Second- to third-trimester longitudinal growth assessment for prediction of small-for-gestational age and late fetal growth restriction

Assessment of fetal growth trajectory identifies infants at high risk of perinatal mortality

OBJECTIVE

To analyze perinatal risks associated with three distinct scenarios of fetal growth trajectory in the latter half of pregnancy compared with a reference group.

METHODS

This cohort study included women with a singleton pregnancy that delivered between 32 + 0 and 41 + 6 weeks' gestation and had two or more ultrasound scans, at least 4 weeks apart, from 18 + 0 weeks. We evaluated three different scenarios of fetal growth against a reference group, which comprised appropriate-for-gestational-age fetuses with appropriate forward-growth trajectory. The comparator growth trajectories were categorized as: Group 1, small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses (estimated fetal weight (EFW) or abdominal circumference (AC) persistently < 10th centile) with appropriate forward growth; Group 2, fetuses with decreased growth trajectory (decrease of ≥ 50 centiles) and EFW or AC ≥ 10th centile (i.e. non-SGA) at their final ultrasound scan; and Group 3, fetuses with decreased growth trajectory and EFW or AC < 10th centile (i.e. SGA) at their final scan. The primary outcome was overall perinatal mortality (stillbirth or neonatal death). Secondary outcomes included stillbirth, delivery of a SGA infant, preterm birth, emergency Cesarean section for non-reassuring fetal status and composite severe neonatal morbidity. Associations were analyzed using logistic regression.

RESULTS

The final study cohort comprised 5319 pregnancies. Compared to the reference group, the adjusted odds of perinatal mortality were increased significantly in Group 2 (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 4.00 (95% CI, 1.36-11.22)) and Group 3 (aOR, 7.71 (95% CI, 2.39-24.91)). Only Group 3 had increased odds of stillbirth (aOR, 5.69 (95% CI, 1.55-20.93)). In contrast, infants in Group 1 did not have significantly increased odds of demise. The odds of a SGA infant at birth were increased in all three groups compared with the reference group, but was highest in Group 1 (aOR, 111.86 (95% CI, 62.58-199.95)) and Group 3 (aOR, 40.63 (95% CI, 29.01-56.92)). In both groups, more than 80% of infants were born SGA and nearly half had a birth weight < 3rd centile. Likewise, the odds of preterm birth were increased in all three groups compared with the reference group, being highest in Group 3, with an aOR of 4.27 (95% CI, 3.23-5.64). Lastly, the odds of composite severe neonatal morbidity were increased in Groups 1 and 3, whereas the odds of emergency Cesarean section for non-reassuring fetal status were increased only in Group 3.

CONCLUSION

Assessing the fetal growth trajectory in the latter half of pregnancy can help identify infants at increased risk of perinatal mortality and birth weight < 3rd centile for gestation. © 2024 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Routine third-trimester ultrasound assessment for intrauterine growth restriction

Intrauterine growth restriction significantly impacts perinatal outcomes. Undetected IUGR escalates the risk of adverse outcomes. Serial symphysis-fundal height measurement, a recommended strategy, is insufficient in detecting abnormal fetal growth. Routine third-trimester ultrasounds significantly improve detection rates compared with this approach, but direct high-quality evidence supporting enhanced perinatal outcomes from routine scanning is lacking. In assessing fetal growth, abdominal circumference alone performs comparably to estimated fetal weight. Hadlock formulas demonstrate accurate fetal weight estimation across diverse gestational ages and settings. When choosing growth charts, prescriptive standards (encompassing healthy pregnancies) should be prioritized over descriptive ones. Customized fetal standards may enhance antenatal IUGR detection, but conclusive high-quality evidence is elusive. Emerging observational data suggest that longitudinal fetal growth assessment could predict adverse outcomes better. However, direct randomized trial evidence supporting this remains insufficient.

Diagnostic performance of 32 vs 36 weeks ultrasound in predicting late-onset fetal growth restriction and small-for-gestational-age neonates: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Fetal growth restriction is an independent risk factor for fetal death and adverse neonatal outcomes. The main aim of this study was to investigate the diagnostic performance of 32 vs 36 weeks ultrasound of fetal biometry in detecting late-onset fetal growth restriction and predicting small-for-gestational-age neonates.

DATA SOURCES

A systematic search was performed to identify relevant studies published until June 2022, using the databases PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Cohort studies in low-risk or unselected singleton pregnancies with screening ultrasound performed at ≥32 weeks of gestation were used.

METHODS

The estimated fetal weight and abdominal circumference were assessed as index tests for the prediction of small for gestational age (birthweight of <10th percentile) and detecting fetal growth restriction (estimated fetal weight of <10th percentile and/or abdominal circumference of <10th percentile). The quality of the included studies was independently assessed by 2 reviewers using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 tool. For the meta-analysis, hierarchical summary area under the receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed, and quantitative data synthesis was performed using random-effects models.

RESULTS

The analysis included 25 studies encompassing 73,981 low-risk pregnancies undergoing third-trimester ultrasound assessment for growth, of which 5380 neonates (7.3%) were small for gestational age at birth. The pooled sensitivities for estimated fetal weight of <10th percentile and abdominal circumference of <10th percentile in predicting small for gestational age were 36% (95% confidence interval, 27%-46%) and 37% (95% confidence interval, 19%-60%), respectively, at 32 weeks ultrasound and 48% (95% confidence interval, 41%-56%) and 50% (95% confidence interval, 25%-74%), respectively, at 36 weeks ultrasound. The pooled specificities for estimated fetal weight of <10th percentile and abdominal circumference of <10th percentile in detecting small for gestational age were 93% (95% confidence interval, 91%-95%) and 95% (95% confidence interval, 85%-98%), respectively, at 32 weeks ultrasound and 93% (95% confidence interval, 91%-95%) and 97% (95% confidence interval, 85%-98%), respectively, at 36 weeks ultrasound. The observed diagnostic odds ratios for an estimated fetal weight of <10th percentile and an abdominal circumference of <10th percentile in detecting small for gestational age were 8.8 (95% confidence interval, 5.4-14.4) and 11.6 (95% confidence interval, 6.2-21.6), respectively, at 32 weeks ultrasound and 13.3 (95% confidence interval, 10.4-16.9) and 36.0 (95% confidence interval, 4.9-260.0), respectively, at 36 weeks ultrasound. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratio in predicting fetal growth restriction were 71% (95% confidence interval, 52%-85%), 90% (95% confidence interval, 79%-95%), and 25.8 (95% confidence interval, 14.5-45.8), respectively, at 32 weeks ultrasound and 48% (95% confidence interval, 41%-55%), 94% (95% confidence interval, 93%-96%), and 16.9 (95% confidence interval, 10.8-26.6), respectively, at 36 weeks ultrasound. Abdominal circumference of <10th percentile seemed to have comparable sensitivity to estimated fetal weight of <10th percentile in predicting small-for-gestational-age neonates.

CONCLUSION

An ultrasound assessment of the fetal biometry at 36 weeks of gestation seemed to have better predictive accuracy for small-for-gestational-age neonates than an ultrasound assessment at 32 weeks of gestation. However, an opposite trend was noted when the outcome was fetal growth restriction. Fetal abdominal circumference had a similar predictive accuracy to that of estimated fetal weight in detecting small-for-gestational-age neonates.

Abdominal circumference growth velocity as a predictor of adverse perinatal outcomes in small-for-gestational-age fetuses

OBJECTIVE

To assess the predictive value of abdominal circumference growth velocity (ACGV) between the second and third trimesters to predict adverse perinatal outcomes in a cohort of small-for-gestational-age fetuses without evidence of placental insufficiency (i.e. fetal growth restriction).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This is a single-center retrospective cohort study of all singleton pregnancies with small-for-gestational-age fetuses diagnosed and delivered at a quaternary institution. Crude and adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and corresponding confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated via logistic regression models to assess the potential association between abnormal ACGV (i.e. ≤10th centile) and adverse perinatal outcomes defined as a composite outcome (i.e. umbilical artery pH <7.1, 5-min Apgar score <7, admission to the neonatal intensive care unit, hypoglycemia, intrapartum fetal distress requiring expedited delivery, and perinatal death). Furthermore, the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of three logistic regression models based on estimated fetal weight and ACGV for predicting the composite outcome is also reported.

RESULTS

A total of 154 pregnancies were included for analysis. The median birthweight for the cohort was 2,437 g (interquartile range [IQR] 2280, 2635). Overall, the primary composite outcome was relatively common (29.2%). In addition, there was a significant association between abnormal ACGV and adverse perinatal outcomes (OR 3.37, 95% CI 1.60, 7.13; adjusted OR 4.30, 95% CI 1.77, 10.49). Likewise, the AUC for the ACGV was marginally higher (0.64) than the estimated fetal weight (0.54) and ACGV + estimated fetal weight (0.54). Still, no significant difference was detected between the curves (p = 0.297).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that an ACGV below the 10th centile is a risk factor for adverse perinatal outcomes among small-for-gestational-age fetuses.

Uterine artery Doppler in early labor and perinatal outcome in low-risk term pregnancy: prospective multicenter study

OBJECTIVE

The prediction of adverse perinatal outcomes in low-risk pregnancies is poor, mainly owing to the lack of reliable biomarkers. Uterine artery (UtA) Doppler is closely associated with placental function and may facilitate the peripartum detection of subclinical placental insufficiency. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association of mean UtA pulsatility index (PI) measured in early labor with obstetric intervention for suspected intrapartum fetal compromise and adverse perinatal outcome in uncomplicated singleton term pregnancies.

METHODS

This was a prospective multicenter observational study conducted across four tertiary maternity units. Low-risk term pregnancies with spontaneous onset of labor were included. The mean UtA-PI was recorded between uterine contractions in women admitted for early labor and converted into multiples of the median (MoM). The primary outcome of the study was the occurrence of obstetric intervention, i.e. Cesarean section or instrumental delivery, for suspected intrapartum fetal compromise. Secondary outcomes were the occurrence of adverse perinatal outcomes, including 5-min Apgar score < 7, low cord arterial pH, raised cord arterial base excess, admission to the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) and postnatal diagnosis of small-for-gestational-age fetus. Composite adverse perinatal outcome was defined as the occurrence of at least one of the following: acidemia in the umbilical artery, defined as pH < 7.10 and/or base excess > 12 mmol/L, 5-min Apgar score < 7 or admission to the NICU.

RESULTS

Overall, 804 women were included, of whom 40 (5.0%) had abnormal mean UtA-PI MoM. Women who had an obstetric intervention for suspected intrapartum fetal compromise were more frequently nulliparous (72.2% vs 53.6%; P = 0.008), had a higher frequency of increased mean UtA-PI MoM (13.0% vs 4.4%; P = 0.005) and had a longer duration of labor (456 ± 221 vs 371 ± 192 min; P = 0.01). On logistic regression analysis, only increased mean UtA-PI MoM (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 3.48 (95% CI, 1.43-8.47); P = 0.006) and parity (aOR, 0.45 (95% CI, 0.24-0.86); P = 0.015) were independently associated with obstetric intervention for suspected intrapartum fetal compromise. Increased mean UtA-PI MoM was associated with a sensitivity of 0.13 (95% CI, 0.05-0.25), specificity of 0.96 (95% CI, 0.94-0.97), positive predictive value of 0.18 (95% CI, 0.07-0.33), negative predictive value of 0.94 (95% CI, 0.92-0.95), positive likelihood ratio of 2.95 (95% CI, 1.37-6.35) and negative likelihood ratio of 0.91 (95% CI, 0.82-1.01) for obstetric intervention for suspected intrapartum fetal compromise. Pregnancies with increased mean UtA-PI MoM also showed a higher incidence of birth weight < 10th percentile (20.0% vs 6.7%; P = 0.002), NICU admission (7.5% vs 1.2%; P = 0.001) and composite adverse perinatal outcome (15.0% vs 5.1%; P = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

Our study, conducted in a cohort of low-risk term pregnancies enrolled in early spontaneous labor, showed an independent association between increased mean UtA-PI and obstetric intervention for suspected intrapartum fetal compromise, albeit with moderate capacity to rule in, and poor capacity to rule out, this condition. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Conditional standards for the quantification of foetal growth in an ethnic Chinese population: a longitudinal study

This was an observational study of low-risk singleton pregnancies in an ethnic Chinese population. Foetal biometric variables which included biparietal diameter (BPD), head circumference (HC), abdominal circumference (AC) and femur length (FL) were measured repeatedly. The standard views for measurement were obtained according to INTERGROWTH-21st criteria. A linear mixed model with fractional polynomial regression was used to describe the longitudinal design. The study included 1289 foetuses and a total of 5125 ultrasound scans, of which each foetus was scanned at least three times, the intervals between scans being at least two weeks. The parameters of the linear mixed models were estimated by Stata v.16 (College Station, TX). Using these parameters, the equations of the mean and variance for BPD, HC, AC and FL were constructed. The conditional percentiles or Z scores could be calculated based on the above equations and previous measurements of the same foetus. A spreadsheet was provided for implementation.Impact StatementWhat is already known on this subject? Longitudinal data derived from serial measurements are therefore appropriate for assessing both foetal size and foetal growth. At present, most reference charts of ethnic Chinese foetal biometry are derived from cross-sectional data, which can only assess foetal size.What do the results of this study add? In this study, we have constructed conditional standards for foetal biometry in an ethnic Chinese population and provided a spreadsheet for querying.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? The conditional standards can be used to assess foetal growth in clinical practice. In the future, we hope that these foetal growth standards can be applied to determine whether abnormal growth increases the risk of adverse outcomes.

Reduced Growth in Non-Small for Gestational Age Fetuses from 35 Weeks of Gestation to Birth and Perinatal Outcomes

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess reduced fetal growth between 35 weeks of gestation and birth in non-small for gestational age fetuses associated with adverse perinatal outcomes (APOs).

MATERIAL AND METHOD

It is a retrospective cohort study of 9,164 non-small for gestational age fetuses estimated by ultrasound at 35 weeks. The difference between the birth weight percentile and the estimated percentile weight (EPW) at 35 weeks of gestation was calculated, and we studied the relationship of this difference with the appearance of APO. APOs were defined as cesarean or instrumental delivery rates for nonreassuring fetal status, 5-min Apgar score <7, arterial cord blood pH <7.10, and stillbirth. Fetuses that exhibited a percentile decrease between both moments were classified into 6 categories according to the amount of percentile decrease (0.01-10.0, 10.01-20.0, 20.01-30.0, 30.01-40.0, 40.01-50.0, and >50.0 percentiles). It was evaluated whether the appearance of APO was related to the amount of this percentile decrease. Relative risk (RR) was calculated in these subgroups to predict APOs in general and for each APO in particular. Receiver operating characteristic and area under curves (AUC) for the difference in the percentile was calculated, used as a continuous parameter in the entire study population.

RESULTS

The median gestational age at delivery in uncomplicated pregnancies was 40.0 (39.1-40.7) and in pregnancies with APOs 40.3 (49.4-41.0), p < 0.001. The prevalence of APOs was greater in the group of fetuses with a decrease in percentile (7.6%) compared to those with increased percentile (4.8%) (p < 0.001). The RR was 1.63 (95% CI: 1.365-1.944, p < 0.001). Although the differences were significant in all decreased percentile groups, RRs were significantly higher when decreased growth values were >40 points (RR: 2.036, 95% CI: 1.581-2.623, p < 0.001). The estimated value of the AUC for percentile decrease was 0.58 (0.56-0.61, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Fetuses with a decrease in the EPW between the ultrasound at 35 weeks of gestation and birth have a higher risk of APOs, being double in fetuses with a decrease of >40 percentile points.

Perinatal Adverse Effects in Newborns with Estimated Loss of Weight Percentile between the Third Trimester Ultrasound and Delivery. The GROWIN Study

Fetal growth restriction has been associated with an increased risk of adverse perinatal outcomes (APOs). We determined the importance of fetal growth detention (FGD) in late gestation for the occurrence of APOs in small-for-gestational-age (SGA) and appropriate-for-gestational-age (AGA) newborns. For this purpose, we analyzed a retrospective cohort study of 1067 singleton pregnancies. The newborns with higher APOs were SGA non-FGD and SGA FGD in 40.9% and 31.5% of cases, respectively, and we found an association between SGA non-FGD and any APO (OR 2.61; 95% CI: 1.35–4.99; p = 0.004). We did not find an increased APO risk in AGA FGD newborns (OR: 1.13, 95% CI: 0.80, 1.59; p = 0.483), except for cesarean delivery for non-reassuring fetal status (NRFS) with a decrease in percentile cutoff greater than 40 (RR: 2.41, 95% CI: 1.11–5.21) and 50 (RR: 2.93, 95% CI: 1.14–7.54). Conclusions: Newborns with the highest probability of APOs are SGA non-FGDs. AGA FGD newborns do not have a higher incidence of APOs than AGA non-FGDs, although with falls in percentile cutoff over 40, they have an increased risk of cesarean section due to NRFS. Further studies are warranted to detect these newborns who would benefit from close surveillance in late gestation and at delivery.

Molecular Pathways of Cellular Senescence and Placental Aging in Late Fetal Growth Restriction and Stillbirth

Abnormally accelerated, premature placental senescence plays a crucial role in the genesis of pregnancy pathologies. Abnormal growth in the third trimester can present as small for gestational age fetuses or fetal growth restriction. One differs from the other by the presence of signs of placental insufficiency and the risk of stillbirth. The majority of stillbirths occur in normally grown fetuses and are classified as "unexplained", which often leads to conclusions that they were unpreventable. The main characteristic of aging is a gradual decline in the function of cells, tissues, and organs. These changes result in the accumulation of senescent cells in mitotic tissues. These cells begin the aging process that disrupts tissues' normal functions by affecting neighboring cells, degrading the extracellular matrix, and reducing tissues' regeneration capacity. Different degrees of abnormal placentation result in the severity of fetal growth restriction and its sequelae, including fetal death. This review aims to present the current knowledge and identify future research directions to understand better placental aging in late fetal growth restriction and unexplained stillbirth. We hypothesized that the final diagnosis of placental insufficiency can be made only using markers of placental senescence.

'Postnatal growth during the first five years of life in SGA and AGA neonates with reduced fetal growth'

BACKGROUND

Even though a lot of research has been done on postnatal growth and the occurrence of catch-up growth in small-for-gestational age (SGA) neonates, this phenomenon has not been studied well in appropriate-for-gestational age (AGA) neonates. Postnatal catch-up growth may also occur in AGA neonates indicating a compensatory mechanism for undiagnosed intrauterine growth restriction, especially in AGA neonates with reduced fetal growth velocity.

AIMS

To describe postnatal growth during the first 5 years of life in SGA and AGA neonates and evaluating the role of fetal growth velocity in catch-up growth.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective study in a Dutch tertiary hospital.

SUBJECTS

740 singleton neonates, without congenital anomalies, with ultrasound fetal growth data from 20 weeks and 32 weeks of pregnancy.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Postnatal growth measurements of height (cm) and weight (kg) from birth until five years of age. Postnatal catch-up growth defined as difference (delta) in both height and weight between 4 weeks and 3 years of age.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

SGA neonates had a significantly lower height and weight compared to the AGA group for all available measurement moments till 3 years. The catch-up growth between the SGA and AGA groups from 4 weeks up to 3 years after birth was not different between the two groups. However, neonates with reduced fetal growth velocity had a significantly higher risk for catch-up growth in height during the first 3 years after birth. This suggests a role for fetal growth velocity measurement in predicting fetal and subsequent postnatal growth potential.

Comparing fetal biometric growth velocity versus estimated fetal weight for prediction of neonatal small for gestational age

OBJECTIVE

Growth velocities derived from fetal biometrics have been proposed to improve prediction of small for gestational age (SGA) neonates. We sought to determine if ultrasound growth velocities for abdominal circumference (AC) and estimated fetal weight (EFW) improve the prediction of SGA infants when compared to using EFW alone.

STUDY DESIGN

This is a secondary analysis from a prospective study of women referred for growth ultrasounds during the third trimester. Growth velocities for AC and EFW were derived from the difference in Z-scores between measurements at the anatomy survey (18-22 weeks gestation) and later growth ultrasound (26-36 weeks gestation). Change in AC and EFW growth velocities <10th percentile were compared with prenatally suspected SGA from Hadlock EFW <10th percentile for prediction of SGA neonates. The primary outcome was defined as the sensitivity and specificity of the growth velocities and Hadlock EFW in predicting SGA neonates. Logistic regression modeling was used to determine if the growth velocities improved prediction of neonatal SGA. Area under the ROC curves (AUC) were determined and compared.

RESULTS

Of 612 singleton pregnancies meeting inclusion criteria, 68 (11.1%) resulted in SGA neonates. Hadlock EFW <10th percentile had higher sensitivity and specificity when compared to AC growth velocity and EFW growth velocity. Only AC growth velocity and Hadlock EFW had significant odds ratios for association with neonatal SGA. The AUC were 0.54, 0.53, and 0.61 using AC growth velocity, EFW growth velocity, and Hadlock EFW, respectively. The AUC did not significantly improve when the growth velocities were combined with Hadlock EFW (0.63). Adjustment of Z-scores for gestational age at anatomy scan or third trimester growth scan did not significantly change these results (AUC = 0.69).

CONCLUSION

EFW determined by Hadlock formula has the highest predictive value in detecting SGA neonates when compared to both AC and EFW growth velocities.

Longitudinal change in cerebroplacental ratio in small-for-gestational-age fetuses and risk of stillbirth

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether assessment of longitudinal change in Doppler variables in small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses improves the prediction of those at risk of stillbirth.

METHODS

This was a longitudinal study of two cohorts of singleton pregnancies, which included SGA and appropriate-for-gestational-age (AGA) fetuses, respectively. The inclusion criteria for the SGA cohort were singleton pregnancy at ≥ 20 weeks' gestation, classified as SGA (estimated fetal weight < 10^th centile). The AGA cohort consisted of singleton pregnancies deemed at high risk of being SGA, which were followed up longitudinally but remained AGA. Fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA) pulsatility index (PI) and umbilical artery (UA)-PI were measured longitudinally and cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) was calculated, and values were converted to multiples of the median. The last two measurements prior to delivery were included in the analysis. Longitudinal models for Doppler variables were developed using linear-mixed models and their accuracy in the prediction of stillbirth was tested using generalized linear models. A Bayesian framework was employed to compare the accuracy of longitudinal and standard (last-scan measurement) models.

RESULTS

In total, 1549 AGA and 941 SGA pregnancies were included in the analysis. There were 30 (3.2%) and no stillbirth cases in the SGA and AGA groups, respectively. Change in MCA-PI, UA-PI and CPR with advancing gestation was significantly different between liveborn AGA and SGA fetuses, with a less pronounced difference with advancing gestation. Using the last measurement, the best models for the prediction of stillbirth in SGA pregnancies were those based on CPR (accuracy, 75.0%; 95% CI, 72.6-77.2%) and UA-PI (accuracy, 71.0%; 95% CI, 68.6-73.4%). The posterior probability of the standard CPR model having a higher accuracy compared with the UA-PI model was 97.2% (magnitude of change (MC), 3.9%; 95% credible interval (CrI), 0.5-7.3%). The accuracies of the standard, compared with the longitudinal, models for UA-PI (71.0% vs 72.8%), MCA-PI (64.6% vs 63.8%) and CPR (75.0% vs 74.9%) in the prediction of stillbirth were not significantly different. The posterior probabilities for improvement in accuracy using longitudinal, compared with standard, assessment were 50.1% (MC, < 0.1%; 95% CrI, -3.3 to 3.3%), 35.2% (MC, -0.1%; 95% CrI, -4.5 to 2.8%) and 82.2% (MC, 1.9%; 95% CrI, -1.5 to 5.3%) for CPR, MCA-PI and UA-PI models, respectively. Therefore, change in Doppler parameters did not improve the accuracy of the prediction of stillbirth, compared with that of the last-scan measurement.

CONCLUSION

Longitudinal assessment of Doppler parameters was not useful in improving the detection of stillbirth in SGA pregnancies, as compared with a single-point assessment. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Two-stage approach for prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonate and adverse perinatal outcome by routine ultrasound examination at 35-37 weeks' gestation

BACKGROUND

Justification of prenatal screening for small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses near term is based on, first, evidence that such fetuses/neonates are at increased risk of stillbirth and adverse perinatal outcome, and, second, the expectation that these risks can be reduced by medical interventions, such as early delivery. However, there are no randomized studies demonstrating that routine screening for SGA fetuses and appropriate interventions in the high-risk group can reduce adverse perinatal outcome. Before such meaningful studies can be undertaken, it is essential that the best approach for effective identification of SGA neonates is determined, and that the contribution of SGA neonates to the overall rate of adverse perinatal outcome is established. In a previous study of pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation, we found that, first, screening by estimated fetal weight (EFW) < 10^th percentile provided poor prediction of SGA neonates and, second, prediction of > 85% of SGA neonates requires use of EFW < 40^th percentile.

OBJECTIVES

To examine the contribution of SGA fetuses to the overall rate of adverse perinatal outcome and, to propose a two-stage approach for prediction of a SGA neonate at routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation.

METHODS

This was a prospective study of 45 847 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. First, we examined the relationship between birth-weight percentile and adverse perinatal outcome, defined as stillbirth, neonatal death or admission to the neonatal unit for ≥ 48 h. Second, we used a two-stage approach for prediction of a SGA neonate and adverse perinatal outcome; in the first stage, fetal biometry was used to distinguish between pregnancies at very low risk (EFW ≥ 40^th percentile) and those at increased risk (EFW < 40^th percentile) and, in the second stage, the pregnancies with EFW < 40^th percentile were stratified into high-, intermediate- and low-risk groups based on the results of EFW and pulsatility index in the uterine arteries, umbilical artery and fetal middle cerebral artery. Different percentiles of EFW and Doppler indices were used to define each risk category, and the performance of screening for a SGA neonate and adverse perinatal outcome in pregnancies delivered at ≤ 2, 2.1-4 and > 4 weeks after assessment was determined. We propose that the high-risk group would require monitoring from initial assessment to delivery, the intermediate-risk group would require monitoring from 2 weeks after initial assessment to delivery, the low-risk group would require monitoring from 4 weeks after initial assessment to delivery, and the very low-risk group would not require any further reassessment.

RESULTS

First, although in neonates with low birth weight (< 10^th percentile) the risk of adverse perinatal outcome is increased, 84% of adverse perinatal events occur in the group with birth weight ≥ 10^th percentile. Second, in screening by EFW < 10^th percentile, the predictive performance for a SGA neonate is modest for those born at ≤ 2 weeks after assessment (83% and 69% for neonates with birth weight < 3^rd and < 10^th percentiles, respectively), but poor for those born at 2.1-4 weeks (65% and 45%, respectively) and > 4 weeks (40% and 30%, respectively) after assessment. Third, improved performance of screening, especially for those delivered at > 2 weeks after assessment, is potentially achieved by a proposed new approach for stratifying pregnancies into management groups based on findings of EFW and Doppler indices (prediction of birth weight < 3^rd and < 10^th percentiles for deliveries at ≤ 2, 2.1-4 and > 4 weeks after assessment: 89% and 75%, 83% and 74%, and 88% and 82%, respectively). Fourth, the predictive performance for adverse perinatal outcome of EFW < 10^th percentile is very poor (26%, 9% and 5% for deliveries at ≤ 2, 2.1-4 and > 4 weeks after assessment, respectively) and this is improved by the proposed new approach (31%, 22% and 29%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

This study presents an approach for stratifying pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation into four management groups based on findings of EFW and Doppler indices. This approach potentially has a higher predictive performance for a SGA neonate and adverse perinatal outcome than that of screening by EFW < 10^th percentile. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Maternal vascular malformation in the placenta is an indicator for fetal growth restriction irrespective of neonatal birthweight

INTRODUCTION

To study the association between placental pathology and neonatal birthweight and outcomes, and whether a combination of first trimester biomarkers and fetal growth velocity can predict placental lesions.

METHODS

The presence of maternal vascular malperfusion (MVM) lesions (Amsterdam criteria) was recorded in a retrospective cohort of singleton pregnancies in the Maastricht University Medical Centre, 2011-2018. First trimester maternal characteristics and PAPP-A, PlGF and sFlt-1 levels were collected. Fetal growth velocities were calculated (mm/week) from 20 to 32 weeks for abdominal circumference, biparietal diameter, head circumference and femur length. Data were compared between neonates with 'small for gestational age' (SGA < p10) and different categories of 'appropriate for gestational age (AGA)': AGAp10-30, AGAp30-50 and AGA > p50 (reference), using one-way ANOVA and post hoc test.

RESULTS

There were significantly more MVM lesions in the SGA group (94.6% p < .0001), but also in the AGAp10-30 (67.3% p < .0001) and AGAp30-50 (41.6% p = 0.002), compared to the reference AGA group (19.3%). The prediction of MVM for a 20% false-positive rate, with maternal characteristics was25.2%. The addition of birthweight percentile gave a prediction of 51.7% for MVM. However adding placental biomarkers and fetal growth velocities (instead of birthweight percentile) to the maternal characteristics, gave a prediction of 81.8% (PPV 49.5%, NPV 53.7%).

DISCUSSION

Placental MVM lesions correlated inversely with birthweight even in AGA neonates, and was associated with slower fetal growth and more adverse outcome in SGA neonates. A combination of first trimester biomarkers and fetal growth velocity had good prediction of placental MVM lesions, as an indicator of fetal growth restriction irrespective of neonatal weight.

Fetal Growth Restriction Prediction: How to Move beyond

The actual burden and future burden of the small-for-gestational-age (SGA) babies turn their screening in pregnancy a question of major concern for clinicians and policymakers. Half of stillbirths are due to growth restriction in utero, and possibly, a quarter of livebirths of low- and middle-income countries are SGA. Growing body of evidence shows their higher risk of adverse outcomes at any period of life, including increased rates of neurologic delay, noncommunicable chronic diseases (central obesity and metabolic syndrome), and mortality. Although there is no consensus regarding its definition, birthweight centile threshold, or follow-up, we believe birthweight <10th centile is the most suitable cutoff for clinical and epidemiological purposes. Maternal clinical factors have modest predictive accuracy; being born SGA appears to be of transgenerational heredity. Addition of ultrasound parameters improves prediction models, especially using estimated fetal weight and abdominal circumference in the 3rd trimester of pregnancy. Placental growth factor levels are decreased in SGA pregnancies, and it is the most promising biomarker in differentiating angiogenesis-related SGA from other causes. Unfortunately, however, only few societies recommend universal screening. SGA evaluation is the first step of a multidimensional approach, which includes adequate management and long-term follow-up of these newborns. Apart from only meliorating perinatal outcomes, we hypothesize SGA screening is a key for socioeconomic progress.

Clinical significance of cerebroplacental ratio

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Two-thirds of the pregnancies complicated by stillbirth demonstrate growth restriction. Identification of the foetus at risk of growth restriction is essential to reduce the risk of stillbirth. The aim of this review is to critically appraise the current evidence regarding clinical utility of cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) in antenatal surveillance.

RECENT FINDINGS

The CPR has emerged as an assessment tool for foetuses at increased risk of growth disorders. CPR is a better predictor of adverse events compared with middle-cerebral artery or umbilical artery Doppler alone. The predictive value of CPR for adverse perinatal outcomes is better for suspected small-for-gestational age foetuses compared with appropriate-for-gestational age (AGA) foetuses. CPR could be useful for the risk stratification of small-for-gestational age foetuses to determine the timing of delivery and also to calculate the risk of intrapartum compromise or prolonged admission to the neonatal care unit. Although there are many proposed cut-offs for an abnormal CPR value, evidence is currently lacking to suggest the use of one cut-off over another. CPR appears to be associated with increased risk of intrapartum foetal compromise, abnormal growth velocity, and lower birthweight in AGA foetuses as well. Moreover, birthweight differences are better explained with CPR compared to other factors such as ethnicity. However, the role of CPR in predicting adverse perinatal outcomes such as acidosis or low Apgar scores in AGA foetuses is yet to be determined.

SUMMARY

CPR appears to be a useful surrogate of suboptimal foetal growth and intrauterine hypoxia and it is associated with a variety of perinatal adverse events.

Fetal brain hemodynamics in pregnancies at term: correlation with gestational age, birthweight and clinical outcome

INTRODUCTION

The primary aim of this study was to ascertain the strength of association between cerebral blood flow assessed in anterior (ACA), middle (MCA), and posterior (PCA) cerebral arteries and the following clinical outcomes: small for gestational age (SGA), induction of labor (IOL) for oligohydramnios and caesarean section (CS) for nonreassuring fetal status (NRFS) during labor.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data on consecutive singleton pregnancies from 40 0/7 to 41 6/7 week of gestation. UA, ACA, MCA, PCA pulsatility index (PI) were measured from 40 weeks of gestations. Furthermore, the ratios between cerebral blood flow and UA (CPR, ACA/UA and PCA/UA) were calculated and correlated with the observed outcomes.

RESULTS

Two hundred twenty-four singleton pregnancies were included in the study. Mean PI of either ACA (p = .04), MCA (p = .008), and PCA (p = .003) were lower in the SGA compared to non-SGA group; furthermore, mean PCA PI was significantly lower than MCA PI (p = .04). Furthermore, CPR (p = .016), ACA/UA (p = .02), and PCA/UA (p = .003) were significantly lower in the SGA group compared to controls. UA, ACA, MCA, and PCA PI were higher in women undergoing IOL for oligohydramnios compared to controls. Logistic regression analysis showed that CPR and PCA/UA ratio were independently associated with SGA. SGA, ACA PI, and ACA/UA were independently associated with CS for NRFS. Finally, birthweight centile, were independently associated with IOL oligohydramnios. Despite this, the predictive accuracy of Doppler in detecting any of the explored outcome was only poor to moderate.

CONCLUSION

Redistribution of cerebral blood flow at term is significantly associated with SGA, IOL for oligohydramnios and CS for NRFS in labor. However, the predictive accuracy of Doppler at term is only poor to moderate, thus advising against its use in clinical practice as a standalone screening test for adverse perinatal outcome in pregnancies at term. Key Message Redistribution of cerebral blood flow at term is significantly associated with SGA, IOL for oligohydramnios and CS for NRFS in labor.

ISUOG Practice Guidelines: ultrasound assessment of fetal biometry and growth

INTRODUCTION These Guidelines aim to describe appropriate assessment of fetal biometry and diagnosis of fetal growth disorders. These disorders consist mainly of fetal growth restriction (FGR), also referred to as intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR) and often associated with small‐for‐gestational age (SGA), and large‐for‐gestational age (LGA), which may lead to fetal macrosomia; both have been associated with a variety of adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes. Screening for, and adequate management of, fetal growth abnormalities are essential components of antenatal care, and fetal ultrasound plays a key role in assessment of these conditions. The fetal biometric parameters measured most commonly are biparietal diameter (BPD), head circumference (HC), abdominal circumference (AC) and femur diaphysis length (FL). These biometric measurements can be used to estimate fetal weight (EFW) using various different formulae1. It is important to differentiate between the concept of fetal size at a given timepoint and fetal growth, the latter being a dynamic process, the assessment of which requires at least two ultrasound scans separated in time. Maternal history and symptoms, amniotic fluid assessment and Doppler velocimetry can provide additional information that may be used to identify fetuses at risk of adverse pregnancy outcome. Accurate estimation of gestational age is a prerequisite for determining whether fetal size is appropriate‐for‐gestational age (AGA). Except for pregnancies arising from assisted reproductive technology, the date of conception cannot be determined precisely. Clinically, most pregnancies are dated by the last menstrual period, though this may sometimes be uncertain or unreliable. Therefore, dating pregnancies by early ultrasound examination at 8–14 weeks, based on measurement of the fetal crown–rump length (CRL), appears to be the most reliable method to establish gestational age. Once the CRL exceeds 84 mm, HC should be used for pregnancy dating2–4. HC, with or without FL, can be used for estimation of gestational age from the mid‐trimester if a first‐trimester scan is not available and the menstrual history is unreliable. When the expected delivery date has been established by an accurate early scan, subsequent scans should not be used to recalculate the gestational age1. Serial scans can be used to determine if interval growth has been normal. In these Guidelines, we assume that the gestational age is known and has been determined as described above, the pregnancy is singleton and the fetal anatomy is normal. Details of the grades of recommendation used in these Guidelines are given in Appendix 1. Reporting of levels of evidence is not applicable to these Guidelines.

Routine ultrasound at 32 vs 36 weeks' gestation: prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate and compare the performance of routine ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) and fetal abdominal circumference (AC) at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 and 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation in the prediction of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate.

METHODS

This was a prospective study of 21 989 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks' gestation and 45 847 undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. In each case, the estimated fetal weight (EFW) from measurements of fetal head circumference, AC and femur length was calculated using the Hadlock formula and expressed as a percentile according to The Fetal Medicine Foundation fetal and neonatal population weight charts. The same charts were used for defining a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles. For each gestational-age window, the screen-positive and detection rates, at different EFW percentile cut-offs between the 10^th and 50^th percentiles, were calculated for prediction of delivery of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles within 2 weeks and at any stage after assessment. The areas under the receiver-operating characteristics curves (AUC) in screening for a SGA neonate by EFW and AC at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 and at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation were compared.

RESULTS

First, the AUCs in screening by EFW for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles delivered within 2 weeks and at any stage after screening at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation were significantly higher than those at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks (P < 0.001). Second, at both 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 and 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks' gestation, the predictive performance for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles born at any stage after screening was significantly higher using EFW Z-score than AC Z-score. Similarly, at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks, but not at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks, the predictive performance for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles born within 2 weeks after screening was significantly higher using EFW Z-score than AC Z-score. Third, screening by EFW < 10^th percentile at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation predicted 70% and 84% of neonates with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles, respectively, born within 2 weeks after assessment, and the respective values for a neonate born at any stage after assessment were 46% and 65%. Fourth, prediction of > 85% of SGA neonates with birth weight < 10^th percentile born at any stage after screening at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation requires use of EFW < 40^th percentile. Screening at this percentile cut-off predicted 95% and 99% of neonates with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles, respectively, born within 2 weeks after assessment, and the respective values for a neonate born at any stage after assessment were 87% and 94%.

CONCLUSIONS

The predictive performance for a SGA neonate of routine ultrasonographic examination during the third trimester is higher if, first, the scan is carried out at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation than at 31 + 0 to 33 + 6 weeks, second, the method of screening is EFW than fetal AC, third, the outcome measure is birth weight < 3^rd than < 10^th percentile, and, fourth, if delivery occurs within 2 weeks than at any stage after assessment. Prediction of a SGA neonate by EFW < 10^th percentile is modest and prediction of > 85% of cases at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation necessitates use of EFW < 40^th percentile. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Diagnostic performance of third-trimester ultrasound for the prediction of late-onset fetal growth restriction: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

The objective of the study was to establish the diagnostic performance of ultrasound screening for predicting late smallness for gestational age and/or fetal growth restriction.

DATA SOURCES

A systematic search was performed to identify relevant studies published since 2007 in English, Spanish, French, Italian, or German, using the databases PubMed, ISI Web of Science, and SCOPUS.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

We used rrospective and retrospective cohort studies in low-risk or nonselected singleton pregnancies with screening ultrasound performed at ≥32 weeks of gestation.

STUDY APPRAISAL AND SYNTHESIS METHODS

The estimated fetal weight and fetal abdominal circumference were assessed as index tests for the prediction of birthweight <10th (i.e. smallness for gestational age), less than the fifth, and less than the third centile and fetal growth restriction (estimated fetal weight less than the third or estimated fetal weight <10th plus Doppler signs). Quality of the included studies was independently assessed by 2 reviewers, using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool. For the meta-analysis, hierarchical summary receiver-operating characteristic curves were constructed, and quantitative data synthesis was performed using random-effects models. The sensitivity of the abdominal circumference <10th centile and estimated fetal weight <10th centile for a fixed 10% false-positive rate was derived from the corresponding hierarchical summary receiver-operating characteristic curves. Heterogeneity between studies was visually assessed using Galbraith plots, and publication bias was assessed by funnel plots and quantified by Deeks' method.

RESULTS

A total of 21 studies were included. Observed pooled sensitivities of abdominal circumference and estimated fetal weight <10th centile for birthweight <10th centile were 35% (95% confidence interval, 20-52%) and 38% (95% confidence interval, 31-46%), respectively. Observed pooled specificities were 97% (95% confidence interval, 95-98%) and 95% (95% confidence interval, 93-97%), respectively. Modeled sensitivities of abdominal circumference and estimated fetal weight <10th centile for 10% false-positive rate were 78% (95% confidence interval, 61-95%) and 54% (95% confidence interval, 46-52%), respectively. The sensitivity of estimated fetal weight <10th centile was better when aimed to fetal growth restriction than to smallness for gestational age. Meta-regression analysis showed a significant increase in sensitivity when ultrasound evaluation was performed later in pregnancy (P = .001).

CONCLUSION

Third-trimester abdominal circumference and estimated fetal weight perform similar in predicting smallness for gestational age. However, for a fixed 10% false-positive rate extrapolated sensitivity is higher for abdominal circumference. There is evidence of better performance when the scan is performed near term and when fetal growth restriction is the targeted condition.

Prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates at 35-37 weeks' gestation: contribution of maternal factors and growth velocity between 32 and 36 weeks

OBJECTIVE

To assess the additive value of fetal growth velocity between 32 and 36 weeks' gestation to the performance of ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation for prediction of delivery of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate and adverse perinatal outcome.

METHODS

This was a prospective study of 14 497 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 30 + 0 to 34 + 6 and at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine whether addition of growth velocity, defined as the difference in EFW Z-score or abdominal circumference (AC) Z-score between the early and late third-trimester scans divided by the time interval between the scans, improved the performance of EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks in the prediction of, first, delivery of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles within 2 weeks and at any stage after assessment and, second, a composite of adverse perinatal outcome, defined as stillbirth, neonatal death or admission to the neonatal unit for ≥ 48 h.

RESULTS

Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that significant contributors to the prediction of a SGA neonate were EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation, fetal growth velocity, by either AC Z-score or EFW Z-score, and maternal risk factors. The area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC) and detection rate (DR), at a 10% screen-positive rate, for prediction of a SGA neonate < 10^th percentile born within 2 weeks after assessment achieved by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks (AUC, 0.938 (95% CI, 0.928-0.947); DR, 80.7% (95% CI, 77.6-83.9%)) were not significantly improved by addition of EFW growth velocity and maternal risk factors (AUC, 0.941 (95% CI, 0.932-0.950); P = 0.061; DR, 82.5% (95% CI, 79.4-85.3%)). Similar results were obtained when growth velocity was defined by AC rather than EFW. Similarly, there was no significant improvement in the AUC and DR, at a 10% screen-positive rate, for prediction of a SGA neonate < 10^th percentile born at any stage after assessment or a SGA neonate < 3^rd percentile born within 2 weeks or at any stage after assessment, achieved by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks by addition of maternal factors and either EFW growth velocity or AC growth velocity. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the only significant contributor to adverse perinatal outcome was maternal risk factors. Multivariable logistic regression analysis in the group with EFW < 10^th percentile demonstrated that significant contribution to prediction of delivery of a neonate with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles and adverse perinatal outcome was provided by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks, but not by AC growth velocity < 1^st decile.

CONCLUSION

The predictive performance of EFW at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation for delivery of a SGA neonate and adverse perinatal outcome is not improved by addition of estimated growth velocity between 32 and 36 weeks' gestation. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates at 35-37 weeks' gestation: contribution of maternal factors and growth velocity between 20 and 36 weeks

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the performance of ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation in the prediction of delivery of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate and assess the additive value of, first, maternal risk factors and, second, fetal growth velocity between 20 and 36 weeks' gestation in improving such prediction.

METHODS

This was a prospective study of 44 043 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 19 + 0 to 23 + 6 and at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine whether addition of maternal risk factors and growth velocity, the latter defined as the difference in EFW Z-score or fetal abdominal circumference (AC) Z-score between the third- and second-trimester scans divided by the time interval between the scans, improved the performance of EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks in the prediction of delivery of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles within 2 weeks and at any stage after assessment.

RESULTS

Screening by EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation predicted 63.4% (95% CI, 62.0-64.7%) of neonates with birth weight < 10^th percentile and 74.2% (95% CI, 72.2-76.1%) of neonates with birth weight < 3^rd percentile born at any stage after assessment, at a screen-positive rate of 10%. The respective values for SGA neonates born within 2 weeks after assessment were 76.8% (95% CI, 74.4-79.0%) and 81.3% (95% CI, 78.2-84.0%). For a desired 90% detection rate of SGA neonate delivered at any stage after assessment, the necessary screen-positive rate would be 33.7% for SGA < 10^th percentile and 24.4% for SGA < 3^rd percentile. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that, in the prediction of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10^th and < 3^rd percentiles, there was a significant contribution from EFW Z-score at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation, maternal risk factors and AC growth velocity, but not EFW growth velocity. However, the area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve for prediction of delivery of a SGA neonate by screening with maternal risk factors and EFW Z-score was not improved by addition of AC growth velocity.

CONCLUSION

Screening for SGA neonates by EFW at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation and use of the 10^th percentile as the cut-off predicts 63% of affected neonates. Prediction of 90% of SGA neonates necessitates classification of about 35% of the population as being screen positive. The predictive performance of EFW is not improved by addition of estimated growth velocity between the second and third trimesters of pregnancy. Copyright © 2019 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Reduced fetal growth velocities and the association with neonatal outcomes in appropriate-for-gestational-age neonates: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Fetal growth restriction is, despite advances in neonatal care and uptake of antenatal ultrasound scanning, still a major cause of perinatal morbidity. Neonates with birth weight > 10th percentile are assumed to be appropriate-for-gestational-age (AGA), although many are at increased risk of perinatal morbidity, because of undetected mild restriction of growth potential. We hypothesized that within AGA neonates, reduced fetal growth velocities are associated with adverse neonatal outcome.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study of singleton pregnancies, in the Maastricht University Medical Centre (MUMC) between 2010 and 2016. Women had two fetal biometry scans (18–22 weeks and 30–34 weeks of gestational age) and delivered a newborn with a birth weight between the 10th–80th percentile.

Differences in growth velocities of the abdominal circumference (AC), biparietal diameter (BPD), head circumference (HC) and femur length (FL) were compared between the suboptimal AGA (sAGA) (birth weight centiles 10–50) and optimal AGA (oAGA) (birth weight centiles 50–80) group. We assessed the association between velocities and neonatal outcomes.

Results

We included 934 singleton pregnancies. In the suboptimal AGA group, fetal growth velocities were lower (in mm/week): AC 10.72 ± 1.00 vs 11.23 ± 1.00 (p < .001), HC 10.50 ± 0.80 vs 10.68 ± 0.77 (p = 0.001), BPD 3.01 ± 0.28 vs 3.08 ± 0.27 (p < .0001) and FL 2.47 ± 0.21 vs 2.50 ± 0.22 (p = 0.014), compared to the optimal AGA group. Neonates with an adverse neonatal outcome had significantly lower growth velocities (in mm/week) of: AC 10.57 vs 10.94 (p = 0.034), HC 10.28 vs 10.59 (p = 0.003) and BPD 2.97 vs 3.04 (p = 0.043) compared to those with normal outcome. An inverse association was observed between the AC velocity and a composite adverse neonatal outcome (OR) = 0.667 (95%CI 0.507–0.879, p = 0.004), and between the AC velocity and neonates with NICU stay (OR) = 0.733 (95%CI 0.570–0.942, p = 0.015). Neonates with a birthweight lower than expected (based on the abdominal circumference at 20 weeks) had significantly more composite adverse neonatal outcomes 8.5% vs 5.0% (p = 0.047), NICU stays 9.6% vs 3.8% (p < .0001) and hospital stays 44.4% vs 35.6% (p = 0.006).

Conclusions

Appropriate-for-gestational-age neonates are a heterogeneous group with some showing suboptimal fetal growth. Abnormal fetal growth velocities, especially abdominal circumference velocity, are associated with adverse neonatal outcome and can potentially improve the detection of mild growth restriction when used in multivariate models.

Fetal abdominal circumference in the second trimester and prediction of small for gestational age at birth

Background: Infants that are small for gestational age (SGA) at birth are at increased risk for morbidity and mortality. Unfortunately, the antenatal prediction of SGA is suboptimal.Objectives: We sought to: (1) examine the association between second trimester fetal abdominal circumference < 10% (2T-AClag) with SGA and other gestational and neonatal adverse outcomes; (2) assess 2T-AClag as a predictor of SGA.Study design: Retrospective study of 212 singleton gestations with 2T-AClag on routine ultrasound between 18-24 weeks. The study group was compared to 424 gestations without 2T-AClag for maternal characteristics as well as pregnancy and neonatal adverse outcomes. A multivariate logistic regression was used to determine the predictive value of 2T-AClag for SGA, adjusting for maternal and pregnancy characteristics. The screening model accuracy was assessed through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Fetal growth restriction (FGR) was defined as an estimated fetal weight (EFW) less than the 10th percentile.Results: Gestations with 2T-AClag had higher rates of SGA (35.7 versus 11.6%, p  <  .0001), FGR (17 versus 1.7%, p < .0001), pregnancy induced hypertension (31.1 versus 17%, p < .0001), preeclampsia (14.6 versus 7.8%, 0  =  0.01), abnormal umbilical artery Doppler (30 versus 5.1%, p < .0001), indicated preterm birth (5.7 versus 1.9%, p = .01), primary cesarean birth (29.6 versus 20.1%, p = .01) and NICU admission (12.9 versus 6.4%, p = .009). After adjusting for maternal and gestational risk factors, 2T-AClag remained an independent risk factor for SGA (OR 4.53, 95%CI 2.91-7.05, p < .0001) and FGR (OR 11.57, 95%CI 5.02-26.65, p < .0001). The inclusion of 2T-AClag in a regression model with traditional risk factors, significantly improved the model's predictability for SGA and FGR (area under ROC curve increased from 0.618 to 0.723 and 0.653 to 0.819, respectively, p < .0001).Conclusions: Second trimester abdominal circumference (AC) lag is associated with an increased risk of SGA, FGR and other adverse outcomes. The inclusion of 2T-AClag in a screening model for prediction of SGA and FGR may improve the identification of this at-risk group and assist in customizing surveillance plans.Brief rationaleScreening for newborns that are small for gestational age (SGA) at birth is currently suboptimal. Our study shows that second trimester abdominal circumference (AC) lag, using a parameter already routinely assessed during anatomic survey, is associated with SGA at birth and can improve current screening for growth restriction and other gestational, fetal and neonatal complications.

First-trimester and combined first- and second-trimester prediction of small-for-gestational age and late fetal growth restriction

OBJECTIVE

To develop a first-trimester or combined first- and second-trimester screening algorithm for the prediction of small-for-gestational age (SGA) and late fetal growth restriction (FGR).

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of women with singleton pregnancy, who underwent routine first-, second- and third-trimester ultrasound assessment. Late FGR was defined, at ≥ 32 weeks' gestation in the absence of congenital anomalies, as either (i) estimated fetal weight (EFW) or birth weight (BW) < 3^rd centile, or (ii) EFW < 10^th centile and either uterine artery mean pulsatility index (UtA-PI) > 95^th centile or cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) < 5^th centile. Neonates with BW < 10^th centile, regardless of prenatal parameters, were defined as SGA. The predictive effectiveness of maternal and first- and second-trimester factors was tested using logistic regression and receiver-operating characteristics curve analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 3520 fetuses were included (late FGR, n = 109 (3.1%); SGA, n = 292 (8.3%)). Of the late FGR cases, 56 (1.6%) fulfilled the antenatal criteria (EFW < 3^rd centile or EFW < 10^th centile plus abnormal UtA-PI or CPR) and were defined as prenatally detected late FGR. A first-trimester screening model (comprising conception method, smoking status, maternal height, pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and UtA-PI) could predict 50.0% of the prenatally diagnosed and 36.7% of the overall late FGR fetuses for a 10% false-positive rate (FPR). A model combining first- and second-trimester screening parameters (conception method, smoking status, PAPP-A, second- trimester EFW, head circumference/abdominal circumference ratio and UtA-PI) could predict 78.6% of the prenatally detected, and 59.6% of the overall late FGR fetuses, for a 10% FPR (area under the curve 0.901 (95% CI, 0.856-0.947) and 0.855 (95% CI, 0.818-0.891), respectively). The prediction of SGA was suboptimal for both first-trimester and combined screening.

CONCLUSIONS

A simple model combining maternal and first- and second-trimester predictors can detect 60% of fetuses that will develop late FGR, and 79% of those fetuses that will be classified prenatally as late FGR, for a 10% FPR. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Using fetal abdominal circumference growth velocity in the prediction of adverse outcome in near-term small-for-gestational-age fetuses

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether abdominal circumference growth velocity (ACGV) improves the prediction of perinatal outcome in small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses beyond that afforded by estimated fetal weight (EFW) and cerebroplacental ratio (CPR).

METHODS

A cohort of 235 singleton SGA fetuses at 36-38 weeks' gestation was examined. ACGV, EFW and CPR centiles were calculated. ACGV centile was determined using data from a large database of 19-21- and 36-38-week scans in an unselected population. Binary variables of ACGV < 10^th , EFW < 3^rd and CPR < 5^th centiles were defined as abnormal. Two composite adverse outcomes (CAO) were explored: CAO-1 defined as at least one of umbilical artery pH < 7.10, 5-min Apgar score < 7 or neonatal unit admission, and CAO-2 that included in addition hypoglycemia, intrapartum fetal distress and perinatal death. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to analyze the relationship between the three risk factors and their predictive value for CAO. The change in screening performance afforded by adding ACGV to EFW and CPR was assessed and receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curves were calculated.

RESULTS

ACGV < 10^th centile was an independent risk factor for CAO. The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratios of a predictive model based on EFW < 3^rd centile and CPR < 5^th centile were, respectively, 51%, 70%, 1.71 and 0.69 for CAO-1 and 41%, 70%, 1.39 and 0.83 for CAO-2. After addition of ACGV < 10^th centile to the model, the respective values were 82%, 46%, 1.54 and 0.38 for CAO-1 and 71%, 47%, 1.34 and 0.62 for CAO-2. Using continuous variables, the areas under the ROC curves improved marginally from 0.669 (95% CI, 0.604-0.729) to 0.741 (95% CI, 0.677-0.798) for CAO-1 and from 0.646 (95% CI, 0.580-0.707) to 0.700 (95% CI, 0.633-0.759) for CAO-2 after addition of ACGV to the model.

CONCLUSIONS

ACGV is a risk factor for adverse neonatal outcome that is independent of EFW and of CPR, although any improvement in the prediction of adverse outcome is not statistically significant. Copyright © 2017 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.