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Chaudhary R, Nourelahi M, Thoma FW, Gellad WF, Lo-Ciganic WH, Bliden KP, Gurbel PA, Neal MD, Jain SK, Bhonsale A, Mulukutla SR, Wang Y, Harinstein ME, Saba S, Visweswaran S. Machine Learning - Based Bleeding Risk Predictions in Atrial Fibrillation Patients on Direct Oral Anticoagulants. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2024:2024.05.27.24307985. [PMID: 38854094 PMCID: PMC11160827 DOI: 10.1101/2024.05.27.24307985] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/11/2024]
Abstract
Importance Accurately predicting major bleeding events in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) patients on direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) is crucial for personalized treatment and improving patient outcomes, especially with emerging alternatives like left atrial appendage closure devices. The left atrial appendage closure devices reduce stroke risk comparably but with significantly fewer non-procedural bleeding events. Objective To evaluate the performance of machine learning (ML) risk models in predicting clinically significant bleeding events requiring hospitalization and hemorrhagic stroke in non-valvular AF patients on DOACs compared to conventional bleeding risk scores (HAS-BLED, ORBIT, and ATRIA) at the index visit to a cardiologist for AF management. Design Prognostic modeling with retrospective cohort study design using electronic health record (EHR) data, with clinical follow-up at one-, two-, and five-years. Setting University of Pittsburgh Medical Center (UPMC) system. Participants 24,468 non-valvular AF patients aged ≥18 years treated with DOACs, excluding those with prior history of significant bleeding, other indications for DOACs, on warfarin or contraindicated to DOACs. Exposures DOAC therapy for non-valvular AF. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary endpoint was clinically significant bleeding requiring hospitalization within one year of index visit. The models incorporated demographic, clinical, and laboratory variables available in the EHR at the index visit. Results Among 24,468 patients, 553 (2.3%) had bleeding events within one year, 829 (3.5%) within two years, and 1,292 (5.8%) within five years of index visit. We evaluated multivariate logistic regression and ML models including random forest, classification trees, k-nearest neighbor, naive Bayes, and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) which modestly outperformed HAS-BLED, ATRIA, and ORBIT scores in predicting clinically significant bleeding at 1-year follow-up. The best performing model (random forest) showed area under the curve (AUC-ROC) 0.76 (0.70-0.81), G-Mean score of 0.67, net reclassification index 0.14 compared to 0.57 (0.50-0.63), G-Mean score of 0.57 for HASBLED score, p-value for difference <0.001. The ML models had improved performance compared to conventional risk across time-points of 2-year and 5-years and within the subgroup of hemorrhagic stroke. SHAP analysis identified novel risk factors including measures from body mass index, cholesterol profile, and insurance type beyond those used in conventional risk scores. Conclusions and Relevance Our findings demonstrate the superior performance of ML models compared to conventional bleeding risk scores and identify novel risk factors highlighting the potential for personalized bleeding risk assessment in AF patients on DOACs.
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Danilatou V, Dimopoulos D, Kostoulas T, Douketis J. Machine Learning-Based Predictive Models for Patients with Venous Thromboembolism: A Systematic Review. Thromb Haemost 2024. [PMID: 38574756 DOI: 10.1055/a-2299-4758] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/06/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a chronic disorder with a significant health and economic burden. Several VTE-specific clinical prediction models (CPMs) have been used to assist physicians in decision-making but have several limitations. This systematic review explores if machine learning (ML) can enhance CPMs by analyzing extensive patient data derived from electronic health records. We aimed to explore ML-CPMs' applications in VTE for risk stratification, outcome prediction, diagnosis, and treatment. METHODS Three databases were searched: PubMed, Google Scholar, and IEEE electronic library. Inclusion criteria focused on studies using structured data, excluding non-English publications, studies on non-humans, and certain data types such as natural language processing and image processing. Studies involving pregnant women, cancer patients, and children were also excluded. After excluding irrelevant studies, a total of 77 studies were included. RESULTS Most studies report that ML-CPMs outperformed traditional CPMs in terms of receiver operating area under the curve in the four clinical domains that were explored. However, the majority of the studies were retrospective, monocentric, and lacked detailed model architecture description and external validation, which are essential for quality audit. This review identified research gaps and highlighted challenges related to standardized reporting, reproducibility, and model comparison. CONCLUSION ML-CPMs show promise in improving risk assessment and individualized treatment recommendations in VTE. Apparently, there is an urgent need for standardized reporting and methodology for ML models, external validation, prospective and real-world data studies, as well as interventional studies to evaluate the impact of artificial intelligence in VTE.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vasiliki Danilatou
- School of Medicine, European University of Cyprus, Nicosia, Cyprus
- Healthcare Division, Sphynx Technology Solutions, Nicosia, Cyprus
| | - Dimitrios Dimopoulos
- School of Engineering, Department of Information and Communication Systems Engineering, University of the Aegean, North Aegean, Greece
| | - Theodoros Kostoulas
- School of Engineering, Department of Information and Communication Systems Engineering, University of the Aegean, North Aegean, Greece
| | - James Douketis
- Department of Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada
- Department of Medicine, St. Joseph's Healthcare Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
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Yim D, Khuntia J, Parameswaran V, Meyers A. Preliminary Evidence of the Use of Generative AI in Health Care Clinical Services: Systematic Narrative Review. JMIR Med Inform 2024; 12:e52073. [PMID: 38506918 PMCID: PMC10993141 DOI: 10.2196/52073] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/21/2023] [Revised: 10/12/2023] [Accepted: 01/30/2024] [Indexed: 03/21/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Generative artificial intelligence tools and applications (GenAI) are being increasingly used in health care. Physicians, specialists, and other providers have started primarily using GenAI as an aid or tool to gather knowledge, provide information, train, or generate suggestive dialogue between physicians and patients or between physicians and patients' families or friends. However, unless the use of GenAI is oriented to be helpful in clinical service encounters that can improve the accuracy of diagnosis, treatment, and patient outcomes, the expected potential will not be achieved. As adoption continues, it is essential to validate the effectiveness of the infusion of GenAI as an intelligent technology in service encounters to understand the gap in actual clinical service use of GenAI. OBJECTIVE This study synthesizes preliminary evidence on how GenAI assists, guides, and automates clinical service rendering and encounters in health care The review scope was limited to articles published in peer-reviewed medical journals. METHODS We screened and selected 0.38% (161/42,459) of articles published between January 1, 2020, and May 31, 2023, identified from PubMed. We followed the protocols outlined in the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines to select highly relevant studies with at least 1 element on clinical use, evaluation, and validation to provide evidence of GenAI use in clinical services. The articles were classified based on their relevance to clinical service functions or activities using the descriptive and analytical information presented in the articles. RESULTS Of 161 articles, 141 (87.6%) reported using GenAI to assist services through knowledge access, collation, and filtering. GenAI was used for disease detection (19/161, 11.8%), diagnosis (14/161, 8.7%), and screening processes (12/161, 7.5%) in the areas of radiology (17/161, 10.6%), cardiology (12/161, 7.5%), gastrointestinal medicine (4/161, 2.5%), and diabetes (6/161, 3.7%). The literature synthesis in this study suggests that GenAI is mainly used for diagnostic processes, improvement of diagnosis accuracy, and screening and diagnostic purposes using knowledge access. Although this solves the problem of knowledge access and may improve diagnostic accuracy, it is oriented toward higher value creation in health care. CONCLUSIONS GenAI informs rather than assisting or automating clinical service functions in health care. There is potential in clinical service, but it has yet to be actualized for GenAI. More clinical service-level evidence that GenAI is used to streamline some functions or provides more automated help than only information retrieval is needed. To transform health care as purported, more studies related to GenAI applications must automate and guide human-performed services and keep up with the optimism that forward-thinking health care organizations will take advantage of GenAI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dobin Yim
- Loyola University, Maryland, MD, United States
| | - Jiban Khuntia
- University of Colorado Denver, Denver, CO, United States
| | | | - Arlen Meyers
- University of Colorado Denver, Denver, CO, United States
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4
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Nigam GB, Murphy MF, Travis SPL, Stanley AJ. Machine learning in the assessment and management of acute gastrointestinal bleeding. BMJ MEDICINE 2024; 3:e000699. [PMID: 38389720 PMCID: PMC10882311 DOI: 10.1136/bmjmed-2023-000699] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/06/2023] [Accepted: 02/05/2024] [Indexed: 02/24/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Gaurav Bhaskar Nigam
- Translational Gastroenterology Unit, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Michael F Murphy
- Transfusion Medicine, NHS Blood and Transplant, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Simon P L Travis
- Kennedy Institute of Rheumatology, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences and, Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University, Oxford, UK
| | - Adrian J Stanley
- Department of Gastroenterology, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, UK
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5
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Hu Y, Zhang X, Wei M, Yang T, Chen J, Wu X, Zhu Y, Chen X, Lou S, Zhu J. Using machine learning to predict the bleeding risk for patients with cardiac valve replacement treated with warfarin in hospitalized. Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf 2024; 33:e5756. [PMID: 38357810 DOI: 10.1002/pds.5756] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2023] [Revised: 08/14/2023] [Accepted: 01/08/2024] [Indexed: 02/16/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Distinguishing warfarin-related bleeding risk at the bedside remains challenging. Studies indicate that warfarin therapy should be suspended when international normalized ratio (INR) ≥ 4.5, or it may sharply increase the risk of bleeding. We aim to develop and validate a model to predict the high bleeding risk in valve replacement patients during hospitalization. METHOD Cardiac valve replacement patients from January 2016 to December 2021 across Nanjing First Hospital were collected. Five different machine-learning (ML) models were used to establish the prediction model. High bleeding risk was an INR ≥4.5. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used for evaluating the prediction performance of different models. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was used for interpreting the model. We also compared ML with ATRIA score and ORBIT score. RESULTS A total of 2376 patients were finally enrolled in this model, 131 (5.5%) of whom experienced the high bleeding risk after anticoagulation therapy of warfarin during hospitalization. The extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) exhibited the best overall prediction performance (AUC: 0.882, confidence interval [CI] 0.817-0.946, Brier score, 0.158) compared to other prediction models. It also shows superior performance compared with ATRIA score and ORBIT score. The top 5 most influential features in XGBoost model were platelet, thyroid stimulation hormone, body surface area, serum creatinine and white blood cell. CONCLUSION A model for predicting high bleeding risk in valve replacement patients who treated with warfarin during hospitalization was successfully developed by using machine learning, which may well assist clinicians to identify patients at high risk of bleeding and allow timely adjust therapeutic strategies in evaluating individual patient.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yixing Hu
- Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, China
- Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Xuemeng Zhang
- Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, China
- Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Meng Wei
- Department of Clinical Pharmacy, Jinling Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Tongtong Yang
- Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, China
- Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Jinjin Chen
- Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, China
- Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Xia Wu
- Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, China
- Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Yifan Zhu
- Department of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Xin Chen
- Department of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Sheng Lou
- Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, China
- Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Junrong Zhu
- Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, China
- Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
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Patel SY, Baum A, Basu S. Prediction of non emergent acute care utilization and cost among patients receiving Medicaid. Sci Rep 2024; 14:824. [PMID: 38263373 PMCID: PMC10805799 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-51114-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/03/2023] [Accepted: 12/30/2023] [Indexed: 01/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Patients receiving Medicaid often experience social risk factors for poor health and limited access to primary care, leading to high utilization of emergency departments and hospitals (acute care) for non-emergent conditions. As programs proactively outreach Medicaid patients to offer primary care, they rely on risk models historically limited by poor-quality data. Following initiatives to improve data quality and collect data on social risk, we tested alternative widely-debated strategies to improve Medicaid risk models. Among a sample of 10 million patients receiving Medicaid from 26 states and Washington DC, the best-performing model tripled the probability of prospectively identifying at-risk patients versus a standard model (sensitivity 11.3% [95% CI 10.5, 12.1%] vs 3.4% [95% CI 3.0, 4.0%]), without increasing "false positives" that reduce efficiency of outreach (specificity 99.8% [95% CI 99.6, 99.9%] vs 99.5% [95% CI 99.4, 99.7%]), and with a ~ tenfold improved coefficient of determination when predicting costs (R2: 0.195-0.412 among population subgroups vs 0.022-0.050). Our best-performing model also reversed the lower sensitivity of risk prediction for Black versus White patients, a bias present in the standard cost-based model. Our results demonstrate a modeling approach to substantially improve risk prediction performance and equity for patients receiving Medicaid.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sadiq Y Patel
- Clinical Product Development, Waymark, San Francisco, CA, USA.
- School of Social Policy and Practice, University of Pennsylvania, 3701 Locust Walk, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA.
| | - Aaron Baum
- Clinical Product Development, Waymark, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Icahn School of Medicine at Mt Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Sanjay Basu
- Clinical Product Development, Waymark, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Center for Vulnerable Populations, San Francisco General Hospital/University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
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Adelson RP, Garikipati A, Maharjan J, Ciobanu M, Barnes G, Singh NP, Dinenno FA, Mao Q, Das R. Machine Learning Approach for Improved Longitudinal Prediction of Progression from Mild Cognitive Impairment to Alzheimer's Disease. Diagnostics (Basel) 2023; 14:13. [PMID: 38201322 PMCID: PMC10795823 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics14010013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2023] [Revised: 12/08/2023] [Accepted: 12/15/2023] [Indexed: 01/12/2024] Open
Abstract
Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is cognitive decline that can indicate future risk of Alzheimer's disease (AD). We developed and validated a machine learning algorithm (MLA), based on a gradient-boosted tree ensemble method, to analyze phenotypic data for individuals 55-88 years old (n = 493) diagnosed with MCI. Data were analyzed within multiple prediction windows and averaged to predict progression to AD within 24-48 months. The MLA outperformed the mini-mental state examination (MMSE) and three comparison models at all prediction windows on most metrics. Exceptions include sensitivity at 18 months (MLA and MMSE each achieved 0.600); and sensitivity at 30 and 42 months (MMSE marginally better). For all prediction windows, the MLA achieved AUROC ≥ 0.857 and NPV ≥ 0.800. With averaged data for the 24-48-month lookahead timeframe, the MLA outperformed MMSE on all metrics. This study demonstrates that machine learning may provide a more accurate risk assessment than the standard of care. This may facilitate care coordination, decrease healthcare expenditures, and maintain quality of life for patients at risk of progressing from MCI to AD.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Qingqing Mao
- Montera, Inc. dba Forta, 548 Market St, PMB 89605, San Francisco, CA 94104-5401, USA; (R.P.A.); (A.G.); (J.M.); (M.C.); (G.B.); (N.P.S.); (F.A.D.); (R.D.)
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8
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Lemmon J, Guo LL, Steinberg E, Morse KE, Fleming SL, Aftandilian C, Pfohl SR, Posada JD, Shah N, Fries J, Sung L. Self-supervised machine learning using adult inpatient data produces effective models for pediatric clinical prediction tasks. J Am Med Inform Assoc 2023; 30:2004-2011. [PMID: 37639620 PMCID: PMC10654865 DOI: 10.1093/jamia/ocad175] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/29/2023] [Revised: 08/03/2023] [Accepted: 08/15/2023] [Indexed: 08/31/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Development of electronic health records (EHR)-based machine learning models for pediatric inpatients is challenged by limited training data. Self-supervised learning using adult data may be a promising approach to creating robust pediatric prediction models. The primary objective was to determine whether a self-supervised model trained in adult inpatients was noninferior to logistic regression models trained in pediatric inpatients, for pediatric inpatient clinical prediction tasks. MATERIALS AND METHODS This retrospective cohort study used EHR data and included patients with at least one admission to an inpatient unit. One admission per patient was randomly selected. Adult inpatients were 18 years or older while pediatric inpatients were more than 28 days and less than 18 years. Admissions were temporally split into training (January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2019), validation (January 1, 2020 to December 31, 2020), and test (January 1, 2021 to August 1, 2022) sets. Primary comparison was a self-supervised model trained in adult inpatients versus count-based logistic regression models trained in pediatric inpatients. Primary outcome was mean area-under-the-receiver-operating-characteristic-curve (AUROC) for 11 distinct clinical outcomes. Models were evaluated in pediatric inpatients. RESULTS When evaluated in pediatric inpatients, mean AUROC of self-supervised model trained in adult inpatients (0.902) was noninferior to count-based logistic regression models trained in pediatric inpatients (0.868) (mean difference = 0.034, 95% CI=0.014-0.057; P < .001 for noninferiority and P = .006 for superiority). CONCLUSIONS Self-supervised learning in adult inpatients was noninferior to logistic regression models trained in pediatric inpatients. This finding suggests transferability of self-supervised models trained in adult patients to pediatric patients, without requiring costly model retraining.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joshua Lemmon
- Program in Child Health Evaluative Sciences, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, ON M5G1X8, Canada
| | - Lin Lawrence Guo
- Program in Child Health Evaluative Sciences, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, ON M5G1X8, Canada
| | - Ethan Steinberg
- Stanford Center for Biomedical Informatics Research, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA 94305, United States
| | - Keith E Morse
- Division of Pediatric Hospital Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA 94304, United States
| | - Scott Lanyon Fleming
- Stanford Center for Biomedical Informatics Research, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA 94305, United States
| | - Catherine Aftandilian
- Division of Hematology/Oncology, Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA 94304, United States
| | | | - Jose D Posada
- Universidad del Norte, Barranquilla 081007, Colombia
| | - Nigam Shah
- Stanford Center for Biomedical Informatics Research, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA 94305, United States
| | - Jason Fries
- Stanford Center for Biomedical Informatics Research, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA 94305, United States
| | - Lillian Sung
- Program in Child Health Evaluative Sciences, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, ON M5G1X8, Canada
- Division of Haematology/Oncology, The Hospital for Sick Children, Toronto, ON M5G1X8, Canada
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Kim HJ, Gong EJ, Bang CS. Application of Machine Learning Based on Structured Medical Data in Gastroenterology. Biomimetics (Basel) 2023; 8:512. [PMID: 37999153 PMCID: PMC10669027 DOI: 10.3390/biomimetics8070512] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2023] [Revised: 10/12/2023] [Accepted: 10/26/2023] [Indexed: 11/25/2023] Open
Abstract
The era of big data has led to the necessity of artificial intelligence models to effectively handle the vast amount of clinical data available. These data have become indispensable resources for machine learning. Among the artificial intelligence models, deep learning has gained prominence and is widely used for analyzing unstructured data. Despite the recent advancement in deep learning, traditional machine learning models still hold significant potential for enhancing healthcare efficiency, especially for structured data. In the field of medicine, machine learning models have been applied to predict diagnoses and prognoses for various diseases. However, the adoption of machine learning models in gastroenterology has been relatively limited compared to traditional statistical models or deep learning approaches. This narrative review provides an overview of the current status of machine learning adoption in gastroenterology and discusses future directions. Additionally, it briefly summarizes recent advances in large language models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hye-Jin Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, Hallym University, Chuncheon 24253, Republic of Korea; (H.-J.K.); (E.-J.G.)
- Institute for Liver and Digestive Diseases, Hallym University, Chuncheon 24253, Republic of Korea
- Institute of New Frontier Research, College of Medicine, Hallym University, Chuncheon 24253, Republic of Korea
| | - Eun-Jeong Gong
- Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, Hallym University, Chuncheon 24253, Republic of Korea; (H.-J.K.); (E.-J.G.)
- Institute for Liver and Digestive Diseases, Hallym University, Chuncheon 24253, Republic of Korea
- Institute of New Frontier Research, College of Medicine, Hallym University, Chuncheon 24253, Republic of Korea
| | - Chang-Seok Bang
- Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine, Hallym University, Chuncheon 24253, Republic of Korea; (H.-J.K.); (E.-J.G.)
- Institute for Liver and Digestive Diseases, Hallym University, Chuncheon 24253, Republic of Korea
- Institute of New Frontier Research, College of Medicine, Hallym University, Chuncheon 24253, Republic of Korea
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Dipaola F, Gatti M, Giaj Levra A, Menè R, Shiffer D, Faccincani R, Raouf Z, Secchi A, Rovere Querini P, Voza A, Badalamenti S, Solbiati M, Costantino G, Savevski V, Furlan R. Multimodal deep learning for COVID-19 prognosis prediction in the emergency department: a bi-centric study. Sci Rep 2023; 13:10868. [PMID: 37407595 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-37512-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/22/2022] [Accepted: 06/22/2023] [Indexed: 07/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Predicting clinical deterioration in COVID-19 patients remains a challenging task in the Emergency Department (ED). To address this aim, we developed an artificial neural network using textual (e.g. patient history) and tabular (e.g. laboratory values) data from ED electronic medical reports. The predicted outcomes were 30-day mortality and ICU admission. We included consecutive patients from Humanitas Research Hospital and San Raffaele Hospital in the Milan area between February 20 and May 5, 2020. We included 1296 COVID-19 patients. Textual predictors consisted of patient history, physical exam, and radiological reports. Tabular predictors included age, creatinine, C-reactive protein, hemoglobin, and platelet count. TensorFlow tabular-textual model performance indices were compared to those of models implementing only tabular data. For 30-day mortality, the combined model yielded slightly better performances than the tabular fastai and XGBoost models, with AUC 0.87 ± 0.02, F1 score 0.62 ± 0.10 and an MCC 0.52 ± 0.04 (p < 0.32). As for ICU admission, the combined model MCC was superior (p < 0.024) to the tabular models. Our results suggest that a combined textual and tabular model can effectively predict COVID-19 prognosis which may assist ED physicians in their decision-making process.
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Affiliation(s)
- Franca Dipaola
- Internal Medicine, Humanitas Clinical and Research Center, IRCCS, Humanitas Research Hospital, Humanitas University, Via A. Manzoni, 56, 20089, Rozzano, Milan, Italy
| | | | - Alessandro Giaj Levra
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, Via Rita Levi Montalcini 4, Pieve Emanuele, Italy
- IRCCS Humanitas Research Hospital, Via A. Manzoni, 56, 20089, Rozzano, Milan, Italy
| | - Roberto Menè
- Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy
- Heart Rhythm Department, Clinique Pasteur, Toulouse, France
| | - Dana Shiffer
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, Via Rita Levi Montalcini 4, Pieve Emanuele, Italy
| | - Roberto Faccincani
- Emergency Department, Humanitas Mater Domini, Castellanza, Varese, Italy
| | - Zainab Raouf
- IRCCS-Ospedale San Raffaele, Università Vita-Salute San Raffaele, Milan, Italy
| | - Antonio Secchi
- IRCCS-Ospedale San Raffaele, Università Vita-Salute San Raffaele, Milan, Italy
| | | | - Antonio Voza
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, Via Rita Levi Montalcini 4, Pieve Emanuele, Italy
- Emergency Department, IRCCS - Humanitas Clinical and Research Center, Via Manzoni 56, Rozzano, Italy
| | - Salvatore Badalamenti
- Internal Medicine, Humanitas Clinical and Research Center, IRCCS, Humanitas Research Hospital, Humanitas University, Via A. Manzoni, 56, 20089, Rozzano, Milan, Italy
| | - Monica Solbiati
- Emergency Department, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda, Ospedale Maggiore, Milan, Italy
| | - Giorgio Costantino
- Emergency Department, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda, Ospedale Maggiore, Milan, Italy
| | - Victor Savevski
- AI Center, IRCCS - Humanitas Research Hospital, Via Manzoni 56, Rozzano, Italy
| | - Raffaello Furlan
- Internal Medicine, Humanitas Clinical and Research Center, IRCCS, Humanitas Research Hospital, Humanitas University, Via A. Manzoni, 56, 20089, Rozzano, Milan, Italy.
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, Via Rita Levi Montalcini 4, Pieve Emanuele, Italy.
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Chen W, Zhou B, Jeon CY, Xie F, Lin YC, Butler RK, Zhou Y, Luong TQ, Lustigova E, Pisegna JR, Wu BU. Machine learning versus regression for prediction of sporadic pancreatic cancer. Pancreatology 2023; 23:396-402. [PMID: 37130760 PMCID: PMC10406388 DOI: 10.1016/j.pan.2023.04.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/30/2022] [Revised: 04/10/2023] [Accepted: 04/23/2023] [Indexed: 05/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES There is currently no widely accepted approach to identify patients at increased risk for sporadic pancreatic cancer (PC). We aimed to compare the performance of two machine-learning models with a regression-based model in predicting pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), the most common form of PC. METHODS This retrospective cohort study consisted of patients 50-84 years of age enrolled in either Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC, model training, internal validation) or the Veterans Affairs (VA, external testing) between 2008 and 2017. The performance of random survival forests (RSF) and eXtreme gradient boosting (XGB) models were compared to that of COX proportional hazards regression (COX). Heterogeneity of the three models were assessed. RESULTS The KPSC and the VA cohorts consisted of 1.8 and 2.7 million patients with 1792 and 4582 incident PDAC cases within 18 months, respectively. Predictors selected into all three models included age, abdominal pain, weight change, and glycated hemoglobin (A1c). Additionally, RSF selected change in alanine transaminase (ALT), whereas the XGB and COX selected the rate of change in ALT. The COX model appeared to have lower AUC (KPSC: 0.737, 95% CI 0.710-0.764; VA: 0.706, 0.699-0.714), compared to those of RSF (KPSC: 0.767, 0.744-0.791; VA: 0.731, 0.724-0.739) and XGB (KPSC: 0.779, 0.755-0.802; VA: 0.742, 0.735-0.750). Among patients with top 5% predicted risk from all three models (N = 29,663), 117 developed PDAC, of which RSF, XGB and COX captured 84 (9 unique), 87 (4 unique), 87 (19 unique) cases, respectively. CONCLUSIONS The three models complement each other, but each has unique contributions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wansu Chen
- Kaiser Permanente Southern California Research and Evaluation, Pasadena, CA, USA.
| | - Botao Zhou
- Kaiser Permanente Southern California Research and Evaluation, Pasadena, CA, USA
| | | | - Fagen Xie
- Kaiser Permanente Southern California Research and Evaluation, Pasadena, CA, USA
| | - Yu-Chen Lin
- Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Rebecca K Butler
- Kaiser Permanente Southern California Research and Evaluation, Pasadena, CA, USA
| | - Yichen Zhou
- Kaiser Permanente Southern California Research and Evaluation, Pasadena, CA, USA
| | - Tiffany Q Luong
- Kaiser Permanente Southern California Research and Evaluation, Pasadena, CA, USA
| | - Eva Lustigova
- Kaiser Permanente Southern California Research and Evaluation, Pasadena, CA, USA
| | - Joseph R Pisegna
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, VA Greater Los Angeles Healthcare System, Los Angeles, CA, USA; Departments of Medicine and Human Genetics David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, USA
| | - Bechien U Wu
- Center for Pancreatic Care, Department of Gastroenterology, Los Angeles Medical Center, Southern California Permanente Medical Group, Los Angeles, CA, USA
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Qian X, Keerman M, Zhang X, Guo H, He J, Maimaitijiang R, Wang X, Ma J, Li Y, Ma R, Guo S. Study on the prediction model of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in the rural Xinjiang population based on survival analysis. BMC Public Health 2023; 23:1041. [PMID: 37264356 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-023-15630-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2022] [Accepted: 04/07/2023] [Indexed: 06/03/2023] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE With the increase in aging and cardiovascular risk factors, the morbidity and mortality of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), represented by ischemic heart disease and stroke, continue to rise in China. For better prevention and intervention, relevant guidelines recommend using predictive models for early detection of ASCVD high-risk groups. Therefore, this study aims to establish a population ASCVD prediction model in rural areas of Xinjiang using survival analysis. METHODS Baseline cohort data were collected from September to December 2016 and followed up till June 2022. A total of 7975 residents (4054 males and 3920 females) aged 30-74 years were included in the analysis. The data set was divided according to different genders, and the training and test sets ratio was 7:3 for different genders. A Cox regression, Lasso-Cox regression, and random survival forest (RSF) model were established in the training set. The model parameters were determined by cross-validation and parameter tuning and then verified in the training set. Traditional ASCVD prediction models (Framingham and China-PAR models) were constructed in the test set. Different models' discrimination and calibration degrees were compared to find the optimal prediction model for this population according to different genders and further analyze the risk factors of ASCVD. RESULTS After 5.79 years of follow-up, 873 ASCVD events with a cumulative incidence of 10.19% were found (7.57% in men and 14.44% in women). By comparing the discrimination and calibration degrees of each model, the RSF showed the best prediction performance in males and females (male: Area Under Curve (AUC) 0.791 (95%CI 0.767,0.813), C statistic 0.780 (95%CI 0.730,0.829), Brier Score (BS):0.060, female: AUC 0.759 (95%CI 0.734,0.783) C statistic was 0.737 (95%CI 0.702,0.771), BS:0.110). Age, systolic blood pressure (SBP), apolipoprotein B (APOB), Visceral Adiposity Index (VAI), hip circumference (HC), and plasma arteriosclerosis index (AIP) are important predictors of ASCVD in the rural population of Xinjiang. CONCLUSION The performance of the ASCVD prediction model based on the RSF algorithm is better than that based on Cox regression, Lasso-Cox, and the traditional ASCVD prediction model in the rural population of Xinjiang.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xin Qian
- Department of Public Health, Shihezi University School of Medicine, Suite 721, The Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Building No. 1, Beier Road, ShiheziShihezi, 832000, Xinjiang, China
| | - Mulatibieke Keerman
- Department of Public Health, Shihezi University School of Medicine, Suite 721, The Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Building No. 1, Beier Road, ShiheziShihezi, 832000, Xinjiang, China
| | - Xianghui Zhang
- Department of Public Health, Shihezi University School of Medicine, Suite 721, The Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Building No. 1, Beier Road, ShiheziShihezi, 832000, Xinjiang, China
| | - Heng Guo
- Department of Public Health, Shihezi University School of Medicine, Suite 721, The Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Building No. 1, Beier Road, ShiheziShihezi, 832000, Xinjiang, China
| | - Jia He
- Department of Public Health, Shihezi University School of Medicine, Suite 721, The Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Building No. 1, Beier Road, ShiheziShihezi, 832000, Xinjiang, China
| | - Remina Maimaitijiang
- Department of Public Health, Shihezi University School of Medicine, Suite 721, The Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Building No. 1, Beier Road, ShiheziShihezi, 832000, Xinjiang, China
| | - Xinping Wang
- Department of Public Health, Shihezi University School of Medicine, Suite 721, The Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Building No. 1, Beier Road, ShiheziShihezi, 832000, Xinjiang, China
| | - Jiaolong Ma
- Department of Public Health, Shihezi University School of Medicine, Suite 721, The Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Building No. 1, Beier Road, ShiheziShihezi, 832000, Xinjiang, China
| | - Yu Li
- Department of Public Health, Shihezi University School of Medicine, Suite 721, The Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Building No. 1, Beier Road, ShiheziShihezi, 832000, Xinjiang, China
| | - Rulin Ma
- Department of Public Health, Shihezi University School of Medicine, Suite 721, The Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Building No. 1, Beier Road, ShiheziShihezi, 832000, Xinjiang, China.
- Department of Public Health, The Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Shihezi University School of Medicine, Suite 816Building No. 1, Beier Road, Shihezi, 832000, Xinjiang, China.
| | - Shuxia Guo
- Department of Public Health, Shihezi University School of Medicine, Suite 721, The Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Building No. 1, Beier Road, ShiheziShihezi, 832000, Xinjiang, China.
- Department of NHC Key Laboratory of Prevention and Treatment of Central, Asia High Incidence Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shihezi University Medical College, Shihezi, Xinjiang, China.
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Ishii M, Kaikita K, Yasuda S, Akao M, Ako J, Matoba T, Nakamura M, Miyauchi K, Hagiwara N, Kimura K, Hirayama A, Nishihara E, Nakamura S, Matsui K, Ogawa H, Tsujita K. Risk prediction score for clinical outcome in atrial fibrillation and stable coronary artery disease. Open Heart 2023; 10:openhrt-2023-002292. [PMID: 37173099 DOI: 10.1136/openhrt-2023-002292] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/27/2023] [Accepted: 04/28/2023] [Indexed: 05/15/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Antithrombotic therapy is essential for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and stable coronary artery disease (CAD) because of the high risk of thrombosis, whereas a combination of antiplatelets and anticoagulants is associated with a high risk of bleeding. We sought to develop and validate a machine-learning-based model to predict future adverse events. METHODS Data from 2215 patients with AF and stable CAD enrolled in the Atrial Fibrillation and Ischaemic Events With Rivaroxaban in Patients With Stable Coronary Artery Disease trial were randomly assigned to the development and validation cohorts. Using the random survival forest (RSF) and Cox regression models, risk scores were developed for net adverse clinical events (NACE) defined as all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke or major bleeding. RESULTS Using variables selected by the Boruta algorithm, RSF and Cox models demonstrated acceptable discrimination and calibration in the validation cohort. Using the variables weighted by HR (age, sex, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, alcohol consumption, creatinine clearance, heart failure, diabetes, antiplatelet use and AF type), an integer-based risk score for NACE was developed and classified patients into three risk groups: low (0-4 points), intermediate (5-8) and high (≥9). In both cohorts, the integer-based risk score performed well, with acceptable discrimination (area under the curve 0.70 and 0.66, respectively) and calibration (p>0.40 for both). Decision curve analysis showed the superior net benefits of the risk score. CONCLUSIONS This risk score can predict the risk of NACE in patients with AF and stable CAD. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBERS UMIN000016612, NCT02642419.
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Affiliation(s)
- Masanobu Ishii
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kumamoto University, Kumamoto, Japan
| | - Koichi Kaikita
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine and Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Miyazaki, Miyazaki, Japan
| | - Satoshi Yasuda
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Masaharu Akao
- Department of Cardiology, National Hospital Organization Kyoto Medical Center, Kyoto, Japan
| | - Junya Ako
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Kitasato University School of Medicine, Sagamihara, Japan
| | - Tetsuya Matoba
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Masato Nakamura
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Toho University Ohashi Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Katsumi Miyauchi
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Juntendo Tokyo Koto Geriatric Medical Center, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Nobuhisa Hagiwara
- Department of Cardiology, Tokyo Women's Medical University, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kazuo Kimura
- Cardiovascular Center, Yokohama City University Medical Center, Yokohama, Japan
| | | | | | - Shinichiro Nakamura
- Priority Organization for Innovation and Excellence Laboratory for Data Science, Kumamoto University, Kumamoto, Japan
| | - Kunihiko Matsui
- Department of General Medicine and Primary Care, Kumamoto University Hospital, Kumamoto, Japan
| | | | - Kenichi Tsujita
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kumamoto University, Kumamoto, Japan
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Liu Y, Herrin J, Huang C, Khera R, Dhingra LS, Dong W, Mortazavi BJ, Krumholz HM, Lu Y. Nonexercise machine learning models for maximal oxygen uptake prediction in national population surveys. J Am Med Inform Assoc 2023; 30:943-952. [PMID: 36905605 PMCID: PMC10114129 DOI: 10.1093/jamia/ocad035] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2022] [Revised: 02/21/2023] [Accepted: 03/02/2023] [Indexed: 03/12/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Nonexercise algorithms are cost-effective methods to estimate cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF), but the existing models have limitations in generalizability and predictive power. This study aims to improve the nonexercise algorithms using machine learning (ML) methods and data from US national population surveys. MATERIALS AND METHODS We used the 1999-2004 data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Maximal oxygen uptake (VO2 max), measured through a submaximal exercise test, served as the gold standard measure for CRF in this study. We applied multiple ML algorithms to build 2 models: a parsimonious model using commonly available interview and examination data, and an extended model additionally incorporating variables from Dual-Energy X-ray Absorptiometry (DEXA) and standard laboratory tests in clinical practice. Key predictors were identified using Shapley additive explanation (SHAP). RESULTS Among the 5668 NHANES participants in the study population, 49.9% were women and the mean (SD) age was 32.5 years (10.0). The light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) had the best performance across multiple types of supervised ML algorithms. Compared with the best existing nonexercise algorithms that could be applied to the NHANES, the parsimonious LightGBM model (RMSE: 8.51 ml/kg/min [95% CI: 7.73-9.33]) and the extended LightGBM model (RMSE: 8.26 ml/kg/min [95% CI: 7.44-9.09]) significantly reduced the error by 15% and 12% (P < .001 for both), respectively. DISCUSSION The integration of ML and national data source presents a novel approach for estimating cardiovascular fitness. This method provides valuable insights for cardiovascular disease risk classification and clinical decision-making, ultimately leading to improved health outcomes. CONCLUSION Our nonexercise models provide improved accuracy in estimating VO2 max within NHANES data as compared to existing nonexercise algorithms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuntian Liu
- Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Yale New Haven Hospital, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Jeph Herrin
- Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Chenxi Huang
- Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Yale New Haven Hospital, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Rohan Khera
- Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Yale New Haven Hospital, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Lovedeep Singh Dhingra
- Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Yale New Haven Hospital, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Weilai Dong
- Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Yale New Haven Hospital, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Bobak J Mortazavi
- Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Yale New Haven Hospital, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, USA
- Center for Remote Health Technologies and Systems, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas, USA
| | - Harlan M Krumholz
- Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Yale New Haven Hospital, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Department of Health Policy and Management, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Yuan Lu
- Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Yale New Haven Hospital, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
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15
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Qureshi A, Lip GYH, Nordsletten DA, Williams SE, Aslanidi O, de Vecchi A. Imaging and biophysical modelling of thrombogenic mechanisms in atrial fibrillation and stroke. Front Cardiovasc Med 2023; 9:1074562. [PMID: 36733827 PMCID: PMC9887999 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.1074562] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/19/2022] [Accepted: 12/29/2022] [Indexed: 01/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Atrial fibrillation (AF) underlies almost one third of all ischaemic strokes, with the left atrial appendage (LAA) identified as the primary thromboembolic source. Current stroke risk stratification approaches, such as the CHA2DS2-VASc score, rely mostly on clinical comorbidities, rather than thrombogenic mechanisms such as blood stasis, hypercoagulability and endothelial dysfunction-known as Virchow's triad. While detection of AF-related thrombi is possible using established cardiac imaging techniques, such as transoesophageal echocardiography, there is a growing need to reliably assess AF-patient thrombogenicity prior to thrombus formation. Over the past decade, cardiac imaging and image-based biophysical modelling have emerged as powerful tools for reproducing the mechanisms of thrombogenesis. Clinical imaging modalities such as cardiac computed tomography, magnetic resonance and echocardiographic techniques can measure blood flow velocities and identify LA fibrosis (an indicator of endothelial dysfunction), but imaging remains limited in its ability to assess blood coagulation dynamics. In-silico cardiac modelling tools-such as computational fluid dynamics for blood flow, reaction-diffusion-convection equations to mimic the coagulation cascade, and surrogate flow metrics associated with endothelial damage-have grown in prevalence and advanced mechanistic understanding of thrombogenesis. However, neither technique alone can fully elucidate thrombogenicity in AF. In future, combining cardiac imaging with in-silico modelling and integrating machine learning approaches for rapid results directly from imaging data will require development under a rigorous framework of verification and clinical validation, but may pave the way towards enhanced personalised stroke risk stratification in the growing population of AF patients. This Review will focus on the significant progress in these fields.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ahmed Qureshi
- School of Biomedical Engineering and Imaging Sciences, King’s College London, St. Thomas’ Hospital, London, United Kingdom,*Correspondence: Ahmed Qureshi,
| | - Gregory Y. H. Lip
- Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science, University of Liverpool and Liverpool Heart & Chest Hospital, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | - David A. Nordsletten
- School of Biomedical Engineering and Imaging Sciences, King’s College London, St. Thomas’ Hospital, London, United Kingdom,Biomedical Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States
| | - Steven E. Williams
- School of Biomedical Engineering and Imaging Sciences, King’s College London, St. Thomas’ Hospital, London, United Kingdom,Centre for Cardiovascular Science, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Oleg Aslanidi
- School of Biomedical Engineering and Imaging Sciences, King’s College London, St. Thomas’ Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Adelaide de Vecchi
- School of Biomedical Engineering and Imaging Sciences, King’s College London, St. Thomas’ Hospital, London, United Kingdom
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16
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Brenner AR, Laoveeravat P, Carey PJ, Joiner D, Mardini SH, Jovani M. Artificial intelligence using advanced imaging techniques and cholangiocarcinoma: Recent advances and future direction. Artif Intell Gastroenterol 2022; 3:88-95. [DOI: 10.35712/aig.v3.i3.88] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/07/2022] [Revised: 04/16/2022] [Accepted: 05/08/2022] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
While cholangiocarcinoma represents only about 3% of all gastrointestinal tumors, it has a dismal survival rate, usually because it is diagnosed at a late stage. The utilization of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in medicine in general, and in gastroenterology has made gigantic steps. However, the application of AI for biliary disease, in particular for cholangiocarcinoma, has been sub-optimal. The use of AI in combination with clinical data, cross-sectional imaging (computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging) and endoscopy (endoscopic ultrasound and cholangioscopy) has the potential to significantly improve early diagnosis and the choice of optimal therapeutic options, leading to a transformation in the prognosis of this feared disease. In this review we summarize the current knowledge on the use of AI for the diagnosis and management of cholangiocarcinoma and point to future directions in the field.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aaron R Brenner
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Kentucky College of Medicine, Lexington, KY 40536, United States
| | - Passisd Laoveeravat
- Division of Digestive Diseases and Nutrition, University of Kentucky College of Medicine, Lexington, KY 40536, United States
| | - Patrick J Carey
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Kentucky College of Medicine, Lexington, KY 40536, United States
| | - Danielle Joiner
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Kentucky College of Medicine, Lexington, KY 40536, United States
| | - Samuel H Mardini
- Division of Digestive Diseases and Nutrition, University of Kentucky College of Medicine, Lexington, KENTUCKY 40536, United States
| | - Manol Jovani
- Digestive Diseases and Nutrition, University of Kentucky Albert B. Chandler Hospital, Lexington, KY 40536, United States
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17
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Fati SM, Senan EM, Azar AT. Hybrid and Deep Learning Approach for Early Diagnosis of Lower Gastrointestinal Diseases. SENSORS (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2022; 22:s22114079. [PMID: 35684696 PMCID: PMC9185306 DOI: 10.3390/s22114079] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/11/2022] [Revised: 05/21/2022] [Accepted: 05/24/2022] [Indexed: 05/27/2023]
Abstract
Every year, nearly two million people die as a result of gastrointestinal (GI) disorders. Lower gastrointestinal tract tumors are one of the leading causes of death worldwide. Thus, early detection of the type of tumor is of great importance in the survival of patients. Additionally, removing benign tumors in their early stages has more risks than benefits. Video endoscopy technology is essential for imaging the GI tract and identifying disorders such as bleeding, ulcers, polyps, and malignant tumors. Videography generates 5000 frames, which require extensive analysis and take a long time to follow all frames. Thus, artificial intelligence techniques, which have a higher ability to diagnose and assist physicians in making accurate diagnostic decisions, solve these challenges. In this study, many multi-methodologies were developed, where the work was divided into four proposed systems; each system has more than one diagnostic method. The first proposed system utilizes artificial neural networks (ANN) and feed-forward neural networks (FFNN) algorithms based on extracting hybrid features by three algorithms: local binary pattern (LBP), gray level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM), and fuzzy color histogram (FCH) algorithms. The second proposed system uses pre-trained CNN models which are the GoogLeNet and AlexNet based on the extraction of deep feature maps and their classification with high accuracy. The third proposed method uses hybrid techniques consisting of two blocks: the first block of CNN models (GoogLeNet and AlexNet) to extract feature maps; the second block is the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm for classifying deep feature maps. The fourth proposed system uses ANN and FFNN based on the hybrid features between CNN models (GoogLeNet and AlexNet) and LBP, GLCM and FCH algorithms. All the proposed systems achieved superior results in diagnosing endoscopic images for the early detection of lower gastrointestinal diseases. All systems produced promising results; the FFNN classifier based on the hybrid features extracted by GoogLeNet, LBP, GLCM and FCH achieved an accuracy of 99.3%, precision of 99.2%, sensitivity of 99%, specificity of 100%, and AUC of 99.87%.
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Affiliation(s)
- Suliman Mohamed Fati
- College of Computer and Information Sciences, Prince Sultan University, Riyadh 11586, Saudi Arabia;
| | - Ebrahim Mohammed Senan
- Department of Computer Science & Information Technology, Dr. Babasaheb Ambedkar Marathwada University, Aurangabad 431004, India;
| | - Ahmad Taher Azar
- College of Computer and Information Sciences, Prince Sultan University, Riyadh 11586, Saudi Arabia;
- Faculty of Computers and Artificial Intelligence, Benha University, Benha 13518, Egypt
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Maulahela H, Annisa NG. Current advancements in application of artificial intelligence in clinical decision-making by gastroenterologists in gastrointestinal bleeding. Artif Intell Gastroenterol 2022; 3:13-20. [DOI: 10.35712/aig.v3.i1.13] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2021] [Revised: 01/24/2022] [Accepted: 02/23/2022] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a type of intelligence that comes from machines or computer systems that mimics human cognitive function. Recently, AI has been utilized in medicine and helped clinicians make clinical decisions. In gastroenterology, AI has assisted colon polyp detection, optical biopsy, and diagnosis of Helicobacter pylori infection. AI also has a broad role in the clinical prediction and management of gastrointestinal bleeding. Machine learning can determine the clinical risk of upper and lower gastrointestinal bleeding. AI can assist the management of gastrointestinal bleeding by identifying high-risk patients who might need urgent endoscopic treatment or blood transfusion, determining bleeding stigmata during endoscopy, and predicting recurrence of gastrointestinal bleeding. The present review will discuss the role of AI in the clinical prediction and management of gastrointestinal bleeding, primarily on how it could assist gastroenterologists in their clinical decision-making compared to conventional methods. This review will also discuss challenges in implementing AI in routine practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hasan Maulahela
- Department of Internal Medicine, Gastroenterology Division, Faculty of Medicine University of Indonesia - Cipto Mangunkusumo General Central National Hospital, Jakarta 10430, Indonesia
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