1
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Lamka GF, Willoughby JR. Habitat remediation followed by managed connectivity reduces unwanted changes in evolutionary trajectory of high extirpation risk populations. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0304276. [PMID: 38814889 PMCID: PMC11139274 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0304276] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/29/2024] [Accepted: 05/09/2024] [Indexed: 06/01/2024] Open
Abstract
As we continue to convert green spaces into roadways and buildings, connectivity between populations and biodiversity will continue to decline. In threatened and endangered species, this trend is particularly concerning because the cessation of immigration can cause increased inbreeding and loss of genetic diversity, leading to lower adaptability and higher extirpation probabilities in these populations. Unfortunately, monitoring changes in genetic diversity from management actions such as assisted migration and predicting the extent of introduced genetic variation that is needed to prevent extirpation is difficult and costly in situ. Therefore, we designed an agent-based model to link population-wide genetic variability and the influx of unique alleles via immigration to population stability and extirpation outcomes. These models showed that management of connectivity can be critical in restoring at-risk populations and reducing the effects of inbreeding depression. However, the rescued populations were more similar to the migrant source population (average FST range 0.05-0.10) compared to the historical recipient population (average FST range 0.23-0.37). This means that these management actions not only recovered the populations from the effects of inbreeding depression, but they did so in a way that changed the evolutionary trajectory that was predicted and expected for these populations prior to the population crash. This change was most extreme in populations with the smallest population sizes, which are representative of critically endangered species that could reasonably be considered candidates for restored connectivity or translocation strategies. Understanding how these at-risk populations change in response to varying management interventions has broad implications for the long-term adaptability of these populations and can improve future efforts for protecting locally adapted allele complexes when connectivity is restored.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gina F. Lamka
- College of Forestry, Wildlife, and Environment, Auburn University, Auburn, Alabama, United States of America
| | - Janna R. Willoughby
- College of Forestry, Wildlife, and Environment, Auburn University, Auburn, Alabama, United States of America
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2
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Propagule pressure helps overcome adverse environmental conditions during population establishment. CURRENT RESEARCH IN INSECT SCIENCE 2021; 1:100011. [PMID: 36003607 PMCID: PMC9387485 DOI: 10.1016/j.cris.2021.100011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2020] [Revised: 02/11/2021] [Accepted: 02/14/2021] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
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3
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Evaluation of a method that uses one cubic meter mesocosms to elucidate a relationship between inoculation density and establishment probability for the nonindigenous, invasive zooplankter, Bythotrephes longimanus. Biol Invasions 2019. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-019-02077-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/26/2022]
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4
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Latombe G, Richardson DM, Pyšek P, Kučera T, Hui C. Drivers of species turnover vary with species commonness for native and alien plants with different residence times. Ecology 2018; 99:2763-2775. [DOI: 10.1002/ecy.2528] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2018] [Revised: 08/06/2018] [Accepted: 08/30/2018] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Guillaume Latombe
- Department of Mathematical Sciences Centre for Invasion Biology Stellenbosch University Matieland 7600 South Africa
- Department of Botany and Zoology Centre for Invasion Biology Stellenbosch University Matieland 7600 South Africa
| | - David M. Richardson
- Department of Botany and Zoology Centre for Invasion Biology Stellenbosch University Matieland 7600 South Africa
| | - Petr Pyšek
- Department of Invasion Ecology The Czech Academy of Sciences Institute of Botany CZ‐252 43 Průhonice Czech Republic
- Department of Ecology Faculty of Science Charles University Viničná 7 CZ‐128 44 Praha2 Czech Republic
| | - Tomáš Kučera
- Department of Ecosystem Biology Faculty of Science University of South Bohemia Branišovská 1760, CZ‐370 05 České Budějovice Czech Republic
| | - Cang Hui
- Department of Mathematical Sciences Centre for Invasion Biology Stellenbosch University Matieland 7600 South Africa
- Theoretical Ecology Group African Institute for Mathematical Sciences Cape Town 7945 South Africa
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5
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Demographic effects of prolonged drought on a nascent introduction of a semi-aquatic snake. Biol Invasions 2017. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-017-1491-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
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6
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Palamara GM, Carrara F, Smith MJ, Petchey OL. The effects of demographic stochasticity and parameter uncertainty on predicting the establishment of introduced species. Ecol Evol 2016; 6:8440-8451. [PMID: 28031796 PMCID: PMC5167034 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.2495] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2016] [Revised: 08/16/2016] [Accepted: 08/24/2016] [Indexed: 02/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Invasive species are a serious threat to biodiversity worldwide and predicting whether an introduced species will first establish and then become invasive can be useful to preserve ecosystem services. Establishment is influenced by multiple factors, such as the interactions between the introduced individuals and the resident community, and demographic and environmental stochasticity. Field observations are often incomplete or biased. This, together with an imperfect knowledge of the ecological traits of the introduced species, makes the prediction of establishment challenging. Methods that consider the combined effects of these factors on our ability to predict the establishment of an introduced species are currently lacking. We develop an inference framework to assess the combined effects of demographic stochasticity and parameter uncertainty on our ability to predict the probability of establishment following the introduction of a small number of individuals. We find that even moderate levels of demographic stochasticity influence both the probability of establishment, and, crucially, our ability to correctly predict that probability. We also find that estimation of the demographic parameters of an introduced species is fundamental to obtain precise estimates of the interaction parameters. For typical values of demographic stochasticity, the drop in our ability to predict an establishment can be 30% when having priors on the demographic parameters compared to having their accurate values. The results from our study illustrate how demographic stochasticity may bias the prediction of the probability of establishment. Our method can be applied to estimate probability of establishment of introduced species in field scenarios, where time series data and prior information on the demographic traits of the introduced species are available.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gian Marco Palamara
- Department of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies University of Zurich Zürich Switzerland; Computational Science Laboratory Microsoft Research Cambridge UK
| | - Francesco Carrara
- Ralph, M. Parson Laboratory, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Massachusetts Institute of Technology Cambridge MA USA; Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering ETH Zürich Switzerland
| | - Matthew J Smith
- Computational Science Laboratory Microsoft Research Cambridge UK
| | - Owen L Petchey
- Department of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies University of Zurich Zürich Switzerland
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7
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Liebhold AM, Berec L, Brockerhoff EG, Epanchin-Niell RS, Hastings A, Herms DA, Kean JM, McCullough DG, Suckling DM, Tobin PC, Yamanaka T. Eradication of Invading Insect Populations: From Concepts to Applications. ANNUAL REVIEW OF ENTOMOLOGY 2015; 61:335-52. [PMID: 26667377 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-ento-010715-023809] [Citation(s) in RCA: 85] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/24/2023]
Abstract
Eradication is the deliberate elimination of a species from an area. Given that international quarantine measures can never be 100% effective, surveillance for newly arrived populations of nonnative species coupled with their eradication represents an important strategy for excluding potentially damaging insect species. Historically, eradication efforts have not always been successful and have sometimes been met with public opposition. But new developments in our understanding of the dynamics of low-density populations, the availability of highly effective treatment tactics, and bioeconomic analyses of eradication strategies offer new opportunities for developing more effective surveillance and eradication programs. A key component that connects these new developments is the harnessing of Allee effects, which naturally promote localized species extinction. Here we review these developments and suggest how research might enhance eradication strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew M Liebhold
- US Forest Service Northern Research Station, Morgantown, West Virginia 26505; ,
| | - Ludek Berec
- Biology Center of the Czech Academy of Sciences, 37005 České Budějovice, Czech Republic;
| | | | | | - Alan Hastings
- Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University of California, Davis, California 95616;
| | - Daniel A Herms
- Department of Entomology, The Ohio State University, Wooster, Ohio 44691;
| | - John M Kean
- AgResearch Limited, Hamilton 3240, New Zealand;
| | - Deborah G McCullough
- Department of Entomology and Department of Forestry, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan 48824;
| | - David M Suckling
- New Zealand Institute for Plant & Food Research and University of Auckland, Christchurch 4704, New Zealand;
| | - Patrick C Tobin
- School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195;
| | - Takehiko Yamanaka
- Natural Resources Inventory Center, National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, Ibaraki 305-8604, Japan;
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Miehls ALJ, Peacor SD, McAdam AG. GAPE-LIMITED PREDATORS AS AGENTS OF SELECTION ON THE DEFENSIVE MORPHOLOGY OF AN INVASIVE INVERTEBRATE. Evolution 2014; 68:2633-43. [PMID: 24916281 DOI: 10.1111/evo.12472] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2013] [Accepted: 06/02/2014] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Andrea L. J. Miehls
- Department of Fisheries and Wildlife; Michigan State University; 480 Wilson Road East Lansing Michigan 48824
- NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory; 4840 South State Road Ann Arbor Michigan 48108
| | - Scott D. Peacor
- Department of Fisheries and Wildlife; Michigan State University; 480 Wilson Road East Lansing Michigan 48824
| | - Andrew G. McAdam
- Department of Integrative Biology; University of Guelph; Guelph Ontario N1G 2W1 Canada
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Wolkovich EM, Cleland EE. Phenological niches and the future of invaded ecosystems with climate change. AOB PLANTS 2014; 6:plu013. [PMID: 24876295 PMCID: PMC4025191 DOI: 10.1093/aobpla/plu013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 64] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/22/2013] [Accepted: 03/18/2014] [Indexed: 05/05/2023]
Abstract
In recent years, research in invasion biology has focused increasing attention on understanding the role of phenology in shaping plant invasions. Multiple studies have found non-native species that tend to flower distinctly early or late in the growing season, advance more with warming or have shifted earlier with climate change compared with native species. This growing body of literature has focused on patterns of phenological differences, but there is a need now for mechanistic studies of how phenology contributes to invasions. To do this, however, requires understanding how phenology fits within complex functional trait relationships. Towards this goal, we review recent literature linking phenology with other functional traits, and discuss the role of phenology in mediating how plants experience disturbance and stress-via climate, herbivory and competition-across the growing season. Because climate change may alter the timing and severity of stress and disturbance in many systems, it could provide novel opportunities for invasion-depending upon the dominant climate controller of the system, the projected climate change, and the traits of native and non-native species. Based on our current understanding of plant phenological and growth strategies-especially rapid growing, early-flowering species versus later-flowering species that make slower-return investments in growth-we project optimal periods for invasions across three distinct systems under current climate change scenarios. Research on plant invasions and phenology within this predictive framework would provide a more rigorous test of what drives invader success, while at the same time testing basic plant ecological theory. Additionally, extensions could provide the basis to model how ecosystem processes may shift in the future with continued climate change.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elizabeth M Wolkovich
- Biodiversity Research Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada Arnold Arboretum, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA Organismic & Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA
| | - Elsa E Cleland
- Division of Biological Sciences, University of California - San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
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10
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Wonham MJ, Byers JE, Grosholz ED, Leung B. Modeling the relationship between propagule pressure and invasion risk to inform policy and management. ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS : A PUBLICATION OF THE ECOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF AMERICA 2013; 23:1691-706. [PMID: 24261049 DOI: 10.1890/12-1985.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/04/2023]
Abstract
Predicting population establishment based on initial population size is a theoretically and empirically challenging problem whose resolution informs a multitude of applications. Indeed, it is a central problem in the management of introduced, endangered, harvested, and pathogenic organisms. We focus here on introduced species. We synthesize the current state of modeling in this predictive enterprise and outline future directions in the application of these models to developing regulations intended to prevent the establishment of invaders. Descriptive and mechanistic models of single-population introductions are fairly well developed and have provided insight into invasion risk in laboratory and field conditions. However, many invasions stem from large-scale and repeated releases of a multitude of species from relatively indiscriminate invasion vectors associated with international trade and travel. Vector-scale models of invasion risk are less well developed and are characterized largely by the use of untested proxy variables for propagule pressure. We illustrate the problems associated with proxy variables and introduce a more mechanistic theoretical formulation characterizing vector-scale invasion pressure in terms of propagule pressure (number of introduced individuals) and colonization pressure (number of introduced species). We outline key questions to be addressed in applying both single-population and vector-scale models to the development of threshold-based invasion regulations. We illustrate these ecological and applied questions using examples from terrestrial, aquatic, and marine systems. We develop in detail examples from ballast-water transport that, as one of the best-characterized global invasion vectors and one that is subject to emerging international threshold-based biosecurity regulations, provides a rich case study.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marjorie J Wonham
- Quest University Canada, 3200 University Boulevard, Squamish, British Columbia V8B 0N8, Canada.
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11
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Erfmeier A, Hantsch L, Bruelheide H. The role of propagule pressure, genetic diversity and microsite availability for Senecio vernalis invasion. PLoS One 2013; 8:e57029. [PMID: 23437301 PMCID: PMC3577778 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0057029] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2012] [Accepted: 01/20/2013] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Genetic diversity is supposed to support the colonization success of expanding species, in particular in situations where microsite availability is constrained. Addressing the role of genetic diversity in plant invasion experimentally requires its manipulation independent of propagule pressure. To assess the relative importance of these components for the invasion of Senecio vernalis, we created propagule mixtures of four levels of genotype diversity by combining seeds across remote populations, across proximate populations, within single populations and within seed families. In a first container experiment with constant Festuca rupicola density as matrix, genotype diversity was crossed with three levels of seed density. In a second experiment, we tested for effects of establishment limitation and genotype diversity by manipulating Festuca densities. Increasing genetic diversity had no effects on abundance and biomass of S. vernalis but positively affected the proportion of large individuals to small individuals. Mixtures composed from proximate populations had a significantly higher proportion of large individuals than mixtures composed from within seed families only. High propagule pressure increased emergence and establishment of S. vernalis but had no effect on individual growth performance. Establishment was favoured in containers with Festuca, but performance of surviving seedlings was higher in open soil treatments. For S. vernalis invasion, we found a shift in driving factors from density dependence to effects of genetic diversity across life stages. While initial abundance was mostly linked to the amount of seed input, genetic diversity, in contrast, affected later stages of colonization probably via sampling effects and seemed to contribute to filtering the genotypes that finally grew up. In consequence, when disentangling the mechanistic relationships of genetic diversity, seed density and microsite limitation in colonization of invasive plants, a clear differentiation between initial emergence and subsequent survival to juvenile and adult stages is required.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexandra Erfmeier
- Institute of Biology/Geobotany and Botanical Garden, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale), Germany.
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12
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Chivers C, Leung B. Predicting invasions: alternative models of human-mediated dispersal and interactions between dispersal network structure and Allee effects. J Appl Ecol 2012. [DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2012.02183.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Corey Chivers
- Department of Biology; McGill University; Montreal; Quebec; Canada
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13
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Wittmann MJ, Lewis MA, Young JD, Yan ND. Temperature-dependent Allee effects in a stage-structured model for Bythotrephes establishment. Biol Invasions 2011. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-011-0074-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
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14
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Brown ME, Branstrator DK. Patterns in the abundance, phenology, and hatching of the resting egg stage of the invasive zooplankter Bythotrephes longimanus: implications for establishment. Biol Invasions 2011. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-011-0080-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/17/2022]
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15
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Yan ND, Leung B, Lewis MA, Peacor SD. The spread, establishment and impacts of the spiny water flea, Bythotrephes longimanus, in temperate North America: a synopsis of the special issue. Biol Invasions 2011. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-011-0069-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/17/2022]
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16
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Patterns of Bythotrephes longimanus distribution relative to native macroinvertebrates and zooplankton prey. Biol Invasions 2011. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-011-0072-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
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17
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Ricciardi A, Palmer ME, Yan ND. Should Biological Invasions Be Managed as Natural Disasters? Bioscience 2011. [DOI: 10.1525/bio.2011.61.4.11] [Citation(s) in RCA: 78] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
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18
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Gertzen EL, Leung B, Yan ND. Propagule pressure, Allee effects and the probability of establishment of an invasive species (Bythotrephes longimanus). Ecosphere 2011. [DOI: 10.1890/es10-00170.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
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20
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Koons DN, Pavard S, Baudisch A, Jessica E. Metcalf C. Is life-history buffering or lability adaptive in stochastic environments? OIKOS 2009. [DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0706.2009.16399.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 70] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
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21
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Modelling invasibility in endogenously oscillating tree populations: timing of invasion matters. Biol Invasions 2009. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-009-9444-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
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22
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Hendrix PF, Callaham MA, Drake JM, Huang CY, James SW, Snyder BA, Zhang W. Pandora's Box Contained Bait: The Global Problem of Introduced Earthworms. ANNUAL REVIEW OF ECOLOGY EVOLUTION AND SYSTEMATICS 2008. [DOI: 10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.39.110707.173426] [Citation(s) in RCA: 205] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
Introduced exotic earthworms now occur in every biogeographic region in all but the driest or coldest habitat types on Earth. The global distribution of a few species (e.g., Pontoscolex corethrurus) was noted by early naturalists, but now approximately 120 such peregrine species are recognized to be widespread from regional to global scales, mainly via human activities. Species adapted to human transport and to colonization of disturbed habitats are most widespread and are the principal invasive species. We identify a number of endogenous and exogenous factors that may contribute to the successful establishment and spread of peregrine species. Quantification of these factors may help to determine why certain species become invasive while others do not. Recent advances in theory and modeling of biological invasions and in molecular techniques should prove fruitful in improving our understanding of invasive earthworms, as well as in predicting their impacts on ecosystems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Paul F. Hendrix
- Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia 30602
- Department of Crop & Soil Sciences, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia 30602
| | - Mac A. Callaham
- Center for Forest Disturbance Science, Southern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Athens, Georgia 30602
| | - John M. Drake
- Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia 30602
| | - Ching-Yu Huang
- Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia 30602
| | - Sam W. James
- Natural History Museum and Biodiversity Institute, University of Kansas, Lawrence, Kansas, 66045
| | - Bruce A. Snyder
- Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia 30602
| | - Weixin Zhang
- South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510650
- Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100039, China
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Regional ecological risk assessment for the introduction of Gambusia affinis (western mosquitofish) into Montana watersheds. Biol Invasions 2007. [DOI: 10.1007/s10530-007-9202-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/22/2022]
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