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Colaco K, Lee KA, Akhtari S, Winer R, Chandran V, Harvey P, Cook RJ, Piguet V, Gladman DD, Eder L. Derivation and Internal Validation of a Disease-Specific Cardiovascular Risk Prediction Model for Patients With Psoriatic Arthritis and Psoriasis. Arthritis Rheumatol 2024; 76:238-246. [PMID: 37691498 DOI: 10.1002/art.42694] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2022] [Revised: 08/12/2023] [Accepted: 09/01/2023] [Indexed: 09/12/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To address suboptimal cardiovascular risk prediction in patients with psoriatic disease (PsD), we developed and internally validated a five-year disease-specific cardiovascular risk prediction model. METHODS We analyzed data from a prospective cohort of participants with PsD without a history of cardiovascular events. Traditional cardiovascular risk factors and PsD-related measures of disease activity were considered as potential predictors. The study outcome included nonfatal and fatal cardiovascular events. A base prediction model included 10 traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Eight PsD-related factors were assessed by adding them to the base model to create expanded models, which were controlled for PsD therapies. Variable selection was performed using Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) penalized regression with 10-fold cross-validation. Model performance was assessed using measures of discrimination and calibration and measures of sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS Between 1992 and 2020, 85 of 1,336 participants developed cardiovascular events. Discrimination of the base model (with traditional cardiovascular risk factors alone) was excellent, with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 85.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] 81.9-89.1). Optimal models did not select any of the tested disease-specific factors. In a sensitivity analysis, which excluded lipid lowering and antihypertensive treatments, the number of damaged joints was selected in the expanded model. However, this model did not improve risk discrimination compared to the base model (AUC 85.5, 95% CI 82.0-89.1). CONCLUSION Traditional cardiovascular risk factors alone are effective in predicting cardiovascular risk in patients with PsD. A risk score based on these factors performed well, indicating excellent discrimination and calibration.
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Affiliation(s)
- Keith Colaco
- Women's College Research Institute, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Womens College Hospital and Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Ker-Ai Lee
- University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada
| | - Shadi Akhtari
- Women's College Research Institute, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Womens College Hospital and Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Raz Winer
- Rambam Health Care Campus, Haifa, Israel
| | - Vinod Chandran
- Womens College Hospital and Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Schroeder Arthritis Institute, University Health Network and Depertament of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Paula Harvey
- Women's College Research Institute, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Womens College Hospital and Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | | | - Vincent Piguet
- Women's College Research Institute, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Womens College Hospital and Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Dafna D Gladman
- Womens College Hospital and Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Schroeder Arthritis Institute, University Health Network and Depertament of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Lihi Eder
- Women's College Research Institute, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Womens College Hospital and Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
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Colaco K, Lee KA, Akhtari S, Winer R, Welsh P, Sattar N, McInnes IB, Chandran V, Harvey P, Cook RJ, Gladman DD, Piguet V, Eder L. Association of Cardiac Biomarkers With Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Psoriatic Arthritis and Psoriasis: A Longitudinal Cohort Study. Arthritis Rheumatol 2022; 74:1184-1192. [PMID: 35261189 PMCID: PMC9545279 DOI: 10.1002/art.42079] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2021] [Revised: 12/08/2021] [Accepted: 01/25/2022] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
Objective In patients with psoriatic disease (PsD), we determined whether cardiac troponin I (cTnI) and N‐terminal pro–brain natriuretic peptide (NT‐proBNP) were associated with carotid plaque burden and the development of cardiovascular events independent of the Framingham Risk Score (FRS). Methods Among 1,000 patients with PsD, carotid total plaque area (TPA) was measured in 358 participants at baseline. Cardiac troponin I and NT‐proBNP were measured using automated clinical assays. The association between cardiac biomarkers and carotid atherosclerosis was assessed by multivariable regression after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors. Improvement in the prediction of cardiovascular events beyond the FRS was tested using measures of risk discrimination and reclassification. Results In univariate analyses, cTnI (β coefficient 0.52 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.3, 0.74], P < 0.001) and NT‐proBNP (β coefficient 0.24 [95% CI 0.1, 0.39], P < 0.001) were associated with TPA. After adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors, the association remained statistically significant for cTnI (adjusted β coefficient 0.21 [95% CI 0, 0.41], P = 0.047) but not for NT‐proBNP (P = 0.21). Among the 1,000 patients with PsD assessed for cardiovascular risk prediction, 64 patients had incident cardiovascular events. When comparing a base model (with the FRS alone) to expanded models (with the FRS plus cardiac biomarkers), there was no improvement in predictive performance. Conclusion In patients with PsD, cTnI may reflect the burden of atherosclerosis, independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Cardiac troponin I and NT‐proBNP are associated with incident cardiovascular events independent of the FRS, but further study of their role in cardiovascular risk stratification is warranted.
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Affiliation(s)
- Keith Colaco
- Women's College Hospital, University of Toronto, and University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Ker-Ai Lee
- University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada
| | - Shadi Akhtari
- Women's College Hospital and University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Raz Winer
- Rambam Health Care Campus, Haifa, Israel
| | | | | | | | - Vinod Chandran
- University of Toronto and University Health Network Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Paula Harvey
- Women's College Hospital and University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | | | - Dafna D Gladman
- University of Toronto and University Health Network Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Vincent Piguet
- Women's College Hospital and University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Lihi Eder
- Women's College Hospital and University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
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Wu JJ, Kavanaugh A, Lebwohl MG, Gniadecki R, Merola JF. Psoriasis and metabolic syndrome: implications for the management and treatment of psoriasis. J Eur Acad Dermatol Venereol 2022; 36:797-806. [PMID: 35238067 PMCID: PMC9313585 DOI: 10.1111/jdv.18044] [Citation(s) in RCA: 50] [Impact Index Per Article: 25.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2021] [Accepted: 02/11/2022] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
Psoriasis is a chronic systemic inflammatory disorder associated with several comorbidities in addition to the characteristic skin lesions. Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is the most frequent comorbidity in psoriasis and a risk factor for cardiovascular disease, a major cause of death among patients with psoriasis. Although the exact causal relationship between these two disorders is not fully established, the underlying pathophysiology linking psoriasis and MetS seems to involve overlapping genetic predispositions and inflammatory pathways. Dysregulation of the IL‐23/Th‐17 immune signalling pathway is central to both pathologies and may be key to promoting susceptibility to metabolic and cardiovascular diseases in individuals with and without psoriasis. Thus, biological treatments for psoriasis that interrupt these signals could both reduce the psoriatic inflammatory burden and also lessen the risk of developing atherosclerosis and cardiometabolic diseases. In support of this hypothesis, improvement of skin lesions was associated with improvement in vascular inflammation in recent imaging studies, demonstrating that the beneficial effect of biological agents goes beyond the skin and could help to prevent cardiovascular disease. This review will summarize current knowledge on underlying inflammatory mechanisms shared between psoriasis and MetS and discuss the most recent clinical evidence for the potential for psoriasis treatment to reduce cardiovascular risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- J J Wu
- Dermatology Research and Education Foundation, Irvine, CA, USA
| | - A Kavanaugh
- University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - M G Lebwohl
- Department of Dermatology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mt. Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - R Gniadecki
- Division of Dermatology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada
| | - J F Merola
- Department of Medicine, Division of Rheumatology and Department of Dermatology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
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Silveira Rossi JL, Barbalho SM, Reverete de Araujo R, Bechara MD, Sloan KP, Sloan LA. Metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular diseases: Going beyond traditional risk factors. Diabetes Metab Res Rev 2022; 38:e3502. [PMID: 34614543 DOI: 10.1002/dmrr.3502] [Citation(s) in RCA: 160] [Impact Index Per Article: 80.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/11/2021] [Accepted: 08/28/2021] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
Metabolic syndrome (MS) is a chronic non-infective syndrome characterised clinically by a set of vascular risk factors that include insulin resistance, hypertension, abdominal obesity, impaired glucose metabolism, and dyslipidaemia. These risk factors are due to a pro-inflammatory state, oxidative stress, haemodynamic dysfunction, and ischaemia, which overlap in 'dysmetabolic' patients. This review aimed to evaluate the relationship between the traditional components of MS with cardiovascular disease (CVD), inflammation, and oxidative stress. MEDLINE-PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases were searched. Chronic low-grade inflammatory states and metaflammation are often accompanied by metabolic changes directly related to CVD incidence, such as diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and obesity. Moreover, the metaflammation is characterised by an increase in the serum concentration of pro-inflammatory cytokines, mainly interleukin-1 β (IL-1β), IL-6, and tumour necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), originating from the chronically inflamed adipose tissue and associated with oxidative stress. The increase of reactive oxygen species overloads the antioxidant systems causing post-translational alterations of proteins, lipids, and DNA leading to oxidative stress. Hyperglycaemia contributes to the increase in oxidative stress and the production of advanced glycosylation end products (AGEs) which are related to cellular and molecular dysfunction. Oxidative stress and inflammation are associated with cellular senescence and CVD. CVD should not be seen only as being triggered by classical MS risk factors. Atherosclerosis is a multifactorial pathological process with several triggering and aetiopathogenic mechanisms. Its medium and long-term repercussions, however, invariably constitute a significant cause of morbidity and mortality. Implementing preventive and therapeutic measures against oxy-reductive imbalances and metaflammation states has unquestionable potential for favourable clinical outcomes in cardiovascular medicine.
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Affiliation(s)
- João Leonardo Silveira Rossi
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Marília, Marília, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Sandra Maria Barbalho
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Marília, Marília, São Paulo, Brazil
- Postgraduate Program in Structural and Functional Interactions in Rehabilitation - University of Marília, Marília, São Paulo, Brazil
- School of Food and Technology of Marilia, Marilia, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Renan Reverete de Araujo
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Marília, Marília, São Paulo, Brazil
| | - Marcelo Dib Bechara
- Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacology, School of Medicine, University of Marília, Marília, São Paulo, Brazil
| | | | - Lance Alan Sloan
- Texas Institute for Kidney and Endocrine Disorders, Lufkin, Texas, USA
- University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, Texas, USA
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Queiro R, Fernández S, Pardo E. Hyperlipidaemia in psoriatic disease: higher prevalence in psoriatic arthritis and inverse association with systemic therapy. Rheumatology (Oxford) 2021; 60:3949-3951. [PMID: 33871582 DOI: 10.1093/rheumatology/keab365] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Rubén Queiro
- Rheumatology Division, Hospital Universitario Central de Asturias (HUCA), Oviedo-Spain.,ISPA Translational Immunology Division
| | - Sabela Fernández
- Rheumatology Division, Hospital Universitario Central de Asturias (HUCA), Oviedo-Spain
| | - Estefanía Pardo
- Rheumatology Division, Hospital Universitario Central de Asturias (HUCA), Oviedo-Spain
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Colaco K, Lee KA, Akhtari S, Winer R, Welsh P, Sattar N, McInnes IB, Chandran V, Harvey P, Cook RJ, Gladman DD, Piguet V, Eder L. Targeted metabolomic profiling and prediction of cardiovascular events: a prospective study of patients with psoriatic arthritis and psoriasis. Ann Rheum Dis 2021; 80:1429-1435. [PMID: 34049856 DOI: 10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-220168] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2021] [Accepted: 05/19/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE In patients with psoriatic disease (PsD), we sought serum metabolites associated with cardiovascular (CV) events and investigated whether they could improve CV risk prediction beyond traditional risk factors and the Framingham Risk Score (FRS). METHODS Nuclear magnetic resonance metabolomics identified biomarkers for incident CV events in patients with PsD. The association of each metabolite with incident CV events was analysed using Cox proportional hazards regression models first adjusted for age and sex, and subsequently for traditional CV risk factors. Variable selection was performed using penalisation with boosting after adjusting for age and sex, and the FRS. RESULTS Among 977 patients with PsD, 70 patients had incident CV events. In Cox regression models adjusted for CV risk factors, alanine, tyrosine, degree of unsaturation of fatty acids and high-density lipoprotein particles were associated with decreased CV risk. Glycoprotein acetyls, apolipoprotein B and cholesterol remnants were associated with increased CV risk. The age-adjusted and sex-adjusted expanded model with 13 metabolites significantly improved prediction of CV events beyond the model with age and sex alone, with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 79.9 versus 72.6, respectively (p=0.02). Compared with the FRS alone (AUC=73.9), the FRS-adjusted expanded model with 11 metabolites (AUC=75.0, p=0.72) did not improve CV risk discrimination. CONCLUSIONS We identify novel metabolites associated with the development of CV events in patients with PsD. Further study of their underlying causal role may clarify important pathways leading to CV events in this population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Keith Colaco
- Women's College Research Institute, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,Institute of Medical Science, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,Schroeder Arthritis Institute, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Ker-Ai Lee
- Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada
| | - Shadi Akhtari
- Department of Cardiology, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Raz Winer
- Department of Neurology, Rambam Health Care Campus, Haifa, Israel
| | - Paul Welsh
- BHF Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Naveed Sattar
- BHF Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Iain B McInnes
- Institute of Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Vinod Chandran
- Schroeder Arthritis Institute, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Paula Harvey
- Department of Cardiology, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Richard J Cook
- Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada
| | - Dafna D Gladman
- Schroeder Arthritis Institute, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Vincent Piguet
- Women's College Research Institute, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Lihi Eder
- Women's College Research Institute, Women's College Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada .,Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
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Colaco K, Widdifield J, Luo J, Rosen CF, Alhusayen R, Paterson JM, Campbell W, Tu K, Bernatsky S, Gladman DD, Eder L. Trends in mortality and cause-specific mortality among patients with psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis in Ontario, Canada. J Am Acad Dermatol 2020; 84:1302-1309. [PMID: 33096129 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaad.2020.10.031] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/27/2020] [Revised: 09/27/2020] [Accepted: 10/13/2020] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND There is limited information about mortality rates among patients with psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis (PsA) in North America and their change over the past 2 decades. OBJECTIVE To compare all-cause and cause-specific mortality rates in patients with psoriasis to the general population in Ontario, Canada, from 1996 to 2016. METHODS We conducted a population-based, retrospective cohort study of adult residents using administrative health data. All-cause and cause-specific standardized mortality rates, standardized mortality ratios, and excess mortality rates were calculated. RESULTS 176,858 (2,524 deaths) patients with psoriasis and 15,430 (221 deaths) patients with PsA were identified in 2016. Patients with psoriasis and PsA had standardized excess mortality rates of 1.44 and 2.43 per 1000 population, respectively. Standardized mortality rates decreased by approximately 30% over the study period in both disease groups but remained significantly elevated compared to the general population. The leading causes of death in psoriasis and PsA patients were cancer, circulatory disease, and respiratory conditions. LIMITATIONS We were unable to classify patients according to disease severity. CONCLUSIONS Despite improvements in psoriasis treatment, the relative excess mortality, which may be related to risk factors for psoriatic disease, remained unchanged, with an average of approximately 1 to 2 extra deaths per 1,000 patients in 2016.
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Affiliation(s)
- Keith Colaco
- Women's College Hospital, Toronto, Canada; University Health Network, Toronto, Canada; University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
| | - Jessica Widdifield
- University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; ICES, Toronto, Canada; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Canada
| | | | - Cheryl F Rosen
- University Health Network, Toronto, Canada; University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
| | - Raed Alhusayen
- University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Canada
| | | | - Willemina Campbell
- University Health Network, Toronto, Canada; University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
| | - Karen Tu
- University Health Network, Toronto, Canada; University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada; North York General Hospital, Toronto, Canada
| | | | - Dafna D Gladman
- University Health Network, Toronto, Canada; University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada
| | - Lihi Eder
- Women's College Hospital, Toronto, Canada; University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
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