The use of the propensity score for estimating treatment effects: administrative versus clinical data

Cervical Dissection in Patients With Tandem Lesions Is Associated With Distal Embolism and Lower Recanalization Success

BACKGROUND

Tandem lesions consist of cervical internal carotid artery (ICA) stenosis or occlusion, most commonly of atherosclerosis or dissection etiology, plus a large vessel occlusion. In this study, we compare outcomes in patients with atherosclerosis versus dissection of the cervical ICA.

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective cohort study includes data from tandem lesion patients who underwent endovascular treatment from 2015 to 2020. Atherosclerosis was defined as ICA stenosis/occlusion associated with a calcified lesion and dissection by the presence of a tapered or flame-shaped lesion and intramural hematoma. Primary outcome: 90-day functional independence (modified Rankin Scale score, 0-2); secondary outcomes: 90-day favorable shift in the modified Rankin Scale score, modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction score 2b-3, modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction score 2c-3, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, parenchymal hematoma type 2, petechial hemorrhage, distal embolization, early neurological improvement, and mortality. Analysis was performed with matching by inverse probability of treatment weighting.

RESULTS

We included 526 patients (68 [59-76] years; 31% females); 11.2% presented dissection and 88.8%, atherosclerosis. Patients with dissection were younger, had lower rates of hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, and smoking history. They also exhibited higher rates of ICA occlusion, multiple stents (>1), and lower rates of carotid self-expanding stents. After matching and adjusting for covariates, there were no differences in 90-day functional independence. The rate of successful recanalization was significantly lower in the dissection group (adjusted odds ratio, 0.38 [95% CI, 0.16-0.91]; P=0.031), which also had significantly higher rates of distal emboli (adjusted odds ratio, 2.53 [95% CI, 1.15-5.55]; P=0.021). There were no differences in other outcomes. Acute ICA stenting seemed to increase the effect of atherosclerosis in successful recanalization.

CONCLUSIONS

This study reveals that among patients with acute stroke with tandem lesions, cervical ICA dissection is associated with higher rates of distal embolism and lower rates of successful recanalization than atherosclerotic lesions. Using techniques to minimize the risk of distal embolism may mitigate this contrast. Further prospective randomized trials are warranted to fully understand these associations.

Race, neighborhood disadvantage, and survival of Medicare beneficiaries after aortic valve replacement and concomitant coronary artery bypass grafting

BACKGROUND

Race, neighborhood disadvantage, and the interaction between these 2 social determinants of health remain poorly understood with regards to survival after aortic valve replacement with concomitant coronary artery bypass grafting (AVR+CABG).

METHODS

Weighted Kaplan-Meier survival analyses and Cox proportional hazards modeling were used to evaluate the association between race, neighborhood disadvantage, and long-term survival in 205,408 Medicare beneficiaries undergoing AVR+CABG from 1999 to 2015. Neighborhood disadvantage was measured using the Area Deprivation Index, a broadly validated ranking of socioeconomic contextual disadvantage.

RESULTS

Self-identified race was 93.9% White and 3.2% Black. Residents of the most disadvantaged quintile of neighborhoods included 12.6% of all White beneficiaries and 40.0% of all Black beneficiaries. Black beneficiaries and residents of the most disadvantaged quintile of neighborhoods had more comorbidities compared with White beneficiaries and residents of the least disadvantaged quintile of neighborhoods, respectively. Increasing neighborhood disadvantage linearly increased the hazard for mortality for Medicare beneficiaries of White but not Black race. Residents of the most and least disadvantaged neighborhood quintiles had weighted median overall survival of 93.0 and 82.1 months, respectively, a significant difference (P < .001 by Cox test for equality of survival curves). Black and White beneficiaries had weighted median overall survival of 93.4 and 90.6 months, respectively, a nonsignificant difference (P = .29 by Cox test for equality of survival curves). A statistically significant interaction between race and neighborhood disadvantage was noted (likelihood ratio test P = .0215) and had implications on whether Black race was associated with survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing neighborhood disadvantage was linearly associated with worse survival after combined AVR+CABG in White but not Black Medicare beneficiaries; race, however, was not independently associated with postoperative survival.

The impact of comorbidities on prolonged mechanical ventilation in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

BACKGROUND

In patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and acute respiratory failure, approximately 10% of them are considered to be at high risk for prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV, > 21 days). PMV have been identified as independent predictors of unfavorable outcomes. Our previous study revealed that patients aged 70 years older and COPD severity were at a significantly higher risk for PMV. We aimed to analyze the impact of comorbidities and their associated risks in patients with COPD who require PMV.

METHODS

The data used in this study was collected from Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital Research Database. The COPD subjects were the patients first diagnosed COPD (index date) between January 1, 2012 and December 31, 2020. The exclusion criteria were the patients with age less than 40 years, PMV before the index date or incomplete records. COPD and non-COPD patients, matched controls were used by applying the propensity score matching method.

RESULTS

There are 3,744 eligible patients with COPD in the study group. The study group had a rate of 1.6% (60 cases) patients with PMV. The adjusted HR of PMV was 2.21 (95% CI 1.44-3.40; P < 0.001) in the COPD patients than in non-COPD patients. Increased risks of PMV were found significantly for patients with diabetes mellitus (aHR 4.66; P < 0.001), hypertension (aHR 3.20; P = 0.004), dyslipidemia (aHR 3.02; P = 0.015), congestive heart failure (aHR 6.44; P < 0.001), coronary artery disease (aHR 3.11; P = 0.014), stroke (aHR 6.37; P < 0.001), chronic kidney disease (aHR 5.81 P < 0.001) and Dementia (aHR 5.78; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Age, gender, and comorbidities were identified as significantly higher risk factors for PMV occurrence in the COPD patients compared to the non-COPD patients. Beyond age, comorbidities also play a crucial role in PMV in COPD.

The risk of secondary spontaneous pneumothorax in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Taiwan

INTRODUCTION

Secondary spontaneous pneumothorax (SSP) is often linked to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The frequency of SSP occurrence in COPD patients varies among different research findings. SSPs are more commonly found in the elderly population diagnosed with COPD. Previous studies have reported a pneumothorax rate of 26 per 100,000 COPD patients. There is, however, a notable lack of detailed epidemiological information regarding SSP in Asia. Our study focused on determining the occurrence rate of SSP among COPD patients in Taiwan using an extensive national database. Additionally, this study aimed to identify comorbidities associated with SSP in this patient group.

METHODS

In this study, we used the Longitudinal Health Insurance Database, which contains records of 2 million people who were randomly chosen from among the beneficiaries of the Taiwan National Health Insurance program. The dataset includes information from 2005 to the end of 2017. Our focus was on individuals diagnosed with COPD, identified through ICD-9-CM codes in at least one hospital admission or two outpatient services, with the COPD diagnosis date as the index date. The exclusion criteria included individuals younger than 40 years, those with incomplete records, or those with a previous diagnosis of pneumothorax before the index date. We conducted a matched comparison by pairing COPD patients with control subjects of similar age, sex, and comorbidities using propensity score matching. The follow-up for all participants started from their index date and continued until they developed pneumothorax, reached the study's end, withdrew from the insurance program, or passed away. The primary objective was to evaluate and compare the incidence of pneumothorax between COPD patients and matched controls.

RESULTS

We enrolled 65,063 patients who were diagnosed with COPD. Their mean age (±SD) was 66.28 (±12.99) years, and approximately 60 % were male. During the follow-up period, pneumothorax occurred in 607 patients, equivalent to 9.3 % of the cohort. The incidence rate of SSP in COPD patients was 12.10 per 10,000 person-years, whereas it was 6.68 per 10,000 person-years in those without COPD. Furthermore, COPD patients with comorbidities such as atrial fibrillation, congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and cancer exhibited an increased incidence of SSP compared to COPD patients without such comorbidities. This was observed after conducting a multivariable Cox regression analysis adjusted for age, sex, and other comorbidities.

CONCLUSION

Our study revealed an elevated risk of SSP in patients with COPD. It has also been suggested that COPD patients with comorbidities, such as atrial fibrillation, congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and cancer, have an increased risk of developing SSP.

Immuno-Molecular Targeted Therapy Use and Survival Benefit in Patients with Stage IVB Cervical Carcinoma in Commission on Cancer®-Accredited Facilities in the United States

PURPOSE

To investigate IMT use and survival in real-world stage IVB cervical cancer patients outside randomized clinical trials.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with stage IVB cervical cancer during 2013-2019 in the National Cancer Database and treated with chemotherapy (CT) ± external beam radiation (EBRT) ± intracavitary brachytherapy (ICBT) ± IMT were studied. The adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for risk of death were estimated in patients treated with vs. without IMT after applying propensity score analysis to balance the clinical covariates.

RESULTS

There were 3164 evaluable patients, including 969 (31%) who were treated with IMT. The use of IMT increased from 11% in 2013 to 46% in 2019. Age, insurance, facility type, sites of distant metastasis, and type of first-line treatment were independently associated with using IMT. In propensity-score-balanced patients, the median survival was 18.6 vs. 13.1 months for with vs. without IMT (p < 0.001). The AHR was 0.72 (95% CI = 0.64-0.80) for adding IMT overall, 0.72 for IMT + CT, 0.66 for IMT + CT + EBRT, and 0.69 for IMT + CT + EBRT + ICBT. IMT-associated survival improvements were suggested in all subgroups by age, race/ethnicity, comorbidity score, facility type, tumor grade, tumor size, and site of metastasis.

CONCLUSIONS

IMT was associated with a consistent survival benefit in real-world patients with stage IVB cervical cancer.

Evaluation of drug sensitivity, immunological characteristics, and prognosis in melanoma patients using an endoplasmic reticulum stress-associated signature based on bioinformatics and pan-cancer analysis

We aimed to develop endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress-related risk signature to predict the prognosis of melanoma and elucidate the immune characteristics and benefit of immunotherapy in ER-related risk score-defined subgroups of melanoma based on a machine learning algorithm. Based on The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) melanoma dataset (n = 471) and GTEx database (n = 813), 365 differentially expressed ER-associated genes were selected using the univariate Cox model and LASSO penalty Cox model. Ten genes impacting OS were identified to construct an ER-related signature by using the multivariate Cox regression method and validated with the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) dataset. Thereafter, the immune features, CNV, methylation, drug sensitivity, and the clinical benefit of anticancer immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy in risk score subgroups, were analyzed. We further validated the gene signature using pan-cancer analysis by comparing it to other tumor types. The ER-related risk score was constructed based on the ARNTL, AGO1, TXN, SORL1, CHD7, EGFR, KIT, HLA-DRB1 KCNA2, and EDNRB genes. The high ER stress-related risk score group patients had a poorer overall survival (OS) than the low-risk score group patients, consistent with the results in the GEO cohort. The combined results suggested that a high ER stress-related risk score was associated with cell adhesion, gamma phagocytosis, cation transport, cell surface cell adhesion, KRAS signalling, CD4 T cells, M1 macrophages, naive B cells, natural killer (NK) cells, and eosinophils and less benefitted from ICI therapy. Based on the expression patterns of ER stress-related genes, we created an appropriate predictive model, which can also help distinguish the immune characteristics, CNV, methylation, and the clinical benefit of ICI therapy. KEY MESSAGES: Melanoma is the cutaneous tumor with a high degree of malignancy, the highest fatality rate, and extremely poor prognosis. Model usefulness should be considered when using models that contained more features. We constructed the Endoplasmic Reticulum stress-associated signature using TCGA and GEO database based on machine learning algorithm. ER stress-associated signature has excellent ability for predicting prognosis for melanoma.

Physician Financial Incentives for Use of Outpatient Intravenous Antimicrobial Therapy: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis

BACKGROUND

In 2011, policymakers in British Columbia introduced a fee-for-service payment to incentivize infectious diseases physicians to supervise outpatient parenteral antimicrobial therapy (OPAT). Whether this policy increased use of OPAT remains uncertain.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study using population-based administrative data over a 14-year period (2004-2018). We focused on infections that required intravenous antimicrobials for ≥10 days (eg, osteomyelitis, joint infection, endocarditis) and used the monthly proportion of index hospitalizations with a length of stay shorter than the guideline-recommended "usual duration of intravenous antimicrobials" (LOS < UDIVA) as a surrogate for population-level OPAT use. We used interrupted time series analysis to determine whether policy introduction increased the proportion of hospitalizations with LOS < UDIVA.

RESULTS

We identified 18 513 eligible hospitalizations. In the pre-policy period, 82.3% of hospitalizations exhibited LOS < UDIVA. Introduction of the incentive was not associated with a change in the proportion of hospitalizations with LOS < UDIVA, suggesting that the policy intervention did not increase OPAT use (step change, -0.06%; 95% confidence interval [CI], -2.69% to 2.58%; P = .97 and slope change, -0.001% per month; 95% CI, -.056% to .055%; P = .98).

CONCLUSIONS

The introduction of a financial incentive for physicians did not appear to increase OPAT use. Policymakers should consider modifying the incentive design or addressing organizational barriers to expanded OPAT use.

Outcomes After Independent Trainee Versus Consultant-led Emergency Laparotomy: Inverse Propensity Score Population Dataset Analysis

OBJECTIVE

We utilized a population dataset to compare outcomes for patients where surgery was independently performed by trainees to cases led by a consultant.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Emergency laparotomy is a common, high-risk, procedure. Although trainee involvement to improve future surgeons' experience and ability in the management of such cases is crucial, some studies have suggested this is to the detriment of patient outcomes. In the UK, appropriately skilled trainees may be entrusted to perform emergency laparotomy without supervision of a consultant (attending).

METHODS

Patients who underwent emergency laparotomy between 2013 and 2018 were identified from the National Emergency Laparotomy Audit of England and Wales. To reduce selection and confounding bias, the inverse probability of treatment weighting approach was used, allowing robust comparison of trainee-led and consultant-led laparotomy cases accounting for eighteen variables, including details of patient, treatment, pathology, and preoperative mortality risk. Groups were compared for mortality and length of stay.

RESULTS

A total of 111,583 patients were included in the study. The operating surgeon was a consultant in 103,462 cases (92.7%) and atrainee in 8121 cases (7.3%). Mortality at discharge was 11.6%. Trainees were less likely to operate on high-risk and colorectal cases. After weighting, mortality (12.2% vs 11.6%, P = 0.338) was equivalent between trainee- and consultant-led cases. Median length of stay was 11 (interquartile range 7, 19) versus 11 (7, 20) days ( P = 0.004), respectively. Trainee-led operations reported fewer cases of blood loss >500mL (9.1% vs 11.1%, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Major laparotomy maybe safely entrusted to appropriately skilled trainees without impacting patient outcomes.

Inference with non-probability samples and survey data integration: a science mapping study

In recent years, survey data integration and inference based on non-probability samples have gained considerable attention. Because large probability-based samples can be cost-prohibitive in many instances, combining a probabilistic survey with auxiliary data is appealing to enhance inferences while reducing the survey costs. Also, as new data sources emerge, such as big data, inference and statistical data integration will face new challenges. This study aims to describe and understand the evolution of this research field over the years with an original approach based on text mining and bibliometric analysis. In order to retrieve the publications of interest (books, journal articles, proceedings, etc.), the Scopus database is considered. A collection of 1023 documents is analyzed. Through the use of such methodologies, it is possible to characterize the literature and identify contemporary research trends as well as potential directions for future investigation. We propose a research agenda along with a discussion of the research gaps which need to be addressed.

Effects of shorter activated coagulation time on hemorrhage during venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation

BACKGROUND

Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) has been used for decades, but optimal anticoagulation control remains unknown. This study aimed to compare shorter target activated coagulation time (ACT) criteria with the usual target ACT criteria in terms of complications.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified patients who received ECMO between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2018 in an acute tertiary care hospital. Patients were divided into two groups: (I) those whose target ACT was 160-180 sec and (II) those whose target ACT was 180-220 sec. Cox proportional hazard models and Fine-Gray models adjusted for propensity score to account for the competing risk of death were used to compare the incidence of hemorrhage during ECMO between the groups.

RESULTS

We identified 74 patients, 25 of whom were managed with target ACT 160-180 sec, and 49 of whom were managed with target ACT 180-220 sec. In crude analysis, the proportions of patients with hemorrhage in the under 180-sec group were significantly more than those in the over 180-sec group [60.0% (15/25) vs. 28.6% (14/49), p = 0.009]. Shorter target ACT was not associated with hemorrhage during ECMO in either Cox regression (hazard ratio, 1.67; 95% confidence interval, 0.59-4.80; p = 0.336) or Fine-Gray model (hazard ratio, 1.58; 95% confidence interval, 0.64-3.91; p = 0.324).

CONCLUSIONS

The shorter ACT target was not associated with improved hemorrhage and inappropriate coagulation than the usual target ACT criteria. This study is the first to compare the ACT target of patients with ECMO.

The incidence of bronchiectasis in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Bronchiectasis is a common comorbidity in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). There are limited data regarding the incidence of bronchiectasis in COPD. The purpose of the study was to use a nationwide database to evaluate the incidence of bronchiectasis in COPD in Taiwan. We used a cohort of 2,000,000 individuals followed from 2005 to 2018. Patients with COPD diagnosed between January 1, 2011, and December 31, 2017, were selected, and those with bronchiectasis before COPD were excluded. In total, 134,366 patients with COPD were enrolled, and propensity score matching was used to ensure homogeneity of baseline characteristics between the COPD and non-COPD groups. The incidence rate of bronchiectasis was higher in the COPD group than in the non-COPD group (87.83 vs 69.80 per 10,000 person-years). The adjusted hazard ratio (1.9; 95% confidence interval 1.75-2.05; P < 0.001) of bronchiectasis indicated that the risk of bronchiectasis was 1.9 times higher for patients with COPD than for patients without COPD. In the COPD group, the age-stratified incidence rates of bronchiectasis increased with age (55.01, 80.92, 101.52, and 105.23 for 40-49, 50-59, 60-69, and over 70 years, respectively). The incidence of bronchiectasis was higher in patients with COPD than in the general population, the risk of bronchiectasis increased with age in COPD, and post-tuberculosis status was an important risk factor for bronchiectasis.

Nipple-Sparing Mastectomy and Immediate Reconstruction: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis of Satisfaction and Quality of Life

BACKGROUND

Although it is intuitive that nipple-sparing mastectomy in selected patients would result in excellent cosmetic outcomes and high patient satisfaction, studies of clinical outcomes and health-related quality of life are limited and show mixed results. This study aimed to use a propensity score-matching analysis to compare satisfaction and health-related quality-of-life outcomes in patients who underwent implant-based reconstruction following bilateral nipple-sparing mastectomy or skin-sparing mastectomy.

METHODS

A propensity score-matching analysis (1:1 matching, no replacement) was performed comparing patients undergoing nipple-sparing or skin-sparing mastectomy with immediate bilateral implant-based breast reconstruction. Patients with a history of any radiation therapy were excluded. Matched covariates included age, body mass index, race, smoking history, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, bra size, and history of psychiatric diagnosis. Outcomes of interest included BREAST-Q scores and complications.

RESULTS

The authors examined 1371 patients for matching and included 460 patients (nipple-sparing mastectomy, n = 230; skin-sparing mastectomy, n = 230) in the final analyses. The authors found no significant differences in baseline, cancer, and surgical characteristics between matched nipple-sparing and skin-sparing mastectomy patients, who also had similar profiles for surgical complications. Interestingly, the authors found that postoperative Satisfaction with Breasts scores and all other health-related quality-of-life domains were stable over a 3-year period and did not differ significantly between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with skin-sparing mastectomy, bilateral nipple-sparing mastectomy did not improve patient-reported or clinical outcomes when combined with immediate implant-based reconstruction. The impact that nipple-sparing mastectomy may have on breast aesthetics and the ability of the BREAST-Q to gauge an aesthetic result following nipple-sparing mastectomy warrant further investigation.

CLINICAL QUESTION/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Therapeutic, III.

Identification of Bioactive Compounds of the Endophytic Fungus Aspergillus egypticus-HT166S Inhibiting the Activity of Pancreatic α-Amylase

Objectives

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a worldwide increasing problem, associated with development of hyperlipidemia, coronary heart disease, hypertension, and other chronic diseases. Decreasing of glucose absorption by inhibition of α-amylase is one of the therapeutic approaches to retard diabetes type 2. Pancreatic α-amylase (PA) inhibition widely studied mechanism for determination of potential of natural compounds as antidiabetic agents. The aim of this work was identification of inhibitory secondary metabolites produced by Aspergillus egypticus, isolated from Helianthus tuberosus.

Materials and Methods

The PA inhibitory activity of the secondary metabolites determined using iodometric method. Isolation of inhibitory compounds was carried out by column chromatography, thin layer chromatography and liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) analysis.

Results

It was found that the inhibitory concentration of a compound, K-10 (Rf : 0.74), isolated from metanolic extract of A. egypticus was 4.82 mg/mL. LC-MS/MS analysis of K-10 showed polymethoxylated flavones (PMF).

Conclusion

The fungal endophyte A. egypticus-HT166S can be considered a source of PMF as potential agents for developing new PA inhibitors.

Incidence of Bacterial and Nonbacterial Conjunctivitis in Patients With Atopic Dermatitis Treated With Dupilumab: A US Multidatabase Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Dupilumab-associated conjunctivitis in patients with atopic dermatitis (AD) is not fully characterized.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to characterize the incidence of bacterial and nonbacterial conjunctivitis among patients with AD who initiated dupilumab.

METHODS

Pooling longitudinal claims data from 2 US databases, we identified AD patients who newly filled either dupilumab or methotrexate, mycophenolate or cyclosporine, between March 2017 and January 2020. Outcomes were conjunctivitis and its subtypes, bacterial, allergic, and keratoconjunctivitis. Patient follow-up lasted 6 months and 1:1 propensity score (PS) matching-controlled confounding.

RESULTS

Within 6 months of treatment initiation, the incidence of conjunctivitis was 6.6% in 3744 dupilumab initiators; bacterial conjunctivitis, 1.5%; allergic conjunctivitis, 2.2%; keratoconjunctivitis, 0.8%; and conjunctivitis requiring ophthalmic medication, 2.7%. After PS matching, dupilumab doubled the risk of conjunctivitis compared with methotrexate (relative risk [RR] 2.12; 1.56-2.91), mycophenolate (RR = 2.43; 1.32-4.47), or cyclosporine (RR = 1.83; 1.05-3.20). Risk of bacterial conjunctivitis was 1.6- to 4.0-fold increased with wide confidence intervals, and allergic conjunctivitis was increased 2.7- to 7-fold. There was no increased risk of keratoconjunctivitis. Patients with comorbid asthma had a further increased risk of conjunctivitis.

CONCLUSIONS

One in 15 patients treated with dupilumab developed conjunctivitis driven by bacterial and allergic conjunctivitis and not keratoconjunctivitis. This risk was further increased with comorbid asthma.

Matched Preliminary Analysis of Patient-Reported Outcomes following Autologous and Implant-Based Breast Reconstruction

BACKGROUND

Comparisons of autologous breast reconstruction (ABR) and implant-based breast reconstruction (IBR) involve unavoidable confounders, which are often adjusted for in post hoc regression analyses. This study compared patient-reported outcomes between ABR patients and IBR patients by using propensity score matching to control for confounding variables upfront.

METHODS

Propensity score matching analysis (2:1 nearest-neighbor matching with replacement) was performed for patients who underwent ABR or IBR without radiotherapy. Matched covariates included age, body mass index, history of psychiatric diagnosis, race-ethnicity, smoking status, and laterality of reconstruction. Outcomes of interest were BREAST-Q questionnaire scores for breast satisfaction and well-being.

RESULTS

Of the 2334 patients identified, 427 were included in the final analysis: 159 who underwent ABR and 268 who underwent IBR. The ABR group matched the IBR group in the selected characteristics. ABR patients did not differ significantly from IBR patients in breast satisfaction or well-being at either 1 or 2 years after reconstructive surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

This preliminary analysis of immediate breast reconstruction patients not requiring radiation therapy with similar propensities for ABR or IBR suggests comparable levels of breast satisfaction and well-being within 2 years after reconstructive surgery. Further research is needed with larger sample sizes, statistical power, and follow-up to better understand patient reported outcomes in this population, as the current findings differ from studies where patients were not matched on baseline characteristics.

Increased Risk Perception, Distress Intolerance and Health Anxiety in Stricter Lockdowns: Self-Control as a Key Protective Factor in Early Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic

Studies provide evidence that distress, (health) anxiety, and depressive symptoms were high during the first weeks of COVID-19 lockdown restrictions, decreasing over time (possibly due to individuals’ protective psychological factors). Relations between different lockdown restrictions, mental health issues, and protective factors need to be explored, since even small lockdown effects might increase the risk of future mental health issues. We merged objective lockdown stringency data with individual data (N = 1001) to examine differences in lockdown effects in strict lockdown (Romania) and mild lockdown (Hungary) conditions between March and May 2020 on stressors and mental health symptoms, taking protective factors into account. The stricter lockdown in Romania revealed higher levels of perceived risk of infection, distress intolerance, and COVID-19 health anxiety. Protective psychological factors were not affected by the lockdown measures. Surpassing psychological flexibility and resilient coping, self-control proved to be the most promising protective factor. It is recommended that future research merge objective data with study data to investigate the effects of different COVID-19 lockdown measures on mental health and protective factors. Policy decisions should consider lockdown-dependent consequences of mental health issues. Intervention programs are suggested to mitigate mental health issues and to strengthen peoples’ protective psychological factors.

Impact of postoperative chemotherapy on survival for oesophagogastric adenocarcinoma after preoperative chemotherapy and surgery

BACKGROUND

Perioperative chemotherapy is widely used in the treatment of oesophagogastric adenocarcinoma (OGAC) with a substantial survival benefit over surgery alone. However, the postoperative part of these regimens is given in less than half of patients, reflecting uncertainty among clinicians about its benefit and poor postoperative patient fitness. This study estimated the effect of postoperative chemotherapy after surgery for OGAC using a large population-based data set.

METHODS

Patients with adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus, gastro-oesophageal junction or stomach diagnosed between 2012 and 2018, who underwent preoperative chemotherapy followed by surgery, were identified from a national-level audit in England and Wales. Postoperative therapy was defined as the receipt of systemic chemotherapy within 90 days of surgery. The effectiveness of postoperative chemotherapy compared with observation was estimated using inverse propensity treatment weighting.

RESULTS

Postoperative chemotherapy was given to 1593 of 4139 patients (38.5 per cent) included in the study. Almost all patients received platinum-based triplet regimens (4004 patients, 96.7 per cent), with FLOT used in 3.3 per cent. Patients who received postoperative chemotherapy were younger, with a lower ASA grade, and were less likely to have surgical complications, with similar tumour characteristics. After weighting, the median survival time after postoperative chemotherapy was 62.7 months compared with 50.4 months without chemotherapy (hazard ratio 0.84, 95 per cent c.i. 0.77 to 0.94; P = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

This study has shown that postoperative chemotherapy improves overall survival in patients with OGAC treated with preoperative chemotherapy and surgery.

Prepectoral and Subpectoral Tissue Expander-Based Breast Reconstruction: A Propensity-Matched Analysis of 90-Day Clinical and Health-Related Quality-of-Life Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Prepectoral placement of tissue expanders for two-stage implant-based breast reconstruction potentially minimizes chest wall morbidity and postoperative pain. The authors explored 90-day clinical and health-related quality-of-life outcomes for prepectoral versus subpectoral tissue expander breast reconstruction.

METHODS

The authors conducted a propensity score-matching analysis (nearest neighbor, 1:1 matching without replacement) of patients who underwent immediate prepectoral or subpectoral tissue expander breast reconstruction between December of 2017 and January of 2019. Matched covariates included age, body mass index, race/ethnicity, smoking status, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, nipple-sparing mastectomy, and laterality of reconstruction. Outcomes of interest were perioperative analgesia use, 90-day postoperative patient-reported pain, complication rates, and BREAST-Q physical well-being of the chest scores.

RESULTS

Of the initial cohort of 921 patients, 238 were propensity-matched and included in the final analysis. The matched cohort had no differences in baseline characteristics. Postoperative ketorolac (p = 0.048) use was higher in the subpectoral group; there were no other significant differences in intraoperative and postoperative analgesia use. Prepectoral patients had lower pain on postoperative days 1 to 2 but no differences on days 3 to 10. BREAST-Q physical well-being of the chest scores did not differ. Prepectoral patients had higher rates of seroma than subpectoral patients (p < 0.001). Rates of tissue expander loss did not differ.

CONCLUSIONS

This matched analysis of 90-day complications found lower early postoperative pain in prepectoral tissue expander patients but no longer-term patient-reported differences. Although prepectoral reconstruction patients experienced a higher rate of seroma, this did not translate to a difference in tissue expander loss. Long-term analysis of clinical and patient-reported outcomes is needed to understand the full profile of the prepectoral technique.

CLINICAL QUESTION/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Therapeutic, III.

Different depression: motivational anhedonia governs antidepressant efficacy in Huntington's disease

Depression is more common in neurodegenerative diseases such as Huntington's disease than the general population. Antidepressant efficacy is well-established for depression within the general population: a recent meta-analysis showed serotonin norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors, tricyclic antidepressants and mirtazapine outperformed other antidepressants. Despite the severe morbidity, antidepressant choice in Huntington's disease is based on Class IV evidence. We used complementary approaches to determine treatment choice for depression in Huntington's disease: propensity score analyses of antidepressant treatment outcome using the ENROLL-HD data set, and a dissection of the cognitive mechanisms underlying depression in Huntington's disease using a cognitive battery based on the Research Domain Criteria for Depression. Study 1 included ENROLL-HD 5486 gene-positive adult patients started on an antidepressant medication for depression. Our outcome measures were depression (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale or Problem Behaviours Assessment 'Depressed Mood' item) at first follow-up (primary outcome) and all follow-ups (secondary outcome). The intervention was antidepressant class. We used Svyglm&Twang in R to perform propensity scoring, using known variables (disease progression, medical comorbidity, psychiatric morbidity, sedatives, number of antidepressants, demographics and antidepressant contraindications) to determine the probability of receiving different antidepressants (propensity score) and then included the propensity score in a model of treatment efficacy. Study 2 recruited 51 gene-positive adult patients and 26 controls from the South Wales Huntington's Disease Management Service. Participants completed a motor assessment, in addition to measures of depression and apathy, followed by tasks measuring consummatory anhedonia, motivational anhedonia, learning from reward and punishment and reaction to negative outcome. We used generalised linear models to determine the association between task performance and depression scores. Study 1 showed selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors outperformed serotonin norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors on the primary outcome (P = 0.048), whilst both selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (P = 0.00069) and bupropion (P = 0.0045) were superior to serotonin norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors on the secondary outcome. Study 2 demonstrated an association between depression score and effort for reward that was not explained by apathy. No other mechanisms were associated with depression score. We found that selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and bupropion outperform serotonin norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors at alleviating depression in Huntington's disease. Moreover, motivational anhedonia appears the most significant mechanism underlying depression in Huntington's disease. Bupropion is improves motivational anhedonia and has a synergistic effect with selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors. This work provides the first large-scale, objective evidence to determine treatment choice for depression in Huntington's disease, and provides a model for determining antidepressant efficacy in other neurodegenerative diseases.

Early Education and Adult Health: Age 37 Impacts and Economic Benefits of the Child-Parent Center Preschool Program

This paper evaluates the long-term impacts of the Chicago Child-Parent Center (CPC) program, a comprehensive early childhood program launched in the 1960s, on the physical and mental health outcomes. This study follows a cohort of 1539 participants born in 1979-1980 and surveyed most recently at age 35-37 by employing a matched study design created by including all students who were enrolled in kindergarten classrooms in CPC school sites as well as entire kindergarten classrooms in a matched set of similar high-poverty schools. Using propensity score weighting that addresses potential issues with differential attrition and nonrandom treatment assignment, results reveal that CPC preschool participation is associated with significantly lower rates of adverse health outcomes such as smoking and diabetes. Further, evaluating the economic impacts of the preschool component of the program, the study finds a benefit-cost ratio in the range of 1.35 to 3.66 (net benefit: $3,896) indicating that the health benefits of the program by themselves offset the costs of the program even without considering additional benefits arising from increased educational attainment and reduced involvement in crime reported in earlier cost-benefit analyses. The findings are robust to corrections for multiple hypothesis testing, sensitivity analysis using a range of discount rates, and Monte Carlo analysis to account for uncertainty in outcomes.

Perinatal and Child Factors Mediate the Association between Preeclampsia and Offspring School Performance

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether maternal preeclampsia is an independent risk factor for poorer academic school performance in offspring, taking into account important perinatal and child factors.

STUDY DESIGN

A population-based cohort study using record-linkage of state-wide data was undertaken. We evaluated children born at 28+ weeks of gestation in New South Wales, Australia who had grade 3 record-linked education outcomes via the National Assessment Program-Literacy and Numeracy (NAPLAN) between 2009 and 2014. Children with in utero preeclampsia exposure were compared with those without exposure. Robust multivariable Poisson models were used to determine adjusted relative risks.

RESULTS

Crude models demonstrated an increased risk of scoring below the national minimal standard in all 5 domains (reading, writing, spelling, grammar and punctuation, and numeracy) for children exposed to preeclampsia, ranging from a relative risk (RR) of 1.13 (95% CI, 1.04-1.24) for reading to 1.19 (95% CI, 1.09-1.30) for numeracy. These differences were attenuated once adjusted for perinatal and child factors (RR, 1.07 [95% CI, 0.97-1.18] to 1.11 (95% CI, 0.99-1.22]), with combined perinatal and childhood factors mediating between 35.7% (writing) to 55.1% (spelling) of the association. Gestational age at birth was the most important perinatal factor, explaining 10.5% (grammar and punctuation) to 20.6% (writing) of the association between preeclampsia and poor school performance, followed by small for gestational age.

CONCLUSION

The poorer educational performance experienced by children born to women with preeclampsia appears largely attributable to perinatal and childhood factors, suggesting an opportunity to improve school performance in children exposed to preeclampsia by optimizing these perinatal factors, particularly gestational age at birth.

Comparative efficacy and safety of bortezomib, thalidomide, and dexamethasone (VTd) without and with daratumumab (D-VTd) in CASSIOPEIA versus VTd in PETHEMA/GEM in transplant-eligible patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma, using propensity score matching

Background

Traditional bortezomib, thalidomide, and dexamethasone (VTd) regimens for patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) include doses of thalidomide up to 200 mg/day (VTd-label). Clinical practice has evolved to use a lower dose (100 mg/day) to reduce toxicity (VTd-mod), which was evaluated in the phase III CASSIOPEIA study, without or with daratumumab (D-VTd; an anti-CD38 monoclonal antibody). We used propensity score matching to compare efficacy and safety for VTd-mod and D-VTd with VTd-label.

Methods

Patient-level data for VTd-mod and D-VTd from CASSIOPEIA (NCT02541383) and data for VTd-label from the PETHEMA/GEM study (NCT00461747) were analyzed. Propensity scores were estimated using logistic regression, and nearest-neighbor matching procedure was used. Outcomes included overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), time to progression (TTP), postinduction and posttransplant responses, as well as rate of treatment discontinuation and grade 3/4 peripheral neuropathy.

Results

VTd-mod was noninferior to VTd-label for OS, PFS, TTP, postinduction very good partial response or better (≥VGPR) and overall response rate (ORR). VTd-mod was significantly better for posttransplant ≥VGPR and ORR versus VTd-label. VTd-mod safety was not superior to VTd-label despite the lower thalidomide dose. D-VTd was significantly better than VTd-label for OS, PFS, TTP, postinduction and posttransplant ≥VGPR and ORR, and was noninferior to VTd-label for safety outcomes.

Conclusions

In transplant-eligible patients with NDMM, D-VTd had superior efficacy compared with VTd-label. Despite a lower dose of thalidomide, VTd-mod was noninferior to VTd-label for safety and was significantly better for posttransplant ≥VGPR/ORR. These data further support the first-line use of daratumumab plus VTd.

Real-World Cost-Effectiveness of Palliative Care for Terminal Cancer Patients in a Japanese General Hospital

Background: The concept of cost-effectiveness is necessary for optimal utilization of limited health care resources. However, few studies have assessed the cost-effectiveness of palliative care using quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), considered common outcomes in health economics. Objective: We aimed to perform a cost-effectiveness analysis of palliative care for terminal cancer patients by using QALYs. Design: A retrospective cohort study was performed. Setting/Patients: We included 401 patients with stage IV cancer, who were hospitalized and died at a Japanese general hospital during the period April 2014 to March 2019. Methods: Using the hospital database, we compared the total admission costs and QALYs based on pain levels of patients admitted to the palliative care (PC) department with those of patients admitted to other usual care (UC) departments. Patients in each group were matched through propensity scores to reduce bias. Bootstrapping estimated the 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) and the probability that PC was more cost-effective than UC. Results: After matching, 128 patients in each group were selected. Converting 1 U.S. dollar (USD) to 100 Japanese yen, PC reduced mean total admission costs by 1732 USD (95% CI: 1584-1879) and improved mean health benefits by 0.0028 QALYs (95% CI: 0.0025-0.0032) compared with UC. Based on the Japanese cost-effectiveness threshold, there was an 82% probability that PC was more cost-effective than UC. Conclusions: Our results indicated that admission of terminal cancer patients to the PC department was associated with improvement in cost-effectiveness. This finding could support the introduction of palliative care for terminal cancer patients. Our study was approved at St. Luke's International University (receipt number 18-R061 and at the Graduate School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, The Univesity of Tokyo (receipt number 31-29).

Association of Electronic Nicotine Delivery System Use With Cigarette Smoking Progression or Reduction Among Young Adults

Importance

The prevalence of electronic nicotine delivery systems (ENDS) use, including e-cigarettes, among US young adults (YAs) has raised questions about how these products may affect future tobacco and nicotine use among YAs. Given this prevalence and that young adulthood is a critical period for the establishment of tobacco and nicotine use, it is important to consider the association between ENDS use and cigarette smoking specifically in this age group.

Objective

To examine whether ENDS use frequency or intensity is associated with changes in cigarette smoking among US YA ever smokers during 1 year.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study used 3 waves of data (2013-2014, 2014-2015, and 2015-2016) from the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) Study, an ongoing longitudinal cohort study of adults and youth. Unweighted 1:6 propensity score matching was used to match participants on wave 1 risk factors for ENDS use at wave 2. The changes in smoking between wave 2 and wave 3 were assessed using the matched sample. In total, 1096 ENDS-naive, ever cigarette-smoking YAs (18-24 years of age) at wave 1 who participated in wave 2 and wave 3 and who had complete data in the PATH Study were included in the analyses, which were conducted from August 2018 to October 2019.

Exposures

Never ENDS use (n = 987), any previous 30-day ENDS use (n = 109), 1 to 5 days of ENDS use in the previous 30 days (n = 75), and 6 or more days ENDS use in the previous 30 days at wave 2 (n = 34).

Main Outcomes and Measures

The analytic sample was selected using multiple variables based on peer-reviewed literature supporting associations with ENDS use. The main outcomes-changes in cigarette smoking behavior between wave 2 and wave 3-were defined using 2 measures: (1) change in smoking frequency, defined as the number of smoking days in the previous 30 days at wave 3 vs wave 2, and (2) change in smoking intensity, defined as the number smoking days in the previous 30 days multiplied by the mean number of cigarettes consumed on smoking days at wave 3 vs wave 2.

Results

The present cohort analyses included 1096 YA ever smokers who were ENDS naive at wave 1. The majority of the sample were women (609 [55.6%]) and White individuals (698 [63.7%]), and the mean (SD) age was 21.4 (1.9) years. In wave 1, 161 YAs (14.7%) were daily smokers in the previous 30 days. After propensity score matching, no statistically significant associations were observed between any definition of wave 2 ENDS use and changes in either the frequency or intensity of smoking at wave 3.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study of US YA ever smokers, ENDS use was not associated with either decreased or increased cigarette smoking during a 1-year period. However, it is possible that the rapidly evolving marketplace of vaping products may lead to different trajectories of YA cigarette and ENDS use in the future.

Matching‐adjusted indirect comparison of efficacy and safety of bortezomib, thalidomide, and dexamethasone (VTd) as per label compared with modified VTd dosing schedules in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma who are transplant eligible

Background

The combination of bortezomib, thalidomide, and dexamethasone (VTd) is a standard of care for transplant‐eligible patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM). Although approved labeling for VTd includes an escalating thalidomide dose up to 200 mg daily (VTd‐label), a lower fixed dose of thalidomide (100 mg daily; VTd‐mod) has become commonplace in clinical practice. To date, no clinical trials comparing VTd‐mod with VTd‐label have been performed. Here, we compared outcomes for VTd‐mod with VTd‐label using a matching‐adjusted indirect comparison.

Methods

VTd‐mod data were from NCT02541383 (CASSIOPEIA; phase III) and NCT00531453 (phase II); VTd‐label data were from NCT00461747 (PETHEMA/GEM; phase III). To adjust for heterogeneity, baseline characteristics from VTd‐label were weighted to match VTd‐mod. Outcomes included overall survival (OS), progression‐free survival (PFS), postinduction and posttransplant responses, and safety.

Results

VTd‐mod was noninferior to VTd‐label for OS, postinduction overall response rate (ORR), and very good partial response or better (≥VGPR). VTd‐mod was significantly better than VTd‐label for PFS, posttransplant ORR, and ≥VGPR. VTd‐mod was noninferior to VTd‐label for safety outcomes, and inferior to VTd‐label for postinduction and posttransplant complete response or better.

Conclusions

Our analysis supports the continued use of VTd‐mod in clinical practice in transplant‐eligible NDMM patients.

Risk of Venous Thromboembolism After Hospital Discharge in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Population-based Study

BACKGROUND

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is associated with a high risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) during hospitalization. It is unclear if this association persists after discharge. We aimed to assess the incidence of postdischarge VTE in IBD patients and to determine if IBD is associated with increased VTE risk.

METHODS

We performed a population-based cohort study between 2002 and 2016 using Ontario health administrative data sets. Hospitalized (≥72 hours) adults with IBD were stratified into nonsurgical and surgical cohorts and matched on propensity score to non-IBD controls. Time to postdischarge VTE was assessed by Kaplan-Meier methods, and VTE risk was assessed by Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

A total of 81,900 IBD discharges (62,848 nonsurgical and 19,052 surgical) were matched to non-IBD controls. The cumulative incidence of VTE at 12 months after discharge was 2.3% for nonsurgical IBD patients and 1.6% for surgical IBD patients. The incidence increased in the nonsurgical IBD cohort by 4% per year (incidence rate ratio, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.02-1.05). In our propensity score-matched analysis, the risk of VTE at 1-month postdischarge was greater in nonsurgical IBD patients (hazard ratio [HR], 1.72; 95% CI, 1.51-1.96) and surgical patients with ulcerative colitis (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.16-2.45) but not surgical patients with Crohn's disease. These trends persisted through 12 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Nonsurgical IBD patients and surgical patients with ulcerative colitis are 1.7-fold more likely to develop postdischarge VTE than non-IBD patients. These findings support the need for increased vigilance and consideration of thromboprophylaxis in this population.

Dupilumab and the risk of conjunctivitis and serious infection in patients with atopic dermatitis: A propensity score-matched cohort study

BACKGROUND

Dupilumab is an effective treatment for moderate to severe atopic dermatitis (AD) with limited safety data in clinical practice.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the 6-month risk of conjunctivitis and serious infections in patients with AD who initiated dupilumab.

METHODS

In a cohort study using US claims data, we compared the risk of conjunctivitis and serious infections in patients with AD who initiated either dupilumab, methotrexate (MTX), cyclosporine, or mycophenolate. Relative risks (RRs) were computed after 1:1 propensity score matching.

RESULTS

We identified 1775 dupilumab, 1034 MTX, 186 cyclosporine, and 257 mycophenolate users. The 6-month risk for any conjunctivitis was 6.5% for dupilumab, 3.3% for MTX, 4.8% for cyclosporine, and 1.2% for mycophenolate initiators. After PS matching, the RR of any conjunctivitis was increased in dupilumab users versus MTX (RR, 2.45; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.47-4.08), versus cyclosporine (RR, 1.56; 95% CI, 0.69-3.50), and versus mycophenolate (RR, 7.00; 95% CI, 2.12-23.2). The risk of serious infection was 0.6% in dupilumab and 1.0% in MTX initiators (RR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.37-2.20).

LIMITATIONS

Analyses were based on few events, and differential surveillance is a concern.

CONCLUSIONS

Although dupilumab shows a low risk of serious infections, it is associated with a clinically meaningful increase in conjunctivitis that needs to be managed in practice.

Unnecessary Blood Transfusion Prolongs Length of Hospital Stay of Patients Who Undergo Free Fibular Flap Reconstruction of Mandibulofacial Defects: A Propensity Score-Matched Study

PURPOSE

Blood transfusion is usually a common clinical practice in flap transfer surgery because of its invasive hemorrhagic nature. Although intraoperative restrictive transfusion policy was suggested in vascularized fibular flap reconstruction, its clinical evidence was still insufficient. Therefore, our study aimed to investigate the influence of intraoperative blood transfusion on length of stay (LOS) after vascularized fibular flap reconstruction.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients who underwent vascularized fibular flap reconstruction of mandibulofacial defects between 2012 and 2018 were reviewed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify factors that influenced LOS. The identified factors and other perioperative factors that may influence transfusion decision were included in propensity score matching to explore the independent impact of intraoperative blood transfusion on LOS.

RESULTS

About 375 patients were included, and the median LOS was 14.00 (12.00, 19.00) days in our study. Multivariate analysis suggested that duration of surgery, fluid infusion speed for more than 24 hours on operative day, intraoperative blood transfusion, and postoperative complication were associated with prolonged LOS (P < .05). Propensity score matching was performed, and the difference of LOS between the matched transfused and nontransfused group was statistically significant (15.00 [12.75, 20.00] vs 14.00 [11.75, 16.25]; P < .001). The comparison between the matched and unmatched transfused patients indicated that the former has less radiotherapy history, blood loss, and higher preoperative hemoglobin (P ≤ .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Intraoperative blood transfusion is independently associated with prolonged LOS in patients without preoperative anemia, radiotherapy history, or intraoperative massive hemorrhage who undergo vascularized fibular flap reconstruction. Efforts should be made to avoid unnecessary intraoperative blood transfusion, and our results support consideration of a restrictive transfusion policy in these patients.

Hospital costs and prognosis in end-stage renal disease patients receiving coronary artery bypass grafting

Background

Coronary artery disease is common in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Patients with ESRD are a high-risk group for cardiac surgery and have increased morbidity and mortality. Most studies comparing ESRD patients receiving coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) or percutaneous coronary intervention have found that the long-term survival is good in ESRD patients after CABG. The aim of our study was to compare ESRD patients who underwent CABG with the general population who underwent CABG, in terms of prognosis and hospital costs.

Methods

This study analyzed data from the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan for patients who were diagnosed with ESRD and received CABG (ICD-9-CM codes 585 or 586) between January 1, 2004, and December 31, 2009. The ESRD patients included in this study all received catastrophic illness cards with the major illness listed as ESRD from the Ministry of Health and Welfare in Taiwan.

The control subjects were randomly selected patients without ESRD after propensity score matching with ESRD patients according to age, gender, and comorbidities at a 2:1 ratio from the same dataset.

Results

A total of 48 ESRD patients received CABG, and their mean age was 62.04 ± 10.04 years. Of these patients, 29.2% were aged ≥70 years, and 66.7% were male. ESRD patients had marginally higher intensive care unit (ICU) stays (11.06 vs 7.24 days) and significantly higher ICU costs (28,750 vs 17,990 New Taiwan Dollars (NTD)) than non-ESRD patients. Similarly, ESRD patients had significantly higher surgical costs (565,200 vs. 421,890 NTD), a higher perioperative mortality proportion (10.4% vs 2.1%) and a higher postoperative mortality proportion (33.3% vs 11.5%) than non-ESRD patients.

Conclusions

After CABG, ESRD patients had a higher risk of mortality than non-ESRD patients, and ICU and surgery costs were also higher among the ESRD patients than among patients without ESRD.

Cancer history is an independent risk factor for mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients: a propensity score-matched analysis

BACKGROUND

Although research on the effects of comorbidities on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients is increasing, the risk of cancer history has not been evaluated for the mortality of patients with COVID-19.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, we included 3232 patients with pathogen-confirmed COVID-19 who were hospitalized between January 18th and March 27th, 2020, at Tongji Hospital in Wuhan, China. Propensity score matching was used to minimize selection bias.

RESULTS

In total, 2665 patients with complete clinical outcomes were analyzed. The impacts of age, sex, and comorbidities were evaluated separately using binary logistic regression analysis. The results showed that age, sex, and cancer history are independent risk factors for mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. COVID-19 patients with cancer exhibited a significant increase in mortality rate (29.4% vs. 10.2%, P < 0.0001). Furthermore, the clinical outcomes of patients with hematological malignancies were worse, with a mortality rate twice that of patients with solid tumors (50% vs. 26.1%). Importantly, cancer patients with complications had a significantly higher risk of poor outcomes. One hundred nine cancer patients were matched to noncancer controls in a 1:3 ratio by propensity score matching. After propensity score matching, the cancer patients still had a higher risk of mortality than the matched noncancer patients (odds ratio (OR) 2.98, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.76-5.06). Additionally, elevations in ferritin, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, procalcitonin, prothrombin time, interleukin-2 (IL-2) receptor, and interleukin-6 (IL-6) were observed in cancer patients.

CONCLUSIONS

We evaluated prognostic factors with epidemiological analysis and highlighted a higher risk of mortality for cancer patients with COVID-19. Importantly, cancer history was the only independent risk factor for COVID-19 among common comorbidities, while other comorbidities may act through other factors. Moreover, several laboratory parameters were significantly different between cancer patients and matched noncancer patients, which may indicate specific immune and inflammatory reactions in COVID-19 patients with cancer.

Patterns of care and outcomes for adjuvant treatment of pT3N0 rectal cancer using the National Cancer Database

Background

The standard of care in locally advanced rectal cancer is preoperative chemoradiation followed by surgical resection. However, the optimal treatment paradigm is currently controversial for patients with pathological T3N0 (pT3N0) in the era of total mesorectal excision (TME). Given the paucity of data, we conducted an analysis using the National Cancer Database (NCDB) to identify patterns of care and outcomes.

Methods

We utilized the NCDB to identify 7,836 non-metastatic, pT3N0 rectal cancer patients who did not receive neoadjuvant therapy from 2004-2014. Univariate and multivariable analysis for factors affecting treatment selection were completed using logistic regression. Overall survival (OS) analyses were completed using Cox regression modeling, incorporating propensity scores with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and conditional landmark analysis.

Results

There was a significant improvement in OS in patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy (P<0.01) or radiotherapy (RT) with chemotherapy (P<0.01) vs. observation alone. There was no significant difference between RT vs. observation (P=0.54) and chemotherapy vs. chemotherapy with RT cohorts (P=0.15). Multivariable analysis showed age, gender, race, insurance status, income, Charlson-Deyo Comorbidity Condition (CDCC) score, facility location, grade, surgical margin, RT, and chemotherapy to be statistically significant predictors of OS. After correcting for indication and immortal time biases, chemotherapy, with or without RT, improved OS compared with observation [hazard ratio (HR) 0.48, P<0.001]. This benefit was maintained in the margin negative cohort.

Conclusions

Practice patterns vary in the management of pT3N0 rectal cancer patients. This analysis suggests that the use of adjuvant therapy, particularly adjuvant chemotherapy with or without RT, appears to improve OS.

A comparison of methods to estimate the survivor average causal effect in the presence of missing data: a simulation study

BACKGROUND

Attrition due to death and non-attendance are common sources of bias in studies of age-related diseases. A simulation study is presented to compare two methods for estimating the survivor average causal effect (SACE) of a binary exposure (sex-specific dietary iron intake) on a binary outcome (age-related macular degeneration, AMD) in this setting.

METHODS

A dataset of 10,000 participants was simulated 1200 times under each scenario with outcome data missing dependent on measured and unmeasured covariates and survival. Scenarios differed by the magnitude and direction of effect of an unmeasured confounder on both survival and the outcome, and whether participants who died following a protective exposure would also die if they had not received the exposure (validity of the monotonicity assumption). The performance of a marginal structural model (MSM, weighting for exposure, survival and missing data) was compared to a sensitivity approach for estimating the SACE. As an illustrative example, the SACE of iron intake on AMD was estimated using data from 39,918 participants of the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study.

RESULTS

The MSM approach tended to underestimate the true magnitude of effect when the unmeasured confounder had opposing directions of effect on survival and the outcome. Overestimation was observed when the unmeasured confounder had the same direction of effect on survival and the outcome. Violation of the monotonicity assumption did not increase bias. The estimates were similar between the MSM approach and the sensitivity approach assessed at the sensitivity parameter of 1 (assuming no survival bias). In the illustrative example, high iron intake was found to be protective of AMD (adjusted OR 0.57, 95% CI 0.40-0.82) using complete case analysis via traditional logistic regression. The adjusted SACE odds ratio did not differ substantially from the complete case estimate, ranging from 0.54 to 0.58 for each of the SACE methods.

CONCLUSIONS

On average, MSMs with weighting for exposure, missing data and survival produced biased estimates of the SACE in the presence of an unmeasured survival-outcome confounder. The direction and magnitude of effect of unmeasured survival-outcome confounders should be considered when assessing exposure-outcome associations in the presence of attrition due to death.

Emergent Repair of Paraesophageal Hernias and the Argument for Elective Repair

Background and Objectives:

A feared complication of large paraesophageal hernias is incarceration necessitating emergent repair. According to previous studies, patients who require an emergent operation are subject to increased morbidity compared with patients undergoing elective operations. In this study, we detail patients who underwent hernia repair emergently and compare their outcomes with elective patients.

Methods:

A retrospective analysis was performed of the paraesophageal hernia repair operations between 2010 and 2016. Patients were divided into 2 groups: patients with hernias that were repaired electively and patients with hernias that were repaired emergently. Perioperative complications and follow-up data regarding morbidity, mortality, and recurrence were also recorded. A propensity analysis was used to compare emergent and elective groups.

Results:

Thirty patients had hernias repaired emergently, and 199 patients underwent elective procedures. Patients undergoing emergent repair were more likely to have a type IV hernia, have a partial gastrectomy or gastrostomy tube insertion as part of their procedure, have a postoperative complication, and have a longer hospital stay. However, propensity analysis was used to demonstrate that when characteristics of the emergent and elective groups were matched, differences in these factors were no longer significant. Having an emergent operation did not increase a patient's risk for recurrence.

Conclusion:

Patients who had their hernias repaired emergently experienced complications at similar rates as those of elective patients with advanced age or comorbid conditions as demonstrated by the propensity analysis. The authors therefore recommend evaluation of all paraesophageal hernias for elective repair, especially in younger patients who are otherwise good operative candidates.

Effectiveness of Online Aftercare Programs Following Intragastric Balloon Placement for Obesity Is Similar to Traditional Follow-up: a Large Propensity Matched US Multicenter Study

BACKGROUND

The combination of intragastric balloons (IGB) with comprehensive lifestyle and behavioral changes is critical for ongoing weight loss. Many community and rural practices do not have access to robust obesity resources, limiting the use of IGBs. Online aftercare programs were developed in response to this need, delivering lifestyle coaching to maximize effectiveness. How these programs compare to traditional follow-up is currently unknown.

METHODS

Using propensity scoring (PS) methods, two large prospective databases of patients undergoing IGB therapy were compared to estimate the difference in percent total body weight loss (%TBWL) between groups while identifying predictors of response.

RESULTS

Seven hundred fifty-eight unique patients across 78 different participating practices (online n = 437; clinical registry n = 321) was analyzed. The mean %TBWL at balloon removal was 11% ± 6.9 with an estimated treatment difference (ETD) between online and traditional follow-up of - 1.5% TBWL (95% CI - 3-0.4%; p = 0.125). Three months post-balloon removal, the combined %TBWL was 12.2% ± 8.3 with an ETD of only 1% TBWL (95%CI - 3-3%; p = 0.08). On multivariable linear regression, each incremental follow-up was associated with increased %TBWL (β = 0.6% p = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

Online IGB aftercare programs provide similar weight loss compared with traditional programs. Increased lifestyle coaching whether in person or remotely is associated with more %TBWL at removal and during follow-up. Close follow-up for clinical symptoms is still warranted.

Comparing the high-dimensional propensity score for use with administrative data with propensity scores derived from high-quality clinical data

Administrative healthcare databases are increasingly being used for research purposes. When used to estimate the effects of treatments and interventions, an important limitation of these databases is the lack of information on important confounding variables. The high-dimensional propensity score (hdPS) is an algorithm that generates a large number of empirically-derived covariates using administrative healthcare databases. The hdPS has been described as enabling adjustment by proxy, in which a large number of empirically-derived covariates may serve as proxies for unmeasured confounding variables. We examined the validity of this assumption using samples of patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and congestive heart failure (CHF), for whom both administrative data and detailed clinical data were available. We considered three treatments in AMI patients: angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, beta-blockers, and statins, while the first two treatments were also considered in CHF patients. We considered three propensity scores: (a) one derived using detailed clinical data; (b) the hdPS derived from administrative data; and (c) one derived from administrative data using expert opinion. Using each propensity score, we estimated inverse probability of treatment (IPT) weights. For each sample and treatment combination, and for each of the two propensity scores derived using administrative data, there were clinical variables not measured in administrative data that remained imbalanced after incorporating the IPT weights. However, the propensity score derived using clinical data always resulted in all clinical variables being balanced. When estimating hazard ratios, for some samples and treatment combinations, the hazard ratios estimated using the hdPS were more similar to those obtained using the clinical propensity score than were those obtained using the expert-derived propensity score. However, for other combinations, the effects estimated using the expert-derived propensity score were more similar to those obtained using the clinical propensity score than were those derived using the hdPS.

Platelet count abnormalities and peri-operative outcomes in adults undergoing elective, non-cardiac surgery

Background

Anemia and transfusion of blood in the peri-operative period have been shown to be associated with increased morbidity and mortality across a wide variety of non-cardiac surgeries. While tests of coagulation, including the platelet count, have frequently been used to identify patients with an increased risk of peri-operative bleeding, results have been equivocal. The aim of this study was to assess the effect of platelet level on outcomes in patients undergoing elective surgery.

Materials and methods

Retrospective cohort analysis of prospectively-collected clinical data from American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) between 2006–2016.

Results

We identified 3,884,400 adult patients who underwent elective, non-cardiac surgery from 2006–2016 at hospitals participating in NSQIP, a prospectively-collected, national clinical database with established reproducibility and validity. After controlling for all peri- and intraoperative factors by matching on propensity scores, patients with all levels of thrombocytopenia or thrombocytosis had higher odds for perioperative transfusion. All levels of thrombocytopenia were associated with higher mortality, but there was no association with complications or other morbidity after matching. On the other hand, thrombocytosis was not associated with mortality; but odds for postoperative complications and 30-day return to the operating room remained slightly increased after matching.

Conclusions

These findings may guide surgeons in the appropriate use and appreciation of the utility of pre-operative screening of the platelet count prior to an elective, non-cardiac surgery.

Surgical approach and the impact of epidural analgesia on survival after esophagectomy for cancer: A population-based retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Esophagectomy for esophageal cancer carries high morbidity and mortality, particularly in older patients. Transthoracic esophagectomy allows formal lymphadenectomy, but leads to greater perioperative morbidity and pain than transhiatal esophagectomy. Epidural analgesia may attenuate the stress response and be less immunosuppressive than opioids, potentially affecting long-term outcomes. These potential benefits may be more pronounced for transthoracic esophagectomy due to its greater physiologic impact. We evaluated the impact of epidural analgesia on survival and recurrence after transthoracic versus transhiatal esophagectomy.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed using the linked Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER)-Medicare database. Patients aged ≥66 years with locoregional esophageal cancer diagnosed 1994-2009 who underwent esophagectomy were identified, with follow-up through December 31, 2013. Epidural receipt and surgical approach were identified from Medicare claims. Survival analyses adjusting for hospital esophagectomy volume, surgical approach, and epidural use were performed. A subgroup analysis restricted to esophageal adenocarcinoma patients was performed.

RESULTS

Among 1,921 patients, 38% underwent transhiatal esophagectomy (n = 730) and 62% underwent transthoracic esophagectomy (n = 1,191). 61% (n = 1,169) received epidurals and 39% (n = 752) did not. Epidural analgesia was associated with transthoracic approach and higher volume hospitals. Patients with epidural analgesia had better 90-day survival. Five-year survival was higher with transhiatal esophagectomy (37.2%) than transthoracic esophagectomy (31.0%, p = 0.006). Among transthoracic esophagectomy patients, epidural analgesia was associated with improved 5-year survival (33.5% epidural versus 26.5% non-epidural, p = 0.012; hazard ratio 0.81, 95% confidence interval [0.70, 0.93]). Among the subgroup of esophageal adenocarcinoma patients undergoing transthoracic esophagectomy, epidural analgesia remained associated with improved 5-year survival (hazard ratio 0.81, 95% confidence interval [0.67, 0.96]); this survival benefit persisted in sensitivity analyses adjusting for propensity to receive an epidural.

CONCLUSION

Among patients undergoing transthoracic esophagectomy, including a subgroup restricted to esophageal adenocarcinoma, epidural analgesia was associated with improved survival even after adjusting for other factors.

Assessing the dose-response relationship between number of office-based visits and hospitalizations for patients with type II diabetes using generalized propensity score matching

Background

Whether inpatient services can be successfully substituted by office-based services has been debated for many decades, but the evidence is still inconclusive. This study aims to investigate the effect of office-based care on use and the expenditure for other healthcare services in patients with type II diabetes (T2D).

Methods

A generalized propensity score matching approach was used on pooled Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) data for 2000–2012 to explore a dose-response effect. Patients were matched by using a comprehensive set of variables selected following a standard model on access to care.

Findings

Office-based care (up to 5 visits/year) acts as a substitute for other healthcare services and is associated with lower use and expenditure for inpatient, outpatient and emergency care. After five visits, office-based care becomes a complement to other services and is associated with increases in expenditure for T2D. Above 20 to 26 visits per year, depending on the healthcare service under consideration, the marginal effect of an additional office-based visit becomes non-statistically significant.

Conclusions

Office-based visits appear to be an effective instrument to reduce use of inpatient care and other services, including outpatient and emergency-care, in patients with T2D without any increase in total healthcare expenditure.

Adjusting for confounding by indication in observational studies: a case study in traumatic brain injury

INTRODUCTION

Observational studies of interventions are at risk for confounding by indication. The objective of the current study was to define the circumstances for the validity of methods to adjust for confounding by indication in observational studies.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We performed post hoc analyses of data prospectively collected from three European and North American traumatic brain injury studies including 1,725 patients. The effects of three interventions (intracranial pressure [ICP] monitoring, intracranial operation and primary referral) were estimated in a proportional odds regression model with the Glasgow Outcome Scale as ordinal outcome variable. Three analytical methods were compared: classical covariate adjustment, propensity score matching and instrumental variable (IV) analysis in which the percentage exposed to an intervention in each hospital was added as an independent variable, together with a random intercept for each hospital. In addition, a simulation study was performed in which the effect of a hypothetical beneficial intervention (OR 1.65) was simulated for scenarios with and without unmeasured confounders.

RESULTS

For all three interventions, covariate adjustment and propensity score matching resulted in negative estimates of the treatment effect (OR ranging from 0.80 to 0.92), whereas the IV approach indicated that both ICP monitoring and intracranial operation might be beneficial (OR per 10% change 1.17, 95% CI 1.01-1.42 and 1.42, 95% CI 0.95-1.97). In our simulation study, we found that covariate adjustment and propensity score matching resulted in an invalid estimate of the treatment effect in case of unmeasured confounders (OR ranging from 0.90 to 1.03). The IV approach provided an estimate in the similar direction as the simulated effect (OR per 10% change 1.04-1.05) but was statistically inefficient.

CONCLUSION

The effect estimation of interventions in observational studies strongly depends on the analytical method used. When unobserved confounding and practice variation are expected in observational multicenter studies, IV analysis should be considered.

Effect of the number of removed lymph nodes on prostate cancer recurrence and survival: evidence from an observational study

Background

The aim of this article is to analyze the effect on biochemical recurrence and on overall survival of removing an extensive number of pelvic lymph nodes during prostate cancer surgery. The lack of evidence from randomized clinical trials to address this specific question has hampered the ability to determine the true effect of the number of nodes removed.

Results

Our analysis is based on a large observational study, and this can lead unadjusted estimates to be very sensitive to confounding bias due to the different prognosis of individuals. We assess the effect of the number of lymph nodes removed by means of an Inverse Probability Weighting adjustment based on a Poisson regression model, and by a Doubly-robust adjustment.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that a large number of nodes removed is associated with a significant improvement in time to biochemical recurrence. However, it appears to have no impact on overall survival.

Health service utilization and medical costs among patients with schizophrenia receiving long-acting injectable risperidone versus oral risperidone: a nationwide retrospective matched cohort study in Taiwan

The aim of the nationwide retrospective matched cohort study was to evaluate health service utilization and medical costs between patients with schizophrenia who received long-acting injectable (LAI) risperidone and those who took risperidone orally. Data were sourced from the 2008 to 2013 Psychiatric Inpatient Medical Claim Dataset in Taiwan. The sample selection process was performed by propensity score matching. Finally, there were 691 patients in the exposed cohort and 1382 patients in the unexposed cohort. Each patient was individually followed for a 1-year period. Two-part models and generalized estimating equations were used to evaluate health service utilization and direct medical costs of patients. Analytical results showed that patients receiving LAI risperidone had used outpatient services significantly more, had greater hospital admissions, and had shorter lengths of stay than those who took risperidone orally. Furthermore, compared with their counterparts in the unexposed group, patients in the exposed group had incurred higher medical costs because of costs incurred from increased utilization of outpatient service and hospital admissions, under the special context of the healthcare system in Taiwan, a single-payer universal health coverage system with low copayment rates. In summary, this study suggested that patients with schizophrenia treated with LAI risperidone had shorter lengths of stay, higher medical costs largely because of increased utilization of outpatient service and hospital admissions, compared with those who took risperidone orally.