British Regional Heart Study: cardiovascular risk factors in middle-aged men in 24 towns

Randomised controlled trial evaluating cardiovascular screening and intervention in general practice: principal results of British family heart study. Family Heart Study Group

OBJECTIVE

To measure the change in cardiovascular risk factors achievable in families over one year by a cardiovascular screening and lifestyle intervention in general practice.

DESIGN

Randomised controlled trial in 26 general practices in 13 towns in Britain.

SUBJECTS

12,472 men aged 40-59 and their partners (7460 men and 5012 women) identified by household.

INTERVENTION

Nurse led programme using a family centred approach with follow up according to degree of risk.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

After one year the pairs of practices were compared for differences in (a) total coronary (Dundee) risk score and (b) cigarette smoking, weight, blood pressure, and random blood cholesterol and glucose concentrations.

RESULTS

In men the overall reduction in coronary risk score was 16% (95% confidence interval 11% to 21%) in the intervention practices at one year. This was partitioned between systolic pressure (7%), smoking (5%), and cholesterol concentration (4%). The reduction for women was similar. For both sexes reported cigarette smoking at one year was lower by about 4%, systolic pressure by 7 mm Hg, diastolic pressure by 3 mm Hg, weight by 1 kg, and cholesterol concentration by 0.1 mmol/l, but there was no shift in glucose concentration. Weight, blood pressure, and cholesterol concentration showed the greatest difference at the top of the distribution. If maintained long term the differences in risk factors achieved would mean only a 12% reduction in risk of coronary events.

CONCLUSIONS

As most general practices are not using such an intensive programme the changes in coronary risk factors achieved by the voluntary health promotion package for primary care are likely to be even smaller. The government's screening policy cannot be justified by these results.

Lipids and cardiac arrhythmia

In any discussion of lipids and heart disease it is beneficial from the outset to recognise that at least three different pathological processes may be involved. The first of these is atherosclerosis which involves the deposition of "fat" in the coronary vessels, another is thrombogenesis which describes the formation of blood clots in the coronary vessels, and the third is arrhythmia which refers to disorders in the beating of the heart which may become sufficiently serious to cause sudden cardiac death (SCD). Also it is this disturbance in the rhythmic beating of the heart which is responsible for much of the mortality from 'heart attacks' which occur 'outside-of-hospital' in societies like U.S.A., U.K. and Australia. It is this latter condition of cardiac arrhythmia which is the major concern of this review. Because it is often difficult to differentiate the role of lipids in 'heart disease' in man, it has frequently been assumed that all dietary fatty acids have similar effects on the different processes involved, and many unwarranted generalisations have been made which have led to conflicts of opinion amongst physicians and confusion in the lay public. From the animal studies discussed in this review, it is apparent that dietary fatty acids have an important role to play in determining the vulnerability of the myocardium to develop serious ventricular fibrillation (VF) and potentially lethal cardiac arrhythmia. In general, diets rich in saturated fatty acids promote a state of myocardial vulnerability, whilst diets rich in PUFA significantly diminish the probability of developing lethal disorders in cardiac rhythm when the heart is placed under pharmacological (or emotional) stress, or deprived of sufficient blood flow and supply of oxygen. Very recent experiments with the monounsaturated fatty acid (MUFA) oleic acid clearly demonstrate that, at least in rats subjected to ligation of their coronary artery, this acid is not 'neutral' as has been suggested by some for its role in atherosclerosis, but in fact is indistinguishable from saturated fatty acids in its effect in promoting arrhythmia during either regional ischaemia or reperfusion arrhythmia in this animal model of SCD.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)

Socioeconomic status and coronary heart disease risk factor trends. The Minnesota Heart Survey

BACKGROUND

Socioeconomic status (SES) indicators including education, income, and occupation are associated with coronary heart disease (CHD) risk factors, morbidity, and mortality. In most industrialized nations, individuals with less education, lower income, and blue collar occupations have the highest CHD rates. It is suggested by some that these differences by SES are increasing even as age-adjusted CHD mortality declines.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The Minnesota Heart Survey includes measurement of CHD risk factors and behaviors in population-based samples of Minneapolis-St. Paul adults aged 25 to 74 years in 1980 to 1982 (N = 3243) and 1985 to 1987 (N = 4538). Education was significantly and inversely related to blood pressure, cigarette smoking, body mass index, and a summary risk score for both men and women. Serum cholesterol was inversely related to education in women but not in men. Education was positively associated with leisure physical activity and health knowledge. Associations with household income were less consistent in magnitude and direction. Risk characteristics improved significantly between the 1980 to 1982 and 1985 to 1987 surveys. These changes were similar across education and household income levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Improvement in CHD risk factors over time unrelated to education or income suggests that population-wide factors such as improved health knowledge, availability of healthy food items, hypertension treatment, and restrictions on cigarette smoking are operating beneficially in all SES groups. Although the SES gradient in risk factors is not increasing, it remains substantial and indicates directions for future prevention efforts.

Smoking and hypertension

Coronary heart disease is the most common cause of death in hypertensives--about twice as common as stroke. Smoking increases this raised risk of hypertension by some 2 to 3 times. Surprisingly perhaps, this increased risk from smoking declines rapidly on quitting--within 2-3 years. Smoking increases the risks of vascular damage by increasing sympathetic tone, platelet stickiness and reactivity, free radical production, damage to endothelium, and by surges in arterial pressure. The latter may interfere with the action of some hypotensive agents. Persuading hypertensive patients not to smoke is the single most effective measure we can take to reduce their risk.

Association between impaired glucose tolerance and circulating concentration of Lp(a) lipoprotein in relation to coronary heart disease

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether impaired glucose tolerance and raised Lp(a) lipoprotein concentrations are associated in subjects with coronary artery disease.

DESIGN

Study of two subject populations, one with and one without symptomatic coronary artery disease. Case-control analysis of patients with impaired glucose tolerance and normal glucose tolerance performed in each subject population independently.

SETTING

A general practice and a hospital ward in Newcastle upon Tyne.

SUBJECTS

517 apparently healthy subjects, 13 with impaired glucose tolerance, and 245 patients who had undergone coronary artery bypass graft surgery 12 months before, 51 with impaired glucose tolerance.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Serum Lp(a) lipoprotein concentration, plasma glucose concentration before and after oral challenge with 75 g glucose monohydrate, and Lp(a) lipoprotein isoforms.

RESULTS

In both the asymptomatic subjects and the subjects with coronary artery disease there was no significant difference between subjects with impaired glucose tolerance and subjects with normal and body mass index in serum Lp(a) lipoprotein concentrations (geometric mean 61 (geometric SD 4) mg/l v 83 (5) mg/l for asymptomatic subjects, 175 (3) v 197 (2) for subjects with heart disease), nor was there any difference in the proportion of subjects who had Lp(a) lipoprotein concentrations > 300 mg/l (31% v 23% for asymptomatic subjects, 37% v 37% for subjects with heart disease). For both subject groups there was no significant correlation between Lp(a) lipoprotein concentration and plasma glucose concentration after a glucose tolerance test, nor did Lp(a) lipoprotein concentration vary by quintile of glucose concentration after the test. Examination of Lp(a) lipoprotein isoforms in the subjects with coronary artery disease revealed an inverse relation between isoform size and plasma Lp(a) lipoprotein concentration, but there was no evidence that impaired glucose tolerance was associated with particular Lp(a) lipoprotein isoforms.

CONCLUSION

Raised Lp(a) lipoprotein concentrations are not responsible for the association between impaired glucose tolerance and coronary artery disease.

Do places matter? A multi-level analysis of regional variations in health-related behaviour in Britain

A number of commentators have argued that there is a distinctive geography of health-related behaviour. Behaviour has to be understood not only in terms of individual characteristics, but also in relation to local cultures. Places matter, and the context in which behaviour takes place is crucial for understanding and policy. Previous empirical research has been unable to operationalize these ideas and take simultaneous account of both individual compositional and aggregate contextual factors. The present paper addresses this shortcoming through a multi-level analysis of smoking and drinking behaviours recorded in a large-scale national survey. It suggests that place, expressed as regional differences, may be less important than previously implied.

Risk factors for acute myocardial infarction among men in the subarctic area

OBJECTIVE

To describe and quantify the main risk factors for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) among males in the subarctic region of Sweden.

DESIGN

Case-control study comprising a questionnaire and a clinical examination.

SETTING

Kiruna, a town about 100 miles north of the Arctic Circle with a very high mortality from ischaemic heart disease.

SUBJECTS

219 patients 35 to 64 years of age admitted to Kiruna District Hospital with a first myocardial infarction between 1973 and 1985, and 438 age-matched controls.

RESULTS

The main risk factors for the whole group were hypertension (odds ratio [OR] 3.5), family history of AMI (OR 2.2), diabetes mellitus (OR 2.2), and smoking (OR 1.7). The distribution and strength of the risk factors differed between Kiruna-born and migrants into the community.

CONCLUSION

Apart from the traditional risk factors, environmental and psycho-social factors and population dynamics must be taken into account when assessing the risk for a man in Kiruna of developing a myocardial infarction.

Heart rate, ischaemic heart disease, and sudden cardiac death in middle-aged British men

OBJECTIVE

To examine the relation between resting heart rate and new major ischaemic heart disease events in middle aged men with and without pre-existing ischaemic heart disease.

DESIGN

Prospective study of a cohort of men with eight years follow up for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality for all men.

SETTING

General practices in 24 British towns (the British Regional Heart study).

SUBJECTS

7735 men aged 40-59 years drawn at random from the age-sex registers of one general practice in each town.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Major ischaemic heart disease events such as sudden cardiac death, other deaths attributed to ischaemic heart disease, and non-fatal myocardial infarction.

RESULTS

During the follow up period of eight years, 488 men had a major ischaemic heart disease event (217 fatal and 271 non-fatal). Of these, 117 were classified as sudden cardiac death (death within one hour of the start of symptoms). The relation between heart rate and risk of all major ischaemic heart disease events, ischaemic heart disease deaths, and sudden cardiac death was examined separately in men with and without pre-existing ischaemic heart disease. In men with no evidence of ischaemic heart disease, there was a strong positive association between resting heart rate and age adjusted rates of all major ischaemic heart disease events (fatal and non-fatal), ischaemic heart disease deaths, and sudden cardiac death. This association remained significant even after adjustment for age, systolic blood pressure, blood cholesterol, smoking, social class, heavy drinking, and physical activity, with particularly high risk in those with heart rate > or = 90 beats/min. The increased risk seen in those with increased heart rate was largely due to a significantly increased risk of sudden cardiac death, which was five times higher than in those with heart rate < 60 beats/min. The effect of heart rate on sudden cardiac death was present irrespective of blood pressure or smoking state. In men with pre-existing ischaemic heart disease a positive association was seen between raised heart rate and risk of all major ischaemic heart disease events, ischaemic heart disease death, and sudden cardiac death, but the effect was less noticeable than in men without pre-existing ischaemic heart disease.

CONCLUSION

In this study of middle aged British men increased heart rate > or = 90 beats/min) is a risk factor for fatal ischaemic heart disease events but particularly for sudden cardiac death. The effect is not dependent on the presence of other established coronary risk factors and is most clearly seen in men free of pre-existing ischaemic heart disease at initial examination.

Ethnic differences in risk markers for heart disease in Bradford and implications for preventive strategies

OBJECTIVES

To assess and compare the prevalence of established risk markers for ischaemic heart disease in a sample of Asian and non-Asian men and to relate these observations to preventive strategies.

SETTING

Two factories in the textile industry in Bradford, West Yorkshire, UK. Subjects--288 male manual workers aged 20 to 65 years.

DESIGN

Cross sectional study within one occupational/social class stratum.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Age, body mass index, plasma lipids, fibrinogen and serum insulin values, blood pressure, smoking habits, alcohol consumption, and exercise routines were recorded. Plasma total cholesterol concentrations were significantly lower in Asian than non-Asian men (5.3 mmol/l v 5.8 mmol/l respectively, p < 0.0001), as were low density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations (3.4 mmol/l v 3.7 mmol/l, p = 0.0150), and high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol (1.1 mmol/l v 1.3 mmol/l, p < 0.0001). Hypercholesterolaemia (concentration > 6.5mM) was present in nearly one quarter of non-Asians but less than one eighth of Asian men. Triglyceride values were not significantly higher in Asians. Smoking rates were high in non-Asians (43.8%) and only slightly lower in Asians (39.1%). Asian smokers smoked fewer cigarettes per day on average (9.3 v 16.1, p = 0.0001). Almost a quarter of non-Asian men (23.1%) and 26.6% of Asian men had raised blood pressure. Systolic pressures were higher in non-Asian men (138.3 mmHg v 133.0 mmHg, p = 0.0070), but diastolic pressures showed no ethnic differences. Diabetes was more prevalent in Asian men (10.9% v 4.4% p < 0.05), who also showed higher serum insulin concentrations after glucose loading (22.3 mU/l v 10.2 mU/l, p < 0.0001). Plasma fibrinogen values were higher in non-Asian men (2.9 g/l v 2.6 g/l, p < 0.0001) and these were associated with smoking. Nearly all non-Asians (92.5%) consumed alcohol at some time whereas 62.5% of Asians habitually abstained from alcohol consumption. Among the drinkers, non-Asian men consumed on average, 23.9 units per week and Asian men 18.4 units per week (p = 0.083). The mean body mass index for Asian men was 24.5 kg/m2 which was not significantly different to the mean in non-Asian men (25.2 kg/m2). The frequency of exercise in leisure time was low in both groups with 44.4% of non-Asian and 21.1% of Asian men taking moderate exercise weekly, and even fewer, regular strenuous exercise (16.3% and 8.6% respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The plasma cholesterol and fibrinogen concentrations, prevalence of hypertension, smoking habits, alcohol intakes, and infrequency of exercise in leisure time in these non-Asian men in Bradford were consistent with an increased risk of heart disease. The pattern of risk markers was clearly different in Asian men. Only their lower HDL cholesterol concentrations, marginally higher triglyceride values, higher prevalence of diabetes, and very low frequency of exercise in leisure time would be consistent with a higher risk of heart disease compared with non-Asians. The implications of these observations for heart disease preventive strategies are discussed.

Screen detected high blood pressure under 40: a general practice population followed up for 21 years

OBJECTIVE

To assess hypertension detected under 40 in a general practice population.

DESIGN

Prospective case-control study.

SETTING AND SUBJECTS

Former coal mining community in south Wales. Systematic case finding for hypertension and associated risk factors applied to a mean total population of 1945 from age 20 on a five year cycle through 21 years. Mean population aged 20-39, 227 men and 213 women. Case criteria: age < 40 and mean systolic pressure > or = 160 mm Hg or diastolic pressure > or = 100 mm Hg. Age and sex matched controls randomly sampled from the same population.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Mean initial pressures and pressures at follow up in 1989 or preceding death, and all cardiovascular events.

RESULTS

25 men and 16 women met criteria. Estimated five yearly inceptions were 26/1000 for men and 18/1000 for women. Male group mean initial blood pressure was 164/110 mm Hg for cases, falling to 148/89 mm Hg at follow up. Five male cases died at mean age 47.8, compared with two controls at 49.5. Female group mean initial pressure was 172/107 mm Hg for cases, falling to 145/86 mm Hg at follow up. One female case died aged 50, no controls. 10 male cases had non-fatal cardiovascular events at mean age 40.2, compared with two controls at mean age 50.5. Four female cases had non-fatal events at mean age 47.2, compared with one control aged 58. Male differences were statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Hypertension under 40 is dangerous, commoner in men than women, rarely secondary to classic causes, and may be controlled in general practice on a whole community basis.

The independent roles of diet and serum lipids in the 20th-century rise and decline of coronary heart disease mortality

Risk factors are causally related to coronary heart disease (CHD), but in widely varying historic, geographic, socioeconomic, and individual relationships. Serum cholesterol is only one of many risk factors that, even when considered together in prospective studies, account for well under half of the CHD incidence. It is neither primarily regulated by the diet nor significantly related to it. Many findings discordant with widespread beliefs about a causal role of the diet in CHD are reviewed. It may be concluded that dietary fats are largely not responsible for relationships of serum cholesterol to CHD, or for its 20th-century rise and decline.

Alcohol and sudden cardiac death

OBJECTIVE

To assess the relation between alcohol intake and sudden cardiac death--ie, death within one hour of the onset of symptoms.

DESIGN

Prospective study of a cohort of men followed up for eight years.

SETTING

General practices in 24 towns in England, Wales, and Scotland.

SUBJECTS

7735 men aged 40-59 at screening who were selected at random from one general practice in each of 24 towns.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

All deaths from ischaemic heart disease with particular reference to those that were sudden (death within one hour of the onset of symptoms).

RESULTS

During the follow up period of eight years there were 217 deaths from ischaemic heart disease of which 117 (54%) were classified as sudden. Although heavy drinkers (more than six drinks daily) did not show a high incidence rate of fatal heart attack, they showed the highest incidence rate of sudden cardiac death. This was seen in both manual and non-manual workers and was most clearly seen in older (50-59) men. Death from ischaemic heart disease was more likely to be sudden in heavy drinkers than in other drinking groups; this phenomenon was seen irrespective of the presence or degree of pre-existing ischaemic heart disease. The positive association between heavy drinking and the incidence of sudden death was most apparent in men without pre-existing ischaemic heart disease, with heavy drinkers showing an increase of > 60% compared with occasional or light drinkers. After adjustment for age, social class, and smoking, heavy drinkers free of pre-existing ischaemic heart disease had a marginally significantly higher incidence rates of sudden death than other drinkers combined (relative risk 2.00, 95% confidence interval 0.98 to 4.8). Additional adjustment for systolic blood pressure reduced the risk to 1.7.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that heavy drinking is associated with an increased risk of sudden death. Studies that do not take pre-existing ischaemic heart disease into account are likely to underestimate the adverse effects of heavy drinking on the incidence of sudden death because the effects are not as evident in men with pre-existing ischaemic heart disease.

Mortality in Glasgow and Edinburgh: a paradigm of inequality in health

STUDY OBJECTIVE

The aim was to describe, predict, and interpret mortality in Glasgow and Edinburgh.

DESIGN

The study was an analysis of all cause and cause specific mortality data for quinquennia based on census years between 1931 and 1981, linking age and sex specific mortality rates by year of birth, for people dying between the ages of 25 and 74 years.

SETTING

Glasgow and Edinburgh, Scotland.

MAIN RESULTS

Age and sex specific mortality rates declined steadily in Edinburgh and Glasgow during the period 1931-1981, with rates always being lower in Edinburgh than in Glasgow. Since 1961 log mortality rates have tended to rise linearly with age in both cities. In 1979-83, the population of Glasgow reached a given all cause mortality rate 3.9 years earlier in men and 3.6 years earlier in women than did the population of Edinburgh. These differences have increased, and are predicted to increase further, especially in men.

CONCLUSIONS

The current 40% cross sectional difference in mortality rates between the cities is largely determined by levels of mortality in early adulthood which provide a baseline for the subsequent rise in log mortality. Disease specific epidemiology provides a limited view of inequalities in health, and a partial basis for health promotion. Campaigns to alter disease risk profiles in adults should be complemented by measures operating earlier in life to reduce susceptibility to risk. Maternal and child health require greater priority in public health policy, particularly in areas of socioeconomic disadvantage.

Risk factors for coronary heart disease: a study in inner London

A survey was carried out among 281 men and women aged between 30 and 64 years randomly selected from five general practices located in the inner London borough of Tower Hamlets, to determine the prevalence of risk factors for coronary heart disease. Smoking and obesity were both more pronounced in Tower Hamlets than in comparable national studies: 51% of men and 44% of women were smokers and 57% of these were smoking 20 or more cigarettes per day. A body mass index of 30 or more was present in 18% of men and 10% of women and a body mass index of 25 or more in 71% of men and 49% of women. Two or more risk factors for coronary heart disease (smoking and/or hypertension and/or raised cholesterol levels) were present in 25% of men and 22% of women. For every person known by their general practitioner to have established cardiovascular disease, there were an additional two people also at risk on the basis of multiple risk factors. In this inner city population the prevalence of cardiovascular risk, for women as well as men, has major resource and organizational implications for primary care. A strategy for change requires action based on graded multiple risks for both men and women.

Atrial fibrillation: epidemiology and the risk and prevention of stroke

Atrial fibrillation is a common disorder and the incidence increases with each decade of life. Previously, rheumatic mitral valve disease has been the condition most highly associated with atrial fibrillation. However, with the decreasing incidence of rheumatic heart disease, other conditions have assumed greater importance and now congestive cardiac failure, coronary artery disease, and hypertension are the most commonly associated conditions. Nonrheumatic atrial fibrillation is associated with an approximately five-fold increase in the risk of ischemic stroke and a 5% to 7% yearly risk that increases with age. In addition, atrial fibrillation is associated with an increased incidence of silent cerebral infarction and increased mortality. However, whether atrial fibrillation is independently associated with the risk of stroke or is a marker of underlying cardiac disease is contentious. Until recently, the use of preventive therapy has been controversial. However, data from four recently published, prospective randomized studies clearly support the use of warfarin prophylaxis in nonrheumatic atrial fibrillation. Within the diverse group of patients with nonrheumatic atrial fibrillation there are high and low risk subgroups and identification of these may influence decisions regarding antithrombotic prophylaxis. With a few exceptions, however, this remains an area in which there are contradictory findings in the literature. The role of aspirin for prophylaxis in nonrheumatic atrial fibrillation remains unclear and further evaluation awaits the publication of ongoing studies.

Childhood blood pressure, body build, and birthweight: geographical associations with cardiovascular mortality

STUDY OBJECTIVE

The aim was to examine whether blood pressure, body build, and birthweight differ between areas of England and Wales with widely differing adult cardiovascular mortality rates.

DESIGN

This was a cross sectional survey of children in five towns with exceptionally high and five towns with exceptionally low current adult cardiovascular mortality.

SETTING

The study was a school based survey.

SUBJECTS

3842 children aged 5.0-7.5 years were selected by stratified random sampling of primary schools (response rate 76%).

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Blood pressure, pulse rate, height, and weight were measured and birthweight was assessed by maternal recall. Children in towns with high cardiovascular mortality rates were significantly shorter than those in towns with low cardiovascular mortality rates (mean difference 0.9 cm, 95% confidence interval 0.4 to 1.4 cm) and had slightly higher body mass indices (mean difference 0.12 kg/m2, 95% CI -0.03 to 0.27 kg/m2). Mean birthweights were slightly lower in high mortality towns (mean difference 34 g, 95% CI -10 to 78 g), while the proportion of children with low birthweight (< 2500 g) (8.1%) was significantly higher than that in low mortality towns (5.5%) (p = 0.005). Mean differences in blood pressure between high and low mortality towns were small and non-significant, even after adjustment for height. The differences in height between high and low mortality towns were largely independent of social class. However, differences in mean birthweight were markedly reduced once social class was taken into account.

CONCLUSIONS

No geographical relationship between childhood blood pressure and adult cardiovascular mortality was detected. Although it is possible that the differences in mean height and body mass index between towns with differing adult cardiovascular mortality may have implications for future patterns of health in these towns, the absence of marked differences in birthweight and blood pressure suggests that hypotheses proposing a direct relationship between intrauterine experience and adult cardiovascular mortality will have limited relevance to geographical variation in cardiovascular disease in this generation.

Smoking habits in psoriasis: a case control study

We have examined smoking habits in 108 patients with psoriasis, including some with palmoplantar distribution, and compared the results with matched controls from the community. There was a significant association between psoriasis, current smoking status (OR = 2.7, 95% CI 1.44-5.42, P less than 0.01) and smoking habits prior to the onset of disease (OR = 3.75, 95% CI 1.68-9.47, P less than 0.001). There was also a marked dose-response relationship; the relative risk of psoriasis in those currently smoking more than 20 cigarettes/day was significantly elevated (OR = 5.3, 95% CI 2.1-13.0, P less than 0.001). Separate analysis of patients without palmoplantar distribution of psoriasis showed a significant association with smoking prior to onset of psoriasis (OR = 3.6, 95% CI 1.5-9.8, P less than 0.001). Smoking may play a role in the aetiology of this common skin disorder.

Blood lipids: the relationship with alcohol intake, smoking, and body weight

STUDY OBJECTIVE

The aim was to assess the interrelationship between alcohol intake, cigarette smoking, body weight, and blood lipid concentrations.

DESIGN

This was the cross sectional (screening) phase of a prospective study. The main outcome measure was the blood lipids (serum total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, and triglycerides).

SETTING

General practices in 24 towns (The British Regional Heart Study).

SUBJECTS

Subjects were 7735 men aged 40-59 years, selected at random from the age-sex registers of one group practice in each of the 24 towns.

RESULTS

Univariate analysis showed little association between alcohol intake and total cholesterol, a strong positive relation with HDL cholesterol, and a significant increase in triglycerides in heavy drinkers. A strong positive association between alcohol intake and body weight was present in non-smokers but not in moderate/heavy smokers. With the exception of HDL cholesterol, the relationships between alcohol intake and serum lipids were significantly different in smokers and non-smokers, apparently due to the opposing effect of smoking on blood lipids and body weight. Total cholesterol and triglycerides were significantly and positively associated with alcohol intake in non-smokers, the cholesterol association being largely mediated by the influence of alcohol on body weight. In smokers, no such association was seen: current smokers who were heavy drinkers or non-drinkers had the lowest mean cholesterol levels.

CONCLUSIONS

The association between alcohol intake and body weight and alcohol intake and blood lipids are strongly conditioned by cigarette smoking. Simple standardisation for smoking in multivariate analyses may obscure the independent relationship with alcohol. These findings are of importance in studies seeking to relate alcohol intake, body weight, or cigarette smoking to blood lipid concentrations, or blood lipid concentration to morbidity or mortality.

Physical activity and stroke in British middle aged men

OBJECTIVES

To assess the relation between physical activity and stroke and to determine the overall benefit of physical activity for all major cardiovascular events.

DESIGN

Prospective study of a cohort of men followed up for 9.5 years.

SETTING

General practices in 24 towns in England, Wales, and Scotland (British regional heart study).

SUBJECTS

7735 men aged 40-59 at screening, selected at random from one general practice in each of 24 towns.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Fatal and non-fatal strokes and heart attacks.

RESULTS

128 major strokes (fatal and non-fatal) occurred. Physical activity was inversely associated with risk of stroke independent of coronary risk factors, heavy drinking, and pre-existing ischaemic heart disease or stroke (relative risk 1.0 for inactivity, 0.6 moderate activity, and 0.3 vigorous activity; test for trend p = 0.008). The association remained after excluding men reporting regular sporting (vigorous) activity. However, vigorous physical activity was associated with a marginally significant increased risk of heart attack compared with moderate or moderately vigorous activity in men with no pre-existing ischaemic heart disease or stroke (relative risk 1.6%; 95% confidence interval 0.96 to 2.8). In men with symptomatic ischaemic heart disease or stroke those doing moderately vigorous or vigorous activity had a risk of heart attack slightly higher than that in inactive men (relative risk = 1.6; 0.8 to 3.3).

CONCLUSIONS

Moderate physical activity significantly reduces the risk of stroke and heart attacks in men both with and without pre-existing ischaemic heart disease. More vigorous activity did not confer any further protection. Moderate activity, such as frequent walking and recreational activity or weekly sporting activity, should be encouraged without restriction.

Relation between insulinemia, body mass index, and lipoprotein composition in healthy, nondiabetic men and women

Altered lipoprotein composition may be a better predictor of cardiovascular disease than modestly increased serum lipid concentrations, although possible interactions between lipoprotein composition, obesity, and insulinemia have not been fully elucidated. Therefore, we investigated the association between different measures of insulinemia and lipoproteins in 297 healthy Caucasian men (body mass index [BMI] less than 27 in 233, greater than 27 [obese] in 64) and 295 healthy Caucasian women (BMI less than 25 in 198, greater than 25 [obese] in 97). Associations observed in both obese and nonobese men and women were between increasing tertiles of most insulin measures and serum triglyceride concentrations (p = 0.079-0.004) and the ratio of low density lipoprotein to high density lipoprotein cholesterol (p = 0.094-0.008). Graded reductions in the high density lipoprotein cholesterol to apolipoprotein A-I ratio were also recorded in obese women, with increasing tertiles of fasting (p = 0.014-0.007) and postglucose load (p = 0.001) serum insulin levels, after correcting for BMI and triglyceride concentrations. Less marked graded increases in the triglyceride to apolipoprotein B ratios were recorded in obese women with increasing tertiles of fasting (p = 0.001-0.006) and postglucose challenge (p = 0.081) insulinemic measures. In men with normal or slightly elevated cholesterol levels (fasting serum cholesterol less than 6.5 mmol/l), hyperapobetalipoproteinemia was recorded with increasing tertiles of insulinemia (p = 0.006, correcting for BMI and triglyceride concentrations), as well as in subjects with hypertriglyceridemia (fasting serum triglycerides greater than 1.70 mmol/l) (p = 0.004, correcting for BMI and age). Hyperinsulinemia and insulin resistance are associated with altered lipoprotein composition in obese women, presumably reflecting a complex interplay between sex hormones, body mass, and insulin action. Insulin resistance appears to be more associated with apolipoprotein B concentrations in men. The hyperinsulinemic nondiabetic subject may be at increased risk of cardiovascular disease because of altered concentrations of apolipoprotein concentrations and lipoprotein composition.

Microalbuminuria and associated cardiovascular risk factors in the community

The prevalence of microalbuminuria and relationship to cardiovascular risk factors was examined in a cross-sectional community survey of cardiovascular risk factors. Microalbuminuria (when classified as albumin concentration greater than 20 micrograms/ml) was present in 6.3% of subjects but in conjunction with an albumin/creatinine ratio greater than 3.5 in only 2.2%. Diastolic blood pressure, prevalence of abnormal electrocardiographs, and to a lesser extent systolic blood pressure and fibrinogen concentration, were greater in those with albuminuria concentrations greater than 20 micrograms/ml. The strongest positive univariate correlates of albumin/creatinine ratios in those with detectable albuminuria were age, fibrinogen, blood pressure, total- and low density lipoprotein-(LDL) cholesterol, apo B and alcohol intake, whereas fasting insulin and insulin resistance were inversely correlated. Multiple regression analysis revealed that age, gender, systolic blood pressure and insulin resistance independently accounted for 37% of the variability in albumin/creatinine ratios. When those 10 subjects with microalbuminuria and albumin/creatinine ratios greater than 3.5 were matched with 20 with normoalbuminuria for age, gender and body mass index, the microalbuminuric subjects had significantly lower LDL cholesterol/apo B ratios and a tendency to lower high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol and HDL cholesterol/apo A1 ratios. Microalbuminuria is uncommon in the general population, and is related to ageing, blood pressure and other vascular risk factors. It may reflect the presence of established cardiovascular disease.

Non-employment and changes in smoking, drinking, and body weight

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effect of unemployment and early retirement on cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, and body weight in middle aged British men.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study (British regional heart study).

SETTING

One general practice in 24 towns in Britain.

SUBJECTS

6057 men aged 40-59 who had been continuously employed for five years before the initial screening. Five years after screening 4412 men had been continuously employed and 1645 had experienced some unemployment or retired.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Numbers of cigarettes smoked and units of alcohol consumed per week and body mass index (kg/m2).

RESULTS

An initial screening significantly higher percentages of men who subsequently experienced non-employment smoked or had high alcohol consumption than of men who remained continuously employed: 43.0% versus 37.0% continuously employed for cigarette smoking (95% confidence interval for difference 3.2% to 9.0%) and 12.1% versus 9.0% for heavy drinking (1.3% to 5.1%). There was no evidence that men increased their smoking or drinking on becoming non-employed. Men non-employed through illness were significantly more likely to reduce their smoking and drinking than men who remained continuously employed. Men who experienced non-employment were significantly more likely to gain over 10% in weight than men who remained continuously employed: 7.5% versus 5.0% continuously employed (0.9% to 4.0%).

CONCLUSIONS

Loss of employment was not associated with increased smoking or drinking but was associated with an increased likelihood of gaining weight. The long term effects of the higher levels of smoking and alcohol consumption before nonemployment should be taken into account when comparing mortality and morbidity in groups of unemployed and employed people.

The leukocyte count and risk of lung cancer

The association between leukocyte count and subsequent risk of lung cancer was evaluated in three large cohorts from the United States and Britain. A total of 309 lung cancer events occurred among 28,181 men whose cases were followed-up for 7 to 12 years. In all three cohorts, there was a marked increase in risk of lung cancer with increasing leukocyte count, after adjustment for age and the number of cigarettes smoked per day. The adjusted relative odds in the three cohorts, for a 2000/microliters difference in leukocyte count, were 1.58 (P = 0.0001), 1.29 (P = 0.003) and 1.20 (P = 0.02). These relative odds persisted when current smokers were considered alone, when serum markers of cigarette smoking exposure were adjusted for, and when men with lung cancer events during the first 5 years of follow-up were excluded. The leukocyte count appears to be linked to the pathogenesis of smoking-related lung cancer.

Interregional variations in measures of health from the Health and Lifestyle Survey and their relation with indicators of health care need in England

STUDY OBJECTIVE

The aim was to assess the extent to which a range of routinely available need indicators which have been suggested for use in NHS spatial resource allocation formulas were associated geographically in England with the different dimensions of population health status collected in the 1985/86 Health and Lifestyle Survey (HLS).

DESIGN

Regional health authorities were ranked according to each of the HLS health variables which varied significantly between authorities. The HLS health variables were regressed on a selection from the range of routinely available morbidity and socioeconomic indicators available from the 1981 census. The potential need indicators were also regressed on the health variables.

SETTING

The analyses were undertaken at individual level and at regional health authority level in England.

SUBJECTS

The study comprised the English component of the HLS random sample representative of the population in private households in Great Britain.

MAIN RESULTS

The different HLS health variables did not yield consistent regional health authority rankings. Among the variables, forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) and self assessed health appeared to be associated with most of the other health and need variables except longstanding illness. Longstanding illness was not strongly associated with any of the other HLS health variables but appeared to show some association with three deprivation indices constructed from the 1981 Census.

CONCLUSIONS

There may be a case for including a measure of chronic ill health in the new NHS system of capitated finance in addition to the all cause standardised mortality ratio which is used currently as a measure of need for health care.

The relation of fetal length, ponderal index and head circumference to blood pressure and the risk of hypertension in adult life

The blood pressure of 327 men and women aged 46 to 54 years was related to birthweight, placental weight, length, ponderal index and head circumference at birth. All the subjects were born after 38 completed weeks of gestation. There were strong trends of higher blood pressure in adult life with lower birthweight (P = 0.04) and greater placental weight (P = 0.002). In subjects with placental weights of 1.25 lb or less, mean blood pressure, and the risk of hypertension, rose as ponderal index at birth fell (P = 0.0001). Mean systolic pressure rose by 13 mm Hg as ponderal index fell from greater than 14.75 to 12 or less. In those with placental weights above 1.25 lb, mean blood pressure, and the risk of hypertension, rose as length decreased and as the ratio of head circumference to length increased (P = 0.02). Mean systolic pressure rose by 14mm Hg as the head circumference to length ratio increased from less than 0.65 to greater than or equal to 0.7. These findings characterise the birth measurements of two groups of babies who are at increased risk of hypertension in adult life.

Effectiveness of advice to reduce alcohol consumption in hypertensive patients

The relation between alcohol consumption and blood pressure is well recognized, and advice to reduce alcohol plays an important part in the management of hypertensive patients. We have evaluated the effectiveness of this advice in a randomized, controlled, single-blind clinical study. After a 2-week run-in period, hypertensive men regularly consuming more than 20 units/wk (1 unit = 10 g) of alcohol were randomly assigned either to the "advice" or control group and were seen at 2-week intervals over an 8-week study period. The outcome measures were: reported alcohol consumption (1-week retrospective diary), markers of alcohol consumption (serum gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, aspartate aminotransferase, uric acid, mean corpuscular volume), and blood pressure (sitting and standing). Over 18 months, 67 men who drank more than 20 units/wk of alcohol were seen. Twenty-six either were excluded, refused to participate, or dropped out due to nonattendance. Forty-one patients completed the study. After intervention, reported alcohol consumption fell from 60 units/wk to around 30 units/wk in the advice group, whereas it remained between 50 and 60 units/wk in the control group (analysis of variance [ANOVA] F = 7.1, p less than 0.05). This was accompanied by falls in gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (20.9%) and aspartate aminotransferase (18.1%), but no significant changes were seen in the control group. Standing diastolic blood pressure fell significantly in the advice group (from 101.5 mm Hg to 96.3 mm Hg) compared with the control group (ANOVA F = 4.8, p less than 0.05). The results suggest that advice to reduce alcohol consumption is a useful form of treatment for hypertensive patients who drink excessively.

Physical activity and ischaemic heart disease in middle-aged British men

OBJECTIVE

To assess the relation between reported physical activity and the risk of heart attacks in middle aged British men.

DESIGN

Prospective study of middle-aged men followed for a period of eight years (The British Regional Heart Study).

SETTING

One general practice in each of 24 British towns.

PARTICIPANTS

7735 men aged 40-59 years at initial examination.

END POINT

Heart attacks (non-fatal and fatal).

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

During the follow up period of eight years 488 men suffered at least one major heart attack. A physical activity score used was developed and validated against heart rate and lung function (FEV1) in men without evidence of ischaemic heart disease. Risk of heart attack decreased significantly with increasing physical activity; the groups reporting moderate and moderately vigorous activity experienced less than half the rate seen in inactive men. The benefits of physical activity were seen most consistently in men without preexisting ischaemic heart disease and up to levels of moderately vigorous activity. Vigorously active men had higher rates of heart attack than men with moderate or moderately vigorous activity. The relation between physical activity and the risk of heart attack seemed to be independent of other cardiovascular risk factors. Men with symptomatic ischaemic heart disease showed a reduction in the rate of heart attack at light or moderate levels of physical activity, beyond which the risk of heart attack increased. Men with asymptomatic ischaemic heart disease showed an increasing risk of heart attack with increasing levels of physical activity, but with a progressive decrease in case fatality. Overall, men who engaged in vigorous (sporting) activity of any frequency had significantly lower rates of heart attack than men who reported no sporting activity. However, when all men reporting regular sporting activity at least once a month were excluded from analysis, there remained a strong inverse relation between physical activity and the risk of heart attack in men without pre-existing ischaemic heart disease.

CONCLUSION

This study suggests that the overall level of physical activity is an important independent protective factor in ischaemic heart disease and that vigorous (sporting) exercise, although beneficial in its own right, is not essential in order to obtain such an effect.

Total cholesterol, low density lipoprotein cholesterol, and high density lipoprotein cholesterol and coronary heart disease in Scotland

OBJECTIVE

To investigate long term changes in total cholesterol, high density lipoprotein cholesterol, and low density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations and in measures of other risk factors for coronary heart disease and to assess their importance for the development of coronary heart disease in Scottish men.

DESIGN

Longitudinal study entailing follow up in 1988-9 of men investigated during a study in 1976.

SETTING

Edinburgh, Scotland.

SUBJECTS

107 men from Edinburgh who had taken part in a comparative study of risk factors for heart disease with Swedish men in 1976 when aged 40.

INTERVENTION

The men were invited to attend a follow up clinic in 1988-9 for measurement of cholesterol concentrations and other risk factor measurements. Eighty three attended and 24 refused to or could not attend.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Changes in total cholesterol, high density lipoprotein cholesterol, and low density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations, body weight, weight to height index, prevalence of smoking, and alcohol intake; number of coronary artery disease events.

RESULTS

Mean serum total cholesterol concentration increased over the 12 years mainly due to an increase in the low density lipoprotein cholesterol fraction (from 3.53 (SD 0.09) to 4.56 (0.11) mmol/l) despite a reduction in high density lipoprotein cholesterol concentration. Body weight and weight to height index increased. Fewer men smoked more than 15 cigarettes/day in 1988-9 than in 1976. Blood pressure remained stable and fasting triglyceride concentrations did not change. The frequency of corneal arcus doubled. Alcohol consumption decreased significantly. Eleven men developed clinical coronary heart disease. High low density lipoprotein and low high density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations in 1976, but not total cholesterol concentration, significantly predicted coronary heart disease (p = 0.05). Almost all of the men who developed coronary heart disease were smokers (91% v 53%, p less than 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Over 12 years the lipid profile deteriorated significantly in this healthy cohort of young men. Smoking, a low high density lipoprotein concentration and a raised low density lipoprotein concentration were all associated with coronary heart disease in middle aged Scottish men, whereas there was no association for total cholesterol concentration. The findings have implications for screening programmes.

Are geographical differences in cardiovascular mortality due to morbidity differences or to methodological differences? The project "myocardial infarction in Mid-Sweden"

Geographical variations in cardiovascular mortality have been reported from Mid-Sweden. IHD mortality for men aged 45-64 was 60% higher in the western part than in the east. Mortality from stroke for men aged 45-74 was 73% higher on the west. Similar differences were found for women. One possible explanation could be that there are no incidence differences but that the mortality differences are due to different survival rates or to differences certifying the cause of death. These two possible explanations were tested in this study. Data for all patients hospitalised during the 10-year period 1972-1981 for myocardial infarction or stroke in a high mortality area, the County of Värmland in the west, and a low mortality area, the County of Uppsala in the east, were collected. In addition, a substudy was performed where the basis for the death certificate diagnosis was studied. The western area generally had a higher case fatality rate than the eastern. However, a larger proportion of the deaths the eastern area, occurred outside hospital, so that the net effect would be that the differences found were not large enough to explain the mortality differences. The autopsy rate in the western part was lower than in the east but since a larger proportion of the deaths occurred in hospital the rank order for IHD and stroke mortality between east and west was the same whether all IHD or stroke deaths were counted or only those considered the most well documented.

The good body: when big is better

An important cultural question is, "What is a 'good'--desirable, beautiful, impressive--body?" The answers are legion; here I examine why bigger bodies represent survival skill, and how this power symbolism is embodied by behaviors that guide larger persons toward the top of the social hierarchy. bigness is a complex concept comprising tallness, boniness, muscularity and fattiness. Data show that most people worldwide want to be big--both tall and fat. Those who achieve the ideal are disproportionately among the society's most socially powerful. In the food-secure West, fascination with power and the body has not waned, but has been redefined such that thinness is desired. This apparent anomaly is resolved by realizing that thinness in the midst of abundance--as long as one is also tall and muscular--still projects the traditional message of power, and brings such social boons as upward mobility.

Prospective study of alcohol consumption and risk of coronary disease in men

Although an inverse association between alcohol consumption and risk of coronary artery disease has been consistently found in several types of studies, some have argued that the association is due at least partly to the inclusion in the non-drinking reference group of men who abstain because of pre-existing disease. The association between self-reported alcohol intake and coronary disease was studied prospectively among 51,529 male health professionals. In 1986 the participants completed questionnaires about food and alcohol intake and medical history, heart disease risk factors, and dietary changes in the previous 10 years. Follow-up questionnaires in 1988 sought information about newly diagnosed coronary disease. 350 confirmed cases of coronary disease occurred. After adjustment for coronary risk factors, including dietary intake of cholesterol, fat, and dietary fibre, increasing alcohol intake was inversely related to coronary disease incidence (p for trend less than 0.001). Exclusion of 10,302 current non-drinkers or 16,342 men with disorders potentially related to coronary disease (eg, hypertension, diabetes, and gout) which might have led men to reduce their alcohol intake, did not substantially affect the relative risks. These findings support the hypothesis that the inverse relation between alcohol consumption and risk of coronary disease is causal.

Correlates of blood pressure in 15 year olds in the west of Scotland

STUDY OBJECTIVE

The aim was to examine social and physical correlates of blood pressure in 15 year olds.

DESIGN

This was the first, baseline, sweep of a longitudinal survey of 15 year olds based on a two stage stratified clustered random sample.

SETTING

The Central Clydeside Conurbation, in the West of Scotland. In 1981 this had a population of 1.7 million and a standardised mortality ratio (relative to Scotland as a whole) of 109.

SUBJECTS

A random sample of households containing 15 year olds were approached by Strathclyde Regional Council; 70% agreed to have their names passed on to the MRC (15% refused, 10% could not be contacted, and 5% had moved). Of these 1177, 11% refused to participate, 3% were not contactable/had moved, and 4% did not provide full data. Complete blood pressure data are available for 959 15 year olds (464 males and 495 females).

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Blood pressure, pulse rate, height, weight, and room temperature were measured by nurses in the subjects' homes. Smoking, drinking, and frequency of vigorous exercise were self reported. Maternal height, birthweight, occupation of head of household, and housing tenure were reported by parents. After controlling for the other variables, systolic blood pressure was significantly associated with weight, pulse rate, and room temperature in males and with weight, pulse rate, housing tenure, smoking, and exercise in females. Diastolic blood pressure was associated with room temperature in males and with mother's height, pulse rate, and housing tenure in females. Controlling for current weight, birthweight was inversely related to systolic blood pressure in males and positively associated in females, though in neither case were these associations statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

In males, blood pressure was mainly related to anthropometric factors whereas in females it was additionally related to socioeconomic and behavioural variables. Although not reaching significance, the weight standardised relationship between birthweight and systolic blood pressure was consistent for males, but not females, with those reported by recent British studies of children and adults. The longitudinal design of this study will allow us to examine correlates of blood pressure in the same individuals as they reach social and physical maturity.

Risk factors for stroke in middle aged British men

OBJECTIVE

To determine the risk factors for stroke in a cohort representative of middle aged British men.

DESIGN

Prospective study of a cohort of men followed up for eight years.

SETTING

General practices in 24 towns in England, Wales, and Scotland (the British regional heart study).

SUBJECTS

7735 men aged 40-59 at screening, selected at random from one general practice in each town.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Fatal and non-fatal strokes.

RESULTS

110 of the men had at least one stroke; there were four times as many non-fatal as fatal strokes. The relative risk of stroke was 12.1 in men who had high blood pressure (systolic blood pressure greater than or equal to 160 mm Hg) and were current smokers compared with normotensive, non-smoking men. Diastolic blood pressure yielded no additional information, and former cigarette smokers had the same risk as men who had never smoked. Heavy alcohol intake was associated with a relative risk of stroke of 3.8 in men without previously diagnosed cardiovascular disease. Men with pre-existing ischaemic heart disease had an increased risk of stroke, but only when left ventricular hypertrophy on electrocardiography was also present.

CONCLUSIONS

Systolic blood pressure, cigarette smoking, and left ventricular hypertrophy on electrocardiography in men with pre-existing ischaemic heart disease were found to be the major risk factors for stroke in middle aged British men. Heavy alcohol intake seemed to increase the risk of stroke in men without previously diagnosed cardiovascular disease. A large proportion of strokes should be preventable by controlling blood pressure and stopping smoking.

Nutrient intakes of different social-class groups: results from the Scottish Heart Health Study (SHHS)

Food frequency questionnaire and socio-demographic data were collected from over 10,000 Scottish men and women aged 40-59 years in a cross-sectional study of coronary heart disease (CHD) risk factors. Dietary intake, including the antioxidant vitamins C and E and beta-carotene, was assessed for different socio-economic groups. Trends in nutrient intakes were found with social-class (occupational) groups I-V. The non-manual-manual distinctions were clear even after standardizing for serum cotinine, and alternative classification by housing tenure and level of education did not confound the social-class effect. Total energy intake was significantly higher in the manual (men 10,363 KJ, women 7507 KJ) than in the non-manual (men 9156 KJ, women 7169 KJ) groups, and all nutrient amounts except for vitamin C, vitamin E, beta-carotene and fibre were significantly higher in the manual than the non-manual groups. Alcohol intake was lower in manual women, but higher in manual men compared with their respective non-manual groups. Sex and social-class differences were maintained after adjusting for total energy. Women in general, and manual women in particular, had the highest percentage energy from total fat (40.2) and saturated fat (18.2), while the percentage energy from polyunsaturated fat was lower in men than women, and lowest in manual men (4.4). The polyunsaturated:saturated fat (P:S) ratios were, for non-manual and manual men 0.32 and 0.31, and for non-manual and manual women 0.31 and 0.28. Fibre and antioxidant vitamin intakes, when expressed as nutrient densities, were lower in men than women, and lowest in manual men. Overall, men and women in manual occupations had a poorer-quality diet than did those in non-manual occupations. The coincident low P:S ratios and low antioxidant vitamin intakes in manual groups may contribute to an increased risk of CHD. Thus, the findings are compatible with the view that poor diet may be a contributory factor to the higher mortality rates for CHD which occur in the lower socio-economic groups.

Place of birth and adult cardiovascular disease: the British Regional Heart Study

Coronary heart disease (CHD) is almost certainly a nutritional disorder related to the quality and quantity of dietary fats and mediated by blood and tissue lipid concentrations. There is current controversy as to when the underlying process of atherosclerosis is initiated and whether the critical susceptibility to CHD may be established in utero or infancy. Blood pressure and hypertension may also be nutritionally based, and the age at which the rate of rise in blood pressure with age is determined is also controversial. The British Regional Heart Study (BRHS) involves 7,735 middle-aged men from 24 towns in England, Wales and Scotland and reveals that average blood cholesterol levels in these towns show no relationship to CHD mortality but all are high by international standards. Blood pressure levels vary markedly between the 24 towns and relate strongly to CHD mortality patterns, which are highest in Scotland and lowest in the South of England. The hypothesis relating adult blood pressures and CHD mortality to foetal and infant life circumstances has been examined using the data on birthplace and place of examination of the BRHS men. Regardless of where they were born, men living and examined in the South had lower mean blood pressures than men living in Scotland. The highest mean blood pressures were observed in Scotland, irrespective of where the men had been born. For CHD, regardless of their place of birth, men living in the South had a lower risk of CHD than men living elsewhere. The geographic zone of examination appeared to be more important than the zone of birth in determining the risk of CHD and the level of blood pressure. While patterns of nutrition during pregnancy, in infancy and childhood may be of importance for some outcomes, such as height, it seems that exposure to risk factors during adult life predominantly determine the outcome in cardiovascular disease.

Depression and acute myocardial infarction: a review and reinterpretation

Depression is widely accepted as occurring in response to acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and to be an important determinant of recovery. A review of the literature reveals that three categories of patients with depressive symptomatology may be identifiable. First, many patients show depressive symptoms before admission with AMI; these may intensify during hospitalisation. For these patients, the depressive symptoms may contribute etiologically to the onset of AMI or derive from a common source along with AMI. The second group constitute patients with a history of AMI, and who on readmission with chest pain or suspected AMI are more likely to report depressive symptoms. The third group of patients are non-depressed first time admissions for AMI. These patients appear to show transient depressive reactions, much of which it is argued, occurs as a reaction to hospitalisation and not to AMI per se. This review considers the theoretical context whereby depressive symptoms may arise from the same circumstances that generate the coronary heart disease which underlies AMI, and links this to the generation of helplessness and cardiopathic processes.

How independent are "independent" effects? Relative risk estimation when correlated exposures are measured imprecisely

A relative risk estimate which relates an exposure to risk of disease will tend to be estimated too close to unity if that exposure is subject to random measurement error or intra-subject variability. "Independent" relative risk estimates, for the effect of one exposure after adjusting for confounding exposures, may be biased in either direction, depending on the amount of measurement imprecision in the exposure of interest and in the confounders. We describe two methods which estimate the bias in multivariate relative risk estimates due to the effect of measurement imprecision in one or more of the exposure variables in the model. Results from the two methods are compared in an example involving HDL cholesterol, triglycerides and coronary heart disease. In this example, the degree of bias in relative risk estimates is shown to be highly dependent on the amount of measurement imprecision ascribed to the exposures. It is concluded that when two exposures are substantially correlated, and one or both is subject to sizeable measurement imprecision, a study in which exposures are measured only once will be inadequate for investigating the independent effect of the exposures. Where feasible, epidemiologists should seek study populations where the correlation between the exposures is smaller.

Weight change, perceived health status and mortality in middle-aged British men

The association between weight change over a 5-year period, the subsequent perception of health and the mortality during a 4-year follow-up period has been examined in a prospective study of 7735 middle-aged British men. There were 357 deaths from all causes. Self-assessment of health status was considered as a potential guide to whether weight loss was intended or involuntary. Irrespective of weight change those who reported poor or fair health had a more than two-fold increase in death rate compared to those who reported good or excellent health. Considerable weight gain (greater than 10%) was associated with high rates of cardiovascular disease regardless of health perception, although this was most marked in those who perceived poor or fair health. Moderate weight gain was of little importance except in those who regarded their health as poor or fair. Weight loss was associated with increased death rates from cancer regardless of health perception, although the rates were highest in those who perceived poor or fair health. This study emphasizes that weight loss is a potentially serious symptom even in men who report good health. Assessment of weight change and of perception of health status are both of value and could be used in standard health enquiries to monitor health status in individuals and the community.

Seasonal, regional and secular variations of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular mortality in New Zealand

Numbers of deaths from coronary heart disease (CHD) and cerebrovascular disease (CVD) were available for five years (1980-84) in the North and South Islands of New Zealand; estimated death rates were determined, and age correction made. There was a major seasonal variation by month in coronary and cerebrovascular deaths in both sexes and both islands, with a zenith in June/July/August (winter) and a nadir in December/January/February (summer). There was a less obvious, and less complete, linear trend, with declining secular (annual) mortality over the five years. This was more obvious in North Island but not proven in South Island. After standardising for age, coronary mortality rates (but not cerebrovascular mortality rates), were significantly higher in South Island than in North Island. Mortality from both CHD and CVD was significantly higher in males than in females.

Consultation rates among middle aged men in general practice over three years

OBJECTIVE

To provide data on consultation rates in general practice for middle aged men over three years according to their age and social class.

DESIGN

Prospective study of men over eight years. Data on consultation rates during years 6-8 were collected retrospectively from practice records.

SETTING

Over 1000 general practices in Great Britain by year 8. Initially (in 1978-80) the men had been selected at random from one practice in each of 24 towns.

SUBJECTS

7013 Men aged 46-65 in the sixth year of follow up.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Number of consultations a year over three years.

RESULTS

The mean annual consultation rate over the three years rose steadily with age (7.0 at age 46-50 to 9.7 at age 61-65) and with social class (6.4 in class I to 10.0 in class V) but was potentially misleading as the distribution was skew: 10.5% of men (736) did not consult over the three years and 17.2% (1209) consulted only once or twice, whereas 11.4% (798) of men were seen more than 18 times. The percentage of men who did not consult over three years fell only slightly with age and was unrelated to social class, with roughly a tenth of all age and social class groups not consulting. Two thirds of non-consulters in year 6 (1598/2334) consulted in year 7 or 8.

CONCLUSIONS

The mean is not an appropriate summary measure of consultation rates and may conceal important differences among practices or other groups. The new general practitioner contract stipulates that all patients aged 16-74 must be provided with information to promote health and prevent illness at least once every three years. Most practices will have to approach a tenth of their men aged 46-65 specially to provide this service even if one consultation in three years is regarded as sufficient to allow a service to be provided.

Geographical clustering of risk factors and lifestyle for coronary heart disease in the Scottish Heart Health Study

A large cross sectional study, the Scottish Heart Health Study, of 10,359 men and women from 22 districts of Scotland was undertaken to try to explain the geographical variation of coronary heart disease mortality. Analysis by district showed that of the classic risk factors only cigarette smoking was strongly associated with heart disease mortality among both men and women. Mean diastolic blood pressure was weakly associated with rates among men and high density lipoprotein cholesterol showed a strong negative association among women. Total cholesterol showed a weak negative association with heart disease mortality, but, because the serum concentrations of cholesterol were uniformly high in all districts, a strong association with mortality would not be expected. In both men and women many dietary factors showed moderate or strong associations with mortality from coronary heart disease in a district--of these a low consumption of vitamin C was most notable. Other factors associated with heart disease included alcohol consumption and serum triglycerides among men, and obesity, physical activity, and serum triglycerides among women. Many factors associated with heart disease showed strong intercorrelations. Clustering of risk factors (including smoking, alcohol, and diet among men, and smoking, diet, and obesity among women) was associated with much of the regional variation in heart disease mortality in Scotland.

Fetal and placental size and risk of hypertension in adult life

OBJECTIVE

To study the effect of intrauterine growth and maternal physique on blood pressure in adult life.

DESIGN

A follow up study of infants born 50 years previously whose measurements at birth were recorded in detail.

SETTING

Preston, Lancashire.

SUBJECTS

449 Men and women born in hospital in Preston during 1935-43 and still living in Lancashire.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Placental weight, birth weight, and blood pressure at age 46 to 54 years.

RESULTS

In both sexes systolic and diastolic pressures were strongly related to placental weight and birth weight. Mean systolic pressure rose by 15 mm Hg as placental weight increased from less than or equal to 1 lb (0.45 kg) to greater than 1.5 lb and fell by 11 mm Hg as birth weight increased from less than or equal to 5.5 lb to greater than 7.5 lb. These relations were independent so that the highest blood pressures occurred in people who had been small babies with large placentas. Higher body mass index and alcohol consumption were also associated with higher blood pressure, but the relations of placental weight and birth weight to blood pressure and hypertension were independent of these influences.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings show for the first time that the intrauterine environment has an important effect on blood pressure and hypertension in adults. The highest blood pressures occurred in men and women who had been small babies with large placentas. Such discordance between placental and fetal size may lead to circulatory adaptation in the fetus, altered arterial structure in the child, and hypertension in the adult. Prevention of hypertension may depend on improving the nutrition and health of mothers.