Prospective Study of Outcomes in Adults with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Semaglutide 2·4 mg once weekly in patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-related cirrhosis: a randomised, placebo-controlled phase 2 trial

BACKGROUND

Patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-related cirrhosis are at high risk of liver-related and all-cause morbidity and mortality. We investigated the efficacy and safety of the glucagon-like peptide-1 analogue semaglutide in patients with NASH and compensated cirrhosis.

METHODS

This double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 2 trial enrolled patients from 38 centres in Europe and the USA. Adults with biopsy-confirmed NASH-related cirrhosis and body-mass index (BMI) of 27 kg/m2 or more were randomly assigned (2:1) to receive either once-weekly subcutaneous semaglutide 2·4 mg or visually matching placebo. Patients were randomly allocated via an interactive web response system, stratified by presence or absence of type 2 diabetes. Patients, investigators, and those assessing outcomes were masked to treatment assignment. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients with an improvement in liver fibrosis of one stage or more without worsening of NASH after 48 weeks, assessed by biopsy in the intention-to-treat population. Safety was assessed in all patients who received at least one dose of study drug. The trial is closed and completed, and registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT03987451.

FINDINGS

71 patients were enrolled between June 18, 2019, and April 22, 2021; 49 (69%) patients were female and 22 (31%) were male. Patients had a mean age of 59·5 years (SD 8·0) and mean BMI of 34·9 kg/m2 (SD 5·9); 53 (75%) patients had diabetes. 47 patients were randomly assigned to the semaglutide group and 24 to the placebo group. After 48 weeks, there was no statistically significant difference between the two groups in the proportion of patients with an improvement in liver fibrosis of one stage or more without worsening of NASH (five [11%] of 47 patients in the semaglutide group vs seven [29%] of 24 in the placebo group; odds ratio 0·28 [95% CI 0·06-1·24; p=0·087). There was also no significant difference between groups in the proportion of patients who achieved NASH resolution (p=0·29). Similar proportions of patients in each group reported adverse events (42 [89%] patients in the semaglutide group vs 19 [79%] in the placebo group) and serious adverse events (six [13%] vs two [8%]). The most common adverse events were nausea (21 [45%] vs four [17%]), diarrhoea (nine [19%] vs two [8%]), and vomiting (eight [17%] vs none). Hepatic and renal function remained stable. There were no decompensating events or deaths.

INTERPRETATION

In patients with NASH and compensated cirrhosis, semaglutide did not significantly improve fibrosis or achievement of NASH resolution versus placebo. No new safety concerns were raised.

FUNDING

Novo Nordisk A/S.

Progression to cirrhosis is similar among all ages in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, but liver-related events increase with age

BACKGROUND

NAFLD is increasingly common among young people. Whether NAFLD carries a more benign course in younger adults is not known. We aimed to characterize genetic and metabolic risk factors for NAFLD and their effects on disease progression across age groups.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of adults with NAFLD seen within Michigan Medicine, a tertiary care center, between 2010 and 2021. NAFLD was defined by hepatic steatosis on imaging, biopsy, or transient elastography in the absence of other chronic liver diseases. Cirrhosis was determined by validated International Classification of Diseases-9/10 codes or imaging. Fine-Gray competing risk models were generated, with incident cirrhosis and liver-related events (LREs) as the primary outcomes and death without cirrhosis or LREs as a competing risk. The primary predictor was the age category.

RESULTS

We included 31,505 patients with NAFLD, with 8,252 aged 18 to younger than 40, 15,035 aged 40 to younger than 60, and 8,218 aged 60 years or older years at diagnosis. Compared with older patients, young adults more often had obesity, higher ALT, and high-risk PNPLA3 alleles, and fewer had prevalent cirrhosis, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes. The 10-year risk of incident cirrhosis was similar between ages (3.4% in age 18 to <40 vs 3.7% in age 40 to <60 vs 4.7% in age ≥60; p = 0.058). Predictors of LREs were advancing age and diabetes, with a significantly higher 10-year risk of LREs in the oldest age group (0.2% in age 18 to <40 vs 0.7% in age 40 to <60 vs 1.1% in age ≥60; p = 0.008).

CONCLUSIONS

While the baseline prevalence of cirrhosis was higher among older adults, the rate of NAFLD progression to cirrhosis was similar in young and older adults. Older patients were more likely to have LREs.

Outcomes of fatty liver disease with and without metabolic comorbidities and risk factors for mortality

Background and Aim

As the clinical course of metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is unclear, we compared the clinical courses of MAFLD and non-alcoholic FLD (NAFLD).

Methods

Asian FLD patients (n = 987) from 1991 to 2021 (biopsy-proven in 939) were enrolled. The patients were divided into NAFLD (N-alone, n = 92), both MAFLD and N (M&N, n = 785), and M-alone (n = 90) groups. Clinical features, complications, and survival rates were compared among the three groups. Risk factors of mortality were subjected to Cox regression analysis.

Results

The N-alone group patients were significantly younger (N alone, M&N, and M alone: 50, 53, and 57 years, respectively), more frequently male (54.3%, 52.6%, and 37.8%), and had a low body mass index (BMI, 23.1, 27.1, and 26.7 kg/m²) and FIB-4 index (1.20, 1.46, and 2.10). Hypopituitarism (5.4%) and hypothyroidism (7.6%) were significantly observed in the N-alone group. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) developed in 0.0%, 4.2%, and 3.5% of the cases, and extrahepatic malignancies in 6.8%, 8.4%, and 4.7% of the cases, respectively, with no significant differences. The cardiovascular event rate was significantly higher in the M-alone group (1, 37, and 11 cases, P < 0.01). Survival rates were similar among the three groups. Risk factors for mortality were age and BMI in the N-alone group; age, HCC, alanine transaminase, and FIB-4 in the M&N group; and FIB-4 in the M-alone group.

Conclusion

Different risk factors for mortality may exist among the FLD groups.

Predicting which patients with cirrhosis will develop overt hepatic encephalopathy: Beyond psychometric testing

It remains challenging to identify covert hepatic encephalopathy and predict progression to overt hepatic encephalopathy. Psychometric testing is a widely used diagnostic modality, but it is often inaccurate and difficult to implement in diverse populations, making it a less than ideal assessment. Alternatively, by using easily accessible data from the electronic health record, simple clinical assessment tools, and patient-reported outcomes, we may be better able to predict hepatic encephalopathy across multiple populations. Furthermore, incorporation of patient-reported outcomes into our diagnostic toolset not only aids detection of covert hepatic encephalopathy and prediction of overt hepatic encephalopathy, but also allows us to target therapies and track their impact. Herein, we outline a potential algorithm based on these easily integrated tools to promote patient risk-stratification and early therapeutic intervention.

Alleviation of Hepatic Steatosis by Alpha-Defensin Is Associated with Enhanced Lipolysis

Background and Objectives: The neutrophilic peptide, alpha-defensin, is considered an evolving risk factor intimately linked with lipid mobilization. It was previously linked to augmented liver fibrosis. Here, we assess a potential association between alpha-defensin and fatty liver. Materials and Methods: A cohort of transgenic C57BL/6JDef^+/+ male mice that overexpress the human neutrophil-derived alpha-defensin in their polymorphonuclear neutrophils (PMNs) were assessed for liver steatosis and fibrosis development. Wild type (C57BL/6JDef.Wt) and transgenic (C57BL/6JDef^+/+) mice were maintained on a standard rodent chow diet for 8.5 months. At the termination of the experiment, systemic metabolic indices and hepatic immunological cell profiling were assessed. Results: The Def^+/+ transgenic mice exhibited lower body and liver weights, lower serum fasting glucose and cholesterol, and significantly lower liver fat content. These results were associated with impaired liver lymphocytes count and function (lower CD8, NK cells, and killing marker CD107a). The metabolic cage demonstrated dominant fat utilization with a comparable food intake in the Def^+/+ mice. Conclusions: Chronic physiological expression of alpha-defensin induces favorable blood metabolic profile, increased systemic lipolysis, and decreased hepatic fat accumulation. Further studies are needed to characterize the defensin net liver effect.

Precision Medicine in Fatty Liver Disease/Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most prevalent chronic liver disease, and is related to fatal and non-fatal liver, metabolic, and cardiovascular complications. Its non-invasive diagnosis and effective treatment remain an unmet clinical need. NAFLD is a heterogeneous disease that is most commonly present in the context of metabolic syndrome and obesity, but not uncommonly, may also be present without metabolic abnormalities and in subjects with normal body mass index. Therefore, a more specific pathophysiology-based subcategorization of fatty liver disease (FLD) is needed to better understand, diagnose, and treat patients with FLD. A precision medicine approach for FLD is expected to improve patient care, decrease long-term disease outcomes, and develop better-targeted, more effective treatments. We present herein a precision medicine approach for FLD based on our recently proposed subcategorization, which includes the metabolic-associated FLD (MAFLD) (i.e., obesity-associated FLD (OAFLD), sarcopenia-associated FLD (SAFLD, and lipodystrophy-associated FLD (LAFLD)), genetics-associated FLD (GAFLD), FLD of multiple/unknown causes (XAFLD), and combined causes of FLD (CAFLD) as well as advanced stage fibrotic FLD (FAFLD) and end-stage FLD (ESFLD) subcategories. These and other related advances, as a whole, are expected to enable not only improved patient care, quality of life, and long-term disease outcomes, but also a considerable reduction in healthcare system costs associated with FLD, along with more options for better-targeted, more effective treatments in the near future.

Sleep Apnea, Obesity, and Diabetes - an Intertwined Trio

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To synthesize the existing literature regarding the complex interplay between sleep disturbance, obesity, and diabetes. The review emphasizes the three pillars of health being diet, exercise, and sleep, with the notion that if one is ignored, then the other two could suffer.

RECENT FINDINGS

Sleep deprivation is associated with incident obesity, perhaps mediated by dysregulation in leptin and ghrelin - hormones important in regulation of appetite. Sleep apnea is very common particularly among obese people with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Treatment of sleep apnea has clear symptomatic benefits although its impact on long-term cardiometabolic health is less clear. Sleep disturbance may be an important modifiable risk for patients at risk of cardiometabolic disease. An assessment of sleep health may be an important component of the comprehensive care of patients with obesity and diabetes mellitus.

Hepatic Outcomes of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Including Cirrhosis and Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease worldwide and represents a significant cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Almost 20% of patients with NAFLD and advanced fibrosis develop cirrhosis, of which 20% can progress to decompensated liver stage. Although patients with cirrhosis or fibrosis continue to have a high risk for HCC progression, growing evidence shows that NAFLD-HCC can develop even in the absence of cirrhosis. Current evidence characterizes NAFLD-HCC primarily as a condition with late presentation, lower response to curative therapy, and poor prognosis.

Screening for At-Risk Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in the Primary Care Setting

While nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is a leading cause of end-stage liver disease, most patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease do not develop cirrhosis and its complications. Therefore, risk stratification using inexpensive, noninvasive screening modalities is critical to avoid overdiagnosis and overtreatment of a large proportion of the population. In this review, we discuss the data supporting screening and current professional society recommendations on this topic. Screening for at-risk nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is recommended in patients with risk factors including diabetes, the metabolic syndrome, hepatic steatosis, and elevated aminotransferases. Screening typically consists of noninvasive testing using serum biomarkers followed by elastography using specialized imaging modalities. This sequential screening approach accurately identifies both high- and low-risk patients and is cost-effective when applied to at-risk populations. In conclusion, screening for advanced nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in the primary care setting is a crucial part of identifying high-risk patients who may benefit from aggressive intervention while avoiding overtreatment of patients at low risk of liver-related complications.

Disease State Transition Probabilities Across the Spectrum of NAFLD: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Paired Biopsy or Imaging Studies

BACKGROUND & AIMS

We conducted a meta-analysis to summarize the rates of progression to and regression of nonalcoholic fatty liver (NAFL), nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and fibrosis in adults with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

METHODS

We searched PubMed/Medline and 4 other databases from 1985 through 2020. We included observational studies and randomized controlled trials in any language that used liver biopsy or imaging to diagnose NAFLD in adults with a follow-up period ≥48 weeks. Rates were calculated as incident cases per 100 person-years and pooled using the random-effects Poisson distribution model. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic.

RESULTS

We screened 9744 articles and included 54 studies involving 26,738 patients. Among observational studies, 20% of healthy adults developed NAFL (incidence rate, 4.8/100 person-years) while 21% of people with fatty liver had resolution of NAFL (incidence rate, 2.4/100 person-years) after a median of approximately 4.5 years. In addition, 31% of patients developed NASH after 4.7 years (incidence rate, 7.4/100 person-years), whereas in 29% of those with NASH, resolution occurred after a median of 3.5 years (incidence rate, 5.1/100 person-years). Time to progress by 1 fibrosis stage was 9.9, 10.3, 13.3, and 22.2 years for F0, F1, F2, and F3, respectively. Time to regress by 1 stage was 21.3, 12.5, 20.4, and 40.0 years for F4, F3, F2, and F1, respectively. Rates estimated from randomized controlled trials were higher than those from observational studies.

CONCLUSIONS

In our meta-analysis, progression to NASH was more common than regression from NASH. Rates of fibrosis progression were similar across baseline stage, but patients with advanced fibrosis were more likely to regress than those with mild fibrosis.

Future Treatment Options and Regimens for Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Recent progress in our understanding of the pathogenic mechanisms that drive progression of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis as well as lessons learned from several clinical trials that have been conducted over the past 15 years guide our current regulatory framework and trial design. Targeting the metabolic drivers should probably be the backbone of therapy in most of the patients, with some requiring more specific intrahepatic antiinflammatory and antifibrotic actions to achieve success. New and innovative targets and approaches as well as combination therapies are currently explored, while awaiting a better understanding of disease heterogeneity that should allow for future individualized medicine.

Small-molecule natural plants for reversing liver fibrosis based on modulation of hepatic stellate cells activation: An update

BACKGROUND

Liver fibrosis (LF) is a trauma repair process carried out by the liver in response to various acute and chronic liver injuries. Its primary pathological characteristics are excessive proliferation and improper dismissal of the extracellular matrix, and if left untreated, it will progress into cirrhosis, liver cancer, and other diseases. Hepatic stellate cells (HSCs) activation is intimately associated to the onset of LF, and it is anticipated that addressing HSCs proliferation can reverse LF. Plant-based small-molecule medications have anti-LF properties, and their mechanisms of action involve suppression of extracellular matrix abnormally accumulating as well as anti-inflammation and anti-oxidative stress. New targeting HSC agents will therefore be needed to provide a potential curative response.

PURPOSE

The most recent HSC routes and small molecule natural plants that target HSC described domestically and internationally in recent years were examined in this review.

METHODS

The data was looked up using resources including ScienceDirect, CNKI, Web of Science, and PubMed. Keyword searches for information on hepatic stellate cells included "liver fibrosis", "natural plant", "hepatic stellate cells", "adverse reaction", "toxicity", etc. RESULTS: We discovered that plant monomers can target and control various pathways to prevent the activation and proliferation of HSC and promote the apoptosis of HSC in order to achieve the anti-LF effect in this work by compiling the plant monomers that influence many common pathways of HSC in recent years. It demonstrates the wide-ranging potential of plant monomers targeting different routes to combat LF, with a view to supplying new concepts and new strategies for natural plant therapy of LF as well as research and development of novel pharmaceuticals. The investigation of kaempferol, physalin B, and other plant monomers additionally motivated researchers to focus on the structure-activity link between the main chemicals and LF.

CONCLUSION

The creation of novel pharmaceuticals can benefit greatly from the use of natural components. They are often harmless for people, non-target creatures, and the environment because they are found in nature, and they can be employed as the starting chemicals for the creation of novel medications. Natural plants are valuable resources for creating new medications with fresh action targets because they feature original and distinctive action mechanisms.

Increased accuracy in identifying NAFLD with advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis: independent validation of the Agile 3+ and 4 scores

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We explored 2 novel scores, Agile 3+ and 4, to identify advanced fibrosis (≥F3) and cirrhosis (F4), respectively, in NAFLD and compared their diagnostic performances to liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography and fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) (for Agile 3+).

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This multicenter study included 548 NAFLD patients with laboratory testing, liver biopsy, and vibration-controlled transient elastography within 6 months. Agile 3+ and 4 were applied and compared with FIB-4 or LSM alone. Goodness of fit was evaluated using a calibration plot and discrimination using area under the receiver operating curve. Area under the receiver operating curves was compared using the Delong test. Dual cutoff approaches were applied to rule out and rule in ≥F3 and F4. Median (interquartile range) age was 58 (15) years. Median body mass index was 33.3 (8.5) kg/m2. Fifty-three percent had type 2 diabetes, 20% had F3, and 26% had F4. Agile 3+ demonstrated an area under the receiver operating curve of 0.85 (0.81; 0.88) similar to that of LSM [0.83 (0.79; 0.86), p=0.142] but significantly higher than that of FIB-4 [0.77 (0.73; 0.81), p<0.0001). Agile 4's area under the receiver operating curve [0.85 (0.81; 0.88)] was similar to that of LSM [0.85 (0.81; 0.88), p=0.065). However, the percentage of patients with indeterminate results was significantly lower with Agile scores compared with FIB-4 and LSM (Agile 3+: 14% vs. FIB-4: 31% vs. LSM: 13%, p<0.001; Agile 4: 23% vs. LSM: 38%, p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Agile 3+ and 4 are novel vibration-controlled transient elastography-based noninvasive scores that increase accuracy in the identification of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis respectively and are ideal for clinical use due to a lower percentage of indeterminant outputs compared with FIB-4 or LSM alone.

Roles of Radiological Tests in Clinical Trials and the Clinical Management of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Radiological testing is now routinely used for clinical trial prescreening, diagnosis, and treatment and referral. The CAP performs well in detecting fatty liver but is unable to grade and track longitudinal changes. MRI-PDFF is a better technique for evaluating longitudinal changes and is used as a primary endpoint in trials of antisteatotic agents. The probability of detecting liver fibrosis using radiological testing techniques is high when performed at referral centers, and reasonable imaging strategies include the combination of FIB-4 and VCTE, the FAST Score, MAST, and MEFIB. The strategy currently recommended is the sequential application of FIB-4 and VCTE.

Comparison between metabolic-associated fatty liver disease and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: From nomenclature to clinical outcomes

As a result of the obesity epidemic, Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and its complications have increased among millions of people. Consequently, a group of experts recommended changing the term NAFLD to an inclusive terminology more reflective of the underlying pathogenesis; metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). This new term of MAFLD has its own disease epidemiology and clinical outcomes prompting efforts in studying its differences from NAFLD. This article discusses the rationale behind the nomenclature change, the main differences, and its clinical implications.

Association of Serum Albumin Levels and Long-Term Prognosis in Patients with Biopsy-Confirmed Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

The relationship between baseline serum albumin level and long-term prognosis of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remains unknown. This is a sub-analysis of the CLIONE (Clinical Outcome Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease) study. The main outcomes were: death or orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT), liver-related death, and liver-related events (hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC], decompensated cirrhosis, and gastroesophageal varices/bleeding). 1383 Japanese patients with biopsy-confirmed NAFLD were analyzed. They were divided into 3 groups based on serum albumin: high (>4.0 g/dL), intermediate (3.5-4.0 g/dL), and low (<3.5 g/dL). Unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] of the intermediate albumin group, compared with the high albumin group, were 3.6 for death or OLT, 11.2 for liver-related death, 4.6 for HCC, 8.2 for decompensated cirrhosis, and 6.2 for gastroesophageal varices (all risks were statistically significant). After adjusting confounding factors, albumin remained significantly associated with death or OLT (intermediate vs. high albumin group: HR 3.06, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.59-5.91, p < 0.001; low vs. high albumin group: HR 22.9, 95% CI 8.21-63.9, p < 0.001). Among biopsy-confirmed NAFLD patients, those with intermediate or low serum albumin had a significantly higher risk of death or OLT than those with high serum albumin.

Overweight/Obesity Increases the Risk of Overt Hepatic Encephalopathy after Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt in Cirrhotic Patients

The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of body mass index (BMI) on the prevalence of overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) after the transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) procedure in decompensated cirrhotic patients. A retrospective observational cohort study of 145 cirrhotic patients receiving TIPS was carried out in our department from 2017 to 2020. The relationships between BMI and clinical outcomes including OHE, as well as risk factors of developing post-TIPS OHE, were analyzed. BMI was categorized as normal weight (18.5 ≤ BMI < 23.0 kg/m²), underweight (BMI < 18.5 kg/m²), and overweight/obese (BMI ≥ 23.0 kg/m²). Among the 145 patients, 52 (35.9%) were overweight/obese and 50 (34%) had post-TIPS OHE. Overweight/obese patients more frequently had OHE compared with normal weight patients (OR: 2.754, 95% CI: 1.236-6.140; p = 0.013). Overweight/obesity (p = 0.013) and older age (p = 0.030) were independent risk factors for post-TIPS OHE according to the logistic regression analysis. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis suggested that overweight/obese patients had the highest cumulative incidence of OHE (log-rank p = 0.0118). In conclusion, overweight/obesity and older age may raise the risk of post-TIPS OHE in cirrhotic patients.

An integrated view of anti-inflammatory and antifibrotic targets for the treatment of NASH

Successful development of treatments for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and its progressive form, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) has been challenging. Because NASH and fibrosis lead to NAFLD progression towards cirrhosis and to clinical outcomes, approaches have either sought to attenuate metabolic dysregulation and cell injury, or directly target the inflammation and fibrosis that ensue. Targets for reducing the activation of inflammatory cascades include nuclear receptor agonists (thyroid hormone receptor-beta, e.g. resmetirom, peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor [PPAR], e.g. lanifibranor, farnesoid X receptor [FXR], e.g. obeticholic acid), modulators of lipotoxicity (e.g. aramchol, acetyl-CoA carboxylase inhibitors) or modification of genetic variants (e.g. PNPLA3 gene silencing). Extrahepatic inflammatory signals from circulation, adipose tissue or gut are targets of hormonal agonists (e.g. glucagon-like peptide-1 [GLP-1] like semaglutide, fibroblast growth factor [FGF]-19 or FGF21), microbiota or lifestyle (weight loss, diet, exercise) interventions. Stress signals and hepatocyte death activate immune responses engaging innate (macrophages, lymphocytes) and adaptive (auto-aggressive T-cells) mechanisms. Therapies seek to blunt immune cell activation, recruitment (chemokine receptor inhibitors) and responses (e.g. galectin 3 inhibition, anti-platelet drugs). The disease-driving pathways of NASH converge to elicit fibrosis, which is reversible. The activation of hepatic stellate cells (HSC) into matrix-producing myofibroblasts can be inhibited by antagonizing soluble factors (e.g. integrins, cytokines), cellular crosstalk (e.g. with macrophages), and agonizing nuclear receptor signaling (e.g. FXR or PPAR agonists). In advanced fibrosis, cell therapy with restorative macrophages or reprogrammed T-cells (e.g., CAR T) may accelerate repair through HSC deactivation or killing, or by enhancing matrix degradation. Heterogeneity of disease - either due to genetics or divergent disease drivers - is an obstacle to defining effective drugs for all patients with NASH that will be incrementally overcome.

Dihydrosphingolipids are associated with steatosis and increased fibrosis damage in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Dihydrosphingolipids are lipids biosynthetically related to ceramides. An increase in ceramides is associated with enhanced fat storage in the liver and inhibition of their synthesis is reported to prevent the appearance of steatosis in animal models. However, the precise association of dihydrosphingolipids with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is yet to be established. We employed a diet induced NAFLD mouse model to study the association between this class of compounds and disease progression. Mice fed a high-fat diet were sacrificed at 22, 30 and 40 weeks to reproduce the full spectrum of histological damage found in human disease, steatosis (NAFL) and steatohepatitis (NASH) with and without significant fibrosis. Blood and liver tissue samples were obtained from patients whose NAFLD severity was assessed histologically. To demonstrate the effect of dihydroceramides over NAFLD progression we treated mice with fenretinide an inhibitor of dihydroceramide desaturse-1 (DEGS1). Lipidomic analyses were performed using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Triglycerides, cholesteryl esters and dihydrosphingolipids were increased in the liver of model mice in association with the degree of steatosis and fibrosis. Dihydroceramides increased with the histological severity observed in liver samples of mice (0.024 ± 0.003 nmol/mg vs 0.049 ± 0.005 nmol/mg, non-NAFLD vs NASH-fibrosis, p < 0.0001) and patients (0.105 ± 0.011 nmol/mg vs 0.165 ± 0.021 nmol/mg, p = 0.0221). Inhibition of DEGS1 induce a four-fold increase in dihydroceramides improving steatosis but increasing the inflammatory activity and fibrosis. In conclusion, the degree of histological damage in NAFLD correlate with dihydroceramide and dihydrosphingolipid accumulation. LAY SUMMARY: Accumulation of triglyceride and cholesteryl ester lipids is the hallmark of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Using lipidomics, we examined the role of dihydrosphingolipids in NAFLD progression. Our results demonstrate that de novo dihydrosphingolipid synthesis is an early event in NAFLD and the concentrations of these lipids are correlated with histological severity in both mouse and human disease.

CAP and LSM as determined by VCTE are independent predictors of all-cause mortality in the US adult population

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Data retrospective cohort studies have shown that liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography (TE, FibroScan) can predict mortality in patients with NAFLD, however, its ability to predict mortality at a population level is unknown. We investigated the ability of LSM and controlled-attenuation parameter (CAP) by TE to predict mortality in a prospective US cohort.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

A total of 4192 US adults aged ≥18 years enrolled in the National Health, and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) (2017-2018) with reliable information on CAP and LSM by TE were included in this analysis. All-specific and cause-specific mortality were ascertained by linkage to National Death Index records through December 31, 2019. Cox models were used to estimate HR and 95% CI. During a mean follow-up of 24.4 months, there were 68 deaths (1.6%). CAP (adjusted HR: 1.01, 95% CI: 1.0-1.05), and LSM (adjusted HR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.02-1.11) were independently associated with overall mortality. NAFLD by CAP ≥285 had a 2.2-fold (95% CI: 1.0-4.7) increased odds of mortality compared with non-NAFLD. Cumulative mortality rates were significantly higher in participants with LSM of 9.7-13.5 (advanced fibrosis) and LSM ≥13.6 (cirrhosis) as compared with LSM <9.7; p value for trend across groups <0.01. LSM ≥13.6 displayed the highest mortality risk (adjusted HR: 3.2, 95% CI: 1.3-7.8). Compared with LSM <10 [absence of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD)], LSM 10-19.9 (likely ACLD), and ≥20 kPa (likely ACLD with clinically significant portal hypertension) conferred a 3.4-fold (95% CI: 1.0-13.8) and 5.2-fold (95% CI: 1.2-22.3) increase in hazards of mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study findings highlight the importance of liver health as a predictor of overall mortality at a population level.

Longitudinal transkingdom gut microbial approach towards decompensation in outpatients with cirrhosis

OBJECTIVE

First decompensation development is a critical milestone that needs to be predicted. Transkingdom gut microbial interactions, including archaeal methanogens, may be important targets and predictors but a longitudinal approach is needed.

DESIGN

Cirrhosis outpatients who provided stool twice were included. Group 1: compensated, group 2: 1 decompensation (decomp), group 3: >1 decompensationwere followed and divided into those who remained stable or decompensated. Bacteria, viral and archaeal presence, α/β diversity and taxa changes over time adjusted for clinical variables were analysed. Correlation networks between kingdoms were analysed.

RESULTS

157 outpatients (72 group 1, 33 group 2 and 52 group 3) were followed and 28%-47% developed outcomes. Baseline between those who remained stable/developed outcome: While no α/β diversity differences were seen, commensals were lower and pathobionts were higher in those who decompensated. After decompensation: those experiencing their first decompensation showed greater decrease in α/β-diversity, bacterial change (↑Lactobacillus spp, Streptococcus parasanguinis and ↓ beneficial Lachnospiraceae and Eubacterium hallii) and viral change (↑Siphoviridae, ↓ Myoviridae) versus those with further decompensation. Archaea: 19% had Methanobacter brevii, which was similar between/within groups. Correlation networks: Baseline archaeal-viral-bacterial networks were denser and more homogeneous in those who decompensated versus the rest. Archaea-bacterial correlations collapsed post first decompensation. Lactobacillus phage Lc Nu and C2-like viruses were negatively linked with beneficial bacteria.

CONCLUSION

In this longitudinal study of cirrhosis outpatients, the greatest transkingdom gut microbial changes were seen in those reaching the first decompensation, compared with subsequent decompensating events. A transkingdom approach may refine prediction and provide therapeutic targets to prevent cirrhosis progression.

Prediction and prevention of the first episode of overt hepatic encephalopathy in patients with cirrhosis

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is one of the most important complications of patients with liver cirrhosis. In addition, HE is associated with a dismal prognosis and has detrimental effects on patients' quality of life. Thus, it is of pivotal importance to identify patients at high risk for overt HE (OHE) in whom primary prophylaxis may be justified. In this narrative review, we aim to provide insight into predictors and prediction tools for a first-time episode of OHE and to scrutinize the current level of evidence of primary prophylaxis. In recent decades, several cognitive tests, composite scores, and blood-based biomarkers have been demonstrated to be predictive of a first-time episode of OHE. Among the best validated are the established tests for minimal HE, such as the Psychometric Hepatic Encephalopathy Score, determination of the critical flicker frequency, Stroop EncephalApp, or the Animal Naming Test. Individualized risk stratification using blood-based biomarkers and cross-sectional imaging (sarcopenia and spontaneous portosystemic shunts) is coming to the fore, but validation in larger multicenter cohorts is often lacking. On the basis of current evidence, a recommendation for primary prophylaxis of a first episode of OHE cannot be made in general. Only 2 studies have investigated the prevention of a first-time OHE episode as the primary endpoint. In this narrative review, we provide a concise overview of the current evidence levels on prediction tools and pharmacological prevention of a first episode of OHE. In addition, we give an outlook on future research targets to improve knowledge on this important topic.

Geographical similarity and differences in the burden and genetic predisposition of NAFLD

NAFLD has become a major public health problem for more than 2 decades with a growing prevalence in parallel with the epidemic of obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D). The disease burden of NAFLD differs across geographical regions and ethnicities. Variations in prevalence of metabolic diseases, extent of urban-rural divide, dietary habits, lifestyles, and the prevalence of NAFLD risk and protective alleles can contribute to such differences. The rise in NAFLD has led to a remarkable increase in the number of cases of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, hepatic decompensation, and liver-related mortality related to NAFLD. Moreover, NAFLD is associated with multiple extrahepatic manifestations. Most of them are risk factors for the progression of liver fibrosis and thus worsen the prognosis of NAFLD. All these comorbidities and complications affect the quality of life in subjects with NAFLD. Given the huge and growing size of the population with NAFLD, it is expected that patients, healthcare systems, and the economy will suffer from the ongoing burden related to NAFLD. In this review, we examine the disease burden of NAFLD across geographical areas and ethnicities, together with the distribution of some well-known genetic variants for NAFLD. We also describe some special populations including patients with T2D, lean patients, the pediatric population, and patients with concomitant liver diseases. We discuss extrahepatic outcomes, patient-reported outcomes, and economic burden related to NAFLD.

Impact of ammonia levels on outcome in clinically stable outpatients with advanced chronic liver disease

Background & Aims

Ammonia levels predicted hospitalisation in a recent landmark study not accounting for portal hypertension and systemic inflammation severity. We investigated (i) the prognostic value of venous ammonia levels (outcome cohort) for liver-related outcomes while accounting for these factors and (ii) its correlation with key disease-driving mechanisms (biomarker cohort).

Methods

(i) The outcome cohort included 549 clinically stable outpatients with evidence of advanced chronic liver disease. (ii) The partly overlapping biomarker cohort comprised 193 individuals, recruited from the prospective Vienna Cirrhosis Study (VICIS: NCT03267615).

Results

(i) In the outcome cohort, ammonia increased across clinical stages as well as hepatic venous pressure gradient and United Network for Organ Sharing model for end-stage liver disease (2016) strata and were independently linked with diabetes. Ammonia was associated with liver-related death, even after multivariable adjustment (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.05 [95% CI: 1.00-1.10]; p = 0.044). The recently proposed cut-off (≥1.4 × upper limit of normal) was independently predictive of hepatic decompensation (aHR: 2.08 [95% CI: 1.35-3.22]; p <0.001), non-elective liver-related hospitalisation (aHR: 1.86 [95% CI: 1.17-2.95]; p = 0.008), and - in those with decompensated advanced chronic liver disease - acute-on-chronic liver failure (aHR: 1.71 [95% CI: 1.05-2.80]; p = 0.031). (ii) Besides hepatic venous pressure gradient, venous ammonia was correlated with markers of endothelial dysfunction and liver fibrogenesis/matrix remodelling in the biomarker cohort.

Conclusions

Venous ammonia predicts hepatic decompensation, non-elective liver-related hospitalisation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death, independently of established prognostic indicators including C-reactive protein and hepatic venous pressure gradient. Although venous ammonia is linked with several key disease-driving mechanisms, its prognostic value is not explained by associated hepatic dysfunction, systemic inflammation, or portal hypertension severity, suggesting direct toxicity.

Impact and implications

A recent landmark study linked ammonia levels (a simple blood test) with hospitalisation/death in individuals with clinically stable cirrhosis. Our study extends the prognostic value of venous ammonia to other important liver-related complications. Although venous ammonia is linked with several key disease-driving mechanisms, they do not fully explain its prognostic value. This supports the concept of direct ammonia toxicity and ammonia-lowering drugs as disease-modifying treatment.

NAFLD and NASH biomarker qualification in the LITMUS consortium - Lessons learned

Biomarkers have the potential to accelerate drug development, as early indicators of improved clinical response, to improve patient safety, and for personalised medicine. However, few have been approved through the biomarker qualification pathways of the regulatory agencies. This paper outlines how biomarkers can accelerate drug development, and reviews the lessons learned by the EU IMI2-funded LITMUS consortium, which has had several interactions with regulatory agencies in both the US and EU regarding biomarker qualification in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. Sharing knowledge of such interactions with the scientific community is of paramount importance to increase the chances of qualification of relevant biomarkers that may accelerate drug development, and thereby help patients, across disease indications. A qualified biomarker enables a decision to be made that all understand and support in a common framework.

Beta-blockers in the era of precision medicine in patients with cirrhosis

For decades, non-selective beta-blockers (NSBBs) have been the standard of care for the primary and secondary prevention of bleeding from oesophageal varices. However, several questions regarding the best clinical use of NSBBs remain unanswered and new data continue to emerge. Herein, we aim to delineate the therapeutic window of NSBBs in cirrhosis from a more individualised perspective. We address the current controversy of widening the therapeutic window and prescribing NSBBs to all patients with clinically significant portal hypertension. Although transient elastography is useful to rule-in clinically significant portal hypertension, we lack robust data supporting the use of NSBBs in patients without varices. While most data are based on propranolol, accumulating evidence suggests that carvedilol is superior and should be the first-line treatment until the decompensated stage. The clinical risk-to-benefit ratio appears to deteriorate in advanced decompensated stages and the risk of harm is high in patients with refractory ascites, low blood pressure and renal impairment, which clinically define closure of the therapeutic window. We also critically review non-invasive surrogates and biomarkers for predicting the haemodynamic response to NSBBs and confirm that the absence of reliable non-invasive methods is one of the main challenges facing the field.

Mortality Outcomes by Fibrosis Stage in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Fibrosis is a key determinant of clinical outcomes in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), but time-dependent risk of mortality has not been reported in previous meta-analyses. We performed an updated time-to-event meta-analysis to provide robust estimates for all-cause and liver-related mortality in biopsy-confirmed NAFLD with comparisons between fibrosis stages.

METHODS

Medline and Embase databases were searched to include cohort studies reporting survival outcomes by fibrosis stage in biopsy-proven NAFLD. Survival estimates were pooled using reconstructed individual participant data. Conventional meta-analysis was conducted to pool adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) using DerSimonian and Laird random effects model.

RESULTS

A total of 14 articles involving 17,301 patients with NAFLD were included. All-cause mortality at 1, 5, and 10 years for stage 0 to 2 fibrosis was 0.1%, 3.3%, and 7.7% vs 0.3%, 20.6%, and 41.5% for stage 4 fibrosis. Compared with stage 0 fibrosis, all-cause mortality increased with fibrosis stage: stage 2; HR, 1.46 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-1.98), stage 3; HR, 1.96 (95% CI, 1.41-2.72), and stage 4; HR, 3.66 (95% CI, 2.65-5.05). Risk for liver-related mortality increased exponentially as fibrosis stage increased: stage 2; HR, 4.07 (95% CI, 1.44-11.5), stage 3; HR, 7.59 (95% CI, 2.80-20.5), and stage 4; HR, 15.1 (95% CI, 5.27-43.4). Stage 3 to 4 fibrosis had a higher all-cause (HR, 3.32) and liver-related mortality (HR, 10.40) compared with stage 0 to 2 fibrosis, whereas stage 4 fibrosis had higher all-cause (HR, 2.67; 95% CI, 1.47-4.83) and liver-related mortality (HR, 2.57; 95% CI, 1.22-5.42) vs stage 3 fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk of all-cause and liver-related mortality increases substantially with fibrosis stage. These data have important implications for prognostication and trial design.

Severity of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is a risk factor for developing hypertension from prehypertension

BACKGROUND

There is little published evidence about the role of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in the progression from prehypertension to hypertension. This study was conducted to investigate the association of NAFLD and its severity with the risk of hypertension developing from prehypertension.

METHODS

The study cohort comprised 25, 433 participants from the Kailuan study with prehypertension at baseline; those with excessive alcohol consumption and other liver diseases were excluded. NAFLD was diagnosed by ultrasonography and stratified as mild, moderate, or severe. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression was used to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of incident hypertension according to the presence and 3 categories of severity of NAFLD.

RESULTS

During a median of 12.6 years of follow-up, 10,638 participants progressed to hypertension from prehypertension. After adjusting for multiple risk factors, patients with prehypertension and NAFLD had a 15% higher risk of incident hypertension than those without NAFLD (HR = 1.15, 95% CI 1.10-1.21). Moreover, the severity of NAFLD was associated with the incidence of hypertension, which was higher in patients with more severe NAFLD (HR = 1.15 [95% CI 1.10-1.21] in the mild NAFLD group; HR = 1.15 [95% CI 1.07-1.24] in the moderate NAFLD group; and HR = 1.20 [95% CI 1.03-1.41] in the severe NAFLD group). Subgroup analysis indicated that age and baseline systolic blood pressure may modify this association.

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD is an independent risk factor for hypertension in patients with prehypertension. The risk of incident hypertension increases with the severity of NAFLD.

Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis-related hepatocellular carcinoma: pathogenesis and treatment

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), including its more severe manifestation, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), has a global prevalence of 20-25% and is a major public health problem. Its incidence is increasing in parallel to the rise in obesity, diabetes and metabolic syndrome. Progression from NASH to NASH-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (~2% of cases per year) is influenced by many factors, including the tissue and immune microenvironment, germline mutations in PNPLA3, and the microbiome. NASH-HCC has unique molecular and immune traits compared with other aetiologies of HCC and is equally prevalent in men and women. Comorbidities associated with NASH, such as obesity and diabetes mellitus, can prevent the implementation of potentially curative therapies in certain patients; nonetheless, outcomes are similar in patients who receive treatment. NASH-HCC at the early to intermediate stages is managed with surgery and locoregional therapies, whereas advanced HCC is treated with systemic therapies, including anti-angiogenic therapies and immune-checkpoint inhibitors. In this Review, we present the latest knowledge of the pathogenic mechanisms and clinical management of NASH-HCC. We discuss data highlighting the controversy over varying responses to immune-checkpoint inhibitors according to underlying aetiology and suggest that the future of NASH-HCC management lies in improved surveillance, targeted combination therapies to overcome immune evasion, and identifying biomarkers to recognize treatment responders.

The Multifaceted Roles of Macrophages in NAFLD Pathogenesis

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the liver manifestation of the metabolic syndrome. NAFLD constitutes a spectrum of pathologies ranging from simple hepatic steatosis (nonalcoholic fatty liver) to the more progressive form of steatohepatitis and fibrosis, which can culminate in liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Macrophages play multiple roles in the context of NAFLD pathogenesis by regulating inflammatory responses and metabolic homeostasis in the liver and thereby may represent an attractive therapeutic target. Advances in high-resolution methods have highlighted the extraordinary heterogeneity and plasticity of hepatic macrophage populations and activation states thereof. Harmful/disease-promoting as well as beneficial/restorative macrophage phenotypes co-exist and are dynamically regulated, thus this complexity must be taken into consideration in strategies concerning therapeutic targeting. Macrophage heterogeneity in NAFLD includes their distinct ontogeny (embryonic Kupffer cells vs bone marrow-/monocyte-derived macrophages) as well as their functional phenotype, for example, inflammatory phagocytes, lipid- and scar-associated macrophages, or restorative macrophages. Here, we discuss the multifaceted role of macrophages in the pathogenesis of NAFLD in steatosis, steatohepatitis, and transition to fibrosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, focusing on both their beneficial and maladaptive functions at different disease stages. We also highlight the systemic aspect of metabolic dysregulation and illustrate the contribution of macrophages in the reciprocal crosstalk between organs and compartments (eg, the gut-liver axis, adipose tissue, and cardiohepatic metabolic interactions). Furthermore, we discuss the current state of development of pharmacologic treatment options targeting macrophage biology.

Designing an exploratory phase 2b platform trial in NASH with correlated, co-primary binary endpoints

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is the progressive form of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and a disease with high unmet medical need. Platform trials provide great benefits for sponsors and trial participants in terms of accelerating drug development programs. In this article, we describe some of the activities of the EU-PEARL consortium (EU Patient-cEntric clinicAl tRial pLatforms) regarding the use of platform trials in NASH, in particular the proposed trial design, decision rules and simulation results. For a set of assumptions, we present the results of a simulation study recently discussed with two health authorities and the learnings from these meetings from a trial design perspective. Since the proposed design uses co-primary binary endpoints, we furthermore discuss the different options and practical considerations for simulating correlated binary endpoints.

AI-based opportunistic CT screening of incidental cardiovascular disease, osteoporosis, and sarcopenia: cost-effectiveness analysis

PURPOSE

To assess the cost-effectiveness and clinical efficacy of AI-assisted abdominal CT-based opportunistic screening for atherosclerotic cardiovascular (CV) disease, osteoporosis, and sarcopenia using artificial intelligence (AI) body composition algorithms.

METHODS

Markov models were constructed and 10-year simulations were performed on hypothetical age- and sex-specific cohorts of 10,000 U.S. adults (base case: 55 year olds) undergoing abdominal CT. Using expected disease prevalence, transition probabilities between health states, associated healthcare costs, and treatment effectiveness related to relevant conditions (CV disease/osteoporosis/sarcopenia) were modified by three mutually exclusive screening models: (1) usual care ("treat none"; no intervention regardless of opportunistic CT findings), (2) universal statin therapy ("treat all" for CV prevention; again, no consideration of CT findings), and (3) AI-assisted abdominal CT-based opportunistic screening for CV disease, osteoporosis, and sarcopenia using automated quantitative algorithms for abdominal aortic calcification, bone mineral density, and skeletal muscle, respectively. Model validity was assessed against published clinical cohorts.

RESULTS

For the base-case scenarios of 55-year-old men and women modeled over 10 years, AI-assisted CT-based opportunistic screening was a cost-saving and more effective clinical strategy, unlike the "treat none" and "treat all" strategies that ignored incidental CT body composition data. Over a wide range of input assumptions beyond the base case, the CT-based opportunistic strategy was dominant over the other two scenarios, as it was both more clinically efficacious and more cost-effective. Cost savings and clinical improvement for opportunistic CT remained for AI tool costs up to $227/patient in men ($65 in women) from the $10/patient base-case scenario.

CONCLUSION

AI-assisted CT-based opportunistic screening appears to be a highly cost-effective and clinically efficacious strategy across a broad array of input assumptions, and was cost saving in most scenarios.

Validation of the new 2021 EASL algorithm for the noninvasive diagnosis of advanced fibrosis in NAFLD

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) has recently proposed an algorithm for the diagnosis of advanced liver fibrosis. We aimed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of this algorithm in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

APPROACH AND RESULTS

One thousand fifty-one patients with NAFLD, liver biopsy, and four noninvasive tests (NITs; Fibrosis-4 [FIB4], vibration controlled transient elastography [VCTE], FibroMeter, Fibrotest) were included. The enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) score was available in 396 patients. A cohort of 230 patients from primary care/diabetes clinics had FIB4, VCTE, and ELF. Compared with the performance of single NITs, agreement between two NITs (FIB4 and VCTE, VCTE and patented serum tests) increased specificity and positive predictive value by 20%, thus justifying the sequential use proposed in the EASL algorithm. The FIB4/VCTE/FibroMeter and FIB4/VCTE/Fibrotest algorithms performed similarly, providing 85% diagnostic accuracy and a liver biopsy requirement rate of only 10%. The FIB4/VCTE/ELF algorithm performed similarly in the subgroup where ELF was available. Simulations of algorithm accuracies at different prevalence showed that positive predictive values rapidly increased, reaching a plateau above 75% starting at 15% prevalence. Negative predictive values remained higher than 90% up to 25% prevalence. The rate of liver biopsy requirement remained stable, increasing by only 5% between low and high prevalence settings. When the EASL algorithm was applied in the primary care/diabetes clinic cohort, liver biopsy requirement was only 3%, and the agreement among the three steps provided 75% positive predictive value.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study validates the algorithm proposed by the EASL in its latest 2021 guidelines for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis in the setting of NAFLD.

A prospective study on the prevalence of NAFLD, advanced fibrosis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma in people with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There are limited prospective data on patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) specifically enrolled and systematically assessed for advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis due to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the prevalence of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in a prospectively recruited cohort of adults with T2DM.

METHODS

This prospective study enrolled adults aged ≥50 years with T2DM, recruited from primary care or endocrinology clinics. Participants underwent a standardized clinical research visit with MRI-proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF), magnetic resonance elastography (MRE), vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) and controlled-attenuation parameter. NAFLD was defined as MRI-PDFF ≥5% after exclusion of other liver diseases. Advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis were defined by established liver stiffness cut-off points on MRE or VCTE if MRE was not available.

RESULTS

Of 524 patients screened, 501 adults (63% female) with T2DM met eligibility. The mean age and BMI were 64.6 (±8.1) years and 31.4 (±5.9) kg/m2, respectively. The prevalence of NAFLD, advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis was 65%, 14% and 6%, respectively. In multivariable adjusted models, adjusted for age and sex, obesity and insulin use were associated with increased odds of advanced fibrosis (odds ratio 2.50; 95% CI 1.38-4.54; p = 0.003 and odds ratio 2.71; 95% CI 1.33-5.50; p = 0.006, respectively). Among 29 patients with cirrhosis, two were found to have hepatocellular carcinoma and one patient had gallbladder adenocarcinoma.

CONCLUSION

Utilizing a uniquely well-phenotyped prospective cohort of patients aged ≥50 years with T2DM, we found that the prevalence of advanced fibrosis was 14% and that of cirrhosis was 6%. These data underscore the high risk of advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis in adults aged ≥50 years with T2DM.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is common in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM), however, there are limited prospective data characterizing the prevalence of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis using the most accurate non-invasive biomarkers of liver fat and fibrosis. We show that 14% of older adults with T2DM have advanced fibrosis and 6% have cirrhosis, which places them at risk for liver failure and liver cancer. Accurate prevalence rates and comparative analysis regarding the diagnostic accuracy of non-invasive tests in this population will guide the optimal screening strategy and future cost-effectiveness analyses. These results will inform future Hepatology and Endocrinology practice guidelines regarding NAFLD screening programs in older adults with T2DM.

Liver stiffness thresholds to predict disease progression and clinical outcomes in bridging fibrosis and cirrhosis

OBJECTIVE

In retrospective studies, liver stiffness (LS) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is associated with the risk of liver decompensation in patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), but prospective data in biopsy-confirmed cohorts with advanced fibrosis are limited. We aimed to establish thresholds for LS by VCTE that predict progression to cirrhosis among patients with bridging fibrosis and hepatic decompensation among patients with cirrhosis due to NASH.

DESIGN

We used data from four randomised placebo-controlled trials of selonsertib and simtuzumab in participants with advanced fibrosis (F3-F4). The trials were discontinued due to lack of efficacy. Liver fibrosis was staged centrally at baseline and week 48 (selonsertib study) or week 96 (simtuzumab study). Associations between LS by VCTE with disease progression were determined using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.

RESULTS

Progression to cirrhosis occurred in 16% (103/664) of participants with bridging fibrosis and adjudicated liver-related events occurred in 4% (27/734) of participants with baseline cirrhosis. The optimal baseline LS thresholds were ≥16.6 kPa for predicting progression to cirrhosis, and ≥30.7 kPa for predicting liver-related events. Baseline LS ≥16.6 kPa (adjusted HR 3.99; 95% CI 2.66 to 5.98, p<0.0001) and a ≥5 kPa (and ≥20%) increase (adjusted HR 1.98; 95% CI 1.20 to 3.26, p=0.008) were independent predictors of progression to cirrhosis in participants with bridging fibrosis, while baseline LS ≥30.7 kPa (adjusted HR 10.13, 95% CI 4.38 to 23.41, p<0.0001) predicted liver-related events in participants with cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

The LS thresholds identified in this study may be useful for risk stratification of NASH patients with advanced fibrosis.

Time to focus on chronic liver diseases in the community: A review of primary care hepatology tools, pathways of care and reimbursement mechanisms

Addressing primary care's low confidence in detecting and managing chronic liver disease is becoming increasingly important owing to the escalating prevalence of its common lifestyle-related metabolic risk factors - obesity, physical inactivity, smoking and alcohol consumption. Whilst liver blood testing is frequently carried out in the management of long-term conditions, its interpretation is not typically focused on specific liver disease risk. Educational steps for primary care should outline how liver fibrosis is the flag of pathological concern, encourage use of pragmatic algorithms such as fibrosis-4 index to differentiate between those requiring referral for further fibrosis risk assessment and those who can be managed in the community, and emphasise that isolated minor liver function test abnormalities are unreliable for estimating the risk of fibrosis progression. Measures to increase primary care's interest and engagement should make use of existing frameworks for the management of long-term conditions, so that liver disease is considered alongside other metabolic disorders, including type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease etc. Selling points when considering the required investment in developing local fibrosis assessment pathways include reduced repeat testing of minor abnormalities and improved secondary care referrals, plus improvements in the patient's journey through long-term multimorbidity care. A focus on improving chronic liver disease is likely to have wide-ranging benefits across co-existing metabolic disorders, particularly when pathways are aligned with community lifestyle support services. The important message for primary care is to increase the value of existing monitoring rather than to generate more work.

A qualitative patient interview study to understand the experience of patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis

NASH is a potentially progressive form of NAFLD characterized by hepatocyte injury and liver inflammation which can cause fibrosis. Currently, there are limited data on the patient experience of NASH. Our aim was to use both literature review and patient interviews to understand the signs/symptoms and life impacts of NASH fibrosis stages F1-F4 that are important to patients, as well as begin to investigate the applicability of an instrument (ie, questionnaire) that may be used to capture patients' experiences. The literature review identified concepts (signs/symptoms and impacts) related to NASH fibrosis stages F1-F4 and the NASH-specific patient-reported outcome instrument (NASH-CHECK) for reporting patient experience of NASH. Interviews with 22 patients from Canada and the USA with NASH fibrosis stages F1-F4 revealed 27 signs/symptoms and 32 impacts that they felt were important, including fatigue, pain in the abdomen, worry, and frustration. Three concepts reported during patient interviews were not identified in the literature review. No concepts appeared to be exclusive to a specific fibrosis stage or presence/absence of obesity and no linear trends were identified between fibrosis stage or presence/absence of obesity and level of disturbance reported for concepts. The patient interviews supported the concepts included in the NASH-CHECK overall, demonstrating that it could be used to report the patient experience of NASH fibrosis stages F1-F4. Interviews with patients with NASH fibrosis stages F1-F4 revealed patients can self-report and elaborate on signs/symptoms and impacts related to the disease regardless of fibrosis stage. The NASH-CHECK was identified as a suitable instrument that could be used by patients with fibrosis stages F1-F4.

Challenges and opportunities in NASH drug development

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and its more severe form, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), represent a growing worldwide epidemic and a high unmet medical need, as no licensed drugs have been approved thus far. Currently, histopathological assessment of liver biopsies is mandatory as a primary endpoint for conditional drug approval. This requirement represents one of the main challenges in the field, as there is substantial variability in this invasive histopathological assessment, which leads to dramatically high screen-failure rates in clinical trials. Over the past decades, several non-invasive tests have been developed to correlate with liver histology and, eventually, outcomes to assess disease severity and longitudinal changes non-invasively. However, further data are needed to ensure their endorsement by regulatory authorities as alternatives to histological endpoints in phase 3 trials. This Review describes the challenges of drug development in NAFLD-NASH trials and potential mitigating strategies to move the field forward.

Hepatic Stellate Cells: Dictating Outcome in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a fast growing, chronic liver disease affecting ∼25% of the global population. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease severity ranges from the less severe simple hepatic steatosis to the more advanced nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). The presence of NASH predisposes individuals to liver fibrosis, which can further progress to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. This makes hepatic fibrosis an important indicator of clinical outcomes in patients with NASH. Hepatic stellate cell activation dictates fibrosis development during NASH. Here, we discuss recent advances in the analysis of the profibrogenic pathways and mediators of hepatic stellate cell activation and inactivation, which ultimately determine the course of disease in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease/NASH.

Prevalence of overweight/obesity and its relationship with metabolic syndrome and fatty liver index in adult patients with type 1 diabetes. A Brazilian multicenter study

AIMS

To determine the prevalence of overweight/obesity and its relationship with metabolic syndrome (MS), fatty liver index (FLI), cardiovascular risk factors (CVRF), and diabetes-related chronic complications (DRCC) in adult patients with type 1 diabetes (T1D).

METHODS

This study was conducted in 14 Brazilian public clinics in ten cities, with 1,390 patients: 802 females (57.7%), 779 (56.0%) Caucasians, aged 33.6 ± 10.8 years, age at diagnosis, 16.2 ± 9.2 years, diabetes duration, 17.4 ± 9.2 years, and HbA1c 8.8 ± 2.0%.

RESULTS

Overall, 825 patients (59.4%) had normal weight, and 565 had overweight/obesity; ( 429 (30.9%) presented overweight and 136 (9.8%) presented obesity). After adjustments, overweight/obesity was associated with age, family history of overweight/obesity, total daily insulin dose, hypertension, adherence to diet, type of health care insurance, use of metformin, levels of C-reactive protein, triglycerides, uric acid and HDL-cholesterol. These patients also presented a higher prevalence of MS, FLI ≥ 60, and CVRF than patients without overweight/obesity. Overweight/obesity was not associated with DRCC and with HbA1c levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with T1D with overweight/obesity presented traditional risk factors for DRCC, cardiovascular diseases, MS, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease; most of these risk factors are modifiable and can be avoided with interventions that prevent overweight/obesity.

How to Identify Advanced Fibrosis in Adult Patients with Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) and Non-Alcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH) Using Ultrasound Elastography-A Review of the Literature and Proposed Multistep Approach

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and its progressive form, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), represent, nowadays, real challenges for the healthcare system. Liver fibrosis is the most important prognostic factor for NAFLD, and advanced fibrosis is associated with higher liver-related mortality rates. Therefore, the key issues in NAFLD are the differentiation of NASH from simple steatosis and identification of advanced hepatic fibrosis. We critically reviewed the ultrasound (US) elastography techniques for the quantitative characterization of fibrosis, steatosis, and inflammation in NAFLD and NASH, with a specific focus on how to differentiate advanced fibrosis in adult patients. Vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is still the most utilized and validated elastography method for liver fibrosis assessment. The recently developed point shear wave elastography (pSWE) and two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) techniques that use multiparametric approaches could bring essential improvements to diagnosis and risk stratification.

Noninvasive tests predict liver-related events and mortality in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: sub-analysis of the CLIONE-Asia study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Noninvasive tests (NITs) have prognostic potential, but whether NITs are comparable with liver biopsy is unclear. This study aimed to examine the prognostic accuracy of NITs for liver-related mortality (LRM) and events (LREs) in patients with biopsy-proven nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

METHODS

We investigated 1313 patients with NAFLD. Patients were assigned to low-risk, indeterminate-risk, and high-risk groups using conventional cutoff values of each FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) and to stage 0-2 and stage 3-4 groups using the fibrosis stage. Survival and Cox regression analyses of the prognostic potential of NITs for LRM/LREs were conducted.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 4.5 years, regarding to FIB-4, the incidence rate (/1000 person-years) in the low risk was zero for LRM and 0.5 for LREs. In contrast, the rate in stage 0-2 was 1.3 for LRM and 2.8 for LRE. The adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for LREs in the high risk compared with the low risk were 32.85 (P < 0.01). The aHRs in stage 3-4 compared with stage 0-2 were 2.68 (P = 0.02) for LREs and 2.26 (P = 0.582) for LRM. In the same fibrosis stage, the incidence of LRM/LREs was more frequent with a higher risk stratification. The same trend was observed for NFS.

CONCLUSIONS

NITs accurately predict LRM and LREs as well as a liver biopsy in Japanese patients with NAFLD. Patients in the low risk may not require close follow-up for at least 5 years. The simple NITs could be an acceptable alternative method to performing a liver biopsy for the prognosis of NAFLD.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease from a primary care perspective

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects up to one-third of the US population. Approximately one-fifth of patients with NAFLD have nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), characterized by hepatocyte damage and inflammation with or without fibrosis. NASH leads to greater risk of liver-related complications and liver-related mortality, with the poorest outcomes seen in patients with advanced fibrosis. NASH is also associated with other metabolic comorbidities and conveys an increased risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes and extrahepatic cancers. Despite its high prevalence, NAFLD is frequently underdiagnosed. This is a significant concern, given that early diagnosis of NAFLD is a key step in preventing progression to NASH. In this review, we describe the clinical impact of NASH from the perspective of both the clinician and the patient. In addition, we provide practical guidance on the diagnosis and management of NASH for primary care providers, who play a pivotal role in the frontline care of patients with NASH, and we use case studies to illustrate real-world scenarios encountered in the primary care setting.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is not associated with impairment in health-related quality of life in virally suppressed persons with human immune deficiency virus

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common liver disease in persons with HIV (PWH) (HIV-NAFLD). It is unknown if HIV-NAFLD is associated with impairment in health-related quality of life (HRQOL). We examined HRQOL in PWH with and without NAFLD, compared HRQOL in HIV- versus primary NAFLD, and determined factors associated with HRQOL in these groups. Prospectively enrolled 200 PWH and 474 participants with primary NAFLD completed the Rand SF-36 assessment which measures 8 domains of HRQOL. Individual domain scores were used to create composite physical and mental component summary scores. Univariate and multivariate analyses determined variables associated with HRQOL in PWH and in HIV- and primary NAFLD. In PWH, 48% had HIV-NAFLD, 10.2% had clinically significant fibrosis, 99.5% were on antiretroviral therapy, and 96.5% had HIV RNA <200 copies/ml. There was no difference in HRQOL in PWH with or without NAFLD. Diabetes, non-Hispanic ethnicity, and nadir CD4 counts were independently associated with impaired HRQOL in PWH. In HIV-NAFLD, HRQOL did not differ between participants with or without clinically significant fibrosis. Participants with HIV-NAFLD compared to those with primary NAFLD were less frequently cisgender females, White, more frequently Hispanic, had lower BMI and lower frequency of obesity and diabetes. HRQOL of individuals with HIV-NAFLD was not significantly different from those with primary NAFLD. In conclusion, in virally suppressed PWH, HRQOL is not different between participants with or without HIV-NAFLD. HRQOL is not different between HIV-NAFLD and primary NAFLD.