Recent trends in the incidence of hip fracture in Tottori Prefecture, Japan: changes over 32 years

Incidence of four major osteoporotic fragility fractures among older individuals in Sado, Japan, in 2020

INTRODUCTION

This study compared the 2020 incidence of fragility fractures in Sado City with those from 2004 to 2015.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data from patients aged ≥ 60 years living in Sado City with fragility fractures in the hip, vertebral, distal radius, and proximal humerus between January 1 and December 31, 2020, were collected. We examined the number and incidence of four types of osteoporotic fractures in the older population aged ≥ 60 years living in Sado City in 2020. We compared the results with those of the 2004, 2010, and 2015 surveys, examining the temporal change and trend in the incidence of the four fracture types in this population. We investigated the use rate of anti-osteoporotic medications and the relationship between their administration and the occurrence of fragility fractures.

RESULTS

The age-specific incidence of hip fractures slightly decreased from 2015. However, the incidence of the other three fractures slightly increased, although the difference was not statistically significant. The incidence of hip fractures markedly increased in the 80 s. In 2020, the percentage of patients taking anti-osteoporotic agents before the occurrence of fractures decreased to 12.4% from 14.5% in 2015; it increased from 4% in 2004 to 7.6% in 2010.

CONCLUSION

The 2020 incidence of the four fractures did not decrease, and the percentage of patients receiving anti-osteoporotic agents did not increase. A higher frequency of osteoporosis treatment is necessary to reduce the incidence of fragility fractures. We recommend using anti-osteoporotic agents to prevent hip fractures among individuals in their mid-70 s and above.

Factors Associated With Ambulation Status and Survival One Year After Conservative Management of Hip Fracture

PURPOSE

Few studies have investigated the factors associated with ambulation and survival over one year. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the factors that influence ambulation and survival rates in elderly patients who have undergone conservative management for hip fractures.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 74 ambulatory individuals aged 65 years or older prior to their injuries. One-year mortality and ambulatory status were assessed. Statistical comparisons of background and medical characteristics between groups of independent and non-independent walkers, as well as between survivors and mortalities, were performed using the Pearson chi-squared, Fisher exact, and Mann-Whitney U tests.

RESULTS

The numbers of older patients able to walk independently, those not able to walk independently, and those with mortality at one-year post-injury after conservative management of hip fractures were 13 (18.3%), 35 (49.3%), and 23 (32.4%), respectively. Independent walkers one year after conservative treatment for hip fracture were younger (p=0.04) and less likely to have cognitive impairment (p=0.04) than non-independent walkers. The proportion of individuals with cognitive impairment was found to be lower among survivors than among mortalities (p=0.0098).

CONCLUSION

Cognitive decline may contribute to difficulties in walking independently and mortality at one year post-injury in this population.

Intertrochanteric femoral fracture with lateral wall fracture at the lag screw insertion site may cause postoperative anterior wall fracture and lead to deterioration in activities of daily living

BACKGROUND

Incomplete reduction and fixation of intertrochanteric femoral fractures significantly affect patients' daily activities. The lateral wall's integrity is pivotal in such fractures. This study examines instability, particularly lateral wall fractures at the lag screw insertion site and postoperative anterior wall fractures.

METHODS

Overall, 161 patients with femoral intertrochanteric fractures were included. Three-dimensional computed tomography was conducted preoperatively and 3 weeks postoperatively to determine the postoperative anterior wall fractures incidence. Patient background, operative time, intraoperative blood loss, postoperative telescoping, and daily living activities were compared.

RESULTS

The study recorded 51 cases of lateral wall fractures at the lag screw insertion site and 17 of postoperative fractures of the anterior wall. Postoperative fractures of the anterior wall were found in 3 of 110 and 14 of 51 patients in the group without and with the lag screw insertion site, respectively. The group of postoperative fractures of the anterior wall had significantly lower bone mineral density, longer operative time, and increased intraoperative blood loss. At 4 weeks postoperatively, the group of postoperative fractures of the anterior wall showed increased telescoping and decreased motor component of the functional independence measure (with postoperative fractures of the anterior wall: 28, without postoperative fractures of the anterior wall: 30), and significant reductions were observed in the transfer and locomotion items, indicating lower limb function (with postoperative fractures of the anterior wall group: 11, without postoperative fractures of the anterior wall group: 12).

CONCLUSIONS

Postoperative anterior wall fractures occurred in 27.5% cases with lateral wall fractures at the lag screw insertion site. Three-dimensional computed tomography is useful for preoperative evaluation of lateral wall fractures at the lag screw insertion site to assess instability. Postoperative fractures of the anterior wall related reduction in daily living activities needs attention.

Increased incidence among the very elderly in the 2020 Niigata Prefecture Osteoporotic Hip Fracture Study

INTRODUCTION

A 2015 study showed a decreasing trend in the incidence of osteoporotic hip fractures in Niigata Prefecture, Japan, which had been increasing. This study aimed to investigate the incidence of osteoporotic hip fractures in 2020, determine the long-term change in the incidence of hip fractures from 1985 to 2020, and assess whether the decline in fracture incidence since 2010 has continued.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We obtained data from the registration forms submitted by hospitals and clinics of patients who lived in Niigata Prefecture and were diagnosed with osteoporotic hip fracture through a survey conducted from January 1, 2020 to December 31, 2020.

RESULTS

In 2020, 3,369 hip fractures were recorded in Niigata Prefecture. Although the overall incidence of age-specific hip fractures decreased, it increased in patients aged ≥ 90 years, regardless of sex. The proportion of patients receiving anti-osteoporosis drugs prior to hip fracture increased from 7.6% in 2004 to 17.3% in 2020. Notably, surgical treatment should be performed as early as possible, and the preoperative waiting time was 2.9 days, which was mainly due to holidays.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of hip fractures in Niigata Prefecture has gradually increased over the past 35 years, with an increasing change observed in the very elderly recently in 2020. Although the treatment of osteoporotic hip fractures in Niigata Prefecture is adequate, improvements may include increasing the rate of adoption of osteoporosis treatment further and decreasing the number of days of preoperative waiting.

Systemic Inflammation Markers Associated with Bone Mineral Density in perimenopausal and Postmenopausal Women

Objective

The aim of this research was to determine whether systemic inflammatory indicators, including aggregate index of systemic inflammation (AISI), neutrophils lymphocyte to platelet ratio (NLPR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), are related to bone mineral density (BMD) in perimenopausal and postmenopausal women.

Methods

One hundred and eighty-one perimenopausal and 390 postmenopausal women were enrolled in this cross-sectional study. Continuous variables by analysis of variance and Kruskal Wallis test for comparing the clinical characteristics. Linear regression analysis was conducted to investigate the associations between inflammatory indicators with BMD. The comparison between the subgroups was performed using the nonparametric test and the T-test.

Results

AISI, NLPR, SII, and SIRI quartile values were inversely associated with BMD in menopausal women (P = 0.021; P = 0.047; P < 0.001; P < 0.001, respectively). After adjusting for confounding factors, four inflammatory indicators remained significantly associated with BMD (all P for trend <0.001). Analysis according to menopausal status demonstrated that AISI, SII, and SIRI were significantly correlated with mean femoral neck BMD in postmenopausal women (P for trend = 0.015, 0.004, and 0.001), but not significantly associated with BMD in perimenopausal women (P for trend = 0.248, 0.054, and 0.352) after adjustment for covariates.

Conclusion

The quartile values of AISI, SII, and SIRI were inversely associated with BMD in postmenopausal women, following adjustment for individual variables, hormone profiles and glucolipid metabolism profiles. AISI, SII, and SIRI have potential to be important tools for screening and prevention of bone loss in menopausal women in future clinical practice.

A Demographic Survey of Pertrochanteric Fractures Based on the Revised Arbeitsgemeinschaft für Osteosynthesefragen/Orthopedic Trauma Association (AO/OTA) Classification Using 3D CT Scan Images

Introduction A demographic survey of femoral pertrochanteric fractures provides several important information for the healthcare system of a country since this fracture is commonly seen in the elderly and has a poor postoperative functional prognosis that is a burden on society. The importance of accurately classifying pertrochanteric fractures as stable or unstable cannot be understated. However, the use of plain radiograph images alone is known to underestimate fracture severity with low inter- or intra-observer agreement. Computed tomography (CT) images offer information for a more accurate classification of pertrochanteric fractures. With this three-dimensional (3D) CT-based study using the revised Arbeitsgemeinschaft für Osteosynthesefragen/Orthopedic Trauma Association (AO/OTA) classification, the purpose of this study is to elucidate the epidemiological demography of patients with pertrochanteric fractures. Material and methods We retrospectively collected 808 patients from five hospitals, classified into two groups: stable (A1) or unstable (A2). Age, gender, fracture laterality, and surgery timing were identified as epidemiological variables. Patients with both preoperative plain radiographs and 3D CT scans were included in the study. The exclusion criteria were AO/OTA A3 type fractures, pathological fractures, previous ipsilateral surgery, 60 years old or younger, and conservatively treated patients. The primary outcome involved detailing the total number of fractures based on classification (A1 or A2) and variables. The secondary outcome involved a comparison between the A1 and A2 groups. Results The mean age of patients at the time of surgery was 85 years (range: 61-103 years). There were 637 female and 171 male patients. There were 463 left-sided fractures and 345 right-sided fractures. Of the 808 patients, 371 (45.9%) were classified to have A1 fractures, and 437 (54.1%) had A2 fractures. The age at surgery, gender, fracture laterality, and surgery timing between the A1 and A2 groups were compared. The mean and standard deviation of the age at surgery for patients in the A1 and A2 groups were 84.9±7.7 and 86.9±6.8, respectively. The number of patients for each age distribution of 61-69, 70-74, 75-79, 80-84, 85-89, 90-94, and 95 or older for the A1 and A2 groups was 18 and 7, 18 and 12, 43 and 44, 76 and 82, 107 and 132, 79 and 110, and 30 and 50, respectively, showing that the difference in categorial distribution was statistically significant (p=0.002). Overall, 278 females and 93 males were classified to have A1 fractures compared with 359 females and 78 males with A2 fractures (p=0.01). There were 166 right-sided and 205 left-sided stable A1 fractures and 179 right-sided and 258 left-sided A2 fractures (not significant (NS)). Among the total number of A1 and A2 surgeries by month, the most were in December with 77 surgeries (37 and 40, respectively), and the least was in June with 37 (18 and 19, respectively). The seasonal classification for A1 and A2 surgeries is as follows: spring with 172 (74 and 98, respectively), summer with 150 (70 and 80, respectively), autumn with 193 (90 and 103, respectively), and winter with 208 (97 and 111, respectively) (NS). Conclusion In this demographic study of 808 patients with pertrochanteric fractures classified by 3D CT images, 371 had A1 fractures and 437 had A2 fractures. A2 fractures were significantly more in females with an age peak of 85-89 years.

Epidemiology and Management of Proximal Femoral Fractures in Italy between 2001 and 2016 in Older Adults: Analysis of the National Discharge Registry

This study aims to determine the annual incidence of proximal femoral fractures in Italy in the period between 2001 and 2016 among older adults, and to describe the trends in the clinical management of these cases. Data were retrieved from the National Hospital Discharge records issued by the Italian Ministry of Health and from the Italian Institute for Statistics. The number of hospitalizations increased between 2001 and 2016, while the age-adjusted yearly incidence decreased from 832.2 per 100,000 individuals to 706.2. The median age was 83 years (IQR 78-88) with a large majority of females (76.6%). The type of fracture varied with age in female subjects, with older women more frequently reporting pertrochanteric fractures. Therapeutic strategies for the different types of fracture depended on patients' age. During the study years, improvements in fracture classification and management strategies were observed, with a clear decreasing trend for non-operative solutions. In conclusion, the number of proximal femur fractures in older adults is growing, even if at a lower rate compared to population aging. The Italian surgical practice changed during the study period towards the implementation of the most recent guidelines.

Postoperative subtype P as a risk factor for excessive postoperative sliding of cephalomedullary nail in femoral trochanteric fractures in old patients: A case series of 263 patients using computed tomography analysis

INTRODUCTION

Although excellent results of cephalomedullary nailing for femoral trochanteric fractures have been reported, excessive sliding has recently been noted as a cause of lag screw cut-out. Excessive sliding is reported as sliding of ≥8mm, which occurs in approximately 40%of cases. This study aimed to evaluate the risk factors for excessive sliding.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Overall, 551 patients who underwent cephalomedullary nail surgery between 2016 and 2021 were recruited. Patients aged ≥65 years who underwent preoperative computed tomography (CT), experienced low-energy trauma, and received follow-up for >4 months were included. Cases were retrospectively reviewed for their postoperative sliding distance and the percentage of excessive sliding (>8 mm). 3D-CT classification, reduction pattern (subtypes A, N, and P) in the lateral view, medullary mismatch, and implant type (short/long Gamma3 nail and INTERTAN) were investigated fortheirimpact on sliding distance andtheincidence of excessive sliding. Complication rates (lag screw cut-out and non-union) were also assessed.

RESULTS

Overall, 263 patients (mean age, 84.0±7.4; 186 women) were recruited. The median (range) sliding distance was 3.5 (0-20) mm, and 42 cases (16.0%) had excessive sliding. Sliding distance was significantly smaller in the 2-fragment group than in the 3-fragment group (GP+GA and GP+L) (p=0.02); however, there were no significant differences between the 2-fragment and other fracture-type groups, including the 3-fragment group (GP, GA, GP ± GA, GP ± L), 4-fragmentgroup(GP/L, GP ± L/GA, GP±GA/L), and 5-fragmentgroup. There was no significant difference in sliding distance according to postoperative reduction type between the groups (p=0.83) and no correlation between medullary mismatch and sliding distance. The amount of sliding and rate of excessive sliding were significantly lower in the INTERTAN group than in the Gamma3 nail groups (p<0.01). Logistic regression analysis with excessive sliding as the variable revealed reduction type P as the only risk factor (p=0.024, odds ratio 2.99). There were three lag screw cut-out (1.1%) cases and one non-union (0.4%) case.

CONCLUSIONS

Postoperative subtype P is a risk factor for excessive sliding; there was significantly less sliding in the INTERTAN nail group. It is necessary to avoid reduction to subtype P to prevent postoperative excessive sliding.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

IV.

Decennial trends in hip fractures over 20 years in Yamagata Prefecture, Japan

BACKGROUND

Hip fracture is among the most common injuries in elderly people. We aimed to investigate the decennial trends in hip fractures in patients ≥65 years of age.

METHODS

A questionnaire was distributed to all hospitals with a Department of Orthopaedic Surgery in Yamagata Prefecture to collect data on hip fractures occurring in 1996, 2006 and 2016.

RESULTS

The response rate was 100%. The total numbers of hip fractures in 1996, 2006 and 2016 were 665, 1169 and 1,728, respectively (crude incidence: 258, 373 and 494 per 100,000 person-year, respectively). Injuries frequently occurred in the early morning and daytime morning in 1996. In contrast, they frequently occurred in activity times (e.g., morning and afternoon) in 2006 and 2016. Among the patients, 80-90% were injured by simple falls, and 70-80% were injured indoors. The incidence of trochanteric fractures was approximately 1.8-1.9 times greater than incidence of neck fractures in all years. Especially, trochanteric fractures in females of ≥90 years of age markedly increased. The rate of surgical treatment was the same in 1996 and 2006, but was lower in 2016. In 1996, the percentage of independent walkers at discharge and 1 year later was almost the same. In 2006 and 2016, the rate of independent walkers was low at discharge, but increased 1 year later. The rate of discharge to home decreased gradually. The combined percentage of patients discharged to home and to rehabilitation institutions in 2006 and the percentage of patients who entered the regional referral clinical pathway in 2016 were both approximately 70%, with no marked changes observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Hip fractures, especially trochanteric fractures in super-aged females, increased. Discharge to home decreased, and the use of the regional referral clinical pathway was widespread. Ambulation ability was reduced at discharge, but improved after 1 year.

Prediction Model of Osteonecrosis of the Femoral Head After Femoral Neck Fracture: Machine Learning-Based Development and Validation Study

BACKGROUND

The absolute number of femoral neck fractures (FNFs) is increasing; however, the prediction of traumatic femoral head necrosis remains difficult. Machine learning algorithms have the potential to be superior to traditional prediction methods for the prediction of traumatic femoral head necrosis.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study is to use machine learning to construct a model for the analysis of risk factors and prediction of osteonecrosis of the femoral head (ONFH) in patients with FNF after internal fixation.

METHODS

We retrospectively collected preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative clinical data of patients with FNF in 4 hospitals in Shanghai and followed up the patients for more than 2.5 years. A total of 259 patients with 43 variables were included in the study. The data were randomly divided into a training set (181/259, 69.8%) and a validation set (78/259, 30.1%). External data (n=376) were obtained from a retrospective cohort study of patients with FNF in 3 other hospitals. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and the support vector machine algorithm were used for variable selection. Logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) were used to develop the model on the training set. The validation set was used to tune the model hyperparameters to determine the final prediction model, and the external data were used to compare and evaluate the model performance. We compared the accuracy, discrimination, and calibration of the models to identify the best machine learning algorithm for predicting ONFH. Shapley additive explanations and local interpretable model-agnostic explanations were used to determine the interpretability of the black box model.

RESULTS

A total of 11 variables were selected for the models. The XGBoost model performed best on the validation set and external data. The accuracy, sensitivity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the model on the validation set were 0.987, 0.929, and 0.992, respectively. The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the model on the external data were 0.907, 0.807, 0.935, and 0.933, respectively, and the log-loss was 0.279. The calibration curve demonstrated good agreement between the predicted probability and actual risk. The interpretability of the features and individual predictions were realized using the Shapley additive explanations and local interpretable model-agnostic explanations algorithms. In addition, the XGBoost model was translated into a self-made web-based risk calculator to estimate an individual's probability of ONFH.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning performs well in predicting ONFH after internal fixation of FNF. The 6-variable XGBoost model predicted the risk of ONFH well and had good generalization ability on the external data, which can be used for the clinical prediction of ONFH after internal fixation of FNF.

Association of Postoperative Neutrophil Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) and Monocyte Lymphocyte Ratio (MLR) with the Presence of Osteoporosis in Japanese Patients after Hip Fracture Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The diagnosis of osteoporosis is based on bone mineral density measurements expressed as a percentage of the young adult mean (YAM) in Japan. Osteoporosis is defined as YAM <70%, and intervention is recommended at this cutoff. Because osteoporosis has a strong association with systemic metabolic disorders, we postulated that patients with YAM <70% had higher inflammatory biomarker concentrations owing to the higher systemic stress compared with YAM >70%.

METHOD

We retrospectively reviewed 94 patients with low-trauma hip fractures. Blood examinations were performed on postoperative day (POD) 1 and POD 7. We used neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and monocyte lymphocyte ratio (MLR) to evaluate postoperative recovery. After dividing the 94 patients into two groups according to a YAM cutoff of 70%, we compared the differences in NLR and MLR.

RESULTS

On POD 1, patients with YAM >70% had a median NLR of 5.7 and a median MLR of 0.66, which were significantly lower than for patients with YAM <70% (8.8 and 0.9, respectively). Similarly, on POD 7, patients with YAM >70% had a median NLR of 2.0 and a median MLR of 0.31, which were significantly lower than for patients with YAM <70% (3.5 and 0.43, respectively).

CONCLUSION

A YAM cutoff of 70% is an appropriate intervention threshold regarding postoperative recovery after hip fracture surgery. Mini-Abstract. Patients with YAM >70% showed lower NLR and MLR on POD 1 and POD 7. A YAM cuffoff of 70% is an appropriate intervention threshold regarding postoperative recovery after hip fracture surgery.

Ascending Aortic Calcification as a Potential Predictor for Low Bone Mineral Density: A Pilot Study

BACKGROUND

Identifying the factors related to low bone mineral density (BMD) can have significant implications for preventing hip fractures. The correlation between ascending aortic calcification and BMD has never been reported. Therefore, the purpose of the current study is to confirm the hypothesis that ascending aortic calcification can be used as a predictive factor for low BMD and to find a radiographic sign to show it.

METHOD

Plain film and computed tomography (CT) images of the thorax were obtained from 91 patients with hip fractures. Using the images, the calcification line of the ascending aorta adjacent to the aortic arch was evaluated. A prominent calcification line confirmed by both plain film and CT was classified as +2. A line which was ambiguous on plain film but confirmed by CT was classified as +1. Cases with no calcification were categorized as 0 (control). We compared the classified score with the BMD and calculated the kappa coefficient to measure intraobserver reliabilities for this radiographic finding.

RESULTS

Twenty-eight patients showed a +2 line, twenty-four patients showed a +1 line, and thirty-nine patients showed 0 lines. The median BMD of each group was 0.37 for the +2 line, 0.45 for the +1 line, and 0.51 for the 0 line. The BMD for the +2 group was significantly lower than the others. The kappa coefficient was approximately 0.6 (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

The imaging finding of calcification of the ascending aorta might be considered as a potential surrogate marker of low BMD. In such subjects, BMD might be ordered for the confirmation of diagnosis of osteoporosis. Mini-Abstract. The Aortic Arch Tail Sign, a calcification line on the ascending aorta, was relevant to low BMD in the current study. BMD can be ordered for the confirmation of diagnosis of osteoporosis in a subject incidentally found to have ascending aorta calcification on X-ray or CT.

Current and Future Burden of Hip and Vertebral Fractures in Asia

The increase in the incidence of hip fractures over time disappeared in Northern European and North American Caucasians after 2000, while an increase was observed in Asian countries including Japan until 2010. However, a decrease in the incidence was observed after 2010. The prevalence of vertebral fractures in Asians, Europeans, and American Caucasians is similar, and the incidences of clinical and morphometric vertebral fractures are higher in Asians compared with European Caucasians. The decrease in the incidence of vertebral fractures over time has been observed in Japan. Although the stabilization or decrease over time in the incidence of hip and vertebral fractures have been observed, the number of patients with these fractures is expected to increase rapidly with increases in the elderly population. Multidisciplinary measures to prevent fragility fractures are an urgent issue in Asia at this time. This narrative review outlines the recent trends in incidence and future burdens of hip fracture and vertebral fracture in Asia.