Discordance between patient-predicted and model-predicted life expectancy among ambulatory patients with heart failure

Vericiguat in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction patients on guideline-directed medical therapy: Insights from a 6-month real-world study

BACKGROUND

Vericiguat has demonstrated efficacy in improving the prognosis of patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) following recent clinical deterioration. However, its real-world impact on reducing N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels and improving ventricular remodeling remains uncertain in stable HFrEF patients receiving guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) over the short term.

METHODS

This multicenter, observational cohort study included 200 HFrEF patients. Patients were grouped based on their preference for vericiguat use. We evaluated the impact of vericiguat on HFrEF patients by analyzing the difference in the proportion of patients with NT-proBNP levels ≤1000 pg/ml between two groups after a 6-month follow-up, using logistic regression and covariance analysis. Changes in echocardiographic parameters, left ventricular reverse remodeling (LVRR) ratio, and safety outcomes were also evaluated.

RESULTS

During the 6-month follow-up, 105 patients (82.68 %) in the vericiguat group and 46 patients (63.01 %) in the control group reached the primary endpoint. Multivariate logistic regression confirmed vericiguat as a significant factor in reducing NT-proBNP levels (Model 2: odds ratio (OR) = 2.67, 95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.24-5.77, P = 0.013), but it showed no significant association with LVRR (Model 2: OR = 0.52, 95 % CI: 0.24-1.13, P = 0.097). The safety analysis indicated a higher incidence of mild to moderate gastrointestinal symptoms in the vericiguat group compared to the control group (23.62 % vs. 2.74 %, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Vericiguat significantly reduced NT-proBNP levels in patients with chronic HErEF under GDMT but was ineffective for LVRR during the 6-month follow-up.

Integrating Palliative Care and Heart Failure: the PalliatHeartSynthesis realist synthesis

Background

Cardiovascular disease is the most common cause of death worldwide, highlighting the need for studies to determine options for palliative care within the management of patients with heart failure. Although there are promising examples of integrated palliative care and heart failure interventions, there is heterogeneity in terms of countries, healthcare settings, multidisciplinary team delivery, modes of delivery and intervention components. Hence, this review is vital to identify what works, for whom and in what circumstances when integrating palliative care and heart failure.

Objectives

To (1) develop a programme theory of why, for whom and in what contexts desired outcomes occur; and (2) use the programme theory to co-produce with stakeholders key implications to inform best practice and future research.

Design

A realist review of the literature underpinned by the Realist and Meta-narrative Evidence Syntheses: Evolving Standards quality and reporting standards.

Data sources

Searches of bibliographic databases were conducted in November 2021 using the following databases: EMBASE, MEDLINE, PsycInfo, AMED, HMIC and CINAHL. Further relevant documents were identified via alerts and the stakeholder group.

Review methods

Realist review is a theory-orientated and explanatory approach to the synthesis of evidence. A realist synthesis was used to synthesise the evidence as successful implementation of integrated palliative care and heart failure depends on the context and people involved. The realist synthesis followed Pawson's five iterative stages: (1) locating existing theories; (2) searching for evidence; (3) document selection; (4) extracting and organising data; and (5) synthesising the evidence and drawing conclusions. We recruited an international stakeholder group (n = 32), including National Health Service management, healthcare professionals involved in the delivery of palliative care and heart failure, policy and community groups, plus members of the public and patients, to advise and give us feedback throughout the project, along with Health Education England to disseminate findings.

Results

In total, 1768 documents were identified, of which 1076 met the inclusion criteria. This was narrowed down to 130 included documents based on the programme theory and discussions with stakeholders. Our realist analysis developed and refined 6 overarching context-mechanism-outcome configurations and 30 sub context-mechanism-outcome configurations. The realist synthesis of the literature and stakeholder feedback helped uncover key intervention strategies most likely to support integration of palliative care into heart failure management. These included protected time for evidence-based palliative care education and choice of educational setting (e.g. online, face to face or hybrid), and the importance of increased awareness of the benefits of palliative care as key intervention strategies, the emotive and intellectual need for integrating palliative care and heart failure via credible champions, seeing direct patient benefit, and prioritising palliative care and heart failure guidelines in practice. The implications of our findings are further outlined in the capability, opportunity, motivation, behaviour model.

Limitations

The realist approach to analysis means that findings are based on our interpretation of the data.

Future work

Future work should use the implications to initiate and optimise palliative care in heart failure management.

Conclusion

Ongoing refinement of the programme theory at each stakeholder meeting allowed us to co-produce implications. These implications outline the required steps to ensure the core components and determinants of behaviour are in place so that all key players have the capacity, opportunity and motivation to integrate palliative care into heart failure management.

Study registration

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42021240185.

Funding

This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health and Social Care Delivery Research programme (NIHR award ref: NIHR131800) and is published in full in Health and Social Care Delivery Research; Vol. 12, No. 34. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.

Factors Associated With Early Palliative Care Among Patients With Heart Failure

Background: Heart failure (HF) is a progressive, life-limiting illness for which palliative care (PC) is considered standard of care. Among patients that do receive PC, consultation tends to occur late in the illness course. Objective: Our primary aim was to examine patient factors associated with receiving PC in HF. Secondarily, we sought to determine factors associated with early PC encounters. Design: This was a retrospective cohort study of U.S. Veterans with prior hospitalization who died between January 1, 2011 and December 31, 2020. Setting/Subjects: Subjects were Veterans with HF who died with a prior admission to a Veterans Affairs hospital in the United States. Measurements: We calculated the time from PC encounter to death. We characterized HF patients who died without PC, with late PC (≤90 days before death), and with early PC (>90 days before death). Results: We identified 232,079 Veterans with a mean age of (76.5 ± 10.7) years. Within the cohort, 56.5% (n = 131,122) of Veterans died with no PC, 22.5% (n = 52,114) had PC <90 days before death, and 21.0% (n = 48,843) had PC >90 days before death. Veterans who died without PC tended to be younger with fewer comorbidities. Conclusions: While more than 20% of HF patients in our cohort had PC well in advance of death, more than half died without PC. PC involvement seemed to be driven by comorbidities rather than HF. Effective collaboration with Cardiology is needed to identify patients who would benefit from earlier PC involvement.

Race-ethnicity, age, and heart failure in ischemic stroke

OBJECTIVES

Race-ethnic disparities contribute to cardiovascular morbidity. Heart failure (HF) is highly prevalent in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and associated with worse outcomes. We hypothesized race-ethnic differences exist in the prevalence of HF among patients with AIS, particularly in younger patients, and in a manner not fully explained by cardiovascular profiles.

METHODS

Patients with AIS in the National Inpatient Sample (2016-2019) were categorized as young (<50 years), middle (50-64) and older (≥65) age. Interaction between age and race-ethnicity on the presence of comorbid HF was examined, adjusting for vascular risk factors. Effect modification on in-hospital mortality and prolonged hospitalization across race-ethnic groups and age was also examined.

RESULTS

Of 398,470 AIS patients, 16.2 % had HF. HF patients were older (73.7 vs. 69.5 years, P < 0.001), had a lower proportion of White, Hispanic and Asian/PI individuals but a larger proportion of patients of Black race (21.0 vs. 16.4 %, P < 0.001). Race-ethnicity modified the relationship between HF and age (Pinteraction < 0.001). Stroke patients of Black race had the greatest odds of having HF across all age groups, however differences between Black and White patients were most pronounced in young adults (OR: 2.08, 95 % CI: 1.91-2.27) after adjusting for vascular risk factors. Among patients with HF, Black race was associated with reduced risk of in-hospital mortality but greater likelihood of prolonged hospitalization at middle and older age.

CONCLUSION

HF is highly prevalent in stroke patients of Black race, particularly in younger cohorts, and in a manner not fully explained by cardiovascular profiles.

Bereaved family members' perspectives on quality of death in deceased acute cardiovascular disease patients compared with cancer patients - a comparison of the J-HOPE3 study and the quality of palliative care in heart disease (Q-PACH) study

BACKGROUND

Outcome measures during acute cardiovascular disease (CVD) phases, such as quality of death, have not been thoroughly evaluated. This is the first study that compared the family members' perceptions of quality of death in deceased CVD patients and in deceased cancer patients using a bereaved family survey.

METHODS

Retrospectively sent questionnaire to consecutive family members of deceased patients with CVD from ten tertiary hospitals from October 2017 to August 2018. We used the short version of the Good Death Inventory (GDI) and assessed overall care satisfaction. Referencing the GDI, the quality of death was compared between CVD patients admitted to a non-palliative care unit (non-PCU) and cancer patients in palliative care units (PCU) and non-PCUs in the Japan Hospice and Palliative Care Evaluation Study (J-HOPE Study). Additionally, in the adjusted analysis, multivariable linear regression was performed for total GDI score adjusted by the patient and participant characteristics to estimate the difference between CVD and other patients.

RESULTS

Of the 243 bereaved family responses in agreement (response rate: 58.7%) for CVD patients, deceased patients comprised 133 (54.7%) men who were 80.2 ± 12.2 years old on admission. The GDI score among CVD patients (75.0 ± 15.7) was lower (worse) than that of cancer patients in the PCUs (80.2 ± 14.3), but higher than in non-PCUs (74.4 ± 15.2). After adjustment, the total GDI score for CVD patients was 7.10 points lower [95% CI: 5.22-8.97] than for cancer patients in PCUs and showed no significant differences compared with those in non-PCUs (estimates, 1.62; 95% CI [-0.46 to 5.22]).

CONCLUSIONS

The quality of death perceived by bereaved family members among deceased acute CVD patients did not differ significantly from that of deceased cancer patients in general wards, however, was significantly lower than that of deceased cancer patients admitted in PCUs.

Prognosis Communication in Heart Failure: Experiences and Preferences of End-Stage Heart Failure Patients and Care Partners

BACKGROUND

Patients with heart failure (HF) overestimate survival compared with model-predicted estimates, but the reasons for this discrepancy are poorly understood. We characterized how patients with end-stage HF and their care partners understand prognosis and elicited their preferences around prognosis communication.

METHODS

We conducted in-depth, semistructured interviews with patients with end-stage HF and their care partners between 2021 and 2022 at a tertiary care center in Michigan. Participants were asked to describe barriers they faced to understanding prognosis. All interviews were coded and analyzed using an iterative content analysis approach.

RESULTS

Fifteen patients with end-stage HF and 15 care partners participated, including 7 dyads. The median patient age was 66.5 years (range, 31-80) and included 9 of 15 (60%) White participants and 9 of 15 (60%) were males. Care partners included 10 of 15 (67%) White participants and 6 of 15 (40%) were males. Care partners were partners (n=7, 47%), siblings (n=4, 27%), parents (n=2, 13%), and children (n=2, 13%). Most patients demonstrated a poor understanding of their prognosis. In contrast, care partners commonly identified the patient's rapidly declining trajectory. Patients and care partners described ineffective prognosis communication with clinicians, common barriers to understanding prognosis, and similar suggestions on improving prognosis communication. Barriers to understanding prognosis included (1) conversation avoidance by physicians, (2) information inconsistency across different physicians, (3) distractions during prognosis communication due to emphasis on other conditions, and (4) confusion related to the use of medical jargon. Most patients and care partners wanted discussions around prognosis to begin early in the course of the disease, repeated routinely using layperson's terms, incorporating both quality of life and survival assessments, and involving care partners. Both patients and care partners did not expect precise survival estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with end-stage HF demonstrate a poor understanding of their prognosis compared with their care partners. Patients and care partners are open to discussing prognosis early, using direct and patient-centered language.

Palliative Care Across the Spectrum of Heart Failure

Persons with heart failure (HF) often suffer from poor symptom control, decreased quality of life, and poor communication with their health care providers. These needs are particularly acute in advanced HF, a leading cause of death in the United States. Palliative care, when offered alongside HF disease management, offers improved symptom control, quality of life, communication, and caregiver satisfaction as well as reduced caregiver anxiety. The dynamic nature of the clinical trajectory of HF presents distinct symptom patterns, changing functional status, and uncertainty, which requires an adaptive, dynamic model of palliative care delivery. Due to a limited specialty-trained palliative care workforce, patients and their caregivers often cannot access these benefits, especially in the community. To meet these needs, new models are required that are better informed by high-quality data, engage a range of health care providers in primary palliative care principles, and have clear triggers for specialty palliative care engagement, with specific palliative interventions tailored to patient's illness trajectory and changing needs.

Preparation for cardiac procedures: a cross-sectional study identifying gaps between outpatients' views and experiences of patient-centred care

BACKGROUND

To examine and identify gaps in care perceived as essential by patients; this study examined outpatients': (1) views on what characterizes essential care and (2) experiences of care received, in relation to cardiac catheterization and subsequent cardiovascular procedures.

METHODS

Cross-sectional descriptive study. Surveys were posted to outpatients who had undergone elective cardiac catheterization in the prior 6 months at an Australian hospital. Participants completed a 65-item survey to determine: (a) aspects of care they perceive as essential to patients receiving care for a cardiac condition (Important Care Survey); or (b) their actual care received (Actual Care Survey). Numbers and percentages were used to calculate the most frequently identified essential care items; and the experiences of care received. Items rated as either 'Essential'/'Very important' by at least 80% of participants were determined. A gap in patient-centred care was identified as being any item that was endorsed as essential/very important by 80% or more of participants but reported as received by <80% of participants.

RESULTS

Of 582 eligible patients, 264 (45%) returned a completed survey. A total of 43/65 items were endorsed by >80% of participants as essential. Of those, for 22 items, <80% reported the care as received. Gaps were identified in relation to general practitionerconsultation (1 item), preparation (1 item) subsequent decision making for treatment (1 item), prognosis (6 items), and post-treatment follow-up (1 item).

CONCLUSIONS

Areas were identified where actual care fell short of patients' perceptions of essential care.

Validation of a Supportive and Palliative Care Indicator Tool Among Patients Hospitalized Due to Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Palliative care, including symptom alleviation and advance-care planning, is relevant for patients with heart failure (HF). The Supportive and Palliative Care Indicator Tool (SPICT) is a tool for identifying patients who may benefit from palliative-care assistance but has not been validated in patients hospitalized due to HF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Clinical backgrounds, symptom burdens and outcomes were evaluated using the SPICT as assessed on admission in consecutive hospitalized patients with HF. SPICT-positive was defined when 2 or more general indicators and a New York Heart Association class ≥ III were present. Of 601 patients hospitalized due to HF (mean age: 79 ± 12 years; male, 314 [52%]; and mean left ventricular ejection fraction: 44 ± 18%), 100 (17%) patients were SPICT-positive. SPICT-positive patients were older (85 ± 9 vs 78 ± 12 years; P < 0.001) and had higher clinical frailty scales (6 ± 1 vs 4 ± 1 points; P < 0.001), whereas symptom burdens assessed by the Integrated Palliative care Outcome Scale were not different (17 [13, 28] vs 20 [11, 26] points; P = 0.97) when compared with patients who were SPICT-negative. During the median follow-up period of 518 days, 178 patients (30%) died. Being SPICT-positive was independently associated with higher all-cause mortality (hazard ratio: 3.49, 95% confidence interval: 2.41-5.05; P < 0.001) after adjusting for age, sex, New York Heart Association class IV, Get-With-The-Guideline risk score, N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide levels, and left ventricular ejection fractions.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients admitted for HF, being SPICT-positive was significantly associated with higher all-cause mortality rates, suggesting the utility of the SPICT as an indicator to initiate advance-care planning for end-of-life care among patients hospitalized due to HF.

Prognostic Models for Mortality and Morbidity in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction

Importance

Accurate risk prediction of morbidity and mortality in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) may help clinicians risk stratify and inform care decisions.

Objective

To develop and validate a novel prediction model for clinical outcomes in patients with HFpEF using routinely collected variables and to compare it with a biomarker-driven approach.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Data were used from the Dapagliflozin Evaluation to Improve the Lives of Patients With Preserved Ejection Fraction Heart Failure (DELIVER) trial to derive the prediction model, and data from the Angiotensin Receptor Neprilysin Inhibition in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction (PARAGON-HF) and the Irbesartan in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction Study (I-PRESERVE) trials were used to validate it. The outcomes were the composite of HF hospitalization (HFH) or cardiovascular death, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death. A total of 30 baseline candidate variables were selected in a stepwise fashion using multivariable analyses to create the models. Data were analyzed from January 2023 to June 2023.

Exposures

Models to estimate the 1-year and 2-year risk of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death.

Results

Data from 6263 individuals in the DELIVER trial were used to derive the prediction model and data from 4796 individuals in the PARAGON-HF trial and 4128 individuals in the I-PRESERVE trial were used to validate it. The final prediction model for the composite outcome included 11 variables: N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) level, HFH within the past 6 months, creatinine level, diabetes, geographic region, HF duration, treatment with a sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, transient ischemic attack/stroke, any previous HFH, and heart rate. This model showed good discrimination (C statistic at 1 year, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.71-0.75) in both validation cohorts (C statistic at 1 year, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.69-0.74 in PARAGON-HF and 0.75; 95% CI, 0.73-0.78 in I-PRESERVE) and calibration. The model showed similar discrimination to a biomarker-driven model including high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T and significantly better discrimination than the Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic (MAGGIC) risk score (C statistic at 1 year, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.58-0.63; delta C statistic, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.10-0.15; P < .001) and NT-proBNP level alone (C statistic at 1 year, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.64-0.68; delta C statistic, 0.07; 95% CI, 0.05-0.08; P < .001). Models derived for the prediction of all-cause and cardiovascular death also performed well. An online calculator was created to allow calculation of an individual's risk.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this prognostic study, a robust prediction model for clinical outcomes in HFpEF was developed and validated using routinely collected variables. The model performed better than NT-proBNP level alone. The model may help clinicians to identify high-risk patients and guide treatment decisions in HFpEF.

The modified Rajan's heart failure risk score predicts all-cause mortality in patients hospitalized for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: a retrospective cohort study

Background

The dimensionless Rajan's heart failure (R-hf) risk score was proposed to predict all-cause mortality in patients hospitalized with chronic heart failure (HF) and reduced ejection fraction (EF) (HFrEF).

Purpose

To examine the association between the modified R-hf risk score and all-cause mortality in patients with HFrEF.

Methods

Retrospective cohort study included adults hospitalized with HFrEF, as defined by clinical symptoms of HF with biplane EF less than 40% on transthoracic echocardiography, at a tertiary centre in Dalian, China, between 1 November 2015, and 31 October 2019. All patients were followed up until 31 October 2020. A modified R-hf risk score was calculated by substituting brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) for N-terminal prohormone of BNP (NT-proBNP) using EF× estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)× haemoglobin (Hb))/BNP. The patients were stratified into tertiles according to the R-hf risk score. The measured outcome was all-cause mortality. The score performance was assessed using C-statistics.

Results

A total of 840 patients were analyzed (70.2% males; mean age, 64±14 years; median (interquartile range) follow-up 37.0 (27.8) months). A lower modified R-hf risk score predicted a higher risk of all-cause mortality, independent of sex and age [1st tertile vs. 3rd tertile: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 3.46; 95% CI: 2.11-5.67; P<0.001]. Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that a lower modified R-hf risk score was associated with increased cumulative all-cause mortality [univariate: (1st tertile vs. 3rd tertile: aHR, 3.45; 95% CI: 2.11-5.65; P<0.001) and multivariate: (1st tertile vs. 3rd tertile: aHR 2.21, 95% CI: 1.29-3.79; P=0.004)]. The performance of the model, as reported by C-statistic was 0.67 (95% CI: 0.62-0.72).

Conclusion

The modified R-hf risk score predicted all-cause mortality in patients hospitalized with HFrEF. Further validation of the modified R-hf risk score in other cohorts of patients with HFrEF is needed before clinical application.

Trends and Changes in Intensive Care Use for Patients With Heart Failure in the Last Month of Life

A good death is a human right. Unfortunately, patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) in the terminal stage still receive inappropriate life-sustaining treatment before death. There is limited understanding of the status of intensive care unit (ICU) admission, mechanical ventilation (MV), cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), and even extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) for patients with CHF before death, as well as their use of hospice-related services. This study investigated the trends and trend changes in intensive procedures and hospice-related services for patients with CHF in the last month of life. This population-based retrospective observational study included 25 375 patients with CHF from the National Health Insurance research database in Taiwan and collected information on their intensive treatments during the last month of life. We computed intensive treatment utilization rates and analyzed the trends and trend changes via joinpoint regression. The average percentage of patients with CHF admitted to ICUs was 53.27% (n = 13 516). A total of 327 (1.29%) patients with CHF received ECMO. The percentages of patients receiving MV (54.3%'41.5%) and CPR (41.5%'17%) decreased over time. Conversely, the percentage of ECMO use (0.52%'1.78%) increased. However, only 222 (0.87%) patients with CHF received hospice care in the last month of life between 2001 and 2013. The rates of ICU admission and life-sustaining treatment among patients with CHF in the month before death remain high, and hospice-related services remain inadequate. This study highlights the need for research and training in providing palliative and hospice care for patients with CHF.

Incorporating Value-Based Decisions in Breast Cancer Treatment Algorithms

Given the excellent prognosis and availability of evidence-based treatment, patients with early-stage breast cancer are at risk of overtreatment. In this review, we summarize key opportunities to incorporate value-based decisions to optimize the delivery of high-value treatment across the breast cancer care continuum.

Advance directive screening among veterans with incident heart failure: Comparisons among people aging with and without HIV

BACKGROUND

Heart failure (HF) is common among people aging with HIV (PWH) and without HIV (PWoH). Despite the poor prognosis for HF, advance directives (AD) completion is low but has not been compared among PWH and PWoH.

OBJECTIVES

Determine the prevalence and predictors of AD screening among PWH and PWoH with incident HF.

METHODS

We included Veterans with an incident HF diagnosis code from 2013-2018 in the Veterans Aging Cohort Study (VACS) without prior AD screening. Health records were reviewed for AD screening note titles within -30 days to 1-year post-HF diagnosis. Analyses were stratified by HIV status. Trends in annual AD screening were evaluated with the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test. The associations of AD screening with demographics, disease severity (Charlson Comorbidity Index, VACS 2.0 Index), and healthcare encounters (cardiology, palliative care, hospitalization) were evaluated with Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

HF was diagnosed in 4516 Veterans (28.2% PWH, 71.8% PWoH). Annual AD screening rates increased in both groups (Ptrend<0.0001) and aggregate rates were higher among PWH than PWoH (53.5% vs. 48.2%, p=.001). In both groups, the likelihood of AD screening increased with greater disease severity, palliative care contact, and hospitalization (HR range=1.04-3.32, all p≤.02) but not with cardiology contact (p≥.53).

CONCLUSIONS

AD screening rates after incident HF remain suboptimal but increased over time and were higher in PWH. Future quality improvement and implementation efforts should aim for universal AD screening with incident HF diagnosis, initiated by providers skilled in discussing AD, including in the cardiology subspecialty setting.

Implementing Guideline-Directed Medical Therapy for Heart Failure: JACC Focus Seminar 1/3

Despite the availability of lifesaving guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), there remain major gaps in utilization of these therapies among eligible patients. Simultaneous with these gaps in quality of care, HFrEF continues as a leading cause of death and hospitalization with associated clinical risk far exceeding most other cardiovascular and noncardiovascular conditions. In the context of this urgent need to improve provision of appropriate therapy, multiple lines of evidence support various implementation strategies. Such strategies include in-hospital initiation of GDMT, simultaneous or rapid sequence initiation of GDMT, participation in quality improvement registries to assess site performance and provide feedback, multidisciplinary titration clinics, virtual consult teams, reduction of cost-sharing, remote algorithm-based medication optimization, electronic health record-based interventions, and direct-to-patient educational initiatives. This review describes and contextualizes the evidence surrounding each of these potential avenues for improving use of foundational GDMTs for patients with HFrEF.

Financial burden of heart failure in Malaysia: A perspective from the public healthcare system

BACKGROUND

Estimating and evaluating the economic burden of HF and its impact on the public healthcare system is necessary for devising improved treatment plans in the future. The present study aimed to determine the economic impact of HF on the public healthcare system.

METHOD

The annual cost of HF per patient was estimated using unweighted average and inverse probability weighting (IPW). Unweight average estimated the annual cost by considering all observed cases regardless of the availability of all the cost data, while IPW calculated the cost by weighting against inverse probability. The economic burden of HF was estimated for different HF phenotypes and age categories at the population level from the public healthcare system perspective.

RESULTS

The mean (standard deviation) annual costs per patient calculated using unweighted average and IPW were USD 5,123 (USD 3,262) and USD 5,217 (USD 3,317), respectively. The cost of HF estimated using two different approaches did not differ significantly (p = 0.865). The estimated cost burden of HF in Malaysia was USD 481.9 million (range: USD 31.7 million- 1,213.2 million) per year, which accounts for 1.05% (range: 0.07%-2.66%) of total health expenditure in 2021. The cost of managing patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) accounted for 61.1% of the total financial burden of HF in Malaysia. The annual cost burden increased from USD 2.8 million for patients aged 20-29 to USD 142.1 million for those aged 60-69. The cost of managing HF in patients aged 50-79 years contributed 74.1% of the total financial burden of HF in Malaysia.

CONCLUSION

A large portion of the financial burden of HF in Malaysia is driven by inpatient costs and HFrEF patients. Long-term survival of HF patients leads to an increase in the prevalence of HF, inevitably increasing the financial burden of HF.

Life expectancy and end-of-life communication in adult patients with congenital heart disease, 40-53 years after surgery

Aims

Although survival of patients with congenital heart disease (CHD) improved significantly over time, life expectancy is still not normal. We aimed to investigate how adult patients, their partners, and treating cardiologists estimated the individual life expectancy of CHD patients. Furthermore, preferences regarding end-of-life (EOL) communication were investigated.

Methods and results

In this study, we included 202 patients (age: 50 ± 5) who were operated in childhood (<15 years old) between 1968 and 1980 for one of the following diagnoses: atrial septal defect, ventricular septal defect, pulmonary stenosis, tetralogy of Fallot, or transposition of the great arteries. A specific questionnaire was administered to both the patients and their partners, exploring their perceived life expectancy and EOL wishes. Two cardiologists independently assessed the life expectancy of each patient. Most adults with CHD believed their life expectancy to be normal. However, significant differences were found between estimated life expectancy by the cardiologist and patients (female: P = 0.001, male: P = 0.002) with moderate/severe defects, as well as for males with mild defects (P = 0.011). Regarding EOL communication, 85.1% of the patients reported that they never discussed EOL with a healthcare professional. Compared with patients with mild CHD, significantly more patients with moderate/severe defect discussed EOL with a physician (P = 0.011). The wish to discuss EOL with the cardiologist was reported by 49.3% of the patients and 41.7% of their partners.

Conclusion

Adult patients, especially with moderate/severe CHD, perceived their life expectancy as normal, whereas cardiologists had a more pessimistic view than their patients. Increased attention is warranted for discussions on life expectancy and EOL to improve patient-tailored care.

Heart Failure and Multimorbidity in Asia

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW

Multimorbidity, the presence of two or more comorbidities, is common in patients with heart failure (HF) and worsens clinical outcomes. In Asia, multimorbidity has become the norm rather than the exception. Therefore, we evaluated the burden and unique patterns of comorbidities in Asian patients with HF.

RECENT FINDINGS

Asian patients with HF are almost a decade younger than Western Europe and North American patients. However, over two in three patients have multimorbidity. Comorbidities usually cluster due to the close and complex links between chronic medical conditions. Elucidating these links may guide public health policies to address risk factors. In Asia, barriers in treating comorbidities at the patient, healthcare system and national level hamper preventative efforts. Asian patients with HF are younger yet have a higher burden of comorbidities than Western patients. A better understanding of the unique co-occurrence of medical conditions in Asia can improve the prevention and treatment of HF.

Patient-Predicted Outcomes Are Associated with Quality of Life in Patients with Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis

BACKGROUND

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a chronic, progressive liver disease, and many patients ultimately require liver transplantation (LT). PSC also confers an increased risk of malignancies, including cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) and colorectal cancer.

AIMS

This study aimed to evaluate patient-perceived outcomes and the extent to which these impact health-related quality of life (HRQoL).

METHODS

Patients with PSC completed a risk perception questionnaire, the Short Form-36 (SF-36), and the Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire. Multivariable models were used to determine factors associated with patient-perceived risks of malignancy, LT, and life expectancy, as well as their relationship with HRQoL scores.

RESULTS

A total of 95 patients completed the risk perception questionnaire, and 73 returned the remaining instruments. The estimated risks varied widely. Half overestimated their one-year or lifetime CCA risk, while some predicted zero chance. Predicted LT risk was the only outcome concordant with disease severity. Pruritus was associated with higher predicted one-year risks and lower life expectancy. Lifetime CCA and LT risks were associated with the SF-36 physical component score, while perceived life expectancy was strongly associated with mental health domains, including the SF-36 mental component score.

CONCLUSIONS

Predicted prognosis varies widely among patients with PSC and is influenced more by symptoms than objective disease severity. The psychological burden of shorter perceived life expectancy impacts mental HRQoL more than the risks of malignancy or LT. These findings highlight an opportunity for improved patient communication regarding these outcomes, as well as the importance of discussing them, as they may impact HRQoL.

Risk prediction of mortality for patients with heart failure in England: observational study in primary care

AIMS

Many risk prediction models have been proposed for heart failure (HF), but few studies have used only information available to general practitioners (GPs) in primary care electronic health records (EHRs). We describe the predictors and performance of models built from GP-based EHRs in two cohorts of patients 10 years apart.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Linked primary and secondary care data for incident HF cases in England were extracted from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink for 2001-02 and 2011-12. Time-to-event models for all-cause mortality were developed using a long list of potential baseline predictors. Discrimination and calibration were calculated. A total of 5966 patients in 156 general practices were diagnosed in 2001-02, and 12 827 patients in 331 practices were diagnosed in 2011-12. The 5-year survival rate was 40.0% in 2001-02 and 40.2% in 2011-12, though the latter population were older, frailer, and more comorbid; for 2001-02, the 10-year survival was 20.8% and 15-year survival 11.1%. Consistent predictors included age, male sex, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, GP domiciliary visits before diagnosis, and some comorbidities. Model performance for both time windows was modest (c = 0.70), but calibration was generally excellent in both time periods.

CONCLUSIONS

Information routinely available to UK GPs at the time of diagnosis of HF gives only modest predictive accuracy of all-cause mortality, making it hard to decide on the type, place, and urgency of follow-up. More consistent recording of data relevant to HF (such as echocardiography and natriuretic peptide results) in GP EHRs is needed to support accurate prediction of healthcare needs in individuals with HF.

Digging Deeper: Understanding Trajectories and Experiences of Shared Decision-Making for Primary Prevention ICD Implantation

BACKGROUND

Shared decision-making using a decision aid is required for patients undergoing implantation of primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICD). It is unknown how much this process has impacted patients' experiences or choices. Effective shared decision-making requires an understanding of how patients make ICD decisions. A qualitative key informant study was chosen to capture the breadth of patients' experiences making ICD decisions in the context of required shared decision-making.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We conducted in-depth interviews with 20 patients referred to electrophysiology clinics for the consideration of primary prevention ICD implantation. Purposeful sampling from a prior survey study evaluating mandated shared decision-making was based on patient characteristics and responses to the initial survey questions. Qualitative descriptive analysis of the interviews was performed using a multilevel coding strategy. Patients' paths to an ICD decision often involved multiple visits with multiple clinicians. However, the decision aid was almost exclusively provided to the patient during electrophysiology clinic visits. Some patients used the numeric data in the decision aid to make an ICD decision based on the risk-benefit profile; others made decisions based on other data or based on trust in clinicians' recommendations. Patients highlighted information related to living with the device as particularly important in helping them to make their ICD decisions. Some patients struggled with the emotional aspects of making an ICD decision.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients' ICD decision-making paths poses a challenge to episodic shared decision-making and may make tools such as decision aids perfunctory if used solely during the electrophysiology visit. Understanding patients' ICD decision-making paths, especially in the context of encounters with primary cardiologists, can inform the implementation strategies of shared decision-making help to enhance its impact. Components of decision aids focusing on the experience of living with an ICD rather than probabilistic data may also be more impactful, although the nature of their impact will differ.

2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Joint Committee on Clinical Practice Guidelines

AIM

The "2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure" replaces the "2013 ACCF/AHA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure" and the "2017 ACC/AHA/HFSA Focused Update of the 2013 ACCF/AHA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure." The 2022 guideline is intended to provide patient-centric recommendations for clinicians to prevent, diagnose, and manage patients with heart failure.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted from May 2020 to December 2020, encompassing studies, reviews, and other evidence conducted on human subjects that were published in English from MEDLINE (PubMed), EMBASE, the Cochrane Collaboration, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, and other relevant databases. Additional relevant clinical trials and research studies, published through September 2021, were also considered. This guideline was harmonized with other American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology guidelines published through December 2021. Structure: Heart failure remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality globally. The 2022 heart failure guideline provides recommendations based on contemporary evidence for the treatment of these patients. The recommendations present an evidence-based approach to managing patients with heart failure, with the intent to improve quality of care and align with patients' interests. Many recommendations from the earlier heart failure guidelines have been updated with new evidence, and new recommendations have been created when supported by published data. Value statements are provided for certain treatments with high-quality published economic analyses.

2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure

AIM

The "2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure" replaces the "2013 ACCF/AHA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure" and the "2017 ACC/AHA/HFSA Focused Update of the 2013 ACCF/AHA Guideline for the Management of Heart Failure." The 2022 guideline is intended to provide patient-centric recommendations for clinicians to prevent, diagnose, and manage patients with heart failure.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted from May 2020 to December 2020, encompassing studies, reviews, and other evidence conducted on human subjects that were published in English from MEDLINE (PubMed), EMBASE, the Cochrane Collaboration, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, and other relevant databases. Additional relevant clinical trials and research studies, published through September 2021, were also considered. This guideline was harmonized with other American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology guidelines published through December 2021.

STRUCTURE

Heart failure remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality globally. The 2022 heart failure guideline provides recommendations based on contemporary evidence for the treatment of these patients. The recommendations present an evidence-based approach to managing patients with heart failure, with the intent to improve quality of care and align with patients' interests. Many recommendations from the earlier heart failure guidelines have been updated with new evidence, and new recommendations have been created when supported by published data. Value statements are provided for certain treatments with high-quality published economic analyses.

An expert panel Delphi consensus statement on the use of palliative care in the management of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension

Mortality in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) remains high and referral to palliative or supportive care (P/SC) specialist services is recommended when appropriate. However, access to P/SC is frequently a challenge for patients with a noncancer diagnosis and few patients living with PAH report P/SC involvement in their care. A modified Delphi process of three questionnaires completed by a multidisciplinary panel (N = 15) was used to develop expert consensus statements regarding the use of P/SC to support patients with PAH. Panelists rated their agreement with each statement on a Likert scale. There was a strong consensus that patients should be referred to P/SC when disease symptoms become unmanageable or for end‐of‐life care. Services that achieved consensus were pain management techniques, end‐of‐life care, and psychosocial recommendations. Palliative or supportive care should be discussed with patients, preferably in‐person, when disease symptoms become unmanageable, when starting treatment, when treatment‐related adverse events occur or become refractory to initial intervention. Care partners and patient support groups were considered important in improving a patient's overall health outcomes, treatment adherence, and perception of care. Most patients with PAH experience cognitive and/or psychosocial changes and those who receive psychosocial management have better persistence and/or compliance with their treatment. These consensus statements provide guidance to healthcare providers on the “who and when” of referral to palliative care services, as well as the importance of focusing on the psychosocial aspects of patient care and quality of life.

Accuracy of Emergency Department Chest Pain Patients' Reporting of Coronary Disease History

Introduction

History is an important component of emergency department risk stratification for chest pain patients. We hypothesized that a significant portion of patients would not be able to accurately report their history of coronary artery disease (CAD) and diagnostic testing.

Methods

We prospectively enrolled a convenience sample of a cohort of adult ED patients with a chief complaint of chest pain. They completed a structured survey that included questions regarding prior testing for CAD and cardiac history. Study authors performed a structured chart review within the electronic medical record for our 6-hospital system. Results of testing for CAD, cardiac interventions, and chart diagnoses of CAD/acute myocardial infarction (AMI) were recorded. Categorical data were analyzed by Chi-square and continuous data by logistic regression.

Results

About 196 patients were enrolled; mean age 57 ± 15 years, 48% female, 67% Hispanic, 50% income <$20,000/year. About 43% (95% confidence interval [CI] 35%-51%) of patients stated that they did not have CAD, yet medical records indicated that they were CAD+. With increasing age, patients were more likely to accurately report the absence of CAD (P < 0.001). There was no association between patients reporting no CAD, but CAD+ in records with respect to the following characteristics: female gender (P = 0.37), Hispanic race (P = 0.73), income (P = 0.41), less than or equal to high school education (P = 0.11), and private insurance (P = 0.71). For patients with prior AMI, 7.2% (95% CI 2.7%-11%) reported no prior history of AMI.

Conclusions

Within our study group from a predominantly poor, Hispanic population, patients had a poor recall for the presence of CAD in their medical history.

Clinical risk prediction model for 30-day all-cause re-hospitalisation or mortality in patients hospitalised with heart failure

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to develop a risk prediction model (AUS-HF model) for 30-day all-cause re-hospitalisation or death among patients admitted with acute heart failure (HF) to inform follow-up after hospitalisation. The model uses routinely collected measures at point of care.

METHODS

We analyzed pooled individual-level data from two cohort studies on acute HF patients followed for 30-days after discharge in 17 hospitals in Victoria, Australia (2014-2017). A set of 58 candidate predictors, commonly recorded in electronic medical records (EMR) including demographic, medical and social measures were considered. We used backward stepwise selection and LASSO for model development, bootstrap for internal validation, C-statistic for discrimination, and calibration slopes and plots for model calibration.

RESULTS

The analysis included 1380 patients, 42.1% female, median age 78.7 years (interquartile range = 16.2), 60.0% experienced previous hospitalisation for HF and 333 (24.1%) were re-hospitalised or died within 30 days post-discharge. The final risk model included 10 variables (admission: eGFR, and prescription of anticoagulants and thiazide diuretics; discharge: length of stay>3 days, systolic BP, heart rate, sodium level (<135 mmol/L), >10 prescribed medications, prescription of angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers, and anticoagulants prescription. The discrimination of the model was moderate (C-statistic = 0.684, 95%CI 0.653, 0.716; optimism estimate = 0.062) with good calibration.

CONCLUSIONS

The AUS-HF model incorporating routinely collected point-of-care data from EMRs enables real-time risk estimation and can be easily implemented by clinicians. It can predict with moderate accuracy risk of 30-day hospitalisation or mortality and inform decisions around the intensity of follow-up after hospital discharge.

End-of-Life Planning Depends on Socio-Economic and Racial Background: Evidence from the US Health and Retirement Study (HRS)

CONTEXT

Americans express a strong preference for participating in decisions regarding their medical care, yet they are often unable to participate in decision-making regarding their end-of-life care.

OBJECTIVE

To examine determinants of end-of-life planning; including, the effect of an individual's ageing and dying process, health status and socio-economic and racial/ethnic background.

METHODS

US observational cohort study, using data from the Health and Retirement Study (1992 - 2014) including 37,494 individuals. Random-effects logistic regression analysis was used to examine the relationship between the presence of a living will and a range of individual time-varying characteristics, including time to death, and several time-invariant characteristics.

RESULTS

End-of-life planning depends on several patient characteristics and circumstances, with socio-economic and racial/ethnic background having the largest effects. The probability of having a living will rises sharply late in life, as we would expect, and is further modified by the patient's proximity to death. The dying process, exerts a stronger influence on end-of-life planning than does the aging.

CONCLUSIONS

Understanding differences that increase end-of-life planning is important to incentivize patients' participation. Advance planning should be encouraged and accessible to people of all ages as it is inevitable for the provision of patient-centered and cost-effective care.

Association of heart failure and its comorbidities with loss of life expectancy

OBJECTIVE

Estimating survival can aid care planning, but the use of absolute survival projections can be challenging for patients and clinicians to contextualise. We aimed to define how heart failure and its major comorbidities contribute to loss of actuarially predicted life expectancy.

METHODS

We conducted an observational cohort study of 1794 adults with stable chronic heart failure and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, recruited from cardiology outpatient departments of four UK hospitals. Data from an 11-year maximum (5-year median) follow-up period (999 deaths) were used to define how heart failure and its major comorbidities impact on survival, relative to an age-sex matched control UK population, using a relative survival framework.

RESULTS

After 10 years, mortality in the reference control population was 29%. In people with heart failure, this increased by an additional 37% (95% CI 34% to 40%), equating to an additional 2.2 years of lost life or a 2.4-fold (2.2-2.5) excess loss of life. This excess was greater in men than women (2.4 years (2.2-2.7) vs 1.6 years (1.2-2.0); p<0.001). In patients without major comorbidity, men still experienced excess loss of life, while women experienced less and were non-significantly different from the reference population (1 year (0.6-1.5) vs 0.4 years (-0.3 to 1); p<0.001). Accrual of comorbidity was associated with substantial increases in excess lost life, particularly for diabetes, chronic kidney and lung disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Comorbidity accounts for the majority of lost life expectancy in people with heart failure. Women, but not men, without comorbidity experience survival close to reference controls.

Inflammation-based assessment for the risk stratification of mortality in patients with heart failure

The Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) has been established as a useful resource to evaluate inflammation and malnutrition and predict prognosis in several cancers. However, its prognostic significance in patients with heart failure (HF) is not well established. To investigate the association between the GPS and mortality in patients with HF, we assessed 870 patients who were 20 years old and more and had been admitted for acute decompensated HF. The GPS ranged from 0 to 2 points as previously reported. Over the 18-month follow-up (follow-up rate, 83.9%), 143 patients died. Increasing GPS was associated with higher HF severity assessed by New York Heart Association functional class and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed significant associations for mortality and increased GPS. In multivariate analysis, compared to the GPS 0 group, the GPS 2 group was associated with high mortality (hazard ratio 2.92, 95% confidence interval 1.77–4.81, p < 0.001) after adjustment for age, sex, blood pressure, HF history, HF severity, hemoglobin, renal function, sodium, BNP, left ventricular ejection fraction, and anti-HF medications. In conclusion, high GPS was significantly associated with worse prognosis in patients with HF. Inflammation-based assessment by the GPS may enable simple evaluation of HF severity and prognosis.

Multidisciplinary Team-Based Palliative Care for Heart Failure and Food Intake at the End of Life

Traditionally, patients with end-stage heart failure (HF) have rarely been involved in end-of-life care (EOLC) discussions in Japan. The purpose of this study was to examine the impact of HF-specific palliative care team (HF-PCT) activities on EOLC discussions with patients, HF therapy and care, and food intake at the end of life. We retrospectively analyzed 52 consecutive patients with HF (mean age, 70 ± 15 years; 42% female) who died at our hospital between May 2013 and July 2020 and divided them into two groups: before (Era 1, n = 19) and after (Era 2, n = 33) the initiation of HF-PCT activities in June 2015. Compared to Era 1, Era 2 showed a decrease in invasive procedures, an increase in opioid and non-intubating sedative use for symptom relief, improved quality of meals at the end of life, and an increase in participation in EOLC discussions. The administration of artificial nutrition in the final three days was associated with non-ischemic cardiomyopathy etiology, the number of previous hospitalizations for HF, and multidisciplinary EOLC discussion support. HF-PCT activities may provide an opportunity to discuss EOLC with patients, reduce the burden of physical and psychological symptoms, and shift the goals of end-of-life nutritional intake to ensure comfort and quality of life.

Discordance Between Severity of Heart Failure as Determined by Patient Report Versus Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing

Background

Patient‐reported outcomes may be discordant to severity of illness as assessed by objective parameters. The frequency of this discordance and its influence on clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure is unknown.

Methods and Results

In HF‐ACTION (Heart Failure: A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of Exercise Training), participants (N=2062) had baseline assessment of health‐related quality of life via the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Clinical Summary score (KCCQ‐CS) and objective severity by cardiopulmonary stress testing (minute ventilation [V_E]/carbon dioxide production [VCO₂] slope). We defined 4 groups by median values: 2 concordant (lower severity: high KCCQ‐CS and low V_E/VCO₂ slope; higher severity: low KCCQ‐CS and high V_E/VCO₂ slope) and 2 discordant (symptom minimizer: high KCCQ‐CS and high V_E/VCO₂ slope; symptom magnifier: low KCCQ‐CS and low V_E/VCO₂ slope). The association of group assignment with mortality was assessed in adjusted Cox models. Symptom magnification (23%) and symptom minimization (23%) were common. Despite comparable KCCQ‐CS scores, the risk of all‐cause mortality in symptom minimizers versus concordant–lower severity participants was increased significantly (hazard ratio [HR], 1.79; 95% CI, 1.27–2.50; P<0.001). Furthermore, despite symptom magnifiers having a KCCQ‐CS score 28 points lower (poorer QOL) than symptom minimizers, their risk of mortality was not increased (HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.57–1.1; P=0.18, respectively).

Conclusions

Severity of illness by patient report versus cardiopulmonary exercise testing was frequently discordant. Mortality tracked more closely with the objective data, highlighting the importance of relying not only on patient report, but also objective data when risk stratifying patients with heart failure.

Non-Concordance between Patient and Clinician Estimates of Prognosis in Advanced Heart Failure

IMPORTANCE

Despite efforts to enhance serious illness communication, patients with advanced heart failure (HF) lack prognostic understanding.

OBJECTIVES

To determine rate of concordance between HF patients' estimation of their prognosis and their physician's estimate of the patient's prognosis, and to compare patient characteristics associated with concordance.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional analysis of a cluster randomized controlled trial with 24-month follow-up and analysis completed on 09/01/2020. Patients were enrolled in inpatient and outpatient settings between September 2011 to February 2016 and data collection continued until the last quarter of 2017.

SETTING

Six teaching hospitals in the U.S.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients with advanced HF and implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) at high risk of death. Of 537 patients in the parent study, 407 had complete data for this analysis.

INTERVENTION

A multi-component communication intervention on conversations between HF clinicians and their patients regarding ICD deactivation and advance care planning.

MAIN OUTCOME(S) AND MEASURE(S)

Patient self-report of prognosis and physician response to the "surprise question" of 12-month prognosis. Patient-physician prognostic concordance (PPPC) measured in percentage agreement and kappa. Bivariate analyses of characteristics of patients with and without PPPC.

RESULTS

Among 407 patients (mean age 62.1 years, 29.5% female, 42.4% non-white), 300 (73.7%) dyads had non-PPPC; of which 252 (84.0%) reported a prognosis >1 year when their physician estimated <1 year. Only 107 (26.3%) had PPPC with prognosis of ≤ 1 year (n=20 patients) or > 1 year (n=87 patients); (Κ = -0.20, p = 1.0). Of those with physician estimated prognosis of < 1 year, non-PPPC was more likely among patients with lower symptom burden- number and severity (both p ≤.001), without completed advance directive (p=.001). Among those with physician prognosis estimate > 1 year, no patient characteristic was associated with PPPC or non-PPPC.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Non-PPPC between HF patients and their physicians is high. HF patients are more optimistic than clinicians in estimating life expectancy. These data demonstrate there are opportunities to improve the quality of prognosis disclosure between patients with advanced HF and their physicians. Interventions to improve PPPC might include serious illness communication training.

A grounded theory study: Exploring health care professionals decision making when managing end stage heart failure care

AIM

To explore how healthcare professionals in an acute medical setting make decisions when managing the care of patients diagnosed with end stage heart failure, and how these decisions impact directly on the patient's end of life experience.

DESIGN

A constructivist grounded theory approach was adopted.

METHOD

A purposive sample was used to recruit participants that included 16 registered nurses, 15 doctors and 16 patients. Data were collected using semi-structured interviews and focus groups over a 12-month period of fieldwork concluding in 2017. The interviews were recorded and transcribed and the data were analysed using constant comparison and QSR NVivo.

FINDINGS

Four theoretical categories emerged from the data to explain how healthcare professionals and patients negotiated the process of decision making when considering end of life care. These were: signposting symptoms, organizing care, being informed and recognizing dying. The themes revolved around a core category 'a vicious cycle of heart failure care'.

CONCLUSION

Healthcare professionals need to engage in informed decision making with patients to break this 'vicious cycle of care' by identifying key stages in the terminal phase of heart failure and correctly signposting the patient to the most suitable healthcare care professional for intervention.

IMPACT

This study provides a theoretical framework to explain a 'vicious cycle of care' for patients diagnosed with end stage heart failure. This theory grounded in data demonstrates the need for both acute and primary care to design an integrative end of life care pathway for heart failure patients which addresses the need for early shared decision making between the healthcare professional, family and the patient when it comes to end of life conversations.

Palliative Care Services in Patients Admitted With Cardiogenic Shock in the United States: Frequency and Predictors of 30-Day Readmission

BACKGROUND

Patients admitted with cardiogenic shock (CS) have high mortality rates, readmission rates, and healthcare costs. Palliative care services (PCS) may be underused, and the association with 30-day readmission and other predictive factors is unknown. We studied the frequency, etiologies, and predictors of 30-day readmission in CS admissions with and without PCS in the United States.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using the 2017 Nationwide Readmissions Database, we identified admissions for (1) CS, (2) CS with PCS, and (3) CS without PCS. We compared differences in outcomes and predictors of readmission using multivariable logistic regression analysis accounting for survey design. Of 133,738 CS admissions nationally in 2017, 36.3% died inpatient. Among those who survived, 8.6% used PCS and 21% were readmitted within 30 days. Difference between CS with and without PCS groups included mortality (72.8% vs 27%), readmission rate (11.6% vs 21.9%), most frequent discharge destination (50.2% skilled nursing facilities vs 36.4% home), hospitalization cost per patient ($51,083 ± $2,629 vs $66,815 ± $1,729). The primary readmission diagnoses for both groups were heart failure (32.1% vs 24.4%). PCS use was associated with lower rates of readmission (odds ratio, 0.462; 95% confidence interval, 0.408-0.524; P < .001). Do-not-resuscitate status, private pay, self-pay, and cardiac arrest were negative predictors, and multiple comorbidities was a positive predictor of readmission.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of PCS in CS admissions remains low at 8.6% in 2017. PCS use was associated with lower 30-day readmission rates and hospitalization costs. PCS are associated with a decrease in future acute care service use for critically ill cardiac patients but underused for high-risk cardiac patients.

Describing precisely what nurses do

Numerous important papers written by nurses and other scientists to improve nursing practice are not read by many nurses because two of the common ways authors use to describe what nurses do obscures the applicability of studies to nurses in general. Interventions (aka, procedures, skills, tasks) used and populations studied, including diseases, are less robust indicators of research results than are tests of nursing theory. Further, some of these important papers are not stored in or retrieved by accessing the Cumulative Index of Nursing and Allied Health Literature database. We believe many research papers by nurses and those who study nursing would benefit from an explicit rather than implicit test of nursing theory and we advise authors use Henderson's theoretical textbook because of its link to research and expert opinion professional literature. Significant papers should be reversely cited in her textbook to place them in the context of the knowledge of nursing she recorded for much of the 20th century.

Perceptions of Illness Severity, Treatment Goals, and Life Expectancy: The ePISTLE Study

Introduction

A better understanding of factors influencing perceived life expectancy (PLE), interactions between patient prognostic beliefs, experiences of illness, and treatment behavior is urgently needed.

Methods

Case-notes at 3 hemodialysis units were screened: patients with ≥20% 1-year mortality risk were included. Patients and their health care professionals (HCPs) were invited to complete a structured interview or mixed-methods questionnaire. Four hundred eleven patient notes were screened. Seventy-seven eligible patients were approached and 51 were included.

Results

Patients predicted significantly higher life expectancies than HCPs (P < 0.0001). Documented cognitive impairment, gender, or increasing age did not affect 1- or 5-year PLE. PLE influenced priorities of care: one-fifth of patients who estimated themselves to have >95% 1-year survival preferred “care focusing on relieving pain and discomfort,” compared with nearly three-quarters of those reporting a ≤50% chance of 1-year survival. Twenty of 51 (39%) patients believed transplantation was an option for them, despite only 4 being waitlisted at the time of the interview. Patients who thought they were transplant candidates were significantly more confident they would be alive at 1 and 5 years and to want resuscitation attempted. Cognitive impairment had no effect on perceived transplant candidacy. A high symptom burden was present and underrecognized by HCPs. High symptom burden was associated with significantly lower PLE at both 1 and 5 years, increased anxiety/depression scores, and treatment choices more likely to prioritize relief of suffering.

Conclusion

There is a disparity between patient PLE and those of their HCPs. Severity of symptom burden and beliefs regarding PLE or transplant candidacy affect patient treatment preferences.

Development of a measure of decision quality for implantable defibrillators

BACKGROUND

CMS reimbursement guidelines for implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) include mandated shared decision making (SDM), but without any manner of assessing the quality of decisions made. We developed and tested a scale meant to assess patients' knowledge of and preferences specific to ICDs. Such a tool would assess these constructs in the clinical environment, targeting resources and support for patients considering a primary prevention ICD.

METHODS

Development of the ICD decision quality (ICD-DQ) scale included (1) item creation, (2) content validation using surveys of patients (n = 23) and clinicians (n = 31), and (3) examination of validity and reliability using a survey of patients who previously received an ICD (n = 295, response rate = 72%).

RESULTS

The final scale consists of 12 knowledge and 8 preference items. With respect to content validity, clinician and patient respondents agreed on the importance of 19 of 24 candidate knowledge items (79%), and 9 of 11 treatment preference items (81%). Knowledge items exhibited moderate internal validity (α = 0.62, 1 factor), strong test-retest reliability (mean % correct at first administration = 59%, 62% at follow-up, P > .1) and discriminant validity (59% correct for patients, 93% among cardiologists). Short versions of the ICD-DQ were developed for clinical settings, the scores from both of which correlated with the long version in this cohort (11-item (r = 0.90) and a 5-item (r = 0.75)).

CONCLUSIONS

The ICD-DQ fills a critical gap in measuring the quality of patients' ICD decisions. They may be used to evaluate the effectiveness of patient decision aids or the quality of SDM in clinical practice.

Deactivation of implantable cardioverter defibrillator in Japanese patients with end-stage heart failure

BACKGROUND

Despite the effectiveness of implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) in the prevention of sudden cardiac death, shock therapy causes patients to experience pain and psychological distress, which contradicts the purpose of palliative care. It is difficult to predict the time course for heart failure (HF) patients, unlike that for cancer patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the deactivation status of ICD therapy in Japanese patients with end-stage HF.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied 51 ICD patients who died due to worsening HF at Tokyo Women's Medical University Hospital from 2010 to 2019. The frequency of ICD therapy delivered before death and information about the discussion of deactivation and do not attempt resuscitation (DNAR) decisions were reviewed using medical charts.

RESULTS

Of 51 patients, 12 (24%) patients deactivated ICD therapy and seven patients underwent deactivation within 24 hours of a DNAR order. The median time from deactivation to death was 3 days (range, 0-56). Of 39 patients with DNAR orders, 27 (69%) did not undergo deactivation. A relatively high proportion of patients (n = 14, 27%) experienced ICD shocks within 1 month of death. The frequency of electrical storms within 1 month of death was also high (n = 12, 24%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study showed that only one-fourth of Japanese patients with end-stage HF underwent deactivation of ICD therapy. A relatively high frequency of shock therapy was observed in the last month before death.

Differences in Characteristics, Hospital Care and Outcomes between Acute Critically Ill Emergency Department Patients with Early and Late Do-Not-Resuscitate Orders

Background: A do-not-resuscitate (DNR) order is associated with an increased risk of death among emergency department (ED) patients. Little is known about patient characteristics, hospital care, and outcomes associated with the timing of the DNR order. Aim: Determine patient characteristics, hospital care, survival, and resource utilization between patients with early DNR (EDNR: signed within 24 h of ED presentation) and late DNR orders. Design: Retrospective observational study. Setting/Participants: We enrolled consecutive, acute, critically ill patients admitted to the emergency intensive care unit (EICU) at Taipei Veterans General Hospital from 1 February 2018, to 31 January 2020. Results: Of the 1064 patients admitted to the EICU, 619 (58.2%) had EDNR and 445 (41.8%) LDNR. EDNR predictors were age >85 years (adjusted odd ratios (AOR) 1.700, 1.027–2.814), living in long-term care facilities (AOR 1.880, 1.066–3.319), having advanced cardiovascular diseases (AOR 2.128, 1.039–4.358), “medical staff would not be surprised if the patient died within 12 months” (AOR 1.725, 1.193–2.496), and patients’ family requesting palliative care (AOR 2.420, 1.187–4.935). EDNR patients underwent lesser endotracheal tube (ET) intubation (15.6% vs. 39.9%, p < 0.001) and had reduced epinephrine injection (19.9% vs. 30.3%, p = 0.009), ventilator support (16.7% vs. 37.9%, p < 0.001), and narcotic use (51.1% vs. 62.6%, p = 0.012). EDNR patients had significantly lower 7-day (p < 0.001), 30-day (p < 0.001), and 90-day (p = 0.023) survival. Conclusions: EDNR patients underwent decreased ET intubation and had reduced epinephrine injection, ventilator support, and narcotic use during EOL as well as decreased length of hospital stay, hospital expenditure, and survival compared to LDNR patients.

Shared Decision Making and Effective Communication in Heart Failure-Moving from "Code Status" to Decisional Readiness

Despite advances in treatment options, heart failure (HF) remains a progressive, symptomatic, and terminal disease for a large number of patients. The need for enhanced discussions regarding prognosis and goals of care has been recognised by multiple professional societies and public health policy, yet these conversations rarely occur in a timely manner. Shared decision making (SDM) is the process through which clinicians and patients work toward treatment decisions that are aligned with the patients' values, goals, and preferences. SDM is especially appropriate when treatments carry an uncertain benefit and potential risk, and it emphasises the fact that neither medical evidence nor patient values alone can determine the best treatment for a patient. The foundation of these discussions should focus on a general understanding of disease trajectory and prognosis, with a clear acknowledgment of prognostic uncertainty. These discussions should include not only the risks of death but also the potential burden of worsening symptoms and decreased quality of life. The goal of these discussions should not be to rule in or rule out specific therapies in a future hypothetical scenario, but instead to prepare our patients and their loved ones to make "in-the-moment" treatment decisions when faced with an acute decompensation, taking into context the state of their illness at that time.

Dying to know: prognosis communication in heart failure

Prognosis communication in heart failure is often narrowly defined as a discussion of life expectancy, but as clinical guidelines and research suggest, these discussions should provide a broader understanding of the disease, including information about disease trajectory, the experiences of living with heart failure, potential burden on patients and families, and mortality. Furthermore, despite clinical guidelines recommending early discussions, evidence suggests that these discussions occur infrequently or late in the disease trajectory. We review the literature concerning patient, caregiver, and clinician perspectives on discussions of this type, including the frequency, timing, desire for, effects of, and barriers to their occurrence. We propose an alternate view of prognosis communication, in which the patient and family/caregiver are educated about the nature of the disease at the time of diagnosis, and a process of engagement is undertaken so that the patient's full participation in their care is marshalled, and the care team engages the patient in the informed decision making that will guide care throughout the disease trajectory. We also identify and discuss evidence gaps concerning (i) patient preferences and readiness for prognosis information along the trajectory; (ii) best practices for communicating prognosis information; and (iii) effects of prognosis communication on patient's quality of life, mental health, engagement in critical self-care, and clinical outcomes. Research is needed to determine best practices for engaging patients in prognosis communication and for evaluating the effects of this communication on patient engagement and clinical outcomes.

Prognostic Understanding and Preference for the Communication Process with Physicians in Hospitalized Heart Failure Patients

BACKGROUND

Heart failure (HF) is a highly prevalent, heterogeneous, and life-threatening condition. Precise prognostic understanding is essential for effective decision making, but little is known about patients' attitudes toward prognostic communication with their physicians.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We conducted a questionnaire survey, consisting of patients' prognostic understanding, preferences for information disclosure, and depressive symptoms, among hospitalized patients with HF (92 items in total). Individual 2-year survival rates were calculated using the Seattle Heart Failure Model, and its agreement level with patient self-expectations of 2-year survival were assessed. A total of 113 patients completed the survey (male 65.5%, median age 75.0 years, interquartile range 66.0-81.0 years). Compared with the Seattle Heart Failure Model prediction, patient expectation of 2-year survival was matched only in 27.8% of patients; their agreement level was low (weighted kappa = 0.11). Notably, 50.9% wished to know "more," although 27.7% felt that they did not have an adequate prognostic discussion. Compared with the known prognostic variables (eg, age and HF severity), logistic regression analysis demonstrated that female and less depressive patients were associated with patients' preference for "more" prognostic discussion.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients' overall prognostic understanding was suboptimal. The communication process requires further improvement for patients to accurately understand their HF prognosis and be involved in making a better informed decision.