A risk score to predict the development of hepatic encephalopathy in a population-based cohort of patients with cirrhosis

Prevalence and Precipitants of Hepatic Encephalopathy in Hospitalized Children With Chronic Liver Disease

Objective

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a marker of poor prognosis in adults with chronic liver disease (CLD). We prospectively studied the prevalence and precipitants of HE in children with CLD as there is a paucity of literature on the same.

Methods

Children (1-18 years) admitted with CLD were examined daily for the presence and grading of HE (West Haven/Whittington grading). Precipitants were classified as infection, dyselectrolytemia, gastrointestinal bleeding, constipation and dehydration. Changes in grades of HE and outcome were noted.

Results

One hundred and sixty children (age 120 [84-168] months) were enrolled. HE was present in 50 (31.2%) patients with a total of 61 episodes. Maximum grade of HE was grade I (n = 16), II (n = 23), III (n = 11) and IV (n = 11). Forty-two cases had single and 8 had recurrent (2-5) episodes. Median duration of HE episodes was 96 (72-192) hours. Precipitants were identified in 55/61 (90.2%) episodes with infection (45/61, 73.7%) and dyselectrolytemia (33/61, 54%) being the most common. Lower albumin and sodium, higher INR and presence of infection were significantly associated with presence of HE. Overall, HE resolved in 33 (54%) episodes, while it progressed and persisted in 28 (45.9%) episodes. Patients with HE had a poorer outcome (25/50 vs 13/110; P < 0.01) with both higher in-hospital (11/50 vs 9/110; P = 0.02) and 1-month post discharge (14/39 vs 4/101; P < 0.01) mortality than those without HE.

Conclusion

One-third of admitted CLD children have HE, with identifiable precipitants in 90% of cases. Children with HE have poorer liver functions, higher rate of infections and worse outcome than those without HE.

HEAR-MHE study: Automated speech analysis identifies minimal hepatic encephalopathy and may predict future overt hepatic encephalopathy

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

HE is a major cause of poor quality of life in patients with cirrhosis. A simple diagnostic test to identify minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE) and predict future overt HE (OHE) is lacking. We aimed to evaluate if analysis of speech patterns using a modern speech platform (1) correlates with validated HE tests, (2) correlates with MHE, and (3) predicts future OHE.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

In a two-center prospective cohort study of 200 outpatients with cirrhosis and 50 controls, patients underwent baseline speech recording and validated HE diagnostic testing with psychometric HE score. Patients were followed for 6 months to identify episodes of OHE. Seven hundred fifty-two speech variables were extracted using an automated speech analysis platform, reflecting the acoustic, lexical, and semantic aspects of speech. Patients with cirrhosis were median 63 years old (IQR 54, 68), 49.5% (99) were female. Over 100 speech variables were significantly associated with psychometric HE score ( p <0.05 with false discovery rate adjustment). A three-variable speech model (2 acoustic, 1 speech tempo variable) was similar to animal naming test in predicting MHE (AUC 0.76 vs. 0.69; p =0.11). Adding age and MELD-Na improved the accuracy of the speech model (AUC: 0.82). A combined clinical-speech model ("HEAR-MHE model") predicted time to OHE with a concordance of 0.74 ( p =0.06).

CONCLUSIONS

Automated speech analysis is highly correlated with validated HE tests, associated with MHE, and may predict future OHE. Future research is needed to validate this tool and to understand how it can be implemented in clinical practice.

Other causes of neurocognitive impairment than covert hepatic encephalopathy (CHE) are very frequent, either alone or associated with CHE, in cirrhotic patients with cognitive complaints

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Although it is well admitted that cirrhotic patients display various causes of neurocognitive impairment (NI) hampering the diagnosis of covert hepatic encephalopathy (CHE), those are almost never investigated per se. The aims of this study were, in cirrhotic patients displaying cognitive complaints explored by a complete multimodal work-up, to assess: (1) the prevalence of CHE and/or that of other causes of NI and (2) their outcomes, according to the cause of NI.

METHODS

Prospective cohort of cirrhotic patients referred in a dedicated clinic because of cognitive complaints. Work-up included a complete neuropsychological assessment, electroencephalogram (EEG) and brain magnetic resonance imaging with spectroscopy. The diagnosis of CHE was made by an adjudication committee involving the physicians/neuropsychologist.

RESULTS

One hundred and twenty-three patients were included (alcohol/MASLD/virus in 63/53/14%, MELD = 11). Sixty-six per cent of them were diagnosed with CHE; among them, 73% exhibited also other causes of NI, mainly cerebrovascular diseases/psychiatric. Among patients without CHE, 48% and 59% displayed pathological Psychometric Hepatic Encephalopathy Score and animal naming test, respectively. Clinical improvement was observed in 77% of the patients re-evaluated after specific management. CHE, but not the other causes of NI, was independently associated with OHE occurrence.

CONCLUSION

Other causes of NI than CHE are frequent in patients with cirrhosis, and not ruled-out by the classical tests dedicated to CHE. Prognosis was influenced by the cause of NI. The management of patients even without CHE led to clinical improvement, underlining the need for a multifaceted approach of cirrhotic patients with cognitive complaints.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of biomarkers predicting decompensation in patients with compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The transition from compensated to decompensated cirrhosis is crucial, drastically reducing prognosis from a median survival of over 10 years to 2 years. There is currently an unmet need to accurately predict decompensation. We systematically reviewed and meta-analysed data regarding biomarker use to predict decompensation in individuals with compensated cirrhosis.

METHODS

PubMed and EMBASE database searches were conducted for all studies from inception until February 2024. The study was carried out according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. The Quality of Prognosis Studies framework was used to assess the risk of bias. The meta-analysis was conducted with a random effects model using STATA software.

RESULTS

Of the 652 studies initially identified, 63 studies (n=31 438 patients) were included in the final review, examining 49 biomarkers. 25 studies (40%) were prospective with the majority of studies looking at all-cause decompensation (90%). The most well-studied biomarkers were platelets (n=17), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (n=17) and albumin (n=16). A meta-analysis revealed elevated international normalised ratio was the strongest predictor of decompensation, followed by decreased albumin. However, high statistical heterogeneity was noted (l2 result of 96.3%). Furthermore, 21 studies were assessed as having a low risk of bias (34%), 26 (41%) moderate risk and 16 (25%) high risk.

CONCLUSIONS

This review highlights key biomarkers that should potentially be incorporated into future scoring systems to predict decompensation. However, future biomarker studies should be conducted with rigorous and standardised methodology to ensure robust and comparable data.

Medication burden and anticholinergic use are associated with overt HE in individuals with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Polypharmacy and anticholinergic medications are associated with cognitive decline in elderly populations. Although several medications have been associated with HE, associations between medication burden, anticholinergics, and HE have not been explored. We examined medication burden and anticholinergics in patients with cirrhosis and their associations with HE-related hospitalization.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients aged 18-80 with cirrhosis seen in hepatology clinics during 2019. The number of chronic medications (medication burden) and anticholinergic use were recorded. The primary outcome was HE-related hospitalization.

RESULTS

A total of 1039 patients were followed for a median of 840 days. Thirty-seven percent had a history of HE, and 9.8% had an HE-related hospitalization during follow-up. The mean number of chronic medications was 6.1 ± 4.3. Increasing medication burden was associated with HE-related hospitalizations in univariable (HR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.05-1.12) and multivariable (HR: 1.07, 95% CI: 1.03-1.11) models. This relationship was maintained in those with baseline HE but not in those without baseline HE. Twenty-one percent were taking an anticholinergic medication. Anticholinergic exposure was associated with increased HE-related hospitalizations in both univariable (HR: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.09-2.57) and multivariable (HR: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.11-2.63) models. This relationship was maintained in those with baseline HE but not in those without baseline HE.

CONCLUSIONS

Anticholinergic use and medication burden are both associated with HE-related hospitalizations, particularly in those with a history of HE. Special considerations to limit anticholinergics and minimize overall medication burden should be tested for potential benefit in this population.

Cerebral Aspects of Portal Hypertension: Hepatic Encephalopathy

Portal hypertension has cerebral consequences via its causes and complications, namely hepatic encephalopathy (HE), a common and devastating brain disturbance caused by liver insufficiency and portosystemic shunting. The pathogenesis involves hyperammonemia and systemic inflammation. Symptoms are disturbed personality and reduced attention. HE is minimal or grades I to IV (coma). Bouts of HE are episodic and often recurrent. Initial treatment is of events that precipitated the episode and exclusion of nonhepatic causes. Specific anti-HE treatment is lactulose. By recurrence, rifaximin is add-on. Anti-HE treatment is efficacious also for prophylaxis, but emergence of HE marks advanced liver disease and a dismal prognosis.

Hepatic-associated vascular morphological assessment to predict overt hepatic encephalopathy before TIPS: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND

To provide patients the chance of accepting curative transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) rather than palliative treatments for portal hypertension-related variceal bleeding and ascites, we aimed to assess hepatic-associated vascular morphological change to improve the predictive accuracy of overt hepatic encephalopathy (HE) risks.

METHODS

In this multicenter study, 621 patients undergoing TIPS were subdivided into training (413 cases from 3 hospitals) and external validation datasets (208 cases from another 3 hospitals). In addition to traditional clinical factors, we assessed hepatic-associated vascular morphological changes using maximum diameter (including absolute and ratio values). Three predictive models (clinical, hepatic-associated vascular, and combined) were constructed using logistic regression. Their discrimination and calibration were compared to test the necessity of hepatic-associated vascular assessment and identify the optimal model. Furthermore, to verify the improved performance of ModelC-V, we compared it with four previous models, both in discrimination and calibration.

RESULTS

The combined model outperformed the clinical and hepatic-associated vascular models (training: 0.814, 0.754, 0.727; validation: 0.781, 0.679, 0.776; p < 0.050) and had the best calibration. Compared to previous models, ModelC-V showed superior performance in discrimination. The high-, middle-, and low-risk populations displayed significantly different overt HE incidence (p < 0.001). Despite the limited ability of pre-TIPS ammonia to predict overt HE risks, the combined model displayed a satisfactory ability to predict overt HE risks, both in the low- and high-ammonia subgroups.

CONCLUSION

Hepatic-associated vascular assessment improved the predictive accuracy of overt HE, ensuring curative chances by TIPS for suitable patients and providing insights for cirrhosis-related studies.

Rifaximin plus lactulose versus lactulose alone for reducing the risk of HE recurrence

BACKGROUND

The aim was to examine rifaximin plus lactulose efficacy in patients with cirrhosis at a risk of developing overt HE who were stratified by important baseline characteristics such as comorbid ascites or diabetes.

METHODS

Pooled post hoc subgroup analysis of adults receiving rifaximin 550 mg twice daily plus lactulose or lactulose alone for 6 months in a phase 3 randomized, double-blind trial and a phase 4 open-label trial was conducted.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSION

Rifaximin plus lactulose was more efficacious than lactulose alone for reducing the risk of overt HE recurrence and HE-related hospitalization in adults grouped by select baseline disease characteristics.

Minimal Hepatic Encephalopathy

Minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE) is a pervasive frequent complication of cirrhosis of any etiology. The diagnosis of MHE is difficult as the standard neurologic examination is essentially within normal limits. None of the symptoms and signs of overt HE is present in a patient with MHE, such as confusion, disorientation, or asterixis. Progress has been made in diagnostic tools for detection of attention and cognitive deficits at the point of care of MHE. The development of MHE significantly impacts quality of life and activities of daily life in affected patients including driving motor vehicles and machine operation.

Statins in Chronic Liver Disease: Review of the Literature and Future Role

Chronic liver disease (CLD) is a major contributor to global mortality, morbidity, and healthcare burden. Progress in pharmacotherapeutic for CLD management is lagging given its impact on the global population. While statins are indicated for the management of dyslipidemia and cardiovascular disease, their role in CLD prevention and treatment is emerging. Beyond their lipid-lowering effects, their liver-related mechanisms of action are multifactorial and include anti-inflammatory, antiproliferative, and immune-protective effects. In this review, we highlight what is known about the clinical benefits of statins in viral and nonviral etiologies of CLD and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and explore key mechanisms and pathways targeted by statins. While their benefits may span the spectrum of CLD and potentially HCC treatment, their role in CLD chemoprevention is likely to have the largest impact. As emerging data suggest that genetic variants may impact their benefits, the role of statins in precision hepatology will need to be further explored.

Population characteristics, healthcare pathways and outcomes of patients with cirrhosis hospitalized with overt hepatic encephalopathy in France: A study of the French Hospital-Discharge Database

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a severe complication of cirrhosis, independently associated with a poor survival. The objectives of this study were to describe the prevalence of overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) requiring hospitalization, and the healthcare pathways and outcomes of patients hospitalized for OHE in France. Data from the French Hospital-Discharge Database (Programme de Medicalisation des Systemes d'information, PMSI) within the 5-year period from 2014 to 2018 were analysed. Since the disease lacks a PMSI code in the ICD-10, an identification algorithm was developed. The analysis identified 57,191 patients with OHE including 48,566 patients (85 %) who had been hospitalized twice or more during the study period. Each year, an average of over 20,000 patients were hospitalized in France for OHE as the primary or secondary reason for hospitalization. Among these patients, between 11,500 and 13,500 had been hospitalized at least twice in that year with an average of 3.4 hospitalisations per year. 25 % of admissions occurred following consultation at the emergency unit. Among hospitalisations, 15 % involved admission to the critical care resuscitation unit or intensive care. For all patients identified as suffering from OHE and hospitalized, the 5-year mortality was 46.5 % (26,621 patients). This pioneering study revealed that, in France, despite a probable underestimation of OHE episodes due to the lack of specific PMSI coding, the prevalence of OHE was very high, with frequent recurrences and readmissions, and high mortality.

Establishment and validation of a nomogram model for riskprediction of hepatic encephalopathy: a retrospective analysis

To establish a high-quality, easy-to-use, and effective risk prediction model for hepatic encephalopathy, to help healthcare professionals with identifying people who are at high risk of getting hepatic encephalopathy, and to guide them to take early interventions to reduce the occurrence of hepatic encephalopathy. Patients (n = 1178) with decompensated cirrhosis who attended the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine between January 2016 and June 2022 were selected for the establishment and validation of a nomogram model for risk prediction of hepatic encephalopathy. In this study, we screened the risk factors for the development of hepatic encephalopathy in patients with decompensated cirrhosis by univariate analysis, LASSO regression and multifactor analysis, then established a nomogram model for predicting the risk of getting hepatic encephalopathy for patients with decompensated cirrhosis, and finally performed differentiation analysis, calibration analysis, clinical decision curve analysis and validation of the established model. A total of 1178 patients with decompensated cirrhosis who were hospitalized and treated at the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine between January 2016 and June 2022 were included for modeling and validation. Based on the results of univariate analysis, LASSO regression analysis and multifactor analysis, a final nomogram model with age, diabetes, ascites, spontaneous peritonitis, alanine transaminase, and blood potassium as predictors of hepatic encephalopathy risk prediction was created. The results of model differentiation analysis showed that the AUC of the model of the training set was 0.738 (95% CI 0.63-0.746), while the AUC of the model of the validation set was 0.667 (95% CI 0.541-0.706), and the two AUCs indicated a good discrimination of this nomogram model. According to the Cut-Off value determined by the Jorden index, when the Cut-Off value of the training set was set at 0.150, the sensitivity of the model was 72.8%, the specificity was 64.8%, the positive predictive value was 30.4%, and the negative predictive value was 91.9%; when the Cut-Off value of the validation set was set at 0.141, the sensitivity of the model was 69.7%, the specificity was 57.3%, the positive predictive value was 34.5%, and the negative predictive value was 84.7%. The calibration curve and the actual events curve largely overlap at the diagonal, indicating that the prediction with this model has less error. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test for goodness of fit was also applied, and the results showed that for the training set, χ2 = 1.237587, P = 0.998, and for the validation set, χ2 = 31.90904, P = 0.0202, indicating that there was no significant difference between the predicted and actual observed values. The results of the clinical decision curve analysis showed that the model had a good clinical benefit, compared with the two extreme clinical scenarios (all patients treated or none treated), and the model also had a good clinical benefit in the validation set. This study showed that aged over 55 years, complications of diabetes, ascites, and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, abnormal glutamate aminotransferase and abnormal blood potassium are independent risks indicators for the development of hepatic encephalopathy in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. The nomogram model based on the indicators mentioned above can effectively and conveniently predict the risk of developing hepatic encephalopathy in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. The nomogram model established on this study can help clinical healthcare professionals to timely and early identify patients with high risk of developing hepatic encephalopathy.

Predicting hepatic encephalopathy in patients with cirrhosis: A UK population-based study and validation of risk scores

BACKGROUND

HE is a common neurologic complication in cirrhosis associated with substantial disease and economic burden. HE symptoms are nonspecific and there are limited ways of identifying patients with cirrhosis at high risk of later developing HE. A risk score was previously developed to identify patients at risk of developing HE in a predominately male US cohort. Here, we evaluated the performance of the HE risk scores in a UK cohort study.

METHODS

Health care records from Clinical Practice Research Datalink and linked Hospital Episode Statistics were used to select patients with cirrhosis who were diagnosed with HE, confirmed by a diagnosis code for HE or a rifaximin-α prescription. The index date was the date of incident cirrhosis. The study period was from January 2003 to June 2019.

RESULTS

A total of 40,809 patients with cirrhosis were selected in the UK cohort, of whom 59% were male. A total of 1561 patients were diagnosed with HE. Applying the UK cohort to the baseline sensitivity risk cutoff (≥-11) from the US cohort provided a sensitivity of 92% and a negative predictive value of 99%. Within a longitudinal model, applying a sensitivity cutoff of ≥-3 to this cohort gave a sensitivity of 89% and a negative predictive value of 99%.

CONCLUSIONS

Using data from the UK, the previously developed HE risk scores were found to be reliable for selecting those most likely to progress to HE in patients with liver cirrhosis. Despite the HE risk scores originally being estimated using the data from a predominately male US cohort, the scores were validated and found to be generalizable to female patients.

Lactulose therapy for patients with cirrhosis, portal hypertension, and poor patient-reported outcomes: The Mi-Kristal trial

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Poor patient-reported outcomes (PROs) are common in cirrhosis, including poor sleep and health-related quality of life (HRQOL). HE is a major driver of poor PROs. Many clinicians initiate lactulose therapy to address poor PROs. PRO-triggered therapy, however, has not been studied till date.

METHODS

We conducted a 28-day randomized trial of crystalline lactulose therapy (20 g BID) compared with no HE-directed therapy in 52 patients with cirrhosis, portal hypertension, no prior HE, and high Work Productivity and Activity Impairment scores (0-10) attributed to cirrhosis. The primary outcome was change in global HRQOL measured with Short Form-8 Health Survey. Secondary outcomes included change in Animal Naming Test score, Work Productivity and Activity Impairment, and sleep quality (scored "very bad" to "very good").

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Overall, 52 patients underwent randomization; 3 subjects withdrew from the crystalline lactulose arm (1 before medication initiation, 1 due to an unrelated condition, and 1 due to high baseline bowel movements). The average age was 60 years, the average Model for Endstage Liver Disease-Sodium score was 10.5, and 56% of the patients had ascites. Baseline bowel movements were 2.3/day, with 35% of the patients having Bristol Stool Scale >4. At 28 days, there was no improvement in HRQOL: patients receiving crystalline lactulose had an 8.1-point (95% CI: 3.7-12.4) increase compared with 6.6 (95% CI: 2.3-10.8) in the control group ( p = 0.6). Lactulose was associated with a significantly ( p = 0.002) increased Animal Naming Test score (3.7, 95% CI: 2.1-5.4) versus the control group (0.2, 95% CI: -1.7, 1.4). Lactulose users reported more good sleep (92% vs. 52%, p = 0.001) and lower activity impairment (3.0 vs. 4.8, p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Lactulose improves sleep and activity impairment in patients with poor PROs. We did not observe any improvement in global HRQOL after 28 days using the Short Form-8 Health Survey instrument.

Decompensation as initial presentation in patients with liver cirrhosis is associated with an increased risk of future decompensation and mortality

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The clinical course of patients with liver cirrhosis and adherence to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) screening guidelines are not well studied in the Netherlands. We investigated this and potential risk factors for decompensation and transplant-free survival (TFS) in a large regional cohort.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients with confirmed liver cirrhosis in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. Clinical parameters, decompensation events, development of HCC, and medication use were extracted from medical records.

RESULTS

In total, 681 hospitalized and outpatients were included. Mortality risk was increased by: age (aHR 1.07, p < 0.01), smoking (aHR 1.83, p < 0.01), decompensated initial presentation (aHR 1.43, p = 0.04) and increased MELD (aHR 1.07, p < 0.01). PPI use tended to increase mortality risk (aHR 1.35, p = 0.05). The risk of future decompensation was increased with increased age (aHR 1.02, p < 0.01), decompensated initial presentation (aHR 1.37, p = 0.03) and alcohol misuse as etiology (aHR 1.34, p = 0.04). Adequately screened patients for HCC had a longer TFS compared to patients who were not (48 vs 22 months), p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with cirrhosis, decompensation at initial presentation was associated with an increased risk of future decompensation and mortality. Alcoholic cirrhosis was associated with an increased risk of future decompensation. Adequate HCC surveillance was associated with markedly better survival.

Challenges in Diagnosis and Therapeutic Approach of Acute on Chronic Liver Failure-A Review of Current Evidence

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome characterized by acute and severe decompensation of chronic liver disease (CLD) correlated with multiple organ failure, poor prognosis, and increased mortality. In 40-50% of ACLF cases, the trigger is not recognized; for many of these patients, bacterial translocation associated with systemic inflammation is thought to be the determining factor; in the other 50% of patients, sepsis, alcohol consumption, and reactivation of chronic viral hepatitis are the most frequently described trigger factors. Other conditions considered precipitating factors are less common, including acute alcoholic hepatitis, major surgery, TIPS insertion, or inadequate paracentesis without albumin substitution. Host response is likely the primary factor predicting ACLF severity and prognosis, the host immune response having a particular significance in this syndrome, together with the inflammatory cascade. The management of ACLF includes both the prevention of the precipitating factors that lead to acute liver decompensation and the support of vital functions, the prevention and management of complications, the estimation of prognosis, and the opportunity for liver transplantation.

Predicting which patients with cirrhosis will develop overt hepatic encephalopathy: Beyond psychometric testing

It remains challenging to identify covert hepatic encephalopathy and predict progression to overt hepatic encephalopathy. Psychometric testing is a widely used diagnostic modality, but it is often inaccurate and difficult to implement in diverse populations, making it a less than ideal assessment. Alternatively, by using easily accessible data from the electronic health record, simple clinical assessment tools, and patient-reported outcomes, we may be better able to predict hepatic encephalopathy across multiple populations. Furthermore, incorporation of patient-reported outcomes into our diagnostic toolset not only aids detection of covert hepatic encephalopathy and prediction of overt hepatic encephalopathy, but also allows us to target therapies and track their impact. Herein, we outline a potential algorithm based on these easily integrated tools to promote patient risk-stratification and early therapeutic intervention.

Using machine learning methods to predict 28-day mortality in patients with hepatic encephalopathy

BACKGROUND

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is associated with marked increases in morbidity and mortality for cirrhosis patients. This study aimed to develop and validate machine learning (ML) models to predict 28-day mortality for patients with HE.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV database. Patients from MIMIC-IV were randomized into training and validation cohorts in a ratio of 7:3. Training cohort was used for establishing the model while validation cohort was used for validation. The outcome was defined as 28-day mortality. Predictors were identified by recursive feature elimination (RFE) within 24 h of intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The area under the curve (AUC) and calibration curve were used to determine the predictive performance of different ML models.

RESULTS

In the MIMIC-IV database, 601 patients were eventually diagnosed with HE. Of these, 112 (18.64%) experienced death within 28 days. Acute physiology score III (APSIII), sepsis related organ failure assessment (SOFA), international normalized ratio (INR), total bilirubin (TBIL), albumin, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), acute kidney injury (AKI) and mechanical ventilation were identified as independent risk factors. Validation set indicated that the artificial neural network (NNET) model had the highest AUC of 0.837 (95% CI:0.774-0.901). Furthermore, in the calibration curve, the NNET model was also well-calibrated (P = 0.323), which means that it can better predict the 28-day mortality in HE patients. Additionally, the performance of the NNET is superior to existing scores, including Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium (MELD-Na).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, the NNET model demonstrated better discrimination in predicting 28-day mortality as compared to other models. This developed model could potentially improve the early detection of HE with high mortality, subsequently improving clinical outcomes in these patients with HE, but further external prospective validation is still required.

Investigating potential confounding by indication when considering the association between proton pump inhibitor use, infection, hepatic encephalopathy and mortality in hospitalised decompensated cirrhosis: a post-hoc analysis of the ATTIRE trial

Background

Proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) are commonly prescribed to prevent and treat upper gastrointestinal ulceration and bleeding. Studies have identified increased incidence of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) in cirrhosis patients taking PPIs. However, results are conflicting, and as PPIs are prescribed for variceal bleeding, a major risk factor for infection and HE, it is challenging to discern whether these associations are causal.

Methods

In this post-hoc analysis of the ATTIRE trial, we pooled all patient data to investigate the effects of PPI use on clinical outcomes. ATTIRE was a multicentre, open-label, randomised trial of targeted 20% human albumin solution (HAS) daily infusions versus standard care involving 777 adults with decompensated cirrhosis hospitalised with acute complications and albumin <30 g/L. Study recruitment was between Jan 25, 2016, and June 28, 2019, at 35 hospitals across England, Scotland, and Wales. Key exclusion criteria were advanced hepatocellular carcinoma with life expectancy <8 weeks and patients receiving palliative care. In ATTIRE, patients were grouped by PPI use at trial entry. We studied infection and HE at baseline and incidence of hospital acquired infection, new onset HE, renal dysfunction and mortality. We attempted with propensity score matching to account for differences in disease severity.

Findings

Overall PPI use at baseline was not associated with increased incidence of infection, renal dysfunction or mortality, but was associated with significantly increased incidence of grade III/IV HE during hospital stay (P = 0.011). This was only significant for those taking intravenous PPIs and these patients had >10 times the incidence of variceal bleeding and near double the 28-day mortality compared to non-PPI patients. However, propensity score matching was not possible as there was such a strong selection of patients for PPI use, that we could not find sufficient non-PPI patients to match to. We found no impact of PPI use on plasma markers of bacterial translocation, infection or systemic inflammation.

Interpretations

Our real-world data from a completed randomised trial show that PPIs are widely prescribed in the UK and judicious use appears safe in patients hospitalised with decompensated cirrhosis. However, patients prescribed PPIs had fundamentally different phenotypes to those not prescribed PPIs, a form of confounding by indication, which should be strongly considered when interpreting studies and making recommendations about their use.

Funding

Wellcome Trust and Department of Health and Social Care.

Prediction and prevention of the first episode of overt hepatic encephalopathy in patients with cirrhosis

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is one of the most important complications of patients with liver cirrhosis. In addition, HE is associated with a dismal prognosis and has detrimental effects on patients' quality of life. Thus, it is of pivotal importance to identify patients at high risk for overt HE (OHE) in whom primary prophylaxis may be justified. In this narrative review, we aim to provide insight into predictors and prediction tools for a first-time episode of OHE and to scrutinize the current level of evidence of primary prophylaxis. In recent decades, several cognitive tests, composite scores, and blood-based biomarkers have been demonstrated to be predictive of a first-time episode of OHE. Among the best validated are the established tests for minimal HE, such as the Psychometric Hepatic Encephalopathy Score, determination of the critical flicker frequency, Stroop EncephalApp, or the Animal Naming Test. Individualized risk stratification using blood-based biomarkers and cross-sectional imaging (sarcopenia and spontaneous portosystemic shunts) is coming to the fore, but validation in larger multicenter cohorts is often lacking. On the basis of current evidence, a recommendation for primary prophylaxis of a first episode of OHE cannot be made in general. Only 2 studies have investigated the prevention of a first-time OHE episode as the primary endpoint. In this narrative review, we provide a concise overview of the current evidence levels on prediction tools and pharmacological prevention of a first episode of OHE. In addition, we give an outlook on future research targets to improve knowledge on this important topic.

Construction of an early warning model of hepatic encephalopathy in patients with liver cirrhosis based on psychological testing

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES

To establish an early warning model of hepatic encephalopathy in patients with liver cirrhosis based on psychological testing.

METHODS

Data including patient demographics, number connection test-A (NCT-A), digit symbol test (DST), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores were collected for patients admitted to a tertiary hospital in Shanghai with liver cirrhosis between January and December 2019. Patients were divided into two groups based on the development of hepatic encephalopathy (the hepatic encephalopathy group and non-hepatic encephalopathy group). Risk factors for hepatic encephalopathy in patients with liver cirrhosis were determined by using the binary logistic regression. We developed a predictive model in accordance with the STARD statement criteria (Supplementary File S1) with a cut-off value determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and calculation of the Youden index.

RESULTS

A total of 417 patients with liver cirrhosis were included in the present study. Of these, 33 out of 66 patients with abnormal psychological tests had hepatic encephalopathy during hospitalisation. In contrast, 6 out of 317 patients with normal psychological tests had hepatic encephalopathy. Logistic regression analysis identified age, MELD score, and abnormal psychological tests as risk factors for hepatic encephalopathy in patients with liver cirrhosis. The area under the ROC curve for our prediction model for hepatic encephalopathy in patients with liver cirrhosis was 0.950 and the largest calculated Youden index was 0.804, which corresponds to a cut-off value is 0.0307.

CONCLUSION

Greater age, higher MELD score and abnormal psychological tests were significantly associated with increased risk of hepatic encephalopathy indicating early warning systems and identification of abnormal psychological tests are important components of the clinical nursing care process for cirrhotic patients. Our early warning model based on psychological testing can provide a basis for nursing observation and prevention of hepatic encephalopathy.

RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE

Risk assessments for hepatic encephalopathy according to liver function and psychological tests, in addition to traditional neurological observations and dietary guidance, have utility in decreasing the incidence of hepatic encephalopathy.

A simple covert hepatic encephalopathy screening model based on blood biochemical parameters in patients with cirrhosis

AIM

Covert hepatic encephalopathy (CHE) adversely affects clinical outcomes in patients with liver cirrhosis, although its diagnosis is difficult. This study aimed to establish a simple CHE screening model based on blood-related biochemical parameters.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 439 patients who were assessed for CHE using a neuropsychiatric test between January 2011 and June 2019. A simple CHE (sCHE) score was calculated with hypoalbuminemia (≤ 3.5 g/dL) and hyperammonemia (≥ 80 μg/dL) as 1 point each. The association between sCHE score and CHE or overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) was assessed using logistic regression and Fine-Gray competing risk regression models.

RESULTS

Of 381 eligible patients, 79 (21%) were diagnosed with CHE. The distribution of sCHE scores was 48% with 0 point, 33% with 1 point, and 19% with 2 points. Patients with sCHE score ≥ 1 point had a higher prevalence of CHE than those with sCHE score of 0 (27% vs. 14%, P = 0.002). A cut-off value of 1 point showed high discriminative ability for identifying CHE, with a sensitivity of 0.67, specificity of 0.56, positive predictive value of 0.27, and negative predictive value of 0.86. During the median follow-up period of 2.2 years, 58 (15%) patients developed OHE. Multivariate analysis showed that sCHE score ≥ 1 (sub-distribution hazard ratio [SHR], 2.69; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.41-5.15) and CHE (SHR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.26-3.73) independently predicted OHE.

CONCLUSIONS

The sCHE score is a useful screening model for identifying patients with CHE and for predicting OHE occurrence.

Incidence of, Risk Factors for, and Outcomes After Ascites in a Population-Based Cohort of Older Americans

BACKGROUND

The incidence of, risk factors for, and outcomes after the development of ascites are poorly described for contemporary patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

We examined data for a 20% random sample of US Medicare enrollees with cirrhosis and Part D prescription coverage from 2008 to 2019, excluding patients with heart failure and diuretic use prior to cirrhosis. Among 63,364 persons with cirrhosis, we evaluated the incidence of ascites using an Aalen-Johansen estimator. We evaluated risk factors for ascites, mortality, and mortality after ascites using multistate modeling. We determined the associations with each outcome for an array of medication exposures including nonselective beta-blockers, antiviral therapy, statins, rifaximin, anticoagulants, and metformin.

RESULTS

The cumulative incidence of ascites was 5.1%, 9.5%, and 10.7% and 1, 3, and 5 years overall. The corresponding data for ascites requiring paracentesis were 1%, 2.1%, and 2.4%. Persons aged < 65 years, with alcohol-related cirrhosis, varices, or HE, are most likely to develop ascites. The risk of ascites was higher for persons taking any NSBB (including carvedilol) but lower for those taking atorvastatin (but not other statins) and antiviral therapy for Hepatitis C. Incident ascites was associated with increased risk of death, HR 27.6 95%CI(21.7-35.1). Survival following ascites was 1.08 years (interquartile range, IQR, 0.26-2.75), 0.38 years (IQR0.1-1.3) for those requiring paracentesis. Lipophilic statins were the only medications associated with lower mortality after ascites requiring paracentesis.

CONCLUSIONS

Ascites is associated with a high risk of death. Very few candidate therapies are associated with the reduction in the risk of ascites and mortality after ascites development.

Nonselective beta-blocker use is associated with increased hepatic encephalopathy-related readmissions in cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a neurocognitive condition in cirrhosis leading to frequent hospitalizations. Nonselective beta-blockers (NSBBs) are the mainstay of pharmacologic treatment in cirrhotic patients. We hypothesized that since NSBBs decrease cardiac output and portal flow, the decreased metabolic filtering process of liver parenchyma may lead to increased HE-related hospitalizations.

AIM

To evaluate the impact of NSBB administration on HE-related readmissions in cirrhotic patients.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we included 393 patients admitted to Baylor University Medical Center for liver-related portal hypertension indications between January 2013 and July 2018. Independent predictors of the first HE-related readmissions were identified using Cox proportional hazards analysis. The cumulative incidence of the first HE-related readmissions between patients receiving NSBBs and not receiving NSBBs was examined using Fine-Gray modeling to account for the competing risk of death or liver transplantation.

RESULTS

The mean age was 58.1 ± 10.2 years and most patients fell into Child class C (49.1%) or B (43.8%). The median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium score was 22 (IQR: 11). The cumulative incidence of the first HE-related readmissions was significantly higher in patients taking NSBBs compared to patients not receiving NSBBs (71.8% vs 41.8%, P < 0.0001). In multivariate analysis, after adjusting for demographics, markers of liver disease severity, selective beta-blocker, lactulose and rifaximin use, NSBB use [Hazard ratio: 1.74 (95%CI: 1.29-2.34)] was independently associated with the first HE-related readmissions over a median follow-up of 3.8 years.

CONCLUSION

NSBB use is independently associated with increased HE-related readmissions in patients with cirrhosis, regardless of liver disease severity.

Racial and ethnic disparities in rifaximin use and subspecialty referrals for patients with hepatic encephalopathy in the United States

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Rifaximin use in combination with lactulose is associated with a decreased risk of overt hepatic encephalopathy (HE). We sought to determine whether race and ethnicity were associated with rifaximin prescriptions.

METHODS

We examined data for a 20% random sample of United States Medicare enrollees with cirrhosis and hepatic encephalopathy treated with outpatient lactulose and Part D prescription coverage from 2011-2019. Beginning at the time of first diagnosis, we evaluated time to first prescription of rifaximin accounting for competing risks (Fine-Gray, yielding subdistribution hazard ratios [sHRs]) and cumulative rifaximin exposure using a gamma hurdle model (yielding exposure length ratios). We aimed to determine the association of race and ethnicity with each outcome, adjusting for demographics, clinical factors, and other features of clinical management.

RESULTS

Overall, 29,095 patients were diagnosed with HE and treated with lactulose, of whom 13,272 were prescribed rifaximin. Compared to White patients, Black patients were least likely to receive any prescription for rifaximin (sHR 0.70; 95% CI 0.65-0.76). Asian and Hispanic patients were also less likely to receive rifaximin compared to White patients. Black patients also received fewer doses of rifaximin (exposure length ratio 0.90; 95% CI 0.82-0.98). Hispanic patients also received fewer doses (0.88; 95% CI 0.80-0.98). Out-of-pocket spending on rifaximin per person-year was higher for Black and Hispanic than White patients. Out-of-pocket medication spending was associated with reduced odds of filling a rifaximin prescription. Black and Hispanic patients were least likely to be referred to a gastroenterologist.

CONCLUSION

In a national cohort of patients with HE, we observed stark racial and ethnic disparities in the use of rifaximin, an approved therapy for the improvement of HE-specific outcomes. Access to gastroenterologists and cost controls may reduce disparities.

LAY SUMMARY

Hepatic encephalopathy is a serious problem that can affect people with cirrhosis. When someone develops hepatic encephalopathy, there are 2 main treatments. The first-line treatment is called lactulose. If episodes of hepatic encephalopathy happen on lactulose, another treatment called rifaximin is recommended. In this study, we found that compared to White patients, Black and Hispanic patients are less likely to be prescribed rifaximin, receive fewer rifaximin refills, spend more on rifaximin, and have less access to subspecialists who are familiar with rifaximin. We conclude that efforts to address the cost of rifaximin and access to gastroenterologists could help improve these disparities.

A dynamic nomogram to predict transplant-free mortality in patients with hepatitis B-related cirrhosis and overt hepatic encephalopathy

BACKGROUND

Overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) is a serious complication of liver disease. We aimed to develop a dynamic nomogram for estimating the probability of 30-day transplant-free mortality in patients with OHE and hepatitis B-related cirrhosis (HBC).

METHODS

We identified 402 patients with OHE and HBC at the Beijing Ditan Hospital between January 2011 and July 2016. Independent risk factors were determined using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. A dynamic nomogram was established to predict the probability of 30-day transplant-free mortality. The discrimination and clinical usefulness of the nomogram were estimated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) and calibration curves, and decision curve analysis. A prospective cohort of 208 patients was enrolled for validation.

RESULTS

The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were independently associated with the 30-day transplant-free mortality. The AUC values of the nomogram were 0.881 and 0.879 in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively, and the discrimination ability was superior to that of the established models. The calibration plot fitted the predicted survival and observed probabilities well. The incidence of mortality was 2.0% (3/151) in patients with MELD scores < 23 and NLR < 4, and 55.4% (41/92) in those with MELD scores ≥ 23 and NLR ≥ 4.

CONCLUSIONS

The dynamic nomogram can predict the risk of 30-day transplant-free mortality in patients with OHE and HBC. Patients with MELD scores ≥ 23 and NLR ≥ 4 have a high mortality rate and should be admitted to intensive care.

Review article: current and emerging therapies for the management of cirrhosis and its complications

BACKGROUND

Cirrhosis is increasingly common and morbid. Optimal utilisation of therapeutic strategies to prevent and control the complications of cirrhosis are central to improving clinical and patient-reported outcomes.

METHODS

We conducted a narrative review of the literature focusing on the most recent advances.

RESULTS

We review the aetiology-focused therapies that can prevent cirrhosis and its complications. These include anti-viral therapies, psychopharmacological therapy for alcohol-use disorder, and the current landscape of clinical trials for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. We review the current standard of care and latest developments in the management of hepatic encephalopathy (HE), ascites and hepatorenal syndrome. We evaluate the promise and drawbacks of chemopreventative therapies that have been examined in trials and observational studies which may reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma and cirrhosis complications. Finally, we examine the therapies which address the non-pain symptoms of cirrhosis including pruritis, muscle cramps, sexual dysfunction and fatigue.

CONCLUSION

The improvement of clinical and patient-reported outcomes for patients with cirrhosis is possible by applying evidence-based pharmacotherapeutic approaches to the prevention and treatment of cirrhosis complications.

Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Clinical Guidelines

In patients with cirrhosis and chronic liver disease, acute-on-chronic liver failure is emerging as a major cause of mortality. These guidelines indicate the preferred approach to the management of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and represent the official practice recommendations of the American College of Gastroenterology. The scientific evidence for these guidelines was evaluated using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation process. In instances where the evidence was not appropriate for Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation, but there was consensus of significant clinical merit, key concept statements were developed using expert consensus. These guidelines are meant to be broadly applicable and should be viewed as the preferred, but not only, approach to clinical scenarios.

Overt Hepatic Encephalopathy: Current Pharmacologic Treatments and Improving Clinical Outcomes

Overt hepatic encephalopathy is a generally reversible neurologic complication of cirrhosis. Overt hepatic encephalopathy has been associated with poor hospitalization- and mortality-related outcomes, which is important given increasing hepatic encephalopathy-related hospitalizations over time. The aim of this narrative review is to provide an overview of hospital- and mortality-related outcomes in patients with overt hepatic encephalopathy and the pharmacologic therapies that may improve these outcomes. Guideline-recommended prophylaxis with lactulose (first-line therapy) or secondary prophylaxis with rifaximin plus lactulose decreases hospital admissions and mortality rates. Rifaximin or lactulose treatment was beneficial for reducing the hospitalization rate in patients with hepatic encephalopathy compared with no treatment. Further, retrospective studies have shown that rifaximin with or without lactulose was effective for decreasing the number of hepatic encephalopathy episodes, hepatic encephalopathy-related hospitalizations, and duration of hospitalization. Ornithine phenylacetate, an ammonia-reducing agent currently in development, is also being investigated in hospitalized patients with hepatic encephalopathy. Overall, data support that prophylaxis for the prevention of hepatic encephalopathy recurrence improves outcomes in patients with cirrhosis and a history of hepatic encephalopathy.

Prediction and Risk Factors for Prognosis of Cirrhotic Patients with Hepatic Encephalopathy

Background and Aims

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is characterized by recurrence and poor quality of life. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) mainly occurs in patients with chronic liver diseases and often presents with HE. Several predictive models have been proposed to predict the outcomes of these patients. Our study is aimed at identifying associated risk factors and the prognostic accuracies of predictive models in HE patients with or without ACLF.

Methods

Patients with liver cirrhosis were retrospectively enrolled. Risk factors were evaluated by multivariate regression analyses. The predictive capabilities of models were calculated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses and compared by the DeLong tests. Outcomes were defined as in-hospital mortality, HE severity, and ACLF occurrence.

Results

In multivariate regression analyses, serum biomarkers neutrophil and total bilirubin (TBIL) were independently correlated with in-hospital death. Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) were independent serum biomarkers associated with HE severity. Hemoglobin, TBIL, BUN, and international normalized ratio (INR) were significant indicators associated with ACLF incidence. For prediction of in-hospital mortality, Child-Pugh was superior to the others in the whole patients, while NLR showed the best capability in the ACLF group.

Conclusion

In cirrhotic patients present with HE, BUN is a risk factor associated with HE severity and ACLF incidence. Child-Pugh and NLR scores may be effective prognosticators in patients with HE.

Correct use of telemedicine in gastroenterology, hepatology, and endoscopy during and after the COVID-19 pandemic: Recommendations from the Italian association of hospital gastroenterologists and endoscopists (AIGO)

The purpose of the present document is to provide detailed information on the correct and optimal use of digital media to ensure continuity of care for gastroenterological patients in everyday clinical practice, in health emergencies and/or when the patient cannot reach the hospital for other reasons. During the recent COVID-19 pandemic, telemedicine has allowed many patients with chronic diseases to access remote care worldwide, proving to be the ideal solution to overcome restrictions and carry out non-urgent routine follow-ups on chronic patients. The COVID-19 pandemic has therefore made organizational and cultural renewal essential for the reorganization of healthcare in order to ensure greater continuity of care with a minimum risk of spreading the virus to users, practitioners and their families. These AIGO recommendations are intended to provide Italian gastroenterologists with a tool to use this method appropriately, in compliance with current legislation, in particular the proper approach and procedures for conducting a remote examination using a video conferencing tool, the so-called televisit. In the near future, telemedicine may contribute to a possible reorganization of healthcare systems, through innovative care models focusing on the citizen and facilitating access to services throughout the entire Country.

Pathological Significance and Prognostic Roles of Indirect Bilirubin/Albumin Ratio in Hepatic Encephalopathy

Background and Aim: Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a neurological disease caused by severe liver disease. Early identification of the risk factor is beneficial to the prevention and treatment of HE. Free bilirubin has always been considered to be the culprit of neonatal kernicterus, but there is no research to explore its role in HE. In this study, we aim to study the clinical significance of the indirect bilirubin-albumin ratio in HE.

Methods: A retrospective case-control study of 204 patients with liver failure was conducted. Human serum albumin (HSA) or heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1) inhibitor SnPP (Tin protoporphyrin IX dichloride) was injected intraperitoneally into Ugt1^−/− mice to establish a treatment model for endogenous hyperbilirubinemia.

Results: IBil/albumin ratio (OR = 1.626, 95% CI1.323–2.000, P < 0.001), white blood cell (WBC) (OR = 1.128, 95% CI 1.009–1.262, P = 0.035), ammonia (OR = 1.010, 95% CI 1.001–1.019, P = 0.027), platelet (OR=1.008, 95% CI 1.001–1.016, P = 0.022), Hb (OR = 0.977, 95% CI 0.961–0.994, P = 0.007), and PTA (OR = 0.960, 95% CI 0.933–0.987, P = 0.005) were independent factors of HE. Patients with a history of liver cirrhosis and severe HE (OR = 12.323, 95% CI 3.278–47.076, P < 0.001) were more likely to die during hospitalization. HSA or SnPP treatment improved cerebellum development and reduced apoptosis of cerebellum cells.

Conclusion: The IBil/albumin ratio constitutes the most powerful risk factor in the occurrence of HE, and reducing free bilirubin may be a new strategy for HE treatment.

Zinc deficiency predicts overt hepatic encephalopathy and mortality in liver cirrhosis patients with minimal hepatic encephalopathy

AIM

Minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE) is associated with poor outcomes and the development of overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC). Zinc plays a key role in the detoxification of ammonia, a risk factor of hepatic encephalopathy. This study aimed to investigate whether zinc deficiency predicts OHE occurrence and mortality in LC patients with MHE.

METHOD

This retrospective study included 100 LC patients with MHE. MHE was diagnosed using a computer-aided neuropsychiatric test. Predictors associated with the development of OHE were analyzed using the Fine-Gray competing risk regression model. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was carried out to evaluate the risk factors of mortality. Survival rates were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test.

RESULTS

Of the 100 LC patients with MHE, 41% had zinc deficiency (<60 μg/dl). Zinc deficiency was observed more frequently in the patients with reduced liver function reserve. During the median follow-up period of 9.9 months, 16% of the patients with MHE developed OHE. The patients with zinc deficiency had a higher risk of OHE than those without zinc deficiency (p = 0.03). Zinc deficiency was also associated with poor survival (p = 0.004). Multivariate analyses showed that zinc predicts the development of OHE (subdistribution hazard ratio [HR], 0.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.92-0.99; p = 0.008) and mortality (HR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.93-0.99; p = 0.02), independently of liver function reserves.

CONCLUSION

Zinc deficiency is likely to be a predictor of both OHE development and mortality in LC patients with MHE.

Minimal Hepatic Encephalopathy and Biejia-Ruangan Are Associated with First Hospital Readmission in Nonalcoholic Cirrhosis Patients

Introductionand Aim. Patients with cirrhosis are often hospitalized repeatedly for a variety of complications. This retrospective study aimed to assess the effects of minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE) and Biejia-Ruangan (BR) on first hospital readmission in nonalcoholic cirrhosis patients without previous overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Materials and Methods. A total of 176 hospitalized patients with nonalcoholic cirrhosis were included in this retrospective study. Patients who were first admitted to Beijing Ditan Hospital of Capital Medical University from January 2017 to September 2019 were enrolled. The primary endpoint was their first liver-related hospital readmission. The risk factors for readmission were analyzed by Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. Results. A total of 176 nonalcoholic cirrhosis patients without previous OHE or HCC were included; 57 patients (32.4%) were diagnosed with MHE, and 63 patients (35.8%) were administered BR (2 g, three times a day). Multivariate analysis revealed that nonalcoholic cirrhosis patients with MHE (HR, 5.805; 95% CI, 3.007-11.206; x, P < 0.001) and a higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score (HR, 1.145; 95% CI, 1.068-1.227; P < 0.001) had an increased risk of first hospital readmission, and patients treated with BR (HR, 0.318; 95% CI, 0.151-0.670; P=0.003) had a decreased risk of first hospital readmission. Conclusion. MHE increased the risk of hospital readmission in nonalcoholic cirrhosis patients without previous OHE or HCC, and this risk was decreased by BR administration.

Development and Validation of a Clinical-Genetic Risk Score to Predict Hepatic Encephalopathy in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

We aimed to define the impact of the genetic background on overt hepatic encephalopathy (HE) in patients with liver cirrhosis by developing a combined clinical-genetic risk score.

METHODS

Patients suffering from liver cirrhosis from the outpatient clinics of 4 hospitals (n = 600) were included and followed up for at least 5 years until HE bouts, liver transplant, or death. Patients were genotyped for 60 candidate single nucleotide polymorphisms together with the microsatellite in the promoter region of the gene GLS.

RESULTS

Single nucleotide polymorphisms rs601338 (FUT2), rs5743836 (TRL9), rs2562582 (SLC1A3), rs313853 (SLC1A5), and GLS microsatellite did predict independently the incidence and severity of overt HE and were included as genetic score. Competing risk analysis revealed that bilirubin (subhazard ratio [sHR] 1.30 [1.15-1.48], P < 0.001), albumin (sHR 0.90 [0.86-0.93], P < 0.001), genetic score (sHR 1.90 [1.57-2.30], P < 0.001), and previous episodes of overt HE (sHR 2.60 [1.57-4.29], P < 0.001) were independently associated to HE bouts during the follow-up with an internal (C-index 0.83) and external validation (C-index 0.74). Patients in the low-risk group had 5% and 12% risk of HE at 1 (log-rank 92.1; P < 0.001) and 5 (log-rank 124.1; P < 0.001) years, respectively, whereas 36% and 48% in the high-risk group.

DISCUSSION

The genetic background influenced overt HE risk and severity. The clinical-genetic HE Risk score, which combined genetic background together with albumin, bilirubin, and previous episodes of overt HE, could be a useful tool to predict overt HE in patients with cirrhosis.

Efficacy of rifaximin, a poorly absorbed rifamycin antimicrobial agent, for hepatic encephalopathy in Japanese patients

AIM

Rifaximin is recommended as treatment for hepatic encephalopathy (HE) that targets intestinal bacterial flora. Although combined use with synthetic disaccharides is the standard of care worldwide, the therapeutic effects of rifaximin for overt encephalopathy (OHE) in Japanese patients have not been examined sufficiently. We examined the therapeutic effects of rifaximin for OHE in Japanese patients.

METHODS

A total of 76 patients who developed OHE of West Haven grade II or higher at least once within the 12 months before starting rifaximin were included. Blood ammonia levels and the incidence of OHE during the 12 months before and after starting rifaximin therapy were compared in a before-and-after study. Rifaximin efficacy and predictors of efficacy were also examined.

RESULTS

Post-treatment blood ammonia levels were significantly lower than pretreatment levels. The mean annual number of OHE incidents and intravenous branched-chain amino acid preparations used per patient were significantly lower after starting rifaximin therapy (2.51 vs. 0.76 times/year, p < 0.001; and 71.9 vs. 20.7 preparations/year, p = 0.003, respectively). The cumulative incidence of hospitalizations associated with HE significantly decreased after rifaximin therapy (hazard ratio 0.187; p < 0.001). The efficacy rate, defined as the proportion of patients without OHE during the administration of rifaximin for 1 year after starting rifaximin therapy, was 65.8%. Serum albumin ≥2.7 g/dl was an independent predictor of efficacy.

CONCLUSION

Rifaximin was associated with decreased blood ammonia levels, lower incidence of OHE, and fewer hospitalizations in Japanese patients with HE. In addition, serum albumin level was an important predictor on efficacy of rifaximin.

Identifying Patients With Hepatic Encephalopathy Using Administrative Data in the ICD-10 Era

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a common complication of cirrhosis resulting in relapsing-remitting mental status changes ranging from deficits in executive function to coma. Incident HE is associated with an abrupt increase in mortality¹ and frequent hospitalization.² To further the understanding of the burden and impact of HE at the population level, valid algorithms are required to identify patients in administrative data. An International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9 code is specific for HE (572.2), offering a 0.92 positive predictive value (PPV) and 0.36 negative predictive value (NPV).³ When applied in an algorithm to patients with ICD-9 codes for cirrhosis (eg, 571.5), Kanwal et al⁴ found a PPV and NPV of 0.86 and 0.87. Unfortunately, the switch to ICD-10 in 2015 rendered algorithms validated using ICD-9 invalid. Kaplan et al⁵ previously showed that lactulose and rifaximin use correlated with grade of HE for Child classification. Herein, we validate a diagnostic coding algorithm for HE using ICD-10 and medication records.

Hepatic Encephalopathy: A Diagnosis for the Individual but an Experience for the Household

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a common complication of cirrhosis that results in unpredictable neuropsychiatric symptoms and increases the risk of death and disability. In the current issue of Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology, Fabrellas et al. report on a qualitative study that assesses the psychological impact of HE on both patients and their informal caregivers. Both patients and caregivers report diminished quality of life driven by disruptive anxiety and feelings of fear and sorrow. There is a need to optimize therapy for encephalopathy and to address the shared psychological impact of HE experienced by both patients and caregivers.

Incidence and Bedside Predictors of the First Episode of Overt Hepatic Encephalopathy in Patients With Cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is associated with marked increases in morbidity and mortality for patients with cirrhosis. We aimed to determine the risk of and predictors for HE in contemporary patients.

METHODS

We prospectively enrolled 294 subjects with Child A-B (70% Child A) cirrhosis and portal hypertension without previous HE from July 2016 to August 2018. The primary outcome was the development of overt HE (grade >2). We assessed the predictive power of model for end-stage liver disease-sodium (MELD-Na) score, the Inhibitory Control Test, the Sickness Impact Profile score, and the Bilirubin-Albumin-Beta-Blocker-Statin score. We also derived a novel predictive model incorporating MELD-Na score, impact of cirrhosis on daily activity (Likert 1-9), frailty (chair-stands per 30 seconds), and health-related quality of life (Short-Form 8, 0-100).

RESULTS

The cohort's median age was 60 years, 56% were men, and the median MELD-Na score was 9. During a follow-up of 548 ± 281 days, 62 (21%) had incident overt HE with 1-year probability of 14% ± 2%, 10% ± 2%, and 25% ± 5% for Child A and B. The best model for predicting the risk of overt HE included MELD-Na, Short-Form 8, impact on activity rating, and chair-stands within 30 seconds. This model-MELDNa-Actvity-Chairstands-Quality of Life Hepatic Encephalopathy Score-offered an area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) for HE development at 12 months of 0.82 compared with 0.55, 0.61, 0.70, and 0.72 for the Inhibitory Control Test, Sickness Impact Profile, Bilirubin-Albumin-Beta-Blocker-Statin, and MELD-Na, respectively. The AUROC for HE-related hospitalization was 0.92.

DISCUSSION

This study provides the incidence of HE in a well-characterized cohort of contemporary patients. Bedside measures such as activity, quality of life, and physical function accurately stratified the patient's risk for overt HE.

Hepatic encephalopathy: Novel insights into classification, pathophysiology and therapy

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a frequent and serious complication of both chronic liver disease and acute liver failure. HE manifests as a wide spectrum of neuropsychiatric abnormalities, from subclinical changes (mild cognitive impairment) to marked disorientation, confusion and coma. The clinical and economic burden of HE is considerable, and it contributes greatly to impaired quality of life, morbidity and mortality. This review will critically discuss the latest classification of HE, as well as the pathogenesis and pathophysiological pathways underlying the neurological decline in patients with end-stage liver disease. In addition, management strategies, diagnostic approaches, currently available therapeutic options and novel treatment strategies are discussed.

Impact of non-selective ß-blockers on hepatic encephalopathy in patients with liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Non-selective β-blockers (NSBB) are frequently used for the treatment of portal hypertension and gastroesophageal varices in patients with liver cirrhosis; however prospective studies investigating the potential association between NSBB use and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) are still scarce. We investigated the potential association between NSBB use and the presence of covert HE (CHE) as well as the development of overt HE (OHE).

METHODS

224 patients with liver cirrhosis were included into this cohort study at two German centers and followed for a median of 364 days. CHE was diagnosed by pathological results in the PHES. Predictors for the presence of CHE or the development of OHE were analyzed using logistic-regression or cox-regression models.

RESULTS

39% of patients were treated with NSBB and CHE was detected in 34% of patients at study inclusion. In logistic regression analysis, NSBB use, higher MELD score and a history of OHE were independently associated with the presence of CHE. Cumulative incidence of OHE was considerably higher in NSBB users than in non-users (p<0.001). In Cox-regression models NSBB use, presence of CHE, lower albumin and higher MELD score were independently associated with the development of OHE in the whole cohort as well as in the subgroup of patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis. NSBB use was independently associated with higher risk of mortality or need for liver transplantation in decompensated patients but not in the total cohort.

CONCLUSION

NSBB use seems to be associated with the presence of CHE as well as the development of OHE in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis.

Shunt-Induced Hepatic Encephalopathy in TIPS: Current Approaches and Clinical Challenges

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is an established treatment tool in decompensated liver cirrhosis that has been shown to prolong transplant-free survival. Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a frequent complication of decompensated cirrhosis, eventually induced and/or aggravated by TIPS, that remains a clinical challenge especially in these patients. Therefore, patient selection for TIPS requires careful assessment of risk factors for HE. TIPS procedural parameters regarding stent size and invasive portosystemic pressure gradient measurements thereby have an important role. Endovascular shunt modification, in combination with a conservative medical approach, often results in a significant reduction of symptoms. This review summarizes HE molecular mechanisms and pathophysiology as well as diagnostic and therapeutic approaches targeting shunt-induced HE.

Fibrosis index predicts variceal bleeding and reduces need for nonselective beta-blocker in compensated cirrhosis with initial small esophageal varices without red-color sign

Background

Various non-invasive markers predicting hepatic fibrosis are poor predictors of esophageal variceal bleeding (EVB). Elastography performs well but resource-limited. Controversy for small EV prevention also exists. We aim to investigate if a non-invasive marker could predict subsequent EVB within 1 and 2 years in patients with compensated liver cirrhosis (CLC), initial small EV without red-color sign (RCS), without use of non-selective beta-blockers (NSBB) and endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL). This marker would also be tested if it could help reduce use of NSBB, thereby avoiding potential side effects and saving medical costs.

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, 6,803 CLC patients fulfilling the inclusion-exclusion criteria were enrolled between 2001 and 2018, and were followed-up for 1 year, 2 years. The primary outcomes were subsequent EVB within 1 and 2 years of enrollment. Another 281 CLC patients with NSBB use were compared for additional outcome analysis.

Results

In total, 539 patients and 710 patients experienced EVB within 1 year and 2 years, respectively. The fibrosis index (FI) with cut-off value of 3.95 showed a negative predictive value (NPV) of 94.3% and an area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 62.95% for predicting subsequent EVB within 1 year. The EVB and mortality of patients with FI <3.95 and not taking NSBB were significantly lower than those of the other 3 groups. Similar results were demonstrated within 2 years.

Conclusions

In CLC patients with initial small EV and no RCS, low FI scores showed a high NPV and moderate AUROC in predicting subsequent EVB and mortalities, signifying clinically non-significant portal hypertension. Patients with low FI scores and not taking NSBB had significantly lowest EVB and mortality. The medical cost savings for cutting NSBB in these patients would be estimated at least $3 million per year in the U.S. Further randomized control trial study needed to validate this screening tool.

The Use of Administrative Data to Investigate the Population Burden of Hepatic Encephalopathy

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a devastating complication of cirrhosis with an increasing footprint in global public health. Although the condition is defined using a careful history and examination, we cannot accurately measure the true impact of HE relying on data collected exclusively from clinical studies. For this reason, administrative data sources are necessary to study the population burden of HE. Administrative data is generated with each health care encounter to account for health care resource utilization and is extracted into a dataset for the secondary purpose of research. In order to utilize such data for valid analysis, several pitfalls must be avoided—specifically, selecting the particular database capable of meeting the needs of the study’s aims, paying careful attention to the limits of each given database, and ensuring validity of case definition for HE specific to the dataset. In this review, we summarize the types of data available for and the results of administrative data studies of HE.

Contemporary Epidemiology of Chronic Liver Disease and Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Accurate estimates for the contemporary burden of chronic liver disease (CLD) are vital for setting clinical, research, and policy priorities. We aimed to review the incidence, prevalence, and mortality of CLD and its resulting complications, including cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We reviewed the published literature on the incidence, prevalence, trends of various etiologies of CLD and its resulting complications. In addition, we provided updated data from the Centers for Disease Control and Global Burden of Disease Study on the morbidity and mortality of CLD, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Lastly, we assessed the strengths and weaknesses of available sources of data in hopes of providing important context to these national estimates of cirrhosis burden.

RESULTS

An estimated 1.5 billion persons have CLD worldwide and the age-standardized incidence of CLD and cirrhosis is 20.7/100,000, a 13% increase since 2000. Similarly, cirrhosis prevalence and mortality has increased in recent years in the United States. The epidemiology of CLD is shifting, reflecting implementation of large-scale hepatitis B vaccination and hepatitis C treatment programs, the increasing prevalence of the metabolic syndrome, and increasing alcohol misuse.

CONCLUSIONS

The global burden of CLD and cirrhosis is substantial. Although vaccination, screening, and antiviral treatment campaigns for hepatitis B and C have reduced the CLD burden in some parts of the world, concomitant increases in injection drug use, alcohol misuse, and metabolic syndrome threaten these trends. Ongoing efforts to address CLD-related morbidity and mortality require accurate contemporary estimates of epidemiology and outcomes.

Important Unresolved Questions in the Management of Hepatic Encephalopathy: An ISHEN Consensus

Management of hepatic encephalopathy (HE) remains challenging from a medical and psychosocial perspective. Members of the International Society for Hepatic Encephalopathy and Nitrogen Metabolism recognized 5 key unresolved questions in HE management focused on (i) driving, (ii) ammonia levels in clinical practice, (iii) testing strategies for covert or minimal HE, (iv) therapeutic options, and (v) nutrition and patient-reported outcomes. The consensus document addresses these topical issues with a succinct review of the literature and statements that critically evaluate the current science and practice, laying the groundwork for future investigations.

Outcomes after hepatic encephalopathy in population-based cohorts of patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Hepatic encephalopathy is a devastating complication of cirrhosis.

AIM

To describe the outcomes after developing hepatic encephalopathy among contemporary, aging patients.

METHODS

We examined data for a 20% random sample of United States Medicare enrolees with cirrhosis and Part D prescription coverage from 2008 to 2014. Among 49 164 persons with hepatic encephalopathy, we evaluated the associations with transplant-free survival using Cox proportional hazard models with time-varying covariates (hazard ratios, HR) and incidence rate ratios (IRR) for healthcare utilisation measured in hospital-days and 30-day readmissions per person-year. We validated our findings in an external cohort of 2184 privately insured patients with complete laboratory values.

RESULTS

Hepatic encephalopathy was associated with median survivals of 0.95 and 2.5 years for those ≥65 or <65 years old and 1.1 versus 3.9 years for those with and without ascites. Non-alcoholic fatty-liver disease posed the highest adjusted risk of death among aetiologies, HR 1.07 95% CI (1.02, 1.12). Both gastroenterology consultation and rifaximin utilisation were associated with lower mortality, respective adjusted-HR 0.73 95% CI (0.67, 0.80) and 0.40 95% CI (0.39, 0.42). Thirty-day readmissions were fewer for patients seen by gastroenterologists (0.71 95% CI [0.57-0.88]) and taking rifaximin (0.18 95% CI [0.08-0.40]). Lactulose alone was associated with fewer hospital-days, IRR 0.31 95% CI (0.30-0.32), than rifaximin alone, 0.49 95% CI (0.45-0.53), but the optimal therapy combination was lactulose/rifaximin, IRR 0.28 95% CI (0.27-0.30). These findings were validated in the privately insured cohort adjusting for model for endstage liver disease-sodium score and serum albumin.

CONCLUSIONS

Hepatic encephalopathy remains morbid and associated with poor outcomes among contemporary patients. Gastroenterology consultation and combination lactulose-rifaximin are both associated with improved outcomes. These data inform the development of care coordination efforts for subjects with cirrhosis.