River Water Quality Modelling Using Artificial Neural Network Technique

Spatiotemporal variations, sources, pollution status and health risk assessment of dissolved trace elements in a major Arabian Sea draining river: insights from multivariate statistical and machine learning approaches

River Mahi drains through semi-arid regions (Western India) and is a major Arabian Sea draining river. As the principal surface water source, its water quality is important to the regional population. Therefore, the river water was sampled extensively (n = 64, 16 locations, 4 seasons and 2 years) and analyzed for 11 trace elements (TEs; Sr, V, Cu, Ni, Zn, Cd, Ba, Cr, Mn, Fe, and Co). Machine learning (ML) and multivariate statistical analysis (MVSA) were applied to investigate their possible sources, spatial-temporal-annual variations, evaluate multiple water quality parameters [heavy metal pollution index (HPI), heavy metal evaluation index (HEI)], and health indices [hazard quotient (HQ), and hazard index (THI)] associated with TEs. TE levels were higher than their corresponding world average values in 100% (Sr, V and Zn), 78%(Cu), 41%(Ni), 27%(Cr), 9%(Cd), 8%(Ba), 8%(Co), 6%(Fe), and 0%(Mn), of the samples. Three principal components (PCs) accounted for 74.5% of the TE variance: PC-1 (Fe, Co, Mn and Cu) and PC-2 (Sr and Ba) are contributed from geogenic sources, while PC-3 (Cr, Ni and Zn) are derived from geogenic and anthropogenic sources. HPI, HEI, HQ and THI all indicate that water quality is good for domestic purposes and poses little hazard. ML identified Random forest as the most suitable model for predicting HEI class (accuracy: 92%, recall: 92% and precision: 94%). Even with a limited dataset, the study underscores the potential application of ML to predictive classification modeling.

An integrated modelling framework for multiple pollution source identification in surface water

Pollution source identification is vital in water safety management. An integrated simulation-optimization modelling framework comprising a process-based hydrodynamic water quality model, artificial neural network surrogate model and particle swarm optimization (PSO) was proposed to achieve rapid, accurate and reliable pollution source identification. In this study, the hydrodynamics and water quality processes in a straight lab-based flume were simulated to test pollution source identification under steady flow conditions. Additionally, the pollution source identification in the unsteady flow conditions was examined using a real-life estuary, specifically the Yangtze River estuary. First, we developed two process-based models to simulate hydrodynamics and water quality in the flume and estuary. Then, the data generated from the process-based models were used to develop surrogate models. Three typical artificial neural networks (ANNs) algorithms: backpropagation (BP), radial basis function (RBF) and general regression neural networks (GRNN) were selected to develop surrogates for process-based models (PBMs), and they were coupled with PSO algorithm to achieve the hybrid modelling framework for pollution source identification. Our results showed that hybrid PBM-ANNs-PSO models could be applied to identify the pollution source and quantify release intensity in spatial distribution when the discharge type was assumed as the point source with a continuous release. Multiple-performance criteria metrics, in terms of the coefficient of determination, root-mean-square error, mean absolute error, evaluated the model performance as "Excellent prediction". The BP-PSO models consistently appear to be the top-performing source identification model within the developed models, with most cases of relative error (RE) values lower than 5%. The new insights from the hybrid modelling framework would provide useful information for the local government agency to make reasonable decisions regarding pollution source identification issues.

A coupled geostatistical and machine learning approach to address spatial prediction of trace metals and pollution indices in sediments of the abandoned gold mining site of Bekao, Adamawa, Cameroon

Trace metals present in high amounts in aquatic systems are a perpetual concern. This study applied geostatistical and machine learning models namely Ordinary Kriging (OK), Ordinary Cokriging (OCK) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to assess the spatial variability of trace metals and pollution indices in surface sediments along the Lom River in an abandoned gold mining site at Bekao (Adamawa Cameroon). For this purpose, thirty-one (31) surface sediment samples are collected in order to determine the total concentrations of As, Cr, Cu, Fe, Mn, Ni, Pb, Sn and Zn. These trace metals are used to compute pollution indices as the sediment pollution index (SPI), the Nemerow index (NI), the modified contamination degree (mCD), and the potential ecological risk assessment (RI). OK, OCK and ANN models are compared to determine the best model performance. The best models are selected based on the values of the root mean square error (RMSE), the coefficient of determination (R2), the scatter index (SI) and the BIAS. Results showed that the sequence of trace metal mean concentrations in the sediments is Fe > Mn > Cu > Ni > Sn > Cr > Zn > Pb > As. The mean concentrations of Ni, Cu, Zn and Sn are above the average shale values (ASV) and the pollution status is globally moderate to significant with a low potential ecological risk. The spatial dependency obtained with semivariogram models are moderate to weak for Mn, Fe, Ni, Pb, SPI, NI, mCD, RI As, Cr, and Sn and strong for Cu and Zn. According to cross-validation parameters, ANN model is the best method for the prediction on trace metal concentrations and pollution indices in surface sediments along the Lom River in the abandoned gold mining site of Bekao.

Evolution of neural network to deep learning in prediction of air, water pollution and its Indian context

The scenario of developed and developing countries nowadays is disturbed due to modern living style which affects environment, wildlife and natural habitat. Environmental quality has become or is a subject of major concern as it is responsible for health hazard of mankind and animals. Measurements and prediction of hazardous parameters in different fields of environment is a recent research topic for safety and betterment of people as well as nature. Pollution in nature is an after-effect of civilization. To combat the damage already happened, some processes should be evolved for measurement and prediction of pollution in various fields. Researchers of all over the world are active to find out ways of predicting such hazard. In this paper, application of neural network and deep learning algorithms is chosen for air pollution and water pollution cases. The purpose of this review is to reveal how family of neural network algorithms has applied on these two pollution parameters. In this paper, importance is given on algorithm, and datasets used for air and water pollution as well as the predicted parameters have also been noted for ease of future development. One major concern of this paper is Indian context of air and water pollution research, and the research potential presents in this area using Indian dataset. Another aspect for including both air and water pollutions in one review paper is to generate an idea of artificial neural network and deep learning techniques which can be cross applicable for future purpose.

Random forest-based modeling of stream nutrients at national level in a data-scarce region

Nutrient runoff from agricultural production is one of the main causes of water quality deterioration in river systems and coastal waters. Water quality modeling can be used for gaining insight into water quality issues in order to implement effective mitigation efforts. Process-based nutrient models are very complex, requiring a lot of input parameters and computationally expensive calibration. Recently, ML approaches have shown to achieve an accuracy comparable to the process-based models and even outperform them when describing nonlinear relationships. We used observations from 242 Estonian catchments, amounting to 469 yearly TN and 470 TP measurements covering the period 2016-2020 to train random forest (RF) models for predicting annual N and P concentrations. We used a total of 82 predictor variables, including land cover, soil, climate and topography parameters and applied a feature selection strategy to reduce the number of dependent features in the models. The SHAP method was used for deriving the most relevant predictors. The performance of our models is comparable to previous process-based models used in the Baltic region with the TN and TP model having an R² score of 0.83 and 0.52, respectively. However, as input data used in our models is easier to obtain, the models offer superior applicability in areas, where data availability is insufficient for process-based approaches. Therefore, the models enable to give a robust estimation for nutrient losses at national level and allows to capture the spatial variability of the nutrient runoff which in turn enables to provide decision-making support for regional water management plans.

Groundwater Quality: The Application of Artificial Intelligence

Humans and all other living things depend on having access to clean water, as it is an indispensable essential resource. Therefore, the development of a model that can predict water quality conditions in the future will have substantial societal and economic value. This can be accomplished by using a model that can predict future water quality circumstances. In this study, we employed a sophisticated artificial neural network (ANN) model. This study intends to develop a hybrid model of single exponential smoothing (SES) with bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) and an adaptive neurofuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to predict water quality (WQ) in different groundwater in the Al-Baha region of Saudi Arabia. Single exponential smoothing (SES) was employed as a preprocessing method to adjust the weight of the dataset, and the output from SES was processed using the BiLSTM and ANFIS models for predicting water quality. The data were randomly divided into two phases, training (70%) and testing (30%). Efficiency statistics were used to evaluate the SES-BiLSTM and SES-ANFIS models' prediction abilities. The results showed that while both the SES-BiLSTM and SES-ANFIS models performed well in predicting the water quality index (WQI), the SES-BiLSTM model performed best with accuracy (R = 99.95% and RMSE = 0.00910) at the testing phase, where the performance of the SES-ANFIS model was R = 99.95% and RMSE = 2.2941 × 100-07. The findings support the idea that the SES-BilSTM and SES-ANFIS models can be used to predict the WQI with high accuracy, which will help to enhance WQ. The results demonstrated that the SES-BiLSTM and SES-ANFIS models' forecasts are accurate and that both seasons' performances are consistent. Similar investigations of groundwater quality prediction for drinking purposes should benefit from the proposed SES-BiLSTM and SES-ANFIS models. Consequently, the results demonstrate that the proposed SES-BiLSTM and SES-ANFIS models are useful tools for predicting whether the groundwater in Al-Baha city is suitable for drinking and irrigation purposes.

Real-time assessment of the Ganga river during pandemic COVID-19 and predictive data modeling by machine learning

In this study, four water quality parameters were reviewed at 14 stations of river Ganga in pre-, during and post-lockdown and these parameters were modeled by using different machine learning algorithms. Various mathematical models were used for the computation of water quality parameters in pre-, during and post- lockdown period by using Central Pollution Control Board real-time data. Lockdown resulted in the reduction of Biochemical Oxygen Demand ranging from 55 to 92% with increased concentration of dissolved oxygen at few stations. pH was in range of 6.5-8.5 of during lockdown. Total coliform count declined during lockdown period at some stations. The modeling of oxygen saturation deficit showed supremacy of Thomas Mueller model (R2 = 0.75) during lockdown over Streeter Phelps (R2 = 0.57). Polynomial regression and Newton's Divided Difference model predicted possible values of water quality parameters till 30th June, 2020 and 07th August, 2020, respectively. It was found that predicted and real values were close to each other. Genetic algorithm was used to optimize hyperparameters of algorithms like Support Vector Regression and Radical Basis Function Neural Network, which were then employed for prediction of all examined water quality metrics. Computed values from ANN model were found close to the experimental ones (R2 = 1). Support Vector Regression-Genetic Algorithm Hybrid proved to be very effective for accurate prediction of pH, Biochemical Oxygen Demand, Dissolved Oxygen and Total coliform count during lockdown.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13762-022-04423-1.

Environmental Assessment of Potentially Toxic Elements Using Pollution Indices and Data-Driven Modeling in Surface Sediment of the Littoral Shelf of the Mediterranean Sea Coast and Gamasa Estuary, Egypt

Coastal environmental assessment techniques have evolved into one of the most important fields for the long-term development and management of coastal zones. So, the overall aim of the present investigation was to provide effective approaches for making informed decisions about the Gamasa coast sediment quality. Over a two-year investigation, sediment samples were meticulously collected from the Gamasa estuary and littoral shelf. The inductively coupled plasma mass spectra (ICP-MS) was used to the total concentrations of Al, Fe, Ti, Mg, Mn, Cu, P, V, Ba, Cr, Sr, Co, Ni, Zn, Pb, Zr, and Ce. Single elements environmental pollution indices including the geoaccumulation index (Igeo), contamination factor (CF), and enrichment factor (EF), as well as multi-elements pollution indices comprising the potential ecological risk index (RI), degree of contamination (Dc), and pollution load index (PLI) were used to assess the sediment and the various geo-environmental variables affecting the Mediterranean coastal system. Furthermore, the Dc, PLI, and RI were estimated using the random forest (RF) and Back-Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) depending on the selected elements. According to the Dc results, all the investigated sediment samples categories were considerably contaminated. Cr, Co, Ni, Cu, Zr, V, Zn, P, and Mn showed remarkable enrichment in sediment samples and were originated from anthropogenic sources based on the CF, EF, and Igeo data. Moreover, the RI findings revealed that all the samples tested pose a low ecologically risk. Meanwhile, based on PLI, 70% of the Gamasa estuary samples were polluted, while 93.75% of littoral shelf sediment was unpolluted. The BPNNs -PCs-CD-17 model performed the best and demonstrated a better association between exceptional qualities and CD. With R2 values of 1.00 for calibration (Cal.) and 1.00 for validation (Val.). The BPNNs -PCs-PLI-17 models performed the best in terms of measuring PLI with respective R2 values of 1.00 and 0.98 for the Cal. and Val. datasets. The findings showed that the RF and BPNN models may be used to precisely quantify the pollution indices (Dc, PLI, and RI) in calibration (Cal.) and validation (Val.) datasets utilizing potentially toxic elements of surface sediment.

Prediction of 5-day biochemical oxygen demand in the Buriganga River of Bangladesh using novel hybrid machine learning algorithms

Biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) is one of the most important variables indicating stream pollution with a severe condition of organic loading and maintaining aquatic life in ecosystems. Advanced monitoring techniques such as machine learning (ML) methods have been developed for an accurate, reliable, and cost-effective prediction of BOD. This study investigated the effectiveness of four stand-alone ML algorithms, namely, artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and gradient boosting machine (GBM), and six novel hybrid algorithms, namely, RF-SVM, ANN-SVM, GBM-SVM, RF-ANN, GBM-ANN, and RF-GBM, in predicting BOD of the Buriganga river system of Bangladesh. The feature importance analysis of RF algorithm indicated that chemical oxygen demand (COD), total dissolved solids (TDS), conductivity, total solids (TS), suspended solids (SS), and turbidity are the most influential parameters for predicting BOD₅ . The significance of this study is the application of the novel hybrid models that resulted in higher prediction success; RF-SVM with the highest R² value (0.908). The employed novel hybrid ML models can be particularly useful for efficient and systematic data management, water pollution control, and prevention in developing countries such as Bangladesh. PRACTITIONER POINTS: Investigated the efficiency of four stand-alone and six novel hybrid ML models for predicting BOD in a river of Bangladesh. The significance of this study is the application of the six novel hybrid models that resulted in higher prediction success. The best three prediction models were RF-SVM, ANN-SVM, and GBM-SVM with a prediction success of 91%, 89.6%, and 88.8% respectively. ML models indicated COD, conductivity, TDS, TS, SS, and turbidity as the most influential variables for predicting BOD. The novel hybrid models can be useful for developing countries for efficient systematic data management, pollution control, and prevention strategies.

Water Quality Predictive Analytics Using an Artificial Neural Network with a Graphical User Interface

Since clean water is well known as one of the crucial sources that all living things need in their daily lives, the demand for clean freshwater nowadays has increased. However, water quality is slowly deteriorating due to anthropogenic and natural sources of pollution and contamination. Therefore, this study aims to develop artificial neural network (ANN) models to predict six different water quality parameters in the Langat River, Malaysia. Moreover, an application (app) equipped with a graphical user interface (GUI) was designed and developed to conduct real-time prediction of the water quality parameters by using real-time data as inputs together with the ANN models. As for the results, all of the ANN models achieved high coefficients of determination (R2), which were between 0.9906 and 0.9998, as well as between 0.8797 and 0.9972 for training and testing datasets, respectively. The developed app successfully predicted the outcome based on the run models. The implementation of a GUI-based app in this study enables a simpler and more trouble-free workflow in predicting water quality parameters. By eliminating sophisticated programming subroutines, the prediction process becomes accessible to more people, especially on-site operators and trainees.

Multi-Expression Programming (MEP): Water Quality Assessment Using Water Quality Indices

Water contamination is indeed a worldwide problem that threatens public health, environmental protection, and agricultural productivity. The distinctive attributes of machine learning (ML)-based modelling can provide in-depth understanding into increasing water quality challenges. This study presents the development of a multi-expression programming (MEP) based predictive model for water quality parameters, i.e., electrical conductivity (EC) and total dissolved solids (TDS) in the upper Indus River at two different outlet locations using 360 readings collected on a monthly basis. The optimized MEP models were assessed using different statistical measurements i.e., coefficient-of-determination (R2), root-mean-square error (RMSE), mean-absolute error (MAE), root-mean-square-logarithmic error (RMSLE) and mean-absolute-percent error (MAPE). The results show that the R2 in the testing phase (subjected to unseen data) for EC-MEP and TDS-MEP models is above 0.90, i.e., 0.9674 and 0.9725, respectively, reflecting the higher accuracy and generalized performance. Also, the error measures are quite lower. In accordance with MAPE statistics, both the MEP models shows an “excellent” performance in all three stages. In comparison with traditional non-linear regression models (NLRMs), the developed machine learning models have good generalization capabilities. The sensitivity analysis of the developed MEP models with regard to the significance of each input on the forecasted water quality parameters suggests that Cl and HCO3 have substantial impacts on the predictions of MEP models (EC and TDS), with a sensitiveness index above 0.90, although the influence of the Na is the less prominent. The results of this research suggest that the development of intelligence models for EC and TDS are cost effective and viable for the evaluation and monitoring of the quality of river water.

Utilization of Pollution Indices, Hyperspectral Reflectance Indices, and Data-Driven Multivariate Modelling to Assess the Bottom Sediment Quality of Lake Qaroun, Egypt

Assessing the environmental hazard of potentially toxic elements in bottom sediments has always been based entirely on ground samples and laboratory tests. This approach is remarkably accurate, but it is slow, expensive, damaging, and spatially constrained, making it unsuitable for monitoring these parameters effectively. The main goal of the present study was to assess the quality of sediment samples collected from Lake Qaroun by using different groups of spectral reflectance indices (SRIs), integrating data-driven (Artificial Neural Networks; ANN) and multivariate analysis such as multiple linear regression (MLR) and partial least square regression (PLSR). Jetty cruises were carried out to collect sediment samples at 22 distinct sites over the entire Lake Qaroun, and subsequently 21 metals were analysed. Potential ecological risk index (RI), organic matter (OM), and pollution load index (PLI) of lake’s bottom sediments were subjected to evaluation. The results demonstrated that PLI showed that roughly 59% of lake sediments are polluted (PLI > 1), especially samples of eastern and southern sides of the lake’s central section, while 41% were unpolluted (PLI < 1), which composed samples of the western and western northern regions. The RI’s findings were that all the examined sediments pose a very high ecological risk (RI > 600). It is obvious that the three band spectral indices are more efficient in quantifying different investigated parameters. The results showed the efficiency of the three tested models to predict OM, PLI, and RI, revealing that the ANN is the best model to predict these parameters. For instance, the determination coefficient values of the ANN model of calibration datasets for predicting OM, PLI, and RI were 0.999, 0.999, and 0.999, while they were 0.960, 0.897, and 0.853, respectively, for the validation dataset. The validation dataset of the PLSR produced R2 values higher than with MLR for predicting PLI and RI. Finally, the study’s main conclusion is that combining ANN, PLSR, and MLR with proximal remote sensing could be a very effective tool for the detection of OM and pollution indices. Based on our findings, we suggest the created models are easy tools for forecasting these measured parameters.

Optimal Location of Water Quality Monitoring Stations Using an Artificial Neural Network Modeling in the Qarah-Chay River Basin, Iran

The economic development, livelihood and drinking water of millions of people in the central plateau of Iran depend on the Qarah-Chay River, but due to a lack of inappropriate monitoring, it has been exposed to destruction and pollution. Consequently, an assessment of the river’s water quality is of utmost importance for both the management of human health and the maintenance of a safe environment, which can be achieved by determining the best locations for pollution monitoring stations along rivers. In this study, artificial neural networks (ANNs) has been used to optimize the locations for Qarah-Chay River monitoring stations in Markazi province, Iran. The data are collected based on the Iranian Water Quality Index (IRWQI), the US National Sanitation Foundation Water Quality Index (NSFWQI) and the Oregon Water Quality Index (OWQI). The database is given to a multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural network along with a geographic information system (GIS). The output of this study identified six pollution monitoring stations on the river, which are mainly downstream due to the accumulation of land uses and the concentration of pollution. The gradient of the MLP network training courses model from the proposed monitoring stations is 0.062299. In addition, the performance evaluation criteria of the proposed MLP model for F1-score, recall, precision and accuracy were 0.85, 0.84, 0.88 and 0.88, respectively. The results obtained help managers to properly monitor the river’s water resources with accuracy, efficiency and lower cost; furthermore, the findings were able to provide scientific references for river water quality monitoring and river ecosystem protection.

Regression Tree Ensemble Rainfall–Runoff Forecasting Model and Its Application to Xiangxi River, China

The development of an efficient and accurate hydrological forecasting model is essential for water management and flood control. In this study, the ensemble model was applied to predict the daily discharge; it not only could enhance the algorithm and improve the learning accuracy, but it was also the most effective representative model among various combinations of learning parameters. Using the survey data of Xingshan station in Xiangxi River, China, the suitability of the model was proven. The performance of the ensemble model was compared with the multiple linear regression model and the artificial neural network models. Furthermore, the length of the training samples and the peak value predictions were analyzed. The results showed that, firstly, the best effect of the discharge simulation model appeared in the ensemble model, while the simulation accuracy of the multiple linear regression model was lower than that of the artificial neural network model in some cases. Secondly, the prediction effect of the ensemble model for discharge was better than that of the single model to some extent, whereby the maximum absolute value of relative error was 8.11% using the ensemble model. A comprehensive analysis showed that the ensemble model was optimal. Furthermore, the ensemble model performed outstandingly in terms of hydrological forecasting. The ensemble model also provided theoretical support for hydrological forecasting and could be considered as an alternative to multiple linear regression models and artificial neural networks.

Assessment of Water Quality in Lake Qaroun Using Ground-Based Remote Sensing Data and Artificial Neural Networks

Monitoring and managing water quality parameters (WQPs) in water bodies (e.g., lakes) on a large scale using sampling-point techniques is tedious, laborious, and not highly representative. Hyperspectral and data-driven technology have provided a potentially valuable tool for the precise measurement of WQPs. Therefore, the objective of this work was to integrate WQPs, derived spectral reflectance indices (published spectral reflectance indices (PSRIs)), newly two-band spectral reflectance indices (NSRIs-2b) and newly three-band spectral indices (NSRIs-3b), and artificial neural networks (ANNs) for estimating WQPs in Lake Qaroun. Shipboard cruises were conducted to collect surface water samples at 16 different sites throughout Lake Qaroun throughout a two-year study (2018 and 2019). Different WQPs, such as total nitrogen (TN), ammonium (NH4+), orthophosphate (PO43−), and chemical oxygen demand (COD), were evaluated for aquatic use. The results showed that the highest determination coefficients were recorded with the NSRIs-3b, followed by the NSRIs-2b, and then followed by the PSRIs, which produced lower R2 with all tested WQPs. The majority of NSRIs-3bs demonstrated strong significant relationships with three WQPs (TN, NH4+, and PO43−) with (R2 = 0.70 to 0.77), and a moderate relationship with COD (R2 = 0.52 to 0.64). The SRIs integrated with ANNs would be an efficient tool for estimating the investigated four WQPs in both calibration and validation datasets with acceptable accuracy. For examples, the five features of the SRIs involved in this model are of great significance for predicting TN. Its outputs showed high R2 values of 0.92 and 0.84 for calibration and validation, respectively. The ANN-PO43−VI-17 was the highest accuracy model for predicting PO43− with R2 = 0.98 and 0.89 for calibration and validation, respectively. In conclusion, this research study demonstrated that NSRIs-3b, alongside a combined approach of ANNs models and SRIs, would be an effective tool for assessing WQPs of Lake Qaroun.

A Hybrid Neural Network-Particle Swarm Optimization Informed Spatial Interpolation Technique for Groundwater Quality Mapping in a Small Island Province of the Philippines

Water quality monitoring demands the use of spatial interpolation techniques due to on-ground challenges. The implementation of various spatial interpolation methods results in significant variations from the true spatial distribution of water quality in a specific location. The aim of this research is to improve mapping prediction capabilities of spatial interpolation algorithms by using a neural network with the particle swarm optimization (NN-PSO) technique. Hybrid interpolation approaches were evaluated and compared by cross-validation using mean absolute error (MAE) and Pearson’s correlation coefficient (R). The governing interpolation techniques for the physicochemical parameters of groundwater (GW) and heavy metal concentrations were the geostatistical approaches combined with NN-PSO. The best methods for physicochemical characteristics and heavy metal concentrations were observed to have the least MAE and R values, ranging from 1.7 to 4.3 times and 1.2 to 5.6 times higher than the interpolation technique without the NN-PSO for the dry and wet season, respectively. The hybrid interpolation methods exhibit an improved performance as compared to the non-hybrid methods. The application of NN-PSO technique to spatial interpolation methods was found to be a promising approach for improving the accuracy of spatial maps for GW quality.

Using Multivariate Regression and ANN Models to Predict Properties of Concrete Cured under Hot Weather

Concrete is an important construction material. Its characteristics depend on the environmental conditions, construction methods, and mix factors. Working with concrete is particularly tricky in a hot climate. This study predicts the properties of concrete in hot conditions using the case study of Rawalpindi, Pakistan. In this research, variable casting temperatures, design factors, and curing conditions are investigated for their effects on concrete characteristics. For this purpose, water–cement ratio (w/c), in-situ concrete temperature (T), and curing methods of the concrete are varied, and their effects on pulse velocity (PV), compressive strength (fc), depth of water penetration (WP), and split tensile strength (ft) were studied for up to 180 days. Quadratic regression and artificial neural network (ANN) models have been formulated to forecast the properties of concrete in the current study. The results show that T, curing period, and moist curing strongly influence fc, ft, and PV, while WP is adversely affected by T and moist curing. The ANN model shows better results compared to the quadratic regression model. Furthermore, a combined ANN model of fc, ft, and PV was also developed that displayed higher accuracy than the individual ANN models. These models can help construction site engineers select the appropriate concrete parameters when concreting under hot climates to produce durable and long-lasting concrete.

Predictive Modeling Approach for Surface Water Quality: Development and Comparison of Machine Learning Models

Water pollution is an increasing global issue that societies are facing and is threating human health, ecosystem functions and agriculture production. The distinguished features of artificial intelligence (AI) based modeling can deliver a deep insight pertaining to rising water quality concerns. The current study investigates the predictive performance of gene expression programming (GEP), artificial neural network (ANN) and linear regression model (LRM) for modeling monthly total dissolved solids (TDS) and specific conductivity (EC) in the upper Indus River at two outlet stations. In total, 30 years of historical water quality data, comprising 360 TDS and EC monthly records, were used for models training and testing. Based on a significant correlation, the TDS and EC modeling were correlated with seven input parameters. Results were evaluated using various performance measure indicators, error assessment and external criteria. The simulated outcome of the models indicated a strong association with actual data where the correlation coefficient above 0.9 was observed for both TDS and EC. Both the GEP and ANN models remained the reliable techniques in predicting TDS and EC. The formulated GEP mathematical equations depict its novelty as compared to ANN and LRM. The results of sensitivity analysis indicated the increasing trend of input variables affecting TDS as HCO3− (22.33%) > Cl− (21.66%) > Mg2+ (16.98%) > Na+ (14.55%) > Ca2+ (12.92%) > SO42− (11.55%) > pH (0%), while, in the case of EC, it followed the trend as HCO3− (42.36%) > SO42−(25.63%) > Ca2+ (13.59%) > Cl− (12.8%) > Na+ (5.01%) > pH (0.61%) > Mg2+ (0%). The parametric analysis revealed that models have incorporated the effect of all the input parameters in the modeling process. The external assessment criteria confirmed the generalized outcome and robustness of the proposed approaches. Conclusively, the outcomes of this study demonstrated that the formulation of AI based models are cost effective and helpful for river water quality assessment, management and policy making.

A novel machine learning application: Water quality resilience prediction Model

Resilience-informed water quality management embraces the growing environmental challenges and provides greater accuracy by unpacking the systems' characteristics in response to failure conditions in order to identify more effective opportunities for intervention. Assessing the resilience of water quality requires complex analysis of influential parameters which can be challenging, time consuming and costly to compute. It may also require building detailed conceptual and/or physically process-based models that are difficult to build, calibrate and validate. This study utilises Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to develop a novel application to predict water quality resilience to simplify resilience evaluation. The Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process method is used to rank water basins based on their level of resilience and to identify the ones that demand prompt restoration strategies. The commonly used 'magnitude * duration of being in failure state' quantification method has been used to formulate and evaluate resilience. A 17-years long water quality dataset from the 22 water basins in the State of São Paulo, Brazil, was used to train and test the ANN model. The overall agreement between the measured and simulated WQI resilience values is satisfactory and hence, can be used by planners and decision makers for improved water management. Moreover, comparative analyses show similarities and differences between the 'level of criticalities' reported in each zone by Environment Agency of the state of São Paulo (CETESB) and by the resilience model in this study.

Modeling Surface Water Quality Using the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System Aided by Input Optimization

Modeling surface water quality using soft computing techniques is essential for the effective management of scarce water resources and environmental protection. The development of accurate predictive models with significant input parameters and inconsistent datasets is still a challenge. Therefore, further research is needed to improve the performance of the predictive models. This study presents a methodology for dataset pre-processing and input optimization for reducing the modeling complexity. The objective of this study was achieved by employing a two-sided detection approach for outlier removal and an exhaustive search method for selecting essential modeling inputs. Thereafter, the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) was applied for modeling electrical conductivity (EC) and total dissolved solids (TDS) in the upper Indus River. A larger dataset of a 30-year historical period, measured monthly, was utilized in the modeling process. The prediction capacity of the developed models was estimated by statistical assessment indicators. Moreover, the 10-fold cross-validation method was carried out to address the modeling overfitting issue. The results of the input optimization indicate that Ca2+, Na+, and Cl− are the most relevant inputs to be used for EC. Meanwhile, Mg2+, HCO3−, and SO42− were selected to model TDS levels. The optimum ANFIS models for the EC and TDS data showed R values of 0.91 and 0.92, and the root mean squared error (RMSE) results of 30.6 µS/cm and 16.7 ppm, respectively. The optimum ANFIS structure comprises a hybrid training algorithm with 27 fuzzy rules of triangular fuzzy membership functions for EC and a Gaussian curve for TDS modeling, respectively. Evidently, the outcome of the present study reveals that the ANFIS modeling, aided with data pre-processing and input optimization, is a suitable technique for simulating the quality of surface water. It could be an effective approach in minimizing modeling complexity and elaborating proper management and mitigation measures.

Proposed formulation of surface water quality and modelling using gene expression, machine learning, and regression techniques

The rising water pollution from anthropogenic factors motivates further research in developing water quality predicting models. The available models have certain limitations due to limited timespan data and the incapability to provide empirical expressions. This study is devoted to model and derive empirical equations for surface water quality of upper Indus river basin using a 30-year dataset with machine learning techniques and then to determine the most reliable model capable to accurately predict river water quality. Total dissolve solids (TDS) and electrical conductivity (EC) were used as dependent variables, whereas eight parameters were used as independent variables with 70 and 30% data for model training and testing, respectively. Various evaluation criteria, i.e., Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R²), and mean absolute error (MAE), were used to assess the performance of models. The data is also validated with the help of k-fold cross-validation using R² and RMSE. The results indicated a strong correlation with NSE and R² both above 0.85 for all the developed models. Gene expression programming (GEP) outperformed both artificial neural network (ANN) and linear and non-linear regression models for TDS and EC. The sensitivity and parametric analyses revealed that bicarbonate is the most sensitive parameter influencing both TDS and EC models. Two equations were derived and formulated to represent the novel results of GEP model to help authorities in the effective monitoring of river water quality.

Inverse design of optical needles with central zero-intensity points by artificial neural networks

Optical needles with central zero-intensity points have attracted much attention in the field of 3D super-resolution microscopy, optical lithography, optical storage and Raman spectroscopy. Nevertheless, most of the studies create few types of optical needles with central zero-intensity points based on the theory and intuition with time-consuming parameter sweeping and complex pre-select of parameters. Here, we report on the inverse design of optical needles with central zero-intensity points by dipole-based artificial neural networks (DANNs), permitting the creation of needles which are close to specific length and amplitude. The resolution of these optical needles with central zero-intensity points is close to axial diffraction limit (∼1λ). Additionally, the DANNs can realize the inverse design of several types on-axis distributions, such as optical needles and multifocal distributions.

Application of artificial neural networks to predict the heavy metal contamination in the Bartin River

In this study, copper (Cu), iron (Fe), zinc (Zn), manganese (Mn), nickel (Ni), and lead (Pb) analyses were performed, and the results were modelled by artificial neural networks (ANN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). Samples were taken from 3 stations selected on the Bartin River for 1 year between December 2012 and December 2013. Radial basis neural network (RBANN), multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural networks models, and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) were applied to the data in order to predict the heavy metal concentrations. As a result of the study, the RMSE and MAE values of all the heavy metal models were found to have very low error values during the test phase, and it was found that the models created using MLP had R² values higher than 0.77 during the test phase; the test phase R² values of the models using RBN method were found to be ranging between 0.773 and 0.989, and the test phase R² value of the ANFIS model was higher than 0.80. If sorted from the best model to the worst by taking the MAE and RMSE values into consideration based on the test evaluation results, according to the heavy metal types, where all of the MLP, RBN, and ANFIS models were generally approximate to each other, RBN was successful for Cu, Zn, and Mn, while MLP model was successful for Ni and ANFIS model for Fe and Pb. According to the results, it can be inferred that the heavy metal contents can be estimated approximately with artificial intelligence models and relatively easy-to-measure parameters; it will be possible to detect heavy metals which are harmful to the viability of the rivers, both quickly and economically.

Estimation of daily dissolved oxygen concentration for river water quality using conventional regression analysis, multivariate adaptive regression splines, and TreeNet techniques

The aim of this study was to model the surface water quality of the Broad River Basin, South Carolina. The most suitable two monitoring stations numbered as USGS 02156500 (Near Carlisle) and USGS 02160991 (Near Jenkinsville) were selected for the reason that the river water temperature (WT), pH, and specific conductance (SC), as well as dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration, were simultaneously monitored and recorded at these sites. The monitoring period from September 2016 to August 2017 was taken into account for the modeling studies. The electrical conductivity (EC) values corresponding to the river SC values were calculated. First, the conventional regression analysis (CRA) was applied to three regression forms, i.e., linear, power, and exponential functions, to estimate the river DO concentration. Then, the multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) and TreeNet gradient boosting machine (TreeNet) techniques were employed. Three performance statistics, i.e., root means square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency (NS), were used to compare the estimation capabilities of these techniques. The TreeNet technique, which was used for the first time in the modeling of DO concentration, had higher estimation success with the RMSE, MAE, and NS values of 0.182 mg/L, 0.123 mg/L, and 0.990, respectively, for the Carlisle station and 0.313 mg/L, 0.233 mg/L, and 0.965, respectively, for the Jenkinsville station in the training phase. The MARS technique, which had limited availability of its application in the modeling of DO concentration, had higher estimation success with the RMSE, MAE, and NS values of 0.240 mg/L, 0.195 mg/L, and 0.981, respectively, for the Carlisle station and 0.527 mg/L, 0.432 mg/L, and 0.980, respectively, for the Jenkinsville station in the testing phase. Considering the RMSE and MAE values being lower, as well as NS values being higher for the model having an input combination of WT, pH, and EC, the Carlisle station came into prominence. It was concluded that international researchers, who have engaged in the river water quality modeling studies, can favor the MARS and TreeNET techniques without any hesitation and estimate the river DO concentration successfully. The models developed for the Carlisle station were tested with the data sets for the monitoring period from September 2017 to August 2018 at the same station. Similarly, the models developed for the Jenkinsville station were tested with the data sets for the monitoring period from September 2017 to August 2018 at the same station. It was concluded that the models could estimate the river DO concentrations very close to in situ measurements at the same site but for the different monitoring periods, too. Furthermore, the models developed for the Carlisle station were tested with the data sets from the Jenkinsville station for the same monitoring period. Similarly, the models developed for the Jenkinsville station were tested with the data sets from the Carlisle station for the same monitoring period. It was also concluded that the developed models could estimate the river DO concentrations very close to in situ measurements at different monitoring sites but for the same monitoring period on the same river, too. It can be asserted that the models developed for any monitoring site on a river can be employed for another monitoring site on the same river, too, as in the case of the Broad River, South Carolina.

Biochemical oxygen demand prediction: development of hybrid wavelet-random forest and M5 model tree approach using feature selection algorithms

Supplying adequate water to individuals and maintaining water supplies to support human life, particularly to rapidly urbanizing communities, are of paramount importance in the development of urban areas in each country worldwide. In turn, maintaining water resource quality and avoiding permanent damage as a consequence of environmental pollution and unsustainable off-take from sources such as rivers and aquifers should be considered as important as the water supply quantity. In this study, random forest (RF) and M5 model tree (M5) models were used to predict water biochemical oxygen demand (BOD). Having decomposed the input variables by wavelet transform, based on the feature selection algorithms (FS) (relief (RA), correlation (CA), principal component analysis (PCA), and ant colony optimization (ACO) algorithms), the important components were recognized and inserted into the RF and M5 models. The proposed approach was applied to Karun River in Ahvaz station on a monthly basis from 2006 to 2018. The results showed that the RF model had better performance with R = 0.872, MAE = 0.0312, and RMSE = 0.0332 values for the variable of BOD compared with the M5 model with R = 0.751, MAE = 0.0377, and RMSE = 0.0468 values. In addition, comparing RF and hybrid models, the purposed hybrid models were considered as viable options to improve the prediction accuracy of BOD. The findings also showed that, among the hybrid models, the WRF-PCA model with R = 0.927, MAE = 0.0198, and RMSE = 0.0241 values was the best model for the prediction of BOD values.

Dimension Reduction of Machine Learning-Based Forecasting Models Employing Principal Component Analysis

In this research, an attempt was made to reduce the dimension of wavelet-ANFIS/ANN (artificial neural network/adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system) models toward reliable forecasts as well as to decrease computational cost. In this regard, the principal component analysis was performed on the input time series decomposed by a discrete wavelet transform to feed the ANN/ANFIS models. The models were applied for dissolved oxygen (DO) forecasting in rivers which is an important variable affecting aquatic life and water quality. The current values of DO, water surface temperature, salinity, and turbidity have been considered as the input variable to forecast DO in a three-time step further. The results of the study revealed that PCA can be employed as a powerful tool for dimension reduction of input variables and also to detect inter-correlation of input variables. Results of the PCA-wavelet-ANN models are compared with those obtained from wavelet-ANN models while the earlier one has the advantage of less computational time than the later models. Dealing with ANFIS models, PCA is more beneficial to avoid wavelet-ANFIS models creating too many rules which deteriorate the efficiency of the ANFIS models. Moreover, manipulating the wavelet-ANFIS models utilizing PCA leads to a significant decreasing in computational time. Finally, it was found that the PCA-wavelet-ANN/ANFIS models can provide reliable forecasts of dissolved oxygen as an important water quality indicator in rivers.

Determination of Wastewater Behavior of Large Passenger Ships Based on Their Main Parameters in the Pre-Design Stage

Wastewater formed on ships is divided into blackwater and graywater. While blackwater refers to wastewater from toilets, graywater defines wastewater from sinks, laundry and restaurants. Even though some treatments are applied onboard before discharge, wastewater contains significant amounts of fecal bacteria, heavy metals, etc., in excess of water quality standards. Dilution is a secondary natural treatment in the ship-wake region, which occurs after wastewater discharging. According to the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the natural treatment process is quantified by dilution factor, which is strongly dependent on vessel width, draft, speed and wastewater discharge rate. In this study, an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model linked with the main ship parameters was developed to estimate the dilution factors while the ship is in the preliminary design stage. Gross ton, deadweight ton, passenger number, freeboard, engine power, propeller number and block coefficient values of 1041 large cruise ships were used to estimate the likely dilution factors. The best ANN estimation model was determined by Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) methods. A decision tree was created for the results and the most important parameters affecting the dilution factors were determined. The main ship dimensions are needed for the dilution factor formulation of EPA whereas in the model created in this study only the gross ton or engine power of the ship is sufficient to estimate the dilution. Moreover, this new model is also usable for the estimation of dilution factors even if the main dimensions of the ship are not known.

Characteristics and Causes of Long-Term Water Quality Variation in Lixiahe Abdominal Area, China

The Lixiahe abdominal area is a representative plain river network in the lower reaches of the Huai River, being an upstream section of south-to-north water diversion from the Yangtze River in Jiangsu Province, China. The assessment of long-term water quality variation and the identification of probable causes can provide references for sustainable water resources management. Based on the monthly water quality data of 15 monitoring stations in the Lixiahe abdominal area, the periodic characteristics and tendency of water quality variation were studied by combining wavelet analysis, the Mann–Kendall trend test, and Sen’s slope estimator, and the correlation between water quality variation, water level, and water diversion was discussed with cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence. The results show that the comprehensive water quality index (CWQI) included periodic fluctuations on multiple scales from 0.25 to 5 years. The CWQI of 7 out of 15 monitoring stations has a significant decreasing trend, indicating regional water quality improvement. The trend slope ranges from −0.071/yr to 0.007/yr, where −0.071/yr indicates the water quality improvement by one grade in 15 years. The spatial variation of water quality in the Lixiahe abdominal area was significant. The water quality of the main water diversion channels and its nearby rivers was significantly improved, while the improvement of other areas was not significant or even became worse due to the increasing discharge of pollutants. The CWQI of the main water diversion channels and its nearby rivers was inversely correlated with the amount of water diversion. The greater the amount of water diversion, the better the water quality. The water diversion from the Yangtze River has played an important role in improving the regional water environment.

Spatial Forecasting of Dissolved Oxygen Concentration in the Eastern Black Sea Basin, Turkey

The aim of this study was to model, as well as monitor and assess the surface water quality in the Eastern Black Sea (EBS) Basin stream, Turkey. The water-quality indicators monitored monthly for the seven streams were water temperature (WT), pH, total dissolved solids (TDS), and electrical conductivity (EC), as well as luminescent dissolved oxygen (LDO) concentration and saturation. Based on an 18-month data monitoring, the surface water quality variation was spatially and temporally evaluated with reference to the Turkish Surface Water Quality Regulation. First, the teaching–learning based optimization (TLBO) algorithm and conventional regression analysis (CRA) were applied to three different regression forms, i.e., exponential, power, and linear functions, to predict LDO concentrations. Then, the multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) method was employed and three performance measures, namely, mean absolute error (MAE), root means square error (RMSE), and Nash Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency (NSCE) were used to evaluate the performances of the MARS, TLBO, and CRA methods. The monitoring results revealed that all streams showed the same trend in that lower WT values in the winter months resulted in higher LDO concentrations, while higher WT values in summer led to lower LDO concentrations. Similarly, autumn, which presented the higher TDS concentrations brought about higher EC values, while spring, which presented the lower TDS concentrations gave rise to lower EC values. It was concluded that the water quality of the streams in the EBS basin was high-quality water in terms of the parameters monitored in situ, of which the LDO concentration varied from 9.13 to 10.12 mg/L in summer and from 12.31 to 13.26 mg/L in winter. When the prediction accuracies of the three models were compared, it was seen that the MARS method provided more successful results than the other methods. The results of the TLBO and the CRA methods were very close to each other. The RMSE, MAE, and NSCE values were 0.2599 mg/L, 0.2125 mg/L, and 0.9645, respectively, for the best MARS model, while these values were 0.4167 mg/L, 0.3068 mg/L, and 0.9086, respectively, for the best TLBO and CRA models. In general, the LDO concentration could be successfully predicted using the MARS method with various input combinations of WT, EC, and pH variables.

Application of Dempster-Shafer theory and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process for evaluating the effects of geological formation units on groundwater quality

This study investigates the impacts of different geological units on groundwater quality of an aquifer in southern Iran. The Kriging interpolation technique with a Gaussian semivariogram model was employed to prepare groundwater maps for different water quality constituents. In the next stage, two different models based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and Dempster-Shafer theory (DST) were used to evaluate the overall water quality index based on the World Health Organization's drinking water standard in different parts of the aquifer. The DST model was able to generate water quality maps with 99.5%, 99%, and 95% confidence levels. The water quality maps were subsequently compared with the geology map of the area to determine the effects of different soil types on the water quality of the aquifer. Both methods showed poor water quality indices in the areas with an Asmari formation containing elevated levels of chloride and sodium ions. Comparison of water quality maps generated by the fuzzy-AHP and DST model revealed that the DST could more reliably handle the uncertainty in the water quality data, and thus was able to generate more accurate water quality maps. Increasing the confidence level in the DST model yielded water quality maps with a decreased overall water quality index. Results of this study could assist water management practices to generate water quality maps for their groundwater resources with confidence levels commensurate socio-economic importance of the region.

The Impact of Catchment Characteristics and Weather Conditions on Heavy Metal Concentrations in Stormwater—Data Mining Approach

The dynamics of processes affecting the quality of stormwater removed through drainage systems are highly complicated. Relatively little information is available on predicting the impact of catchment characteristics and weather conditions on stormwater heavy metal (HM). This paper reports research results concerning the concentrations of selected HM (Ni, Cu, Cr, Zn, Pb and Cd) in stormwater removed through drainage system from three catchments located in the city of Kielce, Poland. Statistical models for predicting concentrations of HM in stormwater were developed based on measurement results, with the use of artificial neural network (ANN) method (multi-layer perceptron). Analyses conducted for the study demonstrated that it is possible to use simple variables to characterise catchment and weather conditions. Simulation results showed that for Ni, Cu, Cr, Zn and Pb, the selected independent variables ensure satisfactory predictive capacities of the models (R2 > 0.78). The models offer considerable application potential in the area of development plans, and they also account for environmental aspects as stormwater and snowmelt water quality affects receiving waters.

Evaluation of spatio-temporal variations in water quality of Zerveli stream (northern Turkey) based on water quality index and multivariate statistical analyses

This study of Zerveli stream, Kastamonu, aims to present an assessment of its water quality and to determine the basic factors having a significant effect on the water to identify how these factors account for variations in water quality. Samples of surface water were obtained on a monthly basis between December 2016 and November 2017 at 11 stations along the watercourse. According to these samples, 28 different water quality parameters determining the water quality were evaluated. The results were assessed with respect to the environmental water quality and irrigation water quality. For this purpose, the water quality index (WQI), sodium absorption rate (SAR), sodium percentage (%Na), and residual sodium carbonate (RSC) parameters were calculated. WQI values within the year ranged between 17.26 (excellent) and 223.05 (very poor). Based on the monthly mean values, the water quality was found to be good in December, February, July, and August and poor in the remaining months. Water quality tended to deteriorate the greater the distance from the water source. According to factor analysis (FA), salinity, pH, temperature (T), electrical conductivity (EC), suspended solid matter (SSM), chemical oxygen demand (COD), biochemical oxygen demand (BOD), SO₄^2-, SO₃^2-, NO₂^--N, NO^-₃-N, NH⁺₄-N, and Cl are the main variables responsible for changes in the ecosystem. According to analysis of the irrigation water quality, the stream was found to be suitable for irrigation in terms of SAR (1.07-3.25) and %Na (37.58-61.89) but problematic in terms of RSC (3.80-5.58) values.

Comparison of prediction model using spatial discriminant analysis for marine water quality index in mangrove estuarine zones

The prediction models of MWQI in mangrove and estuarine zones were constructed. The 2011-2015 data employed in this study entailed 13 parameters from six monitoring stations in West Malaysia. Spatial discriminant analysis (SDA) had recommended seven significant parameters to develop the MWQI which were DO, TSS, O&G, PO₄, Cd, Cr and Zn. These selected parameters were then used to develop prediction models for the MWQI using artificial neural network (ANN) and multiple linear regressions (MLR). The SDA-ANN model had higher R² value for training (0.9044) and validation (0.7113) results than SDA-MLR model and was chosen as the best model in mangrove estuarine zone. The SDA-ANN model had also demonstrated lower RMSE (5.224) than the SDA-MLR (12.7755). In summary, this work suggested that ANN was an effective tool to compute the MWQ in mangrove estuarine zone and a powerful alternative prediction model as compared to the other modelling methods.

Optimizing the Water Treatment Design and Management of the Artificial Lake with Water Quality Modeling and Surrogate-Based Approach

The tradeoff between engineering costs and water treatment of the artificial lake system has a significant effect on engineering decision-making. However, decision-makers have little access to scientific tools to balance engineering costs against corresponding water treatment. In this study, a framework integrating numerical modeling, surrogate models and multi-objective optimization is proposed. This framework was applied to a practical case in Chengdu, China. A water quality model (MIKE21) was developed, providing training datasets for surrogate modeling. The Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) were utilized for training surrogate models. Both surrogate models were validated with the coefficient of determinations (R2) greater than 0.98. SVM performed more stably with limited training data sizes while ANN demonstrated higher accuracies with more training samples. The multi-objective optimization model was developed using the genetic algorithm, with targets of reducing both engineering costs and target aquatic pollutant concentrations. An optimal target concentration after treatment was identified, characterized by the ammonia concentration (1.3 mg/L) in the artificial lake. Furthermore, scenarios with varying water quality in the upstream river were evaluated. Given the assumption of deteriorated upstream water quality in the future, the optimal proportion of pre-treatment in the total costs is increasing.

Water quality assessment with hierarchical cluster analysis based on Mahalanobis distance

Water quality assessment is crucial for assessment of marine eutrophication, prediction of harmful algal blooms, and environment protection. Previous studies have developed many numeric modeling methods and data driven approaches for water quality assessment. The cluster analysis, an approach widely used for grouping data, has also been employed. However, there are complex correlations between water quality variables, which play important roles in water quality assessment but have always been overlooked. In this paper, we analyze correlations between water quality variables and propose an alternative method for water quality assessment with hierarchical cluster analysis based on Mahalanobis distance. Further, we cluster water quality data collected form coastal water of Bohai Sea and North Yellow Sea of China, and apply clustering results to evaluate its water quality. To evaluate the validity, we also cluster the water quality data with cluster analysis based on Euclidean distance, which are widely adopted by previous studies. The results show that our method is more suitable for water quality assessment with many correlated water quality variables. To our knowledge, it is the first attempt to apply Mahalanobis distance for coastal water quality assessment.

An Artificial Neural Network Based Analysis of Factors Controlling Particle Size in a Virgin Coconut Oil-Based Nanoemulsion System Containing Copper Peptide

A predictive model of a virgin coconut oil (VCO) nanoemulsion system for the topical delivery of copper peptide (an anti-aging compound) was developed using an artificial neural network (ANN) to investigate the factors that influence particle size. Four independent variables including the amount of VCO, Tween 80: Pluronic F68 (T80:PF68), xanthan gum and water were the inputs whereas particle size was taken as the response for the trained network. Genetic algorithms (GA) were used to model the data which were divided into training sets, testing sets and validation sets. The model obtained indicated the high quality performance of the neural network and its capability to identify the critical composition factors for the VCO nanoemulsion. The main factor controlling the particle size was found out to be xanthan gum (28.56%) followed by T80:PF68 (26.9%), VCO (22.8%) and water (21.74%). The formulation containing copper peptide was then successfully prepared using optimum conditions and particle sizes of 120.7 nm were obtained. The final formulation exhibited a zeta potential lower than -25 mV and showed good physical stability towards centrifugation test, freeze-thaw cycle test and storage at temperature 25°C and 45°C.