Association of Time-Varying Blood Pressure With Chronic Kidney Disease Progression in Children

Changes in the cardiovascular risk profile in children approaching kidney replacement therapy

Background

Despite significant cardiovascular (CV) morbidity in children on dialysis and after kidney transplantation, data on the evolution of CV damage in children with chronic kidney disease (CKD) approaching kidney replacement therapy (KRT) is unknown.

Methods

The burden, progression, and predictors of CV damage before KRT onset were explored in two prospective multicenter cohorts from Europe and Canada: Cardiovascular Comorbidity in Children with CKD (4C) and Haemodiafiltration, Heart and Height (3H) studies, conducted from 2009-19 and 2013-16, respectively. CV damage and risk factors were evaluated (i) cross sectionally at KRT-start (n = 248), and (ii) longitudinally over the 2-years preceding KRT start (n = 157; 331 patient-visits). Longitudinal analyses with mixed-effects models estimated associations of modifiable CV risk factors with change in carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) standard deviation score (SDS), pulse wave velocity (PWV-SDS), left ventricular (LV) mass and systolic dysfunction.

Findings

248 patients, age 14.3 (12.2, 16.2) years were evaluated at median 35 (28-114) days before KRT start. Elevated cIMT-SDS and PWV-SDS were present in 43% and 25%, and LV hypertrophy and systolic dysfunction in 49% and 33%. Aortic stiffness and LV hypertrophy significantly increased, especially in the year before KRT start (adjusted odds ratio, OR 0.33, P = 0.002 and OR 0.54, P = 0.01, respectively). 79% of children had >3 modifiable CV risk factors at KRT onset. Diastolic BP and BMI were strongly associated with a linear increase in all CV measures. After controlling for CV risk factors, the time to KRT onset no longer predicted the burden of CV damage.

Interpretation

This comprehensive CV evaluation shows the progressive accrual of modifiable risk factors and a high burden of CV damage in the years preceding KRT onset. CV damage in the pre-KRT period is preventable.

Funding

Supported by EU4Health Programme (101085068) and Kidney Research UK (RP39/2013).

The Preserving Kidney Function in Children With CKD (PRESERVE) Study: Rationale, Design, and Methods

Rationale & Objective

PRESERVE seeks to provide new knowledge to inform shared decision-making regarding blood pressure (BP) management for pediatric chronic kidney disease (CKD). PRESERVE will compare the effectiveness of alternative strategies for monitoring and treating hypertension on preserving kidney function; expand the National Patient-Centered Clinical Research Network (PCORnet) common data model by adding pediatric- and kidney-specific variables and linking electronic health record data to other kidney disease databases; and assess the lived experiences of patients related to BP management.

Study Design

Multicenter retrospective cohort study (clinical outcomes) and cross-sectional study (patient-reported outcomes [PROs]).

Setting & Participants

PRESERVE will include approximately 20,000 children between January 2009-December 2022 with mild-moderate CKD from 15 health care institutions that participate in 6 PCORnet Clinical Research Networks (PEDSnet, STAR, GPC, PaTH, CAPRiCORN, and OneFlorida+). The inclusion criteria were ≥1 nephrologist visit and ≥2 estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values in the range of 30 to <90 mL/min/1.73 m2 separated by ≥90 days without an intervening value ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2 and no prior dialysis or kidney transplant.

Exposures

BP measurements (clinic-based and 24-hour ambulatory BP); urine protein; and antihypertensive treatment by therapeutic class.

Outcomes

The primary outcome is a composite event of a 50% reduction in eGFR, eGFR of <15 mL/min/1.73 m2, long-term dialysis or kidney transplant. Secondary outcomes include change in eGFR, adverse events, and PROs.

Analytical Approach

Longitudinal models for dichotomous (proportional hazards or accelerated failure time) and continuous (generalized linear mixed models) clinical outcomes; multivariable linear regression for PROs. We will evaluate heterogeneity of treatment effect by CKD etiology and degree of proteinuria and will examine variation in hypertension management and outcomes based on socio-demographics.

Limitations

Causal inference limited by observational analyses.

Conclusions

PRESERVE will leverage the PCORnet infrastructure to conduct large-scale observational studies that address BP management knowledge gaps for pediatric CKD, focusing on outcomes that are meaningful to patients.

Plain-Language Summary

Hypertension is a major modifiable contributor to loss of kidney function in chronic kidney disease (CKD). The purpose of PRESERVE is to provide evidence to inform shared decision-making regarding blood pressure management for children with CKD. PRESERVE is a consortium of 16 health care institutions in PCORnet, the National Patient-Centered Clinical Research Network, and includes electronic health record data for >19,000 children with CKD. PRESERVE will (1) expand the PCORnet infrastructure for research in pediatric CKD by adding kidney-specific variables and linking electronic health record data to other kidney disease databases; (2) compare the effectiveness of alternative strategies for monitoring and treating hypertension on preserving kidney function; and (3) assess the lived experiences of patients and caregivers related to blood pressure management.

Role of hypertension in progression of pediatric CKD

Hypertension is frequent in children with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Its prevalence varies according to CKD stage and cause. It is relatively uncommon in children with congenital kidney disease, while acquired kidney disease is associated with a higher prevalence of hypertension. Studies in children with CKD utilizing ambulatory blood pressure monitoring also showed a high prevalence of masked hypertension. Uncontrolled and longstanding hypertension in children is associated with progression of CKD. Aggressive treatment of high blood pressure should be an essential part of care to delay CKD progression in children.

Development of an adaptive clinical web-based prediction tool for kidney replacement therapy in children with chronic kidney disease

Clinicians need improved prediction models to estimate time to kidney replacement therapy (KRT) for children with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Here, we aimed to develop and validate a prediction tool based on common clinical variables for time to KRT in children using statistical learning methods and design a corresponding online calculator for clinical use. Among 890 children with CKD in the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) study, 172 variables related to sociodemographics, kidney/cardiovascular health, and therapy use, including longitudinal changes over one year were evaluated as candidate predictors in a random survival forest for time to KRT. An elementary model was specified with diagnosis, estimated glomerular filtration rate and proteinuria as predictors and then random survival forest identified nine additional candidate predictors for further evaluation. Best subset selection using these nine additional candidate predictors yielded an enriched model additionally based on blood pressure, change in estimated glomerular filtration rate over one year, anemia, albumin, chloride and bicarbonate. Four additional partially enriched models were constructed for clinical situations with incomplete data. Models performed well in cross-validation, and the elementary model was then externally validated using data from a European pediatric CKD cohort. A corresponding user-friendly online tool was developed for clinicians. Thus, our clinical prediction tool for time to KRT in children was developed in a large, representative pediatric CKD cohort with an exhaustive evaluation of potential predictors and supervised statistical learning methods. While our models performed well internally and externally, further external validation of enriched models is needed.

Hypertension, Blood Pressure Variability, and Acute Kidney Injury in Hospitalized Children

Background Although hypertensive blood pressure measurements are common in hospitalized children, the degree of inpatient hypertension and blood pressure variability (BPV) associated with end organ complications like acute kidney injury (AKI) is unknown. Methods and Results All analyses are based on a retrospective cohort of children aged 1 to 17 years with ≥2 creatinine measurements during admission from 2014 to 2018. We used time-updated Cox models to evaluate the association between BPV and hypertension with AKI. Time-varying BPV and hypertension were based on blood pressure in the preceding 72 hours. For the analysis of hypertension and AKI, we excluded patients on vasopressors to ensure comparison between hypertensive and normotensive patients. During 5425 pediatric encounters, 258 430 blood pressure measurements were recorded (median [interquartile range] 22 [11-47] readings per encounter). Among all measurements, 32.7% were ≥95th percentile and 18.9% were ≥99th percentile for age, sex, and height. AKI occurred in 389 (7.2%) encounters. We observed a U-shaped relationship between mean blood pressure and incident AKI. BPV was associated with AKI, with the largest effect sizes in the systolic and mean arterial pressure variability measures. Multiple hypertension thresholds were associated with AKI after controlling for confounders. In an additional multivariable model adjusted for BPV, the association between hypertension and AKI was attenuated but remained significant for hypertension defined as three stage 2 measurements in 1 day (hazard ratio, 1.43 [95% CI, 1.01-2.01]). Conclusions Hypertension and BPV are associated with AKI in hospitalized children. Future studies are needed to determine how pharmacologic and nonpharmacologic interventions modify AKI risk in pediatric inpatients with hypertension.

Blood Pressure Classification Status in Children With CKD Following Adoption of the 2017 American Academy of Pediatrics Guideline

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Accurate detection of hypertension is crucial for clinical management of pediatric chronic kidney disease (CKD). The 2017 American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) clinical practice guideline for childhood hypertension included new normative blood pressure (BP) values and revised definitions of BP categories. In this study, we examined the effect of applying the AAP guideline's normative data and definitions to the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) cohort compared with use of normative data and definitions from the 2004 Fourth Report on the Diagnosis, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure in Children and Adolescents.

STUDY DESIGN

Observational cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Children and adolescents in the CKiD cohort.

EXPOSURE

Clinic BP measurements.

OUTCOME

BP percentiles and hypertension stages calculated using the 2017 AAP guideline and the Fourth Report from 2004.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Agreement analysis compared the estimated percentile and prevalence of high BP based on the 2017 guideline and 2004 report to clinic and combined ambulatory BP readings.

RESULTS

The proportion of children classified as having normal clinic BP was similar using the 2017 and 2004 systems, but the use of the 2017 normative data classified more participants as having stages 1-2 hypertension (22% vs 11%), with marginal reproducibility (κ=0.569 [95% CI, 0.538-0.599]). Those identified as having stage 2 hypertension by the 2017 guideline had higher levels of proteinuria compared with those identified using the 2004 report. Comparing use of the 2017 guideline and the 2004 report in terms of ambulatory BP monitoring categories, there were substantially more participants with white coat (3.5% vs 1.5%) and ambulatory (15.5% vs 7.9%) hypertension, but the proportion with masked hypertension was lower (40.2% vs 47.8%, respectively), and the percentage of participants who were normotensive was similar (40.9% vs 42.9%, respectively). Overall, there was good reproducibility (κ=0.799 [95% CI, 0.778-0.819]) of classification by ambulatory BP monitoring.

LIMITATIONS

Relationship with long-term progression and target organ damage was not assessed.

CONCLUSIONS

A greater percentage of children with CKD were identified as having hypertension based on both clinic and ambulatory BP when using the 2017 AAP guideline versus the Fourth Report from 2004, and the 2017 guideline better discriminated those with higher levels of proteinuria. The substantial differences in the classification of hypertension when using the 2017 guideline should inform clinical care.

Sex differences in impact of cumulative systolic blood pressure from childhood to adulthood on albuminuria in midlife: a 30-year prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Albuminuria is recognized as being a predictor of cardiovascular and renal disease. We aimed to identify the impact of the long-term burden and trends of systolic blood pressure on albuminuria in midlife, as well as to explore sex differences concerning this relationship.

METHODS

This longitudinal study consisted of 1,683 adults who had been examined 4 or more times for blood pressure starting in childhood, with a follow-up time period of 30 years. The cumulative effect and longitudinal trend of blood pressure were identified by using the area under the curve (AUC) of individual systolic blood pressure measurement with a growth curve random effects model.

RESULTS

Over 30 years of follow-up, 190 people developed albuminuria, including 53.2% males and 46.8% females (aged 43.39 ± 3.13 years in the latest follow-up). The urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) values increased as the total and incremental AUC values increased. Additionally, women had a higher albuminuria incidence in the higher SBP AUC groups than men do (13.3% for men vs. 33.7% for women). Logistic regression showed that the ORs of albuminuria for males and females in the high total AUC group were 1.34 (0.70-2.60) and 2.94 (1.50-5.74), respectively. Similar associations were found in the incremental AUC groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher cumulative SBP was correlated with higher uACR levels and a risk of albuminuria in middle age, especially in women. The identification and control of cumulative SBP levels from an early age may assist in reducing the incidences of renal and cardiovascular disease for individuals in later life.

Evaluating Kidney Function Decline in Children with Chronic Kidney Disease Using a Multi-Institutional Electronic Health Record Database

BACKGROUND

The objectives of this study were to use electronic health record data from a US national multicenter pediatric network to identify a large cohort of children with CKD, evaluate CKD progression, and examine clinical risk factors for kidney function decline.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study identified children seen between January 1, 2009, to February 28, 2022. Data were from six pediatric health systems in PEDSnet. We identified children aged 18 months to 18 years who met criteria for CKD: two eGFR values <90 and ≥15 ml/min per 1.73 m2 separated by ≥90 days without an intervening value ≥90. CKD progression was defined as a composite outcome: eGFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m2, ≥50% eGFR decline, long-term dialysis, or kidney transplant. Subcohorts were defined based on CKD etiology: glomerular, nonglomerular, or malignancy. We assessed the association of hypertension (≥2 visits with hypertension diagnosis code) and proteinuria (≥1 urinalysis with ≥1+ protein) within 2 years of cohort entrance on the composite outcome.

RESULTS

Among 7,148,875 children, we identified 11,240 (15.7 per 10,000) with CKD (median age 11 years, 50% female). The median follow-up was 5.1 (interquartile range 2.8-8.3) years, the median initial eGFR was 75.3 (interquartile range 61-83) ml/min per 1.73 m2, 37% had proteinuria, and 35% had hypertension. The following were associated with CKD progression: lower eGFR category (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.44 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.23 to 1.69], aHR 2.38 [95% CI, 2.02 to 2.79], aHR 5.75 [95% CI, 5.05 to 6.55] for eGFR 45-59 ml/min per 1.73 m2, 30-44 ml/min per 1.73 m2, 15-29 ml/min per 1.73 m2 at cohort entrance, respectively, when compared with eGFR 60-89 ml/min per 1.73 m2), glomerular disease (aHR 2.01 [95% CI, 1.78 to 2.28]), malignancy (aHR 1.79 [95% CI, 1.52 to 2.11]), proteinuria (aHR 2.23 [95% CI, 1.89 to 2.62]), hypertension (aHR 1.49 [95% CI, 1.22 to 1.82]), proteinuria and hypertension together (aHR 3.98 [95% CI, 3.40 to 4.68]), count of complex chronic comorbidities (aHR 1.07 [95% CI, 1.05 to 1.10] per additional comorbid body system), male sex (aHR 1.16 [95% CI, 1.05 to 1.28]), and younger age at cohort entrance (aHR 0.95 [95% CI, 0.94 to 0.96] per year older).

CONCLUSIONS

In large-scale real-world data for children with CKD, disease etiology, albuminuria, hypertension, age, male sex, lower eGFR, and greater medical complexity at start of follow-up were associated with more rapid decline in kidney function.

Association of GSTM1 Deletion With Progression of CKD in Children: Findings From the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) Study

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Loss of function of the product of the GSTM1 gene has been implicated in rapid progression of adult chronic kidney disease (CKD). Its role in pediatric CKD has not been previously described.

STUDY DESIGN

Secondary analysis of a prospective observational cohort examining the association between deletions in GSTM1 and progression of CKD.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

We used data and samples from the prospective Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) cohort aged 1-16 years at enrollment with CKD.

EXPOSURE

We defined the exposure as fewer than 2 GSTM1 alleles on real-time polymerase chain reaction amplification.

OUTCOME

The primary outcome was a composite of 50% decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or start of kidney replacement therapy. Secondary outcomes included remission of proteinuria in children with glomerular disease and cardiovascular complications.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

The primary analysis was by Cox proportional hazards model. Analysis was adjusted for age, sex, race, ethnicity, body mass index category, diagnosis category, and eGFR.

RESULTS

The analysis included 674 children. Their mean age at most recent visit was 11.9 years; 61% were male, and 20% were Black. There were 241 occurrences of the primary outcome at the time of analysis. After adjustment for baseline characteristics, the risk of progression of CKD for exposed children was 1.94 (95% CI, 1.27-2.97). The effect size was similar with either 1 or 2 deletions (autosomal dominant inheritance). The relationships between number of functional GSTM1 alleles and prespecified secondary outcomes were not statistically significant after adjustment.

LIMITATIONS

Missing data, especially for secondary outcomes, and relatively small sample size compared to genetic studies in adults.

CONCLUSIONS

GSTM1 deletion is associated with more rapid progression of pediatric CKD after adjustment in this large prospective cohort. No statistically significant associations were seen with secondary outcomes. If replicated, these findings may inform development of interventions for CKD in children.

Cardiovascular implications in adolescent and young adult hypertension

Background

Hypertension is one of the most prevalent diseases in the United States, affecting an estimated 3.5% of children and adolescents. It can be adversely affect most organ systems but is particularly detrimental to the heart and vascular systems. The repercussions can be gauged through well-established measures of cardiovascular function including left ventricular mass index (LVMI), left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), carotid intima media thickness (cIMT), and aortic stiffness. Cardiovascular function is also affected by underlying etiologies of hypertension including chronic kidney disease, polycystic kidney disease, coarctation of the aorta, adrenal disorders, renal artery stenosis, obstructive sleep apnea, as well as various drugs and medications (decongestants, stimulants, Non-steroidal Anti-inflammatory Drugs (NSAIDs), and steroids).

Methods

An exhaustive literature search was conducted for clinical data regarding pediatric hypertension. Sixty-seven articles were incorporated with data on 189,477 subjects total. The data was then extracted and categorized as relating to hypertension incidence, LVMI, LVH, cIMT, and/or aortic stiffness.

Results

The prevalence of pediatric ( < 18 years) hypertension extracted from 47 studies from 1994 to 2018 averaged 4%. The LVMI assessed over 7 studies (n = 661) averaged 39.3 g/ m 2.7 in the hypertensive cohort and 30.1 g/ m 2.7 in the control cohort. The cIMT assessed over 7 studies (n = 580) averaged 0.55 mm in the hypertensive cohort and 0.49 mm in the control cohort. Ambulatory arterial stiffness parameters assessed over 5 studies (n = 573) in the normotensive cohort averaged 99.73 mmHg, 69.81 mmHg, 76.85 mmHg, and 46.90 mmHg, for SBP, DBP, MAP, and PP respectively. Ambulatory arterial stiffness parameters assessed over 5 studies (n = 573) in the hypertensive cohort averaged 129.56 mmHg, 73.69 mmHg, 95.08 mmHg, and 56.80 mmHg, for SBP, DBP, MAP, and PP respectively.

Conclusions

The significance of pediatric hypertension is emphasized by evidence of early cardiovascular disease as demonstrated by non-invasive measures including cIMT and arterial stiffness parameters, and target organ damage and including LVH and LVMI factors. Thus, early diagnosis and treatment of high blood pressure is paramount for improving long term cardiovascular health and preventing long term morbidity and mortality.

Overview of the findings and advances in the neurocognitive and psychosocial functioning of mild to moderate pediatric CKD: perspectives from the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) cohort study

The Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) prospective cohort study was designed to address the neurocognitive, growth, cardiovascular, and disease progression of children and adolescents with mild to moderate CKD. The study has had continuous funding from NIDDK for 17 years and has contributed significant advances in pediatric CKD. The goals of this educational review are threefold: (1) to provide an overview of the neurocognitive and psychosocial studies from CKiD to date; (2) to provide best practice recommendations for those working with the neurocognitive and psychosocial aspects of pediatric CKD based on CKiD findings; and (3) to help chart future goals and directives for both research and clinical practice. This collection of 22 empirical studies has produced a number of key findings for children and adolescents with mild to moderate CKD. While various studies suggest a relatively positive presentation for this population as a whole, without evidence of significant impairment or deterioration, findings do indicate the presence of neurocognitive dysfunction, emotional-behavioral difficulties, and lower quality of life for many children with CKD. These findings support the promotion of best practices that are accompanied by additional future clinical and research initiatives with this patient population.

Kidney Disease Progression in Children and Young Adults With Pediatric CKD: Epidemiologic Perspectives and Clinical Applications

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression is typically characterized as either time to a clinically meaningful event (such as dialysis or transplant), or longitudinal changes in kidney function. This review describes pediatric kidney disease progression using these two distinct frameworks by reviewing and discussing data from the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children study. We first describe new equations to estimate glomerular filtration rate (GFR) for patients younger than age 25 years, and how the average of serum creatinine-based and cystatin C-based GFR equations yield valid estimates than either alone. Next, we present a life course description of CKD onset to kidney replacement therapy, prediction models based on clinical measurements, and show the importance of diagnosis (broadly classified as nonglomerular and glomerular in origin), GFR level, and proteinuria on progression. Literature on longitudinal GFR in children and young adults are reviewed and new data are presented to characterize nonlinear changes in estimated GFR in patients younger than age 25 years. These models showed accelerated progression associated with glomerular diagnosis, lower GFR level, and higher proteinuria, which was congruent with time-to-event analyses. Descriptions of online tools for GFR estimation and risk stratification for clinical applications are presented and we offer key epidemiologic considerations for the analysis of longitudinal pediatric CKD studies.

Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factors in Chronic Kidney Disease in Children

Over the past 2 decades, cardiovascular (CV) disease has been recognized as one of the most important complications of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and one of the leading causes of death in children with advanced CKD and in young adults who developed CKD during childhood. CV abnormalities develop early and progress during the course of CKD in children. Characterization of the prevalence and evolution of CV disease risk factors in progressive CKD is one of the primary aims of the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children study. In this review, we summarize up-to-date findings from the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children study with a focus on traditional and CKD-related CV risk factors and early subclinical markers of cardiac and vascular structure and function. We also discuss the effect of CV risk factors on progression of CKD.

Mean Arterial Pressure and Chronic Kidney Disease Progression in the CKiD Cohort

[Figure: see text].

BP in Young Adults with CKD and Associations with Cardiovascular Events and Decline in Kidney Function

BACKGROUND

BP is an important modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular events and CKD progression in middle-aged or older adults with CKD. However, studies describing the relationship between BP with outcomes in young adults with CKD are limited.

METHODS

In an observational study, we focused on 317 young adults (aged 21-40 years) with mild to moderate CKD enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study. Exposures included baseline systolic BP evaluated continuously (per 10 mm Hg increase) and in categories (<120, 120-129, and ≥130 mm Hg). Primary outcomes included cardiovascular events (heart failure, myocardial infarction, stroke, or all-cause death) and CKD progression (50% decline of eGFR or ESKD). We used Cox proportional hazard models to test associations between baseline systolic BP with cardiovascular events and CKD progression.

RESULTS

Cardiovascular events occurred in 52 participants and 161 had CKD progression during median follow-up times of 11.3 years and 4.1 years, respectively. Among those with baseline systolic BP ≥130 mm Hg, 3%/yr developed heart failure, 20%/yr had CKD progression, and 2%/yr died. In fully adjusted models, baseline systolic BP ≥130 mm Hg (versus systolic BP<120 mm Hg) was significantly associated with cardiovascular events or death (hazard ratio [HR], 2.13; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.05 to 4.32) and CKD progression (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.10 to 2.58).

CONCLUSIONS

Among young adults with CKD, higher systolic BP is significantly associated with a greater risk of cardiovascular events and CKD progression. Trials of BP management are needed to test targets and treatment strategies specifically in young adults with CKD.

Dynamic Models Supporting Personalised Chronic Disease Management through Healthcare Sensors with Interactive Process Mining

Rich streams of continuous data are available through Smart Sensors representing a unique opportunity to develop and analyse risk models in healthcare and extract knowledge from data. There is a niche for developing new algorithms, and visualisation and decision support tools to assist health professionals in chronic disease management incorporating data generated through smart sensors in a more precise and personalised manner. However, current understanding of risk models relies on static snapshots of health variables or measures, rather than ongoing and dynamic feedback loops of behaviour, considering changes and different states of patients and diseases. The rationale of this work is to introduce a new method for discovering dynamic risk models for chronic diseases, based on patients' dynamic behaviour provided by health sensors, using Process Mining techniques. Results show the viability of this method, three dynamic models have been discovered for the chronic diseases hypertension, obesity, and diabetes, based on the dynamic behaviour of metabolic risk factors associated. This information would support health professionals to translate a one-fits-all current approach to treatments and care, to a personalised medicine strategy, that fits treatments built on patients' unique behaviour thanks to dynamic risk modelling taking advantage of the amount data generated by smart sensors.