Annual financial impact of well-differentiated thyroid cancer care in the United States

Bridging the Gap: A Qualitative Assessment of General Surgery Resident Confidence and Knowledge Deficits in Managing Surgical Endocrinopathy

BACKGROUND

Most thyroid and parathyroid surgeries are performed by nonfellowship trained, low-volume surgeons with associated higher complication rates. Furthermore, the average number of endocrine procedures performed by general surgery residents is decreasing. While previous studies have documented a lack of general surgery resident confidence in performing these procedures, the specific knowledge gaps in endocrine surgery remain unexplored.

METHODS

We conducted semi-structured interviews with surgical residents (clinical PGY3-PGY5) at a high-volume academic center with an endocrine surgery fellowship to discuss their experience, knowledge, and deficits managing patients with surgical thyroid and parathyroid disease. Interviews were audio-recorded, de-identified, and transcribed verbatim. Content analysis was used to identify areas of confidence and knowledge deficits in all phases of care.

RESULTS

Overall, 14 trainees participated in the study (50% women, mean PGY: 3.8). Preoperatively, residents were confident with thyroid nodule and primary hyperparathyroidism work-up, but less comfortable with rare conditions. Residents were uncomfortable using ultrasound to identify suspicious lymph nodes or abnormal parathyroid glands. Residents perceived knowledge deficits in the multidisciplinary care and work-up of patients with advanced thyroid cancer. Intraoperatively, most residents were confident performing thyroidectomy and focused parathyroidectomy, but less comfortable performing 4-gland explorations or neck dissections. Several had concern with independently identifying and protecting the recurrent laryngeal nerve or locating parathyroid glands in the setting of negative localization. Residents noted a lack of autonomy in both thyroidectomy and parathyroidectomy. Postoperatively, residents felt confident in the acute management of patients, but identified deficits in long-term management of patients with thyroid cancer or chronic complications.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite confidence in managing "bread and butter" cervical endocrine surgery in all phases of care, residents perceive a lack of meaningful autonomy intraoperatively. Further educational endeavors may be required to ensure graduating residents are "practice ready" for straightforward cases they may encounter in practice as a general surgeon. A lack of exposure to complex endocrinopathy even at a high-volume center suggests that comprehensive endocrine surgery fellowship remains critical.

Which Ultrasound Characteristics Predict Lymphatic Spread of Papillary Thyroid Cancer?

INTRODUCTION

The 2015 American Thyroid Association guidelines recommend lymph node mapping US in patients with definitive cytological evidence of thyroid cancer. Suspicious lymph node features on imaging including enlarged size (>1 cm in any dimension), architectural distortion, loss of fatty hilum, and microcalcifications often prompt evaluation with fine needle aspiration. There is no universally agreed upon model for determining which ultrasound characteristics most strongly correlate with metastatic disease.

METHODS

A retrospective review of patients with confirmed papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) undergoing lymph node mapping ultrasound from 2013 to 2019 was performed. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value were calculated for each individual ultrasound characteristic as well as for characteristic combinations.

RESULTS

Data from 119 lymph nodes were included. Malignant lymph nodes were more likely to be enlarged (71% versus 61%, P < 0.001) and to have each individual suspicious feature. Loss of fatty hilum had the highest sensitivity (89%) but was not specific (19%) for metastatic disease. Architectural distortion was found to have the highest specificity (87%). A combination of the four features was found to have higher specificity (97%) and PPV (88%) than any individual feature or combination of two/three features.

CONCLUSIONS

A combination of four sonographic features correlates with metastatic PTC to lymph nodes and has the highest specificity and PPV for malignancy. A risk stratification model based on these features may lead to better classification of ultrasound findings in PTC patients with concern for nodal metastases.

Thirty years of active surveillance for low-risk thyroid cancer, lessons learned and future directions

Active Surveillance is a non-invasive strategy designed to identify a minority of patients with low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma who might experience clinical progression and benefit from additional definitive treatments. Global experience suggests that these tumors typically show minimal changes in size during active surveillance, often demonstrating very slow growth or even size reduction. Moreover, the rate of lymph node metastases is low and can be effectively managed through rescue surgery, without impacting cancer-related mortality. However, despite 30 years of experience demonstrating the safety and feasibility of active surveillance for appropriately selected patients, this approach seems to have limited adoption in specific contexts. This limitation can be attributed to various barriers, including disparities in access to accurate information about the indolent nature of this disease and the prevalence of a maximalist mindset among certain patients and medical settings. This review aims to revisit the experience from the last three decades, provide current insights into the clinical outcomes of active surveillance trials, and propose a systematic approach for its implementation. Furthermore, it intends to emphasize the importance of precise patient selection and provides new perspectives in the field.

Molecular characteristics of isthmus papillary thyroid cancers: Supporting evidence for unfavorable clinical behavior

BACKGROUND

Previous studies demonstrate isthmus thyroid nodules are more likely to be malignant than lobar nodules. Additional data suggest that isthmus papillary thyroid cancers (PTCs) are more aggressive than lobar PTCs. We hypothesize that isthmus PTCs have a more unfavorable molecular profile.

METHODS

The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database was queried to analyze clinical, mutation and gene expression data of isthmus PTCs compared to non-isthmus PTCs.

RESULTS

We analyzed characteristics of 472 ​PTCs, including 19 isthmus PTCs. There were no significant differences between isthmus and non-isthmus PTC demographic and clinical variables or the frequency of RAS family, fusion driver, TERT, and tumor suppressor gene mutations. There was a trend towards increased BRAF mutations (68% vs 55%, p ​= ​0.28). A more aggressive gene expression profile was observed in isthmus PTC compared to lobar/multifocal PTC with differences in ERK score (19.4 vs 7.71, p ​< ​0.05) and TDS score (-0.58 vs 0.02, p ​< ​0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

These results provide a possible molecular explanation for the more aggressive behavior reported in isthmus PTCs.

Extracting Thyroid Nodules Characteristics from Ultrasound Reports Using Transformer-based Natural Language Processing Methods

The ultrasound characteristics of thyroid nodules guide the evaluation of thyroid cancer in patients with thyroid nodules. However, the characteristics of thyroid nodules are often documented in clinical narratives such as ultrasound reports. Previous studies have examined natural language processing (NLP) methods in extracting a limited number of characteristics (<9) using rule-based NLP systems. In this study, a multidisciplinary team of NLP experts and thyroid specialists, identified thyroid nodule characteristics that are important for clinical care, composed annotation guidelines, developed a corpus, and compared 5 state-of-the-art transformer-based NLP methods, including BERT, RoBERTa, LongFormer, DeBERTa, and GatorTron, for extraction of thyroid nodule characteristics from ultrasound reports. Our GatorTron model, a transformer-based large language model trained using over 90 billion words of text, achieved the best strict and lenient F1-score of 0.8851 and 0.9495 for the extraction of a total number of 16 thyroid nodule characteristics, and 0.9321 for linking characteristics to nodules, outperforming other clinical transformer models. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to systematically categorize and apply transformer-based NLP models to extract a large number of clinical relevant thyroid nodule characteristics from ultrasound reports. This study lays ground for assessing the documentation quality of thyroid ultrasound reports and examining outcomes of patients with thyroid nodules using electronic health records.

Research progress of plant-derived natural products in thyroid carcinoma

Thyroid carcinoma (TC) is a prevalent malignancy of the endocrine system, with a notable rise in its detection rate in recent decades. The primary therapeutic approaches for TC now encompass thyroidectomy and radioactive iodine therapy, yielding favorable prognoses for the majority of patients. TC survivors may necessitate ongoing surveillance, remedial treatment, and thyroid hormone supplementation, while also enduring the adverse consequences of thyroid hormone fluctuations, surgical complications, or side effects linked to radioactive iodine administration, and encountering enduring physical, psychosocial, and economic hardships. In vitro and in vivo studies of natural products against TC are demonstrating the potential of these natural products as alternatives to the treatment of thyroid cancer. This therapy may offer greater convenience, affordability, and acceptability than traditional therapies. In the early screening of natural products, we mainly use a combination of database prediction and literature search. The pharmacological effects on TC of selected natural products (quercetin, genistein, apigenin, luteolin, chrysin, myricetin, resveratrol, curcumin and nobiletin), which hold promise for therapeutic applications in TC, are reviewed in detail in this article through most of the cell-level evidence, animal-level evidence, and a small amount of human-level evidence. In addition, this article explores possible issues, such as bioavailability, drug safety.

The impact of social determinants of health on thyroid cancer mortality and time to treatment

BACKGROUND

Whereas racial disparities in thyroid cancer care are well established, the role of social determinants of health is less clear. We aimed to assess the individual and cumulative impact of social determinants of health on mortality and time to treatment among patients with thyroid cancer.

METHODS

We collected social determinants of health data from thyroid cancer patients registered in the National Cancer Database from 2004 to 2017. We created a count variable for patients in the lowest quartile of each social determinant of health (ie, low income, low education, and no insurance). We assessed the association of social determinants of health with mortality and time to treatment and the association between cumulative social determinants of health count and time to treatment using Cox regression.

RESULTS

Of the 142,024 patients we identified, patients with longer time to treatment had greater mortality compared to patients treated within 90 days (90-180 days, adjusted hazard ratio 1.21 (95% confidence interval 1.13-1.29, P < .001); >180 days, adjusted hazard ratio 1.57 (95% confidence interval 1.41-1.76, (P < .001). Compared to patients with no adverse social determinants of health, patients with 1, 2, or 3 adverse social determinants of health had a 10%, 12%, and 34%, respectively, higher likelihood of longer time to treatment (1 social determinant of health, hazard ratio 0.90, 95% confidence interval 0.89-0.92, P < .001; 2 social determinants of health, hazard ratio 0.88, 95% confidence interval 0.87-0.90, P < .001; 3 social determinants of health, hazard ratio 0.66, 95% confidence interval 0.62-0.71, P < .001 for all). On subgroup analysis by race, each adverse social determinant of health was associated with an increased likelihood of a longer time to treatment for Black and Hispanic patients (P < .05).

CONCLUSION

A greater number of adverse social determinants of health leads to a higher likelihood of a longer time to treatment for patients with thyroid cancer, which, in turn, is associated with an increased risk for mortality.

Drivers of Thyroid Ultrasound Use: A Retrospective Observational Study

OBJECTIVE

Excessive use of thyroid ultrasound (TUS) contributes to the overdiagnosis of thyroid nodules and thyroid cancer. In this study, we evaluated drivers of and clinical trajectories following TUS orders.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective review of 500 adult patients who underwent an initial TUS between 2015 and 2017 at Mayo Clinic in Rochester, MN. A framework was employed to classify the indication for TUS, and it was characterized as inappropriate when ordered without a guideline-based indication. Medical records were reviewed for up to 12 months following the TUS, and clinical outcomes were evaluated.

RESULTS

The mean age mean age (SD) was 53.6 years (16.6), 63.8% female, and 86.6% white. TUS orders were triggered by incidental findings on unrelated imaging (31.6%), thyroid symptoms (20.4%), thyroid abnormalities on routine physical examination (17.2%), and thyroid dysfunction workup (11.8%). In females and males, the most common reason were incidental findings on imaging (female, 91/319, 28.5% and male, 67/181, 37.0%). In primary care practice, TUS orders were mostly triggered by symptoms (71/218, 32.5%), while thyroid dysfunction workup was the primary reason in endocrinology (28/100, 28.0%). We classified 11.2% (56/500) TUS orders as likely to have been ordered inappropriately based on current guidelines. Finally, 119 patients (119/500, 23.8%) had a thyroid biopsy with 11.8% had thyroid cancer (14/119. 11.8%).

CONCLUSIONS

Incidental findings on imaging, symptoms, and routine physical exam findings in asymptomatic patients were the most prevalent drivers of TUS. Furthermore, 1 in 10 TUS were likely inappropriately ordered based on current practice guidelines.

Mendelian randomization suggests a causal relationship between gut dysbiosis and thyroid cancer

Background

Alterations in gut microbiota composition and function have been linked to the development and progression of thyroid cancer (TC). However, the exact nature of the causal relationship between them remains uncertain.

Methods

A bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization (TSMR) analysis was conducted to assess the causal connection between gut microbiota (18,340 individuals) and TC (6,699 cases combined with 1,613,655 controls) using data from a genome-wide association study (GWAS). The primary analysis used the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method to estimate the causal effect, with supplementary approaches including the weighted median, weighted mode, simple mode, and MR-Egger. Heterogeneity and pleiotropy were assessed using the Cochrane Q test, MR-Egger intercept test, and MR-PRESSO global test. A reverse TSMR analysis was performed to explore reverse causality.

Results

This study identified seven microbial taxa with significant associations with TC. Specifically, the genus Butyrivibrio (OR: 1.127, 95% CI: 1.008-1.260, p = 0.036), Fusicatenibacter (OR: 1.313, 95% CI: 1.066-1.618, p = 0.011), Oscillospira (OR: 1.240, 95% CI: 1.001-1.536, p = 0.049), Ruminococcus2 (OR: 1.408, 95% CI: 1.158-1.711, p < 0.001), Terrisporobacter (OR: 1.241, 95% CI: 1.018-1.513, p = 0.032) were identified as risk factors for TC, while The genus Olsenella (OR: 0.882, 95% CI: 0.787-0.989, p = 0.031) and Ruminococcaceae UCG004 (OR: 0.719, 95% CI: 0.566-0.914, p = 0.007) were associated with reduced TC risk. The reverse MR analysis found no evidence of reverse causality and suggested that TC may lead to increased levels of the genus Holdemanella (β: 0.053, 95% CI: 0.012~0.094, p = 0.011) and decreased levels of the order Bacillales (β: -0.075, 95% CI: -0.143~-0.006, p = 0.033). No significant bias, heterogeneity, or pleiotropy was detected in this study.

Conclusion

This study suggests a potential causal relationship between gut microbiota and TC, providing new insights into the role of gut microbiota in TC. Further research is needed to explore the underlying biological mechanisms.

Contralateral Low-to-Intermediate Suspicion Nodule Is Not a Contraindication for Lobectomy in Patients with Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Background: The optimal extent of surgery for unilateral papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) with contralateral nodules remains unclear. This study evaluated the long-term outcomes in a large cohort of patients with unilateral PTC and contralateral low-to-intermediate suspicious nodules who underwent lobectomy. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included patients with unilateral PTC who underwent lobectomy between January 2016 and December 2017 at Asan Medical Center in Korea. Patients were divided into two groups, those with and without contralateral nodules at the time of lobectomy: the Present group and the Absent group. All contralateral nodules observed at the time of surgery and during follow-up were evaluated. Results: The study cohort consisted of 1761 patients (1879 nodules), including 700 (39.8%) with and 1061 (60.2%) without contralateral nodules. The median size of the contralateral nodules was 0.5 cm. After a median follow-up of 59 months, the median growth of the contralateral nodules in the Present group was 0.1 cm (range, -3.4 to 4.7 cm). Of the contralateral nodules present at the time of lobectomy, 54.7% remained unchanged, decreased in size, or disappeared; whereas 14.8% increased ≥0.3 cm. Of the 700 patients with contralateral nodules, 20 (2.9%) were diagnosed with contralateral PTC. The 5-year contralateral PTC disease-free survival rates in patients with and without contralateral nodules were 98.2% and 99.3% (p = 0.003), respectively, whereas the 5-year recurrence-free survival rates did not differ significantly in these two groups. Of the 39 patients who underwent completion thyroidectomy, 2 (5.1%) experienced permanent hypocalcemia. Conclusions: Lobectomy may be a safe and feasible initial treatment option for patients with unilateral low-risk PTC and contralateral low-to-intermediate suspicious nodules.

Molecular testing for indeterminate thyroid nodules: past, present, and future

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To examine the origin, current progress, and future directions of molecular testing in indeterminate Bethesda III and Bethesda IV thyroid nodules.

RECENT FINDINGS

The diagnostic performance of current genomic tests shows improved benign call rates, specificity and positive-predictive values over prior test versions. The choice of test platform for clinical use should consider test performance, institutional rate of malignancy, nodule cytology and the potential for prognostication to help guide decision-making. Current challenges include test reliability, defining the optimal duration of surveillance, and improving test performance in challenging cytology, such as oncocytic nodules and NIFTP. Opportunities also remain to optimize cost-effectiveness across multiple clinical and practice settings and to refine the use of molecular testing for dynamic risk stratification, such as with BRAF V600E mutation testing.

SUMMARY

Molecular testing of indeterminate thyroid nodules has helped to reduce the burden of diagnostic surgery, associated healthcare costs, and potential complications. Current-generation tests have demonstrated improvement in diagnostic performance, but challenges remain in improving test performance and refining the scope of testing in care. Decision-making for the management of indeterminate thyroid nodules should consider cytology, clinical and sonographic features, patient values and preferences and molecular testing results, whenever available.

Impact of the introduction of minimally invasive treatments of the thyroid (MITT) for benign thyroid nodules in an Italian hospital: a cost-minimization analysis

BACKGROUND

Prevalence of thyroid nodules is high in the adult population, approaching 60% in women and older people. Most thyroid nodules are benign and asymptomatic. However, a not negligible part of them causes compressive symptoms and/or cosmetic concerns and need to be treated. In the last two decades, minimally-invasive treatments of the thyroid (MITT) have been proposed in routine clinical practice as a reliable cost-effective alternative to surgery in patients with symptomatic benign thyroid nodules (SBTNs).

AIM OF THE STUDY

To perform a cost-minimization analysis comparing direct, indirect and intangible costs of radiofrequency (RFA) and laser thermal ablation (LTA) with traditional surgery in patients with SBTNs.

METHODS

Data of patients treated by MITT for SBTNs from October 1st 2019 to September 30th 2022 in a single Italian tertiary Center were analyzed. Costs were compared to those of traditional surgery reported in the 2022 Associazione Medici Endocrinologi Guidelines on the Management of SBTNs.

RESULTS

In the study lapse, 157 MITT of SBTNs were performed in 148 patients, 114 females and 34 males (mean age: 59 yrs; median age: 57 yrs). Before MITT, the mean thyroid nodule volume was 19 ml; 1 year after MITT, volume reduction rate >50% and symptom relief were achieved in 89% and 93% of patients, respectively. No major complications occurred. Adding up pre-operative, operative and post-operative costs, total direct costs per single procedure are the following: 1361.43 € for LTA when using one optic fiber; 1761.43 € for LTA when using two optic fibers; 1968.53 € for RFA; 3338.39 € for hemithyroidectomy plus isthmectomy; 4034.99 € for total thyroidectomy. Surgery was impactful on direct-i.e., preoperative, operative and postoperative-costs, due to longer operating room occupation time and hospital stay. Overall, a total saving for the Italian National Health Service of 285,377.15 € has been obtained treating the 148 patients by MITT instead of surgery. Likewise, MITT was advantageous also for indirect costs-i.e., those related to "loss of productivity" caused by time off work due to hospital stay and recovery time-, for both the self-employed workers and the Government, the latter saving 53,838.50 € overall. Finally, intangible costs, related to patients' quality of life-e.g., residual surgical scar, stress related to general anesthesia, convalescence, and life-long intake of L-Thyroxine replacement therapy-were all in favor of MITT.

CONCLUSIONS

This real-life cost-minimization analysis demonstrates that LTA and RFA are safe and cost-effective procedures for the treatment of SBTNs. In our 3 years experience, adding the savings of 285,377.15 € for direct costs to those of 53.838,50 € for indirect costs, in total 339,215.65 € were saved. The saving concern patients, the National Health System and the Government.

Implementation strategies to support ultrasound thyroid nodule risk stratification: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Ultrasound risk stratification can improve the care of patients with thyroid nodules by providing a structured and systematic approach for the evaluation of thyroid nodule features and thyroid cancer risk. The optimal strategies to support implementation of high quality thyroid nodule risk stratification are unknown. This study seeks to summarise strategies used to support implementation of thyroid nodule ultrasound risk stratification in practice and their effects on implementation and service outcomes.

METHODS

This is a systematic review of studies evaluating implementation strategies published between January 2000 and June 2022 that were identified on Ovid MEDLINE, Ovid EMBASE, Ovid Cochrane, Scopus, or Web of Science. Screening of eligible studies, data collection and assessment for risk of bias was completed independently and in duplicate. Implementation strategies and their effects on implementation and service outcomes were evaluated and summarised.

RESULTS

We identified 2666 potentially eligible studies of which 8 were included. Most implementation strategies were directed towards radiologists. Common strategies to support the implementation of thyroid nodule risk stratification included: tools to standardise thyroid ultrasound reports, education on thyroid nodule risk stratification and use of templates/forms for reporting, and reminders at the point of care. System based strategies, local consensus or audit were less commonly described. Overall, the use of these strategies supported the implementation process of thyroid nodule risk stratification with variable effects on service outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Implementation of thyroid nodule risk stratification can be supported by development of standardised reporting templates, education of users on risk stratification and reminders of use at the point of care. Additional studies evaluating the value of implementation strategies in different contexts are urgently needed.

Financial toxicity in thyroid cancer survivors

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Financial burden and distress are high in patients with thyroid cancer. However, little has been done to evaluate potential interventions to mitigate financial toxicity in survivors. This review will cover current data on the impact of financial toxicity on quality of life and clinical outcomes in patients with thyroid cancer and highlight areas for future study.

RECENT FINDINGS

Thyroid cancer incidence has nearly tripled in the past decades, and cost of treatment is predicted to rise more than other cancers over the next decade. With mean age of diagnosis at 51 years, most patients begin treatment while still working, do not qualify for Medicare or Social Security, and are susceptible to higher financial burden. Though thyroid cancer has high survival rates, some studies suggest patients have worse quality of life and higher financial burden than more morbid cancers.

SUMMARY

Thyroid cancer survivors have high rates of financial toxicity, and there remains need for longitudinal studies to evaluate how financial burden may change during the treatment process while also assessing potential tools to mitigate this burden.

Role of Prehabilitation and Rehabilitation on Functional Recovery and Quality of Life in Thyroid Cancer Patients: A Comprehensive Review

BACKGROUND

This narrative review aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the current prehabilitation and rehabilitation strategies for thyroid cancer survivors to optimize functional outcomes and enhance their quality of life.

METHODS

The review follows the SANRA quality criteria and includes an extensive literature search conducted in PubMed/Medline, Web of Science, and Scopus.

RESULTS

The review emphasizes the role of a comprehensive rehabilitation approach in targeting the different domains that generate disability in thyroid cancer patients. In this context, physical activity, range of motion exercises, myofascial release, joint mobilization, and postural exercises are crucial for improving functional outcomes and reducing treatment-related discomfort and disability. Moreover, tailored rehabilitative management addressing dysphonia and dysphagia might have a positive impact on the quality of life of these patients. Despite these considerations, several barriers still affect the implementation of a multimodal rehabilitative approach in common clinical practice. Thus, sustainable and effective strategies like digital innovation and patient-centered approaches are strongly needed in order to implement the rehabilitative treatment framework of these subjects.

CONCLUSIONS

This narrative review provides valuable insights into the current prehabilitation and rehabilitation strategies to treat thyroid cancer survivors, addressing physical, psychological, and vocational needs to optimize functional outcomes and enhance their quality of life.

Active surveillance versus immediate surgery: A comparison of clinical and quality of life outcomes among patients with highly suspicious thyroid nodules 1 cm or smaller in China

INTRODUCTION

Active surveillance (AS) is considered an alternative to immediate surgery (IS) for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) patients. However, it is difficult to decide between AS and IS due to limited evidence regarding risks and benefits for patients in China.

METHODS

This study prospectively enrolled 485 patients with highly suspicious thyroid nodules

RESULTS

The oncological outcomes of the IS and AS groups were similarly excellent. The IS group had significantly higher rates of temporary vocal cord paralysis (VCP) and temporary hypoparathyroidism than the AS group (2.7% vs. 0.2%, p = 0.002; 13.6% vs.1.9%, p < 0.001, respectively). The IS group had significantly more patients on hormone replacement therapy (98.4% vs. 10.9%, p < 0.001) and a significantly higher incidence of neck scarring (94.3% vs. 9.1%, p < 0.001) compared to the AS group. In the early stages, the quality of life questionnaire showed significant differences with respect to three items: voice, throat/mouth, and surgical scarring, with more complaints in the IS group. However, one year or more after surgery, the main complaint was surgical scarring.

CONCLUSION

In China, AS can achieve similar short-term therapeutic effects as IS. As this approach can reduce the occurrence of unfavorable events, achieve better quality of life, it is a feasible option for patients with highly suspicious thyroid nodules.

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Key Words

• Active surveillance
• Adverse events
• Highly suspicious thyroid nodules
• Immediate surgery
• Quality of life

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MESH Headings

• Humans
• Thyroid Nodule/surgery
• Quality of Life
• Watchful Waiting
• Cicatrix/pathology
• Cicatrix/surgery
• Thyroidectomy/methods
• Thyroid Neoplasms/pathology
• China/epidemiology

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Affiliation(s)

Chunhao Liu Department of General Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Hao Zhao Department of General Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Yu Xia Department of Ultrasound, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Yue Cao Department of General Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Liyang Zhang Department of General Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Ya Zhao Department of General Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Luying Gao Department of Ultrasound, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Ruifeng Liu Department of Ultrasound, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Yuewu Liu Department of General Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Hongfeng Liu Department of General Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Zhilan Meng Department of Pathology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Shuzhou Liu Department of Otolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Hainan General Hospital, Hainan, 570311, China.
Ying Lu Department of General Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Xiaoyi Li Department of General Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.

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Cost-effectiveness of active surveillance versus early surgery for thyroid micropapillary carcinoma based on diagnostic and treatment norms in China

Objectives

In this study, we compared the cost-effectiveness comparison of the active surveillance (AS) and early surgery (ES) approaches for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system.

Methods

We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis using a Markov model of PTMC we developed to evaluate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of AS and ES. Our reference case was of a 40-year-old woman diagnosed with unifocal (<10 mm) PTMC. Relevant data were extracted after an extensive literature review, and the cost incurred in each state was determined using China Medicare data on payments for ES and AS. The willingness-to-pay threshold was set at ¥242,928/quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity analyses were performed to account for any uncertainty in the model's variables. Additional subgroup analyses were performed to determine whether AS was cost-effective when different initial monitoring ages were used.

Results

ES exhibited an effectiveness of 5.2 QALYs, whereas AS showed an effectiveness of 25.8 QALYs. Furthermore, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for ES versus AS was ¥1,009/QALY. The findings of all sensitivity analyses were robust. Compared with ES, AS was found to be the cost-effective strategy at initial monitoring ages of 20 and 60 years, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of ¥3,431/QALY and -¥1,316/QALY at 20 and 60 years, respectively. AS was a more cost-effective strategy in patients with PTMC aged more than 60.

Conclusions

With respect to the norms of the Chinese healthcare system, AS was more cost-effective for PTMC over lifetime surveillance than ES. Furthermore, it was cost-effective even when the initial monitoring ages were different. In addition, if AS is incorporated into the management plan for PTMC in China at the earliest possible stage, a predicted savings of ¥10 × 108/year could be enabled for every 50,000 cases of PTMC, which indicates a good economic return for future management programs. The identification of such nuances can help physicians and patients determine the best and most individualized long-term management strategy for low-risk PTMC.

The Economic Cost of Thyroid Cancer in France and the Corresponding Share Associated With Treatment of Overdiagnosed Cases

OBJECTIVES

Thyroid cancer incidence in France has increased rapidly in recent decades. Most of this increase has been attributed to overdiagnosis, the major consequence of which is overtreatment. We aimed to estimate the cost of thyroid cancer management in France and the corresponding cost proportion attributable to the treatment of overdiagnosed cases.

METHODS

Multiple data sources were integrated: the mean cost per patient with thyroid cancer was estimated by using the Echantillon Généraliste des Bénéficiaires data set; thyroid cancer cases attributable to overdiagnosis were estimated for 21 departments using data from the French network of cancer registries and extrapolated to the whole country; medical records from 6 departments were used to refine the diagnosis and care pathway.

RESULTS

Between 2011 and 2015, 33 911 women and 10 846 men in France were estimated to be diagnosed of thyroid cancer, with mean cost per capita of €6248. Among those treated, 8114 to 14 925 women and 1465 to 3626 men were due to overdiagnosis. The total cost of thyroid cancer patient management was €203.5 million (€154.3 million for women and €49.3 million for men), of which between €59.9 million (or 29.4% of the total cost, lower bound) and €115.9 million (or 56.9% of the total cost, upper bound) attributable to treatment of overdiagnosed cases.

CONCLUSIONS

The management of thyroid cancer represents not only a relevant clinical and public health problem in France but also a potentially important economic burden. Overdiagnosis and corresponding associated treatments play an important role on the total costs of thyroid cancer management.

Early prediction of treatment outcome for lenvatinib using 18F-FDG PET/CT in patients with unresectable or advanced thyroid carcinoma refractory to radioiodine treatment: a prospective, multicentre, non-randomised study

BACKGROUND

Lenvatinib is widely used to treat unresectable and advanced thyroid carcinomas. We aimed to determine whether ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) performed 1 week after lenvatinib treatment initiation could predict treatment outcomes.

RESULTS

This was a prospective, nonrandomised, multicentre study. Patients with pathologically confirmed differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) and lesions refractory to radioiodine treatment were eligible for inclusion. Patients were treated with 24 mg lenvatinib as the initial dose and underwent PET/CT examination 1 week after treatment initiation. Contrast-enhanced CT was scheduled at least 4 weeks later as the gold standard for evaluation. The primary endpoint was to evaluate the discrimination power of maximum standardised uptake value (SUVmax) obtained by PET/CT compared to that obtained by contrast-enhanced CT. Evaluation was performed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC-AUC) curve. Twenty-one patients were included in this analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis yielded an AUC of 0.714 for SUVmax after 1 week of lenvatinib treatment. The best cut-off value for the treatment response for SUVmax was 15.211. The sensitivity and specificity of this cut-off value were 0.583 and 0.857, respectively. The median progression-free survival was 26.3 months in patients with an under-cut-off value and 19.7 months in patients with an over-cut-off value (P = 0.078).

CONCLUSIONS

The therapeutic effects of lenvatinib were detected earlier than those of CT because of decreased FDG uptake on PET/CT. PET/CT examination 1 week after the initiation of lenvatinib treatment may predict treatment outcomes in patients with DTC.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This trial was registered in the University Hospital Medical Information Network (UMIN) Clinical Trials Registry (number UMIN000022592) on 6 June, 2016.

Eliciting Low-Risk Thyroid Cancer Treatment Preferences Using Clinical Vignettes: A Pilot Study

OBJECTIVE

While surgical resection has been the traditional standard treatment for small (≤1 cm), differentiated thyroid cancers, active surveillance (AS) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) are increasingly considered. The aim of this study was to explore patient preferences in thyroid cancer treatment using a series of clinical vignettes.

METHODS

Thyroid cancer survivors and general population volunteers were recruited to rank experience-driven clinical vignettes in order of preference. Rankings were compared using Wilcoxon signed rank. Formative qualitative methods were used to develop and refine clinical vignettes that captured 4 treatments-thyroid lobectomy (TL), total thyroidectomy (TT), AS, and RFA-along with 6 treatment complications. Content was validated via interviews with 5 academic subspecialists.

RESULTS

Nineteen volunteers participated (10 survivors, 9 general population). Treatment complications were ranked lower than uncomplicated counterparts in 99.0% of cases, indicating excellent comprehension. Counter to our hypothesis, among uncomplicated vignettes, median rankings were 1 for AS, 2 for RFA, 3.5 for TL, and 5 for TT. Trends were consistent between thyroid cancer survivors and the general population. AS was significantly preferred over RFA (P = .02) and TT (P < .01). Among surgical options, TL was significantly preferred over TT (P < .01).

CONCLUSION

When treatments for low-risk thyroid cancer are described clearly and accurately through clinical vignettes, patients may be more likely to choose less invasive treatment options over traditional surgical resection.

The Experience of a Single Tertiary Center Regarding Benign and Malignant Tumors in Acromegalic Patients

Background and Objectives: Acromegaly is a rare disease associated with increased levels of growth hormones (GHs) that stimulates the hepatic production of insulin growth factor-1 (IGF-1). Increased secretion of both GH and IGF-1 activates pathways, such as Janus kinase 2/signal transducer and activator of transcription 5 (JAK2/STAT5), and mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK), involved in the development of tumors. Materials and Methods: Given the disputed nature of the topic, we decided to study the prevalence of benign and malignant tumors in our cohort of acromegalic patients. In addition, we aimed to identify risk factors or laboratory parameters associated with the occurrence of tumors in these patients. Results: The study group included 34 patients (9 men (25.7%) and 25 women (74.3%)). No clear relationship between the levels of IGF-1 or GH and tumor development could be demonstrated, but certain risk factors, such as diabetes mellitus (DM) and obesity, were more frequent in patients with tumors. In total, 34 benign tumoral proliferations were identified, the most common being multinodular goiter. Malignant tumors were present only in women (14.70%) and the most frequent type was thyroid carcinoma. Conclusions: DM and obesity might be associated with tumoral proliferation in patients with acromegaly, and findings also present in the general population. In our study we did not find a direct link between acromegaly and tumoral proliferations.

Development and validation of the nomogram based on ultrasound, thyroid stimulating hormone, and inflammatory marker in papillary thyroid carcinoma: a case-control study

Background

The increase in the number of thyroid cancer cases in recent years has increased not only the medical burden but also the potential for overtreatment. Therefore, it is crucial to distinguish papillary thyroid cancer from benign thyroid nodules before surgery when treating thyroid nodules.

Methods

The patients were divided into two groups: 117 patients made up the validation cohort and 414 patients made up the primary cohort. As a result of the primary cohort, a preoperative prediction model was developed, which was then validated externally in the validation cohort. Preoperative thyrotropin (thyroid stimulating hormone, TSH), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), and ultrasonographic features were recorded in both groups.

Results

As predictors for the model, the preoperative blood levels of TSH, SII, LMR, echogenicity, margin, calcification, composition, taller-than-wide, and age were chosen. This was the regression equation: Y = -0.070 × (age) + 1.511 × (echogenicity) + 1.664 × (margin) + 1.003 × (calcification) + 0.939 × (composition) + 2.964 × (tall than wide) + 0.305 × (TSH) + 0.558 × (SII) - 1.271 × (LMR) + 0.327. Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) was predicted positively with values of Y ≥0.808. The prediction model's accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were 88.2%, 85.1%, and 94.9%, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.961. The model's external validation produced satisfactory results with accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 85.5%, 90.9%, and 75.5%, respectively.

Conclusions

Using the preoperative TSH, SII, LMR, and ultrasonographic characteristics, a straightforward and accurate preoperative prediction model for PTC has been developed and validated. The preoperative assessment of PTC in clinical application is enhanced by this approach.

Conservative management of low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma: a review of the active surveillance experience

The detection of low-risk thyroid carcinoma has increased in recent decades, although disease-specific mortality remained without changes. The high prevalence of occult carcinomas in autopsy studies, and hence the underlying indolent course of this entity, prompted the emergence of active surveillance as an alternative approach to these tumors. This strategy aims to recognize the minority group of patients who will develop clinical progression and probably benefit from deferred surgery. Experience around the world has shown that during active surveillance these tumors are mostly unchanged in size, with very-slow growth and even a decrease in diameter. Moreover, the rates of lymph node metastases were low and easily handled by rescue surgery, and distant metastases have not been reported. Given the high prevalence of small thyroid carcinomas and the excellent outcomes for observation, active surveillance provides a safe and feasible alternative in properly selected patients with low-risk thyroid cancer.

Current Controversies in Low-Risk Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: Reducing Overtreatment in an Era of Overdiagnosis

CONTEXT

Low-risk differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is overdiagnosed, but true incidence has increased as well. Owing to its excellent prognosis with low morbidity and mortality, balancing treatment risks with risks of disease progression can be challenging, leading to several areas of controversy.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

This mini-review is an overview of controversies and difficult decisions around the management of all stages of low-risk DTC, from diagnosis through treatment and follow-up. In particular, overdiagnosis, active surveillance vs surgery, extent of surgery, radioactive iodine (RAI) treatment, thyrotropin suppression, and postoperative surveillance are discussed.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

Recommendations regarding the diagnosis of DTC, the extent of treatment for low-risk DTC patients, and the intensity of posttreatment follow-up have all changed substantially in the past decade. While overdiagnosis remains a problem, there has been a true increase in incidence as well. Treatment options range from active surveillance of small tumors to total thyroidectomy followed by RAI in select cases. Recommendations for long-term surveillance frequency and duration are similarly broad.

CONCLUSION

Clinicians and patients must approach each case in a personalized and nuanced fashion to select the appropriate extent of treatment on an individual basis. In areas of evidential equipoise, data regarding patient-centered outcomes may help guide decision-making.

Thyroid nodules: Global, economic, and personal burdens

Thyroid nodules have garnered attention due to changes in population surveillance systems and rising concerns about the associated financial burden on healthcare systems, payers, and patients. In this review, we find that prevalence rates vary widely based on method of detection and may particularly pronounced in asymptomatic patients undergoing routine screening. Incidence rates may be particularly rising in lower-income and middle-income countries and may be declining in higher-income countries. Despite high incidence rates, survival rates continue to be as high as 97% for papillary thyroid cancer. Over the last few decades, thyroid nodule workup and management has grown more sophisticated with the advent of fine-needle aspiration biopsy, specialized biomarkers, and molecular testing. However, gaps remain in risk stratification that can lead to substantial costs of care. Certain molecular tests, such as the Afirma Gene Sequencing Classifier can lead to a cost per diagnosis of $17,873 while achieving only mild decreases in diagnostic lobectomies for patients (11.6% to 9.7% in one study). Out-of-pocket costs associated with thyroid nodule management continue to drive significant financial toxicity for patients, especially for individuals with thyroid cancer. Financial toxicity has been defined as a term that describes how direct and indirect medical costs of cancer care strain patients and households via decreased income, assets, and spending on basic necessities. Recent studies suggest that such toxicity can lead to adverse financial outcomes, such as foreclosure and bankruptcy. Additional cost-effectiveness analyses are needed to improve existing thyroid nodule management systems and new clinical tools are needed to avoid unnecessary workup and management.

Evaluation of recurrence risk in patients with papillary thyroid cancer through tumor-node-metastasis staging: A single-center observational study in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Many patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) demonstrate satisfactory outcomes. However, 8%-28% of patients with PTC show tumor recurrence, which may affect prognosis. Therefore, identifying factors associated with tumor recurrence in patients with PTC may be helpful to refine therapeutic strategies.

METHODS

To identify factors associated with PTC recurrence, we retrospectively reviewed demographic features (sex and age), operation method, image character, serum thyroglobulin (Tg), accumulated radioactive iodine (I-131) therapeutic dose, I-131 uptake, and metastases at diagnosis in 829 patients with PTC. Patients were grouped into early (stage I and II; n = 698) and advanced (stage III and IV; n = 131) tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stages. Recurrence rate, mortality rate, risk factors of recurrence, recurrent free survival and overall survival curve were compared between two groups.

RESULTS

Patients in the early stage demonstrated a lower recurrence rate (7.2%) than did those in the advanced stage (28.2%, p < 0.05). The mortality rate of patients with recurrence in the advanced stage was higher than that of those in the early stage (51.4% vs. 12.0%). The major impact factors on tumor recurrence in early TNM stage were distant metastasis and lymph node metastasis, while in advanced TNM stage were distant metastasis, male gender, total thyroidectomy with limited lymph node dissection, and a high serum Tg level.

CONCLUSIONS

Strategies to monitor tumor recurrence might be refined according to the TNM stages of PTC patients.

Disparities in Thyroid Care

Thyroid disease affects an estimated 20 million Americans, with 1 in 8 women developing a thyroid disorder during her lifetime. Although most patients with thyroid cancer have a good prognosis and effective treatments for benign thyroid disease are available, disparities exist in thyroid care and result in worse outcomes for racial and ethnic minorities. Inequities in the diagnosis and treatment of thyroid disease are due to the complex interplay of systems-, physician-, and patient-level factors. Thus, innovative strategies that take an ecological approach to addressing racial disparities are needed to achieve equitable care for all patients with thyroid disease.

The Cost and Financial Burden of Thyroid Cancer on Patients in the US: A Review and Directions for Future Research

Importance

In the US, thyroid cancer has been identified as a cancer type with a high degree of associated financial burden on patients, and survivors of thyroid cancer report higher rates of bankruptcy than those of other cancer types. However, the available literature on the financial burden of thyroid cancer has not yet been described.

Observations

Estimates of the out-of-pocket costs of initial thyroid cancer diagnosis and treatment range widely ($1425-$17 000) and are influenced by age, surgical treatment type, and health insurance coverage. The rates of patient-reported financial burden are heterogeneous (16%-50%) and are rarely compared with those of other cancer types. Independent risk factors of financial burden have included younger age, lack of health insurance, and annual household income of less than $49 000. Two studies measured medical debt associated with thyroid cancer diagnosis and treatment at notably different rates (2.1% vs 18.7%). The bankruptcy incidence at 1 year after cancer diagnosis is highest for thyroid cancer (9.3 per 1000 person-years) than other studied cancer types (ie, lung, uterine, leukemia/lymphoma, colorectal, melanoma, breast, prostate) and 4.39-fold higher than control individuals among those aged 35 to 49 years.

Conclusions and Relevance

Current estimates of the financial burden of thyroid cancer are methodologically limited and are based on cross-sectional analyses of patient-reported data. We propose novel frameworks for new research by improvements in (1) data sourcing and utilization, (2) study design, and (3) pilot interventions. To understand how out-of-pocket thyroid cancer-related expenditures transition to various forms of debt, how households finance ongoing costs of care, and rates at which debts are sent to collection agencies, future research should focus on integrating underutilized sources of primary data, including credit reports, public records, and mortgage-backed securities loan-level data. Improvements in study design, such as the development of prospective cohorts, can allow for more objectively measured estimates of out-of-pocket costs, and robust covariate analysis can further reveal the influence of demographic factors, including age, sex, race, income, and health insurance coverage. Finally, new pilot interventions on cost controls can both enable further study and alleviate financial burden.

A machine-learning algorithm for distinguishing malignant from benign indeterminate thyroid nodules using ultrasound radiomic features

Background: Ultrasound (US)-guided fine needle aspiration (FNA) cytology is the gold standard for the evaluation of thyroid nodules. However, up to 30% of FNA results are indeterminate, requiring further testing. In this study, we present a machine-learning analysis of indeterminate thyroid nodules on ultrasound with the aim to improve cancer diagnosis. Methods: Ultrasound images were collected from two institutions and labeled according to their FNA (F) and surgical pathology (S) diagnoses [malignant (M), benign (B), and indeterminate (I)]. Subgroup breakdown (FS) included: 90 BB, 83 IB, 70 MM, and 59 IM thyroid nodules. Margins of thyroid nodules were manually annotated, and computerized radiomic texture analysis was conducted within tumor contours. Initial investigation was conducted using five-fold cross-validation paradigm with a two-class Bayesian artificial neural networks classifier, including stepwise feature selection. Testing was conducted on an independent set and compared with a commercial molecular testing platform. Performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic analysis in the task of distinguishing between malignant and benign nodules. Results: About 1052 ultrasound images from 302 thyroid nodules were used for radiomic feature extraction and analysis. On the training/validation set comprising 263 nodules, five-fold cross-validation yielded area under curves (AUCs) of 0.75 [Standard Error (SE) = 0.04; P < 0.001 ] and 0.67 (SE = 0.05; P = 0.0012 ) for the classification tasks of MM versus BB, and IM versus IB, respectively. On an independent test set of 19 IM/IB cases, the algorithm for distinguishing indeterminate nodules yielded an AUC value of 0.88 (SE = 0.09; P < 0.001 ), which was higher than the AUC of a commercially available molecular testing platform (AUC = 0.81, SE = 0.11; P < 0.005 ). Conclusion: Machine learning of computer-extracted texture features on gray-scale ultrasound images showed promising results classifying indeterminate thyroid nodules according to their surgical pathology.

A Comparison of the Burden of Thyroid Cancer Among the European Union 15+ Countries, 1990-2019: Estimates From the Global Burden of Disease Study

Importance

The global incidence of thyroid cancer has been increasing rapidly, and this increase has had an attendant burden on health systems. However, it is unclear how the burden of this disease differs among the pre-2004 countries of the European Union (Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, and the UK), US, Australia, Canada, and Norway (EU15+).

Objective

To assess the trends in mortality, incidence, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) associated with thyroid cancer between 1990 and 2019 in EU15+ nations. Data analysis was conducted from July 11 to October 11, 2021.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Observational cross-sectional analysis of the incidence of thyroid cancer was conducted using data obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study database. Nineteen countries of the EU15+ were included.

Exposures

Thyroid cancer.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) and DALYs were extracted for individual EU15+ countries per sex for each of the years from 1990 to 2019, and mortality-to-incidence indexes were computed. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to describe the trends.

Results

Thirteen of 19 countries (68%) showed an average annual percentage change increase in ASIR across the study period (range, 0.2%-2.5%). Joinpoint regression analysis revealed largely plateauing ASIR trends in recent years across most EU15+ nations since 1990. Between 2011 and 2019, the estimated annual percentage change in the US was 0. Australia, Denmark, and the US were the only countries with increasing ASMR trends with positive average annual percentage changes: Australia, 0.6 (95% CI, 0.2-1.0); Denmark, 1.0 (95% CI, 0.8-1.3); and US, 0.4 (95% CI, 0.4-0.5); the remaining 16 countries showed negative trends (range, -0.2 to -2.1). Disability-adjusted life-years decreased in all EU15+ countries except Australia, Denmark, and the US.

Conclusions and Relevance

This cross-sectional analysis found that overall, the burden of thyroid cancer across EU15+ countries appears to be decreasing, evidenced by plateauing incidence rates and reductions in mortality and DALYs over the 30-year study period. However, the US and Australia appear to have increasing ASMR and DALY trends. Ongoing observation is required to monitor how changes in international clinical practice guidelines affect thyroid cancer DALYs and mortality.

What's in a Name? A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of the Noninvasive Follicular Thyroid Neoplasm with Papillary-Like Nuclear Features' Nomenclature Revision

Background: The noninvasive subtype of encapsulated follicular variant of papillary thyroid carcinoma (eFVPTC) has been reclassified as noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features (NIFTP) in 2016 to reflect the indolent behavior and favorable prognosis of this type of tumor. This terminology change has also de-escalated its management approach from cancer treatment to a more conservative treatment strategy befitting a benign thyroid neoplasm. Objective: To characterize the reduced health care costs and improved quality of life (QOL) from management of NIFTP as a nonmalignant tumor compared with the previous management as eFVPTC. Methods: A cost-effectiveness analysis was performed by creating Markov models to simulate two management strategies for NIFTP: (i) de-escalated management of the tumor as NIFTP involving lobectomy with reduced follow-up, (ii) management of the tumor as eFVPTC involving completion thyroidectomy/radioactive iodine ablation for some patients, and follow-up recommended for carcinoma. The model was simulated for 5 and 20 years following diagnosis of NIFTP. Aggregate costs and quality-life years were measured. One-way sensitivity analysis was performed for all variables. Results: Over a five-year simulation period, de-escalated management of NIFTP had a total cost of $12,380.99 per patient while the more aggressive management of the tumor as eFVPTC had a total cost of $16,264.03 per patient (saving $3883.05 over five years). Management of NIFTP provided 5.00 quality-adjusted life years, whereas management as eFVPTC provided 4.97 quality-adjusted life years. Sensitivity analyses showed that management of NIFTP always resulted in lower costs and greater quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) over the sensitivity ranges for individual variables. De-escalated management for NIFTP is expected to produce ∼$6-42 million in cost savings over a five-year period for these patients, and incremental 54-370 QALYs of increased utility in the United States. Conclusion: The degree of cost savings and improved patient utility of de-escalated NIFTP management compared with traditional management was estimated to be $3883.05 and 0.03 QALYs per patient. We demonstrate that these findings persisted in sensitivity analysis to account for variability in recurrence rate, surveillance approaches, and other model inputs. These findings allow for greater understanding of the economic and QOL impact of the NIFTP reclassification.

Reducing the Number of Unnecessary Thyroid Nodule Biopsies With the American College of Radiology (ACR) Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (TI-RADS)

Introduction

Thyroid nodules are exceedingly common, occurring in up to 76% of adults. Less than 10% are palpable, and the majority are detected incidentally with an estimated prevalence of 68%, 25%, and 18% using ultrasound (US), CT, and MRI, respectively. The rising use of imaging over the last four decades has led to a significant increase in nodule detection or ‘over-identification,’ fine-needle aspiration (FNA), a higher reported incidence of thyroid cancer, and thyroidectomy. The purpose of this study is to provide a descriptive experience with thyroid nodule FNAs one year prior and one year after the implementation of the American College of Radiology (ACR) Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (TI-RADS) at a prototypical community hospital.

Methods

A total of 104 patients with 114 thyroid nodules underwent US-guided FNA at Bluewater Health from January 1, 2018, to March 31, 2020, with available cytological results (The Bethesda System). The study population was divided into two cohorts (January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2018 - ‘local best practice cohort’, and March 1, 2019, to March 31, 2020 - ‘ACR TI-RADS cohort’) based on the implementation of the ACR TI-RADS guidelines in March 2019.

Results

The local best practice cohort (January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2018) comprised 57 thyroid nodules in 52 patients (mean age 66 ± 12; 40 Women). The ACR TI-RADS cohort (March 1, 2019, to March 31, 2020) comprised 57 thyroid nodules in 52 patients (mean age 61 ± 16; 41 Women). There were no statistical differences with respect to age, gender, or thyroid nodule location. Our results show a dramatic decrease in the number of unnecessary FNAs if ACR TI-RADS was implemented from January to December 2018. Thirty (52.6%) of the previously sampled thyroid nodules using the local best practice guidelines would have been followed as per ACR TI-RADS.

Conclusion

ACR TI-RADS is a reliable classification system in routine practice that significantly reduces the number of unnecessary thyroid FNAs with higher specificity compared to local best practice guidelines.

Can ultrasensitive thyroglobulin immunoassays avoid the need for ultrasound in thyroid cancer follow-up?

PURPOSE

Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is the most common endocrine neoplasm, with a rising incidence and a long life expectancy. It has recently been suggested that patients with low- and intermediate-risk DTC with a good response to treatment at one year could be followed up using only highly sensitive immunoassays for thyroglobulin (Tg). The aim of this study was to examine the serum Tg levels in a series of DTC patients with histologically proven persistent or recurrent diseases.

METHODS

The study involved 50 consecutive patients being routinely followed up at our center, whose clinical, histological, and biochemical data were retrospectively collected.

RESULTS

The false-negative rate of ultrasensitive serum Tg assay was 14.3% (5/35) overall, and limited to anti-thyroglobulin autoantibodies (TgAb)-negative patients. Among them, only one patient had an excellent response to treatment at one-year follow-up and was diagnosed with a 4 mm recurrence, after more than seven years of periodic ultrasounds. The size of the neck lesion documented in the histological report was slightly larger in patients with detectable as opposed to negative Tg values (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum highly sensitive Tg is undetectable in a proportion of patients with a proven persistent or recurrent DTC. The reasons behind this phenomenon are still unknown. However, in low/intermediate-risk patients cured at one-year follow-up, highly sensitive Tg without neck US seems an appropriate strategy for patients' management.

Trends in the incidence of thyroid cancer in Incheon Province, South Korea, from 2004 to 2013: A representative sample study from Incheon cancer registry

AIM

This study aimed to assess the trends in the incidence of thyroid cancer in Incheon Province, South Korea, from 2004 to 2013 and to identify its association with thyroid cancer screening.

METHODS

We evaluated randomly sampled data of 10% of thyroid cancer patients collected between 2004 and 2013 from the Incheon Cancer Registry, Incheon, South Korea. The expected annual incidence rates of thyroid cancer from 2004 to 2013 were calculated, and the trends in annual incidence change were assessed using a Poisson regression model. In addition, the annual proportion change in the thyroid cancer population according to the detection method and tumor size was also calculated by evaluating the linear-by-linear association.

RESULTS

The average expected prevalence of thyroid cancer was 30 per 100,000 individuals from 2004 to 2013. The expected annual incidence of thyroid cancer per 100,000 individuals increased from 7 in 2004 to 49 in 2013, with an annual 1.25-fold difference (p < 0.001). Screening helped improve the detection of thyroid cancer annually, with the proportion increasing by screening detection (p < 0.001). Majority (54%) of the tumors were small (< 10 mm) and their detection rate increased from 2004 to 2013 (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of thyroid cancer has increased from 2004 to 2013 in Incheon Province, South Korea, with the increase being most significant for small tumors. These findings indicate that the increased incidence is primarily due to the widespread use of screening and not an actual increase in clinically significant thyroid cancer.

Incidence of Clinically Relevant Thyroid Cancers Remains Stable for Almost a Century: A Population-Based Study

OBJECTIVE

To examine the trends in incidence of clinically relevant thyroid cancers within the overall rising incidence of thyroid cancers.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This is a population-based cohort study conducted using the Rochester Epidemiology Project database to identify all new cases of thyroid cancer in Olmsted County, Minnesota, between January 1, 1935, and December 31, 2018. We extracted information about demographics and tumor pathologic type, size, and invasiveness. Clinically relevant cancers included aggressive histology or presence of metastatic disease, size larger than 4 cm, and gross extrathyroidal tumor invasion.

RESULTS

Between 1935 and 2018, 596 thyroid cancer cases were diagnosed (mean age, 46.4 years; 72% female; 87% papillary cancers; and median tumor size, 1.5 cm). The sex- and age-adjusted incidence of thyroid cancer increased from 1.3 per 100,000 person-years (p-y) from 1935-1949 to 12.0 per 100,000 p-y in 2010-2018, corresponding to an absolute change per decade of 1.4 (95% CI, 0.7 to 2.2). There was a nonsignificant period absolute change for patients with tumor greater than 4 cm (0.03; 95% CI, -0.2 to 0.3), with evidence of tumor invasion (0.1; 95% CI, -0.1 to 0.4), and with aggressive histology or presence of metastatic disease (0.2; 95% CI, -0.1 to 0.6). Thyroid cancer mortality was unchanged over the observation period.

CONCLUSION

Incidence rates of clinically relevant thyroid cancers, as defined by histology, size, and invasiveness, have not changed significantly in 80 years. The rising thyroid cancer incidence is driven by indolent thyroid cancers.

Cost-Effectiveness of Follow-up Ultrasound for Incidental Thyroid Nodules on CT

Background: Thyroid nodules are common incidental findings on CT. Existing professional society recommendations, based primarily on expert opinion, advise follow-up ultrasound for nodules above size cut-offs in patients of all ages. Purpose: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of current recommendations as well as of other age- and size-based follow-up strategies for thyroid nodules incidentally detected on CT, using a simulation model. Methods: By using a simulation model with 1,000,000 adult patients with nodules measuring ≤40 mm and having no suspicious features, we evaluated size cut-offs from 5 to 25 mm under an age maximum from 25 to 65 years, as well as follow-up versus no follow-up above the age maximum. For each strategy, patient survival was determined by disease-specific and baseline mortality rates, as well as surgical mortality. Costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were tabulated. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed varying model parameters. Results: All cost-effective strategies recommended no follow-up for patients above the age cut-offs (which varied from 25 to 65 years). In the base case simulation, 8 strategies were cost-effective under a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000/QALY. Of these, the strategy yielding the highest QALYs was follow-up for patients <60 years old with nodules ≥10 mm and no follow-up for patients ≥60 years old, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $50,196/QALY (95% CI $39,233 - $67,479). In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, if the 10-year disease-specific survival of untreated cancer was >94% of patients with treated cancer, then no follow-up for any nodules was optimal. Conclusion: Follow-up ultrasound for thyroid nodules incidentally detected on CT is likely not cost-effective in older patients. Follow-up for most thyroid nodules in younger patients may be cost-effective. Clinical Impact: Future societal recommendations may account for the limited benefit of obtaining follow-up for incidental thyroid nodules on CT in older patients.

Thyroid lobectomy as a cost-effective approach in low-risk papillary thyroid cancer versus active surveillance

BACKGROUND

An ongoing debate exists over the optimal management of low-risk papillary thyroid cancer. The American Thyroid Association supports the concept of active surveillance to manage low-risk papillary thyroid cancer; however, the cost-effectiveness of active surveillance has not yet been established. We sought to perform a cost-effectiveness analysis comparing active surveillance versus surgical intervention for patients in the United States.

METHODS

A Markov decision tree model was developed to compare active surveillance and thyroid lobectomy. Our reference case is a 40-year-old female who was diagnosed with unifocal (<15 mm), low-risk papillary thyroid cancer. Probabilistic outcomes, costs, and health utilities were determined using an extensive literature review. The willingness-to-pay threshold was set at $50,000/quality-adjusted life year gained. Sensitivity analyses were performed to account for uncertainty in the model's variables.

RESULTS

Lobectomy provided a final effectiveness of 21.7/quality-adjusted life years, compared with 17.3/quality-adjusted life years for active surveillance. Furthermore, incremental cost effectiveness ratio for lobectomy versus active surveillance was $19,560/quality-adjusted life year (<willing-to-pay threshold of $50,000/quality-adjusted life year), and thus surgical intervention proved to be cost-effective in patients between 40 and 69 years old. Further analysis revealed that, at the age of 69 years, active surveillance is more cost-effective than lobectomy, with a final effectiveness of 17.3/quality-adjusted life years. Compared to active surveillance, the incremental cost effectiveness ratio for lobectomy at the age of 69 was $27,235/quality-adjusted life year, which decreases quality-adjusted life years by 1.5.

CONCLUSION

Lobectomy is a cost-effective strategy in middle-aged patients with low-risk papillary thyroid cancer. In contrast, active surveillance is cost-effective beginning at the age of 69. Identification of such nuances can help physicians and patients determine the best, most individualized long-term management strategy for low-risk papillary thyroid cancer.

Trends in thyroid function testing, neck ultrasound, thyroid fine needle aspiration, and thyroidectomies in North-eastern Italy

PURPOSE

Evidence of an increased diagnostic pressure on thyroid has emerged over the past decades. This study aimed to provide estimates of a wide spectrum of surveillance indicators for thyroid dysfunctions and diseases in Italy.

METHODS

A population-based study was conducted in North-eastern Italy, including 11.7 million residents (20% of the total Italian population). Prescriptions for TSH testing, neck ultrasound or thyroid fine needle aspiration (FNA), surgical procedures, and drugs for hypo- or hyperthyroidism were extracted from regional health databases. Proportions and rates of selected examinations were calculated from 2010 to 2017, overall and by sex, calendar years, age, and region.

RESULTS

Between 2010 and 2017 in North-eastern Italy, 24.5% of women and 9.8% of men received at least one TSH test yearly. In 2017, 7.1% of women and 1.5% of men were prescribed drugs for thyroid dysfunction, 94.6% of whom for hypothyroidism. Neck ultrasound examinations were performed yearly in 6.9% of women and 4.6% of men, with a nearly two-fold variation between areas. Thyroid FNA and thyroidectomies were three-fold more frequent in women (394 and 85 per 100,000) than in men (128 and 29 per 100,000) with a marked variation between areas. Both procedures decreased consistently after 2013.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this population-based study describe recent variations over time and between surrounding areas of indicators of 'diagnostic pressure' on thyroid in North-eastern Italy. These results emphasize the need to harmonize practices and to reduce some procedures (e.g., neck ultrasound and total thyroidectomies) in certain areas.

The Concept of Economic Evaluation and Its Application in Thyroid Cancer Research

Economic evaluation is a type of comparative analysis between interventions in terms of both their resource use and health outcomes. Due to the good prognosis of thyroid cancer (TC), the socioeconomic burden of TC patients post-diagnosis is increasing. Therefore, economic evaluation studies focusing on TC are recommended. This study aimed to describe the concept and methods of economic evaluation and reviewed previous TC studies. Several previous studies compared the costs of interventions or evaluated recurrence, complications, or quality of life as measures of their effectiveness. Regarding costs, most studies focused on direct costs and applied hypothetical models. Cost-minimization analysis should be distinguished from simple cost analysis. Furthermore, due to the universality of the term "cost-effectiveness analysis" (CEA), several studies have not distinguished CEA from cost-utility analysis; this point needs to be considered in future research. Cost-benefit analyses have not been conducted in previous TC research. Since TC has a high survival rate and good prognosis, the need for economic evaluations has recently been pointed out. Therefore, correct concepts and methods are needed to obtain clear economic evaluation results. On this basis, it will be possible to provide appropriate guidelines for TC treatment and management in the future.

Multiparametric Photoacoustic Analysis of Human Thyroid Cancers In Vivo

Thyroid cancer is one of the most common cancers, with a global increase in incidence rate for both genders. Ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration is the current gold standard to diagnose thyroid cancers, but the results are inaccurate, leading to repeated biopsies and unnecessary surgeries. To reduce the number of unnecessary biopsies, we explored the use of multiparametric photoacoustic (PA) analysis in combination with the American Thyroid Association (ATA) Guideline (ATAP). In this study, we performed in vivo multispectral PA imaging on thyroid nodules from 52 patients, comprising 23 papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) and 29 benign cases. From the multispectral PA data, we calculated hemoglobin oxygen saturation level in the nodule area, then classified the PTC and benign nodules with multiparametric analysis. Statistical analyses showed that this multiparametric analysis of multispectral PA responses could classify PTC nodules. Combining the photoacoustically indicated probability of PTC and the ATAP led to a new scoring method that achieved a sensitivity of 83% and a specificity of 93%. This study is the first multiparametric analysis of multispectral PA data of thyroid nodules with statistical significance. As a proof of concept, the results show that the proposed new ATAP scoring can help physicians examine thyroid nodules for fine-needle aspiration biopsy, thus reducing unnecessary biopsies.

Incidental Thyroid Nodules on Imaging: Relevance and Management

Incidental thyroid nodules (ITNs) are commonly detected on imaging examinations performed for other reasons, particularly computed tomography (CT) (and now PET-CT and even PET-MR imaging), MR imaging, and sonography, primarily a consequence of the increasing sensitivity of these diagnostic modalities. Appropriate management of ITNs is crucial to avoid the cost and medical consequences of unnecessary workups.

Patient-Reported Financial Burden in Thyroid Cancer

BACKGROUND

The incidence of thyroid cancer is increasing at a rapid rate. Prior studies have demonstrated financial burden and decreased quality of life in patients with thyroid cancer. Here, we characterize patient-reported financial burden in patients with thyroid cancer over a 28y period.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients who underwent thyroidectomy for thyroid cancer from 1990-2018 completed a phone survey assessing financial burden and its related psychological financial hardship. Descriptive statistics were performed to characterize these outcomes and correlation with sociodemographic data was assessed.

RESULTS

Respondents (N = 147) were 73% female, 75% white, and had a median follow up of 7 y. The majority had a full-time job (59%) and private insurance (81%) at the time of diagnosis. Overall, 16% of respondents reported financial burden and 50% reported psychological financial hardship. Those reporting financial burden were disproportionately impacted by psychological financial hardship (87% versus 43%, P < 0.001). One in four (25%) respondents reported not being adequately informed about costs.

CONCLUSIONS

Financial burdens are important outcomes of thyroid cancer which occur even among patients with protective financial factors, suggesting an even greater impact on the general population of patients with thyroid cancer. Further research is needed to explore the intersection of financial burden, cost, and quality of life.

Cost-effectiveness of computed tomography nodal scan in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of ultrasound (US) only; computed tomography (CT) only; and combined US-CT in a base-case that underwent total thyroidectomy for a newly diagnosed papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) (scenario I) or surgery for recurrent disease (scenario II).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Markov chain model was developed comparing the above modalities. Follow-up time was set as 10 years. Costs and probabilities values are obtained from literature and the National Cancer Database.

RESULTS

Nodal mapping of the central compartment in both primary and recurrent PTC scenarios demonstrated combined utilization of preoperative US and CT is preferred over the use of US or CT separately; the final incurred management cost was [scenario I: U.S.$10,548.25 - scenario II: U.S.$11.197.88] and effectiveness was [scenario I: 6.875 Quality-adjusted-life-year (QALY) - scenario II: 6.871 QALY]. Nodal mapping of the lateral compartments favored US alone as the cost-effective modality in both scenarios; the final incurred management cost was [scenario I: U.S.$10,716.60 - scenario II: U.S.$11,247.92] and effectiveness was [scenario I: 6.879 QALY - scenario II: 6.883 QALY]. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that for combined utilization of US and CT scans to remain cost-effective, the cost of a CT scan should be less than U.S.$1,127.54.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the model, combined utilization of US and CT is cost-effective in nodal mapping patients with PTC.

Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Health Economic Review

Simple Summary

This review reflects on health economic considerations associated with the increasing diagnosis and treatment of differentiated thyroid cancer. Analysis of different relevant health economic topics, such as overdiagnosis, overtreatment, surgical costs, and costs of follow-up are being addressed. Several unanswered research questions such as optimising molecular markers for diagnosis, active surveillance of primary tumours, and improved risk stratification and survivorship care all influence future healthcare expenditures.

Abstract

The incidence of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is rising, mainly because of an increased detection of asymptomatic thyroid nodularity revealed by the liberal use of thyroid ultrasound. This review aims to reflect on the health economic considerations associated with the increasing diagnosis and treatment of DTC. Overdiagnosis and the resulting overtreatment have led to more surgical procedures, increasing health care and patients’ costs, and a large pool of community-dwelling thyroid cancer follow-up patients. Additionally, the cost of thyroid surgery seems to increase year on year even when inflation is taken into account. The increased healthcare costs and spending have placed significant pressure to identify potential factors associated with these increased costs. Some truly ground-breaking work in health economics has been undertaken, but more cost-effectiveness studies and micro-cost analyses are required to evaluate expenses and guide future solutions.

Financial Hardship Among Hispanic Women with Thyroid Cancer

Background: Little is known about financial hardship among Hispanic women with thyroid cancer. The goal of this study was to determine the prevalence of financial hardship and to identify correlates of financial hardship in this understudied patient group. Methods: We surveyed Hispanic women who had diagnoses of thyroid cancer reported to the Los Angeles Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) registry in 2014-2015, and who had previously completed our thyroid cancer survey in 2017-2018 (N = 273; 80% response rate). Acculturation was assessed with the Short Acculturation Scale for Hispanics (SASH). Patients were asked about three outcome measures since their thyroid cancer diagnosis: (i) financial status, (ii) insurance status, and (iii) material measures of financial hardship, collapsed into a single composite measure of financial hardship. We used multivariable logistic regression to identify correlates of financial hardship. Results: Patients' median age at diagnosis was 47 years (range 20-79 years); 49% were low-acculturated and 47% reported financial hardship. Since their thyroid cancer diagnosis, 31% and 12% of the cohort reported being worse off regarding financial and insurance status, respectively. In multivariable analysis, high-acculturated older women were less likely to experience financial hardship compared with high-acculturated 20-year-old women. While financial hardship decreased with age for high-acculturated women (p = 0.002), financial hardship remained elevated across all age groups for low-acculturated women (p = 0.54). Conclusions: Our findings suggest that across all age groups, low-acculturated Hispanic women with thyroid cancer are vulnerable to financial hardship, emphasizing the need for tailored patient-focused interventions.

Global, regional, and national burden and quality of care index (QCI) of thyroid cancer: A systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990-2017

BACKGROUND

Thyroid cancer (TC) is the most prevalent malignancy of the endocrine system. Over the past decades, TC incidence rates have been increasing. TC quality of care (QOC) has yet to be well understood. We aimed to assess the quality of TC care and its disparities.

METHODS

We retrieved primary epidemiologic indices from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 1990-2017 database. We calculated four secondary indices of mortality to incidence ratio, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) to prevalence ratio, prevalence to incidence ratio, and years of life lost (YLLs) to years lived with disability (YLD) ratio and summarized them by the principal component analysis (PCA) to produce one unique index presented as the quality of care index (QCI) ranged between 0 and 100, to compare different scales. The gender disparity ratio (GDR), defined as the QCI for females divided by QCI for males, was applied to show gender inequity.

RESULTS

In 2017, there were 255,489 new TC incident cases (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 245,709-272,470) globally, which resulted in 41,235 deaths (39,911-44,139). The estimated global QCI was 84.39. The highest QCI was observed in the European region (93.84), with Italy having the highest score (99.77). Conversely, the lowest QCI was seen in the African region (55.09), where the Central African Republic scored the lowest (13.64). The highest and lowest socio-demographic index (SDI) regions scored 97.27 and 53.85, respectively. Globally, gender disparity was higher after the age of 40 years and in favor of better care in women.

CONCLUSION

TC QOC is better among those countries of higher socioeconomic status, possibly due to better healthcare access and early detection in these regions. Overall, the quality of TC care was higher in women and younger adults. Countries could adopt the introduced index of QOC to investigate the quality of provided care for different diseases and conditions.

Postoperative Surveillance in Older Adults With T1N0M0 Low-risk Papillary Thyroid Cancer

BACKGROUND

The frequency and cost of postoperative surveillance for older adults (>65 y) with T1N0M0 low-risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) have not been well studied.

METHODS

Using the SEER-Medicare (2006-2013) database, frequency and cost of surveillance concordant with American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines (defined as an office visit, ≥1 thyroglobulin measurement, and ultrasound 6- to 24-month postoperatively) were analyzed for the overall cohort of single-surgery T1N0M0 low-risk PTC, stratified by lobectomy versus total thyroidectomy.

RESULTS

Majority of 2097 patients in the study were white (86.7%) and female (77.5%). Median age and tumor size were 72 y (interquartile range 68-76) and 0.6 cm (interquartile range 0.3-1.1 cm), respectively; 72.9% of patients underwent total thyroidectomy. Approximately 77.5% of patients had a postoperative surveillance visit; however, only 15.9% of patients received ATA-concordant surveillance. Patients who underwent total thyroidectomy as compared with lobectomy were more likely to undergo surveillance testing, thyroglobulin (61.7% versus 24.8%) and ultrasound (37.5% versus 29.2%) (all P < 0.01), and receive ATA-concordant surveillance (18.5% versus 9.0%, P < 0.001). Total surveillance cost during the study period was $621,099. Diagnostic radioactive iodine, ablation, and advanced imaging (such as positron emission tomography scans) accounted for 55.5% of costs ($344,692), whereas ATA-concordant care accounted for 44.5% of costs. After multivariate adjustment, patients who underwent total thyroidectomy as compared with lobectomy were twice as likely to receive ATA-concordant surveillance (adjusted odds ratio 2.0, 95% confidence interval: 1.5-2.8, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Majority of older adults with T1N0M0 low-risk PTC do not receive ATA-concordant surveillance; discordant care was costly. Total thyroidectomy was the strongest predictor of receiving ATA-concordant care.

Focal Thyroid Incidentalomas on 18F-FDG PET/CT: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis on Prevalence, Risk of Malignancy and Inconclusive Fine Needle Aspiration

BACKGROUND

The rising demand for ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography with computed tomography (¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT) has led to an increase of thyroid incidentalomas. Current guidelines are restricted in giving options to tailor diagnostics and to suit the individual patient.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed at exploring the extent of potential overdiagnostics by performing a systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature on the prevalence, the risk of malignancy (ROM) and the risk of inconclusive FNAC (ROIF) of focal thyroid incidentalomas (FTI) on ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT.

DATA SOURCES

A literature search in MEDLINE, Embase and Web of Science was performed to identify relevant studies.

STUDY SELECTION

Studies providing information on the prevalence and/or ROM of FTI on ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT in patients with no prior history of thyroid disease were selected by two authors independently. Sixty-one studies met the inclusion criteria.

DATA ANALYSIS

A random effects meta-analysis on prevalence, ROM and ROIF with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) was performed. Heterogeneity and publication bias were tested. Risk of bias was assessed using the quality assessment of diagnostic accuracy studies (QUADAS-2) tool.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Fifty studies were suitable for prevalence analysis. In total, 12,943 FTI were identified in 640,616 patients. The pooled prevalence was 2.22% (95% CI = 1.90% - 2.54%, I² = 99%). 5151 FTI had cyto- or histopathology results available. The pooled ROM was 30.8% (95% CI = 28.1% - 33.4%, I² = 57%). 1308 (83%) of malignant nodules were papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). The pooled ROIF was 20.8% (95% CI = 13.7% - 27.9%, I² = 92%).

LIMITATIONS

The main limitations were the low to moderate methodological quality of the studies and the moderate to high heterogeneity of the results.

CONCLUSION

FTI are a common finding on ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CTs. Nodules are malignant in approximately one third of the cases, with the majority being PTC. Cytology results are non-diagnostic or indeterminate in one fifth of FNACs. These findings reveal the potential risk of overdiagnostics of FTI and emphasize that the workup of FTI should be performed within the context of the patient's disease and that guidelines should adopt this patient tailored approach.