Chronic Liver Disease and Cirrhosis Mortality Rates Are Disproportionately Increasing in Younger Women in the United States Between 2000-2020

Temporal trend in non-melanoma skin cancer mortality in China, 1992-2021: an analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021

Introduction

Non - melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) is a widespread malignant neoplasm affecting the skin globally. In China, over the past 30 years, the prevalence and incidence of NMSC have changed significantly, yet mortality rate (MR) data is scarce. The aim is to assess the MR data of NMSC patients worldwide from 1992 to 2021, analyze its temporal trends, and provide valuable epidemiological information for future prevention and management strategies of NMSC.

Methods

Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021), we analyzed crude mortality rate (CMR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and sex- and age-specific mortality trends, with temporal patterns assessed through longitudinal comparisons.

Results

The MR for NMSC has shown an upward trend globally. From 1992 to 2021, both the CMR and ASMR for NMSC have increased substantially. The global ASMR has risen by approximately 30% during this period. Males have a higher ASMR compared to females, and the elderly population exhibits an accelerated and elevated ASMR trend for NMSC. In China, the mortality of NMSC is on the rise, with the current male MR exceeding that of females. Although the ASMR is projected to decline by 2030, the number of mortality cases is expected to increase, especially among males. The MR for NMSC shows a significant bias towards the elderly demographic.

Discussion

The increasing mortality of NMSC, both globally and in China, highlights the importance of effective prevention and management strategies. In addition to implementing prevention and intervention measures in susceptible populations, it is crucial to establish a screening framework for NMSC to detect minor symptoms in a timely manner. This will help in early diagnosis and potentially reduce the mortality rate associated with NMSC. Thank you for your editorial support.

Effectiveness of Mobile Health Interventions for Reducing Sitting Time in Older Adults: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Mobile health (mHealth) provides health information through electronic devices, even at home. The escalating prevalence of sedentary behaviors among older adults, which leads to increased adverse health outcomes, underscores the pressing need for a comprehensive understanding of the effectiveness of mHealth interventions.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to examine the effectiveness of mHealth interventions in the sitting time of older adults (age 55 years).

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials was conducted to evaluate the effects of mHealth interventions on total sitting time during waking hours, excluding sleep. A literature search was conducted using multiple databases, including PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane, covering articles published from the inception of each database through October 2023. The PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines were explicitly applied to structure this report. Methodological quality was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias (ROB 2) tool for randomized controlled trials and the Methodological Index for Non-Randomized Studies (MINORS) tool for nonrandomized studies. Two independent reviewers screened the studies, extracted data, and assessed methodological quality using established criteria. Meta-analyses were performed using Review Manager (version 5.4; Cochrane Collaboration).

RESULTS

Ten studies were identified, of which 3 were included in the meta-analysis, while the remaining 7 were assessed exclusively in the systematic review. The interventions predominantly took place in community settings (n=3) and home-based settings (n=3). Three studies aimed to decrease sedentary behavior and 7 aimed to increase physical activity. The interventions were primarily conducted once daily (n=7) via mobile devices such as smartphones (n=7) and typically involved a single intervention delivered at different time intervals, such as every 15, 20, or 30 minutes (n=4). The interventions typically lasted 12 weeks (n=4) and used objective assessment tools, such as the ActiGraph GT3X+ (n=8). The included studies applied the habit formation theory (n=1), the self-efficacy theory (n=1), the social cognitive theory (n=1), and the social-ecological theory (n=1) as frameworks. Additionally, behavior change techniques, including "goal setting," "problem-solving," "action planning," and "review behavior goal(s)" (n=6), were used. Meta-analysis of the 3 studies included showed a significant decrease in sedentary behavior with mHealth interventions compared with conventional or no interventions (weighted mean difference [WMD]=59.1 min/d, 95% CI 99.1 to 20.2; P=.003).

CONCLUSIONS

mHealth interventions effectively reduce sitting time in older adults. Strategies using interventions with specific frequencies and durations, dedicated mobile monitoring devices, and behavior change techniques showed the potential to reduce sedentary behavior among older adults. These results also underscore the potential of mHealth as a key tool for promoting the well-being of older adults through technology-driven public health efforts.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42023443926; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/view/CRD42023443926.

Differential Characteristics and Survival Outcomes of Patients With Cirrhosis According to Underlying Liver Aetiology

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Updated data on the survival of patients with cirrhosis are limited, especially for subgroups by specific liver disease aetiology. To inform practice, future modelling studies, and public health planning, our study aimed to provide updated and granular data on survival outcomes of patients with cirrhosis stratified by liver disease aetiology. We also assessed their changes over time.

METHODS

We analysed 8726 consecutive adult patients with cirrhosis who presented at Stanford university medical center during 1/2005-1/2022.

RESULTS

8726 Patients had the following etiologies: hepatitis C virus (HCV) (28.1%), hepatitis B virus (HBV) (4.8%), alcohol-associated (ALD, 33.3%), metabolic-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) (9.5%), autoimmune (9.6%), cryptogenic (8.2%) and other etiologies (6.5%). Patients with cryptogenic cirrhosis had the lowest overall 5-, 10-, and 15-year cumulative survival (57.5%, 34.3% and 21.4%), as well as for liver and nonliver-related death, followed by ALD, MASLD, HCV, and autoimmune, while HBV patients had the best survival (86.0%, 70.1% and 65.1%), respectively. On multivariable Cox regression, cryptogenic cirrhosis (vs. HBV) was associated with the highest risk of all-cause death (aHR: 2.24, 95% CI 1.67-3.00), followed by MASLD and ALD (all p < 0.001). Post-2010 time was associated with a 33% lower risk of all-cause death (p = 0.0011); While in the post-2010 period, MASLD (vs. HBV) was associated with the highest risk of all-cause death (aHR: 1.92, 95% CI 1.32-2.80, p < 0.001) followed by cryptogenic and ALD.

CONCLUSIONS

Survival outcomes in patients with cirrhosis varied by aetiology and have changed over time, which should be taken into account for future practice guidelines and modelling studies.

Disparities in Heart Failure Deaths among Patients with Cirrhosis

Background: Heart failure deaths have increased in recent years in the United States and are projected to continue to increase in the future. Rates of liver disease and cirrhosis have similarly increased in the United States. Patients with cirrhosis are at an elevated risk of heart failure with a worsened prognosis. As such, investigations of the epidemiology of these comorbid conditions are important. Methods: We obtained data on heart failure deaths among people with cirrhosis in the United States from 1999 to 2020 from the Centers for Disease Control Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research multiple cause of death database. Rates were analyzed for the population as a whole and for demographic subgroups. Results: From 1999 to 2020, there were 7424 cirrhosis-related heart failure deaths. Rates were higher among Black (AAMR ratio = 1.288, 95% CI: 1.282-1.295) and Asian people (AAMR ratio = 3.310, 95% CI: 3.297-3.323) compared to White people. Rates were also higher in rural areas than in urban areas (AAMR ratio = 1.266, 95% CI: 1.261-1.271). Rates increased over time across demographic subgroups. Conclusions: People with cirrhosis are at an elevated risk of heart failure death compared to the general population. Rates were particularly elevated in Asian people, Black people, males, and people living in rural areas. These data indicate a significant and previously underappreciated disease burden. Clinicians taking care of cirrhosis patients should be aware of the risk of heart failure and should collaborate with cardiac specialists as needed.

Current status, trends, and predictions in the burden of coal worker's pneumoconiosis in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019

Coal worker's pneumoconiosis (CWP), a pulmonary condition resulting from prolonged exposure to coal mining environments, not only leads to a high prevalence of morbidity and mortality among miners but also incurs substantial economic burdens and diminishes the labor force within society. In light of evolving trends in the global coal industry, the ramifications of CWP are anticipated to manifest in new patterns and variations. This study seeks to comprehensively assess the present landscape, trend dynamics, and future projections of the global CWP burden from 1990 to 2019. The objective is to provide a scientific framework for nations to develop and enhance pertinent policies and preventative strategies, thereby promoting the health and occupational safety of coal miners.

Mapping the Hidden Terrain of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Exploring Regional Differences in Incidence and Mortality across Two Decades by Using the Largest US Datasets

Background: There is an observed variation in the burden of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) across different US populations. Our study aims to comprehensively assess variations in HCC incidence and mortality rates across different regions of the US. Understanding these geographical differences is crucial, given prior evidence indicating variations in the incidence of viral hepatitis and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and varying access to curative HCC treatment among states. Methods: HCC age-adjusted incidence rates between 2001 and 2021 were obtained from the United States Cancer Statistics (USCS) database (which covers approximately 98% of the US population). HCC age-adjusted mortality rates between 2000 and 2022 were obtained from the National Center of Health Statistics (NCHS) database (covering approximately 100% of the US population). The rates were categorized by US geographical region into West, Midwest, Northeast, and South. Incidence rates were also categorized by race/ethnicity. Time trends [annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC)] were estimated by using Joinpoint Regression via the weighted Bayesian Information Criteria (p < 0.05). Results: Between 2001 and 2021, there were 491,039 patients diagnosed with HCC in the US (74.2% males). The highest incidence rate per 100,000 population was noted in the West (7.38), followed by the South (6.85). Overall incidence rates increased between 2001 and 2015 and then significantly decreased until 2021 (APC = -2.29). Most cases were in the South (38.8%), which also had the greatest increase in incidence (AAPC = 2.74). All four geographical regions exhibited an overall similar trend with an increase in incidence over the first 10-15 years followed by stable or decreasing rates. While stratification of the trends by race/ethnicity showed slight variations among the regions and groups, the findings are largely similar to all race/ethnic groups combined. Between 2000 and 2022, there were 370,450 patients whose death was attributed to HCC in the US (71.6% males). The highest mortality rate per 100,000 population was noted in the South (5.02), followed by the West (4.99). Overall mortality rates significantly increased between 2000 and 2013 (APC = 1.90), then stabilized between 2013 and 2016, and then significantly decreased till 2022 (APC = -1.59). Most deaths occurred in the South (35.8%), which also had the greatest increase in mortality (AAPC = 1.33). All four geographical regions followed an overall similar trend, with an increase in mortality over the first 10-15 years, followed by stable or decreasing rates. Conclusions: Our analysis, capturing about 98% of the US population, demonstrates an increase in HCC incidence and mortality rates in all geographical regions from 2000 to around 2014-2016, followed by stabilizing and decreasing incidence and mortality rates. We observed regional variations, with the highest incidence and mortality rates noted in the West and South regions and the fastest increase in both incidence and mortality noted in the South. Our findings are likely attributable to the introduction of antiviral therapy. Furthermore, demographic, socioeconomic, and comorbid variability across geographical regions in the US might also play a role in the observed trends. We provide important epidemiologic data for HCC in the US, prompting further studies to investigate the underlying factors responsible for the observed regional variations in HCC incidence and mortality.

Psychosocial Trauma History Negatively Impacts Liver Transplant Access in Women with Chronic Liver Disease

Introduction

Few studies have evaluated the impact of psychological trauma (mental, emotional, or physical) on liver transplant (LT) candidacy and outcomes.

Methods

We performed a single center retrospective analysis of patients who completed routine LT evaluation between October 2017 and June 2021. We identified the prevalence of psychological trauma history in men and women LT candidates and evaluated the association between trauma history and LT access. The primary outcome measure was listing for LT.

Results

A total of 463 patients completed LT evaluation, of which 17% (n = 79) reported a history of trauma: 49 of 159 women and 30 of 304 men. Trauma history was significantly more common in women than in men (31% vs. 10%, p < 0.001). Women with trauma history were less likely to be listed for LT (80% vs. 93%, p = 0.016). Women with trauma history were also more likely to be removed from the LT waitlist (26% vs. 12%, p = 0.045); this persists when excluding patients removed for transfer to another center or for medical improvement (22% vs. 7%, p = 0.020). In contrast, listing for LT (87% vs. 86%, p = 0.973) and waitlist removal (12% vs. 10%, p = 0.766) did not differ in men with and without trauma history. In those that received a LT (n = 107), post-LT relapse, rejection, readmissions, and death did not differ in patients with (n=13)and without (n=94) trauma history.

Conclusions

Trauma history is associated with reduced access to LT in women but not men with chronic liver disease. Further studies are needed to understand the impact of psychological trauma on LT access and post-LT outcomes.

The burden of cirrhosis mortality by county, race, and ethnicity in the USA, 2000-19: a systematic analysis of health disparities

BACKGROUND

Cirrhosis is responsible for substantial health and economic burden in the USA. Reducing this burden requires better understanding of how rates of cirrhosis mortality vary by race and ethnicity and by geographical location. This study describes rates and trends in cirrhosis mortality for five racial and ethnic populations in 3110 US counties from 2000 to 2019.

METHODS

We estimated cirrhosis mortality rates by county, race and ethnicity, and year (2000-19) using previously validated small-area estimation methods, death registration data from the US National Vital Statistics System, and population data from the US National Center for Health Statistics. Five racial and ethnic populations were considered: American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN), Asian or Pacific Islander (Asian), Black, Latino or Hispanic (Latino), and White. Cirrhosis mortality rate estimates were age-standardised using the age distribution from the 2010 US census as the standard. For each racial and ethnic population, estimates are presented for all counties with a mean annual population greater than 1000.

FINDINGS

From 2000 to 2019, national-level age-standardised cirrhosis mortality rates decreased in the Asian (23·8% [95% uncertainty interval 19·6-27·8], from 9·4 deaths per 100 000 population [8·9-9·9] to 7·1 per 100 000 [6·8-7·5]), Black (22·8% [20·6-24·8], from 19·8 per 100 000 [19·4-20·3] to 15·3 per 100 000 [15·0-15·6]), and Latino (15·3% [13·3-17·3], from 26·3 per 100 000 [25·6-27·0] to 22·3 per 100 000 [21·8-22·8]) populations and increased in the AIAN (39·3% [32·3-46·4], from 45·6 per 100 000 [40·6-50·6] to 63·5 per 100 000 [57·2-70·2] in 2000 and 2019, respectively) and White (25·8% [24·2-27·3], from 14·7 deaths per 100 000 [14·6-14·9] to 18·5 per 100 000 [18·4-18·7]) populations. In all years, cirrhosis mortality rates were lowest among the Asian population, highest among the AIAN population, and higher in males than females for each racial and ethnic population. The degree of heterogeneity in county-level cirrhosis mortality rates varied by racial and ethnic population, with the narrowest IQR in the Asian population (median 8·0 deaths per 100 000, IQR 6·4-10·4) and the widest in the AIAN population (55·1, 30·3-78·8). Cirrhosis mortality increased over the study period in almost all counties for the White (2957 [96·9%] of 3051 counties) and AIAN (421 [88·8%] of 474) populations, but in a smaller proportion of counties for the Asian, Black, and Latino populations. For all racial and ethnic populations, cirrhosis mortality rates increased in more counties between 2000 and 2015 than between 2015 and 2019.

INTERPRETATION

Cirrhosis mortality increased nationally and in many counties from 2000 to 2019. Although the magnitude of racial and ethnic disparities decreased in some places, disparities nonetheless persisted, and mortality remained high in many locations and communities. Our findings underscore the need to implement targeted and locally tailored programmes and policies to reduce the burden of cirrhosis at both the national and local level.

FUNDING

US National Institutes of Health (Intramural Research Program, National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Intramural Research Program, National Cancer Institute; National Institute on Aging; National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases; Office of Disease Prevention; and Office of Behavioral and Social Sciences Research).

Liver stiffness measurement by magnetic resonance elastography predicts cirrhosis and decompensation in alcohol-related liver disease

PURPOSE

To evaluate magnetic resonance elastography (MRE)-based liver stiffness measurement as a biomarker to predict the onset of cirrhosis in early-stage alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) patients, and the transition from compensated to decompensated cirrhosis in ALD.

METHODS

Patients with ALD and at least one MRE examination between 2007 and 2020 were included in this study. Patient demographics, liver chemistries, MELD score (within 30 days of the first MRE), and alcohol abstinence history were collected from the electronic medical records. Liver stiffness and fat fraction were measured. Disease progression was assessed in the records by noting cirrhosis onset in early-stage ALD patients and decompensation in those initially presenting with compensated cirrhosis. Nomograms and cut-off values of liver stiffness, derived from Cox proportional hazards models were created to predict the likelihood of advancing to cirrhosis or decompensation.

RESULTS

A total of 182 patients (132 men, median age 57 years) were included in this study. Among 110 patients with early-stage ALD, 23 (20.9%) developed cirrhosis after a median follow-up of 6.2 years. Among 72 patients with compensated cirrhosis, 33 (45.8%) developed decompensation after a median follow-up of 4.2 years. MRE-based liver stiffness, whether considered independently or adjusted for age, alcohol abstinence, fat fraction, and sex, was a significant and independent predictor for both future cirrhosis (Hazard ratio [HR] = 2.0-2.2, p = 0.002-0.003) and hepatic decompensation (HR = 1.2-1.3, p = 0.0001-0.006). Simplified Cox models, thresholds, and corresponding nomograms were devised for practical use, excluding non-significant or biased variables.

CONCLUSIONS

MRE-based liver stiffness assessment is a useful predictor for the development of cirrhosis or decompensation in patients with ALD.