Hepatocellular carcinoma in Italian patients with cirrhosis

Screening tests for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis C: a systematic review

This systematic review addresses the following questions: (1) What is the efficacy of using screening tests for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in improving outcomes in chronic hepatitis C, and (2) what are the sensitivity and specificity of screening tests for HCC in chronic hepatitis C? The search strategy involved searching Medline and other electronic databases between January 1985 and March 2002. Additional articles were identified by reviewing pertinent articles and journals and by querying experts. Articles were eligible for review if they reported original human data from studies of screening tests that used virological, histological, pathologic, or clinical outcome measures. Data collection involved paired reviewers who assessed the quality of each study and abstracted data. One nonrandomized prospective cohort study suggested that HCC was detected earlier and was more often resectable in patients who had twice yearly screening with serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and hepatic ultrasound than in patients who had usual care. Twenty-four studies, which included patients with chronic hepatitis C or B or both, addressed the sensitivities and specificities of screening tests. They were relatively consistent in showing that the sensitivity of serum AFP for detecting HCC usually was moderately high at 45% to 100%, with a specificity of 70% to 95%, for a threshold of between 10 and 19 ng/mL. The few studies that evaluated screening with ultrasound reported high specificity, but variable sensitivity. In conclusion, screening of patients with chronic hepatitis C with AFP and ultrasound may improve detection of HCC, but studies are needed to determine whether screening improves clinical outcomes.

Prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma development associated with chronic hepatitis by anti-fas ligand antibody therapy

A persistent immune response to hepatitis viruses is a well-recognized risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma. However, the molecular and cellular basis for the procarcinogenic potential of the immune response is not well defined. Here, using a unique animal model of chronic hepatitis that induces hepatocellular carcinogenesis, we demonstrate that neutralization of the activity of Fas ligand prevented hepatocyte apoptosis, proliferation, liver inflammation, and the eventual development of hepatocellular carcinoma. The results indicate that Fas ligand is involved not only in direct hepatocyte killing but also in the process of inflammation and hepatocellular carcinogenesis in chronic hepatitis. This is the first demonstration that amelioration of chronic inflammation by some treatment actually caused reduction of cancer development.

Screening for hepatocellular carcinoma

To determine the role of screening and to screen in a cost-effective manner, it is important to define the high-risk patient population that is most likely to benefit from screening and to identify a readily available diagnostic modality that is sensitive, specific, and inexpensive. Moreover, to have a major effect on the outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma, the test should be applicable in the majority of high-risk subjects. Herein, we identify the high-risk patient population, discuss various diagnostic modalities, and recommend a practical and cost-effective strategy for screening.

High TT virus load as an independent factor associated with the occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma among patients with hepatitis C virus-related chronic liver disease

The TT virus (TTV) load was estimated in sera obtained from 237 patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related chronic liver disease including 42 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), by real-time detection PCR using primers and a probe derived from the well-conserved untranslated region of the TTV genome, which can detect all known TTV genotypes. Of the 237 patients studied, 18 (8%) were negative for TTV DNA, 87 (37%) had low TTV viremia (1.3 x 10(2)-9.9 x 10(3) copies/ml), and 132 (56%) had high TTV viremia (1.0 x 10(4)-2.1 x 10(6) copies/ml). Various features were compared between the patients with high TTV load (n = 132) and those with no TTV viremia or low viral load (n = 105). High TTV viremia (> or =10(4) copies/ml) was significantly associated with higher age (P < 0.05), past history of blood transfusion (P < 0.001), complication of cirrhosis (P < 0.05) or HCC (P < 0.0005), lower HCV RNA titer (P < 0.05), and lower platelet count (P < 0.01). On multivariate logistic regression analysis, high TTV viral load was a significant risk factor for HCC (P < 0.05), independent from known risk factors such as complication of liver cirrhosis (P < 0.0001) and high age (> or =65 years, P < 0.05), among all 237 patients. Furthermore, high TTV viral load was an independent risk factor for HCC among the 90 cirrhotic patients (P < 0.05). These results suggest that a high TTV viral load is associated independently with the complication of HCC and may have prognostic significance in patients with HCV-related chronic liver disease, although whether high TTV viremia mediates the progression of HCV-related chronic liver disease remains to be defined.

Primary biliary cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma

The findings by epidemiological studies on the link between PBC and HCC are in general agreement with the notion that cirrhosis is a risk factor for HCC development. From the clinical perspective, this implies that in PBC patients with cirrhosis, the screening for HCC should be considered for evaluating prognosis as well as therapeutic options. At this time, it is not possible to determine whether any PBC-specific risk factors other than cirrhosis per se exist for the development of HCC. Identification of such risk factors may point to new mechanisms involved in the carcinogenesis of HCC. In order to answer the question whether the underlying mechanisms for PBC are risk factors for HCC, more aggressive clinical studies with larger patient populations are needed. Such studies should include patients with PBC as well as patients with cirrhosis of other etiologies, both have to be carefully matched for patient characteristics including race, gender, age, disease stage and period of follow-up. On the other hand, the resolution of this issue also relies on a better understanding of the molecular pathogenesis of PBC itself.

Racial differences in effectiveness of alpha-fetoprotein for diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma in hepatitis C virus cirrhosis

alpha-Fetoprotein (AFP) is frequently used as a diagnostic marker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Most available data concerning AFP come from studies of patients with chronic hepatitis B or other chronic liver diseases of mixed etiologies. Limited data concerning the diagnostic value of AFP for hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related HCC have to date come only from Asian and European studies, and results are conflicting. There may be significant differences in AFP levels depending on racial backgrounds and etiologies of primary liver disease. We conducted a multicenter, retrospective, case-control study of 163 HCC patients with HCV infection and 149 control patients with HCV-related cirrhosis. The positive likelihood ratios for AFP at 0 to 20, 21 to 50, 51 to 100, and 101 to 200 ng/mL were 0.46, 1.31, 1.15, and 6.90, respectively. No controls had AFP greater than 200 ng/mL. The sensitivity of AFP for the diagnosis of HCC in African Americans with HCV infection was lower than that of patients of all other ethnic groups combined (57.1% vs. 81.6% for AFP > 10 ng/mL, P =.02, and 42.9% vs. 66.0% for AFP > 20 ng/mL, P =.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve was 0.81 for non-African Americans but only 0.56 for African Americans. In conclusion, AFP greater than 200 ng/mL can be used to confirm HCC in patients with HCV-related cirrhosis and a hepatic mass. However, AFP is insensitive for the diagnosis of HCC in African Americans.

Management strategies using pharmacogenomics in patients with severe HCV-1b infection: a decision analysis

The management of interferon (IFN) therapy for histologically severe chronic hepatitis C virus genotype 1b (HCV-1b [F3]) is controversial. A decision analysis using the Markov decision analysis model was performed for 6 disease management strategies by using clinical data from a Japanese teaching hospital and available published data. The results of base case analyses showed that IFN monotherapy was considered favorable for patients aged 40 to 60 years with HCV-1b (F3). For the sensitivity analyses, to support the results of base case analyses, HCV-1b (F3) patient quality-of-life (QOL) score must be 0.5 or greater for those 40 to 50 years old and 0.4 to 0.5 or greater for those 60 years old. When patients with HCV-1b (F3) were judged as nonresponsive (NR) after IFN monotherapy, the transition probabilities of liver diseases at 40, 50, and 60 years of age had to be such that the progression of liver diseases was controlled at an annual rate of 7.51% to 8.82% or lower, 7.77% to 8.27% or lower, and 6.39% to 6.60% or lower, respectively, and the sustained virologic response (SVR) rate for IFN monotherapy must be 3.0% to 5.51% or greater, 5.57% to 5.93% or greater, and 10.6% to 11.21% or greater, respectively. It is likely that IFN monotherapy could be applied to patients with HCV-1b (F3) aged 40 years at a dose of at least 432 MU. However, IFN monotherapy did not appear useful for patients with HCV-1b (F3) aged 50 and 60 years if they had no amino acid mutation in NS5A 2209 to 2248 and HCV RNA levels exceeded 1.0 mEq/mL. In conclusion, use of decision analysis models can help in therapeutic decisions for patients with HCV-1b.

Interferon-alpha-2b plus ribavirin: a review of its use in the management of chronic hepatitis C

Relatively few patients (< or =20%) with chronic hepatitis C achieve a sustained virological response after interferon-alpha monotherapy. Hence, alternative treatment strategies such as the addition of the broad spectrum antiviral agent ribavirin to interferon-alpha-2b have been investigated. Combination therapy with subcutaneous interferon-alpha-2b [3 million units (MU) three times per week] plus oral ribavirin (1000 to 1200 mg/day) has proven effective in several well designed trials of 24 to 48 weeks' duration in adult patients with compensated chronic hepatitis C. Compared with interferon-alpha-2b (3 or 6 MU three times per week) with or without placebo, combination treatment with interferon-alpha-2b plus ribavirin significantly enhanced end-of-treatment and sustained virological and biochemical response rates in treatment-naive and treatment-experienced patients [sustained virological response rates in treatment-naive recipients (6 to 19% vs 31 to 43% of patients); sustained overall (virological plus biochemical) response rates in nonresponders to (1 vs 14%) or relapsers (4 to 5% vs 30 to 44%) after previous interferon-alpha monotherapy]. Forty-eight weeks of combination therapy was superior to 24 weeks in treatment-naive patients infected with hepatitis virus C (HCV) genotype 1, whereas response rates were similar at 24 and 48 weeks in those infected with other HCV genotypes. Furthermore, there were marked improvements in histological inflammatory scores in patients who responded to treatment with either interferon-alpha-2b plus ribavirin or interferon-alpha-2b alone. Although adverse events associated with either drug during combination therapy occurred frequently, these were generally mild to moderate in intensity and were consistent with those reported for each individual agent. Twenty-six percent of patients required dosage modifications of one or both drugs during combination therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Interferon-alpha-2b plus ribavirin is an efficacious first- and second-line therapy in adult patients with compensated chronic hepatitis C, significantly improving sustained virological and biochemical responses versus interferon-alpha-2b monotherapy. The tolerability profile of interferon-alpha-2b plus ribavirin therapy is consistent with the individual profiles of these agents with no evidence of additive effects. The place of interferon-alpha-2b plus ribavirin combination therapy in relation to newer agents, including pegylated interferons-alpha and other multidrug regimens, remains to be determined in this rapidly evolving area of therapeutic management. Currently, combination therapy with interferon-alpha-2b plus ribavirin is recommended as first-line therapy for patients with chronic hepatitis C and compensated liver disease, and is an option for use as second-line therapy in those who have relapsed after, or failed to respond to, previous treatment with interferon-alpha.

Results of surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma

The overall prognosis of HCC is very poor because most patients are unresectable at the time of initial evaluation. Surgical resection is the only potentially curative treatment for HCC, however the recurrence rate after resection remains high as well. Utilizing screening protocols which incorporates the use of hepatic ultrasound and biochemical markers, HCC can be identified earlier and enable the patient to withstand surgical resection. Morbidity and mortality after resection is multifactorial and relates to HCC itself, underlying liver disease and comorbid conditions. Utilizing tests such as ICG R15, Redox Tolerance Index and Tc-GSA to define the functional status of the liver and staging systems helps define who will tolerate hepatic resection. Morbidity and mortality from hepatic resections has also improved with minimizing intraoperative blood loss and minimizing the amount of functional tissue resected. The use of maneuvers such as total vascular exclusion with or without venovenous bypass has expanded the indications for surgery. Utilizing therapeutic combinations, including TAE, portal vein embolization or ablative therapies widens the indications for resection of HCC. Since there are no chemotherapeutic regimens that have been found to prolong survival, surgical resection remains the procedure of choice for treating HCC.

Oral eniluracil/5-fluorouracil in patients with inoperable hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Conventional systemic chemotherapy currently available for patients with inoperable hepatocellular carcinoma is ineffective. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of eniluracil/5-fluorouracil (5-FU) in the treatment of patients with this highly refractory disease.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This multicenter, open-label study evaluated a 28-day oral regimen of 5-FU (1 mg/m2 twice daily) plus the dihydropyrimidine dehydrogenase inhibitor, eniluracil (10 mg/m2 twice daily), in patients with chemotherapy-naive or anthracycline-refractory inoperable hepatocellular carcinoma.

RESULTS

A total of 36 patients enrolled into the study. No patient showed a confirmed partial or complete tumor response, although nine patients (25%) had a best response of stable disease. The median duration of progression-free survival was 9.6 weeks [95% confidence interval (CI) 9.1-10.6 weeks], and the median duration of overall survival was 32.7 weeks (95% CI 17.4-71.6 weeks). Eniluracil/5-FU was well tolerated. Diarrhea, the most frequent treatment-related non-hematological toxicity, occurred in 11 patients (31%). Hematological toxicities were infrequent and usually mild.

CONCLUSIONS

Eniluracil/5-FU as a 28-day oral outpatient regimen is well tolerated by patients with inoperable hepatocellular carcinoma, although minimal activity was observed when given as monotherapy at the dose used in this study.

CT in hepatic cirrhosis and chronic hepatitis

Cirrhosis is a diffuse liver disease with premalignant potential in which hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) frequently develops. The hemodynamics of contrast material are the key to diagnosis of focal liver lesions with computed tomography (CT). Lesions with arterial-dominant vascularity, such as HCC, show brisk enhancement during the arterial phase, whereas lesions with portal blood supply can appear as hyperenhancing lesions in the portal phase. The advent of helical CT has significantly improved the CT examination of the liver because the arterial phase can be displayed independently of the portal phase. The addition of arterial phase imaging to conventional portal phase imaging seems to improve tumor detection and characterization. Although HCC is the single most frequent tumor seen in chronic liver disease, other lesions such as peripheral cholangiocarcinoma and hemangioma should be considered in the differential diagnosis. Optimization of helical CT techniques may allow better detection and characterization of these lesions. In addition to tumor detection, CT plays an important role in preoperative staging of HCC as well as in preoperative assessment of patient candidates to hepatic transplantation. The use of CT angiography with maximum intensity projection techniques may allow for better preoperative work-up and vascular mapping in HCC patients. This article shows the spectrum of helical CT findings in chronic liver disease and specifically in the imaging of HCC and other focal lesions.

Liver imaging. A hepatologist's perspective

Numerous diagnostic modalities may be employed in the assessment of liver disease. In this article we outline radiologic approaches to several clinical problems including the evaluation of abnormal liver function tests and jaundice, evaluation of liver masses, and management of the patient with cirrhosis and portal hypertension.

Gray-scale ultrasound in hepatic cirrhosis and chronic hepatitis: diagnosis, screening, and intervention

Chronic hepatitis and hepatic cirrhosis are pathologies with high prevalence in the world population. Ultrasound (US) allows for a quick and precise examination of the liver parenchyma, the vascular structures, the biliary tract, and the abdominal cavity. Changes can be detected in the pattern of liver echostructure that suggest the presence of chronic liver disease, portal hypertension, and the presence of liver tumors. Moreover, US guidance provides an easy way for performing interventional procedures, such as biopsies for classifying the degree and type of liver disease, biopsies of focal liver lesions, and the application of percutaneous treatments for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this article we discuss the multiple applications of US in the management of patients with chronic liver disease.

Outcome of anti-HBe positive chronic hepatitis B in alpha-interferon treated and untreated patients: a long term cohort study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

We studied the influence of biochemical and virologic patterns and interferon on the outcome of anti-HBe positive chronic hepatitis B in 164 (103 treated) consecutive patients, followed-up prospectively for a mean of 6 years (21 months-12 years).

METHODS

Histology, biochemical and virologic profiles were characterized by monthly monitoring during the first 12 months of follow-up. Thereafter patients underwent blood and clinical controls every 4 and 6 months, respectively. Cirrhosis at follow-up histology or end stage complications of cirrhosis served as end points for the analysis of factors influencing disease progression in patients with baseline chronic hepatitis or cirrhosis, respectively.

RESULTS

Disease progression was associated with older age (P<0.001), absence of previous HBeAg history (P=0.017) and higher serum HBV-DNA levels (P=0.009) (more frequently observed in unremitting disease profile, P=0.012) at multivariate analysis. Fluctuations of IgM anti-HBc levels (associated with disease exacerbations, P=0.045) correlated with end stage complications in cirrhotics (P=0.011). Disease improved in 14.6 and 1.6% of treated and untreated patients, respectively (P=0.015): interferon slowed disease progression (P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The outcome of anti-HBe positive chronic hepatitis B is worsened by older age and persistent viral replication or hepatitis exacerbations in chronic hepatitis or in cirrhotic patients, respectively. Interferon reduces by 2.5-folds disease progression.

Introduction of lamivudine for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B: expected clinical and economic outcomes based on 4-year clinical trial data

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is associated with a significant burden of illness and treatment involves substantial health-care costs. This study estimates clinical outcomes and cost-effectiveness of lamivudine compared with other treatment scenarios for CHB, from an Australian health-care provider perspective.

METHODS

A two-step modeling approach depicted clinical progression of hepatitis B in hypothetical patient cohorts using three different treatment scenarios: scenario A, lamivudine and alpha-interferon (IFN-alpha) available; scenario B, IFN-alpha available only; and scenario C, no treatment available. Assumptions were based on clinical trials, published studies, a hepatologist's questionnaire and an expert panel follow up. One-year clinical outcomes and costs were estimated using a decision tree, while lifetime costs and outcomes were estimated using available clinical trial data for lamivudine (up to 4 years therapy duration) and a Markov model.

RESULTS

The analysis considered only patients with pretreatment elevated alanine aminotransferase levels > or = 2 x upper limit of normal. In the short term, the introduction of lamivudine is expected to result in almost 3.5 times more CHB patients receiving therapy (lamivudine or IFN-alpha) compared to IFN-alpha only (67% compared to 20%, respectively). Hence, scenario A subsequently doubled the seroconversion rate. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $3341 Australian per additional seroconversion. Also, non-seroconverted lamivudine patients are less likely to progress to cirrhosis than those receiving IFN-alpha/no treatment. One-year progression to cirrhosis was estimated at 5.1% with scenario A, compared to 12.2% and 12.7%, scenarios B and C, respectively. From the long-term analysis, lamivudine is expected to increase life expectancy by years and reduce the lifetime risk of compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma by 6%, 12% and 12%, respectively. Additionally, the introduction of lamivudine decreases lifetime costs by $548, thus making it a cost-saving and life-extending strategy. In both short- and long-term models, worst case scenarios in sensitivity analyses still associate lamivudine with a favorable cost-effectiveness ratio.

CONCLUSION

Introduction of lamivudine is expected to improve health outcomes in CHB patients, resulting in overall savings in health-care costs. In this model, compared with IFN-alpha only and no treatment, lamivudine allowed more CHB patients to be treated, increased the seroconversion rate, delayed disease progression and prolonged life expectancy.

Transforming growth factor-beta1 as a useful serologic marker of small hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Although alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is a useful serologic marker of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), it has been reported insufficiently sensitive in detecting small HCCs. Plasma transforming growth factor-beta1 (TGFbeta1) has been reported to be elevated in HCC patients compared with liver cirrhosis patients. It has been reported that TGFbeta1 mRNA was overexpressed in HCC, especially in patients with small HCC and well-differentiated HCC compared with patients with liver cirrhosis. The current study investigated the usefulness of TGFbeta1 compared with AFP in the diagnosis of small HCCs.

METHODS

Thirty-eight patients with small HCC (< or = 3 cm), 31 patients with liver cirrhosis only, and 23 normal volunteers were studied. Using plasma TGFbeta1 and serum AFP levels measured at the time of diagnosis, the sensitivities and specificities were calculated in the diagnosis of small HCCs.

RESULTS

Plasma TGFbeta1 and serum AFP levels were significantly higher in patients with small HCC than in those with liver cirrhosis. In diagnosing small HCCs, the cut-off values of plasma TGFbeta1 and serum AFP were 800 pg/mL and 200 ng/mL, respectively, where the specificities were over 95%. At the cut-off level of plasma TGFbeta1 and serum AFP, the sensitivities were 68% and 24%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The current results suggest that TGFbeta1 may be a useful serologic marker in detecting HCCs earlier because it shows higher sensitivity than, with specificity as, AFP in the diagnosis of small HCCs.

Arterial embolization of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma with use of cyanoacrylate and lipiodol

PURPOSE

To assess the potential of transarterial permanent embolization with use of a mixture of cyanoacrylate and lipiodol for treatment of unresectable primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In a retrospective study, 36 patients with histologically proven HCC were treated with transarterial embolization (TAE) of the hepatic arteries. None of these patients were candidates for surgical resection and some had advanced disease with multinodular disease or bulky tumor, thrombosis of a segmental branch of the portal vein, and/or extrahepatic spread. To induce permanent and more peripheral embolization, cyanoacrylate, an adhesive polymerizing on contact with blood, was used in TAE. From 1990 to 1998, a total of 76 embolization procedures were performed. Cumulative survival rates were calculated.

RESULTS

Most of the patients presented with a self-limited postembolization syndrome. Severe procedure-related complications were found after four treatment sessions (5.2%). The 30-day perioperative mortality rate was 2.7%. The mean follow-up period was 20.3 months (range, 1-68 mo), with a median survival of 26 months. The median survival was also estimated for different Okuda stages of disease: stage II (n = 26) versus stage III (n = 5) disease (32 vs 9 months; P <.05); patients with (n = 9) or without (n = 27) extrahepatic metastasis (10 vs 26 months; P <.05); and patients with (n = 10) or without (n = 26) thrombosis of a segmental branch of the portal vein (7 versus 34 months [P <.005]).

CONCLUSION

TAE with use of cyanoacrylate and lipiodol for unresectable HCC is a feasible treatment modality. This retrospective report indicates beneficial effects on survival even in patients with advanced disease.

Hepatitis C and hepatocellular carcinoma

Chronic hepatitis C infection (HCV) accounts for approximately 50% of the cases of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the United States. Cirrhosis or an advanced stage of fibrosis is the major risk factor of HCC; patients with cirrhosis are recommended to undergo surveillance with alpha-fetoprotein and ultrasound. Alpha interferon (IFN-alpha) is associated with a reduced risk of HCC in patients with chronic infection but insufficient data exist to recommend treatment of patients with cirrhosis and HCV for this reason alone. Resection and liver transplantation are the only "curative" therapies available. Advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis in patients with HCC limits the number of patients for whom resection is applicable. Moreover, the remaining liver is at high risk of developing a second primary tumor. Partial hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma should be restricted to patients with well-compensated cirrhosis (Child's A class). Acceptable parameters include a single lesion not exceeding 5 cm, normal levels of bilirubin, and absence of portal hypertension. Liver transplantation is the best definitive treatment for HCV-infected patients who have small, localized HCC (solitary lesion not greater than 5 cm, or no more than 3 lesions, none of which are greater than 3 cm). Limitations of liver transplantation as a therapy for HCC are the scarcity of donor organs and the prolonged waiting time during which continued tumor growth occurs. Living donors can reduce waiting time and increase the number of patients treatable by transplantation. Chemoembolization and local ablation therapies have not been shown to confer survival benefits as primary treatments for HCC. The potential benefit of these procedures in controlling tumor growth to "bridge" patients to liver transplantation must be further investigated. Similarly, systemic chemotherapy and hormonal therapy do not generally produce a survival advantage. However, recent studies that used octreotide and combination doxorubicin/cisplatin/5-FU/interferon appear to be promising.

Treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma

Treatment options have largely been selected according to empirical criteria, such as the presence or absence of cirrhosis, number and size of tumors, and degree of hepatic deterioration and taking into account the local technological and economic resources. There are virtually no controlled studies comparing the efficacy of the available treatments, and the substantial heterogeneity of survival between control groups does not allow us to obtain therapeutic evaluation by comparing results of separate trials. The reassessment of treatment outcomes on the basis of intention-to-treat analysis yielded less encouraging figures. Hepatic resection is the primary option for the few patients with a hepatocellular carcinoma arising in a normal liver with well-preserved hepatic function and for patients with a single tumor, compensated cirrhosis and low portal hypertension who are not candidable to liver transplantation. The latter is the best treatment modality for patients with a solitary tumor <5 cm in diameter or patients with less than three tumors <3 cm, resulting in a 5-year survival of 75%. Locoregional ablative treatments are curative options for patients with a "resectable" tumor who cannot be offered transplantation or hepatic resection. The 5-year survival is approximately 50% but it copes with a high risk of tumor recurrence. Patients with advanced tumor disease cannot be offered curative treatments but only symptomatic treatments.

AFP-L3: a new generation of tumor marker for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) displays differential affinity to lectin Lens culinaris agglutinin (LCA) compared to that from chronic hepatitis/liver cirrhosis. According to their binding capability to LCA, total AFP can be separated into three different glycoforms, AFP-L1, AFP-L2, and AFP-L3. AFP-L1 is the non-LCA-bound fraction, which constitutes the major glycoform of AFP in serum of chronic hepatitis and liver cirrhosis. AFP-L3 is the LCA-bound fraction of AFP. It has been reported that malignant liver cells produce AFP-L3, even when HCC is at its early stages, and especially when the tumor mass is supplied by the hepatic artery. Clinical research has determined that AFP-L3 is a highly specific marker for HCC. The AFP-L3 can be detected in the serum of approximately 35% of the patients with small HCC (<2 cm). The AFP-L3-positive HCC has potential for rapid growth and early metastasis. Compared to imaging techniques, it has been shown to have 9-12 months of lead-time in early HCC recognition. Combined sensitivity of AFP-L3 for HCC is 56%, with a specificity of >95%.

METHODS

Automated assay for measuring AFP-L3 has been developed and introduced in clinical use. The new automated method for measurement of ALP-L3 is based on liquid phase binding of the AFP-L3 glycoform with LCA and two specific monoclonal antibodies labeled with peroxidase and polysulfated tyrosine peptide, respectively.

CONCLUSION

AFP-L3 is a new generation of tumor marker for HCC and yields useful information on HCC for clinical decision making.

Patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma development in hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus related cirrhosis

To compare incidence, risk factors and morphologic pattern of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) related cirrhosis, 401 patients were followed prospectively by periodic ultrasound examination for 14-189 months (mean: 84.8+/-36.7). During follow-up, 77 (19.2%) patients developed HCC, with 5 and 10 year cumulative incidence of 10 and 27.5%, respectively. The risk of HCC was significantly higher in HBV and HCV co-infected patients (P=0.014) compared to those with single HBsAg or anti-HCV (antibodies to hepatitis C virus) positivity. In anti-HCV positive cases the annual risk of HCC increased from 2% in the first 5 year period to 4% in the third 5 year period, while it decreased from 2 to 0% in the same time periods in the HBsAg positive group. By Cox's regression, age above 59 years (P=0.001), male sex (P=0.09), longer duration (P=0.04) and more advanced stage (P=0.01) of cirrhosis, lower platelets count (P=0.001) and higher ALT levels were significant risk factors for HCC in anti-HCV positive patients, while only high alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels during follow-up (P=0.04) was a significant risk factor for HCC in HBsAg positive cases. The pattern of HCC was nodular in 63 (81.8%) patients and infiltrating in 14 (18.2%), and the former type was associated with older age (P=0.0001), longer duration (P=0.002) and more advanced stage (P=0.0001) of cirrhosis but not with the viral etiology of disease. In contrast, development of infiltrating HCC was unrelated to age and disease duration and stage, and was associated with male sex (P=0.01), HBV infection (P=0.06) and HBV and HCV co-infection (P=0.0001). Our results indicate different incidence profile, risk factors and patterns of morphogenesis of HCC development in HBV and HCV associated cirrhosis, suggesting different mechanisms of carcinogenesis.

Hepatitis C infection and hepatocellular carcinoma after treatment of childhood cancer

The results of preliminary reports of childhood cancer survivors with hepatitis C infection (HCV) show that in none of these patients did the disease progress to liver failure or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The authors describe two patients who were diagnosed with HCC more than 20 years after the treatment of childhood acute lymphocytic leukemia. Serologic testing, done at the time HCC was diagnosed, found HCV-directed antibodies, suggesting that chronic HCV infection contributed to the development of the subsequent neoplasm. Identification of infected patients will permit intervention to reduce the risk of progressive liver disease and will also assist in defining the risk of and variables contributing to progressive liver disease.

Liver cancer risk is increased in patients with porphyria cutanea tarda in comparison to matched control patients with chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Patients with porphyria and chronic liver disease could be at high risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma. To define the incidence of primary liver cancer and identify variables associated with the risk of cancer in patients with porphyria cutanea tarda in comparison to control patients.

METHODS

Fifty-three patients with porphyria cutanea tarda were enrolled in a prospective study (median follow-up 72 +/- 54.1 months; range 12-216) and matched individually to a control case according to age (+/-5 years), sex, duration of follow up (+/- 5 years), severity of liver disease, and hepatitis C virus infection.

RESULTS

During follow-up hepatocellular carcinoma developed in 18 patients with porphyria and in four control patients. Incidence of primary liver cancer was 4.8 and 1.3 x 100 patients/year in the overall series of patients and of controls, respectively. The cumulative probability of being tumor free was significantly lower in porphyria cutanea tarda than in matched controls (75 vs 95%). Variables independently associated with the risk of liver cancer were the presence of porphyria and cirrhosis at enrollment (Odds ratios: 5.3, 95% CI 1.4-19.3 and 3.0, 95% CI 1.2-7.6, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with porphyria are at higher risk of developing liver cancer than matched control patients.

Living-donor versus cadaveric liver transplantation for non-resectable small hepatocellular carcinoma and compensated cirrhosis: a decision analysis

BACKGROUND

Cadaveric liver transplantation is effective for nonresectable early hepatocellular carcinoma. However, the scarcity of cadaveric organs has prompted some centers to use living donors, which guarantees transplantation, but entails a risk to the donor. In the absence of controlled trials, decision analysis can be used to help explicate the tradeoffs involved when considering living donor versus cadaveric liver transplantation for nonresectable early hepatocellular carcinoma.

METHODS

Using a Markov model, a hypothetical cohort of patients with Child's A cirrhosis and a single 3.5-cm tumor received one of three strategies: 1) no transplant; 2) intent to perform cadaveric liver transplantation; or 3) living donor liver transplantation. Data were obtained from natural history and retrospective studies. All probabilities in the model were varied simultaneously using a Monte Carlo simulation.

RESULTS

Living-donor liver transplantation was the best strategy, improving life expectancy by 4.5 years compared with cadaveric liver transplantation. This strategy remained dominant even when varying severity of cirrhosis, age, tumor doubling time, tumor growth pattern, blood type, regional transplant volume, initial tumor size, and rate of progression of cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Living-donor liver transplantation should confer a substantial survival advantage for patients with compensated cirrhosis and non-resectable early stage hepatocellular carcinoma.

Improving survival results after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: a prospective study of 377 patients over 10 years

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether the survival results after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have improved within the past decade by an analysis of a prospective cohort of patients over a 10-year period.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

The surgical death rate after resection of HCC has greatly improved in recent years, but the long-term prognosis remains unsatisfactory. It remains unknown whether the survival results after resection of HCC have improved within the past decade.

METHODS

The clinicopathologic and follow-up data of 377 patients who underwent curative resection of HCC between January 1989 and January 1999 were prospectively collected. These patients were categorized according to two time periods: before 1994 (group 1, n = 136) and after 1994 (group 2, n = 241). The two groups were compared for clinicopathologic data and survival results. The prognostic factors for disease-free survival were further analyzed to identify the factors that might have led to improved survival outcomes.

RESULTS

The overall and disease-free survival results were significantly better in group 2 compared with group 1. Patients in group 2 had significantly higher proportions of subclinical presentation, small tumors, and tumors of early pTNM stage. There were also significantly lower frequencies of histologic margin involvement, less intraoperative blood loss, and a lower transfusion rate in group 2. By multivariate analysis, early pTNM stage, subclinical HCC, and no perioperative transfusion were independent favorable prognostic factors for disease-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant improvement of overall and disease-free survival results after resection of HCC has been achieved within the past decade as a result of advances in the diagnosis and surgical management of HCC. Earlier diagnosis of HCC by better imaging modalities, increased detection of subclinical HCC by screening of high-risk patients, and a reduced perioperative transfusion rate were identified as the major contributory factors for the improved outcomes.

Power Doppler signals after percutaneous ethanol injection therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma predict local recurrence of tumors: a prospective study using 199 consecutive patients

BACKGROUND/AIMS

This study was prospectively conducted to elucidate the relationship between pre-/post-treatment power Doppler signals of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and local recurrence.

METHODS

One hundred ninety-nine consecutive patients with 359 HCC lesions receiving percutaneous ethanol injection therapy (PEIT) as a first-line option were enrolled. Arterial power Doppler signals in the tumor were found in 130 nodules, but not detected in 229. After confirmation of complete tumor necrosis on dynamic CT, Doppler signals in nodules were re-evaluated. Patients received periodical examinations to detect HCC recurrence.

RESULTS

Local HCC recurrence was observed in 36 lesions; 22%(28/130) of the pretreatment signal positive lesions, in contrast to 3.5% (8/229) of the pretreatment signal negative lesions (P < 0.01). Out of 130 signal positive nodules, signals disappeared in 120 (92%) after PEIT, but were present in ten (8%). During the 25-month follow up, local recurrence was detected in 19 (16%) from the former, in contrast to nine (90%) from the latter (P < 0.001). Uni- and multivariate Cox analysis revealed that the presence of pre-/post-treatment power Doppler signals, histological differentiation and tumor number were independent factors for local recurrence. However, 3-year recurrence rate of new lesions was 51%, but no predictors were identified.

CONCLUSIONS

Residual Doppler signals in tumor after PEIT were related to the local HCC recurrence.

Hepatocellular carcinoma treated with radiofrequency ablation: comparison of pulse inversion contrast-enhanced harmonic sonography, contrast-enhanced power Doppler sonography, and helical CT

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to compare the efficacy of contrast-enhanced pulse inversion harmonic imaging with contrast-enhanced power Doppler sonography and helical CT to determine incomplete local treatment after radiofrequency ablation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Thirty-five consecutive patients (24 men and 11 women; mean age, 64 years) with 43 hepatocellular carcinomas (3.6 +/- 1.1 cm) were treated using internally cooled radiofrequency ablation therapy. Therapeutic response was evaluated at 4 months with dual-phase contrast-enhanced helical CT, conventional power Doppler Sonography, and pulse inversion harmonic imaging using a sonographic contrast agent (SH-508). CT and sonographic studies were reviewed separately in random order by four radiologists at different consensus conferences. Sensitivity and specificity of the sonographic methods were determined using CT as a gold standard and results were compared using the McNemar test.

RESULTS

CT examinations identified residual tumor in 12 lesions (27.9%). Although conventional contrast-enhanced power Doppler sonography identified residual viable tumor foci in four incompletely treated lesions (9.3%), contrast-enhanced pulse inversion harmonic imaging identified residual tumoral enhancement in 10 lesions (23.3%). Thus, the sensitivity of pulse inversion harmonic imaging (83.3%) was significantly greater (p < 0.05) for detecting residual nonablated tumor compared with conventional contrast-enhanced power Doppler sonography.

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests that contrast-enhanced pulse inversion harmonic imaging may enable the detection of residual nonablated tumor in more cases than contrast-enhanced power Doppler sonography and may ultimately prove to be a useful adjunct for percutaneous ablation therapies. Nevertheless, contrast-enhanced axial imaging (CT or MR imaging) is currently the most sensitive test for managing thermal ablation for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Prognostic factors for survival in patients with compensated cirrhosis and small hepatocellular carcinoma after percutaneous ethanol injection therapy

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study was to identify clinical, biochemical, ultrasound, and/or pathologic parameters capable of predicting survival in a cohort of patients with well compensated cirrhosis and small hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who were treated with percutaneous ethanol injection (PEI).

METHODS

The study group included 111 patients with Child--Pugh Class A cirrhosis and with one (93 patients) or two (18 patients) HCC nodules measuring < 5 cm in greatest dimension. All patients underwent multisession PEI. The prognostic values of pretreatment and post-treatment variables were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

The overall 3-year and 5-year survival rates of 62% and 41%, respectively, were not influenced by age, gender, duration of chronic hepatitis, serum albumin, prothrombin time ratio, total bilirubin, gamma-glutamyl transferase, hepatitis B surface antigen, antihepatitis C virus, HCC size, HCC ultrasound pattern, HCC histologic or cytologic grading, greatest spleen dimension, esophageal varices, or ascites. Levels of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) > 14 ng/mL (P < 0.006), alanine aminotransferase > 75 IU/L (P < 0.04), and aspartate aminotransferase > 80 IU/L (P < 0.009) and platelet count < 92 x 10(9)/L (P < 0.02) before treatment were independent predictors of decreased survival. Among post-treatment parameters, AFP levels 6 months after PEI > 13.3 ng/mL (P < 0.003) and HCC recurrence in another segment of the liver (P < 0.04) were linked to decreased survival in univariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with Child--Pugh Class A cirrhosis with small uninodular or binodular HCC who are treated with multisession PEI, those with elevated serum AFP and transaminase levels and low platelet count before treatment are characterized by decreased survival. During follow-up, intrahepatic recurrence of the tumor is the main factor affecting survival.

HCV genotype and "silent" HBV coinfection: two main risk factors for a more severe liver disease

To evaluate whether HCV genotype and a "silent" HBV infection may be related to a more severe clinical presentation of liver disease, 205 anti-HCV/HCV-RNA positive, HBsAg/anti-HBs negative patients with chronic hepatitis (113 males and 92 females; median age 55 years, range 18-77), were studied on presentation at the Liver Unit from January 1993 to December 1997. Presence of serum anti-HBc, in the absence of HBsAg and anti-HBs, was considered a marker of "silent" HBV infection. Of the 205 patients, 134 had undergone percutaneous liver biopsy. Two main diagnosis groups were established: the mild liver disease group (76 patients), and the severe liver disease group (109 patients); 20 patients who had refused to undergo liver biopsy were not included in the clinical and virological evaluation because the diagnosis was uncertain. The prevalence of severe liver disease was similar in the genotype 1 and non-1 groups (61.3% of 98 patients with genotype 1 and 52.9% of 70 patients with a non-1 genotype). Instead, the 88 patients with "silent" HBV infection showed a higher percentage of severe liver disease than the 97 anti-HBc negative patients (72.7% vs. 46.4%, respectively: P < 0.0005). Of the 88 anti-HBc positive patients, the prevalence of those with severe liver disease was similar in the 32 cases with serum HBV-DNA as detected by PCR and in the 56 HBV-DNA negative (81.2% vs. 67.8%, P = 0.4). The relation between "silent" HBV infection and severe liver disease was observed both in genotype 1 and non-1 infected patients. Nevertheless, the anti-HBc negative patients infected by genotype 1 showed a severe liver disease more frequently than those infected by a non-1 genotype, with a difference that is significant to the statistical analysis (P < 0.05). The findings suggest that "silent" HBV infection in anti-HCV positive chronic hepatitis enhances the severity of the liver disease. Evidence was also found that in patients without "silent" HBV infection there is a correlation between the presence of HCV genotype 1 and the severity of liver disease.

Improving survival results after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: a prospective study of 377 patients over 10 years

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether the survival results after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have improved within the past decade by an analysis of a prospective cohort of patients over a 10-year period.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

The surgical death rate after resection of HCC has greatly improved in recent years, but the long-term prognosis remains unsatisfactory. It remains unknown whether the survival results after resection of HCC have improved within the past decade.

METHODS

The clinicopathologic and follow-up data of 377 patients who underwent curative resection of HCC between January 1989 and January 1999 were prospectively collected. These patients were categorized according to two time periods: before 1994 (group 1, n = 136) and after 1994 (group 2, n = 241). The two groups were compared for clinicopathologic data and survival results. The prognostic factors for disease-free survival were further analyzed to identify the factors that might have led to improved survival outcomes.

RESULTS

The overall and disease-free survival results were significantly better in group 2 compared with group 1. Patients in group 2 had significantly higher proportions of subclinical presentation, small tumors, and tumors of early pTNM stage. There were also significantly lower frequencies of histologic margin involvement, less intraoperative blood loss, and a lower transfusion rate in group 2. By multivariate analysis, early pTNM stage, subclinical HCC, and no perioperative transfusion were independent favorable prognostic factors for disease-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant improvement of overall and disease-free survival results after resection of HCC has been achieved within the past decade as a result of advances in the diagnosis and surgical management of HCC. Earlier diagnosis of HCC by better imaging modalities, increased detection of subclinical HCC by screening of high-risk patients, and a reduced perioperative transfusion rate were identified as the major contributory factors for the improved outcomes.

Improving survival results after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: a prospective study of 377 patients over 10 years

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether the survival results after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have improved within the past decade by an analysis of a prospective cohort of patients over a 10-year period.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

The surgical death rate after resection of HCC has greatly improved in recent years, but the long-term prognosis remains unsatisfactory. It remains unknown whether the survival results after resection of HCC have improved within the past decade.

METHODS

The clinicopathologic and follow-up data of 377 patients who underwent curative resection of HCC between January 1989 and January 1999 were prospectively collected. These patients were categorized according to two time periods: before 1994 (group 1, n = 136) and after 1994 (group 2, n = 241). The two groups were compared for clinicopathologic data and survival results. The prognostic factors for disease-free survival were further analyzed to identify the factors that might have led to improved survival outcomes.

RESULTS

The overall and disease-free survival results were significantly better in group 2 compared with group 1. Patients in group 2 had significantly higher proportions of subclinical presentation, small tumors, and tumors of early pTNM stage. There were also significantly lower frequencies of histologic margin involvement, less intraoperative blood loss, and a lower transfusion rate in group 2. By multivariate analysis, early pTNM stage, subclinical HCC, and no perioperative transfusion were independent favorable prognostic factors for disease-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant improvement of overall and disease-free survival results after resection of HCC has been achieved within the past decade as a result of advances in the diagnosis and surgical management of HCC. Earlier diagnosis of HCC by better imaging modalities, increased detection of subclinical HCC by screening of high-risk patients, and a reduced perioperative transfusion rate were identified as the major contributory factors for the improved outcomes.

Profile of hepatocellular carcinoma in India: an insight into the possible etiologic associations

BACKGROUND

Several etiologic factors including hepatitis viruses, alcohol and aflatoxin have been implicated in the pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). There is, however, limited information from the Indian subcontinent.

METHODS

Seventy-four consecutive cases of HCC were studied. A detailed history, tests for hepatitis B virus (HBV; HBsAg, HBeAg, anti-HBe, IgG anti-HBc, anti-HBs and HBV-DNA), hepatitis C virus (HCV; anti-HCV and HCV-RNA) infection, liver histopathology and HBV-DNA integration by using Southern blot hybridization were studied. A p53 gene mutation was also studied by using PCR and single-strand conformation polymorphism.

RESULTS

Hepatocellular carcinoma patients were predominantly males (mean age 49.5 +/- 14.0 years). Portal hypertension and cirrhosis were seen in 56 (76%) patients, more often (P < 0.05) in viral marker positive cases. Forty-five percent of patients had features of hepatic decompensation at presentation. Evidence of HBV infection was present in 53 (71%) patients. Twenty-six (49%) of these patients had either HBeAg + ve, HBV-DNA + ve (n = 12), or HBsAg - ve, HBV-DNA + ve (n = 14) forms of HBV infection. Hepatitis B virus DNA integration in the liver tissue was seen in 10 of 17 (59%) patients. Infection with HCV alone was detected in three (4%) and dual HBV and HCV infection in six (8%) patients. A majority (78.5%) of the chronic alcoholics had associated viral infection. The etiology of HCC remained undetermined in 15 (20%) patients. The p53 gene mutations were detected only in three of 21 (14%) liver tissues. Aflatoxin toxicity, oral contraceptive use or metabolic disorder were not seen.

CONCLUSIONS

In India: (i) HBV infection is the predominant factor for the development of HCC, often related to mutant forms of HBV; (ii) a majority of the HCC patients have overt cirrhosis of the liver; and (iii) HCV and alcohol per se are uncommonly associated.

Hepatocyte proliferation and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhotic patients

OBJECTIVES

High hepatocyte proliferation has been recently proposed as a risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to assess whether hepatocyte proliferation is an independent risk factor for HCC when considered together with clinical and demographic characteristics.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated 97 consecutive patients with a histological diagnosis of cirrhosis and preserved liver function, enrolled in a surveillance program for early diagnosis of HCC. Hepatocyte proliferation was evaluated by flow-cytometric analysis in liver samples collected at the time of histological diagnosis of cirrhosis. All patients were followed with abdominal US and serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) assays every 6 months.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 53 months (range, 12-120 months), 12 patients developed HCC, giving an annual incidence of 2.8%. The mean S-phase fraction was 2.5%+/-1.6 in patients who developed HCC and 0.9%+/-0.6 in those who did not (p < 0.0001). By univariate analysis, S-phase fraction 1.8% or higher and AFP higher than 20 ng/ml were the only two variables significantly correlated with the development of HCC (p < 0.0001, p < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis found that both variables were independently associated with HCC development (p < 0.003 and p < 0.005, respectively), with hazard ratios of 8.0 and 7.3 (confidence intervals, 2.1-31.2 and 1.8-29.2). Among patients with high AFP and/or high S-phase fraction, 11 (39%) developed HCC, compared with only one (1%) with a low S-phase fraction and normal AFP, corresponding to HCC yearly incidences of 9.5% and 0.3% (p < 0.00009).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with high S-phase fraction and/or above-normal serum AFP are at higher risk of developing HCC and should be offered a close surveillance program.

Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic viral hepatitis in the United States of America

BACKGROUND

Measurement of serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and abdominal ultrasound (US) examination are used for the early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic liver disease patients. However, the accuracy and usefulness of these tests in a clinical setting in the United States of America have not been clarified.

METHODS

We conducted a 7-year prospective surveillance study by using both AFP and US to detect HCC in 602 patients with chronic viral hepatitis. Our main goal was to determine the optimal test for detection of early HCC. We also assessed the clinical outcome of HCC patients identified during this time period.

RESULTS

Thirty-one cases of HCC were detected. Serum AFP levels were elevated in 74% of HCC patients, but was also high in 10% of patients who did not develop HCC. The positive predictive value for AFP to detect HCC was only 12% or less for all AFP cut-off values, and the maximum joint sensitivity and specificity as determined by receiver operator characteristic analysis was approximately 65 and 90%, respectively. Abdominal US identified all 31 cases of HCC. The positive predictive value for US examinations to detect HCC was 78%, while the sensitivity and specificity was 100 and 98%, respectively. After detection of HCC, 24 (77%) patients died within a mean of 16.7 +/- 19.4 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study indicates that US examination was more accurate in detecting HCC. Because of its poor predictive value and low sensitivity, serum AFP should not be used as the only test for screening and surveillance for HCC.

Liver cancer

The prognosis of patients with HCC remains dismal. Even in the subgroups of patients who have the most favorable characteristics and are eligible for surgical resection, the 5-year survival rate is less than 25%. For patients with more advanced disease, the median survival time is less than 1 year. The good news in HCC research is that the disease can be prevented. In Taiwan, the rate of HCC in children aged 6 to 9 years decreased from 5.2 per million population before the neonatal vaccination program began in 1984 to 1.3 per million population in the first vaccinated cohort. Treatment of viral hepatitis with IFN may decrease the rates of long-term development of HCC. Other agents that may prevent second primary tumors following resection of HCC, such as polyprenoic acid and acylic retinoid, are also being investigated.

Outcome of liver disease in a large cohort of histologically proven chronic hepatitis C: influence of HCV genotype

OBJECTIVE

To assess the influence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotypes on the clinical outcome of liver disease, we analysed 2,307 patients.

RESULTS

The most frequently represented genotypes were 1b (40%) and 2 (28.1%). Patients with these genotypes had a median age higher than patients with other genotypes (P< 0.01). The overall survival of subjects with genotype 1b was poorer than the survival of patients with other genotypes (P< 0.01). Liver cirrhosis was found in 280 patients (12.1%), and type 1b was the most represented isolate among them (P< 0.01). Sixty-two patients (22%) developed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) during a follow-up of 1481.8 cumulative years (estimated crude incidence rate, 4.1 cases per 100 person-years for all cirrhotics; 5.9 cases for genotype 1a; 4.5 cases for genotype 1b; and 2.8 cases for genotypes non-1). Considering the whole population of 2,307 patients, only genotype 1b was associated significantly with both cirrhosis and the development of HCC. One hundred and nineteen cirrhotic patients underwent treatment with interferon in uncontrolled studies. Interferon therapy was associated with both better survival (P< 0.01) and a lower cumulative hazard for HCC (P< 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Genotype 1b was associated with a poorer prognosis, probably because it leads to cirrhosis and consequently to HCC development. However, our data did not confirm genotype 1b as an independent risk factor for HCC in liver cirrhosis, which plays a major role in carcinogenesis. Interferon should be considered as a useful strategy in cirrhosis for improvement of survival and reduction of HCC risk.

Overexpressed growth hormone (GH) synergistically promotes carcinogen-initiated liver tumour growth by promoting cellular proliferation in emerging hepatocellular neoplasms in female and male GH-transgenic mice

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Growth hormone (GH), when overexpressed in male and female GH-transgenic mice, is known to induce liver tumours within 1 year. This study aimed to gain a clearer understanding of the interaction between GH and tumour cells in vivo.

METHODS/RESULTS

The carcinogen diethylnitrosomine (DEN) was administered to neo-natal transgenic and non-transgenic mice maintained in a "hepatocarcinogenesis resistant" genetic background (C57BL/6J). Macroscopic, microscopic and liver weight/body weight ratio analyses revealed that carcinogen-induced hepatocarcinogenesis was dramatically accelerated in young GH-transgenic mice compared to non-transgenic counterparts. Image analysis of microscopic hepatocellular neoplasms showed rapidly increasing tumour burdens, and neoplastic foci size over time in young adult GH-transgenic mice. The magnitude of enhanced tumour growth was equivalent in both male and female transgenic mice, whereas much lower and sexually dimorphic tumour growth rates (males>females) were observed in non-transgenic mice treated with DEN. BrdU labelling experiments demonstrated that rapid tumour growth in carcinogen-treated GH-transgenic mice was due to the promotion of cell proliferation in emerging lesions. Tumour cell proliferation in young GH-transgenic mice was 2.6- and 4-fold higher, respectively, than that observed in similar age male and female non-transgenic mice. Interestingly, both GH-transgenic and non-transgenic mice displayed progressively slower tumour growth rates in older animals.

CONCLUSION

Overall, GH synergistically promotes carcinogen-induced hepatocarcinogenesis in both sexes of GH-transgenic mice by stimulating tumour cell proliferation.

Serum alpha-fetoprotein for diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic liver disease: influence of HBsAg and anti-HCV status

BACKGROUND

It is not established whether virological status affects the efficiency of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) as a hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) marker among patients with chronic liver disease (CLD).

METHODS

We enrolled in a case-control study 170 HCC and 170 CLD patients, matched for age, sex, CLD and HBsAg/anti-HCV status. The AFP sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values were calculated. PPV and NPV were evaluated for three additional HCC prevalences (5, 10, and 20%).

RESULTS

The best discriminating AFP value was 16 ng/ml. A value of 20 ng/ml (above which investigations for HCC are recommended) had equivalent sensitivity (60.0 vs. 62.4%) and specificity (90.6 vs. 89.4%). PPV of 20 ng/ml was 84.6% but decreased to 25.1% at 5% tumor prevalence. NPV was 69.4% and rose to 97.7% at 5% prevalence. In the different groups of infected patients PPV ranged from 80.0 to 90.9%, falling to 17.4-34.5% at 5% prevalence. In noninfected patients PPV was 100% at any HCC prevalence. NPV ranged from 59.0 to 73.0%, reaching 96.5-98.1% at 5% prevalence.

CONCLUSIONS

In CLD patients, AFP monitoring misses many HCCs and inappropriately arouses suspicion of malignancy in many patients. Its usefulness is barely affected by the infection responsible for CLD. An AFP elevation could be more indicative of HCC in non-infected patients.