The Pittsburgh insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus registry: seasonal incidence

Registry of Youth Onset Diabetes in India (YDR): Rationale, Recruitment, and Current Status

BACKGROUND

With the aim of addressing the relative scarcity of information on youth-onset diabetes in India, the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) decided to establish the Registry of People with Diabetes with Young Age at Onset (YDR) in 2006. The major objectives of YDR are to generate information on disease pattern or types of youth-onset diabetes including their geographical variations within India and to estimate the burden of diabetes complications.

METHODS

YDR is an observational multicenter clinic based registry enlisting physician diagnosed diabetes in individuals below 25 years of age. Diabetes was classified using symptom based clinical criteria. YDR data collection is coordinated through regional collaborating centers and their interacting reporting centers across India. A baseline and an annual follow-up proformas are used to obtain information on sociodemographic details, clinical profile, and anthropometric and laboratory measurements of the patients.

RESULTS

In phase 1, the registry has enrolled 5546 patients, in which type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) was the most prevalent (63.9%), followed by youth-onset type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) (25.3%).

CONCLUSION

This registry provides a unique opportunity to study the natural history of youth-onset diabetes in India.

Vitamin D and diabetes

On the basis of evidence from animal and human studies, vitamin D has emerged as a potential risk modifier for type 1 and type 2 diabetes (type 1 diabetes and type 2 diabetes). Vitamin D is thought to have both direct (through activation of the vitamin D receptor) and indirect (via regulation of calcium homeostasis) effects on various mechanisms related to the pathophysiology of both types of diabetes, including pancreatic beta-cell dysfunction, impaired insulin action and systemic inflammation. Observational case-control studies have shown that vitamin D supplementation in pregnancy or early childhood is associated with reduced risk of incident type 1 diabetes. There are no trials on the effect of vitamin D (ergocalciferol or cholecalciferol) on type 1 diabetes. An association between vitamin D insufficiency and incident type 2 diabetes has been reported in longitudinal observational studies, but the association is not consistent. Results from small underpowered trials and post-hoc analyses of data from larger trials designed for bone-specific outcomes show no effect of vitamin D supplementation on glycemia in healthy adults but vitamin D may retard the progression to diabetes in adults with glucose intolerance. Because vitamin D is an excellent marker of general health status, the positive results reported in some observational studies might reflect unmeasured and unaccounted confounding. Therefore, the hypothesis that vitamin D may modify diabetes risk needs to be confirmed in trials specifically designed for that purpose.

Type 1 diabetes, the A1 milk hypothesis and vitamin D deficiency

The 'A1' genetic variant of beta-casein in milk has been linked to type 1 diabetes (T1D). The keystone piece of supporting evidence is an ecological study positively correlating the incidence of T1D with amount of A1 beta-casein consumption per capita. Of relevance, A1 beta-casein consumption is also positively correlated with latitude, itself implicated in T1D through vitamin D deficiency. Ecological and biological evidence convincingly implicate vitamin D deficiency in T1D. Latitude is a confounder of the ecological data that underpin the hypothesis that A1 beta-casein in cow's milk is a causative factor in T1D.

Seasonal variation in the incidence of Type 1 diabetes mellitus during 1983 to 1992 in the countries around the Baltic Sea

AIM

To examine seasonal patterns of incidence of Type 1 diabetes mellitus incidence in children aged 0-14 years in Finland, Sweden, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania during 1983-1992 (1987-1992 for Finland).

METHODS

The study used a method that models incidence data using combinations of sine waves to model seasonal variation around a possible linear trend.

RESULTS

In Finland, a significant pattern was found for combined sexes and age groups 0-9 and 10-14 years. A significant pattern was also confirmed for 10-14 year-old boys. In Sweden, the best model with significant pattern was found separately for boys and girls and age groups 0-9 and 10-14 years, however, a significant pattern was confirmed for older girls only. A seasonal pattern in older boys in Finland and girls in Sweden was characterized by two cycles with decreased incidence in June and November-December. The pattern among younger children (0-9 or 5-9 years) had one cycle with a decreased incidence in May-June. In Estonia, a significant pattern was found for the age group 0-14 years and combined sexes. No significant seasonal patterns were found in Latvia and Lithuania.

CONCLUSIONS

The seasonal pattern with two cycles among older children and one cycle only among younger children may indicate different triggers of Type 1 diabetes mellitus for different age groups.

Seasonality of presentation of type I diabetes mellitus in children. Scottish Study Group for the Care of Young Diabetics

Environmental influences are thought to have an aetiological role in onset of diabetes in children. Month of onset in over 2000 children in Scotland was established and there was an excess in colder/darker months than in warmer/lighter months. A meta-analysis of 21 previous studies with over 13,000 patients gave the same result at a much higher level of significance. A mechanism is postulated based on previous viral induced islet cell damage with ongoing progressive auto-immune destruction. There may be physiological seasonal changes with winter stress on carbohydrate and lipid metabolism. The raised winter levels of pituitary, adrenal and thyroid hormones fail to be antagonised by falling level of insulin. A role for seasonal variation in exercise and nutrition is considered.

The epidemiology of diabetes mellitus in the United Kingdom: the Yorkshire Regional Childhood Diabetes Register

A register of the incidence of Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus in the Yorkshire region of the United Kingdom has been completed. A total of 1,490 subjects aged between 0 and 16 years were identified from 1978 to 1990, giving an incidence of 13.7 per 100,000 (ages 0-14) or 13.6 per 100,000 (ages 0-16), comparable to other recent studies in the United Kingdom. An age-period-cohort analysis shows evidence for a modest drift effect of 1.75% per year (95% confidence interval 0.28 to 3.25%). There is a marked epidemic pattern with peaks at 4-year intervals. The age-incidence curve is similar to that reported elsewhere, having peaks in early childhood and puberty. Girls have an earlier pubertal peak than boys. There is substantial seasonal variation in incidence confined to those over 5 years of age. Ascertainment is believed to be very complete, and is estimated to be 97.6% (95% confidence interval 97.2% to 98.1%).

Increasing incidence of early onset type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus: a study of Danish male birth cohorts

To provide information of the incidence trends of Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus we performed a cohort study of a series of Danish male birth cohorts. All male livebirths in Denmark between 1 January 1949 and 31 December 1964, were investigated regarding the development of Type 1 diabetes during the first 20 years of life using the files of the Danish Conscript Board, supplemented by a search in the Danish National Registry of Deaths. Diagnosis was verified and clinical information obtained from medical records. The material is estimated to be more than 95% complete. A total of 1705 diabetic subjects were identified of whom 23 were not representative of idiopathic Type 1 diabetes. The cumulative rate of Type 1 diabetes development during the first 20 years of life increased from 2.37 to 2.90 per 1000 for the first eight and last eight birth cohorts, respectively. A log-linear analysis of the incidence revealed significantly increasing incidence rates, independent of age effects, with a maximum in the late 1970's. About 75% of the cases presented short duration of symptoms prior to diagnosis, and only very few cases were diagnosed incidentally. Cases were diagnosed relatively less frequently during summer months than during winter months.

The interface between epidemiology and molecular biology in the search for the causes of insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus

Epidemiological techniques have been utilized to accumulate new knowledge about insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM), leading to important insights into the disease process and the alteration of these mechanisms when viewed from a geographic or population base. More recently, highly powerful and sophisticated techniques of molecular biology have been added to the research arsenal, extending the knowledge on the genetic basis for IDDM and the probable environmental factors involved. The development and growth of the new discipline of epidemiological genetics promises exciting new developments for the future of our field as well as that of other major medical problems having a genetic base, but significantly influenced by environmental factors. This review stresses the importance of carefully validated diabetes registries in the study of the epidemiology of IDDM. The Children's Hospital of Pittsburgh and the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center have spear-headed the development of such registries, worldwide. The first international meeting on IDDM epidemiology in 1983 gave as a result, i.e., the finding that there were truly remarkable differences in the risk of developing IDDM depending upon the geographic location of the individual. Later collaborative work via the Diabetes Epidemiology Research International (DERI) group has confirmed the previous finding and added the description of secular trends and epidemics of IDDM. It is remarkable that the incidence rate of IDDM in children below 15 years vary from 1/100,000/yr in the Orient to 35/100,000/yr in Finland. The epidemiological approach in the study of IDDM has also stimulated research into the various facets of the etiology of the disease, genetic factors, autoimmune mechanisms and environmental factors.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Evolution of the Pittsburgh studies of the epidemiology of insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. Pittsburgh Diabetes Epidemiology and Etiology Research Group

The Pittsburgh project evaluating the epidemiology and etiology of insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM) is currently one of the large ongoing studies of childhood diabetes. This paper traces the evolution of the project, from the initial basic epidemiologic approach in the early 1980s, to the current thrust where complex molecular genetic approaches are being incorporated into population-based research. The epidemiology models employed in the Pittsburgh project are similar to those that could be used in many areas of chronic disease research. The integration of immunogenetics into epidemiology produces a powerful approach for understanding the complex interaction of host susceptibility and environmental agents that contribute to the development of IDDM.

Seasonality of type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus: values of C-peptide, insulin antibodies and haemoglobin A1c show evidence of a more rapid loss of insulin secretion in epidemic patients

According to month of diagnosis, 165 children who developed Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus at the age of 0-16.2 years (mean +/- SD, 7.6 +/- 4.1 years) could be divided into 69 patients diagnosed during peak seasons (epidemic cases) and 96 patients diagnosed during months of low incidence (non-epidemic cases). Seasonality of onset of symptoms and of diagnosis was observed in both sexes in all age groups. The patients diagnosed during peak seasons had shorter duration of symptoms (13.2 +/- 8.1 days) as compared to 22.9 +/- 10.3 days; p less than 0.001 in the patients diagnosed during months of low incidence. At diagnosis, 88.4% (61/69) of the epidemic group had ketonuria as compared to 71.9% (69/96); p less than 0.06 in the non-epidemic patients. The values of C-peptide, insulin antibodies, haemoglobin A1c and HLA-DR phenotype frequencies in the 69 epidemic patients were compared with those of the 96 non-epidemic patients. In the epidemic patients, the C-peptide values of 0.11 +/- 0.05 mmol/l at diagnosis had increased to 0.12 +/- 0.05 mmol/l at one month and 0.13 +/- 0.06 mmol/l at 3 months. These values were significantly lower (p less than 0.001) than in the non-epidemic patients at the same time points: 0.17 +/- 0.08 nmol/l; p less than 0.001, 0.23 +/- 0.11 nmol/l; p less than 0.001, and 0.22 +/- 0.10 nmol/l.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Epidemiology of insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus in Canterbury, New Zealand

A prospective study of incidence and prevalence of insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus in persons under 20 years was conducted over a 4-year period (1 February 1982-1 February 1986) for the Canterbury Hospital Board (total population 342,000) area in New Zealand. A central register for the area was established at the beginning of the study period. Degree of ascertainment was close to 100%. Average annual incidence was 11.7 persons per 100,000 (females: 10.6 per 100,000; males: 12.7 per 100,000) with no significant sex difference or temporal trends. Incidence peaks were seen for both sexes in the pubertal ages (females: 11 years; males: 13 years), with minor peaks occurring for both sexes in the pre-school ages. Age of onset was significantly younger in females than males. A seasonal variation in incidence was seen for males, with peaks in late autumn and mid-winter. 5.7% of the new diabetics had a first-degree relative with insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. Islet cell cytoplasmic antibodies were detected in 68% of new diabetics and in 0% of age- and sex-matched healthy controls. Thyroid, gastric and adrenal auto-antibodies were seen more frequently in diabetics than in controls, but this difference was not significant. Prevalence of insulin-dependent diabetes on 1 February 1982 was 1.00 per 1000 and 1.05 per 1000 on 1 February 1986. The insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus incidence characteristics noted for the Canterbury Hospital Board area are similar to those reported for European and North American populations.

Incidence and differences in urban-rural seasonal variation of type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes in Wisconsin

In a hospital-based records study of Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus among persons aged 0 to 29 years in two Wisconsin, USA counties (1970-79), the age-adjusted yearly incidence rate for white males (16.4/100,000) was significantly higher than for white females (11.6/100,000) (p = 0.006). Overall age-adjusted rates are similar to rates previously reported for the United States and the northern European countries of Denmark and Norway. Seasonal variation in diagnosis was found for total cases and males aged 10 to 19 years. A striking difference also was found in seasonal diagnosis between urban and rural cases. A diagnosis peak in the third and fourth quarter among rural cases contrasted with even quarterly distribution among urban cases. In addition, 52% of rural male cases aged 10 to 19 years were diagnosed during the fourth quarter while no seasonal pattern occurred among urban males the same ages. These findings identify subgroups for focus of future etiologic investigations.

Host and environmental interactions in diabetes mellitus

A number of current issues in diabetes research are reviewed from an epidemiologic viewpoint. Though many advances have been made in our understanding of the causes of insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM), there are many unresolved issues which could benefit from epidemiologic research. These include study of the 36-fold geographic variation in IDDM incidence seen across the world, perhaps by the development of registries, and the placing into a population perspective recent genetic and autoimmune findings concerning IDDM etiology. Epidemiologic considerations should also be incorporated into future trials of immunotherapy for IDDM. Despite considerable research, very little is known about risk factors and genetic environmental interactions in non-insulin dependent diabetes. Large scale prospective epidemiologic studies are, therefore, needed to delineate the potential roles of factors such as diet and physical activity, and how these interact with genetic predisposition.

The epidemiology of diabetes in Swedish children 0-14 years--a six-year prospective study

Since 1 July 1977, all newly diagnosed diabetic children in Sweden aged 0-14 years have been reported to a central register. During the first 6 years, 2300 newly diagnosed diabetic children out of a population of 1.6 million children were registered. The degree of certainty was close to 100%. The mean of the yearly incidence rate for the whole 6 year period was 23.6 per 100000. The prevalence of insulin dependent diabetes mellitus on 1 July 1980 was 1.48 per 1000 and 1.52 on 1 July 1983. Comparing the first and second 3-year periods, an increase was found (22.7-25.1 per 100000). This increase was consistent when analyzing incidence rates by age, sex, and geographical distribution. Cumulative incidence rates revealed a risk of developing diabetes by the age of 15 years of 3.6 per thousand for boys and 3.2 per thousand for girls. The higher incidence for boys was consistent throughout the study period. Seasonal variations in the incidence rate were also consistent, showing yearly incidence peaks in the autumn and winter months. Incidence peaks were noted for both sexes in the pubertal ages. Age- and sex-standardized morbidity ratios varied significantly within the country. 12.8% of the probands had a first degree relative with Type 1 diabetes, and it was twice as common that this relative was a father as a mother. The high and rapidly increasing incidence of Type 1 diabetes in a genetically stable population such as Sweden calls for case-control studies directed towards the identification of environmental pathogens.

Racial differences in incidence of juvenile-onset type 1 diabetes: epidemiologic studies in southern California

We have studied the epidemiologic characteristics of insulin-dependent (Type 1) diabetic patients aged 0-19 in a city (San Diego, southern California, USA) characterized by an impressive racial diversity and especially mild and constant climatic conditions. Ascertainment was through retrospective review of medical records in 19 hospitals. For the 3 years 1978-1981 the mean annual incidence of diabetes was 7.3 cases/100,000, with no statistical difference between the sexes. The observed incidence rates in the various ethnic groups was significantly different from expected (p less than 0.03), with an excess of cases among Caucasians and fewer than expected cases among Mexicans, Blacks and Orientals. There was no identifiable seasonal trend. Some of the clinical characteristics at diagnosis differed between the sexes: males were slightly older (9.3 +/- 5.2 years versus 8.8 +/- 3.9 for females), had a shorter duration of diabetes-related symptoms and a higher frequency of infections both at the time of diabetes diagnosis and in preceding months. Females tended to have a higher frequency of Type 1 diabetes in first-degree relatives. This study documents for the first time that, among multiple racial groups living in the same environment, Caucasians are at the highest risk of developing juvenile-onset Type 1 diabetes.

Epidemiological aspects of the natural history of childhood diabetes

Studies in identical twins have shown only a 50% concordance for type 1 diabetes, indicating that environmental factors are of major importance. Prospective studies in twins and siblings of type 1 diabetics provide evidence of a long prediabetic phase. Environmental factors, inducing a pathological immune response in genetically susceptible individuals, may thus act long before the clinical onset. In Sweden a high and increasing incidence of childhood diabetes has been shown, with peak incidence rates at puberty in both boys and girls. The incidence rate is higher for boys than for girls. Significant geographical and seasonal variations are clearly indicated. The epidemiology of lost beta-cell function shortly after clinical onset differs significantly from the epidemiology of clinical onset as to sex and geographical and seasonal distribution. Environmental factors that affect the clinical onset of type 1 diabetes may thus differ from factors affecting the beta-cell function after onset. Factors affecting the peripheral insulin sensitivity should therefore be taken into consideration also when discussing the natural history of type 1 diabetes.

The Pittsburgh Insulin-Dependent Diabetes Mellitus (IDDM) study. HLA antigens and haplotypes as risk factors for the development of IDDM in IDDM patients and their siblings

The relationships between HLA antigens, sex, age at diagnosis, season of onset and insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM) were studied in a consecutive admissions series of newly-diagnosed IDDM patients at Children's Hospital of Pittsburgh. In agreement with the findings of others, the strongest positive associations between IDDM and HLA antigens were seen with DR3 and DR4 (odds ratios (OR) of 3.5 and 4.4, respectively), while a very strong negative association was observed with DR2 (OR of 0.1). Male patients were significantly more likely than female patients to possess DR3 while female patients were significantly more likely to be DR4+. No consistent relationships were found between HLA antigens and either age at diagnosis or season of onset. Using a life table approach, the cumulative risk of IDDM by age 24 in HLA-identical siblings of IDDM patients was estimated to be 10.3%. This risk was significantly greater than the risks to either HLA-haploidentical siblings (2.2%) or to HLA-nonidentical siblings (1.0%), whose risks were not significantly different. B7 + HLA-identical siblings of patients appeared to be protected from the effects of HLA-identicality--their cumulative risk by age 24 was estimated to be only 2.3%.