Mortality after surgery with SARS-CoV-2 infection in England: a population-wide epidemiological study

Association of the Revised Cardiac Risk Index with 1-year postoperative mortality: A single-center retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

To explore risk factors for 1-year postoperative mortality and to identify its association with the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI).

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study involving 54,933 patients aged 18 years and above who were surgically treated under general or regional anesthesia in a tertiary hospital in Singapore. Independent risk factors for 1-year postoperative mortality were identified by univariate Cox regression analysis. The association between the RCRI and 1-year postoperative mortality was assessed by the Kaplan-Meier estimator and multivariate Cox regression analysis and was further validated in subgroup analyses stratified by the sex, age, and type of anesthesia.

RESULTS

A total of 54,933 eligible patients were enrolled in this study that included 23,922 patients classified as RCRI Class I, 25,979 as Class II, 3700 as Class III, and 1332 as Class IV. Cox regression analysis demonstrated that male sex, age, higher American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status classification level, regional anesthesia, emergency surgery, degree of anemia, and increased RCRI were significantly associated with the increased risk of 1-year postoperative mortality (HR > 1, all P < 0.001). The significant association between RCRI and 1-year postoperative mortality still existed after adjusting for confounding factors. An RCRI Class IV was associated with a mortality risk greater than two-fold larger than that observed at an RCRI Class I (adjusted HR 2.14, 95 % CI 1.78 to 2.56, p < 0.001). Subgroup analyses revealed that the 1-year postoperative mortality was significantly higher in patients with RCRI Class IV than that of Classes I-III regardless of the sex, age, and type of anesthesia.

CONCLUSION

RCRI is significantly correlated with 1-year postoperative mortality regardless of sex, age, and type of anesthesia. Further studies to validate these findings are warranted.

The side effects of the pandemic on all-cause postoperative mortality in a COVID reference Hospital in Brazil: a before and after cohort study with 15156 patients

BACKGROUND

Before the pandemic, healthcare systems in Low-Middle Income Countries (LMIC) experienced a limited capacity to treat postoperative complications. It is uncertain whether the interference of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on surgical systems has increased postoperative mortality.

METHODS

This before and after cohort study aimed to assess the pandemic's impact on in-hospital postoperative mortality in a university COVID-19 reference hospital in southern Brazil. Data from patients who underwent surgery before (January 2018 to December 2019) the pandemic were compared to data from patients who underwent surgery during the pandemic (February to December 2020). The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. We developed Poisson regression models to examine the mortality risk of being operated on during the COVID-19 pandemic.

RESULTS

We assessed 15156 surgical patients, 12207 of whom underwent surgery before the pandemic and 2949 during the first year of the pandemic. Mortality rates were 2.5% (309/12207) in the pre-pandemic versus 7.2% (212/2949) in the pandemic. Of these, 25.8% (32/124) of patients with COVID-19 and 6.4% (80/2816) of patients without COVID-19 died. The proportion of urgent surgeries and ASA-PS III was higher in the pandemic group. After adjusting for mortality-related variables, the Relative Risk (RR) associated with undergoing surgery during the pandemic was 1.51 (95% CI 1.27 to 1.79). We excluded COVID-19-positive to perform a sensitivity analysis that confirmed the increased risk of undergoing surgery during the pandemic RR = 1.50 (95% CI 1.27 to 1.78).

CONCLUSION

The substantial number of additional deaths, even amongst those without COVID-19 infection, suggests the pandemic disrupted the surgical service in an LMIC context. Fragile surgical systems may suffer more significant adverse impacts from external stressors such as a pandemic, and urging measures are needed to increase their performance and resilience.

Incidence of Postoperative Complications among Patients with Active or Resolved COVID-19 Undergoing Elective Abdominal Wall Reconstruction

Background

The incidence of postoperative complications among patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) positivity undergoing elective surgical operations is poorly understood. This study aimed to identify differences in postoperative complications after elective abdominal wall reconstruction (AWR) in patients diagnosed with COVID-19 compared with patients presenting prepandemic.

Methods

A single-institution, retrospective chart review was performed of patients undergoing AWR between January 2017 and September 2022. Patients were stratified by date: pre-COVID-19 (January 2017 to December 2019) and post-COVID-19 (January 2020 to September 2022). Patients confirmed as COVID-19-positive were also identified. Data collected included demographics, clinical characteristics, and complications. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed.

Results

We included 168 patients. The mean age was 54 years, and the mean body mass index was 33 kg/m2. Seventy-five patients underwent surgery pre-COVID-19 and 93 patients after. Of 93 patients, 16 (17%) had a positive COVID-19 test before surgery or during the perioperative period. These 2 groups were risk-matched. Patients with COVID-19 had no significant increase in postoperative complications. Major complications occurred at 13.3% in the pre-COVID-19 group and 7.5% in the post-COVID-19 group. Patients with COVID-19 were more likely to be younger (48 versus 57; P = 0.049) and more likely to have a shorter length of stay in the hospital (3 versus 5.8; P = 0.038).

Conclusions

In our case series, there was an associated increase in the incidence of overall pulmonary-related complications in the postpandemic group. This study is limited by its small sample size. Further investigation should be carried out on this topic.

Perioperative cardiovascular risk and preventions of patients with post-COVID-19 condition

COVID-19 infectious is still a widely prevalent disease today. Although most patients with COVID-19 infection are mild. Some patients still develop to post-COVID-19 conditions, significantly increasing the perioperative cardiovascular risks. To better assess and prevent the perioperative cardiovascular risks of patients with COVID-19 infection, the safety and effectiveness of clinical practice can be improved through comprehensive measures, such as medical history collection, detection of symptoms and signs, application of auxiliary examinations, selection of scales and related rehabilitation treatment.

Optimal surgical timing for lung cancer following SARS-CoV-2 infection: a prospective multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

With the ongoing prevalence of the emerging variant and global vaccination efforts, the optimal surgical timing for patients with resectable lung cancer in the Omicron-dominant period requires further investigation.

METHODS

This prospective multicenter study involved patients who underwent radical surgery for lung cancer between January 29, 2023 and March 31, 2023. Patients were categorized into four groups based on the interval between SARS-CoV-2 infection and surgery. The main outcomes evaluated were 30-day mortality and 30-day morbidity.

RESULTS

A total of 2081 patients were enrolled in the study, of which 1837 patients (88.3%) had a confirmed SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis before surgery. Notably, no instances of 30-day mortality were observed in any patient. Patients without prior infection had a 30-day morbidity rate of 15.2%, with postoperative pneumonia occurring in 7.0% of cases. In contrast, patients diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 before surgery had significantly higher rates of 30-day morbidity and postoperative pneumonia when surgery was performed within 4-5 weeks (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) (95% CI):2.18 (1.29-3.71) and 2.39 (1.21-4.79), respectively) or within 6-7 weeks (aOR (95% CI):2.07 (1.36-3.20) and 2.10 (1.20-3.85), respectively). Conversely, surgeries performed ≥ 8 weeks after SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis exhibited similar risks of 30-day morbidity and pneumonia compared to those in the no prior infection group (aOR (95% CI):1.13 (0.77-1.70) and 1.12 (0.67-1.99), respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Thoracic surgery for lung cancer conducted 4-7 weeks after SARS-CoV-2 infection is still associated with an increased risk of 30-day morbidity in the Omicron-dominant period. Therefore, surgeons should carefully assess the individual risks and benefits to formulate an optimal surgical strategy for patients with lung cancer with a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

The lifetime risk of surgery in England: a nationwide observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

The average number of times a person will have surgery in their lifetime, and the amount of surgical healthcare resources they use, is unknown. Lifetime risk is a measure of the risk of an average person having a specific event within their lifetime. We report the lifetime risk of surgery and the change observed during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

We conducted a population cohort study using hospital episode statistics to identify all patients undergoing surgery between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2020, in England. We calculated age- and sex-specific incidence rates of surgery and combined these with routinely available population and mortality data from the Office for National Statistics. We computed the probability of requiring surgery stratified by 5-yr epochs (age 0-4 to ≥90 yr). Our primary analysis calculated lifetime risk for all surgery using the life table method. We assessed the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, comparing a pre-pandemic and a pandemic period.

RESULTS

Between 2016 and 2020, 23 427 531 patients underwent surgery, of which 11 937 062 were first surgeries. The average denominator population for England was 55.9 million. The lifetime risk of first surgery was 60.2% (95% confidence interval 55.1-65.4%) for women and 59.1% (95% confidence interval 54.2-64.1%) for men. The COVID-19 pandemic decreased the lifetime risk of first surgery by 32.3% for women and by 31.7% for men. This estimated lifetime risk should only be applied to the English population.

CONCLUSIONS

This population epidemiological analysis suggests that approximately 60% of people in England will undergo surgery in their lifetime.

Dental Surgical Activity in Hospitals during COVID-19: A Nationwide Observational Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

The number of surgical extractions performed in hospitals in England remains unclear. This study reports the volume of surgical extractions conducted in hospitals and change in activity during the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide observational cohort study using Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) in England for patients undergoing surgical removal of a tooth (defined using OPSC-4 code F09) between April 1, 2015, and December 31, 2020. Procedures were stratified by age, gender, and urgency (elective or nonelective), reported using descriptive statistics, number, and percentage. We conducted post hoc modeling to predict surgical activity to December 2023. In addition, we contrasted this with aggregate national data on simple dental extraction procedures and drainage of dental abscesses in hospital as well as dental activity in general practice.

RESULTS

We identified a total of 569,938 episodes for the surgical removal of a tooth (females 57%). Of these, 493,056/569,938 (87%) were for adults and 76,882/569,938 (13%) children ≤18 years. Surgical extractions were most frequent in adult females. Elective cases accounted for 96% (n = 548,805/569,938) of procedures. The median number of procedures carried out per quarter was 27,256, dropping to 12,003 during the COVID-19 pandemic, representing a 56% reduction in activity. This amounted to around 61,058 cancelled procedures. Modeling predicts that this activity has not returned to prepandemic levels.

CONCLUSIONS

The number of surgical extractions taking place in hospitals during the pandemic fell by 56%. The true impact of this reduction is unknown, but delayed treatment increases the risk of complications, including life-threatening infections.

KNOWLEDGE TRANSFER STATEMENT

The result of this study provides an evidence-based overview of the trends relating to surgical extractions of teeth in England taking place in hospitals. This information can be used to inform service and workforce planning to meet the needs of patients requiring surgical extractions. The data also provide an insight into the oral health needs of the population in England.

Cystatin C or creatinine for pre-operative assessment of kidney function and risk of post-operative acute kidney injury: a secondary analysis of the METS cohort study

Background

Post-operative acute kidney injury (PO-AKI) is a common surgical complication consistently associated with subsequent morbidity and mortality. Prior kidney dysfunction is a major risk factor for PO-AKI, however it is unclear whether serum creatinine, the conventional kidney function marker, is optimal in this population. Serum cystatin C is a kidney function marker less affected by body composition and might provide better prognostic information in surgical patients.

Methods

This was a pre-defined, secondary analysis of a multi-centre prospective cohort study of pre-operative functional capacity. Participants were aged ≥40 years, undergoing non-cardiac surgery. We assessed the association of pre-operative estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) calculated using both serum creatinine and serum cystatin C with PO-AKI within 3 days after surgery, defined by KDIGO creatinine changes. The adjusted analysis accounted for established AKI risk factors.

Results

A total of 1347 participants were included (median age 65 years, interquartile range 56-71), of whom 775 (58%) were male. A total of 82/1347 (6%) patients developed PO-AKI. These patients were older, had higher prevalence of cardiovascular disease and related medication, were more likely to have intra-abdominal procedures, had more intraoperative transfusion, and were more likely to be dead at 1 year after surgery 6/82 (7.3%) vs 33/1265 (2.7%) (P = .038). Pre-operative eGFR was lower in AKI than non-AKI patients using both creatinine and cystatin C. When both measurements were considered in a single age- and sex-adjusted model, eGFR-Cysc was strongly associated with PO-AKI, with increasing risk of AKI as eGFR-Cysc decreased below 90, while eGFR-Cr was no longer significantly associated.

Conclusions

Data from over 1000 prospectively recruited surgical patients confirms pre-operative kidney function as major risk factor for PO-AKI. Of the kidney function markers available, compared with creatinine, cystatin C had greater strength of association with PO-AKI and merits further assessment in pre-operative assessment of surgical risk.

Lessons Learned in Elective Surgeries After 6 Pandemic Waves of SARS-CoV-2. A Single European Center Experience

BACKGROUND

The reported high surgical morbidity and mortality in patients with SARS-CoV-2 prompted preoperative screening and modification of surgical protocols. Although vaccination and treatment of COVID-19 have resulted in lower hospitalization rates and infection severity, publications on postoperative results have not been updated. The aim of the study was to analyze the outcomes of patients undergoing surgery in two periods with high incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection, before and after vaccination.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a prospective cohort study of patients undergoing surgery in two periods: March-June 2020 (Group2020) and December 2021-February 2022 (Group2022) (after massive vaccination).

RESULTS

In total, 618 patients who underwent surgery were included in the analysis (Group2020: 343 vs. Group2022: 275). Significantly more oncological procedures were performed in Group2020, and there were no differences in postoperative complications. Nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 infection occurred in 4 patients in Group2020 and 1 patient in Group2022. In Group 2022, 70 patients (25.4%) had COVID-19 prior to surgery, and 68 (97.1%) were vaccinated. Comparative analysis between patients with past COVID-19 and those without showed no difference in postoperative morbidity and mortality. According to the time elapsed between SARS-CoV-2 infection and surgery (≤ 7 or > 7 weeks), comparative analysis showed no significant differences.

CONCLUSION

The establishment of preoperative screening protocols for SARS-CoV-2 infection results in a low incidence of nosocomial infection and optimal postoperative outcomes. Preoperative SARS-CoV-2 infection in vaccinated patients was not associated with increased postoperative complications, even in shorter periods after infection. In surgical patients, individualized preoperative evaluation after SARS-CoV-2 infection may be more important than strict time limitation.

Impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection on postoperative complications of patients undergoing surgery after general outbreak in China: a protocol for multicentre prospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

There is currently limited evidence addressing perioperative prognosis of surgical patients during COVID-19 pandemic; especially targeting on the Chinese population since the wave in 2022. Considering a distinct feature from the rest of the world demonstrated and the fast mutation and spread of the virus, evidence most relevant to China is urgently in need. The objective of this study is to seek for supporting evidence via evidence-based risk evaluations for postoperative complications to accumulate experience for coming infection waves.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This protocol proposes a multicentral, prospective, observational cohort study aiming to explore the link between SARS-CoV-2 infection and postoperative complications among surgical patients under general or regional anaesthesia between 16 January 2023 and 31 December 2023. A retrospective cohort covering the same period in 2019 is extracted for historic reference. Data are extracted from the health information system and anaesthesia information management system. The COVID-19 information is collected via an online survey. Missing values in weight or height will be imputed by each other with age and gender via multiple imputation. Other missing values will not be handled specially. Standard descriptive statistics will be reported followed by statistical modelling. Binomial regression with logit link is used for binary outcome. The time-to-event outcome is analysed using Cox regression with discharge from hospital further treated as a competing state. Hierarchical models will be assessed to account for temporal or central random effects. Temporal trends will be displayed with future expectations.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethical approval is obtained from the ethical committee in Xijing Hospital (No. KY20232002-C-1); approvals are expected for each participating institute. Verbal consent will be informed and obtained prior to online survey collection. Personal information remains confidential, and publications will be deidentified.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT05677815.

[Expert consensus on the clinical treatment of burn patients complicated with Coronavirus infection (2023 version)]

With China downgrading the management of Coronavirus infection (COVID-19) from Category A to Category B, a large number of COVID-19 patients have occurred in multiple waves across the country. Meanwhile, the long-term impact of Coronavirus on the body has gradually been noticed. However, the clinical treatment of burns complicated with COVID-19 is still a major challenge in Chinese burn centers. It is then essential to standardize the clinical treatment of such patients, improve the prognosis to the greatest extent, and provide valuable experiences for similar infectious diseases in future. Therefore, Chinese Burn Association, Burn Medicine Branch of China International Exchange and Promotion Association for Medical and Healthcare, and Editorial Committee of Chinese Journal of Burns and Wounds jointly initiated and organized multidisciplinary experts to develop this expert consensus based on the current medical evidence, clinical practice, and authoritative guidelines of other disciplines, in order to standardize the clinical treatment of burn patients complicated with COVID-19.

Changes in early postoperative outcomes and complications observed in a single center during the 2022 COVID-19 pandemic wave in China: A single-center ambispective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Currently, the effect of the 2022 nationwide coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) wave on the perioperative prognosis of surgical patients in China is unclear. Thus, we aimed to explore its influence on postoperative morbidity and mortality in surgical patients.

METHODS

An ambispective cohort study was conducted at Xijing Hospital, China. We collected 10-day time-series data from December 29 until January 7 for the 2018-2022 period. The primary outcome was major postoperative complications (Clavien-Dindo class III-V). The association between COVID-19 exposure and postoperative prognosis was explored by comparing consecutive 5-year data at the population level and by comparing patients with and without COVID-19 exposure at the patient level.

RESULTS

The entire cohort consisted of 3350 patients (age: 48.5 ± 19.2 years), including 1759 females (52.5%). Overall, 961 (28.7%) underwent emergency surgery, and 553 (16.5%) had COVID-19 exposure (from the 2022 cohort). At the population level, major postoperative complications occurred in 5.9% (42/707), 5.7% (53/935), 5.1% (46/901), 9.4% (11/117), and 22.0% (152/690) patients in the 2018-2022 cohorts, respectively. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, the 2022 cohort (80% patients with COVID-19 history) had a significantly higher postoperative major complication risk than did the 2018 cohort (adjusted risk difference [aRD], 14.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 11.5-18.4%); adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 8.19 (95% CI, 5.24-12.81)). At the patient level, the incidence of major postoperative complications was significantly greater in patients with (24.6%, 136/553) than that in patients without COVID-19 history (6.0% [168/2797]; aRD, 17.8% [95% CI, 13.6-22.1%]; aOR, 7.89 [95% CI, 5.76-10.83]). Secondary outcomes of postoperative pulmonary complications were consistent with primary findings. These findings were verified through sensitivity analyses using time-series data projections and propensity score matching.

CONCLUSION

Based on a single-center observation, patients with recent COVID-19 exposure were likely to have a high incidence of major postoperative complications.

REGISTRATION

NCT05677815 at https://clinicaltrials.gov/.

The potential impact of COVID-19 disease caused multi-organ injuries on patients' surgical outcomes

Purpose

To provide an expert commentary on the impact of prior COVID-19 infection on patient’s surgical outcomes and postoperative recovery. To highlight the need for greater focus on peri-operative care of patients who have recovered from COVID-19.

Methods

A narrative review of the literature was conducted by searching Pubmed and EMBASE for relevant articles using keywords such as “COVID-19”, “Coronavirus”, “surgery” and “peri-operative infection”.

Results

Post-COVID-19 condition also known as long COVID has an estimated incidence of between 3.0 to 11.7%. COVID-19 has been shown to cause a series of short and long-term sequelae including cardiopulmonary complications, renal impairment, chronic fatigue and muscular deconditioning. Peri-operative infection with COVID-19 is associated with increased peri-operative mortality. Elective surgery patients who developed COVID-19 were 26 times more likely to die whilst in hospital compared to controls without COVID-19 infection, and for emergency surgery patients with COVID-19 infection were six times more likely to die. A large international prospective cohort study identified that patients who had surgery delayed over 7 weeks from the date of COVID-19 infection had no increased 30-day postoperative mortality, except those with ongoing symptoms.

Conclusions

COVID-19 infection and its complications have been shown to adversely affect surgical outcomes. Further research is required to better characterise long COVID and the long-term sequelae that develop, which should be used to guide comprehensive peri-operative assessment of patients.

Graphical Abstract

Surgical Protocols before and after COVID-19-A Narrative Review

The COVID-19 epidemic has affected not only people's daily lives but also the working methods of clinicians, surgical procedures, open/minimally invasive procedures, operating room management, patient and healthcare worker safety, education and training. The main objective of this study was to review selected articles and determine the changes in the general surgery protocols/procedures before and after the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic. The literature was carried out in PubMed-Medline, Cochrane Library, Embase, Scopus and Google Scholar. The terms utilised for the searches were "SARS-CoV-2", "Surgery", "COVID-19", "Surgical protocol", "Surgical recommendations" and "before and after". A total of 236 studies were identified, out of which 41 studies were included for data extraction. Significant changes in all the articles were observed with respect to the surgeries done before, during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Specifically, the number of elective surgeries were considerably fewer in comparison to the pre-pandemic period. Since the COVID-19 pandemic started, hospitals all throughout the world have conducted significantly fewer procedures, particularly elective/non-urgent surgeries.

Areas of Uncertainty in SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination for Cancer Patients

Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, it was recognized that infection with SARS-CoV-2 is associated with increased morbidity and mortality in patients with cancer; therefore, preventive vaccination in cancer survivors is expected to be particularly impactful. Heterogeneity in how a neoplastic disease diagnosis and treatment interferes with humoral and cellular immunity, however, poses a number of challenges in vaccination strategies. Herein, the available literature on the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines among patients with cancer is critically appraised under the lens of anti-neoplastic treatment optimization. The objective of this review is to highlight areas of uncertainty, where more research could inform future SARS-CoV-2 immunization programs and maximize benefits in the high-risk cancer survivor population, and also minimize cancer treatment deviations from standard practices.

Making a Joint Decision Regarding the Timing of Surgery for Elective Arthroplasty Surgery After Being Infected With COVID-19: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused a substantial number of patients to have their elective arthroplasty surgeries rescheduled. While it is established that patients with COVID-19 who are undergoing surgery have a significantly higher risk of experiencing postoperative complications and mortality, it is not well-known at what time after testing positive the risk of postoperative complications or mortality returns to normal.

METHODS

PubMed (MEDLINE), Excerpta Medica dataBASE, and professional society websites were systematically reviewed on March 7, 2022 to identify studies and guidelines on the optimal timeframe to reschedule patients for elective surgery after preoperatively testing positive for COVID-19. Outcomes included postoperative complications such as mortality, pneumonia, acute respiratory distress syndrome, septic shock, and pulmonary embolism.

RESULTS

A total of 14 studies and professional society guidelines met the inclusion criteria for this systematic review. Patients with asymptomatic COVID-19 should be rescheduled 4-8 weeks after testing positive (as long as they do not develop symptoms in the interim), patients with mild/moderate COVID-19 should be rescheduled 6-8 weeks after testing positive (with complete resolution of symptoms), and patients with severe/critical COVID-19 should be rescheduled at a minimum of 12 weeks after hospital discharge (with complete resolution of symptoms).

CONCLUSIONS

Given the negative association between preoperative COVID-19 and postoperative complications, patients should have elective arthroplasty surgery rescheduled at differing timeframes based on their symptoms. In addition, a multidisciplinary and patient-centered approach to rescheduling patients is recommended. Further study is needed to examine the impact of novel COVID-19 variants and vaccination on timeframes for rescheduling surgery.

Long-term mortality following complications after elective surgery: a secondary analysis of pooled data from two prospective cohort studies

BACKGROUND

Complications after surgery affect survival and quality of life. We aimed to confirm the relationship between postoperative complications and death within 1 yr after surgery.

METHODS

We conducted a secondary analysis of pooled data from two prospective cohort studies of patients undergoing surgery in five high-income countries between 2012 and 2014. Exposure was any complication within 30 days after surgery. Primary outcome was death within 1 yr after surgery, ascertained by direct follow-up or linkage to national registers. We adjusted for clinically important covariates using a mixed-effect multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model. We conducted a planned subgroup analysis by type of complication. Data are presented as mean with standard deviation (sd), n (%), and adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

The pooled cohort included 10 132 patients. After excluding 399 (3.9%) patients with missing data or incomplete follow-up, 9733 patients were analysed. The mean age was 59 [sd 16.8] yr, and 5362 (55.1%) were female. Of 9733 patients, 1841 (18.9%) had complications within 30 days after surgery, and 319 (3.3%) died within 1 yr after surgery. Of 1841 patients with complications, 138 (7.5%) died within 1 yr after surgery compared with 181 (2.3%) of 7892 patients without complications (aHR 1.94 [95% CI: 1.53-2.46]). Respiratory failure was associated with the highest risk of death, resulting in six deaths amongst 28 patients (21.4%).

CONCLUSIONS

Postoperative complications are associated with increased mortality at 1 yr. Further research is needed to identify patients at risk of complications and to reduce mortality.

The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Hernia Surgery: The South-East Scotland Experience

Aim

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic resulted in a lockdown in South East Scotland on 23 March 2020. This had an impact on the volume of benign elective surgery able to be undertaken. The degree to which this reduced hernia surgery was unknown. The aim of this study was to review the hernia surgery workload in the Lothian region of Scotland and assess the impact of COVID-19 on hernia surgery.

Methods

The Lothian Surgical Audit database was used to identify all elective and emergency hernia operations over a six-month period from 23 March 2020 and for the same time period in 2019. Data were collected on age, gender, anatomical location of the hernia, hernia repair technique, and whether elective or emergency operation. Statistical analysis was performed using the chi-squared test in R-Studio, with a p-value of <0.05 accepted as statistically significant.

Results

The total number of hernia repairs reduced considerably between 2019 and 2020 (570 vs 149). The majority of this can be explained by a decrease in elective operating (488 vs 87), with the percentage of elective repairs reducing significantly from 85.6% to 58.4% (p<0.001). The inguinal hernia subgroup had a 24% rise in emergency operations from 21 to 26 operations, despite a reduction from 270 to 84 total inguinal repairs. There were just two elective hernia repairs carried out in the first three months of the 2020 study period (5.6% of all operations for April-June) compared to 265 (87.7%) for the same period in 2019 (p<0.001). No statistically significant differences were observed in the rates of laparoscopic versus open operating techniques across the two study periods on any analysis. The age and gender of the patients were similar over the two time periods.

Conclusion

The COVID-19 pandemic led to a marked reduction in the number of elective hernia repairs (especially incisional hernia surgery), with the effect most pronounced over the first three months of lockdown. Despite an overall reduction in total emergency operative figures, possibly due to more widespread use of non-operative strategies, there was still an increase in emergency inguinal hernia repairs during the lockdown. Further studies are needed to evaluate if the delays to elective operating will result in a long-term increase in the rates of emergency presentation.

Impact of the first wave of COVID-19 on outcomes following emergency admissions for common acute surgical conditions: analysis of a national database in England

Background

This study assessed the impact of the first COVID-19 wave in England on outcomes for acute appendicitis, gallstone disease, intestinal obstruction, diverticular disease, and abdominal wall hernia.

Methods

Emergency surgical admissions for patients aged 18 years and older to 124 NHS Trust hospitals between January and June in 2019 and 2020 were extracted from Hospital Episode Statistics. The risk of 90-day mortality after admission during weeks 11–19 in 2020 (national lockdown) and 2019 (pre-COVID-19) was estimated using multilevel logistic regression with case-mix adjustment. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality at 90 days.

Results

There were 12 231 emergency admissions and 564 deaths within 90 days during weeks 11–19 in 2020, compared with 18 428 admissions and 542 deaths in the same interval in 2019. Overall, 90-day mortality was higher in 2020 versus 2019, with an adjusted OR of 1.95 (95 per cent c.i. 0.78 to 4.89) for appendicitis, 2.66 (1.81 to 3.92) for gallstone disease, 1.99 (1.44 to 2.74) for diverticular disease, 1.70 (1.13 to 2.55) for hernia, and 1.22 (1.01 to 1.47) for intestinal obstruction. After emergency surgery, 90-day mortality was higher in 2020 versus 2019 for gallstone disease (OR 3.37, 1.26 to 9.02), diverticular disease (OR 2.35, 1.16 to 4.73), and hernia (OR 2.34, 1.23 to 4.45). For intestinal obstruction, the corresponding OR was 0.91 (0.59 to 1.41). For admissions not leading to emergency surgery, mortality was higher in 2020 versus 2019 for gallstone disease (OR 2.55, 1.67 to 3.88), diverticular disease (1.90, 1.32 to 2.73), and intestinal obstruction (OR 1.30, 1.06 to 1.60).

Conclusion

Emergency admission was reduced during the first lockdown in England and this was associated with higher 90-day mortality.

Timing of surgery and elective perioperative management of patients with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection: a SIAARTI expert consensus statement

BACKGROUND

The appropriate timing of surgery and perioperative management of patients with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection are open issues. The purpose of this document is to support the clinical decision-making process regarding the patient with previous Sars-CoV-2 infection to undergo elective surgery. The recipients of this document are physicians, nurses, healthcare personnel, and other professionals involved in the patient's surgical process.

METHODS

The Italian Society of Anesthesia Analgesia Resuscitation and Intensive Care (SIAARTI) selected 11 experts to reach a consensus on key aspects of this theme in adult and pediatric population. The methods of this process document were in accordance to the principles of rapid review of the scientific literature and modified Delphi method. The experts produced statements and supporting reasons in the form of an informative text. The overall list of statements was subjected to a vote in order to express the degree of consent.

RESULTS

Patients should not undergo elective surgery within 7 weeks of infection unless there is the risk of a negative evolution of the disease. To mitigate the risk of postsurgical mortality, a multidisciplinary approach seemed useful in addition to the use of validated algorithms to estimate the risk of perioperative morbidity and mortality; the risk related to SARS-CoV-2 infection should be added. The risk of potential nosocomial contagion from a positive patients should also be considered when deciding to proceed with surgery. Most of the evidence came from previous SARS-CoV-2 variants, so the evidence should be considered indirect.

CONCLUSION

A balanced preoperative multidisciplinary risk-benefit evaluation is needed in patients with previous infection by SARS-CoV-2 for elective surgery.

When to operate after SARS-CoV-2 infection? A review on the recent consensus recommendation of the DGC/BDC and the DGAI/BDA

Since the eruption of the worldwide SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in late 2019/early 2020, multiple elective surgical interventions were postponed. Through pandemic measures, elective operation capacities were reduced in favour of intensive care treatment for critically ill SARS-CoV-2 patients. Although intermittent low-incidence infection rates allowed an increase in elective surgery, surgeons have to include long-term pulmonary and extrapulmonary complications of SARS-CoV-2 infections (especially "Long Covid") in their perioperative management considerations and risk assessment procedures. This review summarizes recent consensus statements and recommendations regarding the timepoint for surgical intervention after SARS-CoV-2 infection released by respective German societies and professional representatives including DGC/BDC (Germany Society of Surgery/Professional Association of German Surgeons e.V.) and DGAI/BDA (Germany Society of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine/Professional Association of German Anesthesiologists e.V.) within the scope of the recent literature. The current literature reveals that patients with pre- and perioperative SARS-CoV-2 infection have a dramatically deteriorated postoperative outcome. Thereby, perioperative mortality is mainly caused by pulmonary and thromboembolic complications. Notably, perioperative mortality decreases to normal values over time depending on the duration of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Timing of elective surgery and risk assessment after SARS-CoV-2 infection: an update: A multidisciplinary consensus statement on behalf of the Association of Anaesthetists, Centre for Perioperative Care, Federation of Surgical Specialty Associations, Royal College of Anaesthetists, Royal College of Surgeons of England

The impact of vaccination and new SARS-CoV-2 variants on peri-operative outcomes is unclear. We aimed to update previously published consensus recommendations on timing of elective surgery after SARS-CoV-2 infection to assist policymakers, administrative staff, clinicians and patients. The guidance remains that patients should avoid elective surgery within 7 weeks of infection, unless the benefits of doing so exceed the risk of waiting. We recommend individualised multidisciplinary risk assessment for patients requiring elective surgery within 7 weeks of SARS-CoV-2 infection. This should include baseline mortality risk calculation and assessment of risk modifiers (patient factors; SARS-CoV-2 infection; surgical factors). Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection with previous variants increased peri-operative mortality risk three-fold throughout the 6 weeks after infection, and assumptions that asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection does not add risk are currently unfounded. Patients with persistent symptoms and those with moderate-to-severe COVID-19 may require a longer delay than 7 weeks. Elective surgery should not take place within 10 days of diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection, predominantly because the patient may be infectious, which is a risk to surgical pathways, staff and other patients. We now emphasise that timing of surgery should include the assessment of baseline and increased risk, optimising vaccination and functional status, and shared decision-making. While these recommendations focus on the omicron variant and current evidence, the principles may also be of relevance to future variants. As further data emerge, these recommendations may be revised.

Can patients with asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection safely undergo elective surgery?

Current or recent infection with SARS-CoV-2 increases the risk of perioperative morbidity and mortality. Consensus guidelines recommend delaying elective major surgery after acute SARS-CoV-2 infection for 7 or 8 weeks. However, because of the growing backlog of untreated surgical disease and the potential risks of delaying surgery, surgical services may be under pressure to reduce this period. Here, we discuss the risks and benefits of delaying surgery for patients with current or recent SARS-CoV-2 infection in the context of the evolving COVID-19 pandemic, the limited evidence supporting delays to surgery, and the need for more research in this area.

The comparison of Post-Operative Complications pre Covid era versus during Covid-Era based on Clavien-Dindo-classification: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.. [DOI: 10.1101/2022.02.25.22271519]

Introduction

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID -19) pandemic challenged the healthcare system drastically, and it was concomitant with a remarkable decline in surgeries and modified routine care of patients worldwide. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to compare the surgical complications before COVID -19 (Pre-COVID) and after COVID -19 (post-COVID) appearance using the Clavien-Dindo classification (CDC).

Methods

between January 1, 2019, to November 3, 2021, we performed a comprehensive search in PubMed/Medline and Scopus for studies reporting the postoperative complications based on/transformable to CDC.

Result

From 909 screened articles, 34 studies were included for systematic review. Among included articles, 11 were eligible for meta-analysis. Nineteen thousand one hundred thirty-seven patients (pre-COVID: 3522, post-COVID: 15615) were included, mostly undergoing elective surgeries (86.32%). According to CDC classification, there were no significant change between pre-COVID and post-COVID for grade 1 (Odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95-CI): 0.99, 0.60-1.63, p=0.96), grade 2 (OR and 95-CI: 0.65, 0.42-1.01, p = 0.055), grade 3 (OR and 95-CI: 0.86, 0.48-1.57, p=0.64), grade 4 (OR and 95-CI: 0.85, 0.46-1.57, p =0.60). However, the postoperative mortality was lower before the COVID -19 outbreak (OR and 95-CI: 0.51, 0.27-0.95, p= 0.035). The included studies for systematic review and meta-analysis had a low risk of bias and unsignificant publication bias.

Conclusion

Although delivering routine surgery was challenging, the postoperative complications during the pandemic remained identical to the pre-pandemic era. The stricter patient selection tending to choose more critical states and more advanced clinical stages of the operated patients may explain some extent of higher mortality during the pandemic. Adopting preventive strategies helped deliver surgeries during the outbreak of COVID -19 while limiting the capacity of operations and admissions.