Predictive value of combined serum FGF21 and free T3 for survival in septic patients

Association of circulating fibroblast growth factor 21 levels with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality: The multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND

Fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) levels are often elevated in cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, no study has assessed its association with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in a population free of clinically evident CVD.

METHODS

A total of 5543 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) participants (mean age 62.7 years, 47.5 % male), free of clinically evident CVD at baseline, were studied. From baseline (2000-2002), 1606 deaths (including 387 CVD deaths) were observed over a median follow-up of 17.7 years. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to assess the association of plasma FGF21 levels with mortality.

RESULTS

FGF21 levels at baseline were associated with all-cause mortality, even after adjustment for traditional risk factors, including demographic, socioeconomic and cardiovascular risk factors (adjusted hazard ratio 1.08 [95% confidence interval 1.01, 1.16] per 1 SD increase in ln-transformed levels; 1.27 for the highest vs, lowest quartile). Baseline FGF21 levels were significantly associated with both CVD and non-CVD mortality in unadjusted models. However, the association with non-CVD mortality, but not CVD mortality, remained statistically significant after adjusting for covariates. Similar results were obtained in FGF21 quartile analyses and also when using competing risk regression or matched case-control cohort in sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

In subjects without clinically-evident CVD at baseline, over 17.7 years follow-up there is a modest association of baseline FGF21 levels with all-cause mortality. The finding that this is driven primarily by a significant association with non-CVD mortality over almost two decades merits further investigation.

Elevated serum FGF21 is an independent predictor for adverse events in hemodialysis patients from two large centers: a prospective cohort study

Introduction: We explored the relationship and the predictive value of serum fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) with all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) and pneumonia in hemodialysis (HD) patients.Methods: A total of 388 Chinese HD patients from two HD centers were finally enrolled in this prospective cohort study (registration number: ChiCTR 1900028249) between January 2018 and December 2018. Serum FGF21 was detected. Patients were followed up with a median period of 47 months to record the MACEs and pneumonia until death or 31 December 2022.Results: The incidence of all-cause mortality, MACEs and pneumonia in HD patients were 20.6%, 29.6%, and 34.8%, respectively. The optimal cutoffs for FGF21 to predict all-cause mortality, MACEs and pneumonia were 437.57 pg/mL, 216.99 pg/mL and 112.79 pg/mL. Multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that FGF21, as a categorical variable, was an independent predictor for all-cause mortality, MACEs and pneumonia (HR, 3.357, 95% CI, 2.128-5.295, p < 0.001; HR, 1.575, 95% CI, 1.046-2.371, p = 0.029; HR, 1.784; 95% CI, 1.124-2.830; p = 0.014, respectively). The survival nomogram, MACEs-free survival nomogram and pneumonia-free survival nomogram based on FGF21 constructed for individualized assessment of HD patients had a high C-index with 0.841, 0.706 and 0.734.Conclusion: Higher serum FGF21 is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality, MACEs and pneumonia in HD patients.

Association between serum-free thyroxine level and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients: a retrospective study from MIMIC-IV

Background

Low thyroxine (T4) levels have been observed in critically ill patients; however, controversial results regarding T4 supplemental therapy are reported. The association between serum free T4 (FT4) levels and mortality in critically ill patients has not been fully established and needs to be clarified.

Methods

Data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV were collected and analyzed. The association between FT4 level and 30-day mortality after ICU admission was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier curves, spline smoothing fitting, martingale residuals of the null Cox model, and restricted cubic spline (RCS). Logistic regression, Cox regression, and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) were used to uncover the relationship and predictive value of serum FT4 and 30-day mortality in critically ill patients.

Results

In the final analysis, 888 patients were enrolled, and the serum FT4 levels were divided into four groups. A significant difference in 30-day mortality was observed between the four groups. Kaplan-Meier curves also presented significantly higher 30-day mortality in groups 1 and 2 (p < 0.0001). Further multivariance logistic regression showed that group 1 with FT4 levels lower than 0.7 μg/dl can predict 30-day mortality (odds ratio (OR) = 3.30, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.04-11.31). Spline smoothing fitting analysis showed a "V"-shaped line between 30-day mortality and FT4 level within 0-3 μg/dl. Further RCS analysis showed that the risk of death decreased rapidly as FT4 levels increased when serum FT4 levels were lower than 1.2 μg/dl and started to become flat afterward. The area under the ROC of the lower FT4 level to predict 30-day mortality was 0.833 (95% CI = 0.788-0.878). Both multivariant Cox regression and logistic regression showed that FT4 levels lower than 1.2 μg/dl can independently predict 30-day mortality when adjusted for other potential confounders (HR = 0.34, 95% CI = 0.14-0.82; OR = 0.21, 95% CI = 0.06-0.79, respectively), but its predictive power disappeared when adjusted for T3 or total T4.

Conclusion

Serum FT4 levels were significantly negatively associated with 30-day mortality when they were lower than 1.2 μg/dl and could predict the risk of 30-day mortality. A higher FT4 level is potentially related to increased 30-day mortality.

Close association between lifestyle and circulating FGF21 levels: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The impact of lifestyle factors on circulating fibroblast growth factor 21 (cFGF21) remains unclear. We conducted this systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the association between lifestyle factors and cFGF21 levels.

Methods

We included studies that evaluated the effects of different lifestyles on cFGF21 concentration in adults, which included smoking, exercise, diets, alcohol consumption and weight loss. Random effects models or fixed effects models were used for meta-analysis to calculate the standardized mean difference (SMD) and 95% confidence interval according to the heterogeneity among studies. Study quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for cohort studies, the Joanna Briggs Institution Checklist for cross-sectional studies, and the PEDro scale for experimental studies.

Results

A total of 50 studies with 1438 individuals were included. Overall, smoking, a hypercaloric carbohydrate-rich diet, a hypercaloric fat-rich diet, amino acid or protein restriction, excessive fructose intake and alcohol consumption significantly upregulated cFGF21 levels (p<0.05), whereas fish oil intake and calorie restriction with sufficient protein intake significantly decreased cFGF21 (p<0.05). Compared to the preexercise cFGF21 level, the cFGF21 level significantly increased within 3 hours postexercise (p<0.0001), while it significantly decreased in the blood sampled >6 h postexercise (p=0.01). Moreover, higher exercise intensity resulted in higher upregulation of cFGF21 at 1-hour post exercise (p=0.0006).

Conclusion

FGF21 could serve as a potential biomarker for the assessment of different lifestyle interventions. When it is used for this purpose, a standard study protocol needs to be established, especially taking into consideration the intervention types and the sampling time post-intervention.

Systematic Review Registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42021254758, identifier CRD42021254758.

Serum fibroblast growth factor 21 levels after out of hospital cardiac arrest are associated with neurological outcome

Fibroblast growth factor (FGF) 21 is a marker associated with mitochondrial and cellular stress. Cardiac arrest causes mitochondrial stress, and we tested if FGF 21 would reflect the severity of hypoxia-reperfusion injury after cardiac arrest. We measured serum concentrations of FGF 21 in 112 patients on ICU admission and 24, 48 and 72 h after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest with shockable initial rhythm included in the COMACARE study (NCT02698917). All patients received targeted temperature management for 24 h. We defined 6-month cerebral performance category 1–2 as good and 3–5 as poor neurological outcome. We used samples from 40 non-critically ill emergency room patients as controls. We assessed group differences with the Mann Whitney U test and temporal differences with linear modeling with restricted maximum likelihood estimation. We used multivariate logistic regression to assess the independent predictive value of FGF 21 concentration for neurologic outcome. The median (inter-quartile range, IQR) FGF 21 concentration was 0.25 (0.094–0.91) ng/ml in controls, 0.79 (0.37–1.6) ng/ml in patients at ICU admission (P < 0.001 compared to controls) and peaked at 48 h [1.2 (0.46–2.5) ng/ml]. We found no association between arterial blood oxygen partial pressure and FGF 21 concentrations. We observed with linear modeling an effect of sample timepoint (F 5.6, P < 0.01), poor neurological outcome (F 6.1, P = 0.01), and their interaction (F 3.0, P = 0.03), on FGF 21 concentration. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, adjusting for relevant clinical covariates, higher average FGF 21 concentration during the first 72 h was independently associated with poor neurological outcome (odds ratio 1.60, 95% confidence interval 1.10–2.32). We conclude that post cardiac arrest patients experience cellular and mitochondrial stress, reflected as a systemic FGF 21 response. This response is higher with a more severe hypoxic injury but it is not exacerbated by hyperoxia.

Predictive value of thyroxine for prognosis in pediatric septic shock: a prospective observational study

Background Thyroid hormone plays an important role in the adaptation of metabolic function to critically ill. The relationship between thyroid hormone levels and the outcomes of septic shock is still unclear. The aim of this study was to assess the predictive value of thyroid hormone for prognosis in pediatric septic shock. Methods We performed a prospective observational study in a pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). Patients with septic shock were enrolled from August 2017 to July 2019. Clinical and laboratory indexes were collected, and thyroid hormone levels were measured on PICU admission. Results Ninety-three patients who fulfilled the inclusion criteria were enrolled in this study. The incidence of nonthyroidal illness syndrome (NTIS) was 87.09% (81/93) in patients with septic shock. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that T4 level was independently associated with in-hospital mortality in patients with septic shock (OR: 0.965, 95% CI: 0.937-0.993, p = 0.017). The area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) for T4 was 0.762 (95% CI: 0.655-0.869). The cutoff threshold value of 58.71 nmol/L for T4 offered a sensitivity of 61.54% and a specificity of 85.07%, and patients with T4 < 58.71 nmol/L showed high mortality (60.0%). Moreover, T4 levels were negatively associated with the pediatric risk of mortality III scores (PRISM III), lactate (Lac) level in septic shock children. Conclusions Nonthyroidal illness syndrome is common in pediatric septic shock. T4 is an independent predictor for in-hospital mortality, and patients with T4 < 58.71 nmol/L on PICU admission could be with a risk of hospital mortality.