Ultrasonographic estimation of fetal weight: development of new model and assessment of performance of previous models

The accuracy of sonographic fetal weight in very preterm infants (≤32 weeks)

OBJECTIVE

To examine the accuracy of sonographic fetal weight to predict birthweight in very preterm infants (<32 weeks), and to compare the accuracy of estimated fetal weight (EFW) between those small for gestational age (SGA) and those appropriate for gestational age (AGA).

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective study was conducted of data recorded between January 2010 and March 2023. Included were women with singleton livebirths at 23+0-31+6 weeks who had an EFW within one week from delivery. Mean percentage error, mean absolute percentage error, and underestimation and overestimation rates were calculated. We compared the accuracy of EFW between SGA and AGA infants.

RESULTS

In total, 360 women were included. The mean absolute percentage error was 7.8 % (range 0 %-68.9 %); for 207 (57.5 %) infants the percentage error was within ±10 %. Overestimation error >10 % was observed in 102 (28.3 %) infants and errors >20 % in 34 (9.4 %). Among infants born in the periviable period (23+0 - 25+6 weeks; N = 56), the mean absolute percentage error was 9.8 % (range: 0 %-40.3 %); the value was within ±10 % for only 28 periviable infants (50 %) and exceeded 20 % for 16.1 %. Among SGA compared to AGA infants, the mean absolute percentage error was higher (11.1% vs. 6.6 %, p = 0.035). Overestimation error >10 % was more frequent among SGA than AGA infants (55 (49.1 %) vs. 47 (19.0 %), p < 0.001). In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, SGA status was independently associated with a higher mean percentage error (beta = 0.260, p < 0.001) and an increased risk of an error >10 % (odds ratio = 2.1, 95 % confidence interval 1.2-3.5, p = 0.008).

CONCLUSIONS

Sonographic EFW is limited in assessing very preterm infants, particularly those who are SGA or born during the periviable period. These limitations should be considered regarding impending very preterm births and concerns about abnormal fetal growth.

Predicting the fetal weight by ultrasonography for isolated polyhydramnios: Comparison of 14 formulas

OBJECTIVE

To recalculate the estimated fetal weight (EFW) based on ultrasound measurements in patients complicated with isolated polyhydramnios, using 14 current formulas to observe which formula better predicts the EFW.

METHODS

This study examined pregnant women who gave birth in the hospital between January 2015 and January 2020. Maximum vertical pocket (MVP) was classified as, mild, moderate, and severe polyhydramnios, and the patients' measurements were reanalyzed using 14 formulas. The estimation of birth weight (EBW) alongside observed birth weight (OBW) facilitated the computation of statistical indices, namely the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) expressed as [(EBW - OBW)/OBW × 100], the mean percentage error (MPE) denoted as (EBW - OBW)/(OBW × 100), and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

A total of 564 polyhydramnios patients were included in the study. When looking at the MAPE, the lowest rate (7.65) was found in the Hadlock 2 formula. Hadlock 1, Hadlock 3, and Shinozuka formulas demonstrated MAPE values most closely aligned with Hadlock 2. Weiner I and Thurnau were the formulas with the highest MAPE values. When the cut-off values for MAPE were taken as 10%, 4/14 of the formulas (Weiner I-II, Vintzleos and Thurnau) gave results above 10%. Among 14 formulas, 3 (21.4%) had positive (sonographic overestimation) (Hadlock 3, Shinozuka, and Vintzleos) and the other 11 (78.6%) had negative MPE (sonographic underestimation).

CONCLUSION

The Hadlock 2 formula had the lowest MAPE in predicting birth weight in patients with polyhydramnios, closely followed by the Hadlock 1, Hadlock 3, and Shinozuka formulas.

Application of ultrasonographic human estimated foetal weight formulas to cynomolgus monkeys (Macaca fascicularis) at 129-132 days of gestation: A comparative study of estimated and actual birthweight

BACKGROUND

Cynomolgus monkeys (Macaca fascicularis) are essential in biomedical research, including reproductive studies. However, the application of human estimated foetal weight (EFW) formulas using ultrasonography (USG) in these non-human primates is not well established.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to evaluate the applicability of human EFW formulas for estimating foetal weight in cynomolgus monkeys at approximately 130 days of gestation.

METHODS

Our study involved nine pregnant cynomolgus monkeys. We measured foetal parameters, including biparietal diameter, head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length using USG. The EFW was calculated using 11 human EFW formulas. The actual birthweight (ABW) was recorded following Cesarean section, the day after the EFW calculation. For comparing EFW and ABW, we employed statistical methods such as mean absolute percentage error (APE) and Bland-Altman analysis.

RESULTS

The ABW ranged between 200.36 and 291.33 g. Among the 11 formulas, the Combs formula showed the lowest APE (4.3%) and highest correlation with ABW (p < 0.001). Notably, EFW and ABW differences for the Combs formula were ≤5% in 66.7% and ≤10% in 100% of cases. The Bland-Altman analysis supported these results, showing that all cases fell within the limits of agreement.

CONCLUSIONS

The Combs formula is applicable for estimating the weight of cynomolgus monkey fetuses with USG at approximately 130 days of gestation. Our observations suggest that the Combs formula can be applied in the prenatal care and biomedical research of this species.

Fetal Growth Velocity-A Breakthrough in Intrauterine Growth Assessment?

The pursuit of assessing fetal well-being in obstetrical practice remains a central tenet, propelling ongoing endeavors to explore innovative markers and diagnostic methodologies aimed at prognosing potential perinatal adversities. Deviations from standard patterns of intrauterine growth, whether exhibiting excessive or insufficient trajectories, stand as pivotal indices hinting at underlying pathophysiological processes or heightened concurrent medical conditions. Initiatives like the Delphi consensus and the INTERGROWTH-21st project strive to refine diagnostic criteria and establish international standards for fetal growth assessment. This article aims to present the current knowledge regarding the assessment of abnormal growth, including novel methods such as growth velocity. Integrating fetal growth velocity assessment into perinatal care protocols holds promise in enhancing diagnostic precision. Growth velocity, involving changes in fetal size over a given period, offers insights into distinguishing between constitutional and pathological growth abnormalities. Various methodologies and models have been proposed to evaluate growth velocity, with notable advancements in understanding fetal growth patterns across different trimesters. It is believed that accelerated and reduced growth velocity may be a sensible parameter in the detection of fetal growth restriction (FGR), small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses, large-for-gestational-age (LGA) fetuses and macrosomic fetuses as well as appropriate-for-gestational age (AGA) fetuses that encounter problems with growth continuation. Recent studies found that changes in growth velocity reflect the risk of adverse perinatal outcomes (APOs). Future directions in fetal health research aim to elucidate the long-term consequences of abnormal fetal growth velocity on neurodevelopmental outcomes, highlighting the critical role of early assessment and intervention.

Respiratory morbidity among offspring misclassified as growth restricted

OBJECTIVE

An ultrasound-based diagnosis implies that some fetuses suspected to be growth-restricted (FGR) are discovered at birth to be appropriately grown (appropriate for gestational age [AGA] birth weight, between the 10th and 90th percentile). These fetuses may thus be exposed to unnecessary medical interventions, including early labor induction. In this study, we have evaluated the long-term respiratory health of offspring misclassified as FGR.

STUDY DESIGN

A population-based cohort analysis was conducted, including deliveries of AGA singletons between 1991 and 2021 at a tertiary referral hospital. Incidence of morbidity due to various respiratory conditions was compared between AGA offspring with prenatal diagnosis of FGR, and those without a false diagnosis of FGR. The Kaplan-Meier approach was used to estimate cumulative morbidity incidence. The stratified Cox proportional-hazards model was used to control for confounders.

RESULTS

A total of 324,620 deliveries of AGA newborns were included in the analyses; 3249 of them (1.0%) were misclassified prenatally as FGR. The FGR subgroup delivered at an earlier gestational age (36.7 vs. 39.1 weeks, p < .001) and had more than 25% higher incidence of respiratory-related morbidity during childhood (33.2% vs. 26.5%), specifically related to asthma and obstructive sleep apnea (p < .001 for all). A higher cumulative morbidity rate due to respiratory conditions was observed in the Kaplan-Meier survival curve (log-rank p value < .001). This association between FGR and respiratory morbidity was independent of preterm delivery, maternal age, cesarean delivery, and child's birth year (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.14, 95% confidence interval: 1.07-1.21, p < .001), using a Cox proportional hazards model.

CONCLUSION

AGA newborns misclassified as FGR, are at an increased risk for long-term respiratory morbidity during childhood and adolescence.

Comparison of competing-risks model with angiogenic factors in midgestation screening for preterm growth-related neonatal morbidity

OBJECTIVES

First, to evaluate the predictive performance for preterm growth-related neonatal morbidity of a high soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1)/placental growth factor (PlGF) ratio or low PlGF at midgestation and, second, to compare the performance of a high sFlt-1/PlGF ratio or low PlGF with that of the competing-risks model for small-for-gestational age (SGA), utilizing a combination of maternal risk factors, sonographic estimated fetal weight and uterine artery pulsatility index.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational study in women attending for a routine hospital visit at 19-24 weeks' gestation in two maternity hospitals in England. The visit included recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, carrying out an ultrasound scan and measuring serum PlGF and sFlt-1. The primary outcome was delivery < 32 and < 37 weeks' gestation of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10th or < 3rd percentile, combined with neonatal unit (NNU) admission for ≥ 48 h or a composite of major neonatal morbidity. The detection rates in screening by PlGF < 10th percentile, sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 90th percentile and the competing-risks model for SGA were estimated and then compared using McNemar's test.

RESULTS

In the study population of 40 241 women, prediction of preterm growth-related neonatal morbidity provided by the competing-risks model for SGA was superior to that of screening by low PlGF concentration or high sFlt-1/PlGF ratio. For example, at a screen-positive rate of 10.0%, as defined by the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 90th percentile, the competing-risks model predicted 70.1% (95% CI, 61.0-79.2%) of SGA < 10th percentile and 76.9% (95% CI, 67.6-86.3%) of SGA < 3rd percentile with NNU admission for ≥ 48 h delivered < 32 weeks' gestation. The respective values for SGA with major neonatal morbidity were 73.8% (95% CI, 64.4-83.2%) and 77.9% (95% CI, 68.0-87.8%). These were significantly higher than the respective values of 35.1% (95% CI, 25.6-44.6%), 35.9% (95% CI, 25.3-46.5%), 38.1% (95% CI, 27.7-48.5%) and 39.7% (95% CI, 28.1-51.3%) achieved by the application of the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 90th percentile (all P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

At midgestation, the prediction of growth-related neonatal morbidity by the competing-risks model for SGA is superior to that of a high sFlt-1/PlGF ratio or low PlGF. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Reducing macrosomia-related birth complications in primigravid women: ultrasound- and magnetic resonance imaging-based models

BACKGROUND

Many complications increase with macrosomia, which is defined as birthweight of ≥4000 g. The ability to estimate when the fetus would exceed 4000 g could help to guide decisions surrounding the optimal timing of delivery. To the best of our knowledge, there is no available tool to perform this estimation independent of the currently available growth charts.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to develop ultrasound- and magnetic resonance imaging-based models to estimate at which gestational age the birthweight would exceed 4000 g, evaluate their predictive performance, and assess the effect of each model in reducing adverse outcomes in a prospectively collected cohort.

STUDY DESIGN

This study was a subgroup analysis of women who were recruited for the estimation of fetal weight by ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging at 36 0/7 to 36 6/7 weeks of gestation. Primigravid women who were eligible for normal vaginal delivery were selected. Multiparous patients, patients with preeclampsia spectrum, patients with elective cesarean delivery, and patients with contraindications for normal vaginal delivery were excluded. Of note, 2 linear models were built for the magnetic resonance imaging- and ultrasound-based models to predict a birthweight of ≥4000 g. Moreover, 2 formulas were created to predict the gestational age at which birthweight will reach 4000 g (predicted gestational age); one was based on the magnetic resonance imaging model, and the second one was based on the ultrasound model. This study compared the adverse birth outcomes, such as intrapartum cesarean delivery, operative vaginal delivery, anal sphincter injury, postpartum hemorrhage, shoulder dystocia, brachial plexus injury, Apgar score of <7 at 5 minutes of life, neonatal intensive care unit admission, and intracranial hemorrhage in the group of patients who delivered after the predicted gestational age according to the magnetic resonance imaging-based or the ultrasound-based models with those who delivered before the predicted gestational age by each model, respectively.

RESULTS

Of 2378 patients, 732 (30.8%) were eligible for inclusion in the current study. The median gestational age at birth was 39.86 weeks of gestation (interquartile range, 39.00-40.57), the median birthweight was 3340 g (interquartile range, 3080-3650), and 63 patients (8.6%) had a birthweight of ≥4000 g. Prepregnancy body mass index, geographic origin, gestational age at birth, and fetal body volume were retained for the optimal magnetic resonance imaging-based model, whereas maternal age, gestational diabetes mellitus, diabetes mellitus type 1 or 2, geographic origin, fetal gender, gestational age at birth, and estimated fetal weight were retained for the optimal ultrasound-based model. The performance of the first model was significantly better than the second model (area under the curve: 0.98 vs 0.89, respectively; P<.001). The group of patients who delivered after the predicted gestational age by the first model (n=40) had a higher risk of cesarean delivery, postpartum hemorrhage, and shoulder dystocia (adjusted odds ratio: 3.15, 4.50, and 9.67, respectively) than the group who delivered before this limit. Similarly, the group who delivered after the predicted gestational age by the second model (n=25) had a higher risk of cesarean delivery and postpartum hemorrhage (adjusted odds ratio: 5.27 and 6.74, respectively) than the group who delivered before this limit.

CONCLUSION

The clinical use of magnetic resonance imaging- and ultrasound-based models, which predict a gestational age at which birthweight will exceed 4000 g, may reduce macrosomia-related adverse outcomes in a primigravid population. The magnetic resonance imaging-based model is better for the identification of the highest-risk patients.

Ambient air temperature exposure and foetal size and growth in three European birth cohorts

INTRODUCTION

Ambient air temperature may affect birth outcomes adversely, but little is known about their impact on foetal growth throughout pregnancy. We evaluated the association between temperature exposure during pregnancy and foetal size and growth in three European birth cohorts.

METHODS

We studied 23,408 pregnant women from the English Born in Bradford cohort, Dutch Generation R Study, and Spanish INMA Project. Using the UrbClimTM model, weekly ambient air temperature exposure at 100x100m resolution at the mothers' residences during pregnancy was calculated. Estimated foetal weight, head circumference, and femur length at mid and late pregnancy and weight, head circumference, and length at birth were converted into standard deviation scores (SDS). Foetal growth from mid to late pregnancy was calculated (grams or centimetres/week). Cohort/region-specific distributed lag non-linear models were combined using a random-effects meta-analysis and results presented in reference to the median percentile of temperature (14 °C).

RESULTS

Weekly temperatures ranged from -5.6 (Bradford) to 30.3 °C (INMA-Sabadell). Cold and heat exposure during weeks 1-28 were associated with a smaller and larger head circumference in late pregnancy, respectively (e.g., for 9.5 °C: -1.6 SDS [95 %CI -2.0; -0.4] and for 20.0 °C: 1.8 SDS [0.7; 2.9]). A susceptibility period from weeks 1-7 was identified for cold exposure and a smaller head circumference at late pregnancy. Cold exposure was associated with a slower head circumference growth from mid to late pregnancy (for 5.5 °C: -0.1 cm/week [-0.2; -0.04]), with a susceptibility period from weeks 4-12. No associations that survived multiple testing correction were found for other foetal or any birth outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Cumulative exposure to cold and heat during pregnancy was associated with changes in foetal head circumference throughout gestation, with susceptibility periods for cold during the first pregnancy trimester. No associations were found at birth, suggesting potential recovery. Future research should replicate this study across different climatic regions including varying temperature profiles.

Evaluation of angiogenic factors in prediction of growth-related neonatal morbidity at term and comparison with competing-risks model

OBJECTIVES

First, to describe the distribution of biomarkers of impaired placentation in small-for-gestational-age (SGA) pregnancies with neonatal morbidity; second, to examine the predictive performance for growth-related neonatal morbidity of a high soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1)/placental growth factor (PlGF) ratio or low PlGF; and, third, to compare the performance of a high sFlt-1/PlGF ratio or low PlGF with that of the competing-risks model for SGA in predicting growth-related neonatal morbidity.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational study of women attending for a routine hospital visit at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation in two maternity hospitals in England. The visit included recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, an ultrasound scan and measurement of serum PlGF and sFlt-1. The primary outcome was delivery within 4 weeks after assessment and at < 42 weeks' gestation of a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10th or < 3rd percentile, combined with neonatal unit (NNU) admission for ≥ 48 h or a composite of major neonatal morbidity. The detection rates in screening by PlGF < 10th percentile, sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 90th percentile, sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 38 and the competing-risks model for SGA, using combinations of maternal risk factors and Z-scores of estimated fetal weight (EFW) with multiples of the median values of uterine artery pulsatility index, PlGF and sFlt-1, were estimated. The detection rates by the different methods of screening were compared using McNemar's test.

RESULTS

In the study population of 29 035 women, prediction of growth-related neonatal morbidity at term provided by the competing-risks model was superior to that of screening by low PlGF concentration or a high sFlt-1/PlGF concentration ratio. For example, at a screen-positive rate (SPR) of 13.1%, as defined by the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 38, the competing-risks model using maternal risk factors and EFW predicted 77.5% (95% CI, 71.7-83.3%) of SGA < 10th percentile and 89.3% (95% CI, 83.7-94.8%) of SGA < 3rd percentile with NNU admission for ≥ 48 h delivered within 4 weeks after assessment. The respective values for SGA with major neonatal morbidity were 71.4% (95% CI, 56.5-86.4%) and 90.0% (95% CI, 76.9-100%). These were significantly higher than the respective values of 41.0% (95% CI, 34.2-47.8%) (P < 0.0001), 48.8% (95% CI, 39.9-57.7%) (P < 0.0001), 37.1% (95% CI, 21.1-53.2%) (P = 0.003) and 55.0% (95% CI, 33.2-76.8%) (P = 0.035) achieved by the application of the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio > 38. At a SPR of 10.0%, as defined by PlGF < 10th percentile, the competing-risks model using maternal factors and EFW predicted 71.5% (95% CI, 65.2-77.8%) of SGA < 10th percentile and 84.3% (95% CI, 77.8-90.8%) of SGA < 3rd percentile with NNU admission for ≥ 48 h delivered within 4 weeks after assessment. The respective values for SGA with major neonatal morbidity were 68.6% (95% CI, 53.1-83.9%) and 85.0% (95% CI, 69.4-100%). These were significantly higher than the respective values of 36.5% (95% CI, 29.8-43.2%) (P < 0.0001), 46.3% (95% CI, 37.4-55.2%) (P < 0.0001), 37.1% (95% CI, 21.1-53.2%) (P = 0.003) and 55.0% (95% CI, 33.2-76.8%) (P = 0.021) achieved by the application of PlGF < 10th percentile.

CONCLUSION

At 36 weeks' gestation, the prediction of growth-related neonatal morbidity by the competing-risks model for SGA, using maternal risk factors and EFW, is superior to that of a high sFlt-1/PlGF ratio or low PlGF. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Prediction of large-for-gestational age at 36 weeks' gestation: two-dimensional ultrasound vs three-dimensional ultrasound vs magnetic resonance imaging

OBJECTIVE

To compare the performance of two-dimensional ultrasound (2D-US), three-dimensional ultrasound (3D-US) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) at 36 weeks' gestation in predicting the delivery of a large-for-gestational-age (LGA) neonate, defined as birth weight ≥ 95th percentile, in patients at high and low risk for macrosomia.

METHODS

This was a secondary analysis of a prospective observational study conducted between January 2017 and February 2019. Women with a singleton pregnancy at 36 weeks' gestation underwent 2D-US, 3D-US and MRI within 15 min for estimation of fetal weight. Weight estimations and birth weight were plotted on a growth curve to obtain percentiles for comparison. Participants were considered high risk if they had at least one of the following risk factors: diabetes mellitus, estimated fetal weight ≥ 90th percentile at the routine third-trimester ultrasound examination, obesity (prepregnancy body mass index ≥ 30 kg/m2) or excessive weight gain during pregnancy. The outcome was the diagnostic performance of each modality in the prediction of birth weight ≥ 95th percentile, expressed as the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity and positive and negative predictive values.

RESULTS

A total of 965 women were included, of whom 533 (55.23%) were high risk and 432 (44.77%) were low risk. In the low-risk group, the AUCs for birth weight ≥ 95th percentile were 0.982 for MRI, 0.964 for 2D-US and 0.962 for 3D-US; pairwise comparisons were non-significant. In the high-risk group, the AUCs were 0.959 for MRI, 0.909 for 2D-US and 0.894 for 3D-US. A statistically significant difference was noted between MRI and both 2D-US (P = 0.002) and 3D-US (P = 0.002), but not between 2D-US and 3D-US (P = 0.503). In the high-risk group, MRI had the highest sensitivity (65.79%) compared with 2D-US (36.84%, P = 0.002) and 3D-US (21.05%, P < 0.001), whereas 3D-US had the highest specificity (98.99%) compared with 2D-US (96.77%, P = 0.005) and MRI (96.97%, P = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

At 36 weeks' gestation, MRI has better performance compared with 2D-US and 3D-US in predicting birth weight ≥ 95th percentile in patients at high risk for macrosomia, whereas the performance of 2D-US and 3D-US is comparable. For low-risk patients, the three modalities perform similarly. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Validation of Fetal Medicine Foundation competing-risks model for small-for-gestational-age neonate in early third trimester

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the new 36-week Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) competing-risks model for the prediction of small-for-gestational age (SGA) at an earlier gestation of 30 + 0 to 34 + 0 weeks.

METHODS

This was a retrospective multicenter cohort study of prospectively collected data on 3012 women with a singleton pregnancy undergoing ultrasound examination at 30 + 0 to 34 + 0 weeks' gestation as part of a universal screening program. We used the default FMF competing-risks model for prediction of SGA at 36 weeks' gestation combining maternal factors (age, obstetric and medical history, weight, height, smoking status, race, mode of conception), estimated fetal weight (EFW) and uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) to calculate risks for different cut-offs of birth-weight percentile and gestational age at delivery. We examined the accuracy of the model by means of discrimination and calibration.

RESULTS

The prediction of SGA < 3rd percentile improved with the addition of UtA-PI and with a shorter examination-to-delivery interval. For a 10% false-positive rate, maternal factors, EFW and UtA-PI predicted 88.0%, 74.4% and 72.8% of SGA < 3rd percentile delivered at < 37, < 40 and < 42 weeks' gestation, respectively. The respective values for SGA < 10th percentile were 86.1%, 69.3% and 66.2%. In terms of population stratification, if the biomarkers used are EFW and UtA-PI and the aim is to detect 90% of SGA < 10th percentile, then 10.8% of the population should be scanned within 2 weeks after the initial assessment, an additional 7.2% (total screen-positive rate (SPR), 18.0%) should be scanned within 2-4 weeks after the initial assessment and an additional 11.7% (total SPR, 29.7%) should be examined within 4-6 weeks after the initial assessment. The new model was well calibrated.

CONCLUSIONS

The 36-week FMF competing-risks model for SGA is also applicable and accurate at 30 + 0 to 34 + 0 weeks and provides effective risk stratification, especially for cases leading to delivery < 37 weeks of gestation. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Incidence of neonatal morbidity in small-for-gestational-age twins based on singleton and twin charts

OBJECTIVE

To compare morbidity, as measured by length of stay in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU), in twin and singleton gestations classified as small-for-gestational age (SGA) according to estimated fetal weight < 10th percentile on twin or singleton growth charts.

METHODS

NICU length of stay was compared in 1150 twins and 29 035 singletons that underwent ultrasound assessment between 35 + 0 and 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. Estimated fetal weight was obtained from measurements of head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length using the Hadlock formula. Gestational age was derived from the first-trimester crown-rump length measurement, using the larger of the two twins. Singletons and twins were compared in terms of NICU admission rate and length of stay according to classification as SGA by the Fetal Medicine Foundation singleton and twin reference distributions.

RESULTS

The overall proportions of twins and singletons admitted to NICU were similar (7.3% vs 7.4%), but twins tended to have longer lengths of stay in NICU (≥ 7 days: 2.4% vs 0.8%; relative risk (RR), 3.0 (95% CI, 1.6-4.4)). Using the singleton chart, a higher proportion of twins were classified as SGA compared with singletons (37.6% vs 7.0%). However, the proportion of SGA neonates entering NICU was similar (10.2% for twins and 10.1% for singletons) and the proportion of SGA neonates spending ≥ 7 days in NICU was substantially higher for twins compared with singletons (3.7% vs 1.4%; RR, 2.6 (95% CI, 1.4-4.7)).

CONCLUSIONS

When singleton charts are used to define SGA in twins and in singletons, there is a greater degree of growth-related neonatal morbidity amongst SGA twins compared with SGA singletons. Consequently, singleton charts do not inappropriately overdiagnose fetal growth restriction in twins and they should be used for monitoring fetal growth in both twins and singletons. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Fetal Medicine Foundation charts for fetal growth in twins

OBJECTIVE

To derive reference distributions of estimated fetal weight (EFW) in twins relative to singletons.

METHODS

Gestational-age- and chorionicity-specific reference distributions for singleton percentiles and EFW were fitted to data on 4391 twin pregnancies with two liveborn fetuses from four European centers, including 3323 dichorionic (DC) and 1068 monochorionic diamniotic (MCDA) twin pregnancies. Gestational age was derived using the larger of the two crown-rump length measurements obtained during the first trimester of pregnancy. EFW was obtained from ultrasound measurements of head circumference, abdominal circumference and femur length using the Hadlock formula. Singleton percentiles were obtained using the Fetal Medicine Foundation population weight charts for singleton pregnancies. Hierarchical models were fitted to singleton Z-scores with autoregressive terms for serial correlations within the same fetus and between twins from the same pregnancy. Separate models were fitted for DC and MCDA twins.

RESULTS

Fetuses from twin pregnancies tended to be smaller than singletons at the earliest gestational ages (16 weeks for MCDA and 20 weeks for DC twins). This was followed by a period of catch-up growth until around 24 weeks. After that, both DC and MCDA twins showed reduced growth. In DC twins, the EFW corresponding to the 50th percentile was at the 50th percentile of singleton pregnancies at 23 weeks, the 43rd percentile at 28 weeks, the 32nd percentile at 32 weeks and the 22nd percentile at 36 weeks. In MCDA twins, the EFW corresponding to the 50th percentile was at the 36th percentile of singleton pregnancies at 24 weeks, the 29th percentile at 28 weeks, the 19th percentile at 32 weeks and the 12th percentile at 36 weeks.

CONCLUSIONS

In DC and, to a greater extent, MCDA twin pregnancies, fetal growth is reduced compared with that observed in singleton pregnancies. Furthermore, after 24 weeks, the divergence in growth trajectories between twin and singleton pregnancies becomes more pronounced as gestational age increases. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Fetal Ultrasound Segmentation and Measurements Using Appearance and Shape Prior Based Density Regression with Deep CNN and Robust Ellipse Fitting

Accurately segmenting the structure of the fetal head (FH) and performing biometry measurements, including head circumference (HC) estimation, stands as a vital requirement for addressing abnormal fetal growth during pregnancy under the expertise of experienced radiologists using ultrasound (US) images. However, accurate segmentation and measurement is a challenging task due to image artifact, incomplete ellipse fitting, and fluctuations due to FH dimensions over different trimesters. Also, it is highly time-consuming due to the absence of specialized features, which leads to low segmentation accuracy. To address these challenging tasks, we propose an automatic density regression approach to incorporate appearance and shape priors into the deep learning-based network model (DR-ASPnet) with robust ellipse fitting using fetal US images. Initially, we employed multiple pre-processing steps to remove unwanted distortions, variable fluctuations, and a clear view of significant features from the US images. Then some form of augmentation operation is applied to increase the diversity of the dataset. Next, we proposed the hierarchical density regression deep convolutional neural network (HDR-DCNN) model, which involves three network models to determine the complex location of FH for accurate segmentation during the training and testing processes. Then, we used post-processing operations using contrast enhancement filtering with a morphological operation model to smooth the region and remove unnecessary artifacts from the segmentation results. After post-processing, we applied the smoothed segmented result to the robust ellipse fitting-based least square (REFLS) method for HC estimation. Experimental results of the DR-ASPnet model obtain 98.86% dice similarity coefficient (DSC) as segmentation accuracy, and it also obtains 1.67 mm absolute distance (AD) as measurement accuracy compared to other state-of-the-art methods. Finally, we achieved a 0.99 correlation coefficient (CC) in estimating the measured and predicted HC values on the HC18 dataset.

Performance of fetal ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging in predicting birthweight according to the test-to-delivery interval: A cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To assess the influence of the test-to-delivery interval (TDI) on the performance of ultrasound (US) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for predicting birthweight (BW).

STUDY DESIGN

This is a secondary analysis of a prospective, single center, blinded cohort study that compared MRI and US for the prediction of BW ≥ 95th percentile in singleton pregnancies. Patients that were included in the initial study underwent US and MRI for estimation of fetal weight between 36 + 0/7 and 36 + 6/7 weeks of gestation (WG). The primary outcome of the current study was to report the changes of US and MRI sensitivity and specificity in the prediction of BW > 95th percentile, BW > 90th percentile, BW < 10th percentile, and BW < 5th percentile, according to the TDI. The secondary outcome was to represent the performance of both tools in the prediction of BW > 90th percentile when TDI is<2 weeks, between 2 and 4 weeks, and>4 weeks. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed accordingly.

RESULTS

2378 patients were eligible for final analysis. For the prediction of BW > 95th or 90th percentile, the sensitivity of MRI remains high until 2 weeks, and it decreases slowly between 2 and 4 weeks, in contrast to the sensitivity of US which decreases rapidly 2 weeks after examination (p < 0.001). For the prediction of BW < 10th or 5th percentile, the sensitivity of both tools decreases in parallel between 1 and 2 weeks. The specificities of both tools remain high from examination till delivery. These findings are reproducible with the use of the antenatal customized and the postnatal national growth charts.

CONCLUSION

The performance of MRI in the prediction of BW, especially in large-for-gestational age, is maximal when delivery occurs within two weeks of the examination, decreasing slightly thereafter, in contrast with the performance of US which decreases drastically over time.

Deep learning for estimation of fetal weight throughout the pregnancy from fetal abdominal ultrasound

BACKGROUND

Fetal weight is currently estimated from fetal biometry parameters using heuristic mathematical formulas. Fetal biometry requires measurements of the fetal head, abdomen, and femur. However, this examination is prone to inter- and intraobserver variability because of factors, such as the experience of the operator, image quality, maternal characteristics, or fetal movements. Our study tested the hypothesis that a deep learning method can estimate fetal weight based on a video scan of the fetal abdomen and gestational age with similar performance to the full biometry-based estimations provided by clinical experts.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to develop and test a deep learning method to automatically estimate fetal weight from fetal abdominal ultrasound video scans.

STUDY DESIGN

A dataset of 900 routine fetal ultrasound examinations was used. Among those examinations, 800 retrospective ultrasound video scans of the fetal abdomen from 700 pregnant women between 15 6/7 and 41 0/7 weeks of gestation were used to train the deep learning model. After the training phase, the model was evaluated on an external prospectively acquired test set of 100 scans from 100 pregnant women between 16 2/7 and 38 0/7 weeks of gestation. The deep learning model was trained to directly estimate fetal weight from ultrasound video scans of the fetal abdomen. The deep learning estimations were compared with manual measurements on the test set made by 6 human readers with varying levels of expertise. Human readers used standard 3 measurements made on the standard planes of the head, abdomen, and femur and heuristic formula to estimate fetal weight. The Bland-Altman analysis, mean absolute percentage error, and intraclass correlation coefficient were used to evaluate the performance and robustness of the deep learning method and were compared with human readers.

RESULTS

Bland-Altman analysis did not show systematic deviations between readers and deep learning. The mean and standard deviation of the mean absolute percentage error between 6 human readers and the deep learning approach was 3.75%±2.00%. Excluding junior readers (residents), the mean absolute percentage error between 4 experts and the deep learning approach was 2.59%±1.11%. The intraclass correlation coefficients reflected excellent reliability and varied between 0.9761 and 0.9865.

CONCLUSION

This study reports the use of deep learning to estimate fetal weight using only ultrasound video of the fetal abdomen from fetal biometry scans. Our experiments demonstrated similar performance of human measurements and deep learning on prospectively acquired test data. Deep learning is a promising approach to directly estimate fetal weight using ultrasound video scans of the fetal abdomen.

An evaluation of systematic and random errors in ultrasound estimated fetal weight during serial ultrasound

Introduction

Ultrasound estimated fetal weight is increasingly being used in the monitoring of fetal growth. Large systematic and random errors in estimated fetal weight have been reported; these may have an impact on the accuracy of fetal growth monitoring. The aim of this study was to attempt to evaluate these systematic and random errors by analysis of serial ultrasound data.

Methods

Ultrasound measurements and birthweights were retrospectively collected for 100 unselected patients who had undergone serial ultrasound. Birthweights were used to calculate expected fetal growth trajectories using a method for generating growth charts based on customised birthweights. Estimated fetal weight results were then compared with the expected growth trajectories to evaluate systematic and random differences.

Results

Incomplete measurement sets were excluded, reducing the number of scans to less than three for 13 subjects. A further 17 subjects with suspected pathological growth trajectories were excluded. The final analysis included 70 subjects with a total of 246 scans. The mean difference between estimated fetal weight and expected weight over three to six scans ranged from -17.5% to 38.3% with a mean of 8.4%, representing the systematic difference. The standard deviation of these differences ranged from 0.4% to 21% with a mean of 4.3%, representing random difference.

Conclusion

Systematic and random differences between estimated fetal weight and expected fetal weight are significant and make interpretation of fetal growth difficult. Further improvements to formulae and growth curves are required and audit of fetal measurements is essential to service improvement.

The impact of different growth charts on birthweight prediction: obstetrical ultrasound vs magnetic resonance imaging

BACKGROUND

The estimation of fetal weight by fetal magnetic resonance imaging is a simple and rapid method with a high sensitivity in predicting birthweight in comparison with ultrasound. Several national and international growth charts are currently in use, but there is substantial heterogeneity among these charts due to variations in the selected populations from which they were derived, in methodologies, and in statistical analysis of data.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to compare the performance of magnetic resonance imaging and ultrasound for the prediction of birthweight using 3 commonly used fetal growth charts: the INTERGROWTH-21st Project, World Health Organization, and Fetal Medicine Foundation charts.

STUDY DESIGN

Data derived from a prospective, single-center, blinded cohort study that compared the performance of magnetic resonance imaging and ultrasound between 36+0/7 and 36+6/7 weeks of gestation for the prediction of birthweight ≥95th percentile were reanalyzed. Estimated fetal weight was categorized as above or below the 5th, 10th, 90th, and 95th percentile according to the 3 growth charts. Birthweight was similarly categorized according to the birthweight standards of each chart. The performances of ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging for the prediction of birthweight <5th, <10th, >90th, and >95th percentile using the different growth charts were compared. Data were analyzed with R software, version 4.1.2. The comparison of sensitivity and specificity was done using McNemar and exact binomial tests. P values <.05 were considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

A total of 2378 women were eligible for final analysis. Ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging were performed at a median gestational age of 36+3/7 weeks, delivery occurred at a median gestational age of 39+3/7 weeks, and median birthweight was 3380 g. The incidences of birthweight <5th and <10th percentiles were highest with the Fetal Medicine Foundation chart and lowest with the INTERGROWTH-21st chart, whereas the incidences of birthweight >90th and >95th percentiles were lowest with the Fetal Medicine Foundation chart and highest with the INTERGROWTH-21st chart. The sensitivity of magnetic resonance imaging with an estimated fetal weight >95th percentile in the prediction of birthweight >95th percentile was significantly higher than that of ultrasound across the 3 growth charts; however, its specificity was slightly lower than that of ultrasound. In contrast, the sensitivity of magnetic resonance imaging with an estimated fetal weight <10th percentile for predicting birthweight <10th percentile was significantly lower than that of ultrasound in the INTERGROWTH-21st and Fetal Medicine Foundation charts, whereas the specificity and positive predictive value of magnetic resonance imaging were significantly higher than those of ultrasound for all 3 charts. Findings for the prediction of birthweight >90th percentile were close to those of birthweight >95th percentile, and findings for the prediction of birthweight <5th percentile were close to those of birthweight <10th percentile.

CONCLUSION

The sensitivity of magnetic resonance imaging is superior to that of ultrasound for the prediction of large for gestational age fetuses and inferior to that of ultrasound for the prediction of small for gestational age fetuses across the 3 different growth charts. The reverse is true for the specificity of magnetic resonance imaging in comparison with that of ultrasound.

Prediction of adverse perinatal outcome at midgestation

OBJECTIVES

First, to investigate the association between adverse neonatal outcomes and birth weight and gestational age at delivery. Second, to describe the distribution of adverse neonatal outcomes within different risk strata derived by a population stratification scheme based on the midgestation risk assessment for small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonates using a competing-risks model.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational cohort study in women with a singleton pregnancy attending a routine hospital visit at 19 + 0 to 23 + 6 weeks' gestation. The incidence of neonatal unit (NNU) admission for ≥ 48 h was evaluated within different birth-weight-percentile subgroups. The pregnancy-specific risk of delivery with SGA < 10th percentile at < 37 weeks was estimated by the competing-risks model for SGA, combining maternal factors and the likelihood functions of Z-score of sonographically estimated fetal weight and uterine artery pulsatility index multiples of the median. The population was stratified into six risk categories: > 1 in 4, > 1 in 10 to ≤ 1 in 4, > 1 in 30 to ≤ 1 in 10, > 1 in 50 to ≤ 1 in 30, > 1 in 100 to ≤ 1 in 50 and ≤ 1 in 100. The outcome measures were admission to the NNU for a minimum of 48 h, perinatal death and major neonatal morbidity. The incidence of each adverse outcome was estimated in each risk stratum.

RESULTS

In the study population of 40 241 women, 0.8%, 2.5%, 10.8%, 10.2%, 19.0% and 56.7% were in the risk strata > 1 in 4, > 1 in 10 to ≤ 1 in 4, > 1 in 30 to ≤ 1 in 10, > 1 in 50 to ≤ 1 in 30, > 1 in 100 to ≤ 1 in 50 and ≤ 1 in 100, respectively. Women in higher-risk strata were more likely to deliver a baby that suffered an adverse outcome. The incidence of NNU admission for ≥ 48 h was highest in the > 1 in 4 risk stratum (31.9% (95% CI, 26.9-36.9%)) and it gradually decreased until the ≤ 1 in 100 risk stratum (5.6% (95% CI, 5.3-5.9%)). The mean gestational age at delivery in SGA cases with NNU admission for ≥ 48 h was 32.9 (95% CI, 32.2-33.7) weeks for risk stratum > 1 in 4 and progressively increased to 37.5 (95% CI, 36.8-38.2) weeks for risk stratum ≤ 1 in 100. The incidence of NNU admission for ≥ 48 h was highest for neonates with birth weight below the 1st percentile (25.7% (95% CI, 23.0-28.5%)) and decreased progressively until the 25th to < 75th percentile interval (5.4% (95% CI, 5.1-5.7%)). Preterm SGA neonates < 10th percentile had significantly higher incidence of NNU admission for ≥ 48 h compared with preterm non-SGA neonates (48.7% (95% CI, 45.0-52.4%) vs 40.9% (95% CI, 38.5-43.3%); P < 0.001). Similarly, term SGA neonates < 10th percentile had significantly higher incidence of NNU admission for ≥ 48 h compared with term non-SGA neonates (5.8% (95% CI, 5.1-6.5%) vs 4.2% (95% CI, 4.0-4.4%); P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Birth weight has a continuous association with the incidence of adverse neonatal outcomes, which is affected by gestational age. Pregnancies at high risk of SGA, estimated at midgestation, are also at increased risk for adverse neonatal outcomes. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

External validation of Fetal Medicine Foundation competing-risks model for midgestation prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates in Spanish population

OBJECTIVE

To examine the external validity of the new Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) competing-risks model for prediction in midgestation of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonates.

METHODS

This was a single-center prospective cohort study of 25 484 women with a singleton pregnancy undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 19 + 0 to 23 + 6 weeks' gestation. The FMF competing-risks model for the prediction of SGA combining maternal factors and midgestation estimated fetal weight by ultrasound scan (EFW) and uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) was used to calculate risks for different cut-offs of birth-weight percentile and gestational age at delivery. The predictive performance was evaluated in terms of discrimination and calibration.

RESULTS

The validation cohort was significantly different in composition compared with the FMF cohort in which the model was developed. In the validation cohort, at a 10% false-positive rate (FPR), maternal factors, EFW and UtA-PI yielded detection rates of 69.6%, 38.7% and 31.7% for SGA < 10th percentile with delivery at < 32, < 37 and ≥ 37 weeks' gestation, respectively. The respective values for SGA < 3rd percentile were 75.7%, 48.2% and 38.1%. Detection rates in the validation cohort were similar to those reported in the FMF study for SGA with delivery at < 32 weeks but lower for SGA with delivery at < 37 and ≥ 37 weeks. Predictive performance in the validation cohort was similar to that reported in a subgroup of the FMF cohort consisting of nulliparous and Caucasian women. Detection rates in the validation cohort at a 15% FPR were 77.4%, 50.0% and 41.5% for SGA < 10th percentile with delivery at < 32, < 37 and ≥ 37 weeks, respectively, which were similar to the respective values reported in the FMF study at a 10% FPR. The model had satisfactory calibration.

CONCLUSION

The new competing-risks model for midgestation prediction of SGA developed by the FMF performs well in a large independent Spanish population. © 2023 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

The development of a prediction model for arrest of labour to be used at regular check-ups, during 36 or 37 gestational weeks, for primiparas: a retrospective cohort study

PURPOSE

An emergency caesarean section (CS) has more complications than a planned CS. The arrest of labour is a major indication for an emergency CS. This study aimed to develop a prediction model for the arrest of labour to be used in regular check-ups at 36 or 37 gestational weeks for primiparas.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study conducted at a single institution in Japan using data from January 2007 to December 2013. Primiparas attending regular check-ups during 36 or 37 gestational weeks, with live single foetuses in a cephalic presentation were included. The outcome was the incidence of labour arrest. Candidate predictors included 25 maternal and foetal findings. We developed a prediction model using logistic regression analysis with stepwise selection. A score was assigned to each predictor of the final model based on their respective β coefficients.

RESULTS

A total of 739 women were included in the analysis. Arrest of labour was diagnosed in 47 women (6.4%), and all of them delivered by emergency CS. The predictors in the final model were a Bishop score ≤ 1, maternal height ≤ 154 cm, foetal biparietal diameter ≥ 91 mm, pre-pregnancy weight ≥ 54 kg, maternal haemoglobin concentration ≥ 11.0 g/dl, and amniotic fluid index ≥ 13. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.783.

CONCLUSION

We have developed the first model to predict arrested labour before its onset. Although this model requires validation using external samples, it will help clinicians and pregnant women to control gestational conditions and make decisions regarding planned CS.

Personalized stratification of pregnancy care for small for gestational age neonates from biophysical markers at midgestation

BACKGROUND

Antenatal identification of pregnancies at high risk of delivering small for gestational age neonates may improve the management of the condition and reduce the associated adverse perinatal outcomes. In a series of publications, we have developed a new competing-risks model for small for gestational age prediction, and we demonstrated that the new approach has a superior performance to that of the traditional methods. The next step in shaping the appropriate management of small for gestational age is the timely assessment of these high-risk pregnancies according to an antenatal stratification plan.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to demonstrate the stratification of pregnancy care based on individual patient risk derived from the application of the competing-risks model for small for gestational age that combines maternal factors with sonographic estimated fetal weight and uterine artery pulsatility index at midgestation.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a prospective observational study of 96,678 singleton pregnancies undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 19 to 24 weeks of gestation, which included recording of estimated fetal weight and measurement of uterine artery pulsatility index. The competing-risks model for small for gestational age was used to create a patient-specific stratification curve capable to define a specific timing for a repeated ultrasound examination after 24 weeks. We examined different stratification plans with the intention of detecting approximately 80%, 85%, 90%, and 95% of small for gestational age neonates with birthweight <3rd and <10th percentiles at any gestational age at delivery until 36 weeks; all pregnancies would be offered a routine ultrasound examination at 36 weeks.

RESULTS

The stratification of pregnancy care for small for gestational age can be based on a patient-specific stratification curve. Factors from maternal history, low estimated fetal weight, and increased uterine artery pulsatility index shift the personalized risk curve toward higher risks. The degree of shifting defines the timing for assessment for each pregnancy. If the objective of our antenatal plan was to detect 80%, 85%, 90%, and 95% of small for gestational age neonates at any gestational age at delivery until 36 weeks, the median (range) proportions (percentages) of population examined per week would be 3.15 (1.9-3.7), 3.85 (2.7-4.5), 4.75 (4.0-5.4), and 6.45 (3.7-8.0) for small for gestational age <3rd percentile and 3.8 (2.5-4.6), 4.6 (3.6-5.4), 5.7 (3.8-6.4), and 7.35 (3.3-9.8) for small for gestational age <10th percentile, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The competing-risks model provides an effective personalized continuous stratification of pregnancy care for small for gestational age which is based on individual characteristics and biophysical marker levels recorded at the midgestation scan.

Perinatal and Maternal Outcomes According to the Accurate Term Antepartum Ultrasound Estimation of Extreme Fetal Weights

(1) Background: The accuracy of ultrasound estimation of fetal weight (EFW) at term may be useful in addressing obstetric complications since birth weight (BW) is a parameter that represents an important prognostic factor for perinatal and maternal morbidity. (2) Methods: In a retrospective cohort study of 2156 women with a singleton pregnancy, it is verified whether or not perinatal and maternal morbidity differs between extreme BWs estimated at term by ultrasound within the seven days prior to birth with Accurate EFW (difference < 10% between EFW and BW) and those with Non-Accurate EFW (difference ≥ 10% between EFW and BW). (3) Results: Significantly worse perinatal outcomes (according to different variables such as higher rate of arterial pH at birth < 7.20, higher rate of 1-min Apgar < 7, higher rate of 5-min Apgar < 7, higher grade of neonatal resuscitation and need for admission to the neonatal care unit) were found for extreme BW estimated by antepartum ultrasounds with Non-Accurate EFW compared with those with Accurate EFW. This was the case when extreme BWs were compared according to percentile distribution by sex and gestational age following the national reference growth charts (small for gestational age and large for gestational age), and when they were compared according to weight range (low birth weight and high birth weight). (4) Conclusions: Clinicians should make a greater effort when performing EFW by ultrasound at term in cases of suspected extreme fetal weights, and need to take an increasingly prudent approach to its management.

Is accuracy of estimated fetal weight improved by better image quality scores?

OBJECTIVE

To assess in a group of ultrasound operators of various levels of experience the predictive value of systematic quality scoring to assess estimated fetal weight (EFW) validity.

METHODS

Screenshots, sonographer experience, and neonate birth weight were collected for 131 ultrasound examinations in the 7 days before birth. The difference (EFW error) between projected birth weight (EFW + [30 g × interval in days to birth]) and actual birth weight was then assessed (absolute value). Three senior sonographers rated all the screenshots (International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology 16-point score for image quality) and interobserver reproducibility was assessed concomitantly. The impact of the score on EFW accuracy was then assessed (univariate analysis). Receiver operating characteristic curves allowed us to assess the score's positive predictive value (PPV) for accurate EFW.

RESULTS

Mean birth weight was 2998 ± 954 g and mean EFW error was 8.6% ± 7.1%. Both the sonographer's experience and score significantly impacted the EFW error (P < 0.05). The PPVs of systematic image scores for identifying an EFW error greater than 10% and greater than 15% were appropriate for clinical use (areas under the curve 0.61 and 0.70, respectively). Score reproducibility was modest.

CONCLUSION

Low image scores and limited ultrasound expertise are associated with an increased risk of inaccurate EFW.

Maternal urinary bisphenols and phthalates in relation to estimated fetal weight across mid to late pregnancy

BACKGROUND

Bisphenols and phthalates are high production volume chemicals used as additives in a variety of plastic consumer products leading to near ubiquitous human exposure. These chemicals have established endocrine disrupting properties and have been linked to a range of adverse reproductive and developmental outcomes. Here, we investigated exposure in relation to fetal growth.

METHODS

Participants included 855 mother-fetal pairs enrolled in the population-based New York University Children's Health and Environment Study (NYU CHES). Bisphenols and phthalates were measured in maternal urine collected repeatedly during pregnancy. Analyses included 15 phthalate metabolites and 2 bisphenols that were detected in 50 % of participants or more. Fetal biometry data were extracted from electronic ultrasonography records and estimated fetal weight (EFW) was predicted for all fetuses at 20, 30, and 36 weeks gestation. We used quantile regression adjusted for covariates to model exposure-outcome relations across percentiles of fetal weight at each gestational timepoint. We examined sex differences using stratified models.

RESULTS

Few statistically significant associations were observed across chemicals, gestational time periods, percentiles, and sexes. However, within gestational timepoints, we found that among females, the molar sums of the phthalates DiNP and DnOP were generally associated with decreases in EFW among smaller babies and increases in EFW among larger babies. Among males, the opposite trend was observed. However, confidence intervals were generally wide at the tails of the distribution.

CONCLUSION

In this sample, exposure to bisphenols and phthalates was associated with small sex-specific shifts in fetal growth; however, few associations were observed at the median of fetal weight and confidence intervals in the tails were wide. Findings were strongest for DiNP and DnOP, which are increasingly used as replacements for DEHP, supporting the need for future research on these contaminants.

Accuracy and precision of sonographic fetal weight estimation in Sweden

INTRODUCTION

Fetal growth assessment by ultrasound is an essential part of modern obstetric care. The formula by Persson and Weldner for estimated fetal weight (EFW), used in Sweden since decades, has not yet been evaluated. The objective of this study was to evaluate accuracy and precision of the formula by Persson and Weldner, and to compare it to two other formulae using biparietal diameter instead of head circumference.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The study population consisted of 31 521 singleton pregnancies delivered at 22⁺⁰ gestational weeks or later, with an ultrasound EFW performed within 2 days before delivery, registered in the Swedish Pregnancy Register between 2014 and 2021. Fetal biometric ultrasound measurements were used to calculate EFW according to the formulae by Persson and Weldner, Hadlock 2 and Shepard. Bland-Altman analysis, systematic error (mean percentage error), random error (standard deviation [SD] of mean percentage error), proportion of weight estimates within ±10% of birthweight, and proportion with underestimated and overestimated weight was calculated. Moreover, calculations were made after stratification into small, appropriate, and large for gestational age (SGA, AGA and LGA), respectively, and gestational age at examination.

RESULTS

For the formula by Persson and Weldner, MPE was -2.7 (SD 8.9) and the proportion of EFW within ±10% from actual birthweight was 76.0%. MPE was largest for fetuses estimated as severe SGA (<3rd percentile, -5.4) and for the most preterm fetuses (<24 weeks, -5.4). For Hadlock 2 and Shepard's formulae, MPE were 3.9 (SD 8.9) and 3.4 (SD 9.7), respectively, and the proportions of EFW within ±10% from actual birthweight were 69.4% and 67.1%, respectively. MPE was largest for fetuses estimated as severe LGA (>97th percentile), 7.6 and 9.4, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The recommended Swedish formula by Persson and Weldner is generally accurate for fetal weight estimation. The systematic underestimation of EFW and random error is largest in extreme preterm and estimated SGA-fetuses, which is of importance in clinical decision making. The accuracy of EFW with the formula by Persson and Weldner is as good as or better than Hadlock 2 and Shepard's formulae.

Insights into Prevention of Health Complications in Small for Gestational Age (SGA) Births in Relation to Maternal Characteristics: A Narrative Review

Small for gestational age (SGA) births are a significant clinical and public health issue. The objective of this review was to summarize maternal biological and socio-demographic factors and preventive strategies used to reduce the risk of SGA births. A literature search encompassing data from the last 15 years was conducted using electronic databases MEDLINE/PubMed, Google Scholar and Scopus to review risk factors and preventive strategies for SGA. Current evidence shows that primiparity, previous stillbirths, maternal age ≤24 and ≥35 years, single motherhood, low socio-economic status, smoking and cannabis use during pregnancy confer a significant risk of SGA births. Studies on alcohol consumption during pregnancy and SGA birth weight are inconclusive. Beneficial and preventive factors include the "Mediterranean diet" and dietary intake of vegetables. Periconceptional folic acid supplementation, maternal 25-hydroxyvitamin D, zinc and iron levels are partly associated with birth weight. No significant associations between COVID-19 vaccinations and birthweight are reported. A midwifery-led model based on early and extensive prenatal care reduces the risk of SGA births in women with low socio-economic status. Major preventive measures relate to the awareness of modifiable and non-modifiable risk factors of SGA, leading to changes in parents' lifestyles. These data support that education, monitoring during pregnancy, and implementing preventive strategies are as important as biological determinants in risk reduction of SGA births.

Ultrasonographic fetal thigh measurement in the estimation of fetal weight based on Isobe's formula in women with an engaged fetal head in the pelvis: a comparative study

PURPOSE

Because of the inaccuracy of the biparietal diameter in cases with an engaged fetal head in the pelvis, measuring the estimated fetal weigh (EFW) using Hadlock's formula could be compromised in these cases. The aim of this prospective study is to determine the accuracy of using only two thigh parameters, the femur length (FL) and the cross-sectional area of the thigh (CSAT) (Isobe's formula), in detecting the fetal weight of both engaged pelvis fetuses and non-engaged head fetuses and to compare this method with Hadlock's formula in both groups using the actual birth weight as a gold standard.

METHODS

The study included 51 cases with an engaged fetal head and 51 cases with a non-engaged fetal head that came in active labour. 2D ultrasonography examination was performed to determine the EFW using both Hadlock's formula and Isobe's formula. The EFW was then compared with the actual birth weight after delivery.

RESULTS

There was a strong positive correlation between Isobe's formula and the actual birth weight in the engaged fetal head group (r = 0.993, p < 0.01), but there was a strong positive correlation between Hadlock's formula and the actual birth weight in the non-engaged fetal head group (r = 0.994, p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

We concluded that Isobe's formula is convenient in predicting the fetal weight, especially when head measurements are difficult to assess (in the engaged fetal head group). It can be used with 2D ultrasonography as an alternative to Hadlock's formula in cases with an engaged fetal head in the pelvis.

Automatic Segmentation of the Fetus in 3D Magnetic Resonance Images Using Deep Learning: Accurate and Fast Fetal Volume Quantification for Clinical Use

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) provides images for estimating fetal volume and weight, but manual delineations are time consuming. The aims were to (1) validate an algorithm to automatically quantify fetal volume by MRI; (2) compare fetal weight by Hadlock's formulas to that of MRI; and (3) quantify fetal blood flow and index flow to fetal weight by MRI. Forty-two fetuses at 36 (29-39) weeks gestation underwent MRI. A neural network was trained to segment the fetus, with 20 datasets for training and validation, and 22 for testing. Hadlock's formulas 1-4 with biometric parameters from MRI were compared with weight by MRI. Blood flow was measured using phase-contrast MRI and indexed to fetal weight. Bland-Altman analysis assessed the agreement between automatic and manual fetal segmentation and the agreement between Hadlock's formulas and fetal segmentation for fetal weight. Bias and 95% limits of agreement were for automatic versus manual measurements 4.5 ± 351 ml (0.01% ± 11%), and for Hadlock 1-4 vs MRI 108 ± 435 g (3% ± 14%), 211 ± 468 g (7% ± 15%), 106 ± 425 g (4% ± 14%), and 179 ± 472 g (6% ± 15%), respectively. Umbilical venous flow was 406 (range 151-650) ml/min (indexed 162 (range 52-220) ml/min/kg), and descending aortic flow was 763 (range 481-1160) ml/min (indexed 276 (range 189-386) ml/min/kg). The automatic method showed good agreement with manual measurements and saves considerable analysis time. Hadlock 1-4 generally agree with MRI. This study also illustrates the confounding effects of fetal weight on absolute blood flow, and emphasizes the benefit of indexed measurements for physiological assessment.

Competing-risks model for prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonate at 36 weeks' gestation

OBJECTIVES

To develop further a competing-risks model for the prediction of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate by including sonographically estimated fetal weight (EFW) and biomarkers of impaired placentation at 36 weeks' gestation, and to compare the performance of the new model with that of the traditional EFW < 10^th percentile cut-off.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational study in 29 035 women with a singleton pregnancy undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation. A competing-risks model for the prediction of a SGA neonate was used. The parameters included in the prior-history model were provided in previous studies. An interaction continuous model was used for the EFW likelihood. A folded plane regression model was fitted to describe likelihoods of biomarkers of impaired placentation. Stratification plans were also developed. The new model was evaluated and compared with EFW percentile cut-offs.

RESULTS

The performance of the model was better for predicting SGA neonates delivered closer to the point of assessment. The prediction provided by maternal factors alone was improved significantly by the addition of EFW, uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and placental growth factor (PlGF) but not by mean arterial pressure or soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1. At a 10% false-positive rate, maternal factors and EFW predicted 77.6% and 65.8% of SGA neonates < 10^th percentile delivered before 38 and 42 weeks, respectively. The respective figures for SGA < 3^rd percentile were 85.5% and 74.2%. Addition of UtA-PI and PlGF resulted in marginal improvement in prediction of SGA < 3^rd percentile requiring imminent delivery. A competing-risks approach that combines maternal factors and EFW performed better when compared with fixed EFW percentile cut-offs at predicting a SGA neonate, especially with increasing time interval between assessment and delivery. The new model was well-calibrated.

CONCLUSIONS

A competing-risks model provides effective risk stratification for a SGA neonate at 35 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks' gestation and is superior to EFW percentile cut-offs. The use of biomarkers of impaired placentation in addition to maternal factors and fetal biometry results in small improvement of the predictive performance for a neonate with severe SGA. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

sFlt-1 to PlGF ratio cut-offs to predict adverse pregnancy outcomes in early-onset FGR and SGA: a prospective observational study

This is a prospective, observational study, conducted in a tertiary referral hospital. We enrolled 175 singleton pregnancies with estimated foetal weight below the 10th centile between 20 + 0 and 31 + 6 weeks. Placental growth factor (PlGF), soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) and fetoplacental circulation were assessed at the time of diagnosis. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to assess the performance of sFlt-1/PlGF for predicting adverse perinatal outcomes (APO). The optimal cut-offs to predict each adverse outcome were calculated and the resulting areas under the curve (AUC) were compared to those calculated from the cut-off points of 38, 85 and 110. The need for delivery at <30 and <34 weeks and APO were the main outcome measures. The optimal cut-off points to predict APO, delivery <30 and <34 weeks were 24.9, 116.7 and 97.5, respectively. None of them proved to be superior to 38, 85 or 110 for predicting any adverse pregnancy outcome. Impact StatementWhat is already known on this subject? Soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) and placental growth factor (PlGF) are biomarkers of placental dysfunction. High sFlt-1/PlGF values predict adverse perinatal outcomes in preeclampsia (PE).What do the results of this study add? No specific thresholds have been described to identify early-onset foetal growth restriction (FGR) and small for gestational age (SGA) foetuses at higher risk of adverse outcomes. This study describes these specific cut-offs and compares their predictive capacity to those described for PE.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? The sFlt-1/PlGF cut-off points of 38, 85 and 110 might be useful for ruling out the occurrence of APO and the need for elective delivery at <30 and at <34 weeks from the moment of diagnosis in early-onset FGR and SGA. These cut-offs could aid Doppler studies in the distinction between FGR and SGA.

Ensemble Transfer Learning for Fetal Head Analysis: From Segmentation to Gestational Age and Weight Prediction

Ultrasound is one of the most commonly used imaging methodologies in obstetrics to monitor the growth of a fetus during the gestation period. Specifically, ultrasound images are routinely utilized to gather fetal information, including body measurements, anatomy structure, fetal movements, and pregnancy complications. Recent developments in artificial intelligence and computer vision provide new methods for the automated analysis of medical images in many domains, including ultrasound images. We present a full end-to-end framework for segmenting, measuring, and estimating fetal gestational age and weight based on two-dimensional ultrasound images of the fetal head. Our segmentation framework is based on the following components: (i) eight segmentation architectures (UNet, UNet Plus, Attention UNet, UNet 3+, TransUNet, FPN, LinkNet, and Deeplabv3) were fine-tuned using lightweight network EffientNetB0, and (ii) a weighted voting method for building an optimized ensemble transfer learning model (ETLM). On top of that, ETLM was used to segment the fetal head and to perform analytic and accurate measurements of circumference and seven other values of the fetal head, which we incorporated into a multiple regression model for predicting the week of gestational age and the estimated fetal weight (EFW). We finally validated the regression model by comparing our result with expert physician and longitudinal references. We evaluated the performance of our framework on the public domain dataset HC18: we obtained 98.53% mean intersection over union (mIoU) as the segmentation accuracy, overcoming the state-of-the-art methods; as measurement accuracy, we obtained a 1.87 mm mean absolute difference (MAD). Finally we obtained a 0.03% mean square error (MSE) in predicting the week of gestational age and 0.05% MSE in predicting EFW.

Detection of small- and large-for-gestational age using different combinations of prenatal and postnatal charts

OBJECTIVE

To determine the extent to which the detection rate of small-for-gestational age (SGA) and large-for-gestational age (LGA) at birth is influenced by the use of different combinations of estimated-fetal-weight (EFW) and birth-weight (BW) charts.

METHODS

This was a cohort study of all pregnant women with a singleton term birth receiving care in a university hospital during a 3-year period. All participants underwent a universal 36-week ultrasound scan for EFW measurement and had BW recorded at delivery. Five different reference charts were used for EFW and BW centile calculation. Two-by-two contingency tables were constructed using EFW as the screening test variable and BW as the outcome variable in order to calculate sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value for all possible chart combinations.

RESULTS

The cohort included 17 678 pregnancies. The sensitivity of EFW < 10^th centile for the detection of BW < 10^th centile ranged from 10.8% to 66.8% and the sensitivity of EFW < 3^rd centile for the detection of BW < 3^rd centile ranged from 4.1% to 66.8%, depending on the charts used. The sensitivity of EFW > 90^th centile for BW > 90^th centile ranged between 22.9% and 68.3%. When locally derived charts for EFW and BW were used, the sensitivity of detection of BW < 10^th centile using EFW < 10^th centile was 43.7% (PPV, 45.5%); for the detection of BW < 3^rd centile using EFW < 3^rd centile, the sensitivity was 25.6% (PPV, 26.7%) and, for the detection of BW > 90^th centile using EFW > 90^th centile, it was 49.6% (PPV, 49.0%).

CONCLUSIONS

Different combinations of EFW and BW charts can yield vastly different detection rates (sensitivity) in the same population cohort and time period. If SGA and LGA detection rates are to be used as a meaningful performance indicator, healthcare systems should follow a clear and predefined methodology that includes explicit definitions of common reference standards. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Greater estimated fetal weight and birth weight in IVF/ICSI pregnancy after frozen-thawed vs fresh blastocyst transfer: prospective cohort study with novel unified modeling methodology

OBJECTIVE

To compare, using a unified approach, standardized estimated fetal weight (EFW) trajectories from the second trimester to birth and birth-weight (BW) measurements in in-vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (IVF/ICSI) pregnancies obtained after frozen-thawed vs fresh blastocyst transfer (BT).

METHODS

This was a secondary analysis of a prospective longitudinal cohort study performed at the Fetal Medicine and Obstetric Departments of San Raffaele Hospital in Milan, Italy, from January 2016 to December 2020. Eligible for inclusion were singleton viable gestations conceived by autologous IVF/ICSI conception after fresh or frozen-thawed BT that underwent standard fetal biometry assessment at 19-41 weeks and had BW measurements available. All ultrasound assessments were performed by operators blinded to the employment of cryopreservation. Patients with twin gestation, significant pregestational disease, miscarriage, major fetal abnormalities and use of other types of medically assisted reproduction techniques were excluded. EFW and BW Z-scores and their trajectories were analyzed using general linear models (GLM) and logistic regression with a unified modeling methodology based on the Fetal Medicine Foundation fetal and neonatal population weight charts, adjusting for major confounders. Differences between prenatal EFW and postnatal BW centiles in the two groups were assessed and compared using contingency tables, χ² test and conversion of prenatal to postnatal centiles.

RESULTS

A total of 631 IVF/ICSI pregnancies were considered, comprising 263 conceived following fresh BT and 368 after frozen-thawed BT. A total of 1795 EFW observations were available (n = 715 in fresh BT group and n = 1080 in frozen-thawed BT group; median of three observations per patient). EFW and BW < 10^th centile were significantly more frequent in the fresh than in the frozen-thawed BT group (P = 0.003 and P < 0.001, respectively). EFW and BW > 90^th centile were significantly more frequent in the frozen-thawed vs fresh BT group (P = 0.034 and P = 0.002, respectively). GLM showed significantly decreasing EFW Z-scores with advancing gestational age (GA) in both groups. The effect of GA was assumed to be equal in the two study groups, as no significant interaction effect was found. Smoothed mean EFW Z-scores from 19 weeks of gestation to term and smoothed mean BW Z-scores were both significantly higher in the frozen-thawed compared with the fresh BT group (EFW Z-score, 0.70 ± 1.29 vs 0.28 ± 1.43; P < 0.001; BW Z-score, 0.04 ± 1.08 vs -0.31 ± 1.28; P < 0.001). Mean smoothed EFW Z-score values in the frozen-thawed vs fresh BT groups were 1.01 ± 0.12 vs 0.60 ± 0.08 at 19-27 weeks, 0.36 ± 0.07 vs -0.06 ± 0.04 at 28-35 weeks and -0.66 ± 0.01 vs -0.88 ± 0.02 at 36-41 weeks. Mean smoothed BW Z-score values in the frozen-thawed vs fresh BT groups were -0.80 ± 0.14 vs -1.20 ± 0.10 at 28-35 weeks and 0.22 ± 0.16 vs -0.24 ± 0.14 at 36-41 weeks. Assessment of EFW and BW concordance showed a significantly greater rate of postnatal confirmation of prenatally predicted small-for-gestational age (SGA) < 10^th centile in the fresh compared with the frozen-thawed BT group (P < 0.001), whereas the rate of postnatal confirmation of large-for-gestational age (LGA) > 90^th centile was significantly higher in the frozen-thawed vs the fresh BT group (P < 0.001). Logistic regression analysis showed that the smoothed rate of EFW < 3^rd centile was about 6-fold higher in the fresh vs frozen-thawed BT group (P < 0.001), whereas the smoothed rates of EFW 90^th -97^th centile and > 97^th centile were nearly double in the frozen-thawed compared with the fresh BT group (P < 0.05 and P < 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Robust novel unified prenatal-postnatal modeling in IVF/ICSI pregnancies after frozen-thawed or fresh BT from 19 weeks of gestation to birth showed non-divergent growth trajectories, with higher EFW and BW Z-scores in the frozen-thawed vs fresh BT group. The mean EFW Z-scores in both IVF/ICSI groups were greater than those expected for natural conceptions, being highest in the midtrimester and decreasing with advancing gestation in both groups, becoming negative after 32 weeks in the fresh and after 35 weeks in the frozen-thawed BT group. Mean BW Z-scores were negative in both groups, with lower values in preterm fetuses, and increased with advancing gestation, becoming positive at term in the frozen-thawed BT group. IVF/ICSI conceptions from frozen-thawed as compared to fresh BT presented increased rate of LGA and reduced rate of SGA both prenatally and postnatally. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Prediction of birth weight in pregnancy with gestational diabetes mellitus using an artificial neural network

Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is common during pregnancy, with the prevalence reaching as high as 31.0% in some European regions (McIntyre et al., 2019). Dysfunction of the glucose metabolism in pregnancy can influence fetal growth via alteration of the intrauterine environment, resulting in an increased risk of abnormal offspring birth weight (McIntyre et al., 2019). Infants with abnormal birth weight will be faced with increased risks of neonatal complications in the perinatal period and chronic non-communicable diseases in childhood and adulthood (Mitanchez et al., 2015; McIntyre et al., 2019). Therefore, accurate estimation of birth weight for neonates from women with GDM is crucial for more sensible perinatal decision-making and improvement of perinatal outcomes. Timely antenatal intervention, with reference to accurately estimated fetal weight, may also decrease the risks of adverse long-term diseases.

Using ultrasound and angiogenic markers from a 19- to 23-week assessment to inform the subsequent diagnosis of preeclampsia

BACKGROUND

A definition of preeclampsia that incorporates the assessment of maternal, fetal, and uteroplacental status would optimize the identification of pregnancies at risk of complications at term gestational age. This definition would include "carrying forward" angiogenic test results from 35 to 36 weeks of gestation to term gestational age. Would this approach still be useful if testing is performed earlier or at a routine midgestation scan and the result is used to inform the diagnosis of preeclampsia that developed thereafter?

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate whether fetoplacental assessment at a 19- to 23-week scan could be "carried forward" to contribute to the classification of preeclampsia and improve the detection of women and fetuses at risk of adverse outcomes associated with hypertension.

STUDY DESIGN

In this prospective cohort study of singleton pregnancies at 2 maternity hospitals in England (October 2011 to March 2020), women attending a routine hospital visit at 19 to 23 weeks of gestation underwent an assessment that included history, ultrasonographic estimated fetal weight, Doppler measurements of the pulsatility index in uterine arteries, and serum placental growth factor. Preeclampsia was defined according to various definitions: (1) traditional, based on new-onset proteinuria at ≥20 weeks of gestation; (2) 2013 American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists; (3) 2018 International Society for the Study of Hypertension in Pregnancy maternal factor; (4) 2018 International Society for the Study of Hypertension in Pregnancy maternal-fetal factor (death or growth restriction), based on ultrasound scans at the 19 0/7 to 23 6/7 week of gestation (an estimated fetal weight of <3rd percentile or estimated fetal weight between the 3rd and 10th percentiles with a uterine artery pulsatility index of >95th percentile); and (5) 2021 International Society for the Study of Hypertension in Pregnancy maternal-fetal factor plus placental growth factor (with abnormal placental growth factor defined as an estimated fetal weight of <5th percentile for gestational age). The detection rates for outcomes of interest (ie, severe maternal hypertension, major maternal morbidity, perinatal mortality or major neonatal morbidity, neonatal intensive care unit admission ≥48 hours, and birthweight of <3rd percentile) ascertained by health record review were compared using the chi-square test. A P value of <.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

Among 40,241 singleton pregnancies, preeclampsia incidence varied by definition, from lows of 2.6% (traditional) and 3.0% (American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists) to a high of 3.8% (International Society for the Study of Hypertension in Pregnancy maternal-fetal factor plus placental growth factor). The International Society for the Study of Hypertension in Pregnancy maternal-fetal factor plus placental growth factor definition (vs the traditional) best identified women who developed adverse outcomes: severe hypertension (detection rate: 70.6% vs 52.8%; P<.001), major maternal morbidity (detection rate: 100% vs 87.5%; P=.027), perinatal mortality or major morbidity (detection rate: 84.6% vs 69.5%; P=.004), neonatal intensive care unit admission ≥48 hours (detection rate: 76.6% vs 63.2%;, P=.0002), and birthweight of <3rd percentile (detection rate: 81.3% vs 61.9%; P<.0001]. The detection rates improved, going from the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists definition to the International Society for the Study of Hypertension in Pregnancy maternal-fetal factor plus placental growth factor definition, for severe hypertension (11.4%; P=.003), perinatal mortality or major morbidity (10.6%; P=.03), neonatal intensive care unit admission ≥48 hours (8.6%; P=.01), and birthweight of <3rd percentile (16.2%; P<.001). However, going from the International Society for the Study of Hypertension in Pregnancy maternal-fetal factor definition to the International Society for the Study of Hypertension in Pregnancy maternal-fetal factor plus placental growth factor definition, the detection of fetuses with a birthweight of <3rd percentile improved by 7.0% (P=.01), but no other improvement was seen for severe hypertension (1.7%; P=.33), major maternal morbidity (0%), perinatal mortality or major morbidity (4.0%; P=.20), and neonatal intensive care unit admission ≥48 hours (3.2%; P=.17).

CONCLUSION

The criteria for uteroplacental dysfunction (including placental growth factor) from the 19- to 23-week assessment can be used in the assessment of women who are later suspected of having PE, to best identify pregnancies at risk of adverse outcomes.

Estimated fetal weight at mid-gestation in prediction of pre-eclampsia in singleton pregnancy

OBJECTIVE

To examine the distribution of birth weight according to gestational age in pregnancies complicated by pre-eclampsia (PE) and assess the potential value of sonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) at mid-gestation as a predictor of PE.

METHODS

The data for this study were derived from prospective screening for adverse obstetric outcome in 93 911 women with a singleton pregnancy attending for routine pregnancy care at 19 + 0 to 24 + 6 weeks' gestation in two UK maternity hospitals. This visit included recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history, sonographic EFW and measurement of mean arterial pressure (MAP) and uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI). The distribution of birth weight of pregnancies with and those without PE was assessed. The competing-risks model was used to estimate the individual, patient-specific risk of delivery with PE at < 32 and < 37 weeks' gestation and at any gestational age. The areas under the receiver-operating-characteristics curves and detection rates (DRs) of delivery with PE, at a 10% false-positive rate (FPR), were assessed for various combinations of maternal risk factors, EFW, MAP and UtA-PI. McNemar's test was used to determine the significance of difference in DR at a 10% FPR between screening with vs without EFW.

RESULTS

The study population contained 2843 (3.0%) pregnancies that subsequently developed PE, including 148 (0.2%) that delivered with PE at < 32 weeks' gestation and 654 (0.7%) that delivered with PE at < 37 weeks. Birth weight was < 10^th percentile in 82% of pregnancies with PE delivering at < 32 weeks' gestation and this decreased to 21% of those with PE delivering at ≥ 37 weeks. In screening for delivery with PE at < 32 and < 37 weeks' gestation, the DR, at a 10% FPR, achieved by maternal risk factors (51% and 46%, respectively) was improved by addition of EFW (69% and 51%, respectively). Similarly, addition of EFW improved the performance of screening by a combination of maternal risk factors and MAP from 72% to 80% for PE < 32 weeks and from 57% to 60% for PE < 37 weeks. EFW did not improve the predictive performance of screening by a combination of maternal risk factors, MAP and UtA-PI.

CONCLUSIONS

In pregnancies complicated by preterm PE, a high proportion of neonates are small-for-gestational age, and sonographic EFW at mid-gestation can improve the prediction of early and preterm PE provided by maternal risk factors and MAP but not the prediction provided by a combination of maternal risk factors, MAP and UtA-PI. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Second-trimester contingent screening for small-for-gestational-age neonate

OBJECTIVES

First, to investigate the additive value of second-trimester placental growth factor (PlGF) for the prediction of a small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonate. Second, to examine second-trimester contingent screening strategies.

METHODS

This was a prospective observational study in women with singleton pregnancy undergoing routine ultrasound examination at 19-24 weeks' gestation. We used the competing-risks model for prediction of SGA. The parameters for the prior model and the likelihoods for estimated fetal weight (EFW) and uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) were those presented in previous studies. A folded-plane regression model was fitted in the dataset of this study to describe the likelihood of PlGF. We compared the prediction of screening by maternal risk factors against the prediction provided by a combination of maternal risk factors, EFW, UtA-PI and PlGF. We also examined the additive value of PlGF in a policy that uses maternal risk factors, EFW and UtA-PI.

RESULTS

The study population included 40 241 singleton pregnancies. Overall, the prediction of SGA improved with increasing degree of prematurity, with increasing severity of smallness and in the presence of coexisting pre-eclampsia. The combination of maternal risk factors, EFW, UtA-PI and PlGF improved significantly the prediction provided by maternal risk factors alone for all the examined cut-offs of birth weight and gestational age at delivery. Screening by a combination of maternal risk factors and serum PlGF improved the prediction of SGA when compared to screening by maternal risk factors alone. However, the incremental improvement in prediction was decreased when PlGF was added to screening by a combination of maternal risk factors, EFW and UtA-PI. If first-line screening for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10^th percentile delivered at < 37 weeks' gestation was by maternal risk factors and EFW, the same detection rate of 90%, at an overall false-positive rate (FPR) of 50%, as that achieved by screening with maternal risk factors, EFW, UtA-PI and PlGF in the whole population can be achieved by reserving measurements of UtA-PI and PlGF for only 80% of the population. Similarly, in screening for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 10^th percentile delivered at < 30 weeks, the same detection rate of 90%, at an overall FPR of 14%, as that achieved by screening with maternal risk factors, EFW, UtA-PI and PlGF in the whole population can be achieved by reserving measurements of UtA-PI and PlGF for only 70% of the population. The additive value of PlGF in reducing the FPR to about 10% with a simultaneous detection rate of 90% for a SGA neonate with birth weight < 3^rd percentile born < 30 weeks, is gained by measuring PlGF in only 50% of the population when first-line screening is by maternal factors, EFW and UtA-PI.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of maternal risk factors, EFW, UtA-PI and PlGF provides effective second-trimester prediction of SGA. Serum PlGF is useful for predicting a SGA neonate with birth weight < 3^rd percentile born < 30 weeks after an inclusive assessment by maternal risk factors and biophysical markers. Similar detection rates and FPRs can be achieved by application of contingent screening strategies. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Fetal magnetic resonance imaging at 36 weeks predicts neonatal macrosomia: the PREMACRO study

BACKGROUND

Large-for-gestational-age fetuses are at increased risk of perinatal morbidity and mortality. Magnetic resonance imaging seems to be more accurate than ultrasound in the prediction of macrosomia; however, there is no well-powered study comparing magnetic resonance imaging with ultrasound in routine pregnancies.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to prospectively compare estimates of fetal weight based on 2-dimensional ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging with actual birthweights in routine pregnancies.

STUDY DESIGN

From May 2016 to February 2019, women received counseling at the 36-week clinic. Written informed consent was obtained for this Ethics Committee-approved study. In this prospective, single-center, blinded study, pregnant women with singleton pregnancies between 36 0/7 and 36 6/7 weeks' gestation underwent both standard evaluation of estimated fetal weight with ultrasound according to Hadlock et al and magnetic resonance imaging according to the formula developed by Baker et al, based on the measurement of the fetal body volume. Participants and clinicians were aware of the results of the ultrasound but blinded to the magnetic resonance imaging estimates. Birthweight percentile was considered as the gold standard for the ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging-derived percentiles. The primary outcome was the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the prediction of large-for-gestation-age neonates with birthweights of ≥95th percentile. Secondary outcomes included the comparative prediction of large-for-gestation-age neonates with birthweights of ≥90th, 97th, and 99th percentiles and small-for-gestational-age neonates with birthweights of ≤10th, 5th, and 3rd percentiles for gestational age and maternal and perinatal complications.

RESULTS

Of 2914 women who were initially approached, results from 2378 were available for analysis. Total fetal body volume measurements were possible for all fetuses, and the time required to perform the planimetric measurements by magnetic resonance imaging was 3.0 minutes (range, 1.3-5.6). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the prediction of a birthweight of ≥95th percentile was 0.985 using prenatal magnetic resonance imaging and 0.900 using ultrasound (difference=0.085, P<.001; standard error, 0.020). For a fixed false-positive rate of 5%, magnetic resonance imaging for the estimation of fetal weight detected 80.0% (71.1-87.2) of birthweight of ≥95th percentile, whereas ultrasound for the estimation of fetal weight detected 59.1% (49.0-68.5) of birthweight of ≥95th percentile. The positive predictive value was 42.6% (37.8-47.7) for the estimation of fetal weight using magnetic resonance imaging and 35.4% (30.1-41.1) for the estimation of fetal weight using ultrasound, and the negative predictive value was 99.0% (98.6-99.3) for the estimation of fetal weight using magnetic resonance imaging and 98.0% (97.6-98.4) for the estimation of fetal weight using ultrasound. For a fixed false-positive rate of 10%, magnetic resonance imaging for the estimation of fetal weight detected 92.4% (85.5-96.7) of birthweight of ≥95th percentile, whereas ultrasound for the estimation of fetal weight detected 76.2% (66.9-84.0) of birthweight of ≥95th percentile. The positive predictive value was 29.9% (27.2-32.8) for the estimation of fetal weight using magnetic resonance imaging and 26.2% (23.2-29.4) for the estimation of fetal weight using ultrasound, and the negative predictive value was 99.6 (99.2-99.8) for the estimation of fetal weight using magnetic resonance imaging and 98.8 (98.4-99.2) for the estimation of fetal weight using ultrasound. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for the prediction of large-for-gestational-age neonates with birthweights of ≥90th, 97th, and 99th percentiles and small-for-gestational-age neonates with birthweights of ≤10th, 5th, and 3rd percentiles was significantly larger in prenatal magnetic resonance imaging than in ultrasound (P<.05 for all).

CONCLUSION

At 36 weeks' gestation, magnetic resonance imaging for the estimation of fetal weight performed significantly better than ultrasound for the estimation of fetal weight in the prediction of large-for-gestational-age neonates with birthweights of ≥95th percentile for gestational age and all other recognized cutoffs for large-for-gestational-age and small-for-gestational-age neonates (P<.05 for all).

World Health Organization fetal growth charts applied in a French birth cohort

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the applicability of World Health Organization (WHO) fetal growth charts for abdominal circumference (AC), femur length (FL) and estimated fetal weight (EFW) at the second and third trimester ultrasounds in a French birth cohort.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using the ELFE cohort of live births after 33 weeks' gestation in France in 2011, we selected 7747 singletons with fetal biometric measurements at the second (20-25 weeks) and third (30-35 weeks) trimester routine ultrasounds. We calculated proportions of fetuses <3rd and <10th percentiles and >90th and >97th percentiles for AC, FL and EFW using WHO charts and two international (Intergrowth and Hadlock) and two national (Salomon and CFEF) charts. Analyses were also carried out in a subsample of 4427 low-risk births.

RESULTS

WHO charts classified 2,3% and 8-10% of fetuses <3rd and <10th percentiles respectively, for AC and FL in the second and third trimesters and EFW in the third trimester. Similarly, about 3 and 10% of fetuses had AC, FL and EFW >97th and >90th percentile in both trimesters. Hadlock and CFEF charts also provided a good fit for third-trimester EFW <10th percentile. For most measures, Intergrowth yielded low proportions <3rd and <10th percentile, and high proportions >90th and >97th percentiles. Proportions were slightly lower for low-risk pregnancies.

CONCLUSION

WHO charts provided a good description of the distribution of French fetal biometric measures. Further research is needed to assess the impact of using WHO charts on obstetrical management and perinatal outcomes.

Validity of two-dimensional ultrasound for determining extreme foetal weights to term

The aim of this study was to assess the validity of ultrasound carried out within seven days prior to birth at term for the calculation of full term estimated foetal weight (EFW) in order to diagnose extreme foetal weight, performed using a single-center retrospective cohort study of 2500 pregnant women. Ultrasound calculations of EFW with a standard error of less than 10% showed an accuracy ratio of 75.1% for the total sample. This percentage was similar for appropriate for gestational age (78.6%) and normal foetal weights (77.5%) but decreased significantly (p < .01) in the case of extreme foetal weights. The simple error increased in both the high and low EFWs, taking on positive values for the low weights and negative values for the high weights. As for the percentage error values, there was a tendency for positive errors for low weights and negative errors for high weights; this led to a tendency to overestimate low foetal weights and underestimate high foetal weights.IMPACT STATEMENTWhat is already known on this subject? Two-dimensional ultrasound is currently the principal tool used in obstetrics to evaluate foetal growth, mainly through the calculation of EFW. Foetal weight represents an important prognostic factor in perinatal results, with a greater risk of adverse effects in cases of extreme foetal weights. In this sense, there are few studies that assess the validity of EFW calculations focussing on extreme foetal weights to term.What do the results of this study add? The ultrasound estimates of EFW with an error lower than 10% in the seven days prior to birth showed an accuracy ratio of 75.1% for the total sample. This percentage was similar to appropriate for gestational age weights (78.6%) and of normal weights (77.5%), but decreased significantly (p < .01) in the case of extreme foetal weights: small for gestational age (52.1%), large for gestational age (68.2%), microsomia (49.1%), and macrosomia (61%). Likewise, we found high specificity and low sensitivity for ultrasound diagnosis of extreme foetal weights.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or future research? The validity of ultrasound EFW is influenced by extreme foetal weights, with a tendency to overestimate low weights and underestimate high weights, which represents a clinically important finding.

Development and validation of model for prediction of placental dysfunction-related stillbirth from maternal factors, fetal weight and uterine artery Doppler at mid-gestation

OBJECTIVE

To examine the performance of a model combining maternal risk factors, uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI) and estimated fetal weight (EFW) at 19-24 weeks' gestation, for predicting all antepartum stillbirths and those due to impaired placentation, in a training dataset used for development of the model and in a validation dataset.

METHODS

The data for this study were derived from prospective screening for adverse obstetric outcome in women with singleton pregnancy attending for routine pregnancy care at 19 + 0 to 24 + 6 weeks' gestation. The study population was divided into a training dataset used to develop prediction models for placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth and a validation dataset to which the models were then applied. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to develop a model based on a combination of maternal risk factors, EFW Z-score and UtA-PI multiples of the normal median. We examined the predictive performance of the model by, first, the ability of the model to discriminate between the stillbirth and live-birth groups, using the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC) and the detection rate (DR) at a fixed false-positive rate (FPR) of 10%, and, second, calibration by measurements of calibration slope and intercept.

RESULTS

The study population of 131 514 pregnancies included 131 037 live births and 477 (0.36%) stillbirths. There are four main findings of this study. First, 92.5% (441/477) of stillbirths were antepartum and 7.5% (36/477) were intrapartum, and 59.2% (261/441) of antepartum stillbirths were observed in association with placental dysfunction and 40.8% (180/441) were unexplained or due to other causes. Second, placental dysfunction accounted for 80.1% (161/201) of antepartum stillbirths at < 32 weeks' gestation, 54.2% (52/96) at 32 + 0 to 36 + 6 weeks and 33.3% (48/144) at ≥ 37 weeks. Third, the risk of placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth increased with increasing maternal weight and decreasing maternal height, was 3-fold higher in black than in white women, was 5.5-fold higher in parous women with previous stillbirth than in those with previous live birth, and was increased in smokers, in women with chronic hypertension and in parous women with a previous pregnancy complicated by pre-eclampsia and/or birth of a small-for-gestational-age baby. Fourth, in screening for placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth by a combination of maternal risk factors, EFW and UtA-PI in the validation dataset, the DR at a 10% FPR was 62.3% (95% CI, 57.2-67.4%) and the AUC was 0.838 (95% CI, 0.799-0.878); these results were consistent with those in the dataset used for developing the algorithm and demonstrate high discrimination between affected and unaffected pregnancies. Similarly, the calibration slope was 1.029 and the intercept was -0.009, demonstrating good agreement between the predicted risk and observed incidence of placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth. The performance of screening was better for placental dysfunction-related antepartum stillbirth at < 37 weeks' gestation compared to at term (DR at a 10% FPR, 69.8% vs 29.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

Screening at mid-gestation by a combination of maternal risk factors, EFW and UtA-PI can predict a high proportion of placental dysfunction-related stillbirths and, in particular, those that occur preterm. Such screening provides poor prediction of unexplained stillbirth or stillbirth due to other causes. © 2021 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Genetic Background of Fetal Growth Restriction

Fetal growth restriction (FGR) is one of the most formidable challenges in present-day antenatal care. Pathological fetal growth is a well-known factor of not only in utero demise in the third trimester, but also postnatal morbidity and unfavorable developmental outcomes, including long-term sequalae such as metabolic diseases, diabetic mellitus or hypertension. In this review, the authors present the current state of knowledge about the genetic disturbances responsible for FGR diagnosis, divided into fetal, placental and maternal causes (including preeclampsia), as well as their impact on prenatal diagnostics, with particular attention on chromosomal microarray (CMA) and noninvasive prenatal testing technique (NIPT).