Deep-LSTM ensemble framework to forecast Covid-19: an insight to the global pandemic

IoT-based COVID-19 detection using recalling-enhanced recurrent neural network optimized with golden eagle optimization algorithm

New potential for healthcare has been made possible by the development of the Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) with deep learning. This is applied for a broad range of applications. Normal medical devices together with sensors can gather important data when connected to the Internet, and deep learning uses this data to reveal symptoms and patterns and activate remote care. In recent years, the COVID-19 pandemic caused more mortality. Millions of people have been affected by this virus, and the number of infections is continually rising daily. To detect COVID-19, researchers attempt to utilize medical imaging and deep learning-based methods. Several methodologies were suggested utilizing chest X-ray (CXR) images for COVID-19 diagnosis. But these methodologies do not provide satisfactory accuracy. To overcome these drawbacks, a recalling-enhanced recurrent neural network optimized with golden eagle optimization algorithm (RERNN-GEO) is proposed in this paper. The intention of this work is to provide IoT-based deep learning method for the premature identification of COVID-19. This paradigm can be able to ease the workload of radiologists and medical specialists and also help with pandemic control. RERNN-GEO is a deep learning-based method; this is utilized in chest X-ray (CXR) images for COVID-19 diagnosis. Here, the Gray-Level Co-Occurrence Matrix (GLCM) window adaptive algorithm is used for extracting features to enable accurate diagnosis. By utilizing this algorithm, the proposed method attains better accuracy (33.84%, 28.93%, and 33.03%) and lower execution time (11.06%, 33.26%, and 23.33%) compared with the existing methods. This method can be capable of helping the clinician/radiologist to validate the initial assessment related to COVID-19.

A brief review and scientometric analysis on ensemble learning methods for handling COVID-19

Numerous efforts and research have been conducted worldwide to combat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. In this regard, some researchers have focused on deep and machine-learning approaches to discover more about this disease. There have been many articles on using ensemble learning methods for COVID-19 detection. Still, there seems to be no scientometric analysis or a brief review of these researches. Hence, a combined method of scientometric analysis and brief review was used to study the published articles that employed an ensemble learning approach to detect COVID-19. This research used both methods to overcome their limitations, leading to enhanced and reliable outcomes. The related articles were retrieved from the Scopus database. Then a two-step procedure was employed. A concise review of the collected articles was conducted. Then they underwent scientometric and bibliometric analyses. The findings revealed that convolutional neural network (CNN) is the mostly employed algorithm, while support vector machine (SVM), random forest, Resnet, DenseNet, and visual geometry group (VGG) were also frequently used. Additionally, China has had a significant presence in the numerous top-ranking categories of this field of research. Both study phases yielded valuable results and rankings.

Multivariate time series short term forecasting using cumulative data of coronavirus

Coronavirus emerged as a highly contagious, pathogenic virus that severely affects the respiratory system of humans. The epidemic-related data is collected regularly, which machine learning algorithms can employ to comprehend and estimate valuable information. The analysis of the gathered data through time series approaches may assist in developing more accurate forecasting models and strategies to combat the disease. This paper focuses on short-term forecasting of cumulative reported incidences and mortality. Forecasting is conducted utilizing state-of-the-art mathematical and deep learning models for multivariate time series forecasting, including extended susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered (SEIR), long-short-term memory (LSTM), and vector autoregression (VAR). The SEIR model has been extended by integrating additional information such as hospitalization, mortality, vaccination, and quarantine incidences. Extensive experiments have been conducted to compare deep learning and mathematical models that enable us to estimate fatalities and incidences more precisely based on mortality in the eight most affected nations during the time of this research. The metrics like mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) are employed to gauge the model's effectiveness. The deep learning model LSTM outperformed all others in terms of forecasting accuracy. Additionally, the study explores the impact of vaccination on reported epidemics and deaths worldwide. Furthermore, the detrimental effects of ambient temperature and relative humidity on pathogenic virus dissemination have been analyzed.

COVID-19 assessment using HMM cough recognition system

This paper is a part of our contributions to research on the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic around the world. This research aims to use Hidden Markov Model (HMM) based automatic speech recognition system to analyze the cough signal and determine whether the signal belongs to a sick or healthy speaker. We built a configurable model by using HMMs, Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs), Mel frequency spectral coefficients (MFCCs) and a cough corpus collected from healthy and sick voluntary speakers. Our proposed method is able to classify dry cough with sensitivity from 85.86% to 91.57%, differentiate the dry cough, and cough COVID-19 symptom with specificity from 5 to 10%. The obtained results are very encouraging to enrich our corpus with more data and increase the performance of our diagnostic system.

Data analytics and knowledge management approach for COVID-19 prediction and control

The Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) caused by SARS-CoV-2, continues to be a global threat. The major global concern among scientists and researchers is to develop innovative digital solutions for prediction and control of infection and to discover drugs for its cure. In this paper we developed a strategic technical solution for surveillance and control of COVID-19 in Delhi-National Capital Region (NCR). This work aims to elucidate the Delhi COVID-19 Data Management Framework, the backend mechanism of integrated Command and Control Center (iCCC) with plugged-in modules for various administrative, medical and field operations. Based on the time-series data extracted from iCCC repository, the forecasting of COVID-19 spread has been carried out for Delhi using the Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model as it can effectively predict the logistics requirements, active cases, positive patients, and death rate. The intelligence generated through this research has paved the way for the Government of National Capital Territory Delhi to strategize COVID-19 related policies formulation and implementation on real time basis. The outcome of this innovative work has led to the drastic reduction in COVID-19 positive cases and deaths in Delhi-NCR.

Biserial targeted feature projection based radial kernel regressive deep belief neural learning for covid-19 prediction

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a highly infectious viral disease caused by the novel SARS-CoV-2 virus. Different prediction techniques have been developed to predict the coronavirus disease's existence in patients. However, the accurate prediction was not improved and time consumption was not minimized. In order to address these existing problems, a novel technique called Biserial Targeted Feature Projection-based Radial Kernel Regressive Deep Belief Neural Learning (BTFP-RKRDBNL) is introduced to perform accurate disease prediction with lesser time consumption. The BTFP-RKRDBNL techniques perform disease prediction with the help of different layers such as two visible layers namely input and layer and two hidden layers. Initially, the features and data are collected from the dataset and transmitted to the input layer. The Point Biserial Correlative Target feature projection is used to select relevant features and other irrelevant features are removed with minimizing the disease prediction time. Then the relevant features are sent to the hidden layer 2. Next, Radial Kernel Regression is applied to analyze the training features and testing disease features to identify the disease with higher accuracy and a lesser false positive rate. Experimental analysis is planned to measure the prediction accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity, and prediction time for different numbers of patients. The result illustrates that the method increases the prediction accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity by 10, 6, and 21% and reduces the prediction time by 10% as compared to state-of-the-art works.

Artificial Intelligence and Deep Learning Assisted Rapid Diagnosis of COVID-19 from Chest Radiographical Images: A Survey

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been applied successfully in many real-life domains for solving complex problems. With the invention of Machine Learning (ML) paradigms, it becomes convenient for researchers to predict the outcome based on past data. Nowadays, ML is acting as the biggest weapon against the COVID-19 pandemic by detecting symptomatic cases at an early stage and warning people about its futuristic effects. It is observed that COVID-19 has blown out globally so much in a short period because of the shortage of testing facilities and delays in test reports. To address this challenge, AI can be effectively applied to produce fast as well as cost-effective solutions. Plenty of researchers come up with AI-based solutions for preliminary diagnosis using chest CT Images, respiratory sound analysis, voice analysis of symptomatic persons with asymptomatic ones, and so forth. Some AI-based applications claim good accuracy in predicting the chances of being COVID-19-positive. Within a short period, plenty of research work is published regarding the identification of COVID-19. This paper has carefully examined and presented a comprehensive survey of more than 110 papers that came from various reputed sources, that is, Springer, IEEE, Elsevier, MDPI, arXiv, and medRxiv. Most of the papers selected for this survey presented candid work to detect and classify COVID-19, using deep-learning-based models from chest X-Rays and CT scan images. We hope that this survey covers most of the work and provides insights to the research community in proposing efficient as well as accurate solutions for fighting the pandemic.

LiteCovidNet: A lightweight deep neural network model for detection of COVID-19 using X-ray images

The syndrome called COVID-19 which was firstly spread in Wuhan, China has already been declared a globally "Pandemic." To stymie the further spread of the virus at an early stage, detection needs to be done. Artificial Intelligence-based deep learning models have gained much popularity in the detection of many diseases within the confines of biomedical sciences. In this paper, a deep neural network-based "LiteCovidNet" model is proposed that detects COVID-19 cases as the binary class (COVID-19, Normal) and the multi-class (COVID-19, Normal, Pneumonia) bifurcated based on chest X-ray images of the infected persons. An accuracy of 100% and 98.82% is achieved for binary and multi-class classification respectively which is competitive performance as compared to the other recent related studies. Hence, our methodology can be used by health professionals to validate the detection of COVID-19 infected patients at an early stage with convenient cost and better accuracy.

Epidemic trend analysis of SARS-CoV-2 in South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation countries using modified susceptible-infected-recovered predictive model

A novel coronavirus causing the severe and fatal respiratory syndrome was identified in China, is now producing outbreaks in more than 200 countries around the world, and became pandemic by the time. In this article, a modified version of the well-known mathematical epidemic model susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) is used to analyze the epidemic's course of COVID-19 in eight different countries of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC). To achieve this goal, the parameters of the SIR model are identified by using publicly available data for the corresponding countries: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, the Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. Based on the prediction model, we estimated the epidemic trend of COVID-19 outbreak in SAARC countries for 20, 90, and 180 days, respectively. A short-mid-long term prediction model has been designed to understand the early dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in the southeast Asian region. The maximum and minimum basic reproduction numbers (R 0 = 1.33 and 1.07) for SAARC countries are predicted to be in Pakistan and Bhutan. We equate simulation results with real data in the SAARC countries on the COVID-19 outbreak, and predicted different scenarios using the modified SIR prediction model. Our results should provide policymakers with a method for evaluating the impacts of possible interventions, including lockdown and social distancing, as well as testing and contact tracking.

An efficient hardware architecture based on an ensemble of deep learning models for COVID -19 prediction

Deep learning models demonstrate superior performance in image classification problems. COVID-19 image classification is developed using single deep learning models. In this paper, an efficient hardware architecture based on an ensemble deep learning model is built to identify the COVID-19 using chest X-ray (CXR) records. Five deep learning models namely ResNet, fitness, IRCNN (Inception Recurrent Convolutional Neural Network), effectiveness, and Fitnet are ensembled for fine-tuning and enhancing the performance of the COVID-19 identification; these models are chosen as they individually perform better in other applications. Experimental analysis shows that the accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 for COVID-19 detection are 0.99,0.98,0.98, and 0.98 respectively. An application-specific hardware architecture incorporates the pipeline, parallel processing, reusability of computational resources by carefully exploiting the data flow and resource availability. The processing element (PE) and the CNN architecture are modeled using Verilog, simulated, and synthesized using cadence with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSMC) 90 nm tech file. The simulated results show a 40% reduction in the latency and number of clock cycles. The computations and power consumptions are minimized by designing the PE as a data-aware unit. Thus, the proposed architecture is best suited for Covid-19 prediction and diagnosis.

Supervised and weakly supervised deep learning models for COVID-19 CT diagnosis: A systematic review

Artificial intelligence (AI) and computer vision (CV) methods become reliable to extract features from radiological images, aiding COVID-19 diagnosis ahead of the pathogenic tests and saving critical time for disease management and control. Thus, this review article focuses on cascading numerous deep learning-based COVID-19 computerized tomography (CT) imaging diagnosis research, providing a baseline for future research. Compared to previous review articles on the topic, this study pigeon-holes the collected literature very differently (i.e., its multi-level arrangement). For this purpose, 71 relevant studies were found using a variety of trustworthy databases and search engines, including Google Scholar, IEEE Xplore, Web of Science, PubMed, Science Direct, and Scopus. We classify the selected literature in multi-level machine learning groups, such as supervised and weakly supervised learning. Our review article reveals that weak supervision has been adopted extensively for COVID-19 CT diagnosis compared to supervised learning. Weakly supervised (conventional transfer learning) techniques can be utilized effectively for real-time clinical practices by reusing the sophisticated features rather than over-parameterizing the standard models. Few-shot and self-supervised learning are the recent trends to address data scarcity and model efficacy. The deep learning (artificial intelligence) based models are mainly utilized for disease management and control. Therefore, it is more appropriate for readers to comprehend the related perceptive of deep learning approaches for the in-progress COVID-19 CT diagnosis research.

A Framework for Inferring Epidemiological Model Parameters using Bayesian Nonparametrics

The use of epidemiological models for decision-making has been prominent during the COVID-19 pandemic. Our work presents the application of nonparametric Bayesian techniques for inferring epidemiological model parameters based on available data sets published during the pandemic, towards enabling predictions under uncertainty during emerging pandemics. We present a methodology and framework that allows epidemiological model drivers to be integrated as input into the model calibration process. We demonstrate our methodology using the stringency index and mobility data for COVID-19 on an SEIRD compartmental model for selected US states. Our results directly compare the use of Bayesian nonparametrics for model predictions based on best parameter estimates with results of inference of parameter values across the US states. The proposed methodology provides a framework for What-If analysis and sequential decision-making methods for disease intervention planning and is demonstrated for COVID-19, while also applicable to other infectious disease models.

CheXImageNet: a novel architecture for accurate classification of Covid-19 with chest x-ray digital images using deep convolutional neural networks

Many countries around the world have been influenced by Covid-19 which is a serious virus as it gets transmitted by human communication. Although, its syndrome is quite similar to the ordinary flu. The critical step involved in Covid-19 is the initial screening or testing of the infected patients. As there are no special detection tools, the demand for such diagnostic tools has been increasing continuously. So, it is eminently admissible to find out positive cases of this disease at the earliest so that the spreading of this dangerous virus can be controlled. Although, some methods for the detection of Covid-19 patients are available, which are performed upon respiratory based samples and among them, a critical approach for treatment is radiologic imaging or X-ray imaging. The latest conclusions obtained from X-ray digital imaging based algorithms and techniques recommend that such type of digital images may consist of significant facts regarding the SARS-CoV-2 virus. The utilization of Deep Neural Networks based methodologies clubbed with digital radiological imaging has been proved useful for accurately identifying this disease. This could also be adjuvant in conquering the problem of dearth of competent physicians in far-flung areas. In this paper, a CheXImageNet model has been introduced for detecting Covid-19 disease by using digital images of Chest X-ray with the help of an openly accessible dataset. Experiments for both binary class and multi-class have been performed in this work for benchmarking the effectiveness of the proposed work. An accuracy of 100\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\%$$\end{document}% is reported for both binary classification (having cases of Covid-19 and Normal X-Ray) and classification for three classes (including cases of Covid-19, Normal X-Ray and, cases of Pneumonia disease) respectively.

CoBiD-net: a tailored deep learning ensemble model for time series forecasting of covid-19

The pandemic of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) has left the world to a standstill by creating a calamitous situation. To mitigate this devastating effect the inception of artificial intelligence into medical health care is mandatory. This study aims to present the educational perspective of Covid-19 and forecast the number of confirmed and death cases in the USA, India, and Brazil along with the discussion of endothelial dysfunction in epithelial cells and Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme 2 receptor (ACE2) with the Covid-19. Three different deep learning based experimental setups have been framed to forecast Covid-19. Models are (i) Bi-directional Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) (ii) Convolutional LSTM (iii) Proposed ensemble of Convolutional and Bi-directional LSTM network are known as CoBiD-Net ensemble. The educational perspective of Covid-19 has been given along with an architectural discussion of multi-organ failure due to intrusion of Covid-19 with the cell receptors of the human body. Different classification metrics have been calculated using all three models. Proposed CoBiD-Net ensemble model outperforms the other two models with respect to accuracy and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Using CoBiD-Net ensemble, accuracy for Covid-19 cases ranges from 98.10 to 99.13% with MAPE ranges from 0.87 to 1.90. This study will help the countries to know the severity of Covid-19 concerning education in the future along with forecasting of Covid-19 cases and human body interaction with the Covid-19 to make it the self-replicating phenomena.

Deep neural networks ensemble to detect COVID-19 from CT scans

Research on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) detection methods has increased in the last months as more accurate automated toolkits are required. Recent studies show that CT scan images contain useful information to detect the COVID-19 disease. However, the scarcity of large and well balanced datasets limits the possibility of using detection approaches in real diagnostic contexts as they are unable to generalize. Indeed, the performance of these models quickly becomes inadequate when applied to samples captured in different contexts (e.g., different equipment or populations) from those used in the training phase. In this paper, a novel ensemble-based approach for more accurate COVID-19 disease detection using CT scan images is proposed. This work exploits transfer learning using pre-trained deep networks (e.g., VGG, Xception, and ResNet) evolved with a genetic algorithm, combined into an ensemble architecture for the classification of clustered images of lung lobes. The study is validated on a new dataset obtained as an integration of existing ones. The results of the experimental evaluation show that the ensemble classifier ensures effective performance, also exhibiting better generalization capabilities.

Artificial Intelligence for Forecasting the Prevalence of COVID-19 Pandemic: An Overview

Since the discovery of COVID-19 at the end of 2019, a significant surge in forecasting publications has been recorded. Both statistical and artificial intelligence (AI) approaches have been reported; however, the AI approaches showed a better accuracy compared with the statistical approaches. This study presents a review on the applications of different AI approaches used in forecasting the spread of this pandemic. The fundamentals of the commonly used AI approaches in this context are briefly explained. Evaluation of the forecasting accuracy using different statistical measures is introduced. This review may assist researchers, experts and policy makers involved in managing the COVID-19 pandemic to develop more accurate forecasting models and enhanced strategies to control the spread of this pandemic. Additionally, this review study is highly significant as it provides more important information of AI applications in forecasting the prevalence of this pandemic.

Black fungus immunosuppressive epidemic with Covid-19 associated mucormycosis (zygomycosis): a clinical and diagnostic perspective from India

The catastrophic phase of Covid-19 turns the table over with the spread of its disastrous transmission network throughout the world. Covid-19 associated with mucormycosis fungal infection accompanied by opportunistic comorbidities have emerged the myriad of complications and manifestations. We searched the electronic databases of Google Scholar, PubMed, Springer, and Elsevier until June 05, 2021, using keywords. We retrieved the details of confirmed and suspected mucormycosis patients associated with Covid-19. We analyzed the case reports, treatment given for Covid-19, steroids used, associated comorbidities, mucormycosis site involved, and patients survived or dead. Overall, 102 patients of mucormycosis associated with Covid-19 have been reported from India. Mucormycosis was predominant in males (69.6%) rather than females (19.6%), and most of the patients were active Covid-19 cases (70.5%). Steroids were mostly used (68.6%) for the treatment of Covid-19 followed by remdesivir (10.7%). Patients were suffering from diabetes mellitus (88.2%) and severe diabetic ketoacidosis (11.7%). Mucormycosis affects the sino-nasal (72.5%), orbit (24.5%), central nervous system (18.6%), and maxillary necrosis (13.7%) of the patients. The Mortality rate was recorded as 23.5%, and recovery rate was 2.9%. Diabetes mellitus cases are highest in India as compared to other countries, and prevalent use of steroids with the background of Covid-19 becomes an opportunistic environment for mucormycosis fungal infection to survive.