Cardiac operative risk evaluation: The EuroSCORE II, does it make a real difference?

The perspectives of older adults related to transcatheter aortic valve replacement: An integrative review

BACKGROUND

Aortic Stenosis (AS) is a common syndrome in older adults wherein the narrowing of the aortic valve impedes blood flow, resulting in advanced heart failure.1 AS is associated with a high mortality rate (50 % at 6 months if left untreated), substantial symptom burden, and reduced quality of life.1-3 Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) was approved in 2012 as a less invasive alternative to surgical valve repair, offering a treatment for older frail patients. Although objective outcomes have been widely reported,4 the perspectives of older adults undergoing the TAVR process have never been synthesized.

OBJECTIVES

To contextualize the perspectives and experiences of older adults undergoing TAVR.

METHODS

An integrative review was conducted using Whittemore and Knafl's five-stage methodology.5 Four electronic databases were searched in April 2023. Articles were included if a qualitative methodology was used to assess the perceptions of older adults (>65 years old) undergoing or recovering from TAVR.

RESULTS

Out of 4619 articles screened, 12 articles met the criteria, representing 353 individuals from 10 countries. Relevant themes included the need for an individualized care plan, caregiver and family support, communication and education, persistent psychosocial and physical symptoms, and the unique recovery journey.

CONCLUSION

Older adults with AS undergoing TAVR generally perceive their procedure positively. Improved interdisciplinary and holistic management, open communication, symptom assessment, support, and education is needed.

Do the Few Dictate Care for the Many? Revascularisation Considerations That Go Beyond the Guidelines

The burden of coronary artery disease (CAD) is large and growing, commonly presenting with comorbidities and older age. Patients may benefit from coronary revascularisation with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), yet half of patients with CAD who would benefit from revascularisation fall outside the eligibility criteria of trials to date. As such, the choice of revascularisation procedures varies depending on the CAD anatomy and complexity, surgical risk and comorbidities, the patient's preferences and values, and the treating team's expertise. The recent American guidelines on coronary revascularisation are comprehensive in describing recommendations for PCI, CABG, or conservative management in patients with CAD. However, individual challenging patient presentations cannot be fully captured in guidelines. The aim of this narrative review is to summarise common clinical scenarios that are not sufficiently described by contemporary clinical guidelines and trials in order to inform heart team members and trainees about the nuanced considerations and available evidence to manage such cases. We discuss clinical cases that fall beyond the current guidelines and summarise the relevant evidence evaluating coronary revascularisation for these patients. In addition, we highlight gaps in knowledge based on a lack of research (eg, ineligibility of certain patient populations), underrepresentation in research (eg, underenrollment of female and non-White patients), and the surge in newer minimally invasive and hybrid techniques. We argue that ultimately, evidence-based medicine, patient preference, shared decision making, and effective heart team communications are necessary to best manage complex CAD presentations potentially benefitting from revascularisation with CABG or PCI.

TEM Classification of Aortic Dissection-The Evolving Scoring System: A Literature Review

Aortic dissection is an acute presentation that, if unnoticed, poses a significant risk to life. Anatomically, it is defined as a tear in the intimal layer of the aorta, but management differs significantly based on the location of this tear. Traditionally the Stanford and DeBakey classifications have been used to distinguish tear types and thus guide the most favourable management option, be it medical optimisation or surgery. Recently, a new Type-Entry-Malperfusion classification has been proposed to more accurately define and thus risk stratify patients with aortic dissection. This review summarises the Type-Entry-Malperfusion classification and highlights its potential advantages and limitations compared to other classifications. Clinical insights and potential barriers to adopting this classification are also described in this review.

Functional capacity in smoking patients after coronary artery bypass grafting surgery: a quasi-experimental study

Coronary artery bypass grafting surgery (CABG) is an important approach to treating coronary heart disease. However, patients undergoing open heart surgery are at risk of postoperative complications. Cigarette smoking is one of the preoperative risk factors that may increase postoperative complications. Studies show that early mobilization intervention may reduce these complications and improve functional capacity, but the impact of smoking on early outcomes after CABG has been controversial for the past two decades. This quasi-experimental study explored the effects of early mobilization on functional capacity among patients with different smoking histories undergoing CABG. The study involved 51 participants who underwent CABG surgery, divided into three groups: current smokers, former smokers, and non-smokers (n=17 each). A day before surgery, all groups underwent a six-minute walking test (6MWT). Every participant received the same intervention after surgery, including deep breathing exercises, an upper limb range of motion assessment, an incentive spirometer, and walking with and without assistance. Five days postoperatively, all outcomes - including the 6MWT, length of stay (LOS) in the ICU, and postoperative pulmonary complications - were assessed, and the 6MWT was repeated. There was a reduced functional capacity after CABG in ex-smokers (215.8±102 m) and current smokers (272.7±97m) compared to non-smokers (298.5±97.1m) in terms of 6MWT (p<0.05). Current smokers were more likely to have atelectasis after CABG than ex-smokers (76.5% vs. 52.9%), with non-smokers being the least likely to have atelectasis among the three groups (29.4%, p<0.05). Additionally, current smokers required longer ventilator support post-CABG (11.9±7.3 hours) compared to ex-smokers (8.3±4.3 hours) and non-smokers (7±2.5 hours, p<0.01). Smoking status significantly impacts functional capacity reduction after CABG, with current smokers being more susceptible to prolonged ventilator use and atelectasis.

Validation of EuroSCORE II Scoring System on Isolated CABG Patient in Indonesia

BACKGROUND

Coronary Artery Bypass Graft (CABG) is one solution to overcome cardiovascular problems. EuroSCORE II is a scoring system to predict mortality risk in patients undergoing cardiac surgery including CABG. Unfortunately, there's still much debate about the benefits of EuroSCORE II in Asia, including Indonesia. This study aims to validates EuroSCORE II in predicting the outcomes in patients underwent CABG without any other procedure.

RESULTS

A total of 2628 patients were included. The mean age was 59 years, mostly male (84.97%; n = 2233). Most patients underwent elective surgery (93.07%; n = 2446) and only 1.67% (n = 44) of the patients has high EuroSCORE category. Death was found in 4.22% (n-111) patients. EuroSCORE II had fair discriminant power (AUC 0.72), but a lower mortality predicted value for each group.

CONCLUSION

The parameters in EuroSCORE II are related with mortality in isolated CABG patients, but they cannot be used as mortality predictors in Indonesia.

Outcomes of Left Main Revascularization in Patients with Anemia: Gulf Left Main Registry

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of baseline anemia and anemia following revascularization on outcomes in patients with unprotected left main coronary artery (ULMCA) disease.

METHODS

This was a retrospective, multicenter, observational study conducted between January 2015 and December 2019. The data on patients with ULMCA who underwent revascularization through percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) were stratified by the hemoglobin level at baseline into anemic and non-anemic groups to compare in-hospital events. The pre-discharge hemoglobin following revascularization was categorized into very low (<80 g/L for men and women), low (≥80 and ≤119 g/L for women and ≤129 g/L for men), and normal (≥130 g/L for men and ≥120 g/L for women) to assess impact on follow-up outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 2,138 patients were included, 796 (37.2%) of whom had anemia at baseline. A total of 319 developed anemia after revascularization and moved from being non-anemic at baseline to anemic at discharge. There was no difference in hospital major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular event (MACCE) and mortality between CABG and PCI in anemic patients. At a median follow-up time of 20 months (interquartile range [IQR]: 27), patients with pre-discharge anemia who underwent PCI had a higher incidence of congestive heart failure (CHF) (p < 0.0001), and those who underwent CABG had significantly higher follow-up mortality (HR: 9.85 (95% CI: 2.53-38.43), p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In this Gulf LM study, baseline anemia had no impact upon in-hospital MACCE and total mortality following revascularization (PCI or CABG). However, pre-discharge anemia is associated with worse outcomes after ULMCA disease revascularization, with significantly higher all-cause mortality in patients who had CABG, and a higher incidence of CHF in PCI patients, at a median follow-up time of 20 months (IQR: 27).

Outcomes of Myocardial Revascularization in Diabetic Patients With Left Main Coronary Artery Disease: A Multicenter Observational Study From Three Gulf Countries

BACKGROUND

Real-world data for managing patients with diabetes and left main coronary artery (LMCA) disease are scarce. We compared percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) outcomes versus coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) in diabetes and LMCA disease patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied patients with LMCA presented to 14 centers from 2015 to 2019. The study included 2138 patients with unprotected LMCA disease; 1468 (68.7 %) had diabetes. Patients were grouped into; diabetes with PCI (n = 804) or CABG (n = 664) and non-diabetes with PCI (n = 418) or CABG (n = 252).

RESULTS

In diabetes, cardiac (34 (5.1 %) vs. 22 (2.7 %); P = 0.016), non-cardiac (13 (2 %) vs. 6 (0.7 %); P = 0.027) and total hospital mortality (47 (7.1 %) vs. 28 (3.5 %); P = 0.0019), myocardial infarction (45 (6.8 %) vs. 11 (1.4 %); P = 0.001), cerebrovascular events (25 (3.8 %) vs. 12 (1.5 %); P = 0.005) and minor bleeding (65 (9.8 %) vs. 50 (6.2 %); P = 0.006) were significantly higher in CABG patients compared to PCI; respectively. The median follow-up time was 20 (10-37) months. In diabetes, total mortality was higher in CABG (P = 0.001) while congestive heart failure was higher in PCI (P = 0.001). There were no differences in major adverse cerebrovascular events and target lesion revascularization between PCI and CABG. Predictors of mortality in diabetes were high anatomical SYNTAX, peripheral arterial disease, chronic kidney disease, and cardiogenic shock.

CONCLUSIONS

In this multicenter retrospective study, we found no significant difference in clinical outcomes during the short-term follow-up between PCI with second-generation DES and CABG except for lower total mortality and a higher rate of congestive heart failure in PCI group of patients. Randomized trials to characterize patients who could benefit from each treatment option are needed.

Impact of left ventricular ejection fraction on outcomes after left main revascularization: g-LM Registry

AIMS

The impact of left ventricular dysfunction on clinical outcomes following revascularization is not well established in patients with unprotected left main coronary artery disease (ULMCA). In this study, we evaluated the impact of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) on clinical outcomes of patients with ULMCA requiring revascularization with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) compared with coronary artery bypass graft (CABG).

METHODS

The details of the design, methods, end points, and relevant definitions are outlined in the Gulf Left Main Registry: a retrospective, observational study conducted between January 2015 and December 2019 across 14 centres in 3 Gulf countries. In this study, the data on patients with ULMCA who underwent revascularization through PCI or CABG were stratified by LVEF into three main subgroups; low (l-LVEF <40%), mid-range (m-LVEF 40-49%), and preserved (p-LVEF ≥50%). Primary outcomes were hospital major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) and mortality and follow-up MACCE and mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 2137 patients were included; 1221 underwent PCI and 916 had CABG. During hospitalization, MACCE was significantly higher in patients with l-LVEF [(10.10%), P = 0.005] and m-LVEF [(10.80%), P = 0.009], whereas total mortality was higher in patients with m-LVEF [(7.40%), P = 0.009] and p-LVEF [(7.10%), P = 0.045] who underwent CABG. There was no mortality difference between groups in patients with l-LVEF. At a median follow-up of 15 months, there was no difference in MACCE and total mortality between patients who underwent CABG or PCI with p-LVEF and m-LVEF.

CONCLUSION

CABG was associated with higher in-hospital events. Hospital mortality in patients with l-LVEF was comparable between CABG and PCI. At 15 months' follow-up, PCI could have an advantage in decreasing MACCE in patients with l-LVEF.

Unprotected Left Main Revascularization in the Setting of Non-Coronary Atherosclerosis: Gulf Left Main Registry

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in revascularization of left main coronary artery (LMCA) disease has been evaluated in previous studies. However, there has been minimal study of the relationship between co-existing non-coronary atherosclerosis (NCA) and LMCA disease revascularization. We aim to examine this relationship.

METHODS

The Gulf-LM study is a retrospective analysis of unprotected LMCA revascularization cases undergoing PCI with second generation drug-eluting stent versus CABG across 14 centers within 3 Gulf countries between January 2015 and December 2019. A total of 2138 patients were included, 381 with coexisting NCA and 1757 without. Outcomes examined included major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), cardiac and non-cardiac death, and all bleeding.

RESULTS

In patients with NCA, preexisting myocardial infarction and congestive heart failure were more common, with PCI being the most common revascularization strategy. A statistically significant reduction in in-hospital MACCE and all bleeding was noted in patients with NCA undergoing PCI as compared to CABG. At a median follow-up of 15 months, MACCE and major bleeding outcomes continued to favor the PCI group, though no such difference was identified between revascularization strategies in patients without NCA.

CONCLUSIONS

In this multicenter retrospective study of patients with and without NCA who require revascularization (PCI and CABG) for unprotected LMCA disease, PCI demonstrated a better clinical outcome in MACCE both in-hospital and during the short-term follow-up in patients with NCA. However, no such difference was observed in patients without NCA.

Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Vs Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery for Unprotected Left Main Coronary Disease: G-LM Registry

Coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG) has been the standard of care for revascularization for patients with obstructive unprotected left main coronary disease (ULMCA). There have been multiple randomized and registry data demonstrating the technical and clinical efficacy of PCI in certain patients with ULMCA. The purpose of this study is to evaluate clinical outcomes of ULMCA PCI as compared to CABG in patients requiring revascularization in three Gulf countries. All ULMCA cases treated by PCI with DES versus CABG were retrospectively identified from 14 centers in 3 Arab Gulf countries (KSA, UAE, and Bahrain) from January 2015 to December 2019. In total, 2138 patients were included: 1222 were treated with PCI versus 916 with CABG. Patients undergoing PCI were older, and had higher comorbidities and mean European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE). Aborted cardiac arrest and cardiogenic shock were reported more in the PCI group at hospital presentation. In addition, lower ejection fractions were reported in the PCI group. In hospital mortality and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) occurred more in patients undergoing CABG than PCI. At median follow-up of 15 months (interquartile range, 30), no difference was observed in freedom from revascularization, MACCE, or total mortality between those treated with PCI and CABG. While findings are similar to Western data registries, continued follow-up will be needed to ascertain whether this pattern continues into latter years.

Supplementing prediction by EuroSCORE with social and patient-reported measures among patients undergoing cardiac surgery

OBJECTIVES

The risk of poor outcomes is traditionally attributed to biological and physiological processes in cardiac surgery. However, evidence exists that other factors, such as emotional, behavioral, social, and functional, are predictive of poor outcomes. Objectives were to evaluate the predictive value of several emotional, social, functional, and behavioral factors on four outcomes: death within 90 days, prolonged stay in intensive care, prolonged hospital admission, and readmission within 90 days following cardiac surgery.

METHODS

This prospective study included adults undergoing cardiac surgery 2013-2014, including information on register-based socioeconomic factors and self-reported health in a nested subsample. Logistic regression analyses to determine the association and incremental value of each candidate predictor variable were conducted. Multiple regression analyses were used to determine the incremental value of each candidate predictor variable, as well as discrimination and calibration based on the area under the curve (AUC) and Brier score.

RESULTS

Of 3217 patients, 3% died, 9% had prolonged intensive care stay, 51% had prolonged hospital admission, and 39% were readmitted to hospital. Patients living alone (odds ratio, 1.19; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.38), with lower educational levels (1.27; 1.04-1.54) and low health-related quality of life (1.43; 1.02-2.01) had prolonged hospital admission. Analyses revealed living alone as predictive of prolonged intensive care unit (ICU) stay (Brier, 0.08; AUC, 0.68), death (0.03; 0.71), and prolonged hospital admission (0.24; 0.62).

CONCLUSION

Living alone was found to supplement EuroSCORE in predicting death, prolonged hospital admission, and prolonged ICU stay following cardiac surgery. Low educational level and impaired health-related quality of life were, furthermore, predictive of prolonged hospital admission.

Octogenarians and aortic valve surgery: surgical outcomes in the geriatric population

Background

The era of percutaneous aortic valve intervention has challenged the continuing indication for surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR).

Aim

The aim of this study is to evaluate clinical outcomes of the elderly patients who underwent surgical aortic valve replacement via median sternotomy, in order to assess the impact of surgery on patient outcomes and discharge destination.

Methods

The study involves a retrospective observational analysis in a single centre, including all octogenarian patients who underwent aortic valve surgery between January of 2011 and July of 2016. The study assessed pre-operative co-morbidities and post-operative outcomes, including long-term mortality and discharge destination following on from surgery.

Results

The mean age of patients was 82.7 years (± 2.9), 67% of whom were male. The mean EuroSCORE II was 8.1 (± 7.6). The most common pre-operative co-morbidities were dyslipidaemia (82%), hypertension (80%), and ischaemic heart disease (78.8%). The median length of stay was 10 days (± 6.9 days). Discharge home occurred in 71.8% of patients, with 21.2% of patients requiring transfer to a rehabilitation facility, and 1.2% of patients required placement into an aged care facility. There were five peri-operative deaths, equating to 5.9% of the cohort.

Conclusion

Despite high EuroSCORE II values for the majority of our patients, our data adds to overall suggestions that the octogenarian population can be considered eligible for SAVR and should not be excluded due to age alone. The use of the EuroSCORE II index more accurately predicts adequacy for treatment however does not entirely predict overall course of events, and proceduralist discretion should still be used.

Impact of a natural versus commercial enteral-feeding on the occurrence of diarrhea in critically ill cardiac surgery patients. A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Diarrhea is an important complication in critically ill patients undergoing enteral feeding. The occurrence of diarrhea may lead to systemic and local complications and negatively impacts on nursing workload and patient's wellbeing. An enteral feeding based on blenderized natural food could be beneficial in reducing the risk of diarrhea. No study has compared natural and commercial enteral feedings in critically ill cardiac surgery patients.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to compare the risk of diarrhea occurrence in two cohorts of patients fed a blenderized natural food diet or commercial enteral feeding preparations, respectively.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Cardiac-Surgery Intensive Care Unit of a University Hospital.

PARTICIPANTS

Two-hundred and fifteen patients admitted to the postoperative cardiac surgery intensive care unit were included, 103 fed blenderized natural enteral feeding and 112 fed commercial formulas.

METHODS

Commercial enteral formulas were delivered by continuous pump administration, while natural enteral feeding by bolus 3 times per day. Diarrhea was documented in the presence of three or more evacuations of loose or watery stool (or an amount above 250 ml) per day. The presence of diarrhea was recorded daily from the beginning to the end of the enteral feeding, up to a maximum of 8 days. The unadjusted time to the first event of diarrhea between the two enteral feeding groups was compared. Adjusted comparison was then performed by fitting a multivariable Cox Proportional-Hazards model, adjusted for potential confounders for diarrhea occurrence (i.e. administration of inotropes, vasopressors, prokinetics, antibiotics, oral nutritional supplements, antifungal agents, sedatives, opioids, probiotics, laxatives).

RESULTS

In unadjusted survival analysis the probability of diarrhea was significantly lower in the natural enteral feeding group (log rank test: p = 0.023). In the multivariable model patients in natural enteral feeding cohort showed a non-significant trend towards an almost halved risk of experiencing diarrhea (hazard ratio: 0.584; 95% confidence interval: 0.335-1.018; p = 0.058) compared to those fed commercial enteral feeding.

CONCLUSIONS

Administration of a blenderized diet based on natural food for enteral feeding can reduce the incidence of diarrhea in cardiac surgery critically ill patients. This strategy may reduce the risk of diarrhea-associated malnutrition and systemic and local complications, also having a positive impact on nursing workload and patient wellbeing.

Use of serotonin reuptake inhibitors is not associated with increased bleeding after CABG

OBJECTIVES

Selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) and serotonin noradrenaline reuptake inhibitors (SNRIs) are the most commonly prescribed antidepressants worldwide. Studies suggest that SSRI/SNRIs can increase bleeding following different surgical procedures, including open heart surgery, but results are conflicting. The objective of this study was to analyse their effects on bleeding after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).

METHODS

Of 1237 patients that underwent CABG in Iceland in 2007-2016, 97 (7.8%) used SSRIs/SNRIs preoperatively and were compared to a reference group (n = 1140). Bleeding was assessed using 24-h chest-tube output, number of RBC units transfused and reoperation for bleeding. Thirty-day mortality rates and incidence of complications were also compared.

RESULTS

The two groups were comparable with respect to preoperative and operative variables, with the exception of BMI being significantly higher in the SSRI/SNRI group (30.2 vs. 28.3 kg/m², p < 0.001). No significant differences were observed between groups in 24-h chest-tube output [815 (SSRI/SNRI) vs. 877 ml (reference), p = 0.26], number of RBC units transfused (2.2 vs. 2.2, p = 0.99) or the rate of reoperation for bleeding (4.1% vs. 6.0%, p = 0.61). The incidences of complications and 30-day mortality rate were also similar.

CONCLUSIONS

Using three different criteria, preoperative use of SSRIs/SNRIs was not shown to increase bleeding after CABG. Furthermore, short-term complications as well as 30-day mortality rates did not differ from those of controls. Thus, temporary cessation of SSRI/SNRI treatment prior to CABG to decrease the risk of bleeding is unwarranted.

Recommendations for Preoperative Assessment and Shared Decision-Making in Cardiac Surgery

Purpose of review

Recommendations about shared decision-making and guidelines on preoperative evaluation of patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery are abundant, but respective recommendations for cardiac surgery are sparse. We provide an overview of available evidence.

Recent findings

While there currently is no consensus statement on the preoperative anesthetic evaluation and shared decision-making for the adult patient undergoing cardiac surgery, evidence pertaining to specific organ systems is available.

Summary

We provide a comprehensive review of available evidence pertaining to preoperative assessment and shared decision-making for patients undergoing cardiac surgery and recommend a thorough preoperative workup in this vulnerable population.

Risk Stratification for Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

Risk assessment models developed from administrative and clinical databases are used for clinical decision making. Since these models are derived from a database, they have an inherent limitation of being as good as the data they are derived from. Many of these models under or overestimate certain clinical outcomes particularly mortality in certain group of patients. Undeniably, there is significant variability in all these models on account of patient population studied, the statistical analysis used to develop the model and the period during which these models were developed. This review aims to shed light on development and application of risk assessment models for cardiac surgery with special emphasis on risk stratification in severe aortic stenosis to select patients for transcatheter aortic valve replacement.

30-day mortality in frail patients undergoing cardiac surgery: the results of the frailty in cardiac surgery (FICS) copenhagen study

Objectives. Typically, patients referred to cardiac surgery are aged. Because EuroSCORE tend to overestimate and STS tend to underestimate the risk of mortality after cardiac surgery, frailty has become interesting as a potential predictor for mortality after cardiac surgery. Therefore, we conducted a study to identify the number of frail patients undergoing cardiac surgery and describe the risk of short-term complications and mortality. Design. In a prospective observational study, we have compared the surgical outcome in frail versus non-frail patients. Patients aged > 65 years and undergoing non-acute cardiac surgery were included. Frailty was assessed using the comprehensive assessment of frailty (CAF) score. The CAF evaluates the patient's physical condition through performing physical tests. Results. 604 patients included, 477 were men and the median age was 73 years (range, 65-90). Twenty-five percent were deemed frail. Frail patients had a four times higher 30-day mortality. Furthermore, frail patients had higher postoperative complication rates of atrial fibrillation, prolonged ventilation, re-operations, renal failure, transfusion requirements, and increased length of stay. Patients who died within 30 days had a significantly higher CAF score than those who survived (p = .039). Based on ROC curves, the area under the curve (AUC) for CAF score was 0.700, EuroSCORE 0.664 and STS score 0.748. Conclusion. Frailty is common in patients undergoing cardiac surgery and carries increased risk of 30-day mortality and postoperative complications. The AUC indicates similar prediction of mortality for CAF score compared to the existing risk scores. Clinical Trials Registration ID: NCT02992587.

Performance of EuroSCORE II and logistic EuroSCORE in Bangladeshi population undergoing off-pump coronary artery bypass surgery: A prospective cohort study

Introduction

European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) was developed to identify patients who may have a greater postoperative risk for adverse effects following adult cardiac surgery. This study evaluated the discriminatory potential of using the EuroSCORE system in predicting the early, as well as late, postoperative outcomes following coronary artery bypass graft surgery in Bangladesh.

Methods

A total of 865 patients who underwent isolated coronary artery bypass graft surgery were evaluated with the EuroSCORE risk scoring system. Moreover, we also compared the discriminatory potentials between the EuroSCORE II and the original logistic EuroSCORE.

Results

Operative mortality was best predicted by EuroSCORE II (area under the curve (AUC) 0.863, Brier score 0.030) compared to the original logistic EuroSCORE (AUC 0.849, Brier score 0.033). However, the overall expected-to-observed mortality ratio for EuroSCORE II was 1.1, whereas the observed ratio for the original logistic EuroSCORE was 1.7. EuroSCORE II was predictive of an intensive care unit stay of five days or more (AUC 0.786), prolonged inotropes use (AUC 0.746), stroke (AUC 0.646), de novo dialysis (AUC 0.810), and low output syndrome (AUC 0.715). Moreover, a high EuroSCORE II quintile significantly predicted the risk for late mortality (p < 0.0001).

Conclusions

EuroSCORE has an important role in predicting the early, as well as late, postoperative outcomes following coronary artery bypass surgery. However, the performance of EuroSCORE II is significantly better than the original logistic EuroSCORE in predicting postoperative morbidity and mortality after isolated coronary artery bypass graft surgery among Bangladeshi patients.

Updating EuroSCORE by including emotional, behavioural, social and functional factors to the risk assessment of patients undergoing cardiac surgery: a study protocol

INTRODUCTION

Conventional risk assessment in cardiac surgery focus on medical and physiological factors and have been developed to predict mortality. Other relevant risk factors associated with increased risk of poor outcomes are not included. Adding non-medical variables as potential prognostic factors to risk assessments direct attention away from specific diagnoses towards a more holistic view of the patients and their predicament. The aim of this paper is to describe the method and analysis plan for the development and validation of a prognostic screening tool as a supplement to the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) to predict mortality, readmissions and prolonged length of admission in patients within 90 days after cardiac surgery, as individual outcomes.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The development of a prognostic screening tool with inclusion of emotional, behavioural, social and functional factors complementing risk assessment by EuroSCORE will adopt the methods recommended by the PROGnosis RESearch Strategy Group and report using the Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis statement. In the development stage, we will use data derived from three datasets comprising 1143, 3347 and 982 patients for a prospective cohort study of patients undergoing cardiac surgery, respectively. We will construct logistic regression models to predict mortality, prolonged length of admission and 90-day readmissions. In the validation stage, we will use data from a separate sample of 333 patients planned to undergo cardiac surgery to assess the performance of the developed prognostic model. We will produce validation plots showing the overall performance, area under the curve statistic for discrimination and the calibration slope and intercept.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study will follow the requirements from the Ethical Committee System ensuring voluntary participation in accordance with the Helsinki declarations. Data will be filed in accordance with the requirements of the Danish Data Protection Agency.

sST2 as a novel biomarker for the prediction of in-hospital mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting

Objectives: Soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (sST2) biomarker is an emerging predictor of adverse clinical outcomes, but its prognostic value for in-hospital mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is not well understood. This study measured the association between operative sST2 levels and in-hospital mortality after CABG. Methods: A prospective cohort of 1560 CABG patients were analyzed from the Northern New England Cardiovascular Disease Study Group Biomarker Study. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality after CABG surgery (n = 32). Results: After risk adjustment, patients in the third tercile of pre-, post- and pre-to-postoperative sST2 values experienced significantly greater odds of in-hospital death compared to patients in the first tercile of sST2 values. The addition of both postoperative and pre-to-postoperative sST2 biomarker significantly improved ability to predict in-hospital mortality status following CABG surgery, compared to using the EuroSCORE II mortality model alone, (c-statistic: 0.83 [95% CI: 0.75, 0.92], p value 0.0213) and (c-statistic: 0.83 [95% CI: 0.75, 0.92], p value 0.0215), respectively. Conclusion: sST2 values are associated with in-hospital mortality after CABG surgery and postoperative and pre-to-post operative sST2 values improve prediction. Our findings suggest that sST2 can be used as a biomarker to identify adult patients at greatest risk of in-hospital death after CABG surgery.

Comparison of Two Major Perioperative Bleeding Scores for Cardiac Surgery Trials

Editor’s Perspective

What We Already Know about This Topic

What This Article Tells Us That Is New

Background

Research into major bleeding during cardiac surgery is challenging due to variability in how it is scored. Two consensus-based clinical scores for major bleeding: the Universal definition of perioperative bleeding and the European Coronary Artery Bypass Graft (E-CABG) bleeding severity grade, were compared in this substudy of the Transfusion Avoidance in Cardiac Surgery (TACS) trial.

Methods

As part of TACS, 7,402 patients underwent cardiac surgery at 12 hospitals from 2014 to 2015. We examined content validity by comparing scored items, construct validity by examining associations with redo and complex procedures, and criterion validity by examining 28-day in-hospital mortality risk across bleeding severity categories. Hierarchical logistic regression models were constructed that incorporated important predictors and categories of bleeding.

Results

E-CABG and Universal scores were correlated (Spearman ρ = 0.78, P &lt; 0.0001), but E-CABG classified 910 (12.4%) patients as having more severe bleeding, whereas the Universal score classified 1,729 (23.8%) as more severe. Higher E-CABG and Universal scores were observed in redo and complex procedures. Increasing E-CABG and Universal scores were associated with increased mortality in unadjusted and adjusted analyses. Regression model discrimination based on predictors of perioperative mortality increased with additional inclusion of the Universal score (c-statistic increase from 0.83 to 0.91) or E-CABG (c-statistic increase from 0.83 to 0.92). When other major postoperative complications were added to these models, the association between Universal or E-CABG bleeding with mortality remained.

Conclusions

Although each offers different advantages, both the Universal score and E-CABG performed well in the validity assessments, supporting their use as outcome measures in clinical trials.

Prospective validation of the EuroSCORE II risk model in a single Dutch cardiac surgery centre

Objective

The EuroSCORE I was one of the most frequently used pre-operative risk models in cardiac surgery. In 2011 it was replaced by its successor the EuroSCORE II. This study aims to validate the EuroSCORE II and to compare its performance with the EuroSCORE I in a Dutch hospital.

Methods

The EuroSCORE II was prospectively validated in 2,296 consecutive cardiac surgery patients between 1 April 2012 and 1 January 2014. Receiver operating characteristic curves on in-hospital mortality were plotted for EuroSCORE I and EuroSCORE II, and the area under the curve was calculated to assess discriminative power. Calibration was assessed by comparing observed versus expected mortality. Additionally, analyses were performed in which we stratified for type of surgery and for elective versus emergency surgery.

Results

The observed mortality was 2.4% (55 patients). The discriminative power of the EuroSCORE II surpassed that of the EuroSCORE I (area under the curve EuroSCORE II 0.871, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.832–0.911; area under the curve additive EuroSCORE I 0.840, CI 0.798–0.882; area under the curve logistic EuroSCORE I 0.761, CI 0.695–0.828). Both the additive and the logistic EuroSCORE I overestimated mortality (predictive mortality additive EuroSCORE I median 5.0%, inter-quartile range 3.0–8.0%; logistic EuroSCORE I 10.7%, inter-quartile range 5.8–13.9), while the EuroSCORE II underestimated mortality (median 1.6%, inter-quartile range 1.0–3.5). In most stratified analyses the EuroSCORE II performed better.

Conclusion

Our results show that the EuroSCORE II produces a valid risk prediction and outperforms the EuroSCORE I in elective cardiac surgery patients.

Are frailty scales better than anesthesia or surgical scales to determine risk in cardiac surgery?

BACKGROUND

In the last year there has been an increasing interest for using frailty scales for risk stratification of elderly patients undergoing major surgery. We planned to compare two frailty scales with risk scales already used in cardiac surgery, to study which of these scores have better prognostic value predicting postoperative outcome in open heart surgery.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective clinical trial, including 57 patients over 65 years. We calculated Cardiac Anesthesia Risk Evaluation score, EuroScore II, Clinical Frailty Scale, Edmonton Frail Scale for each patient and followed the postoperative complications, length of mechanical ventilation, length of stay in the intensive care unit and hospital, and in-hospital death related to these risk and frailty scores.

RESULTS

Postoperative complications occurred in 25 patients (43.9%), while four patients (7%) died with multiple organ failure. All scales had low predictability for postoperative complications, but for length of mechanical ventilation we obtained positive correlations with EuroScore II, Edmonton Frail Scale and Clinical Frailty Scale. EuroScore II can also predict the length of stay in the intensive care unit. For postoperative deaths, the highest sensitivity had EuroScore II, followed by Clinical Frailty Scale and Edmonton Frail Scale.

CONCLUSIONS

EuroScore II and the frailty scales have an increased prognostic value regarding the postoperative outcome of patients (length of mechanical ventilation and in-hospital mortality), the EuroScore II can predict the length of stay in the intensive care unit as well.

The predictive value of conventional surgical risk scores for periprocedural mortality in percutaneous mitral valve repair

BACKGROUND

Surgical risk scores are used to identify high-risk patients for surgical mitral valve repair. There is no scoring system to estimate the mortality risk for patients undergoing percutaneous treatment. The aim of this analysis is to evaluate the predictive value of the EuroSCOREs and the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Predicted Risk of Mortality Score (STS) for periprocedural mortality in percutaneous edge-to-edge mitral valve repair.

METHODS

From 2009 to 2013, 136 high-risk patients were included who underwent 143 procedures. Observed periprocedural mortality was compared with predicted mortality using the logistic EuroSCORE, EuroSCORE II and STS. The predictive value was analysed by receiver operating characteristic curves for each score.

RESULTS

Observed periprocedural mortality was 3.5 %. The predicted surgical mortality risk was: 23.1 ± 15.7 % for the logistic EuroSCORE, 9.6 ± 7.7 % for the EuroSCORE II and 13.2 ± 8.2 % for the STS. The predictive value estimated by the area under the curve was: 0.55, 0.54 and 0.65 for the logistic EuroSCORE, EuroSCORE II and STS respectively. Severe pulmonary hypertension and acute procedural success were significant predictive parameters in univariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

Contemporary surgical scores do not adequately predict periprocedural mortality for high-risk patients undergoing edge-to-edge mitral valve repair, but they can be used to help decision-making in the selection process for this procedure.

Heart valve surgery: EuroSCORE vs. EuroSCORE II vs. Society of Thoracic Surgeons score

BACKGROUND

This is a validation study comparing the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II with the previous additive (AES) and logistic EuroSCORE (LES) and the Society of Thoracic Surgeons' (STS) risk prediction algorithm, for patients undergoing valve replacement with or without bypass in Pakistan.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Clinical data of 576 patients undergoing valve replacement surgery between 2006 and 2013 were retrospectively collected and individual expected risks of death were calculated by all four risk prediction algorithms. Performance of these risk algorithms was evaluated in terms of discrimination and calibration.

RESULTS

There were 28 deaths (4.8%) among 576 patients, which was lower than the predicted mortality of 5.16%, 6.96% and 4.94% by AES, LES and EuroSCORE II but was higher than 2.13% predicted by STS scoring system. For single and double valve replacement procedures, EuroSCORE II was the best predictor of mortality with highest Hosmer and Lemmeshow test (H-L) p value (0.346 to 0.689) and area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (0.637 to 0.898). For valve plus concomitant coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) patients actual mortality was 1.88%. STS calculator came out to be the best predictor of mortality for this subgroup with H-L p value (0.480 to 0.884) and ROC (0.657 to 0.775).

CONCLUSIONS

For Pakistani population EuroSCORE II is an accurate predictor for individual operative risk in patients undergoing isolated valve surgery, whereas STS performs better in the valve plus CABG group.

Use of EuroSCORE as a predictor of morbidity after cardiac surgery

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the use of the EuroSCORE as a predictor of postoperative morbidity after cardiac surgery.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the charts of 900 patients operated on and admitted to the intensive care unit postoperatively at the Royal Portuguese Hospital of Recife. We included all patients with complete medical records, excluding those who died during surgery, underwent transplantation or correction of congenital heart disease. We evaluated the development of respiratory infection, cerebrovascular accident, and dialysis-dependent renal failure, and the EuroSCORE was compared in terms of the three complications using the Mann-Whitney test. The calibration model for predicting the morbidities being studied was evaluated using the test set of Homer-Lemeshow goodness. The accuracy of the model was assessed using the area under the ROC curve (AUROC).

RESULTS

The model showed good calibration in predicting respiratory infection, acute renal failure and stroke (P=0.285, P=0.789, P=0.45, respectively), with good accuracy for respiratory infection (AUROC=0.710 and P<0.001) and dialysis-dependent renal failure (AUROC=0.834 and P<0.001), but no accuracy to predict stroke (AUROC=0.519). The high-risk patients were more likely to develop respiratory infection (OR=9.05, P<0.001) and dialysis-dependent renal failure (OR=39.6, P<0.001). The probability of developing respiratory infection and dialysis-dependent renal failure was less than 10% with EuroSCORE up to 7 and more than 70% with EuroSCORE greater than 15.

CONCLUSION

EuroSCORE proved to be a good predictor of major postoperative morbidity in cardiac surgery: respiratory and dialysis-dependent renal failure.

Is a sedentary lifestyle an independent predictor for hospital and early mortality after elective cardiac surgery?

Objective

This study evaluates whether a sedentary lifestyle is an independent predictor for increased mortality after elective cardiac surgery.

Methods

Three thousand one hundred fifty patients undergoing elective cardiac surgery between January 2007 and June 2012 completed preoperatively the Corpus Christi Heart Project questionnaire concerning physical activity (PA). Based on this questionnaire, 1815 patients were classified as active and 1335 patients were classified as sedentary. The endpoints of the study were hospital mortality and early mortality.

Results

The study population had a mean age of 69.7 ± 10.1 (19–95) years and a mean logistic EuroSCORE risk of 5.1 ± 5.6 (0.88–73.8). Sedentary patients were significantly older (p = 0.001), obese (p = 0.001), had a higher EuroSCORE risk (p = 0.001), and a higher percentage of complications. Hospital mortality (1.1 % versus 0.4 % (p = 0.014)) and early mortality (1.5 % versus 0.6 % (p = 0.006)) were significantly higher in the sedentary group compared with the active group. However, a sedentary lifestyle was not identified as an independent predictor for hospital mortality (p = 0.61) or early mortality (p = 0.70).

Conclusion

Sedentary patients were older, obese and had a higher EuroSCORE risk. They had significantly more postoperative complications, higher hospital mortality and early mortality. Despite these results, sedentary behaviour could not be identified as an independent predictor for hospital or early mortality.

A Case of Left Main Coronary Artery Disease in an Octogenarian Treated Surgically and Complicated by Myocardial Infarction: Decisions, Techniques, Rescue and Final Outcome

We report on an octogenarian patient presenting with an acute coronary syndrome due to significant left main coronary artery disease and severe ostial stenosis of the left anterior descending artery disease. Emergent bypass graft performed with “beating heart” consisted of left internal mammary graft to the mid left anterior descending artery with an “over-stent” anastomosis. The immediate post-operative phase was simple, however the patient presented on post-operative day 8 with extensive anterior myocardial infarction and cardiogenic shock. Emergent coronary angiogram showed subocclusive anastomotic stenosis. Percutaneous coronary intervention was performed on left main, proximal left anterior descending, and proximal circumflex arteries. Subsequently, the patient restored a satisfactory hemodynamic condition. A focus on the importance of decision for management of left main disease especially in octogenarian is presented, along with a review of the pertinent literature.