Survival after diffuse large B-cell lymphoma among children, adolescents, and young adults in California, 2001-2014: A population-based study

Comparison of Cox regression and generalized Cox regression models to machine learning in predicting survival of children with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

Background

The incidence of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) in children is increasing globally. Due to the immature immune system in children, the prognosis of DLBCL is quite different from that of adults. We aim to use the multicenter large retrospective analysis for prognosis study of the disease.

Methods

For our retrospective analysis, we retrieved data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database that included 836 DLBCL patients under 18 years old who were treated at 22 central institutions between 2000 and 2019. The patients were randomly divided into a modeling group and a validation group based on the ratio of 7:3. Cox stepwise regression, generalized Cox regression and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) were used to screen all variables. The selected prognostic variables were used to construct a nomogram through Cox stepwise regression. The importance of variables was ranked using XGBoost. The predictive performance of the model was assessed by using C-index, area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, sensitivity and specificity. The consistency of the model was evaluated by using a calibration curve. The clinical practicality of the model was verified through decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

ROC curve demonstrated that all models except the non-proportional hazards and non-log linearity (NPHNLL) model, achieved AUC values above 0.7, indicating high accuracy. The calibration curve and DCA further confirmed strong predictive performance and clinical practicability.

Conclusions

In this study, we successfully constructed a machine learning model by combining XGBoost with Cox and generalized Cox regression models. This integrated approach accurately predicts the prognosis of children with DLBCL from multiple dimensions. These findings provide a scientific basis for accurate clinical prognosis prediction.

Real-World Outcomes of Adolescents and Young Adults with Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study

Purpose: Patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) are typically treated with rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP). However, a standard of care for managing adolescents and young adults (AYAs) with DLBCL is lacking. We examine treatment approaches and outcomes of this population. Methods: We included 90 AYAs (15-39 years) diagnosed with DLBCL between 2008 and 2018 in three tertiary centers in Peru. Overall response rates (ORR) were available for all patients. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Results: The median age at diagnosis was 33 years, 57% were males, 57% had good performance status (Lansky/Karnofsky ≥90), and 61% were diagnosed with early-stage disease (Ann Arbor stages I-II). R-CHOP (n = 69, 77%) was the most frequently used first-line regimen, with an ORR of 91%. With a median follow-up of 83 months, the 5-year OS and PFS among all patients were 79% and 67%, respectively. Among the patients who received R-CHOP, the 5-year OS and PFS were 77% and 66%, respectively. Of the 29 (32%) patients with relapsed/refractory (R/R) disease, 83% received second-line treatment and only 14% underwent consolidation therapy with autologous transplantation. The 3-year OS for R/R DLBCL was 36%. Conclusion: Our data show that AYAs with DLBCL who received conventional therapy had comparable outcomes to those observed in studies conducted among the adult population. However, the prognosis for AYAs with R/R disease was dismal, indicating the unmet need for developing and increasing access to novel treatment modalities in AYAs.

Infectious Complications of Targeted Therapies in Children with Leukemias and Lymphomas

Simple Summary

Targeted therapies in children with hematological malignancies moderate the effects of cytotoxic therapy, thus improving survival rates. They have emerged over the last decade and are used in combination with or after the failure of conventional chemotherapy and as bridging therapy prior to hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). Nowadays, there is a growing interest in their efficacy and safety in pediatric patients with refractory or relapsed disease. The compromised immune system, even prior to therapy, requires prompt monitoring and treatment. In children with hematological malignancies, targeted therapies are associated with a comparable incidence of infectious complications to adults. The exact impact of these agents that have different mechanisms of action and are used after conventional chemotherapy or HSCT is difficult to ascertain. Clinicians should be cautious of severe infections after the use of targeted therapies, especially when used in combination with chemotherapy.

Abstract

The aim of this review is to highlight mechanisms of immunosuppression for each agent, along with pooled analyses of infectious complications from the available medical literature. Rituximab confers no increase in grade ≥3 infectious risks, except in the case of patients with advanced-stage non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Gemtuzumab ozogamicin links with high rates of grade ≥3 infections which, however, are comparable with historical cohorts. Pembrolizumab exhibits a favorable safety profile in terms of severe infections. Despite high rates of hypogammaglobulinemia (HGG) with blinatumomab, low-grade ≥3 infection rates were observed, especially in the post-reinduction therapy of relapsed B-acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Imatinib and nilotinib are generally devoid of severe infectious complications, but dasatinib may slightly increase the risk of opportunistic infections. Data on crizotinib and pan-Trk inhibitors entrectinib and larotrectinib are limited. CAR T-cell therapy with tisagenlecleucel is associated with grade ≥3 infections in children and is linked with HGG and the emergence of immune-related adverse events. Off-label therapies inotuzumab ozogamicin, brentuximab vedotin, and venetoclax demonstrate low rates of treatment-related grade ≥3 infections, while the addition of bortezomib to standard chemotherapy in T-cell malignancies seems to decrease the infection risk during induction. Prophylaxis, immune reconstitution, and vaccinations for each targeted agent are discussed, along with comparisons to adult studies.

Disparities in the long-term survival of adolescent and young adult diffuse large B cell lymphoma survivors

PURPOSE

The population of adolescent and young adult (AYA, ages 15-39 years) diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) survivors is growing, however long-term overall survival patterns and disparities are largely unknown.

METHODS

The current study utilized the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry to assess the impact of race/ethnicity, sex, socioeconomic status, and rurality on long-term survival in 5-year DLBCL survivors using an accelerated failure time model.

RESULTS

Included were 4767 5-year survivors of AYA DLBCL diagnosed between the years 1980 and 2009 with a median follow-up time of 13.4 years. Non-Hispanic Black survivors had significantly worse long-term survival than non-Hispanic White survivors (Survival Time Ratio (STR): 0.53, p < 0.0001). Male sex (STR: 0.57, p < 0.0001) and older age at diagnosis were also associated with reduced long-term survival. There was no evidence that survival disparities improved over time.

CONCLUSIONS

Racial disparities persist well into survivorship among AYA DLBCL survivors. Studies investigating specific factors associated with survival disparities are urgently needed to better address these disparities.

Associations between race and survival in pediatric patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to examine the factors associated with disparities in overall survival (OS) by race in pediatric diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) patients.

METHODS

We evaluated clinical features and survival among patients ≤21 years of age diagnosed with stage I-IV DLBCL from 2004 to 2014 from the National Cancer Database (NCDB) using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Among 1386 pediatric patients with DLBCL, 1023 patients met eligibility criteria. In unadjusted analysis, Black patients had a significantly higher overall death rate than White patients (HRBlack vs. White 1.51; 95% CI: 1.02-2.23, p = 0.041). The survival disparity did not remain significant in adjusted analysis, though controlling for covariates had little effect on the magnitude of the disparity (HR 1.46; 95% CI 0.93-2.31, p = 0.103). In adjusted models, presence of B symptoms, receipt of chemotherapy, stage of disease, and Other insurance were significantly associated with OS. Specifically, patients with B symptoms and those with Other insurance were more likely to die than those without B symptoms or private insurance, respectively (HR 1.75; 95% CI 1.22-2.50, p = 0.002) and (HR 2.56; 95% CI, 1.39-4.73, p = 0.0027), patients who did not receive chemotherapy were three times more likely to die than those who received chemotherapy (HR 3.10; CI 1.80-5.35, p < 0.001), and patients who presented with earlier stage disease were less likely to die from their disease than those with stage IV disease (stages I-III HR 0.34, CI 0.18-0.64, p < 0.001; HR 0.50, CI 0.30-0.82, p = 0.006, HR 0.72, CI 0.43-1.13, p = 0.152, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that racial disparities in survival may be mediated by clinical and treatment parameters.