Ethnic disparities and liver transplantation rates in hepatocellular carcinoma patients in the recent era: results from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry

The burden of cirrhosis mortality by county, race, and ethnicity in the USA, 2000-19: a systematic analysis of health disparities

BACKGROUND

Cirrhosis is responsible for substantial health and economic burden in the USA. Reducing this burden requires better understanding of how rates of cirrhosis mortality vary by race and ethnicity and by geographical location. This study describes rates and trends in cirrhosis mortality for five racial and ethnic populations in 3110 US counties from 2000 to 2019.

METHODS

We estimated cirrhosis mortality rates by county, race and ethnicity, and year (2000-19) using previously validated small-area estimation methods, death registration data from the US National Vital Statistics System, and population data from the US National Center for Health Statistics. Five racial and ethnic populations were considered: American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN), Asian or Pacific Islander (Asian), Black, Latino or Hispanic (Latino), and White. Cirrhosis mortality rate estimates were age-standardised using the age distribution from the 2010 US census as the standard. For each racial and ethnic population, estimates are presented for all counties with a mean annual population greater than 1000.

FINDINGS

From 2000 to 2019, national-level age-standardised cirrhosis mortality rates decreased in the Asian (23·8% [95% uncertainty interval 19·6-27·8], from 9·4 deaths per 100 000 population [8·9-9·9] to 7·1 per 100 000 [6·8-7·5]), Black (22·8% [20·6-24·8], from 19·8 per 100 000 [19·4-20·3] to 15·3 per 100 000 [15·0-15·6]), and Latino (15·3% [13·3-17·3], from 26·3 per 100 000 [25·6-27·0] to 22·3 per 100 000 [21·8-22·8]) populations and increased in the AIAN (39·3% [32·3-46·4], from 45·6 per 100 000 [40·6-50·6] to 63·5 per 100 000 [57·2-70·2] in 2000 and 2019, respectively) and White (25·8% [24·2-27·3], from 14·7 deaths per 100 000 [14·6-14·9] to 18·5 per 100 000 [18·4-18·7]) populations. In all years, cirrhosis mortality rates were lowest among the Asian population, highest among the AIAN population, and higher in males than females for each racial and ethnic population. The degree of heterogeneity in county-level cirrhosis mortality rates varied by racial and ethnic population, with the narrowest IQR in the Asian population (median 8·0 deaths per 100 000, IQR 6·4-10·4) and the widest in the AIAN population (55·1, 30·3-78·8). Cirrhosis mortality increased over the study period in almost all counties for the White (2957 [96·9%] of 3051 counties) and AIAN (421 [88·8%] of 474) populations, but in a smaller proportion of counties for the Asian, Black, and Latino populations. For all racial and ethnic populations, cirrhosis mortality rates increased in more counties between 2000 and 2015 than between 2015 and 2019.

INTERPRETATION

Cirrhosis mortality increased nationally and in many counties from 2000 to 2019. Although the magnitude of racial and ethnic disparities decreased in some places, disparities nonetheless persisted, and mortality remained high in many locations and communities. Our findings underscore the need to implement targeted and locally tailored programmes and policies to reduce the burden of cirrhosis at both the national and local level.

FUNDING

US National Institutes of Health (Intramural Research Program, National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Intramural Research Program, National Cancer Institute; National Institute on Aging; National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases; Office of Disease Prevention; and Office of Behavioral and Social Sciences Research).

Comparisons of Percutaneous Ablation, Open or Laparoscopic Liver Resection for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage 0-A Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Concurrent Generalized Propensity Score Analysis

Purpose

Liver resection and ablation remain the most common therapeutic options for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0-A hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but there is a lack of evidence to show which is the most suitable therapy. This study aimed to make concurrent multi-arm comparisons of the short-term and long-term outcomes of percutaneous ablation (PA), open (OLR) or laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) for these patients.

Patients and Methods

This was a retrospective observational cohort study. A series of generalized propensity score methods for multiple treatment groups were performed to concurrently compare the clinical outcomes of these three treatment options to balance potential confounders. Regression standardization was used to account for hazard of all-cause mortality and recurrence of intergroup differences.

Results

Of the 1778 patients included, 1237, 307 and 234 underwent OLR, LLR and PA, respectively. After overlap weighting, which was the optimal adjustment strategy, patients in the minimally invasive group (LLR and PA groups) had few postoperative complications and short postoperative hospital stays (both P < 0.001). The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate and 5-year overall survival (OS) rate were significantly higher in the LLR group when compared with the OLR and PA groups (RFS: 55.6% vs 48.0% vs 30.2%, P < 0.001; OS: 89.1% vs 79.7% vs 84.0%, P = 0.020). Multivariable Cox analysis and regression standardization showed that LLR was an independent factor for better RFS when compared with OLR and PA. In subgroup analysis, the long-term outcomes of patients with BCLC stage A HCC were consistent with the whole population.

Conclusion

In the observational study using various covariate adjustment analysis with excellent balance, LLR is not only minimally invasive, but also provides better RFS and equivalent OS for patients with BCLC stage 0-A HCC when compared with OLR and PA.

Temporal trends of health disparity in the utilization of curative-intent treatments for hepatocellular carcinoma: are we making progress?

BACKGROUND

Liver-directed treatments - ablative therapy (AT), surgical resection (SR), liver transplantation (LT), and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) - improve the overall survival of patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Although racial and socioeconomic disparities affect access to liver-directed therapies, the temporal trends for the curative-intent treatment of HCC remain to be elucidated.

METHODS

This study performed chi-square, logistic regression, and temporal trends analyses on data from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample from 2011 to 2019. The outcome of interest was the rate of AT, SR, LT (curative-intent treatments), and TACE utilization, and the primary predictors were racial/ethnic group and socioeconomic status (SES; insurance status).

RESULTS

African American and Hispanic patients had lower odds of receiving AT (African American: odds ratio [OR], 0.78; P < .001; Hispanic: OR, 0.84; P = .005) and SR (African American: OR, 0.71; P < .001; Hispanics: OR, 0.64; P < .001) than White patients. Compared with White patients, the odds of LT was lower in African American patients (OR, 0.76; P < .001) but higher in Hispanic patients (OR, 1.25; P = .001). Low SES was associated with worse odds of AT (OR, 0.79; P = .001), SR (OR, 0.66; P < .001), and LT (OR, 0.84; P = .028) compared with high SES. Although curative-intent treatments showed significant upward temporal trends among White patients (10.6%-13.9%; P < .001) and Asian and Pacific Islander/other patients (14.4%-15.7%; P = .007), there were nonsignificant trends among African American patients (10.9%-10.1%; P = .825) or Hispanic patients (12.2%-13.7%; P = .056).

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrated concerning disparities in the utilization of curative-intent treatment for HCC based on race/ethnicity and SES. Moreover, racial/ethnic disparities have widened rather than improved over time.

Burden of liver cancer mortality by county, race, and ethnicity in the USA, 2000-19: a systematic analysis of health disparities

BACKGROUND

Understanding how specific populations are affected by liver cancer is important for identifying priorities, policies, and interventions to mitigate health risks and reduce disparities. This study aims to provide comprehensive analysis of rates and trends in liver cancer mortality for different racial and ethnic populations in the USA nationally and at the county level from 2000 to 2019.

METHODS

We applied small-area estimation methods to death registration data from the US National Vital Statistics System and population data from the US National Center for Health Statistics to estimate liver cancer mortality rates by county, racial and ethnic population, and year (2000-19) in the USA. Race and ethnicity were categorised as non-Latino and non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN), non-Latino and non-Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander (Asian), non-Latino and non-Hispanic Black (Black), Latino or Hispanic (Latino), and non-Latino and non-Hispanic White (White). Estimates were adjusted using published misclassification ratios to correct for inaccuracies in race or ethnicity as recorded on death certificates, and then age-standardised. Mortality rate estimates are presented for all county and racial and ethnic population combinations with a mean annual population greater than 1000.

FINDINGS

Nationally, the age-standardised liver cancer mortality rate increased between the years 2000 (4·2 deaths per 100 000 population [95% uncertainty interval 4·1-4·3]) and 2016 (6·0 per 100 000 [5·9-6·1]), followed by a stabilisation in rates from 2016 to 2019 (6·1 per 100 000 [6·0-6·2]). Similar trends were observed across the AIAN, Black, Latino, and White populations, whereas the Asian population showed an overall decrease across the 20-year study period. Qualitatively similar trends were observed in most counties; however, the mortality rate and the rate of change varied substantially across counties, both within and across racial and ethnic populations. For the 2016-19 period, mortality continued to increase at a substantial rate in some counties even while it stabilised nationally. Nationally, the White population had the lowest mortality rate in all years, while the racial and ethnic population with the highest rate changed from the Asian population in 2000 to the AIAN population in 2019. Racial and ethnic disparities were substantial: in 2019, mortality was highest in the AIAN population (10·5 deaths per 100 000 [9·1-12·0]), notably lower for the Asian (7·5 per 100 000 [7·1-7·9]), Black (7·6 per 100 000 [7·3-7·8]), and Latino (7·7 per 100 000 [7·5-8·0]) populations, and lowest for the White population (5·5 [5·4-5·6]). These racial and ethnic disparities in mortality were prevalent throughout the country: in 2019, mortality was higher in minoritised racial and ethnic populations than in the White population living in the same county in 408 (87·7%) of 465 counties with unmasked estimates for the AIAN population, 604 (90·6%) of 667 counties for the Asian population, 1207 (81·2%) of 1486 counties for the Black population, and 1073 (73·0%) of 1469 counties for the Latino population.

INTERPRETATION

Although the plateau in liver cancer mortality rates in recent years is encouraging, mortality remains too high in many locations throughout the USA, particularly for minoritised racial and ethnic populations. Addressing population-specific risk factors and differences in access to quality health care is essential for decreasing the burden and disparities in liver cancer mortality across racial and ethnic populations and locations.

FUNDING

US National Institutes of Health (Intramural Research Program, National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Intramural Research Program, National Cancer Institute; National Institute on Aging; National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases; Office of Disease Prevention; and Office of Behavioral and Social Sciences Research).

Racial Disparities in Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the United States: An Update

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have demonstrated a disparity in liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among races in the United States (U.S.).

AIMS

We aimed to update the literature on the odds, trends, and complications of LT in the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), among individuals of different racial backgrounds.

METHODS

This is a nationwide study of adult individuals admitted for LT with a primary diagnosis of HCC. Using weighted data from the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database, we compared the odds of LT among different races from 2016 to 2020, using a multivariate regression analysis. We further assessed the trends and outcomes of LT among races.

RESULTS

A total of 112,110 adult were hospitalized with a primary diagnosis of HCC. 3020 underwent LT. When compared to Whites, the likelihood of undergoing LT for HCC was significantly reduced in Blacks (OR = 0.60, 95% CI = 0.46-0.78). Further, Blacks had increased mortality rates (7% in Blacks vs. 1% in Whites, p < 0.001), sepsis (11% in Blacks vs. 3% in Whites, p = 0.015), and acute kidney injury (AKI) (54% in Blacks vs. 31% in Whites, p < 0.001) following LT.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals identifying as Blacks were less likely to undergo LT for HCC, and more likely to develop complications. Further initiatives are warranted to mitigate the existing disparities among racial groups.

Racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic disparities impact post-liver transplant survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Liver transplantation can be a curative treatment for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, the morbidity and mortality associated with HCC varies by socioeconomic status and race and ethnicity. Policies like Share 35 were implemented to ensure equitable access to organ transplants; however, their impacts are unclear. We aimed to characterize differences in post-liver transplant (LT) survival among patients with HCC, when considering race and ethnicity, income, and insurance type, and understand if these associations were impacted by Share 35.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 30,610 adult LT recipients with HCC. Data were obtained from the UNOS database. Survival analysis was carried out using Kaplan-Meier curves, and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to calculate hazard ratios.

RESULTS

Men (HR: 0.90 (95% CI: 0.85-0.95)), private insurance (HR: 0.91 (95% CI: 0.87-0.92)), and income (HR: 0.87 (95% CI: 0.83-0.92)) corresponded with higher post-LT survival, when adjusted for over 20 demographic and clinical characteristics (Table 2). African American or Black individuals were associated with lower post-LT survival (HR: 1.20 (95% CI: 1.12-1.28)), whereas. Asian (HR: 0.79 (95% CI: 0.71-0.88)) or Hispanic (HR: 0.86 (95% CI: 0.81-0.92)) individuals were associated with higher survival as compared with White individuals (Table 2). Many of these patterns held in the pre-Share 35 and Share 35 periods.

CONCLUSIONS

Racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic disparities at time of transplant, such as private insurance and income, influence post-LT survival in patients with HCC. These patterns persist despite the passage of equitable access policies, such as Share 35.

A nationwide propensity score analysis comparing ablation and resection for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Studies have reported ambiguous results regarding the efficacy of ablation for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Our study compared outcomes of ablation versus resection for HCC ≤50 mm to identify tumor sizes that would most benefit from ablation in terms of long-term survival.

METHODS

The National Cancer Database was queried for patients with stage I and II HCC ≤50 mm who underwent ablation or resection (2004-2018). Three cohorts were created based on tumor size: ≤20, 21-30, and 31-50 mm. A propensity score-matched survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

In total, 36.47% (n = 4263) and 63.53% (n = 7425) of patients underwent resection and ablation, respectively. After matching, resection was associated with a significant survival benefit compared to ablation (3-year survival: 78.13% vs. 67.64%; p < 0.0001) in patients with HCC of ≤20 mm. The impact of resection was even more striking among patients with HCC of 21-30 mm (3-year survival: 77.88% vs. 60.53%; p < 0.0001) and 31-50 mm (3-year survival: 67.21% vs. 48.55%; p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

While resection offers a survival benefit over ablation in the treatment of early-stage HCC ≤50 mm, ablation may provide a feasible bridging strategy in patients awaiting transplantation.

The closing survival gap after liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma in the United States

BACKGROUND

Socio-economic inequalities among different racial/ethnic groups have increased in many high-income countries. It is unclear, however, whether increasing socio-economic inequalities are associated with increasing differences in survival in liver transplant (LT) recipients.

METHODS

Adults undergoing first time LT for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) between 2002 and 2017 recorded in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) were included and grouped into three cohorts. Patient survival and graft survival stratified by race/ethnicity were compared among the cohorts using unadjusted and adjusted analyses.

RESULTS

White/Caucasians comprised the largest group (n=9,006, 64.9%), followed by Hispanic/Latinos (n=2,018, 14.5%), Black/African Americans (n=1,379, 9.9%), Asians (n=1,265, 9.1%) and other ethnic/racial groups (n=188, 1.3%). Compared to Cohort I (2002-2007), the 5-year survival of Cohort III (2012-2017) increased by 18% for Black/African Americans, by 13% for Whites/Caucasians, by 10% for Hispanic/Latinos, by 9% for patients of other racial/ethnic groups and by 8% for Asians (All P values<0.05). Despite Black/African Americans experienced the highest survival improvement, their overall outcomes remained significantly lower than other ethnic∕racial groups (adjusted HR for death=1.20; 95%CI 1.05-1.36; P=0.005; adjusted HR for graft loss=1.21; 95%CI 1.08-1.37; P=0.002).

CONCLUSION

The survival gap between Black/African Americans and other ethnic/racial groups undergoing LT for HCC has significantly decreased over time. However, Black/African Americans continue to have the lowest survival among all racial/ethnic groups.

The Effect of Race on Outcomes in Veterans With Hepatocellular Carcinoma at a Single Center

BACKGROUND

Black patients have a higher incidence and mortality associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) compared with that of White patients in many retrospective analyses. This study sought to determine whether veterans treated for HCC at the Memphis Veterans Affairs Medical Center (VAMC) in Tennessee showed similar disparities in terms of stage at diagnosis, type of therapy received, and overall survival (OS).

METHODS

A retrospective review evaluated 132 White and 95 Black patients treated for HCC between 2009 and 2021. We evaluated the impact on OS of age, sex, comorbidities, tumor stage, α-fetoprotein level, method of diagnosis, first-line treatment, systemic treatment, and surgical options offered. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to investigate differences in OS and cumulative hazard ratio for death. Cox regression multivariate analysis evaluated discrepancies among investigated variables.

RESULTS

The study found no significant difference in OS between Black and White veterans with HCC. Significant differences were found in who received surgical treatment and systemic therapy. More White veterans received any form of treatment compared with Black veterans (P < .001), and White veterans were more likely to undergo surgical resection and transplant (P = .052). There was no significant difference between age or stage at diagnosis, receipt of systemic therapy, alcohol, tobacco or drug use, HIV coinfection, or cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Black veterans with HCC at the Memphis VAMC were less likely to receive any form of treatment, surgical resection, or transplant compared with White veterans, but this did not have a statistically significant effect on OS.

A scoping review of inequities in access to organ transplant in the United States

Background

Organ transplant is the preferred treatment for end-stage organ disease, yet the majority of patients with end-stage organ disease are never placed on the transplant waiting list. Limited access to the transplant waiting list combined with the scarcity of the organ pool result in over 100,000 deaths annually in the United States. Patients face unique barriers to referral and acceptance for organ transplant based on social determinants of health, and patients from disenfranchised groups suffer from disproportionately lower rates of transplantation. Our objective was to review the literature describing disparities in access to organ transplantation based on social determinants of health to integrate the existing knowledge and guide future research.

Methods

We conducted a scoping review of the literature reporting disparities in access to heart, lung, liver, pancreas and kidney transplantation based on social determinants of health (race, income, education, geography, insurance status, health literacy and engagement). Included studies were categorized based on steps along the transplant care continuum: referral for transplant, transplant evaluation and selection, living donor identification/evaluation, and waitlist outcomes.

Results

Our search generated 16,643 studies, of which 227 were included in our final review. Of these, 34 focused on disparities in referral for transplantation among patients with chronic organ disease, 82 on transplant selection processes, 50 on living donors, and 61 on waitlist management. In total, 15 studies involved the thoracic organs (heart, lung), 209 involved the abdominal organs (kidney, liver, pancreas), and three involved multiple organs. Racial and ethnic minorities, women, and patients in lower socioeconomic status groups were less likely to be referred, evaluated, and added to the waiting list for organ transplant. The quality of the data describing these disparities across the transplant literature was variable and overwhelmingly focused on kidney transplant.

Conclusions

This review contextualizes the quality of the data, identifies seminal work by organ, and reports gaps in the literature where future research on disparities in organ transplantation should focus. Future work should investigate the association of social determinants of health with access to the organ transplant waiting list, with a focus on prospective analyses that assess interventions to improve health equity.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12939-021-01616-x.

Epidemiology and Outcomes of Hospitalizations Due to Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) is a severe complication of cirrhosis and the incidence of HCC has been increasing in the United States (US). We aim to describe the trends, characteristics, and outcomes of hospitalizations due to HCC across the last decade. Methods We derived a study cohort from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) for the years 2008-2017. Adult hospitalizations due to HCC were identified using the International Classification of Diseases (9th/10th Editions) Clinical Modification diagnosis codes (ICD-9-CM/ICD-10-CM). Comorbidities were also identified by ICD-9/10-CM codes and Elixhauser Comorbidity Software (Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, Rockville, Maryland, US). Our primary outcomes were in-hospital mortality and discharge to the facility. We then utilized the Cochran-Armitage trend test and multivariable survey logistic regression models to analyze the trends, outcomes, and predictors. Results A total of 155,436 adult hospitalizations occurred due to HCC from 2008-2017. The number of hospitalizations with HCC decreased from 16,754 in 2008 to 14,715 in 2017. Additionally, trends of in-hospital mortality declined over the study period but discharge to facilities remained stable. Furthermore, in multivariable regression analysis, predictors of increased mortality in HCC patients were advanced age (OR 1.1; 95%CI 1.0-1.2; p< 0.0001), African American (OR 1.3; 95%CI 1.1-1.4;p< 0.001), Rural/ non-teaching hospitals (OR 2.7; 95%CI 2.4-3.3; p< 0.001), uninsured (OR 1.9; CI 1.6-2.2; p< 0.0001) and complications like septicemia and pneumonia as well as comorbidities such as hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and renal failure. We observed similar trends in discharge to facilities. Conclusions In this nationally representative study, we observed a decrease in hospitalizations of patients with HCC along with in-hospital mortality; however, discharge to facilities remained stable over the last decade. We also identified multiple predictors significantly associated with increased mortality, some of which are potentially modifiable and can be points of interest for future studies.

Clinical outcomes of surgical resection versus radiofrequency ablation in very-early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma: a propensity score matching analysis

Background

The detection rate of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) very-early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing because of advances in surveillance and improved imaging technologies for high-risk populations. Surgical resection (SR) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) are both first‐line treatments for very-early-stage HCC, but the differences in clinical outcomes between patients treated with SR and RFA remain unclear. This study investigated the prognosis of SR and RFA for very-early‐stage HCC patients with long‐term follow‐up.

Methods

This study was retrospectively collected data on the clinicopathological characteristics, overall survival (OS), and disease-free survival (DFS) of 188 very-early-stage HCC patients (≤ 2 cm single HCC). OS and DFS were analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier method and Cox regression analysis. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed.

Results

Of the 188 HCC patients, 103 received SR and 85 received RFA. The median follow‐up time was 56 months. The SR group had significantly higher OS than the RFA group (10-year cumulative OS: 55.2% and 31.3% in the SR and RFA groups, respectively). No statistically significant difference was observed in DFS between the SR and RFA groups (10-year cumulative DFS: 45.9% and 32.6% in the SR and RFA groups, respectively). After PSM, the OS in the SR group remained significantly higher than that in the RFA group (10-year cumulative OS: 54.7% and 42.2% in the SR and RFA groups, respectively). No significant difference was observed in DFS between the SR and RFA groups (10-year cumulative DFS: 43.0% and 35.4% in the SR and RFA groups, respectively). Furthermore, in the multivariate Cox regression analysis, treatment type (hazard ratio (HR): 0.54, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.31–0.95; P = 0.032) and total bilirubin (HR: 1.92; 95% CI: 1.09–3.41; P = 0.025) were highly associated with OS. In addition, age (HR: 2.14, 95% CI: 1.36–3.36; P = 0.001) and cirrhosis (HR: 1.79; 95% CI: 1.11–2.89; P = 0.018) were strongly associated with DFS.

Conclusion

For patients with very-early-stage HCC, SR was associated with significantly higher OS rates than RFA. However, no significant difference was observed in DFS between the SR and RFA groups.

Black Patients Have Unequal Access to Listing for Liver Transplantation in the United States

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score may have eliminated racial disparities on the waitlist for liver transplantation (LT), but disparities prior to waitlist placement have not been adequately quantified. We aimed to analyze differences in patients who are listed for LT, undergo transplantation, and die from end-stage liver disease (ESLD), stratified by state and race/ethnicity.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We analyzed two databases retrospectively, the Center for Disease Control Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) and the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) databases, from 2014 to 2018. We included patients aged 25-64 years who had a primary cause of death of ESLD and were listed for transplant in the CDC WONDER or UNOS database. Our primary outcome was the ratio of listing for LT to death from ESLD-listing to death ratio (LDR). Our secondary outcome was the transplant to listing and transplant to death ratios. Chi-squared and multivariable linear regression evaluated for differences between races/ethnicities. There were 135,367 patients who died of ESLD, 54,734 patients who were listed for transplant, and 26,571 who underwent transplant. Patients were mostly male and White. The national LDR was 0.40, significantly lowest in Black patients (0.30), P < 0.001. The national transplant to listing ratio was 0.48, highest in Black patients (0.53), P < 0.01. The national transplant to death ratio was 0.20, lowest in Black patients (0.16), P < 0.001. States that had an above-mean LDR had a lower transplant to listing ratio but a higher transplant to death ratio. Multivariable analysis confirmed that Black race is significantly associated with a lower LDR and transplant to death ratio.

CONCLUSIONS

Black patients face a disparity in access to LT due to low listing rates for transplant relative to deaths from ESLD.

Practitioner availability rather than surgical quality impacts the utilization of liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation (LT) provides better outcome than surgical resection (SR) although both are acceptable surgical options for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). It is unclear whether non-clinical factors drive treatment decisions. Our goal is to identify factors that may affect treatment decisions.

METHODS

Patients aged 18-74 with T2 HCC undergoing either LT or SR in Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database from 2004 to 2014 were included. Healthcare resources data were analyzed to assess factors that predict utilization of LT versus SR, adjusted for demographic, clinical outcomes, and socioeconomic factors.

RESULTS

51% of patients (Total N = 2616) received LT, with a substantial state-level variation in LT rates (0.0%-66.9%). Higher LT center density [OR = 1.04 per 1% increment, P < 0.01], male gender (OR = 1.38, P = 0.02), and numbers of potential donors (OR = 1.19, P = 0.03) were positively associated with LT utilization. Conversely, higher incidence of chronic liver disease/cirrhosis (OR = 0.41 per one additional case per 100,000 populations, P = 0.001) and minority populations were negatively correlated with LT utilization. Notably, short-term surgical outcomes (in-hospital LT & SR mortality) were not associated with LT utilization.

CONCLUSION

Liver transplant center density and organ availability, but not surgical outcomes, affect utilization of LT. Future studies should focus on increasing availability of resources.

Systemic Artery Vasoconstrictor Therapy in Fontan Patients with High Cardiac Output-Heart Failure: A Single-Center Experience

Failed Fontan Patients with high cardiac output (CO) heart failure (HF) might have vasodilatory syndrome and markedly high mortality rates. The aim of this study was to review the clinical effects of vasoconstrictor therapy (VCT) for failed Fontan hemodynamics. We retrospectively reviewed 10 consecutive patients with Fontan failure (median age, 33 years) and high CO-HF who had received VCT. The hemodynamics were characterized by high central venous pressure (CVP: median, 16 mm Hg), low systolic blood pressure (median, 83 mm Hg), low systemic vascular resistance (median, 8.8 U·m²), high cardiac index (median, 4.6 L/min/m²), and low arterial oxygen saturation (median, 89%). VCT included intravenous noradrenaline infusion for five unstable patients, oral midodrine administration for nine stable patients, and both for four patients. After VCT introduction with a median interval of 1.7 months, the median systolic blood pressure (102 mm Hg, p = 0.004), arterial oxygen saturation (90%, p = 0.03), and systemic vascular resistance (12.1 U·m², p = 0.13) increased without significant changes in CVP or cardiac index. After a median follow-up of 21 months, the number of readmissions per year decreased from 4 (1-11) to 1 (0-9) (p = 0.25), and there were no VCT-related complications; however, five patients (50%) developed hepatic encephalopathy, and six patients (60%) eventually died. VCT was safely introduced and could prevent the rapidly deteriorating Fontan hemodynamics. VCT could be an effective therapeutic strategy for failed Fontan patients with high CO-HF.

Understanding Gaps in the Hepatocellular Carcinoma Cascade of Care: Opportunities to Improve Hepatocellular Carcinoma Outcomes

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. Existing studies have highlighted significant disparities in HCC outcomes, particularly among vulnerable populations, including ethnic minorities, safety-net populations, underinsured patients, and those with low socioeconomic status and high risk behaviors. The majority of these studies have focused on HCC surveillance. Although HCC surveillance is one of the most important first steps in HCC monitoring and management, it is only one step in the complex HCC cascade of care that evolves from surveillance to diagnosis and tumor staging that leads to access to HCC therapies. In this current review, we explore the disparities that exist along this complex HCC cascade of care and further highlight potential interventions that have been implemented to improve HCC outcomes. These interventions focus on patient, provider, and system level factors and provide a potential framework for health systems to implement quality improvement initiatives to improve HCC monitoring and management.

Potential biomarkers Ang II/AT1R and S1P/S1PR1 predict the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the major causes of cancer-associated morbidity and mortality worldwide. Sphingosine-1-phosphate (S1P) and S1P receptor 1 (S1PR1) have been associated with the development and progression of HCC. Angiotensin II (Ang II) and Ang II receptor type 1 (AT1R) serve key roles in the progression and metastasis of HCC. However, the association and roles of Ang II/AT1R and S1P/S1PR1 in HCC have remained elusive. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to investigate the potential association between Ang II/AT1R and S1P/S1PR1 in HCC, as well as the association of AT1R and S1PR1 protein expression levels with the progression and prognosis of HCC. The results found that the serum levels of Ang II and S1P were significantly higher in patients with HCC compared with those in healthy donors. Furthermore, mRNA and protein levels of AT1R and S1PR1 were highly expressed in human HCC tissues. In addition, a positive correlation between Ang II/S1P and AT1R/S1PR1 in HCC was noted. Upregulation of AT1R and S1PR1 was associated with the progression of HCC. Patients with high AT1R and S1PR1 protein expression levels had unfavorable outcomes with respect to overall survival and recurrence-free survival compared with patients with low AT1R and S1PR1 expression levels. The present results demonstrated an association between AT1R and S1PR1 overexpression and the progression of HCC, indicating that Ang II/AT1R and S1P/S1PR may serve as valuable prognostic biomarkers for HCC.

Imaging Predictors of Survival in Patients with Single Small Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Transarterial Chemoembolization

OBJECTIVE

Clinical outcomes of patients who undergo transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for single small hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are not consistent, and may differ based on certain imaging findings. This retrospective study was aimed at determining the efficacy of pre-TACE CT or MR imaging findings in predicting survival outcomes in patients with small HCC upon being treated with TACE. Besides, the study proposed to build a risk prediction model for these patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Altogether, 750 patients with functionally good hepatic reserve who received TACE as the first-line treatment for single small HCC between 2004 and 2014 were included in the study. These patients were randomly assigned into training (n = 525) and validation (n = 225) sets.

RESULTS

According to the results of a multivariable Cox analysis, three pre-TACE imaging findings (tumor margin, tumor location, enhancement pattern) and two clinical factors (age, serum albumin level) were selected and scored to create predictive models for overall, local tumor progression (LTP)-free, and progression-free survival in the training set. The median overall survival time in the validation set were 137.5 months, 76.1 months, and 44.0 months for low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups, respectively (p < 0.001). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves of the predictive models for overall, LTP-free, and progression-free survival applied to the validation cohort showed acceptable areas under the curve values (0.734, 0.802, and 0.775 for overall survival; 0.738, 0.789, and 0.791 for LTP-free survival; and 0.671, 0.733, and 0.694 for progression-free survival at 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Pre-TACE CT or MR imaging findings could predict survival outcomes in patients with small HCC upon treatment with TACE. Our predictive models including three imaging predictors could be helpful in prognostication, identification, and selection of suitable candidates for TACE in patients with single small HCC.

Hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance, early detection and survival in a privately insured US cohort

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Semiannual hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is recommended in patients with cirrhosis; however, recent studies have raised questions over its utility. We investigated the impact of surveillance on early detection and survival in a nationally representative database.

METHODS

We included patients with cirrhosis and HCC from the Optum database (2001-2015) with >6 months of follow-up between cirrhosis and HCC diagnoses. Surveillance adherence was defined as proportion of time covered (PTC), with each 6-month period after abdominal imaging defined as 'covered'. To determine the association between surveillance and mortality, we compared PTC between fatal and non-fatal HCC.

RESULTS

Of 1001 patients with cirrhosis and HCC, 256 died with median follow-up 30 months. Median PTC by any imaging was greater in early-stage vs late-stage HCC (43.6% vs 37.4%, P = .003) and non-fatal vs fatal HCC (40.8% vs 34.3%, P = .001). In multivariable analyses, each 10% increase in PTC was associated with increased early HCC detection (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.01-1.12) and decreased mortality (HR 0.95; 95% CI 0.90-1.00). On subgroup analysis, PTC by CT/MRI was associated with early tumour detection and decreased mortality; however, PTC by ultrasound was only associated with early detection but not decreased mortality. These findings were robust across sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

In a US cohort of privately insured HCC patients, PTC by any imaging modality was associated with increased early detection and decreased mortality. Continued evaluation of HCC surveillance strategies and effectiveness is warranted.

Surgical resection versus radiofrequency ablation for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer very early stage hepatocellular carcinoma: long-term results of a single-center study

BACKGROUND

We aimed to compare long-term outcomes of surgical resection (SR) and percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) very early stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Total of 387 patients (SR group, 156; RFA group, 231) with well-preserved liver function (Child-Pugh A) diagnosed with a solitary HCC less than 2 cm were included. The overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were compared.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 39 months. The overall tumor recurrence rate was 16.7% in the SR group and 27.7% in the RFA group. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were 100%, 97.2%, and 93.4%, respectively, in the SR group, compared with 100%, 88.6%, and 73.5%, respectively, in the RFA group (P < 0.001). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS rates were 94.6%, 84.1%, and 78.3%, respectively, in the SR group, and 87.7%, 62.1%, and 46.8%, respectively, in the RFA group (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Surgical resection provides better OS and RFS compared with percutaneous RFA for patients with BCLC very early HCC in long-term follow-up.

A Comprehensive Analysis of Liver Transplantation Outcomes Among Ethnic Minorities in the United States

GOALS

The aim of this study was to perform a comprehensive assessment of liver transplant (LT) outcomes among US adults with a specific focus on understanding race/ethnicity-specific disparities.

BACKGROUND

Despite improvements in the liver allocation and LT-related care, disparities in LT outcomes persist.

STUDY

Using data from the 2005 to 2016 United Networks for Organ Sharing LT registry, we evaluated waitlist survival, probability of receiving LT, and post-LT survival among US adults stratified by race/ethnicity and liver disease etiology. Kaplan-Meier methods evaluated unadjusted waitlist and post-LT outcomes, and multivariate regression models evaluated adjusted waitlist and post-LT outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 88,542 listed for LT patients (41.3% hepatitis C virus, 25.3% alcoholic liver disease, 22.3% nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, 11.1% hepatitis C virus/alcoholic liver disease), significant race/ethnicity-specific disparities were observed. Compared with non-Hispanic whites, Hispanics had a significantly lower risk of waitlist death [hazard ratio (HR)=0.84, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.79-0.90, P<0.001]. Compared with non-Hispanic whites, significantly lower likelihood of receiving LT was observed in African Americans (HR=0.94, 95% CI: 0.91-0.98, P<0.001), Hispanics (HR=0.70, 95% CI: 0.68-0.73, P<0.001) and Asians (HR=0.74, 95% CI: 0.69-0.80, P<0.001). Compared with non-Hispanic whites, African Americans had a significantly higher risk of 5-year post-LT death (HR=1.31, 95% CI: 1.23-1.39, P<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Among US adults awaiting LT, significant race/ethnicity-specific disparities in LT outcomes were observed. Despite evaluating an era after implementation of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, ethnic minorities continue to demonstrate a lower probability of receiving LT, and significantly higher risk of death post-LT in African Americans.

Disparities in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance: Dissecting the Roles of Patient, Provider, and Health System Factors

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide and remains one of the most rapidly rising cancers among the US adults. While overall HCC survival is poor, early diagnosis via timely and consistent implementation of routine HCC surveillance among at-risk individuals leads to earlier tumor stage at diagnosis, which is directly correlated with improved options for potentially curative therapies, translating into improved overall survival. Despite this well-established understanding of the benefits of HCC surveillance, surveillance among cirrhosis patients remains suboptimal in a variety of practice settings. While the exact reasons underlying the unacceptably low rates of routine HCC surveillance are complex, it likely reflects multifactorial contributions at the patient, provider, and health care system levels. Furthermore, these multilevel challenges affect ethnic minorities disproportionately, which is particularly concerning given that ethnic minorities already experience existing barriers in timely access to consistent medical care, and these populations are disproportionately affected by HCC burden in the United States. In this review, we provide an updated evaluation of the existing literature on rates of HCC surveillance in the United States. We specifically highlight the existing literature on the impact of patient-specific, provider-specific, and health care system-specific factors in contributing to challenges in effective implementation of HCC surveillance.

Surgical resection versus radiofrequency ablation very early-stage HCC (≤2 cm Single HCC): A propensity score analysis

BACKGROUND & AIM

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasingly being detected at a very early-stage due to the wide implementation of the surveillance of at-risk patient populations combined with improved imaging technologies. Whether patients with HCC at a very early stage can be offered local ablation as a first-line treatment option still remains controversial. We retrospectively compared the effectiveness of surgical resection (SR) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) very early-stage HCC in patients with long-term follow-up.

METHODS

Propensity score analysis using inverse probability weighting (IPW) from a large-volume liver centre. We included adult patients who between 2000 and 2013 received a diagnosis of very early-stage HCC (BCLC stage 0; a single tumour ≤2 cm, Child-Pugh A class, eastern cooperative oncology group [ECOG] 0) and who were treated with SR or RFA as the first-line treatment.

RESULTS

We identified 1208 patients, 631 in the SR group and 577 in the RFA group. The median follow-up time was 86.2 months. After propensity score analysis using IPW, the 15-year overall survival rates were 60.4% and 51.6% in the SR and RFA group respectively. RFA group showed poorer overall survival than SR group (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.29; P = .0378). The 15-year recurrence-free survival rates were 37% and 23.6% in the SR and RFA group respectively (P < .001).

CONCLUSION

For patients with very early-stage HCC, the SR group was associated with better overall and recurrence-free patient survival compared to the RFA group. Therefore, SR should be considered as the first-line treatment for these patients.

Increasing Burden of Hepatic Encephalopathy Among Hospitalized Adults: An Analysis of the 2010-2014 National Inpatient Sample

BACKGROUND

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality, contributing significant burden on healthcare systems.

AIM

We aim to evaluate trends in clinical and economic burden of HE among hospitalized adults in the USA.

METHODS

Using the 2010-2014 National Inpatient Sample, we identified adults hospitalized with HE using ICD-9-CM codes. Annual trends in hospitalizations with HE, in-hospital mortality, and hospital charges were stratified by the presence of acute liver failure (ALF) or cirrhosis. Adjusted multivariable regression models were evaluated for predictors of in-hospital mortality and hospitalization charges.

RESULTS

Among 142,860 hospitalizations with HE (mean age 59.3 years, 57.8% male), 67.7% had cirrhosis and 3.9% ALF. From 2010 to 2014, total number of hospitalizations with HE increased by 24.4% (25,059 in 2010 to 31,182 in 2014, p < 0.001). Similar increases were seen when stratified by ALF (29.7% increase) and cirrhosis (29.7% increase). Overall in-hospital mortality decreased from 13.4% (2010) to 12.3% (2014) (p = 0.001), with similar decreases observed in ALF and cirrhosis. Total inpatient charges increased by 46.0% ($8.15 billion, 2010 to $11.9 billion, 2014). On multivariable analyses, ALF was associated with significantly higher odds of in-hospital mortality (OR 5.37; 95% CI 4.97-5.80; p < 0.001) as well as higher mean inpatient charges (122.6% higher; 95% CI + 115.0-130.3%; p < 0.001) compared to cirrhosis. The presence of ascites, hepatocellular carcinoma, and hepatorenal syndrome was associated with increased mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The clinical and economic burden of hospitalizations with HE in the USA continues to rise. In 2014, estimated national economic burden of hospitalizations with HE reached $11.9 billion.

Racial and Ethnic Differences in Presentation and Outcomes of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Racial and ethnic minorities are reported to have higher mortality related to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) than non-Hispanic whites. However, it is not clear whether differences in tumor characteristics or liver dysfunction among racial or ethnic groups affect characterization of causes for this disparity. We aimed to characterize racial and ethnic differences in HCC presentation, treatment, and survival.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study of patients diagnosed with HCC from January 2008 through July 2017 at 2 large health systems in the United States. We used multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models to identify factors associated with receipt of curative therapy and overall survival.

RESULTS

Among 1117 patients with HCC (35.9% white, 34.3% black, 29.7% Hispanic), 463 (41.5%) were diagnosed with early stage HCC (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0/A) and 322 (28.8%) underwent curative treatment. Hispanic (odds ratio [OR], 0.75; 95% CI, 0.55-1.00) and black patients (OR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.56-0.98) were less likely to be diagnosed with early stage HCC than white patients. Among patients with early stage HCC, Hispanics were less likely to undergo curative treatment than whites (OR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.36-0.91). Black patients with early stage HCC were also less likely to undergo curative treatment than white patients, but this difference was not statistically significant (OR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.43-1.03). Black and Hispanic patients had shorter median survival times than white patients (10.6 and 14.4 mo vs 16.3 mo). After adjusting for type of medical insurance, Child-Pugh class, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, and receipt of HCC treatment, black patients had significantly higher mortality (hazard ratio, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.10-1.14) and Hispanic patients had lower mortality (hazard ratio, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.74-0.94) than white patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In a retrospective study of patients diagnosed with HCC, we found racial/ethnic differences in outcomes of HCC to be associated with differences in detection of tumors at early stages and receipt of curative treatment. These factors are intervention targets for improving patient outcomes and reducing disparities.

Increasing Awareness on Racial Disparities in Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the United States

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the main indications for liver transplantation in the United States. Studies have shown racial disparities in rates of liver transplant for HCC. The underlying etiologies of these disparities are important to understand in order to overcome barriers to liver transplant in disadvantaged racial and ethnic groups.

One in five hepatocellular carcinoma patients in the United States are Hispanic while less than 40% were eligible for liver transplantation

AIM

To evaluate trends and disparities in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) outcomes among Hispanic patients in the United States with a focus on tumor stage at diagnosis.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated all Hispanic adults (age > 20) with HCC diagnosed from 2004 to 2014 using United States Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) cancer registry data. Tumor stage was assessed by SEER-specific staging systems and whether HCC was within Milan criteria at diagnosis. Multivariate logistic regression models evaluated for predictors of HCC within Milan criteria at diagnosis.

RESULTS

Overall, Hispanics accounted for 19.8% of all HCC (73.3% men, 60.9% had Medicare or commercial insurance, 33.5% Medicaid, and 5.6% uninsured). Thirty-eight percent of Hispanic HCC patients were within Milan criteria at diagnosis. With latter time periods, significantly more patients were diagnosed with HCC within Milan criteria, and in 2013-2014, 42.6% had HCC within Milan criteria. On multivariate regression, Hispanic males (OR vs females: 0.76, 95%CI: 0.68-0.83, P < 0.001), Hispanics > 65 years (OR vs age < 50: 0.67, 95%CI: 0.58-0.79, P < 0.001), and uninsured patients (OR vs Medicare/commercial: 0.49, 95%CI: 0.40-0.59, P < 0.001) were significantly less likely to have HCC within Milan criteria at diagnosis.

CONCLUSION

While one in five HCC patients in the United States are of Hispanic ethnicity, only 38% were within Milan criteria at time of diagnosis, and thus over 60% were ineligible for liver transplantation, one of the primary curative options for HCC patients. Improved efforts at HCC screening and surveillance are needed among this group to improve early detection.

Racial Disparities in Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Are Not Explained by Differences in Comorbidities, Liver Disease Severity, or Tumor Burden

Black patients have higher mortality and are less likely to receive liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) than white patients. Reasons for these disparities have not been fully elucidated. Comorbid disease, liver disease severity, cirrhosis etiologies, and tumor characteristics were compared between black and white patients with HCC seen at the Indiana University Academic Medical Center from January 2000 to June 2014. Logistic regression was used to investigate the primary outcome, which was liver transplantation. Log-rank testing was used to compare survival between the two groups. Subgroup analysis explored reasons for failure to undergo liver transplantation in patients within Milan criteria. The cohort included 1,032 (86%) white and 164 (14%) black patients. Black and white patients had similar Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and Child-Pugh scores (CPSs). There was a trend toward larger tumor size (5.3 cm versus 4.7 cm; P = 0.05) in black patients; however, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging and Milan criteria were similar. Black patients were less likely to undergo liver transplantation than white patients; this was a disparity that was not attenuated (odds ratio [OR], 0.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.21-0.90) on multivariable analysis. Substance abuse was more frequently cited as the reason black patients within Milan criteria failed to undergo transplantation compared to white patients. Survival was similar between the two groups. Conclusion: Racial differences in patient and tumor characteristics were small and did not explain the disparity in liver transplantation. Higher rates of substance abuse in black patients within Milan criteria who failed to undergo transplantation suggest social factors contribute to this disparity in this cohort.

Racial and Geographic Disparities in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Outcomes

INTRODUCTION

Hepatocellular carcinoma disproportionately affects minorities. Southern states have high proportions of black populations and prevalence of known risk factors. Further research is needed to understand the role of southern geography in hepatocellular carcinoma disparities. This paper examined racial disparities in hepatocellular carcinoma incidence, demographics, tumor characteristics, receipt of treatment, and all-cause mortality in southern and non-southern cancer registries.

METHODS

Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results data were probed in 2015 to identify 43,868 patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma from 2000 to 2012 (5,455 in southern registries [Atlanta, Louisiana, and Rural and Greater Georgia]).

RESULTS

Southern registries showed steeper increases of age-adjusted hepatocellular carcinoma incidence (from 2.89 to 5.29cases/100,000 people) versus non-southern areas (from 3.58 to 5.54cases/100,000 people). Blacks were over-concentrated in southern registries (32% vs 10%). Compared with whites, blacks were significantly younger at diagnosis, more likely diagnosed with metastasis, and less likely to receive surgical therapies in both registry groups. After adjustment, blacks had a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality compared with whites in southern (hazard ratio=1.10, p=0.007) and non-southern areas (hazard ratio=1.08, p<0.001). For overall populations, southern registries had higher risk of all-cause mortality versus non-southern registries (hazard ratio=1.13, p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Age-adjusted incidence rates of hepatocellular carcinoma are plateauing overall, but are still rising in southern areas. Race and geography had independent associations with all-cause mortality excess risk among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Further studies are needed to understand the root causes of potential mortality risk excess among overall populations with hepatocellular carcinoma living in the South.

SUPPLEMENT INFORMATION

This article is part of a supplement entitled African American Men's Health: Research, Practice, and Policy Implications, which is sponsored by the National Institutes of Health.

Waitlist Outcomes in Liver Transplant Candidates with High MELD and Severe Hepatic Encephalopathy

BACKGROUND

Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network and United Network for Organ Sharing (OPTN/UNOS) implemented the Share 35 policy in June 2013 to prioritize the sickest patients awaiting liver transplantation (LT). However, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score does not incorporate hepatic encephalopathy (HE), an independent predictor of waitlist mortality.

AIM

To evaluate the impact of severe HE (grade 3-4) on waitlist outcomes in MELD ≥ 30 patients.

METHODS

Using the OPTN/UNOS database, we evaluated LT waitlist registrants from 2005-2014. Demographics, comorbidities, and waitlist survival were compared between four cohorts: MELD 30-34 with severe HE, MELD 30-34 without severe HE, MELD ≥ 35 with severe HE, and MELD ≥ 35 without severe HE.

RESULTS

Among 10,003 waitlist registrants studied, 41.6% had MELD score 30-34 and 58.4% had MELD ≥ 35. Patients with severe HE had a higher 90-day waitlist mortality in both MELD 30-34 (severe HE 71.1% vs. no HE 56.6%; p < 0.001) and MELD ≥ 35 subgroups (severe HE 85% versus no HE 74.2%; p < 0.001). MELD 30-34 patients with severe HE had similar 90-day waitlist mortality as MELD ≥ 35 patients without severe HE (71.1 vs. 74.2%, respectively; p = 0.35). On multivariate Cox proportional hazards modeling, MELD ≥ 30 patients had 58% greater risk of 90-day waitlist mortality than those without severe HE (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.53-1.62; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Patients awaiting LT with MELD score of 30-34 and severe HE should receive priority status for organ allocation with exception MELD ≥ 35.

A meta-analysis of long-term survival outcomes between surgical resection and radiofrequency ablation in patients with single hepatocellular carcinoma ≤ 2 cm (BCLC very early stage)

INTRODUCTION

The optimal management choice in consideration of long-term overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) for patients with BLCL very early stage is a matter of debate.

AIM

A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to evaluate the efficacy of liver resection (RES) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for single HCC 2 cm or less.

MATERIAL AND METHOD

The primary sources of the reviewed studies through December 2017, without restriction on the languages or regions, were Pubmed and Embase. The hazard ratio (HR) was used as a summary statistic for long-term outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 5 studies qualified for inclusion in this quantified meta-analysis with a total of 729 HCC patients of BCLC very early stage. Only postoperative 1-year OS was comparable in both RES and RFA groups. As for long-term outcomes of 3-year and 5-year OSs, RES was significantly better than RFA, the HRs were 0.64 (95%CI: 0.41, 1.00; P = 0.05) and 0.63 (95%CI: 0.42, 0.95; P = 0.03) respectively. In terms of postoperative DFS, reduced tumor recurrence was observed in RES, and all the short- and long-terms outcomes were favored RES.

DISCUSSION

RES offers better long-term oncologic outcomes compared with RFA in current clinical evidences.

Improved survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and disparities by age, race, and socioeconomic status by decade, 1983-2012

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), accounting for the majority of liver cancer, is a highly aggressive malignancy with poor prognosis and therefore adds up the financial burden. Incidence data of HCC in three decades during 1983-2012 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database with incidence rates of 1.9, 3.1 and 4.9 per 100,000 respectively. In addition, to evaluate the survival changes in the same period, a total of 63,640 HCC cancer cases were accessed from SEER database. The six-month relative survival rates improved each decade from 31.0% to 42.9% to 57.2% and the higher increase can be seen in the last two decades. More importantly, the disparities of survival among different racial groups and socioeconomic status (SES) were confirmed by the inferiority of survival in Black race and high-poverty group respectively. This research analyzed the incidence and survival data of HCC in the past three decades and may help predict the future trends of incidence and survival. Furthermore, this study may help better design healthcare policies and clinical management programs to balance the disparities of survival between SES groups, races, ages and sexes confirmed in this study and thereby improve the clinical management of HCC.

Disparities in liver cancer occurrence in the United States by race/ethnicity and state

Liver cancer is highly fatal, and death rates in the United States are increasing faster than for any other cancer, having doubled since the mid-1980s. In 2017, it is estimated that the disease will account for about 41,000 new cancer cases and 29,000 cancer deaths in the United States. In this article, data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program and the National Center for Health Statistics are used to provide an overview of liver cancer incidence, mortality, and survival rates and trends, including data by race/ethnicity and state. The prevalence of major risk factors for liver cancer is also reported based on national survey data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Despite the improvement in liver cancer survival in recent decades, only 1 in 5 patients survives 5 years after diagnosis. There is substantial disparity in liver cancer death rates by race/ethnicity (from 5.5 per 100,000 in non-Hispanic whites to 11.9 per 100,000 in American Indians/Alaska Natives) and state (from 3.8 per 100,000 in North Dakota to 9.6 per 100,000 in the District of Columbia) and by race/ethnicity within states. Differences in risk factor prevalence account for much of the observed variation in liver cancer rates. Thus, in contrast to the growing burden, a substantial proportion of liver cancer deaths could be averted, and existing disparities could be dramatically reduced, through the targeted application of existing knowledge in prevention, early detection, and treatment, including improvements in vaccination against hepatitis B virus, screening and treatment for chronic hepatitis C virus infections, maintaining a healthy body weight, access to high-quality diabetes care, preventing excessive alcohol drinking, and tobacco control, at both the state and national levels. CA Cancer J Clin 2017;67:273-289. © 2017 American Cancer Society.

Race/Ethnicity-Specific Outcomes Among Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Patients Listed for Liver Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a leading cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and need for liver transplantation (LT). It is unclear if HCV-related LT outcomes vary by race/ethnicity.

AIMS

We aim to evaluate ethnic disparities specifically among patients with chronic HCV in the USA.

METHODS

Using data from the United Network for Organ Sharing 2003-2013 LT registry, we evaluated race/ethnicity-specific disparities in LT waitlist survival and probability of receiving LT among chronic HCV patients listed for LT.

RESULTS

Among 43,478 HCV patients listed for LT (70.0% non-Hispanic white, 10.8% black, 16.3% Hispanic, 2.9% Asian), HCV-related LT waitlist registrations increased by 21.5% from 2003 to 2013. During this period, the proportion of HCV patients with HCC increased by 237%, and in 2013, HCV patients with HCC accounted for 33.0% of HCV-related waitlist registrations. When stratified by race/ethnicity, Hispanics with HCV had significantly lower waitlist mortality (OR 0.83; 95% CI 0.74-0.94; p < 0.01) compared to non-Hispanic whites, but no significant differences were seen among blacks and Asians. Furthermore, compared to non-Hispanic whites, Hispanics were significantly less likely to receive LT (OR 0.58; 95% CI 0.53-0.62; p < 0.001), but no differences were seen among blacks or Asians.

CONCLUSION

Among patients with chronic HCV in the USA, the MELD score has reduced race/ethnicity-specific disparities in waitlist mortality. However, Hispanic HCV patients had significantly better waitlist survival and lower probability of receiving LT, possibly reflecting slower disease progression compared to non-Hispanic whites with chronic HCV.

Factors associated with ethnical disparity in overall survival for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is an important cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Ethnical disparity in overall survival has been demonstrated for HCC patients in the United States (U.S.). We aimed to evaluate the contributors to this survival disparity. The SEER database was used to identify HCC patients from 2004 to 2012. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate overall survival by ethnicity and the contributors to ethnical survival disparity. A total of 33 062 patients were included: 15 986 Non-Hispanic Whites, 6535 Hispanic Whites, 4842 African Americans, and 5699 Asians. Compared to Non-Hispanic Whites, African Americans had worse survival (HR, 1.18; 95%CI, 1.14-1.23), while Asians had a better survival (HR, 0.85; 95%CI, 0.82-0.89), and Hispanic Whites had a similar survival (HR, 1.01; 95%CI, 0.97-1.05). Multivariate Cox analysis identified that tumor presentation- and treatment-related factors significantly contributed to the ethnical survival disparity. Especially, tumor size was the most important contributor (HR, 1.11; 95%CI, 1.07-1.16). There is no ethnical survival disparity in patients undergoing liver transplantation and sub-analysis of patients within the Milan criteria for liver transplantation demonstrated no significant survival disparity between African Americans and non-Hispanic Whites in transplantation adjustment analysis (HR, 1.23; 95%CI, 1.11-1.35 in non-adjustment analysis to HR, 1.05; 95%CI, 0.95-1.15 after adjustment). Finally, no important contributor to the superior overall survival in Asians was identified. In conclusion, poor tumor presentation at diagnosis, limited benefit from resection and restricted utilization of liver transplantation are important contributors to poorer survival of African Americans with HCC.

SESN2 correlates with advantageous prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

SESN2 plays important roles in the regulation of cell survival, cell protection, and tumor suppression. However, the relationship between SESN2 expression and the clinicopathological attributes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is barely investigated.

Methods

One-step quantitative reverse transcription PCR, Western blotting analysis in 15 fresh HCC tissues, and immunohistochemistry (IHC) analysis in a tissue microarray (TMA) containing 100 HCC cases were performed to examine SESN2 expression. Survival analyses by Cox regression method and Kaplan-Meier curve were performed to describe the overall survival of 100 HCC patients.

Results

The SESN2 expression in HCC tissues declined dramatically compared with the corresponding noncancerous tissues, and SESN2 expression was remarkably associated with HBV infection (p = 0.019), HCV infection (p = 0.001), and lymph node metastasis (p = 0.033). Survival analysis further demonstrated that SESN2 expression could serve as an independent prognostic biomarker for overall survival in univariate (p = 0.001) and multivariate analyses (p = 0.003).

Conclusion

The data are the first to indicate that SESN2 might be a novel prognostic marker for HCC and that elevated SESN2 expression predicts advantageous outcomes in HCC patients.

Time to decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma after an HBV or HCV notification: A population-based study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Delayed hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) diagnosis may increase risk of advanced liver disease complications, including decompensated cirrhosis (DC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to characterise "late hepatitis notification" among people with an HBV/HCV notification and advanced liver disease in New South Wales, Australia.

METHODS

HBV/HCV notifications 1995-2012 were linked to cancer registry and hospital admissions. Late hepatitis notification was defined by a notification after, at the time, or within two years before DC/HCC diagnosis.

RESULTS

HBV and HCV cohorts comprised 50,958 and 79,727 individuals, respectively. Among people with DC (n=3869), late HBV notification declined from 64% (88/138) during 2001-2002 to 31% (46/149) in 2011-2012 (p<0.001), and late HCV notification declined from 52% (179/341) during 2001-2002 to 22% (134/605) in 2011-2012 (p<0.001). Among people with HCC (n=1656), late HBV notification declined from 68% (59/87) during 2001-2002 to 29% (37/128) in 2011-2012 (p<0.001), and late HCV notification declined from 51% (40/79) during 2001-2002 to 17% (49/288) in 2011-2012 (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite significant declines in late hepatitis notification since early 2000s, efforts to enhance hepatitis screening, particularly for HBV, are required. Late hepatitis notification as described in this study could be used as a measure of population-level HBV/HCV screening.

LAY SUMMARY

Delayed hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) diagnosis may increase the risk of advanced liver disease complications, including decompensated cirrhosis (DC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to characterise "late hepatitis notification" among people with an HBV or HCV notification in New South Wales, Australia. Late hepatitis notifications have significantly declined since early 2000s; however, efforts to enhance hepatitis screening, particularly for HBV, are required. Late hepatitis notification as described in this study could be used as a measure of population-level HBV/HCV screening.

American Heart Association's Ideal Cardiovascular Health Metrics in Under-Represented Asian Americans

The American Heart Association's ideal cardiovascular health score is based on 7 cardiovascular health metrics to measure progress toward their Impact Goal of reducing cardiovascular disease by 20 % before 2020. This study applied this construct to assess cardiovascular health in a sample of Asian Americans. Convenience sampling methods were used to enroll self-identified Asian American's over the age of 18 years who were attending community health fairs across the greater Philadelphia and urban areas of New Jersey. The heart health metrics of tobacco use, body mass index, physical activity, diet, blood pressure, and glucose were measured. In the greater sample (N = 541), 82 % were female, the mean age was 65.1 (SD = 15.5) years, 45 % were Vietnamese, 38 % were Chinese and 17 % were Korean. Prevalence of ideal heart health for the metrics of tobacco use (95 %) was high. Only 19.4 % achieved ideal levels of physical activity, 35.1 % for BMI, 28.9 % for glucose and 66 % for blood pressure. Dietary intake was ideal for 20.7 % of the sample. More years since migration and Korean race trended toward having a higher prevalence of poor health in some metrics. Most Asian Americans are not achieving ideal cardiovascular health for several of the metrics evaluated, with those residing in the United States for more than 13 years and Korean Americans being higher-risk groups. Targeted community based intervention approaches to improving and monitoring heart health in Asian American, and Asian American subgroups, are needed.

Surgical Resection Versus Radiofrequency Ablation for Single Hepatocellular Carcinoma ≤ 2 cm in a Propensity Score Model

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the efficacy of surgical resection (SR) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) 2  cm or less.

BACKGROUND

The optimal management for Barcelona Clínic Liver Cancer (BCLC) very early-stage HCC is undetermined.

METHODS

Between 2002 and 2013, a total of 237 (SR, 109; RFA, 128) patients with BCLC very early-stage HCC were enrolled. Their overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were compared. Propensity score matching analysis identified 79 matched pairs of patients to compare outcomes.

RESULTS

At baseline, patients with SR were younger and had larger tumors (both P < 0.05). The 5-year OS rates were 81% versus 76% (P = 0.136), whereas 5-year RFS rates were 49% versus 24% (P < 0.001) for SR and RFA groups, respectively. In the propensity model, the baseline variables were well balanced between 2 groups. Surgical resection was significantly associated with better OS and RFS compared with RFA; the 5-year OS rates were 80% versus 66% (P = 0.034), and 5-year RFS rates were 48% versus 18% (P < 0.001) for SR and RFA groups, respectively. The Cox proportional hazards model identified RFA as an independent predictor for mortality and tumor recurrence in the propensity model (hazard ratio, 2.120 and 2.421, respectively; both P < 0.05). Patients with recurrent HCC had inferior prognosis compared with patients without recurrence (P = 0.001). However, the survival after recurrence was similar between patients initially treated with SR or RFA (P = 0.415).

CONCLUSIONS

Surgical resection provides better long-term OS and RFS compared with RFA in patients with BCLC very early-stage HCC. Surgical resection should be considered as the first-line treatment for these patients.

Effects of Cirrhosis on Short-term and Long-term Survival of Patients With Hepatitis B-related Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is the most common cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide. Unlike other liver diseases, HBV can cause HCC in the absence of cirrhosis. We investigated whether features of HCC in patients with HBV infection without cirrhosis and survival times differ from those of patients who develop HCC after cirrhosis.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of 487 consecutive cases of HBV-related HCC who were seen from 2000 through 2014 at a tertiary care center. Laboratory values, imaging results, and treatment information were obtained from subjects' medical records. Symptoms of HCC included weight loss, abdominal pain, or new hepatic decompensation. The primary outcome was overall survival, which was categorized as short-term survival (up to 3 years after the diagnosis of HCC) or long-term survival (3-10 years after diagnosis).

RESULTS

The mean tumor size at diagnosis was significantly larger in patients without cirrhosis (6.4 ± 4.3 cm) than in patients with cirrhosis (5.0 ± 3.8 cm) (P = .0009). A significantly larger proportion of patients without cirrhosis had symptoms at diagnosis (43.8% vs 35.4% in patients without cirrhosis, P = .09). A significantly higher proportion of patients without cirrhosis survived for the long-term (P = .003), but there was no significant difference between groups in short-term survival (P = .37). Notably, the same proportions of asymptomatic patients with and without cirrhosis survived for the short-term (64.3% vs 64.2%, P = .73), but a lower proportion of asymptomatic patients with cirrhosis survived for the long-term (P = .015). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, cirrhosis was an independent predictor of death in 3-10 years (hazard ratio, 3.76; P = .003) but not in less than 3 years (P = .48). Symptoms at diagnosis predicted death within 3 years (hazard ratio, 1.76; P =.006) but not in 3-10 years (P = .15).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with HBV infection and HCC without cirrhosis present with larger tumors, and a larger percentage have symptoms of cancer than patients with cirrhosis. This may indicate that HCC surveillance is less than optimal for patients with HBV infection without cirrhosis. Despite this suboptimal surveillance, patients without cirrhosis have higher long-term survival than those with cirrhosis, especially when asymptomatic at diagnosis.

Race/ethnicity-specific disparities in cancer incidence, burden of disease, and overall survival among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma in the United States

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the fastest rising causes of cancer-related deaths in the United States, with disparities observed in cancer incidence and survival between ethnic groups. This report provides updated analyses on race-specific disparities in US HCC trends.

METHODS

This large, population-based cohort study was conducted using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cancer registry data from 2003 to 2011 to investigate race-specific disparities in HCC incidence and survival. Survival was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier methods and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards models.

RESULTS

From 2003 to 2011, Asians had the highest HCC incidence, followed by blacks, Hispanics, and non-Hispanic whites. During the same period, Hispanics had the greatest increase in HCC incidence (+35.8%), whereas Asians experienced a 5.5% decrease. Although patients aged ≥65 years had the highest HCC incidence among all racial/ethnic groups, the higher HCC incidence in Asians was observed only for patients ages <50 and ≥65 years, whereas HCC incidence among patients ages 50 to 64 years was similar among Asians, blacks, and Hispanics. The overall 5-year HCC survival rate was highest among Asians (26.1%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 24.5%-27.6%) and lowest among blacks (21.3%; 95% CI, 19.5%-23.1%). On multivariate regression, Asians (hazard ratio, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.79-0.87; P < .001) and blacks (hazard ratio, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.89-0.99; P = .01) had significantly higher survival compared with non-Hispanic whites.

CONCLUSIONS

Asians were the only group to demonstrate a declining HCC incidence in the form of a shift from advanced HCC to more localized HCC. These findings most likely reflect improved screening and surveillance efforts for this group. Cancer 2016;122:2512-23. © 2016 American Cancer Society.

Race/Ethnicity-specific Disparities in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Stage at Diagnosis and its Impact on Receipt of Curative Therapies

GOALS

To evaluate race/ethnicity-specific disparities in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) stage at diagnosis and how this impacts receiving curative therapies.

BACKGROUND

HCC is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. The highest incidence of HCC is seen among ethnic minorities in the United States.

STUDY

Using the 2003-2011 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database and United Network of Organ Sharing, population-based registries for cancer and liver transplantation (LT) in the United States, race/ethnicity-specific cancer stage at diagnosis and treatment received among adults with HCC were evaluated.

RESULTS

Compared with non-Hispanic whites, blacks had significantly more advanced HCC at diagnosis [odds ratio (OR), 1.20; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.10-1.30; P<0.001], whereas Asians were less likely to have advanced disease (OR, 0.87; CI, 0.80-0.94; P<0.001). Among patients with HCC meeting Milan criteria, Hispanics (OR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.57-0.71; P<0.001) and blacks (OR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.59-0.76; P<0.001) were significantly less likely to receive curative therapy (resection or LT), whereas Asians were more likely to receive curative therapy (OR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.10-1.35; P<0.001) compared with non-Hispanic whites. However, Asians (OR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.42-0.58; P<0.001) and Hispanics (OR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.44-0.60; P<0.001) were less likely to receive LT.

CONCLUSIONS

Among US adults with HCC, blacks consistently had more advanced stage at diagnosis and lower rates of receiving treatment. After correcting for cancer stage and evaluating the subset of patients eligible for curative therapies, blacks and Hispanics had significantly lower rates of curative HCC treatment.

Disentangling the effects of race and socioeconomic factors on liver transplantation rates for hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Liver transplantation is the most effective treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in eligible patients, but is not accessed equally by all. We explored the effects of race and socioeconomic factors on transplantation for HCC while controlling for stage, resection status, and transplant candidacy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

All HCC patients, 2003-2013, were retrospectively analyzed using multivariate analysis to explore differences in transplantation rates among cohorts.

RESULTS

Of 3078 HCC patients, 754 (24%) were considered transplant eligible. Odds of transplantation were significantly higher for those with commercial insurance (OR = 1.99, 95% CI [1.42, 2.79]) and lower for black patients (OR = 0.55, 95% CI [0.33, 0.91]). Asians were more likely to be resected than white patients with similarly staged tumors and transplant criteria (p < 0.001). Patients not listed for transplantation for non-medical reasons were more likely to be government-insured (p = 0.02) and not white (p = 0.05). No step along the transplantation pathway was identified as the dominant hurdle.

DISCUSSION

Patients who are black or government-insured are significantly less likely to undergo transplantation for HCC despite controlling for tumor stage, resection status, and transplant eligibility. Asian patients have higher rates of hepatic resection, but also appear to have lower transplantation rates beyond this effect.

Recalibrating the Child-Turcotte-Pugh Score to Improve Prediction of Transplant-Free Survival in Patients with Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

The Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score is a widely used and validated predictor of long-term survival in cirrhosis. However, the cutpoints for stratifying laboratory variables in CTP have never been validated.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to identify evidence-based cutpoints for the CTP laboratory subscores to improve its predictive capacity for transplant-free survival.

DESIGN

Retrospective observational study.

DATA SOURCE

Using a cohort of 30,897 cirrhotic US Veteran patients with at least 5 years of follow-up, we performed Cox proportional hazard survival model iterations varying the upper and lower cutpoints for INR, total bilirubin and albumin CTP subscores. Cutpoints yielding the highest Harrell's C-statistics for concordance with transplant-free survival were incorporated into a modified CTP (mCTP) score. Validation of the mCTP was performed at multiple time frames within the follow-up period of the cohort and within subsets defined by disease etiology.

RESULTS

Modification of CTP cutpoints increased the Harrell's C-statistic for age- and gender-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models from 0.701 ± 0.002 to 0.709 ± 0.002 and the risk ratio per unit change from 1.49 (1.48-1.50) to 1.53 (1.52-1.54). The modified cutpoints showed superiority in predicting 5-year transplant-free survival in various disease etiology subgroups. A mCTP substituting serum creatinine for INR performed superiorly for predicting 5-year transplant-free survival.

CONCLUSION

We propose an evidence-based recalibration of CTP score cutpoints that optimizes this model's capacity to predict transplant-free survival in patients with cirrhosis. The CTP score remains the best predictor of 5-year overall and transplant-free survival in patients with cirrhosis.

High Expression of Neuropilin-1 Associates with Unfavorable Clinicopathological Features in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

As a co-receptor for vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), Neuropilin-1 (NRP-1) plays an important role in angiogenesis and malignant progression of many human cancers. However, the role of NRP-1 in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is not well understood. The study aimed to detected the expression of Neuropilin-1 in HCC and investigate the association between its expression and the clinicopathological characteristics and prognosis of HCC. Quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR), Western blot, Immunofluorescence and immunohistochemistry (IHC) analyses were performed to characterize the expression of NRP-1 in HCC cell lines and tissues. The association of NRP-1 expression with the clinicopathological characteristics and the prognosis was subsequently assessed. qRT-PCR and Western blot assays revealed that the expression of NRP-1 in HCC was significantly increased relative to that of normal live cells and tissues (P < 0.05,and <0.001, respectively). In addition, high expression of NRP-1 was significantly associated with intrahepatic metastasis (P = 0.036), Edmondson grade (P = 0.007), TNM classification (P = 0.0031), and portal vein invasion (P = 0.004). Furthermore, the HCC patients with high NRP-1 expression had shorter overall survival (OS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS), whereas, patients with low NRP-1 expression had better OS and RFS (P = 0.0035, and 0.0048, respectively). These data indicate that NRP-1 expression may play an important role in the progression of HCC, and that high NRP-1 expression suggests unfavorable clinicopathological characteristics and survival in HCC patients.