Decision tree and random forest models for outcome prediction in antibody incompatible kidney transplantation

Recent advances in flexible hydrogel sensors: Enhancing data processing and machine learning for intelligent perception

With the advent of flexible electronics and sensing technology, hydrogel-based flexible sensors have exhibited considerable potential across a diverse range of applications, including wearable electronics and soft robotics. Recently, advanced machine learning (ML) algorithms have been integrated into flexible hydrogel sensing technology to enhance their data processing capabilities and to achieve intelligent perception. However, there are no reviews specifically focusing on the data processing steps and analysis based on the raw sensing data obtained by flexible hydrogel sensors. Here we provide a comprehensive review of the latest advancements and breakthroughs in intelligent perception achieved through the fusion of ML algorithms with flexible hydrogel sensors, across various applications. Moreover, this review thoroughly examines the data processing techniques employed in flexible hydrogel sensors, offering valuable perspectives expected to drive future data-driven applications in this field.

Artificial intelligence and myocarditis-a systematic review of current applications

Myocarditis, marked by heart muscle inflammation, poses significant clinical challenges. This study, guided by PRISMA guidelines, explores the expanding role of artificial intelligence (AI) in myocarditis, aiming to consolidate current knowledge and guide future research. Following PRISMA guidelines, a systematic review was conducted across PubMed, Cochrane Reviews, Scopus, Embase, and Web of Science databases. MeSH terms including artificial intelligence, deep learning, machine learning, myocarditis, and inflammatory cardiomyopathy were used. Inclusion criteria involved original articles utilizing AI for myocarditis, while exclusion criteria eliminated reviews, editorials, and non-AI-focused studies. The search yielded 616 articles, with 42 meeting inclusion criteria after screening. The identified articles, spanning diagnostic, survival prediction, and molecular analysis aspects, were analyzed in each subsection. Diagnostic studies showcased the versatility of AI algorithms, achieving high accuracies in myocarditis detection. Survival prediction models exhibited robust discriminatory power, particularly in emergency settings and pediatric populations. Molecular analyses demonstrated AI's potential in deciphering complex immune interactions. This systematic review provides a comprehensive overview of AI applications in myocarditis, highlighting transformative potential in diagnostics, survival prediction, and molecular understanding. Collaborative efforts are crucial for overcoming limitations and realizing AI's full potential in improving myocarditis care.

Exploring Machine Learning Algorithms to Predict Diarrhea Disease and Identify its Determinants among Under-Five Years Children in East Africa

BACKGROUND

The second most common cause of death for children under five is diarrhea. Early Predicting diarrhea disease and identify its determinants (factors) using an advanced machine learning model is the most effective way to save the lives of children. Hence, this study aimed to predict diarrheal diseases, identify their determinants, and generate some rules using machine learning models.

METHODS

The study used secondary data from the 12 east African countries for DHS dataset analysis using Python. Machine learning techniques such as Random Forest, Decision Tree (DT), K-Nearest Neighbor, Logistic Regression (LR), wrapper feature selection and SHAP values are used for identify determinants.

RESULT

The final experimentation results indicated the random forest model performed the best to predict diarrhea disease with an accuracy of 86.5%, precision of 89%, F-measure of 86%, AUC curve of 92%, and recall of 82%. Important predictors' identified age, countries, wealth status, mother's educational status, mother's age, source of drinking water, number of under-five children immunization status, media exposure, timing of breast feeding, mother's working status, types of toilet, and twin status were associated with a higher predicted probability of diarrhea disease.

CONCLUSION

According to this study, child caregivers are fully aware of sanitation and feeding their children, and moms are educated, which can reduce child mortality by diarrhea in children in east Africa. This leads to a recommendation for policy direction to reduce infant mortality in East Africa.

Machine-learning-based feature selection to identify attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder using whole-brain white matter microstructure: A longitudinal study

BACKGROUND

We aimed to identify important features of white matter microstructures collectively distinguishing individuals with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) from those without ADHD using a machine-learning approach.

METHODS

Fifty-one ADHD patients and 60 typically developing controls (TDC) underwent diffusion spectrum imaging at two time points. We evaluated three models to classify ADHD and TDC using various machine-learning algorithms. Model 1 employed baseline white matter features of 45 white matter tracts at Time 1; Model 2 incorporated features from both time points; and Model 3 (main analysis) further included the relative rate of change per year of white matter tracts.

RESULTS

The random forest algorithm demonstrated the best performance for classification. Model 1 achieved an area-under-the-curve (AUC) of 0.67. Model 3, incorporating Time 2 variables and relative rate of change per year, improved the performance (AUC = 0.73). In addition to identifying several white matter features at two time points, we found that the relative rate of change per year in the superior longitudinal fasciculus, frontal aslant tract, stria terminalis, inferior fronto-occipital fasciculus, thalamic and striatal tracts, and other tracts involving sensorimotor regions are important features of ADHD. A higher relative change rate in certain tracts was associated with greater improvement in visual attention, spatial short-term memory, and spatial working memory.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support the significant diagnostic value of white matter microstructure and the developmental change rates of specific tracts, reflecting deviations from typical development trajectories, in identifying ADHD.

Machine learning algorithms for predicting COVID-19 mortality in Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), a global public health crisis, continues to pose challenges despite preventive measures. The daily rise in COVID-19 cases is concerning, and the testing process is both time-consuming and costly. While several models have been created to predict mortality in COVID-19 patients, only a few have shown sufficient accuracy. Machine learning algorithms offer a promising approach to data-driven prediction of clinical outcomes, surpassing traditional statistical modeling. Leveraging machine learning (ML) algorithms could potentially provide a solution for predicting mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Ethiopia. Therefore, the aim of this study is to develop and validate machine-learning models for accurately predicting mortality in COVID-19 hospitalized patients in Ethiopia.

METHODS

Our study involved analyzing electronic medical records of COVID-19 patients who were admitted to public hospitals in Ethiopia. Specifically, we developed seven different machine learning models to predict COVID-19 patient mortality. These models included J48 decision tree, random forest (RF), k-nearest neighborhood (k-NN), multi-layer perceptron (MLP), Naïve Bayes (NB), eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and logistic regression (LR). We then compared the performance of these models using data from a cohort of 696 patients through statistical analysis. To evaluate the effectiveness of the models, we utilized metrics derived from the confusion matrix such as sensitivity, specificity, precision, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC).

RESULTS

The study included a total of 696 patients, with a higher number of females (440 patients, accounting for 63.2%) compared to males. The median age of the participants was 35.0 years old, with an interquartile range of 18-79. After conducting different feature selection procedures, 23 features were examined, and identified as predictors of mortality, and it was determined that gender, Intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and alcohol drinking/addiction were the top three predictors of COVID-19 mortality. On the other hand, loss of smell, loss of taste, and hypertension were identified as the three lowest predictors of COVID-19 mortality. The experimental results revealed that the k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) algorithm outperformed than other machine learning algorithms, achieving an accuracy of 95.25%, sensitivity of 95.30%, precision of 92.7%, specificity of 93.30%, F1 score 93.98% and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) score of 96.90%. These findings highlight the effectiveness of the k-NN algorithm in predicting COVID-19 outcomes based on the selected features.

CONCLUSION

Our study has developed an innovative model that utilizes hospital data to accurately predict the mortality risk of COVID-19 patients. The main objective of this model is to prioritize early treatment for high-risk patients and optimize strained healthcare systems during the ongoing pandemic. By integrating machine learning with comprehensive hospital databases, our model effectively classifies patients' mortality risk, enabling targeted medical interventions and improved resource management. Among the various methods tested, the K-nearest neighbors (KNN) algorithm demonstrated the highest accuracy, allowing for early identification of high-risk patients. Through KNN feature identification, we identified 23 predictors that significantly contribute to predicting COVID-19 mortality. The top five predictors are gender (female), intensive care unit (ICU) admission, alcohol drinking, smoking, and symptoms of headache and chills. This advancement holds great promise in enhancing healthcare outcomes and decision-making during the pandemic. By providing services and prioritizing patients based on the identified predictors, healthcare facilities and providers can improve the chances of survival for individuals. This model provides valuable insights that can guide healthcare professionals in allocating resources and delivering appropriate care to those at highest risk.

Classification of white blood cells (leucocytes) from blood smear imagery using machine and deep learning models: A global scoping review

Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models are being increasingly employed for medical imagery analyses, with both approaches used to enhance the accuracy of classification/prediction in the diagnoses of various cancers, tumors and bloodborne diseases. To date however, no review of these techniques and their application(s) within the domain of white blood cell (WBC) classification in blood smear images has been undertaken, representing a notable knowledge gap with respect to model selection and comparison. Accordingly, the current study sought to comprehensively identify, explore and contrast ML and DL methods for classifying WBCs. Following development and implementation of a formalized review protocol, a cohort of 136 primary studies published between January 2006 and May 2023 were identified from the global literature, with the most widely used techniques and best-performing WBC classification methods subsequently ascertained. Studies derived from 26 countries, with highest numbers from high-income countries including the United States (n = 32) and The Netherlands (n = 26). While WBC classification was originally rooted in conventional ML, there has been a notable shift toward the use of DL, and particularly convolutional neural networks (CNN), with 54.4% of identified studies (n = 74) including the use of CNNs, and particularly in concurrence with larger datasets and bespoke features e.g., parallel data pre-processing, feature selection, and extraction. While some conventional ML models achieved up to 99% accuracy, accuracy was shown to decrease in concurrence with decreasing dataset size. Deep learning models exhibited improved performance for more extensive datasets and exhibited higher levels of accuracy in concurrence with increasingly large datasets. Availability of appropriate datasets remains a primary challenge, potentially resolvable using data augmentation techniques. Moreover, medical training of computer science researchers is recommended to improve current understanding of leucocyte structure and subsequent selection of appropriate classification models. Likewise, it is critical that future health professionals be made aware of the power, efficacy, precision and applicability of computer science, soft computing and artificial intelligence contributions to medicine, and particularly in areas like medical imaging.

Cherry on Top or Real Need? A Review of Explainable Machine Learning in Kidney Transplantation

Research on solid organ transplantation has taken advantage of the substantial acquisition of medical data and the use of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) to answer diagnostic, prognostic, and therapeutic questions for many years. Nevertheless, despite the question of whether AI models add value to traditional modeling approaches, such as regression models, their "black box" nature is one of the factors that have hindered the translation from research to clinical practice. Several techniques that make such models understandable to humans were developed with the promise of increasing transparency in the support of medical decision-making. These techniques should help AI to close the gap between theory and practice by yielding trust in the model by doctors and patients, allowing model auditing, and facilitating compliance with emergent AI regulations. But is this also happening in the field of kidney transplantation? This review reports the use and explanation of "black box" models to diagnose and predict kidney allograft rejection, delayed graft function, graft failure, and other related outcomes after kidney transplantation. In particular, we emphasize the discussion on the need (or not) to explain ML models for biological discovery and clinical implementation in kidney transplantation. We also discuss promising future research paths for these computational tools.

Strategies for overcoming data scarcity, imbalance, and feature selection challenges in machine learning models for predictive maintenance

Predictive maintenance harnesses statistical analysis to preemptively identify equipment and system faults, facilitating cost- effective preventive measures. Machine learning algorithms enable comprehensive analysis of historical data, revealing emerging patterns and accurate predictions of impending system failures. Common hurdles in applying ML algorithms to PdM include data scarcity, data imbalance due to few failure instances, and the temporal dependence nature of PdM data. This study proposes an ML-based approach that adapts to these hurdles through the generation of synthetic data, temporal feature extraction, and the creation of failure horizons. The approach employs Generative Adversarial Networks to generate synthetic data and LSTM layers to extract temporal features. ML algorithms trained on the generated data achieved high accuracies: ANN (88.98%), Random Forest (74.15%), Decision Tree (73.82%), KNN (74.02%), and XGBoost (73.93%).

Application of machine learning algorithms to predict dead on arrival of broiler chickens raised without antibiotic program

Understanding the factors of dead-on-arrival (DOA) incidents during pre-slaughter handling is crucial for informed decision-making, improving broiler welfare, and optimizing farm profitability. In this study, 3 different machine learning (ML) algorithms - least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), classification tree (CT), and random forest (RF) - were used together with 4 sampling techniques to optimize imbalanced data. The dataset comes from 22,115 broiler truckloads from a large producer in Thailand (2021-2022) and includes 14 independent variables covering the rearing, catching, and transportation stages. The study focuses on DOA% in the range of 0.10 to 1.20%, with a threshold for high DOA% above 0.3%, and records DOA% per truckload during pre-slaughter ante-mortem inspection. With a high DOA rate of 25.2%, the imbalanced dataset prompts the implementation of 4 methods to tune the imbalance parameters: random over sampling (ROS), random under sampling (RUS), both sampling (BOTH), and synthetic sampling or random over sampling example (ROSE). The aim is to improve the performance of the prediction model in classifying and predicting high DOA%. The comparative analysis of the different error metrics shows that RF outperforms the other models in a balanced dataset. In particular, RUS shows a significant improvement in prediction performance across all models compared to the original unbalanced dataset. The identification of the 4 most important variables for predicting high DOA percentages - mortality and culling rate, rearing stocking density, season, and mean body weight - emphasizes their importance for broiler production. This study provides valuable insights into the prediction of DOA status using an ML approach and contributes to the development of more effective strategies to mitigate high DOA percentages in commercial broiler production.

Evaluation of rapid optimized flow cytometry crossmatch (Halifaster) in living donor kidney transplantation

Kidney transplantation is often the preferred treatment for end-stage renal disease. However, the presence of preformed donor-specific antibodies (DSA), including those against HLA, can lead to antibody-mediated rejection and significantly impact transplant outcomes. The Flow Cytometry Crossmatch (FCXM) is a crucial tool in kidney transplantation, as it also enables the measurement of low levels of anti-HLA DSA antibodies. However, current methodologies for detecting these antibodies, however, are time-consuming and require extensive reagents. In this study, we analyzed the performance of the Halifaster FCXM protocol in 133 consecutive living kidney donor pairs, correlating these results with single antigen-based anti-HLA DSA results. Anti-HLA DSA was identified in 31 patients (23.3%). Both T and B lymphocyte FCXM assays demonstrated high sensitivity and specificity in detecting anti-HLA DSA. Furthermore, a Tree model to determine the levels of anti-HLA DSA to produce a flow crossmatch positivity, was developed offering an accuracy of 93% and 90% for T and B lymphocytes, respectively. Both approaches point to a thresh old of 1000-2000 MFI for T lymphocytes and 3000 MFI for B lymphocytes. Our findings indicate that the Halifaster protocol facilitates fast and efficient FCXM testing without compromising accuracy, marking a significant advancement in the field of kidney transplantation. The inclusion of HLA-specific antibody analysis underscores the protocol's comprehensive approach to improving transplant outcomes.

Predicting long-term outcomes of kidney transplantation in the era of artificial intelligence

The ability to accurately predict long-term kidney transplant survival can assist nephrologists in making therapeutic decisions. However, predicting kidney transplantation (KT) outcomes is challenging due to the complexity of the factors involved. Artificial intelligence (AI) has become an increasingly important tool in the prediction of medical outcomes. Our goal was to utilize both conventional and AI-based methods to predict long-term kidney transplant survival. Our study included 407 KTs divided into two groups (group A: with a graft lifespan greater than 5 years and group B: with poor graft survival). We first performed a traditional statistical analysis and then developed predictive models using machine learning (ML) techniques. Donors in group A were significantly younger. The use of Mycophenolate Mofetil (MMF) was the only immunosuppressive drug that was significantly associated with improved graft survival. The average estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in the 3rd month post-KT was significantly higher in group A. The number of hospital readmissions during the 1st year post-KT was a predictor of graft survival. In terms of early post-transplant complications, delayed graft function (DGF), acute kidney injury (AKI), and acute rejection (AR) were significantly associated with poor graft survival. Among the 35 AI models developed, the best model had an AUC of 89.7% (Se: 91.9%; Sp: 87.5%). It was based on ten variables selected by an ML algorithm, with the most important being hypertension and a history of red-blood-cell transfusion. The use of AI provided us with a robust model enabling fast and precise prediction of 5-year graft survival using early and easily collectible variables. Our model can be used as a decision-support tool to early detect graft status.

Weighted ordinal connection based functional network classification for schizophrenia disease detection using EEG signal

A brain connectivity network (BCN) is an advanced approach to examining brain functionality in various conditions. However, the predictability of the BCN is affected by the connectivity measure used for the network construction. Various connectivity measures available in the literature differ according to the domain of their working data. The application of random connectivity measures might result in an inefficient BCN that ultimately hampers its predictability. Therefore, selecting an appropriate functional connectivity metric is crucial in clinical as well as cognitive neuroscience. In parallel to this, an effective network identifier plays a vital role in distinguishing different brain states. Hence, the objective of this paper is two-fold, which includes identifying suitable connectivity measures and proposing an efficient network identifier. For this, the weighted BCN (WBCN) is constructed using multiple connectivity measures like correlation coefficient (r), coherence (COH), phase-locking value (PLV), and mutual information (MI) from electroencephalogram (EEG) signals. The most recent technique for feature extraction, i.e., weighted ordinal connections, has been applied to EEG-based BCN. EEG signals data has been taken from the schizophrenia disease database. Further, several classification algorithms such as k-nearest neighbours (KNN), support vector machine (SVM) with linear, radial basis function and polynomial kernels, random forest (RF), and 1D convolutional neural network (CNN1D) are used to classify the brain states based on extracted features. In classification, 90% accuracy is achieved by the CNN1D classifier with WBCN based on the coherence connectivity measure. The study also provides a structural analysis of the BCN.

Machine Learning Approach for the Prediction of In-Hospital Mortality in Traumatic Brain Injury Using Bio-Clinical Markers at Presentation to the Emergency Department

BACKGROUND

Accurate prediction of in-hospital mortality is essential for better management of patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI). Machine learning (ML) algorithms have been shown to be effective in predicting clinical outcomes. This study aimed to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality in TBI patients using ML algorithms.

MATERIALS AND METHOD

A retrospective study was performed using data from both the trauma registry and electronic medical records among TBI patients admitted to the Hamad Trauma Center in Qatar between June 2016 and May 2021. Thirteen features were selected for four ML models including a Support Vector Machine (SVM), Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XgBoost), to predict the in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

A dataset of 922 patients was analyzed, of which 78% survived and 22% died. The AUC scores for SVM, LR, XgBoost, and RF models were 0.86, 0.84, 0.85, and 0.86, respectively. XgBoost and RF had good AUC scores but exhibited significant differences in log loss between the training and testing sets (% difference in logloss of 79.5 and 41.8, respectively), indicating overfitting compared to the other models. The feature importance trend across all models indicates that aPTT, INR, ISS, prothrombin time, and lactic acid are the most important features in prediction. Magnesium also displayed significant importance in the prediction of mortality among serum electrolytes.

CONCLUSIONS

SVM was found to be the best-performing ML model in predicting the mortality of TBI patients. It had the highest AUC score and did not show overfitting, making it a more reliable model compared to LR, XgBoost, and RF.

Qualitative and quantitative detection of aflatoxins B1 in maize kernels with fluorescence hyperspectral imaging based on the combination method of boosting and stacking

The most widespread, toxic, and harmful toxin is aflatoxins B1 (AFB1). The fluorescence hyperspectral imaging (HSI) system was employed for AFB1 detection in this study. This study developed the under sampling stacking (USS) algorithm for imbalanced data. The results indicated that the USS method combined with ANOVA for featured wavelength achieved the best performance with the accuracy of 0.98 for 20 or 50 μg /kg threshold using endosperm side spectra. As for the quantitative analysis, a specified function was used to compress AFB1 content, and the combination of boosting and stacking was used for regression. The support vector regression (SVR)-Boosting, Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), and extremely randomized trees (Extra-Trees)-Boosting were used as the base learner, while the K nearest neighbors (KNN) algorithm was used as the meta learner could obtain the best results, with the correlation coefficient of prediction (R_p) was 0.86. These results provided the basis for developing AFB1 detection and estimation technologies.

Perspective of artificial intelligence in healthcare data management: A journey towards precision medicine

Mounting evidence has highlighted the implementation of big data handling and management in the healthcare industry to improve the clinical services. Various private and public companies have generated, stored, and analyzed different types of big healthcare data, such as omics data, clinical data, electronic health records, personal health records, and sensing data with the aim to move in the direction of precision medicine. Additionally, with the advancement in technologies, researchers are curious to extract the potential involvement of artificial intelligence and machine learning on big healthcare data to enhance the quality of patient's lives. However, seeking solutions from big healthcare data requires proper management, storage, and analysis, which imposes hinderances associated with big data handling. Herein, we briefly discuss the implication of big data handling and the role of artificial intelligence in precision medicine. Further, we also highlighted the potential of artificial intelligence in integrating and analyzing the big data that offer personalized treatment. In addition, we briefly discuss the applications of artificial intelligence in personalized treatment, especially in neurological diseases. Lastly, we discuss the challenges and limitations imposed by artificial intelligence in big data management and analysis to hinder precision medicine.

Machine learning-based mortality prediction models for smoker COVID-19 patients

BACKGROUND

The large number of SARS-Cov-2 cases during the COVID-19 global pandemic has burdened healthcare systems and created a shortage of resources and services. In recent years, mortality prediction models have shown a potential in alleviating this issue; however, these models are susceptible to biases in specific subpopulations with different risks of mortality, such as patients with prior history of smoking. The current study aims to develop a machine learning-based mortality prediction model for COVID-19 patients that have a history of smoking in the Iranian population.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted across six medical centers between 18 and 2020 and 15 March 2022, comprised of 678 CT scans and laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients that had a history of smoking. Multiple machine learning models were developed using 10-fold cross-validation. The target variable was in-hospital mortality and input features included patient demographics, levels of care, vital signs, medications, and comorbidities. Two sets of models were developed for at-admission and post-admission predictions. Subsequently, the top five prediction models were selected from at-admission models and post-admission models and their probabilities were calibrated.

RESULTS

The in-hospital mortality rate for smoker COVID-19 patients was 20.1%. For "at admission" models, the best-calibrated model was XGBoost which yielded an accuracy of 87.5% and F₁ score of 86.2%. For the "post-admission" models, XGBoost also outperformed the rest with an accuracy of 90.5% and F₁ score of 89.9%. Active smoking was among the most important features in patients' mortality prediction.

CONCLUSION

Our machine learning-based mortality prediction models have the potential to be adapted for improving the management of smoker COVID-19 patients and predicting patients' chance of survival.

Prediction prolonged mechanical ventilation in trauma patients of the intensive care unit according to initial medical factors: a machine learning approach

The goal of this study was to develop a predictive machine learning model to predict the risk of prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU), with a focus on laboratory and Arterial Blood Gas (ABG) data. This retrospective cohort study included ICU patients admitted to Rajaei Hospital in Shiraz between 2016 and March 20, 2022. All adult patients requiring mechanical ventilation and seeking ICU admission had their data analyzed. Six models were created in this study using five machine learning models (PMV more than 3, 5, 7, 10, 14, and 23 days). Patients' demographic characteristics, Apache II, laboratory information, ABG, and comorbidity were predictors. This study used Logistic regression (LR), artificial neural networks (ANN), support vector machines (SVM), random forest (RF), and C.5 decision tree (C.5 DT) to predict PMV. The study enrolled 1138 eligible patients, excluding brain-dead patients and those without mechanical ventilation or a tracheostomy. The model PMV > 14 days showed the best performance (Accuracy: 83.63-98.54). The essential ABG variables in our two optimal models (artificial neural network and decision tree) in the PMV > 14 models include FiO₂, paCO₂, and paO₂. This study provides evidence that machine learning methods outperform traditional methods and offer a perspective for achieving a consensus definition of PMV. It also introduces ABG and laboratory information as the two most important variables for predicting PMV. Therefore, there is significant value in deploying such models in clinical practice and making them accessible to clinicians to support their decision-making.

Predicting the development of T1D and identifying its Key Performance Indicators in children; a case-control study in Saudi Arabia

The increasing incidence of type 1 diabetes (T1D) in children is a growing global concern. It is known that genetic and environmental factors contribute to childhood T1D. An optimal model to predict the development of T1D in children using Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) would aid medical practitioners in developing intervention plans. This paper for the first time has built a model to predict the risk of developing T1D and identify its significant KPIs in children aged (0-14) in Saudi Arabia. Machine learning methods, namely Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, Naive Bayes, and Artificial Neural Network have been utilised and compared for their relative performance. Analyses were performed in a population-based case-control study from three Saudi Arabian regions. The dataset (n = 1,142) contained demographic and socioeconomic status, genetic and disease history, nutrition history, obstetric history, and maternal characteristics. The comparison between case and control groups showed that most children (cases = 68% and controls = 88%) are from urban areas, 69% (cases) and 66% (control) were delivered after a full-term pregnancy and 31% of cases group were delivered by caesarean, which was higher than the controls (χ2 = 4.12, P-value = 0.042). Models were built using all available environmental and family history factors. The efficacy of models was evaluated using Area Under the Curve, Sensitivity, F Score and Precision. Full logistic regression outperformed other models with Accuracy = 0.77, Sensitivity, F Score and Precision of 0.70, and AUC = 0.83. The most significant KPIs were early exposure to cow's milk (OR = 2.92, P = 0.000), birth weight >4 Kg (OR = 3.11, P = 0.007), residency(rural) (OR = 3.74, P = 0.000), family history (first and second degree), and maternal age >25 years. The results presented here can assist healthcare providers in collecting and monitoring influential KPIs and developing intervention strategies to reduce the childhood T1D incidence rate in Saudi Arabia.

Monitoring of Serological, Cellular and Genomic Biomarkers in Transplantation, Computational Prediction Models and Role of Cell-Free DNA in Transplant Outcome

The process and evolution of an organ transplant procedure has evolved in terms of the prevention of immunological rejection with the improvement in the determination of immune response genes. These techniques include considering more important genes, more polymorphism detection, more refinement of the response motifs, as well as the analysis of epitopes and eplets, its capacity to fix complement, the PIRCHE algorithm and post-transplant monitoring with promising new biomarkers that surpass the classic serum markers such as creatine and other similar parameters of renal function. Among these new biomarkers, we analyze new serological, urine, cellular, genomic and transcriptomic biomarkers and computational prediction, with particular attention to the analysis of donor free circulating DNA as an optimal marker of kidney damage.

Catalyzing success in community-based conservation

Efforts to devolve rights and engage Indigenous Peoples and local communities in conservation have increased the demand for evidence of the efficacy of community-based conservation (CBC) and insights into what enables its success. We examined the human well-being and environmental outcomes of a diverse set of 128 CBC projects. Over 80% of CBC projects had some positive human well-being or environmental outcomes, although just 32% achieved positive outcomes for both (i.e., combined success). We coded 57 total national-, community-, and project-level variables and controls from this set, performed random forest classification to identify the variables most important to combined success, and calculated accumulated local effects to describe their individual influence on the probability of achieving it. The best predictors of combined success were 17 variables suggestive of various recommendations and opportunities for conservation practitioners related to national contexts, community characteristics, and the implementation of various strategies and interventions informed by existing CBC frameworks. Specifically, CBC projects had higher probabilities of combined success when they occurred in national contexts supportive of local governance, confronted challenges to collective action, promoted economic diversification, and invested in various capacity-building efforts. Our results provide important insights into how to encourage greater success in CBC.

Prediction for odor gas generation from domestic waste based on machine learning

Domestic waste is prone to produce a variety of volatile organic compounds (VOCs), which often has unpleasant odors. A key process in treating odor gases is predicting the production of odors from domestic waste. In this study, four factors of domestic waste (weight, wet composition, temperature, and fermentation time) were adopted to be the prediction indicators in the prediction for domestic waste odor gases. Machine learning models (Random Forest, XGBoost, LightGBM) were established using the odor intensity values of 512 odor gases from domestic waste. Based on these data, the regression prediction with supervised machine learning was achieved, in which three different algorithmic models were evaluated for prediction performance. A Random Forest model with a R² value of 0.8958 demonstrated the most accurate prediction of the production of domestic waste odor gas based on our data. Furthermore, the prediction results in the Random Forest model were further discussed based on the microbial fermentation of domestic waste. In addition to enhancing our knowledge of the production of odor from domestic waste, we also explore the application of machine learning to odor pollution in our study.

Applications of artificial intelligence in anaerobic co-digestion: Recent advances and prospects

Anaerobic co-digestion (AcoD) offers several merits such as better digestibility and process stability while enhancing methane yield due to synergistic effects. Operation of an efficient AcoD system, however, requires full comprehension of important operational parameters, such as co-substrates ratio, their composition, volatile fatty acids/alkalinity ratio, organic loading rate, and solids/hydraulic retention time. AcoD process optimization, prediction and control, and early detection of system instability are often difficult to achieve through tedious manual monitoring processes. Recently, artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as an innovative approach to computational modeling and optimization of the AcoD process. This review discusses AI applications in AcoD process optimization, control, prediction of unknown input/output parameters, and real-time monitoring. Furthermore, the review also compares standalone and hybrid AI algorithms as applied to AcoD. The review highlights future research directions for data preprocessing, model interpretation and validation, and grey-box modeling in AcoD process.

Identification of pathogens and detection of antibiotic susceptibility at single-cell resolution by Raman spectroscopy combined with machine learning

Rapid, accurate, and label-free detection of pathogenic bacteria and antibiotic resistance at single-cell resolution is a technological challenge for clinical diagnosis. Overcoming the cumbersome culture process of pathogenic bacteria and time-consuming antibiotic susceptibility assays will significantly benefit early diagnosis and optimize the use of antibiotics in clinics. Raman spectroscopy can collect molecular fingerprints of pathogenic bacteria in a label-free and culture-independent manner, which is suitable for pathogen diagnosis at single-cell resolution. Here, we report a method based on Raman spectroscopy combined with machine learning to rapidly and accurately identify pathogenic bacteria and detect antibiotic resistance at single-cell resolution. Our results show that the average accuracy of identification of 12 species of common pathogenic bacteria by the machine learning method is 90.73 ± 9.72%. Antibiotic-sensitive and antibiotic-resistant strains of Acinetobacter baumannii isolated from hospital patients were distinguished with 99.92 ± 0.06% accuracy using the machine learning model. Meanwhile, we found that sensitive strains had a higher nucleic acid/protein ratio and antibiotic-resistant strains possessed abundant amide II structures in proteins. This study suggests that Raman spectroscopy is a promising method for rapidly identifying pathogens and detecting their antibiotic susceptibility.

Seeking Standardized Definitions for HLA-incompatible Kidney Transplants: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

There is no standard definition for "HLA incompatible" transplants. For the first time, we systematically assessed how HLA incompatibility was defined in contemporary peer-reviewed publications and its prognostic implication to transplant outcomes.

METHODS

We combined 2 independent searches of MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library from 2015 to 2019. Content-expert reviewers screened for original research on outcomes of HLA-incompatible transplants (defined as allele or molecular mismatch and solid-phase or cell-based assays). We ascertained the completeness of reporting on a predefined set of variables assessing HLA incompatibility, therapies, and outcomes. Given significant heterogeneity, we conducted narrative synthesis and assessed risk of bias in studies examining the association between death-censored graft failure and HLA incompatibility.

RESULTS

Of 6656 screened articles, 163 evaluated transplant outcomes by HLA incompatibility. Most articles reported on cytotoxic/flow T-cell crossmatches (n = 98). Molecular genotypes were reported for selected loci at the allele-group level. Sixteen articles reported on epitope compatibility. Pretransplant donor-specific HLA antibodies were often considered (n = 143); yet there was heterogeneity in sample handling, assay procedure, and incomplete reporting on donor-specific HLA antibodies assignment. Induction (n = 129) and maintenance immunosuppression (n = 140) were frequently mentioned but less so rejection treatment (n = 72) and desensitization (n = 70). Studies assessing death-censored graft failure risk by HLA incompatibility were vulnerable to bias in the participant, predictor, and analysis domains.

CONCLUSIONS

Optimization of transplant outcomes and personalized care depends on accurate HLA compatibility assessment. Reporting on a standard set of variables will help assess generalizability of research, allow knowledge synthesis, and facilitate international collaboration in clinical trials.

Toward generalizing the use of artificial intelligence in nephrology and kidney transplantation

With its robust ability to integrate and learn from large sets of clinical data, artificial intelligence (AI) can now play a role in diagnosis, clinical decision making, and personalized medicine. It is probably the natural progression of traditional statistical techniques. Currently, there are many unmet needs in nephrology and, more particularly, in the kidney transplantation (KT) field. The complexity and increase in the amount of data, and the multitude of nephrology registries worldwide have enabled the explosive use of AI within the field. Nephrologists in many countries are already at the center of experiments and advances in this cutting-edge technology and our aim is to generalize the use of AI among nephrologists worldwide. In this paper, we provide an overview of AI from a medical perspective. We cover the core concepts of AI relevant to the practicing nephrologist in a consistent and simple way to help them get started, and we discuss the technical challenges. Finally, we focus on the KT field: the unmet needs and the potential role that AI can play to fill these gaps, then we summarize the published KT-related studies, including predictive factors used in each study, which will allow researchers to quickly focus on the most relevant issues.

Interpretable prediction of mortality in liver transplant recipients based on machine learning

BACKGROUND

Accurate prediction of the mortality of post-liver transplantation is an important but challenging task. It relates to optimizing organ allocation and estimating the risk of possible dysfunction. Existing risk scoring models, such as the Balance of Risk (BAR) score and the Survival Outcomes Following Liver Transplantation (SOFT) score, do not predict the mortality of post-liver transplantation with sufficient accuracy. In this study, we evaluate the performance of machine learning models and establish an explainable machine learning model for predicting mortality in liver transplant recipients.

METHOD

The optimal feature set for the prediction of the mortality was selected by a wrapper method based on binary particle swarm optimization (BPSO). With the selected optimal feature set, seven machine learning models were applied to predict mortality over different time windows. The best-performing model was used to predict mortality through a comprehensive comparison and evaluation. An interpretable approach based on machine learning and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) is used to explicitly explain the model's decision and make new discoveries.

RESULTS

With regard to predictive power, our results demonstrated that the feature set selected by BPSO outperformed both the feature set in the existing risk score model (BAR score, SOFT score) and the feature set processed by principal component analysis (PCA). The best-performing model, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), was found to improve the Area Under a Curve (AUC) values for mortality prediction by 6.7%, 11.6%, and 17.4% at 3 months, 3 years, and 10 years, respectively, compared to the SOFT score. The main predictors of mortality and their impact were discussed for different age groups and different follow-up periods.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis demonstrates that XGBoost can be an ideal method to assess the mortality risk in liver transplantation. In combination with the SHAP approach, the proposed framework provides a more intuitive and comprehensive interpretation of the predictive model, thereby allowing the clinician to better understand the decision-making process of the model and the impact of factors associated with mortality risk in liver transplantation.

A Machine-Learning Model for the Prognostic Role of C-Reactive Protein in Myocarditis

Aims: The role of inflammation markers in myocarditis is unclear. We assessed the diagnostic and prognostic correlates of C-reactive protein (CRP) at diagnosis in patients with myocarditis. Methods and results: We retrospectively enrolled patients with clinically suspected (CS) or biopsy-proven (BP) myocarditis, with available CRP at diagnosis. Clinical, laboratory and imaging data were collected at diagnosis and at follow-up visits. To evaluate predictors of death/heart transplant (Htx), a machine-learning approach based on random forest for survival data was employed. We included 409 patients (74% males, aged 37 ± 15, median follow-up 2.9 years). Abnormal CRP was reported in 288 patients, mainly with CS myocarditis (p < 0.001), recent viral infection, shorter symptoms duration (p = 0.001), chest pain (p < 0.001), better functional class at diagnosis (p = 0.018) and higher troponin I values (p < 0.001). Death/Htx was reported in 13 patients, of whom 10 had BP myocarditis (overall 10-year survival 94%). Survival rates did not differ according to CRP levels (p = 0.23). The strongest survival predictor was LVEF, followed by anti-nuclear auto-antibodies (ANA) and BP status. Conclusions: Raised CRP at diagnosis identifies patients with CS myocarditis and less severe clinical features, but does not contribute to predicting survival. Main death/Htx predictors are reduced LVEF, BP diagnosis and positive ANA.

Automated Recognition of Plasmodium falciparum Parasites from Portable Blood Levitation Imaging

In many malaria-endemic regions, current detection tools are inadequate in diagnostic accuracy and accessibility. To meet the need for direct, phenotypic, and automated malaria parasite detection in field settings, a portable platform to process, image, and analyze whole blood to detect Plasmodium falciparum parasites, is developed. The liberated parasites from lysed red blood cells suspended in a magnetic field are accurately detected using this cellphone-interfaced, battery-operated imaging platform. A validation study is conducted at Ugandan clinics, processing 45 malaria-negative and 36 malaria-positive clinical samples without external infrastructure. Texture and morphology features are extracted from the sample images, and a random forest classifier is trained to assess infection status, achieving 100% sensitivity and 91% specificity against gold-standard measurements (microscopy and polymerase chain reaction), and limit of detection of 31 parasites per µL. This rapid and user-friendly platform enables portable parasite detection and can support malaria diagnostics, surveillance, and research in resource-constrained environments.

Impact of river flow modification on wetland hydrological and morphological characters

A good number of researchers investigated the impact of flow modification on hydrological, ecological, and geomorphological conditions in a river. A few works also focused on hydrological modification on wetland with some parameters but as far the knowledge is concerned, linking river flow modification to wetland hydrological and morphological transformation following an integrated modeling approach is often lacking. The current study aimed to explore the degree of hydrological alteration in the river and its effect on downstream riparian wetlands by adopting advanced modeling approaches. After damming, maximally 67 to 95% hydrological alteration was recorded for maximum, minimum, and average discharges. Wavelet transformation analysis figured out a strong power spectrum after 2012 (damming year). Due to attenuation of flow, the active inundation area was reduced by 66.2%. After damming, 524.03 km2 (48.9% of total pre-dam wetland) was completely obliterated. Hydrological strength (HS) modeling also reported areas under high HS declined by 14% after post-dam condition. Wetland hydrological security state (WSS) and HS matrix, a new approach, are used to explore wetland characteristics of inundation connectivity and hydrological security state. WSS was defined based on lateral hydrological connectivity. HS under critical and stress WWS zones deteriorated in the post-dam period. The morphological transformation was also well recognized showing an increase in area under the patch, edge, and a decrease in the area under the large core area. All these findings established a clear linkage between river flow modification and wetland transformation, and they provided a good clue for managing wetlands.

Machine learning approaches for predicting arsenic adsorption from water using porous metal-organic frameworks

Arsenic in drinking water is a serious threat for human health due to its toxic nature and therefore, its eliminating is highly necessary. In this study, the ability of different novel and robust machine learning (ML) approaches, including Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Extreme Gradient Boosting, Gradient Boosting Decision Tree, and Random Forest was implemented to predict the adsorptive removal of arsenate [As(V)] from wastewater over 13 different metal–organic frameworks (MOFs). A large experimental dataset was collected under various conditions. The adsorbent dosage, contact time, initial arsenic concentration, adsorbent surface area, temperature, solution pH, and the presence of anions were considered as input variables, and adsorptive removal of As(V) was selected as the output of the models. The developed models were evaluated using various statistical criteria. The obtained results indicated that the LightGBM model provided the most accurate and reliable response to predict As(V) adsorption by MOFs and possesses R², RMSE, STD, and AAPRE (%) of 0.9958, 2.0688, 0.0628, and 2.88, respectively. The expected trends of As(V) removal with increasing initial concentration, solution pH, temperature, and coexistence of anions were predicted reasonably by the LightGBM model. Sensitivity analysis revealed that the adsorption process adversely relates to the initial As(V) concentration and directly depends on the MOFs surface area and dosage. This study proves that ML approaches are capable to manage complicated problems with large datasets and can be affordable alternatives for expensive and time-consuming experimental wastewater treatment processes.

Modeling the solubility of light hydrocarbon gases and their mixture in brine with machine learning and equations of state

Knowledge of the solubilities of hydrocarbon components of natural gas in pure water and aqueous electrolyte solutions is important in terms of engineering designs and environmental aspects. In the current work, six machine-learning algorithms, namely Random Forest, Extra Tree, adaptive boosting support vector regression (AdaBoost-SVR), Decision Tree, group method of data handling (GMDH), and genetic programming (GP) were proposed for estimating the solubility of pure and mixture of methane, ethane, propane, and n-butane gases in pure water and aqueous electrolyte systems. To this end, a huge database of hydrocarbon gases solubility (1836 experimental data points) was prepared over extensive ranges of operating temperature (273-637 K) and pressure (0.051-113.27 MPa). Two different approaches including eight and five inputs were adopted for modeling. Moreover, three famous equations of state (EOSs), namely Peng-Robinson (PR), Valderrama modification of the Patel-Teja (VPT), and Soave-Redlich-Kwong (SRK) were used in comparison with machine-learning models. The AdaBoost-SVR models developed with eight and five inputs outperform the other models proposed in this study, EOSs, and available intelligence models in predicting the solubility of mixtures or/and pure hydrocarbon gases in pure water and aqueous electrolyte systems up to high-pressure and high-temperature conditions having average absolute relative error values of 10.65% and 12.02%, respectively, along with determination coefficient of 0.9999. Among the EOSs, VPT, SRK, and PR were ranked in terms of good predictions, respectively. Also, the two mathematical correlations developed with GP and GMDH had satisfactory results and can provide accurate and quick estimates. According to sensitivity analysis, the temperature and pressure had the greatest effect on hydrocarbon gases' solubility. Additionally, increasing the ionic strength of the solution and the pseudo-critical temperature of the gas mixture decreases the solubilities of hydrocarbon gases in aqueous electrolyte systems. Eventually, the Leverage approach has revealed the validity of the hydrocarbon solubility databank and the high credit of the AdaBoost-SVR models in estimating the solubilities of hydrocarbon gases in aqueous solutions.

An assessment of meteorological parameters effects on COVID-19 pandemic in Bangladesh using machine learning models

Coronavirus (COVID-19) is a highly contagious virus (SARS-CoV-2) that has caused a global pandemic since January 2020. Scientists around the world are doing extensive research to control this disease. They are working tirelessly to find out the origin and causes of the disease. Several studies and experiments mentioned that there are some meteorological parameters which are highly correlated with COVID-19 transmission. In this work, we studied the effects of 11 meteorological parameters on the transmission of COVID-19 in Bangladesh. We first applied statistical analysis and observed that there is no significant effect of these parameters. Therefore, we proposed a novel technique to analyze the insight effects of these parameters by using a combination of Random Forest, CART, and Lasso feature selection techniques. We observed that 4 parameters are highly influential for COVID-19 where [Formula: see text] and Cloud have positive association whereas WS and AQ have negative impact. Among them, Cloud has the highest positive impact which is 0.063 and WS has the highest negative association which is [Formula: see text]. Moreover, we have validated our performance using DLNM technique. The result of this investigation can be used to develop an alert system that will assist the policymakers to know the characteristics of COVID-19 against meteorological parameters and can impose different policies based on the weather conditions.

Machine Learning for Renal Pathologies: An Updated Survey

Within the literature concerning modern machine learning techniques applied to the medical field, there is a growing interest in the application of these technologies to the nephrological area, especially regarding the study of renal pathologies, because they are very common and widespread in our society, afflicting a high percentage of the population and leading to various complications, up to death in some cases. For these reasons, the authors have considered it appropriate to collect, using one of the major bibliographic databases available, and analyze the studies carried out until February 2022 on the use of machine learning techniques in the nephrological field, grouping them according to the addressed pathologies: renal masses, acute kidney injury, chronic kidney disease, kidney stone, glomerular disease, kidney transplant, and others less widespread. Of a total of 224 studies, 59 were analyzed according to inclusion and exclusion criteria in this review, considering the method used and the type of data available. Based on the study conducted, it is possible to see a growing trend and interest in the use of machine learning applications in nephrology, becoming an additional tool for physicians, which can enable them to make more accurate and faster diagnoses, although there remains a major limitation given the difficulty in creating public databases that can be used by the scientific community to corroborate and eventually make a positive contribution in this area.

Barrier Effect in a Medium-Sized Brazilian City: An Exploratory Analysis Using Decision Trees and Random Forests

This study aims to examine if an urban road with intense motorized traffic in a medium-sized Brazilian city constitutes a barrier for walking trips. A questionnaire was conducted with 103 individuals in an area up to 800 m from the road selected for the study to obtain information about personal characteristics (age, income, etc.), social interactions in the neighborhood, and travel and mobility characteristics. We used the dataset to explore the potential of Decision Tree and Random Forest classification models to predict the users’ perception of the barrier effect, which was characterized by the dependent variables speed and volume (of motorized traffic). For 36.9% and 47.6% of respondents, traffic speed and traffic volume, respectively, represent a barrier to walking. The results also show that the following variables considerably affect the perception of the barrier effect of the respondents: distance from their residence to the studied road, time living at the address and in the study area, social connections in the neighborhood, and the street reported as the busiest one in the neighborhood. Identifying the variables with the largest influence on the perception of the barrier effect may be very useful for planning and policy initiatives.

Dynamic Behaviour of Donor Specific Antibodies in the Early Period Following HLA Incompatible Kidney Transplantation

In HLA-incompatible kidney transplantation, monitoring donor-specific antibodies (DSA) plays a crucial role in providing appropriate treatment and increases kidney survival times. This work aimed to determine if early post-transplant DSA dynamics inform graft outcome over and above other predictive factors. Eighty-eight cases were classified by unsupervised machine learning into five distinct DSA response groups: no response, fast modulation, slow modulation, rise to sustained and sustained. Fast modulation dynamics gave an 80% rate for early acute rejection, whereas the sustained group was associated with the lowest rejection rates (19%). In complete contrast, the five-year graft failure was lowest in the modulation groups (4–7%) and highest in the sustained groups (25–31%). Multivariable analysis showed that a higher pre-treatment DSA level, male gender and absence of early acute rejection were strongly associated with a sustained DSA response. The modulation group had excellent five-year outcomes despite higher rates of early rejection episodes. This work further develops an understanding of post-transplant DSA dynamics and their influence on graft survival following HLA-incompatible kidney transplantation.

Detection of physical descaling damage in carp based on hyperspectral images and dimension reduction of principal component analysis combined with pixel values

The surface of carp is easily damaged during the descaling process, which jeopardizes the quality and safety of carp products. Damage recognition realized by manual detection is an important factor restricting the automation in the pretreatment. For the commonly used methods of mechanical and water-jet descaling, damage area recognition according to the hyperspectral data was proposed. Two discrimination models, including decision tree (DT) and self-organizing feature mapping (SOM), were established to recognize the damaged and normal descaling area with the average spectral value. The damage-discrimination model based on DT was determined to be the optimal one, which possessed the best model performance (accuracy = 96.7%, sensitivity = 96.7%, specificity = 96.7%, F1-score = 96.7%). Considering the efficiency and precision of damage-area recognition and visualization, the principal component analysis (PCA) combined with pixel values statistical analysis was used to reduce the dimension of hyperspectral images at the image level. Through statistical analysis, the value 0 was used as the threshold to distinguish the normal area and the damaged area in the PC image to achieve preliminary segmentation. Then, the spectral values of the initially discriminated damage area were input into the DT discrimination model to realize the final discriminant of damaged area. On this basis, the position information of the damaged area could be used to realize the visualization. The final visualization maps for mechanical and water-jet descaling damage were obtained by image morphology processing. The average recognition accuracy can reach 94.9% and 90.3%, respectively. The results revealed that the hyperspectral imaging technique has great potential to recognize the carp damage area nondestructively and accurately under descaling processing. PRACTICAL APPLICATION: This study demonstrated that hyperspectral imaging technique can realize the carp damage area detection nondestructively and accurately under descaling processing. With the advantages of nondestructive and rapid, hyperspectral imaging system and the method can be widely expanded and applied to the quality detection of other freshwater fish pretreatment.

An advanced computational intelligent framework to predict shear sonic velocity with application to mechanical rock classification

Shear sonic wave velocity (Vs) has a wide variety of implications, from reservoir management and development to geomechanical and geophysical studies. In the current study, two approaches were adopted to predict shear sonic wave velocities (Vs) from several petrophysical well logs, including gamma ray (GR), density (RHOB), neutron (NPHI), and compressional sonic wave velocity (Vp). For this purpose, five intelligent models of random forest (RF), extra tree (ET), Gaussian process regression (GPR), and the integration of adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) with differential evolution (DE) and imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA) optimizers were implemented. In the first approach, the target was estimated based only on Vp, and the second scenario predicted Vs from the integration of Vp, GR, RHOB, and NPHI inputs. In each scenario, 8061 data points belonging to an oilfield located in the southwest of Iran were investigated. The ET model showed a lower average absolute percent relative error (AAPRE) compared to other models for both approaches. Considering the first approach in which the Vp was the only input, the obtained AAPRE values for RF, ET, GPR, ANFIS + DE, and ANFIS + ICA models are 1.54%, 1.34%, 1.54%, 1.56%, and 1.57%, respectively. In the second scenario, the achieved AAPRE values for RF, ET, GPR, ANFIS + DE, and ANFIS + ICA models are 1.25%, 1.03%, 1.16%, 1.63%, and 1.49%, respectively. The Williams plot proved the validity of both one-input and four-inputs ET model. Regarding the ET model constructed based on only one variable,Williams plot interestingly showed that all 8061 data points are valid data. Also, the outcome of the Leverage approach for the ET model designed with four inputs highlighted that there are only 240 “out of leverage” data sets. In addition, only 169 data are suspected. Also, the sensitivity analysis results typified that the Vp has a higher effect on the target parameter (Vs) than other implemented inputs. Overall, the second scenario demonstrated more satisfactory Vs predictions due to the lower obtained errors of its developed models. Finally, the two ET models with the linear regression model, which is of high interest to the industry, were applied to diagnose candidate layers along the formation for hydraulic fracturing. While the linear regression model fails to accurately trace variations of rock properties, the intelligent models successfully detect brittle intervals consistent with field measurements.

Modeling solubility of CO2–N2 gas mixtures in aqueous electrolyte systems using artificial intelligence techniques and equations of state

Determining the solubility of non-hydrocarbon gases such as carbon dioxide (CO₂) and nitrogen (N₂) in water and brine is one of the most controversial challenges in the oil and chemical industries. Although many researches have been conducted on solubility of gases in brine and water, very few researches investigated the solubility of power plant flue gases (CO₂–N₂ mixtures) in aqueous solutions. In this study, using six intelligent models, including Random Forest, Decision Tree (DT), Gradient Boosting-Decision Tree (GB-DT), Adaptive Boosting-Decision Tree (AdaBoost-DT), Adaptive Boosting-Support Vector Regression (AdaBoost-SVR), and Gradient Boosting-Support Vector Regression (GB-SVR), the solubility of CO₂–N₂ mixtures in water and brine solutions was predicted, and the results were compared with four equations of state (EOSs), including Peng–Robinson (PR), Soave–Redlich–Kwong (SRK), Valderrama–Patel–Teja (VPT), and Perturbed-Chain Statistical Associating Fluid Theory (PC-SAFT). The results indicate that the Random Forest model with an average absolute percent relative error (AAPRE) value of 2.8% has the best predictions. The GB-SVR and DT models also have good precision with AAPRE values of 6.43% and 7.41%, respectively. For solubility of CO₂ present in gaseous mixtures in aqueous systems, the PC-SAFT model, and for solubility of N₂, the VPT EOS had the best results among the EOSs. Also, the sensitivity analysis of input parameters showed that increasing the mole percent of CO₂ in gaseous phase, temperature, pressure, and decreasing the ionic strength increase the solubility of CO₂–N₂ mixture in water and brine solutions. Another significant issue is that increasing the salinity of brine also has a subtractive effect on the solubility of CO₂–N₂ mixture. Finally, the Leverage method proved that the actual data are of excellent quality and the Random Forest approach is quite reliable for determining the solubility of the CO₂–N₂ gas mixtures in aqueous systems.

Predicting age at onset of type 1 diabetes in children using regression, artificial neural network and Random Forest: A case study in Saudi Arabia

The rising incidence of type 1 diabetes (T1D) among children is an increasing concern globally. A reliable estimate of the age at onset of T1D in children would facilitate intervention plans for medical practitioners to reduce the problems with delayed diagnosis of T1D. This paper has utilised Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Random Forest (RF) to model and predict the age at onset of T1D in children in Saudi Arabia (S.A.) which is ranked as the 7th for the highest number of T1D and 5th in the world for the incidence rate of T1D. De-identified data between (2010-2020) from three cities in S.A. were used to model and predict the age at onset of T1D. The best subset model selection criteria, coefficient of determination, and diagnostic tests were deployed to select the most significant variables. The efficacy of models for predicting the age at onset was assessed using multi-prediction accuracy measures. The average age at onset of T1D is 6.2 years and the most common age group for onset is (5-9) years. Most of the children in the sample (68%) are from urban areas of S.A., 75% were delivered after a full term pregnancy length and 31% were delivered through a cesarean section. The models of best fit were the MLR and RF models with R2 = (0.85 and 0.95), the root mean square error = (0.25 and 0.15) and mean absolute error = (0.19 and 0.11) respectively for logarithm of age at onset. This study for the first time has utilised MLR, ANN and RF models to predict the age at onset of T1D in children in S.A. These models can effectively aid health care providers to monitor and create intervention strategies to reduce the impact of T1D in children in S.A.

Characterization of English Braille Patterns Using Automated Tools and RICA Based Feature Extraction Methods

Braille is used as a mode of communication all over the world. Technological advancements are transforming the way Braille is read and written. This study developed an English Braille pattern identification system using robust machine learning techniques using the English Braille Grade-1 dataset. English Braille Grade-1 dataset was collected using a touchscreen device from visually impaired students of the National Special Education School Muzaffarabad. For better visualization, the dataset was divided into two classes as class 1 (1-13) (a-m) and class 2 (14-26) (n-z) using 26 Braille English characters. A position-free braille text entry method was used to generate synthetic data. N = 2512 cases were included in the final dataset. Support Vector Machine (SVM), Decision Trees (DT) and K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) with Reconstruction Independent Component Analysis (RICA) and PCA-based feature extraction methods were used for Braille to English character recognition. Compared to PCA, Random Forest (RF) algorithm and Sequential methods, better results were achieved using the RICA-based feature extraction method. The evaluation metrics used were the True Positive Rate (TPR), True Negative Rate (TNR), Positive Predictive Value (PPV), Negative Predictive Value (NPV), False Positive Rate (FPR), Total Accuracy, Area Under the Receiver Operating Curve (AUC) and F1-Score. A statistical test was also performed to justify the significance of the results.

Outcome Prediction at Patient Level Derived from Pre-Treatment 18F-FDG PET Due to Machine Learning in Metastatic Melanoma Treated with Anti-PD1 Treatment

(1) Background: As outcome of patients with metastatic melanoma treated with anti-PD1 immunotherapy can vary in success, predictors are needed. We aimed to predict at the patients’ levels, overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) after one year of immunotherapy, based on their pre-treatment 18F-FDG PET; (2) Methods: Fifty-six metastatic melanoma patients—without prior systemic treatment—were retrospectively included. Forty-five 18F-FDG PET-based radiomic features were computed and the top five features associated with the patient’s outcome were selected. The analyzed machine learning classifiers were random forest (RF), neural network, naive Bayes, logistic regression and support vector machine. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to compare model performances, which were validated by cross-validation; (3) Results: The RF model obtained the best performance after validation to predict OS and PFS and presented AUC, sensitivities and specificities (IC95%) of 0.87 ± 0.1, 0.79 ± 0.11 and 0.95 ± 0.06 for OS and 0.9 ± 0.07, 0.88 ± 0.09 and 0.91 ± 0.08 for PFS, respectively. (4) Conclusion: A RF classifier, based on pretreatment 18F-FDG PET radiomic features may be useful for predicting the survival status for melanoma patients, after one year of a first line systemic treatment by immunotherapy.

Clogging Risk Early Warning for Slurry Shield Tunneling in Mixed Mudstone–Gravel Ground: A Real-Time Self-Updating Machine Learning Approach

Clogging constitutes a significant obstacle to shield tunneling in mudstone soils. Previous research has focused on investigating the influence of soils and slurry properties on clogging, although little attention has been paid to the impact of tunneling parameters on clogging, and particularly early clogging warning during tunneling. This paper contributes to developing a real-time clogging early-warning approach, based on a self-updating machine learning method. The clogging judgment criteria are based on the statistical characteristics of whole-ring tunneling parameters. The paper proposes the use of random forest (RF) for a real-time self-updating early warning strategy for clogging. The performance of this approach is illustrated through its application to a slurry-pressure-balanced shield tunneling construction of Nanning metro line 1. Results show that the RF-based approach can predict clogging during a ring construction with only four minutes of tunneling data, with an accuracy of 95%. The RF model provided the best performance compared with the other machine learning methods. Furthermore, the RF model can realize an accurate clogging prediction in one ring, using less tunneling data with the self-updating mechanism.

Machine learning on small size samples: A synthetic knowledge synthesis

Machine Learning is an increasingly important technology dealing with the growing complexity of the digitalised world. Despite the fact, that we live in a 'Big data' world where, almost 'everything' is digitally stored, there are many real-world situations, where researchers are still faced with small data samples. The present bibliometric knowledge synthesis study aims to answer the research question 'What is the small data problem in machine learning and how it is solved?' The analysis a positive trend in the number of research publications and substantial growth of the research community, indicating that the research field is reaching maturity. Most productive countries are China, United States and United Kingdom. Despite notable international cooperation, the regional concentration of research literature production in economically more developed countries was observed. Thematic analysis identified four research themes. The themes are concerned with to dimension reduction in complex big data analysis, data augmentation techniques in deep learning, data mining and statistical learning on small datasets.

Prediction of qualitative antibiofilm activity of antibiotics using supervised machine learning techniques

Although biofilm-specific antibiotic susceptibility assays are available, they are time-consuming and resource-intensive, and hence they are not usually performed in clinical settings. Herein, we introduce a machine learning-based predictive modeling approach that uses routinely available and easily accessible data to qualitatively predict in vitro antibiofilm activity of antibiotics with relatively high accuracy. Three optimized models based on logistic regression, decision tree, and random forest algorithms were successfully developed in this study using data manually collected from published literature. In these models, independent variables that serve as significant predictors of antibiofilm activity are minimum inhibitory concentration, bacterial Gram type, biofilm formation method, in addition to antibiotic's mechanism of action, molecular weight, and pKa. The cross-validation method showed that the optimized models exhibit prediction accuracy of 67% ± 6.1% for the logistic regression model, 73% ± 5.8% for the decision tree model, and 74% ± 5% for the random forest model. However, the one-way ANOVA test revealed that the difference in prediction accuracy between the 3 models is not statistically significant, and hence they can be considered to have comparable performance. The presented modeling approach can serve as an alternative to the resource-intensive biofilm assays to rapidly and properly manage biofilm-associated infections, especially in resource-limited clinical settings.

Modeling of CO2 adsorption capacity by porous metal organic frameworks using advanced decision tree-based models

In recent years, metal organic frameworks (MOFs) have been distinguished as a very promising and efficient group of materials which can be used in carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects. In the present study, the potential ability of modern and powerful decision tree-based methods such as Categorical Boosting (CatBoost), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Random Forest (RF) was investigated to predict carbon dioxide adsorption by 19 different MOFs. Reviewing the literature, a comprehensive databank was gathered including 1191 data points related to the adsorption capacity of different MOFs in various conditions. The inputs of the implemented models were selected as temperature (K), pressure (bar), specific surface area (m²/g) and pore volume (cm³/g) of the MOFs and the output was CO₂ uptake capacity (mmol/g). Root mean square error (RMSE) values of 0.5682, 1.5712, 1.0853, and 1.9667 were obtained for XGBoost, CatBoost, LightGBM, and RF models, respectively. The sensitivity analysis showed that among all investigated parameters, only the temperature negatively impacts the CO₂ adsorption capacity and the pressure and specific surface area of the MOFs had the most significant effects. Among all implemented models, the XGBoost was found to be the most trustable model. Moreover, this model showed well-fitting with experimental data in comparison with different isotherm models. The accurate prediction of CO₂ adsorption capacity by MOFs using the XGBoost approach confirmed that it is capable of handling a wide range of data, cost-efficient and straightforward to apply in environmental applications.

Machine learning classification methods informing the management of inconclusive reactors at bovine tuberculosis surveillance tests in England

Bovine tuberculosis (bTB) remains one of the most complex, challenging, and costly animal health problems in England. Identifying and promptly removing all infected cattle from affected herds is key to its eradication strategy; the imperfect sensitivity of the diagnostic testing regime remaining a serious obstacle. The main diagnostic test for bTB in cattle in England, the Single Intradermal Comparative Cervical Tuberculin Test (SICCT: also known as the skin test), can produce inconclusive results below the reactor threshold. The immediate isolation of inconclusive reactor (IR) animals followed by a 60-day retest may not prevent lateral spread within the herd (if it is substandard, allowing transmission) or transmission to wildlife. Over half of IR-only herds that went on to have a positive skin test result (a bTB herd 'incident') in 2020, had it triggered by at least one IR not clearing their 60-day retest, instead of by another test within the previous 15 months. Machine learning classification algorithms (classification tree analysis and random forest), applied to England's 2012-2020 IR-only surveillance herd tests, identified at-risk tests for an incident at the IRs' 60-day retest. In this period, 4 739 out of 22 946 (21 %) IR-only surveillance tests disclosing 6 296 out of 42 685 total IRs, had an incident at retest (2 716 IRs became reactors and 3 580 IRs became two-time IRs). Both models showed an AUC above 80 % in the 2012-2019 dataset. Classification tree analysis was preferred due to its easy-to-interpret outputs, 70 % sensitivity, and 93 % specificity in the 20 % of 2019-2020 testing dataset. The paper aimed to identify IR-only surveillance tests at-risk of an incident at the 60-day retest to target them with appropriate measures to mitigate the IRs' risk. Sixteen percent (341 out of 2 177) of IR-only herd tests were identified as high-risk in the 2020 dataset, with 265 (78 %) of these having at least one reactor or IR at retest. Severe-level reinterpretation of the high-risk IR-only disclosing tests identified in this dataset would turn 68 out of the 590 (12 %) IRs into reactors, generating 23 incidents, the majority (19 or 83 %) part of the 265 incidents that would have been declared at the retest. Classification tree analysis used to identify IR-only high-risk tests in herds eligible for severe interpretation would enhance the sensitivity of the test-and-slaughter regime, cornerstone of the bTB eradication programme in England, further mitigating the risk of disease spread posed by IRs.

In silico prediction of the full United Nations Globally Harmonized System eye irritation categories of liquid chemicals by IATA-like bottom-up approach of random forest method

As an alternative to in vivo Draize rabbit eye irritation test, this study aimed to construct an in silico model to predict the complete United Nations (UN) Globally Harmonized System (GHS) for classification and labeling of chemicals for eye irritation category [eye damage (Category 1), irritating to eye (Category 2) and nonirritating (No category)] of liquid chemicals with Integrated approaches to testing and assessment (IATA)-like two-stage random forest approach. Liquid chemicals (n = 219) with 34 physicochemical descriptors and quality in vivo data were collected with no missing values. Seven machine learning algorithms (Naive Bayes, Logistic Regression, First Large Margin, Neural Net, Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosted Tree, and Support Vector Machine) were examined for the ternary categorization of eye irritation potential at a single run through 10-fold cross-validation. RF, which performed best, was further improved by applying the 'Bottom-up approach' concept of IATA, namely, separating No category first, and discriminating Category 1 from 2, thereafter. The best performing training dataset achieved an overall accuracy of 73% and the correct prediction for Category 1, 2, and No category was 80%, 50%, and 77%, respectively for the test dataset. This prediction model was further validated with an external dataset of 28 chemicals, for which an overall accuracy of 71% was achieved.