A Review of Incident Prediction, Resource Allocation, and Dispatch Models for Emergency Management

Intervening on Global Emergencies: The Value of Human Interactions for People's Health

Literature about global emergencies and their impact on people's health underlines the need to improve the social cohesion of human community and the availability of tools to support people and foster community interactions. This paper illustrates research aimed at describing and measuring human interactions in the Veneto community and its changing during the COVID-19 pandemic. 50,000 text occurrences from social media and newspapers about these topics were analyzed between December 2021 and January 2022. People present themselves as members of different teams, pursuing conflicting aims, and attributing the decision-making responsibility of emergencies management exclusively to governments, without considering themselves as active parts of the community. This delegation process on citizens' behalf can affect their health: by taking minor responsibility in handling the repercussions of these events on the community and by arguing over the most effective way to deal with them, they risk freezing and waiting for action by third parties, thus leaving mutual interactions and the promotion of their own health at a standstill. Local institutions can use these data to shape prevention policies to manage the community's emergencies and use them as opportunities to promote public health.

Modelling underreported spatio-temporal crime events

Crime observations are one of the principal inputs used by governments for designing citizens' security strategies. However, crime measurements are obscured by underreporting biases, resulting in the so-called "dark figure of crime". This work studies the possibility of recovering "true" crime and underreported incident rates over time using sequentially available daily data. For this, a novel underreporting model of spatiotemporal events based on the combinatorial multi-armed bandit framework was proposed. Through extensive simulations, the proposed methodology was validated for identifying the fundamental parameters of the proposed model: the "true" rates of incidence and underreporting of events. Once the proposed model was validated, crime data from a large city, Bogotá (Colombia), was used to estimate the "true" crime and underreporting rates. Our results suggest that this methodology could be used to rapidly estimate the underreporting rates of spatiotemporal events, which is a critical problem in public policy design.

Research on emergency management of global public health emergencies driven by digital technology: A bibliometric analysis

Background

The frequent occurrence of major public health emergencies globally poses a threat to people's life, health, and safety, and the convergence development of digital technology is very effective and necessary to cope with the outbreak and transmission control of public epidemics such as COVID-19, which is essential to improve the emergency management capability of global public health emergencies.

Methods

The published literatures in the Web of Science Core Collection database from 2003 to 2022 were utilized to analyze the contribution and collaboration of the authors, institutions, and countries, keyword co-occurrence analysis, and research frontier identification using the CiteSpace, VOSviewer, and COOC software.

Results

The results are shown as follows: (1) Relevant research can be divided into growth and development period and rapid development period, and the total publications show exponential growth, among which the USA, China, and the United Kingdom are the most occupied countries, but the global authorship cooperation is not close; (2) clustering analysis of high-frequency keyword, all kinds of digital technologies are utilized, ranging from artificial intelligence (AI)-driven machine learning (ML) or deep learning (DL), and focused application big data analytics and blockchain technology enabled the internet of things (IoT) to identify, and diagnose major unexpected public diseases are hot spots for future research; (3) Research frontier identification indicates that data analysis in social media is a frontier issue that must continue to be focused on to advance digital and smart governance of public health events.

Conclusion

This bibliometric study provides unique insights into the role of digital technologies in the emergency management of public health. It provides research guidance for smart emergency management of global public health emergencies.

Associative Analysis of Inefficiencies and Station Activity Levels in Emergency Response

Emergency medical services (EMS) around the world face the challenging task of allocating resources to efficiently respond to medical emergencies within a geographical area. While several studies have been done to improve various aspects of EMS, such as ambulance dispatch planning and station placement optimization, few works have focused on the assessment of existing rich real-world emergency response data to systematically identify areas of improvement. In this paper, we propose DAPI (data-driven analysis of potential response inefficiencies), a general tool for analyzing inefficiencies in emergency response datasets. DAPI efficiently identifies potential response bottlenecks based on spatial distributions of ambulance responses and statistically assesses them with respect to inferred activity levels of relevant dispatch stations to aid causality analysis. DAPI is applied on a dataset containing all medical emergency responses in mainland Portugal, in which we find statistical evidence that inefficiencies are correlated with high levels of activity of stations closer to an emergency location. We present these findings, along with the associated patterns and geographical clusters, serving as a valuable decision support tool to aid EMS in improving their operations.