Trends of stomach cancer mortality in Eastern Asia in 1950-2004: comparative study of Japan, Hong Kong and Singapore using age, period and cohort analysis

Secular trends in the mortality of gastrointestinal cancers across China, Japan, the US, and India: An age-period-cohort, Joinpoint analyses, and Holt forecasts

Background

Colon cancer, esophageal cancer, and stomach cancer are the common causes of morbidity and mortality in China, Japan, the US., and India. The current study aims to assess and compare secular trends of the mortality of gastrointestinal cancers during the period, 1990-2017 in age-specific, time period, and birth cohort effects.

Method

We used the Joinpoint model to collect age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) for four countries. We designed an age-period-cohort (APC) analysis to estimate the independent effects on the mortality of three types of cancers.

Result

The Joinpoint model shows that in addition to the death rate of esophageal cancer in Japan, the ASMR of esophageal cancer and stomach cancer in other countries declined rapidly. The APC analysis presented a similar pattern of age effect between four countries for colon cancer and stomach cancer, which increased from 20 to 89 age groups. Differently, the period effect rapidly increased for esophageal cancer and stomach cancer in the US, and the period effect in China presented a declining volatility, showing its highest value in 2007. In future, highest mortality trends are likely to occur in China.

Conclusion

Therefore, the obvious increase in colon cancer recommended that earlier tactics must be performed to reduce mortality from specific causes from 2018 to 2027.

Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Asian Countries: A Trend Analysis

Background

This study aimed to evaluate the updated burden and temporal trends of cancer incidence and mortality in Asian countries.

Methodology

The data used in this study were retrieved from the Global Cancer Observatory, Cancer Incidence in Five Continents volumes I-XI, and the World Health Organization mortality database. These data were used to calculate the Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC), with a 95% confidence interval (CI) by joinpoint regression analysis to determine the epidemiological trend in the past decade.

Results

In 2020, the cancer incidence in Asia was 169.1 per 1 00 000, accounting for 49.3% of the global cancer incidence. The most common cancers included lung (13.8%), breast (10.8%) and colorectal (10.6%) cancers. Its mortality was 101.6 per 1 00 000 (58.3% of the global cancer death) with lung (19.2%), liver (10.5%) and stomach (9.9%) cancers being the most common causes of cancer death. The cancer incidence had been increasing in female population, with Korea (AAPC = 5.73, 95% CI [5.30, 6.17], P < .001), Japan (AAPC = 2.67, 95% CI [2.12, 3.23], P < .001) and Kuwait (AAPC = 2.08, 95% CI [.49, 3.69], P = .016) showing the most significant increases in the past decade. The incidence increase was also observed among population aged <40 years old, with Korea (female AAPC = 8.42, 95% CI [7.40, 9.45], P < .001; male AAPC = 5.28, 95% CI [4.23, 6.33], P <.001), China (female AAPC = 2.94, 95% CI [2.07, 3.81], P < .001; male AAPC = 1.37, 95% CI [.57, 2.18], P = .004) and Japan (female AAPC = 2.88, 95% CI [1.88, 3.88], P = .016; male AAPC = 1.59, 95% CI [.40, 2.78], P = .015) showing the most significant increases. However, there was an overall decreasing trend of cancer mortality.

Conclusions

There was a substantial burden of cancer incidence and mortality in Asia. Although there was a decreasing trend in cancer mortality, its incidence had been increasing especially among female and younger populations. Future studies could be done to further investigate the potential reasons for these epidemiologic trends.

Differences in Cancer Mortality Trends between Metropolitan and Non-Metropolitan Areas in Japan, 1999-2018

Background:

Although socioeconomic statuses affect cancer mortality rates, the specific difference between metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas in Japan has not been evaluated. This study analyzed differences in cancer mortality between metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas in Japan, using an age-period-cohort (APC) analysis.

Methods:

Data on cancer mortality from 1999 to 2018 for metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas in Japan were used. Here metropolitan areas were defined as government ordinance-designated municipalities in 1999 and special wards of Tokyo. In addition to general mortality data for all cancer sites, data on mortality for stomach, colorectal, liver, gallbladder, pancreatic, lung, prostate, and breast cancers were used for analysis. A Bayesian APC analysis was administered to the data for each type of cancer for area and for sex-distinguished data. Additionally, the ratios for estimated mortality rate by periods and cohorts between the two areas were calculated.

Results:

The age-standardized mortality rate for cancer in all sites in non-metropolitan areas was lower than that in metropolitan areas throughout the analyzed years for both men and women, but the mortality difference decreased during the periods for men. The rates of decrease in mortality rate in cohorts differed for some cancers between the two area types, and the mortality rate ratios of metropolitan compared with non-metropolitan areas decreased for cancer in all sites over the analyzed cohorts for men. Also, the rate of decrease in mortality rate over the cohorts was completely different between the areas for stomach cancer in men and for liver cancer for women.

Conclusion:

Mortality rates for cancer in all sites tended to diverge between the two area types in younger cohorts for men, and people in younger cohorts in non-metropolitan areas should take more extensive preventive measures against cancer than their counterparts in metropolitan areas.

Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of the Sex Differences in Cancer Mortality Rates in Japan from 1995 to 2015

BACKGROUND

The current study aimed to analyze the sex differences in cancer mortality rates in Japan via an age-period-cohort (APC) analysis.

METHODS

We used data about cancer mortality rates from 1995 to 2015 in Japan based on the Vital Statistics survey. In addition to the data about mortality from all sites of cancer, we specifically used data about stomach, lung, colorectal, and liver cancers. A Bayesian APC analysis was performed to identify changes in mortality rates based on three effects, which were as follows: age, period, and cohort. Then, we finally calculated the mortality rate ratios for each effect between men and women.

RESULTS

The sex differences in age-adjusted mortality rates for all-sites cancer, lung cancer, and liver cancer were decreasing from 1995 to 2015, and the mortality rate ratios in terms of sex decreased from 2.17 in 1995 to 1.93 in 2015. Based on the results of the APC analyses, only minimal changes were observed in the mortality rate ratios for all types of cancer between men and women during the analyzed periods. The cohort effects began to decrease from the early 20th century in all types of cancer in both men and women, and the mortality rate ratios for all types of cancer between men and women began to increase in the cohorts born from 1926 to 1935. For all-sites cancer, the ratio increased from 0.49 (0.44, 0.57) in the cohort born from 1926 to 1930 to 0.81 (0.60, 1.03) in the cohort born from 1971 to 1975.

CONCLUSION

The sex differences in cancer mortality rates were decreasing in the more recent born generations in Japan. If this trend continues, there will be a minimal difference in the morality rates in the following generations.<br />.

Billroth-I vs Roux-en-Y after distal gastrectomy: A comparison of long-term nutritional status and survival rates from a large-scale multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

The optimal standard reconstruction procedure after distal gastrectomy is controversial. No large-scale persuasive clinical studies from long-term perspectives on this topic have yet been conducted.

STUDY DESIGN

This retrospective multicenter study analyzed a database of 2510 consecutive patients with clinical stage I gastric cancer who underwent distal gastrectomy followed by Billroth-I (B-I) or Roux-en-Y (R-Y) anastomosis from 2006 to 2012. After adjusting for 30 potential confounding factors using propensity score matching, we compared the body weight loss and other nutritional status for 5 years as primary outcomes between the two groups. We also investigated surgical outcomes, endoscopic findings, and long-term survival rates as secondary outcomes.

RESULTS

After matching the inclusion criteria, 940 patients (470 in each group) were enrolled. There was no marked difference in the body weight loss and other nutritional indicators. The incidence of grade ≥3 postoperative complications (Clavien-Dindo classification) or the incidence of gallstone formation was not markedly different between the two groups. The postoperative hospital stay after surgery was significantly longer, and the readmission rate was significantly higher in the R-Y group than in the B-I group. An endoscopic examination revealed no trends regarding the incidence and severity of gastritis or residual food in the remnant stomach. The 5-year overall survival rate was 92.6% in the B-I group and 91.8% in the R-Y group, with no significant difference (P = .379, log-rank test).

CONCLUSIONS

Roux-en-Y reconstruction may be nearly equal to Billroth-I with regard to the long-term nutritional perspectives.

The long-term population impact of endoscopic screening programmes on disease burdens of gastric cancer in China: A mathematical modelling study

BACKGROUND

Gastric cancer (GC) incidence and mortality in China remained high due to delayed diagnosis and accounted for about half of the world's GC cases and deaths. Early detection with endoscopic screening and consequent timely treatment can significantly improve survival. This study aimed to explore the long-term population impact of endoscopic screening on national GC disease burdens in China.

METHODS

Most of previous studies investigated the disease burdens of cancer using Markov model or age-period-cohort (APC) model, which are difficult to estimate the population size of undiagnosed cases. In this paper, we proposed a new dynamic compartmental model based on GC natural history and calibrated model outputs to diagnosed GC cases and GC-related death counts using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. We investigated the impact of screening strategies with various coverage (10%, 40%, 70%) and frequency (every 1, 3, 5 years) on disease burdens.

RESULTS

We estimated that 2.22 (95%CI: 1.97-2.47) million Chinese are living with GC in 2019, among which, 42.7% (40.3-45.0%) remained undiagnosed. Without systematic screening, we projected 10.46 (9.07-11.86) million incident cases and 7.35 (6.59-8.11) million GC-related deaths over the next 30 years (2019-2049). Screening with coverage rate at 10%, 40%, 70% every 3 years could prevent 0.85 (0.63-1.06), 2.32 (1.79-2.86), and 3.04 (2.38-3.70) million incident cases, and prevent 1.17 (1.01-1.32), 3.08 (2.70-3.46), and 3.93 (3.46-4.40) million deaths respectively, compared with 'no screening' scenario. Screening would substantially increase the number of diagnosed GC cases within the first three years of program initiation, but this number would quickly reduce below 'no screening' scenario. Three-yearly screening at the above coverage rates would reduce the proportion of undiagnosed GC cases to 38.8% (36.9-40.7%), 25.5% (23.4-27.6%), and 17.8% (16.0-19.6%) by 2049, respectively. Delaying implementation of the screening program would substantially reduce its effectiveness.

CONCLUSIONS

Initiating national endoscopic screening programmes would likely have a major effect on reducing GC incidence and mortality in China. Health resources should be substantially increased and directed to treatment of GC to cope with the initial rise in diagnosed GC cases.

Survival rate of patients with gastric cancer in Hormozgan Province, Iran

Background: Gastric cancer is the fourth most common form of cancer and the second most common cause of death in the world. It is also one of the most common cancers leading to mortality in Iran. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the survival rate of patients with gastric cancer and its affecting factors in the south of Iran (Hormozgan province).

Methods: In this study, all patients with gastric cancer (119 patients) that were diagnosed and registered during 2008 to 2013 in Hormozgan province, were studied. All patients were followed to the end of 2015. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards model were used to draw survival curves and to determine the effective factors on the survival rate of surveyed patients. Moreover, Log-rank test was used to evaluate whether or not survival curves for different groups are statistically equivalent (p<0.05).

Results: The mean age of the study population was 58.9±14.91, and most of them were men (72.3% (86 persons)). After diagnosis, the survival rates for 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years were 62.2%, 49.4%, 43.7%, 39.7%, and 38% respectively. Survival in men were lower than women, but according to log-rank test this difference was not statistically significant (p=0.325). Also patients with advanced stage cancer had significantly lower survival in comparison to individuals with early stage disease (p<0.001). Based on multiple Cox proportional hazards model, job status of the patients and stage of cancer were effective factors on patients’ survival.

Conclusion: Based on the findings of the present study, the survival rate was decreased over time after diagnosis. Stage of a cancer at the time of diagnosis is the most important factor affecting the survival of surveyed patients. This shows that there is a crucial need to diagnos the gastric cancer in early stages.

Incidence and mortality of stomach cancer in China, 2014

OBJECTIVE

In this study, we aimed to estimate the updated incidence and mortality rate of stomach cancer based on the cancer registration data in 2014, collected by the National Central Cancer Registry of China (NCCRC).

METHODS

In 2017, 339 registries' data were qualified based on the criteria of data quality control of the NCCRC. Cases of stomach cancer were retrieved from the national database. We estimated numbers of stomach cancer cases and deaths in China using age-specific rates and corresponding national population stratified by area, sex, age-group (0, 1-4, 5-9, 10-14, …, 85+). Chinese standard population in 2000 and Segi's world population were applied for age-standardized incidence and mortality rates.

RESULTS

In 2014, 410,400 new stomach cancer cases and 293,800 cancer-associated deaths were estimated to have occurred in China. The crude incidence rate of stomach cancer was 30.00/100,000, age-standardized incidence rates by Chinese standard population (ASIRC) and by world standard population (ASIRW) were 19.62/100,000 and 19.51/100,000, respectively. The crude mortality rate of stomach cancer was 21.48/100,000, age-standardized mortality rates by Chinese (ASMRC) and by world standard population (ASMRW) were 13.44/100,000 and 13.30/100,000, respectively. Incidence and mortality rates in rural areas were both higher than that in urban areas. Stomach cancer has a strong relationship with gender and age. The disease has occurred more frequently among men than women with a male to female ratio of 2.4 for ASIRC. After age group of 40-44 years, incidence rates are substantially higher in men than in women, same pattern was seen for age-specific mortality rates.

CONCLUSIONS

There is still a heavy burden of stomach cancer in China. The incidence and mortality patterns of stomach cancer show substantial gender and regional disparities. Great effort is needed to provide more accessible health services, sufficient financial resources, and adequate cancer-care infrastructure for the Chinese population, especially for people living in rural areas.

Prospective phase II trial of pazopanib plus CapeOX (capecitabine and oxaliplatin) in previously untreated patients with advanced gastric cancer

We designed a single-arm, open label phase II study to determine the efficacy and toxicity of the combination of pazopanib with CapeOx (capecitabine and oxaliplatin) in metastatic /recurrent advanced gastric cancer (AGC) patients. Previously untreated AGC patients received capecitabine (850 mg/m² bid, day 1–14) plus oxaliplatin (130 mg/m², day 1) in combination with pazopanib (800 mg, day 1–21) every three weeks. Treatment was continued until progression of the disease or intolerable toxicity was observed. In all, 66 patients were treated with pazopanib plus CapeOx. The median age of the patients was 51.5 years (range, 23.0–77), and the median ECOG performance status was 1 (0–1). Among all 66 patients, one complete response and 37 partial responses were observed (overall response rate, 62.4%; 95% confidence interval (CI), 45.7–73.5% accounting for the 2-stage design of this trial). Stable disease was observed in 23 patients (34.8%), revealing a 92.4% disease control rate. The median progression free survival and overall survival were 6.5 months (95% CI, 5.6–7.4) and 10.5 months (95% CI, 8.1–12.9), respectively. Thirty-four patients (51.5%) experienced a treatment-related toxicity of grade 3 or more. The most common toxicities of grade 3 or more were neutropenia (15.1%), anemia (10.6%), thrombocytopenia (10.6%), anorexia (7.6%), nausea (3.0%), and vomiting (3.0%). There were no treatment-related deaths. The combination of pazopanib and CapeOx showed moderate activity and an acceptable toxicity profile as a first-line treatment in metastatic / recurrent AGC patients (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01130805).

Oncological outcomes after hepatic resection and/or surgical microwave ablation for liver metastasis from gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

Indications and efficacy of surgical treatment for liver metastases from gastric cancer (LMGCs) remain controversial. This retrospective study was designed to clarify the benefits of surgical treatment and identify prognostic factors.

METHODS

Between December 1997 and December 2015, 34 consecutive patients underwent hepatic resection and surgical microwave ablation for synchronous or metachronous LMGCs at our institution. We analyzed their cumulative overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates and clinical parameters to identify predictors of prognosis.

RESULTS

Of the 34 patients, 14 underwent hepatic resection, 13 underwent surgical microwave ablation, and 7 underwent hepatic resection combined with surgical microwave ablation. Their OS rates were 1-year: 84.4%, 3-year: 38.6%, and 5-year: 34.7%; and their RFS rates were 1-year: 38.5%, 3-year: 28.0%, and 5-year: 28.0%. OS did not significantly vary among the surgical procedures. In multivariable analysis, positive of both CEA and CA19-9 were independent predictors of poor survival (hazard ratio [HR] 4.51; P = 0.049) and early recurrence (HR 5.70; P = 0.047).

CONCLUSIONS

Both hepatic resection and surgical microwave ablation for LMGCs are effective and can improve survival in selected patients.

Value of FGFR2 expression for advanced gastric cancer patients receiving pazopanib plus CapeOX (capecitabine and oxaliplatin)

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to use immunohistochemistry (IHC) to determine the effect of FGFR2 and VEGFR2 expression on treatment outcomes for patients with metastatic or recurrent advanced gastric cancer (AGC) receiving a combination of pazopanib with CapeOx (capecitabine and oxaliplatin).

METHODS

We conducted a single-arm, open-label phase II study to determine the efficacy and toxicity of the combination of pazopanib with CapeOx in 66 patients with metastatic or recurrent AGC (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01130805). IHC analysis of FGFR2 and VEGFR2 was possible in 54 patients (81.8 %).

RESULTS

Among 54 patients, the median age was 51.5 years (range 23-72 years). Male patients were 59.3 %. Seven patients (13.5 %) had tumor tissues that expressed FGFR2 by IHC. No patients had tumors that expressed VEGFR2. Among seven patients with tumors with FGFR2 expression, six achieved partial response (PR) with a 85.7 % response rate and one patient with stable disease. Among 47 patients with tumors without FGFR2 expression, one had complete response and 27 had PR (59.5 %). A significant difference in PFS was seen between patients who were positive and negative for FGFR2 using IHC (8.5 vs. 5.6 months, P = 0.050). By prognostic analysis for PFS, only FGFR2 status by IHC (positive vs. negative) had significant prognostic value for predicting PFS.

CONCLUSIONS

FGFR2 expression by IHC might be a useful biomarker for predicting treatment outcomes of patients with metastatic or recurrent AGC treated with a combination of pazopanib and CapeOx.

Declining trends in prevalence of Helicobacter pylori infection by birth-year in a Japanese population

Gastric cancer incidence and mortality have been decreasing in Japan. These decreases are likely due to a decrease in prevalence of Helicobacter pylori infection. Our aim was to characterize the trends in prevalence of H. pylori infection focused on birth-year. We carried out a cross-sectional study that included 4285 subjects who were born from 1926 to 1989. We defined H. pylori infection by the serum H. pylori antibody titer. Individuals having H. pylori infection and those with negative H. pylori antibody titer and positive pepsinogen test were defined as high-risk individuals for gastric cancer. We estimated the birth-year percent change (BPC) of the prevalence by Joinpoint regression analysis. The prevalence of H. pylori infection among the subjects born from 1927 to 1949 decreased from 54.0% to 42.0% with a BPC of -1.2%. It was followed by a rapid decline in those born between 1949 (42.0%) and 1961 (24.0%) with a BPC of -4.5%, which was followed by those born between 1961 (24.0%) and 1988 (14.0%) with a BPC of -2.1%. The proportion of high-risk individuals for gastric cancer among the subjects born from 1927 to 1942 decreased from 62.0% to 55.0% with a BPC of -0.8%. A subsequent rapid declining trend was observed in those born between 1942 (55.0%) and 1972 (18.0%) with a BPC of -3.6%, and then it became stable. These remarkable declining trends in the prevalence of H. pylori infection by birth-year would be useful to predict the future trend in gastric cancer incidence in Japan.

Clinical epidemiology of gastric cancer

Gastric cancer is the second leading cause of cancer-related mortality and the fourth most common cancer globally. There are, however, distinct differences in incidence rates in different geographic regions. While the incidence rate of gastric cancer has been falling, that of gastric cardia cancers is reportedly on the rise in some regions. Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection is a major risk factor of non-cardia gastric cancer, and data has emerged concerning the role of H. pylori eradication for primary prevention of gastric cancer. Dietary, lifestyle and metabolic factors have also been implicated. Although addressing these other factors may contribute to health, the actual impact in terms of cancer prevention is unclear. Once irreversible histological changes have occurred, endoscopic surveillance would be necessary. A molecular classification system offers hope for molecularly tailored, personalised therapies for gastric cancer, which may improve the prognosis for patients.

Optimal management of resectable gastric adenocarcinoma

The worldwide incidence of gastric adenocarcinoma has rapidly declined in the past century, but gastric cancer remains the fifth most common malignancy in the world. Approximately half of all cases of gastric cancer are diagnosed in Eastern Asia. In this review, we provide an overview of the landmark studies investigating neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapies in resectable gastric cancer and highlight ongoing efforts to define optimal population-adapted management strategies.

Health Disparities in Ischaemic Heart Disease Mortality in Hungary From 1970 to 2010: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis

Background

The objective of this study was to examine long-term trends in rates of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) mortality, a leading cause of mortality in Hungary. The study examined the effects of age, period, and cohort on IHD mortality rates and compared mortality rates between the capital (Budapest) and non-capital counties.

Methods

Data on IHD deaths and population censuses were obtained from the Hungarian Central Statistical Office. Age-period-cohort analysis utilized nine age-group classes for ages 40 to 84 years, eight time periods from 1970 to 2009, and 16 birth cohorts from 1886 to 1969.

Results

Age-adjusted IHD mortality rates for men and for women generally increased from 1970 to 1993 and from 1980 to 1999, respectively, decreasing thereafter for both sexes. IHD mortality rates for men and for women from Budapest were lower from 1991 and from 1970, respectively, than corresponding rates in non-capital counties, with the difference increasing after 1999. Age had a more significant influence on mortality rates for women than for men. The period effect increased from 1972 to 1982 and decreased thereafter for men, while the period effect decreased consistently for women from 1972 to 2007. The decline in period effect for both sexes was larger for individuals from the capital than for those from non-capital counties. The cohort effect for both sexes declined from birth years 1890 to 1965, with a steeper decline for individuals from the capital than for those from non-capital counties.

Conclusions

The findings indicate a need for programs in Hungary for IHD prevention, especially for non-capital counties.

Anti-tumor efficacy of fulvestrant in estrogen receptor positive gastric cancer

To investigate the prognostic role of the estrogen receptor (ER) in gastric cancer (GC) patients, tumor tissues from 932 patients with advanced GC were assessed for ER expression using immunohistochemistry, and their clinicopathologic features were evaluated. Forty patients (4.3%) had ER expression and they were more frequently associated with diffuse type gastric cancer and shorter disease free survival. Furthermore, we carried out in vitro analysis to evaluate the effect of ER modulation on the proliferation of GC cell lines. Estradiol enhanced proliferation of ER positive GC cells while it did not show any effect on ER negative GC cells. When ER was inhibited by fulvestrant and ER siRNA, estradiol-induced proliferation of ER positive GC cell was suppressed. Paclitaxel showed synergistic anti-proliferative impacts with fulvestrant. Suppressing ER by fulvestrant, paclitaxel and ER siRNA showed increased expression of E-cadherin, which is a crucial factor in diffuse-type carcinogenesis.

Multicentre analysis of long-term outcome after surgical resection for gastric cancer liver metastases

Background

The efficacy of surgical resection for gastric cancer liver metastases (GCLMs) is currently debated. Hitherto, no large-scale clinical studies have been conducted.

Methods

This retrospective multicentre study analysed a database of consecutive patients with either synchronous or metachronous metastases who underwent surgical R0 resection for GCLM between 1990 and 2010. Clinical data were collected from five cancer centres in Japan. Survival curves were assessed, and clinical parameters were evaluated to identify predictors of prognosis.

Results

A total of 256 patients were enrolled. The mean(s.d.) number of hepatic tumours resected was 2·0(2·4). The surgical mortality rate was 1·6 per cent. Median follow-up was 65 (range 1–261) months. Recurrences were detected in 192 patients (75·0 per cent). The median interval from hepatic resection to recurrence was 7 (range 1–72) months, and the dominant site of recurrence was the liver (72·4 per cent). Actuarial 1-, 3- and 5-year overall and recurrence-free survival rates were 77·3, 41·9 and 31·1 per cent, and 43·6, 32·4 and 30·1 per cent, respectively. Median overall and recurrence-free survival times were 31·1 and 9·4 months respectively. Multivariable analysis identified serosal invasion of the primary gastric cancer (hazard ratio (HR) 1·50; P = 0·012), three or more liver metastases (HR 2·33; P &lt; 0·001) and liver tumour diameter at least 5 cm (HR 1·62; P = 0·005) as independent predictors of poor survival.

Conclusion

Clinically resectable GCLM is rare, but strict and careful patient selection can lead to long-term survival following R0 surgical resection.

Simvastatin plus capecitabine-cisplatin versus placebo plus capecitabine-cisplatin in patients with previously untreated advanced gastric cancer: a double-blind randomised phase 3 study

PURPOSE

We aimed to the addition of synthetic 3-hydroxy-3-methyglutaryl coenzyme A (HMG-CoA) reductase inhibitor, simvastatin to capecitabine-cisplatin (XP) in patients with previously untreated advanced gastric cancer (AGC).

METHODS

In this double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase III study, we enrolled patients aged 18 years or older with histological or cytological confirmed metastatic adenocarcinoma of the stomach or gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) at nine centres in Korea. Patients, stratified by disease measurability and participating site, were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive capecitabine 1000mg/m(2) twice daily for 14 days and cisplatin 80 mg/m(2) on day 1 every 3 weeks plus either simvastatin 40 mg or placebo, once daily. Cisplatin was given for 8 cycles; capecitabine and simvastatin were administered until disease progression or unacceptable toxicities. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01099085.

RESULTS

Between February 2009 and November 2012, 244 patients were enrolled and assigned to treatment groups (120 simvastatin, 124 placebo). Median progression free survival (PFS) for 120 patients allocated XP plus simvastatin was 5.2 months (95% confidence interval (CI) 4.3-6.1) compared with 4.63 months (95% CI 3.5-5.7) for 124 patients who were allocated to XP plus placebo (hazard ratio 0.930, 95% CI 0.684-1.264; p=0.642). 63 (52.5%) of 120 patients in simvastatin group and 70 (56.4%) of 124 had grade 3 or higher adverse events.

CONCLUSIONS

Addition of 40 mg simvastatin to XP does not increase PFS in our trial, although it does not increase toxicity. Low dose of simvastatin (40 mg) to chemotherapy is not recommended in untargeted population with AGC.

Advances in cancer epidemiology in Japan

Epidemiologists in Japan have been performing calculations to estimate nationwide cancer incidence rates as well as 5-year survival rates using population-based cancer registry data. There have been remarkable changes in cancer incidence and/or mortality in cancers of the lung, liver and stomach, which were thought to be attributed to the changing impact of exposure to cigarette smoking, chronic hepatitis C virus infection and Helicobacter pylori infection, respectively. In systematic reviews providing evidence in risk/protective factors for cancer sites using case-control and cohort studies of the Japanese population, there were associations between cancer sites (esophagus, stomach, colo-rectum, liver, pancreas, lung and breast) and various lifestyle factors. In the past 10 years, a hospital-based case-control study at Aichi Cancer Center provided valuable evidence of gene-environment interaction on the development of cancer [i.e., the effects of aldehyde dehydrogenase-2 (ALDH2) polymorphism and heavy alcohol drinking on esophageal cancer, ALDH2 polymorphism and smoking on lung cancer, methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase polymorphism and heavy alcohol drinking on pancreatic cancer]. The database with stored DNA was also used and identified seven loci containing significant but low-penetrance polymorphisms associated with the development of breast cancer. These findings together with established risk factors are likely to be useful to predict personalized breast cancer risk in East Asian women. In 2005, the Japan Multi-Institution Collaborative Cohort (J-MICC) study was launched to elucidate gene-environment interactions as well as to confirm preclinical diagnostic biomarkers of cancer. J-MICC, which has recruited 92,000 healthy individuals by the end of 2012, will follow the individuals until 2025.

Phase II trial of capecitabine and everolimus (RAD001) combination in refractory gastric cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to assess the efficacy and safety of combination regimen of capecitabine plus everolimus in patients with refractory gastric cancer who have failed to at least two cytotoxic regimens.

METHODS

Patients received capecitabine 650 mg/m(2) twice daily (D1-14) and everolimus 5 mg twice daily (D1-21) every 3 weeks until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity. The primary endpoint of the study was overall response (partial or complete response) and the secondary endpoints were progression-free survival (time between registration and disease progression or death) and overall survival. Pharmacokinetic analysis was also performed. Patients who have failed to at least two cytotoxic regimens were enrolled.

RESULTS

Between March 2010 and June 2012, 47 patients were enrolled. 33 patients (70.2%) had received more than three previous regimens prior to enrolment. Among 43 evaluable patients for treatment response, 5 patients achieved confirmed partial response and 18 patients showed stable disease, resulting in an overall response rate (ORR) of 10.6% (95% C.I.: 1.8-19.4%) and disease control rate of 48.9% (95% C.I.:34.6-63.2%). At a median follow-up of 106 weeks (range, 21-141 weeks), the median progression-free survival and overall survival were 11.0 weeks (95% C.I.: 5.7-16.3 weeks) and 21.0 weeks (95% C.I.: 14.3-27.7 weeks), respectively. Grade 3 nausea, diarrhea and stomatitis occurred in two, three and three patients, respectively. Elevated liver enzyme was observed in 21 patients and no patient had pulmonary fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of capecitabine 650 mg/m(2) twice daily and everolimus 5 mg twice daily was found to be effective in a small subset of GC patients who were heavily pre-treated.

The gastric fluid proteome as a potential source of gastric cancer biomarkers

Gastric cancer is a significant cause of death in many parts of the world. Although timely intervention is associated with better clinical outcome, early gastric cancer detection is frequently not possible given its asymptomatic nature. As such, sensitive and specific gastric cancer biomarkers are highly sought after as diagnostic surrogates that may replace invasive endoscopic and histological examinations. Unlike gastric cancer tissue and serum which are heterogeneous and overloaded with abundant proteins, the gastric fluid contains a concentrated molecular biopsy of the stomach that accurately reflects gastric oncology. This review attempts to (i) summarise the state of proteomics-based gastric cancer biomarker discovery from patient gastric fluids, (ii) outline key considerations in working with the body fluid, and (ii) discuss how the challenges in gastric cancer diagnosis may be overcome with new perspectives in gastric cancer screening.

Randomised phase II trial of docetaxel and sunitinib in patients with metastatic gastric cancer who were previously treated with fluoropyrimidine and platinum

BACKGROUND

Docetaxel is widely used as a chemotherapeutic agent for gastric cancer treatment. A combined regimen with sunitinib demonstrated a synergistic antitumour effect in a preclinical model. The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of this combination in patients with unresectable or metastatic advanced gastric cancer following failure of treatment with a fluoropyrimidine and platinum combination.

METHODS

This open-label, phase II, randomised trial enrolled patients with unresectable or metastatic gastric cancer. Patients were assigned to either a docetaxel monotherapy arm (D only arm: 60 mg m(-2), every 3 weeks) or a combination arm (DS arm: docetaxel+sunitinib 37.5 mg every day). The primary end point of the study was time to progression and the secondary end points were overall response rate, disease control rate, overall survival, and toxicity profile. A pharmacokinetic study was also performed.

RESULTS

A total of 107 patients were entered into the study. The TTP was not significantly prolonged in the DS arm when compared with the D only arm (DS vs D only arm: 3.9 months (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.9-4.9) vs 2.6 months (95% CI 1.8-3.5) (P=0.206). The hazard ratio for TTP was 0.77 (95% CI 0.52-1.16). However, the objective response rate was significantly higher in the DS arm (41.1% vs 14.3%, P=0.002). Patients in the DS arm experienced stomatitis, diarrhoea, and hand-foot syndrome more frequently.

CONCLUSION

The addition of sunitinib to docetaxel did not significantly prolong TTP, although it significantly increased response.

Randomised phase II trial of docetaxel and sunitinib in patients with metastatic gastric cancer who were previously treated with fluoropyrimidine and platinum

BACKGROUND

Docetaxel is widely used as a chemotherapeutic agent for gastric cancer treatment. A combined regimen with sunitinib demonstrated a synergistic antitumour effect in a preclinical model. The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of this combination in patients with unresectable or metastatic advanced gastric cancer following failure of treatment with a fluoropyrimidine and platinum combination.

METHODS

This open-label, phase II, randomised trial enrolled patients with unresectable or metastatic gastric cancer. Patients were assigned to either a docetaxel monotherapy arm (D only arm: 60 mg m(-2), every 3 weeks) or a combination arm (DS arm: docetaxel+sunitinib 37.5 mg every day). The primary end point of the study was time to progression and the secondary end points were overall response rate, disease control rate, overall survival, and toxicity profile. A pharmacokinetic study was also performed.

RESULTS

A total of 107 patients were entered into the study. The TTP was not significantly prolonged in the DS arm when compared with the D only arm (DS vs D only arm: 3.9 months (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.9-4.9) vs 2.6 months (95% CI 1.8-3.5) (P=0.206). The hazard ratio for TTP was 0.77 (95% CI 0.52-1.16). However, the objective response rate was significantly higher in the DS arm (41.1% vs 14.3%, P=0.002). Patients in the DS arm experienced stomatitis, diarrhoea, and hand-foot syndrome more frequently.

CONCLUSION

The addition of sunitinib to docetaxel did not significantly prolong TTP, although it significantly increased response.