Exhaustive mathematical analysis of simple clinical measurements for childhood pneumonia diagnosis

Prevalence and predictors of radiographic pneumonia in children with wheeze: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Diagnostic uncertainty exists surrounding the identification of radiographic pneumonia in children with wheeze. It is important to determine the prevalence and clinical predictors of pneumonia in this population to limit chest radiography (CXR) and promote judicious antibiotic use.

OBJECTIVES

The objectives were to (1) estimate the prevalence of radiographic pneumonia in children with wheeze and (2) systematically review the diagnostic accuracy of clinical findings for the identification of radiographic pneumonia.

METHODS

Data sources were MEDLINE, PubMed Central, Cochrane Library, CINAHL, and Web of Science (January 1995 to September 2023). For study selection, two reviewers identified high-quality studies reporting on clinical characteristics associated with radiographic pneumonia in wheezing children (age 0-21 years). Using Covidence software, data regarding study characteristics, methodologic quality, and results were extracted. Data were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 8333 unique titles and abstracts were reviewed. Twelve studies, representing 7398 patients, were included. Fifteen percent of children with wheeze undergoing CXR had pneumonia. Findings associated with radiographic pneumonia included temperature ≥ 38.4°C (positive likelihood ratio [LR+] 2.1, 95% CI 1.2-3.6, specificity 85%), oxygen saturation < 92% (LR+ 3.6, 95% CI 1.4-8.9, specificity 89%), and grunting (LR+ 2.7, 95% CI 1.6-4.4, pooled specificity 91%). Factors associated with the absence of radiographic pneumonia included lack of fever (negative likelihood ratio [LR-] 0.67, 95% CI 0.52-0.85) and oxygen saturation ≥ 95% (LR- 0.64, 95% CI 0.42-0.98). Tachypnea and auscultatory findings were not associated with radiographic pneumonia.

DISCUSSION

Heterogeneity across studies limits generalizability. Additionally, all included studies overestimate the rate of radiographic pneumonia given the fact that all subjects had a CXR performed due to clinical suspicion of pneumonia.

CONCLUSIONS

Radiographic pneumonia occurs in 15% of wheezing children undergoing CXR for pneumonia. Auscultatory findings and tachypnea do not differentiate children with and without pneumonia, and the rate of radiographic pneumonia is very low in the absence of fever and hypoxemia.

Modeling the transmission dynamics of delayed pneumonia-like diseases with a sensitivity of parameters

Pneumonia is a highly transmitted disease in children. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), the most affected regions include South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. 15% deaths of children are due to pneumonia. In 2017, 0.88 million children were killed under the age of five years. An analysis of pneumonia disease is performed with the help of a delayed mathematical modelling technique. The epidemiological system contemplates subpopulations of susceptible, carriers, infected and recovered individuals, along with nonlinear interactions between the members of those subpopulations. The positivity and the boundedness of the ongoing problem for nonnegative initial data are thoroughly proved. The system possesses pneumonia-free and pneumonia existing equilibrium points, whose stability is studied rigorously. Moreover, the numerical simulations confirm the validity of these theoretical results.

Factors affecting mothers' intentions to visit healthcare facilities before hospitalisation of children with pneumonia in Biliran province, Philippines: a qualitative study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Despite a substantial reduction in the mortality rate of children under 5 years in the past 25 years, pneumonia remains the single-largest infectious cause of child deaths worldwide. This study explored the chronological order of visited healthcare facilities and practitioners, and the factors affecting mothers' intention to seek care before the hospitalisation of children with pneumonia.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

A qualitative research design was employed using theory of planned behaviour as a framework for the analysis. Using purposive sampling technique, 11 mothers, whose children under 5 years old were hospitalised with severe pneumonia, were recruited for individual semi-structured interviews. Their socio-demographic information was analysed using descriptive statistics.

RESULTS

Mothers brought their sick children to multiple facilities, and 1 to 19 days had passed before hospitalisation. We identified four major factors determining mothers' intentions: (1) doing something useful for the sick child, (2) expecting the child to receive the necessary assessment and treatment, (3) accepting advice to visit a healthcare facility and be referred to a hospital and (4) considering issues and benefits associated with hospitalisation. Mothers noticed their children's unusual symptoms and monitored them while applying home remedies. They also took their children to traditional healers despite knowing that the treatments were not necessarily effective. Mothers expected children to be checked by health professionals and listened to advice from family members regarding the facilities to visit, and from healthcare staff to be referred to a hospital. Financial issues and the double burden of housework and caring for the hospitalised child were mothers' major concerns about hospitalisation.

CONCLUSION

Children were hospitalised after several days because they visited multiple healthcare facilities, including traditional healers. Improving care quality at healthcare facilities and reducing financial and mothers' burden may reduce the hospitalisation delay for children with pneumonia.