Effects of Diabetes and Glycemic Control on Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Seroclearance of Hepatitis B Surface Antigen

Glycemic control and cancer outcomes in oncologic patients with diabetes: an Italian Association of Medical Oncology (AIOM), Italian Association of Medical Diabetologists (AMD), Italian Society of Diabetology (SID), Italian Society of Endocrinology (SIE), Italian Society of Pharmacology (SIF) multidisciplinary critical view

BACKGROUND

 Increasing evidence suggests that diabetes increases the risk of developing different types of cancer. Hyperinsulinemia, hyperglycemia and chronic inflammation, characteristic of diabetes, could represent possible mechanisms involved in cancer development in diabetic patients. At the same time, cancer increases the risk of developing new-onset diabetes, mainly caused by the use of specific anticancer therapies. Of note, diabetes has been associated with a ∼10% increase in mortality for all cancers in comparison with subjects who did not have diabetes. Diabetes is associated with a worse prognosis in patients with cancer, and more recent findings suggest a key role for poor glycemic control in this regard. Nevertheless, the association between glycemic control and cancer outcomes in oncologic patients with diabetes remains unsettled and poorly debated.

PURPOSE

 The current review seeks to summarize the available evidence on the effect of glycemic control on cancer outcomes, as well as on the possibility that timely treatment of hyperglycemia and improved glycemic control in patients with cancer and diabetes may favorably affect cancer outcomes.

Review of Related Factors for Persistent Risk of Hepatitis B Virus-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is the largest global cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Current HBV treatment options include pegylated interferon-alpha and nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs), which have been shown to be effective in reducing HBV DNA levels to become undetectable. However, the literature has shown that some patients have persistent risk of developing HCC. The mechanism in which this occurs has not been fully elucidated. However, it has been discovered that HBV's covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA) integrates into the critical HCC driver genes in hepatocytes upon initial infection; additionally, these are not targets of current NA therapies. Some studies suggest that HBV undergoes compartmentalization in peripheral blood mononuclear cells that serve as a sanctuary for replication during antiviral therapy. The aim of this review is to expand on how patients with HBV may develop HCC despite years of HBV viral suppression and carry worse prognosis than treatment-naive HBV patients who develop HCC. Furthermore, HCC recurrence after initial surgical or locoregional treatment in this setting may cause carcinogenic cells to behave more aggressively during treatment. Curative novel therapies which target the life cycle of HBV, modulate host immune response, and inhibit HBV RNA translation are being investigated.

Clinical impact of hepatic steatosis on chronic hepatitis B patients in Asia: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and hepatic steatosis (HS) are two prevalent chronic liver diseases in Asia. The incidence of CHB combined with HS is increasing due to the rising obesity rates. However, the impact of HS on CHB remains a topic of debate. Hereby, this meta-analysis aims to examine the effect of HS on Asian patients with CHB. Searches were conducted on four databases to identify articles published from 2005 to 2023. The random-effects or fixed-effects model was used to calculate pooled odds ratios (ORs), weighted mean difference (WMD), and confidence intervals (CIs) for the included articles. Of the 15,959 records screened, 88 studies were included in the analysis of HS prevalence in Asian CHB patients with a prevalence of 36.5% (95% CI: 33.7%-39.3%). In addition, age, sex, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and combined metabolic diseases have varying degrees of impact on HS in CHB patients. Furthermore, the coexistence of HS was negatively associated with the response to antiviral therapy, including hepatitis B surface antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion (OR = 0.69, 95% CI: 0.53-0.89) and ALT normalization (OR = 0.75, 95% CI: 0.61-0.92) in CHB patients after 48 weeks of treatment. Regarding disease prognosis, HS was not significantly associated with fibrosis or cirrhosis in CHB patients, while an inverse association was observed between HS and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (OR = 2.93, 95% CI: 1.23-6.99). This implies that the coexistence of HS in CHB patients may exacerbate the progression of HCC, which needs to be verified by further studies.

Global prevalence, cascade of care, and prophylaxis coverage of hepatitis B in 2022: a modelling study

BACKGROUND

The 2016 World Health Assembly endorsed the elimination of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection as a public health threat by 2030; existing therapies and prophylaxis measures make such elimination feasible, even in the absence of a virological cure. We aimed to estimate the national, regional, and global prevalence of HBV in the general population and among children aged 5 years and younger, as well as the rates of diagnosis, treatment, prophylaxis, and the future burden globally.

METHODS

In this modelling study, we used a Delphi process with data from literature reviews and interviews with country experts to quantify the prevalence, diagnosis, treatment, and prevention measures for HBV infection. The PRoGReSs Model, a dynamic Markov model, was used to estimate the country, regional, and global prevalence of HBV infection in 2022, and the effects of treatment and prevention on disease burden. The future incidence of morbidity and mortality in the absence of additional interventions was also estimated at the global level.

FINDINGS

We developed models for 170 countries which resulted in an estimated global prevalence of HBV infection in 2022 of 3·2% (95% uncertainty interval 2·7-4·0), corresponding to 257·5 million (216·6-316·4) individuals positive for HBsAg. Of these individuals, 36·0 million were diagnosed, and only 6·8 million of the estimated 83·3 million eligible for treatment were on treatment. The prevalence among children aged 5 years or younger was estimated to be 0·7% (0·6-1·0), corresponding to 5·6 million (4·5-7·8) children with HBV infection. Based on the most recent data, 85% of infants received three-dose HBV vaccination before 1 year of age, 46% had received a timely birth dose of vaccine, and 14% received hepatitis B immunoglobulin along with the full vaccination regimen. 3% of mothers with a high HBV viral load received antiviral treatment to reduce mother-to-child transmission.

INTERPRETATION

As 2030 approaches, the elimination targets remain out of reach for many countries under the current frameworks. Although prevention measures have had the most success, there is a need to increase these efforts and to increase diagnosis and treatment to work towards the elimination goals.

FUNDING

John C Martin Foundation, Gilead Sciences, and EndHep2030.

Genetic risk assessment based on association and prediction studies

The genetic basis of phenotypic emergence provides valuable information for assessing individual risk. While association studies have been pivotal in identifying genetic risk factors within a population, complementing it with insights derived from predictions studies that assess individual-level risk offers a more comprehensive approach to understanding phenotypic expression. In this study, we established personalized risk assessment models using single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) data from 200 Korean patients, of which 100 experienced hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance and 100 patients demonstrated high levels of HBsAg. The risk assessment models determined the predictive power of the following: (1) genome-wide association study (GWAS)-identified candidate biomarkers considered significant in a reference study and (2) machine learning (ML)-identified candidate biomarkers with the highest feature importance scores obtained by using random forest (RF). While utilizing all features yielded 64% model accuracy, using relevant biomarkers achieved higher model accuracies: 82% for 52 GWAS-identified candidate biomarkers, 71% for three GWAS-identified biomarkers, and 80% for 150 ML-identified candidate biomarkers. Findings highlight that the joint contributions of relevant biomarkers significantly influence phenotypic emergence. On the other hand, combining ML-identified candidate biomarkers into the pool of GWAS-identified candidate biomarkers resulted in the improved predictive accuracy of 90%, demonstrating the capability of ML as an auxiliary analysis to GWAS. Furthermore, some of the ML-identified candidate biomarkers were found to be linked with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), reinforcing previous claims that HCC can still occur despite the absence of HBsAg.

Risk of hepatic decompensation but not hepatocellular carcinoma decreases over time in patients with hepatitis B surface antigen loss

BACKGROUND & AIMS

We examined the long-term incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and hepatic decompensation among chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients who have achieved hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance.

METHODS

All adult CHB-monoinfected patients who cleared HBsAg between January 2000 and December 2020 were identified using a territory-wide database in Hong Kong. Patients who underwent liver transplantation and/or developed HCC before HBsAg seroclearance or less than 6 months follow-up were excluded. The primary and secondary endpoints were HCC and hepatic decompensation respectively.

RESULTS

We identified 9,769 patients with CHB who achieved HBsAg seroclearance (mean age 57 years, 60.0% male, 13.2% cirrhosis); most had compensated liver function at HBsAg loss. At a median (25th-75th percentile) follow-up of 4.6 (2.2-8.4) years, 106 (1.1%) patients developed HCC. Patients who developed HCC were older, more likely to be male and have cirrhosis, and had higher alanine aminotransferase and lower platelets at the time of HBsAg loss than patients without HCC. The cumulative incidence of HCC remained steady 0-7 and 8-12 years after HBsAg loss (p = 0.898) (crude annual incidence drop: -0.04%, 95% CI -0.13% to 0.04%, p = 0.265). Moreover, 124/9,640 (1.3%) patients developed hepatic decompensation. The growth in cumulative incidence of hepatic decompensation decelerated 8-12 years after HBsAg loss (p = 0.009) (crude annual incidence drop: -0.23%, 95% CI -0.40% to -0.06%, p = 0.012). In multivariable analysis, HBsAg loss for over 7 years was associated with a reduced risk of hepatic decompensation (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR] 0.55, 95% CI 0.31-0.97, p = 0.039) but not HCC (aSHR 1.35, 95% CI 0.83-2.19, p = 0.230).

CONCLUSION

HCC risk persists in patients after HBsAg loss, whereas the risk of hepatic decompensation decreases over time.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) still have a non-negligible risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after 12 years of HBsAg seroclearance, especially among those with cirrhosis. The risk of developing hepatic decompensation decreases over time after HBsAg seroclearance. In clinical practice, although patients with CHB who cleared HBsAg have a more favourable clinical outcome than those who remain chronically infected, long-term HCC surveillance would still be necessary for patients with cirrhosis and other high-risk subgroups after HBsAg seroclearance.

Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Various HFE Genotypes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Hereditary hemochromatosis (HH) is associated with increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, HCC risk factors within this population and across various HFE genotypes remain unclear.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients with ≥ 1 HFE genotype test in the Veterans Health Administration. We followed patients until HCC, death, or 6/30/19. We calculated incidence rates (IRs) and used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate HCC risk. In patients with type-1 HH genotypes (C282Y/C282Y or C282Y/H63D), we examined risk factors for HCC.

RESULTS

We identified 5225 patients: 260 were C282Y/C282Y; 227 were C282Y/H63D; 436 were H63D heterozygous; 535 had other HFE mutations; 3767 without mutation. IR for C282Y/C282Y homozygotes (5.59/1000 PYs) and C282Y/H63D compound heterozygotes (4.12/1000 PYs) were significantly higher than controls (0.92/1000 PYs) with adjusted hazard ratio (adj HR), 95% CI 8.80, 4.17-18.54; and 5.25, 2.24-12.32, respectively. HCC risk was higher in H63D heterozygote than controls (adj HR = 2.82, 95% CI 1.21-6.58); cases were related to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. Among patients with HH, age ≥ 65 (adj HR = 2.2, 95% CI 0.47-10.27), diabetes (adj HR 3.74, 95% CI 1.25-11.20) and high baseline aspartate-aminotransferase to platelet ratio-index (APRI, adj HR = 3.91, 95% CI 1.29-11.89) had higher risk. Among patients with high baseline ferritin, persistent ferritin > 250 ng/mL had higher risk.

CONCLUSION

HCC risk was high in C282Y homozygous and C282Y/H63D patients. These HFE genotypes, older age, diabetes, high APRI/ferritin levels were associated with increased risk. While H63D heterozygous genotype was associated with HCC risk, this association might be due to metabolic factors.

Validation of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk Prediction Models in Patients with Hepatitis B-Related Cirrhosis

Purpose

Several risk models have been developed to predict the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB); however, it remains unclear whether these models are useful for risk assessment in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhosis undergoing antiviral therapy.

Patients and Methods

A total of 252 treatment-naive cirrhosis patients with no history of HCC who underwent treatment with nucleos(t)ide analogues between January 2010 and July 2014 were enrolled. Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the risk factors for HCC. "TimeROC" and "survival ROC" package, written for R, were used to compare the time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves for the predictability of the HCC risk scores.

Results

During the mean follow-up period of 56.96 months, 48 (19.0%) patients developed HCC. Cox multivariate stepwise regression analysis revealed that international normalized ratio (hazard ratio [HR] 2.771, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.462-5.254; P=0.002), alpha-fetoprotein (HR 1.001, 95% CI 1.000-1.003; P=0.035), diabetes mellitus (HR 3.061, 95% CI 1.542-6.077; P=0.001), and alcohol intake (HR 2.250, 95% CI 1.042-4.856; P=0.039) were independent indicators of the HCC risk. AUROC at 3 (0.739) and 5 years (0.695) for the REAL-B score were consistently higher than those of the other risk models except RWS-HCC. The time-dependent AUROC value at 1 year for the REAL-B score was similar to those of the other risk models. According to REAL-B score stratification (0-3, low; 4-7, moderate; and 8-13, high), the HCC risk rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 2.4%, 5.6%, and 9.0% in the intermediate-risk group, and 7.2%, 21.1%, and 26.3% in the high-risk group, respectively (all P<0.001 between each pair).

Conclusion

REAL-B score showed a persistently high prognostic capability in predicting the HCC risk in HBV-related cirrhosis patients undergoing antiviral therapy.

A risk prediction model for hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatitis B surface antigen seroclearance

BACKGROUND & AIMS

After hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance, the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains, and the optimal surveillance strategy has yet to be determined. Herein, we aimed to evaluate incidence and risk factors for HCC and establish a novel prediction model for HCC development after HBsAg seroclearance.

METHODS

A total of 1,443 patients with chronic hepatitis B who achieved HBsAg seroclearance between 1991 and 2020 were retrospectively screened for study eligibility. The data from 831 of these patients were included in the final analysis. A prediction model was developed based on multivariable Cox models. Harrell's C-index and a time-dependent AUROC were used for discrimination. Bootstrap analysis was performed for internal validation.

RESULTS

Overall, 40 patients (4.8%) developed HCC after HBsAg seroclearance during a follow-up of 4,644 person-years (0.86%/year). Age at HBsAg seroclearance, presence of cirrhosis, family history of HCC, and more-than-moderate alcohol consumption were independently predictive of HCC, and these 4 independent variables were used to develop the prediction model. The C-index of the model was 0.804. The time-dependent AUROCs of the score for HCC prediction at 5, 10, and 15 years were 0.799, 0.835, and 0.817, respectively. The score also showed good discrimination in the internal validation and sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The novel prediction model based on age, cirrhosis, family history of HCC, and alcohol consumption enables reliable risk estimation of HCC after HBsAg seroclearance and may serve as a useful reference for decision-making in HCC surveillance for HBsAg-cleared patients.

LAY SUMMARY

After spontaneous hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance, the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains. Age at HBsAg seroclearance, presence of cirrhosis, family history of HCC, and more-than-moderate alcohol consumption were independently associated with HCC development after HBsAg seroclearance. The novel prediction model using these 4 variables enables reliable risk estimation of HCC and serves as a useful reference for decision-making in HCC surveillance and management for HBsAg-cleared patients.

Impact of NAFLD on the outcome of patients with chronic hepatitis B in Asia

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are two major causes of chronic liver disease (CLD) that can cause liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). It is a trend to superimpose NAFLD on chronic HBV infection in Asia. This review presents the epidemiology of concurrent NAFLD in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients and focuses on the impact of concurrent NAFLD on the outcome of CHB patients in Asia. Although CHB patients tend to have a lower prevalence and incidence of NAFLD than the general population, concurrent NAFLD among CHB patients is still common and has an upward trend over time. Concurrent NAFLD can promote hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance and might inhibit HBV replication but exacerbate liver fibrosis. The impacts of concurrent NAFLD on HCC risk, all-cause mortality and antiviral treatment response in CHB patients remain controversial.

The prognostic value of HVPG-response to non-selective beta-blockers in patients with NASH cirrhosis and varices

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis has become a leading cause of cirrhosis. The prognostic value of (HVPG)-guided NSBB prophylaxis remains to be investigated in the setting of NASH cirrhosis.

METHODS

Patients with NASH cirrhosis and varices undergoing HVPG-guided NSBB therapy were included. HVPG-response to NSBBs was evaluated within a median 52 (IQR:28-71) days after baseline measurement. HVPG-Response was defined as a decrease of ≥10% from baseline or below <12 mmHg. The composite endpoint was defined as variceal bleeding, decompensation, and liver-related death.

RESULTS

Thirtyeight patients were included: Child-A/B:33(87%), Child-C:5(13%) median HVPG:19.7 ± 4.7 mmHg. 21(55.3%) patients achieved HVPG-response to NSBB. Presence of diabetes(aOR:0.16, p = 0.038) and arterial blood pressure (aOR:1.07, p = 0.044) were independently associated with NSBB-response. While NSBB-HVPG-responders showed fewer decompensations within 90 days (n = 1(5%) vs. n = 3(29%), p = 0.172), only Child-Pugh stage B/C (p = 0.001), MELD ≥ 15(p = 0.021) and HVPG ≥ 20 mmHg(p = 0.011) predicted the composite endpoint at 90 days. Similarly, after 2years of follow-up, only Child-Pugh stage (B:p = 0.001, C:p < 0.001), MELD ≥ 15 (p = 0.021), HVPG≥20 mmHg (p = 0.011) predicted the composite endpoint. Importantly, all bleeding events occurred in HVPG-NSBB non-responders.

CONCLUSION

HVPG-response to NSBB was achieved in 55.3% of NASH patients with varices and this seemed to protect from variceal bleeding. However, only baseline HVPG ≥ 20 mmHg, Child-Pugh stage B/C and MELD ≥ 15 were predictors of decompensation/death in patients with NASH cirrhosis and varices.

Associations between diabetes mellitus and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in Asian individuals with hepatitis B and C infection: systematic review and a meta-analysis of cohort studies

We aim to further analyze and compare associations between diabetes mellitus and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Asian individuals with hepatitis B or C virus infection by conducting an updated meta-analysis of cohort studies. Literature search was conducted in PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library from the beginning of indexing for each database to January 1, 2020. A total of 22 articles met the inclusion criteria, in which 18 were cohort studies and 4 were case-control studies. We identified eight cohort studies and three case-control studies that presented results on diabetes mellitus and the risk of HCC in Asian subjects with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection: the cumulative relative risk (RR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was 1.37 (95% CI: 1.24 to 1.51; I2 = 27.8%) for cohort studies and cumulative odds ratio (OR) with 95% CI was 1.99 (95% CI: 0.73 to 5.48; I2 = 88.4%) for case-control studies. Thirteen cohort studies and two case-control studies presented results on the association between diabetes mellitus and the risk of HCC in Asian subjects with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection: the RR with 95% CI was 1.76 (95% CI: 1.42 to 2.17; I2 = 62.8%) for cohort studies and OR with 95% CI was 1.77 (95% CI: 1.18 to 2.64; I2 = 0.0%) for case-control studies. In summary, our meta-analysis strongly supports the association between coexistent HCV and diabetes with the increasing risk of HCC; although the results equally support diabetes mellitus being significantly associated with increased risk of HCC among patients with HBV infection, this correlation is weaker than the former.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Hepatitis B Virus-Infected Patients and the Role of Hepatitis B Surface Antigen (HBsAg)

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common cancer and the second leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is among the main risk factors for HCC. The risk of HCC is not eliminated completely after viral suppression, due to HBV DNA integrated into human chromosomes. Cirrhosis, HBV viral DNA levels, age, male gender, the immune response of the host against HBV, and a combination of obesity and diabetes are among the main risk factors for HCC. Active viral replication and long-standing active disease with inflammation are associated with a higher risk of HCC. Treatment of HBV with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) decreased HCC risk by effectively decreasing viral load and inflammation. Similar risk factors have been reported in hepatitis B patients after seroclearance. Studies have reported decreased risk of HCC after seroclearance, but there were also conflicting results from a few studies indicating no difference in risk of developing HCC. The difference in HCC rates could be because of other factors such as coinfection, occult HBV infection, family history, HBV genotype, and other comorbidities. Due to the persistent risk of HCC after seroclearance, HCC surveillance is critical for early detection, especially in high-risk patients. However, long-term studies might be needed to further validate the results.

Epidemiology and Clinical Outcomes of Metabolic (Dysfunction)-associated Fatty Liver Disease

Metabolic (dysfunction)-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is currently the most common chronic liver disease and affects at least a quarter of the global adult population. It has rapidly become one of the leading causes of hepatocellular carcinoma and cirrhosis in Western countries. In this review, we discuss the nomenclature and definition of MAFLD as well as its prevalence and incidence in different geographical regions. Although cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of death in MAFLD patients, the proportion of patients dying from hepatic complications increases sharply as the disease progresses to advanced liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. In addition, patients with MAFLD are at increased risk of various extrahepatic cancers. Although a causal relationship between MAFLD and extrahepatic cancers has not been established, clinicians should recognize the association and consider cancer screening (e.g., for colorectal cancer) as appropriate.

The prominence of potential biomarkers in the diagnosis and management of hepatocellular carcinoma: Current scenario and future anticipation

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most aggressive and truculent types of cancer. Early detection of HCC is a massive concern that can boost the overall survival rates of HCC patients. As a result, there is a continual quest for advancements in screening, diagnosis, and treatment strategies to enhance the prognosis at its early stages. However, the confluence of inflammation and cirrhosis hampers the early detection of HCC. The analysis of different types of biomarkers such as tissue biomarkers, serum biomarkers, protein biomarkers, autoantibody markers, and improved imaging techniques has played a vital role in ameliorating HCC monitoring responses. Therefore biomarkers that can identify HCC early with a high degree of sensitivity and specificity might be prodigiously serviceable in the diagnosis and treatment of this notorious disorder. This study offers an overview of the contemporary understanding of several types of biomarkers implicated in hepatocarcinogenesis and their applications in monitoring, diagnosis, and prognosis presage. In additament, we address the role of image techniques associated with HCC diagnosis.

Impact of the New Definition of Metabolic Associated Fatty Liver Disease on the Epidemiology of the Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Recently, a group of hepatologists proposed to rename non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) as metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) with modified diagnostic criteria. We aimed to study the impact of the new definition on the epidemiology of fatty liver disease.

METHODS

We randomly selected 1013 adults from the Hong Kong census database for clinical assessment, proton-magnetic resonance spectroscopy, and transient elastography. Five hundred sixty-five subjects without fatty liver at baseline underwent follow-up assessment. MAFLD was diagnosed as intrahepatic triglyceride content (IHTG) ≥5% and the presence of overweight/obesity, diabetes, or two other metabolic risk factors, with and without concomitant liver diseases. The diagnosis of NAFLD required the exclusion of concomitant liver diseases; metabolic factors were not considered.

RESULTS

The population prevalence of MAFLD and NAFLD was 25.9% (95% CI 23.2-28.7%) and 25.7% (95% CI 23.1-28.5%), respectively. Among 277 subjects with IHTG ≥5%, 247 (89.2%) fulfilled both the definitions of MAFLD and NAFLD. Fourteen subjects (5.1%) had IHTG ≥5% but did not meet the metabolic criteria of MAFLD. The incidence of MAFLD was 2.8 per 100 person-years at a median interval of 47 months (range 34-60 months). Among 78 subjects with incident NAFLD, 59 (75.6%) met the criteria of MAFLD; only one of the latter, a regular drinker, had liver stiffness ≥10 kPa.

CONCLUSIONS

The new definition of MAFLD does not significantly change the prevalence compared with NAFLD, but it may reduce the incidence by 25%. People with hepatic steatosis but not fulfilling the definition of MAFLD unlikely have significant liver disease.

Hepatic Steatosis and Steatohepatitis in a Large North American Cohort of Adults With Chronic Hepatitis B

INTRODUCTION

Fatty liver disease (FLD) influences liver disease progression and liver cancer risk. We investigated the impact of FLD on liver disease severity in a large North American cohort with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV).

METHODS

Liver biopsies from 420 hepatitis B surface antigen-positive adults enrolled in the Hepatitis B Research Network and who were not on HBV therapy in the previous month were evaluated for inflammation and fibrosis. Steatohepatitis was based on steatosis, hepatocyte ballooning ± Mallory-Denk bodies, and perisinusoidal fibrosis. Models evaluated factors associated with steatohepatitis, and the associations of steatohepatitis with fibrosis, and longitudinal alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, and Fibrosis-4.

RESULTS

The median age was 42 years, 62.5% were male, and 79.5% were Asian. One hundred thirty-two (31.4%) patients had FLD (77 [18.3%] steatosis only, 55 [13.1%] steatohepatitis). Older age, overweight/obesity, and diabetes were associated with steatohepatitis. Steatohepatitis (vs no FLD) was associated with 1.68 times higher risk of advanced fibrosis at baseline (95% confidence interval, 1.12-2.51), and there was an indication of higher incident cirrhosis rate during follow-up. Steatohepatitis vs no FLD was also independently associated with, on average, 1.39 times higher alanine aminotransferase (P < 0.01) and 1.25 times higher Fibrosis-4 (P = 0.04) across 4 years.

DISCUSSION

Coexisting steatosis occurred in nearly a third of adults (13% had steatohepatitis) with chronic HBV in this North American cohort who underwent liver biopsies. Steatohepatitis was associated with advanced fibrosis and higher biochemical measures of hepatic inflammation over time. Therefore, in addition to viral suppression, screening for and managing metabolic abnormalities is important to prevent disease progression in HBV.

The sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor Tofogliflozin prevents the progression of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis-associated liver tumors in a novel murine model

BACKGROUND

Diabetes and obesity contribute to the pathogenesis of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, how diabetes and obesity accelerate liver tumorigenesis remains to be fully understood. Moreover, to verify the therapeutic potential of anti-diabetic drugs, there exists a strong need for appropriate animal models that recapitulate human pathophysiology of NASH and HCC.

METHODS

We established a novel murine model of NASH-associated liver tumors using genetically obese melanocortin 4 receptor-deficient mice fed on Western diet in combination with a chemical procarcinogen, and verified the validity of our model in evaluating drug efficacy.

FINDINGS

Our model developed multiple liver tumors together with obesity, diabetes, and NASH within a relatively short period (approximately 3 months). In this model, sodium glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor Tofogliflozin prevented the development of NASH-like liver phenotypes and the progression of liver tumors. Tofogliflozin attenuated p21 expression of hepatocytes in non-tumorous lesions in the liver.

INTERPRETATION

Tofogliflozin treatment attenuates cellular senescence of hepatocytes under obese and diabetic conditions. This study provides a unique animal model of NASH-associated liver tumors, which is applicable for assessing drug efficacy to prevent or treat NASH-associated HCC.

Impact of Type 2 Diabetes on Oncologic Outcomes of Hepatocellular Carcinomas in Non-Cirrhotic, Non-alcoholic Steatohepatitis: a Matched-Pair Analysis

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) associated hepatocellular carcinomas (NASH-HCC) are increasing. NASH-HCC often develops in the fibrotic liver. Several analyses report conflicting results regarding the outcome of non-cirrhotic NASH-HCC. Furthermore, type 2 diabetes (T2D) is considered a risk factor for poor survival. The aim of this study was to investigate oncological outcomes of non-cirrhotic NASH-HCC and the impact of T2D.

METHODS

Patients with non-cirrhotic NASH-HCC with T2D as determined by an expert pathologist conducting histological slide review were matched for risks factors for poor outcome (age, gender, body mass index) with patients with NASH-HCC without T2D. These patients were then matched 1:1 with HCCs of other underlying liver diseases with and without T2D. Oncological outcomes were assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves.

RESULTS

Out of 365 HCCs resected between 2001 and 2017, 34 patients with non-cirrhotic NASH-HCC were selected (17 with T2D, 17 without T2D) and matched with 26 patients with hepatitis-HCC and 28 patients with alcohol-related HCC. Oncological risk factors such as tumor size, resection margin, and vessel invasion were comparable. There was no difference in overall survival (5-year survival 71.3% for NASH-HCC, 60.4% for hepatitis-HCC, 79.9% for alcohol-HCC). NASH-HCC was associated with longer disease-specific survival than hepatitis-HCC (5-year 87.5% vs. 63.7%, p = 0.048), while recurrence-free survival was identical. T2D had no impact on oncological outcomes in either liver disease.

CONCLUSION

Non-cirrhotic NASH-HCC has outcomes comparable with other underling etiologies. Despite a lack of cirrhosis, patients with non-cirrhotic NASH-HCC have the same risks of HCC recurrence as patients with cirrhotic liver disease of other etiologies.

Risk factors for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading contributors to cancer mortality worldwide and is a leading cause of death in individuals with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. It is uncertain how the presence of other metabolic factors and comorbidities influences HCC risk in HBV. Therefore, we performed a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to seek evidence for significant associations. MEDLINE, EMBASE and Web of Science databases were searched from 1 January 2000 to 24 June 2020 for studies investigating associations of metabolic factors and comorbidities with HCC risk in individuals with chronic HBV infection, written in English. We extracted data for meta-analysis and generated pooled effect estimates from a fixed-effects model. Pooled estimates from a random-effects model were also generated if significant heterogeneity was present. We identified 40 observational studies reporting on associations of diabetes mellitus (DM), hypertension, dyslipidaemia and obesity with HCC risk. Only DM had a sufficient number of studies for meta-analysis. DM was associated with >25% increase in hazards of HCC (fixed-effects hazards ratio [HR] 1.26, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20-1.32, random-effects HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.23-1.49). This association was attenuated towards the null in a sensitivity analysis restricted to studies adjusted for metformin use. In conclusion, in adults with chronic HBV infection, DM is a significant risk factor for HCC, but further investigation of the influence of antidiabetic drug use and glycaemic control on this association is needed. Enhanced screening of individuals with HBV and diabetes may be warranted.

Type 2 Diabetes and Metformin Use Associate With Outcomes of Patients With Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis-Related, Child-Pugh A Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Factors that affect outcomes of patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-related cirrhosis are unclear. We studied associations of type 2 diabetes, levels of hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), and use of antidiabetic medications with survival and liver-related events in patients with NASH and compensated cirrhosis.

METHODS

We collected data from 299 patients with biopsy-proven NASH with Child-Pugh A cirrhosis from tertiary hospitals in Spain, Australia, Hong Kong, and Cuba, from April 1995 through December 2016. We obtained information on the presence of type 2 diabetes, level of HbA1c, and use of antidiabetic medications. Cox proportional and competing risk models were used to estimate and compare rates of transplant-free survival, hepatic decompensation, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

RESULTS

A total of 212 patients had type 2 diabetes at baseline and 8 of 87 patients developed diabetes during a median follow-up time of 5.1 years (range, 0.5-10.0 y). A lower proportion of patients with diabetes survived the entire follow-up period (38%) than of patients with no diabetes (81%) (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 4.23; 95% CI, 1.93-9.29). Higher proportions of patients with diabetes also had hepatic decompensation (51% vs 26% of patients with no diabetes; aHR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.005-4.11) and HCC (25% vs 7% of patients with no diabetes; aHR, 5.42; 95% CI, 1.74-16.80). Averaged annual HbA1c levels over time were not associated with outcomes. Metformin use over time was associated with a significant reduction in risk of death or liver transplantation (aHR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.26-0.45), hepatic decompensation (aHR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.74-0.97), and HCC (aHR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.69-0.96). Metformin significantly reduced the risk of hepatic decompensation and HCC only in subjects with HbA1c levels greater than 7.0% (aHR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.95-0.99 and aHR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.43-0.94, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In an international cohort of patients with biopsy-proven NASH and Child-Pugh A cirrhosis, type 2 diabetes increased the risk of death and liver-related outcomes, including HCC. Patients who took metformin had higher rates of survival and lower rates of decompensation and HCC.

Elevated testosterone increases risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in men with chronic hepatitis B and diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Male sex is a risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with a doubled risk of HCC in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We examined the relationship between serum total testosterone and HCC risk in male CHB patients with DM.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of male CHB patients with DM between 2000 and 2017 using a territory-wide electronic health-care database in Hong Kong. DM was defined by use of anti-diabetic medications, hemoglobin A_1c  ≥ 6.5%, and/or fasting glucose ≥ 7 mmol/L in two measurements or ≥ 11.1 mmol/L in one measurement.

RESULTS

Of 928 male CHB patients with DM, 83 (8.9%) developed HCC at a median (interquartile range) of 10.7 (6.1-14.6) years. Higher testosterone was associated with an elevated risk of HCC (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] per 1 SD increase 1.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-1.46, P = 0.024). The upper tertile of testosterone (aHR 1.86, 95% CI 1.02-3.39, P = 0.043), but not middle tertile (aHR 0.84, 95% CI 0.41-1.69 P = 0.620), was associated with a higher risk of HCC than the lower tertile. The cumulative incidence (95% CI) of HCC at 5, 10, and 15 years was 4.4% (2.5-7.2%), 12.4% (8.7-16.7%), and 19.1% (14.2-24.5%), respectively, in patients in the upper tertile of testosterone. By subgroup analysis, the association between testosterone and HCC was stronger in patients aged ≥ 50 years and those not receiving antiviral therapy.

CONCLUSION

Higher serum testosterone is associated with a higher incidence of HCC in male CHB patients with DM.

Real-World Effectiveness From the Asia Pacific Rim Liver Consortium for HBV Risk Score for the Prediction of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Treated With Oral Antiviral Therapy

BACKGROUND

Patients on oral antiviral (OAV) therapy remain at hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk. Risk prediction tools distinguishing treated patients with residual HCC risk are limited. The aim of this study was to develop an accurate, precise, simple-to-use HCC risk score using routine clinical variables among a treated Asian cohort.

METHODS

Adult Asian chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients on OAV were recruited from 25 centers in the United States and the Asia-Pacific region. Excluded persons were coinfected with hepatitis C, D, or human immunodeficiency virus, had HCC before or within 1 year of study entry, or their follow-up was <1 year. Patients were randomized to derivation and validation cohorts on a 2:1 ratio. Statistically significant predictors from multivariate modeling formed the Real-world Effectiveness from the Asia Pacific Rim Liver Consortium for HBV (REAL-B) score.

RESULTS

A total of 8048 patients were randomized to the derivation (n = 5365) or validation group (n = 2683). The REAL-B model included 7 variables (male gender, age, alcohol use, diabetes, baseline cirrhosis, platelet count, and alpha fetoprotein), and scores were categorized as follows: 0-3 low risk, 4-7 moderate risk, and 8-13 high risk. Area under receiver operating characteristics were >0.80 for HCC risk at 3, 5, and 10 years, and these were significantly higher than other risk models (p < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

The REAL-B score provides 3 distinct risk categories for HCC development in Asian CHB patients on OAV guiding HCC surveillance strategy.

Thiazolidinediones reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma and hepatic events in diabetic patients with chronic hepatitis B

Thiazolidinediones (TZDs) improve glycaemic control and ameliorate liver steatosis, inflammation and fibrosis in patients with fatty liver disease. We aimed to study the impact of TZD and glycaemic control on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and hepatic events in diabetic patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We performed a retrospective cohort study on diabetic patients with CHB in 2000-2017 using a territory-wide electronic healthcare database in Hong Kong. Diabetes mellitus was identified by use of any antidiabetic medication, haemoglobin A_1c (HbA_1c ) ≥6.5%, fasting glucose ≥7 mmol/L in two measurements or ≥11.1 mmol/L in one measurement and/or diagnosis codes. Use of antidiabetic medications was modelled as time-dependent covariates. Of 28 999 diabetic patients with CHB, 3963 (13.7%) developed liver-related events (a composite endpoint of HCC and hepatic events) at a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 7.1 (3.7-11.8) years; 1153 patients received TZD during follow-up. After adjusted for important confounders, TZD use was associated with a reduced risk of liver-related events (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.24-0.88; P = .019). Similar trends were observed in HCC (aHR 0.57) and hepatic events (aHR 0.35) separately. Compared to HbA_1c of 6.5% at baseline, patients with HbA_1c ≥7% had an increased risk of liver-related events; the risk further increased in 5795 (20.0%) patients with HbA_1c ≥9% at baseline (aHR 1.14, 95% CI 1.04-1.26; P = .006). TZD use is associated with a lower risk of liver-related events in diabetic patients with CHB. Liver-related events are more common in patients with high HbA_1c levels.

Metformin Use and Gastric Cancer Risk in Diabetic Patients After Helicobacter pylori Eradication

BACKGROUND

Although prior studies showed metformin could reduce gastric cancer (GC) risk in patients with diabetes mellitus, they failed to adjust for Helicobacter pylori infection and glycemic control. We aimed to investigate whether metformin reduced GC risk in H. pylori-eradicated diabetic patients and its association with glycemic control.

METHODS

This was a territory-wide cohort study using hospital registry database, recruiting all diabetic patients who were prescribed clarithromycin-based triple therapy for H. pylori infection from 2003 to 2012. Subjects were observed from H. pylori therapy prescription until GC diagnosis, death, or end of study (December 2015). Exclusion criteria included GC diagnosed within first year of H. pylori therapy, prior history of GC or gastrectomy, and failure of H. pylori eradication. The hazard ratio (HR) of GC with metformin (defined as at least 180-day use) was estimated by Cox model with propensity score adjustment for covariates (age, sex, comorbidities, medications [including insulin], and time-weighted average hemoglobin A1c [HbA1c]). All statistical tests were two-sided.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 7.1 years (IQR = 4.7-9.8), 37 (0.51%) of 7266 diabetic patients developed GC at a median age of 76.4 years (IQR = 64.8-81.5 years). Metformin use was associated with a reduced GC risk (adjusted HR = 0.49, 95% CI = 0.24 to 0.98). There was a trend towards a lower GC risk with increasing duration (Ptrend = .01) and dose of metformin (Ptrend = .02). HbA1c level was not an independent risk factor for GC.

CONCLUSIONS

Metformin use was associated with a lower GC risk among H. pylori-eradicated diabetic patients in a duration- and dose-response manner, which was independent of HbA1c level.

Positive Hepatitis B Core Antibody Is Associated With Cirrhosis and Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

OBJECTIVES

Previous exposure to hepatitis B virus (HBV) may increase the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis C. We aim to study the impact of previous HBV infection on the severity and outcomes of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

METHODS

This was a multicenter study of 489 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD and 69 patients with NAFLD-related or cryptogenic HCC. Antihepatitis B core antibody (anti-HBc) was used to detect the previous HBV infection.

RESULTS

In the biopsy cohort, positive anti-HBc was associated with lower steatosis grade but higher fibrosis stage. 18.8% and 7.5% of patients with positive and negative anti-HBc had cirrhosis, respectively (P < 0.001). The association between anti-HBc and cirrhosis remained significant after adjusting for age and metabolic factors (adjusted odds ratio 2.232; 95% confidence interval, 1.202-4.147). At a mean follow-up of 6.2 years, patients with positive anti-HBc had a higher incidence of HCC or cirrhotic complications (6.5% vs 2.2%; P = 0.039). Among patients with NAFLD-related or cryptogenic HCC, 73.9% had positive anti-HBc. None of the patients had positive serum HBV DNA. By contrast, antihepatitis B surface antibody did not correlate with histological severity.

DISCUSSION

Positive anti-HBc is associated with cirrhosis and possibly HCC and cirrhotic complications in patients with NAFLD. Because a significant proportion of NAFLD-related HCC may develop in noncirrhotic patients, future studies should define the role of anti-HBc in selecting noncirrhotic patients with NAFLD for HCC surveillance.

Decreased IL-37 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma tissues and liver cancer cell lines

The role of IL-37 in cancer is currently largely unknown. The present study aimed to investigate IL-37 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), paracancerous tissues (PT) and liver cancer cell lines, and their associations between IL-37 and NF-κB. A total of 65 HCC and 65 PT tissues were collected. The expression of IL-37 and NF-κB in tissues was detected by immunohistochemistry (IHC) and the data was analyzed using SPSS software. In the in vitro studies, IL-37 gene was transfected into HepG2 and MHCC97H cell lines with Lipofectamine 3000, and the protein regulation of NF-κB by IL-37 was verified by immunofluorescence (IF) and western blotting. In HCC, the positive expression rates of IL-37 and NF-kB were 21.5 and 95.4%, respectively. In PT, strong positive staining of IL-37and weak positive staining of NF-κB were observed. The normal expression levels of IL-37 and NF-κB, the increased IL-37 and decreased NF-κB induced by IL-37 gene transfection were observed through IF in cell lines. In terms of clinical significance, the difference in IL-37 expression between HCC and PT was statistically significant (χ²=55.05; P<0.001). IL-37 expression in HCC but not PT was negatively associated with serum AFP (χ²=6.522; P=0.039). IL-37 expression in PT was associated with sex (χ²=13.12; P=0.003) and tumor size (χ²=7.996; P=0.045). NF-κB expression in PT was associated with age, sex and BCLC stage. Notably, there was a negative correlation between IL-37 and NF-κB in HCC (r=-0.277; P=0.029) but not in PT (P>0.05). IL-37 overexpression downregulated the NF-κB protein by 56.50% in HepG2 cells (P<0.05) and 30.52% in MHCC97H cells (P<0.05). In conclusion, the expression of IL-37 in HCC and PT was specifically associated with serum AFP and tumor size, respectively. IL-37 expression was negatively correlated with NF-κB protein expression in HCC tissues and liver cancer cell lines.

Insulin Resistance Associated Disorders Pivoting Long-Term Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Decline During Entecavir Therapy

Insulin resistance associated disorders (IRAD), including prediabetes, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), and fatty liver are significant risk factors of liver-related death in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). However, their relationship remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate how IRAD influence the kinetics of serum hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) in patients with CHB during long-term entecavir treatment. We enrolled 140 patients with CHB receiving at least 3 years of consecutive entecavir treatment in this retrospective study. A linear mixed effects model was adopted to examine the effects of variables and their interaction over time on the HBsAg trajectory. Furthermore, we acquired cytokine profiles and baseline fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) scores for in-depth analysis. The median treatment time was 6.90 (4.47–9.01) years. Multivariate analysis revealed that older patients or those with prediabetes or T2DM had a significantly slower HBsAg decline over time (p = 0.0001 and p < 0.0001, respectively). Conversely, advanced fatty liver engendered a more rapid HBsAg decrease (p = 0.001). Patients with prediabetes or T2DM possessed higher IP-10 levels six years after entecavir therapy (p = 0.013). Compared to patients without prediabetes or T2DM, diabetic patients had more unfavorable features at the baseline, especially higher FIB-4 scores. Prediabetes or T2DM delays the clearance of HBsAg, but advanced hepatic fatty change counterbalances the effect. Additionally, IRAD could cause hepatic sequelae in CHB through immune-metabolic pathways.

Recent advances in assessment and treatment of chronic hepatitis B

This paper reviews the recent advances in the assessment and treatment of chronic hepatitis B with regard to predicting inflammation and fibrosis with non-invasive biomarkers and transient elastography, clinical benefits of long-term nucleos(t)ide analog (NA) antiviral therapy, serological benefits (HBeAg and HBsAg loss) of concurrent or sequential NAs and pegylated interferon, as well as risk factors for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Unmet need in chronic hepatitis B management

Despite all these exciting developments, there remain some unmet needs in the management for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). As majority of CHB patients are going to use oral nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) for decades, Safety profile of NAs is of no doubt an important issue. The newest nucleotide analogue tenofovir alafenamide is potent in terms of viral suppression, together with favourable renal and bone safety profile. Biochemical response as reflected by alanine aminotransferase (ALT) normalization is recently found to be prognostically important. Patients who achieved ALT normalization have reduced the risk of hepatic events by 49%. Functional cure as reflected by hepatitis B surface antigen seroclearance not only implies patients may stop NA treatment, it also confers to a reduced risk of hepatocellular carcinoma and other hepatic events. Hence functional cure should be the ultimate treatment goal in CHB patients. Preemptive antiviral treatment may reduce mother-to-child transmission of hepatitis B virus, especially if birth dose of vaccination cannot be given in the first two hours after delivery. Lastly, despite the currently first-line NAs have high-genetic barrier to drug resistance mutations, there are still are many patients who were previously treated with low barrier of resistance including lamivudine, telbivudine or adefovir dipivoxil which could lead to antiviral resistance and affecting the choice of NAs.

Impact of hepatitis B core-related antigen on the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is an aetiologic factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Baseline HBV DNA is a known independent predictor of HCC, and the serum hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) level corresponds to intrahepatic covalently closed circular DNA.

AIM

To investigate whether the baseline and on-treatment serum HBcrAg levels can predict HCC incidence in patients with chronic hepatitis B following nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 1268 patients treated with NAs for >1 year. In all patients, serum HBcrAg and hepatitis B surface antigen levels were measured at baseline and 1 year.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 8.9 years, 113 patients (8.9%) developed HCC (10.3/1000 person-years). These patients were stratified by baseline hepatitis B e-antigen (HBeAg) status into HBeAg+ and HBeAg- cohorts. High on-treatment HBcrAg levels at 1 year were found to associate significantly with HCC (HBeAg+ cohort: P = 0.017; HBeAg- cohort: P = 4.30 × 10^-5 ; cut-off values: 4.9 log U/mL and 4.4 log U/mL, respectively). In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, patients with persistently high on-treatment HBcrAg levels had a higher risk of HCC than those with low HBcrAg levels (HBeAg+: hazard ratio [HR], 6.15, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.89-20.0, P = 0.003; HBeAg- cohort: HR, 2.54, 95% CI: 1.40-4.60; P = 0.002). A sub-analysis of patients without alcoholism yielded similar findings.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with persistently high on-treatment HBcrAg levels were more likely to develop HCC despite sustained viral suppression via long-term NA treatment.