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Riccò M, Cascio A, Corrado S, Bottazzoli M, Marchesi F, Gili R, Giuri PG, Gori D, Manzoni P. Impact of Nirsevimab Immunization on Pediatric Hospitalization Rates: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (2024). Vaccines (Basel) 2024; 12:640. [PMID: 38932369 PMCID: PMC11209424 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines12060640] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/11/2024] [Revised: 05/25/2024] [Accepted: 06/06/2024] [Indexed: 06/28/2024] Open
Abstract
A systematic review with a meta-analysis was performed to gather available evidence on the effectiveness of monoclonal antibody nirsevimab in the prevention of lower respiratory tract diseases (LRTDs) due to respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in children and newborns (CRD42024540669). Studies reporting on real-world experience and randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were searched for in three databases (PubMed, Embase, and Scopus) until 1 May 2024. Our analysis included five RCTs, seven real-world reports, and one official report from the health authorities. Due to the cross-reporting of RCTs and the inclusion of multiple series in a single study, the meta-analysis was performed on 45,238 infants from 19 series. The meta-analysis documented a pooled immunization efficacy of 88.40% (95% confidence interval (95% CI) from 84.70 to 91.21) on the occurrence of hospital admission due to RSV, with moderate heterogeneity (I2 24.3%, 95% CI 0.0 to 56.6). Immunization efficacy decreased with the overall length of the observation time (Spearman's r = -0.546, p = 0.016), and the risk of breakthrough infections was substantially greater in studies with observation times ≥150 days compared to studies lasting <150 days (risk ratio 2.170, 95% CI 1.860 to 2.532). However, the effect of observation time in meta-regression analysis was conflicting (β = 0.001, 95% CI -0.001 to 0.002; p = 0.092). In conclusion, the delivery of nirsevimab was quite effective in preventing hospital admissions due to LRTDs. However, further analyses of the whole RSV season are required before tailoring specific public health interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matteo Riccò
- AUSL–IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Servizio di Prevenzione e Sicurezza Negli Ambienti di Lavoro (SPSAL), Local Health Unit of Reggio Emilia, 42122 Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Antonio Cascio
- Infectious and Tropical Diseases Unit, Department of Health Promotion, Mother and Child Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties, “G D’Alessandro”, University of Palermo, AOUP P. Giaccone, 90127 Palermo, Italy;
| | - Silvia Corrado
- ASST Rhodense, Dipartimento Della Donna e Area Materno-Infantile, UOC Pediatria, 20024 Milano, Italy
| | - Marco Bottazzoli
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology, APSS Trento, 38122 Trento, Italy
| | - Federico Marchesi
- Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Parma, 43126 Parma, Italy;
| | - Renata Gili
- Department of Prevention, Turin Local Health Authority, 10125 Torino, Italy
| | | | - Davide Gori
- Department of Biomedical and Neuromotor Sciences, University of Bologna, 40126 Bologna, Italy;
| | - Paolo Manzoni
- Department of Public Health and Pediatric Sciences, University of Torino School of Medicine, 10125 Turin, Italy;
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Fröhlich GC, Gregianini TS, Pinheiro FG, Nascimento R, Cezar TM, Pscheidt VM, Selayaran T, Martins LG, Gomes MFDC, Salvato RS, Pereira EC, Guimarães-Ribeiro V, Scalioni LDP, Siqueira MM, Resende PC, Veiga ABG. Resurgence of human respiratory syncytial virus during COVID-19 pandemic in Southern Brazil. J Med Virol 2024; 96:e29551. [PMID: 38506236 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.29551] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2023] [Revised: 02/16/2024] [Accepted: 03/10/2024] [Indexed: 03/21/2024]
Abstract
Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) is an important cause of respiratory infection in humans. Severe cases are common in children ≤2 years old, immunocompromised individuals, and the elderly. In 2020, RSV infection reduced in Rio Grande do Sul (RS), southern Brazil; however, in 2021 resurgence of RSV was observed. This study analyzed epidemiological and genetic features of RSV infection cases reported in 2021 in RS. Nasopharyngeal samples collected from individuals with respiratory infection negative for SARS-CoV-2, Influenza A and B viruses were assessed for the presence of RSV by real time RT-qPCR. RSV-A and RSV-B genomic sequencing and phylogenetic reconstructions were performed for genotyping and clade characterization. Among 21,035 respiratory samples analyzed, 2,947 were positive for RSV, 947 of which were hospitalized patients. Positive cases were detected year-round, with the highest number in June-July (winter). Children <1 year comprised 56.28% (n = 533) of the hospitalized patients infected with RSV, whereas 14.46% (n = 137) were individuals >60 years. Of a total of 361 deaths, 14.68% (n = 53) were RSV positive, mostly patients >60 years old (73.58%, n = 39). Chronic kidney disease, cardiopathy, Down syndrome and neurological diseases were associated with RSV infection. RSV-A was identified in 58.5% (n = 117/200) of the patients, and RSV-B in 41.5% (n = 83/200). Of 95 RSV genomes recovered from SARI cases, 66 were RSV-A GA.2.3.5 genotype, while 29 were RSV-B GB.5.0.5a genotype. This study provides epidemiological and molecular data on RSV cases in RS during the COVID-19 pandemic and highlights that investigation of different respiratory viruses is essential for decision-making and disease prevention and control measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guilherme C Fröhlich
- Laboratório Central de Saúde Pública, Centro Estadual de Vigilância em Saúde da Secretaria de Saúde do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul-LACEN/CEVS/SES-RS, Porto Alegre, Brazil
- Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre-UFCSPA, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Tatiana S Gregianini
- Laboratório Central de Saúde Pública, Centro Estadual de Vigilância em Saúde da Secretaria de Saúde do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul-LACEN/CEVS/SES-RS, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Felipe G Pinheiro
- Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre-UFCSPA, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Rodrigo Nascimento
- Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre-UFCSPA, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Thiago M Cezar
- Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre-UFCSPA, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Veridiane M Pscheidt
- Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre-UFCSPA, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Tainá Selayaran
- Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre-UFCSPA, Porto Alegre, Brazil
- Centro de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico, Centro Estadual de Vigilância em Saúde da Secretaria de Saúde do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul-CDCT/CEVS/SES-RS, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Letícia G Martins
- Centro Estadual de Vigilância em Saúde da Secretaria de Saúde do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul-CEVS/SES-RS, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | | | - Richard S Salvato
- Centro de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico, Centro Estadual de Vigilância em Saúde da Secretaria de Saúde do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul-CDCT/CEVS/SES-RS, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Elisa C Pereira
- Laboratório Vírus Respiratórios, Exantemáticos, Enterovírus e Emergências Virais - LVRE/FIOCRUZ-RJ, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Victor Guimarães-Ribeiro
- Laboratório Vírus Respiratórios, Exantemáticos, Enterovírus e Emergências Virais - LVRE/FIOCRUZ-RJ, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Letícia de Paula Scalioni
- Laboratório Vírus Respiratórios, Exantemáticos, Enterovírus e Emergências Virais - LVRE/FIOCRUZ-RJ, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Marilda M Siqueira
- Laboratório Vírus Respiratórios, Exantemáticos, Enterovírus e Emergências Virais - LVRE/FIOCRUZ-RJ, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Paola C Resende
- Laboratório Vírus Respiratórios, Exantemáticos, Enterovírus e Emergências Virais - LVRE/FIOCRUZ-RJ, Porto Alegre, Brazil
| | - Ana B G Veiga
- Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre-UFCSPA, Porto Alegre, Brazil
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Snow KD, Mansbach JM, Gao J, Shanahan KH, Hasegawa K, Camargo CA. Trends in emergency department visits for bronchiolitis, 1993-2019. Pediatr Pulmonol 2024. [PMID: 38214423 DOI: 10.1002/ppul.26851] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/27/2023] [Revised: 10/24/2023] [Accepted: 12/23/2023] [Indexed: 01/13/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Bronchiolitis is a leading indication for pediatric emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalizations. Our objective was to provide a comprehensive review of national trends and epidemiology of ED visits for bronchiolitis from 1993 to 2019 in the United States. METHODS We retrospectively reviewed the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS) reporting of ED visits for bronchiolitis for children age <2 years from 1993 to 2019. Bronchiolitis cases were identified using billing codes assigned at discharge. The primary outcome was bronchiolitis ED visit rates, calculated using NHAMCS-assigned patient visit weights. We then evaluated for temporal variation in patient characteristics, facility location, and hospitalizations among the bronchiolitis ED visits. RESULTS There were an estimated 8 million ED visits for bronchiolitis for children <2 years between 1993 and 2019. Bronchiolitis ED visits rates ranged from 28 to 36 per 1000 ED visits from 1993 to 2010 and increased significantly to 65 per 1000 ED visits in the 2017-2019 time period (p < 0.001). There was no significant change over time in patient age, sex, race and ethnicity, insurance status, hospital type, or triage level upon ED presentation. Approximately half of bronchiolitis ED visits occurred in the winter months throughout the study period. CONCLUSION In this analysis of 27 years of national data, we identified a recent rise in ED visit rates for bronchiolitis, which have almost doubled from 2010 to 2019 following a period of relative stability between 1993 and 2010.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kathleen D Snow
- Department of Pediatrics, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Jonathan M Mansbach
- Department of Pediatrics, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Jingya Gao
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Kristen H Shanahan
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Kohei Hasegawa
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Carlos A Camargo
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
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Zhang XL, Zhang X, Hua W, Xie ZD, Liu HM, Zhang HL, Chen BQ, Chen Y, Sun X, Xu Y, Shu SN, Zhao SY, Shang YX, Cao L, Jia YH, Lin LN, Li J, Hao CL, Dong XY, Lin DJ, Xu HM, Zhao DY, Zeng M, Chen ZM, Huang LS. Expert consensus on the diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of respiratory syncytial virus infections in children. World J Pediatr 2024; 20:11-25. [PMID: 38064012 PMCID: PMC10828005 DOI: 10.1007/s12519-023-00777-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/29/2023] [Accepted: 10/26/2023] [Indexed: 01/31/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading global cause of respiratory infections and is responsible for about 3 million hospitalizations and more than 100,000 deaths annually in children younger than 5 years, representing a major global healthcare burden. There is a great unmet need for new agents and universal strategies to prevent RSV infections in early life. A multidisciplinary consensus development group comprising experts in epidemiology, infectious diseases, respiratory medicine, and methodology aims to develop the current consensus to address clinical issues of RSV infections in children. DATA SOURCES The evidence searches and reviews were conducted using electronic databases, including PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library, using variations in terms for "respiratory syncytial virus", "RSV", "lower respiratory tract infection", "bronchiolitis", "acute", "viral pneumonia", "neonatal", "infant" "children", and "pediatric". RESULTS Evidence-based recommendations regarding diagnosis, treatment, and prevention were proposed with a high degree of consensus. Although supportive care remains the cornerstone for the management of RSV infections, new monoclonal antibodies, vaccines, drug therapies, and viral surveillance techniques are being rolled out. CONCLUSIONS This consensus, based on international and national scientific evidence, reinforces the current recommendations and integrates the recent advances for optimal care and prevention of RSV infections. Further improvements in the management of RSV infections will require generating the highest quality of evidence through rigorously designed studies that possess little bias and sufficient capacity to identify clinically meaningful end points.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xian-Li Zhang
- Department of Infectious Disease, Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 3333 Binsheng Road, Binjiang District, Hangzhou, 310052, China
| | - Xi Zhang
- Clinical Research Unit, Xin Hua Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Wang Hua
- Department of Infectious Disease, Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 3333 Binsheng Road, Binjiang District, Hangzhou, 310052, China
| | - Zheng-De Xie
- Beijing Pediatric Research Institute, Beijing Children's Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Han-Min Liu
- Department of Pediatric Pulmonology, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Hai-Lin Zhang
- Department of Pediatric Pulmonology, the Second Affiliated Hospital & Yuying Children's Hospital, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Bi-Quan Chen
- Department of Infectious Disease, Anhui Provincial Children's Hospital, Hefei, China
| | - Yuan Chen
- Department of Pediatrics, the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Xin Sun
- Department of Pediatrics, Xijing Hospital, the Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Yi Xu
- Department of Infectious Disease, Guangzhou Women and Children's Medicine Center, Guangzhou Medicine University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Sai-Nan Shu
- Department of Pediatrics, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Shun-Ying Zhao
- Department of Respiratory Disease, Beijing Children's Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Yun-Xiao Shang
- Department of Pediatric Respiratory, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Ling Cao
- Respiratory Department, Children's Hospital Affiliated to Capital Institute of Pediatrics, Beijing, China
| | - Yan-Hui Jia
- Department of Infectious Disease, Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 3333 Binsheng Road, Binjiang District, Hangzhou, 310052, China
| | - Luo-Na Lin
- Department of Infectious Disease, Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 3333 Binsheng Road, Binjiang District, Hangzhou, 310052, China
| | - Jiong Li
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Chuang-Li Hao
- Department of Respirology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China
| | - Xiao-Yan Dong
- Department of Respiratory, Children's Hospital of Shanghai, Children's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Dao-Jiong Lin
- Department of Infectious Disease, Hainan Women and Children's Medical Center, Haikou, China
| | - Hong-Mei Xu
- Department of Infectious Disease, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - De-Yu Zhao
- Department of Respiratory, Children's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Mei Zeng
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Children's Hospital of Fudan University, 399 Wanyuan Road, Minhang District, Shanghai, 201102, China.
| | - Zhi-Min Chen
- Department of Respiratory Diseases, Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 3333 Binsheng Road, Binjiang District, Hangzhou, 310052, China.
| | - Li-Su Huang
- Department of Infectious Disease, Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 3333 Binsheng Road, Binjiang District, Hangzhou, 310052, China.
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Burks A, King W, Orr M. The changing virology and trends in resource utilization for bronchiolitis since COVID-19. Pediatr Pulmonol 2023; 58:3171-3178. [PMID: 37594153 DOI: 10.1002/ppul.26640] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/06/2023] [Revised: 07/28/2023] [Accepted: 08/05/2023] [Indexed: 08/19/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Bronchiolitis is a viral respiratory illness most commonly caused by respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). COVID-19 disrupted typical patterns of viral transmission. Our study aimed to compare low value care for bronchiolitis in a tertiary emergency department (ED) in the United States from March 2017 to March 2022. METHODS This was a descriptive cohort study through a retrospective chart review from 2017 to 2022 analyzing ED visits for bronchiolitis including disposition, disease severity, chest radiographs, albuterol, and high flow nasal cannula usage. A year was a 12-month period from March to February. RESULTS From 2017 to 2020, there were over 2000 ED visits for bronchiolitis per year (3.1% of all ED visits), which decreased to 450 visits for bronchiolitis (1%) in 2020-2021. Human rhino/enterovirus was the most common virus detected (92%) at that time, and admission rates, albuterol, high flow nasal cannula, and chest radiographs were all higher. The summer of 2021 had the highest visits across the 5-study years with a return to previous rates of resource utilization. CONCLUSIONS Bronchiolitis ED visits due to RSV dramatically reduced during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, with over 80% reduction in bronchiolitis visits from 2018 to 2019. While all ED visits fell in 2020, the proportion of visits due to bronchiolitis also decreased. There was an increase in lower value care during the rhinovirus dominant, low census period. As restrictions lifted in 2021, there was a large resurgence of RSV in the atypical summer months with a return of previous rates of resource utilization.
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Affiliation(s)
- Allison Burks
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA
| | - William King
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA
| | - Mary Orr
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA
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Riccò M, Corrado S, Palmieri S, Marchesi F. Respiratory Syncytial Virus: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Tomographic Findings (2000-2022). CHILDREN (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2023; 10:1169. [PMID: 37508666 PMCID: PMC10378054 DOI: 10.3390/children10071169] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/05/2023] [Revised: 07/01/2023] [Accepted: 07/04/2023] [Indexed: 07/30/2023]
Abstract
Human respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a main cause of medical referrals and hospitalizations in all infants, particularly among newborns. Nevertheless, relatively limited evidence on chest tomography (CT) findings has been collected. According to the PRISMA statement, Pubmed, Embase, and medRxiv were searched for eligible observational studies published up to 31 December 2022. Cases were categorized in children and adolescents (age < 18 years), adults and elderly (age ≥ 18 years), and immunocompromised patients, and then pooled in a random-effects model. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistics, while reporting bias was assessed by means of funnel plots and regression analysis. A total of 10 studies (217 RSV cases) were retrieved (children, 37.3%; immunocompromised, 41.0%; adults, 21.7%). The most common features were signs of organizing pneumonia (33.65%, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 22.39-47.27), followed by septal thickening (33.19%, 95% CI 21.76-47.03), ground glass opacities (GGOs; 28.03%, 95% CI 14.69-46.82), and tree-in-bud (TIB, 27.44%, 95% CI 15.04-44.68). Interestingly, up to 16.23% (95% CI 8.17-29.69) showed normal findings, while the large majority (76.06%, 95% CI 64.81-84.56) were characterized by bilateral involvement. Studies were highly heterogeneous without substantial reporting bias. Assuming children and adolescents as reference groups, healthy adults were characterized by a higher risk ratio [RR] for septal thickening (RR 3.878, 95% CI 1.253-12.000), nodular lesions (RR 20.197, 95% CI 1.286-317.082), and GGOs (RR 2.121, 95% CI 1.121-4.013). RSV cases are rarely assessed in terms of CT characteristics. Our study identified some specificities, suggesting that RSV infections evolve heterogeneous CT features in children/adolescents and adults, but the paucity of studies recommends a cautious appraisal.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matteo Riccò
- Local Health Unit of Reggio Emilia, Servizio di Prevenzione e Sicurezza Negli Ambienti di Lavoro (SPSAL), AUSL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, 42122 Reggio Emilia, Italy
| | - Silvia Corrado
- UOC Pediatria, Dipartimento della Donna e Area Materno-Infantile, ASST Rhodense, 20024 Garbagnate Milanese, Italy
| | - Sara Palmieri
- Dipartimento Diagnostica per Immagini, ASST Spedali Civili di Brescia, Radiologia 1, 25123 Brescia, Italy
| | - Federico Marchesi
- Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Parma, 43126 Parma, Italy
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7
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Wang D, Guerra A, Wittke F, Lang JC, Bakker K, Lee AW, Finelli L, Chen YH. Real-Time Monitoring of Infectious Disease Outbreaks with a Combination of Google Trends Search Results and the Moving Epidemic Method: A Respiratory Syncytial Virus Case Study. Trop Med Infect Dis 2023; 8:tropicalmed8020075. [PMID: 36828491 PMCID: PMC9962753 DOI: 10.3390/tropicalmed8020075] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/08/2022] [Revised: 01/07/2023] [Accepted: 01/16/2023] [Indexed: 01/22/2023] Open
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted the seasonal patterns of several infectious diseases. Understanding when and where an outbreak may occur is vital for public health planning and response. We usually rely on well-functioning surveillance systems to monitor epidemic outbreaks. However, not all countries have a well-functioning surveillance system in place, or at least not for the pathogen in question. We utilized Google Trends search results for RSV-related keywords to identify outbreaks. We evaluated the strength of the Pearson correlation coefficient between clinical surveillance data and online search data and applied the Moving Epidemic Method (MEM) to identify country-specific epidemic thresholds. Additionally, we established pseudo-RSV surveillance systems, enabling internal stakeholders to obtain insights on the speed and risk of any emerging RSV outbreaks in countries with imprecise disease surveillance systems but with Google Trends data. Strong correlations between RSV clinical surveillance data and Google Trends search results from several countries were observed. In monitoring an upcoming RSV outbreak with MEM, data collected from both systems yielded similar estimates of country-specific epidemic thresholds, starting time, and duration. We demonstrate in this study the potential of monitoring disease outbreaks in real time and complement classical disease surveillance systems by leveraging online search data.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dawei Wang
- Health Economic and Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ 07065, USA
- Correspondence:
| | - Andrea Guerra
- Clinical Development, MSD, Kings Cross, London EC2M 6UR, UK
| | | | - John Cameron Lang
- Health Economic and Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ 07065, USA
| | - Kevin Bakker
- Health Economic and Decision Sciences, Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ 07065, USA
| | - Andrew W. Lee
- Clinical Development, Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ 07065, USA
| | - Lyn Finelli
- Clinical Development, Merck & Co., Inc., Kenilworth, NJ 07065, USA
| | - Yao-Hsuan Chen
- Health Economic and Decision Sciences, MSD, Kings Cross, London EC2M 6UR, UK
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8
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Pruccoli G, Castagno E, Raffaldi I, Denina M, Barisone E, Baroero L, Timeus F, Rabbone I, Monzani A, Terragni GM, Lovera C, Brach del Prever A, Manzoni P, Barbaglia M, Roasio L, De Franco S, Calitri C, Lupica M, Felici E, Marciano C, Santovito S, Militerno G, Abrigo E, Curtoni A, Quarello P, Bondone C, Garazzino S. The Importance of RSV Epidemiological Surveillance: A Multicenter Observational Study of RSV Infection during the COVID-19 Pandemic. Viruses 2023; 15:v15020280. [PMID: 36851494 PMCID: PMC9963567 DOI: 10.3390/v15020280] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2022] [Revised: 01/12/2023] [Accepted: 01/16/2023] [Indexed: 01/20/2023] Open
Abstract
The restrictive measures adopted worldwide against SARS-CoV-2 produced a drastic reduction in respiratory pathogens, including RSV, but a dramatic rebound was thereafter reported. In this multicenter retrospective observational study in 15 Pediatric Emergency Departments, all children <3 years old with RSV infection admitted between 1 September and 31 December 2021 were included and compared to those admitted in the same period of 2020 and 2019. The primary aim was to evaluate RSV epidemiology during and after the COVID-19 pandemic peak. The secondary aims were to evaluate the clinical features of children with RSV infection. Overall, 1015 children were enrolled: 100 in 2019, 3 in 2020 and 912 in 2021. In 2019, the peak was recorded in December, and in 2021, it was recorded in November. Comparing 2019 to 2021, in 2021 the median age was significantly higher and the age group 2-3 years was more affected. Admissions were significantly higher in 2021 than in 2020 and 2019, and the per-year hospitalization rate was lower in 2021 (84% vs. 93% in 2019), while the duration of admissions was similar. No difference was found in severity between 2019-2020-2021. In conclusion, after the COVID-19 pandemic, an increase in RSV cases in 2021 exceeding the median seasonal peak was detected, with the involvement of older children, while no difference was found in severity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giulia Pruccoli
- Infectious Diseases Unit, Department of Pediatrics, University of Turin, Regina Margherita Children’s Hospital, A.O.U. Città Della Salute e della Scienza di Torino, 10126 Turin, Italy
| | - Emanuele Castagno
- Department of Pediatric Emergency, Regina Margherita Children’s Hospital, A.O.U. Città Della Salute e della Scienza di Torino, 10126 Turin, Italy
| | - Irene Raffaldi
- Department of Pediatric Emergency, Regina Margherita Children’s Hospital, A.O.U. Città Della Salute e della Scienza di Torino, 10126 Turin, Italy
| | - Marco Denina
- Department of Pediatric Emergency, Regina Margherita Children’s Hospital, A.O.U. Città Della Salute e della Scienza di Torino, 10126 Turin, Italy
| | - Elisa Barisone
- Department of Public Health and Pediatrics, University of Turin, 10126 Turin, Italy
- Correspondence: ; Tel.: +39-0113135396
| | - Luca Baroero
- Department of Pediatrics, Martini Hospital, 10141 Turin, Italy
| | - Fabio Timeus
- Pediatrics Department, Chivasso Hospital, 10034 Chivasso (TO), Italy
| | - Ivana Rabbone
- Division of Pediatrics, Department of Health Sciences, University of Piemonte Orientale, 28100 Novara, Italy
| | - Alice Monzani
- Division of Pediatrics, Department of Health Sciences, University of Piemonte Orientale, 28100 Novara, Italy
| | | | - Cristina Lovera
- Department of Pediatrics, A.O. S.Croce e Carle, 12100 Cuneo, Italy
| | | | - Paolo Manzoni
- Department of Pediatrics, Ospedale Degli Infermi di Ponderano, University of Turin, 13900 Biella, Italy
| | | | - Luca Roasio
- Department of Pediatrics, Edoardo Agnelli Hospital, 10064 Pinerolo (TO), Italy
| | - Simona De Franco
- Department of Pediatrics, Ospedale di Borgomanero, 28021 Borgomanero (NO), Italy
| | - Carmelina Calitri
- Department of Pediatrics, Ospedale di Rivoli, 10098 Rivoli (TO), Italy
| | - Maddalena Lupica
- Department of Pediatrics, Ospedale di Rivoli, 10098 Rivoli (TO), Italy
| | - Enrico Felici
- Pediatric and Pediatric Emergency Unit, Children’s Hospital, AO SS Antonio e Biagio e C. Arrigo, 15121 Alessandria, Italy
| | - Cinzia Marciano
- Pediatric and Pediatric Emergency Unit, Children’s Hospital, AO SS Antonio e Biagio e C. Arrigo, 15121 Alessandria, Italy
| | - Savino Santovito
- Department of Pediatrics, Ospedale Maria Vittoria, ASL Città di Torino, 10143 Turin, Italy
| | - Gaia Militerno
- Department of Pediatrics, Ospedale Cardinal Massaia, 14100 Asti, Italy
| | - Enrica Abrigo
- Department of Pediatrics, Ospedale Cardinal Massaia, 14100 Asti, Italy
| | - Antonio Curtoni
- Microbiology and Virology Unit, Molinette Hospital, A.O.U. Città della Salute e della Scienza di Torino, 10126 Turin, Italy
| | - Paola Quarello
- Department of Pediatric Onco-Hematology, University of Turin, Regina Margherita Children’s Hospital, A.O.U. Città Della Salute e della Scienza di Torino, 10126 Turin, Italy
| | - Claudia Bondone
- Department of Pediatric Emergency, Regina Margherita Children’s Hospital, A.O.U. Città Della Salute e della Scienza di Torino, 10126 Turin, Italy
| | - Silvia Garazzino
- Infectious Diseases Unit, Department of Pediatrics, University of Turin, Regina Margherita Children’s Hospital, A.O.U. Città Della Salute e della Scienza di Torino, 10126 Turin, Italy
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9
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Infodemiology of RSV in Italy (2017-2022): An Alternative Option for the Surveillance of Incident Cases in Pediatric Age? CHILDREN (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2022; 9:children9121984. [PMID: 36553427 PMCID: PMC9777371 DOI: 10.3390/children9121984] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/07/2022] [Revised: 12/14/2022] [Accepted: 12/15/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
The aim of this study was to evaluate whether or not online queries for Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) retrieved by means of Google Trends™ and the Italian Wikipedia analysis program mirror the occurrence of influenza-like illnesses (ILI), as reported by the Italian Influenza Surveillance network (InfluNet). Estimated rates for ILI in the general population and in the age groups 0−4 years and 5−14 years were obtained for the influenza seasons 2017−2018 to 2020−2021. Similarly, a weekly fraction of online searches was retrieved for a series of terms associated with Respiratory Syncytial Virus. Next, trends for daily visualization of Italian Wikipedia Pages for Human Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Pneumonia, Bronchiolitis, Influenza, and Respiratory Failure were similarly retrieved. The correlation of all search terms with ILI was analyzed by means of Spearman’s rank correlation analysis. Among search terms associated with the clinical diagnosis of Respiratory Syncytial Virus infections, the occurrence of ILI was highly correlated only with Bronchiolitis in the age group 0−4 years (β 0.210, p = 0.028), while more generic search terms, such as Bronchitis, fever, influenza, and Pneumonia, were identified as effective predictors of ILI, in general and by age groups. In a regression analysis modeled with ILIs as the outcome variable, daily visualizations for the Wikipedia pages on Bronchiolitis were identified as negative predictors for ILI in general (β = −0.152, p = 0.032), ILI in age group 0−4 years (β = −0.264, p = 0.001) and 5−14 years (β = −0.202, p = 0.006), while Influenza was characterized as a positive effector for ILIs in the age group 5−14 years (β = 0.245, p = 0.001). Interestingly, not only were the search terms extensively correlated with one another, but all of them were also characterized by autocorrelation through a Durbin-Watson test (all estimates DW < 2.0) In summary, our study identified a complicated pattern of data visualization as no clear association between rates of ILI in pediatric age group 0−4 and 5 to 14 years was actually found. Finally, our data stress that the infodemiology option may be quite problematic for assessing the time trend of RSV infections in Italy until more appropriate reporting will be made available, by sharing estimates of Lower Respiratory Tract Infections, and through a more accurate characterization of younger age groups.
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