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Mao L, Yu Z, Lin L, Sharma M, Song H, Zhao H, Xu X. Determinants of Visual Impairment Among Chinese Middle-Aged and Older Adults: Risk Prediction Model Using Machine Learning Algorithms. JMIR Aging 2024; 7:e59810. [PMID: 39382570 PMCID: PMC11481821 DOI: 10.2196/59810] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/23/2024] [Revised: 07/17/2024] [Accepted: 08/13/2024] [Indexed: 10/10/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Visual impairment (VI) is a prevalent global health issue, affecting over 2.2 billion people worldwide, with nearly half of the Chinese population aged 60 years and older being affected. Early detection of high-risk VI is essential for preventing irreversible vision loss among Chinese middle-aged and older adults. While machine learning (ML) algorithms exhibit significant predictive advantages, their application in predicting VI risk among the general middle-aged and older adult population in China remains limited. Objective This study aimed to predict VI and identify its determinants using ML algorithms. Methods We used 19,047 participants from 4 waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) that were conducted between 2011 and 2018. To envisage the prevalence of VI, we generated a geographical distribution map. Additionally, we constructed a model using indicators of a self-reported questionnaire, a physical examination, and blood biomarkers as predictors. Multiple ML algorithms, including gradient boosting machine, distributed random forest, the generalized linear model, deep learning, and stacked ensemble, were used for prediction. We plotted receiver operating characteristic and calibration curves to assess the predictive performance. Variable importance analysis was used to identify key predictors. Results Among all participants, 33.9% (6449/19,047) had VI. Qinghai, Chongqing, Anhui, and Sichuan showed the highest VI rates, while Beijing and Xinjiang had the lowest. The generalized linear model, gradient boosting machine, and stacked ensemble achieved acceptable area under curve values of 0.706, 0.710, and 0.715, respectively, with the stacked ensemble performing best. Key predictors included hearing impairment, self-expectation of health status, pain, age, hand grip strength, depression, night sleep duration, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and arthritis or rheumatism. Conclusions Nearly one-third of middle-aged and older adults in China had VI. The prevalence of VI shows regional variations, but there are no distinct east-west or north-south distribution differences. ML algorithms demonstrate accurate predictive capabilities for VI. The combination of prediction models and variable importance analysis provides valuable insights for the early identification and intervention of VI among Chinese middle-aged and older adults.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lijun Mao
- School of Public Health, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, 1200 Cai Lun Road, Shanghai, 201203, China, 86 18721538966, 86 021-51322421
| | - Zhen Yu
- Monash e-Research Centre, Faculty of Engineering, Airdoc Research, Nvidia AI Technology Research Centre, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Luotao Lin
- Nutrition and Dietetics Program, Department of Individual, Family, and Community Education, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, United States
| | - Manoj Sharma
- Department of Social and Behavioral Health, School of Public Health, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, NV, United States
- Department of Internal Medicine, Kirk Kerkorian School of Medicine, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, NV, United States
| | - Hualing Song
- School of Public Health, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, 1200 Cai Lun Road, Shanghai, 201203, China, 86 18721538966, 86 021-51322421
| | - Hailei Zhao
- School of Public Health, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, 1200 Cai Lun Road, Shanghai, 201203, China, 86 18721538966, 86 021-51322421
| | - Xianglong Xu
- School of Public Health, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, 1200 Cai Lun Road, Shanghai, 201203, China, 86 18721538966, 86 021-51322421
- School of Translational Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Artificial Intelligence and Modelling in Epidemiology Program, Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, Carlton, Victoria, Australia
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Jiang Q, Wang S, Zhang H, Guo Y, Lou Y, Huang S, You Q, Cao S. The Association Between Solid Fuel Use and Visual Impairment Among Middle-Aged and Older Chinese Adults: Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study. JMIR Public Health Surveill 2023; 9:e43914. [PMID: 37494091 PMCID: PMC10413239 DOI: 10.2196/43914] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2022] [Revised: 05/13/2023] [Accepted: 06/21/2023] [Indexed: 07/27/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Indoor air pollution has been reported to have adverse effects on the eye; however, the health effects of exposure to cooking with solid fuels on visual impairment remain unclear in China. OBJECTIVE We aimed to examine the association between cooking with solid fuels and visual impairment, including distance visual impairment (DVI) and near visual impairment (NVI). METHODS Data were obtained from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, a nationwide survey of adults aged over 45 years who were enrolled in 2011 (Wave 1) and followed up in Wave 2 (2013), Wave 3 (2015), and Wave 4 (2018). We used Cox proportional hazards models to determine the association between solid fuels use and visual impairment. Additionally, the impact of switching cooking fuel types on vision function were examined through wave-specific data analysis (Wave 1 and Wave 4). Interaction and subgroup analyses were performed to explore the potential effect modifiers. Data were collected using the stratified multistage random sampling method and further analyzed using SPSS 27.0 and R 4.2.1 statistical software packages. RESULTS A total of 9559 middle-aged and older Chinese adults without visual impairment at baseline were included in the study, with 51.2% (n=4914) of the participants reporting that they cooked with solid fuels. During the follow-up period, 2644 (27.5%) and 3130 (32.6%) participants developed DVI and NVI, respectively. Compared with the clean fuel users, participants who cooked with solid fuels had a higher risk of DVI (hazards ratio [HR] 1.38, 95% CI 1.28-1.50) and NVI (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.10-1.27). In addition, switching the cooking fuel type from clean to solid fuels was associated with an elevated risk of DVI (HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.15-1.98) and NVI (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.06-1.82) compared to persistently using clean fuels during the follow-up period, although no protective effect of switching from solid to clean fuels on NVI was found (P=.52). In subgroup analysis, we found that cooking with solid fuels increased the risk of DVI in participants younger than 65 years (HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.28-1.55), men (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.28-1.65), urban residents (HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.08-1.75), and smokers (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.25-1.64). By contrast, negative effects of cooking with solid fuels on NVI were found in nonsmokers (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.11-1.33) and urban residents (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.10-1.37). CONCLUSIONS Cooking with solid fuels was associated with an increased risk of visual impairment among middle-aged and older Chinese adults. These findings indicate that promoting the utilization of clean fuels is conducive to reducing the burden of visual impairment for the public.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qingqing Jiang
- School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Shiqi Wang
- School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Hao Zhang
- School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Yan Guo
- School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Yiling Lou
- School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Shen Huang
- School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Qiqi You
- School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Shiyi Cao
- School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
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Li P, Zhang C, Gao S, Zhang Y, Liang X, Wang C, Zhu T, Li W. Association Between Daily Internet Use and Incidence of Chronic Diseases Among Older Adults: Prospective Cohort Study. J Med Internet Res 2023; 25:e46298. [PMID: 37459155 PMCID: PMC10390981 DOI: 10.2196/46298] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2023] [Revised: 05/18/2023] [Accepted: 06/19/2023] [Indexed: 07/20/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Chronic disease incidence among the elderly is increasing, which is correlated with the acceleration of population aging. Evolving internet technologies may help prevent and provide interventions for chronic diseases in an accelerating aging process. However, the impact of daily internet use on the incidence of chronic diseases is not well understood. OBJECTIVE This study aims to investigate whether daily internet use by middle-aged and older adults may inhibit or promote the occurrence of chronic diseases. METHODS We included participants from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), a longitudinal survey of Chinese residents aged ≥45 years. We assessed 8-year data from wave 1 (June 2011-March 2012) to wave 4 (July-September 2018) in CHARLS. Data from wave 4 were used for a cross-sectional study, and data from all 4 waves were used for a longitudinal study. Self-reported data were used to track variables, including internet use, use frequency, and the incidence of different chronic diseases. Cox proportional hazards modeling was applied in the longitudinal study to examine the relationship between daily internet use and chronic diseases among middle-aged and older adults, while adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics and health behaviors. In addition, longitudinal data were used to analyze internet usage trends, and cross-sectional data were used to analyze the factors influencing internet use. RESULTS Among the 20,113 participants included in the longitudinal analyses, internet use increased significantly, from 2% to 12.3%, between 2011 and 2018. The adjusted model found statistically significant relationships between daily internet use and a lower incidence of the following chronic diseases: hypertension (hazard ratio [HR] 0.78, 95% CI 0.65-0.95, P=.01), chronic lung disease (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.57-0.97, P=.03), stroke (HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.50-0.94, P=.02), digestive disease (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.58-0.91, P=.005), memory-related disorders (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.37-0.91, P=.02), arthritis or rheumatism (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.48-0.76, P<.001), asthma (HR 0.52, 95% CI 0.33-0.84, P=.007), depression (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.71-0.89, P<.001), and vision impairment (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.74-0.93, P=.004). Moreover, our study also showed that with increasing frequency of internet use, the risk of some chronic diseases decreases. CONCLUSIONS This study found that middle-aged and older adults who use the internet have a reduced risk of developing chronic diseases versus those who do not use the internet. The increasing prevalence of daily internet use among middle-aged and older adults may stimulate contemplation of the potential role of internet platforms in future research on chronic disease prevention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peiyi Li
- Department of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Laboratory of Anesthesia and Critical Care Medicine, National-Local Joint Engineering Research Centre of Translational Medicine of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- The Research Units of West China (2018RU012)-Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Chenyang Zhang
- Institute of Hospital Management, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- West China School of Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Shuanliang Gao
- Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, China
| | - Yanbo Zhang
- Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, United States
| | - Xiaolong Liang
- State Key Laboratory of Grassland Agro-Ecosystems, College of Ecology, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
| | - Chengdi Wang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Institute of Respiratory Health, Frontiers Science Center for Disease-related Molecular Network, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Tao Zhu
- Department of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Laboratory of Anesthesia and Critical Care Medicine, National-Local Joint Engineering Research Centre of Translational Medicine of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- The Research Units of West China (2018RU012)-Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Weimin Li
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- Institute of Respiratory Health, Frontiers Science Center for Disease-related Molecular Network, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
- President's Office, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
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He W, Li P, Gao Y, You J, Chang J, Qu X, Zhang W. Self-reported visual impairment and depression of middle-aged and older adults: The chain-mediating effects of internet use and social participation. Front Public Health 2022; 10:957586. [PMID: 36466466 PMCID: PMC9714326 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.957586] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/31/2022] [Accepted: 10/28/2022] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Visual impairment (VI) is a strong predictor of depression in middle-aged and older adults. However, the underlying mechanisms and pathways have not been well characterized. The purpose of this study was to determine whether Internet use and social participation mediate the effects of self-reported VI on depression. Methods The study used the fourth wave of cross-sectional data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, including 19,766 Chinese adults. Depression was assessed according to the CES-D 10 International Scale. Logistic regression models were used to examine the relationship between self-reported VI and depression. While adjusting for relevant covariates, the PROCESS macro (model nos. 6 and 91) was used to assess the chain-mediating effects of Internet use and social participation. Results A total of 17,433 respondents were included in this study. The CES-D 10 results showed that 7,327 middle-aged and older adults had depressive symptoms, of whom 39.5% were male and 10.2% were ≥75 years old. 32.1% of respondents self-reported VI. Regression analysis showed a positive association between VI and depression, while Internet use and social participation had a negative predictive effect on depression. In the mediation analysis, the social participation pathway contributed the most to the total effect, accounting for 52.69% of it. The proportion of Internet use is 37.72%. When these two mediators were considered together in the full model, they accounted for 9.58% of the total effect of VI on depression. Conclusion Internet use and social participation were important mediators that mitigated the effects of VI on depression. Combined with previous evidence, online activities such as e-health and m-health can effectively promote disease monitoring and diagnosis, and various offline social participation activities can also play a role in regulating emotions. Therefore, Internet use and social participation factors may serve as relevant entry points for the development of intervention programs that may further improve the mental health of the visually impaired.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wenbo He
- Institute of Hospital Management, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China,Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Peiyi Li
- Department of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China,Laboratory of Anesthesia and Critical Care Medicine, National-Local Joint Engineering Research Center of Translational Medicine of Anesthesiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China,The Research Units of West China (2018RU012)-Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Yinyan Gao
- Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Jiuhong You
- School of Rehabilitation Sciences, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Jiangeng Chang
- Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Xing Qu
- Institute of Hospital Management, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Wei Zhang
- West China Biomedical Big Data Center, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China,*Correspondence: Wei Zhang
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Islam S, Upadhyay AK, Mohanty SK, Pedgaonkar SP, Maurer J, O'Donnell O. Use of unclean cooking fuels and visual impairment of older adults in India: A nationally representative population-based study. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2022; 165:107302. [PMID: 35617815 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2022.107302] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2022] [Revised: 04/27/2022] [Accepted: 05/13/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
Despite widespread use of unclean cooking fuels (UCF) in India, evidence from nationally representative data on its association with visual impairment was lacking. We used a population-based nationwide survey of adults aged 45 years and older that included reported UCF and measured visual impairment. We estimated that 44.8% (95% CI: 42.6, 47.1) of older adults in India lived in households that used UCF. Age- and sex-adjusted prevalence of visual impairment was estimated to be 33.0% (95% CI: 31.0, 34.9) in the older population that did not use UCF and 9.0 percentage points (pp) (95% CI: 8.9, 9.1) higher among those who did. Among those who used UCF, age- and sex-adjusted prevalence of low distance vision was 4.3 pp (95% CI: 4.2, 4.4) higher, prevalence of low near vision was 8.0 pp (95% CI: 7.9, 8.1) higher, and prevalence of blindness was 1.0 pp (95% CI: 0.9, 1.0) higher. After controlling for a rich array of sociodemographic characteristics and state fixed effects, we estimated that use of UCF was associated with higher prevalence of visual impairment by 3.2 pp (95% CI: 1.4, 5.0), low distance vision by 1.8 pp (95% CI: 0.7, 2.9), and low near vision by 3.2 pp (95% CI: 1.3, 5.0). Doubly robust estimates of these differences were slightly larger. Blindness was not significantly partially associated with use of UCF (95% CI: -0.4, 0.6). We did not find support for the hypotheses that the visual impairment risk associated with use of UCF was even larger for females and in households without a separate kitchen or ventilation. The older population of India is highly reliant on UCF that is very strongly associated with visual impairment. Impaired vision should not be overlooked among the harms associated with UCF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samarul Islam
- International Institute for Population Sciences, Govandi Station Road, Deonar, Mumbai 400088, India.
| | - Ashish Kumar Upadhyay
- International Institute for Population Sciences, Govandi Station Road, Deonar, Mumbai 400088, India.
| | - Sanjay K Mohanty
- Department of Population & Development, International Institute for Population Sciences, Govandi Station Road, Deonar, Mumbai 400088, India.
| | - Sarang P Pedgaonkar
- Department of Family & Generations, International Institute for Population Sciences, Govandi Station Road, Deonar, Mumbai 400088, India.
| | - Jürgen Maurer
- Institute of Health Economics and Management, Department of Economics, University of Lausanne, Switzerland.
| | - Owen O'Donnell
- Erasmus School of Economics and Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Netherlands.
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Ogliari G, Ryg J, Qureshi N, Andersen-Ranberg K, Scheel-Hincke LL, Masud T. Subjective vision and hearing impairment and falls among community-dwelling adults: a prospective study in the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE). Eur Geriatr Med 2021; 12:1031-1043. [PMID: 34003480 DOI: 10.1007/s41999-021-00505-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/20/2021] [Accepted: 04/27/2021] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE To investigate the association between vision and hearing impairment and falls in community-dwelling adults aged ≥ 50 years. METHODS This is a prospective study on 50,986 participants assessed in Waves 6 and 7 of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe. At baseline, we recorded socio-demographic data, clinical factors and self-reported vision and hearing impairment. We classified participants as having good vision and hearing, impaired vision, impaired hearing or impaired vision and hearing. We recorded falls in the six months prior to the baseline and 2-year follow-up interviews. The cross-sectional and longitudinal associations between vision and hearing impairment categories and falls were analysed by binary logistic regression models; odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated. All analyses were adjusted for socio-demographic and clinical factors. RESULTS Mean age was 67.1 years (range 50-102). At baseline, participants with impaired vision, impaired hearing, and impaired vision and hearing had an increased falls risk (OR (95% CI)) of 1.34 (1.22-1.49), 1.34 (1.20-1.50) and 1.67 (1.50-1.87), respectively, compared to those with good vision and hearing (all p < 0.001). At follow-up, participants with impaired vision, without or with impaired hearing, had an increased falls risk of 1.19 (1.08-1.31) and 1.33 (1.20-1.49), respectively, compared to those with good vision and hearing (both p < 0.001); hearing impairment was longitudinally associated with falls in middle-aged women. CONCLUSION Vision impairment was cross-sectionally and longitudinally associated with an increased falls risk. This risk was highest in adults with dual sensory impairment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giulia Ogliari
- Department of Health Care for Older People (HCOP), Queen's Medical Centre, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Derby Road, Nottingham, NG7 2UH, Nottinghamshire, UK.
| | - Jesper Ryg
- Department of Geriatric Medicine, Odense University Hospital, Sdr. Boulevard 29, 5000, Odense, Denmark.,Geriatric Research Unit, Department of Clinical Research, University of Southern Denmark, Sdr. Boulevard 29, 5000, Odense, Denmark
| | - Nadeem Qureshi
- Division of Primary Care, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
| | - Karen Andersen-Ranberg
- Department of Geriatric Medicine, Odense University Hospital, Sdr. Boulevard 29, 5000, Odense, Denmark.,Geriatric Research Unit, Department of Clinical Research, University of Southern Denmark, Sdr. Boulevard 29, 5000, Odense, Denmark.,Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, J.B. Winslowvej 9B, 5000, Odense, Denmark
| | - Lasse Lybecker Scheel-Hincke
- Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, J.B. Winslowvej 9B, 5000, Odense, Denmark
| | - Tahir Masud
- Department of Health Care for Older People (HCOP), Queen's Medical Centre, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Derby Road, Nottingham, NG7 2UH, Nottinghamshire, UK.,Department of Geriatric Medicine, Odense University Hospital, Sdr. Boulevard 29, 5000, Odense, Denmark
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