Kidney outcomes in children with primary focal segmental glomerulosclerosis from a low- and middle- income country

BACKGROUND

Limited data exists regarding the clinical course and outcomes of children with primary focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS) from low- and middle- income countries.

METHODS

Children aged 1-18 years with biopsy-proven primary FSGS followed from January 2010-June 2023 in a tertiary-care center were enrolled and their clinical profile, histological characteristics, kidney outcomes, and predictors of adverse outcomes were determined.

RESULTS

Over 13 years, 73 (54.8% boys) children with median (IQR) age at FSGS diagnosis 6.7 (3,10) years were recruited and followed up for median 4 (2.5,8) years. FSGS-not otherwise specified (NOS) was the most common histological subtype, in 64 (87.6%) children, followed by collapsing variant in 5 (6.8%) children. At last follow-up, 43 (58.9%), 2 (2.7%) and 28 (38.3%) children were in complete remission (CR), partial remission (PR), and no remission (NR) respectively. Calcineurin inhibitors led to CR or PR in 39 (62%) children. Overall, 21 (28.7%) children progressed to chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 2-5 (19 from NR vs. 2 from PR group; p = 0.03); with 41% of those NR at 12 months progressing to CKD 4-5 by last follow-up. On multivariable analysis, collapsing variant [adjusted HR 2.5 (95%CI 1.5, 4.17), p = 0.001] and segmental sclerosis > 25% [aHR 9.9 (95%CI 2.2, 45.2), p = 0.003] predicted kidney disease progression.

CONCLUSIONS

In children with FSGS, response to immunosuppression predicts kidney survival as evidenced by nil to lower progression to CKD 2-5 by median follow-up of 4 (2.5,8) years in children with CR and PR, compared to those with no remission at 12 months from diagnosis. Segmental sclerosis > 25% and collapsing variant predicted progression to advanced CKD.

Clinical Outcomes of Renin-Angiotensin Aldosterone Blockade in Patients with Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The cardiovascular and renal benefits of renin-angiotensin aldosterone system (RAAS) blockade are not well-established in patients with advanced CKD. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to identify potential risks and benefits from RAAS blockade in patients with CKD stage 4-5.

METHODS

A Medline search from inception to November 2022 was conducted to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in patients with CKD stage 4-5 (estimated GFR ≤ 30 mL/min/1.73m2) comparing RAAS blockade against placebo or alternative antihypertensive therapy. Different intervention strategies were assessed (RAAS use vs non-use, initiation vs placebo/alternative therapy or discontinuation vs continuation). The primary outcome was progression to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). The risk ratio (RR) was estimated using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

Nine RCTs (1,150 patients) were included. In RCTs, RAAS blockade was associated with a significant reduction in progression to ESKD: RR 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.74 - 0.96; p = 0.01). There was no benefit from RAAS blockade on all-cause mortality or MACE: RR 1.02 (95% CI 0.63 - 1.65; p = 0.93) and RR 0.87 (95% CI 0.49- 1.57; p = 0.65), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

RAAS blockade may be considered in selected patients with CKD stage 4-5 to delay progression to ESKD.

Development and deployment of a nationwide predictive model for chronic kidney disease progression in diabetic patients

Aim

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major complication of diabetes and a significant disease burden on the healthcare system. The aim of this work was to apply a predictive model to identify high-risk patients in the early stages of CKD as a means to provide early intervention to avert or delay kidney function deterioration.

Materials and methods

Using the data from the National Diabetes Database in Singapore, we applied a machine-learning algorithm to develop a predictive model for CKD progression in diabetic patients and to deploy the model nationwide.

Results

Our model was rigorously validated. It outperformed existing models and clinician predictions. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of our model is 0.88, with the 95% confidence interval being 0.87 to 0.89. In recognition of its higher and consistent accuracy and clinical usefulness, our CKD model became the first clinical model deployed nationwide in Singapore and has been incorporated into a national program to engage patients in long-term care plans in battling chronic diseases. The risk score generated by the model stratifies patients into three risk levels, which are embedded into the Diabetes Patient Dashboard for clinicians and care managers who can then allocate healthcare resources accordingly.

Conclusion

This project provided a successful example of how an artificial intelligence (AI)-based model can be adopted to support clinical decision-making nationwide.

Association between serum total cholesterol and chronic kidney disease progression in children: results from the KNOW-PedCKD

BACKGROUND

Dyslipidemia can cause cardiovascular disease and increase the fatality rate among children with chronic kidney disease (CKD); this makes early screening and treatment of dyslipidemia crucial. This study aimed to assess the association between the changes in serum total cholesterol levels over time and the degree of CKD progression in children.

METHODS

From April 2011 to August 2021, 379 of the 432 participants enrolled in the KoreaN cohort study for Outcomes in patients With Pediatric CKD (KNOW-PedCKD) were included and divided into 4 categories based on total cholesterol levels (< 170 mg/dL, acceptable; 170-199, borderline; 200-239, high; and ≥ 240, very high). Survival analysis using conventional and time-dependent Cox proportional hazards model were performed for a composite event of CKD progression (≥ 50% decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate from baseline, a twofold increase in creatinine, or the occurrence of dialysis or kidney transplantation).

RESULT

The incidence of composite event of CKD progression was 96.3, 90.4, 87.3, and 270.6 cases per 1000 person-years in the acceptable, borderline, high, and very high categories, respectively. On using the time-dependent Cox proportional hazards model, the hazard ratio of the very high category was significantly higher than that of the acceptable category by 3.13 times as per univariate analysis and 2.37 times as per multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Very high serum total cholesterol is a significant risk factor for CKD progression in children. Lowering total cholesterol levels below the very high category in children with CKD may delay the progression of CKD. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Venous bicarbonate and CKD progression: a longitudinal analysis by the group-based trajectory model

Background

Metabolic acidosis accelerates chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression towards kidney failure in animal models. Clinical trials testing the effect of bicarbonate on kidney outcomes are underpowered and/or of suboptimal quality. On the other hand, observational studies testing the same hypothesis are generally based on bicarbonate measured at a single time point.

Methods

We studied the longitudinal relationship between repeated venous bicarbonate levels and a predefined composite renal outcome (a ≥30% estimated glomerular filtration rate reduction, dialysis or transplantation) by using group-based trajectory model (GBTM) analysis. The GBTM analysis was used to classify patients based on individual bicarbonate levels over time. The relationship between trajectory groups and renal outcomes was investigated using crude and adjusted Cox regression models. A total of 528 patients with stage 2-5 CKD were included in the analysis.

Results

The GBTM analysis identified four distinct trajectories of bicarbonate levels: low, moderate, moderate-high and high. During the follow-up period, 126 patients experienced the combined renal endpoint. The hazard rate of renal events decreased dose-dependently from the lowest to the highest bicarbonate trajectory. After adjusting for potential confounders, there was a 63% risk reduction for the composite renal endpoint for patients in the high trajectory category compared with those in the low trajectory category.

Conclusion

The study found that higher bicarbonate trajectories were associated with a lower risk of adverse renal outcomes in CKD patients. These results suggest that strategies to maintain higher bicarbonate levels may benefit patients with CKD. However, further high-quality randomised trials are needed to confirm these findings and recommend bicarbonate supplementation as a strategy to delay CKD progression.

Long-term Visit-to-Visit Variability in Hemoglobin A1c and Kidney-Related Outcomes in Persons With Diabetes

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

To characterize associations between long-term visit-to-visit variability of hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) and risk of adverse kidney outcomes in patients with diabetes.

STUDY DESIGN

Observational study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

93,598 adults with diabetes undergoing routine care in Stockholm, Sweden.

EXPOSURES AND PREDICTORS

Categories of baseline and time-varying HbA1c variability score (HVS, the percentage of total HbA1c measures that vary by>0.5% [5.5mmol/mol] during a 3-year window): 0-20%, 21%-40%, 41%-60%, 61%-80%, and 81%-100%, with 0-20% as the reference group.

OUTCOME

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression (composite of>50% estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] decline and kidney failure), acute kidney disease (AKI by clinical diagnosis or transient creatinine elevations according to KDIGO criteria), and worsening of albuminuria.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

Compared with persons showing low HbA1c variability (HVS 0-20%), any increase in variability was associated with a higher risk of adverse kidney outcomes beyond mean HbA1c. For example, for patients with a baseline HbA1c variability of 81%-100%, the adjusted HR was 1.6 (95% CI, 1.47-1.74) for CKD progression, 1.23 [1.16-1.3] for AKI, and 1.28 [1.21-1.36] for worsening of albuminuria. The results were consistent across subgroups (diabetes subtypes, baseline eGFR, or albuminuria categories), in time-varying analyses and in sensitivity analyses including time-weighted average HbA1c or alternative metrics of variability.

LIMITATIONS

Observational study, limitations of claims data, lack of information on diet, body mass index, medication changes, and diabetes duration.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher long-term visit-to-visit HbA1c variability is consistently associated with the risks of CKD progression, AKI, and worsening of albuminuria.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

The evidence for current guideline recommendations derives from clinical trials that focus on a single HbA1c as the definitive measure of efficacy of an intervention. However, long-term visit-to-visit fluctuations of HbA1c may provide additional value in the prediction of future kidney complications. We evaluated the long-term fluctuations in glycemic control in almost 100,000 persons with diabetes undergoing routine care in Stockholm, Sweden. We observed that higher long-term HbA1c fluctuation is consistently associated with the risks of chronic kidney disease progression, worsening of albuminuria and acute kidney injury. This finding supports a role for long-term glycemic variability in the development of kidney complications and illustrates the potential usefulness of this metric for risk stratification at the bedside beyond a single HbA1c test.

Racial Differences and Contributory Cardiovascular and Non-Cardiovascular Risk Factors Towards Chronic Kidney Disease Progression

Background

The prevalence of advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) is higher in Black than in White Americans. We evaluated CKD progression in Black and White participants and the contribution of biological risk factors. We included the study of lung function (measured by forced vital capacity [FVC]), which is part of the emerging notion of interorgan cross-talk with the kidneys to racial differences in CKD progression.

Methods

This longitudinal study included 2175 Black and 2207 White adult Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) participants. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) were measured at study year 10 (age 27-41y) and every five years for 20 years. The outcome was CKD progression through no CKD, low, moderate, high, or very high-risk categories based on eGFR and UACR in combination. The association between race and CKD progression as well as the contribution of risk factors to racial differences were assessed in multivariable-adjusted Cox models.

Results

Black participants had higher CKD transition probabilities than White participants and more prevalent risk factors during the 20-year period studied. Hazard ratios for CKD transition for Black (vs White participants) were 1.38 from No CKD into ≥ low risk, 2.25 from ≤ low risk into ≥ moderate risk, and 4.49 from ≤ moderate risk into ≥ high risk. Racial differences in CKD progression from No CKD into ≥ low risk were primarily explained by FVC (54.8%), hypertension (30.9%), and obesity (20.8%). In contrast, racial differences were less explained in more severe transitions.

Conclusion

Black participants had a higher risk of CKD progression, and this discrepancy may be partly explained by FVC and conventional risk factors.

Total cortical interstitial inflammation predicts chronic kidney disease progression in patients with lupus nephritis

BACKGROUND

End-stage kidney disease (ESKD) from lupus nephritis (LN) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Kidney biopsy is the gold standard for diagnosis and prognostication of LN. While interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) predict progression to ESKD, the National Institutes of Health (NIH) classification of interstitial inflammation in unscarred cortical parenchyma is not predictive of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. The objective of this study was to determine whether total cortical interstitial inflammation that accounts for inflammation in the entire cortical parenchyma could predict CKD progression in patients with LN. Early identification of at-risk patients may improve outcomes.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 125 SLE patients with LN class III, IV, V or mixed (III/V, IV/V) on the index biopsy (2005-2018). Kidney biopsies were reviewed and assigned based on the 2018 NIH Activity Index (AI) and tubulointerstitial lesion categories. Total interstitial inflammation in the entire cortical parenchyma was graded as 0, 1, 2 or 3, corresponding to <10%, 10-25%, 26-50% and >50%, respectively, of the total cortical parenchyma containing an inflammatory infiltrate (similar to the definition used in the Banff total inflammation score). CKD progression was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate decrease of ≥30% within 5 years after the index biopsy. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards models were performed to compare the two scoring systems, the total cortical intestinal inflammation score and the NIH interstitial inflammation score as predictors of CKD progression.

RESULTS

Of 125 patients, 46 experienced CKD progression; 21 of 46 subsequently developed ESKD, 28 (22.4%) had moderate-severe total cortical interstitial inflammation and 8 (6.4%) had moderate-severe NIH interstitial inflammation. There were no differences in baseline characteristics between progressors and nonprogressors. Total cortical interstitial inflammation was associated with CKD progression in time-dependent analyses [hazard ratio 2.45 (95% confidence interval 1.2-4.97)] adjusted for age at biopsy, race, sex, LN class and hypertensive vascular change on kidney biopsy. The NIH interstitial inflammation was not associated with CKD progression.

CONCLUSIONS

In contrast to the current NIH interstitial inflammation classification, accounting for interstitial inflammation in the entire cortical parenchyma allows identification of patients at risk for CKD progression in LN.

Association of the Urine-to-Plasma Urea Ratio With CKD Progression

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVES

The urine-to-plasma (U/P) ratio of urea is correlated with urine-concentrating capacity and associated with progression of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease. As a proposed biomarker of tubular function, we hypothesized that the U/P urea ratio would also be associated with progression of more common forms of chronic kidney disease (CKD).

STUDY DESIGN

Observational cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

3,723 adults in the United States with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 20-70 mL/min/1.73 m², enrolled in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

EXPOSURE

U/P urea ratio, calculated from 24-hour urine collections and plasma samples at baseline.

OUTCOME

Associations of U/P urea ratio with eGFR slope, initiation of kidney replacement therapy (KRT), and CKD progression, defined as 50% decline in eGFR or incident KRT.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Multivariable linear mixed-effects models tested associations with eGFR slope. Cox proportional hazards models tested associations with dichotomous CKD outcomes.

RESULTS

The median U/P urea ratio was 14.8 (IQR, 9.5-22.2). Compared with participants in the highest U/P urea ratio quintile, those in the lowest quintile had a greater eGFR decline by 1.06 mL/min/1.73 m² per year (P < 0.001) over 7.0 (IQR, 3.0-11.0) years of follow-up observation. Each 1-SD lower natural log-transformed U/P urea ratio was independently associated with CKD progression (HR, 1.22 [95% CI, 1.12-1.33]) and incident KRT (HR, 1.22 [95% CI, 1.10-1.33]). Associations differed by baseline eGFR (P interaction = 0.009). Among those with an eGFR ≥30 mL/min/1.73 m², each 1-SD lower in ln(U/P urea ratio) was independently associated with CKD progression (HR, 1.30 [95% CI, 1.18-1.45]), but this was not significant among those with eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m² (HR, 1.00 [95% CI, 0.84-1.20]).

LIMITATIONS

Possibility of residual confounding. Single baseline 24-hour urine collection for U/P urea ratio.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large and diverse cohort of patients with common forms of CKD, U/P urea was independently associated with disease progression and incident kidney failure. Associations were not significant among those with advanced CKD at baseline.

Triglyceride-glucose index is associated with the risk of chronic kidney disease progression in type 2 diabetes

OBJECTIVE

The study aimed to investigate the association of TyG index with chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

METHODS

A total of 179 T2DM patients with CKD were retrospectively included. CKD progression was defined as a doubling of baseline serum creatinine or onset of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Internal validation was performed by the Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) model and Net reclassification improvement (NRI).

RESULTS

The optimal cut-off value of the TyG index was 9.17. The cumulative incidence of kidney outcomes was significantly higher in the high-TyG group (v.s low-TyG group, P = 0.019). In addition, the high-TyG index was associated with a greater risk of CKD progression (HR 1.794, 95% CI 1.026-3.137, P = 0.040). And reclassification analyses confirmed the final adjusted model improved NRI (61.90% v.s model 2, 43.80% v.s model 1). The further RCS curves presented an inverted S-shaped relationship between the TyG index and the risk of CKD progression. Internal validation verified that a higher TyG index was associated with 2.10-fold increased odds of 2-year ESKD risk >10% (95% CI 1.82-8.21). Moreover, subgroup analysis suggested that the association was more pronounced in those at relatively early CKD stages (higher than stage 2) and with no medication history of oral hypoglycemic agents.

CONCLUSION

An elevated TyG index was associated with a higher risk of CKD progression in T2DM patients. Our findings suggested that timely targeting insulin sensitivity at the early stages of T2DM might be associated with declined future risk of CKD development.

Heart Failure-Type Symptom Score Trajectories in CKD: Findings From the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Quality of life in chronic kidney disease (CKD) is impaired by a large burden of symptoms including some that overlap with the symptoms of heart failure (HF). We studied a group of individuals with CKD to understand the patterns and trajectories of HF-type symptoms in this setting.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

3,044 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) without prior diagnosis of HF.

PREDICTORS

Sociodemographics, medical history, medications, vital signs, laboratory values, echocardiographic and electrocardiographic parameters.

OUTCOME

Trajectory over 5.5 years of a HF-type symptom score (modified Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire [KCCQ] Overall Summary Score with a range of 0-100 where<75 reflects clinically significant symptoms).

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Latent class mixed models were used to model trajectories. Multinomial logistic regression was used to model relationships of predictors with trajectory group membership.

RESULTS

Five trajectories of KCCQ score were identified in the cohort of 3,044 adults, 45% of whom were female, and whose median age was 61 years. Group 1 (41.7%) had a stable high score (minimal symptoms, average score of 96); groups 2 (35.6%) and 3 (15.6%) had stable but lower scores (mild symptoms [average of 81] and clinically significant symptoms [average of 52], respectively). Group 4 (4.9%) had a substantial worsening in symptoms over time (mean 31-point decline), and group 5 (2.2%) had a substantial improvement (mean 33-point increase) in KCCQ score. A majority of group 1 was male, without diabetes or obesity, and this group had higher baseline kidney function. A majority of groups 2 and 3 had diabetes and obesity. A majority of group 4 was male and had substantial proteinuria. Group 5 had the highest proportion of baseline cardiovascular disease (CVD).

LIMITATIONS

No validation cohort available, CKD management changes in recent years may alter trajectories, and latent class models depend on the missing at random assumption.

CONCLUSIONS

Distinct HF-type symptom burden trajectories were identified in the setting of CKD, corresponding to different baseline characteristics. These results highlight the diversity of HF-type symptom experiences in individuals with CKD.

A prediction model of CKD progression among individuals with type 2 diabetes in the United States

BACKGROUND

CKD progression among individuals with T2D is associated with poor health outcomes and high healthcare costs, which have not been fully studied. This study aimed to predict CKD progression among individuals with diabetes.

METHOD

Using ACCORD trial data, a time-varying Cox model was developed to predict the risk of CKD progression among patients with CKD and T2D. CKD progression was defined as a 50 % decline, or 25 mL/min/1.73 m² decline in eGFR from baseline, doubling of the serum creatinine, or onset of ESKD. A list of candidate variables included demographic characteristics, physical exam results, laboratory results, medical history, drug use, and healthcare utilization. A stepwise algorithm was used for variable selection. Model performance was evaluated by Brier score and C-statistics. Confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using a bootstrap method. Decomposition analysis was conducted to assess the predictor contribution. Generalizability was assessed on patient-level data of the Harmony Outcome trial and CRIC study.

RESULTS

A total of 6982 diabetes patients with CKD were used for model development, with a median follow-up of 4 years and 3346 events. The predictors for CKD progression included female sex, age at T2D diagnosis, smoking status, SBP, DBP, HR, HbA1c, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), eGFR, UACR, retinopathy event, hospitalization. The model demonstrated good discrimination (C-statistics 0.745 [95 % CI 0.723-0.763]) and calibration (Brier Score 0.0923 [95 % CI 0.0873-0.0965]) performance in the ACCORD data. The most contributing predictors for CKD progression were eGFR, HbA1c, and SBP. The model demonstrated acceptable discrimination and calibration performance in the two external data.

CONCLUSION

For high-risk patients with both diabetes and CKD, the tool as a dynamic risk prediction of CKD progression may help develop novel strategies to lower the risk of CKD progression.

Cardiorenal Outcomes Among Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Treated With Oral Anticoagulants

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have progressively replaced vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) for stroke prevention in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF). DOACs cause fewer bleeding complications, but their other advantages, particularly related to kidney outcomes, remain inconclusive. We studied the risks of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression and acute kidney injury (AKI) after DOAC and VKA administration for nonvalvular AF.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Cohort study of Swedish patients enrolled in the Stockholm Creatinine Measurements (SCREAM) project with a diagnosis of nonvalvular AF during 2011-2018.

EXPOSURE

Initiation of DOAC or VKA treatment.

OUTCOME

Primary outcomes were CKD progression (composite of >30% estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] decline and kidney failure) and AKI (by diagnosis or KDIGO-defined transient creatinine elevations). Secondary outcomes were death, major bleeding, and the composite of stroke and systemic embolism.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Propensity score weighted Cox regression was used to balance 50 baseline confounders. Sensitivity analyses included falsification end points, subgroups, and estimation of per-protocol effects.

RESULTS

We included 32,699 patients (56% initiated DOAC) who were observed for a median of 3.8 years. Their median age was 75 years, 45% were women, and 27% had an eGFR <60mL/min/1.73m². The adjusted HRs for DOAC versus VKA were 0.87 (95% CI, 0.78-0.98) for the risk of CKD progression and 0.88 (95% CI, 0.80-0.97) for AKI. HRs were 0.77 (95% CI, 0.67-0.89) for major bleeding, 0.93 (95% CI, 0.78-1.11) for the composite of stroke and systemic embolism, and 1.04 (95% CI, 0.95-1.14) for death. The results were similar across subgroups of age, sex, and baseline eGFR when restricting to patients at high risk for thromboembolic events and when censoring follow up at treatment discontinuation or change in type of anticoagulation.

LIMITATIONS

Missing information on time in therapeutic range and treatment dosages.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with nonvalvular AF treated in routine clinical practice compared with VKA use, DOAC use was associated with a lower risk of CKD progression, AKI, and major bleeding but a similar risk of the composite of stroke, systemic embolism, or death.

Biomarkers of eGFR decline after cardiac surgery in children: findings from the ASSESS-AKI study

BACKGROUND

Children who require surgery for congenital heart disease have increased risk for long-term chronic kidney disease (CKD). Clinical factors as well as urine biomarkers of tubular health and injury may help improve the prognostication of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline.

METHODS

We enrolled children from 1 month to 18 years old undergoing cardiac surgery in the ASSESS-AKI cohort. We used mixed-effect models to assess the association between urinary biomarkers (log2-transformed uromodulin, NGAL, KIM-1, IL-18, L-FABP) measured 3 months after cardiac surgery and cyanotic heart disease with the rate of eGFR decline at annual in-person visits over 4 years.

RESULTS

Of the 117 children enrolled, 30 (24%) had cyanotic heart disease. During 48 months of follow-up, the median eGFR in the subgroup of children with cyanotic heart disease was lower at all study visits as compared with children with acyanotic heart disease (p = 0.01). In the overall cohort, lower levels of both urine uromodulin and IL-18 after discharge were associated with eGFR decline. After adjustment for age, RACHS-1 surgical complexity score, proteinuria, and eGFR at the 3-month study visit, lower concentrations of urine uromodulin and IL-18 were associated with a monthly decline in eGFR (uromodulin β = 0.04 (95% CI: 0.00-0.09; p = 0.07) IL-18 β = 0.07 (95% CI: 0.01-0.13; p = 0.04), ml/min/1.73 m² per month).

CONCLUSIONS

At 3 months after cardiac surgery, children with lower urine uromodulin and IL-18 concentrations experienced a significantly faster decline in eGFR. Children with cyanotic heart disease had a lower median eGFR at all time points but did not experience faster eGFR decline. A higher-resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Corrigendum: Enteric Budesonide in Transplant and Native IgA Nephropathy: Real-World Clinical Practice

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/ti.2022.10693.].

Nutritional Epidemiology and Dietary Assessment for Patients With Kidney Disease: A Primer

Nutritional epidemiology seeks to understand nutritional determinants of disease in human populations using experimental and observational study designs. Though randomized controlled trials provide the strongest evidence of causality, the expense and difficulty of sustaining adherence to dietary interventions are substantial barriers to investigating dietary determinants of kidney disease. Therefore, nutritional epidemiology commonly employs observational study designs, particularly prospective cohort studies, to investigate long-term associations between dietary exposures and kidney disease. Due to the covarying nature and synergistic effects of dietary components, holistic characterizations of dietary exposures that simultaneously consider patterns of foods and nutrients regularly consumed are generally more relevant to disease etiology than single nutrients or foods. Dietary intakes have traditionally been self-reported and are subject to bias. Statistical methods including energy adjustment and regression calibration can reduce random and systematic measurement errors associated with self-reported diet. Novel approaches that assess diet more objectively are gaining popularity but have not yet fully replaced self-report and require refinement and validation in populations with chronic kidney disease. More accurate and frequent diet assessment in existing and future studies will yield evidence to better personalize dietary recommendations for the prevention and treatment of kidney disease.

Association between cholinesterase inhibitors and kidney function decline in patients with Alzheimer's dementia

Preclinical evidence shows that activation of the cholinergic anti-inflammatory pathway (CAP) may have direct and indirect beneficial effects on the kidney. Cholinesterase inhibitors (ChEIs) are specific Alzheimer's dementia (AD) therapies that block the action of cholinesterases and activate CAP. Here, we explored a plausible effect of ChEIs on slowing kidney function decline by comparing the risk of CKD progression among patients with newly diagnosed AD that initiated ChEI or not within 90 days. Using complete information of routine serum creatinine tests, we evaluated changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and defined the outcome of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression as the composite of an eGFR decline of over 30%, initiation of dialysis/transplant or death attributed to CKD. A secondary outcome was death. Inverse probability of treatment-weighted Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios. Among 11, 898 patients, 6,803 started on ChEIs and 5,095 did not. Mean age was 80 years (64% women) and the mean eGFR was 68 ml/min/1.73m². During a median 3.0 years of follow-up, and compared to non-use, ChEI use was associated with 18% lower risk of CKD progression (1,231 events, adjusted hazard ratio 0.82; 95% confidence interval 0.71-0.96) and a 21% lower risk of death (0.79; 0.72-0.86). Results were consistent across subgroups, ChEI subclasses and after accounting for competing risks. Thus, in patients with AD undergoing routine care, use of ChEI (vs no-use) was associated with lower risk of CKD progression.

Association of an Acute Kidney Injury Follow-up Clinic With Patient Outcomes and Care Processes: A Cohort Study

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

To determine whether attendance at an acute kidney injury (AKI) follow-up clinic is associated with reduced major adverse kidney events.

STUDY DESIGN

Propensity-matched cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Patients hospitalized with AKI in Ontario, Canada, from February 1, 2013, through September 30, 2017, at a single clinical center, who were not receiving dialysis when discharged.

EXPOSURE

Standardized assessment by a nephrologist.

OUTCOMES

Time to a major adverse kidney event, defined as death, initiation of maintenance dialysis, or incident/progressive chronic kidney disease.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Propensity scores were used to match each patient who attended an AKI follow-up clinic to 4 patients who received standard care. Cox proportional hazards models were fit to assess the association between the care within an AKI follow-up clinic and outcomes. To avoid immortal time bias, we randomly assigned index dates to the comparator group.

RESULTS

We matched 164 patients from the AKI follow-up clinic to 656 patients who received standard care. During a mean follow-up of 2.2±1.3 (SD) years, care in the AKI follow-up clinic was not associated with a reduction in major adverse kidney events relative to standard care (22.1 vs 24.7 events per 100 patient-years; HR, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.75-1.11]). The AKI follow-up clinic was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.55-0.91]). Patients aged at least 66 years who attended the AKI follow-up clinic were more likely to receive β-blockers (HR, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.02-1.77]) and statins (HR, 1.35 [95% CI, 1.05-1.74]), but not angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers (HR, 1.21 [95% CI, 0.94-1.56]).

LIMITATIONS

Single-center study and residual confounding.

CONCLUSIONS

Specialized postdischarge follow-up for AKI survivors was not associated with a lower risk of major adverse kidney events but was associated with a lower risk of death and increased prescriptions for some cardioprotective medications.

Obstacles and Opportunities in Managing Coexisting Obesity and CKD: Report of a Scientific Workshop Cosponsored by the National Kidney Foundation and The Obesity Society

The National Kidney Foundation (NKF) and The Obesity Society (TOS) cosponsored a multispecialty international workshop in April 2021 to advance the understanding and management of obesity in adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD). The underlying rationale for the workshop was the accumulating evidence that obesity is a major contributor to CKD and adverse outcomes in individuals with CKD, and that effective treatment of obesity, including lifestyle intervention, weight loss medications, and metabolic surgery, can have beneficial effects. The attendees included a range of experts in the areas of kidney disease, obesity medicine, endocrinology, diabetes, bariatric/metabolic surgery, endoscopy, transplant surgery, and nutrition, as well as patients with obesity and CKD. The group identified strategies to increase patient and provider engagement in obesity management, outlined a collaborative action plan to engage nephrologists and obesity medicine experts in obesity management, and identified research opportunities to address gaps in knowledge about the interaction between obesity and kidney disease. The workshop's conclusions help lay the groundwork for development of an effective, scientifically based, and multidisciplinary approach to the management of obesity in people with CKD.

Estimated Kidney Tubular Secretion and Kidney, Cardiovascular, and Mortality Outcomes in CKD: The Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial

Rational & Objective

Many drugs, metabolites, and toxins are cleared by the kidneys via tubular secretion. Whether novel endogenous measures of tubular secretion provide information about kidney, cardiovascular, and mortality risk is uncertain.

Study Design

Longitudinal subgroup analysis of clinical trial participants.

Setting & Participants

2,089 Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial participants with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m² at baseline.

Exposure

Summary score incorporating urine-to-plasma ratios of 10 endogenous secretion markers measured in paired urine and plasma samples at baseline.

Outcome

The primary outcome was longitudinal change in eGFR. Secondary outcomes included chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression (≥50% eGFR decline or incident kidney failure requiring dialysis or kidney transplantation), a cardiovascular disease (CVD) composite (myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome, stroke, acute decompensated heart failure, or death from cardiovascular causes), and mortality.

Analytical Approach

Linear mixed-effect models were used to evaluate the association between the secretion score and change in eGFR, and Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate associations with CKD progression, CVD, and mortality.

Results

At baseline, mean age was 73 ± 9 years and eGFR was 46 ± 11 mL/min/1.73 m². During a median follow-up of 3.3 years, mean change in eGFR was -1.44% per year, and 72 CKD progression events, 272 CVD events, and 144 deaths occurred. In multivariable analyses, lower secretion score was associated with faster eGFR decline and greater risk of CKD progression, CVD, and mortality. After further adjustment for baseline eGFR and albuminuria, each 1-standard deviation lower secretion score was associated with faster eGFR decline (-0.65% per year; 95% CI, -0.84% to -0.46%), but not CKD progression (HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 0.96-1.58), CVD (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.89-1.18), or mortality (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.74-1.09). The secretion score association with eGFR decline appeared stronger in participants with baseline eGFR <45 mL/min/1.73 m² (P for interaction < 0.001).

Limitations

Persons with diabetes and proteinuria >1 g/d were excluded.

Conclusions

Among SPRINT participants with CKD, lower estimated tubular secretion was associated with faster eGFR decline, independent of baseline eGFR and albuminuria, but not with CKD progression, CVD, or mortality.

Beyond the Urine Anion Gap: In Support of the Direct Measurement of Urinary Ammonium

Ammonium is a major urinary buffer that is necessary for the normal excretion of the daily acid load. Its urinary rate of excretion (UNH₄) may be increased several fold in the presence of extrarenal metabolic acidosis. Therefore, measurement of UNH₄ can provide important clues about causes of metabolic acidosis. Because UNH₄ is not commonly measured in clinical laboratories, the urinary anion gap (UAG) was proposed as its surrogate about 4 decades ago, and it is still frequently used for that purpose. Several published studies strongly suggest that UAG is not a good index of UNH₄ and support the concept that direct measurement of UNH₄ is an important parameter to define in clinical nephrology. Low UNH₄ levels have recently been found to be associated with a higher risk of metabolic acidosis, loss of kidney function, and death in persons with chronic kidney disease, while surrogates like the UAG do not recapitulate this risk. In order to advance the field it is necessary for the medical community to become more familiar with UNH₄ levels in a variety of clinical settings. Herein, we review the literature, searching for available data on UNH₄ under normal and various pathological conditions, in an attempt to establish reference values to interpret UNH₄ results if and when UNH₄ measurements become available as a routine clinical test. In addition, we present original data in 2 large populations that provide further evidence that the UAG is not a good predictor of UNH₄. Measurement of urine NH₄ holds promise to aid clinicians in the care of patients, and we encourage further research to determine its best diagnostic usage.

Aldosterone, Mineralocorticoid Receptor Activation, and CKD: A Review of Evolving Treatment Paradigms

Mineralocorticoid receptor (MR) activation is involved in propagating kidney injury, inflammation, and fibrosis and in the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Multiple clinical studies have defined the efficacy of MR antagonism in attenuating progressive kidney disease, and the US Food and Drug Administration recently approved the nonsteroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist (MRA) finerenone for this indication. In this review, we consider the basic science and clinical applicability of MR antagonism. Because hyperkalemia constitutes a constraint to implementing evidence-based MR blockade, we review MRA-associated hyperkalemia in the context of finerenone and discuss evolving mitigation strategies to enhance the safety and efficacy of this treatment. Although the FIDELIO-DKD and FIGARO-DKD clinical trials focused solely on patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, we propose that MR activation and the resulting inflammation and fibrosis act as a substantive pathogenetic mediator not only in people with diabetic CKD but also in those with CKD without diabetes. We close by briefly discussing both recently initiated and future clinical trials that focus on extending the attributes of MR antagonism to a wider array of nondiabetic kidney disorders, such as patients with nonalbuminuric CKD.

Biological variation and reference change value of the estimated glomerular filtration rate in humans: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Knowledge of the biological variation of serum or plasma creatinine (Cr) and the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is important for understanding disease dynamics in Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD). The aim of our study was to determine the magnitude of random fluctuation of eGFR by determining its reference change value (RCV).

Methods

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies on biological variation of Cr. Relevant studies were identified by systematic literature search on PubMed. Additional studies were retrieved from the European Federation of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (EFLM) Biological Variation Database. Random-effects meta-analysis was conducted to derive an overall estimate of intra-individual variation of creatinine (CV_ICr). Based on our estimate of CV_ICr and RCV for Cr, the RCV for the eGFR was determined.

Results

Among identified studies, 37 met our inclusion criteria. Meta-analysis of all studies yielded a CV_ICr of 5.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] 4.6–5.8%), however high between-study heterogeneity (I² = 82.3%) was found. Exclusion of outliers led to a significant reduction of heterogeneity while still including 85% of all studies and resulted in a slightly lower CV_ICr of 5.0% (95% CI 4.7–5.4%). Assuming an analytical variation of CV_A 1.1%, we found an overall RCV for eGFR of ±16.5%. After exclusion of outlier studies, we found a minimum conservative RCV for eGFR of ±12.5%.

Conclusion

The RCV of the eGFR represents a valuable tool for clinicians to discern true changes in kidney function from random fluctuation.

Predictive markers in chronic kidney disease

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is defined by gradual deterioration of the renal parenchyma and decline of functioning nephrons. CKD is now recognized as a distinct risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). This risk rises in tandem with the decline in kidney function and peaks at the end-stage. It is important to identify individuals with CKD who are at a higher risk of advancing to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and the beginning of CVD. This will enhance the clinical benefits and so that evidence-based therapy may be started at the initial stages for those individuals. A promising biomarker must represent tissue damage, and be easy to detect using non-invasive methods. Current CKD progression indicators have difficulties in reaching this aim. Hence this review presents an update on markers studied in the last decade, which help in the prediction of CKD progression such as neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, kidney injury molecule-1, urinary liver-type fatty acid-binding protein, cystatin-C, asymmetric dimethylarginine, symmetric dimethylarginine, endotrophin, methylglyoxal, sclerostin, uric acid, and miRNA-196a. Additional research is needed to determine the predictive usefulness of these indicators in clinical samples for disease development. Their utility as surrogate markers need to be explored further for the early identification of CKD progression.

Clinical Trial Considerations in Developing Treatments for Early Stages of Common, Chronic Kidney Diseases: A Scientific Workshop Cosponsored by the National Kidney Foundation and the US Food and Drug Administration

In the past decade, advances in the validation of surrogate end points for chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression have heightened interest in evaluating therapies in early CKD. In December 2020, the National Kidney Foundation sponsored a scientific workshop in collaboration with the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to explore patient, provider, and payor perceptions of the value of treating early CKD. The workshop reviewed challenges for trials in early CKD, including trial designs, identification of high-risk populations, and cost-benefit and safety considerations. Over 90 people representing a range of stakeholders including experts in clinical trials, nephrology, cardiology and endocrinology, patient advocacy organizations, patients, payors, health economists, regulators and policy makers attended a virtual meeting. There was consensus among the attendees that there is value to preventing the development and treating the progression of early CKD in people who are at high risk for progression, and that surrogate end points should be used to establish efficacy. Attendees also concluded that cost analyses should be holistic and include aspects beyond direct savings for treatment of kidney failure; and that safety data should be collected outside/beyond the duration of a clinical trial. Successful drug development and implementation of effective therapies will require collaboration across sponsors, patients, patient advocacy organizations, medical community, regulators, and payors.

Tubular Secretion and Estimated GFR Decline in the Jackson Heart Study

Introduction

Secretion of solutes by the proximal tubules represents an intrinsic kidney function not directly reflected by the glomerular filtration rate (GFR). The early loss of secretory clearance may reflect unrecognized kidney dysfunction, portending future disease progression.

Methods

We designed a nested case-control study within the Jackson Heart Study (JHS), a prospective study of African American adults in Mississippi, to associate baseline differences in proximal tubular secretion of 5 endogenously produced solutes with future estimated glomerular rate (eGFR) decline. We matched 127 pairs by creatinine-eGFR, age, diabetes, and sex among the patients who provided a 24-hour urine collection; cases had a ≥25% decline in eGFR compared to <10% in controls over 10 years of follow-up. We measured baseline plasma and urine concentrations of secretory solutes using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry to determine the odds ratio of kidney disease progression.

Results

Mean age was 60 years; 76% were women; 30% had diabetes; mean baseline eGFR was 94±20 ml/min per 1.73 m². The eGFR decline over 10 years was 38±13% in cases and 0±10% in controls. After adjustment for the matching variables plus albuminuria, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, and smoking, each 50% lower kidney clearance of isovalerylglycine, kynurenic acid, and xanthosine were associated with 1.4 to 2.2 greater odds of eGFR decline. Kynurenic acid exhibited the strongest association; each 50% lower clearance of this secretory solute was associated with 2.20-fold higher odds of eGFR decline (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.32-3.67).

Conclusion

We found that in this community-based study of adults without significant kidney disease, lower proximal tubular secretory solute clearance is associated with future eGFR decline.

Estimated GFR Slope Across CKD Stages in Primary Hyperoxaluria Type 1

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Primary hyperoxaluria type 1 (PH1) is an autosomal recessive disorder of glyoxylate metabolism that results in early-onset kidney stone disease, nephrocalcinosis, and kidney failure. There is an unmet need for reliable markers of disease progression to test effectiveness of new treatments for patients with PH. In this study, we assessed the rate of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline across chronic kidney disease (CKD) glomerular filtration rate (GFR) categories (CKD G2-G5) in a cohort of patients with PH1.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective observational study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Patients with PH1 enrolled in the Rare Kidney Stone Consortium (RKSC) registry who did not have kidney failure at diagnosis and who had at least 2 eGFR values recorded from within 1 month of diagnosis until their last contact date or incident kidney failure event.

PREDICTORS

CKD GFR category, baseline patient and laboratory characteristics.

OUTCOME

Annualized rate of eGFR decline.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Generalized estimating equations and linear regression were used to evaluate the associations between CKD GFR category, baseline patient and laboratory characteristics, and annual change in eGFR during follow-up.

RESULTS

Compared with the slope in CKD G2 (-2.3 mL/min/1.73 m2 per year), the mean annual eGFR decline was nominally steeper in CKD G3a (-5.3 mL/min/1.73 m2 per year) and statistically significantly more rapid in CKD G3b and G4 (-14.7 and -16.6 mL/min/1.73 m2 per year, respectively). In CKD G2, older age was associated with a more rapid rate of eGFR decline (P = 0.01). A common PH1-causing variant of alanine glyoxylate aminotransferase, a glycine to arginine substitution at amino acid 170 (G170R), appeared to be associated with less severe annual decline in eGFR.

LIMITATIONS

Data at regular time points were not available for all patients due to reliance on voluntary reporting in a retrospective rare disease registry.

CONCLUSIONS

The eGFR decline was not uniform across CKD GFR categories in this PH1 population, with a higher rate of eGFR decline in CKD G3b and G4. Thus, CKD GFR category needs to be accounted for when analyzing eGFR change in the setting of PH1.

Machine learning algorithms' accuracy in predicting kidney disease progression: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Kidney disease progression rates vary among patients. Rapid and accurate prediction of kidney disease outcomes is crucial for disease management. In recent years, various prediction models using Machine Learning (ML) algorithms have been established in nephrology. However, their accuracy have been inconsistent. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the diagnostic accuracy of ML algorithms for kidney disease progression.

Methods

We searched PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, the Chinese Biomedicine Literature Database, Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Database, and the VIP Database for diagnostic studies on ML algorithms’ accuracy in predicting kidney disease prognosis, from the establishment of these databases until October 2020. Two investigators independently evaluate study quality by QUADAS-2 tool and extracted data from single ML algorithm for data synthesis using the bivariate model and the hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) model.

Results

Fifteen studies were left after screening, only 6 studies were eligible for data synthesis. The sample size of these 6 studies was 12,534, and the kidney disease types could be divided into chronic kidney disease (CKD) and Immunoglobulin A Nephropathy, with 5 articles using end-stage renal diseases occurrence as the primary outcome. The main results indicated that the area under curve (AUC) of the HSROC was 0.87 (0.84–0.90) and ML algorithm exhibited a strong specificity, 95% confidence interval and heterogeneity (I²) of (0.87, 0.84–0.90, [I² 99.0%]) and a weak sensitivity of (0.68, 0.58–0.77, [I² 99.7%]) in predicting kidney disease deterioration. And the the results of subgroup analysis indicated that ML algorithm’s AUC for predicting CKD prognosis was 0.82 (0.79–0.85), with the pool sensitivity of (0.64, 0.49–0.77, [I² 99.20%]) and pool specificity of (0.84, 0.74–0.91, [I² 99.84%]). The ML algorithm’s AUC for predicting IgA nephropathy prognosis was 0.78 (0.74–0.81), with the pool sensitivity of (0.74, 0.71–0.77, [I² 7.10%]) and pool specificity of (0.93, 0.91–0.95, [I² 83.92%]).

Conclusion

Taking advantage of big data, ML algorithm-based prediction models have high accuracy in predicting kidney disease progression, we recommend ML algorithms as an auxiliary tool for clinicians to determine proper treatment and disease management strategies.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12911-022-01951-1.

Nonalbuminuric Diabetic Kidney Disease and Risk of All-Cause Mortality and Cardiovascular and Kidney Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes: Findings From the Hong Kong Diabetes Biobank

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Nonalbuminuric diabetic kidney disease (DKD) has become the prevailing DKD phenotype. We compared the risks of adverse outcomes among patients with this phenotype compared with other DKD phenotypes.

STUDY DESIGN

Multicenter prospective cohort study.

SETTINGS & PARTICIPANTS

19,025 Chinese adults with type 2 diabetes enrolled in the Hong Kong Diabetes Biobank.

EXPOSURES

DKD phenotypes defined by baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria: no DKD (no decreased eGFR or albuminuria), albuminuria without decreased eGFR, decreased eGFR without albuminuria, and albuminuria with decreased eGFR.

OUTCOMES

All-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD) events, hospitalization for heart failure (HF), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression (incident kidney failure or sustained eGFR reduction ≥40%).

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Multivariable Cox proportional or cause-specific hazards models to estimate the relative risks of death, CVD, hospitalization for HF, and CKD progression. Multiple imputation was used for missing covariates.

RESULTS

Mean participant age was 61.1 years, 58.3% were male, and mean diabetes duration was 11.1 years. During 54,260 person-years of follow-up, 438 deaths, 1,076 CVD events, 298 hospitalizations for HF, and 1,161 episodes of CKD progression occurred. Compared with the no-DKD subgroup, the subgroup with decreased eGFR without albuminuria had higher risks of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.59 [95% CI, 1.04-2.44]), hospitalization for HF (HR, 3.08 [95% CI, 1.82-5.21]), and CKD progression (HR, 2.37 [95% CI, 1.63-3.43]), but the risk of CVD was not significantly greater (HR, 1.14 [95% CI, 0.88-1.48]). The risks of death, CVD, hospitalization for HF, and CKD progression were higher in the setting of albuminuria with or without decreased eGFR. A sensitivity analysis that excluded participants with baseline eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m² yielded similar findings.

LIMITATIONS

Potential misclassification because of drug use.

CONCLUSIONS

Nonalbuminuric DKD was associated with higher risks of hospitalization for HF and of CKD progression than no DKD, regardless of baseline eGFR.

Renal Megalin mRNA Downregulation Is Associated with CKD Progression in IgA Nephropathy

INTRODUCTION

Megalin plays an important role in proximal tubule uptake of filtered proteins. Downregulation and dysfunction of megalin were previously demonstrated in IgA nephropathy (IgAN); however, its relationship to IgAN progression remains unclear.

METHODS

We measured renal megalin mRNA and miR-148b, previously identified as a regulator of megalin, in a retrospective cohort of 417 IgAN patients at the time of biopsy, and evaluated their associations with chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression event, defined as end-stage renal disease or ≥40% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate, using Cox proportional hazard models. Risk classification statistics were calculated for CKD progression.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 43 months, 121 (29.0%) patients reached the CKD progression event. Patients in the highest tertile of renal megalin mRNA had a lower risk for CKD progression than in the lowest tertile (hazard ratio (HR): 0.407, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.231-0.719; p = 0.002). Log megalin mRNA was independent and negatively associated with CKD progression in IgAN (HR: 0.529, 95% CI 0.377-0.742; p < 0.001). The addition of renal megalin mRNA to a model with traditional risk factors improved risk prediction of disease progression (C statistic from 0.76 to 0.80; integrated discrimination index: 0.04 [95% CI: 0.02-0.07]). Moreover, patients in the highest tertile of renal miR-148b had a 2.3-fold higher risk for CKD progression compared with those in the lowest tertile.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower renal megalin mRNA levels were associated with a greater risk of CKD progression in IgAN independent of clinical and pathological characteristics, suggesting that renal megalin could be an important prognostic factor for IgAN.

Associations of Plasma Biomarkers of Inflammation, Fibrosis, and Kidney Tubular Injury With Progression of Diabetic Kidney Disease: A Cohort Study

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Most circulating biomarkers of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression focus on factors reflecting glomerular filtration. Few biomarkers capture nonglomerular pathways of kidney injury or damage, which may be particularly informative in populations at high risk for CKD progression such as individuals with diabetes.

STUDY DESIGN

Cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

594 participants (mean age, 70 years; 53% women) of the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study who had diabetes and an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)<60mL/min/1.73m² at baseline.

EXPOSURES

Plasma biomarkers of inflammation/fibrosis (TNFR1 and TNFR2, suPAR, MCP-1, YKL-40) and tubular injury (KIM-1) measured at the baseline visit.

OUTCOMES

Incident kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT).

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Cox proportional hazards regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression adjusted for established risk factors for kidney function decline, baseline eGFR, and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR).

RESULTS

A total of 98 KFRT events were observed over a mean of 6.2±3.5 (standard deviation) years of follow-up. Plasma biomarkers were modestly associated with baseline eGFR (correlation coefficients ranging from-0.08 to-0.65) and UACR (0.14 to 0.56). In individual biomarker models adjusted for eGFR, UACR, and established risk factors, hazard ratios for incident KFRT per 2-fold higher biomarker concentrations were 1.52 (95% CI, 1.25-1.84) for plasma KIM-1, 1.54 (95% CI, 1.08-2.21) for TNFR1, 1.91 (95% CI, 1.16-3.14) for TNFR2, and 1.39 (95% CI, 1.05-1.84) for YKL-40. In least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression models accounting for biomarkers in parallel, plasma KIM-1 and TNFR1 remained associated with incident KFRT.

LIMITATIONS

Single biomarker measurement, lack of follow-up eGFR assessments.

CONCLUSIONS

Individual plasma markers of inflammation/fibrosis (TNFR1, TNFR2, YKL-40) and tubular injury (KIM-1) were associated with risk of incident KFRT in adults with diabetes and an eGFR<60mL/min/1.73m² after adjustment for established risk factors.

Urinary Sulfate, Kidney Failure, and Death in CKD: The African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension

Background

Sulfur is an important mineral element whose principal source is animal protein. Animal protein contributes to the daily acid load, which is associated with poor outcomes in individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We hypothesized that higher urinary sulfate, as a reflection of the daily acid load, is associated with a greater risk of death and CKD progression.

Methods

Urinary sulfate was measured in 1057 African American Study of Kidney Disease and Hypertension (AASK) participants at baseline. Participants were categorized by tertiles of daily sulfate excretion. The longitudinal outcome of interest was the composite of death, dialysis, or 50% reduction in measured glomerular filtration rate (GFR). Multivariable adjusted Cox regression models were fit to relate the composite outcome to daily sulfate excretion using the lowest tertile as the reference.

Results

Participants in the highest urinary sulfate tertile were more likely to be men and have a higher body mass index, protein intake, measured GFR, and urinary ammonium and phosphate excretion, and lower urinary protein/creatinine. Compared with those in the lowest tertile of sulfate, those in the highest tertile had a 44% lower hazard (95% CI, 0.37 to 0.84), and those in the middle tertile had a 27% lower hazard (95% CI, 0.55 to 0.96) of death, dialysis, or 50% reduction in measured GFR during follow-up after adjusting for demographics, GFR, protein intake, and other potential confounders. Protein intake was not associated with risk of these events.

Conclusions

Higher urinary sulfate excretion is associated with more favorable outcomes in Blacks who have CKD attributed to hypertension.

Progression of Chronic Kidney Disease and All-Cause Mortality in Patients with Tricuspid Regurgitation

Aim: The impact of chronic kidney disease (CKD) on patient-related outcomes in patients with tricuspid regurgitation (TR) is well known. However, the impact of the progression of CKD in patients with TR and potentially modifiable risk factors of progressing CKD is unknown. Methods: 444 consecutive adult patients with TR and CKD stage 1−4 admitted in an inpatient setting between January 2010 and December 2017 were included. During a median follow-up of two years, eGFR and survival status were collected. Independent risk factors for CKD progression and all-cause mortality were determined. Patient survival statuses were grouped according to different combinations of the presence or absence of CKD progression and the TR grade. Results: Progression of CKD (OR 2.38 (95% confidence interval 1.30−4.35), p = 0.005), the grade of TR (OR 2.38 (1.41−4.00), p = 0.001) and mitral regurgitation (OR 1.72 (1.20−2.46), p = 0.003) were independent risk factors for all-cause mortality. Haemoglobin at admission (OR 0.80 (0.65−0.99), p = 0.043) and the presence of type 2 diabetes (OR 1.67 (1.02−2.73), p = 0.042) were independent risk factors for CKD progression. The combination of the status of CKD progression and the TR grade showed a stepwise pattern for all-cause mortality (p < 0.001). Patients with CKD progression and TR grade 1 had comparable all-cause mortality with patients without CKD progression but with TR grade 2 or 3. Even in patients with TR grade 1, the risk for all-cause mortality doubled if CKD progression occurred (OR 2.49 (95% CI 1.38−4.47), p = 0.002). Conclusion: CKD progression appears to be a risk factor for all-cause mortality in patients with TR. Anaemia and diabetes are potential modifiers of CKD progression.

Nephrology Referral Based on Laboratory Values, Kidney Failure Risk, or Both: A Study Using Veterans Affairs Health System Data

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Current guidelines for nephrology referral are based on laboratory criteria. We sought to evaluate whether nephrology referral patterns reflect current clinical practice guidelines and to estimate the change in referral volume if they were based on the estimated risk of kidney failure.

STUDY DESIGN

Observational cohort.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Retrospective study of 399,644 veterans with chronic kidney disease (October 1, 2015 through September 30, 2016).

EXPOSURE

Laboratory referral criteria based on Veterans Affairs/Department of Defense guidelines, categories of predicted risk for kidney failure using the Kidney Failure Risk Equation, and the combination of laboratory referral criteria and predicted risk.

OUTCOME

Number of patients identified for referral.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

We evaluated the number of patients who were referred and their predicted 2-year risk for kidney failure. For each exposure, we estimated the number of patients who would be identified for referral.

RESULTS

There were 66,276 patients who met laboratory indications for referral. Among these patients, 11,752 (17.7%) were referred to nephrology in the following year. The median 2-year predicted risk of kidney failure was 1.5% (interquartile range, 0.3%-4.7%) among all patients meeting the laboratory referral criteria. If referrals were restricted to patients with a predicted risk of ≥1% in addition to laboratory indications, the potential referral volume would be reduced from 66,276 to 38,229 patients. If referrals were based on predicted risk alone, a 2-year risk threshold of 1% or higher would identify a similar number of patients (72,948) as laboratory-based criteria with median predicted risk of 2.3% (interquartile range, 1.4%-4.6%).

LIMITATIONS

Missing proteinuria measurements.

CONCLUSIONS

The current laboratory-based guidelines for nephrology referral identify patients who are, on average, at low risk for progression, most of whom are not referred. As an alternative, referral based on a 2-year kidney failure risk exceeding 1% would identify a similar number of patients but with a higher median risk of kidney failure.

NAG: potential cardiorenal biomarker indicates progression of chronic kidney disease in implantable cardioverter defibrillator patients, contrary to KIM-1

Aim: NAG and KIM-1 as markers of tubular damage are suggested as potential biomarkers for the cardiorenal syndrome. Aim of the study was to assess the prognostic capability of NAG and KIM-1 regarding progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in patients with implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD). Materials & methods: We included 313 patients with an ICD and collected plasma and urine samples. Follow-up was performed after 51 months (interquartile range [IQR]: 25-55). Outcome of interest was continuous CKD progression defined as persistent decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate category accompanied by a ≥25% drop of baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate. Results: Average four (IQR: 2-6) follow-up values of serum creatinine per patient were obtained. During follow-up 29 patients (9%) developed a continuous CKD progression. NAG was shown as independent predictor for continuous CKD progression (p = 0.01), opposite to KIM-1 (p = n.s.). Conclusion: NAG was shown as predictor for a progressive and real deterioration of kidney function in patients with ICD.

Interaction of Serum Alkaline Phosphatase and Folic Acid Treatment on Chronic Kidney Disease Progression in Treated Hypertensive Adults

The relation of alkaline phosphatase (ALP) with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is still uncertain. We aimed to examine the prospective association between serum ALP and CKD progression, and the modifying effect of serum ALP on folic acid in preventing CKD progression in treated hypertensive patients. This is a post-hoc analysis of 12,734 hypertensive adults with relevant measurements and without liver disease at baseline from the renal sub-study of the China Stroke Primary Prevention Trial, where participants were randomly assigned to daily treatments of 10 mg enalapril and 0.8 mg folic acid, or 10 mg enalapril alone. The primary outcome was CKD progression, defined as a decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of ≥30% and to a level of <60 ml/min/1.73 m² if baseline eGFR was ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m²; or a decrease in eGFR of ≥50% if baseline eGFR was <60 ml/min/1.73 m²; or end-stage renal disease. Over a median of 4.4 years, in the enalapril only group, participants with baseline serum ALP≥110IU/L (quartile 4) had a significantly higher risk of CKD progression (3.4% vs 2.3%; adjusted OR,1.61; 95%CI:1.11, 2.32), compared with those with ALP<110IU/L. For those with enalapril and folic acid treatment, compared with the enalapril only treatment, the risk of CKD progression was reduced from 3.4 to 2.1% (adjusted OR, 0.53; 95%CI:0.34, 0.83) among participants with baseline ALP≥110IU/L, whereas there was no significant effect among those with ALP<110IU/L. In hypertensive patients, higher serum ALP was associated with increased risk of CKD progression, and this risk was reduced by 47% with folic acid treatment.

Expert opinion on the cooperation of diabetologists and internists with nephrologists in the care of patients with chronic kidney diseases

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) affects 10% of the population of developed countries and significantly affects the population health. In addition to the well-known renoprotection tools slowing down the progression of CKD, SGLT2 inhibitors have been newly introduced into clinical practice based on the results of extensive studies, both in diabetics and non-diabetics. This expert opinion discusses the classification of CKD, current renoprotection options, and the recent role of SGLT2 inhibitors in the care of patients with CKD.

Association of Serum 25 (OH) Vitamin D With Chronic Kidney Disease Progression in Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVES

Growing evidence demonstrated that vitamin D levels had been linked to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) in light of various extraskeletal effects. Therefore, the present study aimed to evaluate the association of 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] level with the clinicopathological features and CKD progression in T2DM.

METHODS

A total of 182 patients with T2DM with CKD stages 1 through 4 (G1-G4) were retrospectively included. Identification of the serum 25(OH)D level associated with CKD progression was executed by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards models. We further performed sensitivity analyses with a time-weighted average (TWA) of the serum 25(OH)D level in 75 participants to reinforce the findings.

RESULTS

The median serum 25(OH)D level was 26 (IQR, 14; 39) nmol/L in the study participants. Median follow-up time was 42 months, during which 70 (38%) patients confronted CKD progression. Cumulative kidney outcomes were significantly higher in the lowest tertile of the serum 25(OH)D level in Kaplan-Meier analyses (P < 0.001). Consistently, the analyses of Cox proportional hazards regression models indicated a significantly greater risk for CKD progression in the lowest tertile of the serum 25(OH)D level compared with the highest tertile of the serum 25(OH)D level (P = 0.03). These relationships remained robust with further sensitivity analysis of data with TWA of the serum 25(OH)D level, showing an independent association between lower TWA of the serum 25(OH)D level and an unfavorable renal outcome in patients with T2DM with CKD.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings demonstrated that patients with T2DM with a decreased 25(OH)D level had deteriorated renal function. Both lower levels of baseline and TWA of serum 25(OH)D were associated with an increased risk of CKD progression in patients with T2DM, which suggested that the long-term maintenance of optimal vitamin D levels from early in life might be associated with reduced future risk of CKD development in T2DM.

Chronic Kidney Disease and Arterial Stiffness: A Two-Way Path

The kidney-heart relationship has raised interest for the medical population since its vast and complex interaction significantly impacts health. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) generates vascular structure and function changes, with significant hemodynamic effects. The early arterial stiffening in CKD patients is a consequence of the interaction between oxidative stress and chronic vascular inflammation, leading to an accelerated deterioration of left ventricular function and alteration in tissue perfusion. CKD amplifies the inflammatory cascade's activation and is responsible for altering the endothelium function, increasing the vascular tone, wall thickening, and favors calcium deposits in the arterial wall. Simultaneously, the autonomic imbalance, and alteration in other hormonal systems, also favor the overactivation of inflammatory and fibrotic mediators. Thus, hormonal disarrangement also contributes to structural and functional lesions throughout the arterial wall. On the other hand, a rise in arterial stiffening and volume overload generates high left ventricular afterload. It increases the left ventricular burden with consequent myocardial remodeling, development of left ventricular hypertrophy and, in turn, heart failure. It is noteworthy that reduction in glomerular mass of renal diseases generates a compensatory glomerular filtration overdriven associated with large-arteries stiffness and high cardiovascular events. Furthermore, we consider that the consequent alterations of the arterial system's mechanical properties are crucial for altering tissue perfusion, mainly in low resistance. Thus, increasing the knowledge of these processes may help the reader to integrate them from a pathophysiological perspective, providing a comprehensive idea of this two-way path between arterial stiffness and renal dysfunction and their impact at the cardiovascular level.

Association of GSTM1 Deletion With Progression of CKD in Children: Findings From the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) Study

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVE

Loss of function of the product of the GSTM1 gene has been implicated in rapid progression of adult CKD. Its role in pediatric CKD has not been previously described.

STUDY DESIGN

The study is a secondary analysis of a prospective observational cohort examining the association between deletions in GSTM1 and progression of CKD.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

We used data and samples from the prospective Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) cohort aged 1-16 years at enrollment with CKD.

EXPOSURE

We defined exposure fewer than two GSTM1 alleles on real-time polymerase chain reaction amplification.

OUTCOME

The primary outcome was a composite of 50% decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or start of kidney replacement therapy. Secondary outcomes included remission of proteinuria in children with glomerular disease and cardiovascular complications.

ANALYTIC APPROACH

The primary analysis was by Cox proportional hazards model. Analysis was adjusted for age, sex, race, ethnicity, BMI category, diagnosis category, and eGFR.

RESULTS

674 children were included in the analysis. Mean age at most recent visit was 11.9 years; 61% were male and 20% were Black. There were 241 occurrences of the primary outcome at the time of analysis. After adjustment for baseline characteristics, the risk of progression of CKD for exposed children was 1.94 (1.27, 2.97). The effect size was similar with either one or two deletions (autosomal dominant inheritance). The relationships between number of functional GSTM1 alleles and prespecified secondary outcomes were not statistically significant after adjustment.

LIMITATIONS

Missing data, especially for secondary outcomes, and relatively small sample size compared to genetic studies in adults.

CONCLUSIONS

GSTM1 deletion is associated with more rapid progression of pediatric CKD after adjustment in this large prospective cohort. No statistically significant associations were seen with secondary outcomes. If replicated, these findings may inform development of interventions for CKD in children.

Biomarkers During Recovery From AKI and Prediction of Long-term Reductions in Estimated GFR

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

The effects of acute kidney injury (AKI) on long-term kidney function, cardiovascular disease, and mortality are well documented. We aimed to identify biomarkers for estimating the risk of new or worsening chronic kidney disease (CKD) following AKI.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Adults from a single clinical center who developed AKI between May 2013 and May 2016, and survived until 3 years after the hospitalization during which AKI occurred. Participants included those with and without pre-existing CKD.

PREDICTORS

Panel of 11 plasma biomarkers measured 3-months after hospitalisation.

OUTCOME

Kidney disease progression, defined as a ≥25% decline in eGFR combined with a decline in CKD stage, assessed three years after the occurrence of AKI.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Associations between biomarkers and kidney disease progression were evaluated in multivariable logistic regression models. Importance of predictor variables was assessed by constructing multiple decision trees, with penalised Lasso logistic regression for variable selection used to produce multivariable models.

RESULTS

A total of 500 patients were studied. Soluble tumour necrosis factor receptor 1 (sTNFR1), sTNFR2, cystatin C, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), three-month eGFR and urine albumin:creatinine ratio (ACR) were independently associated with kidney disease progression and were more important than AKI severity or duration. A multivariable model containing sTNFR1, sTNFR2, cystatin C and eGFR discriminated between those with and without kidney disease progression (AUC 0.79, 95% CI 0.7-0.83). Optimising the cut-point to maximise utility as a 'rule-out' test to identify those at low risk increased the sensitivity of the model to 95% and its negative predictive value to 92%.

LIMITATIONS

Lack of external validation cohort. Analyses limited to patients surviving for 3 years after AKI. Mixed population of patients with and without baseline CKD.

CONCLUSIONS

A panel of plasma biomarkers measured 3-months after discharge from a hospitalization complicated by AKI provides potential opportunity to identify patients who are at very low risk of incident or worsening CKD. Further study is required to determine its clinical utility through independent prospective validation.

Nomogram predicting the risk of three-year chronic kidney disease adverse outcomes among East Asian patients with CKD

Background

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a common health challenge. There are some risk models predicting CKD adverse outcomes, but seldom focus on the Mongoloid population in East Asian. So, we developed a simple but intuitive nomogram model to predict 3-year CKD adverse outcomes for East Asian patients with CKD.

Methods

The development and internal validation of prediction models used data from the CKD-ROUTE study in Japan, while the external validation set used data collected at the First People’s Hospital of Foshan in southern China from January 2013 to December 2018. Models were developed using the cox proportional hazards model and nomogram with SPSS and R software. Finally, the model discrimination, calibration and clinical value were tested by R software.

Results

The development and internal validation data-sets included 797 patients (191 with progression [23.96%]) and 341 patients (89 with progression [26.10%]), respectively, while 297 patients (108 with progression [36.36%]) were included in the external validation data set. The nomogram model was developed with age, eGFR, haemoglobin, blood albumin and dipstick proteinuria to predict three-year adverse-outcome-free probability. The C-statistics of this nomogram were 0.90(95% CI, 0.89–0.92) for the development data set, 0.91(95% CI, 0.89–0.94) for the internal validation data set and 0.83(95% CI, 0.78–0.88) for the external validation data-set. The calibration and decision curve analyses were good in this model.

Conclusion

This visualized predictive nomogram model could accurately predict CKD three-year adverse outcomes for East Asian patients with CKD, providing an easy-to-use and widely applicable tool for clinical practitioners.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12882-021-02496-7.

CKD Progression From the Time of Estimated GFR-Based Waitlist Eligibility and Racial Disparities in Transplant Access

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

eGFR equations that incorporate a term for race assign a higher value to Black individuals compared to non-Black individuals not attributable to sex, age, or serum creatinine. This difference may contribute to racial disparities in kidney transplant access. We sought to 1) compare time from meeting a transplant eligibility threshold of eGFR ≤20 ml/min/1.73M² to kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT) among Black, Hispanic, and White patients, and 2) assess the impact of incorporation of race into eGFR expressions on establishment of waitlist eligibility and time from eligibility to KFRT.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Using the OptumLabs® Data Warehouse, we assembled a cohort of 40,042 White, 8,519 Black, and 3,569 Hispanic patients having at least one eGFR value between 20 and 60 mL/min/1.73m² within the preceding two years and an incident outpatient eGFR of ≤20 ml/min/1.73m² between 2008-2018, using the CKD-EPI equation that includes a term for race coded as Black or non-Black. We then re-assembled a Black patient cohort based on incident eGFR ≤20 ml/min/1.73m² (n=11,269) estimated using the same CKD-EPI equation for Black patients but coding patients as non-Black.

EXPOSURE

Race/ethnicity.

OUTCOME

Time to KFRT.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Unadjusted and adjusted Fine-Gray models; linear regression to compute eGFR slopes.

RESULTS

By 3 years, the cumulative incidence of KFRT was 20.5% among White patients, 40.9% among Hispanic patients, and 36% among Black patients whose eGFR was estimated using a race term coded as Black and 28.7% among Black patients whose eGFR was estimated using a race term coded as non-Black. In fully adjusted analyses including 11,269 Black patients with an eGFR <20 ml/min/1.73m² based on coding them as non-Black, KFRT risk remained greater among Black (HR 1.28; 95% CI, 1.15-1.43) and Hispanic (HR 1.66; 95% CI 1.18-2.31) than among White patients. Based on slopes of eGFR decline, coding Black patients as non-Black would allow earlier waitlist activation by an estimated median of 0.5 years [IQR 0.27-1.23].

LIMITATIONS

Inability to exclude individuals who would not be kidney transplant candidates if comprehensively evaluated.

CONCLUSIONS

A uniform eGFR threshold provides less opportunity for being placed on the transplant waitlist among Black and Hispanic patients. For many Black patients, estimation of GFR as if their race category were non-Black would allow substantially earlier waitlisting but would not eliminate their shorter time to KFRT and reduced opportunity for preemptive transplantation compared to White patients.

Serum catalytic iron and progression of chronic kidney disease: findings from the ICKD study

BACKGROUND

The non-transferrin bound catalytic iron moiety catalyses production of toxic reactive oxygen species and is associated with adverse outcomes. We hypothesized that serum catalytic iron (SCI) is associated with progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

Baseline samples of the Indian Chronic Kidney Disease participants with at least one follow up visit were tested for total iron, iron binding capacity, transferrin saturation, SCI, ferritin and hepcidin. SCI was measured using the bleomycin-detectable iron assay that detects biologically active iron. Association with the incidence of major kidney endpoints, (MAKE, a composite of kidney death, kidney failure or > 40% loss of eGFR) was examined using Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for sex and age.

RESULTS

2002 subjects (49.9 ± 11.6 years, 68.1% males, baseline eGFR 41.01 ml/min/1.73m2) were enrolled. After a median follow up of 12.6 (12.2, 16.7) months, the composite MAKE occurred in 280 (14%). After adjusting for age and sex, increase from 25th to 75th percentile in SCI, transferrin saturation, ferritin and hepcidin were associated with 78% (43-122%), 34% (10-62%), 57% (24-100%) and 74% (35-124%) increase in hazard of MAKE, respectively. SCI was associated with MAKE and kidney failure after adjustment for occupational exposure, hypertension, diabetes, tobacco, alcohol use, history of AKI, baseline eGFR, uACR, and allowing baseline hazard to vary by centre.

CONCLUSIONS

SCI is strongly and independently associated with composite MAKE in patients with mild to moderate CKD. Confirmation in other studies will allow consideration of SCI as a risk marker and treatment target.

Association of morning blood pressure surge with chronic kidney disease progression in patients with chronic kidney disease and hypertension

Blood pressure (BP) usually rise from being asleep to awake, which is named the morning blood pressure surge (MBPS). Researches have reported that elevated MBPS was related with CV events, incident CKD in hypertensive patients. However, there have been no studies that have investigated the association between MBPS and renal or heart outcomes in patients with CKD and hypertension, in these patients, the MBPS is much lower because of high prevalence of night hypertension and reduced BP dipping. In this prospective two-center observational study, we enrolled patients with CKD and hypertension and the 24 h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) was conducted in all patients. Time to total mortality, CKD progression and CV events was recorded; Finally, a total of 304 patients were enrolled and 94 (30.9%) of them had elevated MBPS. After a follow-up for median 30 months, 23 (7.6%), 34 (11.2%), and 95 (31.3%) patients occurred death, CKD progression and new-onset CV events, respectively. The Cox regression analysis suggested the elevated MBPS was a strong predictor of CKD progression (HR 2.35, 95%CI 1.2 -4.63, p = .013), independent of morning BP, while no associations were found between elevated MBPS and CV events (HR 1.02, 95%CI 0.66 -1.57), as well as death (HR 1.08, 95%CI 0.46 -2.55). In conclusion, we provided the first evidence that elevated MBPS was an important risk factor of CKD progression in patients with CKD and hypertension. Appropriate evaluation and management of MBPS may be helpful to postpone CKD progression.

Changes in GFR and Albuminuria in Routine Clinical Practice and the Risk of Kidney Disease Progression

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Changes in urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) have been used separately as alternative kidney disease outcomes in randomized trials. We tested the hypothesis that combined changes in UACR and eGFR predict advanced kidney disease better than either alone.

STUDY DESIGN

Observational cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

91,319 primary care patients assembled from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink in the United Kingdom between 2000 and 2015.

EXPOSURES

Changes in UACR and eGFR (categorized as ≥30% increase, stable, or ≥30% decrease), alone and in combination, over a 3-year period.

OUTCOMES

The primary outcome was advanced CKD (sustained eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2); secondary outcomes included kidney failure, cardiovascular disease, and all-cause mortality.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Multivariable Cox regression with bias from missing values assessed using multiple imputation; discrimination statistics compared across exposure groups.

RESULTS

91,319 individuals were studied, with a mean eGFR of 72.6 mL/min/1.73 m2 and median UACR of 9.7 mg/g; 70,957 (77.7%) had diabetes. During a median follow-up of 2.9 years, 2,541 people progressed to advanced CKD. Compared with stable values, hazard ratios for a ≥30% increase in UACR and ≥30% decrease in eGFR were 1.78 (95% CI, 1.59-1.98) and 7.53 (95% CI, 6.70-8.45), respectively, for the outcome of advanced CKD. Compared with stable values of both, the hazard ratio for the combination of an increase in UACR and a decrease in eGFR was 15.15 (95% CI, 12.43-18.46) for the outcome of advanced CKD. The combination of changes in UACR and eGFR predicted kidney outcomes better than either alone.

LIMITATIONS

Selection bias, relatively small proportion of individuals without diabetes, and very few kidney failure events.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large-scale general population, the combination of an increase in UACR and a decrease in eGFR was strongly associated with the risk of advanced CKD. Further assessment of combined changes in UACR and eGFR as an alternative outcome for kidney failure in trials of CKD progression is warranted.

Plasma and Urine Biomarkers of CKD: A Review of Findings in the CKiD Study

Serum creatinine and level of proteinuria, as biomarkers of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression, inadequately explain the variability of glomerular filtration rate decline, and are late markers of glomerular filtration rate decline. Recent studies have identified plasma and urine biomarkers at higher levels in children with CKD and also associate independently with CKD progression, even after adjustment for serum creatinine and proteinuria. These novel biomarkers represent diverse biologic pathways of tubular injury, tubular dysfunction, inflammation, and tubular health, and can be used as a liquid biopsy to better characterize CKD in children. In this review, we highlight the biomarker findings from the Chronic Kidney Disease in Children cohort, a large longitudinal study of children with CKD, and compare results with those from other pediatric CKD cohorts. The biomarkers in focus in this review include plasma kidney injury molecule-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, fibroblast growth factor-23, tumor necrosis factor receptor-1, tumor necrosis factor receptor-2, soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor, and chitinase-3-like protein 1, as well as urine epidermal growth factor, α-1 microglobulin, kidney injury molecule-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, and chitinase-3-like protein 1. Blood and urine biomarkers improve our ability to prognosticate CKD progression and may improve our understanding of CKD pathophysiology. Further research is required to establish how these biomarkers can be used in the clinical setting to improve the clinical management of CKD.

Eubicarbonatemic Hydrogen Ion Retention and CKD Progression

Small-scale trials in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) 3-5 have shown that hypobicarbonatemic metabolic acidosis promotes progression of CKD. Accordingly, the 2012 KDIGO (Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes) guideline suggests base administration to patients with CKD when serum bicarbonate concentration ([HCO₃ˉ]) is <22 mEq/L (~15% of non–dialysis-dependent patients with CKD). However, individuals with milder CKD largely maintain serum [HCO₃ˉ] within the normal range (eubicarbonatemia) and yet can manifest hydrogen ion (H⁺) retention. Limited data in eubicarbonatemic patients with CKD 2 suggest that base administration ameliorates CKD progression. Furthermore, most patients with moderate and advanced CKD maintain a normal serum [HCO₃ˉ], and of those, the vast majority most likely harbor masked H⁺ retention. The present review probes this expanded concept of metabolic acidosis of CKD: the eubicarbonatemic H⁺ retention or subclinical metabolic acidosis of CKD. It focuses on the high prevalence of the entity, its pathophysiologic features, its clinical course, and recent work on potential biomarkers of the condition. Further, it puts forward the urgent task of investigating definitively whether treatment with alkali of eubicarbonatemic H⁺ retention delays CKD progression. If proven true, such knowledge would trigger a paradigm shift in the indication for alkali therapy in CKD.

Association of urinary calcium and phosphorus excretion with renal disease progression in type 2 diabetes

OBJECTIVES

Diabetes is associated with a high incidence of microvascular disease, including nephropathy. The current study aimed to investigate the association of urinary calcium and phosphorus excretion with chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression in type 2 diabetes mellitus.

METHODS

A total of 159 T2DM patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD stage G1-G4) were retrospectively included. Patients were categorized into three groups according to the tertiles of 24-h urinary calcium and phosphorus excretion, respectively. Clinical parameters and laboratory findings were compared among the three groups. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the associations of urinary calcium and phosphorus excretion with CKD progression and adjusted for baseline eGFR, urinary protein excretion, mean arterial pressure, and use of RAAS inhibitor. A cubic spline curve was used to explore the association between urinary calcium excretion and CKD progression, as well as urinary phosphorus excretion and CKD progression. Moreover, the subgroup effects of urinary calcium and phosphorus excretion on CKD progression were estimated using Cox regression. CKD progression was defined as double of baseline serum creatinine or occurrence of ESRD.

RESULTS

During a median of 18.23 months of follow-up, the composite renal outcomes were noted in 27%. Cumulative renal outcomes were significantly lower in the highest tertile of urinary calcium excretion and phosphorus excretion in Kaplan-Meier analyses. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses indicated that both the highest tertile of urinary calcium and phosphorus excretion was associated with a lower risk for CKD progression compared with the lowest tertile. Restricted cubic spline analyses of the association between urinary calcium excretion and CKD progression indicated a linear association. Additionally, there was also a linear association between urinary phosphorus excretion and CKD progression. Subgroup analyses showed that higher urinary phosphorus excretion was particularly associated with a lower risk of CKD progression in non-diabetic kidney disease (NDKD) patients.

CONCLUSION

Higher urinary calcium and phosphorus excretion were associated with decreased risk of CKD progression in T2DM patients.