MIB-1 as a proliferative marker in transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder: clinical significance and comparison with other prognostic factors

Association of Cyclooxygenase-2 Immunoreactivity with Tumor Recurrence and Disease Progression in Superficial Urothelial Bladder Cancer

Aims and Background

The main characteristic of urothelial bladder cancer is a clear predisposition to recurrence and disease progression. The aim of this study was to assess the possible relationship between cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) immunoreactivity in superficial urothelial bladder carcinoma and tumor grade, stage, number of recurrences and clinical disease progression.

Methods

In this prospective study 70 consecutive patients who underwent transurethral resection for superficial urothelial bladder cancer were included. Tumor slides were immuno-histochemically stained for COX-2, and COX-2 immunoreactivity in tumor and inflammatory stromal cells was categorized as negative or mildly, moderately or strongly positive. Patients were followed up for 2 years, and during this period the possible association of COX-2 immunoreactivity with tumor stage and grade, number of recurrences and progression of disease was evaluated.

Results

COX-2 immunoreactivity in tumor cells was found in 57 (81.4%) patients and did not correlate with tumor grade, stage of disease, number of recurrences, and progression of disease. COX-2 immunoreactivity in inflammatory cells was found in 16 of the 57 patients with COX-2 positive tumors, and was significantly related to the number of recurrences, time to appearance of the first recurrence, and disease progression.

Conclusions

COX-2 immunoreactivity in inflammatory stromal cells adjacent to the COX-2-positive tumor might be useful in clinical practice for selection of patients with a high risk of tumor recurrence and disease progression.

Loss of Stromal Antigen 2 (STAG2) Expression in Upper Urinary Tract Carcinoma: Differential Prognostic Effect According to the Ki-67 Proliferating Index

BACKGROUND

Inactivating mutation and consequent expression loss of stromal antigen 2 (STAG2, also known as SA2), a component of the cohesion complex, is one of the most common genetic aberrations in urothelial carcinoma. However, the clinicopathologic or prognostic significance of STAG2 alterations in upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) is largely unknown.

METHODS

This study immunohistochemically examined the expression of STAG2 in 171 patients with UTUC. The correlations of STAG2 loss with clinicopathologic features and patients' prognoses were examined.

RESULTS

Loss of STAG2 expression was observed in 28 cases (16%). Loss of STAG2 was significantly correlated with histological low grade, papillary architecture, noninvasive tumors, absence of concomitant carcinoma in situ, and lower Ki-67 expression. Loss of STAG2 alone was not significantly associated with patients' prognoses in either the uni- or multivariate analysis. However, STAG2 loss was significantly associated with worse clinical outcome in UTUC with high Ki-67 proliferation indexes, but not in UTUC with low Ki-67 expression.

CONCLUSIONS

Loss of STAG2 was generally associated with less aggressive features in UTUC. However, the STAG2 loss was an ominous sign in the subpopulation with higher Ki-67 proliferation indexes. Examining both STAG2 and Ki-67 status may be useful for identifying aggressive clinical behavior of UTUC.

Level of mitoses in non-muscle invasive papillary urothelial carcinomas (pTa and pT1) at initial bladder biopsy is a simple and powerful predictor of clinical outcome: a multi-center study in South Korea

BACKGROUND

Histologic grade is the most important predictor of the clinical outcome of non-muscle invasive (Ta, T1) papillary urothelial carcinoma (NMIPUCa), but its ambiguous criteria diminish its power to predict recurrence/progression for individual patients. We attempted to find an objective and reproducible histologic predictor of NMIPUCa that correlates well with the clinical outcome.

METHODS

A total of 296 PUCas were collected from the Departments of Surgical Pathology of 11 institutions in South Korea. The clinical outcome was grouped into no event (NE), recurrence (R), and progression (P) categories. All 25 histological parameters were numerically redefined. The clinical pathology of each case was reviewed individually by 11 pathologists from 11 institutions based on the 2004 WHO criteria and afterwards blindly evaluated by two participants, based on our proposed parameters. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed using the R software package.

RESULTS

The level of mitoses was the most reliable parameter for predicting the clinical outcome. We propose a four-tiered grading system based on mitotic count (> 10/10 high-power fields), nuclear pleomorphism (smallest-to-largest ratio of tumor nuclei >20), presence of divergent histology, and capillary proliferation (> 20 capillary lumina per papillary core).

CONCLUSIONS

The level of mitoses at the initial bladder biopsy and transurethral resection (TUR) specimen appeared to be an independent predictor of the Ta PUCa outcome. Other parameters include the number of mitoses, nuclear pleomorphism, divergent histology, and capillary proliferation within the fibrovascular core. These findings may improve selection of patients for a therapeutic strategy as compared to previous grading systems.

An analysis of the polymorphisms of the GLUT1 gene in urothelial cell carcinomas of the bladder and its correlation with p53, Ki67 and GLUT1 expressions

Frequencies of two glucose transporter 1 (GLUT1) single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (XbaI G>T and HaeIII T>C) were studied with urothelial cell carcinomas of the bladder (UCC) and 204 normal persons. And the expression of the p53, Ki67 and GLUT1 was assayed by immunohistochemistry. The frequency of the TT genotype and T allele of the XbaI G>T SNP was decreased in the patients with UCC. The frequency of the CC genotype and C allele of the HaeIII T>C SNP was decreased in the patients with UCC. The GLUT1 XbaI genotype GG was more frequent in higher tumor stage and higher tumor grade patients. In the XbaI G>T SNP, the GG genotype was significantly related to higher Remmele immunoreactive score (IRS) of Ki67 and higher IRS of GLUT1. In conclusion, the TT genotype in XbaI G>T SNP and CC genotype of HaeIII T>C SNP may have protective effect in the carcinogenesis process of UCC. In the XbaI G>T SNP, the GG genotype of was positively related to tumor proliferation, glucose metabolism, tumor grade and stage. Therefore, the variant might become a possible proliferation-related prognostic factor for UCC.

A Review of Outcomes for Stage Ta Bladder Tumors

OBJECTIVES

Using data from former reports, this study reviews and analyzes the outcomes of tumor recurrence, tumor progression, and tumor-specific survival of patients with stage Ta bladder tumors.

METHODS

Data were collected from 19 longitudinal studies of outcomes after the first diagnosis of tumor and collected as individual patient results, that is, as failure times from the first tumor to any of the three outcomes. Altogether, there were 14,252 patients, including 4,050 for the outcome of tumor recurrence, 2,937 for the outcome of tumor progression, and 11,595 for the outcome of disease-specific survival (some patients were available for more than one outcome).

RESULTS

In these data, the mean time to additional tumors was 7.8 years, the mean time to an invasive tumor was 19.5 years, and the mean tumor-specific survival time was 27.2 years. All three outcomes were significantly related to the 2004 World Health Organization (WHO) tumor grades.

CONCLUSIONS

Although greater than 50% of those with stage Ta bladder tumors have additional bladder tumors, approximately 80% appear to follow a benign course without developing invasive tumors or dying of bladder cancer. The 2004 WHO grading scheme accounts for some but not all of the prognostic information.

High Ki-67 Immunohistochemical Reactivity Correlates With Poor Prognosis in Bladder Carcinoma: A Comprehensive Meta-Analysis with 13,053 Patients Involved

Ki-67 is considered as one of prime biomarkers to reflect cell proliferation and immunohistochemical Ki-67 staining has been widely applied in clinical pathology. To solve the widespread controversy whether Ki-67 reactivity significantly predicts clinical prognosis of bladder carcinoma (BC), we performed a comprehensive meta-analysis by combining results from different literature. A comprehensive search was conducted in the Chinese databases of WanFang, China National Knowledge Infrastructure and Chinese VIP as well as English databases of PubMed, ISI web of science, EMBASE, Science Direct, and Wiley online library. Independent studies linking Ki-67 to cancer-specific survival (CSS), disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were included in our meta-analysis. With the cut-off values literature provided, hazard ratio (HR) values between the survival distributions were extracted and later combined with STATA 12.0. In total, 76 studies (n = 13,053 patients) were eligible for the meta-analysis. It was indicated in either univariate or multivariate analysis for survival that high Ki-67 reactivity significantly predicted poor prognosis. In the univariate analysis, the combined HR for CSS, DFS, OS, PFS, and RFS were 2.588 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.623-4.127, P < 0.001), 2.697 (95%CI: 1.874-3.883, P < 0.001), 2.649 (95%CI: 1.632-4.300, P < 0.001), 3.506 (95%CI: 2.231-5.508, P < 0.001), and 1.792 (95%CI: 1.409-2.279, P < 0.001), respectively. The pooled HR of multivariate analysis for CSS, DFS, OS, PFS, and RFS were 1.868 (95%CI: 1.343-2.597, P < 0.001), 2.626 (95%CI: 2.089-3.301, P < 0.001), 1.104 (95%CI: 1.008-1.209, P = 0.032), 1.518 (95%CI: 1.299-1.773, P < 0.001), and 1.294 (95%CI: 1.203-1.392, P < 0.001), respectively. Subgroup analysis of univariate analysis by origin showed that Ki-67 reactivity significantly correlated with all 5 clinical outcome in Asian and European-American patients (P < 0.05). For multivariate analysis, however, the pooled results were only significant for DFS, OS, and RFS in Asian patients, for CSS, DFS, PFS, and RFS in European-American patients (P < 0.05). In the subgroup with low cut-off value (<20%), our meta-analysis indicated that high Ki-67 reactivity was significantly correlated with worsened CSS, DFS, OS, PFS, and RFS on univariate analysis (P < 0.05). For multivariate analysis, the meta-analysis of literature with low cut-off value (<20%) demonstrated that high Ki-67 reactivity predicted shorter DFS, PFS, and RFS in BC patients (P < 0.05). In the subgroup analysis of high cut-off value (≥20%), our meta-analysis indicated that high Ki-67 reactivity, in either univariate or multivariate analysis, significantly correlated with all five clinical outcomes in BC patients (P < 0.05). The meta-analysis indicates that high Ki-67 reactivity significantly correlates with deteriorated clinical outcomes in BC patients and that Ki-67 can be considered as an independent indicator for the prognosis by the meta-analyses of multivariate analysis.

Ki67 and TP53 expressions predict recurrence of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer

Tumor markers Ki67, TP53, and TP63 are common labels in the diagnosis of bladder cancer (BCa) around the world. The combination of those biomarkers may have advantages in predicting BCa prognosis and non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) postoperative recurrence. We investigated the immunohistochemical profiles of 313 bladder cancer samples classified under the WHO/ISUP (2004) grading scale and the UICC-TNM (2002) classification. Then we investigated their predictive value in the tumor recurrence of 270 NMIBC patients after TURBT. Expression of Ki67 correlates with grade, stage, tumor size, and tumor numbers. Semiquantitative evaluation of TP53 correlates with grade and invasive conditions. The positive expression rate of TP63 correlated with tumor grade and stage. The combined effect of TP53 and Ki67 revealed a predictive value in NMIBC recurrence. However, the positive TP63 expression did not show any protective effect in NMIBC recurrence. The expression of TP53 and Ki67 could be used to predict the risk of NMIBC recurrence postoperatively.

Predicting response of bladder cancers to gemcitabine and carboplatin neoadjuvant chemotherapy through genome-wide gene expression profiling

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy with gemcitabine and carboplatin (GC) for invasive bladder cancer increases the chance of a radical response for a subset of patients, while other patients suffer from severe adverse drug reactions without any benefit. To establish a method for predicting the response to chemotherapy with GC, the expression profiles of biopsy samples from 37 advanced bladder cancers were analyzed using a microarray consisting of 38,500 genes or ESTs. Upon analysis of 9 'responder' and 9 'non-responder' tumors, 12 'predictive' genes were found to be significantly differentially expressed between the 'responder' and 'non-responder' groups, and a numerical prediction scoring system that clearly separated the responder group from the non-responder group was established. This system accurately predicted the drug responses of 18 of 19 additional test cases that were reserved from the original 37 cases. Moreover, a quantitative PCR-based prediction system was developed that may be feasible for routine clinical use, and the sensitivity of invasive bladder cancer to neoadjuvant chemotherapy with GC was able to be predicted by the expression patterns in this set of genes. Nearly 50% of patients treated with GC or methotrexate, vinblastine, doxorubicin and cisplatin (M-VAC) therapy have been reported to achieve complete or partial response to either of these therapies. When we applied this prediction system as well as the system for M-VAC, we expected that approximately 80% of the patients would achieve significant tumor shrinking (>60%) by selection of either the GC or M-VAC regimens. Our results suggest that the two prediction scoring systems lead to achievement of 'personalized therapy' for the treatment of invasive bladder cancer and should improve the quality of life for patients with this disease.

Relationship of Ki67, TP53, MDM-2 and BCL-2 expressions with WHO 1973 and WHO/ISUP grades, tumor category and overall patient survival in urothelial tumors of the bladder

Using the 1998 World Health Organization/International Society of Urological Pathology (WHO/ISUP) (2004 WHO), 1999 WHO/ISUP, and 1973 WHO classifications, we examined Ki67, BCL-2, TP53, and MDM-2 expressions in invasive and noninvasive urothelial neoplasias of the bladder of 72 patients, and compared the results regarding tumor category and grade with clinical outcome to determine the clinicopathological relevance of these classifications. Ki67 and TP53 expressions were correlated with tumor grades of the 1973 WHO classification, and they also distinguished "papillary urothelial neoplasm with low malignant potential" from other WHO/ISUP grades (p < 0.05). No difference was observed for Ki67 and TP53 expressions between the other WHO/ISUP grades (p > 0.05). Neither tumor grade nor tumor category correlated with MDM-2 or BCL-2 expressions (p > 0.05). WHO/ISUP classifications are obviously not superior to the 1973 WHO classification for grading urothelial neoplasia of the bladder. However, if the "papillary urothelial neoplasm with low malignant potential" is distinguished from grade 1 tumors of the 1973 WHO classification, more precise prognostic information may be obtained.

Cell membrane reactivity of MIB-1 antibody to Ki67 in human tumors: fact or artifact?

Ki67 immunohistochemistry is a widely used marker of the tumor proliferative fraction. Apart from the nuclear staining of dividing cells, MIB-1 monoclonal antibody was also found to stain the cell membrane of some tumor types. Indeed, such membrane reactivity was proposed as a diagnostic feature of hyalinizing trabecular tumor (HTT) of the thyroid. To verify the diagnostic role of Ki67 membrane pattern, 6 HTTs, 8 pulmonary sclerosing hemangiomas (SH), and 6 other human tumors with MIB-1 cell membrane immunoreactivity were stained by immunoperoxidase with 5 different anti-Ki67 antibodies in different experimental conditions. We show here that the cell membrane reactivity reported in HTT is produced only by MIB-1 and not by other antibodies to Ki67 (including commercially available mouse and rabbit monoclonal antibodies). In addition, this peculiar pattern is obtained only if the reaction is performed at room temperature, because automated immunostainers which operate at 37 degrees C do not produce any MIB-1 membrane localization. The same findings were obtained in the other 6 tumors. Conversely, sclerosing hemangioma of the lung did not produce any MIB-1 cell membrane reactivity in our hands. A cross-reactivity of the MIB-1 monoclonal antibody with an epitope expressed at the cell membrane level (rather than an artifact) seems the most likely explanation for this finding, because the immunoreactivity is generally intense and uniform in the membrane positive tumors. We conclude that when Ki67 immunohistochemistry is used for diagnostic purposes in a suspected HTT, only MIB-1 clone at room temperature should be employed.

Apoptotic and proliferation indexes in primary superficial bladder tumors

Whether apoptotic index [AI] and/or Ki-67 labeling index [Ki-67LI] add prognostic information in bladder cancer remains unclear. Mean AI and Ki-67 LI increased with grade and stage in 147 superficial bladder tumors. AI (>1.7%) correlated with tumor size, grade and proliferation. Ki-67 LI (>10%) correlated with higher grade and stage. Tumor size and Ki-67 LI were independent predictors of disease-free and progression-free survival, respectively. Tumor size, patient's age and tumor's recurrence predicted overall survival. We conclude that conventional clinical parameters and Ki-67 LI define risk groups of bladder tumors, while AI has limited value.

Correlation between sigma2 receptor protein expression and histopathologic grade in human bladder cancer

Sigma2 (sigma2) receptor proteins are overexpressed in several tissues and tumour cell lines. Although the biomolecular mechanism of this overexpression must be elucidated, sigma2 receptor was considered a potential biomarker for monitoring solid tumour proliferation. In this study, we verified first sigma2 receptor overexpression by saturation analysis with radioligand in six human bladder cancer specimens, then if a possible correlation could be established between sigma2 overexpression and tumour tissue stage and grade. The results displayed that sigma2 receptor protein was normally expressed in human bladder and overexpressed in the case of high-grade transitional cell carcinomas. Moreover, these receptors were undetected in a low-grade squamous cell carcinoma and in a very rare form of anaplastic, large cells plasmacytoid cancer.

Bladder cancer diagnosis and recurrence prognosis: Comparison of markers with emphasis on survivin

Expression of the anti-apoptotic protein survivin is hardly detectable or even absent in many differentiated adult tissues, but is upregulated in almost any type of cancer. Furthermore, high survivin mRNA or protein expression generally correlates with an adverse disease course. Both these important features of survivin expression have been investigated for diagnostic and prognostic purposes in many human cancers, including bladder cancer. In this review, the role of survivin in the detection of bladder tumors and the prediction of tumor recurrence in patients with superficial bladder cancer will be discussed and compared to that of other markers/tests. The most promising marker(s) will be outlined. Also, important requirements for a successful implementation of such markers in a hospital setting are discussed. Finally, future directions for the discovery of new diagnostic or prognostic candidate markers will be mentioned.

Ki-67 MIB1 labelling index and the prognosis of primary TaT1 urothelial cell carcinoma of the bladder

AIMS

To evaluate whether ki-67 labelling index (LI) has independent prognostic value for survival of patients with bladder urothelial tumours graded according to the 2004 World Health Organisation classification.

METHODS

Ki-67 LI was evaluated in 164 cases using the grid counting method. Non-invasive (stage Ta) tumours were: papilloma (n = 5), papillary urothelial neoplasia of low malignant potential (PUNLMP; n = 26), and low (LG; n = 34) or high grade (HG; n = 15) papillary urothelial carcinoma. Early invasive (stage T1) tumours were: LG (n = 58) and HG (n = 26) carcinoma. Statistical analysis included Fisher and chi2 tests, and mean comparisons by ANOVA and t test. Univariate and multivariate survival analyses were performed according to the Kaplan-Meier method with log rank test and Cox's proportional hazard method.

RESULTS

Mean ki-67 LI increased from papilloma to PUNLMP, LG, and HG in stage Ta (p<0.0001) and from LG to HG in stage T1 (p = 0.013) tumours. High tumour proliferation (>13%) was related to greater tumour size (p = 0.036), recurrence (p = 0.036), progression (p = 0.035), survival (p = 0.054), and high p53 accumulation (p = 0.015). Ki-67 LI and tumour size were independent predictors of disease free survival (DFS), but only ki-67 LI was related to progression free survival (PFS). Cancer specific overall survival (OS) was related to ki-67 LI, tumour size, and p27kip1 downregulation. Ki-67 LI was the main independent predictor of DFS (p = 0.0005), PFS (p = 0.0162), and cancer specific OS (p = 00195).

CONCLUSION

Tumour proliferation measured by Ki-67 LI is related to tumour recurrence, stage progression, and is an independent predictor of DFS, PFS, and cancer specific OS in TaT1 bladder urothelial cell carcinoma.

Predicting response to methotrexate, vinblastine, doxorubicin, and cisplatin neoadjuvant chemotherapy for bladder cancers through genome-wide gene expression profiling

PURPOSE

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy for invasive bladder cancer, involving a regimen of methotrexate, vinblastine, doxorubicin, and cisplatin (M-VAC), can improve the resectability of larger neoplasms for some patients and offer a better prognosis. However, some suffer severe adverse drug reactions without any effect, and no method yet exists for predicting the response of an individual patient to chemotherapy. Our purpose in this study is to establish a method for predicting response to the M-VAC therapy.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We analyzed gene expression profiles of biopsy materials from 27 invasive bladder cancers using a cDNA microarray consisting of 27,648 genes, after populations of cancer cells had been purified by laser microbeam microdissection.

RESULTS

We identified dozens of genes that were expressed differently between nine "responder" and nine "nonresponder" tumors; from that list we selected the 14 "predictive" genes that showed the most significant differences and devised a numerical prediction scoring system that clearly separated the responder group from the nonresponder group. This system accurately predicted the drug responses of 8 of 9 test cases that were reserved from the original 27 cases. Because real-time reverse transcription-PCR data were highly concordant with the cDNA microarray data for those 14 genes, we developed a quantitative reverse transcription-PCR-based prediction system that could be feasible for routine clinical use.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that the sensitivity of an invasive bladder cancer to the M-VAC neoadjuvant chemotherapy can be predicted by expression patterns in this set of genes, a step toward achievement of "personalized therapy" for treatment of this disease.

P16 immunoreactivity is an independent predictor of tumor progression in minimally invasive urothelial bladder carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the prognostic impact of p16 immunoreactivity in minimally invasive transitional cell bladder carcinomas (stage T1).

METHODS

Multi-tissue-arrays containing 73 samples of T1 bladder carcinomas were stained immunohistochemically for p16. Additionally, p53 and Ki-67 antigen expression were examined. A multivariate analysis including other prognostically relevant factors like tumor grade and sub-stage was performed.

RESULTS

Loss of p16 expression occurred in 54% of cases and was significantly associated with reduced progression-free (p=0.018 by univariate analysis), but not with recurrence-free survival (p=0.341). Median Ki-67 antigen and p53 index were 51% (range, 1-93%) and 10% (range, 0-100%), respectively. Both indices correlated significantly (p=0.041 and p=0.024, respectively) with recurrence-free, but not with progression-free survival. Also tumor grade was significantly associated with tumor recurrence (p=0.006). By multivariate analysis, tumor grade (p=0.008) was identified as an independent predictor of tumor recurrence, whereas p16 expression (p=0.009) was identified as an independent predictor of tumor progression.

CONCLUSION

According to our data, there is a significant correlation between loss of p16 expression and tumor progression in patients with minimally-invasive bladder cancer. Immunohistochemical p16 staining may therefore represent a useful tool of providing additional information on the clinical outcome of these patients.

The immunohistochemical assessment of hypoxia, vascularity and proliferation in bladder carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Hypoxia and proliferation are important determinants of radiation responsiveness; prospective measures of these before radiotherapy may enable individualisation of treatment schedules. Immunohistochemical techniques offer a potential means of achieving this in routine biopsy material.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Cellular hypoxia as measured by pimonidazole fixation and immunohistochemistry has been evaluated in a series of human bladder cancers with dual staining of sections for pimonidazole and either the vascular markers, CD31/34, or proliferation markers, Ki-67 or cyclin A. Twenty one tumour specimens were examined suitable for the double staining technique.

RESULTS

The median hypoxic fraction was 9% (range 0-38). Seven tumours did not stain for pimonidazole and 11 exhibited necrosis. The mean vascular density ranged from 16.7 to 160.6 vessels per mm2. The median hot spot count was 30 (range 16-43). There was a statistically significant increase in vessel density in hypoxic compared to oxic regions measured by both vessel density (P = 0.02) and hot spot count (P = 0.004). Proliferation indices decreased from oxic to hypoxic areas close to blood vessels.

CONCLUSIONS

We have demonstrated that bladder cancer exhibits a range of hypoxia, proliferation and vascular density which may be used to form the basis for patient selection for hypoxia modification, accelerated radiotherapy and vascular targeting agents.

Decreased expression of KAI1 metastasis suppressor gene is a recurrence predictor in primary pTa and pT1 urothelial bladder carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To examine the expression of the KAI1 metastasis suppressor gene and to evaluate its relationship with tumor recurrence in primary pTa and pT1 urothelial bladder carcinoma.

METHODS

Samples were obtained from 87 patients after transurethral resection (TUR). Tumor stage and grade were reviewed in 33 patients with pTa and in 54 patients with pT1, with a mean follow-up time of 47.4 +/- 30.1 months. The KAI1 protein immunohistochemical assay was performed. Prognosis was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox's proportional hazards model. Correlation between KAI1 expression and recurrence according to each clinicopathological factor was comparatively evaluated using the chi-squared test.

RESULTS

Decreased expression of KAI1 protein failed to reach statistical significance for stage (P = 0.25) or morphology of tumor stem (P = 0.19), but it was significantly related to tumor size (P = 0.016). The recurrence-free 5-year survival rates of the group with decreased KAI1 expression was 69.7%, which was significantly higher than the 22.2% for the KAI1-positive group (P < 0.0001). In univariate and multivariate analyses, decreased expression of KAI1 protein, stage pT1, tumor size >3 cm and sessile tumors were independent prognosis factors of recurrence. Despite the lower recurrence rate expected by considering only the clinicopathological factors, decreased KAI1 expression was able to identify the group with a high risk of recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

Downregulated KAI1 expression in bladder tumors tends to relate to stage and morphology of the tumor stem and was significantly correlated to tumor size. Decreased expression of KAI1 was associated with the degree of invasiveness and progression of the cancer and was an independent prognostic factor of recurrence in primary pTa and pT1 urothelial bladder carcinoma.

[The role of tumor markers in prognosing transitional bladder cancer]

PURPOSE

Review the literature on tumor markers used for prognosis of transitional bladder cancer. The existing problems regarding grading and local staging of these tumors are also discussed.

METHODS

The published literature on transitional bladder cancer markers was identified using a Medline search and critically analysed.

RESULTS

There are significant interobserver differences in grading. There is a new grading system. There are also problems in local staging and low correlation between clinic stage and pathologic stage. Major tumor markers studied for prognosis of transitional bladder cancer are: flow cytometry, kariocytometric study, oncogenes (p53, bcl-2, Her2/Neu or c-erbB2), chromosomic alterations (chromosomes 9, 7 and 17), proliferation markers (Ki-67, MIB-1), cyclin-dependent kinases and its inhibitors (cyclin D1, cyclin E, p21Wafl, p27Kipl), vascular endothelial growth factor, other growth factors (fibroblastic, epidermal, hepatocyte, platelet-derived), metalloproteinases, cell adhesion molecules, and others.

CONCLUSIONS

At present, there are no prognostic markers for bladder cancer that are superior to conventional grading and staging, despite its imperfections. Standarization of assay methods in bladder tumor markers is needed to permit more conclusive and reproducible results and become a clinic tool. Controversy resulting from several studies make the meaning of some putative prognostic markers in transitional bladder cancer questionable.

Ki-67 index enhances the prognostic accuracy of the urothelial superficial bladder carcinoma risk group classification

Approximately 80% of bladder tumors are urothelial superficial papillary carcinomas (USPC). Despite a generally good prognosis, these tumors have a strong propensity to recur and about 1/3 of them compared to disease progression. Histological assessment of these superficial tumors is not sufficiently discriminator in predicting prognosis; therefore, we decided to evaluate the prognostic significance of p53 and Ki-67 immunoexpression in low-grade (GI-II) USPC in order to predict the potential outcome of these tumors. P53 and Ki-67 immunoexpression were studied in function of recurrence-free and progression-free survival in 159 primary superficial bladder tumors. A prognostic risk model based on grade, stage and multifocality was also evaluated. P53 accumulation was significantly related to tumor progression (p=0.006). High Ki-67 index (>/=18%) and multifocality were significantly related to recurrence (both p=0.0001) and progression-free survival (both p=0.0001) and were independent prognostic factors in the multivariate analysis. The prognostic risk model based on grade, stage and multifocality was not an efficient discriminator of outcome. Adding the Ki-67 index into the risk model, single pTa/T1-GI Ki-67 positive tumors, usually classified as low risk, were reclassified as of intermediate risk. After this reclassification, the risk group model identified a subgroup of pTa/T1-G1 with a high risk of recurrence and progression. Ki-67 index is a reliable prognostic marker in urothelial superficial bladder carcinoma and, when included into a risk profile classification of the low-grade USPC, the accuracy of the prognostic discrimination is enhanced.

DNA cytometric features in biopsies of TaT1 urothelial cell cancer predict recurrence and stage progression more accurately than stage, grade, or treatment modality

OBJECTIVES

To compare retrospectively the predictive value for recurrence and stage progression of DNA ploidy and S-phase fraction by flow cytometry and highly automated ultrafast image cytometry (ICM) in biopsies of TaT1 urothelial cell carcinomas (UCCs) of the urinary bladder with stage, grade, other pathologic features, and treatment.

METHODS

Three experienced pathologists reviewed the stage and grade of 228 UCCs; 193 (85%) consensus cases were analyzed further. We had enough material for single-cell suspensions for both flow cytometry and ICM in 183 cases (94.8%). The 2001 European Society for Analytical Cellular Pathology standards for DNA ICM were followed. The predictive value of DNA features, classic prognosticators (stage, grade, carcinoma in situ, multicentricity), and treatment modality for recurrence and stage progression were analyzed with univariate (Kaplan-Meier) survival and multivariate (Cox model) regression analysis. Ta and T1 cases were analyzed separately.

RESULTS

Of the 228 cases, 88 (51.5%) recurred and 13 (7.6%) progressed. On univariate analysis, most of the DNA features studied were statistically significant. Treatment modality and grade were only prognostic for progression (not for recurrence) and only in Ta cases. On multivariate analysis, DNA ICM features performed best; the strongest recurrence predictor for Ta UCC was a DNA index (DI) of 1.0 versus all others, and for T1 UCC, a DI of less than 1.3 versus 1.3 or greater. The best stage progression predictor for Ta UCCs was a DI of 1.0 plus an S-phase fraction of less than 10%, and for T1 UCCs, a DI of less than 1.3 versus 1.3 or greater. With multivariate analysis, sex, age, grade, carcinoma in situ, multicentricity, and treatment modality were excluded once the DNA ICM features were selected.

CONCLUSIONS

DNA image cytometric features predict recurrence and stage progression in TaT1 UCC biopsies more accurately than classic prognostic factors, independent of treatment modality.

Molecular grading of urothelial cell carcinoma with fibroblast growth factor receptor 3 and MIB-1 is superior to pathologic grade for the prediction of clinical outcome

PURPOSE

Fibroblast growth factor receptor 3 (FGFR3) mutations were recently found at a high frequency in well-differentiated urothelial cell carcinoma (UCC). We investigated the relationship between FGFR3 status and three molecular markers (MIB-1, P53, and P27kip1) associated with worse prognosis and determined the reproducibility of pathologic grade and molecular variables.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this multicenter study, we included 286 patients with primary (first diagnosis) UCC. The histologic slides were reviewed. FGFR3 status was examined by polymerase chain reaction-single strand conformation polymorphism and sequencing. Expression levels of MIB-1, P53, and P27kip1 were determined by immunohistochemistry. Mean follow-up was 5.5 years (range, 0.4 to 18.4 years).

RESULTS

FGFR3 mutations were detected in 172 (60%) of 286 UCCs. Grade 1 tumors had an FGFR3 mutation in 88% of patient samples and grade 3 tumors in 16% of patient samples. Conversely, aberrant expression patterns of MIB-1, P53, and P27kip1 were seen in 5%, 2%, and 3% of grade 1 tumors and in 85%, 60%, and 56% of grade 3 tumors, respectively. In multivariate analysis with recurrence rate, progression, and disease-specific survival as end points, the combination of FGFR3 and MIB-1 proved independently significant in all three cases. By using these two molecular markers, three molecular grades (mGs) could be identified: mG1 (mutation; normal expression), favorable prognosis; mG2 (two remaining combinations), intermediate prognosis; and mG3 (no mutation; high expression), poor prognosis. The molecular variables were more reproducible than pathologic grade (85% to 100% v 47% to 61%).

CONCLUSION

The FGFR3 mutation represents the favorable molecular pathway of UCC. Molecular grading provides a new, simple, and highly reproducible tool for clinical decision making in UCC patients.

Immunohistochemical study of bcl-2, p53 and Ki-67 expressions in collecting duct carcinoma of the kidney. Five cases and review of the literature on bcl-2, p53 and Ki-67 expressions in renal cell carcinoma and transitional cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

This study was designed to examine the expressions of bcl-2, p53 and Ki-67 antigen in collecting duct carcinoma (CDC) of the kidney by an immunohistochemical method.

METHODS

The diagnosis of CDC was based on the criteria proposed by Srigley and Eble. The clinical courses of 5 CDC cases examined in this study suggested that 3 cases were low grade and 2 cases high grade. The expressions of bcl-2, p53 and Ki-67 antigen were evaluated in paraffin-embedded surgical specimens using anti-bcl-2 and anti-p53 antibodies and Ki-67 antigen, respectively.

RESULTS

The expression of bcl-2 was recognized in 3 of 5 cases (60%), p53 expression also in 3 of 5 cases (60%). The Ki-67 labeling index was 7.46 +/- 7.40 (mean +/- SD).

CONCLUSIONS

It was suggested that there were two clinical types in CDC; the expression of bcl-2 did not correlate with the CDC patients' clinical courses and the cellular proliferation, and p53 expression was recognized in the CDC patients with highly cellular proliferation.

Expression of cell-cycle regulatory proteins and their prognostic value in superficial low-grade urothelial cell carcinoma of the bladder

AIMS

Cell-cycle regulatory proteins are important indicators in determining progression trough the cell-cycle and progression to invasive cancer in patients presenting with superficial bladder cancer. We performed an immunohistochemical study in order to evaluate the prognostic value of the expression of p16, p27, pRb, p53 and Ki-67 in superficial grade I and II papillary urothelial cell carcinoma of the bladder.

METHODS

p16, p27, p53, pRb and Ki-67 immunoexpression was studied in 14 pTa, 35 pT1a and 7 pT1b bladder tumours at presentation and at recurrence of their tumours. The recurrence-free survival and the progression-free survival were analysed according to these regulatory cell-cycle proteins expression.

RESULTS

For survival in univariate analysis a high Ki-67 labelling index was a poor prognostic factor for recurrence-free and progression-free survival (P=0.0014 and P=0.012, respectively). Ki-67 labelling index was also an independent recurrence-free survival prognostic factor (P=0.0005). The p16, p27, p53 and pRb immunoreactivity was not significantly associated with recurrence or progression rate in this group of bladder carcinomas.

CONCLUSIONS

These data suggest that the Ki-67 labelling index can be a reliable marker in predicting recurrence and/or progression in superficial low-grade bladder carcinomas and may be relevant in planning adjuvant therapy.

Prognostic value of MCM2 immunoreactivity in stage T1 transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder

OBJECTIVE

Due to the heterogeneous biologic behavior of stage T1 bladder carcinomas, there is a need for new markers allowing to assess the prognosis more accurately. To our knowledge, there are no reports on studies investigating minichromosome maintenance protein 2 (MCM2) expression in bladder carcinomas. Thus, we investigated the prognostic value of MCM2 immunoreactivity in stage T1 bladder tumors.

METHODS

Fifty-four tumors were analyzed using Biochip microarrays. Also p53 and Ki67 antigen expression were examined. Immunohistochemical scores were compared with the clinical outcome.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 43 months, tumor recurrence was registered in 43 and progression to stage T2 in 19 patients. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that high-level MCM2 expression was significantly associated with early tumor recurrence when using a cutoff of 60% (p=0.0035 by log-rank test), and with early tumor progression when using a cutoff of 20% (p=0.0454). There was no relationship (p=0.604) between MCM2 and p53, but a tendentious relationship (p=0.082) between MCM2 and Ki67 antigen expression. MCM2 (p=0.006), Ki67 antigen (p=0.035) and p53 expression (p=0.049) as well as tumor grade (p=0.026) and age (p=0.025) were found significantly associated with recurrence-free survival by univariate Cox regression analysis, among which only Ki67 antigen expression (p=0.015) and age (p=0.019) proved to be of independent predictive value by multivariate analysis. Concerning tumor progression, MCM2 expression was identified as the only predictive parameter by log-rank test, but it was not of independent predictive value by multivariate analysis (p=0.101).

CONCLUSION

Our data suggest that MCM2 expression may bear some prognostic relevance in stage T1 bladder carcinomas.

Prognostic value of proliferative activity and nuclear morphometry for progression in TaT1 urothelial cell carcinomas of the urinary bladder

OBJECTIVES

To analyze the predictive power of Ki67 area% (Ki67), mitotic activity index (MAI), p53 area% (p53), and the mean area of the 10 largest nuclei (MNA10) for progression of stage in 195 primary consecutive TaT1 urothelial cell carcinomas of the urinary bladder.

METHODS

Ki67- and p53-positive versus negative nuclei, MAI, and MNA10 using motorized systematic random sampling morphometry were determined. Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate survival analysis (Cox model) were used to assess the prognostic value of the quantitative and classic clinicopathologic risk factors (age, sex, stage, grade, carcinoma in situ, multicentricity).

RESULTS

Thirteen (6.7%) of the 195 patients had progression (0 [0%] of 36 low-risk, 1 [1.1%] of 85 intermediate-risk, and 12 [16.2%] of 74 high-risk patients). In univariate analysis (all variables), the strongest predictors with the highest hazard ratios were Ki67 (threshold 25.0%), MAI (threshold 30), and MNA10 (threshold 170 microm2). In multivariate analysis, the strongest independent combinations for progression--MNA10 (170 microm2) plus MAI (threshold 30) and MNA10 (threshold 170 microm2) plus Ki67 (threshold 25.0%)--overshadowed all other features. p53 was weaker but, combined with Ki67, still predicted progression fairly well. In the total group, the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of MNA10-MAI and MNA10-Ki67 at the thresholds mentioned were 100%, 89%, 38%, and 100%, respectively. These feature combinations were also strongest prognostically in the high-risk treatment group.

CONCLUSIONS

The combined biomarkers MNA10-MAI or MNA10-Ki67 are accurate, well reproducible, and easy to assess progression predictors in all patients with TaT1 urothelial cell carcinomas, as well as in high-risk (bacille Calmette-Guérin-treated) patients.

Proliferative activity is the most significant predictor of recurrence in noninvasive papillary urothelial neoplasms of low malignant potential and grade 1 papillary carcinomas of the bladder

BACKGROUND

Recurrence of transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder cannot be predicted accurately by traditional criteria alone. This study examined the value of cell proliferative activity, morphometry, and expression of p53, c-erbB-2, and bcl-2 oncogenes in predicting recurrence of superficial papillary urothelial neoplasms of low malignant potential (LMP) and Grade 1 (G1) papillary carcinomas of the bladder.

METHODS

Sixty-two patients (mean age, 62 years) with newly diagnosed superficial pTa bladder tumors (19 LMP, and 43 G1) were analyzed retrospectively. All patients underwent transurethral resection (TUR). Median follow-up was 69 months. Serial sections from formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded material at initial TUR were stained with monoclonal antibodies (MoAbs) DO7, CB11, and bcl-2-124. Cell proliferation was assessed by MIB-1 MoAb, the quantity of argyrophilic nucleolar organizer region-associated proteins (AgNORs), and mitotic count.

RESULTS

Of the 62 patients, 42 (67.7%) had one or more recurrences. Recurrence rates were higher in MIB-1 (P < 0.0001) and p53 immunopositive cases (P = 0.02), when the mitotic count was greater than 5 (P = 0.004), and in G1 carcinomas (P = 0.04). In univariate analysis, the disease-free period was shorter for MIB-1 (P < 0.0001) and p53 immunopositive (P = 0.0001) cases, for cases with high AgNOR quantity (P = 0.04), mitotic count greater than 5 (P = 0.01), and in G1 carcinomas (P = 0.002). In multivariate analysis, only MIB-1 immunoreactivity retained independent prognostic significance.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the small cohort, the results confirm the prognostic value of cell proliferation and p53 expression in patients with bladder neoplasms. The results also indicate that MIB-1 immunopositivity is the most significant predictor of recurrence and disease-free survival in superficial LMP and G1 papillary bladder carcinomas.

Biologic differences between noninvasive papillary urothelial neoplasms of low malignant potential and low-grade (grade 1) papillary carcinomas of the bladder

We investigated the expression of oncogenes p53, c-erbB-2, and bcl-2 and cell proliferative activity in 62 newly diagnosed superficial pTa papillary bladder tumors. Based on the 1998 World Health Organization/International Society of Urological Pathology (WHO/ISUP) and 1999 WHO classifications, 19 were urothelial neoplasias of low malignant potential (LMP) and 43 low-grade (grade 1) papillary carcinomas. All the patients underwent transurethral resection and were followed up to 97 months; 42 had recurrences. Initial biopsies were tested for p53, c-erbB-2, and bcl-2 proteins using DO7, CB11, and bcl-2 124 monoclonal antibodies. Cell proliferation was assessed by MIB-1 mAb and mitotic count. LMP had significantly lower MIB-1 (p = 0.002) and p53 immunopositivity (p = 0.03), mitotic count (p = 0.006), and recurrence rates (p = 0.04) than did grade 1 cases, whereas no difference was observed for c-erbB-2 and bcl-2 expression. The median disease-free survival for LMP was 76 months but only 15 months for grade 1 cases (p = 0.002). Although the cohort is small, the results indicate that the distinction between LMP and low-grade (grade 1) papillary urothelial neoplasias, as proposed by the 1998 WHO/ISUP and 1999 WHO classifications, reflects different biologic activity and clinical behavior; however, a long-term follow-up is advisable also for patients with LMP.

Immunohistochemical analysis of MIB-1 proliferative activity in human endometrial cancer. Correlation with clinicopathological parameters, patient outcome, retinoblastoma immunoreactivity and K-ras codon 12 point mutations

To test the prognostic utility of MIB-1 in human endometrial neoplasias, the proliferative activities of fifty-two endometrial carcinomas obtained from Polish women were assessed. We also investigated the relationship between the MIB-1 Proliferative Index and the well-known clinicopathological features of cancer (clinical stage, histological type, histological grade, depth of myometrial invasion), patient's age, overall survival, retinoblastoma immunostaining and K-ras codon 12 point mutations. The mean MIB-1 Proliferation Index was 43.8%, with a median of 36.0%. Due to the great intratumour heterogeneity of the immunoreaction, the Index ranged from 0% to 98%. A significant relationship was noted between MIB-1 expression and histological grading (p = 0.0004) and myometrial invasion of cancer (p = 0.01). Multivariate Cox regression demonstrated that the clinical stage was the only independent prognostic factor during follow-up (p = 0.025). There was a tendency towards a poorer outcome for women with a Proliferative Index of > 31% than for patients whose Index was < or = 31%; the difference, however, did not reach significance (p = 0.25; log-rank test). Interestingly, uterine cancers lacking retinoblastoma protein expression had a mean MIB-1 Proliferation Index that was nearly twice as high as in those neoplasias that stained positively for retinoblastoma (70.33% and 42.14%, respectively; p = 0.09; Mann-Whitney-U test). There were no significant differences between K-ras codon 12 point mutation-positive and -negative endometrial carcinomas regarding the proliferative activity of the cancer (mean Indexes 47.6% and 43.8%, respectively; p = 0.66, Mann-Whitney-U test). Our data support the view that MIB-1 proliferative activity was significantly increased with a decrease of the histological grading and with the myometrial invasion of human endometrial cancer.

Immunohistochemical MIB-1 and p27kip1 as Prognostic Factors in Pleural Mesothelioma

Malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) is a tumour that usually presents a short survival time from diagnosis, but in a small number of patients a longer survival time has been observed. We have studied a series of ten long-term and ten short-term survivors with MPM to assess whether the MIB-1 proliferation index and the p27kip1 expression correlated with survival. Our results show significant difference in MIB-1 and in p27kip1 expression between the group of short and longer survival patients. It suggests that the difference in tumour growth fractions may express different biological behaviour and therefore indicate important factors in MPM prognosis.