecond multi-detector row CT of the heart. Each subject underwent two consecutive CT examinations, the first with a dose of either 40 mAs (n = 18) or 80 mAs (n = 15) and the second with a dose of 150 mAs. Calcium volume and calcium score were calculated. Pearson correlation coefficient was computed between the calcium scores of high- and low-dose examinations. Interscan variability in these measurements (ie, the absolute percentage difference) was compared between the examinations with 40-150 mAs and those with 80-150 mAs by using an independent sample t test. In addition, the interscan variabilities of calcium scores between vessels were evaluated with repeated measures of analysis of variance. The interscan variabilities between calcium score and volume measurement were also compared with paired t tests.

RESULTS

Twenty-seven of 33 subjects had coronary artery calcium deposits on both CT scans. Five subjects had no calcium deposit on either scan. One subject had calcium deposits on only one scan. The total calcium score between the high- and low-dose scans was highly correlated (r = 0.98) and was not significantly different (P =.58). The interscan variability of calcium score showed no significant difference with respect to subject (P =.25) or vessel (P =.84). The interscan variability of the calcium volume measurement was significantly lower than that of the calcium score with respect to both the subject (P <.01) and the vessel (P <.01).

CONCLUSION

A dose of 40 mAs appears adequate for quantifying coronary artery calcium at multi-detector row CT. Interscan variability of multi-detector row CT is substantially reduced by using the calcium volume method.

Assessment of vascular calcification in ESRD patients using spiral CT

BACKGROUND

Dialysis patients have increased vascular calcification of the coronary arteries and aorta by electron beam CT scan. The purpose of the present study was to utilize an alternative machine, spiral CT, to assess calcification in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients.

METHODS

Two groups of patients with ESRD were evaluated: group 1, those receiving a renal transplant (n=38); and group 2, those remaining on dialysis (n=33). All patients underwent quad-slice spiral CT with retrospective gating to evaluate coronary artery and aorta calcification scores. Both area (Agatston method) and volume calculations were utilized, with retrospective gating in all but 16 subjects. Laboratory tests, medications and clinical characteristics were analysed.

RESULTS

Using spiral CT, the intra-reader variability for coronary artery calcification (after correction for very low scores) was 0.9% mean / 0% median using the area (Agatston method) and 2.9% mean / 0% median using volume calculations. Group 1 patients were younger, more likely to be Caucasian and on peritoneal dialysis, had lower serum calcium and higher C-reactive protein levels than group 2. In patients without vs those with coronary artery calcification, only longer duration of dialysis (34+/-64 vs 55+/-50 months, P=0.004; r=0.39, P=0.005) and increasing age (39+/-13 vs 54+/-10 years, P<0.001; r=0.29, P=0.039) were associated, whereas only increasing age was associated with aorta calcification.

CONCLUSION

In ESRD patients, the factors correlating with coronary calcification were duration of dialysis and advancing age, whereas only age correlated with aorta calcification. Spiral CT offers an alternative technique for the assessment of these changes.

Coronary calcifications in young patients with first, unheralded myocardial infarction: a risk factor matched analysis by electron beam tomography

OBJECTIVE

To compare the presence and extent of coronary calcifications in young patients with first, unheralded acute myocardial infarction with matched controls without a history of coronary artery disease.

METHODS

In 102 patients under 60 years of age (19-59 years, mean 41 years; 88% male), electron beam tomography was done 1-14 days after acute myocardial infarction, before any coronary intervention. Coronary calcifications were quantified using the Agatston score. Age related calcium centiles were determined based on the Mayo Clinic "epidemiology of coronary calcification" study, and results were compared with a group of 102 controls without coronary artery disease, matched for sex, age, and risk factors.

RESULTS

Calcifications were present in 95.1% of patients with acute myocardial infarction and in 59.1% of controls (p = 0.008). The mean (SD) Agatston score was 529 (901) in the infarct patients versus 119 (213) in the controls (p < 0.001). An Agatston score above the 50th centile was present in 87.2% of infarct patients and 47.0% of controls (p = 0.006), and above the 90th centile in 60.7% of infarct patients and only 5.8% of controls (p = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In young patients with their first, unheralded acute myocardial infarction, the presence and extent of coronary calcium are significantly greater than in matched controls.

Electron-beam tomography coronary artery calcium and cardiac events: a 37-month follow-up of 5635 initially asymptomatic low- to intermediate-risk adults

BACKGROUND

Conventional coronary artery disease (CAD) risk factors fail to explain nearly 50% of CAD events. This study examines the association between electron-beam tomography (EBT) coronary artery calcium (CAC) and cardiac events in initially asymptomatic low- to intermediate-risk individuals, with adjustment for the presence of hypercholesterolemia, hypertension, diabetes, and a history of cigarette smoking.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The study was performed in 8855 initially asymptomatic adults 30 to 76 years old (26% women) who self-referred for EBT CAC screening. Conventional CAD risk factors were elicited by use of a questionnaire. After 37+/-12 months, information on the occurrence of cardiac events was collected and confirmed by use of medical records and death certificates. In men, events (n=192) were associated with the presence of CAC (RR=10.5, P<0.001), diabetes (RR=1.98, P=0.008), and smoking (RR=1.4, P=0.025), whereas in women, events (n=32) were linked to the presence of CAC (RR=2.6, P=0.037) and not risk factors. The presence of CAC provided incremental prognostic information in addition to age and other risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

The association between EBT CAC and cardiac events observed in this study of initially asymptomatic, middle-aged, low to intermediate-risk individuals presenting for screening suggests that in this group, knowledge of the presence of EBT CAC provides incremental information in addition to that defined by conventional CAD risk assessment.

The metabolic syndrome, diabetes, and subclinical atherosclerosis assessed by coronary calcium

OBJECTIVES

We compared the prevalence and extent of coronary artery calcium (CAC) among persons with the metabolic syndrome (MetS), diabetes, and neither condition.

BACKGROUND

The prevalence and extent of CAC has not been compared among those with MetS, diabetes, or neither condition.

METHODS

Of 1,823 persons (36% female) age 20 to 79 years who had screening for CAC by computed tomography, 279 had MetS, 150 had diabetes, and the remainder (n = 1,394) had neither condition. Metabolic syndrome was defined with >or=3 of the following: body mass index >or=30 kg/m(2); high-density lipoprotein cholesterol <40 mg/dl if male or <50 mg/dl if female; triglycerides >or=150 mg/dl; blood pressure >or=130/85 mm Hg or on treatment; or fasting glucose 110 to 125 mg/dl. The prevalence and odds of any and significant (>or=75th percentile) CAC among these groups and by number of MetS risk factors were determined.

RESULTS

Those with neither MetS nor diabetes, MetS, or diabetes had a prevalence of CAC of 53.5%, 58.8%, and 75.3% (p < 0.001), respectively, among men and 37.6%, 50.8%, and 52.6% (p < 0.001), respectively, among women. Coronary artery calcium increased by the number (0 to 5) of MetS risk factors (from 34.0% to 58.3%) (p < 0.001). Forty-one percent of subjects with MetS had either a >20% 10-year risk of CHD or CAC >or=75th percentile for age and gender. Risk factor-adjusted odds for the presence of CAC were 1.40 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05 to 1.87) among those with MetS and 1.67 (95% CI 1.12 to 2.50) among those with diabetes, versus those with neither condition.

CONCLUSIONS

Those with MetS or diabetes have an increased likelihood of CAC compared with those having neither condition.

Mitral annular calcification predicts cardiovascular morbidity and mortality: the Framingham Heart Study

BACKGROUND

Mitral annular calcification (MAC) has been associated with stroke in longitudinal, community-based cohorts and cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes in many small retrospective studies. Prospective data are limited on the relation of MAC with CVD morbidity and mortality.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We examined the association between MAC assessed by M-mode echocardiography and the incidence of CVD, CVD death, and all-cause death over 16 years of follow-up in the Framingham Heart Study subjects who attended a routine examination between 1979 and 1981. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) associated with the presence of MAC for each outcome. Of 1197(445 male, 752 female) subjects who had adequate echocardiographic assessment, 14% had MAC. There were 307 incident CVD events and 621 deaths. In multivariable adjusted analyses, MAC was associated with an increased risk of incident CVD (HR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1, 2.0), CVD death (HR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.1, 2.3), and all-cause death (HR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.04, 1.6). For each 1-mm increase in MAC, the risk of incident CVD, CVD death, and all-cause death increased by approximately 10%.

CONCLUSIONS

The independent association of MAC with incident CVD and CVD death underscores that cardiac calcification is a marker of increased CVD risk.

Uremia induces the osteoblast differentiation factor Cbfa1 in human blood vessels

BACKGROUND

Bone matrix proteins are expressed in calcified arteries from dialysis patients, suggesting that vascular smooth muscle cells (VSMCs) may transform to osteoblast-like cells. One of the key transcriptional regulators of osteoblast differentiation is Cbfa1. Thus, we hypothesized that this may be a key factor in arterial calcification.

METHODS

To test this hypothesis, we examined sections of the inferior epigastric artery from uremic patients for the presence of Cbfa1 and type I collagen and osteopontin by in situ hybridization and immunostaining. We also examined the effect of pooled uremic sera from dialysis patients on the expression of Cbfa1 by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) in bovine VSMCs in vitro.

RESULTS

Cbfa1 and osteopontin were expressed in both the media and the intima in vessels that were calcified, but there was only minimal staining in non-calcified vessels. In vitro studies demonstrated that pooled uremic serum, compared to pooled control human serum induced the expression of Cbfa1 by RT-PCR in bovine VSMCs in a time-dependent, nonphosphorus-mediated mechanism.

CONCLUSION

These results support that Cbfa1 is a key regulatory factor in the vascular calcification observed in dialysis patients and is up-regulated in response to many uremic toxins.

Sensitivity to detect small coronary artery calcium lesions with varying slice thickness using electron beam tomography

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVE

To estimate the sensitivity to find small coronary artery calcium lesions with use of different slice widths with electron beam tomography.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Two studies were performed. Study 1 utilized double scanning of a stationary cork phantom with three different slice thickness (1.5, 3, and 6 mm). Fifty different calcific lesions (all <20 mm2 in area) fitted in 10 cork coronary arteries were utilized. The calcium foci area, peak value and score were measured and compared. In group 2, 30 patients underwent coronary artery calcium (CAC) screen studies. Each patient was scanned with both 3-mm and 6-mm scan widths in a same study time. Lesions with < 20 mm2 of area of CAC were measured on both 3-mm and 6-mm images. The mean and peak Hounsfield unit measure, and Agatston score were compared between both images.

RESULTS

In the cork study, the sensitivity to detect small calcium foci were 96% (48/50), 82% (41/50), and 34% (17/50) in images with 1.5-, 3-, and 6-mm slice thickness, respectively. There is a smaller value in mass, and calcium volume in 6-mm images than 1.5-mm and 3-mm images ( P< 0.001). There was no significant difference between the true value and measured value from 1.5-mm and 3-mm images. In the human study, 18 (30%) of 60 CAC lesions with an area < 20 mm2 defined on 3 mm images were not visible on 6-mm images. Sensitivity of small lesions (P< 5 mm2) was 48% using 6-mm slices. There was a smaller value in CAC area, mean and peak Hounsfield units and score measured from 6-mm images, as compared with 3 mm slices ( P< 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Thinner slice imaging has a higher sensitivity to detect small calcium focus. There was no significant change in score between 3 mm and 1.5 mm on the cork phantom study. However, the use of 6-mm slices should be discouraged, as this protocol both underestimates calcific mass and misses a significant number of calcific lesions in both a phantom and human study.

Conventional coronary artery disease risk factors and coronary artery calcium detected by electron beam tomography in 30,908 healthy individuals

PURPOSE

Electron beam tomography (EBT) is a noninvasive measure of coronary artery calcium (CAC), a marker for atherosclerosis. In this study we examined the association between conventional risk factors for coronary artery disease (CAD) and CAC.

METHODS

EBT CAC screening was performed on 30,908 asymptomatic individuals aged 30 to 90 years. Prior to EBT screening, individuals provided demographic and CAD risk factor information. EBT utilized a C-100 EBT scanner, and the amount of CAC was determined using the Agatston scoring method.

RESULTS

The results of this study demonstrate that for both men and women, all conventional risk factors were significantly associated with the presence of any detectable CAC, and the mean CAC score increased in proportion to the number of CAD risk factors. In age-adjusted (multivariable) logistic regression analysis, cigarette use, histories of hypercholesterolemia, diabetes, and hypertension were each significantly associated with mild to extensive CAC scores (> or =10.0).

CONCLUSION

CAD risk factors are associated with higher atherosclerotic plaque burden in both men and women. The odds ratios associated with each risk factor relative to the extent of CAC are similar to those reported for the development of clinical CAD, suggesting the existence of an association between CAC (subclinical disease) and CAD (clinical disease).

Comparison of the effects of atorvastatin versus simvastatin on subclinical atherosclerosis in primary preventionas determined by electronbeam tomography

This study was designed to evaluate the effects of lipid-lowering therapy by atorvastatin versus simvastatin on calcified plaque progression, as determined by serial electron beam tomography (EBT), in primary prevention patients. In this observational study, serial EBT was performed before and after 1.2 years of atorvastatin (n = 103) and simavastatin therapy (n = 46); approximately 50% of each group was on niacin as well, in similar doses. There were no differences in demographic parameters between the groups. Total, low-density lipoprotein (LDL), and non-high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol were significantly higher in the atorvastatin group before treatment. Before treatment, EBT calcium score and volume scores were 469 and 378, respectively, in the atorvastatin patients, and 388 and 307, respectively, in the simvastatin patients (p = NS, atorvastatin vs simvastatin). After treatment, there were no differences in any lipid or EBT values between the groups. Post-treatment total cholesterol and LDL cholesterol were 156 and 79 mg/dl, respectively, in the atorvastatin cohort and 154 and 76 mg/dl, respectively, in the simvastatin group (p = NS). Calcium score and volume progressed 10.8%/year and 8.5%/year, respectively, in the atorvastatin group, and 7.5%/year and 7.8%/year in the simvastatin group (p = NS, atorvastatin vs simvastatin). We conclude that aggressive treatment with atorvastatin and simvastatin in the primary prevention population, to similar lipid levels, is associated with equal progression of EBT-determined calcified plaque. This suggests that these hydroxymethylglutaryl coenzyme A reductase inhibitors exhibit a "class effect" with respect to progression of subclinical atherosclerosis.

Assessment of clinically silent atherosclerotic disease and established and novel risk factors for predicting myocardial infarction and cardiac death in healthy middle-aged subjects: rationale and design of the Heinz Nixdorf RECALL Study. Risk Factors, Evaluation of Coronary Calcium and Lifestyle

BACKGROUND

In view of consistently high cardiovascular morbidity and mortality rates, international efforts are aimed at developing tools for more precise risk prediction to allow preventive treatment targeted at high-risk individuals. Direct visualization of anatomic, preclinical atherosclerotic disease has the potential for individualized risk discrimination. Further, a variety of risk factors are actively evaluated, including markers of the activity of atherosclerotic disease, thrombogenic risk, and genetic polymorphisms.

METHODS

The Heinz Nixdorf RECALL (Risk Factors, Evaluation of Coronary Calcium and Lifestyle) study is a population-based, prospective cohort study of the comparative value of modern risk stratification techniques for "hard" cardiac events. It is designed and powered to define the relative risk associated with the specific extent of coronary atherosclerosis measured by means of electron-beam computed tomography (EBCT)-derived coronary calcium quantities for myocardial infarction and cardiac death in 5 years in 4200 males and females aged 45 to 75 years in an unselected urban population from the large, heavily industrialized Ruhr area. Additionally, the predictive values of conventional cardiovascular risk factors, new candidate and socioeconomic risk factors, certain genetic polymorphisms, and direct signs of subclinical disease are examined with the ankle-brachial index, resting and stress electrocardiograms, and determination of carotid artery intima-media thickness. Prospective clinical risk-benefit and health economic analyses are an inherent part of the study. Study findings with established clinical significance are reported to the participants, but the EBCT findings are withheld until the conclusion of the study.

CONCLUSIONS

The Heinz Nixdorf RECALL study will define appropriate methods for identifying high-risk subgroups in the general urban population who may derive the greatest benefit from preventive treatment.

Calcium begets calcium: progression of coronary artery calcification in asymptomatic subjects

PURPOSE

To test the hypothesis that the rate of coronary artery calcium progression is sex specific, namely, that it is greater in men than in women, and that it is age related, particularly in women.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective study of the progression of coronary artery calcium in 217 consecutive asymptomatic subjects who underwent at least two electron-beam computed tomographic studies of the heart. Calcium in the distribution of the epicardial arteries was quantified by using both the conventional coronary artery calcium score (CCS) and the calcium volume score (CVS). Linear regression models were used to judge the joint influence of various risk factors, including sex and age, on rates of coronary artery calcium progression.

RESULTS

This study included 103 women and 114 men. The mean interval between the subjects' first and last studies was 25 months +/- 11 (SD). Regression analyses clearly demonstrated that the amount of coronary artery calcium present at the initial study was the most important determinant of calcium progression. This was true when coronary artery calcium was quantified by using the conventional CCS (P <.001) or CVS (P <.001). Neither sex nor age was a significant predictor of coronary artery calcium progression. Among traditional risk factors, only hypertension (P =.02) and diabetes (P =.01) were significant independent factors for calcium progression.

CONCLUSION

In asymptomatic subjects, the initial CCS and CVS were the most important factors that affected rate of coronary artery calcium progression. Neither age nor sex was as important as these factors in determination of coronary artery calcium progression.

Sevelamer attenuates the progression of coronary and aortic calcification in hemodialysis patients

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease is frequent and severe in patients with end-stage renal disease. Disorders of mineral metabolism may contribute by promoting cardiovascular calcification.

METHODS

We conducted a randomized clinical trial comparing sevelamer, a non-absorbed polymer, with calcium-based phosphate binders in 200 hemodialysis patients. Study outcomes included the targeted concentrations of serum phosphorus, calcium, and intact parathyroid hormone (PTH), and calcification of the coronary arteries and thoracic aorta using a calcification score derived from electron beam tomography.

RESULTS

Sevelamer and calcium provided equivalent control of serum phosphorus (end-of-study values 5.1 +/- 1.2 and 5.1 +/- 1.4 mg/dL, respectively, P = 0.33). Serum calcium concentration was significantly higher in the calcium-treated group (P = 0.002), and hypercalcemia was more common (16% vs. 5% with sevelamer, P = 0.04). More subjects in the calcium group had end-of-study intact PTH below the target of 150 to 300 pg/mL (57% vs. 30%, P = 0.001). At study completion, the median absolute calcium score in the coronary arteries and aorta increased significantly in the calcium treated subjects but not in the sevelamer-treated subjects (coronary arteries 36.6 vs. 0, P = 0.03 and aorta 75.1 vs. 0, P = 0.01, respectively). The median percent change in coronary artery (25% vs. 6%, P = 0.02) and aortic (28% vs. 5%, P = 0.02) calcium score also was significantly greater with calcium than with sevelamer.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with calcium-based phosphate binders, sevelamer is less likely to cause hypercalcemia, low levels of PTH, and progressive coronary and aortic calcification in hemodialysis patients.

Beyond traditional risk factor analysis for coronary artery disease: the case for coronary artery calcium assessment with electron beam computed tomography

Coronary artery disease is often asymptomatic, leading to inefficient detection. Although coronary artery disease is associated with multiple risk factors, better methods for detection are needed. The quantity of coronary artery calcium as detected with electron beam computed tomography is indicative of plaque mass, and the likelihood of coronary obstruction and future coronary events is independent of other risk factors. Screening for coronary artery disease with electron beam computed tomography offers a complimentary way of detecting early atherosclerosis in asymptomatic patients.

Ambulatory blood pressure and coronary artery calcification in middle-aged and younger adults

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study was to investigate relationships between blood pressure (BP) determined by ambulatory monitoring and coronary artery calcification (CAC) determined by electron beam computed tomography (EBCT) in middle-aged and younger adults without symptoms of coronary artery disease.

METHODS

Measures of office and ambulatory BP were analyzed in 298 asymptomatic adults (134 women and 164 men) from the white population of Rochester, MN, who were 20 to 60 years old (mean +/- SD, 40 +/- 9 years). For the ambulatory BP measurements, the active period of the day was defined as the daytime, out-of-bed hours and the inactive period as the nighttime, in-bed hours. Logistic regression was used to assess whether ambulatory measures of BP influenced the probability of having CAC detected by EBCT.

RESULTS

After adjusting for sex, age, and office measures of BP, ambulatory diastolic BP during the active and inactive periods were each statistically significant additional predictors of the probability of having CAC. Similarly, after adjusting for sex, age, and ambulatory systolic BP, ambulatory diastolic BPs during each period were also statistically significant additional predictors of the probability of having CAC. In contrast, measures of ambulatory systolic BP, pulse pressure, and diurnal dipping of BP levels from the active to the inactive period did not make statistically significant additional contributions to the probability of having CAC.

CONCLUSION

These findings emphasize the role that the hemodynamic stress of diastolic BP may play in the early development of atherosclerotic coronary artery disease.

Coronary calcium scanning adds incremental value to patients with positive stress tests

BACKGROUND

The sensitivity of coronary calcification by electron beam tomography (EBT) for the detection of coronary atherosclerosis is well-established. Combining the anatomic information of EBT with the functional information of stress testing might reduce the high false-positive result rate seen with treadmill stress test (TMST) alone. No studies have reported the additive value of a negative EBT result (no coronary calcium) for excluding obstructive coronary artery disease (OCAD) in patients with a positive TMST result. This study evaluated the negative predictive value and potential clinical utility of EBT to identify patients with a falsely abnormal TMST.

METHODS

A coronary calcium score was determined by EBT for 153 symptomatic patients who underwent coronary angiography because of a positive TMST. The sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of EBT were determined. A multiple logistic regression analysis compared conventional cardiac risk factors with coronary calcification by EBT for predicting OCAD. A receiver operating characteristic curve was generated plotting sensitivity versus false-positive rate.

RESULTS

The false-positive rate of the TMST compared with angiography was 27% (41 of 153). The sensitivity of a nonzero coronary calcium score for OCAD was 98% (110 of 112), with a negative predictive value of 93%. According to multiple logistic regression, coronary calcification by EBT was a stronger predictor of OCAD than any conventional cardiac risk factor. EBT calcium added incremental value to the results of the TMST. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis found an area under the curve of 0.91 (P <.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The absence of coronary calcification by EBT reliably identified patients with a false-positive TMST result. The combination of EBT with TMST is a potentially useful diagnostic strategy to reduce the number of false-positive test results.

Continuous probabilistic prediction of angiographically significant coronary artery disease using electron beam tomography

BACKGROUND

We sought to incorporate electron beam tomography-derived calcium scores in a model for prediction of angiographically significant coronary artery disease (CAD). Such a model could greatly facilitate clinical triage in symptomatic patients with no known CAD.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We examined 1851 patients with suspected CAD who underwent coronary angiography for clinical indications. An electron beam tomographic scan was performed in all patients. Total per-patient calcium scores and separate scores for the major coronary arteries were added to logistic regression models to calculate a posterior probability of the severity and extent of angiographic disease. These models were designed to be continuous, adjusted for age and sex, corrected for verification bias, and independently validated in terms of their incremental diagnostic accuracy. The overall sensitivity was 95%, and specificity was 66% for coronary calcium to predict obstructive disease on angiography. With calcium scores >20, >80, and >100, the sensitivity to predict stenosis decreased to 90%, 79%, and 76%, whereas the specificity increased to 58%, 72%, and 75%, respectively. The logistic regression model exhibited excellent discrimination (receiver operating characteristic curve area, 0.842+/-0.023) and calibration (chi2 goodness of fit, 8.95; P=0.442).

CONCLUSIONS

Electron beam tomographic calcium scanning provides incremental and independent power in predicting the severity and extent of angiographically significant CAD in symptomatic patients, in conjunction with pretest probability of disease. This algorithm is most useful when applied to an intermediate-risk population.

A common promoter polymorphism in the hepatic lipase gene (LIPC-480C>T) is associated with an increase in coronary calcification in type 1 diabetes

Type 1 diabetes is associated with coronary heart disease (CHD) and coronary artery calcification (CAC), a measure of subclinical CHD. The hepatic lipase gene promoter polymorphism (LIPC-480C>T) is a common variant affecting lipid metabolism. This study examined the relation between the LIPC-480C>T and CAC in type 1 diabetes. In the type 1 diabetic patients studied, 56% had CAC >0 Agatston units (AU). These subjects had a longer duration of diabetes (26.2 +/- 1.3 vs. 17.8 +/- 1.4 years; P < 0.001), lower HDL cholesterol levels (55.7 +/- 2.4 vs. 61.0 +/- 2.5 mg/dl; P = 0.05), higher triglyceride levels (101 +/- 17.3 vs. 66 +/- 7.6 mg/dl; P < 0.05), and higher diastolic blood pressure (79.7 +/- 1.0 vs. 76.0 +/- 1.4 mmHg; P < 0.05). The LIPC-480 T allele was more common in subjects with CAC (frequency = 0.31 +/- 0.05 vs. 0.14 +/- 0.04; P = 0.006). The proportion with CAC was 44% in LIPC-480CC subjects, 71% in heterozygotes, and 83% in LIPC-480TT subjects (P < 0.01). LIPC-480 T allele frequency increased as the amount of CAC increased (P = 0.007). LIPC-480 genotype was independently associated with the CAC (odds ratio = 2.90, 95% CI 1.22-6.92, P < 0.05) after adjusting for duration of diabetes, age, sex, diastolic blood pressure, HDL cholesterol, and triglyceride levels. In conclusion, the LIPC-480C>T polymorphism was associated with subclinical CHD in type 1 diabetes. This genetic variant may identify subjects in which early intervention to prevent CHD may be appropriate.

Noninvasive surrogate markers of atherosclerosis

Noninvasive imaging techniques offer a unique opportunity to study the relation of surrogate markers to the development of atherosclerosis. These noninvasive imaging modalities include: (1) carotid artery, coronary, and aorta imaging; (2) left ventricular echocardiography imaging; (3) electron-beam computed tomography; (4) magnetic resonance imaging; and (5) ankle-brachial index. Because the incidence of coronary artery disease is a function of the development and progression of atherosclerosis, the use of noninvasive surrogate markers of atherosclerosis can aid in the diagnosis of cardiovascular disease through the identification of subclinical disease. Noninvasive imaging techniques provide an approach for identifying high-risk individuals who may benefit from active intervention to prevent clinical disease.

Coronary calcium and cardiovascular event risk: evaluation by age- and sex-specific quartiles

BACKGROUND

Wide differences in risks for cardiovascular disease (CVD) events associated with coronary artery calcium (CAC) have been reported. We evaluated the relationship of the coronary calcium quartile, on the basis of age-sex cut points from a large sample of asymptomatic patients, to CVD events as a possible standardized means for reporting event risks associated with CAC, in comparison with quartiles of absolute CAC scores.

METHODS

We applied age/sex-stratified cut points to 928 asymptomatic men and women (mean age 54 years) followed up for an average of 3.3 years, during which 28 CVD events were confirmed. Cox regression was used to evaluate the relation of the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th quartiles (compared with the 1st), with and without age/sex stratification, to the risk of future CVD events.

RESULTS

The number of events (and percent incidence) that occurred in the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th quartiles of coronary calcium was 4 (0.9%), 2 (2.0%), 9 (4.5%), and 13 (6.4%) events (P =.001) for the age/sex-stratified quartiles and 4 (1.0%), 0 (0%), 7 (3.0%), and 17 (7.3%) for the absolute score quartiles (P =.001). In multivariable analysis adjusted for other risk factors, there was a modest increase in CVD events seen among those in the 3rd quartile (relative risk [RR] 4.3, P =.02), with a greater risk seen among those in the 4th quartile (RR 6.0, P <.01) (compared with the 1st quartile). This did not differ from use of absolute CAC scores, where RR = 2.6 (P =.14) for the 3rd quartile and RR = 6.4 (P <.01) for the 4th quartile.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that age-sex stratification by percentile rank of CAC is as accurate as absolute CAC scores for predicting CVD events in asymptomatic persons. Ongoing longitudinal population-based studies will provide more definitive data.

Usefulness of electron-beam computed tomography

The field of atherosclerosis imaging has expanded rapidly in the last decade, and technologies such as electron-beam computed tomography (EBCT), have contributed significantly to our understanding of the prevalence of silent coronary artery disease and its consequences. Nonetheless, proper use of technology is necessary to conduct effective and cost-beneficial screening programs. Because most adverse events related to atherosclerosis occur in individuals at an intermediate risk level, it seems appropriate to concentrate screening efforts on this group of patients. This article reviews the current understanding of the value of coronary artery calcium screening in asymptomatic individuals and in symptomatic patients at low-to-intermediate risk and the use of EBCT as a tool for assessing the efficacy of therapy for atherosclerosis.

Cardiac calcification in adult hemodialysis patients. A link between end-stage renal disease and cardiovascular disease?

OBJECTIVES

We sought to determine clinical and laboratory correlates of calcification of the coronary arteries (CAs), aorta and mitral and aortic valves in adult subjects with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) receiving hemodialysis.

BACKGROUND

Vascular calcification is known to be a risk factor for ischemic heart disease in non-uremic individuals. Patients with ESRD experience accelerated vascular calcification, due at least in part to dysregulation of mineral metabolism. Clinical correlates of the extent of calcification in ESRD have not been identified. Moreover, the clinical relevance of calcification as measured by electron-beam tomography (EBT) has not been determined in the ESRD population.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 205 maintenance hemodialysis patients who received baseline EBT for evaluation of vascular and valvular calcification. We compared subjects with and without clinical evidence of atherosclerotic vascular disease and determined correlates of the extent of vascular and valvular calcification using multivariable linear regression and proportional odds logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

The median coronary artery calcium score was 595 (interquartile range, 76 to 1,600), values consistent with a high risk of obstructive coronary artery disease in the general population. The CA calcium scores were directly related to the prevalence of myocardial infarction (p < 0.0001) and angina (p < 0.0001), and the aortic calcium scores were directly related to the prevalence of claudication (p = 0.001) and aortic aneurysm (p = 0.02). The extent of coronary calcification was more pronounced with older age, male gender, white race, diabetes, longer dialysis vintage and higher serum concentrations of calcium and phosphorus. Total cholesterol (and high-density lipoprotein and low-density lipoprotein subfractions), triglycerides, hemoglobin and albumin were not significantly related to the extent of CA calcification. Only dialysis vintage was significantly associated with the prevalence of valvular calcification.

CONCLUSIONS

Coronary artery calcification is common, severe and significantly associated with ischemic cardiovascular disease in adult ESRD patients. The dysregulation of mineral metabolism in ESRD may influence vascular calcification risk.

Ethnic differences in coronary atherosclerosis

OBJECTIVES

The study was done to evaluate whether ethnic differences exist in the prevalence of coronary artery calcification (CAC), and to determine whether differences in calcification correlate with the degree of coronary obstruction.

BACKGROUND

Electron beam tomography (EBT) can be used to quantitate the amount of CAC and assist in prognostication of future cardiac events. It is unclear whether ethnic differences in coronary mortality are related to differences in the prevalence of coronary obstruction and CAC.

METHODS

A total of 782 symptomatic subjects underwent both EBT and angiography. A 50% luminal narrowing defined an angiographic obstruction.

RESULTS

We observed substantial ethnic differences in prevalence of both CAC and angiographic stenosis. In whites (n = 453), prevalence of CAC (score >0) was 84%, and significant obstruction on angiogram was 71%. Compared with whites, blacks (n = 108) had a significantly lower prevalence of CAC (62%, p < 0.001) and angiographic disease (49%, p < 0.01). Hispanics (n = 177) also had a lower prevalence of CAC (71%, p < 0.001) and angiographic obstruction (58%, p < 0.01). Asians (n = 44) were not significantly different in regard to CAC (73%, p = 0.06) or angiographic stenosis (64%, p = 0.30). These ethnic differences remained after simultaneously controlling (by use of multiple logistic regression) for age, gender and cardiac risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

As compared with whites, blacks and Hispanics had significantly lower prevalence of CAC and obstructive coronary disease. Ethnic differences in risk-factor profiles do not explain these differences. This study demonstrated that whites have a higher atherosclerotic burden than blacks and Hispanics, independent of risk-factor differences among symptomatic patients referred for angiography.

Medial artery calcification in ESRD patients is associated with deposition of bone matrix proteins

BACKGROUND

In non-ESRD patients, recent studies have demonstrated that the process of vascular calcification resembles developmental osteogenesis. Patients with ESRD are known to have excessive vascular calcification, but this has previously been attributed to the non-cell-mediated process of metastatic calcification.

METHODS

To determine if the calcification observed in patients with ESRD is related to a cell-mediated process, we removed a piece of inferior epigastric artery at the time of renal transplant. Calcium content of the entire vessel was quantified with spiral computed tomography (CT). The vessel was then examined histologically for calcification and the presence of bone matrix proteins by immunohistochemistry, and medial and intimal thickness quantified by histomorphometry. These findings were correlated with demographic, clinical and laboratory values.

RESULTS

The proximal inferior epigastric artery was obtained from 41 patients undergoing renal transplantation, but two were inadequate for histologic examination. Twenty-seven of the remaining vessels had no evidence of calcification by MacNeal's or Alizarin red pH 4.2 staining, five vessels had mild/moderate calcification, and seven had severe calcification, all in the medial layer. Calcification assessed histologically was closely correlated with calcification score as assessed by spiral CT, normalized for vessel weight (P=0.027). Positive immunostaining for the bone matrix proteins osteopontin, type I collagen, bone sialoprotein, and alkaline phosphatase was strongly correlated with calcification (all P < or = 0.001), as was a history of coronary artery disease (P < 0.001), and diabetes (P=0.034). The calcification score by spiral CT correlated with these same factors and the serum phosphorus and calcium x phosphorus product (P=0.032 and 0.037). The location of immunostaining for the bone proteins was strongly associated with the presence of calcification. However, positive immunostaining also was observed in association with disorganization of the vascular smooth muscle cells in the medial layer due to deposition of a matrix-like substance, prior to overt calcification.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with ESRD undergoing renal transplantation, vascular calcification of the medial layer of the inferior epigastric artery is common (44%), can be detected by spiral CT, and is associated with deposition of bone matrix proteins. This implies an active cell-mediated process, raising hope that directed intervention can arrest this process.

Stroke is associated with coronary calcification as detected by electron-beam CT: the Rotterdam Coronary Calcification Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Coronary calcification as detected by electron-beam CT measures the atherosclerotic plaque burden and has been reported to predict coronary events. Because atherosclerosis is a generalized process, coronary calcification may also be associated with manifest atherosclerotic disease at other sites of the vascular tree. We examined whether coronary calcification as detected by electron-beam CT is related to the presence of stroke.

METHODS

From 1997 onward, subjects were invited to participate in the prospective Rotterdam Coronary Calcification Study and undergo electron-beam CT to detect coronary calcification. The study was embedded in the population-based Rotterdam Study. Calcifications were quantified in a calcium score according to Agatston's method. Calcium scores were available for 2013 subjects (mean age [SD], 71 [5.7] years). Fifty subjects had experienced stroke before scanning.

RESULTS

Subjects were 2 times more likely to have experienced stroke when their calcium score was between 101 and 500 (odds ratio [OR], 2.1; 95% CI, 0.9 to 4.7) and 3 times more likely when their calcium score was above 500 (OR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.5 to 7.2), compared with subjects in the lowest calcium score category (0 to 100). Additional adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors did not materially alter the risk estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

In this population-based study, a markedly graded association was found between coronary calcification and stroke. The results suggest that coronary calcification as detected by electron-beam CT may be useful to identify subjects at high risk of stroke.

High coronary artery calcium scores pose an extremely elevated risk for hard events

OBJECTIVES

We sought to assess the natural history of a cohort of asymptomatic individuals with very high (> or = 1,000) calcium scores (CSs) on a screening electron beam tomography (EBT) not submitted to further testing after the initial scan. We also compared the outcome of our prospective cohort with that of historical controls with severe abnormalities on myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI).

BACKGROUND

Coronary calcium detected on EBT imaging has been shown to correlate with the total plaque burden. However, there is still controversy as to the prognostic significance of calcium, as some investigators believe that the presence of coronary calcification may stabilize the atherosclerotic plaque.

METHODS

Ninety-eight asymptomatic subjects (mean age: 62 +/- 10) were followed for an average of 17 +/- 11 months (range: 4 to 36 months) after undergoing EBT screening for the occurrence of hard coronary events (HCEs), defined as myocardial infarction or coronary death. All patients had an initial CS > or = 1,000, and in none did the results of the EBT screening lead to further invasive or non-invasive testing.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period, 35 patients (36%) suffered an HCE. All events were recorded in the first 28 months of follow-up. Subjects with HCEs had higher initial CSs than subjects not suffering HCEs (1,561 +/- 270 vs. 1,199 +/- 200, p < 0.001). The annualized event rate in subjects with a CS > or = 1,000 was significantly greater than that of historical controls with severe perfusion abnormalities on MPI (25% vs. 7.4%, respectively; p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

A high CS (> or = 1,000) on a screening EBT in an asymptomatic person portends a very high risk of an HCE in the short term. This risk appears to be greater than the risk associated with a severe perfusion abnormality on MPI.

Detection of subclinical cardiovascular disease: the emerging role of electron beam computed tomography

BACKGROUND

Although extraordinary advances have been made in the management of advanced coronary artery disease, little progress has been made in its prevention. Traditional screening methods utilizing risk factor profiles and exercise treadmill tests have failed to identify populations who will subsequently have coronary events with a high degree of predictive accuracy.

METHODS

We review the pathobiologic basis and clinical utility of electron beam computed tomography (EBCT) to detect coronary artery calcium as a screening tool for subclinical coronary artery disease. Because EBCT is able to perform subsecond imaging of the heart, it can detect and quantitate coronary artery calcium with a high degree of precision. Coronary artery calcium is a marker of complex atherosclerosis.

RESULTS

Over 4,000 asymptomatic patients in several series have been studied with EBCT and followed prospectively for an average of 42 months (range 37-72 months). A positive scan is associated with a risk ratio for future coronary events of 8.7 (95% confidence interval 2.67 to 28.13). These data indicate that EBCT has the ability to detect subclinical coronary artery disease and predict future coronary events better than any previous existing method or technology.

CONCLUSION

EBCT coronary artery screening may prove to be a valuable adjunct to the traditional methods for the detection of subclinical coronary artery disease and to identify those who would benefit from focused preventive therapies.

Association of multiple risk factors and insulin resistance with increased prevalence of asymptomatic coronary artery disease by an electron-beam computed tomographic study

The insulin resistance syndrome, consisting of resistance to insulin and several metabolic abnormalities, is associated with an increased risk of symptomatic coronary artery disease. Asymptomatic persons with increased coronary calcification have increased coronary plaque and an increased likelihood of future cardiovascular events. Electron-beam computed tomography-derived coronary artery calcium scores, metabolic and anthropometric parameters, and fasting and stimulated concentrations of glucose and insulin were measured in 1160 asymptomatic men and women. Coronary artery calcium scores were positively correlated with glucose, insulin, and homeostasis model assessment (HOMA) insulin resistance. Calcium scores were positively correlated with intra-abdominal adiposity, age, total cholesterol/high density lipoprotein (HDL) ratio, low density lipoprotein, triglycerides, blood pressure, and HOMA beta cell function and inversely correlated with HDL and peripheral fat. These correlations, except for 2-hour glucose, remained significant for all subjects with fasting serum glucose <126 mg/dL or all subjects with fasting serum glucose 110 mg/dL. In a multivariate analysis, age, sex, family history of premature coronary artery disease, intra-abdominal adiposity, low density lipoprotein, and smoking independently predicted calcium scores. Blood pressure, HDL, triglycerides, glucose, insulin, and HOMA insulin resistance or beta cell function were not independently correlated with coronary artery calcium scores. Asymptomatic individuals with insulin resistance have elevated coronary calcium scores. The association between insulin resistance and coronary calcification persists with impaired glucose tolerance and normal fasting serum glucose. Central/visceral adiposity may be a determinant of insulin resistance and atherosclerosis even in asymptomatic nondiabetic persons.

Recent advances in multifactorial regulation of vascular calcification

Calcification presents important clinical implications in cardiovascular diseases, especially in coronary arteries. Epidemiological evidence has shown the coexistence of vascular calcification with both atherosclerosis and osteoporosis, and increasing evidence has shown the role of hyperlipidemia and atherogenic phospholipids in vascular calcification. The etiology of vascular calcification is also increasingly recognized as an active process. Vascular calcification initiates with matrix vesicle formation and mineralization following a process similar to that in bone. In addition, many bone regulatory factors have been shown to be present in calcified atherosclerotic lesions. In this review, we focus on the new developments emerging during the past year in regulation of vascular calcification. Regulatory factors include matrix GLA protein, the phosphate cotransporter Pit-1, a calcium-sensing receptor related factor, osteoprotegerin, leptin, bisphosphonates and oxidized lipids. Some of these, including oxidized lipids, osteoprotegerin, and bisphosphonates, appear to regulate mineralization in both bone and vasculature and may account for the co-existence of osteoporosis and atherosclerotic calcification that is independent of age.

New developments in atherosclerosis imaging: electron beam tomography

Recently published data have greatly expanded the applicability of electron beam tomography (EBT) and electron beam angiography (EBA). The prognostic power of coronary artery calcium scoring for cardiac events and associated obstructive disease far surpasses that of conventional risk factors, and will increasingly be incorporated into risk assessment and treatment guidelines. EBT leads to the identification of treatable, non-low-density lipoprotein metabolic disorders that contribute to plaque formation, and to appropriate selection of stress test candidates. Change in calcium score can be used to assess the efficacy of lipid therapy and will serve as a surrogate marker in drug studies. EBA provides effective, noninvasive visualization of native coronary arteries and bypass grafts.

Metabolic disorders contribute to subclinical coronary atherosclerosis in patients with coronary calcification

This investigation determined the prevalence of low-density lipoprotein (LDL) subclass distribution abnormalities, elevated lipoprotein(a) (Lp(a)), and elevated total plasma homocysteine in asymptomatic subjects with subclinical coronary artery disease determined by electron beam tomography (EBT). Fifty-five percent of subjects were classified as higher risk patients and 45% as lower risk patients, employing the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) lipid criteria. EBT was performed in 296 consecutive asymptomatic subjects, and blood was analyzed for total, LDL, and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, triglycerides, LDL subclass distribution by S(3) gradient gel electrophoresis, Lp(a), and total homocysteine. Disorders of LDL subclass distribution were the most common disorder with 60.6% of the population expressing a distribution in the small regions IIIa + IIIb of >20%; and this was more common in the NCEP higher risk group (LDL cholesterol > or =130 and/or HDL cholesterol <35 mg/dl) (p <0.0004). A Lp(a) value >25 mg/dl was found significantly more often in the NCEP higher (36.9%) compared with lower (14.3%) risk group (p <0.001). None of the laboratory measurements correlated with the calcium score or calcium score percentile rank, with the exception of a weak correlation of mean LDL peak particle diameter and calcium percentile (r = 0.14, p = 0.02). Determination of metabolic disorders in addition to LDL cholesterol and HDL cholesterol increased the diagnostic yield from 55.1%, based on NCEP lipid criteria, to 84.1% with the addition of LDL subclass distribution, Lp(a), and total homocysteine. We conclude that: (1) disorders of LDL subclass distribution and elevated Lp(a) occur frequently in NCEP higher risk patients with subclinical coronary artery disease and are the only identifiable disorders in lower NCEP risk patients; and (2) electron beam tomographic evaluation and determination of LDL subclass distribution and Lp(a) should be considered for incorporation into primary prevention guidelines.

Lipid disorders and plaque imaging

Electron-beam tomography (EBT) plaque imaging has the potential to fundamentally change the practice of prevention, through application of the following principles: (1) Asymptomatic patients with significant calcified plaque should be considered to have a clinical coronary artery disease risk equivalent. (2) Measurement of nontraditional parameters should be incorporated into the evaluation of patients with calcified plaque. (3) Drug treatment should focus on the asymptomatic patient with subclinical atherosclerosis. (4) Change in plaque rather than change in lipid values should guide treatment.

Electron-beam computed tomography: a Bayesian approach to risk assessment

The epidemic of coronary artery disease continues to affect a large number of individuals who often experience sudden and unexpected events. This underscores the need to develop more effective programs to detect silent atherosclerosis, with the ultimate goal of preventing coronary events. The use of conventional risk factors is helpful in assessing the median risk of a population, but it is often unsatisfactory in estimating the actual risk of an individual patient. As a consequence, newer imaging modalities are being developed to detect atherosclerosis in its early developmental phases. Technologies such as electron-beam computed tomography (EBCT) may render risk stratification more accurate if used in the appropriate patient populations and with the right diagnostic approach. Several studies have already demonstrated the power of coronary calcification as a strong predictor of future cardiovascular events. Nonetheless, the medical literature is currently pervaded by an animated debate, as some investigators still have concerns about the effectiveness of a preventive approach driven by technology. The use of Bayesian models to interpret data acquired with EBCT screening may provide practitioners with valuable evidence to aid in their decision making.

Screening patients with chest pain in the emergency department using electron beam tomography: a follow-up study

OBJECTIVES

The high sensitivity of electron beam tomography (EBT) in the detection of coronary artery calcium (CAC) and obstructive coronary artery disease prompted us to investigate the association between CAC detection and future cardiac events in patients with acute chest pain syndromes requiring hospitalization.

BACKGROUND

Three studies have documented that EBT is a rapid and efficient screening tool for patients admitted to the emergency department (ED) with chest pain, but there is a paucity of long-term follow-up data on these chest pain patients.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective observational study of 192 patients admitted to the ED of a large tertiary care hospital for chest pain syndromes. Upon admission, patients underwent EBT scanning in addition to the usual care for chest pain syndromes. During the 17-month enrollment period, 221 patients were scanned (54% men with a mean age of 53 +/- 9 years). Average follow-up was 50 +/- 10 months using chart review.

RESULTS

Fifty-eight patients had coronary events confirmed by a blinded medical record review. The presence of CAC (a total calcium score >0) and increasing score quartiles were strongly related to the occurrence of hard cardiac events including myocardial infarction and death (p < 0.001) and all cardiovascular events (p < 0.001). Stratification by age- and gender-matching further increased the prognostic ability of EBT (for scores above vs. below the age- and gender-matched CAC scores; odds ratio: 13.1, 95% confidence intervals: 5.62, 35.9).

CONCLUSIONS

These data support previous reports demonstrating that the presence of CAC in a symptomatic cohort is a strong predictor of future cardiac events. This study supports the use of EBT in a symptomatic cohort with prompt discharge of those patients with negative scans. Furthermore, the absence of CAC is associated with a very low risk of future cardiac risk events in this population over the subsequent seven years (annual event rate <1%).

Electron beam tomography and National Cholesterol Education Program guidelines in asymptomatic women

OBJECTIVES

This investigation was designed to determine the relationship between National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) ATP-II lipid guidelines and subclinical atherosclerosis, defined by electron beam tomography (EBT) calcified coronary plaque, in asymptomatic women.

BACKGROUND

NCEP guidelines are used to identify women at increased risk for coronary artery disease (CAD) on the basis of low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDLC) and high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDLC) values. The relationship of the guidelines to subclinical atherosclerosis is unknown.

METHODS

A total of 304 asymptomatic women underwent lipid and EBT evaluation and were classified as: 1) NCEP higher risk, with LDLC > or =130 mg/dl and/or HDLC <35 mg/dl, or lower risk with LDLC <130 mg/dl and HDLC > or =35 mg/dl; and 2) EBT+ if any calcified plaque was noted or EBT- if there was no calcified plaque.

RESULTS

Forty-two percent of patients were EBT+, with a mean score of 227 and percentile of 73%; 58% were EBT-. Women who were EBT+ had significantly higher total cholesterol, LDLC and triglycerides than EBT- women, but only with ages < or =55 years; women >55 years demonstrated no differences. NCEP higher risk women made up 53.5% of the EBT+ and 37.7% of the EBT- groups; NCEP lower risk women accounted for 46.5% of the EBT+ and 62.3% of the EBT- groups. Assuming a higher risk in subjects with EBT-defined subclinical CAD than in those without, only 58.6% of the total group would be correctly identified by NCEP guidelines as either higher or lower risk, with correct identification of 65.5% of the younger and 52.2% of the older women. There was no correlation between either calcium percentile or score and any lipid measurement.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates the shortcomings of employing NCEP guidelines to identify asymptomatic women with subclinical CAD, particularly women >55 years, and suggests increased utilization of EBT for primary prevention in the female population.

Familial aggregation of coronary artery calcium in families with type 2 diabetes

Type 2 diabetes is widely recognized as a major risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, including subclinical atherosclerosis as measured by noninvasive procedures. However, the role of genetic factors that contribute to various measures of subclinical atherosclerosis is largely unknown. We hypothesize that subclinical atherosclerosis, measured as coronary artery calcification (CAC), will be extensive in individuals with type 2 diabetes and that its presence depends on both genetic and environmental factors. The genetic factors should result in the familial aggregation of CAC. To determine the extent of familial aggregation of CAC in the presence of type 2 diabetes, we studied 122 individuals with type 2 diabetes (mean age 60 years) and 13 individuals without diabetes in 56 families. CAC was measured by fast-gated helical computed tomography. Other measured factors included blood pressure, body size, lipids, HbA1c, and self-reported medical history. To test for an association between CAC and these factors while accounting for the potential familial correlation of CAC, generalized estimating equations were used. CAC was detectable in 80% of individuals with diabetes (median score 84, range 0-5,776). Extent of CAC, adjusted for age, was positively associated with male sex (P = 0.0003), reduced HDL (P = 0.02), albumin-to-creatinine ratio (P = 0.008), and cigarette pack-years (P = 0.03). CAC was also positively associated with a history of angina, myocardial infarction, stroke, and vascular procedures (all P < 0.01). HbA1c and fasting glucose were positively, but nonsignificantly, associated with the extent of CAC (P = 0.14 and 0.08, respectively). CAC, adjusted for age, sex, race, and diabetes status, was heritable (h2 = 0.50; P = 0.009). In multivariate analysis with additional adjustment for HDL, BMI, hypertension, and smoking, h2 = 0.40 (P = 0.038). These results suggest that strong (independent) genetic factors as well as environmental factors contribute to the variance of CAC in individuals with type 2 diabetes. In these data, CAC seems heritable and may serve as an important feature in designing studies to map genes contributing to both atherosclerosis and type 2 diabetes.

Use of electron beam tomography data to develop models for prediction of hard coronary events

BACKGROUND

Prediction of hard cardiac events (myocardial infarction and coronary death) remains difficult in spite of the identification of several relevant risk factors for the development of coronary artery disease (CAD). New indicators of risk might add to our predictive ability. We used measures of coronary artery calcification (CAC) found by electron beam tomography (EBT) imaging to develop prediction models for hard cardiac events alone and in association with traditional risk factors for CAD.

METHODS

Two groups of patients were studied: group A, 676 asymptomatic patients (mean age 52 years, 51% men) prospectively followed up for 32 +/- 7 months after being referred by primary care physicians for a screening EBT, and group B, 10,122 asymptomatic patients screened by EBT at one center and used as controls for calculation of calcium score nomograms.

RESULTS

The occurrence of hard events in group A patients was related to traditional risk factors for CAD, presence of CAC (score >0), Ln (1 + absolute calcium score [CS]), and age- and sex-specific CS percentiles (CS%). Univariate analyses showed that age, smoking, diabetes mellitus, presence of CAC, Ln (1 + absolute CS), and CS% were predictive of hard events (all P <.05). Multiple logistic regression analyses demonstrated that CS% was the only significant predictor of events and provided incremental prognostic value when added to traditional risk factors for CAD (chi-square, P <.001). In a comparison of receiver-operator characteristic curves for prediction of hard events, the area under the curve for CS% plus conventional risk factors and age was significantly larger than that obtained by use of traditional risk factors and age separately as predictors (0.84 vs 0.71, respectively, P <.001). Furthermore, the area under the curve of CS% alone was significantly larger than that of traditional risk factors and age combined (0.82 vs 0.71, P =.028).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients are usually selected for EBT screening on the basis of the presence of conventional risk factors for CAD. However, an age- and sex-specific calcium score provides the best predictive model for the occurrence of hard coronary events and adds incremental prognostic information to conventional risk factors for CAD.